Sports Picks & Predictions

Basketball Archive
Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
12-30-09	Akron v. Wyoming +1.5		85-76	Loss	-110	12 h 53 m	Show
4* Major NCAAB Game of the Night on Wyoming +1.5 Bottom Line: The Cowboys are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 6.5 points or less. Off an embarrassing loss at Northern Iowa, expect the Cowboys to bounce back in a big way on their home floor tonight. Take Wyoming.
12-30-09	Atlanta Hawks +6.5 v. Cleveland Cavaliers		101-106	Win	100	10 h 52 m	Show
4* Major NBA Game of the Night on Hawks +6.5 Bottom Line: It's normally good practice to take the team that lost in the first game of a home-and-home in the second, and that's what we'll do here as Cleveland is clearly being overvalued against a Hawks team hungry to avenge last night's loss. Plus, the Hawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points, and 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss of more than 10 points. Take the points.
12-29-09	Indiana Pacers +7 v. Chicago Bulls	Top	95-104	Loss	-105	7 h 23 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NBA Central Division GOTY on Pacers +7 Bottom Line: I think the Bulls are getting too much respect with this line against a Pacers team extremely motivated to win after suffering 6 straight defeats. The Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings, the Bulls are 2-10-3 ATS in their last 15 games as a home favorite, and just 1-8-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Take the points.
12-28-09	Washington Wizards +6 v. Memphis Grizzlies		111-116	Win	100	10 h 21 m	Show
4* Major NBA Game of the Night on Wizards +6 Bottom Line: We'll play against any team (Memphis) off a road cover where they lost straight up as an underdog against an opponent off an upset loss of 10 points or more as a road favorite as this situation is 31-8 ATS since 1996. This system in 12-3 ATS the last 5 seasons and already 2-0 ATS this season. Washington isn't getting enough respect here. Take the points.
12-27-09	Dallas Mavericks v. Denver Nuggets UNDER 209	Top	104-96	Win	100	10 h 2 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Mavs/Nuggets UNDER 209 Bottom Line: This matchup has seen 4 straight play to the Over, which has driven this number up, to create value in taking the Under. The public is all over the Over here which is precisely where the books want it to be. We'll go against the grain to cut into the house profits today. Consider that George Karl's teams are 22-7 Under in home games off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite in all games he has coached since 1996 with the average combined score totaling just 194.5 in these spots. Expect Denver to do a better job of digging in defensively tonight. Bet the Under.
12-26-09	Los Angeles Lakers -5.5 v. Sacramento Kings	Top	112-103	Win	100	12 h 39 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout of the Week on LA Lakers -5.5 Bottom Line: I know the Lakers are playing back-to-back here, but they were embarrassed last night by the Cavs. Expect them to be extremely hungry in this spot against a team they defeated by 18 points the last time they visited. Here's the key: Plays on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after a blowout loss by 15 points or more, are 31-8 ATS the last 5 seasons. Take LA.
12-25-09	Cleveland Cavaliers +5 v. Los Angeles Lakers		102-87	Win	100	33 h 54 m	Show
4* Major Christmas Day Marquee Matchup (ABC) on Cavs +5 Bottom Line: This is a statement game for Cleveland to show that it belongs in the title discussion. The Cavs will especially be hungry to hand LA a loss here after losing both meetings last season. I expect Shaquille O'Neal to especially play with a chip on his shoulder as he goes up against his former team. The public is all over the Lakers here, but they have dropped 5 of their last 7 ATS. Plus, Cleveland is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 against LA. And lastly, the Cavaliers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Take Cleveland.
12-23-09	Atlanta Hawks v. Denver Nuggets -3.5		104-124	Win	100	10 h 30 m	Show
4* Major Wednesday NBA BLOOD BATH on Nuggets -3.5 Bottom Line: I'll back a rested Nuggets team at home, where it is 12-1 this season, in a highly motivated spot off back-to-back losses against a Hawks team that just played last night. Plus, Atlanta crushed Denver by 25 in Atlanta earlier this season and you can bet the Nuggets haven't forgotten. The Hawks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 4.5 points or less. Take Denver.
12-23-09	Washington Wizards v. Milwaukee Bucks UNDER 202	Top	109-97	Loss	-102	8 h 18 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout of the Week on Wizards/Bucks UNDER 202 Bottom Line: Washington is 12-1 UNDER in a road game where the total opens between 195 and 199.5 points over the last 3 seasons. The average total score in these games is 186.6. Plus, the UNDER is 4-1 in the Wizards' last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. Pound the Under tonight.
12-22-09	Oklahoma City Thunder +9.5 v. Los Angeles Lakers		108-111	Win	100	13 h 31 m	Show
4* Major NBA Game of the Night on Thunder +9.5 Bottom Line: OKC is a perfect 10-0 ATS after a game where it failed to cover the spread this season. The Thunder are also 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 2 days rest. Plus, they will be looking to avenge a 16-point loss in LA last month. Expect OKC to keep this one close.
12-22-09	Michigan State +8.5 v. Texas	Top	68-79	Loss	-105	10 h 32 m	Show
5* Wiseguy ESPN 2 Game of the Month on Michigan State +8.5 Bottom Line: Expect the experienced Spartans to stick with the Longhorns tonight, and expect them to do it with defense. Michigan State has defeated the Horns each of the last 3 seasons, while holding them to only 65.3 ppg. Plus, plays on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (>=60 shots/game), after 2 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 37% or less, are 22-3 ATS since 1997. This system is a perfect 4-0 ATS the last 3 seasons. Take the points.
12-21-09	Cleveland Cavaliers v. Phoenix Suns UNDER 209		109-91	Win	100	11 h 4 m	Show
4* Major Monday NBA "Total" Blowout on Cavs/Suns UNDER 209 Bottom Line: The Suns have played to the Under in 9 of their last 11 games and I expect this trend to continue as odds makers continue to set the bar too high. Plus, plays Under on any team (CLEVELAND) - extremely tired team - playing 9 or more games in 14 days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 35-12 since 1996. This system is also 11-2 over the last 5 seasons. Bet the Under.
12-19-09	North Carolina +7 v. Texas	Top	90-103	Loss	-110	7 h 53 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NCAAB Game of the Month (ESPN) on UNC +7 Bottom Line: This is just too many points for the Heels to be catching on a neutral floor. Texas has not played a very challenging schedule to this point and I expect the Longhorns to pay for that in this game as they won't be ready for a team that can match them in terms of speed, talent, and athleticism. UNC is 23-7 ATS versus excellent teams - shooting >=45% with a defense holding opponents to <=42% over the last 3 seasons. Take the points.
12-18-09	Utah State v. Long Beach State +4		62-75	Win	100	13 h 1 m	Show
3* Surefire on Long Beach State +4 Bottom Line: Long Beach State is a perfect 2-0 at home this season and I look for it to pull off the small upset to remain unbeaten at home tonight. The Aggies have been poison in the small road chalk at just 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games as a road favorite of 6.5 points or less and we'll steer clear here. Take the points.
