Sports Picks & Predictions

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats minus the points over Colorado.  The Buffs blew out Oregon, 80-69, yesterday, as a 2-point favorite, while Arizona opened the Tourney with a 4-point win over Stanford.  These two teams met just 13 days ago in Boulder.  In that game, the Buffaloes stunned the Wildcats, 79-63, as a 9.5-point home underdog.  We'll take the Wildcats in this revenge match, as Arizona falls into a 201-109 ATS post-season system of mine which plays on certain favorites of -3 (or more) points that were upset in the previous meeting that season vs. their opponent.  Even better:  Pac-12 Conference teams (like Colorado) off a win by more than 8 points have gone 2-15-1 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes in the Conference Tourney, if priced from -1 to +11 points.  Take Arizona.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Utah.  These two teams have traded road victories in two meetings earlier this season.  But San Antonio covered the spread in each game.  The Spurs are 24-4 ATS at home vs. Utah when not favored by more than 9 points, including 17-0 ATS if Utah's win percentage was greater than .600.  Take San Antone + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Coppin State Eagles + the points over North Carolina Central.  Coppin State narrowly lost its two meetings this season with NC Central, as it fell by 3 at home, and by 1 on the road.  We'll take Coppin State, as double-revenging underdogs have covered 64% in the Mid-Eastern Conference Tourney.  Take Coppin State.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over Houston.  The Mavs suffered a humiliating 30-point upset loss at home to the Knicks on Wednesday.  We'll take Dallas to rebound tonight, as NBA favorites of -6.5 (or more) points off a home upset loss in which they failed to cover the spread by 30+ points, have cashed 83% vs. foes off a SU win since 1990.  Lay the points with Dallas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over Cleveland.  The Heat's 3-game win streak (and 5-game ATS win streak) ended on Wednesday, as Miami was blown out, 111-90, by Phoenix.  We'll take the Heat to bounce back, as they're 40-12 ATS off an upset loss, if they're matched-up against a conference foe off a straight-up win.  Take Miami. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over the Los Angeles Clippers.  The Clippers blew out the Hawks, 106-93, in Los Angeles earlier this season.  We'll take the homestanding Hawks tonight, as they're 94-54 ATS at home when rested, and playing with revenge from a double-digit loss, including 10-0 ATS their last 10 vs. Western Conference foes.  Take Atlanta. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers minus the points over Michigan State.  Johnny Davis has stated that his ankle -- which he injured vs. Nebraska -- is fine, so that's all we need to pull the trigger on the Badgers this evening.  Without an injured Davis, Wisconsin succumbed to Nebraska, 74-73, as a 12.5-point home favorite.  But NCAA post-season favorites have cashed 70.3% since 1990 off an upset loss as a 12.5-point (or greater) favorite, if their opponent was off a SU win.  Take Wisconsin.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Denver.  The Nuggets are in a tough scheduling spot tonight, as they played last night, while Golden State had Wednesday off.  And the Warriors will surely be focused tonight, as they have already lost three times to Denver this season, including a 7-point loss last week.  We'll take the Warriors in this big revenge situation, as they're 55-29 ATS on the road when playing with revenge, including 7-1 ATS vs. unrested foes.  Meanwhile, the Nuggets are a wallet breaking 52-101-1 ATS at home when playing without rest, including 10-26 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes.  Lay the points with the Warriors.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Middle Tennessee St. Blue Raiders minus the points over Texas El Paso.  The Miners come into this game off back to back SU/ATS wins, while the Blue Raiders are in off 2 SU/ATS losses.  Still, Middle Tennessee was one of the best point spread teams this season, with a 20-7 ATS ledger.  UTEP, on the other hand, is a mere 15-14 ATS.  Unfortunately for UTEP, this is a bad situation tonight, as UTEP has covered just 5 of 16 Conference Tourney games off 2 SU/ATS wins.  That doesn't bode well for the Miners.  Nor does the fact that underdogs off back to back SU/ATS Wins have covered just 40.2% over the last 32 years in the post-season vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS losses, including just 23% vs. foes with a winning ATS record.  Take Middle Tennessee minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers over Louisiana Tech.  The Hilltoppers have been dominant over the years in the post-season, as they're 56-24-1 ATS their last 81.  We'll take Western Kentucky this evening, as it plays with revenge from a narrow 1-point home loss earlier this season.  And NCAA teams that lost at home by a single point in the previous meeting have covered 61% in the post-season rematch, provided they weren't getting 3+ points.  Take the Hilltoppers.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Ohio U. Bobcats minus the points over Ball State.  The Bobcats enter this Mid-American Tourney on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak.  And they were favored in each of those SU losses.  We'll lay the points with Ohio, as NCAA teams off 3 upset losses have covered 73% in the post-season since 1990 vs. foes off an ATS loss.  Lay the points with the Bobcats.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Georgetown Hoyas + the points over Seton Hall.  The Hoyas and Pirates matched-up just seven days ago at Seton Hall.  And Kevin Willard's men narrowly escaped with a 73-68 win, as a 13-point home favorite.  