Sports Picks & Predictions

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Winthrop Eagles minus the points over High Point.  The Panthers upset the Eagles in the teams' lone meeting this past regular season.  We'll lay the points with Winthrop, as the Eagles are 18-7 ATS when playing with revenge.  And Southern Conference Tournament favorites are 26-16-1 ATS when playing with revenge.  Lay the points.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the The Citadel + the points over East Tennessee State.  The Bulldogs were blown out by 35 points last Saturday by Furman.  This afternoon, they'll look to bounce back from that defeat, and they will face a Buccaneers team which defeated them by 10 points on Feb. 19.  We'll grab the points as The Citadel is 8-0 ATS its last eight (and 19-7 ATS its last 28) as an underdog of 14 (or less) points away from home off a loss by 14+ points.  Take the Bulldogs + the points.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Stanford Cardinal + the points over Arizona.  Stanford comes into tonight's game off back to back double-digt blowout losses.  And the Cardinal were favored in each of those two games.  We'll grab the points tonight, as NCAA double-digit dogs are a sensational 71% on the conference road, if they were off back to back double-digit upset losses, and their foe was off a SU win.  Take Stanford.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Pacific/Loyola Marymount game.  The previous meeting of these teams went 'over' the total by 31 points, which has led the oddsmakers to inflate the number of this Total.  We'll take advantage and look for a relatively-low scoring game tonight, as post-season games have gone 'under' 55% when the previous meeting went 'over' by 25+ points.  Even better:  the UNDER falls into a 76% Totals system of mine.  Take the UNDER. 

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland State Vikings minus the points over Robert Morris.  The Colonials shocked Youngstown, 77-73, as a 7.5-point underdog on Monday.  But Robert Morris is a wallet-breaking 1-9 ATS off a SU win, and 0-6 ATS off an upset win.  Take Cleveland State minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points over TCU.  This is the 2nd of back to back games between these Big 12 Conference rivals.  Jamie Dixon's men won the first meeting -- in Forth Worth -- on Tuesday, 74-64, as a 6-point home dog.  We'll lay the points tonight with Kansas, as it's 38-18 ATS when playing with revenge from an upset loss.  Take Kansas.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Northern Kentucky Norse minus the points over Detroit.  We played on the Titans on Tuesday, and were rewarded with a 17-point win over Green Bay.  But Detroit is an awful 20-36 ATS on the road off a double-digit home win.  The Norse did lose both regular season meetings vs. Detroit.  But Northern Kentucky is a super 17-6 ATS when playing with revenge.  Take Northern Kentucky.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Navy Midshipmen minus the points over American.  Navy swept the season series vs. American, and is 24-13 ATS as a favorite the past two seasons.  It's true that American ended the regular season with back to back wins.  But it's a horrid 0-6 ATS off back to back ATS wins.  Take Navy.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Little Rock Trojans + the points over South Alabama.  The Trojans were blown out, 77-46, by the Jaguars earlier this season, and are 8-18 on the season.  We'll take the points with Little Rock, as .500 (or worse) teams have cashed 62.3% in the post season if they were an underdog of +5 (or more) points, and playing with revenge from a 30-point (or worse) defeat.  Take Little Rock + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Campbell Fighting Camels minus the points over Presbyterian.  The Blue Hose upset Campbell when these teams last met four weeks ago.  We'll lay the points with Campbell, as revenge-minded favorites have cashed 72% in the Big South Tournament if they lost all of the meetings in the regular season vs. their opponent.  Take Campbell.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Long Island Sharks minus the points over Sacred Heart.  The Pioneers enter the tourney on a 2-game SU/ATS win streak.  Not to be outdone, Long Island comes into this Northeast Conference game on a 6-game win streak.  It's 11-1 SU at home, and 7-4 ATS.  Sacred Heart, meanwhile, is an awful 2-15 ATS on the road off a SU win.  Take the Sharks minus the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte 49ers + the points over Middle Tennessee.  Nick McDevitt's Blue Raiders have won 8 straight (and are 7-0 ATS their last seven).  But we'll look for this hot streak to come to a halt tonight, as Middle Tenn falls into a negative 119-177 ATS system of mine which plays against certain teams on win streaks.  Moreover, since 1990, Conference USA home underdogs, with a .500 (or better) conference W/L record, have cashed 60% in conference games off a SU/ATS loss.  Take Charlotte + the points.