12-18-09	Pacific +12 v. St Mary's CA		65-80	Loss	-110	13 h 1 m	Show
4* Major NCAAB Dog of the Week on Pacific +12 Bottom Line: St. Mary's is getting way too much respect here against a 7-2 Pacific team. Pacific played St. Mary's to a 9-point game last season and I feel it has improved while the Gaels have taken a small step back. Plays on underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points after a blowout win by 30 points or more against an opponent that scored 95 or more points in its last game are 29-5 ATS since 1997. We'll take the points.
12-18-09	Utah Jazz v. Atlanta Hawks UNDER 206.5	Top	83-96	Win	100	10 h 9 m	Show
5* Wiseguy Friday NBA "Total" Blowout on Jazz/Hawks UNDER 206.5 Bottom Line: Atlanta has been an Overs machine at home this season, but much of that is because of a favorable home slate to this point. Consider that Atlanta is 16-4 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons, with the average combined score totaling just 179.9 points in these games. The last 3 meetings in this matchup have gone Under and we'll ride that wave again here.
12-17-09	Phoenix Suns v. Portland Trail Blazers -2		102-105	Win	100	13 h 35 m	Show
4* Major NBA on TNT Game of the Week on Blazers -2 Bottom Line: Portland is 9-4 at home this season and I expect it to defend its home court tonight. The Blazers have been dominant in the small chalk at 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite of 4.5 points or less, including 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or less. The Suns have lost 5 in a row on the road and are actually allowing 2.2 more points on the road than they are scoring while the Blazers are outscoring their opponents by 7.2 ppg at home. Take Portland.
12-16-09	Oregon State -3.5 v. Illinois Chicago		61-63	Loss	-110	7 h 24 m	Show
3* Surefire on Oregon State -3.5 Bottom Line: Illinois-Chicago has lost 6 in a row and I believe the Beavers hand it No. 7 here. Oregon State will be hungry to rebound from a loss at Nebraska and it is 6-0 ATS in road games after a loss by 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons. With as well as the Beavers defend, I like their chances here.
12-16-09	Utah Jazz v. New Jersey Nets UNDER 200	Top	108-92	Push	0	7 h 32 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Jazz/Nets UNDER 200 Bottom Line: This series has been an Unders machine with the Under going 10-3 in the last 13 meetings. Plus, New Jersey has been an Unders machine this season at 16-7-2 Under in all games with the average score totaling just 189.2 points. And lastly, the Under is 5-0 in the Nets' last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. Bet the Under.
12-16-09	Illinois State v. Ohio		57-75	Win	100	6 h 23 m	Show
4* Major NCAAB Game of the Night on Ohio pk Bottom Line: Ohio is one tough cookie on its home floor. In fact, it is on a 20-5 ATS as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pick and a perfect 6-0 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. Illinois State is just 1-5 ATS its last 6 games, which tells me that it is overrated. Take the Bobcats.
12-16-09	Richmond +5 v. South Carolina		58-76	Loss	-110	6 h 3 m	Show
3* Surefire on Richmond +5 Bottom Line: The Spiders are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 games as an underdog of 6.5 points or less, 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600, and 21-5-1 ATS in their last 27 games following a S.U. loss. Richmond is 8-0 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 2 seasons, actually winning by an average score of 70.6 to 69.9 in these spots. Take the points.
12-15-09	Los Angeles Lakers v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 194	Top	96-87	Win	100	11 h 39 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout of the Week on Lakers/Bulls UNDER 194 Bottom Line: Plays Under on home teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (CHICAGO) - cold team having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games against a hot team having won 8 or more of their last 10 games are 44-18 ATS the last 5 seasons. The books are cashing in big while the Lakers have played to the Under in 4 straight as the public continues to pound the Over. Last week, we cashed in on the Lakers Under twice, including our "Total" Blowout of the Month on the T-Wolves/Lakers Under on Friday night. We'll ride it again here.
12-15-09	Rider v. Rutgers -7		70-80	Win	100	10 h 22 m	Show
3* Surefire on Rutgers -7 Bottom Line: Rider is 0-6 ATS in December games over the last 2 seasons and I expect this trend to continue as Rutgers has a lot more size to dominate the boards with and the best player on the floor in Mike Rosario. The Rider Broncs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. We'll take the favorite in this one.
12-14-09	Golden State Warriors v. Philadelphia 76ers UNDER 210		101-117	Loss	-110	8 h 55 m	Show
4* Major Monday NBA "Total" Blowout on Warriors/76ers UNDER 210 Bottom Line: The Warriors have gone Under in 4 straight, not even cracking the century mark in 3 of those games as they have not been the same high-scoring team away from home. The 76ers have been Under in 3 straight as they have failed to score more than 91 points during this stretch. Plus, Philly is 7-0 Under off a home loss this season. With all these factors in mind, these teams should struggle to reach the century mark tonight. Bet the Under.
12-12-09	Los Angeles Lakers v. Utah Jazz UNDER 203.5		94-102	Win	100	13 h 15 m	Show
4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Lakers/Jazz UNDER 203.5 Bottom Line: I had the Under on this matchup Wednesday for an easy win. The books had the line set at 206.5 and we saw just 178 total points scored. Now the line is just 3 points lower and that is not enough of an adjustment to keep this one from going Under by double digits. The Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings and I expect this trend to continue.
12-12-09	Phoenix Suns v. Denver Nuggets -8.5	Top	99-105	Loss	-110	13 h 20 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NBA Double Digit Blood Bath Game of the Month on Nuggets -8.5 Bottom Line: After back-to-back road losses where the Nuggets failed to score 100 points, I expect them to really run up the score at home tonight against a tired Phoenix team. Denver is 9-1 at home where it is winning by 13.9 points on average. Phoenix is a terrible 6-16 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons, losing in these spots by an average score of 100.9 to 111.5 while Denver is is 12-1 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 2 seasons, winning in these spots by an average score of 113 to 97.4. Take Denver as it takes this one by double digits.
12-12-09	Creighton v. George Mason -2		72-75	Win	100	5 h 57 m	Show
4* Major NCAAB Early Blowout on George Mason -2 Bottom Line: This is a letdown spot for Creighton after a big win over Nebraska in a rivalry game. This is also a revenge spot for GM, who was defeated by 13 points by Creighton last season. Expect GM to return the favor here. The key is its defense which is only allowing 57.3 ppg at home. In fact, GM is on a 12-2 ATS run in home games after allowing 60 points or less 2 straight games, winning in these spots by an average score of 70.4 to 57. Lay the points.
