Sports Picks & Predictions

NCAA Basketball Archive
Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
11-13-23	Florida International +21.5 v. Miami-FL	Top	80-86	Win	100	14 h 59 m	Show
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Florida International Panthers + the points over Miami-Fla. The Hurricanes are 2-0 this season after back to back blowout wins over New Jersey Tech and Central Florida. They're now installed as a huge favorite at home vs. Florida International, which enters with an 0-2 record after dropping Thursday's game to Tarleton St. We'll grab the points, as Miami is a miserable 8-21-1 ATS at home when favored by 12 (or more) points, including 0-7-1 ATS when playing an opponent off back to back losses. Take the Panthers. Good luck as always...Al McMordie.
11-12-23	Army +23.5 v. Indiana	Top	64-72	Win	100	11 h 16 m	Show
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Army Black Knights + the points over the Indiana Hoosiers. Army was blown out, 57-44, at Stonehill, on Thursday, in a Pk'em game. The Knights shot just 26.1% from the floor, and allowed the Skyhawks to convert 50%. We'll take Army to bounce back, as it's 10-3 ATS after failing to cover the spread by 9+ points, and 6-2 ATS following a loss by 13+ points. Meanwhile, the Hoosiers are a horrible 54-88-2 ATS vs. a foe which failed to cover the spread by more than 8 points in its previous game. Grab the points with Army. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
11-11-23	Bucknell +11 v. Niagara	Top	73-64	Win	100	5 h 0 m	Show
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Bucknell Bison + the points over Niagara. Both teams are winless on the season. Niagara is 0-1, while Buckell is 0-2. The teams did meet last season, and the Bison blew out Niagara, 68-50, which was their fourth win in a row in this series. And now, the Bison are catching double-digits from the Purple Eagles. We'll grab the points, as Niagara is a soft 4-12-1 ATS vs. foes off back to back losses, while Bucknell is 5-1 ATS its last six off back to back defeats. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
11-11-23	Coppin State +15 v. Mt. St. Mary's	Top	60-74	Win	100	10 h 52 m	Show
At 4 pm, our selection is on the Coppin State Eagles + the points over Mount St. Mary's. The Mountaineers dropped their season opener to Maryland, while the Eagles come into this game off back to back losses to Towson and Virginia Tech. Coppin St. has been installed as a double-digit dog this afternoon, and we'll happily grab the points knowing that the Eagles are 18-6-1 ATS as a double-digit dog off back to back losses, including 10-1 ATS vs. a foe off a loss. Take Coppin St. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
11-11-23	Texas Southern v. Arizona State -14.5	Top	52-63	Loss	-115	9 h 7 m	Show
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Arizona State Sun Devils minus the points over Texas Southern. Both of these teams dropped their season opener. ASU fell, 71-56, at Mississippi State, while the Tigers were annihilated, 92-55, on Monday by New Mexico. That 37-point defeat lowered Texas Southern's point spread ledger to 18-34-1 ATS since January 15, 2022. Even worse: if the Tigers were matched up against an opponent off a straight-up loss, the Tigers are an ugly 3-19 ATS their last 22. Lay the points with the Sun Devils. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
11-10-23	Prairie View A&M v. Washington State -17.5	Top	65-83	Win	100	15 h 12 m	Show
At 10 pm, our selection is on the Washington State Cougars minus the points over Prairie View A&M. Wazzu blew out Idaho, 84-59, on Monday, and will host the Panthers, who covered in defeat at Seattle two nights ago. Prairie View is a soft 35.7% as an underdog off an ATS win, while Washington State is 27-7 ATS as a double-digit favorite when playing a foe off an ATS win. Lay the points.
11-10-23	Grambling State v. Colorado -22.5	Top	63-95	Win	100	13 h 13 m	Show
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Colorado Buffaloes minus the points over Grambling. Tad Boyle's Buffaloes got the 2023-24 campaign off to a good start with a 75-57 win over Towson. We'll lay the points with the Buffs tonight, and go against Grambling, as the Tigers have covered just 29.1% as an underdog of 11+ points, while Colorado has covered 69% when priced from -20.5 to -26. Lay the big number. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
11-09-23	New Mexico v. St. Mary's -4.5	Top	58-72	Win	100	13 h 6 m	Show
At 10 pm, our selection is on the St Mary's Gaels minus the points over New Mexico. The Gaels got their 2023-24 season off to a fantastic start Monday when they blew out Stanislaus St., 107-28. After that 'tune-up' game, the Gaels will turn their focus to New Mexico tonight. And the Gaels should be focused since they will be looking to avenge a loss to the Lobos last season. St. Mary's has covered 73% since 2003 when favored by less than 14 points and playing with revenge from a loss the previous season. And they're 60-35 ATS at home vs. non-conference foes. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
11-06-23	Maryland-Eastern Shore v. Temple -16.5	Top	67-85	Win	100	39 h 18 m	Show
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Temple Owls minus the points over the Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks. Last season the Hawks upset the Owls, 86-78, as a 15.5-point underdog. We'll take the revenge-minded Owls on Monday night, as the Hawks are 0-6 ATS as underdogs when they defeated their opponent in the prior meeting. And Temple is a solid 65-42-2 ATS as a home favorite (or PK) when playing with revenge. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
11-06-23	Merrimack +14 v. Vermont	Top	55-67	Win	100	39 h 17 m	Show
At 7:30pm, our selection is on the Merrimack Warriors + the points over Vermont. Last season, the Catamounts crushed Merrimack by 23 points, as they stormed out to a 37-15 halftime lead, en route to a 66-43 final. Vermont had a great season, and won the America East Conference for the fourth time in five season. But Vermont coach John Becker only had 1 starter from that team return (and just two of the team's top six scorers). With eight newcomers, I expect Vermont to take some time to gel. We'll go against Vermont, and take the Warriors to avenge last season's blowout loss, as they fall into 50-21 and 87-62 ATS revenge systems of mine. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
04-03-23	San Diego State +7.5 v. Connecticut	Top	59-76	Loss	-110	41 h 55 m	Show
At 9:20 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the San Diego State Aztecs + the points over Connecticut. The line in this game opened at -6, but quickly spiked higher. By my math, it's too high. We'll grab the points with Brian Dutcher's Aztecs, as teams seeded #5 (or worse) have cashed 69% in the NCAA Tournament as underdogs from the Elite Eight round forward. That bodes well for San Diego State in this Championship game. As does the fact that SDSU is 62-38 ATS off a point spread loss when playing an opponent off a win Grab the points with the Aztecs. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
04-01-23	Miami-FL v. Connecticut UNDER 149.5	Top	59-72	Win	100	37 h 19 m	Show
At 8:45 pm, our selection is on the Connecticut/Miami game Under the total. After shooting just 30.4% in its opening round win (63-56) vs. Drake, Miami has shot the lights out in its last three games. Miami scored 85 in its 2nd round win vs. Indiana, 89 in its Sweet 16 round victory over Houston, and 88 in its Elite Eight triumph over Texas. The Hurricanes were a combined 94-of-179 (52.5%) from the floor in those three games. Those numbers were well above Miami's season averages of 79.6 ppg and 48.5% FG shooting. Indeed, in ACC Conference play this season, the Hurricanes shot 50% (or better) in less than half of their games. And I expect their red-hot shooting to come down in this semi-final match-up vs. UConn, as the Huskies have allowed just 34.9 percent shooting (81-for-232) in their four NCAA Tournament wins. Connecticut is 42-24 Under away from home vs. teams that convert 48% (or better) of their field goals. And it's also gone Under 59.3% vs. foes that scored 85+ in their previous game, and 62% vs. foes that average more than 79 points per game. This will be a relatively-low scoring game. Take the Under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
03-30-23	UAB -123 v. North Texas	Top	61-68	Loss	-123	41 h 18 m	Show
