Sports Picks & Predictions
Register for an Account Now for Free Picks and More Special Offers!
Basketball Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
02-09-11 | North Carolina +10.5 v. Duke | 73-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 60 m | Show | |
4* Major NCAAB PRIMETIME PUNISHER on North Carolina +10.5
Bottom Line: With first place on the line in the ACC, expect the Tar Heels to give Duke a run for the money. Plays on road underdogs of 10 or more points (N CAROLINA) off a blowout win by 20 points or more over a conference rival, against an opponent off 2 straight wins against conference rivals, are 38-12 ATS since 1997. Teams fitting into this situation are only losing by 8.3 points on average. Also, UNC is 8-0 ATS after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite over the last 3 seasons. After getting swept in the season series last year, look for a motivated UNC squad to keep this one close. |
|||||||
02-09-11 | Los Angeles Clippers +7.5 v. New York Knicks | Top | 116-108 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Monster Line Mistake on Clippers +7.5
Bottom Line: Odds makers are giving the Knicks way too much respect tonight. We're talking about a team that is just 4-9 in its last 13 games and a team that has lost 7 in a row to the Western Conference. These Clippers are not the same team the Knicks beat in L.A. in November. The Clipps have lost 4 in a row, but those 4 losses will have them mighty hungry tonight. Plus, it must be mentioned that all 4 of those defeats came to teams ranked in the top 10 in scoring defense. The Knicks, meanwhile, allow 106.0 points per contest. Just don't see New York playing good enough defense to get the job done tonight. The road team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings and the underdog is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Take the Clippers. |
|||||||
02-08-11 | Utah +17.5 v. San Diego St | Top | 53-85 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB Underdog Game of the Year on Utah +17.5
Bottom Line: The Utes won't be lacking any confidence against this SDSU team they played to an 9-point game last month, especially now that SDSU starting guard Chase Tapley and key reserve forward Tim Shelton are banged up. Both players were seen wearing protective boots following Saturday's win over TCU and both are doubtful for tonight's contest. I still love our chances even if they do step on the floor. Off 3 straight losses, including a bad one at home to Air Force, the Utes will be hungry. SDSU, meanwhile, will be much more concerned with upcoming matchups with UNLV and New Mexico. The Aztecs are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 11.5 points or more. Utah is also a perfect 6-0 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons and 6-0 ATS in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. Lastly, the underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Pound Utah. |
|||||||
02-08-11 | Toronto Raptors v. Milwaukee Bucks -7.5 | 74-92 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Double Digit *BLOOD BATH* on Bucks -7.5
Bottom Line: Off 4 straight defeats, expect the Bucks to take out their frustrations on one of the worst road teams in the NBA tonight. Under coach Triano, Toronto is a dismal 22-42 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. It is losing these contests by an average score of 108.0 to 98.4. Also, plays on home teams (MILWAUKEE) off an upset loss by 10 points or more, playing with 2 days rest, are an impressive 49-19 ATS the last 5 seasons. The Raptors are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in this series, and I expect this trend to continue. Lay the points. |
|||||||
02-07-11 | Phoenix Suns v. Golden State Warriors -5 | Top | 104-92 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Monday NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Warriors -5
Bottom Line: The Suns are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 vs. the Western Conference, 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games following a SU loss and 4-11-2 ATS in their last 17 games following an ATS loss. The Warriors are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 vs. the NBA Pacific, 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite, 8-3 ATS in their last 11 vs. the Western Conference and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. I love the way the Warriors have picked up their defense, holding each of their last 3 opponents to 94 points or less. Golden State's defense will get it the win and cover tonight. |
|||||||
02-05-11 | Connecticut -2.5 v. Seton Hall | 61-59 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
4* Major Big East *BLOOD BATH* on Connecticut -2.5
Bottom Line: UConn enters this contest off back-to-back losses, which means Seton Hall is catching the Huskies at the worst possible time. The Huskies have won 10 straight over the Pirates by 8 points or more, and I'm confident we'll see this streak improve to 11. The Pirates are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 6.5 points or less. Also, the Huskies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games. Look for UConn to take its frustrations out on the Pirates this evening. |
|||||||
02-05-11 | Mississippi v. Arkansas -3 | Top | 69-60 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB Blowout Game of the Month on Arkansas -3
Bottom Line: Off a big upset win over Kentucky, expect Ole Miss to fall flat on its face today. Arkansas, meanwhile, will be out to avenge last season's 2-point home loss to the Rebs. The home team is an overwhelming 10-3-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings. Plus, the Rebels are a dismal 13-28 ATS in their last 41 games as a road underdog of 6.5 points or less. The Hogs are 12-1 this season at home, where they are winning by an average score of 76.0 to 61.5. Lay the points. |
|||||||
02-05-11 | South Carolina v. Vanderbilt -12 | 60-78 | Win | 100 | 6 h 52 m | Show | |
4* Major NCAAB Double Digit *BLOOD BATH* on Vanderbilt -12
Bottom Line: Look for Vandy to take care of business in a big way in this extremely motivated spot. The Commodores are coming off 2 straight defeats, and they were beaten by South Carolina earlier this season. With this in mind, I have not doubt that Vandy will be very focused and hungry. The Commodores are an impressive 11-1 at home this season, where they are winning by an average score of 83.2 to 66.3. Plus, the Gamecocks are just 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Lay the points. |
|||||||
02-04-11 | Dallas Mavericks v. Boston Celtics -6 | 101-97 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Primetime Punisher (ESPN) on Celtics -6
Bottom Line: The Mavericks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. They are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog overall. The Mavericks are also just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings with Boston. The Celtics are an impressive 11-2-1 ATS in their last 14 games playing on 2 days rest. Playing at home with fresher legs, and motivated by a narrow 2-point loss at Dallas earlier this season, I expect the C's to take care of business in a big way tonight. |
|||||||
02-04-11 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Atlanta Hawks -7 | 100-101 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Double Digit *BLOOD BATH* on Hawks -7
Bottom Line: Plays on favorites after a cover as a double digit favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team winning between 25% to 40% of their games are an impressive 68-39 ATS since 1996. Teams fitting into this situation are winning by an average of 12.0 points. The Clipps are just 3-15 on the road, where they are losing by an average of 8.1 points. On the road in the second half of the season and matched up against a team with a winning percentage between 60% and 70%, LA is just 4-19 ATS the last 3 seasons. It is losing these games by an average score of 109.2 to 93.3. The Clippers have received plenty of buzz because of Blake Griffin, but they are still very much unproven on the road. Without Eric Gordon to aid Griffin, the Clippers will struggle tonight. |
|||||||
02-04-11 | Miami Heat v. Charlotte Bobcats +5.5 | Top | 109-97 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Underdog Game of the Week on Bobcats +5.5
Bottom Line: This is a letdown spot for the Heat after such a big win over the Magic last night. The Bobcats, meanwhile, are playing well, and they will especially be hungry tonight after 2 prior losses to the Heat this season. Consider that plays against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points off an upset win over a division rival, playing on back-to-back days, are 81-45 ATS since 1996. Teams fitting into this situation are favored by 5.9 points on average, but are only winning by an average of 2.5. The Bobcats are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. Bet the Bobcats. |
|||||||
02-03-11 | San Antonio Spurs v. Los Angeles Lakers -3.5 | Top | 89-88 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Game of the Year on Lakers -3.5
