Sports Picks & Predictions

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Miami.  The Heat won two meetings vs. Milwaukee in January.  But Giannis Antetokounmpo and Khris Middleton were sidelined for each game.  We'll take the Bucks to avenge those defeats, and win their 7th straight tonight.  Milwaukee has been awful as an underdog this season (4-8 ATS), but has gone 24-15-1 ATS when it wasn't an underdog, including 10-0 SU and 7-3 ATS its last 10.  Lay the points.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls minus the points over Portland.  The Bulls have been dominant as a home favorite, as they're 30-15 ATS their last 45.  Meanwhile, the Trail Blazers have been poor as an underdog, as they've gone 32-49-2 ATS their last 83.  That doesn't bode well for Portland tonight.  Nor does the fact that the Blazers had to play last night, while Chicago had Friday off.  Portland is a wallet-busting 6-17 ATS on the road when playing without rest, if their opponent was rested, and off a straight-up win.  Lay the points with Chicago.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the St. Bonaventure Bonnies + the points over Dayton.  The Bonnies come into this home game off back to back upset wins over VCU and Richmond.  We'll look for St. Bonaventure to make it three-in-a-row, as it's 10-0 ATS at home its last 10 off an ATS win.  Take the Bonnies + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Lamar Cardinals + the points over Northwestern St.  The Demons have won five straight, including an 80-65 victory over the Cardinals last Saturday, and are now 7-3 in Southland Conference play.  Unfortunately, they've covered just 22% off a win, when playing a revenge-minded opponent they defeated earlier in the season. We'll take Lamar in this rematch, as the Cardinals are 11-2-1 ATS as a home underdog priced from +5.5 to +13 points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over Purdue.  The Boilermakers have been installed as a road underdog this afternoon in Bloomington.  Unfortunately, for the #1-ranked Boilermakers, they're a horrid 37-60-6 ATS as single-digit road underdogs, including 3-10-3 ATS vs. foes off a double-digit loss.  With Indiana in off a 66-55 defeat at Maryland, we'll take the Hoosiers this afternoon to bounce back.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana State Tigers + the points over Alabama.  The Crimson Tide blew out LSU last month, 106-66.  We'll take the revenge-minded Tigers this afternoon, as NCAA double-digit underdogs, playing with revenge from a 40-point (or worse) defeat suffered earlier in the season, have covered 61% since 1990.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte 49ers + the points over Florida Atlantic.  We played against the Owls on Thursday, and got the $$$ with UAB.  And we'll go against Florida Atlantic once again, on this Saturday.  Charlotte lost by 4 points on the road vs. the Owls last month.  But the 49ers have covered 60.3% as home dogs when playing with revenge.  Take Charlotte + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Butler Bulldogs + the points over Marquette.  The Bulldogs have lost their last 4 games SU/ATS, with each defeat by more than 20 points.  But off those 4 blowout losses, we'll take Butler, as NCAA teams off 4+ SU/ATS losses by more than 20 points have covered 62.9% since 1990.  Take Butler.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Monmouth Hawks + the points over Drexel.  The Dragons smashed Monmouth, 67-35, last month.  We'll take Monmouth to avenge that embarrassing defeat, as NCAA home dogs have covered 65.3% since 1990 when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season in which they scored less than 38 points.  Take the Hawks.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Longwood Lancers minus the points over Campbell. The Lancers return home off an upset loss at Winthrop.  And Longwood is 20-8-1 ATS at home its last 29, while Campbell is a poor 6-14 ATS vs. foes off a point spread loss.  Take Longwood.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma State Cowboys minus the points over TCU.  The Cowboys are favored in this game, and are 9-0 ATS their last nine as a favorite.  Lay the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Morgan State Bears minus the points over Delaware State.  The Hornets won round 1 last Saturday as they defeated Morgan State, 64-62.  This game will be played at a neutral site, in Newark, NJ, and we'll lay the points with the revenge-minded Bears, who have covered 83% the last 3 years when playing with same-season revenge.  Additionally, the Bears fall into a 60.7% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Lay the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets + the points over NC State.  The Jackets were upset by Louisville, 68-58, on Wednesday.  We'll take Georgia Tech to bounce back this afternoon, as it's 18-4 ATS off a 9-point (or worse) upset loss.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Virginia Tech Hokies minus the points over Virginia.  The Home team has dominated this cross-state rivalry, with a 14-5 ATS record since February 2013, including 6-0 ATS as a favorite of less than 12 points.  Lay the points with the Hokies.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Iowa State Cyclones + the points over Kansas.  Kansas defeated the Cyclones by 2 points in Lawrence three weeks ago.  