Sports Picks & Predictions

5* Wiseguy NBA Friday Night Game of the Month on Thunder -1.5
Bottom Line: I know the Raptors can be pretty tough north of the border, but I'll take the more talented Thunder in this bounce back spot. The Thunder are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings and 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Toronto. The Raptors are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games overall and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games. Thunder are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 4.5 or fewer points and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. Lastly, the Thunder are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 Friday games. We'll take OKC tonight.

5* Wiseguy Friday NCAA Tourney *BLOOD BATH* on Purdue -4
Bottom Line: Plays on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, in a game involving two top-level teams (>= 80%), are 83-39 ATS since 1997, 32-13 ATS the last 3 seasons and a perfect 3-0 ATS this season. Teams in this situation have won by an average of 9.4 points dating back to 1997. Off an embarrassing loss in the Big Ten Tourney, Purdue will be out for blood here. The Boilermakers may be without Hummel, but they still have plenty of talent remaining to cover this number. Lay the points.

4* Major 1st Round Blowout on Tennessee -3
Bottom Line: The Vols will be ready to run up the score after getting completely embarrassed by Kentucky in the SEC tournament. Tennessee is responsible for handing both Kansas and Kentucky 1 of their 2 losses on the season so the Vols can play. Add the motivational factor and we have ourselves a solid blowout situation. History confirms that we are on the right side here when you consider that plays on neutral court teams as a favorite or pick (TENNESSEE) off a loss against a conference rival, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 80%), are 54-24 ATS the last 5 seasons (69.2%). Lay the points as I like Tennessee to stretch this one out to a double digit win.

4* Major NBA on TNT *BLOOD BATH* on Magic -2
Bottom Line: Miami may hang around for a while in this one, but expect it to be a blood bath when the final buzzer goes off. After losing the first two meetings of the season to the Heat, the Magic responded with a 16-point blowout last month and I expect them to roll by double digits again. Miami is 0-8 ATS after covering 5 or 6 of its last 7 against the spread this season, losing in these spots by 9.9 points on average. The Heat are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 4.5 or fewer points while the Magic are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite of 4.5 or less. Plus, the Magic are 11-4-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings. We'll lay the number.

4* Major Perfect Angle Power Play on North Texas +16
Bottom Line: The Mean Green Eagles have proven to be a tremendous underdog as they are 33-16-2 ATS in their last 51 games in the underdog role. Plus, the Mean Green Eagles are 5-0-2 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 13.0 or greater. They are also 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. the Big 12, 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win. Look for an experienced North Texas team to keep this one within the number.

5* Wiseguy NCAA Tournament Underdog of the Year on Florida +5
Bottom Line: The Gators are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 NCAA Tournament games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 NCAA Tournament games as an underdog. The Cougars are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 NCAA Tournament games and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games as a favorite. This Florida team is much better than it is getting credit for with this line when you consider its talent level and the fact that it played in a better league from top to bottom than the Mountain West. Here's the icing on the cake. The Cougars are 0-7 ATS in the postseason tournament games when playing away from home since 1997, losing in these spots by an average of 9.8 points. Look for Florida to pull off the upset.

5* Wiseguy 2010 NBA Underdog of the Year on LA Clippers +5.5
Bottom Line: First off, the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Secondly, the Bucks are just 2-9-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings and only 1-5-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles. Milwaukee has been a great team to ride of late, but now I think it's time to fade away as odds makers are really overvaluing the Bucks right now. The first evidence of this was Sunday when they were favored by 9.5 points against Indiana and only won by 4. The Clippers will be extremely motivated in this spot as they are rested and ready to end an 8-game skid. The Bucks are just 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Plus, the Clippers are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Take the points.

4* Major NCAAB Game of the Night on Stony Brook +6.5
Bottom Line: Stony Brook is 12-1 at home this season, and I think it has an excellent chance to pull off the upset tonight against an Illinois that is not excited about playing in the NIT. After taking Ohio St. to double overtime in the Big 10 tournament, the Buckeyes really believed they deserved a trip to the Big Dance. I just don't expect them to embrace this game tonight. The Fighting Illini are just 4-10 ATS in their last 14 non-conference games and only 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games as a favorite. Just don't trust Illinois in the road chalk. We'll take the points.

