Sports Picks & Predictions

4* Major ACC *BLOOD BATH* on Duke -13
Bottom Line: Duke will be out for blood after losing at Maryland last time out. It has responded majorly with wins of 16 and 20 points following each of its previous two losses. Plus, VA Tech is 0-11 ATS in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. Duke won at VA Tech by 15 last season and will certainly be motivated to run up the score on the Hokies here.

4* Major NBA "Total" Dominator on Heat/Bulls UNDER 187
Bottom Line: The Heat and Bulls have been under this number in each of the last three meetings, and I expect this trend to continue. Plays Under on all teams when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (Chicago in this case) that are extremely well rested team playing 3 or less games in 10 days, provided they have a winning record on the season and are playing another winning team, are 33-12 the last 5 seasons. We have seen just 183.5 points scored on average in this situation. Also, Chicago is 8-0 Under this season in home games versus good ball handling teams that commit 14 or less turnovers/game. We have seen just 175.6 total points scored in these games. Both teams are fresh enough to get after it on the defensive end following the All-Star break. Plus, both teams do an excellent job of taking care of the basketball so I don't expect many easy fastbreak opportunities off of steals. Bet the Under.

4* Major NBA Bailout on Lakers -7
Bottom Line: This veteran Boston team can't be trusted playing on consecutive days. It is just 18-33 ATS in the second game of a back-to-back over the last 3 seasons. The Celtics are also just 5-12 ATS in their last 17 road games. The Lakers were kicked in Boston on the 7th so they will want to return the favor. Plus, I'm expecting a very inspired performance from them tonight as they look to win this one for the Buss family.

4* Major on Baylor -4.5
Bottom Line: The Cyclones are capable of beating anyone at home, but they have shown that they are capable of losing to anyone on the road. They are 2-7 on the highway this season and have lost their last 4 road contests, including a bad loss to Texas Tech during this span.

5* Wiseguy Big 10 Game of the Week on Northwestern +8.5
Bottom Line: Wisconsin won big last game but it shot 52.7% from the field. That rarely happens. Prior to that, the Badgers had shot below 40% in 5 of 7 games. Wiscy hasn't ran away from anyone on the road. It has lost 3 of its last 4 on the road and is just 3-5 in road games this season. None of its 3 road wins have come by more than 6 points. Pound the Wildcats.

4* Major on SIU Edwardsville +7
Bottom Line: The Tennessee State Tigers can't be trusted laying this many points on the road where they are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.

4* Major on Kentucky -10.5
Bottom Line: Called out by John Calipari and left out in Joe Lunardi's latest bracket, I'm expecting Kentucky to make a major statement with a blowout win. The Wildcats are on a 6-0 ATS run in home games versus poor offensive teams that average 64 points or fewer per game. They have won these contests by an average of 35.2 points.

4* Major on Drake -4
Bottom Line: Bradley won the first matchup but that was at home. It hasn't been nearly as good on the road where it has lost 6 straight by double digits and is 1-5 ATS in those games.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Knicks +3.5
Bottom Line: The Knicks are 41-22 ATS as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons, including 29-11 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or fewer during this time frame. Pound New York.

5* Wiseguy ESPN Super Tuesday *PUNISHER* on Missouri +5
Bottom Line: Missouri has been unstoppable at home where it is 14-0 and is winning by an average of 20.0 points per game. Florida won the first meeting handily but it will be a different story at Mizzou Arena where the Tigers are 29-1 the last 2 seasons. They were 2-0 at home against top 10 foes last season, beating Kansas by 3 and Baylor by 15. Pound Missouri.

4* Major ACC *BLOOD BATH* on Boston College +1.5
Bottom Line: Look for Maryland to suffer a letdown following Saturday's huge win over Duke. The Terrapins are just 2-9 ATS all-time under coach Turgeon when coming off a win over a conference rival. Boston College lost the season's first meeting 64-59, but it is 8-1 ATS all-time under coach Donahue in home games when out for revenge for a loss to an opponent that held it to less than 60 points.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bulls -2
Bottom Line: Plays on all teams when the line is +3 to -3 that are out for revenge for a home loss to an opponent, provided this is their third game (or fewer) in 10 days, are 40-16 ATS since 1996. Also, plays on road teams that check in off a road loss where they were held to less than 80 points, provided they are playing 6 (or fewer) games in 14 days, are 25-7 ATS the last 5 seasons. The Bulls are the superior team and should be able to prove that in this rested and motivated spot.

