Sports Picks & Predictions

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Presbyterian Blue Hose + the points over UAB.  Presbyterian comes into this road game off back to back road losses.  I look for the Blue Hose to have a much better outcome tonight, as UAB has covered just 6 of 26 games vs. foes off back to back road losses.  Take Presbyterian + the points.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Seton Hall Pirates over Iowa.  Seton Hall is a terrific 19-3-1 ATS at home vs. non-conference foes when not laying 13+ points.  Take the Pirates.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over Orlando.  We played against the Magic two nights ago, and got the $$$ with Charlotte, as the Hornets snapped their 7-game losing streak.  We'll go against Orlando again tonight, as it is a horrid 80-115 ATS at home off a home loss.  Take the T-Wolves.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Toledo Rockets minus the points over Oakland.  Toledo was upset last season by Oakland, 80-59.  We'll take the revenge-minded Rockets tonight, as Oakland has covered just 2 of its last 16 lined games.  Lay the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers minus the points over Florida Gulf Coast.  The Vols were upset by Colorado, 78-66, on Sunday.  But we'll take Tennessee to bounce back, as it's 44-19 ATS off a double-digit loss.

At 11 pm, our selection is on the USC Trojans minus the points over Vermont.  The Catamounts have not stepped up when playing on an opponent's home court, and especially not when installed as a road underdog.  Vermont is a poor 2-17 SU and 4-14-1 ATS its last 19 as a road underdog.  Lay the points with USC.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:00 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets over the Sacramento Kings.  The Kings upset the defending champion Warriors, 122-115, on Sunday.  But off that upset win, we'll fade Sacramento tonight, as it's 56-92-5 ATS at home off an upset win.  Take Brooklyn.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Alabama St. Hornets + the points over San Jose St.  The Spartans blew out Bethesda, 90-68, on Sunday.  But off that high-scoring game, we'll fade San Jose, as it's 10-33 ATS after scoring 80+ points, including 0-9 ATS when not getting more than 2 points.  Take Alabama St.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over the Utah Jazz.  Prior to the season, not much was expected from the Utah Jazz, after they jettisoned their two best players (Rudy Gobert; Donovan Mitchell).  Surprisingly, though, the Jazz have been terrific this season, as they're 10-5 SU/ATS.  But their success has been as an underdog, where they're 9-2 ATS.  As a favorite, Utah is 1-3 ATS.  We'll grab the points with the New York Knicks tonight, and go against a (now) overrated Utah team, which is starting to come back down to Earth, and has lost its last two games, straight-up.  Take New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin-Green Bay Phoenix + the points over Wisconsin.  The Badgers blew out the Phoenix last season, 72-34.  We'll take Green Bay as it's 61-24 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss by 13+ points.  Take Green Bay + the points tonight.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Maryland Terrapins minus the points over Binghamton.  Binghamton comes into this game off an upset win over Marist.  But the Bearcats are 9-17 ATS off an upset win.  Take Maryland minus the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Syracuse Orange minus the points over Colgate.  The Raiders upset the Orange, 100-85, last season, as an 11.5-point road underdog.  But prior to that upset defeat, the Orange had won the 54 previous meetings vs. Colgate, and hadn't lost to Colgate since now-head coach Jim Boeheim was a redshirt freshman for the Orange.  Syracuse may not win the next 54 games, but it will win this revenge match tonight.  Lay the points with Syracuse.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee State Tigers minus the points over Alabama A&M.  These two teams met in Huntsville last season, and the Bulldogs upset the Tigers, 82-73.  We'll take the revenge-minded home team tonght, as it falls into an 81-29 ATS revenge system of mine.  Additionally, the Bulldogs are 22-38 ATS on the road off a SU loss.  Take the Tigers minus the points.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Florida State Seminoles minus the points over Troy.  The Seminoles were upset, 68-54, by Central Florida on Friday, and are now 0-2 on the season.  I love Florida State to bounce back tonight, as it's cashed 73% as a favorite in non-conference games since 1990 when it was off an upset loss, and also lost two games back.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Oklahoma City.  The Thunder have won two straight games -- both as underdogs -- but are in a prime letdown spot tonight.  Even worse, they're playing without rest against a rested opponent.  Boston is 13-2 ATS at home when rested against an unrested foe off a win.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets over the Orlando Magic.  The Hornets were blown out by Orlando by 20 points back on October 28.  But I love the Hornets in this revenge match, as they fall into a 206-104 ATS revenge system of mine which plays on certain teams that lost by 19+ points vs. division rivals.  Additionally, the Magic are an awful 17-41-2 ATS at home vs. foes off back to back losses.  Take Charlotte.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the South Florida Bulls minus the points over Stetson.  The Hatters stunned Florida State, 83-74, to open their season.  Off that upset win, we'll look for a letdown tonight vs. the Bulls, as South Florida's cashed 60% since 1990 at home vs. non-conference foes off an upset win.  Lay the points.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves over the Cleveland Cavaliers.  After starting the season 8-1, the Cavs are now on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak.  We'll go against them here, as they're a wallet-busting 13-36-2 ATS off back to back ATS losses, including 0-9-1 ATS vs. .420 (or worse) teams, as well as 0-9-1 ATS when favored by 7 or less points.  Take Minnesota + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Alabama State Hornets + the points over Pepperdine.  The Hornets come into this game off back to back blowout losses, as they lost by 41 to UAB, and by 38 to Southern Cal.  