Sports Picks & Predictions

Basketball Archive
Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
03-09-13	Texas v. Texas Tech +6.5	Top	71-69	Win	100	16 h 21 m	Show
5* Wiseguy Big 12 Game of the Month on Texas Tech +6.5 Bottom Line: Texas is a lousy 1-9 on the road this season, which tells me it is being severely overvalued here. The Longhorns have been consistently overvalued in this series and are just 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings as a result. Texas Tech lost by only 4 points in last season's home meeting, and I expect it to take the Horns right down to the wire again on senior day.
03-09-13	Dayton v. George Washington +1		80-81	Win	100	14 h 22 m	Show
4* Major on George Washington +1 Bottom Line: The home team gets the call here as it has won each of the past five matchups by an average of 12.0 points. The home side has also won 12 of the last 14. GW has won 8 of its last 11 at home versus the Flyers.
03-09-13	Pittsburgh v. DePaul +12		81-66	Loss	-106	14 h 21 m	Show
4* Major on DePaul +12 Bottom Line: DePaul hasn't forgotten about the 93-55 beating it received at Pitt. That loss is all the motivation the Blue Demons need here. DePaul beat Pitt by 3 at home last season, and it is on a 9-2 ATS run at home when up against good teams that carry a winning percentage of 60% to 80%.
03-09-13	Kansas State v. Oklahoma State -5.5		70-76	Win	100	14 h 5 m	Show
4* Major on Oklahoma State -5.5 Bottom Line: Based on the line oddsmakers are begging for action on K-State, but I won't bite. The Cowboys have won 7 of their last 8 at home in the series, and they are on an impressive 30-17 ATS run as a home favorite or pick. They have won these games by 11.7 points on average.
03-09-13	Iowa State v. West Virginia +3.5		83-74	Loss	-102	14 h 5 m	Show
4* Major on West Virginia +3.5 Bottom Line: This is a letdown spot for Iowa State following a big win over Oklahoma State on senior night. It's a bounce-back spot for West Virginia, which will be out to end a 5-game skid. The Mountaineers were handled at Oklahoma this week, but teams headed by Huggins are on a 31-15 ATS run in games following a loss of 10 points or more.
03-09-13	Florida v. Kentucky +6.5	Top	57-61	Win	100	12 h 22 m	Show
5* Wiseguy SEC Game of the Month on Kentucky +6.5 Bottom Line: Winning at Kentucky won't be easy for Florida. The Wildcats have won 7 straight on their home floor overall and 5 in a row at home in the series. The Gators are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games versus teams that have a winning record. Plus, Kentucky is on a 37-19 ATS run when out for revenge for a road defeat to a foe.
03-08-13	Dallas Mavericks v. Detroit Pistons +4	Top	102-99	Win	100	9 h 45 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NBA PRIMETIME PUNISHER on Pistons +4 Bottom Line: The Pistons have lost their last 3 ATS but that won't keep me off them here. They haven't lost more than 3 consecutive games ATS all season and are 28-14 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. Dallas is a dismal 10-21 on the road this season, a record that does not warrant being favored here. Plus, the Mavs are an ultra-soft 19-44-1 ATS in their last 64 versus the NBA Central division.
03-08-13	Oklahoma City Thunder v. Charlotte Bobcats +14.5		116-94	Loss	-110	9 h 53 m	Show
4* Major on Bobcats +14.5 Bottom Line: The Thunder were lucky to escape New York with a win last night, and I expect a flat performance from them following such an emotionally and physically draining game. That's been the norm following close wins. They are just 10-24 ATS under Brooks after a win of 3 points or fewer. They have actually lost by an average of 3.0 points in these spots.
03-08-13	Indiana St +2.5 v. Evansville	Top	51-50	Win	100	4 h 11 m	Show
5* Wiseguy MVC Tourney PUNISHER on Indiana State +2.5 Bottom Line: Indiana State saw its 4-game win streak in the series come to an end with an embarrassing 16-point loss at Evansville last game. That loss is all the motivated the Sycamores will need here. They are an awesome 8-1 ATS the last 2 seasons when out for revenge for a double-digit loss to an opponent. They have won these games by an average of 2.7 points.
03-07-13	Pepperdine +3 v. San Diego	Top	59-62	Push	0	14 h 58 m	Show
5* Wiseguy WCC Tourney GAME OF THE YEAR on Pepperdine +3 Bottom Line: Pepperdine lost at San Diego by 7 points in its last game but is on an impressive 19-8 ATS run in games following a road loss. I expect this trend to continue as the Waves have been the better team in road/neutral court battles this season. They are 6-10 in road/neutral court games while the Toreros are just 4-11. The Waves are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games played away from home while San Diego is 0-2 ATS in its last 2 and 2-4 ATS in its last 6 played away from home. Pound Pepperdine.
03-07-13	Los Angeles Clippers +4.5 v. Denver Nuggets		92-107	Loss	-103	12 h 8 m	Show
4* Major NBA Bailout on Clippers +4.5 Bottom Line: The Clippers just played last night but are an impressive 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing without a day of rest. Plus, they are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games and even 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games versus teams that have a winning record at home. The Nuggets won the previous meeting, but the Clipps are 13-4 ATS this season when out for revenge for a loss. The underdog is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings, and the Clippers are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 at Denver.
03-07-13	Louisiana Tech v. New Mexico State -2		60-78	Win	100	11 h 28 m	Show
4* Major WAC BLOOD BATH on New Mexico State -2 Bottom Line: New Mexico State lost at Denver last time out but covered the number in that contest. That sets up a favorable scenario for us here as the Aggies are 6-0 ATS under coach Menzies following a cover in a game they lost. They have won by an average of 11.4 points in this spot.