At 11:30 am (note the early start time), our selection is on the NC A&T Aggies + the points over Radford.  These two teams met this past Saturday in Greensboro, and the Highlanders upset the Aggies, 62-53.  Overall, the Aggies are off back to back SU/ATS losses, and have also dropped 4 straight games entering this Big South Tournament, while the Highlanders are off back to back ATS wins.  We'll take NC A&T + the points, as teams off 4 SU and 2 ATS losses have covered 57% of tourney games since 1990 vs. foes not off an ATS loss.  Additionally, the Highlanders are 0-7 off a road upset win, while the Aggies are 27-11 ATS when playing with revenge.  Take the Aggies + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Cal State Northridge Matadors + the points over UCSB.  Cal Santa Barbara is on a 3-game SU/ATS winning streak, while the Matadors are 0-4 SU/ATS their last four.  We'll grab the double-digits with Northridge, as UCSB has covered just 14 of 48 at home off 3+ wins.  Additionally, Big West road teams have gone 30-11 ATS off 3 ATS losses when playing a conference foe off back to back ATS wins.  Take the Matadors.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats + the points over Houston.  The Cougars blew out Cincy earlier this season by 22 points.  We'll grab the points with the Bearcats in this rematch, as they've covered 67% since 1990 when playing with revenge, if they were off a SU loss in their previous game, while their opponent was off a SU win.  Take Cincinnati.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines minus the points over Michigan State.  The Wolves come into this game off an 8-point loss to Illinois, while the Spartans upset the Boilermakers in East Lansing, on Saturday.  But Michigan is a solid 80-46-2 ATS off a loss.  And the Spartans are 3-13 ATS off a conference home win.  Take the Wolverines.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the IUPUI Jaguars + the points over Oakland.  IUPUI has been installed as a massive road underdog in the opening round of the Horizon League tournament.  And that's to be expected, given IUPUI's 3-25 record (9-17 ATS), compared to that of Oakland (19-11 SU, 14-14 ATS).  We'll grab the points, as road underdogs of more than 18 points have gone 17-2 ATS in the post-season vs. foes that didn't have a losing ATS record.  And Oakland is a poor 20-38 ATS as a favorite of more than 4 points.  Take IUPUI.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on Wisconsin-Milwaukee + the points over Illinois-Chicago.  The Panthers were blown out, 71-58, by the Flames here, on Saturday.  We'll take Milwaukee in this rematch, as it's 27-9 ATS as a revenge-minded road underdog vs. a foe off an ATS win.  Take the Panthers + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Mercy Titans minus the points over Wisconsin-Green Bay.  Detroit suffered its first home loss of the season on Saturday, when it fell by 3 points to Fort Wayne.  Detroit is 14-9 ATS at home off a SU loss, while Green Bay is 5-12-1 ATS away from home as an underdog vs. a foe off a SU loss.  Take Detroit.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Holy Cross Crusaders minus the points over American.  The Eagles upset Holy Cross here, in Worcester, on Valentine's Day, 60-54.  We'll lay the points in this rematch, as Holy Cross is 12-4 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  Take the Crusaders.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Lafayette Leopards minus the points over Bucknell.  The Bison upset Boston U., 89-78, on Saturday (and also defeated Lafayette, 92-89, in February).  But Bucknell is a poor 5-10 ATS off an upset win.  Meanwhile, the Leopards were upset by Lehigh, 78-58.  However, they're 4-0 ATS off a loss by more than 16 points, and 19-13 ATS when playing with revenge.  Take Lafayette minus the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on New Jersey Tech + the points over Stony Brook.  The Highlanders are on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak, while the Seawolves are off a SU/ATS home win over Albany last Saturday.  Unfortunately for Stony Brook, it's 2-11 ATS off a home conference win.  And, notwithstanding its last victory, it's still just covered eight of 26 at home vs. conference foes.  The Highlanders' 3-game SU/ATS losing streak has triggered a very good 705-494 ATS system of mine, so we'll grab the points with New Jersey Tech.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys + the points over San Diego State.  The Cowboys are 23-5 on the season, including 13-0 straight-up (and 6-4-2 ATS) at home, and 10-5 SU/ATS away from home.  Tonight, notwithstanding their perfect home record, the Cowboys are a home underdog.  But home teams with a 13-0 (or better) home record have cashed 56% ATS at home over the past 32 years, when not favored by 5+ points (including 8-1 ATS this season).  Indeed, this past Saturday, we saw Tennessee (14-0 at home) defeat Auburn, St Mary's (15-0 at home) upset #1 Gonzaga, and Middle Tennessee (14-0 at home) blow out Western Kentucky.  Grab the points with Wyoming.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Howard Bison minus the points over South Carolina State.  The Bulldogs upset the Bison four weeks ago, 58-55, as a 7-point home underdog.  So, we'll lay the points with the revenge-minded Bison, as they fall into a 169-92 ATS revenge system of mine.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Houston Cougars minus the points over SMU.  Kelvin Sampson's men have lost just twice in American Athletic Conference play this season:  to Memphis and SMU.  So, they'll get their first chance to avenge a conference defeat today, at home, in the friendly confines of the Fertitta Center.  Houston is a powerful 34-17-3 ATS in conference games when playing with revenge, including 23-7 ATS off a point spread win.  And it's 18-9 ATS when playing with revenge from an upset loss.  Even better:  in regular season match-ups between .735 (or better) teams, the revenger has covered 58% since 1990 when priced as a PK/Favorite at home or on neutral courts.  We'll lay the points with Houston this afternoon.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Utah State Aggies minus the points over Colorado State.  Utah State blew out New Mexico, 81-56, here at home, on Tuesday.  And they'll welcome the 22-4 Rams tonight for their final home game of the season.  The Aggies have always had a strong home court, and they're 27-4 in their final home game of the season since 1991.  Even better:  Utah State has cashed 60% since 1994 at home vs. Conference foes with a winning SU/ATS record.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the St Mary's Gaels + the points over Gonzaga.  The Gaels have yet to taste defeat at home this season, as they're 15-0.  And home teams with a strong home court, that have won at least 35 of their last 40 home games (which St. Mary's has), are 61.2% ATS as home dogs of +5 or more points, vs. conference foes off a SU win since 1990.  Take the Gaels.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Colorado Buffaloes + the points over Arizona.  The Buffaloes had their five-game win streak snapped on Thursday, when they suffered an upset loss at the hands of Arizona State.  We'll take the Buffs to bounce back tonight, as Colorado is a solid 51-30 ATS at home when not favored by 17+ points.  Take the Buffaloes as a home underdog.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Lamar Cardinals + the points over Tarleton St.  Yes, Lamar is 2-24 on the season.  But really bad teams have been solid bets on the road over the years late in the season.  Indeed, at Game 21 forward, teams that have won less than 10% of their games have covered 61.2 percent on the road, dating back to 1999.  Take Lamar + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles + the points over Rice.  The Owls have not been a reliable home favorite of -12 (or more) points, as they've covered just 31% over the last 32 seasons in this role.  That doesn't bode well for the home team today.  Moreover, Southern Miss falls into a 704-494 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off SU/ATS losses..  Take the Golden Eagles + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights minus the points over Wisconsin.  The Badgers are an awful 26-52 ATS on the Big 10 Conference road when they've been a regular season underdog of less than 13 points, and their foe's ATS win percentage was .563 (or less).  Take Rutgers minus the points.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Southeast Missouri State Redhawks + the points over Murray State.  The Racers had their most impressive win of the season when they blew out a strong Belmont team, 76-43, last Saturday.  But Murray is a poor 4-15 ATS on the road off a 15+ point win.  Take the Redhawks + the points.