At 9:30 pm, on Thursday, in the NIT Tournament Championship game, our selection is on the UAB Blazers, on the moneyline, over North Texas. This is the 4th meeting this season between these Conference USA rivals. North Texas won the first two meetings, while UAB won the 3rd meeting, in the Conference USA tournament. The Mean Green greatly favor a slow pace, as their games average 120.10 ppg, while UAB likes a more up-tempo pace, as its games average 151.55 ppg. The first two meetings between these teams were played at a very slow pace. Not surprisingly, the Mean Green won those regular season games. The first was played at UAB on January 21, and North Texas upset the Blazers, 63-52, as a 3-point road underdog. The pace was 62.8. Importantly, that game was played without Jelly Walker on the floor, as he was nursing a bruised foot. Then, on February 9, the Mean Green won at home, as a 2.5-point favorite, 82-79. That game went into double-overtime, so the high score is extremely misleading; it was tied, 62-62, at the end of regulation, and had a very slow pace of 57.1. Walker scored 20 points in a losing effort. The 3rd meeting, which was on March 10, had a much faster pace (68.1) than the prior two meetings, and UAB won, 76-69, as a 2-point favorite. Although the final margin of victory was seven points, UAB was in complete control the entire way. It sprinted out to a 22-2 start, and led by as many as 16 points in the 2nd half. Jelly Walker dominated with 32 points, 6 rebounds and 6 assists. In this 4th meeting, I expect Walker to once again be the best player on the floor, and to lead UAB to the NIT Title. UAB has gone 14-2 straight-up since Walker returned from injury. Its two losses were the aforementioned double-overtime loss at North Texas, and the Conference USA Championship game vs. Florida Atlantic (which is playing on Saturday in the Final Four). We'll take UAB on the moneyline. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
03-28-23	Wisconsin +1.5 v. North Texas	Top	54-56	Loss	-107	18 h 53 m	Show
At 7 pm, in the NIT Tournament, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers + the points over the North Texas Mean Green. The Big 10 Conference has been dominant in the NIT Tourney since 1990, and especially at the 2nd round forward, where it's gone 54-33-3 ATS vs. non-conference foes. We'll grab the points with the Badgers, as they're 34-13 ATS as a non-conference underdog/PK since 2004, and 9-0 ATS the past two years away from home when playing a non-conference foe, and not favored by 4+ points. Meanwhile North Texas is 2-4 ATS vs. Big 10 opponents. And Conference USA teams are a horrible 7-24 ATS away from home vs. Big 10 foes when not getting 14+ points. Take Wisconsin + the points in this NIT semi-final game. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
03-26-23	Creighton v. San Diego State UNDER 133	Top	56-57	Win	100	30 h 28 m	Show
At 2:20 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Creighton/San Diego State game. Dating back to head coach Brian Dutcher's first season, San Diego State has gone 17-4 under its last 21 post-season games. Likewise, Greg McDermott's Bluejays have gone 20-9 under their last 29 post-season games. We'll look for this Elite 8 game to go UNDER the total, as the Aztecs have now played 13 of their last 14 games under the total, including 11-0 under since February 15. Additionally, the quarterfinal rounds of the NCAA/NIT Tournaments have gone under 33-19 their last 52. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
03-25-23	Connecticut v. Gonzaga +2.5	Top	82-54	Loss	-110	13 h 8 m	Show
At 8:45 pm, our selection is on the Gonzaga Bulldogs + the points over Connecticut. The Huskies come into this game off three straight blowout wins over Iona (87-63), St Mary's (70-55) and Arkansas (88-65). But off those three double-digit wins, we'll fade the Huskies in this Elite 8 Round. Indeed, favorites of 5 points or less, off three straight wins by 7+ points, have covered just 6 of 28 Elite 8 Round games since 1995. Additionally, the Huskies are a soft 15-23 ATS as a single-digit favorite off 3 SU/ATS wins. And Gonzaga is 75-47-7 ATS vs. foes with a win percentage greater than .750. Take the Bulldogs + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
03-24-23	Miami-FL v. Houston -7.5	Top	89-75	Loss	-110	12 h 51 m	Show
At 7:15 pm, our selection is on the Houston Cougars minus the points over Miami-Florida. Jim Larranaga's men come into this game off back to back SU/ATS wins. Unfortunately, the Hurricanes are a horrid 9-20 ATS off back to back SU/ATS wins. Even worse for Miami: over the last 5 seasons, the ACC Conference has covered just eight of 27 games vs. the American Athletic Conference, including 0-4 ATS in the post-season! Finally, Houston is a reliable 34-12-1 ATS vs. foes off ATS wins in their 2 previous games, provided Houston wasn't off back to back ATS wins in its 2 previous games. Take the Cougars. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
03-24-23	San Diego State v. Alabama -7.5	Top	71-64	Loss	-105	11 h 5 m	Show
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide minus the points over San Diego St. The San Diego State Aztecs won the Mountain West Conference this season. But the Mountain West has been a huge money-burner in the NCAA Tournament. Over the last 24 seasons, its teams have gone 24-58 straight-up, and 26-55-1 ATS, including 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS in the Sweet 16 round! Similarly, San Diego State is 2-15 straight-up, and 5-11-1 ATS as in the NCAA/NIT Tournaments when not favored by more than 3 points. Meanwhile, the SEC Conference has gone 30-3 SU and 23-10 ATS when favored by 7 or more points against a .723 (or better) foe off an NCAA tourney win. Lay the points with Alabama. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
03-23-23	Arkansas +4.5 v. Connecticut	Top	65-88	Loss	-115	14 h 42 m	Show
At 7:15 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks + the points against Connecticut. Arkansas upset the #1-seeded Kansas Jayhawks, 72-71, on Saturday, while 4th-seeded UConn blew out 5th-seeded St. Mary's, 70-55, on Sunday, as a 4-point favorite. We'll grab the points with #8-seeded Arkansas, as it's 18-6 ATS as an underdog of 2+ points off a SU win. And it's 20-9 ATS in non-conference games when not favored by 9+ points (including 11-4 ATS as an underdog). Meanwhile, NCAA Tourney teams (like UConn) seeded #7 (or better), off an NCAA Tourney win, in which they covered the spread by more than 10 points, have gone 0-10 ATS vs. foes seeded #8 (or worse). Take Arkansas. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
03-22-23	Utah Valley v. Cincinnati +1	Top	74-68	Loss	-110	10 h 1 m	Show
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats over Utah Valley St. The Wolverines will play host to the Cincinnati Bearcats tonight, and have been installed as a small favorite. The Wolves have only covered 33% at home when not favored by 2+ points, and are also 1-6 ATS at home in non-conference games when not getting more than 5 points. Take Cincy. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
03-22-23	UAB v. Vanderbilt	Top	67-59	Loss	-110	8 h 2 m	Show
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Vanderbilt Commodores over the UAB Blazers. The Blazers are on the road tonight in Nashville to take on Vandy, and the game has been installed as a 'Pk'em' (or near 'Pk'em' at the sportsbooks). UAB has been miserable on the road when not getting more than 1 point, as it's gone 20-39 ATS, including 12-37-1 ATS when its opponent wasn't off a win by more than 10 points. That doesn't bode well for UAB tonight. Nor does the fact that Vandy is 45-22-4 ATS when not favored by 8+ points. Take the Commodores. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
03-21-23	Wisconsin +5 v. Oregon	Top	61-58	Win	100	13 h 29 m	Show
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers + the points over Oregon. The Ducks won back to back home games to kick off this tournament, as did the Badgers. Today, Wisconsin will take to the road for the first time, and has been installed as an underdog. That bodes well for Wisky, as it's 52-26-3 ATS in non-conference games when it's been the underdog, including 14-5-2 ATS in the post-season. Grab the points with the Badgers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
03-21-23	Eastern Kentucky v. Southern Utah -3	Top	108-106	Loss	-110	11 h 29 m	Show
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Southern Utah Thunderbirds minus the points over Eastern Kentucky. The Colonels won, 89-88, in overtime vs. Indiana State, yesterday. Off that high-scoring win, we'll fade the Colonels today. Indeed, teams off games in which they scored 85+ points have gone 8-24 ATS in the CBI Tournament against foes that scored less then 85 in their previous game. Lay the points with the Thunderbirds.
