Sports Picks & Predictions

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs minus the points over Jacksonville.  The Jaguars improbably roared back from a 27-0 deficit to stun the Los Angeles Chargers, 31-30.  That was the 3rd biggest comeback in the post-season (following Buffalo's comeback from a 32-point deficit on the Houston Oilers (Tennessee Titans) in the 1993 playoffs, and the Indianapolis Colts' comeback from a 28-point deficit on the Kansas City Chiefs.  And it was one of 26 comeback wins in NFL history by teams trailing by at least 24 points in the game.  However, when one looks at how those teams do the following week, they don't do very well.  Indeed, since 1980, they've covered the spread the following week just 30.7% of the time.  But that's not the worst part.  If a team came back from a 24-point (or worse) deficit, and was on the road in their next game, they've covered just 14%. And if they were playing a .615 (or better) opponent in their next game, then they've covered just 1 of 9.  And if they were an underdog of +4 (or more) points in their next game -- whether home or away -- then they've gone 0-6 ATS.  None of this bodes well for a Jaguars team playing a well-rested, Andy Reid-coached team.  In Reid's career, his teams have gone 29-6 SU and 22-13 ATS when playing with a week of rest, including 9-1 straight-up with Patrick Mahomes at quarterback, and 13-0 straight-up when priced from -3.5 to -9.5 points.  It's true that the Jaguars are playing with revenge from a 10-point loss suffered here earlier this season.  But Reid's teams have gone 83-65-3 ATS against revenge-minded foes, including a perfect 7-0 ATS vs. foes off an upset home win.  Finally, the over/under line for this game is north of 50 points.  Unfortunately for Jacksonville, it's 0-16 straight-up and 2-14 ATS in games with an over/under line of 49+ points.  And it's 0-7 SU/ATS as an underdog of +13 or less points when matched up against an offense that scores > 27.75 ppg.  Take the Chiefs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Loyola Chicago Ramblers + the points over St. Bonaventure.  The Bonnies have been installed as a small road favorite this afternoon vs. Loyola following their upset win over Duquesne on Wednesday.  But St. Bonaventure is a horrid 0-5 ATS its last five (and 7-16 ATS its last 23) as a road favorite of -7 (or less) points.  And Loyola is a solid 22-11-3 ATS at home vs. foes off an upset win.  Take the Ramblers + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Columbia Lions + the points over Brown.  Brown comes into this game off back to back ATS wins over Princeton and Yale.  Unfortunately, it's an awful 10-31 ATS in Ivy League games off back to back ATS wins.  Meanwhile, the Lions are 111-68 ATS as a road underdog of +7 (or more) points.  Take Columbia + the points.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Florida State Seminoles + the points over Pittsburgh.  The Panthers enter this home game off three straight point spread wins on the road, while Florida State comes into this game off an upset win at Notre Dame.  We'll fade the Panthers, as home favorites have covered just 39.7% of conference games since 1990 off 3 road ATS wins, if they were playing an opponent off an ATS win.  Even worse for Pittsburgh:  it's 2-18 ATS as a home favorite in conference games following ATS wins in each of its three previous games.  Grab the points with Florida State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the La Salle Explorers + the points over St. Louis.  The Explorers were upset at home, 71-59, by St. Joseph's on Monday.  We'll take La Salle to bounce back, as double-digit road underdogs have covered 58.2% of conference games off a double-digit home upset defeat.  Take La Salle + the points.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Bucknell Bison minus the points over Holy Cross.  Bucknell comes into this game off an upset win over Army.  And the Bison also play with revenge this afternoon, as the Crusaders won the season's first meeting, 60-58.  We'll take the Bison in the revenge role, as they've covered 67% off an upset win, when playing with revenge against their current foe.  And Holy Cross has covered just 33% in a season's second meeting vs. revenge-minded opponents.  Lay the points with Bucknell.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats over UCLA.  The Wildcats have won 29 of their last 30 (and 39 of their last 44) home games, straight-up.  We'll take Arizona as UCLA has covered just 37% of its Pac-12 road games when it wasn't getting more than 3 points, and its opponent had won at least 31 of its previous 40 home games.  And the home team has gone 13-5 ATS in this series when it wasn't favored by more than 2 points.  Take the Wildcats.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the South Dakota Coyotes minus the points over Nebraska-Omaha.  The Coyotes were upset, 75-60, here at home by Denver, on Thursday.  We'll lay the points with South Dakota, as it's cashed 80% at home off a home upset loss.  And the Mavericks have covered just 37% on the road vs. foes off an upset home loss.  Take South Dakota.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets + the points over Utah.  The Jazz blew out the Clippers, 126-103, on Wednesday.  But off that win, we'll fade Will Hardy's men tonight, and grab the points with a Brooklyn club off 4 SU/ATS losses.  The good news for the Nets is that they're 57-26-2 ATS as an underdog off back to back SU/ATS losses when matched up against a foe off a win by more than 8 points.  Take Brooklyn.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over the San Antonio Spurs.  