Bottom Line: The Lakers lost at home to Miami on Christmas. They were just defeated at home by Boston Sunday. They have also lost at San Antonio this season. Those are 3 games the Lakers wanted and they didn't get any of them. That has many sports analysts doubting whether the Lakers can 3-peat. Motivated by those defeats, expect Kobe Bryant and company to silence the doubters tonight. The Spurs may own the best record in the league, but they are far from unstoppable. They have been blown out at Orlando, New York, New Orleans and Portland. They have also lost 7 of their last 8 road games against the Lakers with all of those losses coming by at least 4 points. It's time for the Lakers to make a statement. Lay the points. |
|||||||
02-03-11 | Notre Dame v. DePaul +11.5 | 83-58 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
4* Major NCAAB PRIMETIME PUNISHER (ESPN) on DePaul +11.5
Bottom Line: The Blue Demons have either won or played the Irish to within 10 points or less in 4 straight and 8 of the last 9 meetings. Notre Dame did upset Pitt in its last game, but the Irish typically haven't traveled well, losing each of their previous four away games by double digits. In addition, plays on underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (DEPAUL) after 8 or more consecutive losses, playing only their 2nd game in 8 days, are an impressive 85-44 ATS since 1997. Lastly, DePaul is 15-5 ATS as an underdog of 10 or more points over the last 2 seasons. Take the points. |
|||||||
02-02-11 | New Orleans Hornets v. Oklahoma City Thunder -7.5 | Top | 93-104 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Double Digit *BLOOD BATH* Game of the Month on Thunder -7.5
Bottom Line: The Hornets are ripe for a beating tonight. They escaped with a win over OKC last week on a last second shot and Kevin Durant and company have not forgotten. I expect the Thunder to have their revenge at home in a big way here. The Hornets won't have the services of leading rebounder Emeka Okafor, and they will be playing their fourth game in five days. The Thunder, meanwhile, haven't played since Sunday. With extra time to rest and prepare, OKC has the huge advantage tonight. Great spot for the Thunder. Lay the points. |
|||||||
02-02-11 | Nebraska v. Kansas State -7 | 53-69 | Win | 100 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
4* Major NCAAB Double Digit *BLOOD BATH* on K-State -7
Bottom Line: Expect K-State to roll at home tonight as Saturday's embarrassing loss to rival Kansas lights a fire. The Wildcats are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5 points and 38-18-1 ATS in their last 57 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400. Nebraska is 0-3 in true road games this year and just 1-5 in all games away from home. Looking back, the Huskers are 16-31 ATS in their last 57 road games. Lay the points. |
|||||||
02-02-11 | Massachusetts v. St. Louis -5 | 53-69 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
4* Major Mid-Major Monster on St. Louis -5
Bottom Line: St Louis has done an excellent job of defending its home floor under coach Majerus. In fact, it is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%), defeating these foes by an average of 6.1 points. Plus, the Billikens have had the number of the Minutemen. St. Louis defeated UMass by 13 last season, and the Billikens are 6-2 SU and 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings overall. Lay the points. |
|||||||
02-01-11 | San Antonio Spurs v. Portland Trail Blazers +5.5 | 86-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Game of the Night on Trail Blazers +5.5
Bottom Line: The Blazers have had no trouble beating the Spurs in Portland. I especially like their chances here as they are motivated by consecutive defeats. Portland is 6-2 SU and ATS versus San Antonio the last 3 seasons, including 4-0 SU and ATS at home. Under coach Nate McMillan, Portland is an impressive 44-27 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less. The Trail Blazers are 33-16 ATS in their last 49 games as a home underdog period. The home team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. The Spurs are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 meetings at Portland. With as well as this Blazers' team defends on its home floor, I'll gladly take the points. |
|||||||
02-01-11 | Penn State v. Illinois -8 | Top | 51-68 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB Double Digit *BLOOD BATH* on Illinois -8
Bottom Line: This is a great situation to back the Illini. They will be motivated by back-to-back losses and an earlier loss to Penn State. Plus, plays on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ILLINOIS) after losing 4 of their last 5 games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 80%), are an impressive 33-9 ATS the last 5 seasons. Teams fitting into this situation have won by an average of 10.8 points. Also, the Fighting Illini are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5 points. The Illini take this one by double digits. Lay the points. |
|||||||
02-01-11 | New Mexico v. Air Force +3.5 | 75-61 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
4* Major NCAAB *UNDERDOG SHOCKER* on Air Force +3.5
Bottom Line: Following a big upset win over BYU, expect the Lobos to fall flat on their faces against this solid Air Force squad. The fact that New Mexico has won 7 straight against Air Force assures us that the Blue Falcons will be hungry to end the slide. As a big double-digit dog, Air Force nearly knocked the Lobos off twice last season. Those close losses will provide the Falcons with plenty of confidence this time around. New Mexico has struggled on the road, where it has lost its last 4. The Lobos are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite. The Falcons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Take the points. |
|||||||
01-31-11 | Texas v. Texas A&M +1.5 | Top | 69-49 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Big 12 Game of the Month (ESPN) on Texas A&M +1.5
Bottom Line: After losing the season's first meeting at Texas last season, the Aggies responded with a 16-point home win. Motivated by a loss at Texas in this season's first meeting, expect the Aggies to take care of business on their home floor again. Texas A&M is a dominant 12-0 at home this season. The Aggies have won 6 straight at home over the Longhorns, and the last 4 victories in this stretch have been very impressive (all by 15 or more points). One thing you don't want to do is fade the Aggies following a loss. That's because they are 9-1 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons, bouncing back to win by an average score of 71.3 to 59.1. It also hasn't been a good idea to go against A&M when it is in a revenge spot. Under coach Turgeon, the Aggies are 9-1 ATS revenging a same season loss, winning in this situation by an average score of 74.7 to 65.3. Take the Aggies. |
|||||||
01-30-11 | New Orleans Hornets +1.5 v. Phoenix Suns | Top | 102-104 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Sunday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Hornets +1.5
Bottom Line: After getting their 10-game losing streak snapped by the lowly Kings, the Hornets will be out for blood Sunday. The Hornets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 4.5 points or less, 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog and 9-0 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Suns may have defeated Boston in their last game, but the Celtics were clearly looking ahead to today's game with the Lakers. Phoenix just can't be trusted laying any amount of points. After all, it is just 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games as a home favorite. The Hornets are playing better basketball right now with Chris Paul emerging as the MVP frontrunner. Take New Orleans. |
|||||||
01-30-11 | Iowa +7 v. Michigan | 73-87 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
4* Major Big Ten Game of the Week on Iowa +7
Bottom Line: It's going to be tough for Michigan to get up for this game following such an emotional win over Michigan State. Iowa, however, will have no problem getting up for this one after a poor showing at Penn State. The Hawkeyes have covered the spread in back-to-back meetings with the Wolverines and I expect them to make it 3 straight today. Often the best time to back Iowa is when it is coming off an ATS defeat. Because Iowa has been down the last few years, odds makers really tend to undervalue the Hawks following a loss. Iowa is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games following an ATS loss, and I expect this trend to continue Sunday. |
|||||||
01-29-11 | Northern Colorado v. Weber State +1 | Top | 71-72 | Win | 100 | 21 h 60 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB Trap Game of the Month on Weber State +1
Bottom Line: Weber State just lost to Northern Colorado by 19 points 1 week ago and the Wildcats are only a 1-point dog? The books have set quite the trap here, but there's no way I'm taking the bait. The Wildcats have won 4 in a row at home in this series by an average score of 79 to 70. Furthermore, Weber State is an awesome 12-0 ATS in its last 12 games following a loss of 15 points or more. Also, N. Colorado is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 road games following a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival. Pound Weber State tonight. |