03-07-13	Southern Utah v. No. Colorado -8.5		58-66	Loss	-106	11 h 28 m	Show
4* Major Big Sky Blowout on Northern Colorado -8.5 Bottom Line: This is a huge letdown spot for Southern Utah, which left it all out on the floor against Montana but had its heart broken in OT. It will be tough to bounce back from that one, especially against a team that will be out for revenge for a 1-point loss in the first meeting. Northern Colorado is 7-0 ATS under coach Hill 15+ games into the schedule when matched up against poor defensive teams that force 12 turnovers or less per game. It has won by an average of 10.0 points in this spot.
03-07-13	Virginia Cavaliers v. FLORIDA STATE +4.5		51-53	Win	100	10 h 37 m	Show
4* Major ACC BLOOD BATH (ESPN2) on Florida State +4.5 Bottom Line: FSU has taken beatdowns seriously since Hamilton took over as head man. They are 11-3 ATS under his watch when out for revenge for a blowout loss of 20 points or more to an opponent. They have lost by only .4 points on average in this situation so they are showing nice value here.
03-06-13	New Mexico v. Nevada +9	Top	75-62	Loss	-110	11 h 19 m	Show
5* Wiseguy MWC Game of the Month on Nevada +9 Bottom Line: New Mexico has nothing left to play for as it has already clinched the league title. Nevada, meanwhile, will treat a date with the MWC champ as their national title game. The Wolf Pack are on a 15-5 ATS run in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses. They are also on a 38-18 ATS run when looking for revenge for a loss to an opponent that scored 75 points or more on them. Pound Nevada.
03-06-13	UCLA v. Washington State +3.5		61-73	Win	100	11 h 49 m	Show
4* Major Pac-12 Best Bet on Washington State +3.5 Bottom Line: The books are begging for the public to lay the points with UCLA, but the numbers suggest we should do otherwise. UCLA is only 8-15 ATS as a favorite this season, including 2-7 ATS in its last 9 in the role. I'm not getting caught in this bookmaker trap. Take the Cougars.
03-06-13	Minnesota v. Nebraska +7.5		51-53	Win	100	10 h 19 m	Show
4* Major Big 10 Best Bet on Nebraska +7.5 Bottom Line: Look for Minnesota's struggles on the road to continue here. The Gophers are 0-6 in their last 6 on the road, losing these by an average of 12.2 points.
03-06-13	Houston Rockets v. Dallas Mavericks -1.5		108-112	Win	100	8 h 22 m	Show
4* Major Western Conference BLOOD BATH on Mavs -1.5 Bottom Line: Houston ended a 9-game losing streak in the series Sunday, but I expect the Mavs to have their revenge at home where they are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings with a 7.2-point average margin of victory. The Mavericks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a loss and 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a loss of more than 10 points. Houston is 2-11 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
03-06-13	New York Knicks v. Detroit Pistons +3	Top	87-77	Loss	-100	7 h 23 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Year on Pistons +3 Bottom Line: This is a terrible spot for the Knicks for so many reasons. It's a fatigue spot as this will be their 3rd game in 4 days. It's a letdown spot following a big comeback win against Cleveland. It's a look ahead spot with the Thunder on deck tomorrow, especially since the Knicks have made easy work of the Pistons in the first three meetings. Meanwhile, this is a strong spot for Detroit. It's had two days of rest and it will be hungry to end a six-game skid in the series. The Pistons are 30-12 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 3 seasons and 11-3 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games this season. It's unclear if Melo will play but I love Detroit here regardless.
03-06-13	Oklahoma State v. Iowa State -3		76-87	Win	100	8 h 19 m	Show
4* Major Big 12 Best Bet on Iowa State -3 Bottom Line: Iowa State is 15-1 at home and should be 16-0 had officials not blew a charge call down the stretch against Kansas. The Cyclones are tough as nails at Hilton, where the magic has returned under Hoiberg. The Cowboys are a dismal 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600.
03-06-13	Georgetown v. Villanova -1		57-67	Win	100	8 h 19 m	Show
4* Major Big East Best Bet on Villanova -1 Bottom Line: Nova has defeated Marquette, Syracuse and Louisville at home so I have no doubt it can get the Hoyas too. The Wildcats are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600.
03-05-13	Denver Nuggets v. Sacramento Kings +5		120-113	Loss	-108	12 h 45 m	Show
4* Major NBA Bailout on Kings +5 Bottom Line: The Nuggets are being overvalued on the road, where they are just 13-19, because the offense has been rolling of late. They are 1-12 ATS the last 2 seasons in road games after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games. They have lost by an average of 9.2 points in this spot. The Nuggets won the season's first 2 matchups big, but the Kings are on a 12-1 ATS run when out for revenge for two consecutive double-digit defeats to an opponent.
03-05-13	Memphis v. UTEP +3		56-54	Win	100	11 h 43 m	Show
4* Major Underdog Shocker on UTEP +3 Bottom Line: UTEP is 6-0 ATS all-time under coach Floyd when it checks in off 5 straight games of committing 14 turnovers or less. It is also 7-0 ATS under Floyd at home and 15+ games into the schedule versus good rebounding teams that outrebound opponents by 4.0 or more per game. UTEP is 8-0 ATS the last 2 seasons versus teams top-level teams that have won 80% or more of their games. It has defeated these teams by an average of .8 points. Look for the Miners to pull off the shocker.
03-05-13	Wisconsin-Milwaukee +14 v. Wisconsin-Green Bay		46-62	Loss	-110	10 h 43 m	Show
4* Major Horizon League Tourney BEST BET on Wisconsin-Milwaukee +14 Bottom Line: Wisconsin-Milwaukee is a perfect 8-0 ATS the last 2 seasons when out for revenge for a double-digit road loss to an opponent. It has actually won by an average of 1.9 points in this situation.