At 4:45 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin-Green Bay Phoenix minus the points over IUPUI.  The Jaguars are 3-24 and come into this game off a blowout home loss to Milwaukee.  IUPUI is a woeful 8-17 ATS its last 25 as a home dog.  Take Green Bay minus the points.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Florida State Seminoles + the points over Virginia.  The Seminoles come into this game off back to back blowout losses (of 18 and 16 points).  But FSU is 10-1 ATS off back to back losses by 15+ points.  Grab the points with Florida State.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Lipscomb Bisons minus the points over Central Arkansas.  The Bears upset Lipscomb in January, 93-88, as a 6-point home dog.  We'll take the Bisons this afternoon to avenge that defeat, as they're 11-3 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  And they also fall into a 166-92 ATS revenge system of mine.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Fairleigh Dickinson Knights + the points over Long Island.  The Knights narrowly lost to the Sharks, 79-75, at home back in January.  We'll grab the double-digits in this rematch, as Fairleigh Dickinson falls into a super 90-39 ATS system of mine which plays on certain big underdogs in conference games. Even better:  the Knights upset Wagner, 88-86, as a 13.5-point home dog in their last game.  And underdogs off upset home wins, as an underdog of 13+ points, have covered 60.3% since 1990.  Take the Knights + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the North Alabama Lions + the points over Jacksonville State.  The Gamecocks come into this game on a 3-game SU/ATS win streak while the Lions have lost their last 7 (1-6 ATS).  But we'll grab the points with North Alabama, as it falls into a super 439-242 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off SU/ATS losses.  Meanwhile, the Gamecocks are a horrid 4-21 ATS as a double-digit favorite vs. opponents not off a SU/ATS win.  Take North Alabama + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Mercy Titans minus the points over Fort Wayne.  Detroit has gone 8-0 SU at home this season, and this will be its final regular season home game.  One of the things I like to do is play on home teams in their final regular season home game, if they're undefeated at home, and matched-up against a non-losing foe.  And if they're playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season (which Detroit is), then even better.  Lay the points with the Titans.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Maine Black Bears + the points over Maryland-Baltimore Country.  The Retrievers annihilated the Black Bears when the two teams met in Maryland earlier this season.  UMBC won that game by a whopping 42 points.  But that massive defeat sets up our play today, as teams playing with revenge from a 40-point (or worse) setback have gone 97-67 ATS.  Take Maine + the points.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Ohio Bobcats minus the points over Akron.  The Zips come into this game off back to back SU/ATS wins over Eastern Michigan and Bowling Green.  But they're a wallet-breaking 18-34 ATS off back to back wins, including 0-6 ATS their last six.  This is the final home game of the season for Ohio, and it currently sports a super 14-1 record at the Convocation Center.  The Bobcats are also 29-4 SU their last 33, and 20-12 ATS their last 32 lined games.  And they're a spectacular 17-1 ATS in their final home game of the season when playing an opponent off a SU/ATS win.  Take Ohio minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Belmont Bruins + the points over Murray State.  This is a great match-up between the 23-5 Bruins and 26-2 Racers.  Earlier this year, the Racers went into Belmont and shocked the Bruins, 82-60, as a 6-point road underdog.  But Belmont has bounced back from that loss, and has won 11 of 12, including its last 10 in a row.  The Bruins are 12-1 ATS as an underdog of 2+ points.  Take the Bruins.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Morehead State Eagles minus the points over Eastern Illinois.  The Eagles were stunned, 92-84, at home by Southeast Missouri on Saturday, as a double-digit home favorite.  We'll lay the points with Morehead tonight, as I love it to bounce back.  And especially since it's 18-7 ATS on the road off an upset conference defeat.  Lay the points.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Oral Roberts Eagles + the points over South Dakota State.  The Jackrabbits are 16-0 in Summit League play, but Oral Roberts was competitive in defeat at South Dakota State back in December, as they lost by just six, as a 9-point road underdog.  We'll take ORU + the points, as teams that are 14-0 (or better) in conference play have covered just 30% of the time when they weren't laying 6+ points.  Take the Eagles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles + the points over North Texas.  The Golden Eagles have dropped 10 straight, while the Mean Green have won 12 in a row.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the red-hot North Texas squad, but consider that teams off a SU/ATS loss, and 10 losses in a row, overall, have covered 76.6% over the last 32 years vs. foes off 6+ wins.  This angle has already had four plays this season, and is 3-1 ATS.  And it's 7-1 ATS the last three seasons.  Take Southern Miss + the points.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Lamar Cardinals + the points over Abilene Christian.  Lamar is 2-23 this season, but 0-23 vs. Division 1 foes.  Obviously, they've been non-competitive.  But one of the few games where they were ultra-competitive in defeat was against these Wildcats, on January 29.  They were an 11.5-point home dog, but lost by just three, 85-82.  That narrow loss will serve Lamar in good stead tonight, and give them confidence.  We'll grab the big number tonight with the Cardinals.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Idaho State Bengals + the points over Northern Arizona.  