We'll take Georgetown to avenge that loss, as it's 72.2% ATS as a doubled-digit dog when playing with revenge, including 6-0-1 ATS its last six.  Take the Hoyas.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over New York.  The Knicks upset both the Clippers and Kings in their last two games.  And they also upset Dallas, 108-85, as a 2.5-point home dog, in January.  But that upset win sets up our play tonight, as Dallas is 15-1 ATS this season when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  And the Mavs also fall into a 115-68 ATS revenge system of mine which plays on certain teams that lost by 20+ points in an earlier meeting.  Take Dallas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs + the points over Vanderbilt.  The Commodores upset Ole Miss on Saturday, 63-61.  But Vandy is a poor 36.3% over the last 32 years as a favorite off an upset road win.  Tale Georgia + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Tech Hokies minus the points over Clemson.  The Hokies are 19-12 SU and 16-15 ATS on the season, but were upset by the Tigers, 63-59, four days ago, at Clemson.  We'll take the Hokies in this revenge match, as NCAA teams that lost on the road to an opponent in their previous game, have covered 60% since 1993 in the rematch, if they owned a winning SU/ATS record.  Virginia Tech is 11-4 ATS its last 15 vs. Clemson.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Delaware State Hornets + the points over Norfolk State.  Delaware State has been one of the best point spread teams over the past six weeks, as it's 10-2 ATS its last 12.  We'll take the double-digits, as underdogs have gone 58-45-2 ATS in the Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference Tourney, including 7-1-1 ATS when playing with double-revenge vs. a foe off back to back wins.  The Hornets also fall into a 72.2% Conference Tourney system of mine which plays on certain .550 (or worse) teams off 3+ losses vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Take the Hornets.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Nevada Wolf Pack minus the points over New Mexico.  Nevada suffered a tough, 1-point loss (as a 4-point underdog) to San Diego State, on Saturday.  But we'll take the Wolf Pack to bounce back as they're a fantastic 11-1-1 ATS their last 13 conference games (and 34-12-2 ATS their last 48) when favored by 7 or less points after a straight-up loss, including 11-0 ATS if they covered the spread in their previous game.  Take Nevada.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11:30 pm, our selection is on the Cal Davis Aggies minus the points over Cal Poly SLO. The Aggies dropped two road games to end the regular season, while the Mustangs finished with two home wins.  But since 1990, NCAA favorites are a solid 60% in conference tourney games off back to back road losses, if they were matched up against an opponent off a SU win.  Lay the points with Cal Davis.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder + the points over Milwaukee.  We played on the Bucks on Sunday in a revenge match vs. Phoenix, and got the $$$$ when they won by 10, as a 9-point favorite.  We'll fade Milwaukee tonight, though, as it will be the Thunder who will be playing with revenge.  And OKC is 74-47 ATS in the regular season when playing with revenge against a foe off a win (and not an ATS loss).  Take OKC.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over New Orleans.  Memphis stumbled badly in its last game when it was upset by Houston, as a double-digit favorite.  We'll lay the points tonight with Taylor Jenkins' men, as they're 10-0 ATS their last 10 off a road loss.  Take the Grizzlies.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over Charlotte.  The Nets were blown out, 111-95, by the Hornets in Brooklyn earlier this season.  But the Nets are a solid 49-23 ATS on the road when playing with revenge from a double-digit home loss.  Take the Nets minus the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals minus the points over Georgia Tech.  The Cardinals enter this ACC Tourney game off three straight ATS defeats, while the Yellow Jackets have covered five of six, including their last two.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to take Georgia Tech as an underdog, given Louisville's recent failures.  But Georgia Tech is a horrid 16-38 ATS vs. foes on a 3-game (or worse) ATS losing streak if Tech wasn't getting more than 4 points.  Even better:  NCAA favorites of 4 or less points, with a losing conference record, have covered 67.2% of conference tourney games since 1990. Take Louisville minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Gonzaga Bulldogs minus the points over San Francisco.  We have correctly picked the champions of the last two NCAA Tournaments, as we had preseason picks on Virginia (at 22-1 odds) and Baylor (at 12-1 odds).  This year, our preseason pick was on Gonzaga (at 7-1 odds).  I was actually thrilled that it lost to St. Mary's last week, as one of the last things you want to see is (if you're rooting for a team to win the title) is for it to go into the tournament on a long win streak.  Instead, that blowout loss at the hands of the Gaels will allow Mark Few to hit the reset button for his team.  I expect it to come out with a much better focus tonight, as Gonzaga is 21-9 ATS following a game it failed to cover by more than 16 points.  And the Zags are also 18-11 ATS its last 29 off a loss.  Remarkably, Gonzaga has NEVER lost a semi-final round game in the West Coast Conference tournament, as it's 22-0 SU and 14-7-1 ATS, including 10-2-1 ATS when favored by 14 < points.  Take Gonzaga.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over the Los Angeles Lakers.  Once again, the Spurs will attempt to give Gregg Popovich a win, which would enable him to tie Don Nelson for the all-time regular season coaching wins record.  