Sports Picks & Predictions

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Creighton Blue Jays minus the points over Alabama.  We played against Creighton its last time out, and easily got the $$$ when UNLV blew them out as a 13.5-point underdog.  Off that upset loss, we'll lay the points with the Blue Jays, as they're 31-13 ATS at home off a loss, including 9-1 ATS in non-conference games.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins minus the points over Boise St.  The Bruins were upset at home, 33-7, by California to end their regular season.  And the Bruins were favored by 9.5 points in that game.  Off that defeat, where they failed to cover the spread by 35.5 points, we'll take UCLA to rebound in this de facto home game (at SoFi Stadium), on Saturday.  UCLA is a stellar 29-12-2 ATS after failing to cover the spread by more than 10 points in its previous game (including a perfect 4-0 ATS in the post-season).  And it's 31-17 ATS when playing in Los Angeles vs. non-conference foes, and not favored by 14+ points.  Meanwhile, Boise St. is a brutal 2-9-2 ATS away from home against foes not off a SU/ATS win, including 0-4-1 ATS vs. non-conference foes.  Lay the points with Chip Kelly's Bruins.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Charleston Southern Buccaneers + the points over South Carolina.  The Gamecocks are 8-1 ATS this season.  However, their one ATS loss was when they were favored by 22 points vs. VMI.  They're a massive favorite in this game, and we will happily grab the points, as South Carolina is an awful 0-5 ATS their last five (and 11-21-1 ATS their last 33) when favored by more than 16 points vs. a non-conference foe.  Take Charleston Southern.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:45 pm, our selection is on the Fresno St Bulldogs + the points over New Mexico St.  The Bulldogs fell flat in the season's final weeks, as they lost their last three games (both SU and ATS).  We'll take Fresno to bounce back, as it's 9-0 ATS when it was off 3+ losses, and not getting more than 7 points from its opponent.  Take the Bulldogs + the points.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Pacific Tigers + the points over Cal Davis.  The Mustangs are favored on the road, even though they're 3-5 SU, and off an upset loss as a 9-point favorite vs. Wisconsin-Milwaukee.  We'll fade Cal Davis, and take the points with Pacific.  For technical support, consider that losing teams, off a SU/ATS loss, have covered just 107 of 255 as road favorites vs. non-conference foes.  Take Pacific + the points.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Indianapolis Colts over the Pittsburgh Steelers.  The Colts were blown out, 34-14, by Cincinnati last week, as a 3-point road underdog.  So, Indianapolis failed to cover the spread by 17 points.  But that bodes well for them here, at home, vs. Pittsburgh, as the Colts are 35-10 ATS off a straight-up loss, if they failed to cover the spread in that previous game by 8 or more points.  Take Indianapolis.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the SE Louisiana Lions + the points over Murray State.  The Lions were blown out, 89-60, by Louisiana Tech on Tuesday.  But off that loss, we'll look for SE Louisiana to bounce back this afternoon.  The Lions are a solid 24-10 ATS off a double-digit road loss, while Murray St is a miserable 74-100 when favored by more than 10 points.  Take the Lions.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the St. John's Red Storm minus the points over Fordham.  The Rams upset North Texas, 60-59, as a 6-point underdog, and are now 5-5 on the season.  Unfortunately, the Rams are a wallet-breaking 18-37-1 ATS as an underdog of 6+ points on the road off a straight-up win.  Take St. John's.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers minus the points over Clemson.  Memphis is 7-2 after winning back to back road games at VCU and Texas A&M.  And last weekend's win over Texas A&M was quite impressive, as Memphis won 81-75 as an 8.5-point road underdog.  We'll take the Tigers here, at home, on Saturday, as they're 19-8 ATS at home off back to back road wins, including 7-0 ATS off an upset win.  Take Memphis.

At 2:15 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville State Gamecocks minus the points over Louisiana-Lafayette.  The Ragin' Cajuns ended their regular season by thumping rival, Louisiana Monroe, 52-21.  Unfortunately, the Cajuns are a horrid 0-10 ATS off a win by more than 17 points.  Lay the points with Jacksonville St.

