Sports Picks & Predictions

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Davidson Wildcats + the points over Rhode Island.  The Rams come into this game off back to back road losses at Wisconsin and at Western Kentucky (though they covered each in defeat to extend their ATS win streak to 4 games).  Meanwhile, Davidson was upset, 63-52, as a 10.5-point home favorite in its last game.  But off that upset loss, we'll back the Wildcats in this underdog role tonight, as teams off double-digit losses, as double-digit favorites have covered 64% since 1990 vs. foes off back to back defeats.  Additionally, Bob McKillop's men are 24-11-1 ATS off a SU loss when not getting more than 3 points in a conference game.  And they're 21-10-1 ATS in competitively-priced conference games with a point spread of 3 points or less.  Meanwhile, the Rams are a poor 5-9 ATS as a home favorite vs. conference foes off upset losses.  And Rhode Island also falls into a negative 13-45 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams off 4+ ATS wins.  Take Davidson + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Southern Utah Thunderbirds minus the points over Dixie State.  These two Beehive State schools are located less than an hour apart from each other, and should begin to play with more regularity now that Dixie State has made the jump to Division 1 this season.  Both teams have gotten off to good starts this season.  Dixie is 3-0 SU and 2-0 ATS.  The Trailblazers pulled off an upset win in their last game, as they won, 73-70, at Denver, as a 2-point underdog.  But that upset victory has triggered a negative 39% ATS system of mine which goes against certain .818 (or better) teams off upset wins, if they're on the road vs. opponents also off a win.  Like Dixie State, the Thunderbirds have yet to lose against the spread this season, as they're 4-0 ATS.  And they've also cashed 62% at home vs. foes off upset wins.  Even better:  .720 (or better) Big Sky conference teams have cashed 67% of non-conference games (and 71% of games vs. foes off a SU win).  Lay the points with Southern Utah.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils minus the points over Notre Dame.  In their last game, the Irish upset Kentucky, 64-63, as a 7.5-point road underdog.  Can Mike Brey's men make it two-in-a-row?  It's not likely, as Mike Krzyzewski's men fall into one of their best situations tonight.  The Blue Devils come into this game on an 0-4 ATS run, including an 83-68 blowout upset loss at the hands of Illinois eight days ago.  But the Dukies are a spectacular 26-8-1 ATS in the regular season when they were on a 3-game ATS losing streak, including 18-3 ATS as a favorite vs. ACC schools.  The Blue Devils are also 6-0 SU/ATS vs. the Irish since 2017, and 18-5 ATS off a double-digit upset defeat.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Oregon State Beavers minus the points over Texas San Antonio.  Wayne Tinkle's Beavers have gotten off to a rough start this season, as they've lost their last three games -- all of the upset variety.  That streak should end this afternoon, as home favorites of more than 6 points -- off exactly 3 losses -- have covered 65% since 2000 if they were favored in each of those three defeats.  Even better:  Texas San Antonio has covered just 10 of its last 33 away from home when installed as an underdog.  Take Oregon State to blow out the Roadrunners.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Davidson Wildcats minus the points over Charlotte.  In this Mecklenburg County battle, we'll side with the homestanding Wildcats against the 49ers.  Even though Davidson's just 20 miles from Charlotte, this still counts as a road game for the 49ers.  And it will be Charlotte's first road game of the season.  Unfortunately, the road has not been kind to Charlotte, as it has gone 13-45 SU and 18-39 ATS since January 2016.  But that's not the worst part.  When the 49ers have been installed as a dog of more than 8 points, they've gone 1-19 SU and 2-18 ATS on the road!  Lay the double-digits with Davidson.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Illinois Illini minus the points over Minnesota.  The Golden Gophers are unbeaten, at 6-0, as they enter Big 10 Conference play.  But the Gophers were double-digit favorites in five of those six games, so the reality is that they're really not been tested.  Here, they're installed as a mid-sized road underdog against a 4-2 Illinois team ranked #13 in the country.  Over the last 20 years, teams that were undefeated in their non-conference games prior to starting conference play have covered just 41% as underdogs of more than 5 points in their first conference game.  Even worse for Richard Pitino's troops:  they're a dreadful 12-34 ATS their last 46 Big 10 conference road games when installed as a single-digit underdog (or PK).  And they're 16-36 ATS their last 52 vs. Illinois (including 0-11 ATS when priced from +3.5 to +9.5 points).  Take the Illini minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Rice Owls minus the points over Houston Baptist.  The Owls were upset here, at home, 72-61, on Sunday by New Mexico.  But off that double-digit upset defeat, the Owls now fall into several of my better bounce-back systems, including one with a 58-21 ATS record.  It's true that these two teams met a week-and-a-half ago -- a game which Rice won by 22, 86-64, as a 9.5-point favorite.  And it's also true that I will often take teams to avenge such blowout losses.  But it's hard to make a case for the Huskies this afternoon.  After all, they've lost their three road games this season by 24, 23, and 25 points.  And the fact that they come into this game off a SU win, while Rice checks in off an upset loss is enough for me to ignore the revenge angle.  Finally, the Owls have cashed 63% as a home favorite of -7 (or more) points off an upset home loss.  Lay the points with Rice.