03-05-13	Boston College v. Clemson -4.5		68-61	Loss	-106	9 h 43 m	Show
4* Major ACC BLOOD BATH on Clemson -4.5 Bottom Line: The Tigers are 5-0 in their 5 home games in the series and have won these by 15.2 points on average. Look for this trend to continue.
03-05-13	Southern Miss v. Marshall +6.5	Top	84-88	Win	100	9 h 13 m	Show
5* Wiseguy Conference USA Game of the Year on Marshall +6.5 Bottom Line: I know So. Miss rolled in the first meeting but that was at home. The Golden Eagles aren't nearly the same team on the road where they are on a 0-5-1 ATS slide and haven't won by more than 4 points during this stretch. The Golden Eagles are also 1-6-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in the series and have lost 4 of their last 5 at Marshall. Pound the Thundering Herd.
03-04-13	Charlotte Bobcats +13 v. Portland Trail Blazers		105-122	Loss	-101	12 h 55 m	Show
4* Major NBA Bailout on Bobcats +13 Bottom Line: Fading double-digit favorites that have lost at least 4 of their last 6 games, if they are playing 4 or less games in 10 days, has produced a 36-13 ATS mark since 1996. Bet the Bobcats.
03-04-13	Montana v. Southern Utah +2.5		86-74	Loss	-110	12 h 15 m	Show
4* Major on Southern Utah +2.5 Bottom Line: The Thunderbirds are showing some nice value in the home underdog role considering they are 9-4 at home this season. They are 5-2 in their last 7 home games with both of the losses coming by a single point. In terms of the line, they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 at home. I smell an upset on senior night.
03-04-13	Baylor v. Texas +1.5		70-79	Win	100	11 h 35 m	Show
4* Major on Texas +1.5 Bottom Line: The Longhorns lost the first meeting but home underdogs of pickems that are out for revenge for a road loss to an opponent, if that opponent checks in off a home loss of 3 points or less, are 42-15 ATS the last 3 seasons. Take Texas.
03-04-13	Miami Heat v. Minnesota Timberwolves +10	Top	97-81	Loss	-110	9 h 24 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NBA PRIMETIME PUNISHER on Timberwolves +10 Bottom Line: Playing on double-digit dogs that have won just 25% to 40% of their games and have failed to cover the number in at least two consecutive contests has produced a 175-110 ATS record since 1996. This system is 32-15 ATS the last 3 seasons and 10-4 ATS this season. I don't see Miami giving the Timberwolves its full attention following an emotionally and physically exhausting win in New York Sunday.
03-03-13	Atlanta Hawks +6 v. Los Angeles Lakers		98-99	Win	100	12 h 54 m	Show
4* Major NBA Bailout on Hawks +6 Bottom Line: The Lakers have been a dead fade following a victory as they are a dismal 16-36 ATS in their last 52 games following a win. They check in off a 22-point win over the T-Wolves but are even a poor 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a win of more than 10 points. The Hawks are 5-1 SU and ATS in their last 6 on the road and 19-5 ATS in road games the last 2 seasons when they enter with wins in 3 of their last 4 games.
03-03-13	Virginia Cavaliers v. Boston College +5	Top	52-53	Win	100	9 h 30 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NCAAB PUNISHER on Boston College +5 Bottom Line: Boston College has been extremely competitive at home where it has won 2 in a row and is 10-6 on the season. It is just 3-4 at home in ACC play but 3 of those losses came by 5 points or less and 2 came by a single point to Duke and Miami. In other words, BC has proven it can hang with anyone at home. Virginia, on the other hand, is just 2-5 on the road in conference play and the 5 losses have come by 8 points on average. The Cavs won the first matchup 65-51, but the Eagles are 8-1 ATS at home the last 2 seasons when looking for revenge against a team that held them to fewer than 60 points. BC has won these games straight up by .1 points on average.
03-03-13	Fairfield v. Marist +4.5		60-73	Win	100	4 h 23 m	Show
4* Major on Marist +4.5 Bottom Line: Marist has won its last two games, and it's not about to let its foot off the pas pedal with a visit from Fairfield on senior day. MAAC followers recall that Fairfield won the first meeting 71-37. That's the kind of loss you just don't forget about. I believe Marist has an excellent shot at revenge here given its recent history at home in revenge spots. The Red Foxes are 14-5 ATS in home games when out for revenge for a road loss to an opponent over the last 3 seasons. They are also 16-6 ATS when out for revenge for a road loss of 10 points or more to an opponent over the last 3 seasons. On average, they didn't win these 22 games straight up. However, they lost them by only 1.9 points on average. It also looks good for us that Fairfield enters off a loss at Manhattan. That's because the Stags are 0-7 ATS the last 2 seasons when checking into a game off a road loss to a conference foe. They have lost by an average of 2.7 points in these contests.
03-02-13	Air Force v. Fresno State -1		41-56	Win	100	14 h 5 m	Show
4* Major on Fresno State -1 Bottom Line: The Bulldogs are coming off a loss at Colorado State but are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss and 10-2 ATS off a road loss to a conference foe over the last 2 seasons. Plus, Air Force can't be trusted on the road where it has lost 3 in a row and 6 of 7.
03-02-13	Vanderbilt v. Auburn +2		62-55	Loss	-110	13 h 6 m	Show
4* Major on Auburn +2 Bottom Line: I like Auburn in the home dog role here considering it is on a 10-2 ATS run when checking into a game off 5 or more consecutive losses. It has won by an average of 2.6 points in these contests. The Tigers are also on a 9-1 ATS run following 2 straight losses of 15 points or more. Vandy is way down this season and doesn't deserve to be laying points on the road even if it has won a few lately.