At 1:30 pm, our selection is on the Sacred Heart Pioneers + the points over Providence.  The Friars have been installed as a huge favorite this afternoon.  Unfortunately, they've burned $$$ when laying big wood, as they're 9-29 ATS vs. non-conference foes when favored by 17 or more points.  Take Sacred Heart + the points.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies + the points over the Houston Rockets.  The Rockets and Grizzlies met two nights ago, and the Rockets won, 117-104.  That game was played in Texas; tonight's game is on Beale Street, in Memphis.  We'll grab the points with the Grizzlies, as they're 35-6 ATS at home in the regular season when playing an opponent off a win, if the Grizzlies had revenge from a loss earlier in the season, and weren't getting more than 9 points.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks + the points over the Toronto Raptors.  This is the 2nd of back-to-back meetings in Toronto between these teams.  The Raptors won, 135-128, on Tuesday, as a 2.5-point favorite.  This game is also competitively-priced with a point spread of 3 points or less.  And when NBA teams have played back to back games vs. the same opponent, each with a point spread of 3 or less, the straight-up loser of the prior meeting has covered 57% of the time.  And this applies to both regular season, and playoff games.  Take the Hawks + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over Philadelphia.  These two teams met two nights ago in the Motor City, and the Sixers were victorious, 129-111.  We'll take the double-digits in the rematch, as road underdogs of more than 9 points have gone 39-20-2 ATS in the regular season, if they lost SU/ATS to their opponent in their previous game.  Take Detroit.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over the Indiana Pacers.  The Wizards have lost their last 5 game, straight-up, and their last 3 vs. the point spread.  But we'll take the points with Washington, and go against an Indiana team which has covered just 27 of 77 as a winning team vs. foes off 3 ATS defeats.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Brooklyn.  Last season, the Nuggets won 44 of 52 home games, and went 31-19-2 ATS in those games.  This year, they got off to a 6-0 start, but lost their last home game, 114-106, to the Houston Rockets six days ago.  They bounced back with 2 road wins, and return home tonight to get back into the win column at Pepsi Center.  We'll lay the points, as Denver is 127-69 ATS at home when rested, and priced from +2.5 to -11, if it lost its previous home game straight-up.  Take the Nuggets.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the UNLV Rebels + the points over Creighton.  This game will be played at the Dollar Loan Center in Henderson, Nevada, so the Rebels will have a home-friendly crowd.  The Rebels have been installed as a huge underdog tonight vs. Creighton.  We'll grab the points as Mountain West Conference underdogs of > 13 points have gone 121-79 ATS vs. foes off back to back wins.  Take UNLV + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Indiana.  The Bucks play tonight's game with revenge from a loss to the Pacers last week in the In-Season Tournament.  And they're 0-2 this season vs. Indiana.  We'll lay the points with Milwaukee, as .523 (or better) teams have covered 62.1% when favored by 6+ points, and playing with revenge from 2 losses earlier in the season.  Milwaukee's also 12-6-1 ATS the previous 19 meetings with Indiana, and 8-2 ATS the previous 10 meetings at home.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 8 pm, our selection is on the LSU Tigers minus the points over Alabama State.  The Tigers have dropped their last four to the point spread, while Alabama State is on a 2-game ATS win streak.  We'll lay the points with LSU, as SEC Conference teams have cashed 67.4% since 1995 at home off 4+ ATS losses, if they were matched up against an opponent off a SU win.  Lay the points with LSU.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over the Philadelphia 76ers.  The Pistons have lost 20 straight games, but they fought hard to the end on Monday vs. Indiana.  I look for them to be competitive tonight vs. Philly.  We'll take the points, as double-digit home underdogs off a SU loss have gone 240-201-8 ATS since 1990 vs. foes off a SU win.  Take Detroit.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the IUPUI Jaguars + the points over Minnesota.  IUPUI was blown out, 75-58 at Eastern Illinois, last Thursday, as a 5-point road underdog.  IUPUI has now lost its last 3 games straight-up, and is 3-7 on the season.  Unfortunately for the Golden Gophers, they're a wallet-breaking 17-33-1 ATS vs. losing foes, including 0-11 ATS their last 11 vs. foes that failed to cover the spread by 7+ points in their previous game.  Take IUPUI.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin-Green Bay Phoenix + the points over Illinois-Chicago.  Green Bay has lost all 3 meetings to the Flames over the previous 2 seasons.  We'll take the revenge-minded Phoenix tonight, as they're 35-21 ATS when playing with revenge, including 17-9 ATS when it has lost at least the two previous meetings, and was now installed as an underdog.  Take Green Bay.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Long Island Sharks + the points over UMass-Lowell.  The River Hawks come into this game off a 91-77 loss at UMass-Amherst (and 3 ATS losses, overall).  Yet UMass-Lowell has been installed as a huge, double-digit favorite (the most points they've been favored by in 9 seasons).  We'll grab the points with Long Island, as the Sharks are 29-16 ATS vs. foes off a SU loss, when the Sharks weren't favored by 6+ points.