4* Major ESPN Prime Time Total on Spurs/Magic UNDER 193
Bottom Line: The Magic have played to the Under in 10 of their last 13, the Spurs in 5 of their last 7. Without Tony Parker in the lineup to push the pace, I expect a halfcourt affair tonight in Orlando. The Under is 7-0 in the Spurs' last 7 games as a road underdog. The Under is 22-6-1 in the Magic's last 29 games as a favorite and 15-5-1 in their last 21 home games. Expect a defensive battle tonight. Bet the Under.

4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Lakers/Kings UNDER 208
Bottom Line: The Under is 9-3 in the Lakers' last 12 road games, 8-2 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, 5-0 in their last 5 games following an ATS defeat and 4-0 in their last 4 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Tuesday has been a flat night for the Kings over the course of the season, and the Under is 9-2-1 in their last 12 Tuesday games as a result. Plus, the Under is 7-1 in their last 8 vs. the NBA Pacific. After a physically taxing uptempo game at Golden State last night, look for the Lakers to control the tempo more tonight, slowing things down to take advantage of their size up front. Pound the Under.

5* Wiseguy Play-in Game Monster BEST BET (ESPN) on Arkansas Pine Bluff +4
Bottom Line: It makes sense to play against neutral court favorites (or picks) that are poor offensive team scoring <=64 points/game on the season, after allowing 60 points or less 2 straight games, as these plays are 24-9 ATS the last 5 seasons and 17-6 ATS over the last 3 seasons. I'm not about to lay points with a Winthrop team only shooting 38.3% from the field on the season. Plus, it can't go unmentioned with the way the Golden Lions challenged themselves this season, playing a lot of Major Conference and NCAA Tourney teams on the road during their non-conference slate. I think these games will really benefit them in an environment like they will see tonight. Plus, the Eagles are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. We'll take Pine Bluff and the points tonight as I like them to pull off the upset.

4* Major College Insider Tourney Blowout on Marshall -11
Bottom Line: W. Carolina is on a 6-21 ATS slide when taking on good offensive teams scoring 77+ points/game, after 15+ games into the season. Marshall averages 89 ppg at home where it is winning by 21.6 points on average. Marshall will be too explosive for the Catamounts tonight.

4* Major ESPN Prime Time Total on Pistons/Celtics OVER 195
Bottom Line: While this matchup has been an Unders machine in the past, we have started to see things change with both of these teams as neither is the defensive powerhouse it once was. In fact, the last meeting between these teams totaled 205 points. And Boston has shown that it can score a lot of points in motivated spots. As a result, the Over is 5-0 in the Celtics' last 5 games following a S.U. loss. Plus, the Over is 22-5 in the Celtics' last 27 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. The Over is also 5-1 in the Pistons' last 6 games as an underdog. Take the Over.

5* Wiseguy Monday Night NBA Blowout on 76ers -3
Bottom Line: The public is all over the Knicks, and this line tells me the odds makers are confident the 76ers are going to win. NY looked like an unstoppable team Saturday against the Mavs, but that doesn't mean they'll get the job done tonight against a more motivated team. In fact, the Knicks are just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a win. And NY just doesn't cover consecutive games. It is 9-19 ATS after a game where it covered the spread this season and 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games following an ATS win. The Knicks are also just 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Philadelphia. After a loss in Miami Sunday, and after suffering their first loss to the Knicks in 7 meetings in January, look for the 76ers to be extremely motivated tonight. We'll lay the points.

4* Major Sunday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Jazz +2
Bottom Line: The Jazz are one of the best bounce back teams in the NBA, having not lost consecutive games in more than 2 months. In fact, the Jazz are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games following a S.U. loss. And they will be further motivated by 2 prior losses to OKC this season. The Jazz are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 road games, 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog and 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Plus, the road team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. We'll take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA National TV Game of the Month (ABC) on Celtics +7.5
Bottom Line: Boston is coming off a confidence-boosting blowout win over Indiana. It will use that momentum, as well as motivation from a 20-point home loss to Cleveland last month, to take care of business for us here today. Without Shaq, Boston has an edge on the interior. I expect this to be where the Celtics can really give Cleveland some problems. Plus, Boston has been figured out of the title race by many experts because of their recent struggles so I look for the Celtics to make a bold statement. The Celtics are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games while the Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. Also, plays on road teams (BOSTON) in a game involving two average defensive teams (92-98 PPG), after scoring 60 points or more in the first half last game are 58-35 ATS the last 5 seasons. Considering the road team is playing the home squad to a dead heat at 95.6 points in this situation, I'd say Boston is showing some nice value. Take the points.

