Sports Picks & Predictions

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Stanford Cardinal + the points over Arizona.  Stanford was upset, 76-73, in its Pac-12 opener on Friday by Arizona St.  And that was Stanford's second straight defeat, overall.  We'll take the Cardinal to bounce back this afternoon, as they're 41-18-2 ATS at home off back to back losses.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over Washington.  The Hawks are on a 4-game SU/ATS losing streak, but should get back into the win column this afternoon vs. the Wizards.  These two teams met last month, and the Hawks blew out Washington, 136-108.  That was the 5th straight win by the Hawks in this series, and they've won by an average of 12 ppg.  The Wizards upset Brooklyn, 110-104, here, at home, on Friday.  Unfortunately, Washington is 34-62 ATS at home off an upset win, if it was playing a foe off a SU/ATS loss.  Take the Hawks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the South Dakota St. Jackrabbits minus the points over North Dakota.  Both teams come into this game off back to back losses.  The Jackrabbits lost neutral court games to Wyoming and Norfolk St., while the Fighting Hawks fell at Nebraska, and at home to St. Thomas.  South Dakota St. has been one of the most reliable home teams in NCAA basketball, as it's 79-43-1 ATS.  We'll fade the Fighting Hawks, as they're a poor 5-19 ATS on the road off back to back losses.  Lay the points.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Titans + the points over Fort Wayne.  The Mastodons are 12-2 after downing Northern Kentucky, 73-60, on Friday, while Detroit has yet to taste victory, as it lost its 14 straight game, 67-55, at IUPUI two nights ago.  We'll grab the points with winless Detroit, as Horizon League road teams off a loss have gone 97-64 ATS vs. conference foes off a win, if our road team was getting more than 10 points.  That bodes well for Detroit today.  As does the fact that Fort Wayne is 0-9 ATS at home vs. conference foes when laying 5+ points.  Take Detroit.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At Midnight, our selection is on the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors minus the points over Cal State Fullerton.  The Rainbows come into this Big West Conference game off back to back home losses to Georgia Tech and TCU.  We'll take Hawaii to bounce back, as it's cashed 83% as a home favorite off back to back home defeats.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Cowboys minus the points over Detroit.  After losing to the Miami Dolphins last week, the Cowboys are now 1-12 ATS their last 13 on the road vs winning teams that were in the Playoffs the previous season. The good news for Dallas, then, in this game is that it is not on the road, and Detroit wasn't in the Playoffs last season. Dallas has played 5 games the past two seasons at home vs. winning clubs, and the Cowboys have won all 5, and have gone 3-2 straight-up. Even better: winning NFL teams have gone 41-20 ATS as a single-digit home favorite (or PK) off back to back SU/ATS road losses. Take Dallas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls minus the points over the Philadelphia 76ers.  The Sixers defeated Houston, 131-127, last night, while the Chicago Bulls had Friday off after their Thursday home loss to Indiana.  We'll play on the rested Bulls, and go against a Philly team which will be playing back to back road games without rest.  Indeed, the 76ers are 0-16 ATS off back to back wins, when playing their 3rd game in four nights on the road without rest, if their opponent was rested and playing back to back home games, and the Sixers weren't favored by more than 4 points.  Take Chicago.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gulf Coast Eagles + the points over Florida Atlantic.  The Owls are on a 3-game SU/ATS win streak after delivering their biggest regular season victory in school history when they upset #4-ranked Arizona, 96-95, in double-overtime last Saturday.  Off that emotional victory, we'll fade the Owls against Florida Gulf Coast, as the Owls are 2-10 ATS off 3 SU/ATS wins when playing an opponent not off a SU/ATS win.  Even better:  the Eagles play with revenge from a 32-point loss to the Owls last season.  And Florida Gulf Coast is 8-0 ATS as a revenge-minded underdog of more than 4 points.  Take the Eagles + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:00 pm, our selection is on the Prairie View A&M Panthers + the points over Texas A&M.  The Aggies have not performed well as a big home favorite, as it's gone 15-27 ATS when laying 17+ points.  Likewise, the Aggies are 5-19 ATS at home when playing an opponent with a negative scoring margin of -3.00 ppg (or worse).  Last year, the Aggies won by 20 vs. Prairie View, 86-66.  The good news for the Panthers is that they've cashed 67% as revenge-minded underdogs.  Take Prairie View + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Bellarmine Knights + the points over High Point.  The Knights come into Saturday's game off back to back 40+ point SU/ATS losses, while High Points enters off back to back SU/ATS wins.  We'll take Bellarmine to bounce back on Saturday evening, as NCAA teams off back to back 30-point (or worse) SU/ATS losses have cashed 57% since 1990 vs. foes off a win.  Take Bellarmine.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys + the points over BYU.  