At 8:15 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the New York Giants + the points over the Green Bay Packers.  The Packers have won 3 straight games -- each as an underdog.  They upset Kansas City last week, the Detroit Lions on Thanksgiving, and the Los Angeles Chargers at Lambeau Field before that.  But now the Packers are favored by the most points they've been all season.  And NFL road favorites of -4 (or more) points, off back to back upset wins, have gone 4-17 ATS.  Even worse for Green Bay:  it's 2-10 ATS its last 12 as a favorite of -4 to -9.5 points, including 0-4 ATS on the road.  Take the Giants as the home underdog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over the Houston Rockets.  The Spurs have lost 16 straight, and are 3-18 on the season.  But one of their three wins was vs. this Houston club.  The Rockets upset Denver, as an 8.5-point road underdog, in their previous game.  Unfortunately, home teams have gone 20-39-2 ATS off an upset win as an underdog of more than 8 points over the defending NBA champs.  Take San Antonio + the points.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans minus the points over the Minnesota Timberwolves.  The Pelicans were blown out, 133-89, on Thursday by the Lakers in the semi-finals of the In-Season Tournament.  We'll lay the points with New Orleans, as rested teams favored by 1.5 (or more) points, off a loss by 40+ points, have gone 11-0 ATS if they had at least the two previous days off.  Take New Orleans.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over the Atlanta Hawks.  Atlanta is on a six-game ATS losing streak, and has dropped 13 of its last 15 to the point spread.  At home, the Hawks are a miserable 1-7-1 ATS on the season.  Admittedly, Denver is on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak.  But defending NBA champs have gone 25-13-1 ATS in the regular season on the road off 3 SU/ATS wins.  Take the Nuggets.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Stonehill Skyhawks + the points over New Hampshire.  The Wildcats come into this game off a double-digit loss at Dartmouth, and have been installed as a huge favorite tonight vs. Stonehill, which has lost 10 of 11.  But UNH has burned money when laying 6 or more points, as it's 3-11 ATS its last 14.  Meanwhile, Stonehill is 4-1 ATS off back to back SU/ATS losses, and 11-7 ATS vs. foes off a SU loss.  Take the points with Stonehill.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles + the points over the Dallas Cowboys.  The Eagles are the league's best team ATS, as they're 8-3-1 ATS this season.  They're also an awesome 21-8 ATS their last 29 vs. winning opponents off back to back wins.  Dallas, meanwhile, is great this season against bad teams, but has not stepped up against the league's best.  And the Cowboys are also a wallet-lightening 19-36-1 ATS vs. winning foes, including 2-14 ATS if Dallas was favored by less than 4 points, 11-26 ATS if Dallas was off a win, and 6-10 ATS if Dallas had revenge.  Take Philadelphia + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Grambling Tigers + the points over Washington St.  The Cougars blew out Riverside, 86-49, in their previous game.  But off that blowout win, we'll fade Wazzu tonight, as it is a wallet-breaking 12-28 ATS off a win by more than 15 points.  And it's 2-15 ATS following a game where it scored more than 82.  Take the Tigers + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Chargers minus the points over Denver.  The Broncos' 5-game win streak was snapped last Sunday by Houston, and I like the Chargers to hand Denver its 2nd straight loss this weekend.  The Broncos are a wallet-busting 0-13 ATS in 'win-situation' games with point spread of 3 or less, if the Broncos were on the road, and owned a win percentage > .350.  Meanwhile, the Chargers are 26-14 ATS in division games if they were off a straight-up win, and owned a losing record on the season.  Take Los Angeles minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills + the points over Kansas City.  The Bills suffered a horrible loss in overtime against the Philadelphia Eagles two weeks ago, and they will be hard-pressed to make the Playoffs this season should they lose this game to the Kansas City Chiefs.  With their season likely on the line, we'll grab the points with Buffalo, which is 45-34-4 ATS off a straight-up loss, including 4-1 ATS with rest.  And it's 7-1-1 ATS on the road off a straight-up loss, when matched up against an opponent with a better record.  Grab the points with Buffalo.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Mercy Titans + the points over Northwestern.  When we last saw the Wildcats, they were upsetting the #1 team in the country, Purdue, in overtime, 92-88.  The Wildcats have had a long layoff following that upset win nine days ago, while Detroit played just three days ago at home, vs. Ball State.  The Titans were upset, 68-65, by the Cardinals in that game.  But they've cashed 60% since 1990 off an upset loss when playing a foe off an upset win.  And the Wildcats are a woeful 6-21 ATS off an upset win, if they weren't getting more than a point in their current game.  Take Detroit.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Indianapolis Colts over the Cincinnati Bengals.  The Bengals pulled off a huge upset last week on Monday Night Football when they won outright as a 10-point dog.  Unfortunately, teams off upset wins as double-digit underdogs have not done well the following week, as they've gone 81-106 ATS.  Take the Colts.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets + the points over Houston.  The Jets lost to the Falcons, at home, last week, 13-8.  New York is back home for this game, and will host the upstart Texans, who are 7-5 on the season.  I like New York, as it's 23-4 ATS at home vs. winning teams if the Jets were at home in their previous game, but didn't win and cover the spread in that game.  