|||||||
01-29-11 | New Jersey Nets +6 v. Milwaukee Bucks | 81-91 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 37 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *UNDERDOG SHOCKER* on Nets +6
Bottom Line: The Nets will have no problem getting up for the Bucks after getting embarrassed by the Pacers last night. As if that isn |
|||||||
01-29-11 | Middle Tenn. St. v. Florida Intl. +1.5 | 79-70 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 59 m | Show | |
4* Major Sun Belt Game of the Week on Florida International +1.5
Bottom Line: MTSU has lost 5 of its last 6 on the road, and its lone win during the stretch came by a single point. Off 5 straight defeats, FIU could not be hungrier to get back in the win column. I fully expect the Panthers to get the job done here. The Blue Raiders are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 6.5 points or fewer. The Golden Panthers, meanwhile, are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of 6.5 points or less. Also, the Blue Raiders are just 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in this series. This is a great spot for FIU to bring its losing streak to an end. Expect the Panthers to take full advantage. |
|||||||
01-28-11 | Charlotte Bobcats v. Golden State Warriors -4 | 121-113 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
4* Major on Warriors -4
Bottom Line: The Warriors will be extremely focused and hungry when they take the floor tonight following 3 straight defeats. And they won't be lacking any confidence against a Bobcats squad they have already defeated in Charlotte this season. This is a tough spot for the Bobcats with it being their 3rd road game in 4 nights. They've tried to play more uptempo under Silas, but it's evident they don't have the horses to run and gun with Golden State's athletes. The Warriors are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 4.5 points or fewer. Bet Golden State. |
|||||||
01-28-11 | Boston Celtics v. Phoenix Suns +4 | Top | 71-88 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Non-Conference Game of the Year on Suns +4
Bottom Line: This is a bad spot for Boston. The Celtics are playing the second game of a back-to-back tonight against a fresh Suns team that will really be looking to push the ball. In addition, Boston will be looking ahead to Sunday's showdown with the Lakers. Winning that game against the team that defeated them in the NBA Finals means much more to Boston than beating Phoenix. Plus, Paul Pierce is really banged. He was already battling an ankle injury and suffered a thigh injury against the Blazers last night. I like the Suns in this spot regardless, but don't be surprised if Doc decides to hold pierce out. Boston is 4-16 ATS off a road win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. The Celtics are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 4.5 points of less, 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a SU win, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS win and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest. The Suns need this game, and I strongly believe they'll get it tonight. |
|||||||
01-28-11 | Cornell v. Dartmouth +4 | 57-64 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show | |
4* Major Ivy League Game of the Month on Dartmouth +4
Bottom Line: Dartmouth returns 4 starters from a team that was embarrassed by Cornell twice last season. This Cornell team isn't nearly the same with only 1 starter back, but that won't keep the Big Green from wanting revenge any less. The Big Red are just 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite and 3-9 ATS in their last 12 vs. the Ivy League. Cornell hasn't proven worthy of laying this much chalk on the road this season. Take the points with Dartmouth. |
|||||||
01-27-11 | Oregon v. Stanford -7.5 | 67-59 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
4* Major Pac-10 Punisher on Stanford -7.5
Bottom Line: Following 3 straight defeats, Stanford will be ready to take out its frustration on a team it has defeated 13 straight times at home dating back to 1998. The Cardinal are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5 and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5. TheDucks are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games as a road underdog of 7.0-12.5 and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5. The home team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings and the Ducks are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings at Stanford. Lay the points. |
|||||||
01-27-11 | Houston Rockets +7 v. Dallas Mavericks | 106-111 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Game of the Night on Rockets +7
Bottom Line: Dallas still isn't rolling the way it was prior to Nowitzki's injury, which leaves it very susceptible against a Houston team that is playing well tonight. The Mavericks are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall, 19-41-3 ATS in their last 63 home games, 17-37-3 ATS in their last 57 games as a home favorite and 12-26-2 ATS in their last 40 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. It's also worth noting that the underdog is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings. Take the points with Houston tonight. |
|||||||
01-27-11 | Elon v. Samford +2.5 | Top | 67-69 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Southern Conference Game of the Year on Samford +2.5
Bottom Line: Off 5 straight defeats, including an embarrassing loss to Wofford last game, Samford is primed and ready to get off the snide tonight. Under coach Tillette, Samford is 11-1 ATS off a road loss by 20 points or more. It is bouncing back to win by an average score of 65.8 to 59.7. Plus, Samford is a perfect 6-0 ATS after a blowout loss of 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons, bouncing back to win by an average score of 65.9 to 51.9. Samford has won 4 of the last 5 in this series, including 2 straight at home via blowout. Take Samford. |
|||||||
01-26-11 | Denver Nuggets v. Detroit Pistons UNDER 204 | Top | 109-100 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Total "Blowout" of the Week on Nuggets/Pistons UNDER 204
Bottom Line: Denver is 16-6 UNDER when the total is 200 to 209.5 this season, 22-8 UNDER in road games when the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 2 seasons and 12-1 UNDER in road games after a combined score of 215 points or more points in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Playing the 2nd game of a back-to-back, Denver won't have as much energy on the offensive end to push the pace. Plus, Detroit has been playing exceptional defense, holding its last 5 opponents to 86.8 ppg. Bet the Under. |
|||||||
01-26-11 | St John's v. Georgetown -7.5 | 52-77 | Win | 100 | 5 h 57 m | Show | |
4* Major Big East *BLOOD BATH* on Georgetown -7.5
Bottom Line: After losing at St. John's earlier this month, the Hoyas will be our for cold hard revenge tonight. Off back-to-back wins on the road, the Hoyas enter this home contest with plenty of confidence and momentum. From a betting perspective, Georgetown has been at its best following a victory. In fact, the Hoyas are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following a SU win. It is also worth noting that the Red Storm are 6-18 ATS in their last 24 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5 points and 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games as a road underdog of 7.0-12.5 points. Lay the number. |
|||||||
01-26-11 | Eastern Michigan v. Ohio -10 | 65-79 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
4* Major Mid-Major Monster on Ohio -10
Bottom Line: Ohio was picked to win the MAC East in the preseason, but here it is currently sitting at the bottom of the division. The Bobcats are way more talented than E. Michigan. With 3 straight losses to motivate them, I expect Ohio to bust out in a big way on its home floor this evening. The numbers agree with this claim. In fact, Ohio is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 home games after 3 or more consecutive losses. The Bobcats are also 16-6 ATS in their last 22 home games off 2 straight losses to conference rivals. Ohio dominate the Eagles tonight. Lay the points. |
|||||||
01-25-11 | Utah Jazz +8 v. Los Angeles Lakers | 91-120 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Bailout on Jazz +8
Bottom Line: If you are going to back the Lakers, you normally don't want to do when they are coming off a win. In fact, L.A. is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games following a victory. It also hasn't been a good idea to lay this much chalk with the Lakers, especially at home, where they are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. The Jazz have lost 4 in a row, so you can bet they'll leave it all on the floor tonight. Take the points. |
|||||||
01-25-11 | NC State v. Clemson -7.5 | Top | 50-60 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy ACC Game of the Month on Clemson -7.5