4* Big East *BLOOD BATH* (ESPNU) on Rutgers +10.5
Bottom Line: Fading favorites of 10 or more points that have covered the spread in 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, provided they are playing their second game in 3 days, has produced an 81-46 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Basically, this system shows how oddsmakers have a tendency to overvalue teams that have been cashing a lot of tickets even when they are in the unfavorable position of playing 2 games in 3 days.

5* Wiseguy ESPN Big Monday *PUNISHER* on Pittsburgh -10
Bottom Line: The books are begging for the money to come in on Notre Dame judging by the line as rarely will you see a team laying double digits against a team with an identical record. The books clearly don't trust Notre Dame on the road where it has lost its last two by 16. Fading road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points that are playing with one or less days' rest in a game involving two good teams (60% to 80%) has produced a 29-12 ATS mark the last 5 seasons. These dogs have lost by an average of 15.3 points. Pound Pitt.

4* Major Pac-12 Bailout on USC +7
Bottom Line: USC has been a different team since firing Kevin O'Neill and yet it still isn't getting the respect it deserves from oddsmakers. The Trojans have won 4 in a row with a victory at UCLA during this stretch. Plus, they have only lost by more than 6 points on the road once in 6 conference road games this season. USC lost the season's first matchup by 8 points but that was before it started rolling. I expect this matchup to be much more competitive.

4* Major Big 10 *BLOOD BATH* on Northwestern +4.5
Bottom Line: Illinois is being overvalued here because it checks in off 3 consecutive wins. We can't forget that it is just 2-3 on the road in Big Ten play with only one of those wins coming by more than 4 points. Northwestern has won its last 2 at home, and it won by 14 at Illinois in the first meeting. While the Illini will be out for revenge, the odds are against it winning this one by 5 or more as the Wildcats have won 3 of the last 3 meetings with the loss coming by a single point.

5* Wiseguy Pac-12 *PUNISHER* on Arizona -9
Bottom Line: Utah played Arizona tough the first time around but the Wildcats were riding high at 13-0 heading into that game and were looking past a team they had defeated by 26 and 9 last season. Off back-to-back losses, the Wildcats won't be looking past the Utes this time around, and I'm expecting a blowout. Arizona is 6-0 in its last 6 games in the series with a 14.3-point average margin of victory.

4* Major Southern Conference *BLOOD BATH* on NC Greensboro -4
Bottom Line: NC Greensboro lost the season's first matchup at Appalachian State by 13, but it returns 4 starters from last year's squad which beat Appalachian State at home by 4 and in the conference tourney by 10. The Mountaineers bring back just 2 starters and have been overmatched all season on the road where they are 3-11. Plays on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that return 4 starters and are looking for revenge for a same-season loss to an opponent are 104-66 ATS the last 5 seasons. Teams fitting into this situation have won by an average of 7.5 points.

4* Major Big East *BLOOD BATH* on South Florida +14
Bottom Line: Louisville won the season's first matchup handily but that was at home. Now, it's on the road where it has dropped 3 of its last 4. USF has hung with Syracuse, Villanova and Notre Dame at home and beat Georgetown. The Bulls are on a 6-0 ATS run in games following at least 3 consecutive defeats against the spread

4* Major Pac-12 BAILOUT on Washington -4
Bottom Line: The Beavers enter off a win at Washington State but are 1-8 ATS this season in games following 1 or more consecutive wins. The Huskies have lost 3 in a row with their last 2 defeats also coming against the number, but this bodes well for us. That's because Washington is a perfect 8-0 ATS the last 2 seasons after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games. It has won by an average of 7.4 points in these spots.