At 7 pm, on the CBS Sports Network, our selection is on the George Washington Colonials minus the points over William & Mary.  GW comes into this game off back to back upset losses at UMBC and at Delaware, while William & Mary also comes into tonight's game off a loss at Old Dominion.  We'll lay the points with the Colonials, as home teams have cashed 62.3% since 1990 in non-conference games after being upset in two straight games.  And George Washington is a super 32-16 ATS off a loss when priced from -6.5 to -16.5 points, if their opponent is also off a defeat.  Take George Washington minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Rice Owls minus the points over New Mexico.  Rice is off to a perfect 4-0 start this season, and is 2-0 ATS in their two lined games.  Meanwhile, this will be the Lobos first game of the season, as COVID has greatly impacted their program.  Even worse, the state of New Mexico has issued an order which prohibits the team from practicing or playing games within the state.  So, UNM has created a "home away from home" in West Texas, and has been scrimmaging non-division I opponents like South Plains College and Lubbock Christian University.  Whether such scrimmages will have prepared the Lobos for their first Division I game of the season this afternoon remains to be seen, but we will bet against it.  One reason is that the Lobos have been dreadful on the road over the last few seasons, even without the COVID-related distractions.  Dating back to 2015, New Mexico is 26-60 SU away from home, and 31-52 ATS, including 16-40 ATS vs. foes not off a SU/ATS loss.  And Rice is 27-15 ATS as a single-digit favorite vs. non-conference foes.  Take Rice minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on North Carolina-Greensboro minus the points over Norfolk State.  In its last game, NC Greensboro was upset, 85-80, by Coppin St, as a 21.5-point road favorite!  That was the biggest upset loss sustained on an opponent's home court in the last 31 seasons.  And that was also the 3rd straight loss (both SU and ATS) suffered by NC Greensboro.  We'll lay the points this afternoon, as this is a great bounce-back spot vs. Norfolk St., which won and covered last Monday vs. Hampton.  For technical support, consider that home teams have covered 64% since 1990 off an upset loss as a double-digit favorite away from home when matched up against a non-conference opponent off a straight-up win.  Take NC Greensboro.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Fairfield Stags + the points over Iona.  These two teams played last night, and the result was not pretty for the Stags, as they shot just 27% for the game, and were annihilated 70-42.  Last night, Fairfield was a 4-point home underdog; tonight, the line has been adjusted upwards by a few points to better reflect last night's score.  For some, it won't be enough of an adjustment, but for me it is, as I believe Fairfield will play a much better ballgame tonight.  For technical support, the Stags fall into a 90% 'bounce-back' system of mine which plays on certain teams off 20-point (or worse) losses.  And they also fall into a 63.5% revenge system of mine which plays on certain underdogs of +3 (or more) points that suffered a bad loss to its opponent earlier in the season.  Take the Stags + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Panthers minus the points over Gardner-Webb.  The Panthers are off to a solid 3-1 start after coming back from an early 10-point deficit to upset Northwestern, 71-70, in Evanston, on Wednesday.  The Panthers showed a lot of moxie and competitive spirit on the road, as they trailed for all but the last 5.6 seconds of the game, before Justin Champagnie's game-winning dunk gave them the final margin of victory.  The key for Pitt was its tough defense, as it held the explosive Wildcats to more than 31 points below their scoring average.  And they're getting terrific offensive production across the board, as they're the only ACC school with three players ranked among the ACC's Top 10 in scoring.  Those players are Au'Diese Toney (18.3 ppg), Xavier Johnson (18.0) and Champagnie (18.3).  And Champagnie is also the only ACC player who is averaging a double-double, as he has pulled down 11 rebounds a game to lead the entire conference.  This afternoon, Jeff Capel's men will welcome the Bulldogs to the Steel City, and the Bulldogs played two ACC member schools last season, and lost by 16 (N. Carolina) and 27 (Virginia Tech) points.  We'll lay the points with Pitt, as I believe the momentum gathered from Wednesday's game will carry the Panthers forward at home today against an overmatched Big South conference school.  Take Pitt.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Kansas State Wildcats minus the points over the Milwaukee Panthers.  In its last game, Kansas State was stunned by Division II member Fort Hays State, 81-68.  And, to make the loss even more ignominious, the Tigers were 0-3 this season prior to the win, and became the first Division 11 team to defeat a major conference opponent on the road in 20 years!  The last team to pull off such a feat was Texas A&M Corpus Christi, when it bested Texas Tech, 86-80, on Dec. 18, 2000.  Of course, after that embarrassing loss, the Red Raiders bounced back to win their next game, and they also covered the point spread in their next four subsequent lined games.  I expect Kansas State to also bounce back tonight.  They'll have the distinct advantage of playing a Panthers squad which hasn't taken the court yet this season.  And Milwaukee ended last season on an 0-7 ATS run, and is 6-19-1 ATS its last 26.  Meanwhile, K-State is 9-5 ATS its last 14 at home off a home loss.  Lay the points with the Wildcats.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers minus the points over Gardner Webb.  The Runnin' Bulldogs are playing their first game of the 2020 season tonight, and will travel to Bowling Green, KY to take on the Hilltoppers, who are 3-2 SU but 2-3 ATS after dropping their 3rd straight game to the spread on Saturday (96-69, as a 42.5-point favorite).  The Bulldogs return just two starters from last season, so they'll be at a disadvantage tonight vs. a Hilltoppers squad which returned all five starters, and will be playing its sixth game of the season.  So, we'll play on Western Kentucky to get the $$$ tonight, as they're 28-1 SU and 20-9 ATS as a double-digit favorite following a game where they failed to cover by 6+ points.  Meanwhile, Gardner-Webb is a horrible 0-7 ATS as an underdog of more than 12 points in the regular season vs. a foe off an ATS loss.  Lay the points with the Hilltoppers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins minus the points over San Diego.  The Toreros have had a late start to this 2020 campaign, as their early games -- in the Husky Classic -- were cancelled due to the coronavirus.  That will place San Diego at a disadvantage tonight, given this will be UCLA's 5th game of the season.  Even worse for Sam Scholl's troops:  they return just two starters, while UCLA returned all five starters.  The Bruins had a rough start to the season, as they lost, 73-58, at San Diego St. in their first game.  And then they needed triple overtime to get by Pepperdine in Game #2.  But they've gelled over their last two games -- 20+ point blowout wins over Seattle and California.  I look for UCLA to make it three BLOWOUTS in a row on this Wednesday, as Pac-12 teams off back to back SU/ATS wins have cashed 69% vs. West Coast Conference foes.  Lay the points with the Bruins.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Fairleigh Dickinson Knights minus the points over Central Connecticut.  These two teams played yesterday here, and the Blue Devils upset the Knights, 94-87, as a 9-point road underdog.  That was the Northeast Conference opener for both teams, and we'll take the homestanding Knights in the rematch this afternoon.  Dating back to 1990, home favorites have covered 56% off an upset home loss, if they were playing an opponent off an upset road win.  And the Knights also fall into a 146-95 ATS revenge system of mine.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights minus the points over Syracuse.  To say that Rutgers has revenge would be an understatement.  After all, Syracuse has won the last 13 meetings (dating back to when both teams were Big East schools).  The good news for Rutgers -- at least for tonight's game -- is that teams have cashed 60.9% in non-conference games over the past 31 years if they had lost the last 7 games in the series, and were not getting 6+ points in the current game.  Take Rutgers minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the St. Louis Billikens minus the points over Central Arkansas.  St. Louis is 3-0 SU/ATS this season, and has covered the spread by 11.5 ppg.  And they won their previous game by 53 points!  Over the last 31 years, favorites of more than 7 points off 3 SU/ATS wins to start the season have cashed 60% of the time.  Additionally, the Billikens are 34-13 ATS at home off back to back point spread wins.  Take St. Louis.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Belmont Bruins minus the points over Tennessee State.  