The Spurs are the league's worst defensive team, but had one of their better games Wednesday when they upset Brooklyn, 106-98.  San Antonio held the Nets to just 42.0 percent shooting, which was just the 7th time all season the Spurs' defense held its opponent to less than 44.0 percent from the floor.  Unfortunately, for San Antonio, it generally doesn't put two good defensive games together, back-to-back.  Indeed, the Spurs have gone 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS in their six games following a defensive effort below 44%.  They lost by an average of 24 ppg, and their defensive FG percentage and points allowed in those six games were 53.8%/143 points, 53.4%/132 points, 52.1%/133 points, 48.4%/126 points, 53.5%/130 points, and 58.1%/126 points.  San Antonio is already 0-2 SU/ATS this season vs. the Clippers.  And they're an ugly 0-10 SU/ATS this season vs. Pacific division teams.  Lay the points with the Clippers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the St John's Red Storm minus the points over Villanova.  The Red Storm were a double-digit dog at UConn, but won outright by double-digits!  Now, they return home, and seek revenge against Villanova.  We'll lay the points, as home favorites off a double-digit win as a double-digit dog have covered 73% when playing an opponent it lost to earlier in the season.  Take the Red Storm.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Arizona State Sun Devils + the points over UCLA.  The Sun Devils have won 4 straight, and have been installed as a home dog tonight vs. the Top 5-ranked Bruins.  We'll take Arizona State, as it's 18-9 ATS as a home underdog off back to back wins.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the UC San Diego Tritons + the points over Cal Poly SLO.  The Mustangs return home tonight after losing back to back road games at Long Beach St and Cal-Riverside.  And they're now on a 5-game losing streak, overall.  The Mustangs are a dreadful 39-68-2 ATS in conference games off a conference loss, including 4-14 ATS as a home favorite.  Take the Tritons + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Gonzaga Bulldogs minus the points over Loyola Marymount.  The Lions come into this game off a 14-point win over San Diego.  We'll fade Loyola Marymount, as Gonzaga is 23-5 ATS at home vs. foes off a win by more than 8 points.  Lay the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Northern Kentucky Norse minus the points over Cleveland St.  Both teams come into this Horizon League game with a 6-2 conference record.  In its last game, the Vikings pulled off a big upset, as they went into Fort Wayne, and knocked off the Mastodons, 72-60, as a 5.5-point road underdog.  We'll fade Cleveland State this evening, as it's covered just 33% on the road off an upset win, if it was matched up against a conference foe off a win.  Additionally, the Norse are 8-0 ATS their last at home vs. winning teams.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Hampton Pirates + the points over Drexel.  The Dragons are 10-8 this season following their upset road win over Northeastern on Saturday.  Meanwhile, the Pirates enter tonight on a long, 9-game losing streak.  We'll go against the Dragons, as they've covered just 23% since 1990 off an upset win, if they were matched up in their current game against a foe off back to back losses.  Take Hampton + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Monmouth Hawks + the points over Charleston.  The Cougars blew out William & Mary, 82-54, on Monday.  Off that win, we'll fade Charleston, as it's 0-8 ATS its last eight (and 1-14 ATS its last 15) conference games off a 20-point (or greater) home conference win.  Take Monmouth + the points.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Utah Tech Trailblazers + the points over Grand Canyon.  The Antelopes were upset on the road by Cal Baptist, 79-74, and now return home to face Utah Tech.  Unfortunately, double-digit home favorites have not done well in the regular season off an upset road loss.  Additionally, WAC Conference double-digit home favorites off an upset loss have covered just 35.7% of games vs. foes off a loss.  Finally, the Antelopes fall into a negative 622-850 ATS system of mine.  Take Utah Tech + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Tech Hokies + the points over Virginia.  The Hokies have lost their last five games -- each as a favorite.  We'll grab the points with Virginia Tech, as road teams off 4+ upset losses have covered 65.5%.  Take the Hokies.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Loyola-Chicago Ramblers + the points over St. Louis.  Loyola-Chicago has won 38 of its last 43 home games.  But it's a big home dog tonight.  We'll grab the points, as home dogs of more than 5 points that have won at least 35 of their previous 40 home games, have cashed 60% since 1990.  Take Loyola + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the American Univ. Eagles minus the points over Lafayette.  The Eagles went into Lafayette in late December and blew out the Leopards, 60-47.  That kicked off a four-game win streak for the Eagles.  But American stumbled on the road last week vs. Army and Lehigh, so it's now lost its last two game.  We'll take the Eagles to bounce back tonight against a Lafayette team riding a 3-game SU/ATS win streak, as the Leopards have covered just 37% off back to back wins.  And they've won just 13 of the last 38 games in this series.  Lay the points with American.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats minus the points over Georgia.  The Bulldogs enter Lexington off back to back wins.  