The Lumberjacks have burned money as a home favorite, as they've covered just 11 of their last 40, including just 4 of 26 vs. foes off a SU loss.  Take Idaho State + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over Maryland.  The Hoosiers are on a 5-game SU/ATS losing streak, while Maryland won + covered 2 straight.  We'll lay the points with the ice cold Hoosiers, as they fall into a 59.6% ATS system of mine which plays on certain .555 (or better) favorites of -6 (or more) points off 4 SU/ATS losses.  The Terps are a poor 8-18 ATS off a point spread win.  Lay the points with Indiana.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Oakland Golden Grizzlies minus the points over Fort Wayne.  The Mastodons are on a 7-game win streak.  But this hot streak has placed Fort Wayne into a negative 50-98 ATS system of mine.  Meanwhile, Oakland comes into this game off back to back upset losses, but now falls into a 152-86 system that plays on certain teams off 2+ upset.  Lay the points with the Grizzlies.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Robert Morris Colonials + the points over Northern Kentucky.  The Norse have covered just 5 of their last 20 as home favorites, including 0-7 when laying more than 7 points.  That doesn't bode well for Darrin Horn's men tonight.  Moreover, the Colonials are 6-1 ATS their last seven as underdogs off back to back losses.  Grab the points with Robert Morris.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Northeastern Huskies minus the points over William & Mary.  On New Year's Eve, the Tribe upset the Huskies, 71-70, as a double-digit underdog.  Take Northeastern in this revenge match, as William & Mary is a wallet-breaking 8-15 ATS off a loss, and 22-44 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe.  Lay the points.

At 6 pm (note the early start time), our selection is on the Army Black Knights minus the points over Bucknell.  The Bison come into this game off a 92-89 win over Lafayette.  But Bucknell's a poor 0-6 ATS after scoring 85+ points.  Meanwhile, Army will play its final home game of the season this evening, and look to snap a 6-game losing streak in the process.  It lost 83-67 at American on Saturday, which dropped its season record to 13-15, but is 15-5 ATS off a road defeat.  Army's been installed as a home favorite, and already defeated the 7-21 Bison by 7 points in Lewisburg back in January.  We'll lay the points with the Black Knights, as losing NCAA teams have gone 27-9 ATS at home when favored, and playing their final home game of the season off 5+ losses.  Additionally, the Black Knights are 7-2 SU when playing their final home game of the season, while Bucknell's 6-19 SU when facing a foe playing its final home game.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma Sooners + the points over Texas Tech.  These two teams met just 13 days ago, and Oklahoma routed the Red Raiders, 70-55, in Norman.  Since that game, however, the Sooners have dropped three straight, while Texas Tech has won three in a row.  Unfortunately for Texas Tech, it's a poor 3-15 ATS off three straight wins.  Meanwhile, Oklahoma is 13-0 ATS as an underdog of +2 (or more) points vs. foes off 3+ wins.  Take the Sooners.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers + the points over Northwestern.  The Wildcats are 12-13 on the season, and 5-11 in Big 10 Conference play.  And they're favored by double-digits against a foe they already soundly defeated, 87-63, less than three weeks ago.  The motivation will be on the Nebraska side this evening.  So, we'll happily take the double-digits against a Northwestern club which is now 0-12 ATS its last 12 regular season Big 10 games as a favorite of more than 4 points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs + the points over Texas A/M.  The Bulldogs were blown out, 85-68, on Saturday by Ole Miss.  But SEC Conference double-digit dogs off losses by 12+ points have gone 144-85 ATS in conference play, including 69-32 ATS off back to back SU/ATS losses.  And the Aggies are a horrid 5-17 ATS as favorites of -9 (or more) points.  It's true that A&M bested the Bulldogs in Athens, in early January.  But the Bulldogs are 13-0 ATS in the regular season as underdogs of more than 7 points when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  Take Georgia + the points.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Redhawks over New Mexico State.  Both teams enter this game with 12-2 records in WAC Conference play, so the winner will move to the top of the Conference standings.  Seattle is 16-1 SU and 10-4-1 ATS at home this season, and it's 20-9-1 ATS its last 30 home games.  Even better:  WAC Conference home underdogs (or PK) have gone 35-14 ATS in matchups between winning conference foes, if both teams entered the game off a SU win.  Take Seattle.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Texas El Paso Miners + the points over Middle Tennessee St.  The Blue Raiders return home off back to back road wins over Florida International and Florida Atlantic -- the latter win of the upset variety.  And MTSU has covered the spread in its last four games, overall.  But this hot streak has placed the Blue Raiders into several negative systems of mine, including ones with 24-89, 47-114 and 101-195 ATS records.  UTEP is also playing very good basketball, with eight wins in its last 10 games (7-3 ATS), including 4-0 ATS its last four on the road.  The Miners blew out Southern Miss, 84-70, on Saturday, and are 13-7 ATS off a double-digit win.  Meanwhile, the Blue Raiders have covered just 10 of 30 vs. foes off a double-digit win.  Grab the points with UTEP.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Loyola-Maryland Greyhounds minus the points over Lehigh.  The Greyhounds will be playing their final home game of the season tonight, and are currently tied for 5th place in the tightly-packed Patriot League standings.  