We'll take ISU in the rematch, as it's 46-30 ATS at home when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, including 10-2 ATS off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Take Iowa State.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the San Diego State Aztecs minus the points over Boise State.  This Mountain West Conference game is between two teams with 8-2 league records, so the winner will sit alone in first place.  San Diego State was upset by Nevada on Tuesday, while Boise won that night at Air Force.  And those results set up our play tonight.  We'll lay the points with the homestanding Aztecs, as they fall into a 61% ATS system of mine.  What we want to do -- in conference match-ups between teams with > .750 league records (at Conference Game #10 forward) -- is play on teams off a loss vs. foes off wins.  Since 1990, our teams off a loss have cashed 61%.  Take the Aztecs on Friday night.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on Sacramento State over Eastern Washington.  The Eagles bested the Hornets, 78-75, earlier this season.  We'll take Sacramento State to avenge that defeat, as Big Sky Conference teams are 51-28-1 ATS when playing with revenge, if they didn't lose the season's previous meeting by more than 12 points.  Even better:  if our revenge-minded team wasn't favored by 2+ points, they our 51-28-1 ATS angle zooms to 37-14-1 ATS.  Take the Hornets.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears + the points over Colorado.  The Buffaloes are 4-12 ATS their last 16 as a favorite, and 1-8 ATS their last nine vs. California when favored by 5+ points.  Take the Golden Bears.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Cal Poly SLO Mustangs + the points over Cal Santa Barbara.  The Mustangs were blown out at home, 65-36, by Cal State Fullerton on Saturday, while UCSB comes into tonight's game off an upset win at Hawaii.  We'll take the points with Cal Poly SLO, as Big West Conference underdogs of more than 7 points have gone 75-30 ATS off a home loss, if they were playing a conference foe off an ATS win.  Take the Mustangs + the points.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Pepperdine Waves + the points over Pacific.  The Tigers are 0-7 ATS their last seven as a favorite.  And they're also a miserable 0-11-1 ATS in competitively-priced games with point spreads less than 4 points.  Take Pepperdine + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the BYU Cougars minus the points over Loyola Marymount.  Over the years, BYU has been solid as a home favorite (197-163-7 ATS), but awful as a home underdog (17-30-3 ATS).  Tonight, they're favored, and the Cougars have gone 21-12 (63.6% ATS) as a home favorite off back to back losses.  Lay the points.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans + the points over Dallas.  The Pelicans come into tonight's game seeking revenge from a 10-point loss last month, and I think they'll get it.  One reason is that the Mavericks have been horrible in the rebounding department since Christmas.  Indeed, in their last 18 games, the Mavericks have not out-rebounded any of their opponents!  Not surprisingly, they're 5-13 ATS in those games.  Even worse, Dallas has been dreadful as a favorite this season, and especially when laying more than 4 points, as it's 5-20-1 ATS, including 1-5 ATS when playing a revenge-minded opponent.  For the season, Dallas is also 4-10 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes.  And the Pelicans are 7-3-1 ATS their last 11 at Dallas when playing with revenge.  Take New Orleans + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Arizona State Sun Devils minus the points over Oregon State.  ASU hasn't won since defeating these Beavers, 74-69, back on January 14.  Since then, Arizona State has dropped four straight.  So, the Beavers will surely be a welcome sight for the Sun Devils, as ASU has won the last 13 meetings vs. Oregon State in Tempe, and 21 of the last 22.  Arizona State is an awesome 28-8 ATS at home when it owned a .550 (or better) win percentage, and was off back to back losses!  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the North Dakota Fighting Hawks + the points over South Dakota State.  The Jackrabbits edged the Fighting Hawks, 60-59, in the season's first meeting.  We'll take North Dakota + the points, as revenge-minded road teams have cashed 61.9% since 1990 vs. foes off a win, if our road team lost the season's previous meeting by a single point, and was off back to back losses.  Take the Fighting Hawks.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Austin Peay Governors + the points over Liberty.  The Governors have been installed as a huge home dog.  And we'll take the points, as Austin Peay is 8-0 ATS as a home dog of more than 7 points, while the Flames are a poor 2-10 ATS as a favorite of more than 9 points away from home.  Take Austin Peay.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the UAB Blazers over Florida Atlantic.  We played against the Owls last Saturday and got the $$$ with Western Kentucky.  We'll come right back and go against Florida Atlantic again, as it will be taking on a UAB squad which seeks revenge from a narrow 2-point loss last month.  The Owls are 11-0 in Conference USA play this season.  