Take New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bears + the points over the Detroit Lions.  These two teams met three weeks ago in Ford Field, and the Lions came away with a comeback win, 31-26.  We played on the Bears +7.5 in that game, and will take them as a home underdog today, on Sunday.  Chicago had last week off to rest and prepare for this division revenge match, while Detroit had a home game vs. the Saints.  The Lions are an atrocious 7-26-2 ATS as a road favorite vs. sub-.400 foes.  Take Chicago + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Villanova Wildcats minus the points over UCLA.  The Bruins come into this road game off a narrow win over Cal Riverside, 66-65, as a 17.5-point favorite.  We'll fade the Bruins, as Villanova is a solid 151-105-6 ATS vs. non-conference foes off a win.  Take the Wildcats.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Pacific Tigers + the points over Fresno St.  Pacific is 1-9 ATS on the season, and comes into this game off 3 SU/ATS losses.  We'll grab the points, as Pacific falls into a 60% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off 3 SU/ATS losses that have losing records ATS.  And Fresno is a horrid 15-37-4 ATS as a favorite (or PK) vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Take the Tigers + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Siena Saints + the points over St Bonaventure.  Siena has been installed as a huge underdog this afternoon, and it's 37-24 its last 61 as underdogs of more than 9 points.  The Saints also fall into one of my favorite systems, which is 861-642-30 ATS since 1990.  Take Siena + the points.  good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Army Black Knights minus the points over the Navy Midshipmen.  Army defeated Air Force earlier this season, and will claim the Commander-in-Chief's Trophy with a victory against Navy.  I like Army in this game, as it falls into a Military Series system of mine which is 33-10 ATS since 2006.  The Black Knights ended their season strong with 3 straight wins coming into this final game, including a 28-21 upset win at Coastal Carolina in their previous game.  Navy was blasted in its last game, 59-14, by SMU, and failed to cover the spread by 26 points.  That doesn't bode well for the Midshipmen in this game vs. rival, Army, as Navy has gone 13-5-2 ATS vs. Army when Navy was off an ATS win, but just 7-10 ATS when Navy was off an ATS loss.  And if Army was off a good game, where it covered the spread by 7+ points, then the Black Knights have gone 5-1 ATS vs. Navy.  Finally, the Midshipmen have covered just 5 of 26 games when they weren't getting 10+ points vs. a non-conference foe off an upset win.  Take Army minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:15 pm, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils minus the points over Charlotte.  The Blue Devils have dropped 3 straight games to the spread.  We'll lay the points, as Duke is 25-8 ATS as a favorite (or PK) in the regular season off 3 ATS losses.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers minus the points over Illinois.  The Illini are 7-1 and are outscoring their opposition by 17.75 ppg.  But the Volunteers have dominated top-level foes, as they've gone 9-0 ATS their last nine at home (and 33-14-1 ATS their last 48 at home) vs. foes that own a scoring margin of 10.10 (or better).  Lay the points.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Charlotte.  The Raptors come into this game off back to back home losses to New York and Miami.  And they failed to cover the spread in those two games by -14.5 and -13 points.  We'll lay the points with Toronto, as it's gone 55-33 ATS following back to back point spread losses by 9 or more points, including 11-0-1 ATS on the road vs. sub-.450 opponents.  Take Toronto.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the NC A&T Aggies + the points over High Point.  The Panthers are 7-3 SU and 8-0 ATS, which has triggered a negative 53-106 ATS system of mine.  We'll grab the points with the underdog Aggies, as they are 6-1 ATS as an underdog of +12 (or more) points off a SU loss, and play this game with revenge from 2 losses to the Panthers in 2022.  NC A&T is also 22-11 ATS off a loss by 5+ points, while High Point is 26-36 ATS its last 62 as a favorite.  Take NC A&T + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Holy Cross Crusaders + the points over Boston College.  The Crusaders will make the 35-mile trek to Chestnut Hill on Friday night to take on the Eagles in this non-conference game.  The Eagles are 6-3 SU, but 4-5 ATS after failing to cover the spread in their 14-point win over Central Connecticut St., on Tuesday.  That was B.C.'s fourth ATS loss in its last five games, and Boston College has under-performed out of conference, as it's 49-78-1 ATS, including 22-52 ATS vs. foes that have a .750 (or worse) win percentage.  Even worse:  the Eagles are an ugly 0-11 ATS when favored by 9 or more points off an ATS loss.  Take Holy Cross plus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers over the Denver Nuggets.  The Nuggets won the two prior meetings this season, including a 113-104 victory here at Crypto.com Arena nine days ago.  We'll take Los Angeles to get revenge tonight, as the Clippers are 25-12 ATS when playing with double-revenge, if they weren't an underdog of 3+ points in the current game.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the South Carolina Gamecocks + the points over Clemson.  The Tigers come into tonight's game off back to back upset wins over Alabama and Pitt.  Unfortunately, the Tigers have cashed just 33% since 1990 as a favorite off back to back upset wins.  Even worse for Clemson:  the Gamecocks are 21-12 ATS as an underdog away from home vs. a foe off an upset win.  Take South Carolina.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the St. Mary's Gaels minus the points over Cleveland St.  