4* Major WAC *BLOOD BATH* on San Jose State +12
Bottom Line: Denver is not the same team on the road where it is on a 15-35-1 ATS skid.

4* Major Big Ten *BLOOD BATH* on Nebraska +9.5
Bottom Line: The Spartans buries rival Michigan in their last game and are being overvalued here as a result. They are just 6-16 ATS in their last 22 games following a win of more than 20 points. Also, the Cornhuskers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU loss and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss.

4* Major MVC *BLOOD BATH* on Drake +3
Bottom Line: Northern Iowa is a soft 3-12 ATS on the road as a favorite of 6 points or less or pickem the last 3 seasons.

4* Major Pac-12 *BLOOD BATH* on Washington State +3.5
Bottom Line: Oregon has been overvalued in conference place and has covered the number just once in its last 7 games as a result. This is significant because it is 0-7 ATS the last 2 seasons after failing to cover the number in 4 or 5 of its last 6 games.

4* Major Southern Conference *BLOOD BATH* on Citadel +19.5
Bottom Line: Davidson can't be trusted laying this many points on the road against anyone. It is just 9-19 ATS as a road favorite or pickem over the last 3 seasons.

4* Major SEC *BLOOD BATH* on Vanderbilt -2
Bottom Line: Vandy bounces back strong following Wednesday's disappointing performance against Tennessee. The Commodores are on an 18-9 ATS run in games following an upset loss at home.

4* SEC *BLOOD BATH* on Mississippi State +13.5
Bottom Line: Mississippi State is having a rough season but LSU shouldn't be laying this heavy against a team it defeated by just 1 point in the first go around. In fact, each of the last 6 meetings have been decided by 5 points or less. LSU is 0-6 ATS in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons.

5* Wiseguy CBB Game of the Year on San Francisco +12.5
Bottom Line: This is the prime time to fade the Zags as they enter off arguably their biggest win of the season. Gonzaga has had just 1 day to put that victory behind them and that's not enough time. It is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games when playing with just 1 day in between games. Also, the Bulldogs are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win. Gonzaga won the season's first matchup by 14 but SF is 13-3 ATS when out for revenge for a loss over the last 2 seasons. The Dons are also 6-0 ATS versus excellent teams that shoot >=45% with a defense of <=42% this season and 6-0 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+ games this season. The Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings and 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings at San Francisco. Pound the Dons!

4* Major SEC *BLOOD BATH* on South Carolina +12
Bottom Line: Bama is being overvalued at home yet again. The Tide are only 1-7 ATS this season when listed as a home favorite or pickem.

4* Major Big 10 *BLOOD BATH* on Purdue +19
Bottom Line: The Boilermakers will have no problem getting up for in-state rival IU after the way they were murdered by the Hoosiers last month. Purdue is on a 12-4 ATS run as a double-digit underdog.

4* Major SEC *BLOOD BATH* on Auburn +17
Bottom Line: Off a big win over Kentucky and with Mizzou on deck, Florida won't give Auburn enough attention. The Tigers are on an outstanding 34-18 ATS run in the underdog role and 9-2 ATS off 2 straight losses to conference rivals.

4* Major Big East *BLOOD BATH* on Villanova +4.5
Bottom Line: Nova has been undervalued all season and that remains the case here. The Cats are 15-7 ATS in all lined games this season. UConn, meanwhile, is 1-8 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins this season.

4* Major Big East *BLOOD BATH* (ESPN) on Georgetown +3.5
Bottom Line: Cincy ended a 2-game slide with an 18-point blowout victory over Villanova, but it is 0-8 ATS in home games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Plus, Georgetown is playing some of the best basketball in the country. It has won 6 in a row SU and ATS and will be lacking no incentive with an opportunity to gain a half game in the Big East race. The Hoyas have lost 4 straight to Cincy so they'll want this game for that reason too. It should also be noted that its last 2 losses to the Bearcats have come by a combined 6 points so these 3.5 points are looking pretty good for us tonight.