This is the Ohio Valley Conference opener for both teams.  But a key difference is that it's also Tennessee State's season opener, while Belmont has already played four games.  And these extra games in hand have enabled teams to cover the spread 60% of the time over the last 31 years when playing an opponent which was playing its first game.  So, that bodes well for the Bruins tonight.  As does the fact that the Tigers have covered just four of its last 18 conference games.  Lay the points with Belmont.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over Eastern Washington.  We played on Oregon in its last game, and easily got the $$$ with an 83-70 win over Seton Hall.  That moved the 21st-ranked Ducks to 1-1 this season, and they'll play their home opener this evening against Big Sky Conference-member Eastern Washington.  The Eagles have been competitive this season, but have yet to crack into the win column.  They're 0-2 SU after two 3-point losses at Pac-12-member schools Washington St. and Arizona.  We'll go against the Eagles tonight, as teams off back to back losses have covered just 34.4% since 1990 vs. foes off a SU/ATS win that were playing their home opener.  That bodes well for Oregon.  As does the fact that Oregon is 30-12 ATS its last 42 games, as well as 58-36-1 ATS at home its last 95 games vs. non-conference foes, provided the Ducks won their previous game.  Lay the points with Dana Altman's men.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over Seton Hall.  The Ducks were upset in their first game by Missouri, 83-75.  But I love Dana Altman's men to bounce back tonight, as they're 12-3 ATS their last 15 off an upset loss, including 3-0 ATS vs. non-conference foes.  And they're also 16-4 ATS their last 20 vs. non-conference opposition.  Finally, the Ducks fall into a 74.3% ATS bounce-back system of mine which plays on certain team after being upset as a favorite in their previous game.  Take the Ducks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers minus the points over Kent State.  The Golden Flashes opened their season with a 90-41 blowout of Point Park.  They held the Pioneers to just 28% shooting, and outrebounded them 55-28.  But Kent now must now step up in class to face the defending (2019) national champion Cavaliers.  Virginia is 2-1 on the young season, as it sandwiched a loss to San Francisco in between victories over Towson and St. Francis.  The Cavaliers are 36-22 ATS in the regular season vs. non-conference foes, including 16-3 ATS when favored by 18+ points.  And Kent falls into a negative 82-155 ATS system of mine which goes against certain double-digit underdogs off blowout wins.  Lay the points with Virginia.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Cal Baptist Lancers minus the points over Southeastern Louisiana.  These two teams actually met here just two days ago, and the Lions came away with an 81-80 upset win, as a 9-point road underdog.  If there was a silver lining for Rick Croy's men, it's that they actually led by 14 points in the 2nd half prior to collapsing.  And off that home upset loss, we'll lay the points with Cal Baptist, as they're 7-3 ATS off a loss (including 3-0 ATS off an upset loss), while the Lions are 1-5 ATS as an underdog vs. a foe off a SU loss.  And the Lancers also fall into a super 88% ATS revenge system of mine.  Lay the points.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Syracuse Orange minus the points over Niagara.  In its season opener, Syracuse defeated the Bryant Bulldogs, 85-84, which didn't enamor it to Las Vegas residents, as Syracuse was favored by 22.5 points in that game.  Still, a win is a win, and Syracuse will now welcome cross-state rival Niagara to the Carrier Dome.  The Purple Eagles haven't defeated the Orange in any of the last nine meetings, including a 71-57 loss last season.  And this will be Niagara's first game of the season.  We'll lay the points with Syracuse, as 14-point (or greater) favorites have covered 72% since 1990 after failing to cover the spread by more than 5 points, if they were now matched up against an opponent playing its first game of the season.  Even better:  Syracuse is a perfect 11-0 ATS as favorites of -4 (or more) points after failing to cover by 9+ in its previous game, while Niagara is 2-8 ATS its last 10 when getting 7+ points.  Take the Orange.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys minus the points over Incarnate Word.  The Cardinals rebounded off their season-opening home loss to Rice to defeat Our Lady of the Lake, 84-71.  They'll now play their first road game this season in Wyoming, which is 1-1 after getting upset by Texas Southern, 76-74, on Monday.  The Cowboys were favored in that game by 10.5 points.  But off that loss, we'll lay the double-digits with them tonight, as double-digit favorites have cashed 69% since 1990, if they were upset at home as a double-digit favorite in their previous game, and are now playing a non-conference foe off a double-digit home win.  Take the Cowboys to blow out Incarnate Word.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers minus the points over Arkansas State.  The Tigers come home off back to back upset losses, and have been installed as double-digit favorites vs. an 0-2 Red Wolves team which also suffered an upset defeat its last time out.  We'll lay the points with Memphis at home, as home teams, off back to back upset defeats, are 180-130 ATS vs. losing teams.  And the Tigers are 36-16 ATS off 2+ losses, including 8-0-1 ATS its last nine if it was upset in its previous game.  Take Memphis minus the points.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the SMU Mustangs minus the points over Houston Baptist.  SMU comes into this game off back to back 30+ wins at home, while the Huskies check in off back to back 23+ point losses on the road.  Since 1990, NCAA teams, off back to back home wins to start the season, that have a scoring margin of +30 (or more points), have covered 70% at home vs. foes off back to back losses.  Take SMU to blow out Houston Baptist.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Villanova Wildcats minus the points over Hartford.  The Wildcats were favored by 9.5 points, but were upset, 81-73, by Virginia Tech in their last game.  But off that upset defeat, I love Jay Wright's men to come out extremely focused this afternoon, and expect them to blow out the Hawks.  Indeed, Villanova's an awesome 41-18-1 ATS off a game where they failed to cover the point spread by 4+ points, including a perfect 14-0 ATS vs. foes off a SU loss that have an ATS win percentage greater than .455.  And College Basketball teams have cashed 72.3% off an upset loss as a 9-point (or greater) favorite, if they were favored by 17+ points against an opponent off an ATS win.  Lay the points with the Wildcats.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Maryland-Baltimore County Retrievers over St. Francis (PA).  The Red Flash upset Pittsburgh, 80-70, as a 16-point road underdog on Thursday.  They return home this afternoon, and will welcome the UMBC Retrievers to DeGol Arena.  We'll play against St. Francis today, as non-ACC teams off double-digit upset wins over ACC Conference schools have had letdowns in the next game, when playing at home, or on a neutral court, and favored (or PK).  They've cashed just 14 of 50 since 1990.  Take Maryland Baltimore County.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Penn State Nittany Lions minus the points over VMI.  The Keydets won, 90-63, at home to open their 2020 campaign.  But we'll fade them in Happy Valley this afternoon, as double-digit road underdogs have cashed just 39% off a 25-point home win to open a seasons, if they scored 85+ in that home victory.  And Big 10 teams have gone 47-17 ATS in their season openers at home when favored by 14+ points.  Take the Nittany Lions.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Illinois State Redbirds over the Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks.  UMass Lowell upset San Francisco, 76-68, to open its season.  But the River Hawks now fall into a negative 45-85 ATS "letdown" system of mine based on that upset win.  And the River Hawks are also a poor 7-16 ATS their last 23 off an ATS win.  Take Illinois State.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Panthers minus the points over Drexel.  The Panthers stubbed their toe in their home opener when they lost to St. Francis (PA), 80-70, as a 16-point home favorite.  But off that defeat, we'll play on Pitt to rebound at home on this Saturday afternoon.  Indeed, NCAA teams off a double-digit loss as a favorite of 14+ points have cashed 17 of 18 at home, or on neutral courts, if their opponent wasn't off an upset loss, itself.  Additionally, Drexel is 0-8-1 ATS its last nine away from home when priced from +4 to +12 points.  Take the Panthers minus the points over the Dragons.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Connecticut Huskies minus the points over Hartford.  UConn rolled in its first game, a 102-75 win over Central Connecticut St.  And they'll try to make it two-in-a-row vs. in-state rivals on this Friday.  This will be the first meeting between these schools since 2008.  