We played against the Vikings on Saturday, and got the $$$ with Detroit Mercy.  We'll fade the Vikings in this road game in Moraga, as St. Mary's is coming off back to back SU/ATS losses, including a 63-60 loss as a 3.5-point favorite vs. Boise St. last Friday.  We'll lay the points, as St. Mary's is 81-54-2 ATS as a home favorite in non-conference games, including 35-16 ATS off a point spread defeat. Take the Gaels.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Pacific Tigers + the points over Idaho.  Pacific checks in off back to back SU/ATS losses vs. Northridge and Northern Arizona.  We'll grab the points, as the Tigers are 24-13 ATS when priced from +4.5 to -6.5 points, and off back to back SU/ATS losses. And Pacific also falls onto a 205-117 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Take the Tigers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bulls + the points over Butler.  We played on the Bulldogs in their last game, and had a nice overtime win and cover vs. Texas Tech.  Unfortunately, the Bulldogs are a wallet-breaking 14-37-1 ATS as a home favorite, priced from -13 to -26 off an ATS win.  Take Buffalo + the points.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers + the points over Ole Miss.  The Rebels are 7-0 straight-up this season, but they're not making many friends "in Vegas," as they're 2-5 ATS.  And, dating back to 2021, they're an ugly 27-45-2 ATS their last 74, including 8-22-2 ATS as a favorite of more than 3 points.  Even worse:  the SEC Conference has covered just 1 of 9 vs. Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference foes the past 5 seasons.  Grab the points with the Mountaineers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Cornell Big Red + the points over Syracuse.  These two New York rivals will meet at Syracuse tonight, and the Big Red will be looking to snap a 42-game losing streak in the series.  The last Cornell victory occurred in 1968!  It also hasn't helped the Big Red any that the previous 29 meetings dating back to 1982 have been played at Syracuse, rather than at Ithaca.  This has been the most competitive the two teams have been in an awful long time, so it's a perfect time for the Big Red to snap the losing streak.  Cornell is 19-8 in non-conference games the past 3 seasons including 10-1 ATS when priced from +3 to +15.5 points, while Syracuse is 18-34 ATS its last 52 non-conference games when favored by -3 to -15.5 points.  Take the underdog Big Red.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers minus the points over George Mason.  The Patriots are 7-1, but this will be their toughest test of the season-to-date.  And Tennessee has been dominant at home when playing .840 (or better) foes, when it hasn't been favored by 25+ points, as it's gone 38-13 ATS.  Take the Volunteers minus the points.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks + the points over East Carolina.  The Pirates come into this game off an upset win, 74-66, as a 2-point home underdog vs. NC Wilmington.  We'll fade East Carolina tonight, as the Hawks are 8-1 ATS their last nine vs. foes off a win as an underdog (or PK).  And Maryland-Eastern Shore is also 30-13 ATS on the road vs. foes that didn't own an undefeated record.  Grab the points with the Hawks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Stanford Cardinal minus the points over San Diego.  The Toreros have been one of the worst point spread teams in College Basketball, as they're 38-63-4 ATS their last 105.  Today, the Toreros will be in Palo Alto to take on a Cardinal team which is on a 3-game losing streak.  The good news for Stanford is that it's 29-14-1 ATS off 3+ losses, including 8-0-1 ATS at home vs. foes off an ATS loss.  Take the Cardinal minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the San Francisco 49ers minus the points over Philadelphia.  The Eagles have the best record in football, at 10-1, and have won 5 straight, yet are a home underdog vs. the 49ers.  Unfortunately, home dogs of 2 (or more) points, on a 5-game (or better) win streak, have covered just 41% since 2001.  And the 49ers are 30-14-1 ATS their last 45, including 10-1-1 ATS their last 12 vs. .700 (or better) foes.  I'll take San Francisco minus the points.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over Tampa Bay.  The Panthers have won just once this season, and fired head coach Frank Reich on Monday.  Chris Tabor will take over as interim head coach.  We'll take Carolina + the points on Sunday, as underdogs have gone 54-31-2 ATS in NFC South division games if it was the first meeting of the season.  That bodes well for Carolina today.  As does the fact that Tampa's 15-31-2 ATS at home off back to back losses, including 0-5 ATS vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Take Carolina + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Southern Jaguars + the points over Mississippi State.  The Bulldogs were upset, 67-59, as an 8.5-point favorite at Georgia Tech, on Tuesday.  They're now a huge favorite vs. Southern.  Unfortunately, NCAA favorites, priced from -23 to -29.5 points, off an upset loss, are 0-10 ATS their last 10.  And Southern is 5-0 ATS on the road vs. foes off an upset loss.  Take the Jaguars.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Washington Commanders + the points over the Miami Dolphins.  The Commanders were trounced on Thanksgiving Day by Dallas, 45-10.  I like playing on Underdogs following a blowout loss by 14+ points on Thanksgiving, as they've cashed 67% in their next game.  Additionally, underdogs of more than 8 points, off a loss by more than 31 points, have cashed 67.6% over the last 34 years.  Take Washington + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints + the points over Detroit.  The Saints return home after back to back upset losses to the Vikings and Falcons on the road.  I'll take the Saints, as home teams have covered 61.2% since 1980 following back to back upsets as a road favorite.  Grab the points.