12-11-09	Minnesota Timberwolves v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 201	Top	92-104	Win	100	13 h 7 m	Show
5* NBA "Total" Blowout of the Month on T-Wolves/Lakers UNDER 201 Bottom Line: The public is all over the Over here, but the lowly T-Wolves have been an Unders machine. They have gone Under the number in 5 of their last 6 games and 10 of their last 13. In fact, Minnesota has played to the Under in 7 of 10 road games this season. Also, the Lakers have no real incentive to run up the score tonight as they play again tomorrow night in Utah to start a 5-game road trip and they'll want to be fresh for that. The Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in this series in Los Angeles. The Under is 34-15-2 in the Timberwolves last 51 overall and 6-0 in their last 6 road games. The Under is also 10-3-2 in the Lakers last 15 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Pound the Under.
12-11-09	New York Knicks v. New Orleans Hornets UNDER 209		113-96	Push	0	11 h 38 m	Show
3* Surefire on Knicks/Hornets UNDER 209 Bottom Line: The Under is 20-7 in the Hornets' last 27 home games and 21-5 in their last 26 Friday games. The odds makers have set the bar too high here. With as much of an Unders machine as the Hornets have been at home, I'll bet the Under tonight.
12-11-09	Iowa v. Iowa State UNDER 129		71-81	Loss	-110	11 h 46 m	Show
4* Major NCAAB Total of the Week on Iowa/Iowa State UNDER 129 Bottom Line: This is a rivalry game so I expect both teams to really get after it on the defensive end tonight. Because Iowa lacks depth and athleticism, it must play a half court clock-eating offense, slowing the game down to have a chance to win. In fact, Iowa is 19-6 Under when the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 3 seasons, with the average score totaling just 116.2 points in these games. Iowa is only averaging 55.7 ppg on the road this season and I expect it to have a hard time reaching that mark tonight. Bet the Under.
12-10-09	Boston Celtics v. Washington Wizards OVER 193.5		104-102	Win	100	11 h 3 m	Show
4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Celtics/Wizards OVER 193.5 Bottom Line: We've seen the last 4 meetings between these two teams sail over the number and I expect this trend to continue tonight. The Over is also 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Washington between these two sides and 4-0 in the Wizards last 4 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Washington knows it can't beat the Celtics in the half court. The Wiz are well rested and I expect them to get out and run tonight to give them their best chance of winning. Bet the Over.
12-09-09	Utah Jazz v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 206.5		77-101	Win	100	10 h 38 m	Show
4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Jazz/Lakers UNDER 206.5 Bottom Line: The Lakers have done a good job of putting the clamps on defensively against the best teams in the league. In fact, the Lakers are 16-6 UNDER in home games versus good teams outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. Only 196.4 total points are being scored on average in these games. Bet the UNDER.
12-09-09	Kentucky v. Connecticut -114	Top	64-61	Loss	-114	9 h 2 m	Show
5* Wiseguy ESPN Prime Time Pounder on UConn pk Bottom Line: Good spot for the Huskies tonight. They will be very focused and determined here after getting a scare against Harvard while the Wildcats find themselves in a letdown spot after an emotionally and physically draining win over the Tar Heels. The Huskies are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 vs. the SEC and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games. Another key factor is that the Wildcats are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. win. Take UConn in a good spot tonight.
12-08-09	Xavier v. Kansas State -5	Top	56-71	Win	100	11 h 9 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NCAAB Non-Conference GOTM on K-State -5 Bottom Line: This is an extremely tough spot for Xavier playing its first true road game of the season against an experienced K-State team that is 4-0 at home on the season. Plays on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after leading their last 3 games by 5 or more points at the half, with four starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season, are 29-8 ATS since 1997. This system is 10-3 ATS the last 5 years and 7-2 ATS the last 3 years. We'll ride it again tonight.
12-08-09	Phoenix Suns v. Dallas Mavericks UNDER 215		101-102	Win	100	9 h 22 m	Show
4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Suns/Mavs UNDER 215 Bottom Line: Both teams are struggling offensively as they are missing key players Leandro Barbosa and Josh Howard. The Suns are still getting overvalued because of the way they started the season and they are on a 5-0 run to the Under as a result. Looking back further, they are 9-2 Under their last 11. Plays Under on road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (PHOENIX); an excellent offensive team (>=102 PPG) against an average defensive team (92-98 PPG), after a blowout loss by 15 points or more, are 28-5 the last 5 seasons. This system is a perfect 2-0 this season and we'll ride it again here.
12-08-09	Vanderbilt v. Illinois -3.5		68-79	Win	100	9 h 13 m	Show
3* SUREFIRE on Illinois -3.5 Bottom Line: Illinois won by 6 at Vandy last season and this year's Illinois squad is a much better team. Illinois is on a 10-1 ATS run in home games off a home no-cover where it won straight up as a favorite. Illinois will be too physical for Vandy tonight. Lay the points.
12-08-09	Butler v. Georgetown -2.5		65-72	Win	100	7 h 15 m	Show
3* SUREFIRE on Georgetown -2.5 Bottom Line: The Hoyas aren't getting much respect with this line because they haven't played a very challenging schedule thus far, but with as physical as they are, and as strong as they are defensively, I like them to take care of business in an ugly one tonight. Georgetown is on an 11-2 ATS run in road games after 4 straight wins by 10 points or more and I'll take the Hoyas on a neutral court (MSG) tonight.
12-07-09	Virginia v. Auburn -4		67-68	Loss	-110	8 h 42 m	Show
3* SUREFIRE on Auburn -4 Bottom Line: Auburn is on an 18-7 ATS run in home games after a loss by 6 points or less, winning in these spots by an average score of 73.1 to 65.7. Virginia is on a 10-26 ATS slide as a road underdog of 6 points or less or pick, losing in these spots by an average score of 66.5 to 75.1. Auburn won at Virginia by 2 points last season and I have the Tigers extending that margin of victory at home this year.
12-04-09	Colorado +3 v. Oregon State		69-74	Loss	-110	13 h 18 m	Show
4* Major NCAAB Line Mistake of the Week on Colorado +3 Bottom Line: Really think the wrong team is favored here. Colorado's only 2 losses were nailbiters against Arizona and Gonzaga (by a combined 8 points) while the Beavers have lost to cream puffs Texas A&M CC and Sacramento State. Colorado is the much more explosive offensive team and that figures to present a problem for the Beavers since they are on an 0-6 ATS slide in home games versus good offensive teams scoring 77+ points/game. Take the Buffs.
12-04-09	Milwaukee Bucks v. Detroit Pistons -4		96-105	Win	100	11 h 49 m	Show
4* Major Friday Night NBA BLOOD BATH on Pistons -4 Bottom Line: The Bucks have the better record on the season, but they are only 2-6 on the road. They also defeated Detroit back on Halloween so the Pistons will be hungry to return the favor here. Detroit is 6-3 SU & ATS versus the Bucks the last 3 seasons, including 3-1 SU & ATS at home during this span. The favorite is now 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. I'll go against the public here and grab the Pistons at home.