The Spurs open up a long home stand tonight, so at some point Popovich will tie (and break) Nelson's record.  Tonight, San Antonio will take on its long-time nemesis, the Lakers, who come into tonight's game off a home upset win against Golden State.  But Los Angeles is an awful 13-28 ATS off a home win.  Lay the points with San Antone.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over Utah.  Utah has won the first two meetings this season vs. Dallas.  But each of those games was in Salt Lake City; tonight's game will be played in Texas.  And Dallas is 13-2 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, so that bodes well for the home team.  Additionally, Luka Doncic has been upgraded to 'probable' for today's game, which is all we need to pull the trigger on the home-standing Mavericks, who are 10-1 ATS as a home favorite of 6 or less points this season.  Take Dallas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over the Houston Rockets.  Houston comes into this game off a win as a double-digit home underdog.  Once again, it's installed as a double-digit dog.  Unfortunately, though, the Rockets are 18-33 ATS off a point spread win, while the Heat are 15-7 ATS off back to back ATS wins.  Lay the points with Miami.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the South Dakota State Jackrabbits minus the points over South Dakota.  The Coyotes upset Missouri-Kansas City yesterday, 74-61, as a 1-point underdog.  And that was South Dakota's second straight upset win.  Now, the 5th-seeded Coyotes will attempt to knock off #1-seeded South Dakota State.  It's true the Jackrabbits were uninspired in their victory on Saturday vs. Omaha.  South Dakota State was favored by 23.5 points, but won by just eight, 87-79.  However, that's been par for the course this season for South Dakota State.  It's been poor when favored by 15+ points (2-8 ATS), but has been stellar when favored by less than 15 (13-4 ATS).  We'll look for the Jackrabbits to bounce back today, as favorites with a winning SU/ATS record, off a point spread loss, have covered 58% in the post season vs. foes off back to back upset wins.  Take South Dakota State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Wright State Raiders over Cleveland State.  The Vikings swept the season series vs. the Raiders, but that fact has set up Wright State into a 421-290-18 ATS revenge system of mine.  Additionally, the Vikings are a woeful 14-32 ATS, while the revenger is 15-1 ATS when not getting more than 7 points vs. a foe off an ATS win.  Take Wright State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Oral Roberts Golden Eagles minus the points over Western Illinois.  When these two teams last met, the Leathernecks upset Oral Roberts, 90-85, as a 7-point road underdog.  But prior to that upset loss, the Golden Eagles had won the previous five meetings by an average of 20.2 ppg.  We'll lay the points with the Golden Eagles in this revenge match, as ORU falls into 76-40, 116-56 and 61-22 ATS Tourney systems of mine.  Additionally, the Leathernecks are a woeful 7-19 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe they defeated earlier in the season.  Take the Golden Eagles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Furman Paladins minus the points over Samford.  The Bulldogs upset the Paladins 11 days ago, 83-75, as a 6-point home dog.  But prior to that, Furman had won the previous five meetings by an average of 18.4 ppg, and had gone 4-1 ATS.  We'll look for the Paladins to blow out Samford this evening, as the Bulldogs are a wallet-breaking 10-24 ATS when installed as an underdog vs. a revenge-minded foe they defeated earlier in the season.  And Furman also falls into one of my favorite revenge angles which is 171-94 ATS since 1990.  Take the Paladins.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Phoenix.  The Bucks were blown out by 24 points last month in Phoenix.  We played on the Suns in that game, which was a big revenge match for them, given the Bucks won last year's NBA Finals against them.  But we'll take Milwaukee as the home favorite this afternoon, and go against the 51-12 Suns.  For technical support, consider that .783 (or better) NBA teams off a win are a dreadful 43-88-3 ATS at Game 50 forward, when not favored by 4+ points, and playing a rested opponent.  Take the Bucks minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Delaware Blue Hens over Drexel.  The Blue Hens are 0-3 SU/ATS their last three coming into this Colonial Athletic Ass'n Tourney game.  We'll take Delaware to snap their losing streak, as teams off back to back SU/ATS losses have covered 58.3% in this Tournament since 1991.  Take the Blue Hens.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the New Jersey Tech Highlanders + the points over Vermont.  The Catamounts won the two previous meetings by 26 and 23 points, which sets up our revenge play this afternoon.  We'll grab the points with New Jersey Tech, as double-digit underdogs have gone 89-57 ATS when playing with revenge from two losses earlier in the season by more than 16 points.  Take New Jersey Tech.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Maryland-Baltimore County Retrievers minus the points over UMass-Lowell.  The River Hawks swept the season series, 2 games to none.  But UMBC now falls into 96-56, 419-290 and 44-13 ATS revenge systems of mine.  Additionally, the Retrievers are 21-12 ATS in competitively-priced games with spreads less than 4 points, while the River Hawks are 9-13 ATS in such games.  Finally, America East Conference double-revengers are 34-18 ATS in this Conference tournament.  Lay the points with UMBC.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Murray State Racers minus the points over Morehead State.  The Racers come into this Ohio Valley Championship game with a 29-2 record, and a 19-game win streak after blowing out Southeast Missouri yesterday.  