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over Houston.  The Lakers were blown out, 133-110, by Oklahoma City on Thursday.  We'll lay the points with Los Angeles, as it's 43-20 ATS off a loss by 15 or more points, if it owned a winning record on the season.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals + the points over Florida State.  These two teams met last season, and Florida State went into Louisville and defeated the Cardinals, 35-31.  We'll take the Cards to avenge that defeat, as underdogs playing with revenge from a loss the previous season have gone 63% ATS in Conference Title games.  Even better:  the Cardinals lost to Kentucky, 38-31, last week.  But Louisville is 8-0 ATS its last eight (and 17-3-1 ATS its last 21) off a point spread loss, and 15-5-1 ATS off a straight-up loss.  Meanwhile, Florida State is a poor 37-65 ATS vs. conference foes not off a SU/ATS win.  Take Louisville.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Atlanta.  The Hawks upset Milwaukee, 127-110, earlier this season.  We'll fade the Hawks tonight, as they're 48-82 ATS on the road vs. an opponent it upset in the previous meeting that season.  Take the Bucks.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over Orlando.  The Magic won last night, but had their eight-game point spread win streak snapped, as the Wizards covered in defeat.  We'll fade Orlando on the road, in Brooklyn, as the Nets are 7-0 ATS this season when priced from -8.5 to +3 points.  Take Brooklyn.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers minus the points over Wisconsin-Green Bay.  The Panthers were upset, 90-84, at home by Southern Miss last weekend.  We'll take Milwaukee to rebound off that loss, as it's cashed 80% as a road favorite off a home loss, while Green Bay is a horrid 6-16 ATS as a home underdog.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Houston Christian Huskies + the points over Rice.  The Owls enter this cross-town rivalry game off a 98-78 blowout win over Tennessee-Martin.  We'll take the underdog Huskies, as Rice is a wallet-busting 13-41 ATS as a favorite of -4 (or more) points, at home, or on a neutral court, after a game where Rice covered the spread.  Take Houston Christian.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Troy Trojans minus the points over Appalachian St.   The Trojans won this Sun Belt Title game last season, as they blew out Coastal Carolina, 45-26, as a 6-point home favorite.  Over the last 2 years, the Trojans have dominated Sun Belt play, as they've gone 14-3 ATS, including 8-0 ATS when priced from -3 to -15 points.  Appalachian St., on the other hand, is 5-13 ATS its last 18 conference games.  Take Troy minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the UNLV Rebels + the points over Boise St.  The Rebels were upset here, at home, by San Jose St. last week.  We'll take UNLV as a home underdog and fade a Boise St. team which has covered just 1 of its last 12 road games vs. an opponent not off a SU/ATS win.  Grab the points with the Rebels.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Mercy Titans + the points over Cleveland State.  The Vikings were blown out, 94-69, at Youngstown St, on Wednesday.  They're now favored by double-digits against Detroit, which is on a 4-game ATS losing streak.  We'll fade Cleveland St., as it's an awful 46-67-2 ATS in conference games off a loss by more than 7 points.  Additionally, underdogs of 11+ points have covered 63% of Horizon League games, if they were on a 3-game (or worse) ATS losing streak.  Take Detroit + the points.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:15 pm, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils minus the points over Georgia Tech.  Duke was upset by Arkansas, 80-75, on Wednesday.  We'll take Duke to bounce back today, as it's 179-115 ATS when it was on a point spread losing streak, and favored (or PK) in the regular season.  And Georgia Tech has covered just one of its last 10 at home off a home win.  Take Duke.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Grambling Tigers + the points over Dayton.  The Tigers have yet to cover the point spread this season, as they're 0-5 ATS.  We'll take Grambling, as road underdogs of +20 (or more) points, off 3 SU/ATS losses, have covered 55% since 1990.  Grab the points.