Bottom Line: The Wolfpack are 0-4 in true road games this season, losing those contests by 16.8 ppg. I don't see them notching their first road win this evening against a hungry Clemson team that will be motivated by back-to-back losses. I don't fear the chalk when betting Clemson at home because of how good the Tigers are defensively in their own building. In fact, they are holding opponents to just 58.7 ppg home this season. Plus, as a home fave of 6.5-9.0 points, the Tigers are 16-3 ATS run, winning these games by 13.6 points on average. Take Clemson. |
|||||||
01-24-11 | Milwaukee Bucks +8.5 v. Chicago Bulls | Top | 83-92 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Monster Line Mistake on Bucks +8.5
Bottom Line: Milwaukee has won 3 of its last 4 against Chicago. After losing the first meeting of the season by 13 points in Chicago last month, the Bucks will be out for revenge this evening. From the standpoint of the point spread, this matchup has been dominated by the road team, which has covered the number in 4 of the last 5 meetings. Plus, the Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 versus the Eastern Conference. The Bulls are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Chicago has been playing tough defense, but Milwaukee can play a little "D" as well. With as good as the Bucks are defensively, they aren't getting the respect they deserve with this line. Take the points as Milwaukee takes Chicago right down to the wire. |
|||||||
01-24-11 | Virginia Commonwealth v. Towson +10.5 | 80-76 | Win | 100 | 6 h 57 m | Show | |
4* Major CAA *Cash Cow* on Towson +10.5
Bottom Line: We won't find Towson State in a more motivated spot this season. The Tigers will be looking to put an end to a 7-game skid and they will draw even more motivation from the 59-point loss VCU handed them last season. VCU enters this matchup on a roll and with last year's result in its mind, it won't be able to help looking ahead to a date with Hofstra. The Tigers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5 points and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog of 7.0-12.5 points. The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings and the underdog is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Take the points. |
|||||||
01-24-11 | Notre Dame v. Pittsburgh -11 | 56-51 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
4* Major Big Monday *BLOOD BATH* (ESPN) on Pitt -11
Bottom Line: Notre Dame is 0-3 in true road games this season, losing those contests by an average of 17.3 points. Pitt is the superior team, and it is playing on its home floor where it doesn't lose. Plus, the Panthers will be very hungry here after getting upset by Notre Dame twice last season. The Fighting Irish are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog of 7.0-12.5 points. The Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5 points. Look for Pitt to flex its muscles tonight. |
|||||||
01-22-11 | Arizona +2.5 v. Washington State | 65-63 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
4* Major Late Night Pac-10 Punisher on Arizona +2.5
Bottom Line: Zona will be out for blood when it hits the court tonight following a poor performance against Washington in its last game. It will be further motivated by the embarrassing 18-point loss its suffered in last year's visit to Washington State. The Cougars are known for their defense, but they have had no answer for elite offensive teams like Arizona. In fact, Washington State is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 versus good shooting teams making 45% or more of their shots after 15+ games and 0-6 ATS versus very good teams outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games. Look for Arizona to win this one outright. |
|||||||
01-22-11 | Bowling Green v. Akron -7.5 | 58-63 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
4* Major NCAAB Double Digit *BLOOD BATH* on Akron -7.5
Bottom Line: Off 3 straight losses, Arkron will be ready to lay the wood when it hits its home floor tonight. That shouldn't be much of a problem against a team it defeated 71-45 at home last year. This matchup has been dominated by the favorite, which is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Akron has won 8 of the L11 at home in this series. Under coach Dambrot, Akron is 31-16 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses, winning these games by an average score of 74.5 to 61.6. Lay the points. |
|||||||
01-22-11 | Utah Jazz +2 v. Philadelphia 76ers | Top | 85-96 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Underdog Game of the Week on Jazz +2
Bottom Line: Motivated by 3 straight defeats, including an embarrassing loss to Boston last night, expect the Jazz to snap out of it against a team they have dominated. Utah has won 6 straight against Philly, and each of the last 4 wins have come by 13 or more points. Expect a huge game from Deron Williams tonight after being held to a season-low 5 points Friday. He is averaging 27.0 points while shooting 65.6 percent from the floor, including 8 of 10 from 3-point range, in his last two meetings with the 76ers. Utah is 12-3 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons and 11-1 ATS when playing their 2nd road game in 2 days over the last 2 seasons. Bet the Jazz. |
|||||||
01-21-11 | New York Knicks v. San Antonio Spurs -8.5 | 92-101 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Primetime Punisher (ESPN) on Spurs -8.5
Bottom Line: Odds makers are begging for action on the Knicks with this line, but I won't bite. The Knicks are struggling, having lost 4 in a row, and it will be extremely tough for them to bounce back in San Antonio, where the Spurs are 23-2 this season and winning by 10.8 points on average. The Knicks embarrassed the Spurs 128-115 in New York earlier this month and I fully expect San Antonio to have its revenge. Plus, this is the Spurs' last home game before playing 12 of their next 13 on the road. They'll use it to build momentum for their lengthy road trip. The Spurs are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Lay the number. |
|||||||
01-21-11 | Houston Rockets v. Memphis Grizzlies -3.5 | Top | 110-115 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Western Conference Game of the Month on Grizzlies -3.5
Bottom Line: Memphis hasn't lost 3 in a row in a month. After consecutive defeats, I have no doubt the Grizzlies will show up in a big way tonight. Plus, Memphis has already gone down to Houston twice this season. That will add a little more fuel to the fire. The Grizz have played well against the Western Conference's top clubs this month, beating the Los Angeles Lakers, Oklahoma City, Utah and Dallas. Memphis has proven it can beat anyone, and I expect it to take care of Houston tonight in this highly motivated spot. |
|||||||
01-20-11 | Gonzaga v. Santa Clara +8.5 | 71-85 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
4* Major WCC Game of the Week (ESPNU) on Santa Clara +8.5
Bottom Line: Off an embarrassing blowout loss to Saint Mary's, I fully expect this experienced Santa Clara crew to give the Zags a run for the money tonight. Consider that Santa Clara is 6-0 ATS after a double-digit loss to a conference rival over the last 3 seasons. Also, consider that the Broncos are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog of 7.0-12.5 points while the Bulldogs are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite of 7.0-12.5 points. Take Santa Clara and the points. |
|||||||
01-20-11 | Philadelphia 76ers v. Charlotte Bobcats -5 | Top | 97-100 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 57 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy Thursday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Bobcats -5
Bottom Line: Can't see Philly picking itself up off the floor after such an emotionally and physically draining overtime loss last night. Charlotte, meanwhile, has had a day to rest and will be out for revenge after 2 prior losses to Philly this season. The Bobcats have won 5 straight at home in this series. They are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games when playing with 1 day of rest. Lay the points. |
|||||||
01-19-11 | Minnesota Timberwolves +7 v. Los Angeles Clippers | 111-126 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
4* Major Wednesday Night NBA Bailout on T-Wolves +7
Bottom Line: Blake Griffin and the Clippers have created a little bit of buzz lately and the public is eating it up. As a result, odds makers have jacked up this number in an attempt to trap Joe Public. He has taken the bait. We'll go against the grain with Minnesota as it has covered the number in 6 of its last 8 road games. Already this month, the T-Wolves have taken the Celtics and Spurs down to the wire on the road, falling by just 3 points in each. The fact that Minnesota was kicked here last month means it will be out for some serious revenge tonight. Consider that Minne is 47-26 ATS in its last 73 road games when revenging a loss in which its opponent scored 110 or more points. Take the points. |
|||||||
01-19-11 | Washington Wizards v. Milwaukee Bucks -6 | Top | 87-100 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month on Bucks -6