The Cougars come into this evening's game off back to back blowout wins over Georgia State (86-54) and Bellarmine (101-59).  We'll fade BYU, as it's a poor 37-62 ATS vs. winning foes, if BYU was off back to back double-digit wins, and also won its previous game ATS.  Take the Cowboys + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi Valley St. Delta Devils + the points over San Francisco.  The Dons have covered 3 straight games.  But it's a dismal 1-9 ATS in non-conference games when it was on a 3-game (or better) ATS win streak.  Meanwhile, the Delta Devils are 35-18 ATS as an underdog of more than 8 points off a loss.  Take Mississippi Valley St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks minus the points over NC Wilmington.  The Razorbacks won, but failed to cover, their last two games (against Lipscomb and Abilene Christian).  But off those two ATS defeats, we'll lay the points with Arkansas, as it's cashed 63.1% of home non-conference games since 1990 off back to back ATS losses.  Take the Razorbacks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Toledo Rockets + the points over Wyoming.  The Rockets went 11-1 in the regular season, and reached the Mid-American Conference title game, where they lost to Miami-Ohio, 23-14.  Wyoming ended the season with back to back blowout wins to finish 8-4, but failed to reach the Mountain West championship game.  I like playing on .692 (or better) underdogs in the Bowls that played in their title game against opponents that did not reach their conference championship game.  Our Bowl underdogs have cashed 58.2%.  Moreover, favorites off back to back wins have gone 46-70-3 ATS away from home in the post-season vs. .846 (or better) opponents.  Take Toledo + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs minus the points over Florida St.  The Bulldogs were upset by the Alabama Crimson Tide in the SEC Championship game.  Off that upset loss, we'll lay the points with Georgia this afternoon, as Georgia is 10-1 ATS off an upset loss against an opponent off a SU/ATS win, if Georgia wasn't getting 7+ points.  Even better:  undefeated teams (like Florida State), with a 5-0 (or better) record, have covered just 21.4% since 1994 when getting more than 14 points.  Take the Bulldogs.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Lafayette Leopards + the points over Richmond.  The Spiders won here, at home, nine days ago vs. Buffalo, 72-66, while Lafayette was blown out by 18 points, 78-60, by Quinnipiac.  The Leopards are 8-0 ATS as a double-digit dog off a SU loss, while Richmond is 6-17 ATS off a home win.  Take Lafayette + the points.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Missouri Tigers minus the points over Central Arkansas.  The Bears got the $$$ two days ago in a 16-point loss (as a 32.5-point underdog) vs. Oklahoma.  But off that ATS win, we'll fade Central Arkansas this afternoon, as it's 12-31-2 ATS off a point spread win.  Take Missouri.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Alabama A&M Bulldogs + the points over Georgia.  Alabama A&M has been installed as a monstrous underdog this afternoon, and we'll happily grab the points, noting that Georgia is an awful 27-50-2 ATS its last 79, including 2-11-1 ATS when favored by more than 9 points.  Take Alabama A&M.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Auburn Tigers minus the points over Maryland.  The Tigers suffered a heartbreaking loss to rival Alabama at season's end, and finished with a 6-6 record.  The good news for Auburn is that it will be able to redeem itself in this Music City Bowl game vs. Maryland.  And it's 11-0 SU and 9-2 ATS when favored off back to back losses, if it didn't own a winning record.  The Terrapins will play this game without star QB, Taulia Tagovailoa, who is their all-time leader in passing yards (11,356), as well as the Big 10's all time leader.  In his stead will be Billy Edwards Jr., who had a QB rating of 59.4 (compared to Tagovailoa's 73.6 rating).  I expect Maryland to drop off significantly on offense without Tagovailoa, and we'll lay the points with Auburn.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Fordham Rams minus the points over Columbia.  The Lions enter off back to back SU/ATS road wins over Lafayette and Fairleigh Dickinson, while Fordham lost its two previous games, SU/ATS, to St. John's and Central Connecticut St.  We'll take Fordham to rebound off those losses, as it's 11-0 ATS off back to back SU/ATS losses, while Columbia is 11-31-1 ATS off back to back ATS wins.  Take Fordham minus the points.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers minus the points over San Antonio.  These two teams met last night, and we played on the Spurs as a small underdog.  San Antone blew out Portland from the get-go, with a 38-14 advantage after 12 minutes, and coasted to a 118-105 win.  Victor Wembanyama led the way for San Antonio, as he tallied 30 points, and blocked seven shots.  But Wemby will sit out tonight's game, since coach Gregg Popovich doesn't want him playing back to back nights right now.  The Trail Blazers fall into a 71-42 ATS revenge system of mine, so we'll take Portland to avenge its loss last night, and lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Fairleigh Dickinson Knights + the points over Illinois.  We played on the Illini in their previous game, and got the $$$ when they blew out Missouri, 97-73.  Tonight, Illinois will welcome Fairleigh Dickinson to Champaign, and the Knights lost their two previous games SU/ATS.  