With a difficult road game against 2nd place Navy on deck, the Greyhounds know they need to win today's game to stay ahead of Army and Holy Cross in the race for a top-6 seed, and a bye into the quarterfinals.  It's true that the Mountain Hawks come into this game off an impressive, 86-77 win over Bucknell.  But Lehigh's top two offensive performances this season were both against Bucknell, as they also scored 97 vs. the Bison back on January 13, so they clearly match up well vs. that opponent.  The bad news for Lehigh, here, is that it's a horrid 0-13 SU/ATS after scoring 80+ points in its previous game.  Lay the points with Loyola Maryland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Cal Santa Barbara Gauchos minus the points over Long Beach State.  The Beach defeated the Gauchos earlier this season.  But Big West conference teams on 3-game SU/ATS (or better) win streaks are an ugly 29% since 1990 when facing revenge-minded foes they defeated earlier in the season, if they weren't favored by 3+ points in the current game, including 0-9 SU and 0-8-1 ATS their last nine.  That doesn't bode well for Long Beach tonight.  Nor does the fact that UCSB is 22-12 ATS at home when playing with revenge and priced from -3 to -6.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Liberty Flames minus the points over Stetson.  Liberty looks to bounce back off its upset loss to North Florida, and will welcome the 11-15 Hatters to Lynchburg.  Liberty already smashed Stetson earlier this year, on the road in DeLand, as a 6.5-point road favorite.  Now, they're back home, where they've won 46 of 47 games since Feb 2, 2019 (and have covered 64%).  We'll lay the double-digits, as Liberty falls into several of my very best systems that play on certain teams off upset losses, including a 94-49 ATS angle, as well as a 60-20 ATS system.  This will be a blowout.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Prairie View A&M Panthers minus the points over Arkansas-Pine Bluff.  The Golden Lions have covered just 30 of 76 as an underdog, and are also 8-19 ATS their last 27 off back to back ATS wins.  With Pine Bluff in off back to back ATS wins over Alabama State and Alabama A&M, we'll fade them as a home underdog on Saturday.  Lay the points with Prairie View.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Kennesaw State Owls plus the points over Jacksonville.  The Dolphins enter this game on a 7-game ATS win streak, and are now 17-8 SU and 17-4 ATS.  But Jacksonville's hot streak has triggered several negative systems of mine, including one with a 101-194 ATS record since 1990.  Take Kennesaw + the points.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the UAB Blazers minus the points over North Texas.  This is a great Conference USA match-up between the 20-6 Blazers, and 19-4 Mean Green.  UAB already defeated North Texas, 69-63, in Denton.  And we'll look for UAB to sweep the season series this afternoon, as it's 15-1 straight-up at home this season, and has a relative home/away point spread differential of +7.44.  Even better:  dating back to Feb. 12, 2020, the Blazers are 33-3 SU at home, and 22-10 ATS.  Take UAB to blow out North Texas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Charleston College Cougars + the points over Towson.  The Cougars were upset here, at home, by James Madison two nights ago, which lowered their record to 14-11.  We'll look for Pat Kelsey's men to bounce back as a home dog, as the Cougars are 76-41 ATS when they're an underdog of +3 (or more) points, when they've owned a winning record.  Take the Cougars.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee State Tigers minus the points over Eastern Illinois.  The Panthers upset the Tigers last month, as an 8-point home dog.  But that upset has triggered a 164-92 ATS system of mine which plays on certain revenge-minded teams that were upset by their opponent earlier in the season.  Even better:  revengers have gone 17-7 ATS vs. Eastern Illinois.  Lay the points with Tennessee State.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Florida Atlantic Owls minus the points over Middle Tennessee St.  The Owls have dominated as a favorite, including 12-1 ATS their last 13 when favored by 1.5 (or more) points against a conference rival.  Lay the points with Florida Atlantic.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Northeastern Huskies + the points over Hofstra.  Northeastern has lost its last two games - both SU and ATS.  But Colonial Athletic Ass'n road underdogs of +9 (or more) points have gone 86-52 ATS if they were off back to back SU/ATS losses, including 38-15 ATS vs. foes off back to back wins.  Take Northeastern + the double-digits.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Iowa State Cyclones minus the points over Oklahoma.  After upsetting Texas Tech, 70-55, on Feb. 9, the Sooners have dropped back to back games to Kansas and Texas.  I don't look for things to get better this afternoon in Ames, as Oklahoma is a dreadful 13-36 ATS away from home off back to back losses.  Take Iowa State minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Central Connecticut State Blue Devils + the points over Wagner.  After scoring 91 points in a win over Fairleigh Dickinson, the Blue Devils have hit the offensive skids, and have managed to tally just 60, 50, and 61 points in their last three games.  But Central Connecticut State is 7-0 ATS its last seven (and 10-1 ATS its last 11) off 3 games where they failed to score 67+ points.  And the Blue Devils also fall into a 701-491 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Grab the double-digits with Central Connecticut State.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Cal State Northridge Matadors + the points over Long Beach State.  The Matadors come into tonight's game off back to back upset wins over Cal Poly SLO and Cal State Bakersfield.  The Matadors have been installed as a home underdog tonight, and we'll grab the points, as they fall into a 67.7% ATS 'momentum' system of mine which plays on certain teams off upset wins.  