We'll lay the points with UConn, as it's 14-7-1 ATS its last 22 home games.  Also, double-digit home favorites off a 25-point (or greater) win in their opener have cashed 63% vs. opponents playing their first game of the season.  Finally, Hartford falls into a negative 82-159 ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams in their season opener.  Lay the points with Connecticut.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Houston Cougars minus the points over Boise State.  The Cougars were without their star player -- Caleb Mills -- on Wednesday, yet didn't need him in an 89-45 blowout of Lamar.  The good news is that he'll be back on the court this afternoon.  We'll take the Cougars minus the points, as they fall into a 93-33 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off double-digit wins.  And Houston's also 31-13 ATS at home off a double-digit home win.  Lay it.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Utah State Aggies minus the points over South Dakota State.  Utah State lost its first game of this Crossover Classic in Sioux Falls, SD.  But we'll take the Aggies to bounce back on Sunday, as they've cashed 70% over the last 31 seasons when they were playing back to back games away from home, and were upset in the first game, and now playing an opponent also off a loss.  They're also 10-5-1 ATS as a favorite off an upset defeat.  Take the Aggies to blow out the Jackrabbits.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the San Francisco Dons minus the points over Towson.  Both of these teams come into this afternoon's game off a loss yesterday at the Mohegan Sun Bubbleville Tournament.  Towson was blown out by 35 points by Virginia, while the Dons were surprised, 76-68, by the UMass-Lowell River Hawks.  San Francisco was favored by double-digits in that game.  And teams that were upset in their season opener as double-digit favorites have rebounded to cover 62.2% over the last 31 seasons.  Lay the points with San Francisco.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers minus the points over Nevada.  The Huskers are hosting this Golden Window Classic, and they got their 2020 campaign off to a great start last night with a 47-point blowout of McNeese State.  One of the things I love to do in early season college hoops is play on home teams when they host a tournament, when they're off a SU/ATS win in their home opener, and they're favored in Game 2 against an opponent which was also off a SU/ATS win the day before.  Our home teams have cashed 75% since 1990 in these games.  Lay the points with Nebraska.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Syracuse Orange over North Carolina.  The Tar Heels blew out Virginia Tech yesterday to advance to this 2nd round game vs. Syracuse on Wednesday night.  Unfortunately, the Tar Heels will be at a significant disadvantage tonight since the Orange will be well-rested, as they have not played since Saturday.  And rested ACC Conference teams have gone 34-18 ATS vs. unrested foes in the ACC Tournament, including a perfect 7-0 ATS if they were playing with revenge, and not favored by 9+ points.  Take Syracuse to blow out North Carolina.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Texas State Bobcats minus the points over Appalachian St.  These two Sun Belt Conference rivals met twice earlier this season, with each team winning SU/ATS on its own home court.  This Quarterfinals match-up will be played in San Marcos, so the Bobcats will have the advantage -- especially given that they blew out the Mountaineers, 82-57, here, earlier this year.  The Bobcats fall into one of my favorite Tourney systems, which is 47-14 ATS since 1990.  That angle plays on certain home teams in conference tourney games vs. foes off wins.  And the Bobcats also fall into 96-47, 160-114 and 76-47 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams off defeats to end their regular season.  Lay the points with Texas State.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats minus the points over Washington.  These two teams met last weekend in Tucson, and the Huskies upset Arizona, 69-63.  That also was Washington's 2nd straight upset win on the road.  We'll fade the Huskies in this Pac-12 Tourney game, as teams off two road upset wins have cashed just 38% in the Conference Tourneys over the past 30 years, if they were matched up against an opponent off a SU loss.  Take Arizona minus the points.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the George Washington Colonials minus the points over Fordham.  In this Opening Round match-up in the Atlantic 10 Tournament, we have two teams that are not playing very good basketball.  The Rams have lost 11 of 12 since their 59-54 victory over George Washington, on January 22.  And George Washington hasn't played much better, as it's 4-8 SU and 5-7 ATS over its last 12 games.  We'll lay the points with George Washington, as it falls into a 41-13 ATS revenge system of mine, as well as 44-9 and 60-18 ATS Tourney systems of mine that play on certain teams off losses.  Additionally, Atlantic 10 Conference favorites of less than 13 points have gone 169-104 ATS in the A-10 Tournament since 1992, including 37-19 ATS if it lost all the season's previous meetings vs. its opponent.  Take George Washington.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Gonzaga Bulldogs minus the points over St. Mary's.  The West Coast Conference should just give the Bulldogs a bye into the final game.  After all, this is the 20th season in a row that Gonzaga has reached the title game.  And the Bulldogs have gone 15-5 in those games (but 15-3 straight-up and 12-6 ATS if one eliminates the two title games played on their opponent's home court).  The Gaels, once again, had a great regular season.  But they've never done well in the post-season, and especially not when matched-up against the better teams.  Indeed, St. Mary's is 1-12 ATS as an underdog of 5+ points in the post-season.  Likewise, the Gaels are 12-28 ATS vs. foes that have a scoring margin of 5+ points.  Finally, the Bulldogs fall into 41-6, 102-51 and 18-2 ATS systems of mine.  Take Gonzaga.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Stony Brook Seawolves minus the points over Hartford.  The Hawks took both meetings vs. the Seawolves this season, including a double-digit win here, in February.  But Stony Brook falls into a 397-275 ATS revenge system of mine, as well as a 2nd system which is 81-28 that plays against certain teams off wins.  Even better:  America East Conference teams have gone 42-21 ATS in the Tournament when playing with revenge, including a perfect 6-0 ATS at home when playing with double revenge.  Take Stony Brook.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Northeastern Huskies + the points over Hofstra.  These two teams will meet in the Colonial Athletic Association title game this evening, in Washington, D.C.  They met twice earlier this season, and the Pride took both meetings.  But each of those two regular season games went down to the wire, as Hofstra won the first game, 74-72, at Northeastern, and the second game, at home, 75-71.  I look for the 3rd time to be the charm for the Huskies, as College teams have cashed 65% of Conference Championship games over the last 20 years when playing with revenge from 2 narrow regular season losses by 5 or less points.  Take the Huskies.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Manhattan Jaspers minus the points over Fairfield.  The Jaspers come into this Metro Atlantic Tourney game off three straight double-digit losses, yet have been installed as a favorite against an opponent which handed it two defeats this season.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to go against the Jaspers, but we'll step in and lay the small number, as favorites have covered 60% in the post-season since 1990 off back to back double-digit losses, if their opponent was off a SU win.  Take Manhattan.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Panthers minus the points over Wake Forest.  The Panthers lost at home to Wake Forest as a 6.5-point favorite earlier in the season, and have dropped all four meetings since 2017.  Notwithstanding this history, the Panthers have been installed as the favorite in this opening round game of the ACC Tournament.  We'll lay the points, as ACC Conference teams have cashed 67% since 1990 in the post-season, if playing with revenge from an upset loss earlier in the season, and not favored in the tournament game by 3+ points.  Take the Panthers.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Southern Eagles minus the points over Louisiana-Lafayette.  The Eagles lost at home, 76-75, to Arkansas St. to end its regular season.  But it will have another opportunity to win a home game tonight, in this Sun Belt Conference tourney game.  These two teams met twice earlier this season, and the Eagles won both games SU/ATS -- including a 20-point victory here in Statesboro.  Georgia Southern is now 6-2 in the last eight meetings.  Even better:  the Eagles are a solid 16-4 ATS at home, or on a neutral court when playing off a SU/ATS loss vs. a foe off a SU win, while the Rajin' Cajuns have covered just two of nine tourney games when playing with double-revenge from 2 losses earlier in the season.  