03-21-23	North Texas v. Oklahoma State -4	Top	65-59	Loss	-110	11 h 29 m	Show
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma State Cowboys minus the points over the North Texas Mean Green. The Cowboys are 32-19-1 ATS as a home favorite vs. non-conference foes, if Okie State was priced between -3 and -12.5 points, while North Texas is 17-24 ATS as a road underdog in non-conference games when priced from +3 to +12.5 points. Take Oklahoma State.
03-20-23	Radford +6.5 v. San Jose State	Top	67-57	Win	100	8 h 36 m	Show
At 5 pm, our selection is on the Radford Highlanders + the points over San Jose State. The Spartans blew out Southern Indiana, 77-52, on Saturday. We'll fade the Spartans off that big win, as they're 0-7 ATS their last seven (and 2-11 ATS their last 13) off a 25-point win. And Radford is 7-0 ATS its last 7 as an underdog of +4 (or more) points. Take the Highlanders. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
03-20-23	Eastern Kentucky v. Indiana State -6	Top	89-88	Loss	-110	3 h 50 m	Show
At 12 Noon, in the CBI Tournament, our selection is on the Indiana State Sycamores minus the points over Eastern Kentucky. We played against the Sycamores as a double-digit favorite on Saturday, and got the $$$ with South Carolina Upstate. The tariff is lower today, and we'll lay the smaller number vs. the Colonels. Eastern Kentucky won yesterday, 91-75, vs. Cleveland State. Unfortunately, the Colonels are 10-30 ATS off a 14-point SU/ATS win, if they were not getting 10+ points. Take Indiana State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
03-19-23	Utah Valley v. Colorado -4	Top	81-69	Loss	-110	13 h 45 m	Show
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Colorado Buffaloes minus the points over Utah Valley St. This is the Buffaloes' second straight home game, while the Wolverines are playing their second straight road game following their 83-69 upset at New Mexico. Colorado is 67% ATS at home when playing the 2nd of back to back home games against a foe playing the second of back to back road games. And teams (like Utah Valley) off upset wins in the opening round of the NIT Tourney have covered just 38.3% vs. foes not off an upset NIT Tourney win. Lay the points with the Buffaloes. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
03-19-23	Michigan State +3 v. Marquette	Top	69-60	Win	100	8 h 26 m	Show
At 5:15 pm, our selection is on the Michigan State Spartans + the points over Marquette. The Spartans blew out Southern Cal, 72-62, as a 2.5-point favorite, and have been installed as a small underdog vs. the Big East Champion Golden Eagles, who crushed Vermont, 78-61. We'll grab the points with the Spartans, as Tom Izzo's men have gone 24-10 ATS in the NCAA Tournament in competitively-priced games with point spreads less than 5 points, including 11-1 ATS off an 8-point (or greater) win, and 5-0 ATS in the Tourney's 2nd round. Even better: teams (like Marquette) riding 10-game (or longer) win streaks, have covered just 36.1% in the NCAA Tourney's 2nd Round off a double-digit SU/ATS win in Round 1. Take Michigan State + the points.
03-19-23	Eastern Washington v. Oklahoma State -11	Top	60-71	Push	0	5 h 15 m	Show
At 2 pm, in the NIT Tournament, our selection is on the Oklahoma St Cowboys minus the points over Eastern Washington. The Cowboys have covered 60.3% since 1990 in non-conference home games when favored by 12 or less points, while the Eagles are 26-37 ATS as a road underdog in non-conference games. Lay the points.
03-19-23	Rice v. Duquesne -5	Top	84-78	Loss	-110	127 h 27 m	Show
At 1:30 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Duquesne Dukes minus the points over Rice. The Dukes come into this CBI Tournament game off back to back blowout losses to La Salle (81-70) and Fordham (87-60). But we'll lay the points with Duquesne on Sunday, as .600 (or better) Atlantic 10 Conference teams have gone 11-0 ATS in the tourneys against non-conference foes not off back to back losses. And Conference USA underdogs, priced from +3.5 to +7 points, have been a wallet-busting 15-39 ATS in the post-season vs. non-conference foes. Take Duquesne minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
03-19-23	Pittsburgh v. Xavier -5	Top	73-84	Win	100	3 h 26 m	Show
At 12:10 pm, our selection is on the Xavier Musketeers minus the points over Pittsburgh. The Panthers upset the Cyclones, 59-41, on Friday, which was their second straight upset win in this Tournament (they also upset Mississippi St in the 'play-in' round). Unfortunately for Jeff Capel's men, NCAA teams seeded #6 or worse, have cashed just 35% since 1990 off a win by 15+ points, if they were an underdog of 6 or less points in their current game. And teams off back to back upset wins in the NCAA tourney have covered just 31% since 1990 vs. foes off a point spread loss. Lay the points with the Musketeers.
03-18-23	Northwestern v. UCLA UNDER 126.5	Top	63-68	Loss	-110	3 h 55 m	Show
At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the UCLA/Northwestern game. The Bruins put up 86 points in their first game in this tournament, while Northwestern tallied 75. The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another high-scoring game, here (or at least one which topped this relatively-low total). But I think we're in for a much lower-scoring game than each of these teams played on Friday. Looking back at Northwestern's season, we see that it played 9 of 10 games under the total to end its regular season, before going over the total in its two post-season games (vs. Penn St and Boise St). But the Wildcats have gone UNDER the total 61.1% off back-to-back overs. And the Under also falls into two totals systems of mine that are 60.5% and 62.7% since 2016. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
03-18-23	Penn State +5.5 v. Texas	Top	66-71	Win	100	11 h 56 m	Show
At 7:45 pm, our selection is on the Penn State Nittany Lions + the points over Texas. There were a lot of impressive performances in the opening round. But most were not as impressive as the Nittany Lions' upset blowout win over a very good Texas A&M squad. Penn State was a 2.5-point underdog, but destroyed the Aggies, 76-59. The Nittany Lions held A&M to just 33.9% FG shooting. And that was PSU's 6th straight cover. Even more astounding: the Nittany Lions are now 15-0-2 ATS their last 17 neutral court games (and 31-7-4 ATS their last 42). Take the Nittany Lions + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
03-18-23	Auburn v. Houston -5	Top	64-81	Win	100	10 h 20 m	Show
At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Cougars minus the points over Auburn. The Coogs come into this game vs. Auburn off back to back ATS losses. But the good news is that Houston is 10-0 ATS off back to back point spread defeats, when priced from -5 to -20. Lay the points with the #1-seeded Cougars.