5* NCAAB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* (ESPNU) on Cleveland State +5
Bottom Line: Cleveland State was hammered by Wis-GB in the season's first meeting and will be lacking no motivation here as a result. Cleveland State won last season's home meeting by 10 points so it could certainly flip the script tonight. The home team has been completely dominant in this series. It is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings and has won them by an average of 12.0 points. Looking back further, the home side is 11-1 in the last 12 matchups. These 11 victories have come by an average of 13.3 points. The Vikings are 8-3 at home while the Phoenix are only 2-9 on the road. Look for the Vikes to give the Phoenix all they want and more tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Thunder -4.5
Bottom Line: Right away I love the fact that the Thunder are 18-8 ATS at home this season and 20-7 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. It also bodes well for us that OKC lost the season's first meeting 103-97 because it is 10-2 ATS in home games when looking for revenge for a loss to an opponent this season and 11-2 ATS in home games when looking for revenge for a loss in which it gave up 100 points or more over the last 2 seasons. It also works in our favor that the Thunder of coming off a 15-point upset loss at Utah considering they are 9-1 ATS off a upset loss this season and 13-4 ATS off an upset loss on the road over the last 2 seasons. Pound OKC!

4* Major Ohio Valley Conference *BLOOD BATH* on SIU Edwardsville +11
Bottom Line: Murray State is getting too much respect on the road here. It is just 3-13 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons and 0-6 ATS as a road favorite of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons. It has won these 6 games on average but only by 6.4 points.

4* Major Big Sky *BLOOD BATH* on North Dakota -5
Bottom Line: Taking home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that return 4 starters and are looking for revenge for a same-season loss to an opponent are 101-61 ATS the last 5 seasons. These teams have been favored by 5.9 points on average and have won by an average of 7.7.

5* Wiseguy Big Ten Game of the Year on Minnesota -4.5
Bottom Line: Big letdown spot for Wiscy following its upset of Michigan. Plus, huge revenge spot for Minnesota which fell to 0-4 in its last 4 against the Badgers with a 1-point loss in the season's first matchup. The Badgers are just 5-12 ATS when matched up against a team with a winning record this season and only 1-9 ATS when taking on a team with a winning percentage of 60% to 80% this season. The Badgers are also 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games and Badgers are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings. The Golden Gophers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400. Pound Minnesota!

5* Mountain West Conference Game of the Year on Air Force +3
Bottom Line: This is a big letdown spot for UNLV following Saturday's win over New Mexico. On the other hand, this is a big bounce-back spot for Air Force, which has lost its last two. I like the Falcons at home, where they are 10-1 this season, against a UNLV team that is 1-5 in its last 6 road games. The Rebels are 3-17 ATS on the road under coach Dave Rice. They are also 1-11 ATS as a road favorite or pickem under Rice. Pound Air Force!

4* Major on T-Wolves -2
Bottom Line: Expect the Jazz to suffer a letdown here following a very satisfying win over the Thunder last night. Utah is just 9-17-1 ATS in road games this season.

4* Major on Knicks -8.5
Bottom Line: This is a great spot for the Knicks, who have 2 days of rest on their side. The Raptors aren't as fortunate as this is the 2nd game of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days. The Knicks were kicked at home by the Clippers in their last game, but they typically respond well. They are are 18-7-2 ATS in their last 27 games following a loss and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a loss of more than 10 points.

4* Major on Magic +3
Bottom Line: The Magic are healthier than they've been in a while and it showed with a big win over Portland last time out. They'll be hungry tonight as they go up against an Atlanta team that has defeated them in each of the season's first two meetings. The underdog is 12-3 ATS in the last 15 meetings.

5* Wiseguy NBA GAME OF THE WEEK on Cavs +7
Bottom Line: Duncan, Ginobli and Parker are all expected to be in the lineup together, and the Spurs are being overvalued as a result. This is San Antonio's third game in 4 days so it will be showing fatigue. Even the guys that have been sitting will be winded as you lose conditioning when you aren't playing. Cleveland has lost 2 in a row so it will be very focused. Plus, it was embarrassed by the Spurs in both of last season's meetings and you can bet it hasn't forgot. The Spurs are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win and 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games versus a team with a winning percentage below .400. Fade the overvalued Spurs!