But off those losses, they now fall into a 710-496 ATS system of mine.  Additionally, the Hornets are 16-6 ATS off a loss, while Pepperdine is a soft 43-65 ATS at home in non-conference games.  Grab the points with Alabama State.   Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Green Bay Packers + the points over the Dallas Cowboys.  We played on the Packers as a big underdog vs. Buffalo, and got the $$$$ with Aaron Rodgers & Co.  Unfortunately for Green Bay, it faltered last week as a favorite in the Motor City against the Lions.  Now, Green Bay has been installed as a home underdog, and we'll once again take the points with Green Bay.  Indeed, the Packers are 70-41-4 ATS in Aaron Rodgers' home starts, including 5-1-1 ATS as an underdog!  And they're 8-1 ATS (whether home or away) as an underdog off an upset loss.  Green Bay also falls into 306-202, 372-274 and 195-101 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams against superior opponents.  Finally, Dallas has covered just 33% since 1980 as a road favorite off a SU win, if they were matched up against a foe off an upset loss.  Grab the points with the Packers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bears minus the points over the Detroit Lions.  The Bears come into this game off back to back losses to Dallas and Miami, while Detroit upset the Packers last week.  The good news for Justin Fields & Co. is that Chicago is 44-22 ATS at home off 2 or more losses, if the Bears weren’t favored by 3.5 (or more) points, including 23-6 ATS vs. a foe off a SU win.  Take Chicago minus the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Houston Texans + the points over New York.  After pulling upset wins in five of their first seven games, the Giants finally came back down to Earth in their last game, and were blown out by the Seattle Seahawks.  This game against Houston will be the first time this season that the Giants are favored by more than a field goal in almost 2 years!  I hate laying a lot of points with teams that are unaccustomed to doing so.  And the Giants are a horrible 4-16 ATS at home when they owned a winning record, and were favored by more than a field goal (compared to 11-1-1 ATS their last 12 at home when NOT favored by more than 3 points).  Take Houston + the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos + the points over the Tennessee Titans.  Last week, the Broncos had their bye week following their upset win against Jacksonville, 21-17.  Denver has historically been terrific in the regular season off its bye week, as it's 25-7 ATS, including 12-1 ATS when not laying more than 3 points.  Last Sunday night, the Titans almost pulled off a big upset at Kansas City, as a 14-point underdog, but ended up losing by 3 points, 20-17.  It's true that the Titans covered the spread for the 6th straight game last week.  But unrested NFL favorites, off 6 (or more) ATS wins, are a soft 56-71-2 ATS since 1980, including 6-15 ATS if they scored less than 20 points in their previous game.  Take Denver + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Steelers over the New Orleans Saints.  The Steelers come into this game off a 22-point blowout loss at Philadelphia.  But the good news for Pittsburgh is that it has been dominant at home in the regular season in matchups between non-winning teams, if Pittsburgh was off a point spread loss, as it's gone 38-13 ATS, including 19-0 ATS if it lost its previous game by 18+ points.  Take the Steelers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills minus the points over Minnesota.  QB Josh Allen has been upgraded to 'probable,' which is all I needed to pull the trigger on Buffalo this afternoon.  The Bills suffered an upset loss at the hands of the Jets last week.  But the Bills are 16-4 ATS at home off a SU/ATS loss, if they’re playing a non-division opponent off a SU win.  And they're 11-0-1 ATS vs. foes off a SU win, if the Bills owned a .600 (or better) win percentage, and were off back to back ATS losses.  Lay the points with Buffalo.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 am, in a game played in Munich, Germany, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers minus the points over Seattle.  The Bucs won last week, 16-13, vs. the LA Rams, but pushed against the spread.  And they have not covered since Week 2 vs. New Orleans.  Meanwhile, the Seahawks are 4-0 SU/ATS their last four.  I'll lay the points with Tampa, as teams off back to back wins have covered just 22% of NFL games played overseas (vs. foes not off back to back wins).  That doesn't bode well for Seattle.  Even worse, teams off 3 (or more) SU/ATS wins have covered just 27% vs. foes on a 6-game (or worse) ATS losing streak.  Lay the points with Tom Brady & Co.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Syracuse Orange + the points over Florida St.  We played against the Orange last week, and got the $$$$ with Pittsburgh in its 19-9 triumph.  Today, we'll back Syracuse as Florida State is a dreadful 35-62-4 ATS vs. conference foes not off a SU/ATS win.  Take Syracuse + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over TCU.  The Longhorns are 6-3 on the season, while TCU is 9-0, including 3 double-digit wins in its last three games.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the undefeated Frogs.  But consider that, since 1980, .667 (or worse) teams have cashed 83%, at Game 7 forward, when favored by 6+ points over an .888 (or better) foe off a double-digit win.  This will be a rout.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons minus the points over North Carolina.  We played against Wake Forest in each of its two previous games, and we got the $$$ in each, as the Demon Deacons lost to both Louisville and NC State.  But those two games were on the road.  Here, in Winston-Salem, the Deacs have gone 11-1 ATS its last 12 home games vs. conference foes.  Meanwhile, North Carolina is an ugly 1-12 ATS on the road off a conference win.  With UNC, indeed, off a win last week vs. Virginia, we'll fade the Tar Heels tonight. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi State Bulldogs + the points over Georgia.  We played on Georgia last week over Tennessee, and were rewarded with a double-digit win against the then-No. 1 team in the country.  But off that emotional victory, we'll fade the Bulldogs this evening.  