We'll fade Georgia, as Kentucky is 71-34 ATS at home vs. foes off back to back wins, if Kentucky wasn't favored by more than 14 points.  Lay it.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Boise St Broncos minus the points over Nevada.  The Wolf Pack won a squeaker earlier this year, 74-72, over Boise.  We'll take the Broncos to avenge that defeat, as it falls into a 123-59 ATS revenge system of mine which plays on certain .666 (or better) teams playing with revenge.  And Boise's also 25-14 ATS as a home favorite when playing an opponent it lost to earlier in the season.  Lay the points.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons minus the points over Clemson.  Wake's 5-1 SU/ATS its last six, and will look to avenge a 20-point blowout at the hands of the Tigers in early December.  The Tigers are a poor 13-22 ATS as a road dog vs. a revenge-minded foe.  Lay the points with Wake Forest.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Evansville Purple Aces + the points over Southern Illinois.  The Salukis have won 9 of their last 10, and have been installed as a huge home favorite vs. the Purple Aces, who have dropped 6 straight.  It's true that Evansville was defeated by 27 in the first meeting between these teams.  But Missouri Valley Conference underdogs (or PK) have gone 136-91 ATS as underdogs (or PK) when playing with revenge from an 18-point loss earlier in the season.  Take Evansville.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Boston College Eagles + the points over North Carolina.  The Eagles were blown out, 85-63, by Wake Forest in their last game.  And they also lost 88-72 two games back.  But BC is 50-28 ATS away from home off back to back ATS losses, including 8-1 ATS its last 9.  Take the Eagles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Tulane Green Wave + the points over Houston.  The Green Wave have won and covered 5 straight, and are also 19-7 ATS their last 26 conference games.  Last year, Houston routed the Green Wave by 20.  But we'll grab the points with the red-hot home underdog, as Tulane's covered 67% since 1990 when they were off 3 SU/ATS wins and playing with revenge.  Take Tulane.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Eastern Michigan Eagles + the points over Kent St.  The Eagles come into tonight's game off back to back SU/ATS road losses, while Kent has won each of its last two games.  We'll take the big home dog tonight, as Eastern Michigan has covered 66% the past 33 seasons as a double-digit dog off back to back SU/ATS losses, if its foe was off back to back wins.  Grab the points.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets + the points over the Los Angeles Lakers.  Yes, the Rockets have lost 10 straight, and are the league's worst W/L team.  But the Lakers can't be trusted to lay points to any team, as they're 24-40-1 ATS as a favorite, including 4-11 ATS vs. .285 (or worse) opponents.  The Rockets also fall into a great NBA system of mine which is 409-277 ATS.  Take Houston + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on Cal State Northridge + the points over Hawaii.  Big West Conference underdogs of more than 7 points have gone 74-40 ATS off a home loss, when matched up against conference foes off a win.  With Northridge in off a 71-57 SU/ATS home loss to Irvine, and Hawaii off a SU/ATS win over Long Beach, we'll grab the points with the Matadors.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Wagner Seahawks + the points over Merrimack.  The Warriors upset Stonehill, 59-47, on Saturday.  But that game was on the road.  Now, Merrimack is back home, where it's 1-11-1 ATS its last 13 when not favored by more than 5 points.  Take Wagner as a road underdog.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers + the points over Florida Atlantic.  The Owls are 16-1, but are ripe for an upset loss tonight.  Florida Atlantic has been installed as a road favorite vs. the Hilltoppers, who are on a 3-game win streak (both SU and ATS).  But the Owls are 6-15-1 ATS when favored on the road by more than 2 points.  Take Western Kentucky to win its fourth straight game SU/ATS.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi Valley St Delta Devils + the points over Florida A&M.  The Rattlers have won 6 of their last 25 games, and have gone 9-13-1 ATS over that stretch, but have been installed as a small favorite this afternoon.  Florida A&M is 2-9 ATS when not getting double-digits, and 1-4 ATS as a favorite.  And it's 1-7 ATS vs. a foe off a loss.  Take Mississippi Valley St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Villanova Wildcats minus the points over Georgetown.  The Wildcats have dropped 3 straight games since routing Georgetown, 73-57, in DC.  We'll lay the points, as the Hoyas are 1-7 ATS their last eight with revenge, while Villanova is 50-27-4 ATS off a point spread loss.  Take the Wildcats.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Columbia Lions + the points over Cornell.  The Lions have been blown out in each of their last three games, but are 14-2 ATS their last 16 off three ATS losses in their 3 previous games.  Take Columbia + the points.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Xavier Musketeers minus the points over Marquette.  We played on the Golden Eagles in their upset win over UConn on Wednesday.  But off that upset win, we'll fade Marquette this afternoon, as it falls into negative 64-104 and 40-79 ATS systems of mine that fade certain teams off upsets.  Additionally, Xavier is on a 10-game win streak and has covered four straight.  And the Musketeers fall into a 251-149 ATS 'momentum' system of mine which plays on certain home teams on SU/ATS win streaks.  