12-03-09	Illinois Chicago +9.5 v. Wisc.Milwaukee		52-57	Win	100	10 h 22 m	Show
4* Major NCAAB Game of the Night on Illinois Chicago +9.5 Bottom Line: The Flames are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings at Wisconsin-Milwaukee and the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The Flames are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. the Horizon League and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. With as close as this matchup has been the last couple seasons, I can't see Wis-Mil posting a double digit win in this Horizon League opener.
12-02-09	Florida State v. Ohio State -6	Top	64-77	Win	100	9 h 36 m	Show
5* Wiseguy ACC/Big Ten Challenge (ESPN 2) on Ohio State -6 Bottom Line: I'll take the more experienced, more rested team on its home floor tonight. Plays on a favorite (OHIO ST) off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more, with all five starters returning from last year in the first 10 games of the season are 44-14 ATS the last 5 seasons. The Seminoles have played a lot of games in few days and that will take a toll here as Ohio State pulls away in the second half.
12-02-09	Oklahoma State v. Tulsa -2.5		65-86	Win	100	10 h 22 m	Show
4* Major on Tulsa -2.5 Bottom Line: Tulsa has been money on its home floor at 5-0 this season, and after a road loss to Missouri State, the Golden Hurricane will be very hungry tonight at home in this in-state rivalry game. In fact, Tulsa is 11-3 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pick since the beginning of the 2007 season, winning in these spots by an average of 71.7 to 62.0. The public is on Oky State here, but I'll roll with the best team in Conference USA at home, one that returns four starters from a 25-win team of a season ago. Lay the number.
12-02-09	Milwaukee Bucks v. Washington Wizards -2.5		102-104	Loss	-110	9 h 26 m	Show
4* Major Wednesday Night NBA BLOOD BATH on Wizards -2.5 Bottom Line: The Bucks have lost 3 straight on the road and they were clearly pretenders while getting off to a fast start. Plus, they find themselves shorthanded tonight with Michael Redd out indefinitely (which really hurts) and both Luc Richard Mbah a Moute and Luke Ridnour listed as questionable. Washington has won 3 of 4 and I look for it to hold serve at home tonight. Plays against road teams (Bucks), a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) going up against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG) after a close win by 3 points or less, are 41-14 ATS the last 5 seasons. Take the Wiz.
12-01-09	Virginia Tech -2.5 v. Iowa	Top	70-64	Win	100	12 h 11 m	Show
5* Wiseguy ACC v. Big Ten Challenge (ESPN 2) on Virginia Tech -2.5 Bottom Line: Really think Iowa goes down by double digits here unless it can shoot the lights out from 3-point range, but in 3 road games, Tech's opponents are just 4 of 16 from deep (27.7%). Plus, in 4 home games, Iowa is just 6 of 25 from deep (26.3%). With the amount of athletic ability the Hawks are giving up, they're really going to have to be able to stroke it and that's something they haven't been able to do thus far. I expect Iowa to have no answer for Malcolm Delaney and Jeff Allen tonight. The Hawkeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog. Lay the points.
12-01-09	Phoenix Suns v. New York Knicks UNDER 225.5		99-126	Win	100	8 h 12 m	Show
4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Suns/Knicks UNDER 225.5 Bottom Line: Mike D'Antoni is 13-2 Under after having lost 8 or more of his last 10 games as the coach of the Knicks. The average total combined score in these spots is 205 points. D'Antoni, who coached the Suns when they were one of the elite teams in the West, knows he doesn't have the talent to beat them in an uptempo contest. Plus, the Suns have the Cavs tomorrow night so they will look to rest players when possible. And also, their second unit takes a major hit without Leandro Barbosa. Lastly, the Under is 6-1-1 in the Suns last 8 games as a road favorite. Bet the Under.
11-27-09	New Jersey Nets +4.5 v. Sacramento Kings		96-109	Loss	-110	7 h 6 m	Show
4* Major NBA Dog of the Week on Nets +4.5 Bottom Line: Nets don't want their name in the NBA record books for the worst start ever. The Nets are two losses shy of tying that mark heading into tonight's game. But if they lose tonight, they will match the record for the worst start in franchise history and they don
11-25-09	Cleveland Cavaliers v. Detroit Pistons UNDER 184		98-88	Loss	-103	8 h 31 m	Show
3* SUREFIRE on Cavs/Pistons UNDER 184 Bottom Line: Both of these teams are well rested and that means they will have plenty of energy for the defensive end. This series has been an Unders machine with 23 of the last 24 going Under the number. All 6 meetings at Detroit have gone Under the last 2 seasons and I expect this trend to continue tonight.
11-25-09	Philadelphia 76ers v. Boston Celtics UNDER 189	Top	110-113	Loss	-115	7 h 29 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on 76ers/Celtics UNDER 189 Bottom Line: Philly just played a fast paced game last night and I don't see the 76ers putting many points on the board tonight against one of the best defensive teams in the NBA, especially when that team is well rested and coming off a game where it gave up 105 points. The Under is 6-0 in 76ers last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game and 4-0 in 76ers last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Under is also 6-0 in Celtics last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Pound the Under.
11-25-09	Vanderbilt -4 v. Arizona		84-72	Win	100	7 h 48 m	Show
4* Major Wednesday NCAAB BEST BET on Vandy -4 Bottom Line: Look for Arizona to fall flat after such an emotionally and physically draining win over Colorado yesterday against an experienced Vandy team returning 5 starters. Expect to see the Wildcats hang tight early but fade in the second half as their short 7-man rotation starts to suck wind. The Commodores are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 neutral site games and 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. Plus, Plays on a favorite (Vandy) in a game involving two teams who had good records (60% to 80%) from last season, with all five starters returning from last year in the first 5 games of the season are 51-17 ATS since 1997. Lay the points.
11-24-09	Cornell +13.5 v. Syracuse	Top	73-88	Loss	-105	9 h 24 m	Show
5* NCAAB Non-Conference Game of the Year on Cornell +13.5 Bottom Line: Extremely tough spot for Cuse after back-to-back big wins over very good Cal and UNC teams. Just can't see the Orange getting up for this one the same way. Cornell returns all 5 starters from last year's 21-win NCAA tourney team. Off an upset loss to Seton Hall the Big Red will be highly motivated tonight. Playing Syracuse tough is nothing new for Cornell either. The Big Red had the Orange down by 16 points at one point in last season's matchup and they covered the 16-point spread easily with a 10-point loss. In fact, Cornell has covered the spread 6 straight times against the Orange. The Big Red are 20-6-1 ATS in their last 27 games as a road underdog of 13.0 or greater while the Orange are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 vs. the Ivy League. Take the points.
11-23-09	Texas -15.5 v. Iowa		85-60	Win	100	12 h 0 m	Show
4* Major NCAAB MONSTER MISMATCH on Texas -15.5 Bottom Line: Iowa is giving up a ton in terms of talent. It is going to have to shoot the lights out from 3-point range to stay with the Longhorns and I just don't see it happening against a Texas defense which has only allowed 2 of 14 shooting (17.2%) from 3 this season. Texas is on a 12-3 ATS after a game where it allowed a shooting pct. of 28% or worse, winning in these spots by an average score of 80.3 to 61.7. Plus, the Hawkeyes are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games. Complete mismatch. Lay the number.