But NCAA teams with an 11-0 (or better) conference record have cashed just 36% away from home when they were not favored by more than 4 points against a revenge-minded foe.  Take UAB.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Elon Phoenix + the points over Stony Brook.  The Seawolves have burned money as a favorite of more than 3 points, as they're 12-24-2 ATS.  We'll take Elon as a road underdog, as it's 75-54 ATS on the road vs. foes off a SU win.  Grab the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Stetson Hatters minus the points over North Alabama.  Stetson comes into tonight's game with an 11-10 record after dropping its two previous games, but both were on the road.  Tonight's game is at home.  And the Hatters are 5-1 at home this season, and have covered the point spread at home by an average of 4.75 ppg.  Meanwhile, North Alabama is 0-7 ATS on the road vs. .475 (or better) foes off a loss.  Take Stetson minus the points.

At 9 pm, our selection is on LSU + the points over Missouri.  Missouri is 16-5 after its blowout win over Iowa St.  We'll go against Mizzou tonight, as SEC Conference teams (like LSU) off 4 SU/ATS losses are a solid 20-4-1 ATS as underdogs vs. .750 (or better) conference foes.  That bodes well for LSU, which enters this game on a long, 8-game losing streak (and 7-game ATS losing streak).  Take LSU + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over the Houston Rockets.  We had a big play on the Rockets in their last game, and were rewarded with an upset win, 117-114, over Detroit.  We'll switch gears and fade the Rockets tonight, as they're 24-60-3 ATS when playing at home vs. a losing team, and not favored by 13 (or more) points.  Here, of course, Houston is a home dog.  We'll take OKC minus the points vs. Houston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels minus the points over Pittsburgh.  The Panthers upset UNC earlier this season at the Petersen Events Center.  But we'll lay the points with the Tar Heels tonight at Chapel Hill, as they're 8-1 ATS their last nine when playing with revenge from an upset loss earlier in the season.  And Pitt's 3-11 ATS its last 14 when playing a revenge-minded foe it defeated in the season's previous meeting.  Take North Carolina.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Bryant Bulldogs minus the points over Maine.  Bryant lost its last two games -- 98-79 at UMass Lowell, and 84-67 at Binghamton -- but is a super 8-0 ATS at home off back to back double-digit losses.  And it's 18-8 ATS off a point spread defeat.  Lay the points with the Bulldogs.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Massachusetts Lowell River Hawks minus the points over Albany.  The River Hawks come into this game off back to back losses.  But those two games were on the road.  This evening's game is at home, where UMass Lowell is a perfect 11-0 this season.  It's also 5-3-1 ATS at home this season, and has covered the spread by an average of 2.66 ppg at home.  Albany, on the other hand, is 2-12 SU on the road (and 5-8 ATS), and has failed to cover the spread on the road by an average of 3.42 ppg.  Earlier this year, the Great Danes stunned the River Hawks, 89-63, as a 9 point home dog.  We'll lay the points River Hawks, as favorites of more than 10 points have covered 62% since 1990 when playing with revenge from an upset loss by more than 15 points earlier in the season.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans + the points over Denver.  The Pelicans lost, 99-98, at home to Denver a week ago.  We'll take New Orleans to avenge that defeat, as it's 88-52-3 ATS on the road off a loss, if it was also playing with revenge from a home defeat earlier in the season.  Take the Pelicans + the points.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Colorado State Rams minus the points over UNLV.  The Rams return home tonight off an 0-2 road trip, as they lost at Wyoming (58-57) and at Boise State (80-59).  We'll lay the points with the Rams, as they're 41-23-2 ATS as a home favorite off back to back road games, including 9-1 ATS their last 10 when they were also off back to back losses.  Take Colorado State minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Maryland Terrapins minus the points over Indiana.  Both of these teams are 11-1 at home this season, but own a losing record away from home.  Unfortunately for Indiana, this game is being play in College Park, MD.  The Hoosiers have failed to cover the spread by an average of 5.50 ppg away from home this season.  In contrast, they're covering the spread by 5.25 ppg at home, in Bloomington.  Take Maryland minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points over Kansas State.  Earlier this season, the Wildcats upset Kansas, 83-82, in Manhattan.  We'll lay the points with Bill Self's men, as Kansas is 18-4 ATS when playing with revenge from an upset loss earlier in the season, including 5-0 SU/ATS when matched-up against a .790 (or better) opponent.  And, since 1990, it's a perfect 4-0 ATS when playing with revenge against its rival, Kansas State, after the Wildcats defeated it earlier in the season.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Marist Red Foxes + the points over Quinnipiac.  The Red Foxes were blown out, 70-55, by Siena, on Saturday.  But we'll look for Marist to bounce back tonight, as it's 17-3 ATS on the road off a double-digit loss when playing a foe also off a loss.  Take Marist.