Lay the points with Georgia Southern.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm eastern, our selection is on the Delaware Blue Hens + the points over Hofstra.  The Pride come into this game on a 10-1 SU/ATS win streak, including back to back blowout wins over James Madison (97-81) and Drexel (61-43).  And they also blew out today's opponent -- Delaware -- by 16 points in the last meeting, 16 days ago.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the red-hot Pride.  But .700 (or better) teams off back to back SU/ATS wins by more than 15 points, that also defeated their revenge-minded Tournament opponent by more than 15 points earlier in the season, have covered just 40% over the last 30 seasons.  That doesn't bode well for Hofstra this evening.  Nor does the fact that the Blue Hens are 10-2-1 ATS their last 13 Tournament games.  Take Delaware + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Northeastern Huskies minus the points over Towson.  These two teams met at Northeastern last Sunday, and the Tigers came away with a hard-fought 75-72 victory.  That was Towson's 3rd straight win (both SU and ATS), as well.  But we'll go against the Tigers tonight, as Northeastern's 8-1 ATS as a favorite (or PK) vs. foes off 3 SU/ATS wins.  Meanwhile, the Tigers are a poor 42-63-4 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes, including 1-5 ATS in the post-season.  And Northeastern also falls into 60-33 and 126-94 ATS revenge systems of mine.  Take the Huskies minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Nebraska-Omaha Mavericks + the points over Oral Roberts.  The Mavericks were blown out by 20 points at North Dakota St. last weekend.  But that 20-point loss has triggered a great 45-10 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams in tourney games off double-digit losses.  Additionally, the Golden Eagles have covered just 5 of their last 25 post-season games, including 1-11 ATS off back to back wins.  Take Omaha + the points tonight.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Maryland Terrapins minus the points over Michigan.  The #25-ranked Michigan Wolverines have had a very successful season under first-year coach Juwan Howard, as have the Top 10-ranked Maryland Terrapins under ninth-year head coach Mark Turgeon (though they have dropped their last two games).  This will be the final regular season game for each team before the Big 10 Conference Tourney starts next week.  And Michigan has been awful in the underdog role, when playing its final road game of the season, as it's gone 0-6 SU/ATS its last six, with all six losses by DOUBLE-DIGITS, and its average defeat by 19.66 ppg.  It doesn't get much uglier than that.  Even better:  Maryland's 28-14-1 ATS off back to back conference defeats.  Take the Terrapins.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the San Francisco Dons minus the points over Pacific.  These two teams split the season series, with each team taking a game on its opponent's home floor.  It's true that the Tigers are playing very well, with seven wins in their last eight games, including a 71-64 victory over San Diego last Saturday, as a 4-point favorite.  Unfortunately, they're a horrid 0-17-1 ATS in the post-season off a SU/ATS win over a conference foe.  Yikes!  The Dons, meanwhile, are also playing well, and won their fourth in a row last night with a 29-point blowout win over Loyola Marymount.  And San Francisco's 21-8 ATS off a SU/ATS win by more than 18 points, and 13-2 SU its last 15 vs. the Tigers.  Finally, West Coast Conference Tourney favorites have gone 72-45-6 ATS when favored by less than 13 points.  Take San Francisco minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the NC Greensboro Spartans minus the points over UT-Chattanooga.  The Mocs defeated the Spartans last Saturday, 74-72, as a 3.5-point underdog.  But that upset win has set-up Chattanooga in several negative systems of mine, with records of 54-86, 141-222 and 47-101 ATS since 1990.  Even worse:  the Mocs are an awful 1-9 ATS their last 10 tourney games off a straight-up win, while the Spartans are a strong 15-4 ATS as a favorite when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the year.  Take NC Greensboro.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Belmont Bruins minus the points over Murray State.  The Bruins are red-hot, with 11 straight wins coming into this Ohio Valley title game.  These two teams also met last season in the Ohio Valley Conference Championship game, and the Bruins were upset by Murray State, 77-65.  We'll take Belmont to turn the tables on Murray State, as NCAA teams off 9 (or more) wins have cashed 60% in the championship game of the Conference Tourneys over the last 28 years.  Lay the points.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the James Madison Dukes + the points over Elon.  The Dukes lost both meetings to the Phoenix this season, but they've cashed 69% over the past 25 years when playing with double-revenge, while Elon has covered just 20% over the last 15 seasons against an opponent it defeated twice earlier in the season.  The Dukes also fall into 15-2, 84-39 and 89-60 ATS "contrarian" systems of mine that play on certain teams on losing streaks.  Take James Madison + the points.

At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Valparaiso Crusaders plus the points over Missouri State.  Both of these teams are playing good basketball.  The Bears have gone 6-3 SU and 8-1 ATS with their lone ATS loss in this stretch to Vaparaiso, while Valpo has cashed 7 of its last 9, including an upset win over Loyola-Chicago yesterday.  We'll grab the points with the underdog Crusaders, as they're 8-3 ATS their last 11 vs. Missouri St, while the Bears are 4-13 ATS as a favorite in the Missouri Valley Conference tourney.  Take Valparaiso.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Drexel Dragons minus the points over NC Wilmington.  The Dragons have dropped seven straight games (1-6 ATS), but we'll lay the points with them this afternoon, as they fall into a 78-28 ATS system of mine which plays on certain revenge-minded teams in the Conference tourneys.  Drexel lost just nine days ago at Wilmington, 76-65.  And revenge-minded favorites of 4 points or less have gone 17-2 ATS in the Colonial Athletic Ass'n Tourney if they were off a loss to end the regular season.  Take Drexel.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers minus the points over Rutgers.  The Boilermakers lost, 70-63, at Rutgers earlier this season.  But the Scarlet Knights were playing much better basketball at that time, as they were 16-5, and ranked among the Top 25.  Unfortunately, since that game, the Scarlet Knights have gone 3-6, including 0-5 away from home!  For the season, Rutgers has won just one of its 11 games away from home, so that doesn't bode well against a Purdue squad which is 11-4 SU at home, and 9-6 ATS.  Even better:  the Boilermakers are 68-46 ATS as single-digit home favorite vs. winning Big 10 Conference foes.  Finally, Rutgers falls into a negative 69-146 ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams on the road off a win.  Lay the points with Purdue.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11:30 pm, our selection is on the Utah State Aggies minus the points over Wyoming.  The Cowboys have won two straight games after upsetting Nevada last night, as a 10.5-point underdog.  And that followed another upset win as a double-digit underdog vs. Colorado St. to start their Conference tournament play.  Unfortunately, it's highly unlikely that the Cowboys will pull off another win as a double-digit underdog tonight, as the Aggies won both meetings this season by 20+ points.  For technical support, consider that teams off outright wins in the quarter-finals round of a Conference tournament have only covered the spread 37% of the time over the last 30 years vs. foes off an ATS loss.  And teams off back to back SU/ATS wins in the Conference Tourney have covered just 1 of 18 in the semi-final round if they lost by 20+ points in the season's previous meeting.  Take Utah State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Ohio RedHawks minus the points over Ohio U.  The RedHawks were blown out by 31 points by Ohio U. back on February 8, 77-46.  But since that game, Miami has gone 6-1 ATS, including three straight point spread wins coming into tonight's game.  We'll lay the points with the RedHawks, as favorites off 3+ ATS wins have cashed 73% over the past 27 sesaons, if they had revenge from a loss to a conference foe by more than 28 points.  Take Miami-Ohio.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the VMI Keydets minus the points over Samford.  The Bulldogs didn't win very many Southern Conference games this season, as they were just 4-14 inside the league.  But two of their wins came against today's opponent, VMI.  We'll take the Keydets today, as Southern Conference teams have cashed 78.9% in the Conference Tourney, if they were favored and lost all the season's meetings to their opponent.  Take VMI.