Bottom Line: Big bounce back spot for the Bucks after 3 straight losses and big letdown spot for the Wizards after an upset win over the Jazz. As you know, Washington is 0-19 on the road, losing those games by an average score of 108.8 to 94.4. Also, Washington is 0-7 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less this season, losing these games by an average score of 111.1 to 96. Milwaukee, meanwhile, is an impressive is 9-1 ATS at home off 2 or more consecutive road losses over the last 2 seasons. Lay the points. |
|||||||
01-19-11 | Cincinnati v. Notre Dame -3.5 | 58-66 | Win | 100 | 5 h 53 m | Show | |
4* Major NCAAB Primetime Punisher (ESPN2) on Notre Dame -3.5
Bottom Line: The Irish have been money at home, where they are 11-0 this season and have won 80 of their last 88. 2 of those 11 wins have come against the likes of Georgetown and UConn - both were ranked in the top 10 at the time. The Bearcats, meanwhile, have lost 18 straight road games against Top 25 teams. Cincy is 0-6 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less or pick over the last 2 seasons, losing these games by an average score of 73.0 to 64.7. Lay the points. |
|||||||
01-18-11 | Colorado v. Nebraska -3.5 | Top | 67-79 | Win | 100 | 6 h 51 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB Primetime Punisher (ESPN2) on Nebraska -3.5
Bottom Line: The Huskers will be extremely motivated tonight. Not only are they off back-to-back losses, but they were swept by Colorado last season. In addition to the huge motivational edge, Nebraska has the advantage of playing this one at home where it is 12-0 this season. Playing at home has been critical in this series because the home team is 9-2 SU and ATS in the last 11 meetings. Plus, this Nebraska team hits the floor tonight with a ton of confidence after playing mighty Kansas to a 3-point game last time out. Lay the points. |
|||||||
01-17-11 | Oklahoma City Thunder +4.5 v. Los Angeles Lakers | Top | 94-101 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *BLOOD BATH* on Thunder +4.5
Bottom Line: The Thunder have been looking forward to this game ever since they were knocked out of the playoffs by the Lakers last season. They catch LA at a good time too, as the Lakers' starters logged a lot of minutes in yesterday's loss to the Clippers. The Thunder, meanwhile, haven't played since Thursday. OKC is a strong 25-13 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons, only losing these games by 1.9 points on average. The Thunder have either won or lost by 3 or less points in 4 of the last 5 and 7 of the last 10 in this series. The Thunder are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 3 or more days rest while the Lakers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day. Take the points. |
|||||||
01-17-11 | Idaho v. Fresno State -4.5 | 67-57 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
4* NCAAB Game of the Night on Fresno State -4.5
Bottom Line: Looking to bounce back from consecutive defeats, and out to avenge 5 straight losses in the series, expect the Bulldogs to take care of business on their home floor this evening. Fresno State is a perfect 6-0 ATS in its last 6 games as a favorite of 6.5 or less points. Lay the number. |
|||||||
01-17-11 | Orlando Magic v. Boston Celtics UNDER 192.5 | 106-109 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA on TNT Primetime Total on Magic/Celtics UNDER 192.5
Bottom Line: Expect a heated defensive battle between the Magic and Celtics tonight. These teams only combined for 164 points when they last met on Christmas day. Play Under on any team (BOSTON) - well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, a top-level team (>= 75%) playing a good team (60% to 75%), are 63-31 the last 5 seasons. We have only seen average of 189.7 total points scored per game in these games. The Under is 16-5 in the last 21 meetings between these teams and 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Boston. Bet the Under. |
|||||||
01-15-11 | Miami Heat -2.5 v. Chicago Bulls | 96-99 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
4* Major Saturday NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Heat -2.5
Bottom Line: Off back-to-back losses, including an absolute pounding at the hand of the Nuggets, expect the Heat to show up in a big way this evening. Plus, LeBron James is expected to be back in action. The Heat are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 road games and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a road favorite. In addition, plays on road teams (MIAMI) - good team outscoring its opponents by 3+ points/game, after a blowout loss by 15 points or more, are an impressive 83-46 ATS the last 5 seasons. We find out what the Heat are really made of tonight, and I fully expect them to rise to the occasion. Lay the points. |
|||||||
01-14-11 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Golden State Warriors -3.5 | Top | 112-122 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Month on Warriors -3.5
Bottom Line: Expect the Clippers to endure a major letdown tonight following Wednesday's huge upset win over the Heat. The Clippers put 111 points on the board in that victory - 13.1 points over their season average. With this in mind, consider that the Clipps are 1-10 ATS in road games after scoring 110 points or more over the last 3 seasons, losing by 16.6 points on average in this situation. The Warriors will be motivated by back-to-back defeats, including a double-digit loss to the Clippers Sunday. The Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite and the Clippers are just 2-8 ATS in the last 10 meetings at Golden State. Lay the points. |
|||||||
01-14-11 | New Orleans Hornets v. Houston Rockets -1.5 | 110-105 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Southwest Division Game of the Week on Rockets -1.5
Bottom Line: Having lost 4 in a row to New Orleans, this is a game the Rockets want badly. I like Houston's chances at home where it has won 9 of its last 13. In addition, New Orleans has dropped 10 of its last 14 on the road. This series has been dominated by both the favorite and the home team as both are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Plus, the Hornets are 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 vs. the Western Conference and 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 vs. the NBA Southwest. Take the Rockets. |
|||||||
01-13-11 | Miami Heat v. Denver Nuggets +2.5 | Top | 102-130 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *BLOOD BATH* on Nuggets +2.5
Bottom Line: With or without LeBron James on the floor I like the Nuggets tonight at home, where they are 16-4 this season. It is also worth noting that 2 of Denver's home losses have come by a single point. Denver has been dealing with all the trade talk surrounding Melo, but the Nuggets will put that aside as they look to hand the most hated team in the league a second straight loss. This is a tough spot for Miami playing back-to-back, especially in Denver's high altitude. Fatigue will be a factor for the Heat in the second half. The Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog of 4.5 or fewer points. They are also 12-3 ATS in their last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The Heat are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Denver. Take the Nuggets. |
|||||||
01-12-11 | New York Knicks v. Utah Jazz -6.5 | Top | 125-131 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
5* NBA Double Digit *BLOOD BATH* on Jazz -6.5
Bottom Line: The Knicks will not have enough legs to keep this one within the number tonight. This is their 4th road games in 6 nights and the 2nd of a back-to-back. The Jazz, meanwhile, haven't played a game since Jan. 8. They'll be extremely fresh tonight. Utah has been one of the best home teams in the NBA in recent years, but it was clubbed 110-87 by Atlanta in its last home game. That loss is not sitting well and the Jazz will be out to something about it. Utah has not been playing well over its last few games, but that is in our favor here. Consider that the Jazz are 15-5 ATS after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half since coach Sloan has been at the helm. With 3 full days off, the Jazz will be the more prepared team tonight. |
|||||||
01-12-11 | San Antonio Spurs v. Milwaukee Bucks +3.5 | 91-84 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *Underdog Shocker* on Bucks +3.5
Bottom Line: The Bucks played the Spurs to a 2-point game on the road last month, and I like them to finish the job at home tonight. Milwaukee has had 3 full days to rest and prepare, while the Spurs are playing their 2nd game of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 nights. The Spurs are 3-9 ATS in the last 12 meetings and 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee. Bet the Bucks. |
|||||||
01-12-11 | Georgia v. Vanderbilt -8.5 | 66-73 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
4* Major SEC Game of the Week on Vandy -8.5
Bottom Line: Big letdown spot for Georgia after a big upset win over Kentucky. In fact, Georgia is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 games off an upset win over a conference rival, losing by an average score of 79.3 to 63.6 in this situation. Plus, Vandy is in a big bounce back spot after an upset loss to S. Carolina. Lay the points. |