Unfortunately for Illinois, it's a poor 6-20-1 ATS off a win, when favored by more than 8 points against a foe off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Take Fairleigh Dickinson + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the St Mary's Gaels minus the points over Kent State.  The Gaels had their 5-game win streak snapped last Saturday when they lost at home to Missouri St, 69-64, as a 13.5-point favorite.  We'll take Randy Bennett's men to bounce back on Friday, as they're 33-13 ATS their last 46 home non-conference games off an ATS loss.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Ohio St Buckeyes minus the points over Missouri.  Ryan Day's men had high hopes to be in the FBS playoffs.  They were ranked #1 in the country, but lost their season-ending game at Michigan, 30-24.  I look for Ohio State to bounce back off that defeat, as it's a super 16-5 ATS away from home off a loss.  Meanwhile, Missouri is 2-11 ATS in the post-season off a straight-up win, and 19-40 ATS off a win, if they were playing an opponent off a road loss.  Take Ohio State minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Eastern Kentucky Colonels + the points over Purdue.  The Boilermakers were my preseason pick (at 15-1 odds) to win the national championship.  And, so far, they've not disappointed as they're ranked #1 with an 11-1 record.  Purdue blew out Jacksonville, 100-57, in their last game, while the Dolphins lost at Alabama.  We'll fade Purdue, as the Boilers are an ugly 0-10 ATS off a win by 14 (or more) points when they were matched up against an opponent off a loss.  Take Eastern Kentucky + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines minus the points over McNeese St.  The Cowboys are 10-2, but this will be their toughest test yet.  The Wolves come into this game off a 106-101 loss to the Florida Gators, so they'll be looking to bounce back on Friday.  And Michigan generally does rebound off losses, as they're 93-56-2 ATS.  Lay the points with Juwan Howard's men.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Maine Black Bears + the points over Minnesota.  This will be the Golden Gophers' final non-conference tune-up before their Big 10 schedule resumes (they played Ohio State and Nebraska earlier this month).  The Gophers have won 4 straight, and have covered their last six.  But they also haven't played a game in over a week, so I expect some rust this evening.  Maine is 14-5 ATS as a double digit underdog.  And it's also 21-11 ATS off a loss vs. an opponent off a win.  Finally, the Black Bears fall into an 871-649-31 ATS system of mine. Take Maine + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats minus the points over Evansville.  The Bearcats will open their Big 12 Conference season at BYU next week, and will welcome the Purple Aces into Cincinnati as a final tune-up before conference play.  The Bearcats last played a week ago and downed Stetson, 83-75, as a 21.5-point home favorite.  Cincy is a stellar 15-0 ATS off an ATS loss, when it wasn't favored by more than 21 points, so I look for it to blow out Evansville tonight.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the North Florida Ospreys + the points over Miami-Fla.  The Hurricanes smashed Stonehill, 97-59, in their last game to move to 8-2 on the season.  Miami's favored by double-digits tonight, but is a woeful 7-23 ATS when laying 13+ points at home, including 13-1 ATS off back to back wins.  Even worse:  Miami is 2-11 ATS at home off a win by 30+ points.  Take North Florida.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers + the points over Iowa St.  This game will be played at the Tigers' home field in Memphis, so the Tigers will have a very friendly crowd in their corner.  Memphis is a solid 13-5 ATS as a home underdog, including 6-0 ATS when getting more than 5 points, while Iowa State is a soft 5-8 ATS as a double-digit road favorite.  Grab the points with the homestanding Tigers.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Oregon State Beavers + the points over Notre Dame.  This Sun Bowl game's over/under line has been installed around 41 points.  And that bodes well for Oregon State, as it's 11-1 ATS in games with O/U lines < 52 points.  Additionally, Oregon State is 17-8-1 ATS as an underdog.  And the underdog has cashed in 30 of 39 Sun Bowls, including 7-0 ATS off back to back losses.  Take the Beavers + the points.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats + the points over the Clemson Tigers.  The Wildcats pulled off a big upset to end their season, with a 38-31 win over rival, Louisville.  Kentucky has been installed as an underdog this afternoon in the Gator Bowl, and we'll grab the points, as Kentucky is 35-18-1 ATS in non-conference games, if it won its previous game, straight-up, including 5-1-1 ATS off an upset win.  And Clemson has covered just 3 of 11 bowl games when favored by 3 or more points.  Finally, the SEC conference is a solid 69-50 ATS as a post-season underdog vs. non-conference foes, including 23-11 ATS vs. the ACC conference.  Take Kentucky + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Portland.  This is the first of back to back games between these clubs.  (Game #2 will be played here tomorrow night.)  The Blazers pulled off an upset of the Sacramento Kings, 130-113, on Tuesday.  But that upset win has triggered a negative 41-86 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams off home upset victories.  