03-02-13	Toronto Raptors +5.5 v. Milwaukee Bucks		114-122	Loss	-106	10 h 37 m	Show
4* Major NBA Play of the Day on Raptors +5.5 Bottom Line: The Raptors were defeated at home by Indiana last night, but they have been trustworthy on the road and with short rest. They have covered the number in 6 of their last 7 on the highway. Also, they are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games when playing without a days' rest. The Bucks are just 9-18 ATS at home this season and 15-27 ATS as a home favorite the last 2 seasons.
03-02-13	Eastern Kentucky v. Tennessee State	Top	81-85	Win	100	13 h 36 m	Show
5* Wiseguy OVC Game of the Year on Tennessee State pk Bottom Line: Tennessee State has lost its last 2 at home by 3 points combined, which should only fuel a team (on senior night) that was 10-0 at home prior to those losses. The Tigers kicked first-place Belmont by 11 at home, which tells me they have what it takes to put a beating on EKU. Plus, the home team has completely dominated this series, winning 5 in a row and 8 of the last 9. Tennessee State shines tonight.
03-02-13	Kansas State v. Baylor -2.5		64-61	Loss	-114	11 h 7 m	Show
4* Major on Baylor -2.5 Bottom Line: Baylor was smacked at K-State, but I really like its chances at home. There's a lot of talk that the Bears need another quality win to get off the bubble so they'll go after this one like there's no tomorrow. Baylor is a solid 63-49 ATS when looking for revenge for a loss to an opponent under coach Drew. Also, the Wildcats are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 road games versus a team with a winning home record.
03-02-13	Miami (Fla) v. Duke -6.5		76-79	Loss	-110	10 h 18 m	Show
4* Major on Duke -6.5 Bottom Line: Duke was crushed by 27 at Miami in a game where it shot 29.7%. The Blue Devils have had issues on the road but none whatsoever at home where they are 14-0 with a 20-point average winning margin. You know what they say about paybacks. Duke has its revenge.
03-02-13	Akron v. Buffalo +7		67-81	Win	100	10 h 7 m	Show
3* Surefire on Buffalo +7 Bottom Line: Letdown spot for Akron following a big OT win at Ohio. Buffalo lost by just 4 points in the first meeting so it will going into this one believing it can win. The Bulls are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600.
03-02-13	Mississippi v. Mississippi State +12.5		67-73	Win	100	9 h 9 m	Show
4* Major on Mississippi State +12.5 Bottom Line: Mississippi State can't wait for the season to be over. However, it won't roll over for rival Ole Miss, which has lost its last 4 on the road. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. The Rebels are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings at Mississippi State.
03-02-13	North Dakota State v. Nebraska Omaha +14		84-57	Loss	-110	9 h 9 m	Show
4* Major on Nebraska-Omaha +14 Bottom Line: UNO was humiliated 95-51 at North Dakota State clear back in November, but that was before the Mavs started played some ball. They have quietly won 3 of 4 and 6 of 9 and will be chomping at the bit for another shot at the Bison, which are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games.
03-02-13	Kentucky v. Arkansas -3		60-73	Win	100	8 h 10 m	Show
4* Major on Arkansas -3 Bottom Line: Arkansas is one tough cookie at home where it is 16-1 this season with a double-digit win over Florida. The Razorbacks have lost their last two but both of those were on the road. They're 11-2 ATS in home games following a road loss over the last 3 seasons, winning these by an average of 9.6 points.
03-02-13	UNLV v. Nevada +5.5		80-63	Loss	-122	8 h 9 m	Show
4* Major on Nevada +5.5 Bottom Line: UNLV rolled at Wyoming last time out, but it is only 4-18 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons, including 2-12 ATS as a road favorite or pick during this span. The Rebs are also 0-7 ATS after a win by 15 points or more this season and 0-6 ATS in road games after a blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
03-02-13	St. Louis v. George Washington +6.5	Top	66-58	Loss	-110	8 h 9 m	Show
5* Wiseguy A-10 Game of the Month on George Washington +6.5 Bottom Line: Love the home team in this matchup. The home side has won each of the last 8 meetings with 4 of those wins coming by double digits and the other 4 coming by at least 4 points. The Billikens are 0-3 ATS in the last 3 meetings at George Washington, losing those by 6, 5 and 29.
03-02-13	Kent State v. Miami Ohio +3.5		78-58	Loss	-110	7 h 11 m	Show
4* Major on Miami Ohio +3.5 Bottom Line: The Redhawks lost by 17 in the first meeting and are catching just 3.5 here? Books are clearly looking to trap the public as they expect a big effort from Miami Ohio on senior day. The Redhawks are 4-0 in their last 4 at home in the series.
03-02-13	UTEP v. Rice +9.5		67-56	Loss	-106	6 h 3 m	Show
3* Surefire on Rice +9.5 Bottom Line: UTEP is getting too much respect on the road. It's just 2-10 in games played away from home this season, including 0-4 in its last 4.
03-01-13	Oklahoma City Thunder v. Denver Nuggets		103-105	Loss	-110	11 h 38 m	Show
4* Major NBA Bailout on Thunder pk Bottom Line: Road favorites that have a winning record and are off 2 consecutive home wins of 10 points or more are 60-20 ATS the last 5 seasons.
03-01-13	Memphis Grizzlies v. Miami Heat -8	Top	91-98	Loss	-102	8 h 58 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NBA PRIMETIME PUNISHER on Heat -8 Bottom Line: Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are looking for revenge for a road loss of 10 points or more to an opponent, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), are 111-65 ATS since 1996.