At 1:05 pm, our selection is on the Drake Bulldogs + the points over Northern Iowa.  We played on the Bulldogs yesterday, and easily got the $$$ when they blew out Illinois State, 75-65.  We'll come right back with Drake this afternoon, as they'll face a Northern Iowa team which embarrassed it last Saturday on Drake's home court.  The Bulldogs were a 3.5-point home underdog, but were held to their lowest offensive output in over 5 years, and lost 70-43.  The good news for the Bulldogs here is that revenge-minded Missouri Valley teams have gone 136-85 ATS if they lost by 18+ points earlier in the season, and were not favored by more than 3 points!  Additionally, the Panthers fall into negative 82-168 and 43-107 ATS systems of mine that go against certain teams off road wins.  Take Drake + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats minus the points over Washington State.  The Cougars won a rare road game last Friday night, when they went into Seattle and defeated their rival, Washington.  Still that was Wazzu's first road win in the Pac-12 this season, after starting 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS on the Pac-12 road.  And it's a horrid 19-85 straight-up, and 35-65-4 ATS on the Pac-12 road its last 104 road games, including 11-31-1 ATS vs. foes off an ATS defeat.  The Wildcats had a disastrous trip to Southern California last weekend, as they lost to both USC and UCLA.  But Arizona's back home, where it's gone 14-4 SU and 12-6 ATS its last 18.  And it's also 16-8 ATS at home off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Finally, the Wildcats fall into a 111-45 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off upset defeats.  Lay the points with Arizona.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Austin Peay Governors minus the points over Eastern Illinois.  In this Ohio Valley Tourney game, we'll take the Governors to avenge their 83-80 loss 12 days ago to the Panthers.  That game was on the road in Charleston, where the Panthers went 10-2 this season.  This game will be played at a neutral site, in Evansville, Indiana.  And that bodes well for the Governors, as they've won just five of their last 17 road games, but are 26-0 straight-up, and 11-4-2 ATS at home, or on a neutral court when favored.  And Austin Peay also falls into a 188-100 ATS revenge system of mine which plays on certain teams favored in the post-season.  Take the Governors.

At 9:35 pm, our selection is on the Evansville Purple Aces + the points over Valparaiso.  The Crusaders have not been a strong post-season team "in Vegas," and especially not when they've matched-up against an opponent with a win percentage less than .800 which wasn't off a double-digit win.  In that situation, the Crusaders are 0-18 ATS.  That doesn't bode well today against an Evansville team which is 9-22 on the season.  These two teams played exceptionally close games this season, with Valpo taking both meetings by exactly two points.  Unfortunately, teams that won both meetings by 2 points or less have NOT fared well in the conference tournaments, and especially not if they played the tourney game away from home, as they've cashed just 29% since 1990.  Take Evansville + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Utah State Aggies minus the points over New Mexico.  The Aggies lost to New Mexico, 66-64, last Saturday.  That game was in Albuquerque, but this game will be played at a neutral site, in Las Vegas.  The Lobos went 15-3 at home this season, and have also gone 23-15 ATS their last 38 home games.  But away from Albuquerque, it's been a different story, as UNM is a poor 9-22 straight-up, and 10-19 ATS, including 1-6 ATS as a double-digit underdog.  Even better:  Utah State's a terrific 24-11-2 ATS at home, or on a neutral court when playing with revenge, including 12-1 ATS if the Aggies weren't off a point spread win.  Finally, New Mexico falls into negative 13-42 and 44-91 ATS Tournament systems of mine that go against certain teams off wins.  Take Utah State minus the points.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the San Diego Toreros plus the points over Loyola Marymount.  Both of these teams come into this West Coast Conference tourney game off losses.  The Toreros fell, 71-64, at home vs. Pacific last Saturday, while the Lions lost at home, 69-67, to San Francisco.  Each team also had a miserable season, as the Toreros won just two conference games, while Loyola Marymount was slightly better, at 4-12, including a six-point win vs. San Diego back in January.  But the Lions had the benefit of playing that game at home, in Los Angeles.  This game will be played at a neutral site, in Las Vegas.  We'll grab the points with the underdog Toreros, as revenge-minded conference foes are an awesome 40-12 ATS away from home vs. Loyola Marymount, including a perfect 15-0 ATS if our revenger had a win percentage less than .355.  Take San Diego.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin-Green Bay Phoenix minus the points over Oakland.  These two teams met just 11 days ago, and the Golden Grizzlies won, 92-88.  But that game was in Rochester; this game will be played in Green Bay.  And the Phoenix are an awesome 19-0-1 ATS at home when playing with revenge, if they weren't favored by more than 10 points, and didn't cover the spread in their previous game.  With the Phoenix indeed off an ATS loss last Saturday to Cleveland St, our 19-0 ATS angle is triggered.  Lay the points with the Phoenix.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Drake Bulldogs minus the points over Illinois State.  The Redbirds are 10-20 this season, but one of their 10 victories was an upset win over Drake, in Normal, 12 days ago.  We'll lay the points with Drake in this re-match, as winning teams have gone 95-58 ATS in the post-season vs. losing teams when playing with revenge from an upset road loss.  Take Drake.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Boise State Broncos + the points over UNLV.  This first round game in the Mountain West Conference tournament will once again be played on UNLV's home court (for the 14th straight season).  But that hasn't been a big advantage for the Runnin' Rebels over the years.  And, lately, UNLV's gone 0-4-2 ATS their last six, and 4-10-2 ATS their last 16 Mountain West tournament games here at Thomas & Mack Center.  Coincidentally, these two teams met eight days ago right here, and the Rebels won, 76-66.  But we'll take Boise to avenge that defeat, as it's 6-1 ATS its last seven when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  And it's 27-16 ATS off a straight-up loss, including 9-3 ATS as an underdog.  Take Boise + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Temple Owls minus the points over Tulsa.  The Owls were upset by Tulsa on the road earlier this season.  But they're back home tonight, in Philadelphia, for their final home game of the season.  And it's a venue where the Owls have dominated.  Indeed, over the last 15 seasons, Temple is 48-11 SU and 42-16-1 ATS at home when favored by six points or less (or PK).  But that's not the best part.  When Temple played a conference foe in this price range, then it has gone 31-6 SU/ATS at home its last 37.  Since 2008, the Owls have gone 12-0 on "Senior Night" -- their final home game of the season, and have covered nine of those 12 games.  Lay the points with the Owls.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the St. Bonaventure Bonnies minus the points over St. Joseph's.  The Hawks won a rare conference game their last time out, as they bested Fordham, 73-69.  Unfortunately, the Hawks aren't likely to win tonight, as they're 2-15 SU/ATS their last 17 off a win.  St. Bonaventure will play its final home game of the season tonight, and will attempt to snap a two-game losing streak.  We'll lay the points with the Bonnies, as college teams have cashed 61% since 1990 as double-digit favorites in their final home game of the season, if they were off back to back upset defeats.  Take St. Bonaventure minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Georgia State Panthers minus the points over Arkansas Little Rock.  The Panthers will play their final home game of the season tonight, and they'll look to snap a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak.  Meanwhile, Arkansas Little Rock comes into tonight's game off 3 SU/ATS wins.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the hot Trojans, but consider that teams playing their final home game of the season have cashed 62% since 1990 if they were off 3 SU/ATS losses, and their opponent was off 3 SU/ATS wins.  Take the Panthers.