4* Major ACC *BLOOD BATH* on Florida State +6
Bottom Line: Fading February road favorites or pickems that check in a winning streak of at least 6 games in tact has produced a 106-58 ATS mark the last 5 seasons. These teams have been favored by 6.4 points on average but have won by just 3.2 points.

4* Major Big 12 *BLOOD BATH* on Texas Tech +12
Bottom Line: The Cowboys have been a poor investment on the road where they are on a 16-30 ATS slide since Travis Ford took over.

4* Major NBA Bailout on Warriors -4.5
Bottom Line: The Rockets are just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games. The home team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings, and the favorite is 8-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings. The Warriors feel like they owe Houston for the embarrassing defeat it handed them last week. Lay the points as Golden State has its revenge.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Jazz +6
Bottom Line: Utah is 19-6 at home and will be focused tonight following back-to-back defeats. The Jazz are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss of more than 10 points and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games versus a team with a winning road record. The Thunder are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games versus a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Also, the home team is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Pound Utah!

4* Major Big East *BLOOD BATH* on Cincinnati -6
Bottom Line: The Wildcats are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a win of more than 20 points while the Bearcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

4* Major NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Trailblazers +11.5
Bottom Line: The Trailblazers are a terrific 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600. Also, they are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Miami.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Virginia Tech +14.5
Bottom Line: The Hokies are a rock solid 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games. Plus, the road team is 5-1-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings, and the underdog is 7-1-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings. Pound VA Tech!

4* Major ESPN Big Monday *BLOOD BATH* on Kansas -7.5
Bottom Line: The Jayhawks have dropped 3 straight but 2 of those came on the road. They are 11-1 at home where all of their wins except one have come by 8 points or more. The Wildcats will be out for revenge for the 4-point home loss they were handed by Kansas earlier this season but plays against road underdogs or pickems that are looking for revenge for a home loss to a foe that checks in off 2 or more consecutive upset losses on the road are 36-10 ATS since 1997.

5* Wiseguy Big Sky Conference Game of the Year on Idaho State +17.5
Bottom Line: Road underdogs or pickems that have won 20% or less of their games on the season and that are looking for revenge for a double-digit home loss to an opponent are 70-37 ATS the last 5 seasons. These teams have been underdogs of 16.3 points on average but have lost by only 14.8 points on average. In other words, we are getting very good line value here. It is also important to note that road underdogs or pickems that check in off an upset loss at home to conference foe and are matched up against a team that checks in off a home win of 10 points or more are 71-40 ATS the last 5 seasons. Pound Idaho State!

4* Major on Bucks -4.5
Bottom Line: Plays against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that check in off a double-digit home win and are looking for revenge for a double-digit home loss to an opponent are 94-49 ATS since 1996. Washington has lost 4 straight in Milwaukee by an average of 12 points. It has also lost 4 straight on the road by an average of 7.8 points.

4* Major on 76ers +5.5
Bottom Line: The Clippers enter this contest overvalued following yesterday's double-digit win against the Knicks. They are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games while the 76ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. In addition to this 11-4 ATS angle, we find that LA hasn't defeated the 76ers by more than 5 points in Philly dating back to 1997. This is a span of 15 games and the 76ers have won 12 of them straight up.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bobcats +4.5
Bottom Line: It will be tough for Boston to bounce back physically from yesterday's triple-overtime contest. Plus, home underdogs that have failed to cover the number in 4 of their last 5 games that are matched up against a team that has cover the spread in 6 of 7 of its last 8 games are 30-6 ATS the last 5 seasons. These teams have been underdogs of 5.4 points on average but have won outright by an average of 1.8 points. Pound Charlotte!

5* NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Suns +8.5
Bottom Line: The Suns were embarrassed in OKC Friday, and I believe they will put forth an incredible effort as a result. They gave up 127 points on 57.5% shooting to the Thunder but are on a 38-21 ATS run after a game where they allowed a shooting pct. of 55% or higher and a 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. The Thunder have failed to cover the number in 5 of their last 7 on the road, and I believe this trend continues.