I won't step in front of this freight train, as teams on 9-game (or better) win streaks have covered 58.2% in conference tourney title games since 1992.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Appalachian State Mountaineers minus the points over Georgia Southern.  The Eagles upset Coastal Carolina, 70-64, on Thursday, as a 5-point underdog.  But off that win, the Eagles now fall into negative 16-42 and 55-111 ATS systems of mine that fade certain teams in tourney games off upset wins.  Georgia Southern is also 1-8 ATS off back to back ATS wins.  Take Appalachian State minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over Philadelphia.  The 76ers defeated Miami here in South Florida, back in January.  So, Miami will look to avenge that defeat tonight.  We'll lay the points, as Miami is 88-61 ATS as a favorite of 5 or less points, and it's also 7-3 ATS its last 10 vs. the 76ers.  Take the Heat.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Charlotte.  With a Spurs victory tonight, the Spurs' Gregg Popovich will tie Don Nelson for the all-time record for regular season wins as a head coach.  One of the reasons that Popovich is in this position is because he generally gets his troops to avoid long losing streaks.  Tonight, the Spurs will look to snap a 3-game losing streak, and they're 36-24 ATS on the road in the regular season off 3+ losses.  Take San Antonio + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the William & Mary Tribe + the points over Northeastern.  This is about as big of a revenge game as a team can have in College Basketball.  Less than 10 days ago, the Huskies thoroughly humiliated William and Mary by holding it to just 28 points, in a 62-28 defeat.  Needless to say, William and Mary will be out to redeem itself this afternoon.  We'll take the points, as William and Mary is an awesome 54-18 ATS when playing with revenge.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Troy Trojans minus the points over Arkansas Little Rock.  We played on Little Rock in its last game -- an upset win as a 12.5-point underdog -- over South Alabama.  But we will fade Little Rock this afternoon, as Troy is coming off a loss to Texas State.  And the Trojans are 9-1 ATS their last 10 off a loss.  Lay the points.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Marshall Thundering Herd + the points over Western Kentucky.  The Herd lost to the Hilltoppers three days ago, 86-72, in Huntington.  We'll grab the points in this rematch, as Marshall has covered 58% since 1990 as a revenge-minded, double-digit underdog off a SU/ATS loss (and 86% if they failed to cover the spread by 10+ points in their previous game).  Take the Thundering Herd + the points.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Panthers + the points over Notre Dame.  The Panthers come into this game off back to back home losses to Miami and Duke.  But Pitt is a super 14-3 ATS off back to back home defeats, while Notre Dame is a wallet breaking 27-57 ATS as a home favorite of -10 (or more) points vs. a foe not off an ATS win.  Take Pittsburgh + the points.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Florida International Panthers + the points over Florida Atlantic.  This is a rematch of a game played just two days ago.  The Owls went into Florida International, and blew out the Panthers, 71-51, as a 5.5 point road favorite.  We'll take the points in this rematch, as double-digit road underdogs have covered 63% since 1990 when playing with revenge from a 20-point (or worse) home defeat to their opponent in the previous game.  Take Florida International.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers minus the points over Indiana.  The Boilers will be looking to bounce back this afternoon from losses at Wisconsin and Michigan State.  And they'll also be looking to avenge a defeat at Indiana, back in January.  We'll lay the points as teams with a .500 (or better) conference record have covered 62.6% since 1990 off back to back SU/ATS losses, if they were playing their final home game of the season, and favored by 6 (or more) points.  Even better:  Purdue's 30-17 ATS at home off a SU/ATS loss, and 16-4 ATS at home off a point spread defeat if it lost on the road to its opponent earlier in the season.  Take the Boilermakers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11:30 pm, our selection is on the Portland Pilots minus the points over San Diego.  The Favorites have dominated in the West Coast Conference tournament, including 2-0 ATS yesterday, and 74-46 ATS their last 120 when priced at -11 or less.  We'll lay the points with the Pilots, as they also fall into a 239-149 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams not favored by double-digits vs. foes off a win.  Take Portland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Mercer Bears minus the points over Western Carolina.  The Catamounts upset Mercer less than two weeks ago, 69-65, as a 6-point home dog.  And they've now covered three straight games.  Unfortunately, the Catamounts are an awful 6-15-1 ATS off back to back ATS wins, including 1-10 ATS vs. foes with a losing conference record.  And they're 12-30 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe they upset in the previous meeting.  Take Mercer minus the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Eastern Michigan Eagles + the points over Miami-Ohio.  The RedHawks are one of the worst home favorites in college basketball, as they're 21-41-2 ATS including 0-10 ATS when priced from -7 to -10.5 points.  Take Eastern Michigan as a road underdog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Bowling Green + the points over Toledo.  The Rockets upset Buffalo, 92-76, on Tuesday.  But off that upset win, we'll fade Toledo this evening, as .636 (or better) Mid-American Conference favorites of more than 4 points, are a dismal 31-67 ATS in home conference games off an upset road win.  Take Bowling Green + the points.