03-01-13	Yale v. Columbia -4.5		46-59	Win	100	8 h 23 m	Show
4* Major on Columbia -4.5 Bottom Line: Plays on favorites that have been held to 65 points or less in 3 straight games, with all five starters returning from last season, are 70-39 ATS the last 5 seasons.
03-01-13	Brown v. Cornell -5.5		84-65	Loss	-106	8 h 14 m	Show
4* Major on Cornell -5.5 Bottom Line: Cornell is 8-0 ATS after a loss by 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
03-01-13	Harvard v. Princeton -5.5	Top	53-58	Loss	-112	8 h 24 m	Show
5* Wiseguy CBB PRIMETIME PUNISHER on Princeton -5.5 Bottom Line: Plays on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are looking for revenge for a same-season loss to an opponent, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 80%), are 116-72 ATS the last 5 seasons and 62-36 ATS the last 3 seasons.
02-28-13	Cal Santa Barbara +9 v. Hawaii		66-70	Win	100	14 h 47 m	Show
4* Major CBB Bailout on Cal Santa Barbara +9 Bottom Line: Hawaii can't be trusted laying this many points. It has won only 2 of its 7 conference home games by more than 9 points. The Warriors won the first meeting 78-73 but UCSB is 16-6 ATS all-time under Bob Williams in road games when out for revenge for a loss where it gave up 75 points or more. His teams have lost by just 1.0 point on average in these contests. Also, the Gauchos are a strong 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games versus a team with a winning record.
02-28-13	Minnesota Timberwolves +10.5 v. Los Angeles Lakers		94-116	Loss	-110	12 h 28 m	Show
4* Major NBA Bailout on T-Wolves +10.5 Bottom Line: The Lakers are being overvalued at home as they so often are. They are only 10-22 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons. The T-Wolves have struggled on the defensive end but the Lakers haven't been able to take advantage against such teams in terms of the spread. They are 0-9 ATS in home games in the 2nd half of the season the last 3 seasons versus poor defensive teams that allow their opponents to shoot 46% or better. The Lakers have won these games but only by 4.0 points. The Lakers haven't been hitting the offensive glass very well the past couple games and that's cause for concern. They are 0-8 ATS this season after 2 straight games with 10 or less offensive rebounds.
02-28-13	Middle Tennessee St v. Troy +13.5	Top	66-56	Win	100	10 h 19 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NCAAB PRIMETIME PUNISHER on Troy +13.5 Bottom Line: Middle Tennessee won the first meeting 93-41 but that was at home. The Blue Raiders haven't been nearly as dominant on the road where they have lost of won by fewer than 10 points in 8 of their last 9 road games. Middle Tennessee is 0-6 ATS this season when it hits the road following a double-digit win in conference play. It is also 0-6 ATS this season in road games after allowing 60 points or less 2 straight games. It's 0-7 ATS in road games after playing a game as a home favorite this season. Pound Troy.
02-28-13	North Carolina v. Clemson +3		68-59	Loss	-110	9 h 49 m	Show
4* Major on Clemson +3 Bottom Line: Clemson suffered a letdown at Maryland after playing Miami to a 2-point game, but the beating it took at the hands of the Terps places it in a solid wagering situation here. The Tigers are an impressive 28-13 ATS in home games following a loss of 10 points or more to a conference opponent since 1997.
02-27-13	Arizona v. USC +7		78-89	Win	100	12 h 59 m	Show
4* Major on USC +7 Bottom Line: The Wildcats are a dismal 2-10 ATS off a home win against a conference foe over the last 2 seasons. They have actually lost by .3 points on average in this spot.
02-27-13	Atlanta Hawks v. Utah Jazz -4.5		102-91	Loss	-110	10 h 5 m	Show
4* Major on Jazz -4.5 Bottom Line: The Jazz are 21-7 at home where they beat Miami by 7 and OKC by 15. This just goes to show you how hard it is to beat Utah on its home floor. Also, the Jazz are 12-2 in their last 14 home meetings versus Atlanta.
02-27-13	Houston v. UTEP -9.5		53-63	Win	100	11 h 29 m	Show
4* Major on UTEP -9.5 Bottom Line: UTEP was upset 79-61 in the season's first meeting but is a perfect 6-0 ATS the last two seasons when out to avenge a loss of 10 points or more to an opponent.
02-27-13	Oklahoma v. Texas +2.5		86-92	Win	100	11 h 28 m	Show
4* Major on Texas +2.5 Bottom Line: The Sooners are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings overall and 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Texas. The Longhorns are 8-2 ATS this season after a game where they failed to cover the number.
02-27-13	Mississippi State +19 v. Kentucky		55-85	Loss	-110	10 h 29 m	Show
4* Major on Mississippi State +19 Bottom Line: The underdog is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Also, the Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings at Kentucky. The Wildcats are being overvalued here just as they have been all season. Mississippi State is coming off an ugly loss and will be that much more motivated as a result.
02-27-13	Maryland Terrapins v. Georgia Tech		68-78	Win	100	10 h 28 m	Show
4* Major on Georgia Tech pk Bottom Line: Maryland is 2-10 ATS under Mark Turgeon following a win against a conference rival. The Terrapins are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 road games versus a team with a winning home record.
02-27-13	Missouri State v. Illinois State -11.5	Top	50-86	Win	100	10 h 29 m	Show
5* Wiseguy MVC Game of the Week on Illinois State -11.5 Bottom Line: You want to play home favorites or picks that check in off two or more upset losses on the road. That's because they are 70-35 ATS since 1997. This system tightens up to 25-5 ATS during this span if the team you're playing on returned 4 starters from last season. That's the case here. Pound the Redbirds.