4* Major Big Ten Tourney *BLOOD BATH* (CBS) on Ohio State -4
Bottom Line: It's been a good run for the Gophers, but I expect it to come to an end today. After just barely sneaking through its first 2 tourney games, look for the Buckeyes to wake up and really take it to an inferior Minnesota squad. This will be Minnesota's 4th game in 4 days so it will be the more fatigued team despite Ohio State's double-OT game yesterday. The Golden Gophers are 0-6 ATS in the third game of a 3-in-5 days situation, (which applies to today's game) and the situation they find themselves in today is even worse. Plus, the favorite is 8-0 ATS in the last 8 meetings. We'll lay the points with the Buckeyes.

3* NBA SUREFIRE on Knicks +11
Bottom Line: The Knicks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 11.0 or greater. The Mavericks are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite of 11.0 or greater and 2-23-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a home favorite. With these things in mind, I just can't justify laying this many points, especially with the Knicks motivated by a 50-point loss to the Mavs the last time they met. Take the points.

4* Major Saturday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Wizards +11.5
Bottom Line: This is Washington's 3rd game in as many days and because of that odds makers are giving the Wiz a generous amount of points on their home floor. After laying an egg in Detroit last night, they'll be fired up for one of the best teams in the East. Washington always seems to compete against the Magic. In fact, each of the last 4 meetings have been decided by 9 or fewer points and Washington has won both meetings this season. Plus, the Magic will be much more concerned about tomorrow night's game with Charlotte. Washington is on a 27-10 ATS run after 6 or more consecutive losses. The Wizards are also 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy Big Ten Tournament Game of the Year on Illinois +7.5
Bottom Line: Illinois is likely in the Big Dance after yesterday's win over Wisconsin, but why leave any doubt in the mind of the selection committee? Plus, the Illini have some personal business to attend to after losing by double digits twice to Ohio State this season. I expect the third time to be the charm. Yesterday's win over Wiscy gives the Illini some much needed confidence. Plus, this is a letdown spot for Ohio State after such an emotional win on a buzzer beater yesterday. Illinois is on a 16-5 ATS run in neutral court games where the total is 120 to 129.5. It is also 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5 points. Take Illinois.

4* Major Friday Night Conference Tourney *BLOOD BATH* on Vanderbilt -7
Bottom Line: Georgia is 0-6 ATS off an upset win over a conference rival over the last 2 seasons, losing in these spots by an average score of 63.2 to 79.5. With Vandy playing this one in the friendly confines of Nashville, and off a loss in its last game, expect the motivated Commodores to roll in this spot tonight.

4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Jazz/Bucks UNDER 196.5
Bottom Line: Plays Under on any team (MILWAUKEE) in a game involving two average defensive teams (92-98 PPG) after 42+ games, after a game where both teams scored 90 points or less, are 76-38 the last 5 seasons, including 3-1 this season. And we are only seeing 181.9 points scored on average in this situation. It's also more than worth noting that Milwaukee is 7-0 Under after successfully covering the spread in 6 or more consecutive games this season, and we are only seeing an average of 178.3 points in these spots. Bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA Line Mistake of the Month on Pacers +9.5
Bottom Line: With as much as the Celtics have been struggling, they don't deserve to be laying this many points to anyone. The Celtics are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games as a favorite, 10-29 ATS in their last 39 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points and 15-37 ATS in their last 52 games as a home favorite. Plus, the Pacers are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings and the underdog is 20-7 ATS in the last 27 meetings. We'll take the points.

4* Major NBA on TNT Bailout on Warriors +5.5
Bottom Line: The Blazers have struggled at Golden State. In fact, Golden State has won nine straight at home against Portland by an average of 12.2 points. The Blazers prefer to play a half court game, as that is there strength, but that's something the Warriors haven't allowed them to do in Oakland. Plus, the Warriors should get a nice lift from leading scorer Monta Ellis, who is expected to return to the lineup tonight. After getting shut out on their 5-game road trip, the Warriors will be extremely motivated to get back in the win column this evening. The home team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The Warriors are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 2 days rest, 14-4 ATS in their last 18 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days and 34-14-4 ATS in their last 52 games as a home underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. Take the Warriors.