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers + the points over Illinois.  The Illini routed Nebraska, 76-50, in Lincoln, three weeks ago.  We'll take the underdog 'Huskers tonight, as Big 10 teams have gone 142-91-7 ATS off a point spread defeat when playing with revenge from a 14-point (or worse) loss earlier in the season.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Alabama State Bulldogs + the points over Florida A&M.  The Rattlers have not been a good point spread team at home, as they're 1-8 ATS their last nine.  Meanwhile, Alabama State has excelled as a favorite of -10 points or less, as it's 16-7 ATS, including 8-1 ATS off back to back losses.  Take the Bulldogs minus the points.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders + the points over Iowa State.  The Cyclones have been great at home this season, as they're 11-0 straight-up, and 7-4 ATS (and have covered by an average of 8.0 ppg).  But on the road, it's been a different story.  The Cyclones are just 2-4 straight-up, and have failed to cover the spread by 2.5 ppg.  And Iowa State is also a horrid 13-26 ATS its last 39 as a road favorite, including 5-17 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes.  It's true that the Cyclones blew out the Red Raiders, 84-50, earlier this month, in Ames.  But Big 12 teams are 33-14-3 ATS when playing with revenge from 24-point (or worse) defeat, if they weren't getting 7+ points in the current game.  Take Texas Tech + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the South Carolina State Bulldogs + the points over Howard.  The Bison won, 71-67, against NC Central on Saturday.  And that was Howard's 5th straight win (and 4th straight cover).  Still, Howard is a poor 6-17 ATS off a win, including 2-10 ATS vs. losing teams.  And South Carolina State is a solid 16-2 ATS its last 18 when playing with revenge.  Take the Bulldogs + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Chicago State Cougars + the points over The Citadel.  Chicago State has been installed as a small road underdog tonight at The Citadel.  And the Cougars are a solid 17-6 ATS when they haven't been an underdog of more than 8 points.  Take Chicago State + the points.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the IUPUI Jaguars +the points over Cleveland State.  The Jaguars have won just three times this season (and just once vs. Division 1 foes), but they are winning lately where it counts -- in Las Vegas.  IUPUI is 1-10 straight-up its last 11 games.  But it's also 8-2-1 ATS in those 11 games.  We'll take the points with IUPUI tonight, and go against Cleveland State, as Horizon League teams are 37-68 ATS when favored by more than 15 points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At Midnight, our selection is on the Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners + the points over Hawaii.  Both teams come into this Big West Conference game off losses.  The Rainbow Warriors were upset by UC Santa Barbara on Thursday, while Bakersfield lost by 21 to Cal Davis.  We'll take the points with Bakersfield, as Big West teams have gone 79-58-3 ATS as road underdogs off a SU/ATS loss when matched up against a foe off an upset loss.  And Hawaii has gone 0-12 ATS as a favorite of 13+ points vs. foes off a double-digit loss.  Take Cal State Bakersfield.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11 pm, our selection is on the Pepperdine Waves + the points over Loyola Marymount.  The Lions have won the last two meetings vs. Pepperdine.  We'll take the points with Pepperdine, as revenge-minded conference underdogs have gone 33-10 ATS away from home vs. Loyola Marymount, including 22-4 ATS off a loss.  Take the Waves + the points.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Edmonton Oilers minus 1.5 goals over the Chicago Blackhawks.  Edmonton's 6-game win streak was snapped on Wednesday, as it lost, 3-2, here at home to Columbus.  But we'll take the Oilers to bounce back and blow out Chicago.  The Blackhawks are a miserable 12-55 their last 67 vs. winning foes, and 6-40 vs. foes with a scoring margin of at least 0.3 goals per game (Edmonton's margin is +0.42).  Lay the 1.5 goals with the Oilers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears + the points over Stanford.  California lost both home games last week to Oregon and Oregon State, and is now 2-7 in Pac-12 play.  We'll take the points with California as Pac-12 teams are 31-17-1 ATS as road dogs off back to back home losses.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over Minnesota.  This is the first of back to back games in Minneapolis between these two teams.  Sacramento was upset by the Toronto Raptors, 113-95, on Wednesday.  But off that loss, we'll lay the points with the Kings and go against a Timberwolves club which is 46-71-1 ATS as a home dog vs. foes off an upset loss.  Take Sacramento.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi Rebels + the points over Oklahoma St.  Ole Miss was blown out, 89-77, at home by Missouri on Tuesday.  But off that home loss, we'll take the Rebels to bounce back tonight, as Ole Miss is 20-6-1 ATS off a double-digit home loss.  And SEC Conference teams have cashed 61.5% in regular season non-conference games as a road underdog off a double-digit loss.  Take Mississippi + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets + the points over Detroit.  