Finally, Xavier plays this game with revenge from a loss to Marquette last season.  And the Musketeers are 45-21 ATS when playing with revenge, if they owned a winning SU/ATS record, and their foe was off a SU/ATS win.  Take Xavier.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers over Dallas.  The Mavericks have won 6 straight vs. Portland, and also come into this game off an overtime win vs. the Lakers.  We'll take Portland, as Dallas is a wallet-breaking 18-41-1 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes with a .333 (or better) W/L percentage, if Dallas was off a SU win.  Take the Blazers minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over Utah.  The Sixers were shocked, 133-114, by Oklahoma City, as a 10.5-point home favorite on Thursday.  We'll look for Philly to bounce back, as it's cashed 67% since 1990 as a favorite off an upset loss as a favorite of more than 9 points.  Take Philly.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Texas-Arlington Mavericks + the points over New Mexico St.  We played on the Aggies in their last game, and got the $$$ when they covered the spread in a 3-point loss vs. Seattle.  They were a 4-point underdog in that game.  But tonight, they're a big favorite against a Mavericks squad on a 5-game SU/ATS losing streak.  We'll take the points with Arlington, as the Mavs are 82-60 ATS as underdogs, including 13-4 ATS when they were off back to back SU/ATS losses.  And the Aggies are 0-12-1 ATS at home off a loss when playing a foe off back-to-back SU/ATS losses.  Take Texas Arlington.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the San Diego St Aztecs minus the points over New Mexico.  The Lobos are 15-2 on the season, and have been installed as a road underdog vs. 13-3 SDSU.  We'll lay the points, as Mountain West Conference home favorites have covered 60% since 1990 vs. conference foes with a better overall record.  Take San Diego St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Drake Bulldogs minus the points over Bradley.  The Braves blew out Evansville by 45 points in their previous game.  Off that big win, we'll fade Bradley today, as it's 25-45 ATS as a road underdog off a double-digit win.  Take Drake.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Little Rock Trojans + the points over Eastern Illinois.  The Panthers have long been one of the worst ATS teams at home, as they're 93-136-2 ATS in Charleston, including a blowout, 80-62, loss on Thursday vs. Edwardsville.  We'll take Little Rock this afternoon.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the LSU Tigers + the points over Alabama.  The Tigers come into this game off back to back SU/ATS losses.  But LSU has cashed 60% of SEC games since 1990 as double-digit dogs off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Take the Tigers + the points.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane + the points over Wichita St.  The Shockers upset South Florida, 70-66, on Thursday.  We'll fade Wichita this afternoon, as it's 3-14 ATS its last 17 games off a win, including 0-8 ATS when favored by more than 2 points, and 0-7 ATS vs. an opponent off a SU loss.  Take Tulsa.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Mercer Bears + the points over East Tennessee St.  The Buccaneers are a dismal 4-10 ATS their last 14, overall.  But at home, the numbers are even worse, as the Bucs are 0-9 ATS their last nine (and 4-17 ATS their last 21).  Take Mercer + the points.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Nicholls St Colonels minus the points over Northwestern St.  The Colonels were upset, 69-66, as an 11-point favorite by Lamar on Thursday.  We'll take Nicholls State to bounce back, as it falls into a 72.4 percent ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off upset losses.  Additionally, the Colonels have covered 57% off an upset loss, while Northwestern St. is 28% ATS as an underdog vs. foes off an upset loss.  Take Nicholls St. minus the points.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions minus the points over Florida A&M.  The Golden Lions have been installed as a road favorite this afternoon.  We'll lay the points, as the Golden Lions are 11-1 ATS when not installed as an underdog of more than a point.  Take Pine Bluff.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Monmouth Hawks + the points over Towson.  The Hawks have been installed as a big underdog this afternoon.  We'll take the points, as Colonial Athletic Ass'n road underdogs of +9 (or more) points have gone 89-56 ATS off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Take Monmouth.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Bucknell Bison + the points over Colgate.  The Raiders are on a 5-game win streak, and are 11-7 on the season.  But we'll take the underdog Bison, as Bucknell has cashed 65% as an underdog off a SU loss, if they were playing a .600 (or better) foe.  Grab the points with Bucknell.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Columbia Lions + the points over Harvard.  The Lions are catching double-digits this afternoon from Harvard.  Columbia is 88-55 ATS away from home when getting more than 9 points, so that bodes well for the road team.  And the Crimson are a poor 25-42-2 ATS as a home favorite in Ivy League games off a SU loss.  Take Columbia.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi Rebels minus the points over Georgia.  The Rebels are on a 5-game losing streak.  But we'll lay the points this afternoon, as SEC favorites have gone 96-59 ATS off back to back losses when matched up against a conference foe which owned a winning conference record.  Take Mississippi.