4* Major on Drexel -5.5
Bottom Line: The Dragons are 8-1 in their last 9 home games against the Dukes. 7 of these wins have come by double digits. The home team is 11-5-1 ATS in the last 17 meetings, and the favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

4* Major on Timberwolves +9
Bottom Line: Memphis beat Golden State last time out but that was a tired Warriors squad that was playing its 3rd game in 4 days. The Grizzlies haven't looked too good since moving Rudy Gay and are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a win. The T-Wolves have lost 3 in a row but 2 of those came by 6 points or less. They have also lost 3 in a row on the road but 2 of those came by 8 points or less so I feel we are getting some solid line value here. Teams headed up by Rick Adelman is 58-35 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses dating back to 1996.

4* Major on Clippers +3.5
Bottom Line: I expect the Clippers to bounce back strong from the beating they took in Miami Friday. Road teams that outscore their opponents by 3.0 points or more per game are 66-35 ATS the last 5 seasons when they are coming off a blowout loss of 15 points or more.

4* Major NBA Bailout on Kings -1
Bottom Line: This is a tough spot for Utah which just lost a tough one last night and now has to go on the road to face a Kings team that has had 4 days of rest. The Kings are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games when playing on 3 or more days rest and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 versus Utah.

4* Major on Notre Dame +5
Bottom Line: The Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600. The Fighting Irish are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. The Cards are just 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings. The Irish have won 3 straight at home against Louisville.

4* Major on UNLV -5
Bottom Line: UNLV is 13-1 at home this season and 12-4 at home in its last 16 meetings with New Mexico. Motivated by back-to-back upset losses on the road and 3 consecutive defeats in the series, expect the Runnin' Rebels to roll here.

4* Major on Bucks -7
Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from the Pistons following last night's big upset win over San Antonio. The Pistons are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Mavericks -5.5
Bottom Line: Mavs have the huge edge in terms of fresh legs. They have had 2 days' rest while Warriors will be playing their 4th game in 5 nights. Teams headed up by Rick Carlisle are 100-54 ATS lifetime when playing with 2 days' rest. Also, plays on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days against extremely tired team - playing their 4th game in 5 days - are 25-7 ATS the last 5 seasons.

4* Major on Loyola Marymount +24.5
Bottom Line: Gonzaga is being overvalued after rolling Pepperdine. It crushed Loyola in the season's first meeting and won't give the Lions its full attention as a result. The Bulldogs will be much more concerned with their next game - Saint Mary's. The Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a win of more than 20 points.

4* Major on Alabama -7
Bottom Line: The favorite is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The Tigers are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings at Alabama.

4* Major on Cavaliers +6
Bottom Line: The Cavs are playing well, and I don't think they are getting the respect they deserve at home tonight against a Denver team that is just 10-15 on foreign hardwood. The Cavs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a win of more than 10 points and 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games when playing without a day of rest.

4* Major on Richmond +4
Bottom Line: The home team is 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings, and the underdog is 5-2-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Richmond, which is 12-1 at home this season, is a live home dog here.

4* Major on South Florida +9
Bottom Line: The Bulls are 5-1-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a loss of more than 20 points while the Wildcats are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a win of more than 20 points.

4* Major on DePaul +15
Bottom Line: The Blue Demons are being undervalued here because they were smoked by Villanova last game. DePaul is 6-0-1 ATS in its last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home.

4* Major on Vanderbilt +1.5
Bottom Line: Arkansas suffers a letdown here following its big win over Florida. The Hogs are 5-17 ATS in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons and 0-7 ATS in road games off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

5* Wiseguy SEC Game of the Year on Missouri -6.5
Bottom Line: Fading underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points in a game involving 2 very good teams that outscore their opponents by 8 points or more per game, with the condition that the "fade" side has given up 75 points or more in 3 straight games, has produced a 36-9 ATS mark since 1997. Teams fitting into this situation have been underdogs of 6.2 points on average and have lost by an average of 12.6 points. This system is a perfect 6-0 ATS the last 3 seasons. Look for the Tigers to roll at home where they are 13-0 this season.