02-27-13	Toronto Raptors -3 v. Cleveland Cavaliers	Top	92-103	Loss	-103	8 h 5 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NBA PRIMETIME PUNISHER on Raptors -3 Bottom Line: The Cavs managed to beat Chicago last night without Kyrie Irving, but that's not something that's going to happen too often. Irving is still expected to be out tonight, and the Cavs will come back down to earth as fatigue sets in from them playing their 4th game in 5 days. The Raptors are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games versus a team with a losing home record. The Raptors are also 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Cleveland, and the road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Pound Toronto.
02-27-13	Oklahoma State v. Texas Christian +15.5		64-47	Loss	-106	9 h 28 m	Show
4* Major on TCU +15.5 Bottom Line: This is a lot of points for an Oklahoma State to be laying on the road. We're talking about a team that's 18-30 ATS in road games under Ford.
02-27-13	Akron v. Ohio -3.5	Top	88-81	Loss	-110	9 h 30 m	Show
5* Wiseguy MAC Game of the Year on Ohio -3.5 Bottom Line: Ohio lost at Akron by 14 in the first meeting, but I love it at home in this revenge spot with a chance to tie the Zips for first place in the MAC standings. The Bobcats are on a terrific 44-24 ATS run at home as a favorite of 6 points or less or pick. They are also on a 42-25 ATS run when looking for revenge for a double-digit defeat to a foe. They are on a 42-22 ATS run when out for revenge for a same season loss to a foe. Pound Ohio.
02-26-13	Wake Forest v. Florida State -5	Top	62-76	Win	100	12 h 46 m	Show
5* Wiseguy ACC Game of the Year on Florida State -5 Bottom Line: After back-to-back double-digit defeats on the road, and with a 71-46 loss at Wake adding fuel to the fire, expect Florida State to roll at home here. FSU is 29-15 ATS all-time when out for revenge for a same-season loss to an opponent under coach Leonard Hamilton. It is also 10-2 ATS under Hamilton in home games when coming off 2 or more consecutive losses on the road. Prior to being blown out by Wake earlier in the month, the Noles had won 4 straight in the series with the last 3 wins coming by 24, 18 and 23 points. Everything points to FSU being extremely motivated here. Plus, it catches Wake in a letdown spot following its season-making win over Miami. Pound FSU.
02-26-13	Milwaukee Bucks v. Dallas Mavericks OVER 211		95-90	Loss	-106	8 h 15 m	Show
4* Major NBA "Total" Dominator on Bucks/Mavs OVER 211 Bottom Line: The Bucks are rested and should have little trouble scoring on a Dallas squad that ranks near the bottom of the league in scoring defense. The Bucks are 6-1-1 over in their last 8 games when playing on 2 days' rest. They are also 5-2 over in their last 7 road games. The Mavs are 7-2 over in their last 9 at home and 7-0 over in their last 7 versus the East. The over is 17-4 in the last 21 meetings between these two and 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Dallas. Bet the Over.
02-26-13	Indiana v. Minnesota +6.5	Top	73-77	Win	100	10 h 47 m	Show
5* Wiseguy Big 10 Game of the Week on Minnesota +6.5 Bottom Line: Minnesota is 13-2 at home this season with only 1 of the losses coming by more than 6 points. Plus, its won 9 of its last 12 home meetings with the Hoosiers. The Golden Gophers played Indiana to a 7-point game on the road in the first meeting and are catching nearly that number here as Indiana is being overvalued like you would expect the top team in the country to be. The Hoosiers are 4-14 ATS all-time in road games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games under coach Tom Crean. They've lost these contests by an average of 7.7 points. Trust me, the Gophers are big enough, athletic enough and physical enough to give Indiana some fits. Bet Minnesota.
02-25-13	Boston Celtics v. Utah Jazz -7		110-107	Loss	-108	10 h 57 m	Show
4* Major NBA Bailout on Jazz -7 Bottom Line: Utah is one of the very best home teams in the NBA and it has especially been dangerous at home versus the East. In fact, it is 13-4 ATS in home games versus Eastern Conference foes the last two seasons and has won these games by an average of 8.6 points. Boston's fatigue showed late last night against Portland and it will be even more fatigued tonight as it steps on an opponent's floor for the 5th time in 7 days. The C's are just 6-16 ATS on the road in the 2nd game of a back-to-back the last 2 seasons.
02-25-13	Villanova v. Seton Hall +5		65-66	Win	100	10 h 51 m	Show
4* Major Big East BLOOD BATH (ESPNU) on Seton Hall +5 Bottom Line: Both teams face the challenging task of competing on just one day of rest, but Seton Hall holds the advantage in this spot at home. That's because it is 6-0 ATS the last 3 seasons in home games when playing with 1 day of rest or none. It's also worth mentioning that the Pirates have lost by more than 5 points at home to Villanova just twice in the last nine meetings.
02-25-13	Atlanta Hawks v. Detroit Pistons +3	Top	114-103	Loss	-105	8 h 27 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NBA PRIMETIME PUNISHER on Pistons +3 Bottom Line: The Hawks enter off back-to-back wins both SU and ATS and will be out to avenge last month's loss at Detroit. However, they are just 21-35 ATS when looking to avenge a road loss to an opponent over the last 3 seasons, 6-21 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons and 24-40 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons. Detroit has failed to cover the number in its last two and is off an 18-point home loss to the Pacers. But, it is 16-5 ATS in home games off a home loss over the last 3 seasons, 18-7 ATS in home games after a blowout loss of 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons and 10-2 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games this season.
02-25-13	Texas Tech +19.5 v. Kansas State		55-75	Loss	-110	8 h 51 m	Show
4* Big 12 BLOOD BATH (ESPNU) on Texas Tech +19.5 Bottom Line: Texas Tech lost the season's first meeting with K-State and was blown out by 20 at Iowa State Saturday but underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points that are out for revenge for a home loss to an opponent and are playing the 2nd road game in 3 days are 123-76 ATS the last 5 seasons. Also, underdogs of 10 points or more that are out for revenge for a home loss to an opponent and are coming off a loss of 20 points or more to a conference foe are 82-48 ATS the last 5 seasons.