11-20-09	Portland Trail Blazers -7.5 v. Golden State Warriors	Top	94-108	Loss	-105	13 h 6 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NBA Friday Game of the Month on Blazers -7.5 Bottom Line: The injuries are piling up early for the Warriors and that leaves them at a huge disadvantage tonight. Portland has been money in the road chalk at 24-11 ATS as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons. Plus, the Trail Blazers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite, 8-0 ATS in their last 8 Friday games, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. the NBA Pacific Division, and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Lay the number.
11-19-09	Utah Jazz v. San Antonio Spurs UNDER 199.5	Top	90-83	Win	100	11 h 32 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Jazz/Spurs UNDER 199.5 Bottom Line: Both of these teams just played last night so I highly doubt they will have the legs to carry this one over. But even if they were rested, I still think this number is way too high. It is almost certain that Ginobli and Parker will not play tonight. That takes away a good chunk of points and most all of San Antonio's transition game. That means we will likely see the Spurs play even slower than normal. Get ready for the old school San Antonio offense that gave the ball to Duncan on the block and watched him maneuver all game. The Spurs have played 4 straight to the Under when playing back-to-back and I expect this trend to continue. Really think this one goes Under by double digits.
11-18-09	Cal Irvine v. Loyola Marymount -4		84-78	Loss	-110	11 h 54 m	Show
4* Major NCAAB Late Night Bailout on Loyola Marymount -4 Bottom Line: UC Irvine has been a good fade since the beginning of last season as it is now 0-6 ATS in November games during this span. Loyola Marymount is 3-0 ATS out of the gate as the books are yet to recognize the improvements this team has made. Plus, plays on any team off a road cover where they lost straight up as an underdog, terrible team from last season who won 20% or less of their games, are 41-13 ATS since 1997. Lay the number.
11-18-09	Golden State Warriors v. Boston Celtics UNDER 210.5	Top	95-109	Win	100	8 h 39 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NBA Revenge Game of the Week on Warriors/Celtics UNDER 210.5 Bottom Line: Perfect Unders situation in my opinion. The Warriors just played an uptempo game last night with a 7-man rotation so I can't seen them having the legs to run the full 48 minutes tonight. Plus, Boston is rested and ready to bounce back after being let down by its defense the last two games. Defense will be the focus tonight and I expect Boston to completely shut the Warriors down. Offensively, Boston prefers to play in the halfcourt. Boston holds the Warriors well under the century mark as the Under comes through.
11-17-09	Cal Riverside +10.5 v. USC		67-77	Win	100	9 h 27 m	Show
4* Major NCAAB Bailout on Cal Riverside +10.5 Bottom Line: The public is also over USC here, but I feel strongly that Riverside takes the Trojans down to the wire tonight. USC has a lot of changes to adjust to which figures to produce kinks early on. Riverside played the Trojans to a 13-point game as a 27.5 point dog 2 years ago for an easy cover and that Trojans team was a lot better than this one while this Riverside team is better than that one. Take the points.
11-17-09	Indiana Pacers v. New Jersey Nets +4.5	Top	91-83	Loss	-107	6 h 12 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Month on Nets +4.5 Bottom Line: The Nets may be 0-10 on the season, but they are 4-1 ATS their last 5 games and they'll be especially hungry for their first win of the year tonight after playing Miami to a 1-point game last time out. During New Jersey's 4-1 ATS stretch, it has played Philly to a 3-point game twice in addition to its 1-point loss to Miami. Both of those teams are better than the Pacers and 2 of those games were on the road. Indiana is coming off a big upset win over Boston so this one has letdown written all over it for the Pacers as well. The Nets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog of 4.5 or less points. Take the Nets.
11-17-09	Louisville -10 v. Arkansas		96-66	Win	100	6 h 2 m	Show
3* SUREFIRE on Louisville -10 Bottom Line: With head coach John Pelphrey suspending five players last week, two of which were starters, the Hogs don't have a chance at staying with Louisville here. Louisville's press kills the Razorbacks. Lay the number.
11-17-09	Binghamton v. Pittsburgh -33		46-71	Loss	-105	4 h 3 m	Show
3* SUREFIRE on Pitt -33 Bottom Line: After getting a scare by Wofford, the Panthers got the wake up call they needed. Expect them to win big tonight, covering this number by 4-7 points. Plays on home favorites of 10 or more points; solid team from last season - outscored opponents by 8 or more points/game, after allowing 60 points or less, are 75-39 ATS the last 5 seasons. Lay the number.
11-16-09	Indiana State +10.5 v. LSU	Top	45-56	Loss	-110	8 h 22 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NCAAB Underdog of the Month on Indiana State +10.5 Bottom Line: Indiana State returns 4 starters and gets a terrific boost from Iowa Transfer Jake Kelly, who averaged 11.6 ppg while playing in the Big Ten last season and just scored 16 points in the season opener. It's going to be a down season for LSU with only 2 starters coming back so this line is certainly more representative of last year's team. We can't ignore the fact that the Sycamores are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog while the Fighting Tigers are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5. ISU should take LSU down to the wire tonight for an easy ATS winner.
11-13-09	Los Angeles Lakers v. Denver Nuggets -4	Top	79-105	Win	100	10 h 35 m	Show
5* Wiseguy ESPN Game of the Month on Nuggets -4 Bottom Line: Extremely tough spot for the Lakers traveling to play back-to-back here against a Nuggets team coming off a bad loss to Milwaukee and happy to be back home after a long road trip. Plus, the Nuggets will be out for revenge here after getting knocked out of the playoffs by LA last season. Pau Gasol is still expected to be out and that leaves the Lakers shorthanded against a deep and athletic Nuggets squad. The Nuggets are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games and we'll back them in a very strong spot tonight.
11-13-09	Wofford +16.5 v. Pittsburgh		60-63	Win	100	7 h 0 m	Show
3* NCAAB Underdog of the Week on Wofford +16.5 Botton Line: Wofford returns its starting 5 while Pittsburgh lost its star power and Jermaine Dixon is expected to miss with a foot injury to deal the Panthers a further blow. The Panthers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite while the Terriers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog. We'll side with Wofford with this generous number. Take the points!
11-12-09	Cleveland Cavaliers v. Miami Heat UNDER 180.5		111-104	Loss	-110	11 h 7 m	Show
4* Major NBA on TNT Prime Time Total on Cavs/Heat UNDER 180.5 Bottom Line: This is a letdown spot for a Cavs team that just exacted revenge on the Magic last night. I can't see Cleveland getting up for this game the same way and that breathes life into the Under tonight. Both of these teams prefer to play a more half court style of hoops and the result has been combined 12-3 Under tally this season. The Under is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings in Miami. The Under is 6-0 in Cavaliers last 6 games as a favorite, 6-0 in Heat last 6 games playing on 1 days rest, 4-0 in Heat last 4 games as an underdog, 5-0 in Heat last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game, and 4-0 in Heat last 4 home games. Bet the Under.