At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Loyola Chicago Ramblers + the points over St Josephs.  The Hawks are on a 4-game losing streak, and have also failed to cover three straight.  They're installed as a home favorite vs. Loyola.  But St Joe's is a poor 28% ATS at home since 1990 off back to back losses, if they were also playing an opponent off a SU loss.  Additionally, the Ramblers fall into a super 129-61 ATS system of mine which plays on certain underdogs off SU/ATS losses.  Take Loyola + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats + the points over Tennessee.  The Volunteers defeated the Wildcats in last year's SEC Tournament, as a 3-point underdog.  We'll grab the points with the revenge-minded Wildcats, as Kentucky is 46-36-4 ATS when playing with revenge from an upset conference loss.  And Tennessee is 7-23 ATS off a win, when playing an opponent it upset in the previous meeting.  Take Kentucky.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the NC State Wolfpack minus the points over Miami-Fla.  These teams met 5 weeks ago in Miami, and the Hurricanes took an 80-73 victory.  We'll take NC State in this rematch, as it's cashed 61% since 1990 in ACC Conference games, if it was favored and playing with revenge from a loss in the season's first meeting.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers over the Denver Nuggets.  The Nuggs blew out Phoenix, 126-97, on Wednesday to run their win streak to 4 games.  But all four games were at home.  They'll now play on the road, where they've dropped five of their last seven.  Denver is also 49-85-1 ATS on the road off a SU/ATS win, including 25-54-1 ATS off a double-digit win.  Take the Clippers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets + the points over the Sacramento Kings.  The Rockets and Kings met here, in Sacramento, on Wednesday, and the Kings blew out Houston, 135-115.  We'll take Houston in the rematch, as double-digit road dogs have covered 61% off a 20-point (or worse) loss to the same opponent in their previous game.  Take Houston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over San Antonio.  The Warriors have lost three straight games -- all as a home favorite -- so they'll look to get off the schneid tonight.  This game will be played at the Alamodome (which I still wish was the Spurs' home venue), and will break the all-time attendance record, as 63,592 tickets have already been sold.  Since 1990, defending NBA champs have covered 61% as road favorites of -6 (or more) points off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Take the Warriors minus the points.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over Indiana.  Trae Young has been upgraded to probable, and that's all we need to pull the trigger on the Hawks tonight.  Young didn't play on Wednesday vs. Milwaukee.  Understandably, the Hawks were hammered, 114-105.  And they also lost to Indiana, 129-114, in late December.  We'll take Atlanta tonight, as road favorites off a home loss, and playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, have gone 182-138 ATS.  Lay the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the St Peter's Peacocks + the points over Quinnipiac.  The Bobcats come into this game off 3 SU/ATS wins.  Unfortunately, they're 0-9-1 ATS when priced from -4 to -13 points off back to back ATS wins.  Additionally, the Peacocks are 125-91-5 ATS as a road underdog.  Grab the points with the Peacocks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the New Mexico State Aggies + the points over Seattle.  The Redhawks are 12-4, and have won their last 4 games.  But we'll fade Seattle tonight, as New Mexico State is 10-2 ATS its last 12 vs. foes with a .750 (or better) record.  Grab the points with the Aggies.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Northern Colorado Bears + the points over Sacramento State.  The Bears are 0-4 in conference play following their loss at home to Montana on Saturday.  We'll grab the points with Northern Colorado, as Big Sky Conference teams have gone 96-55 ATS in conference games away from home if they were off a loss, if they didn't own a winning conference record.  Grab the points with the Bears.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over Arizona St.  The Sun Devils are back on the Pac-12 road after a 3-game home stand.  ASU won its last two games, with wins over Washington State and Washington.  Unfortunately, the Sun Devils are a nasty 39-54-7 ATS on the road off back to back home games.  Lay the points with Oregon.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Texas Arlington Mavericks + the points over Grand Canyon.  The Mavericks are 40-20-3 ATS off back to back losses, and 82-59-4 ATS as an underdog.  And if the Mavs were a road underdog off back to back losses, then they've gone 19-8-1 ATS.  Take Texas Arlington + the points tonight.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets + the points over Boston.  The Nets' hot streak reached 14-1 their last 15 with a 102-101 road victory over Miami.  And what's been most impressive about Brooklyn's tear is that 10 of those 15 games were on the road.  Brooklyn's back home for this game, and it will be just its fourth home game since December 10.  The Nets, though, have thoroughly dominated here, at home, as they won those three games by 30 (Golden State), 18 (Milwaukee) and 36 (San Antonio).  