The Spurs come into this game off 5 straight losses, including a 130-118 loss to the Jazz two days ago.  And coach Gregg Popovich is extremely displeased with his team's lack of effort on the defensive end (and has expressed his displeasure vociferously over the last 2 days).  The Spurs are 163-118 ATS in the regular season off a loss by more than 10 points.  I expect a better performance by the Silver and Black tonight, and we'll take the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans minus the points over Utah.  The Jazz have won 3 straight, but I believe their win streak will be halted tonight by New Orleans.  These two teams met twice in Salt Lake City over Thanksgiving, and the Jazz swept that 2-game set with triumphs by 5 and 2 points.  We'll take the Pelicans to avenge those losses, as they're 76-39-2 ATS at home when playing with revenge from 2 losses earlier in the season, including 55-25 ATS vs. foes off a straight-up win.  Take New Orleans minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 5:45 pm, our selection is on the Kansas St. Wildcats minus the points over NC State.  The Wildcats were a 9.5-point home favorite, but fell by 7 points, 42-35, to Iowa St at the end of the regular season.  But K-State is a perfect 7-0 SU/ATS off a loss since 2022, and 81-46-1 ATS off a loss since 1990 (including 17-1 ATS its last 18 when it failed to cover by 13+ points in its previous game).  Additionally, ACC Conference teams off a win have covered just 23% away from home vs. Big 12 foes off a loss.  We'll take the Wildcats to blow out NC State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11 am, our selection is on the Boston College Eagles + the points over SMU.  This game will be played less than 5 miles from B.C.'s campus, at Fenway Park, so the crowd will be decidedly in the Eagles' corner.  The Mustangs are laying double-digits, which is always a high tariff in a Bowl game.  Indeed, double-digit dogs are 88-67 ATS in the Bowls since 1981.  Even worse:  when SMU has had a winning record, it's a miserable 10-41 ATS away from home when priced from +10.5 to -14 points.  Grab the points with Boston College.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns over the Houston Rockets.  Phoenix has lost its last six (and 11 of its last 12) games to the point spread.  But it will play tonight's game with an extra day of rest, as Houston had to play Indiana last night, while the Suns had Tuesday off.  Phoenix is 31-19 as a rested road favorite vs. unrested foes, including 11-2 ATS off a straight-up loss.  Take the Suns.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the USC Trojans + the points over Louisville.  The Trojans lost, 38-20, to rival UCLA at season's end.  We'll grab the points with the Trojans, as they're 25-10 ATS as an underdog off a SU/ATS loss.  Take USC + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels + the points over West Virginia.  The Mountaineers have woefully underperformed in the Bowls, as they're 7-24 ATS including 0-14 ATS when not getting 3+ points.  Take North Carolina as a big underdog.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Tulane Green Wave + the points over Virginia Tech.  The Green Wave lost coach Willie Fritz to the University of Houston, and have a lot of player absences as well, which is why they're catching double-digits this afternoon.  We'll happily take the points, as double-digit Bowl underdogs have gone 83-62 ATS at home, or on neutral fields.  Even better:  Tulane is 10-0 ATS away from home when not laying 10+ points.  Take the Green Wave.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over Chicago.  Trae Young has been upgraded to play tonight, and that's all we need to pull the trigger on Atlanta.  Atlanta comes into this game off back to back SU/ATS losses to Miami and Memphis, but those two defeats have set the Hawks up in a 124-69 ATS system of mine.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over the Brooklyn Nets.  The Pistons are now tied for the most consecutive losses (26) within a single season, and will hold the record by themselves with a straight-up loss tonight.  Of course, we only care about the point spread, and will grab the points with Detroit.  We actually played against the Pistons and took the Nets when these two team met three days ago in Brooklyn.  The Nets won that game by 11 (as a 10-point favorite).  But I expect a much closer game in this rematch, as the Pistons fall into a super 75-26 ATS system of mine, while Brooklyn is a wallet-busting 39-57-1 ATS as a road favorite of 5 or more points.  Take Detroit as a home underdog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Rice Owls + the points over Texas State.  This Lone Star State battle in the First Responder Bowl will take place in Dallas, Texas.  We'll grab the points with Rice, primarily because of its advantages on the defensive side of the ball.  Texas State ranks #104 in yards given up, at 414.3 (Rice is #55 at 370.1), and #116 in points allowed, at 33.83 (Rice is #66, at 26.67).  And Texas State's porous defense has triggered negative systems of mine that are 49-103, 34-76 ATS, and 26-60 ATS.  Finally, the Owls are 11-4 ATS as an underdog (or PK), while the Bobcats are a soft 10-16 ATS as a favorite, including 1-8 ATS vs. winning ATS foes.  Grab the points with Rice.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers minus the points over Bowling Green.  