03-18-23	Princeton v. Missouri -6	Top	78-63	Loss	-115	9 h 19 m	Show
At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Missouri Tigers minus the points over the Princeton Tigers. Princeton had a huge win on Thursday when it eliminated the #2-seeded Arizona Wildcats, 59-55. Unfortunately, underdogs of +7 or less points have gone 0-9 ATS following a upset tourney win as a double-digit dog. Take Missouri.
03-18-23	Duke v. Tennessee +4	Top	52-65	Win	100	6 h 4 m	Show
At 2:40 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers + the points over Duke. The Blue Devils have won their last 2 games by double-digits, including a 23-point blowout of Oral Roberts on Thursday. Unfortunately, the Dukies are an awful 1-11 ATS off back to back double-digit wins. And Tennessee is 33-19 ATS as an underdog in non-conference games. Take the Volunteers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
03-18-23	Hofstra v. Cincinnati -1.5	Top	65-79	Win	100	5 h 12 m	Show
At 2 pm, in the NIT Tournament, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats minus the points over Hofstra. The Bearcats are 13-2 ATS their last 15 as a home favorite, and we'll lay the small number on this Saturday afternoon, as they fall into a Tourney system of mine which is 94-45 ATS. Take the Bearcats.
03-18-23	Michigan v. Vanderbilt -1	Top	65-66	Push	0	3 h 12 m	Show
At 12 Noon, in the NIT Tournament, our selection is on the Vanderbilt Commodores minus the points over Michigan. We played on both of these teams in their opening round games, and cashed with Michigan over Toledo, and Vanderbilt over Yale. The Commodores are on a red-hot 11-2 SU/ATS run, and I won't step in front of them here, at home. Moreover, the Wolverines had their 2nd best shooting game of the season vs. Toledo, as they converted 58.2% of their attempts. But Michigan is 1-8 ATS following a 55% (or better) shooting performance. Take Vanderbilt.
03-18-23	USC Upstate +10 v. Indiana State	Top	62-67	Win	100	101 h 56 m	Show
At 11 am, on Saturday, our selection is on the South Carolina Upstate Spartans + the points over Indiana St. This CBI Tournament game will be played at a neutral site, in Daytona Beach, Florida. The Sycamores have been installed as a big favorite. But they're an ugly 13-25 ATS in non-conference games when favored by more than 7 points. Meanwhile, USC Upstate is 40-21 ATS its last 61 when not favored by more than 1 point. Finally, the Big South Conference has been extremely strong in the minor post-season tournaments, as its teams have gone 17-6 ATS, while the Missouri Valley Conference is 22-31 ATS its last 53 minor tournament games. Grab the points with the Spartans. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
03-17-23	Kent State v. Indiana -4.5	Top	60-71	Win	100	22 h 2 m	Show
At 9:55 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over Kent St. The Golden Flashes won the Mid-American Conference with a 93-78 win over Toledo. Toledo then went to play Michigan in the NIT Tournament, and we had our NIT Game of the Year on Michigan, which won 90-80. Here, we have another MAC Conference vs. Big 10 Conference match-up. As I highlighted three days ago in our Michigan/Toledo write-up, the MAC has not performed well vs. the Big 10, as it's 114-148 ATS, including 0-8 ATS its last eight (and 20-41 ATS its last 61) when priced from -2 to +8 points. Indiana, in particular, has done great against MAC teams, with a 26-1 SU and 19-8 ATS record. Kent St, meanwhile, is 3-11 SU and 4-10 ATS vs. Big 10 foes. Finally, one of my favorite systems, which is 59-25 ATS applies to Indiana, while a negative 113-224 ATS system goes against Kent St. We'll lay the points with the Hoosiers. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
03-17-23	Montana State v. Kansas State -7.5	Top	65-77	Win	100	31 h 26 m	Show
At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Kansas State Wildcats minus the points over Montana St. The Wildcats lost their last two games to end their season. But they were underdogs in each game. K-State is favored by a healthy margin tonight, and it's 14-4 ATS as a favorite this season, including 7-0 ATS its last seven. Even better: off back to back ATS losses, the Wildcats are 8-1 ATS their last nine. Meanwhile, the Bobcats are a poor 2-9 ATS as a dog of 2+ points off back to back conference wins. And they're 13-27 ATS off back to back wins when matched up against a foe off back to back losses. Lay the points with Kansas State. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
03-17-23	Florida Atlantic v. Memphis -1.5	Top	66-65	Loss	-110	31 h 13 m	Show
At 9:20 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers minus the points over Florida Atlantic. The Tigers smashed #1-ranked Houston in the AAC Tourney, 75-65, as a 5.5-point dog. They'll now take on a 31-3 Owls squad which ran roughshod through a comparatively-week Conference USA. We'll take Memphis, as the Tigers are 54-17-5 ATS vs. .555 (or better) Conference USA foes when not favored by more than 5 points. And the Tigers are also 40-17-2 ATS off an upset win, including 9-0-1 ATS when not favored by more the 5 points. Take the Tigers.
03-17-23	Grand Canyon v. Gonzaga UNDER 156	Top	70-82	Win	100	16 h 53 m	Show
At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Grand Canyon/Gonzaga game. After playing eight straight "OVERS" to end its regular season, the Bulldogs went UNDER the total in their two West Coast Conference tournament games. And they've also gone UNDER in 10 of 13 NCAA Tournament games when the OU line was greater than 148. We'll look for a relatively low-scoring game tonight, as the UNDER falls into 32-11 and 66-44 Totals systems of mine. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
03-17-23	NC State +5.5 v. Creighton	Top	63-72	Loss	-110	25 h 27 m	Show
At 4 pm, our selection is on the NC State Wolfpack + the points over Creighton. The Wolfpack were blown out by Clemson, 80-54, in the ACC Tourney. Off that loss, we'll back The Pack, as NC State is 7-1-1 ATS off a loss this season. And .720 (or worse) ACC Conference teams are 95-53 ATS as underdogs off a 25-point loss, when playing a winning foe. Take the Wolfpack.