|||||||
01-11-11 | NC State v. Boston College OVER 144.5 | 66-75 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
4* Major NCAAB "Total" Blowout on NC State/Boston College OVER 144.5
Bottom Line: Plays Over on road teams when the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (NC STATE) off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a winning record, are 113-61 the last 5 seasons. We have seen an average posted total of 144.3 in these spots and we have seen an average of 149.3 total points scored. This system is already a perfect 1-0 this season. BC is also is 7-0 OVER after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games this season. We are seeing 159 total points scored on average in this situation. Bet the Over. |
|||||||
01-11-11 | Indiana Pacers +5 v. Philadelphia 76ers | Top | 111-103 | Win | 100 | 6 h 26 m | Show |
5* NBA Underdog Game of the Month on Pacers +5
Bottom Line: Trying to avoid a 10th straight road defeat, and looking to avenge a 101-75 loss to the 76ers in the series' last meeting, expect the Pacers to be very hungry tonight. That earlier blowout loss was a complete fluke as the Pacers shot a season-worst 31.5 percent. Danny Granger missed 12 of 14 shots in that meeting, scoring a season-low seven points. Considering that was the only time he hasn't had at least 20 in his last five games versus the 76ers, I expect a big game from him this evening. The Pacers are 8-3-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings and 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings at Philadelphia. It is also worth noting that the underdog is 7-3-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Pound the Pacers. |
|||||||
01-09-11 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Phoenix Suns -10 | 100-108 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Suns -10
Bottom Line: The Cavs are hurting without LeBron James, and to make matters worse, they are suffering some major injury problems. The Suns miss Amare Stoudemire, but they remain one of the highest scoring teams in the league. I expect them to lay the wood here after suffering their worst home loss in over a year. The Over/Under line is very telling when you consider that Cleveland is 0-8 ATS when the total is 200 to 209.5 this season. It is losing these games by 18.8 points on average. This may seem like a lot of points to lay with Phoenix, but the Suns are highly motivated and Cleveland is losing by an average of 12.2 points in all road games this season. Take the Suns. |
|||||||
01-08-11 | Boston Celtics v. Chicago Bulls -2 | Top | 79-90 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Bulls -2
Bottom Line: Back-to-back defeats are not sitting well with the Bulls. Neither are 2 prior losses to Boston this season. With these things in mind, I won't hesitate to take Chicago at home (15-3 this season) in this highly motivated spot. The Bulls are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. They are also an outstanding 14-4 ATS off 2 or more consecutive road losses over the last 3 seasons. The Celtics are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win. Bet the Bulls. |
|||||||
01-07-11 | New York Knicks v. Phoenix Suns -2.5 | 121-96 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
4* Major Friday Night NBA Bailout on Suns -2.5
Bottom Line: The Suns will be extremely motivated to get back in the win column tonight with former teammate Amare Stoudemire back in town. The Knicks have lost their last three on the road, and I expect their road struggled to continue here. Under coach Gentry, Phoenix is 8-0 ATS after a game when it was outrebounded by opponent by 20 or more. It is winning by an average score of 107.3 to 95.3 in this spot. Lay the points. |
|||||||
01-07-11 | New Jersey Nets v. Washington Wizards -4.5 | Top | 77-97 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Week on Wizards -4.5
Bottom Line: The Nets are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS win. The Nets are also 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Lay the points with the Wiz at home tonight as New Jersey's road struggles continue. |
|||||||
01-06-11 | Denver Nuggets v. Sacramento Kings UNDER 207.5 | Top | 102-122 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Total of the Month on Nuggets/Kings UNDER 207.5
Bottom Line: Denver is 13-3 UNDER when the total is 200 to 209.5 this season, and we are only seeing 198.0 total points scored in these games. Going back to the beginning of last season, Denver is 21-6 UNDER in a road game when the total is 200 to 209.5. We are only seeing 201.1 total points scored in these games. With Kenyon Martin doubtful, and key second-team players Ty Lawson and J.R. Smith banged up (both questionable), I don't see the Nuggets having enough to push this one Over. |
|||||||
01-05-11 | Los Angeles Lakers -4 v. Phoenix Suns | 99-95 | Push | 0 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Bailout (ESPN) on Lakers -4
Bottom Line: The Lakers got back on track in a big way last night, and I don't expect them to get caught looking past a Phoenix team that won the last meeting in LA in November. The Lakers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 0 days rest, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite. The Suns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games and the road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4. Lay the points. |
|||||||
01-05-11 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Houston Rockets -5.5 | 103-100 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 42 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Double Digit *BLOOD BATH* on Rockets -5.5
Bottom Line: The Rockets are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 home games, 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite, 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite overall and 6-0-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. loss. The Trail Blazers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games and 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Houston has won 7 straight at home in this series. With revenge on the mind following an embarrassing loss at Portland Sunday, expect the Rockets to cruise to a double-digit victory tonight. |
|||||||
01-05-11 | Charlotte v. Richmond -13 | Top | 59-71 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB Double Digit Blood Bath Game of the Month on Richmond -13
Bottom Line: The 49ers have been a terrible investment on the road, where they are 16-35-3 ATS in their last 54 games away from home. They are also just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog. The Spiders are a terrific 24-9-2 ATS in their last 35 games following a S.U. loss, including 6-0 ATS following a home defeat. More importantly, they are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 13.0 or more points. You can bet the Spiders haven't forgotten last year's upset loss at home to Charlotte. Expect them to have their revenge tonight. |
|||||||
01-04-11 | Detroit Pistons v. Los Angeles Lakers -12 | Top | 83-108 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
5* NBA Double Digit Blood Bath Game of the Month on Lakers -12
Bottom Line: The Lakers have won 4 straight over Detroit by at least 12 points and they'll be ready to run up the score tonight after an embarrassing home loss to Memphis. Plus, this is a terrible spot for Detroit, which spent a lot or energy in last night's showdown at Utah. Plays on home teams (LA LAKERS) off an upset loss by 15 points or more against an opponent off a road cover, provided it lost straight up as an underdog, are an impressive 24-5 ATS since 1996. Teams fitting into this situation are winning by an average score of 102.4 to 89.3. We saw what the Lakers did to an inferior New Orleans team following a poor performance against San Antonio, and they did that on the road without a day of rest. Lay the points with LA tonight. |
|||||||
01-04-11 | Ohio State v. Iowa +13 | 73-68 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
4* Major NCAAB MONSTER LINE MISTAKE on Iowa +13
Bottom Line: Ohio State hasn't defeated Iowa by more than 10 points in the last 5 meetings. In 3 games at Iowa during this stretch, the Buckeyes haven't won by more than 8. Ohio State defeated Indiana by 18 points in its last game, but that score is misleading considering the Buckeyes made 13 of 19 3-pointers. Just don't see them going off like that again here. Plus, Iowa will pay extra attention to the 3-point line after allowing Illinois to make 13 of 18 from deep in its Big Ten opener. Even with that performance, Iowa only lost by 10. Take the points. |
|||||||
01-03-11 | Houston Rockets v. Denver Nuggets OVER 218 | 106-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Rockets/Nuggets OVER 218
Bottom Line: The Over is 4-0 in the Rockets' last 4 games playing on 0 days rest and 12-2 in their last 14 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. The Over is 4-1-1 in the Nuggets' last 6 games playing on 1 days rest and 10-4 in their last 14 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. After such a poor offensive performance last night, expect Houston to be a lot more aggressive. This should lead to plenty of points scored at the foul line with the clock stopped. Denver is 12-1 Over versus good foul drawing teams attempting >=27 free throws/game over the last 2 seasons. We are seeing 227.5 total points scored on average in this situation. Bet the Over. |