At 7 pm, in the opening round of the Patriot League Tournament, our selection is on the Loyola Maryland Greyhounds + the points over Lehigh.  This is a rematch of Saturday's game, won by Lehigh, 74-71, at Loyola Maryland.  And the Mountain Hawks also won the season's first meeting here, in Bethlehem.  We'll take the Greyhounds this evening, as they're 37-17 ATS on the road when playing with double-revenge, while Lehigh's 0-4 ATS its last four off an upset road win.  Take Loyola Maryland.

At 7 pm, in the opening round of the Big South Tournament, our selection is on the Charleston Southern Buccaneers minus the points over Presbyterian.  The Buccaneers come into this game on a 4-game SU/ATS losing streak.  But they should be able to get back into the win column this evening, as they've owned the Blue Hose over the years.  The Bucs have won 20 of the last 25 meetings, including 12-1 their last 13 meetings here, in Charleston.  And the Blue Hose are 2-8 SU and 3-7 ATS their last 10 post-season games as an underdog.  Finally, the Buccaneers fall into 86-59, 124-91, 43-17 and 112-60 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams in the post-season off SU losses.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils minus the points over North Carolina State.  We played on the Wolfpack in the season's first meeting, 12 days ago, and were rewarded with an 88-66 blowout win over the Blue Devils.  NC State was a 6-point home underdog in that game, so it covered by 28 points!  For this game, though, we'll lay the double-digits with Duke, as revenge-minded College Basketball teams, off back to back SU losses, have covered 61% since 1990 as favorites of 5+ points, if they lost the first meeting by 15+ points.  Additionally, the Blue Devils are a solid 19-4 ATS as a favorite of more than 12 points in the regular season off a SU loss.  Take the Blue Devils.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Southern Utah Thunderbirds minus the points over Idaho.  Southern Utah will play its final home game of the season tonight, and will attempt to snap a season-worst 5-game losing streak.  We'll lay the points with Southern Utah, as college teams have cashed 60% as double-digit favorites in their final home game of the season, if they were off back to back upset defeats.  Take the Thunderbirds.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Northern Colorado Bears minus the points over Eastern Washington.  The Bears are 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS their last nine games.  This will be Northern Colorado's final home game of the year, and it falls into a "Last Home Game" system of mine which is 61-15 ATS.  Even better:  the Bears are 39-23-1 when not favored by more than 7 points, while Eastern Washington's an awful 1-6 ATS at Northern Colorado when priced as an underdog of +10 or less points (or PK).  Take the Bears.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Chicago State Cougars + the points over Missouri-KC.  The Cougars have lost 18 straight games.  But this long losing streak has worked to create point spread value.  And non-winning NCAA teams (both SU and ATS), off 10+ losses, have cashed 69% on the road since 1990 vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Take Chicago St. + the points.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Nevada Wolf Pack + the points over San Diego State.  Nevada's 12-2 at home this season, and has won its last six games, overall (4-2 ATS).  We'll grab the points with Nevada, as home underdogs of +5 (or more) points that have won more than 10 home games on the season, with less than 3 home defeats, have gone 113-70 ATS since 1991.  Take Nevada.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the USC Trojans minus the points over Arizona State.  The Trojans are red-hot "in Vegas," with 10 point spread wins in their last 13 games.  We'll lay the points with USC, which plays this game with revenge from a 2-point loss in Tempe three weeks ago.  And Pac-12 home favorites off a win have cashed 59% when playing with revenge from a road loss earlier in the season.  Take USC.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Commonwealth Rams minus the points over George Washington.  The Rams come into this game off 5 SU/ATS losses.  But I love VCU to snap its losing streak this afternoon, as double-digit favorites on 5-game (or worse) losing streaks (both SU and ATS) have cashed 63.3% since 2000.  And VCU is 73.3% over the last 30 years off back to back upset losses.  Take Virginia Commonwealth minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the West Virginia Mountaineers minus the points over Oklahoma.  The Sooners upset the Mountaineers, 69-59, in Norman earlier this month.  We'll lay the points with Bob Huggins' men, as they've gone 29-13 ATS as a single-digit home favorite with playing with revenge from a double-digit defeat.  Take West Virginia.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Air Force + the points over Colorado State.  Air Force defeated New Mexico on Wednesday, 60-58, while Colorado State lost, 66-60, at San Diego St.  This is the second meeting this season between these two teams.  The Falcons were blown out in the first meeting, 78-65, but I expect a much closer game this afternoon.  For technical support, consider that Colorado State's covered just 21 of 54 vs. revenge-minded foes off a straight-up win.  Take Air Force.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Ohio RedHawks + the points over Bowling Green.  The RedHawks upset Central Michigan here, in Oxford, on Thursday.  And that was the 4th time in five games that Miami-Ohio covered the spread.  Bowling Green, meanwhile, has been atrocious as a favorite, with just two ATS wins in their last 20 road games.  Take Miami-Ohio + the points.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Drexel Dragons + the points over College of Charleston.  Drexel lost at home by 11 points to the Cougars earlier this season.  But we'll take the Dragons this afternoon, as they've gone 17-4 ATS as an underdog of more than 6 points, when playing with revenge from a double-digit loss.  Take Drexel.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Marquette Golden Eagles minus the points over Seton Hall.  Marquette blew out Georgetown, 93-72, here at home on Wednesday, and plays this game with revenge from a 14-point loss to the Pirates last month.  We'll lay the points with the Golden Eagles, as they're 23-12-2 ATS as a revenge-minded home favorite vs. foes with a winning SU/ATS record.  Take Marquette.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes minus the points over Penn State.  The Nittany Lions won Round 1, 89-86, vs. the Hawkeyes back in January.  But we'll take the Hawkeyes in the rematch here, in Iowa City.  The Hawkeyes lost their last game, 78-70, at Michigan State.  But Iowa is 5-0 ATS this season off a road loss, and it's also 10-0-2 ATS its last 12 at home.  Finally, the Hawkeyes are a super 28-12 ATS when playing with revenge from a close loss (by less than 10 points) away from home earlier in the season.  Take Iowa.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Brown Bears minus the points over Princeton.  The Bears were upset in their previous game by Cornell, 63-45, as a 3-point road favorite.  