The Golden Gophers stumbled at the end of the season, with four straight losses (both SU and ATS).  But we'll still take them as a small favorite over a Mid-American Conference foe.  Big 10 Conference teams have excelled in the Bowls off back-to-back SU/ATS losses, as they've gone 13-4-1 ATS.  And teams off 3+ losses have gone 34-25-1 ATS in the Bowls since 1983.  Meanwhile, MAC Conference teams are a soft 14-30-3 ATS in the post-season vs. an opponent off a SU loss.  Take Minnesota minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12:10 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over Milwaukee.  This is the 2nd of back to back meetings between these teams.  Milwaukee was favored by 2 points on Saturday, and won by 19, 130-111.  The point spread is higher on Christmas, and we'll take the Knicks to avenge their loss.  Both teams have solid records.  New York is 16-12, while Milwaukee is 22-7.  In regular season matchups between foes with win percentages greater than .550, teams off a loss by 12+ points have gone 76-38 ATS vs. foes off a win by 12+ points (including 7-2 ATS if it was the 2nd of back to back meetings).  Take New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Cardinals + the points over the Chicago Bears.  This is the 3rd time this season the Bears have been installed as a point spread favorite, and they've yet to cover in that role.  Even worse, Chicago is 23-38-2 ATS its last 63 games as a favorite, including 11-25-2 ATS when favored by less than 5 points.  Meanwhile, the Cardinals are 21-6-1 ATS as a single-digit road underdog, including 13-1 ATS vs. non-division foes.  Grab the points with Arizona.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Cowboys + the points over the Miami Dolphins.  I'm well aware of how poor Dallas has done vs. top-level teams.  But off its 21-point loss to Buffalo, we'll step in and take the Cowboys today.  Dallas is 22-12-1 ATS off a 20-point (or worse) loss when not getting 3+ points.  And the Cowboys also fall into a 97-52 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off blowout losses.  Take Dallas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers + the points over San Jose.  Coastal Carolina lost by 42 points in their final game of the season, as a 4-point underdog vs. James Madison.  We'll take the big underdog tonight, as Bowl underdogs of +8 (or more) points, off a SU/ATS loss, have covered 67% the last 10 seasons.  Take Coastal Carolina.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Chargers + the points over Buffalo.  The Chargers were the 2nd team this NFL season to fall by 40+ points when they were crushed, 63-21, by the Raiders on Thursday Night Football.  Historically, teams do bounce back from such blowout losses when they play at home in their next game, but not when they take to the road.  At home, our teams have gone 34-25-2 ATS, while they they've faltered on the road, to the tune of 6-12-2 ATS.  The Chargers have been installed as a double-digit home dog, which also bodes well, as double-digit home dogs have gone 130-102-2 ATS.  Take Los Angeles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over Detroit.  This is the first of a back-to-back set between these teams, with Tuesday's game being played in Detroit.  We'll take the Nets to snap out of their funk.  Brooklyn's on a 5-game losing streak, but fall into a 181-100 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams on losing streaks.  Brooklyn is 10-4 ATS at home this season, including 7-1 ATS as a favorite.  Lay it.   Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the South Alabama Jaguars minus the points over Eastern Michigan.  The Eagles upset Buffalo, 24-11, to end their regular season.  Unfortunately, they're a paltry 7-18 ATS as an underdog away from home in non-conference games, if they were off a win, including 0-5 ATS off an upset win.  Take South Alabama minus the points.

At 4:30pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Steelers + the points over the Cincinnati Bengals.  This is the Steelers' final home game of the season.  And they come into the game off 3 SU/ATS losses.  We played against the Black and Gold last week, and got the $$$$ with the Colts.  But we'll switch gears today, and take the points with the home pup.  Indeed, home dogs off 3 SU/ATS losses have covered 64% since 1980 in their final home game of the season.  Take Pittsburgh.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the North Texas Mean Green minus the points over Texas Arlington.  The Mean Green have lost 3 straight games, and have failed to cover the spread in their last two, while Arlington is on a 4-game ATS win streak.  We'll take North Texas minus the points, as it's cashed 71% since 1990 off back to back SU/ATS losses vs. foes off back to back ATS wins.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Titans + the points over NC State.  It's true that the Titans are 0-12 on the season, and have been outscored by 16.41 ppg. But we'll still take Detroit, and go against NC State, as ACC Conference teams are a miserable 46-78 ATS when favored against an opponent with a negative scoring margin that lost its last three games SU/ATS.  Take Detroit.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the West Virginia Mountaineers minus the points over Toledo.  West Virginia lost here, in Morgantown, to Radford, 66-65, on Wednesday.  We'll lay the points with the Mountaineers, as they've cashed 73% since 1990 as a home favorite off an upset home loss.  Take WVU.