11-11-09	NC Central v. North Carolina -46		42-89	Win	100	9 h 51 m	Show
3* SUREFIRE on UNC -46 Bottom Line: Books like to throw up some numbers that look astronomical to the public to gain support on the other side of these more talented powerhouses. We won't take the bait. UNC is a rock solid 38-13 ATS in its last 51 non-conference games and 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games as a home favorite. UNC wins by at least 50. Lay the points.
11-11-09	Golden State Warriors v. Indiana Pacers OVER 222	Top	94-108	Loss	-110	7 h 54 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Warriors/Pacers OVER 222 Bottom Line: We've seen each of the last 3 meetings in this matchup produce total scores of 237 or higher and with Golden State allowing 121.5 ppg on the road this season I expect another high scoring affair tonight. Plus, plays Over on all teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (Pacers) - extremely well rested team playing 5 or less games in 14 days against an opponent - extremely tired team playing its 3rd game in 4 days, are 23-3 the last 5 seasons. Bet the Over.
11-10-09	Denver Nuggets v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 204.5		90-89	Win	100	9 h 5 m	Show
4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Nuggets/Bulls UNDER 204.5 Bottom Line: The Bulls are only scoring 88.5 ppg and allowing just 85.3 ppg at home this season. Look for Chicago to control the tempo tonight to keep this one well under the number. Plays Under on road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200; an excellent offensive team (>=102 PPG) against an average defensive team (92-98 PPG), after a blowout loss by 20 points or more, are 23-4 since 1996. Gotta take the Under here.
11-09-09	Utah Jazz v. New York Knicks +6		95-93	Win	100	10 h 1 m	Show
4* Major Upset Special on Knicks +6 Bottom Line: I fully expect the Knicks to win this one straight up tonight against a Jazz team that has typically struggled away from home in recent years. In fact, NY is 2-0 SU & ATS at home versus Utah the last 2 seasons and a perfect 4-0 ATS in all meetings the last 2 seasons. Utah is 0-2 SU & ATS on the road this season and 4-12 ATS in their last 16 road games. Take the Knicks.
11-06-09	Milwaukee Bucks v. Minnesota Timberwolves -2		87-72	Loss	-110	8 h 15 m	Show
4* Major NBA Side Slaughter on T-Wolves -2 Bottom Line: Can't see the Bucks winning on the road tonight without go-to guy Michael Redd in the lineup. The Wolves have covered 4 of 5 this season, playing everyone down to the wire but Cleveland. This young and talented Minnesota team will draw a great deal of confidence from a narrow 2-point defeat to the Celtics, the team most experts think is the best in the NBA right now, last game. The Timberwolves are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss while the Bucks are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up loss loss. Plus, the Bucks are 1-3 SU and 0-3-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Take the T-Wolves.
11-06-09	Milwaukee Bucks v. Minnesota Timberwolves UNDER 187	Top	87-72	Win	100	8 h 0 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Bucks/T-Wolves UNDER 187 Bottom Line: I liked the Under when this one was at 184.5 and I love it now that it has rose to 187. Minnesota has been over the century mark only once this season and that came against the uptempo Suns. The Wolves have scored 90 or fewer points in 3 of 5 games and the Bucks have been under 86 points in 2 of 3 games. The Under is 13-3 in the Timberwolves last 16 home games and 23-7 in their last 30 overall. I'll take the Under here.
11-05-09	Chicago Bulls v. Cleveland Cavaliers UNDER 187.5		86-85	Win	100	11 h 53 m	Show
4* Major NBA on TNT Prime Time Total on Bulls/Cavs UNDER 187.5 Bottom Line: Plays Under on home teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (Cavs); good team outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, against a team that scored 90 points or less last game and that team's opponent scored 90 points or less last game as well, are 41-16 the last 5 seasons. The Under is also 12-4 in the Cavaliers last 16 vs. the NBA Central. Take the Under.
11-04-09	Los Angeles Lakers -1.5 v. Houston Rockets		103-102	Loss	-107	8 h 12 m	Show
4* Major on Lakers -1.5 Bottom Line: Look for the Lakers to get their first cover of the season as the Rockets miss Artest, who is now on the other side, in this one. The Lakers are 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Houston. Lay the small number.
11-04-09	Boston Celtics v. Minnesota Timberwolves UNDER 186	Top	92-90	Win	100	4 h 14 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout of the Month on Celtics/T-Wolves UNDER 186 Bottom Line: The Under is 22-7 in the Timberwolves last 29 overall as this team has really struggled offensively. I can't see Minnesota getting much of anything tonight against a strong Celtics defense. The Under is also 5-0 in the Timberwolves last 5 games as a home underdog. While I expect Boston to shut down the Wolves, it doesn't have any incentive to run up the score. Boston is playing a back-to-back so expect Doc not to over extend his starters' minutes. This one comes in way Under.
11-04-09	Phoenix Suns +8 v. Orlando Magic		100-122	Loss	-105	3 h 14 m	Show
4* Major on Suns +8 Bottom Line: This line is representative of last year's Suns and not the team we have seen in the early going. Nash is playing great and the Suns should be getting more respect here, especially since the Underdog is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings and the road team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Take the points.
11-03-09	Utah Jazz v. Dallas Mavericks -5.5		85-96	Win	100	9 h 10 m	Show
4* Major Tuesday Night NBA DOUBLE DIGIT BLOOD BATH on Mavericks -5.5 Bottom Line: I'll take a rested Dallas team at home against a Utah team that just played last night as Utah is only 5-16 ATS when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons, losing by an average score of 109.1 to 101.5. The Jazz are also 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day and 0-11 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5. Conversely, Dallas have been great when rested, going 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games playing on 2 days rest. Lastly, the home team is a terrific 21-5-1 ATS in the last 27 meetings. Take Dallas.
11-02-09	Houston Rockets v. Utah Jazz -7.5		113-96	Loss	-105	9 h 48 m	Show
3* NBA Game of the Night on Jazz -7.5 The Jazz are 102-22 at home since the start of the 2006-07 season and they are 31-6 at home in their last 37 against the Rockets. Expect Utah's home dominance to continue against a Houston team lacking the star power to compete tonight. The Jazz are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points and 13-3 ATS in home games off a home win while scoring 110 or more points over the last 2 seasons, winning in these spots by an average score of 108.2 to 92.5. Take Utah.
10-30-09	Cleveland Cavaliers v. Minnesota Timberwolves +12		104-87	Loss	-110	10 h 1 m	Show
3* SUREFIRE on T-Wolves +12 Bottom Line: We have a lot going for us here. This line is inflated due to Clevland's results from a season ago and the public have taken the bait thinking that the Cave will finally snap out of it tonight. While I do think Cleveland finally gets its first win of the season here, I don't expect it to cover this generous number. It's going to take time for the Cavs to adjust to life with Shaq both offensively and defensively and that is why you see Cleveland 0-2 out of the gate. The Timberwolves are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog of 11.0 or greater. Take the points.