We'll look for another big game by Brooklyn tonight against the unrested Celtics, who won last night vs. New Orleans.  Brooklyn is 65-38 ATS as a rested underdog vs. unrested foes off a win.  Take Brooklyn + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Hurricanes minus 1.5 goals over Columbus.  The Hurricanes are on a 4-game losing streak.  But they scored 3 goals in defeat, in each of those games.  And that bodes well for the road team tonight, as the Canes are 33-13 after scoring 3+ goals in 4 straight games.  Lay 1.5 goals with Carolina.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas A&M Aggies minus the points over Missouri.  Texas A&M is 67-48-1 ATS as a single-digit home favorite, while Missouri is 36-63-4 ATS as a single-digit road underdog.  Lay the points with the Aggies.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the SMU Mustangs + the points over Tulane.  The Green Wave upset Temple in Philadelphia, 87-76, on Saturday.  But Tulane is a horrible 15-34 ATS in conference games off a road win.  Take SMU as a home dog tonight.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Monmouth Hawks + the points over Hofstra.  The Hawks were blown out by 32 points, 67-35, on Saturday by Drexel.  And that was Monmouth 5th straight loss (both SU and ATS), overall.  We'll take Monmouth as a double-digit road underdog tonight, as Colonial Athletic Ass'n teams have gone 89-55 ATS as road dogs of +9 (or more) points off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Take Monmouth.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the High Point Panthers minus the points over Charleston Southern.  The Buccaneers upset Presbyterian, 67-61, as a 3-point road underdog on Saturday.  They're now installed as a small home underdog vs. the Panthers, who are on a 5-game SU/ATS losing streak.  Unfortunately, Charleston Southern is a poor 11-20 ATS as an underdog of less than 11 points.  And NCAA road favorites have cashed 62% vs. .400 (or better) foes when our road favorite was on a 5-game SU/ATS losing streak.  Lay the points with High Point.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks over Alabama.  When these teams last met, Alabama edged Arkansas, 68-67, at home, as a 5-point favorite.  We'll take Arkansas tonight, as 'Bama is 34-73 ATS away from home in the regular season when priced from -3 to +6.5, if it was off a win, and not playing with revenge.  Take the Razorbacks.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Marquette Golden Eagles + the points over Connecticut.  Marquette is on a 4-game SU/ATS winning streak, and falls into a 68-34 ATS 'momentum' system of mine which plays on certain teams off 3+ SU/ATS wins.  Additionally, the Golden Eagles are 52-32 ATS as an underdog off back to back ATS wins.  Grab the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on Navy minus the points over Lafayette.  The Midshipmen were upset by Lehigh, 78-73, as a 9-point home favorite on Sunday.  We'll take Navy to bounce back tonight, as it's 10-5 ATS as a favorite off a SU/ATS loss.  Lay the points.

At 11 pm, our selection is on the San Diego State Aztecs minus the points over Nevada.  The Wolf Pack blew out  San Jose St, 67-40, on Saturday.  But San Diego St is 90-53-1 ATS as a favorite (or PK) vs a foe off a win by more than 8 points.  Take the Aztecs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Phoenix.  The Suns have won the last 3 meetings in this series, but will field a much different team tonight due to their injuries.  And the Suns are struggling mightily without their best players, as they have lost six straight games.   Golden State is also on a losing streak, but a much smaller one.  The Orlando Magic upset Golden State, 115-101, on Saturday.  And that was Golden State's 2nd straight upset defeat here, at home.  We'll take the Warriors to bounce back, as they're 131-96 ATS off back to back losses, including 24-12 ATS as a favorite of -6 (or more) points.  Moreover, the Warriors are 25-14 ATS when playing with double revenge.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane + the points over Temple.  The Golden Hurricane have lost 4 straight games (both SU and ATS), but are undervalued tonight.  Temple is 1-11 ATS on the road when playing an opponent off back to back losses (and on a 3-game ATS losing streak).  Take Tulsa + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish minus the points over Georgia Tech.  The Irish have lost their last 3 games SU/ATS.  But over the last 33 years, ACC teams off 3 SU/ATS losses have cashed 68% as single-digit favorites vs. conference foes off a SU/ATS loss.  And the Irish are 7-0 ATS the last seven meetings vs. Ga Tech.  Lay the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Loyola-Chicago Ramblers + the points over VCU.  The Ramblers have lost four straight games, and are a home dog tonight vs. the Rams, who won, 89-72, vs. Davidson, on Saturday.  We'll fade the Rams, as they're a poor 15-29 ATS on the conference road off a SU/ATS win, if they're playing a foe off a SU/ATS loss.  Take Loyola-Chicago + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Fordham Rams + the points over Dayton.  The Rams are 12-1 at home, but have been installed as a big home dog vs. the Flyers, who are on a 6-game SU/ATS win streak.  Unfortunately for Dayton, it's an awful 2-14 ATS on the road when it's been on a 3-game (or better) ATS win streak.  Take Fordham.