02-24-13	Temple v. Charlotte U +1.5	Top	71-51	Loss	-110	8 h 44 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NCAAB PUNISHER on Charlotte +1.5 Bottom Line: Charlotte is 11-1 at home this season and has won 4 of its last 5 at home versus Temple. The Owls are just 3-4 in their last 7 on the road and 2 of those wins came by a single point. The other came by only 2 points so I think there is solid value with the 49ers catching 1.5 here.
02-24-13	Golden State Warriors v. Minnesota Timberwolves +1.5	Top	100-99	Win	100	7 h 18 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NBA PUNISHER on T-Wolves +1.5 Bottom Line: Golden State enters off back-to-back wins SU and ATS but is a poor 0-7 ATS in road games following covers in 2 or more consecutive games this season. It has fallen hard in these spots, losing by an average score of 105.1 to 91.3.
02-24-13	Cincinnati +3.5 v. Notre Dame		41-62	Loss	-115	6 h 44 m	Show
4* Major National TV BLOOD BATH (CBS) on Cincinnati +3.5 Bottom Line: The Bearcats were upset at home by Notre Dame last month but are an outstanding 8-0 ATS on the road when looking for revenge for a defeat to a foe over the last 2 seasons. They have won by an average score of 69.6 to 61.0 in this spot.
02-23-13	Missouri v. Kentucky -1.5		83-90	Win	100	12 h 26 m	Show
4* Major on Kentucky -1.5 Bottom Line: Expect Mizzou to suffer a letdown following an enormous win over Florida. It is just 1-6 in true road games while Kentucky is 13-2 at home and in need of building its resume. The Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games versus a team with a winning home record.
02-23-13	Stanford v. Oregon -5		66-77	Win	100	12 h 31 m	Show
4* Major on Oregon -5 Bottom Line: Huge revenge spot for Oregon which was embarrassed 76-52 at Stanford last month. The Ducks are 13-4 ATS when out for revenge for a loss to a team they allowed to score 75 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
02-23-13	Connecticut v. DePaul +5.5	Top	81-69	Loss	-106	11 h 29 m	Show
5* Wiseguy Big East Game of the Week on DePaul +5.5 Bottom Line: The Huskies haven't been on the road in nearly two weeks and that spells trouble as they are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games following three or more consecutive home games. The Blue Demons were blasted last time out but are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss of more than 20 points. Also, the home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
02-23-13	Miami Heat v. Philadelphia 76ers +7.5	Top	114-90	Loss	-110	9 h 50 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NBA PRIMETIME PUNISHER on 76ers +7.5 Bottom Line: Plays on home underdogs that failed to cover the spread in their last game and are playing 3 or fewer games in 10 days are 72-36 ATS since 1996. The rest factor is huge because the Heat will be playing their third game in four days. The 76ers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games when playing on 2 days rest, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Southeast division opponents.
02-23-13	Elon v. Tenn Chattanooga +5.5		68-72	Win	100	11 h 2 m	Show
4* Major on Tennessee Chat +5.5 Bottom Line: Elon is 0-3 ATS in its last 3 road games and 2-5 ATS in its last 7. The Mocs are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 home games.
02-23-13	UNLV v. Wyoming +2.5		65-42	Loss	-113	11 h 2 m	Show
4* Major on Wyoming +2.5 Bottom Line: UNLV is an ultra-soft 1-12 ATS as a road favorite or pickem over the last 2 seasons.
02-23-13	Arkansas v. Florida -18.5		54-71	Loss	-106	10 h 27 m	Show
4* Major on Florida -18.5 Bottom Line: Highly motivated spot for Florida, which is off a loss to Mizzou and out for revenge for a loss to Arkansas. Prior to losing at Arkansas earlier in the month, the Gators had won back-to-back games against the Razorbacks by 30 or more.
02-23-13	Delaware v. North Carolina-Wilmington +4		79-78	Win	100	10 h 20 m	Show
4* Major on NC Wilmington +4 Bottom Line: The Seahawks are showing good value catching four at home considering they have won eight straight at home against Delaware.
02-23-13	St. Bonaventure v. Duquesne +4.5		78-71	Loss	-106	11 h 33 m	Show
4* Major on Duquesne +4.5 Bottom Line: The Bonnies are on a 4-13 ATS skid in road games following a home win against a conference opponent.
02-23-13	Nevada +14.5 v. San Diego St		75-88	Win	100	10 h 33 m	Show
4* Major on Nevada +14.5 Bottom Line: Nevada was upset at home by Fresno State Tuesday but is on an 11-1 ATS run in road games following a home upset loss to a conference rival.
02-23-13	California v. Oregon State +1.5	Top	60-59	Win	100	10 h 34 m	Show
5* Wiseguy Pac-12 Game of the Week on Oregon State +1.5 Bottom Line: I'm expecting Cal to suffer a letdown following Thursday's big win at Oregon. The Beavers are dropped their last two but are 6-0 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses this season. They are also 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings in this series.
02-23-13	Baylor +3.5 v. Oklahoma		76-90	Loss	-106	9 h 35 m	Show
4* Major on Baylor +3.5 Bottom Line: Baylor lost the season's first meeting at home, but I expect it to return the favor. The Bears are on a 23-12 ATS run in road games when out to avenge a home loss to a foe.