At 12:40 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over Milwaukee.   The Knicks return home after playing their last 5 on the road.  And they're 47-23 ATS at home if they were off 3+ road games, and owned a winning record.  Admittedly, the Bucks have won 6 straight games.  But all 6 were played at home.  We'll fade Milwaukee on the road, as it's gone 20-36-2 ATS off 3 home wins.  Take New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Arkansas State Red Wolves minus the points over Northern Illinois.  Butch Jones' men ended their regular season with a thud, as they lost, 35-21, to Marshall.  We'll take the Red Wolves to bounce back, as they're 11-2 ATS away from home off a double-digit conference defeat.  Take Arkansas St.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Illinois Illini minus the points over Missouri.  The Tigers are a woeful 13-27 ATS as an underdog of more than 4 points when not playing with revenge.  Lay the points with Illinois.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Bellarmine Knights + the points over BYU.  The Knights were blown out, 85-43, by Utah on Wednesday.  We'll grab the points, as Bellarmine is 8-0 ATS off a loss by more than 18 points.  Take the Knights.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Middle Tennessee St Blue Raiders + the points over Southern Utah. The Blue Raiders lost by 37 at St. Mary's on Tuesday.  We'll take Middle Tennessee, as Southern Utah has cashed just 34.7% vs. foes off losses by more than 20 points.  Take the Blue Raiders.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over Dallas.  Houston will look to snap its 3-game SU/ATS losing streak tonight, while Dallas will attempt to halt its 2-game SU/ATS slide.  I favor Houston, as the Mavericks have consistently burned money the last two seasons, with a 42-61 ATS mark.  And they're also 10-25-1 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe, including 0-7 ATS vs. foes off 3 SU/ATS losses.  With the Rockets seeking revenge from a loss at Dallas last month, we'll lay the points with Houston.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish minus the points over Marist.  The Irish are 4-7 after getting upset, 65-45, by The Citadel, while Marist is 7-2 following its 24-point blowout of Maryland-Eastern Shore.  We'll take the Irish to bounce back on Friday, as ACC Conference teams are 79-53-4 ATS at home off an upset home loss, if they're matched up against a foe off a win.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks + the points over VCU.  The Rams have been installed as a huge favorite this evening.  Unfortunately, they're 1-11 ATS off a win, if they were favored at home by 19+ points.  Take the Hawks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Southern Illinois Salukis minus the points over Southern Indiana.  The Screaming Eagles won last year's meeting, 71-53.  We'll take the revenge-minded Salukis tonight, as they're 38-18 ATS as a favorite of -7 (or more) points, when playing with revenge, including 27-8 ATS off a SU win.  Take Southern Illinois.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Baylor Bears minus the points over Mississippi Valley St.  The Bears lost their last two games, vs. Michigan St and Duke, after starting the season with nine straight wins.  We'll take Baylor tonight, as the Bears are 62-26 ATS as a favorite off back to back losses.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets + the points over Central Florida.  The Knights have been installed as a favorite in this Gasparilla Bowl.  But Central Florida is a woeful 0-8 ATS its last 8 when priced from -3.5 to -7 points!  That doesn't bode well for UCF this evening.  Nor does the fact that Georgia Tech is 12-3 ATS its last 15 as an underdog (or PK), including 7-1 ATS off a straight up loss.  Take Georgia Tech.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over the Portland Trail Blazers.  The Blazers pulled off a big upset win at home over Phoenix, 109-104, on Tuesday.  Meanwhile, the Wizards lost, 143-131, at Sacramento, on Monday.  We'll take Washington and go against Portland, as the Blazers have covered just 35.2% since 1990 at home off an upset home win, if they were playing an opponent off a loss.  Take Washington.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over Kent St.  The Ducks were blown out, 83-63, by Syracuse in its last game.  It was the lowest amount of points Oregon has scored this season, and resulted primarily from a 4-for-27 performance from 3-point territory.  Since 1990, Oregon has cashed 59.2% in non-conference games off an upset loss, including 7-0 ATS their last seven as a home favorite.  Take the Ducks minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans minus the points over the Cleveland Cavaliers.  The Pels were upset, 115-113, at home by Memphis, on Tuesday, as an 8.5-point favorite.  Off that upset loss, we'll lay the points with New Orleans in Cleveland tonight, as rested road favorites off an upset loss at home as an 8.5-point (or greater) favorite, have cashed 61.2% since 1990 vs. foes off a win.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Florida A&M Rattlers + the points over Central Florida.  The Rattlers return home to the Sunshine State after getting blitzed in the state of Iowa last weekend.  Florida A&M lost to both Iowa and Iowa State by 36 and 38 points, respectively.  We'll take the Rattlers tonight, as they're 6-0 ATS their last six (and 11-1 ATS their last 12) as an underdog on a 2-game ATS losing streak.  Even better, at Game 10 forward, teams with a negative scoring margin of -15.0 ppg have cashed 61.1% on the road if they were off a 30-point (or worse) SU/ATS loss.  Take Florida A&M.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the College of Charleston Cougars minus the points over St. Joseph's.  The Hawks have won their last six games, including a 25-point blowout of cross-town rival, Iona, last Saturday.  The Hawks are now 9-2 on the season, but 10 of their 11 games were played in their home city of Philadelphia.  They have won 9 of those 10 games played in Philly, but lost their only game outside the city.  The Hawks are 9-17-1 ATS their last 26 road games off a point spread win, including 1-7 ATS vs. non-conference foes.  