At 7 pm our selection is on the Oklahoma St Cowboys + the points over Kansas St.  The Wildcats upset Baylor on the road, 97-95, in overtime on Saturday.  But off that upset win, we'll fade the Wildcats at home tonight, as it falls into a negative 30-81 ATS system of mine.  Additionally, the Wildcats are a wallet-burning 14-25 ATS off back to back wins, if it was off an upset win in its previous game.  Grab the points with Oklahoma St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Los Angeles.  The Lakers enter tonight's game on a 5-game SU/ATS win streak.  And Los Angeles was an underdog in each of those 5 games!  Will it make it six-in-a-row tonight?  I don't think so, as the Lakers are a poor 26-47-4 ATS in the regular season vs. .600 (or better) foes, if L.A. is off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Take the Nuggets.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the New Mexico Lobos minus the points over Oral Roberts.  The Lobos come into this home game off back to back upset losses to Fresno and UNLV.  We'll lay the points with New Mexico, as it's 12-2-1 ATS its last 15 (and 39-19-2 ATS its last 60) at home off back-to-back losses.  Take the Lobos.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the TCU Horned Frogs + the points over Georgia.  The Bulldogs are the defending champs, and are a deserved favorite.  But they've been an average team against the point spread this year.  They're 7-7 ATS, and have gone 4-4 ATS away from home, with an average point spread differential of 1.75.  In contrast, TCU is 10-2-2 ATS, and has gone 5-0-2 ATS away from home, with an average point spread differential of 7.00.  Additionally, Big 12 Conference teams have gone 14-5 ATS in the Bowls when installed as an underdog of more than 9 points.  We'll take the points with the Horned Frogs.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over the Chicago Bulls.  The Bulls are on a 3-game SU/ATS win streak after 3 upset wins over the Nets, 76ers and Jazz.  Tonight, they'll face a revenge-minded Celtics team which is looking to avenge a 14-point loss to Chicago earlier this season.  We'll take Boston, as Chicago is a dismal 35-53 ATS  off 3 SU/ATS wins if they were matched up against a revenge-minded foe.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over the Utah Jazz.  This is the 2nd game in two days for the Jazz, who lost in Chicago on Saturday, 126-118.  And that was Utah's sixth loss in its last seven games (2-5 ATS).  Utah is now 20-22, which is a far cry from its 10-3 SU/ATS start to the season.  In that 10-3 start, the Jazz defeated Utah twice.  But both of those games were in Salt Lake City.  Today's game is in Memphis, where the Grizzlies are 34-15 ATS in the regular season when playing with revenge.  Utah's a poor 4-16 ATS on the road when its opponent has revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  And it's 30-48-2 ATS when unrested and playing the 2nd of back-to-back road games (including 5-16-1 ATS when getting more than 6 points).  Take Memphis.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bears + the points over the Minnesota Vikings.  The Vikings were blown out last week, and they’re now a road favorite against Nathan Peterman and the Bears.  Unfortunately for Minnesota, it’s 0-12 ATS as a division road favorite of -3 (or more) points if Minnesota lost its previous game.  And it’s 0-2 ATS this year, and 2-9 ATS its last 11 when favored by more than 5 points.  Meanwhile, the Bears are 21-5 ATS as a home dog if they were off back to back losses, and failed to cover the spread by more than 3 points in their previous game.  Take Chicago + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals minus the points over the Baltimore Ravens.  This will likely be the first of back-to-back meetings between these AFC North rivals, as Cincinnati will probably be seeded #3, while the Ravens will probably earn the #6 seed in the conference seedings.  Anything could happen, of course, but that's the most likely scenario.  If they meet next week, there would also possibly be a major change in the Ravens' on-field personnel, as QB Lamar Jackson would make his return from injury.  For this game, Baltimore will once again start Tyler Huntley.  That gives the decided edge in this game to Cincinnati, which is playing the best of any team in the league.  Last Monday, in the cancelled game vs. Buffalo, the Bengals had scored a touchdown on their first possession, and looked to be on their way to scoring at least a field goal, if not a touchdown, on their second possession.  When the Bengals/Bills game was halted, the in-game line was Cincinnati -3.5, with an over/under of 56.5.  I believe the Bengals would have gone on to win that game.  This Bengals team is just not one I want to step in front of right now.  They’ve covered 12 of their last 13, with their only loss coming on Monday Night Football in a horrible situation against the Browns, who were looking to snap a 4-game losing streak.  The Bengals are an incredible 9-0 ATS their last 9 (and 20-4 ATS their last 24) when playing a winning opponent, if the Bengals were not getting more than 5 points.  Take Cincy.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over New Orleans.  The Mavs had last night off, while New Orleans lost, 108-102, to the red-hot Brooklyn Nets.  We'll take Dallas, as it's 29-13 ATS at home when favored by more than 5, and playing with rest against an unrested division foe.  And Dallas is also 20-6-1 ATS at home vs. the Pelicans, if New Orleans wasn't playing with revenge from a loss suffered earlier in the season.