02-23-13	Washington State +15.5 v. Arizona		56-73	Loss	-110	7 h 35 m	Show
4* Major on Washington State +15.5 Bottom Line: Zona is being overvalued, as it so often is in conference play, following a blowout win over Washington. The Wildcats are just 1-10 ATS off a home win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
02-23-13	Oklahoma State v. West Virginia +4		73-57	Loss	-110	5 h 23 m	Show
4* Major on West Virginia +4 Bottom Line: I expect Oklahoma State to suffer a letdown on the road today following a devastating loss to Kansas. The Cowboys are on a 17-30 ATS slide in road contests, and the Moutaineers are on a 13-5 ATS run off a road loss of 10 points or more.
02-23-13	Iowa v. Nebraska +6		60-64	Win	100	6 h 36 m	Show
4* Major on Nebraska +6 Bottom Line: Nebraska has played some good teams tough at home (Michigan State, Ohio State and Wisconsin) so it can certainly hang with the Hawkeyes who are only 2-6 in true road games this season. One of those wins came by just 2 points against lowly Penn State.
02-23-13	Richmond v. Fordham +6.5		72-55	Loss	-106	4 h 28 m	Show
4* Major on Fordham +6.5 Bottom Line: Fordham will be the more motivated team without a doubt as it was embarrassed 102-58 at Richmond in the last meeting. The Spiders are a soft 6-17 ATS in all lined games this season, including 2-8 ATS on the road. Fordham, on the other hand, is 7-1 ATS this season after 3 or more consecutive losses.
02-23-13	Dayton v. Massachusetts -3		66-76	Win	100	4 h 25 m	Show
4* Major on Massachusetts -3 Bottom Line: Motivated by 3 consecutive defeats and a 33-point loss at Dayton in the last meeting, the Minutemen will be hungry here to say the least. The line is significant as UMass is 13-4 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pickem over the last 3 seasons.
02-23-13	Seton Hall +19 v. Louisville		61-79	Win	100	4 h 38 m	Show
4* Major on Seton Hall +19 Bottom Line: Fading home favorites or pickems that check in off 2 straight wins against conference rivals and are matched up against an opponent off 2 consecutive home losses of 10 points or more has produced a 44-15 ATS record since 1997.
02-22-13	Portland Trail Blazers +9 v. Los Angeles Lakers	Top	107-111	Win	100	13 h 25 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Week on Blazers +9 Bottom Line: Off 6 consecutive losses both SU and ATS, now is the time to back the Blazers. February road teams that are riding a losing streak of 6 games or more are an awesome 25-9 ATS the last 5 seasons. These teams have been underdogs of 8.7 points on average but have lost by just 3.4 points on average. The Lakers are coming off an emotional win over Boston in the wake of Jerry Buss' death, but I don't believe they can duplicate that performance against a Portland team that will be hungry to get off the snide. The Lakers are 16-39-1 ATS in their last 56 games versus a team with a losing record and 15-35-1 ATS in their last 51 games following an ATS win. Pound Portland.
02-22-13	Minnesota Timberwolves v. Oklahoma City Thunder -13		111-127	Win	100	11 h 37 m	Show
4* Major on Thunder -13 Bottom Line: Poor Minnesota. The last time it visited OKC (1/9/13), the Thunder were coming off a loss at Washington. They proceeded to crush the Wolves 106-84. This time, the Thunder are coming off 3 consecutive defeats and Minnesota will once again pay the price. The T-Wolves are on a 1-10 ATS slide in road games played in the 2nd half of the schedule versus very good shooting teams that make 48% of their attempts or more. They have lost to these teams by an average of 19.2 points.
02-22-13	Houston Rockets v. Brooklyn Nets -1.5		106-96	Loss	-105	10 h 8 m	Show
4* Major on Nets -1.5 Bottom Line: Look for Houston to suffer a letdown on the road following a huge win over OKC last time out. The Rockets haven't been the same team on the highway where they are only 11-18 on the season. Brooklyn, on the other hand, has enjoyed its new building. It's 20-10 there this season. The home team has covered the spread in 5 of the last 7 meetings, and I expect this trend to continue.
02-22-13	St. Louis v. Butler -2		65-61	Loss	-108	10 h 52 m	Show
4* Major A-10 BLOOD BATH (ESPNU) on Butler -2 Bottom Line: I'll gladly roll with Butler laying a small number at home in this revenge spot. The Bulldogs are 13-1 in their building this season, and this is a team that has wins over Indiana and Gonzaga. Butler is 28-11 ATS under coach Stevens when up against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%). This trend tightens up to 13-4 ATS if the game takes place at least 15 games into the season.
02-22-13	Harvard v. Brown +7	Top	65-47	Loss	-110	10 h 51 m	Show
5* Wiseguy Ivy League Game of the Year on Brown +7 Bottom Line: I believe Harvard gets caught looking ahead to tomorrow's big rivalry game at Yale. On the other side, there's no chance this experienced Brown team won't be focused as it looks to end a 7-game losing streak in the series. The Crimson are just 8-21 ATS under coach Amaker off 2 straight wins against conference rivals. They are 2-9 ATS in road games under their coach when off a home win against a conference rival. Also, the Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games versus a team with a losing road record. And, the Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Pound Brown.
02-21-13	San Antonio Spurs +3 v. Los Angeles Clippers	Top	116-90	Win	100	13 h 21 m	Show
5* Wiseguy NBA Best Bet Bailout on Spurs +3 Bottom Line: The Spurs have lost the season's first two meetings with the Clippers but both losses took place clear back in November before they hit their stride. They'll be out for revenge tonight, and I fully expect them to get it. Revenge has been a strong angle to play with the Spurs. They are 55-38 ATS under coach Popovich in road games when looking for revenge for an upset loss at home to an opponent. They are also 34-19 ATS under Pop when out for revenge for two consecutive upset losses to an opponent. They have won by an average of 7.1 points in this situation. Pound the Spurs.

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