03-17-23	VCU v. St. Mary's -4	Top	51-63	Win	100	31 h 22 m	Show
At 2 pm, our selection is on the St. Mary's Gaels minus the points over VCU. The Gaels lost, 77-51, to their nemesis, Gonzaga, in last week's West Coast Conference title game. But off that loss, we'll take Randy Bennett's men to bounce back in a big way on Friday afternoon. The Gaels are an awesome 12-1 ATS off a loss the past two seasons. And, dating back 15 seasons, St Mary's is 44-20 ATS in non-conference games off a point spread defeat. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
03-17-23	UC-Santa Barbara v. Baylor -10.5	Top	56-74	Win	100	31 h 51 m	Show
At 1:30 pm, our selection is on the Baylor Bears minus the points over Cal-Santa Barbara. The Bears lost back-to-back games to Iowa State to end its Big 12 Conference season. The good news for the Bears is that they're 51-18 ATS off back to back losses when facing a .555 (or better) opponent. Additionally, Big 12 Conference teams have cashed 64% in the NCAA Tournament off back to back SU/ATS losses. Finally, Big West Conference underdogs of more than 4 points are a soft 16-31 ATS in the post-season vs. foes off a SU/ATS loss. Take Baylor. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
03-17-23	Kennesaw State v. Xavier -12.5	Top	67-72	Loss	-105	30 h 3 m	Show
At 12:40 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Xavier Musketeers minus the points over Kennesaw St. The Owls were seeded #1 in the Atlantic Sun Tournament, and defeated Queens U., Lipscomb, and Liberty en route to the conference championship. But all three games were played in Kennesaw's home arena. And its home court advantage was a big reason why it won its tournament, as it won two of those three games by a single point, each. I am not a fan of playing on such teams -- that win their conference tournament on their home court -- here in the NCAA Tournament. It's a different story altogether when you're playing on a neutral court. The Musketeers have excelled in post-season, neutral court games vs. non-conference foes, as they're 31-14-4 ATS. Lay the points with Xavier. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
03-16-23	Penn State v. Texas A&M -2.5	Top	76-59	Loss	-110	16 h 40 m	Show
At 9:55 pm, our selection is on the Texas A&M Aggies minus the points over Penn State. Penn State was 4-0 ATS in the Big 10 Tournament, but fell to Purdue in the title game, 67-65, as a 7.5-point underdog. Meanwhile, the Aggies were blown out by the SEC's #1 team, Alabama, 82-63, on Sunday. But off that loss, we'll take Texas A&M to bounce back tonight. The Aggies are 61-34 ATS away from home off a loss, including 27-7 ATS as a favorite. And .625 (or better) Big 10 Underdogs, on a 4-game (or better) ATS win streak, have gone 11-28 ATS in non-conference games. Take Texas A&M. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
03-16-23	UL - Lafayette v. Tennessee -11	Top	55-58	Loss	-105	15 h 58 m	Show
At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers minus the points over Louisiana-Lafayette. The Rajin' Cajuns 17-9-2 ATS their last 27 as a favorite, but are 1-8 ATS their last nine as an underdog, including 0-6 ATS their last six. That doesn't inspire confidence in them tonight against a Tennessee team looking to bounce back from an upset loss to Missouri. The Vols are 20-10 ATS off an away upset loss, and 36-18 ATS in non-conference games off an 8-point (or worse) defeat. Meanwhile, the Sun Belt Conference has been horrible vs. the SEC Conference when playing at home, or on neutral courts, as the Sun Belt teams have gone 17-40-3 ATS. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
03-16-23	Texas A&M Corpus Christi +24.5 v. Alabama	Top	75-96	Win	100	3 h 3 m	Show
At 2:45 pm, our selection is on the Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders + the points over Alabama. The Crimson Tide come into this game off an 82-63 win in the SEC Conference Championship game. But off that blowout win, we'll fade Nate Oats men this afternoon. Indeed, Alabama is an awful 13-49-1 ATS when favored by more than 10 points after scoring 75+ points in winning its previous game. Take Corpus Christi. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
03-16-23	Howard v. Kansas -21.5	Top	68-96	Win	100	7 h 30 m	Show
At 2 pm, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points over Howard. Kansas will look to rebound off its 76-56 loss to Texas in the Big 12 Tourney. The Jayhawks tend to get off to a good start in this tournament, as they're 19-11 ATS in the opening round, including 16-6 when not favored by 23.5 (or more) points. And they also do well off blowout losses, as they're 27-3-1 ATS following a defeat by 12+ points. Take the Jayhawks.
03-16-23	Utah State -1 v. Missouri	Top	65-76	Loss	-115	7 h 9 m	Show
At 1:40 pm, our selection is on the Utah State Aggies minus the points over Missouri. The Tigers have been installed as a small underdog this afternoon. Unfortuately, Missouri is an awful 37-75 ATS as an underdog (or PK) away from home, if its W/L percentage was between .500 and .875. That doesn't bode well for Missouri, here. Nor does the fact that Utah State is 47-23 ATS as a favorite, including 7-0 ATS its last seven. Lay the points.
03-16-23	Furman v. Virginia UNDER 132	Top	68-67	Loss	-110	6 h 11 m	Show
At 12:40 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Virginia/Furman game. Something's gotta give this afternoon, as the Paladins prefer an up-tempo game, and average 82 ppg, while Virginia likes things slower-paced, and gives up just 60.2 ppg. I expect the Cavaliers to exert their will, as they've gone UNDER the total 35-18 when facing a team which scores 80.75 ppg. And they've also gone UNDER 42-24 when their opponent's games averaged 148+ points. Meanwhile, the Paladins have gone 12-2 UNDER when playing a team which gives up less than 67 ppg. Take the UNDER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
03-15-23	Cal-Irvine v. Oregon -7	Top	58-84	Win	100	19 h 54 m	Show
At 11 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over Cal Irvine. This will be the 2nd meeting between these two teams this season. In Round 1, Irvine came into Eugene and stunned the Ducks, 69-56, as a 15.5-point road underdog. The point spread is significantly lower tonight, and we'll lay the points with the homestanding Ducks as they're 8-0-1 ATS when playing with revenge in the post-season, when priced from +1 to -11 points. Take the Ducks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
03-15-23	Santa Clara v. Sam Houston State UNDER 143.5	Top	56-58	Win	100	17 h 50 m	Show
At 9 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Sam Houston St/Santa Clara game. The Bearkats come into tonight's game off a 78-75 loss to Grand Canyon, which went over the total by 26.5 points. But prior to that high-scoring game, the Bearkats went UNDER in seven straight. Tonight, they've been installed as a home underdog for the first time all season. But they were home dogs 6 times in the previous two seasons, and went under in each of those 6 games. Take the UNDER.
03-15-23	UCF v. Florida -2	Top	67-49	Loss	-110	15 h 50 m	Show
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators minus the points over Central Florida. The Gators lost, 69-68, to Mississippi St. last Thursday. But they covered the 5-point spread, which was their 3rd straight ATS win. We'll lay the points with Florida, as it's 44-27-1 ATS as a favorite in the post-season, and 8-1 ATS its last nine as a favorite vs. foes off a SU loss. Meanwhile, the Knights are a poor 13-25-2 ATS as a post-season underdog. Take Florida.