Indeed, defending National Champs are an awful 11-26 ATS after winning SU/ATS the previous week vs. an undefeated foe.  Take Mississippi State + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the UAB Blazers minus the points over North Texas.  The Mean Green routed Florida International, 52-14, last Saturday.  But off that 38-point win, we'll fade North Texas this afternoon, as it's 13-35 ATS as an underdog off a straight-up win.  Take UAB.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes + the points over Georgia Tech.  These two teams are 4-5 on the season.  So, both need a win in this game in order to have a chance to play in a Bowl game at season's end.  Georgia Tech is a wallet-breaking 0-8 ATS its last eight games as a favorite vs. FBS schools.  And it's 5-17 ATS its last 22, when the game was priced with a point spread less than 10 points.  Take Miami-Fla + the points.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Houston Cougars minus the points over Temple.  The Cougars lost against the spread for the 2nd consecutive game last week.  But off that defeat, we'll lay the points with Houston this afternoon, as it's 8-1 ATS its last nine off a point spread loss.  Take Houston.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Indiana.  The Bucks come into this game off back to back point spread defeats at  Penn State, and at Northwestern.  But Ohio St is back home at the Horseshoe today, and we'll lay the points.  Indeed, OSU is 41-27-2 ATS in Big 10 games after not cover the spread in each of its two previous games.  Lay it.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Connecticut Huskies + the points over the Liberty Flames.  The Flames pulled off two big upsets in their two previous games.  They defeated BYU, as a 7-point dog, and followed that up with a win at Arkansas, as a 14.5-point underdog.  Unfortunately, road favorites have cashed just 28% the past 43 years after back to back upset wins as 7-point (or greater) underdogs.  Take Connecticut + the points.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers + the points over Illinois.  The Illinois have been historically poor in this point spread range, as they're 17-50-3 ATS at home when priced from +3 to -12.5 points.  Take Purdue.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks + the points over LSU.  We had a huge play on LSU over Alabama last week, and were rewarded with an outright win, as a 13-point underdog.  Unfortunately for the Tigers, they've covered just 28% over the last 43 years off an upset win as a double-digit underdog.  Grab the points with Arkansas.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Pilots minus the points over the Portland State Vikings.  Portland will conclude a 3-game home stand tonight, and seek its 3rd straight win following victories over Lewis & Clark and Florida A&M.  The Pilots are 8-3 SU/ATS vs. their cross-state rival, while Portland State is 0-5 ATS its last 5 non-conference games.  Take Portland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves + the points over the Memphis Grizzlies.  These two teams met in last year's playoffs, and the #2 seeded-Grizzlies bounced the T-Wolves in six games.  After that strong showing in last year's playoffs, the T-Wolves were expected to be a contender this season. But the T-Wolves are off to a somewhat disappointing 5-7 start. The season is a long one, though, so there's still time to right the ship.  We'll take the Timberwolves + the points tonight, as it falls into one of my favorite Playoff revenge angles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats over Southern U.  Arizona annihilated Nicholls St on Monday, 117-75, and easily covered the 25-point spread.  Today, we'll lay the points, as the Wildcats are 30-2 SU and 23-7-1 ATS in their next game after winning a blowout by 39+ points.  Take Arizona minus the points.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs over the Milwaukee Bucks.  San Antonio is 31-7 ATS off a straight-up loss, when matched up against an Eastern conference foe off a straight-up win, and not favored by more than 6 points.  Take San Antonio.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.. 

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma Sooners minus the points over Arkansas-Pine Bluff.  Both of these teams lost by 1 point in Game 1.  The Sooners fell, 52-51, to the Bearkats of Sam Houston State, while the Golden Lions lost, 73-72, to TCU.  Pine Bluff then bounced back on Wednesday to defeat Champion Baptist, 87-55, and will attempt to make it two-in-a-row tonight, in Norman.  We'll lay the points, as Oklahoma is 18-7 ATS after failing to cover the spread in its previous game by more than 9 points.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Houston Cougars minus the points over St Joseph's.  This game will be played at Alumni Hall, in Annapolis, Maryland, and will be part of a double-header televised by the CBS Sports Network.  The Cougars blew out Northern Colorado, 83-36, on Monday.  And that continued a trend where the Cougars are 31-10 ATS as a favorite of -8.5 (or more) points, including 9-0 ATS its last nine.  Houston's also 26-9 ATS when playing on a neutral court.  Lay the points with Houston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11 pm, our selection is on the Southern Cal Trojans minus the points over Alabama State.  Andy Enfield's Trojans lost their season opener to Enfield's former school -- Florida Gulf Coast University -- on Monday.  And USC was favored by 18 points!  We'll take the Trojans to bounce back off that debacle, as they've cashed 74.1% of their regular season, non-conference games off an upset loss.  Take the Trojans.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over the Atlanta Falcons.  These two NFC South division rivals went to overtime two weeks ago, and the Falcons prevailed, 37-34.  We'll take the Panthers in this rematch, as revenge-minded home teams have cashed 67.3% since 1980 if the two teams previously met within the last 2 games, and the home team wasn't favored by 2+ points.  Even better:  the Panthers are 11-1 ATS at home off a loss by 16+ points, if their current opponent wasn't a winning team.  Take Carolina.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights minus the points over Sacred Heart.  The Scarlet Knights blew out Columbia, 75-35 on Monday.  And we'll look for another blowout on this Thursday.  