10-30-09	Miami Heat v. Indiana Pacers -1		96-83	Loss	-105	10 h 59 m	Show
3* SUREFIRE on Pacers -1 Bottom Line: The home team is a perfect 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings and I expect this trend to continue. Indiana is 4-0 at home against the Heat the last 2 seasons, winning these games by an average of 9 points per game. Take Indy at home tonight to get their first win of the year.
10-29-09	San Antonio Spurs -4 v. Chicago Bulls	Top	85-92	Loss	-102	11 h 51 m	Show
5* Wiseguy TNT Prime Time Pounder on Spurs -4 Bottom Line: The Spurs are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in this matchup and a dominant 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Chicago. Plus, the road team is 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings. The Spurs have won 4 straight in this series over the last 3 seasons by at least 5 points each time, with 3 of those wins coming by at least 10 points. San Antonio looked good last night in blowing out the Hornets and I like them to continue their dominance over Chicago here. The starters played low minutes last night so tired legs should not be an issue and the new acquisitions add even more quality depth to an already deep Spurs 2nd unit. Lay the number.
10-28-09	New York Knicks v. Miami Heat UNDER 207		93-115	Loss	-106	9 h 12 m	Show
4* Major NBA "Total" Line Mistake on Knicks/Heat UNDER 207 Bottom Line: This line is set for the 2008-09 Knicks and not the 2009-10 team which has placed a much bigger emphasis on defense. In fact, the under is 11-1 in the Knicks last 12 vs. the Eastern Conference as it so often faced inflated lines. The Under is also 10-2 in the Knicks last 12 games as an underdog and 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in this matchup in Miami. In the preseason, Miami averaged a total of 181.5 points in its games and New York averaged a total of 193.5 points in its games. I'll take the under here.
10-27-09	Boston Celtics +4.5 v. Cleveland Cavaliers		95-89	Win	100	10 h 50 m	Show
4* Major TNT Prime Time Pounder on Celtics +4.5 Bottom Line: This is a statement game for the Celtics to show Cleveland that adding Shaq is not enough to get past them this season. Shaq still has a big name in the NBA but I'm beginning to question the size of his game. There will certainly be kinks to work out in the offense in the early going. This current Boston team has played with each other for 2 years now and it adds Rasheed Wallace to give the second group an offensive lift. The Celtics enter the season 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 4.5 or fewer points and 45-19-1 ATS in their last 65 games as a road underdog period. Take the C's tonight as I like them to win this one outright.
06-14-09	Los Angeles Lakers +3.5 v. Orlando Magic	Top	99-86	Win	100	9 h 46 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Game 5 BLOOD BATH on Lakers +3.5 The Lakers delivered a dagger to the heart of the Magic with their Game 4 OT win and I like them to take home the title tonight. The Lakers are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Orlando, the Road team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings, and the Underdog is 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings. The Lakers are 24-8-2 ATS in their last 34 games as a road underdog while the Magic are 7-17 ATS in their last 24 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. Orlando hangs tough for the majority of this game, but in the end the Lakers just have too many weapons. Plus, you can underestimate the added motivation that Mickael Pietrus gave the Lakers by putting two fists in the back of Gasol. Take the points.
06-11-09	Los Angeles Lakers +2.5 v. Orlando Magic	Top	99-91	Win	100	10 h 9 m	Show
5* Wiseguy 2009 NBA Finals BLOOD BATH of the Year on Lakers +2.5 The Lakers are 6-0 SU and ATS off a loss this postseason, winning by an average margin of 16.8 ppg in these spots. With Kobe out to prove he hasn't hit a wall, I have no doubts the Lakers bounce back strong with a win tonight. Pound LA!
06-09-09	Los Angeles Lakers +4 v. Orlando Magic		104-108	Push	0	9 h 36 m	Show
4* Major Gm 3 BLOOD BATH on Lakers +4 I like the Lakers to win a close one in Orlando tonight as they get a huge confidence boost from winning Game 2 without playing their best. Plays against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ORLANDO) - with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. an opponent, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days are 38-14 ATS the last 5 seasons. In this spot, the double revenge does not go in Orlando's favor. Take the points!
06-09-09	Los Angeles Lakers v. Orlando Magic UNDER 198.5	Top	104-108	Loss	-110	9 h 35 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Total of the Year on Lakers/Magic UNDER 198.5 Plays under on all teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points - extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 36-11 the last 5 seasons. Expect to see another Under tonight as the defensive intensity is high in this one.
06-07-09	Orlando Magic v. Los Angeles Lakers -6.5	Top	96-101	Loss	-106	22 h 37 m	Show
5* Wiseguy Game 2 BLOOD BATH on Lakers -6.5 Kobe Bryant and the Lakers are hungry for a title after being denied last season. There's no way they lose Game 2 at home to give the Magic any inkling of hope. You have to expect the Magic to shoot better than they did in Game 1, but I don't expect it to be a night and day difference. LA's defense was responsible for Orlando's poor shooting and that "D" is not going anywhere. LA will make Dwight Howard beat them from the free throw line (the weakest part of his game) and it will chase the rest of the Magic off the three point line with hard close outs. Plays On Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (LA LAKERS) - after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more against an opponent that just scored 80 points or less are 41-16 ATS since 1996. Bet the Lakers.
06-04-09	Orlando Magic v. Los Angeles Lakers -6	Top	75-100	Win	100	10 h 53 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Game 1 BLOOD BATH on Lakers -6 The experience gained in last year's Finals loss to the Celtics gives LA a big edge in Game 1 against a Magic team that has not been here before. Another huge key that not many will talk about is the layoff in between series. In this case, it hurts the Magic more as it has cooled them off, while it has helped the more veteran Lakers, who have thrived with extra rest. In fact, LA is 8-1 ATS when playing only its 2nd game in 7 days this season, winning in these spots by an average score of 110.9 to 96.3. Cash in with the Lakers!
05-30-09	Cleveland Cavaliers v. Orlando Magic -2	Top	90-103	Win	100	10 h 0 m	Show
5* Game 6 BLOOD BATH (TNT) on Magic -2 There's no way the Magic let this thing go back to Cleveland for a Game 7. Orlando have outplayed the Cavs in this series and LeBron won't get enough help tonight to get the job done. Here's the key: The Magic are 5-0 SU and ATS in their last 5 home games against the Cavs and 10-1 ATS in home games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Bet the Magic.
05-29-09	Los Angeles Lakers +5.5 v. Denver Nuggets	Top	119-92	Win	100	10 h 60 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs BLOOD BATH of the Week on Lakers +5.5 Denver was left crying about the officiating after Game 5 and also questioned the decision of their coaching staff to double Kobe Bryant all over the floor as he was able to find his teammates time and time again. I dare the Nuggets to play Kobe straight up tonight because they can kiss their season goodbye if they do. These points are just too good to refuse with LA heading into Game 6 extremely confident, especially X-factor Lamar Odom, who is coming off his best game of the postseason. I'll back the best road team in the NBA tonight as the Lakers are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5. Bet the Lakers!