|||||||
01-03-11 | Rhode Island v. Florida -11 | 59-84 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
4* Major NCAAB Double Digit *BLOOD BATH* on Florida -11
Bottom Line: Rhode Island is not playing well defensively, fouling way too much, and that will hurt the Rams tonight. Consider that Florida is 23-4 ATS in its last 27 after 2 straight games where its opponent was called for 22 or more fouls. The Gators are winning by an average score of 84.3 to 68.3 in this situation. Lay the points. |
|||||||
12-31-10 | Detroit Pistons v. Phoenix Suns -6 | 75-92 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Double Digit *BLOOD BATH* on Suns -6
Bottom Line: Phoenix has owned the Pistons the last couple years, and I expect the Suns to continue their dominance over Detroit tonight. The Suns will be out for blood to end a 4-game skid, especially after an embarrassing loss to Philly. Who better to take out their frustrations on than Detroit, which finds itself at 3-13 on the road this season? Phoenix has won 4 straight in the series by an average of 17.3 points. Lay the number. |
|||||||
12-30-10 | San Antonio Spurs v. Dallas Mavericks +3 | 99-93 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA on TNT Game of the Night on Mavericks +3
Bottom Line: No Nowitzki tonight, but I still like the Mavs at home catching 3 points. Following a terrible performance against Toronto, the Mavs will step it up with the Spurs coming to town. San Antonio has not had much luck in Dallas, where it has lost 7 of its last 9. Plus, Dallas is 9-0 ATS as an underdog this season, winning by an average score of 101.1 to 95.4 in these games. The Spurs are 1-7 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Dallas. Take the points. |
|||||||
12-29-10 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Charlotte Bobcats OVER 200 | 92-101 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Cavs/Bobcats OVER 200
Bottom Line: Cleveland has been giving up big points on the road all season (107.2). Plus, Charlotte is now playing an uptempo game under Silas. We saw the Bobcats and Piston combine for 205 points Monday, and I'm expecting an even higher scoring game this evening. Plays Over on home teams when the total is 200 to 209.5 (CHARLOTTE) after a game where they failed to cover the spread, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days, are 25-6 the last 5 seasons. We are seeing 213.2 total points scored on average in this situation. Bet the Over. |
|||||||
12-28-10 | Milwaukee Bucks v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 180 | 77-90 | Win | 100 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA "Total" Dominator on Bucks/Bulls UNDER 180
Bottom Line: The last time these two teams faced off in Chicago we saw 153 total points. The time before that, we only saw 164. Milwaukee has scored 86 or fewer in 4 of its last 5 games as it has struggled to score without leading scorer Brandon Jennings. The Under is 5-1 in the Bucks' last 6 overall and 18-6 in the Bulls' last 24 overall. Bet the Under. |
|||||||
12-27-10 | Detroit Pistons v. Charlotte Bobcats OVER 193 | 100-105 | Win | 100 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Pistons/Bobcats OVER 193
Bottom Line: With Silas taking over on an interim basis, he wants the Bobcats to become a more up-tempo offensive team. Expect this new philosophy to allow us to cash an easy Overs play tonight. The extra rest will benefit the Bobcats also, as they are 10-1 in their last 11 home games when playing only their 2nd game in 7 days. We are seeing 203.2 points scored on average in this situation. Bet the Over. |
|||||||
12-25-10 | Chicago Bulls +1.5 v. New York Knicks | 95-103 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 46 m | Show | |
4* Major Early *BLOOD BATH* (ESPN) on Bulls +1.5
Bottom Line: The Bulls are a dominant 18-6 ATS in their last 24 road games. They are 37-18 ATS in their last 55 games as an underdog of 4.5 or fewer points and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog of 4.5 or less. This game is all about revenge for Chicago, which was upset by the Knicks earlier this season. Keep in mind that the Knicks shot an amazing 16 of 24 from 3-point range in that game. That's flukishly good and something which can't be counted on again. The Bulls are the better team, especially on the defensive end where it counts the most. They weren't at all happy about the way they played in the first meeting and I expect them to right their wrongs here. Bet the Bulls. |
|||||||
12-23-10 | San Antonio Spurs v. Orlando Magic -2 | Top | 101-123 | Win | 100 | 6 h 33 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Primetime Punisher on Magic -2
Bottom Line: The Magic will be lacking no motivation tonight as they look to snap a 4-game skid. Plus, they catch San Antonio at the perfect time. The Spurs have played a lot of games in not a lot of days. They exhausted a ton of energy in last night's comeback win over the Nuggets and I expect that to show up in the second half tonight. The Spurs have lost their last 2 trips to Orlando by double-digits. Lay the points with the Magic tonight. |
|||||||
12-22-10 | New Jersey Nets +8.5 v. New Orleans Hornets | 91-105 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
4* Major on Nets +8.5
Bottom Line: The Nets are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest. The Hornets are 18-38 ATS in their last 56 games as a favorite and 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. New Jersey enters this game with tons of momentum off back-to-back wins, and I fully expect it to take the struggling Hornets right down to the wire. |
|||||||
12-22-10 | Philadelphia 76ers +9.5 v. Boston Celtics | 80-84 | Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show | |
4* Major on 76ers +9.5
Bottom Line: The 76ers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. The Celtics, meanwhile, are 13-29-1 ATS in their last 43 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. Off last night's embarrassing loss, expect Philly to keep this one close against a team it played to a 1-point game less than 2 weeks ago. |
|||||||
12-21-10 | Philadelphia 76ers +6 v. Chicago Bulls | Top | 76-121 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BLOOD BATH* on 76ers +6
Bottom Line: The 76ers are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games. Expect them to cash another ticket tonight against a Bulls team that will be without Joakim Noah. Philly is also a perfect 9-0 ATS after having won 2 of its last 3 games this season and 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games as an underdog. Take the points. |
|||||||
12-20-10 | Utah Jazz v. Cleveland Cavaliers +7 | 101-90 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 10 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Cavs +7
Bottom Line: Off a confidence-boosting win over the Knicks, expect the Cavs to give Utah all its wants and more tonight. The Jazz are 3-12-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings in this series and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Cleveland. Plus, this is a tough scheduling spot for the Jazz, playing their 3rd road game in 4 days. The Cavaliers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games, and the Jazz are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win. Expect the Jazz to be a little road weary tonight. Take the points. |
|||||||
12-17-10 | Utah Jazz v. New Orleans Hornets +1.5 | 71-100 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
4* Major Super System Power Play on Hornets +1.5
Bottom Line: Expect the Hornets to avenge an earlier season loss to the Jazz at home tonight, where they are a dominant 10-3 this season. Plays on home teams (NEW ORLEANS) after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), are an impressive 52-22 ATS the last 5 seasons. Teams fitting into this situation are winning by 8.3 ppg on average. Chris Paul gets the best of Deron Williams to silence the doubters on his home floor tonight. Take the Hornets. |
|||||||
12-17-10 | Miami Heat -5 v. New York Knicks | Top | 113-91 | Win | 100 | 6 h 51 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Primetime Punisher (ESPN) on Heat -5
Bottom Line: The Heat are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Heat are also 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in this series. It's going to be tough for New York to be able to put the same amount of energy and passion into this one after giving so much in a devastating loss to the Celtics the other night. LeBron James has been known to put on a show at MSG, and I expect him to do just that this evening. Heat send a message with a comfortable win. Lay the points. |
|||||||
12-16-10 | San Antonio Spurs -1 v. Denver Nuggets | 113-112 | Push | 0 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA on TNT Bailout on Spurs -1