We'll lay the points with Brown this evening, as Ivy League schools have cashed 65.7% off a double-digit upset road loss since 1990, including 10-2-2 ATS the last 14.  Take Brown.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Quinnipiac Bobcats + the points over Fairfield.  The Bobcats have not made many friends in Las Vegas this month, as they're 0-8 ATS in February, including back to back SU/ATS losses to Monmouth and Siena this week.  But this losing streak has created significant point spread value this evening.  We'll grab the points with the road underdog, as NCAA road dogs have gone 208-153 ATS in regular season conference games since 1990 off back to back SU/ATS losses, if they were on an 6-game (or worse) ATS losing streak.  Additionally, the Stags are an awful 34-57-3 ATS as a single-digit favorite off a loss.  Take Quinnipiac.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Southern Utah Thunderbirds minus the points over Eastern Washington.  Southern Utah has dropped its last four games, but all four were on the road, where the Thunderbirds have gone 6-9 this season.  At home, it's been a different story, as Southern Utah's 8-4 here, in Cedar City.  These two teams met earlier this season in Cheney, Washington, and the Eagles won, 81-78, at home.  But we'll lay the points with Southern Utah tonight, as revenge-minded favorites with a winning record, off back to back losses, have gone 263-188 ATS if they lost the season's previous meeting on the road.  Even better:  the Eagles come into this game off an 80-70 win over Northern Arizona.  Unfortunately, they're a poor 9-24 ATS off a win by 7+ points, including 3-15 ATS away from home.  Take Southern Utah minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Grand Canyon Antelopes + the points over New Mexico State.  The Aggies have ripped off 13 straight WAC Conference wins to start the season.  But they fall into a negative 13% system of mine which goes against certain teams that are undefeated in Conference play.  Don't be surprised if the Antelopes hand New Mexico State its first WAC loss tonight, as the Aggies are a poor 18-31 ATS away from home off 3+ home games.  Meanwhile, the Antelopes have cashed 67% off a road loss if they're matched up against a foe off a win.  Take the home underdog Antelopes.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers minus the points over Cleveland St.  The Panthers lost to the Vikings by 17 points last month.  And they also were upset by Detroit, 79-73, in their last game.  Those two factors set up our play on the Panthers tonight, as Milwaukee's an awesome 23-2 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, provided they didn't cover the spread in their previous game, and had a win percentage of .363 (or better).  Take the Panthers minus the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers minus the points over Indiana.  These two Hoosier State rivals met earlier this season in Bloomington, and the Boilers upset the Hoosiers, 74-62, as a 3-point road underdog.  Unfortunately, Matt Painter's men have not won since, as they've lost their last four games, including a 71-63 upset loss here in West Lafayette, on Saturday.  We'll lay the points with Purdue, as it's 29-18 ATS as a favorite off an upset Big 10 Conference loss, including 12-2 vs. foes off back to back wins.  Take Purdue.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers over Maryland.  The Gophers snapped a 3-game losing streak when they went into Northwestern on Sunday, and blew out the Wildcats by 26 points.  That victory moved Minnesota's Big 10 record to 7-9, while Maryland's conference record is 12-4 following its loss to Ohio State.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the underdog Terrapins, given its superior conference record.  But consider that, at Conference Game #6 forward, underdogs with a .750 (or better) conference record have covered just 37% over the last 27 years (and 2-17 ATS the last six years) vs. foes with a losing conference record that were off a win in their previous game.  Even better:  the Gophers have covered 67% over the last 30 years as a home favorite (or PK) vs. conference foes with a winning SU/ATS record, including 9-1 ATS vs. foes off a SU loss.  Take Minnesota.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Evansville Purple Aces + the points over Northern Iowa.  The Panthers are having a terrific season, as they are 23-5 SU and 17-8 ATS following their 64-52 win on Sunday vs. Southern Illinois.  Unfortunately, the Panthers have covered just 25% as a home favorite over the past 25 seasons vs. teams with a losing SU/ATS record.  Take Evansville + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the VCU Rams minus the points over Massachusetts.  The Rams come into this game on a 4-game SU/ATS losing streak.  But we'll lay the points tonight on the road vs. the Minutemen, as VCU has cashed 65.2% since 1990 off back to back SU/ATS losses vs. conference foes off a win (including a sensational 78.5% ATS as a favorite).  Take VCU minus the points.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi State Bulldogs minus the points over Alabama.  This is a huge revenge game for Mississippi State, which lost by 21 to the Crimson Tide last month.  I love the Bulldogs tonight, as they also come into this game off an 87-75 upset loss to the Texas A&M Aggies.  And SEC Conference teams are a solid 44-24 ATS when playing with revenge from a 20-point (or worse) loss in the season's first meeting, if they also lost their previous game, straight-up, and their opponent was off a straight-up win.  Moreover, Miss State is 47-27 ATS off a double-digit road loss, while Alabama is a dreadful 18-39 ATS as a road underdog of 7 or less points vs. foes off a point spread defeat.  Take the Bulldogs minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Kent State Golden Flashes minus the points over Miami-Ohio.  The RedHawks upset Kent in Oxford last month, 77-74.  But we'll take the Golden Flashes in the re-match, as they're 31-1 straight-up, and 26-4-2 ATS when Pk'em or favored against a .585 (or worse) opponent, and playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  It's true that Miami is on a 3-game ATS win streak.  Unfortunately, it's a wallet-busting 10-24 ATS off three ATS wins, including 0-8 ATS if its opponent was off a home loss. Take Kent State minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Michigan State Spartans minus the points over Iowa.  These two teams are tied (along with three other teams) for 2nd place in the Big 10 Conference, with 10-6 records (Maryland leads with a 12-4 mark).  Both teams come into this game off a win.  The Spartans blew out Nebraska by 21 points last Thursday, while Iowa defeated Ohio State by nine on the same night.  We'll lay the points with the Spartans tonight, as they've dominated the Hawkeyes here, in East Lansing, with a 20-1 record since 1994 (15-6 ATS).  Even better:  at home, Michigan State has compiled an incredible 64-23-4 ATS record when not favored by double-digits, if the Spartans were well-rested, and had at least the three previous days off.  Lay the points with Michigan State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.