05-28-09	Orlando Magic v. Cleveland Cavaliers -7	Top	102-112	Win	100	10 h 58 m	Show
5* Wiseguy Game 5 BLOOD BATH on Cavs -7 Odds makers are expecting a win and cover from Cleveland tonight. Orlando is up 3-1 in this series and has covered every game to gain the public's support. The book's have lowered the number a bucket from what we saw in the first two games in Cleveland as well to create great line value. Usually the line is increased in do-or-die games. It's desperation time for LeBron James and company and I believe that will bring out the best in them as they play with nothing to lose tonight. We also can't forget that Cleveland held big leads in each of the first two games of this series but lacked the killer instinct to put the Magic away. They won't make the same mistake with their playoff life on the line. Cleveland is 13-2 ATS off a road loss this season, winning in these spots by 12.8 ppg on average. Lay the number.
05-27-09	Denver Nuggets v. Los Angeles Lakers -5.5	Top	94-103	Win	100	9 h 28 m	Show
5* Wiseguy Game 5 BLOOD BATH on Lakers -5.5 The Lakers are a perfect 5-0 ATS following a defeat in these playoffs and I fully expect this trend to continue tonight. Denver is just 3-25 in its last 28 games in LA against the Lakers and I can't see them getting the job done here. Pound the Lakers in this bounce back spot.
05-26-09	Cleveland Cavaliers -1.5 v. Orlando Magic	Top	114-116	Loss	-110	8 h 10 m	Show
5* Wiseguy 2009 NBA Playoffs GOTY on Cavs -1.5 I know that Orlando has played better ball in this series and that it has owned the Cavs at home, but this is a desperation game for Cleveland and I expect LeBron and company to get the job done. The Cavs finished the regular season with the best record in the NBA and these team really likes the idea of winning a championship THIS YEAR. They are not going to go down without a fight. The Cavaliers are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 playoff games as a favorite of 4.5 points or less and 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite, but here's the icing on the cake - Cleveland is 13-1 ATS off a road loss this season, responding to win by an average of 13.9 points in these spots. Bet the Cavs!
05-25-09	Los Angeles Lakers v. Denver Nuggets -4.5	Top	101-120	Win	100	12 h 51 m	Show
5* Wiseguy Game 4 BLOOD BATH on Nuggets -4.5 I'll back the Nuggets at home in this bounce back spot as they are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU defeat. Denver 12-1 ATS in the playoffs this season, 9-1 ATS in home games against Pacific division opponents this season, 17-6 ATS revenging a same season loss vs. an opponent this season, and 18-5 ATS after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games this season. Bet the Nuggets!
05-24-09	Cleveland Cavaliers +1.5 v. Orlando Magic	Top	89-99	Loss	-110	11 h 46 m	Show
5* Wiseguy Game 3 BLOOD BATH on Cavs +1.5 The Cavs looked dead in the water until LeBron hit that miracle 24-footer to win Game 2. Now Cleveland has the momentum on its side and I expect LeBron and company to fight like hell to make sure they don't fall behind in this series again. The Underdog is 10-3 ATS in the last 13 meetings in this matchup. The Cavaliers are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a SU win. Take the Cavs in Game 3.
05-23-09	Los Angeles Lakers +4 v. Denver Nuggets	Top	103-97	Win	100	11 h 6 m	Show
5* Wiseguy Game 3 BLOOD BATH on Lakers +4 Plain and simple. The Lakers have bounce back from a loss each time in these playoffs with a double digit win. In fact, the Lakers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss. The Lakers are even in this series and they are yet to play really well. I think a loss will give them enough motivation to kick things in high gear tonight. Take the points as I like LA outright.
05-22-09	Orlando Magic +9 v. Cleveland Cavaliers		95-96	Win	100	10 h 47 m	Show
4* Major Game 2 BLOOD BATH on Magic +9 I like Orlando to take Cleveland right down to the wire in Game 2 as the Cavs have too many matchup problems against Hedo Turkoglu, Rashard Lewis, and Dwight Howard. The Magic are 11-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings and 6-0 ATS in the last 6 in Cleveland. Plus, Orlando has won 8 of the last 11 straight up, including 4 of the last 6 in Cleveland. Bet the Magic.
05-22-09	Orlando Magic v. Cleveland Cavaliers UNDER 188.5	Top	95-96	Loss	-110	10 h 50 m	Show
5* Wiseguy Game 2 Over/Under Bomb on Magic/Cavs UNDER 188.5 We've seen 7 of 11 games in this matchup go Under the number the last 3 seasons and I expect each team to make the proper defensive adjustments to keep this one Under the number tonight. We know Cleveland is going to show up on the defensive end after allowing 20 points more than their season average at home. The Under is 8-1 in Cavaliers last 9 playoff games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 and 14-6-1 in Cavaliers last 21 home games period. Pound the Under!
05-21-09	Denver Nuggets +5.5 v. Los Angeles Lakers		106-103	Win	100	10 h 57 m	Show
3* Game 2 BLOOD BATH on Nuggets +5.5 The Nuggets do not want to fall into a 0-2 hole knowing that history is not on their side at that point. Denver out played LA in Game 1 and I expect the Nuggets to have a win to show for it after doing the same in Game 2. Here's the key: the Nuggets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss while the Lakers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win. Plus, the Nuggets are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. I'll take in the insurance points with the Nuggets tonight!
05-21-09	Denver Nuggets v. Los Angeles Lakers OVER 211	Top	106-103	Loss	-110	10 h 57 m	Show
5* Wiseguy Western Conference Finals Total of the Year on Nuggets/Lakers OVER 211 We saw 208 points in Game 1 with the Nuggets struggling from the foul line and also only getting 16 points from their bench. I expect a very high scoring affair tonight. The Over is 4-0 in the Nuggets last 4 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game, but here's the clincher: Plays Over on Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (DENVER) - after a close loss by 3 points or less against an opponent after scoring 105 points or more are 46-14 since 1996. Pound the Over.
05-20-09	Orlando Magic +9 v. Cleveland Cavaliers	Top	107-106	Win	100	9 h 34 m	Show
5* Wiseguy GAME 1 BLOOD BATH on Magic +9 We'll have our revenge over last night's NBA defeat with the Magic tonight as they have absolutely had Cleveland's number. The Magic are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Cleveland and 10-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Orlando has been one of the best road teams and underdog teams to play on in the NBA over the last 2 seasons. The Magic are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games as a road underdog and 35-16-2 ATS in their last 53 games as an underdog period. The Cavs are only 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600. Orlando hit Boston in the mouth in its house in Game 1 and it has an excellent chance to do the same here. Bet the Magic!

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