Additionally, Northridge is 17-4 ATS off an upset win, if it owned a losing SU/ATS record.  And it's 11-4 ATS when playing with same-season revenge.  Take Cal State Northridge + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Eastern Washington Eagles + the points over Montana State.  The Eagles come into this game off a 3-point win (as a double-digit favorite) vs. Idaho State this past Saturday.  And they play with revenge from a 69-65 loss to the Bobcats in January.  Eastern Washington is a fantastic 21-6-1 ATS off an ATS loss, including a perfect 8-0 ATS as an underdog.  And it's 18-6 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  It's true that the Bobcats are currently riding an 11-game win streak.  But they're also 3-5 ATS their last eight.  And they're a wallet-breaking 14-33-2 ATS off back to back conference wins, if matched up against a foe off an ATS loss.  Take Eastern Washington + the points.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Houston Cougars minus the points over Central Florida.  The Cougars have been one of the best -- and most consistent -- teams over the past two years.  They've gone 48-8 SU, and 34-21 ATS.  So, it was a bit of a surprise when the Cougars lost back to back games last week to SMU and Memphis -- the first time it dropped 2 straight games since the 2016-17 season.  Still, it's worth noting that Houston is a staggering 35-11 ATS off a point spread loss, including 11-0 ATS when favored by 13 or more points.  And it's 10-1 ATS off back to back ATS losses.  Take Houston minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Weber State Wildcats minus the points over Sacramento State.  It's not often that I will go against a team (like the Hornets) on an 0-9-1 ATS run, but I'll make an exception tonight, as Weber has lost its last three games -- each as a favorite.  And home teams off 3 upset defeats have cashed 64.9% vs. non-winning opposition.  Take Weber State to blow out the Hornets.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on Texas-San Antonio + the points over Southern Mississippi.  These two teams met in San Antonio last month, and the Golden Eagles upset the Roadrunners, 74-73.  But since that victory, the Golden Eagles have lost 10 straight games vs. division 1 foes.  The Roadrunners have also not been playing well, as they come into this game off 5 straight losses.  But they've covered the spread in their last two games, and in six of their last nine.  UTSA is also 17-7-1 ATS off back to back conference losses, including a perfect 4-0 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  Take Texas San Antonio + the points.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Oregon State Beavers + the points over Arizona.  These two teams have mirror opposite conference records, as the Wildcats are 12-1 in Pac-12 play, while Oregon St. is 1-12.  The Beavers lost by 25 at home to the Wildcats earlier this season, but should play a much closer game this evening.  We'll grab the points with Oregon State, as it's 21-7 ATS when playing with revenge from a home loss against a conference foe, including 10-1 ATS vs. .750 (or better) opponents.  Even better, over the last 32 seasons, Arizona's covered just 25% as a double-digit home favorite off a SU/ATS win vs. revenge-minded foes that owned a losing SU/ATS record.  Finally, Oregon State falls into 100-27, 437-240 and 779-584 ATS systems of mine.  Take the Beavers + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Florida Atlantic Owls + the points over North Texas.  The Mean Green have won 10 straight games, and have been installed as a small road favorite at Florida Atlantic.  I look for North Texas' win streak to be halted tonight, as the Owls have gone 10-0 SU and 8-0 ATS at home since December 1.  Meanwhile, the Mean Green have covered just six of 27 Conference road games when favored by less than 5 points.  And they fall into a negative 69-124 ATS system of mine which goes against certain road favorites with win percentages above .750.  Take Florida Atlantic.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Elon Phoenix + the points over Delaware.  Elon will welcome the Blue Hens to Alumni Gym tonight, as it will look to avenge a 3-point loss to Delaware last month.  It's true that Elon was blown out by 36 and 33 points in its last two games.  But those two blowout losses have triggered a great 110-48 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back blowout defeats.  Meanwhile, Delaware won by 21 on Monday vs. James Madison.  But the Blue Hens are a horrid 2-15 ATS as a favorite of 5 or less points off a 9-point (or greater) win.  Take Elon + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Drake Bulldogs minus the points over Evansville.  Last year, the Bulldogs were a point spread darling, as they opened the season on a 20-4 ATS run.  This year, it's been quite the opposite, as they're 6-17 ATS.  These two teams actually met earlier this season in a hastily-scheduled game (due to a COVID-19 cancellation by another opponent), so there was no point spread on the game -- a 60-59 victory by Drake.  We'll lay the points tonight, as the Bulldogs are 16-6-1 ATS as a favorite off a SU/ATS loss, when playing a revenge-minded opponent, including 9-0-1 ATS vs. foes with a .475 (or better) ATS win percentage.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Chicago State Cougars + the points over Stephen F. Austin.  These two teams met just six days ago, and the Lumberjacks won by 20, in Chicago.  But going into that game, the Cougars had gone 12-7 ATS over their previous 19 games.  Chicago State also lost its next game, 72-59, vs. Sam Houston, but is 7-0 ATS as an underdog of +13 (or more) points off back to back losses.  Meanwhile, SF Austin is a wallet-breaking 1-7 ATS as a home favorite of -12 (or more) points.  And it also falls into a negative 584-778 ATS system of mine.  Grab the points with the Cougars.