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Winthrop Eagles minus the points over High Point.  The Panthers upset the Eagles in the teams' lone meeting this past regular season.  We'll lay the points with Winthrop, as the Eagles are 18-7 ATS when playing with revenge.  And Southern Conference Tournament favorites are 26-16-1 ATS when playing with revenge.  Lay the points.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the The Citadel + the points over East Tennessee State.  The Bulldogs were blown out by 35 points last Saturday by Furman.  This afternoon, they'll look to bounce back from that defeat, and they will face a Buccaneers team which defeated them by 10 points on Feb. 19.  We'll grab the points as The Citadel is 8-0 ATS its last eight (and 19-7 ATS its last 28) as an underdog of 14 (or less) points away from home off a loss by 14+ points.  Take the Bulldogs + the points.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Stanford Cardinal + the points over Arizona.  Stanford comes into tonight's game off back to back double-digt blowout losses.  And the Cardinal were favored in each of those two games.  We'll grab the points tonight, as NCAA double-digit dogs are a sensational 71% on the conference road, if they were off back to back double-digit upset losses, and their foe was off a SU win.  Take Stanford.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland State Vikings minus the points over Robert Morris.  The Colonials shocked Youngstown, 77-73, as a 7.5-point underdog on Monday.  But Robert Morris is a wallet-breaking 1-9 ATS off a SU win, and 0-6 ATS off an upset win.  Take Cleveland State minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points over TCU.  This is the 2nd of back to back games between these Big 12 Conference rivals.  Jamie Dixon's men won the first meeting -- in Forth Worth -- on Tuesday, 74-64, as a 6-point home dog.  We'll lay the points tonight with Kansas, as it's 38-18 ATS when playing with revenge from an upset loss.  Take Kansas.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Detroit.  The Pistons have won both meetings vs. Toronto this season.  We'll lay the points with Toronto in Round 3, as Detroit has covered just 37.2% as a road underdog since 1990 when playing a foe with double-revenge from two losses earlier in the season.  Take the Raptors.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Northern Kentucky Norse minus the points over Detroit.  We played on the Titans on Tuesday, and were rewarded with a 17-point win over Green Bay.  But Detroit is an awful 20-36 ATS on the road off a double-digit home win.  The Norse did lose both regular season meetings vs. Detroit.  But Northern Kentucky is a super 17-6 ATS when playing with revenge.  Take Northern Kentucky.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Navy Midshipmen minus the points over American.  Navy swept the season series vs. American, and is 24-13 ATS as a favorite the past two seasons.  It's true that American ended the regular season with back to back wins.  But it's a horrid 0-6 ATS off back to back ATS wins.  Take Navy.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Little Rock Trojans + the points over South Alabama.  The Trojans were blown out, 77-46, by the Jaguars earlier this season, and are 8-18 on the season.  We'll take the points with Little Rock, as .500 (or worse) teams have cashed 62.3% in the post season if they were an underdog of +5 (or more) points, and playing with revenge from a 30-point (or worse) defeat.  Take Little Rock + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Campbell Fighting Camels minus the points over Presbyterian.  The Blue Hose upset Campbell when these teams last met four weeks ago.  We'll lay the points with Campbell, as revenge-minded favorites have cashed 72% in the Big South Tournament if they lost all of the meetings in the regular season vs. their opponent.  Take Campbell.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over Philadelphia.  The 76ers blew out the Knicks on Sunday, 125-109 (though the game was tied at 98, in the 4th quarter before Philly's finishing kick).  We'll take the Knicks this evening, as double-digit dogs have covered over 63% since 1990 if they lost SU/ATS to the very same opponent in their previous game.  Take New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers minus the points over Orlando.  This is the 2nd of back to back meetings between these teams (both in Orlando).  The Magic won Round 1, 119-103, as a 2.5-point favorite.  Tonight, it's the Pacers who are favored, in part because Malcolm Brogdon will play tonight after missing the prior game.  We'll lay the points, as the Pacers fall into a 132-94 ATS revenge system of mine.  Additionally, in the 2nd of back to back meetings between the same two teams, the loser of the first meeting has covered the 2nd game 56.9% if both games were competitively-priced with point spreads of 3 points or less.  Take the Pacers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Long Island Sharks minus the points over Sacred Heart.  The Pioneers enter the tourney on a 2-game SU/ATS win streak.  Not to be outdone, Long Island comes into this Northeast Conference game on a 6-game win streak.  It's 11-1 SU at home, and 7-4 ATS.  Sacred Heart, meanwhile, is an awful 2-15 ATS on the road off a SU win.  Take the Sharks minus the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte 49ers + the points over Middle Tennessee.  Nick McDevitt's Blue Raiders have won 8 straight (and are 7-0 ATS their last seven).  But we'll look for this hot streak to come to a halt tonight, as Middle Tenn falls into a negative 119-177 ATS system of mine which plays against certain teams on win streaks.  Moreover, since 1990, Conference USA home underdogs, with a .500 (or better) conference W/L record, have cashed 60% in conference games off a SU/ATS loss.  Take Charlotte + the points.