The Pistons upset Brooklyn, 130-122, on Thursday.  They're favored vs. the Rockets tonight.  But Detroit hasn't won two in a row since November 23.  And it's 1-12 SU and 4-9 ATS its last 13 games off a SU win.  Even worse:  it's 0-15 SU/ATS at home off a 7-point (or greater) win.  Take Houston + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on Wisconsin-Green Bay + the points over Wright St.  The Raiders blew out the Phoenix, 99-67, on January 12.  We'll take the points with Green Bay, as it's 29-9-1 ATS when playing with revenge against a conference foe which scored 80+ points in the season's earlier meeting.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the St. Bonaventure Bonnies + the points over VCU.  The Bonnies are 4-4 this season in Atlantic 10 Conference play, but are a double-digit dog this evening.  We'll take the points, as VCU is a poor 14-28-1 ATS its last 43 as a favorite of 9+ points vs. .500 (or better) Atlantic 10 Conference Foes.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Weber State Wildcats plus the points over Eastern Washington.  The Wildcats are on a 3-game win streak, and have been installed as a road underdog this afternoon vs. the Eagles, who have won 11 straight.  We'll take the points as Weber State is 15-8 ATS as a road underdog of +7 or less points (or PK).

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Austin Peay Governors + the points over Jacksonville St.  The Governors have dropped five straight games, while the Gamecocks have lost seven of nine.  We'll take Austin Peay + the points as it's 40-22 ATS off back to back conference losses.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers + the points over Maryland.  The Huskers come into this game off back to back SU/ATS losses to Penn State and Northwestern, while Maryland blew out Wisconsin, 73-55, in its previous game.  We'll take Nebraska, as it's 42-26-2 ATS off bck to back ATS losses, if its opponent was off a point spread win.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers + the points over Florida Atlantic.  The Hilltoppers lost the season's first meeting to the Owls, 76-62.  And that defeat started their current 4-game losing streak, which culminated with an upset loss at Florida International two days ago.  We'll grab the points with Western Kentucky this afternoon, as it's covered 69% as an underdog since 1990 off an upset road loss.  And Florida Atlantic is a poor 6-15 ATS as a favorite of -3 (or more) points vs. a revenge-minded opponent it defeated earlier in the season.  Take Western Kentucky + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Northern Kentucky Norse minus the points over Wisconsin-Milwaukee.  The Norse come into this game off a SU/ATS win over Green Bay, and will be looking for a bit of payback today, as they were upset, 80-75, by the Panthers in Milwaukee earlier this season.  We'll lay the points with Northern Kentucky this afternoon, as it's 21-5-1 ATS when playing with revenge, including 9-0 ATS as a favorite off a SU/ATS win.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Alabama State Bulldogs over the Bethune-Cookman Wildcats.  The Wildcats have been installed as a small favorite this afternoon.  We'll take the points, as Bethune-Cookman has covered just 37% as a favorite, while the Bulldogs are 25-15 ATS their last 40 on the road.  Take the points with Alabama St.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the New Mexico State Aggies + the points over Utah Valley St.  This is the Aggies' 3rd straight road game.  They lost the first two, but the Aggies are 16-3 ATS in conference games off back to back road losses, including 6-0 ATS on the road.  Take New Mexico State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi State Bulldogs + the points over TCU.  Miss State comes into this game on a 5-game losing streak, but will certainly be heartened by a 3-point loss to the #2-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide on Wednesday.  The Bulldogs are 54-22-1 ATS off back to back losses when not getting 5+ points.  Take Mississippi State + the points.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers + the points over Illinois.  Wisky comes into this game with a 4-5 record in Big 10 play.  But it's a super 55-28-1 ATS in conference games when it's owned a .500 (or worse) conference record.  Take the Badgers.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma Sooners + the points over the Alabama Crimson Tide.  The Sooners come into this game vs. the #2-ranked Tide off a 27-point loss at TCU.  But the Sooners are 23-7-1 ATS at home off a loss by 14+ points.   And it's 10-1 ATS at home its last 11 vs. SEC conference foes.  Meanwhile, Alabama is 0-7 ATS on the road vs. Big 12 foes.  Take the Sooners + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Campbell Fighting Camels minus the points over NC Asheville.  The Camels were defeated in the season's first meeting by the Bulldogs, 58-55.  We'll take Campbell in this revenge match, as it falls into a 179-119 ATS system of mine.  Additionally, the Bulldogs are 1-6 ATS in the season's 2nd meeting vs. revenge-minded foes.  Take Campbell.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Missouri Tigers + the points over Iowa State.  The Cyclones are 13-25 ATS as a road favorite, and also 2-4 ATS on the road vs. SEC Conference foes.  Take Missouri + the points.