4* Major on Rutgers +6
Bottom Line: Rutgers will respond at home, where it is 8-4 this season, after getting mopped up by Louisville. The Scarlet Knights are 44-26 ATS after a loss by 15 points or more since 1997 and have lost by only 1.8 points on average in these games.

4* Major on Wake Forest +2.5
Bottom Line: The Demon Deacons have been tough as nails at home where they are on a 6-0 ATS run.

4* Major NBA Bailout on Bulls +4
Bottom Line: It's bounce-back time for the normally solid Bulls, who were awful at the defensive end last night. The Bulls are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following an ATS loss and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after giving up over 125 points in their previous contest. They are also 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Utah.

4* Major on San Jose State +7
Bottom Line: The Aggies come in overvalued following back-to-back upset wins on the road. They are just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a win of more than 20 points. They won the season's first meeting by only 6 points and will be without two key players that combined for 35 points in that game. The Spartans will leave it all out on the floor to end their 7-game skid and should cover the number in the process.

4* Major on Siena +13.5
Bottom Line: The Loyola-Maryland Greyhounds are being overvalued at home as they so often are against losing teams. In fact, they are just 18-42-1 ATS in their last 61 home games versus teams that have a road winning percentage of less than .400. They are also on a 26-46 ATS skid as a home favorite or pickem. The road team is an awesome 17-3-1 ATS in the last 21 meetings.

4* Major on Suns +13
Bottom Line: The Thunder are being overvalued here because they murdered Dallas and Golden State in their last two. I expect a letdown tonight as a matchup with a Phoenix team they have defeated 8 straight times won't get the juices flowing. Keep in mind that only 2 wins have come by more than 12 points during their 8-game run in the series. Plays against home teams after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more that are matched up against an opponent that was held to 85 points or less last time out are 36-15 ATS the last 5 seasons.

5* Wiseguy NBA *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Pistons +5
Bottom Line: The Spurs are being overvalued on the road because of their 11-game win streak. The Pistons have won or lost by fewer than 4 points in 11 of their last 13 home games. Plus, they have won or lost by 5 points or less in 4 of their last 5 home meetings with San Antonio. Pound the Pistons!

4* Major on Raptors +7.5
Bottom Line: The Raptors are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 road games, and the road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Also, Toronto is 10-1 ATS in road games against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

4* Major Pac-12 Bailout on Washington State +4.5
Bottom Line: USC can't be trusted laying this many points at home. Each of its last 3 home wins have come by 2 points or less. Also, the Trojans are 0-7 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pickem over the last 2 seasons.

4* Major on Santa Clara +3
Bottom Line: Santa Clara has consistently played Saint Mary's tougher than expected. As a result, the Gaels are just 3-9-3 ATS in the last 15 meetings and 1-5-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings at Santa Clara.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Total of the Year on Bulls/Nuggets UNDER 196
Bottom Line: After a pathetic defensive performance in their last game, expect the Bulls - a team that prides itself on defense - to really get after it on the defensive end tonight. We have been able to count on the Bulls following up poor defensive efforts with strong ones since Thibodeau came to town. Chicago is 15-4 UNDER under his watch after allowing 105 points or more in its last game. It has responded by holding its opponents to just 89.4 points in this spot. We have seen only 183.4 total points scored on average in this situation. Pound the UNDER.

4* Major on Wisconsin-Milwaukee +14
Bottom Line: The Panthers are on a 39-20 ATS run when out for revenge for a loss to an opponent that held them to less than 60 points. They have lost by just 3.4 points on average in these spots.

4* Major on SE Missouri State -6.5
Bottom Line: SIU Edwardsville can't be trusted on the road, especially tonight as it goes up against a team that will be hungry to avenge a 3-point loss in the season's first meeting. The Cougars are 1-8 on the road with 6 of these losses coming by 9 points or more. SEMS won last season's home meeting by 17.

4* Major on IUPU Fort Wayne +8
Bottom Line: Fading February road favorites or pickems that check in riding a winning streak of at least 6 games has produced a 100-56 ATS record the last 5 seasons.