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs over the Detroit Pistons.  The Spurs have been installed as a small favorite (as of this writing).  And it's just the 2nd time all season that the Spurs were favored.  Surprisingly, the only other time was against the Milwaukee Bucks, who (obviously) played without Giannis Antetokounmpo on that night.  The Spurs blew out Milwaukee, 111-93, in that game.  And they're now 21-12-1 ATS their last 34 as a favorite.  Even better:  the Spurs have gone 65-22 ATS at home vs. Eastern conference foes, if the Spurs were off a loss, and their opponent was not off a SU/ATS loss.  And San Antonio is 11-4 ATS the last 15 meetings vs. Detroit, including 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS at home.  Take the Spurs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11 pm, our selection is on the Washington Huskies + the points over Arizona.  The Huskies come into this game off 3 home losses to Auburn (84-61), USC (80-67) and UCLA (74-49).  I love Washington to bounce back tonight, as it falls into a 269-173-8 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off 3 SU/ATS losses.  Additionally, NCAA teams off 3 SU/ATS home losses have gone 139-109-3 ATS away from home in the regular season since 1990.  Finally, Washington is a solid 40-24-1 ATS as a double-digit road underdog off a SU loss.  Take the Huskies.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Houston.  The Jazz suffered their fifth straight defeat on Tuesday when Sacramento edged them for the 2nd time in five days, 117-115.  And the most frustrating part of this 5-game losing streak is that the losses have been by 4, 5, 1, 3 and 2 points.  Tonight, Utah will travel to Houston to take on the woeful Rockets.  Houston is also riding a 5-game losing streak.  But, unlike Utah, its losses have been by 24, 15, 20, 5 and 11 points.  The Rockets are an ugly 4-27 ATS at home off 3+ losses, if they were playing a rested foe with a losing record.  And Utah's 43-21 ATS off an upset home loss, if the Jazz were rested, and playing a losing team.  Take the Jazz minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana-Lafayette Rajin Cajuns minus the points over Southern Miss.  The Cajuns are on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak after dropping a 70-66 decision to Old Dominion on Saturday.  But all of those losses were on the road.  The good news is that the Cajuns are back home tonight to take on the Monarchs.  And La-Lafayette has cashed 71% as a home favorite since 1990 off 3 SU/ATS losses.  Take Louisiana Lafayette tonight.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Dallas.  The Celts were smashed, 150-117, by Oklahoma City in their previous game.  And that was their 2nd straight upset defeat.  But Boston is 14-1 ATS off back to back upset losses, if they were favored by 2+ points in their current game.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:00 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin-Green Bay Phoenix + the points over Fort Wayne.  The Phoenix lost by 16 at Oakland, 81-65, as a 12-point underdog on Saturday.  And that was their 2nd straight ATS defeat.  But Green Bay is 72-52 ATS on a 2-game (or worse) ATS losing streak.  Grab the points.

At 7 pm our selection is on the Jacksonville State Gamecocks + the points over Liberty.  The Gamecocks come into tonight's game off back to back SU/ATS losses to North Alabama and Jacksonville.  But the Gamecocks have excelled as double-digit underdogs, as they're 66-42 ATS.  And they've also gone 27-14 ATS on the road off back to back ATS losses.  Take the Gamecocks + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Providence Friars + the points over Connecticut.  Providence has won and covered 7 straight.  And this hot streak has triggered several 'momentum' systems of mine, with records of 33-4, 50-20 and 55-24 ATS.  Additionally, the Friars are 21-12 ATS as a home dog off a win.  Take Providence.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks minus the points over Missouri.  Arkansas is 11-2 on the season while Mizzou is 12-1.  We'll lay the points with the Razorbacks, as they're 40-21-2 ATS at home vs. conference foes with a better SU/ATS record.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions + the points over Alabama State.  The Hornets defeated Mississippi Valley St, 70-61, on Monday.  But they're 13-20 ATS off a conference win.  We'll grab the points with Pine Bluff, as it falls into a 64.6% ATS system of mine which plays on certain losing teams as road underdogs.  Take the Golden Lions + the points.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls + the points over the Brooklyn Nets.  The Nets blew out San Antone, 139-103, for their 12th win in a row.  We'll fade Brooklyn tonight, as NBA teams on a 5-game (or better) win streak, are 11-37 ATS off a win by more than 25 points.  Take Chicago.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Evansville Purple Aces + the points over Missouri St.  The Bears are a woeful 2-15-2 ATS at home when favored by more than 12 points.  Take Evansville as a double-digit dog.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the VMI Keydets + the points over Samford.  Samford is 8-7 on the season, while VMI is 5-10, including back to back SU/ATS losses in its last two games.  We'll take the underdog, as VMI is 30-6 ATS as an underdog of +5 (or more) points when playing a foe with a winning record, while Samford is 0-7 ATS at home vs. losing teams off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Grab the points with the Keydets.