Key stat:  since 1990, Big 10 teams have cashed 60% after holding an opponent to 40 or less points.  The last three times these teams have met, the Knights have won by 23, 25 and 26 points.  And that dovetails with Sacred Heart's previous nine meetings vs. Big 10 schools, as it's lost by an average of 26 ppg.  I look for another blowout tonight.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers + the points over the Clippers.  LeBron James and Anthony Davis are 'probable' tonight, and that's all we need to pull the trigger on the Lakers.  The Lakers play this game with revenge from an earlier loss, 103-97, to the Clippers, and now fall into a 132-65 ATS revenge system of mine.  Additionally, the Clippers check in off an upset loss over the Cleveland Cavaliers.  And that upset win has triggered 19-3 and 236-151 ATS systems of mine.  Los Angeles is also 16-7 ATS off 3 ATS losses.  Grab the points with the Lakers.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans minus the points over Chicago.  The Pelicans have lost their last four ATS, but I love them to bounce back tonight, at Chicago.  The Bulls are a dreadful 43-79 ATS at home vs. non-conference foes off an ATS loss.  Take New Orleans + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the James Madison Dukes minus the points over Hampton.  These two schools have switched conference affiliation this season.  The Dukes left the Colonial Athletic Association for the Sun Belt Conference.  And the Pirates are now in the Colonial Athletic Ass'n, after departing the Big South Conference.  James Madison blew out Valley Forge, 123-38, on Monday, while the Pirates will be playing their first game tonight.  The Dukes fall into 34-13 and 134-72 ATS systems of mine, based on their Game 1 statistics.  And they're 28-13 ATS as double-digit home favorites vs. Colonial Athletic Ass'n foes.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:15 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers + the points over the Utah Jazz.  There's no question that the Jazz are the league's biggest surprise this season.  They're 8-3 after upsetting the Los Angeles Clippers and Los Angeles Lakers in L.A. last week.  And when installed as an underdog, Utah is a stunning 7-2 straight-up, and 8-1 ATS (the average point spread in those nine games was +5.6).  However, tonight, the Jazz are a favorite, rather than an underdog.  And Utah is 1-1 straight-up, and 0-2 ATS as a favorite this season.  We'll take Los Angeles tonight, as it's 63-40 ATS on the road when playing with revenge from a home loss, if the Lakers weren't getting more than 4 points in the current game.

At 8:45 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets + the points over Dallas.  The Mavs went into Brooklyn last month, and defeated the Nets in overtime, 129-125.  We'll grab the points with Brooklyn in this rematch, as it's 12-0 ATS away from home as a an underdog of more than 3 points vs. a .620 (or better) foe, provided Brooklyn had a losing record, and was playing with revenge from a home loss.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies + the points over Boston.  The Grizzlies have been installed as a home dog vs. the Celtics, who have won their last 2 games.  And Memphis is 10-0 ATS its last 10 at home vs. a foe off a win, if Memphis wasn't favored by 2+ points.  Take the Grizzlies + the points.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks + the points over Milwaukee.  The Bucks are undefeated, at 9-0, and are the NBA's lone unbeaten team.  But their win streak should come to a halt tonight, as the Hawks are 10-0 ATS their last 10 at home vs. foes on a 4-game (or better) win streak.  Grab the points with Dejounte Murray & Co.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs minus the points over Tennessee.  The Chiefs had last week off after blowing out San Francisco, 44-23.  In coach Andy Reid's career, his teams are 22-12 ATS when playing with rest.  They'll welcome a Titans team which has won each of its last 5 games.  Unfortunately, underdogs of +6 (or more) points, off 4+ wins, have covered just 34.2% the past 15 seasons.  Take the Chiefs minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers + the points over the Cleveland Cavaliers.  After opening the season with a loss in Toronto, the Cavaliers have ripped off 7 straight wins.  They're now a small road favorite at the 2-6 Lakers.  We'll take the points with the Lakers, as .440 (or worse) NBA teams have covered 66% since 1990, at Game 4 foward, if they were not getting 5+ points from an .875 (or better) foe.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Chargers minus the points over Atlanta.  The Falcons outlasted the Panthers last week, in overtime, 37-34, while the Chargers had last week off following an upset home loss, 37-23, to the Seahawks.  We'll fade Atlanta in this game, as the Falcons are 0-12 ATS as a home dog off a home win, if matched up against a winning foe.  Additionally, rested, single digit road favorites off a loss have cashed 77% since 1980 vs. non-division foes.  Finally, the Chargers are a super 50-27 ATS off an upset loss, including 14-0-1 ATS their last 15 when they lost by > 11 points in their previous game.  Lay the points with the Chargers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over Portland.  The Suns are 6-2 this season, with both losses coming at the hands of the Trail Blazers.  Last night, these two teams played on this floor, and the Suns were upset, 108-106, as an 12-point favorite.  We'll take Phoenix in this revenge match, as NBA favorites of -6 (or more) points that lost their previous game (to the same opponent), as a double-digit favorite, have covered the spread in the regular seasons 67% since 1990.  Lay the points with the Suns.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm our selection is on the NC State Wolfpack + the points over Wake Forest.  We played against Wake last week, and easily got the $$$$ when Louisville upset it in blowout fashion.  And we'll once again go against the Demon Deacons on the road in Raleigh.  NC State lost last season's meeting 45-42, but is a solid 31-19 ATS as a revenge-minded home dog.  Meanwhile, Wake is a horrible 6-14-2 ATS as a road favorite vs. a revenge-minded foe.  Take North Carolina State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes + the points over Florida State.  The Seminoles come into this rivalry game off a SU/ATS win last week against Georgia Tech, while Miami outlasted Virginia in overtime, 14-12, but failed to cover the 3-point spread.  We'll take the underdog Hurricanes, as the underdog has gone 27-13-1 ATS, including 22-6 ATS if getting 9 or less points.  And Florida State is a dreadful 34-62 ATS vs. conference foes not off a SU/ATS win.  Take Miami + the points.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish + the points over Clemson.  The Fighting Irish have been installed as a home dog vs. the undefeated (8-0) Tigers.  We'll go against Clemson, as undefeated teams -- at Game 8 forward -- have covered just 41.7% the past 43 years away from home in the regular season vs. foes that weren't undefeated, provided our unbeaten team wasn't laying 5.5 or more points.  This system was a perfect 4-0 ATS last year, and is already 1-0 ATS this season coming into tonight.  Finally, Notre Dame is a perfect 6-0-1 ATS as a home dog since 1985 vs. undefeated foes with a 4-0 (or better) record!  Take the Fighting Irish.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the James Madison Dukes + the points over Louisville.  We played on the Cardinals last week, and got the $$$ when they upset the Wake Forest Demon Deacons, 48-21.  Unfortunately, Louisville is a wallet-busting 2-13 ATS off an upset win, if it wasn't getting 3+ points in the current game.  Take James Madison.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the LSU Tigers + the points over Alabama.  The Tigers come into this home game off back to back double-digit wins.  They went into Gainesville on October 15, and downed Florida, 45-35.  Then two weeks ago, they blew out Ole Miss, 45-20.  They had last week off to prepare for this big game.  And rested home dogs of +7 or more points, off back-to-back wins have gone 47-21 ATS, including 38-12 ATS vs. foes off wins by 7+ points.  Moreover, NCAA home dogs off back to back SU/ATS wins, in which they scored 90 points combined over those two games, have covered 65% the past 43 seasons.  Take LSU.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the BYU Cougars + the points over Boise State.  The Cougars have lost 4 straight games, while Boise has won its last four.  But we'll still take the ice cold Cougars on Saturday, as single-digit underdogs have covered 69% off 3 SU/ATS losses, if they were playing an opponent off 3 SU/ATS wins.  And the Cougars are 8-3 ATS their last 11 meetings vs. Boise.  Take BYU + the points.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings minus the points over Orlando.  The Magic pulled off a huge upset over the defending champion, Golden State, as a 9.5-point underdog.  They're now a home dog vs. Sacramento.  I look for a major letdown tonight, by Orlando, off that big win.  And the Magic fall into negative 13-36 and 156-241 ATS systems of mine that go against certain teams off upset wins.  Additionally, the Kings are 38-25 ATS on the road off a road loss.  Lay the points with the Kings.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana-Lafayette Rajin Cajuns + the points over Troy.  The Trojans went into Mobile last week, and upset South Alabama, 10-6.  But that upset win has triggered one of my very best college football systems which goes against certain teams on the road off upset wins.  Troy's been installed as a road favorite for this Sun Belt contest.  Unfortunately road teams off a SU/ATS win have covered just 23.1% at Louisiana Lafayette if the Cajuns were off an ATS loss (and 0-6 ATS their last 6 in this situation as a favorite or PK).  Take Louisiana + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks minus the points over Liberty.   The Flames come into this game off a 41-14 upset win over BYU, as a 7-point home dog.  Unfortunately, Arkansas has been strong at home vs. foes off upset wins, as it's gone 18-9 ATS.  And double-digit road dogs have cashed just 37% since 1980 off an upset win, if they covered the spread by 31+ points in their previous game, and their opponent was off back to back wins.  Lay the points with the Razorbacks. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs minus the points over Tennessee.  It's often said that defense wins championships.  Of course, a lot of times people say things that sound good, but aren't actually true.  However, in football, it's absolutely true.  Defense does win championships.  And Georgia brings the better defense into this game.  It's giving up just 10.5 ppg, while Tennessee is allowing 21.0 ppg.  It's true that the Vols have the higher-scoring offense, as they're averaging 49.3 ppg, while Georgia is scoring 41.7 ppg.  We'll take Georgia in this match-up, as the team with the better defense has covered the spread 60% of the time in games between unbeaten teams with a 6-0 (or better) record.  And in these match-ups of unbeatens, teams with the lower-scoring offense have covered 63%.  And if a team has both the better defense, and the lower-scoring offense, they've covered 71%. Take Georgia minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our American Athletic Conf. Underdog of the Year is on the Memphis Tigers + the points over Central Florida.  After losing a heartbreaker at home, 33-32, vs. Houston (the Cougars scored 2 TDs in the final two minutes to stun Memphis), the Tigers fell flat on the road the next two weeks.  They lost, 47-45, at East Carolina, and then fell by 10 points to Tulane, 38-28. But they're back home for this game, and have been installed as a home underdog vs. Central Florida.  Memphis is 17-9 ATS at home when not favored by more than 1 point, if it's off a loss, and its foe is off a SU/ATS win.  And UCF is a horrid 3-15 ATS as a road favorite, priced from -3 to -9.5 points, vs. conference foes.  Finally, Memphis falls into a 72-22 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home dogs against foes off a win.  Grab the points with the Tigers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Pitt Panthers minus the points over Syracuse.  Pat Narduzzi's men come into this home game off back to back road losses against North Carolina and Louisville.  But Pitt has been terrific at home off back to back losses, as it's 12-1 straight-up, and 11-2 ATS (with one of its two ATS losses by a mere half-point).  And the Panthers are 17-3 SU its last 20 meetings vs Syracuse, including 9-0-2 ATS when priced from +4 to -9 points.  Take the Panthers.

At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets + the points over Virginia Tech.  The Hokies have lost 5 straight games to fall to 2-6 on the season.  And one of those two wins was against FCS Wofford, where it was favored by 39 points.  Going back further, we find that the Hokies have gone 12-21 ATS their last 33, and 19-37 ATS their last 57 vs revenge-minded foes.  With Georgia Tech, indeed, playing with revenge from a 26-17 loss last season, we'll take the points with Georgia Tech.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane + the points over Tulane.  Tulane is 7-1 (.875) on the season.  But Tulsa has been stellar vs. .777 (or better) foes when not laying more than 3 points, as it's 10-0 ATS.  And the Golden Hurricane are 14-4-1 ATS when dressed up as an underdog.  Meanwhile, Tulane is a poor 11-21 ATS on the road off back to back wins.  Grab the points with Tulsa.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers minus the points over Charlotte.  This match-up has an historic footnote.  Last week, the Hilltoppers were upset by North Texas, 40-13, as a 10-point favorite, while Charlotte upset Rice, 56-23, as a 15.5-point underdog.  So, Western Kentucky failed to cover by 37 points, while Charlotte covered by 48.5 (for a combined differential of 85.5 points).  And that 85.5-point relative point spread differential for the two teams' previous game is the 7th-highest since 1980!  Unfortunately, teams that covered the spread by 39+ points in their previous game are a miserable 0-16 ATS when priced from +10 to +23.5 points.  Lay the points with Western Kentucky.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers + the points over North Carolina.  The Cavaliers lost last season to North Carolina, 59-39, in Chapel Hill.  We'll take the Cavaliers here, at home, as they’re 37-17 ATS when playing with revenge at home, if the point spread was 8 or less points.  Even better, Virginia lost in overtime to Miami last week, here at home.  And home underdogs off a home overtime game where they didn't win SU/ATS have gone 37-19 ATS.  Finally, North Carolina blew out Pitt last week, 48-34.  But the Tar Heels are a dismal 4-16 ATS off a conference win, including 0-8 ATS when laying more than 6 points, and 1-11 ATS on the road. Grab the points with Virginia.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Washington Huskies minus the points over Oregon State.  The Beavers and Huskies are both 6-2 on the season, and 3-2 in Pac-12 play, and need to win to stay alive in the race for the conference title.  Oregon State has not had any success on the road late in the season, as it's 0-21 straight-up, at Game 9 forward when playing on the road, including 0-6 ATS when not getting more than 8 points.  That doesn't bode well for the Beavers tonight.  Nor does the fact that it's 1-9 SU/4-6 ATS the last 10 meetings vs. Washington.  Finally, Washington is 18-8 ATS at home when favored by 13 or less points, including 7-0 ATS vs. foes that covered the spread by 10+ points in their previous game.  Lay the points with the Huskies.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Chicago.  The Bulls come into Boston off back to back SU/ATS wins, including a 106-88 blowout of Charlotte, as a 6-point favorite on Wednesday.  The Celts play this game with revenge from an 18-point loss in Chicago, on October 24.  We had a big play on the Bulls in that game, but will side with Boston, tonight.  The Celtics are a solid 66-35 ATS when playing with revenge from an 8-point (or worse) defeat, if its opponent was off back to back SU/ATS wins.  And it's 21-6 ATS off a loss vs. foes off a point spread cover by 10+ points.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over Portland.  Memphis comes into this game off back to back upset losses to Utah, and are now 4-3 on the season.  Meanwhile, the Blazers are off to a 5-1 start after blowing out Houston, 125-111.  They're a home underdog tonight, and that doesn't bode well, as .833 (or better) teams have cashed 25% since 1990 as a home dog or PK, if matched up against an opponent off a SU loss.  Take Memphis.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Cleveland.  The Cavs went into Boston and upset the Celtics last week.  And, after defeating New York on Sunday, the Cavs have now won and covered five straight.  We'll take Boston tonight, as it is 75-47-2 ATS when playing with revenge from an upset home loss, if its opponent was off a SU win.  Take the Celtics.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Maple Leafs minus 1.5 goals over the Philadelphia Flyers.  If their recently-completed road series is any indication, then the Toronto Maple Leafs are not going to want to travel West again any time soon.  After winning the first game of the series against the Jets in Winnipeg, 4-1, the Leafs proceeded to drop four straight in Vegas, San Jose, Los Angeles, and Anaheim.  They return home now with two days off since the loss to the Ducks.  The surprising Flyers will come in for the first time this season (and the first time since last April 19).  Through its first nine games of the season, Philly is 5-2-2 with victories against the Lightning and Panthers among others.  When it comes to their success against the Eastern Conference, almost all of the Flyers' damage has come against the teams in their own division.  In their last 26 meetings against teams from the Atlantic, the Flyers are just 4-22.  Philadelphia is 2-5 in the last seven meetings with the Maple Leafs in Toronto and the favorite is 35-16 in the last 51 meetings of these two teams.  Finally, Carter Hart was in goal last night for Philly in its 1-0 overtime loss to New York.  Hart has yet to lose in regulation this season (5-0-2).  But back-up Felix Sandstrom -- who should be in goal tonight -- has lost both games in regulation. Take the Leafs minus 1.5 goals.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over Philadelphia.  These two teams met two days ago in Washington, and the Sixers won, 118-111.  We'll take Washington in this rematch, as the revenge-minded team in this series is 18-10 ATS since 2013.  And the Wizards are 81-52 ATS when playing with revenge from a home defeat.  Take the Wizards + the points.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic + the points over Oklahoma City.  The Thunder are on a 3-game win streak, and also have been the best team against the spread this season, as they're 5-0-1 ATS.  But when one looks at those games, one readily notices that not only has OKC been an underdog in each -- it's been a BIG underdog.  The Thunder's six point spreads this season have been +11, +9, +10, +5.5, +6.5, and +10.5.  Tonight, they're not a big underdog, but rather a favorite.  We saw a similar situation this past weekend in the NFL, when the Atlanta Falcons were favored by 4 points vs. Carolina, after starting the year 6-1 ATS -- all as an underdog.  And, of course, Atlanta didn't cover the spread when it switched roles, and became a favorite.  The Magic are a solid 14-4 ATS as an underdog away from home vs. foes off an upset win.  Grab the points with Orlando.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Ohio U. Bobcats + the points over Buffalo.  This game will go a long way toward determining the MAC Conference's East division crown.  Buffalo is on top with a 4-0 record, while Ohio sits at 3-1 entering this pivotal contest.  The Bulls currently own a 5-game win streak, while Ohio is also playing well, with its win streak at three games.  We'll grab the points with the home underdog Bobcats, as the home team is 19-4 straight-up in this series, and 15-7 ATS, including 7-1 ATS as a home underdog.  Even better:  the Bobcats are 11-1 ATS as a home underdog of +1.5 (or more) points if they won their previous game.  Take Ohio U.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets over Chicago.  The Nets sustained their fifth straight ATS loss last night in a 7-point win vs. Indiana (as an 8.5-point favorite).  But on this long ATS losing streak, we'll step in and take Brooklyn tonight, at home.  Indeed, the Nets are a sensational 35-13-2 ATS when they were on a 5-game (or worse) ATS losing streak, including 11-1-1 ATS when priced from -1.5 to -7.5 points.  And the Bulls are a poor 11-24 ATS vs. foes on a 4-game (or worse) point spread losing streak.  Take Brooklyn.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over the Utah Jazz.  There are many surprises in this early NBA season, with the Jazz and Spurs (both at 5-2) perhaps leading the list.  Both Utah and San Antonio were expected to tank this season to compete for a shot at Victor Wembanyama in next year's draft lottery.  But each has discarded that proposition, and has stormed out of the gate.  Tonight, the Jazz will try to make it two-in-a-row at home vs. the Grizzlies, as they also beat Memphis, 124-123, here, on Saturday.  However, it's tough to pull off back to back upset wins in the regular season vs. an opponent.  And Memphis is 47-26-1 ATS when playing with revenge vs. a winning foe.  Take the Grizzlies.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over Milwaukee.  The Pistons blew out the defending champion, Golden State Warriors, 128-114, yesterday.  They're installed as a double-digit dog tonight vs. Milwaukee.  And double-digit road dogs, with a losing record, are 94-62 ATS off a SU win vs. .667 (or better) division foes.  Take Detroit + the points.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over Indiana.  With apologies to the Lakers and Clippers, the Nets are easily the most disappointing team in the league.  They're 1-5 SU/ATS, and have failed to cover the spread by 10.33 ppg.  Only the Clippers (who are 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS) have a worse point spread differential at minus 11.91.  But at least the Clippers have the fallback excuse of player injuries.  Tonight, the Nets will try to get back on track against the Pacers.  And should the Nets not already not have sufficient motivation, it won't hurt that this Pacers team already smashed the Nets two nights ago, 125-116, as an 11-point underdog.  We'll lay the points with the revenge-minded Nets, and take note of the fact that they had won each of the seven previous meetings before that defeat.  Even better:  the Nets are 10-1-1 ATS in the regular season when playing with revenge from a home loss suffered against the same opponent in Brooklyn's previous game.  Finally, the Pacers are a poor 9-23-1 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe, if Indiana covered the spread in the previous meeting.  Lay the points with Brooklyn.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over the Atlanta Hawks.  The Raptors will look to bounce back tonight from a 22-point loss to the 76ers.  We'll lay the points, as the Hawks are 49-91 ATS vs. rested foes off a 20-point (or worse) defeat.  And Toronto is 17-5 ATS off a loss by 12+ points, if Toronto owned a .500 (or better) WL percentage.  Take the Raptors.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings minus the points over Charlotte.  On Saturday, the Hornets upset the defending NBA champion Warriors,  120-113.  But off that huge upset win, as a 10-point underdog, we'll look for a major letdown tonight, as home underdogs have cashed just 39.7% since 1990 off an upset win over the defending champs.  Lay the points with Sacramento.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers + the points over the Denver Nuggets.  The Nuggets won their previous game, 117-101, over the Utah Jazz.  But off that blowout win, we'll fade Denver on the road, as it's an awful 5-24 ATS as a road favorite off a win by 9+ points.  Take Los Angeles.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Green Bay Packers + the points over Buffalo.  Green Bay lost as a road favorite at Washington to fall to 3-4 on the season.  And they've now been installed as a huge underdog at Buffalo.  This is the first time in Rodgers' career that he's been under center when the Packers were getting 9+ points.  But he's 5-2 ATS when getting more than 6 points.  And Green Bay is a super 7-1 ATS with Rodgers as an underdog off an upset loss.  And it's 5-0 ATS with Rodgers off 3 ATS losses, if Green Bay wasn't favored by more than 1 point.  Those stats bode well for Green Bay.  As does the fact that .375 (or better) NFL teams have cashed 66.1% as an underdog of more than 6 points off an upset road loss.  Take the Packers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over the Minnesota Timberwolves.  It's only Game 7, but this is the 3rd meeting already this season between these two clubs.  And that is the earliest that two teams have played their 3rd meeting, from as far back as my database goes (1990) -- but possibly for the history of the NBA.  The first two meetings were played in Minnesota, and the two teams split those, with the Spurs winning #1, and the T-Wolves prevailing in meeting #2.  San Antonio is now 4-2 on the season, and is one of the surprising teams thus far -- especially since the Spurs had the lowest projected season win total, and longest Championship odds for any of the 30 teams.  We'll grab the points with Gregg Popovich's crew, as San Antonio is 37-21 ATS at home when playing with revenge.  Take the Spurs.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over Cleveland.  The Cavaliers pulled off an upset win, at Boston, in overtime, on Friday.  But off that upset win, we'll fade the Cavaliers at home today.  Cleveland has struggled mightily in the role of a favorite, as it's 54-86 ATS its last 140.  And it also falls into a negative 48-85 ATS system of mine based on its upset win.  Grab the points with the Knicks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Cowboys minus the points over the Chicago Bears.  Last Monday, Chicago upset New England as an 8.5-point road underdog.  Unfortunately for the Bears, road dogs of +8 (or more) points, off an upset win as an 8-point (or greater) underdog, have covered the spread in just 33% of their games since 1980.  Dallas is 12-7 ATS vs. foes off an upset win, including a perfect 5-0 SU/ATS when favored by 4+ points.  Meanwhile, Chicago is a wallet-breaking 14-23 ATS off an upset win, including 2-9 ATS when getting 4+ points.  Take Dallas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots minus the points over the New York Jets.  New York had a bittersweet victory last week in Denver.  Yes, the Jets prevailed in a tough, defensive game, 16-9.  But they lost RB Breece Hall for the season when he sustained a torn ACL.  To make up for Hall's absence, the Jets traded for Jaguars' RB James Robinson.  Meanwhile, the Patriots were shellacked, 33-14, Monday night, in an upset loss at the hands of the Chicago Bears.  But off that upset loss, we'll lay the points with Bill Belichick's men today.  For technical support, consider that New England is an awesome 21-0-1 ATS on the road in the regular season off a loss, if matched up against a foe off a win.  That bodes well for the Patriots today.  As does the fact that the Jets are a horrid 41-66-4 ATS at home vs. .500 (or worse) opponents.  Finally, the Pats have won 12 straight in this AFC East division series (8-4 ATS).  Take New England.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks + the points over the Milwaukee Bucks.  This is a great match-up tonight in Milwaukee, as the 4-0 Bucks will take on the 4-1 Hawks.  We'll go against the undefeated Bucks, as teams with a 4-0 SU record have covered Game 5s just 40.2% since 1990, including 2-14 ATS their last 16.  Milwaukee's also 22-35 ATS vs. Atlanta, including 4-14 ATS when the Bucks were off back to back wins.  And the Hawks also fall into a 313-230 ATS system of mine which plays on certain winning teams installed as an underdog.  Grab the points with Atlanta.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over the Chicago Bulls.  The Sixers have dominated this series with 11 straight wins.  And they're 12-3 ATS the last 15 meetings.  Philadelphia is starting to right itself after an 0-3 SU/ATS start to the season.  Last night, even without Joel Embiid, Philly blew out Toronto, 112-90.  I look for the 76ers to continue to play well tonight.  And with Embiid now upgraded to 'probable,' that's all i need to pull the trigger on the 76ers.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines minus the points over Michigan State.  Last season, Michigan lost just once in the regular season, and it was to Mel Tucker's Spartans, 37-33.  Kenneth Walker rushed for 197 yards and 5 touchdowns in the game last season.  But Walker is now wearing a Seahawks uniform, so MSU's ground attack has sputtered this season (3.6 ypr).  Michigan's 10-4 ATS its last 14 home games vs. Big 10 Conference rivals, when laying 6+ points.  And, in his NCAA career, coach Jim Harbaugh's teams have gone 13-5 ATS when favored by -6 (or more) points, and playing with revenge.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals + the points over Wake Forest.  The Cards come into this game off back to back double digit wins (and also back to back double-digit covers).  And they also play with revenge from a 3-point loss to the Demon Deacons last season.  We'll grab the points with the home dog, as it falls into a 90-41 ATS 'momentum' system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back covers by 10+ points.  Even better:  Wake Forest is a wallet-busting 22-38-2 ATS as a favorite vs. revenge-minded foes, including 1-11 ATS vs. foes that won their previous game by 7+ points.  Take Louisville + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Florida Hurricanes minus the points over Virginia.  The Cavaliers upset Georgia Tech, 16-9, in their previous game, and are now 3-4 on the season. Miami is also 3-4 after getting blown out, 45-21, by Duke.  Today, the 'Canes will turn to Jake Garcia as their starting quarterback after erstwhile starter, Tyler Van Dyke, was injured in last week's loss.  Miami was actually favored by 10.5 points in that Duke game.  It was a nightmarish performance all the way around, including a ghastly 8 turnovers (5 by Garcia).  But I love Miami to bounce back today, as NCAA favorites have covered 62% over the last 43 years off a loss by 20+ points as a double-digit favorite, when they were playing, in their current game, an opponent off a SU win. And Virginia's covered just 33% as a home dog since 1980 vs. foes off an upset loss.  Take Miami.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Penn State Nittany Lions + the points over Ohio State.  The Buckeyes have had a creampuff schedule thus far.  They've played six of their seven games at home.  And their only road game was against Michigan State, which is having a down year.  (The Buckeyes were favored by 27 on the road in that game.)  So, this game will be the sternest test for Ohio State yet this season.  It's on the road.  And it's the first time this season that Ohio State wasn't favored by 17+ points.  Penn State enters off a 45-17 blowout of Minnesota, and falls into several of my best 'momentum' systems, with records of 202-115, 323-216 and 119-52 ATS since 1980.  Additionally, the Nitts are 44-23 ATS at home off a conference win, including 15-4 ATS if they won their previous game by 25+ points.  Grab the points with the Nittany Lions.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over the Milwaukee Bucks.  The Bucks are the league's lone undefeated team, at 3-0.  But we will go against Milwaukee tonight, as it's a horrible 18-42-2 ATS at home in the regular season off 3 or more wins when matched up against a winning team.  Grab the points with New York.