5* Wiseguy Big Ten *PUNISHER* (ESPN) on Illinois +8
Bottom Line: The Fighting Illini shouldn't be counted out tonight. After all, they have won or lost by 6 points or less in each of their last 12 home games versus Indiana. This is a 12-0 trend I'm not hesitating to get behind.

4* Major Western Conference Play of the Day on Hornets -6.5
Bottom Line: Hornets have the advantage at home here as they will have much fresher legs. They are on a 12-3 ATS run when they get at least 3 days of rest. The Suns, on the other hand, are on a 4-9 ATS slide when playing without a day of rest.

4* Major on SMU +9
Bottom Line: The home team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. The Memphis Tigers are 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings and 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings at Southern Methodist.

4* Major on Tulane -4.5
Bottom Line: The Thundering Herd are 4-14-1 ATS in their last 19 games overall, 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road games and 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

5* Wiseguy Atlantic 10 Game of the Year on Fordham +15
Bottom Line: Off back-to-back blowout wins at home against Butler and Dayton, expect Saint Louis to suffer a letdown on the road against a team that has been undervalued all season. The Rams are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games overall and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games. Pound Fordham!

4* Major on Hofstra +7.5
Bottom Line: The Northeastern Huskies are a soft 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win. Also, the underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

4* Major NBA *BLOOD BATH* on 76ers -2.5
Bottom Line: This is an extremely unfavorable scheduling spot for Indiana, which will be taking the floor for the third straight night. It will likely be able to hang with the 76ers through 3 quarters but I expect it to run out of gas in the 4th. The 76ers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.

5* Wiseguy NBA Atlantic Division Game of the Month on Raptors -3
Bottom Line: Boston has won 4 in a row (all at home) but can't be trusted on the road where it is on a 3-11 ATS slide. Also, the home team is on a 6-0 ATS run in the series. Pound Toronto!

4* Major Big 12 *BLOOD BATH* (ESPN) on Baylor +7.5
Bottom Line: The Cowboys will suffer a letdown following a big upset win over Kansas in their last game. They are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win and 7-16-1 ATS in their last 24 games following an ATS win.

4* Major on UNC Wilmington +5
Bottom Line: The Georgia State Panthers are a soft 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games versus a team that has a winning home record while the Seahawks are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games versus a team that has a losing road record.

4* Major on Dayton -4.5
Bottom Line: Dayton bounces back strong at home following an embarrassing defeat at Saint Louis in its last game. The home team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.

4* Major ACC *BLOOD BATH* on Florida State +2.5
Bottom Line: I'm expecting a bounce-back performance from FSU after it was embarrassed by Duke in its last game. Teams coached by Leonard Hamilton pride themselves on defense so you know it's not setting well that they gave up a season-high 60.8% shooting to Duke last game. FSU is 9-2 ATS lifetime under Hamilton following a game in which it allowed its opponent to shoot 55% or higher. It has won by an average of 3.4 points in these contests.

5* Wiseguy NBA Western Conference Game of the Month on Suns +9
Bottom Line: The Grizzlies have had 3 days to try to build some chemistry with new additions Tayshaun Prince, Ed Davis and Austin Daye. That's not enough time. Plus, the intensity of a game can't be simulated in practice. I know Memphis won its first game with its new additions against Washington, but I expect it to take some time for them to jell. The Suns have a win against Memphis this season and are 47-19 against the Grizzlies since 1996. Expect Memphis to be lacking a little chemistry tonight and for the Suns to go after this one hard as they try to earn a split in the season series. Pound the Suns.

5* Wiseguy Big 12 Game of the Month on Texas Tech +11.5
Bottom Line: The Wildcats are a soft 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 road games and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings at Texas Tech. Also, the home team is 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings. The Wildcats enter off an upset win at Oklahoma but favorites of 10 to 19.5 points off a close road win by 3 points or less, as long as they have a winning record and are playing a losing team, are 63-33 ATS the last 5 seasons. Pound the Red Raiders.