Take Charleston minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Old Dominion Monarchs + the points over TCU.  The Monarchs lost to conference rival, James Madison, 84-69, in their last game.  We'll take ODU to bounce back, as it's 105-82 ATS in the regular season off a conference loss, including 9-0 ATS its last nine.  Take the Monarchs + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Holy Cross Crusaders + the points over Harvard.  The Crimson come into this game off four straight ATS losses.  We'll look for that losing streak to stretch to five games this afternoon, as Harvard is 51-84-1 ATS as a favorite off an ATS loss.  And it's also 14-38 ATS as a home favorite when it's been on a 2-game (or worse) losing streak.  Grab the points with Holy Cross.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Alcorn St. Braves + the points over George Washington.  The Revolutionaries will take the floor tonight for the first time in nine days, following their win over Bowie St, while the Braves played (and lost) just two days ago.  There's always a 'rest vs. rust' debate, and I favor the rust side in the debate when it comes to NCAA basketball.  Indeed, teams (like George Washington) that were off 3+ wins have gone 338-397 ATS at home in the regular season when they were playing with more than a week of rest, including 26.3% the last 7 years against foes that had no more than 1 day of rest.  The Revolutionaries are also 64-83-4 ATS as a favorite in non-conference games, including 9-15-2 ATS vs. foes off back to back losses.  Take Alcorn St.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels minus the points over Oklahoma.  The Tar Heels were upset by Kentucky, 87-83, on Saturday.  And that was North Carolina's 2nd straight loss.  We'll take the Tar Heels to bounce back, as they've gone 29-15-2 ATS in non-conference games off an upset loss.  Lay the points.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks + the points over the Houston Rockets.  We played against the Hawks in their last game, and got the money with the Pistons as a 12-point road underdog.  Atlanta won that game, 130-124, but failed to cover.  Its ATS record is now 6-19 ATS, which is the worst in the league.  But if one digs deeper into its numbers, one finds that it's only failed to cover the spread by an average of 0.55 ppg.  And it's actually covered the spread on the road by +1.73 ppg; at home is where Atlanta has really underperformed.  Tonight, the Hawks are on the road, and have been installed as a road underdog vs. Houston.  We'll take the Hawks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over the Chicago Bulls.  The Lakers will hit the road tonight after losing their 2nd straight game on Monday, at home, vs. New York.  They've been installed as a road favorite vs. the 11-17 Bulls, who are coming in off an upset win over the 76ers, 108-104, in Philly.  Los Angeles is a solid 47-27 ATS on the road vs. non-division foes with a losing record, off an upset win.  Take the Lakers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Utah Valley Wolverines + the points over Liberty.  The Flames are outscoring their foes by 20.08 ppg this season.  But we will go against Liberty tonight, as Utah Valley is 24-4 ATS its last 28 when playing an opponent with a scoring margin north of 2.6 points per game.  Take the Wolverines.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears minus the points over UC San Diego.  After covering the spread in five straight games, the Cal Bears stumbled vs. Ole Miss, and lost by 10, as a 2.5-point underdog.  We'll take California to get back into the win column this afternoon, as it's cashed 63% since 1990 as a home favorite vs. non-conference foes, if Cal was off a loss, and its opponent was off a SU/ATS win.  Lay the points.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Alcorn State Braves + the points over Drake.  The Braves come into tonight's game off back to back losses to Maryland (105-65) and Northern Iowa (100-82).  We'll take the points with Alcorn State, as underdogs of 6+ points, off back to back SU/ATS losses in which they gave up 100+ points, have cashed 68.4% since 1990.  Take the Braves.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Florida St. Seminoles minus the points over North Florida.  The Ospreys blew out Trinity Baptist, 113-72, on Saturday.  We'll fade North Florida off that high-scoring win, as it is 10-23 ATS after scoring more than 78 points, including 0-7 ATS as an underdog of more than 12.  Take the Seminoles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the SF Austin Lumberjacks minus the points over New Mexico St.  The Aggies come into this game off a heartbreaking 1-point loss to rival New Mexcio.  The Aggies were a 14.5-point underdog, and lost 73-72, as the Lobos scored the game-winning lay-up with 23 seconds left in the game.  I expect a letdown tonight, as road underdogs of +9 (or more) points off a 1-point loss in a game where they were 13-point (or greater) dogs, have gone 1-15 ATS in the regular season.  Lay the points with Stephen F. Austin.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the James Madison Dukes minus the points over Coppin St.  The Dukes are undefeated, at 10-0, and ranked #20 in the Associated Press poll.  Even better:  they're 7-2 ATS this season, and were 18-12 ATS last year (25-14 ATS combined).  One of the Dukes' losses last season was to Coppin St.  The Eagles upset the Dukes, 107-100, in Baltimore.  We'll take the revenge-minded Dukes to blow out the Eagles, as Coppin St is a woeful 1-6 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe.  And the Eagles are 8-17-1 ATS their last 26 road games.  Take the Dukes minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over the Atlanta Hawks.  The Pistons have the NBA's worst record, at 2-24.  And they've lost 23 straight games, including a 146-114 blowout at Milwaukee on Saturday, which is 3 games shy of the all-time worst in-season losing streak.  But Atlanta has also been horrible this season.  Not straight-up, but against the spread.  The Hawks are the league's worst point spread team, as they're 6-18-1 ATS.  The Hawks are a horrid 13-29-1 ATS as a favorite their last 43, and they're 50-95-2 ATS vs. rested foes off a loss by 20+ points.  Take Detroit.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks + the points over Marist.  