At 11:30 am (note the early start time), our selection is on the NC A&T Aggies + the points over Radford.  These two teams met this past Saturday in Greensboro, and the Highlanders upset the Aggies, 62-53.  Overall, the Aggies are off back to back SU/ATS losses, and have also dropped 4 straight games entering this Big South Tournament, while the Highlanders are off back to back ATS wins.  We'll take NC A&T + the points, as teams off 4 SU and 2 ATS losses have covered 57% of tourney games since 1990 vs. foes not off an ATS loss.  Additionally, the Highlanders are 0-7 off a road upset win, while the Aggies are 27-11 ATS when playing with revenge.  Take the Aggies + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Cal State Northridge Matadors + the points over UCSB.  Cal Santa Barbara is on a 3-game SU/ATS winning streak, while the Matadors are 0-4 SU/ATS their last four.  We'll grab the double-digits with Northridge, as UCSB has covered just 14 of 48 at home off 3+ wins.  Additionally, Big West road teams have gone 30-11 ATS off 3 ATS losses when playing a conference foe off back to back ATS wins.  Take the Matadors.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats + the points over Houston.  The Cougars blew out Cincy earlier this season by 22 points.  We'll grab the points with the Bearcats in this rematch, as they've covered 67% since 1990 when playing with revenge, if they were off a SU loss in their previous game, while their opponent was off a SU win.  Take Cincinnati.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines minus the points over Michigan State.  The Wolves come into this game off an 8-point loss to Illinois, while the Spartans upset the Boilermakers in East Lansing, on Saturday.  But Michigan is a solid 80-46-2 ATS off a loss.  And the Spartans are 3-13 ATS off a conference home win.  Take the Wolverines.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the IUPUI Jaguars + the points over Oakland.  IUPUI has been installed as a massive road underdog in the opening round of the Horizon League tournament.  And that's to be expected, given IUPUI's 3-25 record (9-17 ATS), compared to that of Oakland (19-11 SU, 14-14 ATS).  We'll grab the points, as road underdogs of more than 18 points have gone 17-2 ATS in the post-season vs. foes that didn't have a losing ATS record.  And Oakland is a poor 20-38 ATS as a favorite of more than 4 points.  Take IUPUI.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on Wisconsin-Milwaukee + the points over Illinois-Chicago.  The Panthers were blown out, 71-58, by the Flames here, on Saturday.  We'll take Milwaukee in this rematch, as it's 27-9 ATS as a revenge-minded road underdog vs. a foe off an ATS win.  Take the Panthers + the points.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets + the points over Toronto.  Last night, we played on the Raptors, and were rewarded with a 36-point blowout of these Nets.  We'll take Brooklyn as a big underdog in this rematch, as it's 41-17 ATS as an underdog on the road when playing with revenge.  Take the Nets.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Mercy Titans minus the points over Wisconsin-Green Bay.  Detroit suffered its first home loss of the season on Saturday, when it fell by 3 points to Fort Wayne.  Detroit is 14-9 ATS at home off a SU loss, while Green Bay is 5-12-1 ATS away from home as an underdog vs. a foe off a SU loss.  Take Detroit.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Holy Cross Crusaders minus the points over American.  The Eagles upset Holy Cross here, in Worcester, on Valentine's Day, 60-54.  We'll lay the points in this rematch, as Holy Cross is 12-4 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  Take the Crusaders.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Lafayette Leopards minus the points over Bucknell.  The Bison upset Boston U., 89-78, on Saturday (and also defeated Lafayette, 92-89, in February).  But Bucknell is a poor 5-10 ATS off an upset win.  Meanwhile, the Leopards were upset by Lehigh, 78-58.  However, they're 4-0 ATS off a loss by more than 16 points, and 19-13 ATS when playing with revenge.  Take Lafayette minus the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on New Jersey Tech + the points over Stony Brook.  The Highlanders are on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak, while the Seawolves are off a SU/ATS home win over Albany last Saturday.  Unfortunately for Stony Brook, it's 2-11 ATS off a home conference win.  And, notwithstanding its last victory, it's still just covered eight of 26 at home vs. conference foes.  The Highlanders' 3-game SU/ATS losing streak has triggered a very good 705-494 ATS system of mine, so we'll grab the points with New Jersey Tech.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys + the points over San Diego State.  The Cowboys are 23-5 on the season, including 13-0 straight-up (and 6-4-2 ATS) at home, and 10-5 SU/ATS away from home.  Tonight, notwithstanding their perfect home record, the Cowboys are a home underdog.  But home teams with a 13-0 (or better) home record have cashed 56% ATS at home over the past 32 years, when not favored by 5+ points (including 8-1 ATS this season).  Indeed, this past Saturday, we saw Tennessee (14-0 at home) defeat Auburn, St Mary's (15-0 at home) upset #1 Gonzaga, and Middle Tennessee (14-0 at home) blow out Western Kentucky.  Grab the points with Wyoming.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Charlotte.  Mike Budenholzer's men come into this game off back-to-back losses.  But the Bucks are a sensational 48-21 ATS at home off back-to-back losses.  And they also fall into an 85-49 ATS revenge system of mine, based on the fact that Charlotte has won the previous two meetings.  Lay the points.