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Delaware Blue Hens minus the points over Northeastern.  The Blue Hens lost at Northeastern, 59-58, 12 days ago.  We'll lay the points with the revenge-minded Blue Hens, as the Huskies have covered just 33% since 1990 as a road underdog when playing a revenge-minded opponent it defeated at home in the season's first meeting.  Even better:  the Blue Hens were upset by Hampton, 67-66, on Thursday.  And they've covered 72% since 1990 as a single-digit favorite off an upset conference defeat.  Take Delaware.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Air Force + the points over New Mexico.  The Falcons were blown out by 30 points, 82-52, at San Jose on Tuesday.  And that followed a 70-60 loss to San Diego State.  We'll take Air Force to bounce back tonight, as it's 48-28-3 ATS off back to back losses, if it was playing away from home against an opponent not off back to back losses.  And it's also 64-31-3 ATS away from home when getting 12+ points.  Take the Falcons.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:00 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks + the points over the Phoenix Suns.  This is becoming one of the better rivalries in the NBA after Dallas knocked the Suns out of the playoffs last season.  This will be the 3rd meeting this season, and the series stands at 1-game apiece after Dallas won by 19 at home in December following Phoenix's 2-point win on opening night.  The Mavs are currently on a 2-game losing streak, while Phoenix is on a 4-game winning streak.  But Dallas is an awesome 145-91 off a SU loss when playing a foe off a SU win.  Take the Mavericks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Texas-San Antonio + the points over North Texas.  The Roadrunners have dropped their last six games.  But they're a solid 9-2 off 3 straight conference losses, while North Texas is a poor 13-22-1 ATS at home vs. foes off 3 straight losses.  Take Texas-San Antonio + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Sam Houston Bearkats minus the points over Seattle.  Sam Houston has won its last 3 games, including a 19-point blowout of Rio Grande Valley on Saturday.  The Bearkats are a solid 58-37 ATS off a point spread win.  Take Sam Houston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the North Florida Ospreys over Central Arkansas.  The Ospreys are a super 36-22 ATS vs. losing teams, and 51-37 their last 88 conference games.  Take North Florida.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Austin Peay Governors + the points over Kennesaw.  The Owls are on a 5-game win streak, and are favored by double digits against Austin Peay, which has lost its last 4 games.  But the Governors are 24-13 ATS off back to back losses when matched up against an opponent off back to back wins.  Take Austin Peay + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin-Green Bay Phoenix + the points over Northern Kentucky.  The Norse blew out the Phoenix twelve days ago, 74-53.  We'll take the Phoenix + the points in this rematch, as they're 63-27 ATS if they lost the previous meeting against the opponent by more than 12 points.  Take Wisconsin-Green Bay.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Wright St Raiders minus the points over Wisconsin-Milwaukee.  The Raiders were upset here, at home, by Cleveland State on Saturday.  We'll lay the points with Wright State, as it's 29-15 ATS off a home upset loss.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Monmouth Hawks + the points over NC Wilmington.  The Seahawks won the season's first meeting, 68-55.  But NC Wilmington is an awful 2-14-2 ATS as a favorite of more than 9 points against a revenge-minded opponent it defeated earlier in the season.  Take Monmouth + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Long Island Sharks + the points over Sacred Heart.  The Pioneers are a double-digit home favorite vs. the 2-18 Sharks tonight.  But Sacred Heart has covered just 1 of its last 11 games as a home favorite.  Take Long Island.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Fairleigh Dickinson Knights minus the points over St Francis Pa.  The Knights will look to snap their 2-game losing streak tonight, as they were upset by Stonehill and Sacred Heart in their last two games.  Tonight, they'll host St. Francis Pa, which is a wallet breaking 24-43 ATS its last 67, including 11-23 ATS as a road underdog.  Even better:  the Knights are 7-3 ATS off an upset loss.  Lay the points with Fairleigh-Dickinson.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals + the points over Boston College.  The Cards lost their two previous game -- both at home -- by more than 20 points.  We'll take Louisville to bounce back, as NCAA teams off back to back SU/ATS home losses by more than 20 points have covered 60.9% the past 33 seasons.  Take the Cardinals + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Butler Bulldogs + the points over Providence.  The Bulldogs come into this game off a 30-point beatdown at the hands of Connecticut.  We played against Butler in that game, but will switch gears and take the points with the Bulldogs tonight.  Indeed, Big East teams are 26-7 ATS following a loss by 30+ points.  And Butler's 8-0 ATS away from home off back to back losses.  Take the Bulldogs + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over Oklahoma City.  