At 7 pm our selection is on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights + the points over Illinois.  This is a huge revenge game for the Knights, who were annihilated by Illinois, 86-51, in December.  But Rutgers wasn't playing very well to start the season, as it opened on a 2-8-1 ATS run.  Since then, however, the Knights have gone 9-4 ATS, including 4-0 ATS their last four games.  Among Rutgers' victims this season have been Purdue, Michigan, Iowa, Michigan State, Ohio State, and Wisconsin.  And at home, the Scarlet Knights have been dominant vs. .545 (or better) foes, and especially when the Knights weren't favored by more than three points.  In this situation, Rutgers is 17-1 ATS its last 18.  Take Rutgers + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Furman Paladins minus the points over Western Carolina.  The Paladins went 8-1 SU and 8-0-1 ATS in their nine games from January 5 to February 2.  Among their victims was this Western Carolina team, which they routed by 38 points.  But they then hit the skids with a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak.  I love Furman to bounce back tonight, as it's 56-3 SU and 47-12 ATS when favored by 6+ points against a .455 (or worse) opponent.  Lay the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats + the points over Memphis.  Penny Hardaway's men upset then-No. 6-ranked-Houston, 69-59, as a 9.5-point underdog, on Saturday.  And that upset win has triggered a negative 32-81 ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams off wins over top-level clubs.  Even worse for Memphis:  it's covered just 10 of 40 regular season games away from home, if it was off a win by more than 8 points away from home in its previous game.  Take the Bearcats + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Kent State Golden Flashes + the points over Toledo.  The Golden Flashes come into tonight's Mid-American Conference game off six straight wins, and five straight covers.  And Kent already defeated Toledo, 66-63, at home back on New Year's Day.  We'll ride red-hot Kent tonight, as it's 25-10 ATS its last 35 vs. the Rockets, including 12-2 ATS as an underdog (or PK).  Take the Golden Flashes.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:00 pm, our selection is on the Duquesne Dukes + the points over Davidson.  Bob McKillop's Wildcats have burned money all season long at home vs. Atlantic-10 Conference foes, as they're 1-10 ATS.  That doesn't bode well for Davidson tonight.  We'll grab the points with Duquesne, which will be looking to bounce back off its upset loss to Fordham on Saturday.  And the Dukes are 14-0-1 ATS as an underdog of +4 to +16.5 points vs. .440 (or better) foes, if the Dukes were off an upset loss.  Take Duquesne + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Iona Gaels minus the points over Monmouth.  The Gaels are on a 4-game ATS losing streak, and will look to bounce back off straight-up losses in their last two games -- at Niagara and Siena.  This afternoon, they'll welcome the revenge-minded Hawks to Hynes Athletics Center.  Iona already eked out a 1-point win over Monmouth earlier this season, and has an 11-game home win streak (7-4 ATS) dating back to last February.  Unfortunately for King Rice's men, the Hawks are a soft 17-24 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  And they're also 0-7 ATS as an underdog vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Meanwhile, Rick Pitino's teams have gone 17-9 ATS off 4 (or more) ATS losses, and 41-31 ATS off a straight-up road defeat.  Take Iona minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Oregon State Beavers + the points over Stanford.  The Cardinals are a wallet-breaking 8-27 ATS in the 2nd of back to back road games, while Oregon State has consistently delivered as a Pac-12 Conference underdog, as it's 28-16-1 ATS its last 45 in this role vs. conference foes.  Grab the points with the Beavers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Arizona State Sun Devils + the points over Washington State.  After upsetting UCLA, 87-84, as a double-digit underdog in overtime, the Sun Devils have dropped their last two games.  But this is a very good situation to back ASU, as it will be playing with revenge from a 51-29 defeat earlier this year.  And NCAA underdogs are 68.2% ATS when playing with same-season revenge from a game in which they scored less than 38 points.  Take the Sun Devils + the points.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Dixie State Trailblazers + the points over Grand Canyon.  The Antelopes pulled off a road upset win on Thursday at Utah Valley State, 79-69.  But that upset win has triggered a negative 32-78 ATS system of mine which goes against certain road teams off upset road wins.  We played on the Trailblazers on Thursday, and they covered for the seventh time in nine games, and we'll ride Dixie State once again tonight.  Take the Trailblazers + the points.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi Rebels + the points over Missouri.  Revenge situations don't get much better than this, as Ole Miss was upset by the Tigers, 78-53, as a 7.5-point home favorite, back on January 18.  Mississippi is a solid 63% ATS as an underdog since 1990 when playing with revenge from an upset home loss.  Take Ole Miss.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the St. Thomas Tommies + the points over N. Dakota St.  The Bison went into Western Illinois on Thursday, and left with an 84-81 victory -- their fourth straight win.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the red-hot Bison against the ice cold Tommies, who have dropped nine straight.  