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings minus the points over Oklahoma City.  The Thunder won without Josh Giddey on Friday, at Indiana, as they upset the Pacers, 129-125.  But off that win, we will fade the Thunder tonight vs. Sacramento, as OKC falls into negative 78-145 and 110-200 ATS systems of mine that fade certain teams off upset wins.  Even better:  the Kings are off a loss at Denver, but are 25-16 ATS off back to back losses, if their previous game was on the road.  Take the Kings minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Brooklyn.  The Raptors were blown out by 27 points in their last game by Atlanta.  And that was Toronto's 2nd straight loss since resuming play after the break.  But Toronto is 23-13 ATS off a loss by more than 11 points, and 110-71 ATS off back to back losses, overall.  Take Toronto.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Howard Bison minus the points over South Carolina State.  The Bulldogs upset the Bison four weeks ago, 58-55, as a 7-point home underdog.  So, we'll lay the points with the revenge-minded Bison, as they fall into a 169-92 ATS revenge system of mine.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, on ESPN-TV, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks + the points over Golden State.  The Warriors thrashed the Mavericks, 130-92, in the previous meeting.  Unfortunately for Golden State, winning teams that won by 38+ points in the season's previous meeting have covered just 36% at home since 1990 in the next match-up.  And the Mavericks are also 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings between these Western conference foes.  Take Dallas + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets + the points over the Los Angeles Clippers.  In a scheduling quirk, this will be the 2nd time in three games that these two teams will have met.  And, then, they will play for a 3rd time in four games when they play here, in Houston, on Tuesday.  The Clippers blew out Houston by 31 points in the game right before the All-Star Break.  We'll take the Rockets in this rematch, as the Clippers are 20-44 ATS when favored by 4+ points against a revenge-minded foe.  And NBA home underdogs off back to back SU/ATS losses are a solid 150-112 ATS vs. non-division foes off 3 ATS wins.  Take Houston + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:10 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers + the points over Boston.  The Pacers stumbled coming out of the All-Star Break, as they were upset, 129-125, as an 8-point favorite vs. Oklahoma City.  Of course, this is to be somewhat expected, as the long layoff creates a little bit of rust.  But we'll take Indiana to bounce back, as teams that were off upset losses in their first game after the All-Star Break have covered 64.8% at home when not laying more than 7 points (and 90% when getting 2+ points).  Additionally, the Pacers are 54-30 ATS as an underdog of +4 (or more) points off an upset home loss, including 12-1-1 ATS vs. unrested foes.  Grab the points with Indiana.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Houston Cougars minus the points over SMU.  Kelvin Sampson's men have lost just twice in American Athletic Conference play this season:  to Memphis and SMU.  So, they'll get their first chance to avenge a conference defeat today, at home, in the friendly confines of the Fertitta Center.  Houston is a powerful 34-17-3 ATS in conference games when playing with revenge, including 23-7 ATS off a point spread win.  And it's 18-9 ATS when playing with revenge from an upset loss.  Even better:  in regular season match-ups between .735 (or better) teams, the revenger has covered 58% since 1990 when priced as a PK/Favorite at home or on neutral courts.  We'll lay the points with Houston this afternoon.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Utah State Aggies minus the points over Colorado State.  Utah State blew out New Mexico, 81-56, here at home, on Tuesday.  And they'll welcome the 22-4 Rams tonight for their final home game of the season.  The Aggies have always had a strong home court, and they're 27-4 in their final home game of the season since 1991.  Even better:  Utah State has cashed 60% since 1994 at home vs. Conference foes with a winning SU/ATS record.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the St Mary's Gaels + the points over Gonzaga.  The Gaels have yet to taste defeat at home this season, as they're 15-0.  And home teams with a strong home court, that have won at least 35 of their last 40 home games (which St. Mary's has), are 61.2% ATS as home dogs of +5 or more points, vs. conference foes off a SU win since 1990.  Take the Gaels.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Washington.  We played against the Wizards last night, and took the Spurs as a small road favorite.  San Antonio + Washington went to double-overtime before the Spurs prevailed by a 157-153 count.  Off that extended game, and having to travel, I look for Washington to be a bit overmatched against a rested Cavaliers team.  The Cavs were upset in their last game by the cellar-dwelling Pistons, so they'll be extra motivated this evening.  Cleveland's an awesome 47-21 ATS as a favorite of -6 (or more) points vs. losing foes, if the Cavs were off back to back losses.  Lay the points.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls over the Memphis Grizzlies.  The Bulls have won six straight, and currently are atop the Eastern Conference.  They'll welcome the #3-seeded Western Conference team to the Windy City tonight.  The Grizzlies got the better of Chicago on Beale Street, in January.  But we'll take Chicago to avenge that defeat tonight, as .650 (or better) revenge-minded teams are 545-442 ATS at home in the regular season vs. .500 (or better) foes, if our revenger wasn't favored by 11+ points.  