The Thunder have covered seven straight games after their upset win on Sunday over Denver.  But they still have a losing record on the season.  And losing teams have gone 51-78-1 ATS after covering 7+ games, including 12-27 ATS off an upset win, when playing a rested opponent.  Take the Hawks tonight.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the UT-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros + the points over Stephen F. Austin.  Rio Grande Valley was blown out, 83-64, at Sam Houston St, on Saturday.  We'll take the Vaqueros to bounce back tonight, as they're 13-2 ATS their last 15 off a double-digit loss.  Take Rio Grande Valley.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over Indiana.  We played on the Pacers last night as an underdog for our NBA Central Division Game of the Month.  And Indiana rewarded us by snapping its 7-game losing streak.  But off that upset win, we'll fade the Pacers tonight, as they've covered just 37% as an underdog since 1990 off an upset win when playing without rest vs. a rested opponent.  Additionally, the Magic play this game with double-revenge from 2 losses earlier this year.  And Indiana is a horrible 29-50 ATS on the road in the regular season, if it was off a win and playing a foe it defeated in each of the season's two previous meetings.  Lay the points with Orlando.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Furman Paladins minus the points over Samford.  The Bulldogs are undefeated in Southern Conference play, with an 8-0 record.  But they fall into a negative 45-77 ATS system of mine, based on that undefeated conference record.  Additionally, the Paladins are 65-32-2 ATS as a home favorite of -2.5 (or more) points.  Lay the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Temple Owls minus the points over South Florida.  The Owls are an awesome 81-48 ATS at home when not favored by more than 7 points.  Take Temple to blow out the Bulls.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the South Carolina Gamecocks + the points over Florida.  The Gators upset Mississippi State, 61-59, in Starkville, on Saturday.  Unfortunately for Florida, favorites of more than 14 points have gone just 85-128 ATS vs. foes off back to back losses, if our favorite was off an upset road win.  Take South Carolina + the points.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Iowa State Cyclones minus the points over Kansas State.  The Wildcats come into this game off back to back SU/ATS wins over Kansas and Texas Tech.  But both of those games were at home.  We'll fade the Wildcats here, in Ames, as Iowa State has covered 56.2% since 1990 as a home favorite vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets + the points over Clemson.  The Jackets have lost their last three games by double-digits.  We'll take the points with Georgia Tech, as it's 31-17 ATS off back to back double-digit losses, when matched up against winning foes (including 8-2 ATS as a double-digit dog).  Grab the points.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers over the Chicago Bulls.  The Bulls drilled Atlanta last night, 111-100, for their 3rd straight win and cover.  They'll attempt to make it four-in-a-row tonight against the homestanding Pacers -- losers of seven straight.  Unfortunately for Chicago, unrested teams with a .500 (or worse) record, off a double-digit win and 3 ATS wins, overall, have covered just 3 of 26 games vs. foes off 3 ATS losses.  Take the Pacers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Eastern Michigan Eagles + the points over Toledo.  The Rockets come into this game off 3 high-scoring SU/ATS wins.  Ten days ago, the Rockets blew out Northern Illinois, 84-67, and then followed that up with big wins over Ohio (90-75) and Buffalo (86-77).  But NCAA teams off 3 ATS wins, that scored 80+ in each of those games, have gone just 13-38-2 ATS vs. foes off 3 SU/ATS losses.  Take the Eagles + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the LSU Tigers + the points over Arkansas.  LSU has dropped its last six games (including its last 5 ATS).  But Arkansas hasn't been playing much better, as it's 1-6 ATS its last seven.  We'll take the points with LSU, as SEC Conference teams off a 12-point loss have covered 146 of 237 (62.1%) as double-digit dogs in conference games.  Take LSU.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets + the points over the Minnesota Timberwolves.  The Rockets and T-wolves met in Minneapolis over the weekend, and the T-wolves earned a comeback win, 113-104.  That was Houston's 13th straight loss.  We'll take Houston in this rematch, as home underdogs of +6 (or less) points have covered 59% since 1990 in the regular season, if they lost SU/ATS on the road to the same opponent in their previous game.  And NBA teams on 13-game (or worse) losing streaks have gone 155-130-5 ATS.  Finally, since 1990, Minnesota has covered just 37% on the road off a SU/ATS win against the same opponent, while the Rockets have covered 60.4% at home off a SU/ATS loss when playing back to back games against the same opponent.  Take Houston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Brooklyn.  The Nets blew out the Warriors, 143-113, in the season's first meeting.  We'll take Golden State in the rematch, as it's 14-0 straight-up, and 13-1 ATS when favored by more than 4 points, and playing with revenge from a loss by 22+ points.  