03-14-23	Yale v. Vanderbilt -3	Top	62-71	Win	100	15 h 54 m	Show
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Vanderbilt Commodores minus the points over Yale. On the heels of a dreadful first half, in which it was outscored 49-25, the Commodores lost to a very good Texas A&M team in the SEC Tournament. But they had won 10 of 11 games prior to that defeat (9-2 ATS). And they made a nice showing in the 2nd half, where they outscored the Aggies, 50-38. We'll take Vandy to bounce back tonight, as it's 32-19 ATS off a loss, and 9-2 ATS its last 11 post-season games. And it's a sensational 44-21-4 ATS when not laying 8+ points. Take the Commodores. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
03-14-23	Toledo v. Michigan -6	Top	80-90	Win	100	13 h 53 m	Show
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines minus the points over Toledo. The Wolverines fizzled-out in the Big 10 Tourney, as they were blown out, 62-50, by Rutgers. The good news for Michigan here is that it's been terrific off a straight-up loss, as it's 86-50-2 ATS. Even better: the Big 10 Conference has been very profitable in the NIT Tournament, with a 84-61-2 ATS record, while the MAC Conference is under water with a 26-32-2 ATS record. This will be Toledo's first post-season meeting vs. a Big 10 foe. But in its regular season meetings, it's gone 2-11 SU and 5-8 ATS, including 0-4 ATS when not getting 9+ points. And that dovetails with the Mid-American Conference's poor record, overall, vs. the Big 10, as the MAC is 114-147 ATS, including 0-7 ATS its last seven (and 20-40 ATS its last 60) when priced from -2 to +8 points. These two teams last met two seasons ago, and the Wolves won, 91-71, with center Hunter Dickinson scoring 18 points, with 7 rebounds and 4 blocks. Toledo has no one in its starting 5 who can effectively defend Dickinson. Take the Wolverines to blow out the Rockets. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
03-12-23	Texas A&M v. Alabama -4	Top	63-82	Win	100	4 h 23 m	Show
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide minus the points over Texas A&M. We cashed our SEC Game of the Month on the Aggies last weekend over Alabama, as A&M won, 67-61, as a 1.5-point home favorite. We'll take Alabama in this rematch, as it's 28-18 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, including 11-4 ATS in the post-season. And Texas A&M is a soft 10-19-1 ATS as an underdog of +3 (or more) points vs. a revenge-minded foe the Aggies defeated in each of the season's prior meetings. Take Alabama. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
03-12-23	Princeton +4 v. Yale	Top	74-65	Win	100	3 h 22 m	Show
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Princeton Tigers + the points over Yale. Both of these teams come into this championship game on SU/ATS win streaks. The Tigers have won their last 3 games SU/ATS, while Yale has won its last 4 games SU/ATS. This Ivy League title game will be played at Jadwin Gymnasium, the home of Princeton. And that's a big advantage, as Princeton has covered 71% as a home dog in Ivy League games since 1990, if it was off a SU/ATS win. Even better: home teams have covered 58% in conference tourney title games since 1990 if they were on a 3-game SU/ATS win streak. Take Princeton. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
03-11-23	CS-Fullerton v. UC-Santa Barbara -2	Top	62-72	Win	100	5 h 59 m	Show
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the UCSB Gauchos minus the points over Cal State Fullerton. The Gauchos erupted for 92 points in last night's 5-point win over Cal Riverside to reach the championship game of the Big West Tournament. We'll lay the points with UCSB tonight, as tourney teams that scored 90+ points in their semifinal game have gone 56-33 ATS in the Title game, provided they weren't getting 4+ points. UCSB is 27-15-1 ATS its last 43, including 9-0 ATS in 'win situation' games when the line was less than 3 points. Take the Gauchos. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
03-11-23	Tulane v. Memphis -6	Top	54-94	Win	100	8 h 7 m	Show
At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers minus the points over Tulane. The Tigers play this AAC semi-final game with revenge from a 90-89 upset home loss to the Green Wave. We'll lay the points today, as Tulane is a woeful 9-27-1 ATS when it's matched up against a revenge-minded foe which Tulane defeated on the road earlier in the season. And Memphis is 44-29-2 ATS when playing with revenge from a home loss. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
03-10-23	Arizona State v. Arizona -7.5	Top	59-78	Win	100	16 h 44 m	Show
At 11:30 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats minus the points over Arizona State. The Sun Devils shocked the Wildcats in Tucson, 89-88, as a 12-point road underdog last month. And they upset the USC Trojans yesterday, 77-72, as a 4-point dog. We'll take Arizona to avenge its loss to ASU, as it's 6-0 SU and 5-0-1 ATS its last six when playing with revenge. And unrested underdogs have gone 22-39-2 ATS in the Pac-12 Tournament. Take Arizona minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
03-10-23	Vanderbilt v. Kentucky -6.5	Top	80-73	Loss	-110	14 h 56 m	Show
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats minus the points over Vanderbilt. We played on Vandy last night, and got the $$$ with a 9-point win over LSU. We'll switch gears and fade the Commodores tonight, as they'll be facing a revenge-minded Wildcats squad which Vandy upset just nine days ago. That game was played in Lexington, and the Commodores won, 68-66, as a 9.5-point road underdog. We'll lay the points, as Kentucky is 15-0 ATS in the post-season when favored by more than 3 points, and playing with revenge. Take the Wildcats. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
03-10-23	Maryland v. Indiana	Top	60-70	Win	100	14 h 35 m	Show
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over Maryland. We played on the Terrapins earlier this season at home vs. Indiana, and were rewarded with a 66-55 victory. But we'll take Indiana in this rematch, as revenge-minded teams have gone 152-114 ATS in the Big 10 Tournament. And Indiana also falls into a 319-227 ATS tourney system of mine which plays on certain revenge-minded teams. Take the Hoosiers.
03-10-23	Middle Tennessee +8 v. Florida Atlantic	Top	65-68	Win	100	5 h 45 m	Show
At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Middle Tennessee St Blue Raiders + the points over Florida Atlantic. The Owls are 29-3 this season, but one of those three losses was to this Blue Raiders team, on Feb. 16. The Blue Raiders pulled off another upset yesterday, when they ousted Charlotte from the Tourney. Middle Tenn has won 15 of the last 20 games vs. Florida Atlantic, and is 13-7 ATS in those games. We'll take the points with the underdog Blue Raiders in this semi-final game, as Florida Atlantic falls into a negative 88-170 ATS system of mine. Take MTSU.
03-10-23	Rutgers v. Purdue -6	Top	65-70	Loss	-110	4 h 17 m	Show
At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers minus the points over Rutgers. Purdue ended its regular season with a 76-71 win over Illinois, but failed to cover the spread, as it was favored by 6.5. Meanwhile, Rutgers comes into this game off an upset win over Michigan yesterday. The Scarlet Knights also upset the Boilers in West Lafayette, 65-64, earlier this season. We'll take Purdue to avenge that defeat, as it's cashed 71% over the last 33 years as a 4-point (or greater) favorite when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, if Purdue was off an ATS loss in its previous game. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
03-09-23	LSU v. Vanderbilt -4.5	Top	68-77	Win	100	10 h 8 m	Show
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Vanderbilt Commodores minus the points over LSU. The Tigers are a woeful 1-15 straight-up, and 3-13 ATS as an underdog since early January. We'll take Vanderbilt, as it's 7-1 ATS its last 8 post-season games.
03-09-23	Alabama A&M v. Southern -4	Top	77-63	Loss	-110	10 h 6 m	Show
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Southern U. Jaguars minus the points over Alabama A&M. These two teams met 5 days ago, and the Bulldogs got the better of the Jaguars, 68-65. We'll take Southern to avenge that defeat, as the Bulldogs are a poor 8-16 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes. Take Southern. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
03-09-23	Villanova v. Creighton -4.5	Top	74-87	Win	100	10 h 5 m	Show
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Creighton Blue Jays minus the points over Villanova. Creighton lost by 12 points at Villanova less than two weeks ago. We'll take the revenge-minded Blue Jays today, as they're 37-18 ATS as a favorite when playing with revenge from an upset defeat. Take Creighton.