But we'll run the other way, as North Dakota St. has not covered any of its last nine (and has covered just 20 of its last 71) off a win, in which it scored 79+ points.  Take St. Thomas.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Liberty Flames minus the points over Jacksonville.  We played on Liberty last month in the first meeting between these two Atlantic Sun conference foes, and the Flames delivered an 88-49 victory, as an 8.5-point home favorite.  They're now a road favorite, and we'll lay the points once again, as the Flames fall into 195-108 and 159-76 ATS systems of mine that play on certain favorites off ATS losses.  Additionally, Liberty has won its last 10 games straight-up, when installed as a road favorite, and is 5-2 ATS its last seven on the road when favored by 7 (or less) points.  Take the Flames.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Little Rock Trojans + the points over Troy.  Troy has struggled at home vs. losing teams, with a win percentage between .333 and .499, as it's 3-24 ATS.  Meanwhile, Little Rock falls into one of my favorite systems, which is 435-240-13 ATS since 1990, which plays on certain teams off losses.  Take Little Rock + the points.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Morehead State Eagles + the points over Murray State.  Last month, we had a huge play on Murray State vs. Morehead, and were rewarded with an 11-point victory.  But we'll take the points with Morehead in this revenge match, as the Eagles are 6-0 ATS their last six as a home underdog, while Murray State is a poor 5-16 ATS on the road off a double-digit win, including 0-5 ATS as a favorite of 5 or less points.  And the Racers are 1-8 ATS their last nine road games vs. foes playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  Finally, Murray State falls into a negative 68-123 ATS system of mine which goes against certain .900 (or better) teams on the road against foes with worse conference records.  Take Morehead State + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Lamar Cardinals + the points over Seattle.  Lamar is 2-21, and was blown out by 22 at Cal Baptist on Thursday.  But that blowout loss has triggered a very good 181-108 ATS system of mine, and we'll grab the big number of points this afternoon vs. an 18-6 Redhawks team off 3 ATS defeats.  And Seattle's ATS losing streak doesn't bode well for it as a big favorite, as double-digit home favorites have covered just 39% since 1990 off 3 ATS defeats, if they owned a winning conference record, and their opponent had a losing conference record, and was off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Take Lamar.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Long Island Sharks + the points over Bryant.  The Bulldogs come into this game on a long, 9-game win streak.  But this will be a difficult venue for Bryant to extend the streak, as the Sharks are 11-1 SU their last 12 home games (7-4 ATS).  And the only defeat suffered by the Sharks here, at home, was in overtime to Wagner -- and the Seahawks needed to hit a buzzer-beating 3-pointer at the end of regulation just to get it into the extra session.  Long Island has won 7 of the last 10 meetings at home vs. Bryant, and the Sharks also fall into an 88-52 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams (like Bryant) on 8-game (or better) win streaks.  Take the Sharks + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Fairfield Stags minus the points over Niagara.  The Purple Eagles upset Iona on Monday for their 3rd straight win and cover.  But this win streak has triggered a negative 32-80 ATS system of mine, which fades certain teams off 3 SU/ATS wins vs. foes -- like Fairfield -- off 3 losses.  And while it's true that Niagara will be looking to avenge its loss to the Stags earlier this season, it's also true that Niagara is a horrid 0-10-1 ATS as an underdog of +6 or less points when playing with revenge from an upset loss earlier in the season.  Take Fairfield.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide minus the points over Arkansas.  We played on Arkansas earlier this week as our SEC Game of the Year, and were rewarded with an upset win over then-#1-ranked Auburn.  But off that upset, we will fade Arkansas, as it's 119-185 ATS away from home when not laying 3+ points.  And it's 6-30 ATS in the regular season off an upset win, if it's playing an opponent with a .536 (or worse) ATS win percentage.  Take Alabama.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At Midnight, our selection is on the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors minus the points over Long Beach State.  The Beach comes into tonight's game on a 9-game SU/ATS win streak.  Unfortunately, their long win streak has triggered several negative systems of mine that go against hot teams, that have records of 92-48 and 46-21 ATS.   Even better:  Big West home favorites have covered 58% since 1990 off back to back losses, if matched up against a foe off 3 SU/ATS wins.  Lay the points with Hawaii.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Redhawks minus the points over Rio Grande Valley.  Seattle was on a 9-game winning streak when it went on its 2-game road trip last week.  But it suffered losses at Grand Canyon, and also at New Mexico State.  The Redhawks were underdogs in each of those games.  However, tonight, they are back home, where they 28-7 SU their last 35.  Twenty-seven of those 35 games had point spreads on them, and Seattle is 9-1-1 ATS its last 11, and 19-7-1 ATS in the 27 lined games.  Lay the points with Seattle.