Bottom Line: Denver has won 10 straight at home, but it has been extremely fortunate to do so with a number of close calls. I expect this superior Spurs team to bring Denver's home winning streak to an end tonight. San Antonio is an impressive 25-10 ATS in its last 35 road games following a close home win by 3 points or less. Meanwhile, Denver is just 10-23 ATS after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Without the veteran leadership of Chauncey Billups on the floor tonight, Denver will have a tough time keeping it together against this veteran Spurs team. Spurs have won their last 2 at Denver by 19 points and I like them again tonight. |
|||||||
12-16-10 | Atlanta Hawks v. Boston Celtics UNDER 187 | 90-102 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA on TNT Primetime Total of Hawks/Celtics UNDER 187
Bottom Line: The Hawks are already missing Joe Johnson and now Jamal Crawford has been ruled out for this game. That is a lot of offense they will be missing. The Celtics are pretty banged up as well, and they will no doubt be feeling the effects of last night's tiring game at Madison Square. The Under is the the 5-1 in Hawks' last 6 road games. Atlanta is also is 15-3 Under as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 3 seasons. Bet the Under. |
|||||||
12-15-10 | Portland Trail Blazers +6.5 v. Dallas Mavericks | Top | 98-103 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy ESPN Game of the Month on Blazers +6.5
Bottom Line: The Blazers match up well with the Mavs, and as a result always play them close. In fact, Portland has won 3 of the last 4 meetings, and it hasn't been defeated by more than 6 points in any of the last six showdowns. The Mavericks are 15-36-3 ATS in their last 54 home games and 10-24-2 ATS in their last 36 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5. They are also just 5-21-2 ATS in their last 28 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Portland has not played up to its potential on the road lately, but I'm confident it will bring its "A" game tonight after back-to-back lackluster efforts. Pound Portland. |
|||||||
12-15-10 | Boston Celtics v. New York Knicks +5 | 118-116 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Primetime Punisher (ESPN) on Knicks +5
Bottom Line: The Knicks always get up for the Celtics. As a result, they have either won or lost by 4 or fewer points in 4 of the last 5 meetings. This Knicks team already played the Celtics to a 4-point game on the road earlier this season, and that was before Amare Stoudemire was comfortable playing with his new teammates. NY is 10-1 ATS as an underdog this season, winning these games by an average score of 109.7 to 107.2. Take the Knicks. |
|||||||
12-14-10 | Philadelphia 76ers v. New Jersey Nets +1.5 | Top | 82-77 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 43 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Nets +1.5
Bottom Line: While Philly has been playing solid ball of late, winning 5 of its last 7, we can't overlook the fact that all 5 of those wins came at home. This 76ers teams is a dreadful 1-10 on the road this season, and I expect its road struggles to continue tonight. New Jersey has played just about everyone tough at home. It played Orlando to a 1-point game, beat Atlanta, beat Portland, took OKC to triple OT and took the Lakers down to the wire. The Nets will be ready to go tonight as they see this game as a golden opportunity to get off the snide. The 76ers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite while the Nets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog. The 76ers are also 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in New Jersey. Take the Nets. |
|||||||
12-14-10 | Wright State v. Central Michigan +1 | 53-49 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 40 m | Show | |
4* Major NCAAB Game of the Night on C. Michigan +1
Bottom Line: Wright State may have the better record in this matchup, but none of its wins have come away from home where it is 0-5 this season. With 3 starters back CMU is a better team than its 2-6 record might lead you to believe. It has been the victim of a tough schedule, having played 7 of its 8 games away from home. The Chippewas will be happy to be at home and hungry to get back in the win column tonight. Wright State is 0-6 ATS as a road favorite of 6 points or less or pick over the last 2 seasons, losing these games by an average score of 64.7 to 62.9. Wrong team favored here. Take the Chipps. |
|||||||
12-13-10 | New Orleans Hornets +11.5 v. Miami Heat | 84-96 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Game of the Night on Hornets +11.5
Bottom Line: This line is an overreaction to yesterday's poor performance in Philly. Hence, creating excellent line value. The Heat are a terrible 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games as a favorite of 11 or more points while the Hornets are a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games as a dog of 11 or more. The Heat are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games overall. Take the points with Chris Paul and company as they keep this one to single digits. |
|||||||
12-11-10 | Minnesota Timberwolves +9.5 v. Chicago Bulls | 82-113 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Underdog Game of the Week on T-Wolves +9.5
Bottom Line: I'll fade the Bulls tonight laying big points after such an emotionally and physically draining game against the reigning champs last night. The Bulls have dropped 5 of their last 7 ATS when laying 5-10.5 points at home. The Bulls are 8-2 at home this season, but they are only winning those game by an average if 4.0 points. Expect the T-Wolves, who are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 versus the Eastern Conference, to take Chicago right down to the wire. |
|||||||
12-11-10 | Dayton v. Old Dominion -9.5 | Top | 71-74 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NCAAB Double Digit *BLOOD BATH* on Old Dominion -9.5
Bottom Line: OD returns 4 starts who remember last season's loss to Dayton week. That defeat will motivate the Monarchs to a double digit win this afternoon against a Dayton team that only brings back 2 starters. The Monarchs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5 points. The Flyers were blown out at Cincy 68-34 in their last true road game, and they'll take another beating here. |
|||||||
12-10-10 | Portland Trail Blazers v. Phoenix Suns -5 | Top | 101-94 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Week on Suns -5
Bottom Line: The Suns want this one badly having already lost to the Blazers twice this season. Plus, they have the big advantage in terms of fresh legs with Portland having just played last night. Portland is 0-9 ATS when coming off an upset win as a home underdog over the last 3 seasons, losing by an average score of 99.8 to 89.8 in these games. The Suns are also an impressive 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Pound Phoenix. |
|||||||
12-10-10 | Los Angeles Lakers -2 v. Chicago Bulls | 84-88 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA Primetime Punisher (ESPN) on Lakers -2
Bottom Line: LA has won 7 in a row against Chicago by no less than 7 points. The Lakers have lost their last 3 games away from Staples Center, so they'll approach this game as a must-win. All this talk about the Spurs and Celtics being the 2 best teams in the NBA will have LA playing very motivated ball tonight. The Lakers are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings and 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Chicago. Lay the deuce. |
|||||||
12-10-10 | New York Knicks v. Washington Wizards +2.5 | 101-95 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA *Underdog Shocker* on Wizards +2.5
Bottom Line: Great spot for the Wizards to end the Knicks' winning streak with John Wall and Andray Blatche set to return to the lineup. The Knicks kicked Washington's butt at MSG last month, and the Wiz will be out for revenge here. The Knicks are a lousy 8-17 ATS in their last 25 games as a favorite of 4.5 or less points, including 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite of 4.5 or less. The Wizards are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog of 4.5 or less points. The home team is also 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Expect Washington pull off the upset tonight. |
|||||||
12-09-10 | Boston Celtics v. Philadelphia 76ers UNDER 192.5 | 102-101 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
4* Major NBA on TNT Primetime Total on Celtics/76ers Under 192.5
Bottom Line: Right away I like the fact that plays Under on any team (PHILADELPHIA) following a win by 10 points or more, if that team is playing an opponent that has won 3 straight by 10 points or more, are 55-22 (71.4%) the last 5 seasons. This system is already a perfect 3-0 this season. In addition, Boston is a perfect 8-0 Under after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons, and we are only seeing 181.4 total points scored on average in these games. We know Boston is one of the best defensive teams in the NBA, but Philly has really improved on the defensive end (only allowing 92.5 ppg at home). Buckets should be tough to come by in this one. Bet the Under. |