03-09-23	UNLV v. Boise State -5	Top	76-87	Win	100	10 h 44 m	Show
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Boise St Broncos minus the points over UNLV. The Broncos will look to extend their win streak vs. the Rebels to 8 games this evening. It's true that UNLV will be playing this game on their home court. Unfortunately, they're a soft 20-37-2 ATS at home if they won their previous game. Lay the points with Boise St.
03-09-23	Stanford v. Arizona -9.5	Top	84-95	Win	100	10 h 37 m	Show
At 9:00 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats minus the points over Stanford. The Cardinal upset Arizona, 88-79, as a 7.5-point home dog last month. We'll take Arizona to avenge that loss, as it's 36-25 ATS in conference games when playing with revenge from an upset road loss. Lay the points.
03-09-23	Coppin State v. Norfolk State -10.5	Top	56-73	Win	100	9 h 6 m	Show
At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Norfolk St Spartans minus the points over Coppin St. The Eagles have been horrid against the point spread this season, including 0-11 ATS when priced from +4.5 to +14.5 points. That doesn't bode well for Coppin St. tonight. Lay the points with the Spartans.
03-09-23	Tulsa +16.5 v. Wichita State	Top	63-81	Loss	-115	8 h 47 m	Show
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane + the points over Wichita St. The Shockers blew out South Florida, 69-49, to end its regular season. They now will take on Tulsa, which they defeated twice this season (by an average of 7.5 points). The Shockers are favored by double-digits tonight, and we'll happily take the points, as the Shockers are a poor 6-18 ATS off a win, including 1-11 ATS off a victory by more than 10 points. Take Tulsa. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
03-09-23	San Jose State v. Nevada -5	Top	81-77	Loss	-108	6 h 21 m	Show
At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Nevada Wolf Pack minus the points over San Jose St. The Wolf Pack were upset by rival UNLV, 69-67, at home this past Saturday. We'll take Nevada to bounce back as it's 47-26 ATS off a home loss. Take the Wolf Pack minus the points.
03-09-23	Grand Canyon -2.5 v. Seattle University	Top	84-79	Win	100	6 h 9 m	Show
At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Grand Canyon Antelopes minus the points over Seattle. The Redhawks are a horrid 18-32 ATS as an underdog (compared to 33-15 ATS as a favorite). Here, Seattle has been installed as an underdog. Let's lay the points with Grand Canyon. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
03-09-23	St. Joe's v. Dayton -10	Top	54-60	Loss	-110	6 h 44 m	Show
At 5 pm, our selection is on the Dayton Flyers minus the points over St. Joseph's. The Hawks blew out George Washington yesterday, 87-76. Meanwhile, the Flyers fell at St. Louis last Friday, 65-61. But they're 19-4-2 ATS off a conference loss, including 10-0 ATS vs. a foe off a win. Take Dayton.
03-09-23	West Virginia v. Kansas -4	Top	61-78	Win	100	4 h 6 m	Show
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points over West Virginia. The Mountaineers have covered five straight. But we'll fade them today, as Kansas is 55-28 ATS when favored by 3.5 to 13.5 points vs. foes on a 3-game (or better) ATS win streak. Take the Jayhawks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
03-09-23	Providence +7.5 v. Connecticut	Top	66-73	Win	100	4 h 53 m	Show
At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Providence Friars + the points over Connecticut. The Friars come into this game off back to back upset losses to Xavier and Seton Hall. We'll look for Ed Cooley's men to bounce back this afternoon, as they're 25-11 ATS as an underdog, including 10-0 ATS when playing with revenge. Take Providence. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
03-09-23	Pittsburgh v. Duke -5.5	Top	69-96	Win	100	3 h 21 m	Show
At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils minus the points over Pitt. The Blue Devils upset North Carolina last Saturday, 62-57. We'll lay the points with Duke this afternoon, as it's 23-12 ATS in the post-season off an ATS win. And it's also 7-3 ATS in the ACC Tourney when not favored by 9+ points. Take the Blue Devils.
03-09-23	Mississippi State -5 v. Florida	Top	69-68	Loss	-108	2 h 49 m	Show
At 1 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi St minus the points over Florida. The Bulldogs were edged by 2 points at home by Florida in the season's lone meeting. We'll take the revenge-minded Bulldogs this afternoon, as they're 50-22 ATS when playing with revenge from an upset loss, including 14-1 ATS when favored by less than 5 points. Take Miss State
03-09-23	Iowa State v. Baylor -4.5	Top	78-72	Loss	-105	1 h 20 m	Show
At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Baylor Bears minus the points over Iowa St. This is a rematch of a game played five days ago, won by the Cyclones, 73-58. We'll take Baylor today, as it's 14-5 ATS when it lost the previous meeting by double-digits. Lay the points.
03-08-23	Northern Arizona v. Montana State -6.5	Top	78-85	Win	100	14 h 45 m	Show
At 11:30 pm, our selection is on the Montana St. Bobcats minus the points over Northern Arizona. The Lumberjacks come into this championship game off back to back upset wins over Eastern Washington and Montana. We'll take the Bobcats to end Northern Arizona's streak, as Montana St. has won each of the last 9 meetings vs. the Lumberjacks. Additionally, favorites have covered 72% in the Big Sky tournament the past 10 years vs. foes off an upset win. Take Montana St. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
03-08-23	Texas Southern +2.5 v. Alcorn State	Top	66-62	Win	100	12 h 46 m	Show
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas Southern Tigers + the points over Alcorn St. The Braves are 3-10-2 ATS their last 15 Southwestern Athletic Conference tourney games, while the Tigers are 18-3-2 ATS their last 23 post-season contests. Take Texas Southern.
03-08-23	Texas-San Antonio v. Rice -6.5	Top	71-72	Loss	-115	12 h 42 m	Show
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Rice Owls minus the points over Texas-San Antonio. The Owls come into this game on a 4-game SU/ATS losing streak, and will seek to avenge a 5-point loss to the Roadrunners last month. We'll take Rice, as Conference USA teams have cashed 70.8% in the tournament when playing with revenge, if they were off back to back SU/ATS losses. Lay the points with Rice. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
03-08-23	Georgetown +11.5 v. Villanova	Top	48-80	Loss	-110	10 h 16 m	Show
At 8 pm, our selection is on the Georgetown Hoyas + the points over Villanova. The Hoyas surrendered 99 points to Creighton in their final regular season game, and lost by 40 points, 99-59. We'll take Patrick Ewing's men to bounce back, as Big East teams have gone 26-8 ATS off a loss by 30+ points. Take Georgetown.
03-08-23	La Salle v. Duquesne -6.5	Top	81-70	Loss	-110	10 h 44 m	Show
At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Duquesne Dukes minus the points over La Salle. Duquesne was "Pk'em" in its last regular season game, at Fordham, and lost, 87-60, so it will look to bounce back this evening vs. La Salle. Meanwhile, the Explorers pulled off an upset last night, 73-56, vs. Rhode Island. We'll take Duquesne tonight, as Atlantic 10 tourney favorites have gone 9-1 ATS off a loss as a PK/favorite, if they were playing an opponent off an upset win. Take Duquesne minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie
03-08-23	Ole Miss -6 v. South Carolina	Top	67-61	Push	0	9 h 17 m	Show
At 7:00 pm, our selection is on the Ole Miss Rebels minus the points over South Carolina. The Rebels lost, 64-61, in the previous meeting. And they're also off back to back losses to Texas A&M and Missouri to end their regular season. We'll take Mississippi to avenge that 3-point loss to the Gamecocks, as revenge-minded favorites off back to back losses have gone 9-1 ATS in the SEC Tournament. Take Ole Miss.