Take the Bulls.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Colorado Buffaloes + the points over Arizona.  The Buffaloes had their five-game win streak snapped on Thursday, when they suffered an upset loss at the hands of Arizona State.  We'll take the Buffs to bounce back tonight, as Colorado is a solid 51-30 ATS at home when not favored by 17+ points.  Take the Buffaloes as a home underdog.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Lamar Cardinals + the points over Tarleton St.  Yes, Lamar is 2-24 on the season.  But really bad teams have been solid bets on the road over the years late in the season.  Indeed, at Game 21 forward, teams that have won less than 10% of their games have covered 61.2 percent on the road, dating back to 1999.  Take Lamar + the points.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over Toronto.  The Raptors won by 11 points earlier this month vs. Atlanta, so the Hawks will play this game with revenge.  We went against Toronto last night when they went into Charlotte to play another revenge-minded foe, and were rewarded with a 125-93 blowout win.  And we'll look for the Raptors to lose back to back games.  Atlanta is a solid 93-54 ATS at home when playing with rest and revenge from a loss by more than 10 points.  And Atlanta also falls into a strong 144-66 ATS revenge system of mine.  Take the Hawks minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles + the points over Rice.  The Owls have not been a reliable home favorite of -12 (or more) points, as they've covered just 31% over the last 32 seasons in this role.  That doesn't bode well for the home team today.  Moreover, Southern Miss falls into a 704-494 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off SU/ATS losses..  Take the Golden Eagles + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights minus the points over Wisconsin.  The Badgers are an awful 26-52 ATS on the Big 10 Conference road when they've been a regular season underdog of less than 13 points, and their foe's ATS win percentage was .563 (or less).  Take Rutgers minus the points.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Southeast Missouri State Redhawks + the points over Murray State.  The Racers had their most impressive win of the season when they blew out a strong Belmont team, 76-43, last Saturday.  But Murray is a poor 4-15 ATS on the road off a 15+ point win.  Take the Redhawks + the points.

At 4:45 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin-Green Bay Phoenix minus the points over IUPUI.  The Jaguars are 3-24 and come into this game off a blowout home loss to Milwaukee.  IUPUI is a woeful 8-17 ATS its last 25 as a home dog.  Take Green Bay minus the points.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Florida State Seminoles + the points over Virginia.  The Seminoles come into this game off back to back blowout losses (of 18 and 16 points).  But FSU is 10-1 ATS off back to back losses by 15+ points.  Grab the points with Florida State.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Lipscomb Bisons minus the points over Central Arkansas.  The Bears upset Lipscomb in January, 93-88, as a 6-point home dog.  We'll take the Bisons this afternoon to avenge that defeat, as they're 11-3 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  And they also fall into a 166-92 ATS revenge system of mine.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Fairleigh Dickinson Knights + the points over Long Island.  The Knights narrowly lost to the Sharks, 79-75, at home back in January.  We'll grab the double-digits in this rematch, as Fairleigh Dickinson falls into a super 90-39 ATS system of mine which plays on certain big underdogs in conference games. Even better:  the Knights upset Wagner, 88-86, as a 13.5-point home dog in their last game.  And underdogs off upset home wins, as an underdog of 13+ points, have covered 60.3% since 1990.  Take the Knights + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the North Alabama Lions + the points over Jacksonville State.  The Gamecocks come into this game on a 3-game SU/ATS win streak while the Lions have lost their last 7 (1-6 ATS).  But we'll grab the points with North Alabama, as it falls into a super 439-242 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off SU/ATS losses.  Meanwhile, the Gamecocks are a horrid 4-21 ATS as a double-digit favorite vs. opponents not off a SU/ATS win.  Take North Alabama + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Mercy Titans minus the points over Fort Wayne.  Detroit has gone 8-0 SU at home this season, and this will be its final regular season home game.  One of the things I like to do is play on home teams in their final regular season home game, if they're undefeated at home, and matched-up against a non-losing foe.  And if they're playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season (which Detroit is), then even better.  Lay the points with the Titans.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Maine Black Bears + the points over Maryland-Baltimore Country.  The Retrievers annihilated the Black Bears when the two teams met in Maryland earlier this season.  UMBC won that game by a whopping 42 points.  But that massive defeat sets up our play today, as teams playing with revenge from a 40-point (or worse) setback have gone 97-67 ATS.  Take Maine + the points.

At 12:10 pm, in an early start, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Detroit.  Boston's won 10 out of 11 games.  Its one loss:  a 1-point home defeat to these Pistons, on Feb 16.  So, don't be surprised if the Celtics avenge that loss in a big way on this Saturday.  Indeed, revenge-minded, double-digit road favorites have cashed 73.9% since 1990 if they were off a win in their previous game.  Take Boston.