At 12 Noon, on Saturday, our selection is on the Miami-Ohio RedHawks + the points over Toledo.  These two teams met earlier this season, in Oxford, and the Rockets came away with a 21-17 win as a 2-point road favorite.  Revenge-minded teams have cashed 52% of Conference Title games since 1992, but Miami falls into my best revenge angle which is 25-1-1 ATS since 1994 (and 19-0 ATS since 2009).  Additionally, the Red Hawks are 11-1 ATS when playing with revenge when the line was less than 12 points.  And they're 22-10 ATS vs. a foe off a win.  Take Miami-Ohio.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Penn State Nittany Lions minus the points over Bucknell.  The Nitts come into this home game off 3 SU/ATS losses to Texas A&M, Butler and VCU, and is 4-3 SU and 2-5 ATS on the season.  We'll lay the points, as Penn State is a super 23-12 ATS off 3 SU/ATS losses, as well as 20-11 ATS its last 31 home games (including 6-0 ATS when the Nitts owned a losing point spread record).  Take Penn State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Fresno St. Bulldogs + the points over BYU.  The Bulldogs are 3-3 on the season, and have lost their last two games SU/ATS.  We'll take the Bulldogs to bounce back tonight, as they're an awesome 41-15-2 ATS as underdogs away from home off back to back losses, including 15-2-2 ATS as double-digit underdogs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Iowa St. Cyclones minus the points over DePaul.  The Cyclones have lost against the spread in each of their last three games.  We'll take the Cyclones to get back into the ATS win column tonight, as they're 17-4-1 ATS off 3 ATS losses.  Take Iowa St.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Liberty Flames minus the points over New Mexico St.  These two teams met earlier this season in Lynchburg, and Liberty blew out the Aggies, 33-17.  This game will also be played on the Flames' home field.  The Flames are currently riding a 7-game home win streak.  And they're 9-4 ATS at home when priced from -6 to -20 points.  The Aggies are a poor 2-9 ATS on the road when priced from +8 to +13.5 points.  Take Liberty to blow out New Mexico St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the South Carolina Gamecocks minus the points over George Washington.  The Revolutionaries (I still can't get used to G.W.'s new nickname) blew out Delaware, 81-71, last Sunday, and are 6-1 on the season.  Tonight, they'll travel to Columbia to take on the 6-0 Gamecocks.  We'll lay the points with the home team, as George Washington is a woeful 25-62-1 ATS away from home in the regular season off a win by more than 8 points.  Take the Gamecocks.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over the New York Knicks.  The Pistons lost their 15th straight game last night, 133-107, to the Los Angeles Lakers.  We'll take Detroit + the points on the road vs. the Knicks, as Detroit's played better (based on point spread differential) away from home than in front of its home faithful this season.  New York is 0-8 ATS its last eight (and 13-28-1 ATS its last 42) as a favorite of more than 11 points, if New York was off a straight-up win.  Take Detroit + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Fordham Rams minus the points over Fairleigh-Dickinson.  The Knights lost their 3rd straight game last Sunday when they fell, 97-86, to Robert Morris.  We played against Fairleigh-Dickinson on that day, and we'll go against it here, on Thursday.  Fordham is a solid 23-10-1 ATS at home, including 10-2 ATS vs. foes off back to back losses, while the Knights are 8-14 ATS as a road underdog of more than 3 points.  Lay it.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Butler Bulldogs minus the points over Texas Tech.  The Red Raiders upset the Michigan Wolverines, 73-57, as a 2.5-point underdog last Friday.  We'll go against Texas Tech at Butler, as this will be the Red Raiders' first true road game this season.  The Bulldogs are 25-11 ATS at home vs. foes playing their first road game of the season.  And they're 76-49-2 ATS at home vs. non-conference foes, including 20-3-1 ATS in the regular season when priced from +2.5 to -5 points.  Finally, the Red Raiders are a woeful 0-17 ATS vs. Big East Conference foes when not getting 9+ points.  Take Butler.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over the Houston Rockets.  The Nuggets play tonight's game with revenge from not 1, but 2 losses earlier this season to the Rockets.  But those two games were both on the road; tonight's game is at home.  We'll lay the points, as Denver is 10-0 ATS when playing with revenge at home, and not favored by 9+ points.  Take the Nuggets.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Texas A&M Corpus Christi Islanders + the points over UTEP.  The Miners are a poor 4-13-1 ATS their last 18, while the Islanders are 33-14 ATS their last 47 when not laying more than 7 points.  Here, the Islanders are installed as an underdog, and we'll grab the points.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals minus the points over Bellarmine.  The Knights covered the spread on Sunday at West Virginia, as an 8-point underdog in a 62-58 loss.  Unfortunately for Bellarmine, it's 0-8 ATS its last eight (and 1-11 ATS its last 12) off a point spread win.  Take Louisville.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks minus the points over Tarleton St.  The Texans come into this WAC Conference game off back to back wins over Austin Peay and Cal Bakersfield, while the Lumberjacks were blown out, 79-49, by Utah State in their previous game.  We'll take the homestanding Lumberjacks, as Tarleton is 1-13 ATS off back to back wins, including 0-9 ATS its last nine, and 0-10 ATS in conference play.  Take the Lumberjacks minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gulf Coast Eagles + the points over Florida International.  The Panthers are 2-6 to start the season, and are a home favorite tonight vs. the Eagles.  We'll take the underdog, as the Panthers are a dismal 51-74-1 ATS as a home favorite, while the Eagles are 29-15-2 ATS as an underdog of +3 (or more) points.  Take Florida Gulf Coast.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Navy Cadets minus the points over VMI.  The Cadets are 0-4 this season, but VMI is a horrible 4-19-1 ATS vs. losing teams, when not favored by 2+ points.  Lay the points with Navy.