03-08-23	UTEP v. Western Kentucky -1	Top	67-73	Win	100	9 h 48 m	Show
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers over Texas-El Paso. The Hilltoppers managed to score just 33 points in their final regular season game. We'll take Western Kentucky to bounce back tonight, as NCAA teams have covered 63.8% since 1990 after scoring less than 35 points in their previous game, provided they weren't getting 10+ points in their current game. Take the Hilltoppers.
03-07-23	Weber State v. Montana State -5	Top	58-60	Loss	-110	17 h 3 m	Show
At 11 pm, our selection is on the Montana St. Bobcats minus the points over Weber St. The Bobcats were upset, 73-63, as a 4-point favorite in the previous meeting by the Wildcats. We'll lay the points tonight, as revenge-minded favorites of -5+ points have covered 59% in the post-season since 1990 if they were upset by 10+ points as a 4-point (or greater) favorite in the previous meeting. Take Montana St. Good luck as always...Al McMordie.
03-07-23	North Dakota State v. Oral Roberts -10.5	Top	58-92	Win	100	15 h 10 m	Show
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Oral Roberts Golden Eagles minus the points over North Dakota St. The Bison lost the 2 regular season meetings vs. the Golden Eagles. But that was no different than any Summit League team, as Oral Roberts was undefeated in league play this season. Overall, the Golden Eagles have won 16 straight games. We'll lay the points tonight, as ORU is 17-8 ATS as a favorite of less than 12 points, while North Dakota St. is 10-17 ATS as an underdog of less than 12 points. Take the Golden Eagles. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
03-07-23	CS-Northridge v. CS Bakersfield -1.5	Top	47-51	Win	100	15 h 5 m	Show
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners minus the points over Cal State Northridge. The Roadrunners have covered 7 of their last 11 games, including its final regular season game this past Saturday, while Northridge is 5-6 ATS its last 11. Even worse: the Matadors are a horrid 5-23 ATS their last 28 Big West conference games when installed as an underdog of less than 13 points, including 0-12 ATS vs. a foe off a point spread win. With Bakersfield in off an ATS win at Cal Irvine on Saturday, we'll lay the points with the Roadrunners on Tuesday night. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
03-07-23	New Orleans v. Northwestern State -7.5	Top	70-74	Loss	-110	14 h 31 m	Show
At 9 pm, our selection is on the Northwestern St. Demons minus the points over New Orleans. The Privateers upset SE Louisiana, 82-78, as a 5.5-point underdog last night. New Orleans is an underdog again tonight, and we'll fade New Orleans, as Southland Conference tourney underdogs have covered just 35.7% off an upset win. Take Northwestern St.
03-07-23	Fairleigh Dickinson v. Merrimack -3.5	Top	66-67	Loss	-110	13 h 6 m	Show
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Merrimack Warriors minus the points over Fairleigh-Dickinson. We played on FDU in its last game, and were rewarded with a 20-point blowout win over St. Francis (PA). But that game was in Hackensack, NJ; tonight's game is in North Andover, MA. And FDU has won just once in its last five meetings at Merrimack (2-3 ATS), with its average margin of victory -6.4 ppg. Admittedly, the Knights won both regular season meetings this year. But double-revenging favorites have cashed 63% in the tourneys since 1990 vs. foes off a win by 14+ points. Take Merrimack. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
03-07-23	NC-Wilmington v. College of Charleston -9	Top	58-63	Loss	-110	13 h 4 m	Show
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Charleston College Cougars minus the points over NC Wilmington. We played on the Seahawks last night as our Colonial Athletic Ass'n Tourney Game of the Year, and were rewarded with an outright win over #1-seeded Hofstra. But off that upset win, we'll fade Wilmington tonight, as single-digit underdogs have gone 13-30 ATS in the Colonial Athletic tourney off an upset win. Take Charleston minus the points.
03-07-23	Notre Dame +7.5 v. Virginia Tech	Top	64-67	Win	100	13 h 3 m	Show
At 7 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish + the points over Virginia Tech. The Hokies come into this ACC tourney off a blowout win, 82-60, over Florida St. Meanwhile, the Irish were blown out, 87-64, by Clemson, on Saturday. We'll grab the points with Notre Dame, as ACC teams off a loss by 15+ points have covered 66% in the post-season since 1990 vs. foes off a win by 15+ points. Take Notre Dame.
03-07-23	McNeese State v. Texas A&M Corpus Christi -9	Top	63-80	Win	100	11 h 2 m	Show
At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas A&M Corpus Christi Islanders minus the points over McNeese St. The Cowboys upset Nicholls St., 77-71, last night. And that was McNeese's 2nd straight upset win. Unfortunately, the Cowboys now have to take on the #1-seeded Islanders tonight. And Corpus Christi already defeated McNeese twice in the regular season. In the Conference Tourneys, since 1992, double-revenge-minded teams off back to back upset wins have covered just 39% vs. #1-seeded foes since 1992. Take Corpus Christi.
03-07-23	Abilene Christian -1.5 v. California Baptist	Top	62-69	Loss	-115	3 h 43 m	Show
At 3 pm, our selection is on the Abilene Christian Wildcats minus the points over California Baptist. The Wildcats have dropped their last 5 games -- both SU and ATS. Indeed, they haven't won since facing this same Cal Baptist squad back on February 4. Abilene won that game in blowout fashion, 87-71, as a 4.5-point road underdog. And they also won the only meeting last season, 77-68, as an 8-point home favorite. The tariff is lower here this afternoon, and I think they'll cover the shorter number. Abilene is a solid 31-14 ATS as a favorite of 14 or less points, including 5-1 ATS when the line is 2 points or less. Meanwhile, the Lancers are 2-9 ATS their last 11 when the point spread was 3 points or less. And they're 4-10 ATS their last 14 when playing with revenge. Take Abilene Christian minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
03-06-23	Cleveland State -2.5 v. Wisc-Milwaukee	Top	93-80	Win	100	12 h 26 m	Show
At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland St. Vikings minus the points over Wisconsin-Milwaukee. The Panthers were 15-3 SU and 9-5-1 ATS at home this season, and they covered the spread by 5.1 ppg in those lined home games. But away from home, the Panthers were 6-7 SU/ATS, and failed to cover the spread by 1.46 ppg. And as underdogs of less than 5 points, they were 0-3 SU/ATS away from home, and lost by an average of 16.3 ppg. Take the Vikings minus the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
03-06-23	BYU v. St. Mary's -7	Top	69-76	Push	0	12 h 57 m	Show
At 9 pm, our selection is on the St Mary's Gaels minus the points over BYU. The Cougars are a dreadful 16-42 ATS as an underdog at home, or on neutral courts. That doesn't bode well for BYU tonight. Nor does the fact that West Coast Conference tourney favorites of less than 13 points have gone 87-55 ATS. Take St. Mary's minus the points.

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