Even better:  the Warriors are 13-0 ATS their last 13 (and 22-1 ATS their last 23) at home vs. .400 (or better) foes, if the Warriors were not favored by 9+ points.  Take Golden State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Colorado Buffaloes minus the points over Washington State.  The Buffs are on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak.  But we'll back them this evening at home, as they're 25-1 ATS at home off back to back SU/ATS losses, if their opponent was also off a loss, and Colorado wasn't favored by more than 11 points.  Moreover, Washington State is a dreadful 12-33-1 ATS as a road underdog in Pac-12 games vs. foes with a losing ATS record.  Take Colorado.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers + the points over Michigan.  The Gophers were embarrassed at home by Purdue on Thursday, as they scored just 39 points in a 61-39 blowout loss.  But off that defeat, we'll look for Minnesota to bounce back on Sunday.  Indeed, Big 10 underdogs have covered 64% of conference games since 1990 off a loss by 18+ points, if they scored 45 or less points in that previous game.  Additionally, the Gophers are 13-3 ATS away from home vs. winning teams.  Take Minnesota + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Connecticut Huskies minus the points over Butler.  The Huskies and Bulldogs met earlier this season, and the Huskies routed Butler, 68-46.  They also met twice last year, and those two games were mismatches, as well, with UConn winning, 75-56 and 76-59.  We'll fade Butler, as it is a horrid 7-43 SU and 16-34 ATS its last 50 as an underdog of more than 3 points, including 0-8 SU/ATS its last eight.  Take UConn minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Texas El Paso Miners + the points over Florida Atlantic.  The Owls are 19-1, and ranked among the nation's Top 25.  But the Miners are also playing solid basketball, and have covered nine of their last 10.  UTEP's on a 2-game win streak following its 20-point blowout of Florida International.  We'll take the points with the home underdog, as UTEP is 14-0 ATS when getting more than 2 points at home, if it wasn't off an ATS loss.  Take the Miners.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles minus the points over the New York Giants.  This is the Giants' 3rd straight road game, while Philly will be playing at home for its 3rd straight game.  Since 1980, whether in the regular season or playoffs, NFL teams (like New York) playing their 3rd straight road game have covered just 32% vs. foes who were playing their 3rd straight home game.  (In the playoffs, the record of our road teams is 4-13-2 ATS, including 0-5 ATS vs. .700 (or better) foes).  Last week, the Giants took advantage of a defensively-challenged Vikings team.  Minnesota made the playoffs even though it had a negative scoring margin (minus 0.17), and was giving up 25.11 ppg.  Indeed, the Vikings were just the 12th team since 1980 to earn a playoff berth with a defense that gave up more than 25 ppg.  So, kudos to New York for pulling the upset.  But also take that win with a boulder of salt.  This will be a much more difficult match-up for the Giants, as Philly's scoring margin rates 7.76 ppg better than New York's.  And, had QB Jalen Hurts played in the Eagles' two losses to Dallas + New Orleans, then that 7.76 number would be likely larger.  Since October 30, the Giants have gone 4-6-1 straight-up.  And in their last 11 games, they did not earn a single win against a team with a positive season scoring margin.  Their 4 wins were against the Houston Texans (minus 7.7 scoring margin), Washington Commanders (minus 1.29 scoring margin), Indianapolis Colts (minus 8.11 scoring margin), and the Vikings (minus 0.17 scoring margin).  New York lost both games this season to Philadelphia by an average of 16 ppg, and I don't believe it will be up to the task on Saturday night.  Take the Eagles minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets + the points over Minnesota.  The Rockets have lost 12 straight games.  But we'll step in and take them as a big road underdog on this Saturday night.  Minnesota's defense has been horrible of late.  It allowed 126, 122 and 126 points in its last three games.  And it allowed those three opponents to shoot 53.6%, 52.9% and 52.9%.  We'll fade Minnesota, as home favorites are 0-10 ATS their last 10 off back-to-back games where they gave up more than 120 points.  Take Houston + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Tech Hokies + the points over Clemson.  The Hokies lost, 68-65, earlier this year to the Tigers.  We'll grab the points with the Hokies, as Clemson is 24-44 ATS when playing a revenge-minded opponent it defeated earlier in the season, provided Clemson wasn't favored by 4+ points in the current game.  Take Virginia Tech.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Texas Southern Tigers minus the points over Alabama A&M.  The Tigers have won 17 straight vs. the Bulldogs, and 28 of the last 29.  Last season, they were favored by 12 and won by 34.  Today, the tariff is much lower, as Texas Southern is a small road favorite in Huntsville.  The Bulldogs come into tonight's game on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak.  And they're a wallet-breaking 15-31-1 ATS as an underdog off a SU loss.  Lay the points with Texas Southern.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.