The Hawks won last year's meeting, 70-59, as a 2.5-point home favorite.  This season's game is in Poughkeepsie, and the Red Foxes come into this game off 5 straight covers.  But they were never laying double-digits in those games.  Indeed, this is the first time Marist has been favored by double-digits since 2021, a span of 60 games.  Notwithstanding Marist's recent success ATS, I think the point spread adjustment has been too great.  We'll take the Hawks, as they are 32-19-1 ATS on the road.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville Jaguars + the points over Baltimore.  The Jaguars come into this Sunday Night game off back to back losses to Cincinnati and Cleveland. They'll now play their 3rd straight game vs. an AFC North division foe, as Baltimore will come into Jacksonville. Since 1980, winning teams (like the Jaguars) have cashed 61 percent at home off back to back losses, if they weren't favored by more than 1 point. Take the Jaguars.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over the Houston Rockets.  The Bucks played last night (and won), and will be at home for the 2nd straight day on this Sunday.  We'll lay the points, as Milwaukee is 38-17 ATS on the 2nd of back-to-back days, off an ATS win the previous day.  And Houston is a poor 19-37-2 ATS as a road underdog.  Lay the points with Milwaukee.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills minus the points over Dallas.  Both Dallas and Buffalo scored their biggest wins of the season last Sunday. The Bills moved to 7-6 with a 20-17 win at Kansas City, while Dallas won at home, 33-13, vs. rival Philadelphia. That was Dallas' 5th straight win, overall. And four of those five wins came at home, including their last three. Now, the Cowboys have to take to the road, and play a Bills team which needs to keep winning to get into the Playoffs. I'll fade Dallas, as road teams off a home win, and 3 home games, overall, have gone 98-133-3 ATS. And the Cowboys are an ugly 1-10 ATS on the road vs winning teams that were in the Playoffs the previous season. Take Buffalo.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Commanders + the points over the Los Angeles Rams.  The Commanders had last week off to rest and prepare for this game, while the Rams lost an overtime affair at Baltimore (but covered the spread in defeat).  The Rams are a poor 8-21 ATS off 3 ATS wins, including 0-8 ATS when priced from -4.5 to -11 points.  And they're 1-12 ATS vs. rested foes when priced from -3 to -13 points.  Admittedly, the Commanders were playing poorly going into their Bye Week, as they had dropped 4 straight games, including their last three ATS.  The good news is that rested underdogs of more than 5 points have cashed 75% since 1990, if they had lost their three previous games SU/ATS.  Take Washington + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

  At 3:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic + the points over Boston.  This is the 2nd of back to back meetings.  Boston won Round 1, 128-111, on Friday, as a 6-point home favorite.  And that ATS win by Boston snapped a 5-game ATS losing streak in the series.  The Celtics are also the home team for this re-match, but the point spread is higher.  We'll grab the points with the revenge-minded Magic, as they're 29-15-1 ATS as an underdog when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Alcorn State Braves + the points over Northern Iowa.  The Braves come into this afternoon's game off their worst game of the season.  They were blown out by 40 points, 105-65, by Maryland as a 23-point underdog.  We'll take Alcorn State to bounce back as it's 13-5 ATS on the road off a 20-point (or worse) defeat.  And Northern Iowa is 1-13 ATS as a favorite of more than 13 points vs. a non-conference foe with a negative scoring margin.  Take Alcorn State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots + the points over Kansas City.  Defending Super Bowl champs have not done well as road favorites vs. foes off a straight-up win, and especially not in non-division games, as they've gone 22-41 ATS since 1981, including 0-11 ATS when laying more than 7 points. Take New England + the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints minus the points over the New York Giants.  The Giants pulled off a big upset this past Monday at home vs. Green Bay, as they won 24-22 as a 6-point home underdog. But road teams have had letdowns off upset home wins, if they were an underdog of more than 5 points in that upset win. Since 1980, those teams have gone 88-126-6 ATS. Take the Saints.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over Atlanta.  The Panthers have been installed as a home underdog in this NFC South division contest.  We'll grab the points, as home dogs off 3+ losses have done well in the final 4 games of the regular season, with a 95-60-2 ATS record vs. sub-.666 opponents.  That bodes well for Carolina.  As does the fact that the Falcons have covered just 10 of 29 as road favorites.  Take the Panthers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over the New York Knicks.  The Knicks and Clippers met earlier this season in the Big Apple.  Los Angeles was favored, but the Knicks blew out the Clippers by 14 points.  We'll take the Clippers to avenge that defeat as they've gone 74-47 ATS in the regular season when favored by 3+ points, and playing with revenge from a loss by 6+ points.  Take Los Angeles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Portland Pilots + the points over Grand Canyon.  The Antelopes upset Liberty, 69-64, as a 5-point road underdog last Saturday.  We'll fade Grand Canyon off that upset win, as it is 0-6-2 ATS as a favorite of more than 2 points off an upset win.  Take the Pilots + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:15 pm, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders minus the points over California.  The Red Raiders were annihilated in Austin, Texas, 57-7, at the end of their regular season.  But off that 50-point blowout loss, I expect Tech to bounce back in this bowl game and crush California.  Texas Tech is a super 11-0 ATS off a straight-up loss as a road underdog, if it wasn't favored by double digits.  Lay the points with the Red Raiders.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie