Sports Picks & Predictions

Basketball Archive
Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
03-20-09	Robert Morris v. Michigan State -16.5		62-77	Loss	-105	14 h 13 m	Show
3* SUREFIRE on Michigan State -16.5 After bowing out early in the Big Ten Tourney, I expect the Spartans to come out strong in this one. Here's the key: Michigan State was embarrassed by Ohio State in the Big Ten Conference Tournament and it is 9-0 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons, exploding to win by 17.1 ppg on average in these spots. Lay the points.
03-20-09	Minnesota Timberwolves +11.5 v. Houston Rockets		88-107	Loss	-105	13 h 42 m	Show
3* NBA Vegas Line Mistake on Timberwolves +11.5 I like the Wolves to give the Rockets a run for their money tonight with a chance to win this game so I will take the points. Houston has a revenge game with the Spurs on deck so I expect them to be looking ahead here while the Wolves are playing with triple revenge against Houston this season so they will be playing to avoid being swept. The Timberwolves are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog of 11.0 or greater, 15-5 ATS in their last 20 road games, and 12-3 ATS in their last 15 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. The Rockets are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 11.0 or greater and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games. Rockets are overvalued. Take the points!
03-20-09	Morehead St. v. Louisville -20.5		54-74	Loss	-110	12 h 34 m	Show
3* SUREFIRE on Louisville -20.5 Louisville already owns a 38-point win over Morehead State this season. While it is to Morehead's benefit having already seen the Cards, I don't expect to see an 18 point drop off in win margin today, especially after Louisville watched the other No. 1 seeds roll. Lay the points.
03-20-09	Temple v. Arizona State -5.5		57-66	Win	100	7 h 15 m	Show
4* Major Double Digit Blood Bath on ASU -5.5 This one looks very similar to yesterday's win with Washington except that I'm expecting an even bigger margin of victory here. Expect to see ASU playing with a lot of passion here after going down in the Pac-10 Tourney Final. Plays on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ARIZONA ST) - team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a second tier conference, off a loss against a conference rival are 48-18 ATS since 1997. Lay the points!
03-19-09	Portland Trail Blazers v. Cleveland Cavaliers UNDER 185.5		92-97	Loss	-108	11 h 40 m	Show
4* Major NBA on TNT Prime Time Total on Blazers/Cavs UNDER 185.5 I would already expect a defensive battle in this one, but with Portland wearing itself out last night, I like the Under even more. Plain and simple, plays under on all teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (PORTLAND) - extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 58-28 under the last 5 seasons. Bet the Under.
03-19-09	Mississippi State v. Washington -6		58-71	Win	100	15 h 46 m	Show
4* Major Double Digit Blood Bath on Washington -6 Washington has been money in bounce back spots this season so the combination of them losing in the Pac-10 Tourney and playing close to home in Portland should be a deadly one here. Washington is 7-0 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses this season, winning by an average score of 76.7 to 65.7 in these spots. Lay the points.
03-19-09	Tenn Chattanooga +21 v. Connecticut	Top	47-103	Loss	-115	6 h 46 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NCAA Tournament MONSTER BEST BET on Tennessee Chat +21 Of all the No. 1 seeds, UConn gets the toughest draw as far as opponent and where it must play. UConn has not been very explosive offensively down the home stretch and you'll see this one stay well within the number. How about this: UConn is just 3-12 ATS as a neutral court favorite of 12.5 or more points since 1997, 0-7 ATS in March road games over the last 3 seasons, and 2-10 ATS in first round tournament games since 1997. Take the points!
03-19-09	Radford v. North Carolina -25		58-101	Win	100	13 h 47 m	Show
3* SUREFIRE on North Carolina -25 It really doesn't matter if Lawson is on the floor for this one as the Heels will be out for blood following a loss in the ACC Tourney. If Lawson doesn't play, they will be out to send a message that they can bury teams without him. They did not spare Mt. St.Mary's a season ago, thumping them by 39, and I expect another monster blowout here. UNC is 21-8 ATS in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons and 16-6 ATS versus excellent teams - shooting >=45% with a defense of <=42% over the last 2 seasons. Lay the points.
03-18-09	Houston v. Oregon State +1.5		45-49	Win	100	9 h 43 m	Show
4* Major CBB Steal of the Week on Oregon State +1.5 The Beavers are an absolute steal at home catching points tonight against a Houston team which hasn't beaten anybody on the road all season. Houston is 0-7 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season, losing by an average of 10.7 ppg in these spots. That's the key as Oregon State's 1-3-1 defense will give a Houston team which doesn't shoot it particularly well from the perimeter fits tonight.
03-18-09	Chicago Bulls v. Oklahoma City Thunder -2	Top	103-96	Loss	-110	11 h 39 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NBA DOUBLE DIGIT BLOOD BATH on Thunder -2 With the Bulls coming from behind to beat the Celtics last night, I don't think they'll have anything left when they head out on the road to face a Thunder team that has won 4 straight at home. And it's not as if the Thunder has just been beating powder puffs. 3 of those 4 wins are against quality opponents - the likes of Dallas, Philly, and San Antonio. The Bulls are just 10-26 on the road this season and in a terrible letdown spot. I like the Thunder by double digits!
03-18-09	Portland Trail Blazers v. Indiana Pacers +2		95-85	Loss	-110	6 h 49 m	Show
3* NBA DOG OF THE NIGHT on Pacers +2 Hungry for a win, I like the Pacers to get the job done against a Blazers team that has struggled on the road all season. With Cleveland tomorrow night, I think you'll see the Blazers get caught looking right past the Pacers. Indiana has been no push over at home at 19-12 this season. The Trail Blazers are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Indiana and 1-10 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Take the Pacers.
03-17-09	Boston Celtics v. Chicago Bulls +2.5		121-127	Win	100	9 h 13 m	Show
3* NBA Public Massacre on Bulls +2.5 The Celtics have lost 8 of their last 9 ATS and are really struggling without KG. Chicago is 20-11 at home this season and sniffing the playoffs. It will get up for this one like you haven't seen before this year. The Bulls are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The Celtics are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing SU record, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU loss, and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games. We'll take this 24-0 ATS Angle to the bank!
03-17-09	George Mason v. Penn State -6	Top	73-77	Loss	-110	9 h 40 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NIT BLOWOUT OF THE YEAR on Penn State -6 Penn State is 15-4 at home this season and while the Lions wanted to be dancing, they're not about to roll over in front of their home fans against George Mason tonight. Here's the Key: The Patriots are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Nittany Lions are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 home games and 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games as a favorite. The game I look to is when GM was beaten by 13 at Creighton as an 8-point dog on Feb. 21. Penn State is better than Creighton and laying less points on its home floor. We'll take the Lions in a rout.
03-17-09	Sacramento Kings +12 v. Atlanta Hawks		97-119	Loss	-110	8 h 48 m	Show
4* Major NBA Underdog of the Month on Kings +12 Off a blowout win over the Blazers and with a big game against the Mavs coming up, the Hawks have no incentive to blowout a Kings team that is quietly playing very well right now. The Kings are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games. They have a win over Denver and a 3-point loss to Cleveland during the stretch. The Hawks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. the NBA Pacific. The Kings are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning SU record. Odds makers have horribly undervalued the Kings here and they will keep this one within single digits.
03-16-09	Houston Rockets v. New Orleans Hornets -3.5	Top	95-84	Loss	-110	11 h 59 m	Show
5* Wiseguy Western Conference GOTY on Hornets -3.5 With a chance to move into second place in the NBA Southwest to creep that much closer to San Antonio, I like the Hornets to get the job done here. The Hornets return home from a 4-game road trip out for blood after getting crushed 79-97 by the Bulls. This matchup is all about home court as both teams have 9-point wins at home this season. In fact, the Home team is a perfect 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings and New Orleans is 4-1 SU and ATS at home against Houston the last 3 seasons. The Rockets are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings overall and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. the NBA Southwest. The Hornets are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or less. New Orleans is 9-0 ATS in home games in March over the last 2 seasons and 19-6 ATS after a blowout loss by 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Lay the points!
03-15-09	Portland Trail Blazers v. Atlanta Hawks -4.5	Top	80-98	Win	100	4 h 33 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NBA BLOWOUT OF THE WEEK on Hawks -4.5 The Hawks are rolling having won 4 in a row and they are an outstanding 24-7 in home games this season. The Blazers are only 13-18 away from home and have dropped 6 of their last 7 road games. The Hawks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning SU record, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game, and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite. The Trail Blazers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Lay the points.
03-15-09	Mississippi State v. Tennessee -5		64-61	Loss	-110	3 h 25 m	Show
4* Major SEC Championship Game DAGGER on Tennessee -5 This is the end of the road for Mississippi State as it will endure a big letdown after knocking off No. 1 seed LSU. Tennessee is clicking like many expected it would all season long. The Volunteers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as a favorite and the Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings. We'll lay the points.
03-14-09	San Antonio Spurs +2.5 v. Houston Rockets		88-85	Win	100	8 h 43 m	Show
3* SUREFIRE on Spurs +2.5 Off a loss a loss to the Lakers, I look for a fresher Spurs team to bounce back tonight against a Rockets team which just played in Charlotte last night and then had to travel back home. Also, the Spurs will be out to avenge an embarrassing 84-103 loss when they visited here earlier in the season. The rest factor is crucial as Houston is just 1-8 ATS in home games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days this season. Another thing to look at is how solid the Spurs have been on the road, going 20-12 SU and 18-13 ATS this season. The Spurs are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU loss and 8-0 ATS in their last 8 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. The Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite. We'll bet San Antonio in this one.
03-14-09	Arizona State -1.5 v. USC		63-66	Loss	-110	6 h 33 m	Show
4* Major Pac-10 Championship Game BLOOD BATH on ASU -1.5 Shortened writeups to get these out to your plenty early fellas and ladies. I see a big letdown for USC after winning against its biggest rival. ASU is rolling and will roll to the conference tourney title tonight. Here's the key: USC is 1-13 ATS off an upset win by 10 points or more as an underdog since 1997. Lay the number.
03-14-09	Purdue -3.5 v. Illinois	Top	66-56	Win	100	4 h 26 m	Show
5* Wiseguy 2009 Conference Tournament GOTY on Purdue -3.5 Shortened writeups to get these out plenty early fellas and ladies. Plain and simple; the Illini took both regular season meetings in this matchup and now it's time for Purdue to pay them back. Purdue is 14-4 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons, winning by an average of 8.2 ppg in these spots. Lay the number.
03-13-09	Dallas Mavericks v. Golden State Warriors -1		110-119	Win	100	12 h 31 m	Show
4* Major NBA BAILOUT GOTM on Warriors -1 With Dallas looking ahead to the Lakers, look for the Warriors to jump up and bite the Mavs tonight. Golden State is 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS at home against the Mavs the last 3 seasons as they have had a terrible time with Golden State's uptempo offense. The Home team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The Favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. The Mavericks are 2-12-1 ATS in the last 15 meetings in Golden State and 7-22-1 ATS in the last 30 meetings. All Warriors here!
03-13-09	Penn State v. Purdue -7	Top	65-79	Win	100	10 h 17 m	Show
5* Big Ten Conference Tournament GOTY on Purdue -7 The Boilermakers finished tied for second in the Big Ten this season, but it was still a disappointing season by their standards as they had their sights set on a conference title. Here's their chance to make up for it. Purdue is the better team in this matchup and that fact that they lost to Penn State once this season will not allow the Boilermakers to overlook the Nittany Lions. Purdue won by 14 points as a 10.5-point favorite in their home revenge game against Penn State last month and I like the Boilermakers laying just 7 points here in what will basically be a home game with plenty of Purdue fans in Indianapolis. Purdue lost its last 2 regular season games and that will fuel the fire tonight as well. Purdue is 9-0 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons, winning in these spots by an average score of 74.1 to 57.4. Pound Purdue!
03-13-09	Maryland +6.5 v. Wake Forest		75-64	Win	100	8 h 3 m	Show
4* Major ACC Tourney Quarterfinal BEST BET on Maryland +6.5 Maryland played Wake to a 2-point game just 10 days ago and this would serve as another resume boosting win for the Terps. The Demon Deacons are just 6-21 ATS in their last 27 neutral site games. I'll take a hungry Maryland team that wants to make absolutely sure it is not on the bubble with a big win over Wake.
03-12-09	Cleveland Cavaliers v. Phoenix Suns +5		119-111	Loss	-110	11 h 51 m	Show
4* Major NBA on TNT BEST BET on Suns +5 The Suns have now lost 5 straight and are seeing their playoff hopes slip away. They can't afford to drop another game tonight so we can expect to see maximum effort from this team. The public is all over the Cavs and that only makes me like Phoenix more tonight as Cleveland has lost each of its last 2 ATS on the road. The Cavaliers are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Phoenix and the Home team is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings. The Cavaliers are also 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games. The Suns are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 home games. I really like the Suns to pull off the upset tonight so I'll take the points.
03-12-09	Syracuse +5 v. Connecticut		127-117	Win	100	10 h 34 m	Show
3* Big East Tourney BLOOD BATH on Syracuse +5 I've said it before and I'll say it again, UConn is not the same team without Dyson. The Cuse lost on the road by 14 against UConn during the season but MSG is their building and they are playing very confident basketball with 5 straight wins, including a cruiser against Seton Hall last night. I like a confident Syracuse team to hit UConn in the mouth here. Plays on neutral court teams as an underdog (SYRACUSE) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, good team, winning 60-80% or more of their games on the season are 45-18 ATS the last 5 seasons. Take the points.
03-12-09	Virginia v. Boston College -4.5	Top	63-76	Win	100	10 h 36 m	Show
5* Wiseguy ACC Tournament GOTY on Boston College -4.5 BC is more than likely dancing, but there's no way it is going to let a first round loss to lowly Virginia give the committee any reason to screw it over or give it a bad seed. The Eagles won by 10 points on the road against the Cavs this season and I like them to bury Virginia today. This BC team felt like it was one of the elite squads in the ACC this season but had a couple slip ups down the stretch to cost it a first round bye. You won't see one today against a Virginia side that is only 1-9 when playing away from home this season.
03-11-09	Los Angeles Lakers +2 v. Houston Rockets		102-96	Win	100	10 h 47 m	Show
3* SUREFIRE on Lakers +2 This is a statement game for the Lakers after getting crushed by Portland last time out. LA has now lost its last 3 road games and this is a situation where Kobe puts the team on his back and grinds out a "W". Not having Odom in the lineup doesn't affect the Lakers at all tonight as he is usually non-existent in physical games anyhow. Look for LA to get out in transition to take Yao out of the action as much as possible. The Lakers are 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Houston and 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Plays on road teams (LA LAKERS) - explosive offensive team - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 31-10 ATS the last 5 seasons. Take LA!
03-11-09	New York Knicks v. Detroit Pistons UNDER 206.5	Top	116-111	Loss	-110	10 h 29 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NBA Super System Play of the Month on Knicks/Pistons UNDER 206.5 The Knicks just played a tough, emotionally draining triple revenge game last night so it is going to be hard for them to run all over a very good defensive Pistons team which will be out for some revenge against them. Detroit is 10-0 Under revenging a straight up loss vs. an opponent as a favorite this season. Detroit is also 17-5 Under revenging a loss vs. an opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. When it comes time for revenge the Pistons turn up the intensity on defense. The Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings, 4-0 in Pistons last 4 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 and 4-0 in Pistons last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Take the Under!
03-11-09	Massachusetts v. Duquesne -2		81-91	Win	100	8 h 3 m	Show
4* Major Conference Tournament Game of the Night on Duquesne -2 Duquesne crushed UMass 94-77 on the road during the regular season and I look for the Dukes to run up the score again in this neutral court battle. Duquesne is confident that it has a team capable of making it to the championship game as it beat Xavier and played all other top contenders right down to the wire, including Rhode Island, who will be waiting for the Dukes in round 2. There's no way that Duquesne misses out on a chance to pay the Rams back for a 2-point loss just 10 days ago. The Dukes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss. Losing to Dayton in the season finale gets the Dukes refocused and gives them the motivation to crush the Minutemen. Bet the Dukes.
03-10-09	New York Knicks +3.5 v. Milwaukee Bucks	Top	120-112	Win	100	10 h 13 m	Show
5* Wiseguy MONSTER BEST BET on Knicks +3.5 The Knicks have been dominated by the Bucks this season, losing all 3 meetings with the last 2 coming by double digits. There's no doubt that the Knicks will be motivated by those defeats against a Bucks team which will no longer have Michael Redd and Andrew Bogut in the lineup. The Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings and the Road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The Bucks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite while the Knicks are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 games as a road underdog. Lastly, NY is 18-6 ATS revenging a home blowout loss vs. an opponent of 20 points or more since 1996, winning these games by an average score of 97.5 to 96.0. Knicks win outright tonight!
03-10-09	Princeton v. Pennsylvania UNDER 117.5		59-56	Win	100	10 h 7 m	Show
3* Total of the Night on Princeton/Penn UNDER 117.5 Princeton is 10-3 UNDER against conference opponents this season with the average score totaling 112.7 points in these games. 9 of Princeton's last 11 games have gone under and 6 of Penn's last 7 have gone under. Princeton dictates the tempo in every game it plays because it is so disciplined with its half court sets. The Ivy League has been an unders machine and we will continue to ride it.
03-10-09	Northern Illinois v. Kent State -12		61-64	Loss	-110	4 h 18 m	Show
4* Major Early Blowout on Kent State -12 Kent State is a team on the rise and I like the Golden Flashes to crush the Huskies today. The Huskies have been terrible on any court but their own this season and I expect this trend to continue. NIU is 0-8 ATS in road games against conference opponents this season, losing by an average score of 54.6 to 72.5 in these spots. Lay the points!
03-09-09	South Alabama v. Arkansas Little Rock -2		54-44	Loss	-110	9 h 60 m	Show
4* Major Conference Tourney BLOOD BATH on Arkansas Little Rock -2 There's just too much at stake for the Trojans to go down here in what is basically a home game. Little Rock is 8-1 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season. S. Bama is 4-11 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season. Lastly, plays on any team off 2 no-covers where they won straight up as a favorite, playing their 2nd road game in 3 days are 35-11 ATS the last 5 seasons. This is where the Trojans really see the prize and kick things in high gear.
03-09-09	Houston Rockets v. Denver Nuggets -3.5		97-95	Loss	-110	12 h 57 m	Show
3* SUREFIRE on Nuggets -3.5 We took the Nuggets in a good spot last night, but it was a sad performance for the Nugs as they were handled by the Kings. Coming off one of their worst defeats of the season, in terms of how they played in relation to the importance of the game, puts Denver in an even better spot tonight against a Rockets team that has really struggled away from home, losing 5 of its last 6. Denver sees its name outside of first place today and that is going to really get this team going tonight as it knows it is in for a battle the rest of the way out. Denver returns home after 2 consecutive road games and this situation has been a very profitable one. Off back-to-back road games, the Nuggets exploded to a 16-point win at home over Portland last Thursday and we were all over it. In fact, Denver is 24-9 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons. Houston is just 4-15 ATS in road games off 2 or more consecutive home wins over the last 3 seasons. We'll lay the points.
03-09-09	Washington Wizards +4 v. Minnesota Timberwolves		110-99	Win	100	7 h 60 m	Show
3* SUREFIRE on Wizards +4 The Wizards will get up for this one as they know it is a game they can win. We'll play against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points off a road cover where they lost straight up as an underdog, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season. This system is 32-9 ATS the last 5 seasons.
03-09-09	Orlando Magic v. Detroit Pistons UNDER 187	Top	94-98	Loss	-110	10 h 27 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NBA Total of the Year on Magic/Pistons UNDER 187 Double System Dagger: Plays under on all teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (ORLANDO); an extremely tired team playing their 3rd game in 4 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record. This System is 55-26 the last 5 seasons. Also: Plays under on home teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (DETROIT) after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread, extremely tired team - when playing their 3rd game in 4 days are 46-19 the last 5 seasons. These teams haven't totaled more than 178 points in 2 prior meetings this season. With Orlando in a letdown spot after playing at Boston Sunday, I can't see the Magic putting up big numbers and the Pistons haven't done much scoring all season! Bet the Under tonight.
03-08-09	South Alabama v. Troy		78-75	Loss	-110	12 h 50 m	Show
4* Major Conference Tourney BEST BET on Troy pk Troy has South Bama's number. The Trojans beat South Bama by 24 on the road in January and then by 5 points at home on Feb 28. Troy is on fire having won 12 of its last 13 and I like the Trojans to hit the Jags in the mouth a third time this season. The Trojans are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning SU record while the 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a winning SU record. Troy is playing the best ball in the Belt right now and I'll take it in this spot.
03-08-09	Denver Nuggets -7 v. Sacramento Kings	Top	106-114	Loss	-110	11 h 1 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NBA Revenge Game of the Month on Nuggets -7 The NBA Northwest is heating up with the Nuggets leading by just half a game in the division. With Utah coming on strong, the Nuggets know they cannot afford to take a night off. The road has not treated Denver well lately and this is a spot where the Nuggets will prove to themselves that they can win on the road and I expect it to be an explosive effort. Denver already has 2 blowout wins against the Kings this season and I have them collecting a third Sunday. The only thing you could say the Kings have going in their favor is that they are well rested, but that hasn't worked out well for them as they are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest. The Kings are also 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games as a home underdog and the road team is 8-1-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Lay the points.
03-07-09	Miami Heat v. Cleveland Cavaliers -9.5		89-99	Win	100	12 h 8 m	Show
3* SUREFIRE on Cavs -9.5 I don't expect the Cavs to sit and sulk over last night's loss to Boston, especially LeBron James who had a rough night. The Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest while the Cavaliers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest. The Cavaliers are 25-6 ATS in their last 31 home games and I'll keep riding the Cavs at home tonight.
03-07-09	Detroit Pistons +3 v. Atlanta Hawks	Top	83-87	Loss	-110	12 h 42 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NBA Underdog of the Month on Pistons +3 It's all clicking for the Pistons right now, having won 4 in a row and 5 straight against the number. These weren't just any wins as this run includes victories over the Magic, Celtics, and Nuggets. The Hawks are struggling, having lost 6 of their last 8. This is a huge revenge game for the Pistons who have lost 2 close ones to the Hawks already this season. The Hawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. Bet the Pistons!
03-07-09	East Carolina v. Central Florida -10		71-74	Loss	-110	12 h 33 m	Show
3* SUREFIRE on UCF -10 This is a big revenge game for UCF which went down to ECU a month ago. UCF has won 9 of the last 10 in this matchup, including a 110-75 home win over ECU last season. ECU is 0-7 ATS off a home loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons, getting smoked by an average score of 66.3 to 84.9 in these games. Lay the number.
03-07-09	Texas Tech v. Iowa State -3.5	Top	76-78	Loss	-110	6 h 17 m	Show
5* Wiseguy CBB Letdown GOTY on Iowa State -3.5 Great spot for the Cyclones today. First off, Texas Tech is 0-10 in true road games. Secondly, the Tech is coming off a 19-point win over Kansas and if that doesn't spell letdown then I don't know what does. Thirdly, ISU is 12-6 at home this season and you better believe the Cyclones will bring it in their last home game of the season. Tech is 3-13 ATS in road games off an upset win as an underdog since 1997, getting blown out in these spots by an average score of 61.6 to 76.6. Take ISU!
03-07-09	Connecticut +3.5 v. Pittsburgh		60-70	Loss	-105	5 h 33 m	Show
4* Major First Blood (CBS)on UConn +3.5 With a Big East title on the line, I like UConn to rise to the occasion and return the favor to Pitt today. The Road team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings and the Underdog is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings which meshes with what we saw when Pitt won on the road in the season's first matchup. The Huskies are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog while the Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 6.5 or less. Take UConn!
03-06-09	Evansville v. Illinois State -4.5		68-78	Win	100	9 h 25 m	Show
3* MVC Tourney BEST BET on Illinois State -4.5 This line would be higher if Illinois State hadn't lost its last 3 games. But those losses came in a tough bracket buster game at Niagara, and to then to the 2 best teams in the MVC by a combined 6 points. Illinois State crushed Evansville at home by 30 and then won by 2 over the Aces on the road. This team had high hopes of winning the Valley this season and this is its chance to make things right. Big win for the Red Birds!
03-06-09	Phoenix Suns v. Houston Rockets -5.5		112-116	Loss	-105	9 h 43 m	Show
3* SUREFIRE on Rockets -5.5 The Rockets are 10-0 SU and 7-2-1 ATS their last 10 home games and I'll lay the points with Houston again tonight. This is a game where the Suns will really miss Amare Stoudemire as you figure that Shaq and Yao will play to a standstill, if Yao doesn't even gain a bit of an advantage. With no other consistent scoring presence inside for the Suns, I expect a confident Rockets team to take care of business. The Rockets already have a 12-point road win over the Suns this season and Phoenix is 0-7 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs. an opponent as a home favorite this season, losing by 12.0 ppg in these situations. Lay the points!
03-06-09	Cleveland Cavaliers v. Boston Celtics -1.5	Top	94-105	Win	100	8 h 14 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NBA Eastern Conference Finals Preview on Boston Celtics -1.5 The home team has won each of the last 14 meetings between these 2 teams and I don't see that trend ending here, even without Garnett in the lineup for Boston. This is a statement game for the Celtics, who were crushed 98-83 at Cleveland in the last meeting. This is a situation where Boston can prove that it is the best team in the East with or without one of its stars. Boston is 19-9 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%) over the last 2 seasons, winning by an average score of 96.1 to 90.5 in these games. Home court is huge in this matchup and I'll take the Celtics at home tonight.
03-06-09	New Jersey Nets +9 v. Orlando Magic		102-105	Win	100	7 h 15 m	Show
4* Major NBA Letdown Game of the Week on Nets +9 The Nets have covered 5 in a row and I love them tonight against a Magic team that will be more worried about its next game with the Celtic. New Jersey will be very much worried about this game though as it was embarrassed 101-84 the last time these teams faced off. Expect a letdown from the Magic in this look ahead spot.
03-05-09	Portland Trail Blazers v. Denver Nuggets -5		90-106	Win	100	13 h 7 m	Show
4* Major NBA on TNT BEST BET on Nuggets -5 With the Blazers having to fight from being double digits last night to squeak out a win, they will be physically and emotionally spent against a hungry Nuggets team. Denver is 23-9 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons and plays against road teams; a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG) after 42+ games, after a win by 6 points or less are 40-14 ATS the last 5 seasons. This is just a bad spot for Portland.
03-05-09	California v. Arizona -4		83-77	Loss	-110	13 h 42 m	Show
3* Pac-10 SUREFIRE on Arizona -4 This is a great spot for the Wildcats, who finally return home after 3 straight road losses. As if that doesn't fuel the fire enough, they take on a Cal team which beat them 69-55 back in early January. The Wildcats are a much better team than they were back then and I fully expect them to beat Cal for the 12th straight time at home since 1997. In all, the Cats are 21-4 in their last 25 meetings with the Bears. Arizona is 9-0 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) this season and 10-0 ATS vs. excellent 3 point shooting teams - making >=41% of their attempts after 15+ games since 1997. We'll take the Cats to cash for us tonight.
03-05-09	Indiana State +4 v. Drake	Top	62-55	Win	100	6 h 11 m	Show
5* Wiseguy MVC Tournament GOTY on Indiana State +4 The public is all over Drake which won the Mo Valley tournament a season ago and you can be rest assured that has the books licking their chops. Indiana State's record is deceiving as the Sycamores were not completely healthy for much of the season. They finally clicked about a month ago, winning 6 of their last 7 games while Drake lost 10 of its last 14. Drake is 0-9 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons, losing in these spots by an average score of 63.9 to 67.1. I like the Sycamores in this one as they are playing the better basketball entering the tournament.
03-04-09	Houston Rockets v. Utah Jazz -8.5		94-101	Loss	-110	13 h 31 m	Show
3* SUREFIRE on Jazz -8.5 I really like the red hot Jazz at home tonight against a Houston team which just played last night and is struggling on the road. Utah is 15-4 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons, winning in these spots by an average score of 103.4 to 91.6. Lay the points!
03-04-09	San Antonio Spurs v. Dallas Mavericks -1.5	Top	102-107	Win	100	10 h 46 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NBA SW Division GOTY (ESPN) on Mavs -1.5 We'll take the Mavs in the perfect spot tonight. Dallas had this one circled since it was crushed 76-93 in San Antonio on Feb. 24. Tim Duncan did not play in that game and will be back tonight, but the Mavs wouldn't have it any other way as they look to prove they can beat the Spurs at their best. Only they're not, as Ginobli remains out. Josh Howard's status is uncertain for Dallas, but Jason Terry is back and playing well. What fuels Dallas' fire even more tonight is the fact that it was caught looking ahead and lost to lowly Oklahoma City last game. Play On - Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DALLAS) - off a upset loss as a favorite, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 42-13 ATS since 1996. Pound the Mavs!
03-04-09	Georgia v. Kentucky -17		90-85	Loss	-110	8 h 13 m	Show
4* Major CBB Double Digit BLOOD BATH on Kentucky -17 Kentucky smacked Georgia 68-45 on the road last month and would have no real incentive to blow the Dawgs out here except that it is coming off back-to-back losses and this is its last home game of the season. The Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 13.0 or greater while the Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 13.0 or greater. Lay the points!
03-04-09	Atlanta Hawks v. New York Knicks		105-109	Win	100	11 h 2 m	Show
4* Major NBA Point Spread Blowout on Knicks pk The Hawks run out of gas playing their 3rd game in 4 days tonight against the run and gun Knicks. Atlanta has struggled with the Knicks this season going 1-1 SU and 0-2 ATS. NY won at home by 8 in late January to improve to 19-5 L24 home games against the Hawks. NY has lost 3 straight and that makes the Knicks very hungry tonight!
03-04-09	Ball State +6 v. Western Michigan		82-84	Win	100	7 h 4 m	Show
3* SUREFIRE on Ball State +6 Ball State is the better team and should not be catching this many points here. WMU has lost 9 of its last 10 ATS and with just a .500 home record this season with only a 3.4 margin of victory in those games can not be trusted to lay this many points.
03-03-09	Indiana Pacers v. Sacramento Kings +2.5		117-109	Loss	-105	14 h 45 m	Show
3* SUREFIRE on Kings +2.5 The Pacers are just 7-25 on the road this season and I'll fade them here in a letdown spot coming off a big win over the Nuggets. The Pacers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. The Underdog is 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings in this series. The Kings are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss. Bet the Kings tonight.
03-03-09	Toronto Raptors v. Houston Rockets -8	Top	97-107	Win	100	13 h 13 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout of the Week on Rockets -8 The Rockets have won 9 straight at home while the Raptors have lost 6 of their last 7 on the road. The Raptors have been crushed by the Suns and the Mavs their last 2 games and while they would like to bounce back tonight, it's just not in the cards as the Rockets will be playing to avenge a terrible 21-point loss to Toronto in January. The Raptors are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games overall, 6-22-1 ATS in their last 29 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600, 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games, and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. The Rockets are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400 and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5. Take the Rockets tonight.
03-03-09	New Jersey Nets +4 v. Milwaukee Bucks		99-95	Win	100	12 h 34 m	Show
3* SUREFIRE on Nets +4 The public is going to get crushed by taking the Bucks tonight. The Nets are 17-11 ATS on the road this season and have owned the Bucks to the tune of 7-2 SU and 8-1 ATS the last 3 seasons. The Nets are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a road underdog of 4.5 or less and 22-6 ATS in their last 28 games as an underdog of 4.5 or fewer points. Take the Nets!
03-03-09	Virginia v. Clemson -14.5		57-75	Win	100	11 h 36 m	Show
4* Major CBB Double Digit BLOOD BATH on Clemson -14.5 I've got another Double Digit Blood Bath for you in the college ranks tonight. Clemson is off consecutive losses and looking to avenge an earlier season loss to the Cavaliers. That spells trouble for Virginia here. Clemson won by 31 at Virginia a season ago and has that potential in this spot tonight. Lay the points.
03-02-09	Dallas Mavericks v. Oklahoma City Thunder +5		87-96	Win	100	9 h 52 m	Show
3* SUREFIRE on Thunder +5 The Mavericks are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings. The Thunder are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 vs. the NBA Southwest, 12-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a home underdog, 14-3 ATS in their last 17 home games, and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. With the Mavs looking ahead to San Antonio next, we'll take the Thunder at home.
03-02-09	The Citadel -6 v. Georgia Southern		74-53	Win	100	8 h 15 m	Show
4* Major CBB Double Digit BLOOD BATH on The Citadel -6 This is a huge mismatch and I can't see Georgia Southern getting back up from the 99-56 beating Davidson handing it Saturday. A loss against Wofford ended The Citadel's 11-game winning streak and I fully expect it to bounce back big here with a double digit win to lock up a first round bye in the conference tournament. The Citadel is 11-0 ATS in road lined games this season. Lay the number.
03-02-09	Atlanta Hawks -4 v. Washington Wizards	Top	98-89	Win	100	8 h 52 m	Show
5* NBA Eastern Conference GAME OF THE YEAR on Atlanta -4 Off a 1-point loss to Cleveland, don't expect a letdown from the Hawks here. Rather, expect an offensive explosion against one of the worst teams in the league as the Hawks look to get right back in the win column. The Hawks just beat the Wiz easily by 21 points back on Feb. 10 for their 4th straight win against them. Washington is 0-12 in division games this season while Atlanta is 9-3. The Hawks are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Washington and the road team is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. The Wizards are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning SU record, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Monday games, and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog of 4.5 or less. The Hawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference. Take Atlanta.
03-01-09	Denver Nuggets v. Indiana Pacers +2.5		94-100	Win	100	12 h 19 m	Show
4* Major NBA Letdown Game of the Month on Pacers +2.5 Off a double digit win over the Lakers, expect a major letdown out on the road from the Nuggets tonight. Indiana is playing good ball, having covered the number in 4 of its last 5 and 7 of 11. The Pacers are 18-11 at home this season and have won 5 straight at home. Two of these recent home wins have come against the Cavs and the Magic. Indiana lost by 20 at Denver in January and the Pacers will be looking to pay the Nuggets back here. Indiana is 17-5 ATS revenging a same season loss this season. Take the Pacers.
03-01-09	New Orleans Hornets v. New Jersey Nets +4		99-96	Win	100	11 h 19 m	Show
3* SUREFIRE on Nets +4 New Orleans has really struggled away from home all season long as it is just 10-16 ATS. It has struggled even more lately and finds itself at 1-6 ATS in its last 7 road games, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record, and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall. The Nets are a very profitable 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games as an underdog of 4.5 or less points and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog of 4.5 or fewer points. The Public is all over the Hornets here and will fry for it.
03-01-09	Massachusetts +5 v. La Salle	Top	88-97	Loss	-110	10 h 7 m	Show
5* Wiseguy Atlantic 10 Game of the Year on UMass +5 We'll take the Minutemen in a sweet spot today. First, UMass will be after revenge as it went down at home to LaSalle by 8 in late January. Second, UMass is coming off a bad loss against Duquesne and that will further motivate the Minutemen. Third, LaSalle finds itself in a letdown spot off a big win at Temple as a 9.5-point dog. UMass is 6-0 ATS off a home loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons, winning in these spots by an average score of 84.2 to 74.5, and 7-0 ATS in road games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons, winning in these spots by an average score of 79.6 to 70.0. Take UMass.
02-28-09	South Carolina v. Vanderbilt -1		83-96	Win	100	12 h 5 m	Show
3* SUREFIRE on Vandy -1 This is a revenge game for Vandy and I like the Commodores to get it at home where they are a strong 12-4 this season. SC has struggled on the road, going just 2-4 in conference play. SC's road wins have been no picnic as they won at Baylor by just 1, at Kentucky by 1, and at Alabama by 2. Vandy will dominate at home in this spot.
02-28-09	Houston Rockets v. Chicago Bulls +1.5		102-105	Win	100	12 h 36 m	Show
4* Major Saturday Night NBA BEST BET on Bulls +1.5 Bulls are coming off a bad loss against lowly Washington and will be out for blood tonight against a Rockets team that has lost 3 in a row on the road to the likes of Milwaukee, Memphis, and NY. This is a letdown spot for Houston as well after a dominant performance against Cleveland. The Bulls are playing their best ball of the season with the playoffs well within reach. Take the Bulls at home.
02-28-09	Houston v. Rice +9		56-51	Win	100	7 h 3 m	Show
3* SUREFIRE on Rice +9 With Houston looking ahead to Memphis I look for Rice to have a great opportunity to pull off the shocker. Rice always plays Houston tough and is 6-1 SU and ATS in the last 7 meetings at home. We'll take the points here.
02-28-09	Ohio State v. Purdue -9.5	Top	50-75	Win	100	7 h 1 m	Show
5* Wiseguy Double Digit Blood Bath GOTY on Purdue -9.5 We hit our CBB Blowout of the Year on Pitt a few weeks back and buried the books with out NBA Blowout of the Year on Portland last night. This play is reserved for a game that I feel can beat the number by double digits and I really like the Boilermakers to do that here. Here is what Purdue is capable of at home, it beat Michigan State by 18. The Boilers are coming off a bad loss at Michigan and they are looking to avenge an 8-point defeat at Ohio St earlier this season. It's going to be blowout city this afternoon. Purdue is 6-0 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons, winning in these spots by an average of 14.3 and I have this one ending up at least 18. Lay the number!
02-28-09	Duke v. Virginia Tech +5.5		72-65	Loss	-110	7 h 37 m	Show
4* Major ACC Game of the Month (ABC) on VA Tech +5.5 VA Tech gets up for big games as well as any team in the country and they have had this one circled ever since getting blown out 44-69 at Duke in one of their worst games of the season. A big win at Clemson to end a skid gives the Hokies a ton of confidence coming into this one. The Hokies were left out of the Big Dance last season and they want to win today to make sure that doesn't happen again. We'll play on a home team as an underdog or pick revenging a loss where they scored less than 50 points, off a road win against a conference rival. This system is 39-14 ATS since 1997. Take the points!
02-27-09	Oklahoma City Thunder +10 v. Dallas Mavericks		108-110	Win	100	13 h 57 m	Show
3* SUREFIRE on Oklahoma City +10 Odds makers have overvalued the Mavs tonight. The Thunder are 27-13 ATS in their last 40 games overall, 25-10 ATS in their last 35 games as an underdog, and 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games vs. a team with a winning SU record. The Thunder are also 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southwest, and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Mavericks are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 vs. NBA Northwest and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win. The road team is 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Take the points.
02-27-09	Portland Trail Blazers -6 v. Minnesota Timberwolves	Top	102-82	Win	100	12 h 15 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout of the Year on Portland -6 The Blazers have struggled on the road this season, but expect them to explode against a team they have dominated tonight. The Blazers have won 10 of 12, including six straight and three in a row at the Target Center. Portland won by 5 in Minnesota back in November, but that was back when the Wolves still had Al Jefferson. The Wolves have now dropped 6 of 7 since their leading scorer and rebounder went down. The loss of Jefferson was a big blow, one that has the Wolves packing it in. They have now lost 7 straight at home, and I expect this one to get ugly tonight as Brandon Roy looks to rebound from a poor 14 point effort in Wednesday's loss to the Spurs. The Trail Blazers are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Minnesota and 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. The favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings and the road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The Timberwolves are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games. The Trail Blazers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. Bet the Blazers!
02-27-09	Chicago Bulls v. Washington Wizards +5.5		90-113	Win	100	11 h 17 m	Show
4* Major Underdog Shocker on Wizards +5.5 Yes, the Wizards are awful, but they were just called out by interim coach Ed Tapscott about being mentally prepared for games and his words were echoed by both Caron Butler and Antawn Jamison. Expect to see the most motivated Wizards team you have seen in a while tonight. The Bulls are just 3-12 ATS in their last 15 vs. NBA Southeast and still can't be trusted as a heavy favorite as they are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5. The Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Bet the Wizards!
02-26-09	Montana +2 v. Northern Colorado		57-67	Loss	-105	9 h 25 m	Show
4* Major CBB MONSTER Line Mistake on Montana +2 The books have favored the wrong team here and the public has taken the bait. Montana has won 5 straight in this series and is 3-0 ATS in lined games. Montana is 9-0 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons and 6-0 ATS versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=45% after 15+ games this season. Montana is also 6-0 ATS after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. Bet the Grizzlies.
02-26-09	Cleveland Cavaliers v. Houston Rockets +3.5		74-93	Win	100	9 h 33 m	Show
3* NBA on TNT Side of the Night on Rockets +3.5 The Cavaliers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Houston. The Rockets are 10-2 SU and 8-2-2 ATS in their last 12 home games against the Cavs, including 2-0 SU and ATS the last 2 seasons with blowout wins of 15 and 18 points in those games. The Cavaliers are just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 Thursday games while the Rockets are 25-9-3 ATS in their last 37 Thursday games. Houston is 23-6 at home this season and they'll look to send a message not to sleep on them tonight.
02-26-09	Cleveland Cavaliers v. Houston Rockets UNDER 186	Top	74-93	Win	100	9 h 32 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Total of the Year on Cavs/Rockets UNDER 186 I love the under in this matchup tonight as we have a pair of strong defensive teams which have upped their play of the defensive side of the ball even more of late. When these teams get together, it is a battle and the stats support it as the Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings and 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Houston. The Under is 5-1 in Rockets last 6 games as a home underdog of 4.5 points or less and 6-1 in Cavaliers last 7 vs. a team with a winning SU record. The Cavs have held 3 of their last 4 opponents under 80 and the Rockets have held 4 of their last 5 under 88. Houston is 18-6 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points over the last 2 seasons. Bet the UNDER.
02-25-09	Chicago Bulls v. New Jersey Nets -1.5		99-111	Win	100	8 h 55 m	Show
3* SUREFIRE on Nets -1.5 The Bulls are playing their best basketball of the season but I don't think they'll be able to hang with New Jersey in tonight's spot. We took them to beat the Magic last night, and that they did, but that win puts Chicago in a letdown spot here. Couple that with the Bulls playing back-to-back nights and I really like the Nets. NJ has dominated this series at home, going 4-1 SU and ATS the last 3 seasons and 17-6 SU and 16-7 ATS since 1996. Chicago is 1-9 ATS off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog over the last 2 seasons and 5-18 ATS off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. Take the Nets!
02-25-09	Philadelphia 76ers v. Washington Wizards +5		106-98	Loss	-110	7 h 25 m	Show
4* Major NBA BEST BET on Washington Wizards +5 Philly has lost 4 in a row and is 0-5 ATS in its last 5. The injuries are starting to really hurt the 76ers. The Wizards scored just 67 points in an embarrassing home loss to the Spurs last game. They've had 3 days to prepare for this one and I promise you they'll be ready to hit Philly in the mouth. Here's the angle: Plays on home teams (WASHINGTON) - triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. opponent against opponent off an upset loss as a road favorite are 32-8 ATS the last 5 seasons. Take the points!
02-25-09	NC Greensboro v. Davidson -25		49-70	Loss	-106	7 h 19 m	Show
4* Major CBB Double Digit Blood Bath on Davidson -25 After getting it handed to them by The Citadel and Butler in back-to-back games, Davidson comes back strong tonight against a team they beat on the road by 21 points earlier this season when they had no motivation. Plays on favorites of 10 or more points (DAVIDSON) - off 2 or more consecutive losses as a favorite, in February games are 40-13 ATS since 1997. Bet Davidson tonight!
02-24-09	Texas Aamp;M v. Nebraska -3.5		57-55	Loss	-101	10 h 14 m	Show
3* SUREFIRE on Nebraska -3.5 Nebraska is always a deadly home team, even in years when it can't win on the road. This Nebraska team is 13-3 at home with wins over Mizzou, K-State, and Texas. After getting crushed at Kansas, expect the Huskers to get back in the win column tonight against an Aggies team that has lost 5 of its last 6 on the road. The Favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings and the Cornhuskers are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games as a home favorite of 6.5 points or less. Lay the number.
02-24-09	Baylor -2.5 v. Iowa State	Top	62-71	Loss	-110	10 h 46 m	Show
5* Wiseguy CBB Mismatch of the Year on Baylor -2.5 Baylor is the more talented team and I expect the Bears to go out and prove that tonight. ISU is known for its Hilton Magic, but it hasn't had much of it this season. The Cyclones have lost 4 of their last 5 at home and it's going to be tough to get up for this one after a tough home loss to K-State last game. ISU is 0-7 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season, losing by an average score of 58.4 to 74.0 in these spots. The Bears are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a losing SU record. The Cyclones are 0-5-3 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog. Baylor's tougher schedule makes this one look more even than it really is. We'll take advantage of this mismatch.
02-24-09	Los Angeles Lakers v. Oklahoma City Thunder +8		107-93	Loss	-110	9 h 47 m	Show
3* SUREFIRE on Thunder +8 The Thunder played the Lakers to a 7-point game on the road 2 weeks ago and I like them to give LA an even bigger scare tonight. LA has not won by more than 8 in any of its last 3 wins and I expect the Lakers to coast with a back-to-back spot coming up. The Thunder are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog of 5.0-10.5, 11-1 ATS in their last 12 Tuesday games, 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, and 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games as a home underdog. The Lakers are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Take the points!
02-24-09	Orlando Magic v. Chicago Bulls +3		102-120	Win	100	9 h 46 m	Show
4* Major NBA BEST BET on Bulls +3 The Bulls are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games, playing their best ball of the season. I like them at home tonight catching a tre as they look to pay the Magic back for a lopsided defeat at the United Center back on Dec. 31. The Bulls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss and 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. Bet the Bulls at home tonight.
02-24-09	Penn State +6 v. Ohio State		59-73	Loss	-106	7 h 10 m	Show
4* Major Big Ten GOTW (ESPN) on Penn State +6 Ohio State has lost 3 in a row and with odds makers knowing that the public would bet the Buckeyes to bounce back tonight, they have given the Nittany Lions too many points. We'll take those points as Penn State has been solid away from home all season with a 6-4 SU and 7-3 ATS record. Even more importantly, the Lions have had a week off to prepare for this one while Ohio State just played Sunday. The Nittany Lions are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings at Ohio State and the road team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Take the points!
02-23-09	New Orleans Hornets v. Sacramento Kings +8.5	Top	112-105	Win	100	10 h 59 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NBA Public Massacre of the Month on Kings +8.5 The Hornets are being overvalued here and we will most certainly take advantage. The public expects the Hornets to bounce back tonight following a double digit loss at Utah Saturday, and they could, but not by this large of a margin. The Hornets have dropped 5 of their last 6 road games, which include losses to lowly Minnesota and Memphis, with their only win during that stretch coming by just 2 points over the lowly Thunder. Kings have played a ton of road games, more than anyone else in the Western Conference, and that makes their record look worse than it should be. Coming off a blowout loss on the road at Dallas, I like the Kings to bounce back strong at home tonight as they are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss. The home team is 12-3 ATS in the last 15 meetings and the Hornets are just 1-8-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Sacramento. In fact, the Hornets are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings. The Kings have dominated at home winning 13 of the last 15 SU. Bet the Kings tonight.
02-23-09	Louisville v. Georgetown +1.5		76-58	Loss	-110	7 h 41 m	Show
3* ESPN Big Monday BLOOD BATH on Georgetown +1.5 Everyone and their brother is on Louisville tonight and that is right where the books want them. Georgetown has one of the toughest schedules in the country and a high RPI. A big win over Louisville tonight keeps the Hoyas' Big Dance hopes alive as they also have big wins over UConn and Memphis. Georgetown is 10-4 at home, has won back-to-back at home in this series, and 4 of the last 5 overall. Take the Hoyas as they pull off the big upset, although not that big in the eyes of the odds makers.
02-22-09	Arizona +7.5 v. Arizona State		68-70	Win	100	12 h 15 m	Show
3* Pac-10 Rivalry Showdown on Arizona +7.5 Since losing at home to ASU, the Cats have won 7 straight games. This will be a statement game for the Cats to prove once and for all that they belong in the Big Dance. Arizona has won 9 of the last 11 at ASU and has won 20 of the last 24 in this matchup. Play On - Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ARIZONA) - revenging a loss where team scored less than 60 points, off an upset win over a conference rival as a home underdog are 41-15 ATS the last 5 seasons. Take the points.
02-22-09	Detroit Pistons +9 v. Cleveland Cavaliers	Top	78-99	Loss	-108	11 h 32 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NBA Central Division GOTY (ESPN) on Pistons +9 Detroit has lost 5 in a row. This is a veteran team, and I can assure you that they would rather die then let the Cavs embarrass them today. The Pistons need this one to end their skid and to give them a confidence boost and I love them to give the Cavs a run for their money. The rest leading up to this one is important for the Pistons as it puts them in a great spot today. Detroit is 9-0 ATS in road games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons. The Pistons are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5. Odds makers have inflated this line knowing that the public would be all over the Cavs. We'll take the points!
02-22-09	Northwestern v. Minnesota U -6		45-72	Win	100	4 h 27 m	Show
4* Major CBB DOUBLE DIGIT BLOOD BATH on Minnesota -6 Off back-to-back losses on the road at Penn State and at Michigan, expect the Gophers to be out for blood at home today where they are 14-2 this season. The Gophers will also be after revenge as they went down at Northwestern earlier this season. The Wildcats are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games following three or more consecutive home games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog of 6.5 or less. Great spot for the Gophers.
02-21-09	B.Y.U. v. UNLV -2		74-75	Loss	-110	15 h 48 m	Show
3* SUREFIRE on UNLV -2 UNLV is 9-1 ATS in home games versus excellent teams - shooting >=45% with a defense of <=42% over the last 2 seasons, 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons, and 8-1 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pick over the last 2 seasons. Take UNLV.
02-21-09	New Orleans Hornets v. Utah Jazz -7		88-102	Win	100	13 h 59 m	Show
5* Wiseguy Saturday Night NBA BEST BET on Jazz -7 No way New Orleans can rebound tonight after playing a tough OT game in LA last night. Utah is rolling and has had New Orleans' number. The Hornets are 0-4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Utah and 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5. Utah is 14-4 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons, winning these games by an average score of 103.4 to 91.8. Lay the points.
02-21-09	Kansas State v. Iowa State +4		50-46	Push	0	10 h 45 m	Show
3* SUREFIRE on Iowa State +4 Expect a little Hilton Magic today. K-State is 3-12 ATS in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% over the last 2 seasons, losing these games by an average score of 69.9 to 76.3. It is also 4-16 ATS as a road favorite of 6 points or less or pick since 1997, losing by 3.1 points on average in these spots. Take the points.
02-21-09	San Diego State v. New Mexico -5		49-75	Win	100	7 h 51 m	Show
4* Major Mid-Major MONSTER on New Mexico -5 3 straight ATS losses has brought this line down from what it would have been and I'll gladly take the Lobos to beat it. New Mexico is 21-8 ATS in all home games over the last 2 seasons, winning these games by an average score of 77.1 to 58.4. The Lobos are 12-2 at home this season and I like them to clean up here.
02-21-09	Marquette v. Georgetown -3.5	Top	78-72	Loss	-109	6 h 55 m	Show
5* Wiseguy CBB Favorite of the Year on Georgetown -3.5 Odds makers are favoring unranked Georgetown by this much over Marquette? They are looking to trap the public hard here and I'm not biting. The Golden Eagles are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. the Big East. Marquette continues its slide back down to reality against a Hoyas team starting to pick it up. Plays on a favorite after beating the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team, are 23-5 ATS the last 5 years. Take the Hoyas.
02-20-09	Denver Nuggets -2.5 v. Chicago Bulls		99-116	Loss	-104	8 h 17 m	Show
4* Major NBA Road Warrior of the Week on Nuggets -2.5 We'll play on a team where the line is +3 to -3 (DENVER) - an explosive offensive team (>=102 PPG) against a good offensive team (98-102 PPG), after a win by 10 points or more. This system is 30-5 ATS the last 5 seasons. s Denver is 12-3 ATS as a road favorite this season and the Nuggets will be good for this number tonight against a Bulls team dealing with personnel changes.
02-20-09	Sacramento Kings v. Memphis Grizzlies OVER 206		115-106	Win	100	8 h 48 m	Show
3* NBA "TOTAL" Dominator on Kings/Grizzlies OVER 206 The Kings went down to Memphis 94-109 earlier this season, so the angle we play on here is revenge. Sacramento is 20-6 OVER revenging a road loss vs. an opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. The average total score in these games was 212.6. Take the Over.
02-20-09	Dallas Mavericks v. Houston Rockets -3	Top	86-93	Win	100	8 h 52 m	Show
5* Wiseguy ESPN GAME OF THE YEAR on Rockets -3 Houston is 20-6 at home this season, but one of those home losses have been to the Mavs, and that spells revenge here. We'll play on favorites (HOUSTON) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more against opponent off a home win scoring 110 or more points. This system is 31-8 ATS since 1996. In addition, Houston is 24-5 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons, winning by an average of 10.7 points in these spots. No McGrady for Houston tonight, but the Mavs are also without Jason Terry so I don't see any advantage for Dallas there. The key here is Houston's defense at home and revenge. Dirk struggles against stiff defenses and Houston will make him take more shots than he wants to to get his points. Take Houston at home.
02-19-09	Wisconsin v. Indiana U +10		68-51	Loss	-105	10 h 14 m	Show
4* Major ESPN Game of the Week on Indiana +10 This is way too many points for a Wisconsin team to be laying on the road that is just 1-4 in its last 5 Big Ten road games. The Badgers are not an explosive offensive team and that makes these points look even better. The Hoosiers are hungry for a second Big Ten win and they are playing well enough to get it tonight against a Wisconsin team I'm not sold on. The Hoosiers have continued to play inspired hoops in front of their faithful and I expect one of their best efforts of the season tonight. The Hoosiers are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as a home underdog and 8-1 ATS in home games after playing a home game over the last 2 seasons. Take the points.
02-19-09	San Antonio Spurs +1 v. Detroit Pistons		83-79	Win	100	7 h 17 m	Show
3* NBA on TNT BEST BET on Spurs +1 The Pistons won the first meeting in San Antonio by 12 points back in December. These teams have gone 2 completely different directions since then and I look for San Antonio to have its revenge tonight. The Road team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The Spurs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning SU record. Off a bad loss at NY, the Spurs will be ready to bounce back strong tonight!
02-19-09	Western Kentucky v. Arkansas LR -2	Top	78-69	Loss	-109	12 h 30 m	Show
5* Wiseguy Sun Belt Conf. GOTY on Arkansas LR -2 Western Kentucky put it on Little Rock at home in early January. The Trojans will return the favor tonight. Ark LR is rolling having won 10 of its last 11 and is 9-1 ATS in its last 10. Ark LR returns all 5 starters from a team which won 20 games last season while the Hilltoppers return just 2 starters. The Trojans are poised to win the Sun Belt and they won't let the Hilltoppers stand in their way here. Ark LR is 8-0 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 6.5 or less, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall, and the Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take Ark LR.

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