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Huskies minus the points over UC San Diego.  The Huskies come into tonight's game off a 100-97 loss to the San Diego State Aztecs.  Washington was a 6.5-point underdog in that game.  The Tritons also lost as an underdog their last time out, as they fell at Seattle two nights ago, 79-67, as an 8-point dog.  We'll lay the points with the Huskies, as they're an awesome 31-10 ATS off a straight-up loss, including 16-1 ATS vs. a foe off a SU/ATS loss.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Furman Paladins minus the points over South Carolina State.  The Bulldogs are 2-5 SU after losing at Missouri St, 92-74, on Saturday.  Meanwhile, Furman returns home tonight after losing at UAB, 92-86.  The Paladins are 2-0 SU and 1-0 ATS at home this season (compared to 0-4 ATS away from home).  We'll lay the points with Furman, as it's 90-50-1 ATS when favored by more than 6 points, including 39-7 ATS vs. losing foes off a loss by 9+ points.  Take Furman.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Washington St. Cougars minus the points over Eastern Washington.  The Cougars lost to the Eagles last season, 81-74.  We'll take Washington St., as it's covered 75% since 1990 when playing with revenge vs. a non-conference foe which won its previous game.  Lay the points with Washington St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bears + the points over the Minnesota Vikings.  Both teams come into this game off losses.  The Bears lost a heartbreaker last week to Detroit, 31-26, while Minny fell to the Broncos, 21-20.  Unfortunately for the Vikings, winning teams (like Minnesota) have burned money on Monday Night if they lost their previous game, as they've gone 63-81-3 ATS.  Even worse for Minnesota:  revenge-minded NFC North division teams have gone 105-74 ATS if they were playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, and were also off a straight-up loss in their previous game.   With Chicago playing with revenge from a 6-point loss to the Vikings earlier this season, I'll take Chicago + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Eastern Kentucky Colonels minus the points over Troy.  Eastern Kentucky is 21-8 ATS its last 29, while Troy is 7-12 ATS its last 19, including 1-7 ATS on the road.  Take the Colonels as a home favorite.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Fordham Rams minus the points over Manhattan.  Fordham returns home after a 3-game road trip out to the Virgin Islands to compete in the Paradise Jam.  Fordham dropped 2 of those 3 games, including their last one, 79-72, against Kent St.  We'll take Fordham this evening, as it's 22-10 ATS its last 32 at home, as well as 26-12-1 ATS off a SU loss.  Take the Rams.

At 7 pm, our selection is on North Carolina Greensboro minus the points over Illinois Chicago.  The Flames upset George Washington, 89-79, yesterday, and that was its fifth straight win (and 2nd straight upset win), and also its fifth straight cover.  We'll fade Illinois Chicago, as it falls into a negative 34.7% ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams off upset wins.  And the Flames have also covered just 35% of their non-conference games away from home, if they were off an upset win.  Take NC Greensboro.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets + the points over the Orlando Magic.  The Hornets come into this road game off back to back wins over the Celtics and Wizards.  And they're very well-rested, as they had Thursday, Friday and Saturday off.  Orlando, on the other hand, will play with just 1 day of rest.  We'll take Charlotte + the points, as it's cashed 61% as a road underdog when playing with 2+ more days of rest, while Orlando has covered just 38% since 1990 as a home favorite when playing with at least 2 days less of rest.  Take the Hornets.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi Valley St. Delta Devils + the points over Pacific. Mississippi Valley is 0-6 on the season, while the Tigers are 3-3. Unfortunately for Pacific, it has been one of the worse teams against the spread over the last few years, as it's 22-42-2 ATS, including 6-22 ATS when it wasn't getting 3+ points.  And Mississippi Valley St. is an awesome 25-6 ATS when priced from +8.5 to +25 points, if it was off a straight-up loss.  Take the Delta Devils + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills + the points over Philadelphia.  This past Monday, the Eagles won an emotional game, as they upset the Chiefs, who defeated them in last year's Super Bowl.  Off that emotional game, I'll fade Philadelphia here, as teams that avenged a playoff loss with an upset win have cashed just 38.8% in their next game.  Take the Bills.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee-Chattanooga Mocs minus the points over Southeast Missouri St.  The Redhawks are a horrid 21-39-3 ATS as a road underdog, including 5-19 ATS vs. a foe off a SU loss.  With Chattanooga in off an 85-77 loss to Evansville, we'll lay the points with Chattanooga on Sunday.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Robert Morris Colonials minus the points over Fairleigh Dickinson.  The Colonials come into this game off 3 straight losses.  But it's 7-1 ATS its last eight following a 3-game (or worse) losing streak.  Meanwhile, Fairleigh-Dickinson is 1-9-1 ATS its last 11 vs. an opponent off 3+ losses.  Take Robert Morris.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots minus the points over the New York Giants.  The Patriots come into this road game off 3 SU/ATS losses, while the Giants enter off an upset win over the Washington Commanders.  I'll take New England, as it's 22-1 ATS on the road off a loss, if its opponent was off a win.  And road favorites (or PK) off 3 losses have covered 71.8% since 1980 vs. foes off a win.  Take New England.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over the Tennessee Titans.  Both the Panthers and the Titans were blown out in their last game.  Carolina lost by 33 at home to Dallas, while the Titans were routed by Jacksonville, 34-14.  I'll take the points with the Panthers, as they're 47-27 ATS as road underdogs vs. opponents that don't have a winning record.  Meanwhile, Tennessee is a terrible 16-34-3 ATS in non-division games, if the Titans weren't getting 3+ points, including 8-27 ATS if their opponent wasn't off a win.  Take Carolina.