4* Major Big East Tourney *BLOOD BATH* (ESPN) on W. Virginia -9
Bottom Line: It's been a nice little run for Cincy with a pair of thrilling wins over Rutgers and Louisville but expect that run to come to an end tonight. After a pair of such emotionally and physically draining games, the fresh Mountaineers will have the edge tonight. Cincy is 0-6 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%) after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons, losing in these spots by 10.8 points on average. We'll lay the points.

5* Wiseguy Conference Tournament Game of the Year on K-State -4
Bottom Line: This is a really strong situation in favor of K-State today. The Wildcats come in having lost two straight. Plus, they lost the regular season meeting with the Cowboys. Kansas State is the more talented team, and with all its added motivation, look for it to send a message here. This trend cannot be ignored. K-State is 10-0 ATS after one or more consecutive overs this season, winning in these spots by an average score of 79.2 to 65.5. Poor defensive efforts have led to many of the overs on K-State game this season so this trend points out how the Wildcats have bounced back defensively after a poor defensive effort throughout the season. It's also worth noting that the Wildcats are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 6.5 or fewer points. Take K-State.

4* Major Big East Tourney *Blood Bath* (ESPN) on Cincinnati +6
Louisville has not been strong in the chalk this season. In fact, it is just 6-14 ATS as a favorite this season. On top of that, Louisville is only 1-9 ATS off a win against a conference rival this season, actually losing in these spots by an average score of 69.3 to 72.9. The Cards know they are dancing so I think Cincy will be the more motivated team tonight. Plus, it will draw some nice momentum from last night's win over Rutgers. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Revenge Game of the Month on Nets +11.5
Bottom Line: I feel very comfortable taking the points tonight against a Dallas team that is really banged up, especially since the Mavericks are only 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite of 11.0 or greater, including 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 11.0 or greater. The Mavericks are also just 3-22-1 ATS in their last 26 home games. In addition, the Nets are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 road games and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. With the Nets and Knicks up next, expect the shorthanded Mavs to use this opportunity to rest up and regain some health. In other words, I don't expect the Mavs to be world beaters tonight. We'll take the points.

4* Major NEC Tourney Bomb (ESPN 2) on Robert Morris +4.5
Bottom Line: Really believe Robert Morris is the better team so I will gladly take the Colonials in the underdog role tonight. The Colonials have dominated this series, winning 4 of the last 5 and 8 of the last 10. I expect this domination to continue as the Colonials pick up some added motivation from a loss to Quinnipiac during the regular season. We'll take the points.

3* Celtics/Bucks SUREFIRE on Celtics +1
Bottom Line: Yes, the Bucks have been rolling (mostly against poor teams), and they did just beat the Cavs (without LeBron James), but I'm not sold on this team. I expect them to find that they still have some work to do when they face the veteran Celtics this evening. The Celtics are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a road underdog of 4.5 or fewer points and 51-23-1 ATS in their last 75 games as a road underdog period. Over the last 3 seasons, Boston has won 7 of the 8 meetings. Off a poor performance against the Wizards that they were lucky to win, I expect the Celtics to show up and play some ball tonight.

4* Major 19-0 ATS Perfect Angle Power Play on Penn +13
Bottom Line: The slow pace that Princeton plays makes taking these 13 points with Penn very attractive. In fact, Penn is 6-0 ATS in road games versus slow-down teams averaging 53 or less shots/game over the last 2 seasons. The Quakers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 13.0 or greater. Meanwhile, the Tigers are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games as a home favorite of 13.0 or greater and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 13.0 or greater period. Plus, the Quakers are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings at Princeton and the road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. We'll take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Southeast Division Game of the Year on Heat +3.5
Bottom Line: Miami has won 3 in a row, including a pair of huge wins over the Lakers and Hawks, and I don't think we'll find the Heat in a more motivated spot this season. Miami was absolutely embarrassed to the tune of 104-65 the last time it faced the Bobcats and I fully expect the Heat to have their revenge tonight. Here's the key: plays on underdogs (MIAMI) revenging a road blowout loss of 30 points or more, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days, are 23-4 ATS the last 5 seasons. Also like that the Bobcats are only 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite and the Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. Take Miami and the points.

4* Major WCC Tourney Title Game (ESPN) on Saint Mary's +3.5
Bottom Line: Really believe the third time will be the charm for Saint Mary's against Gonzaga tonight. The Zags are in the Big Dance no matter what happens, but Saints Mary's could be on the outside looking in if it doesn't come through. That alone should make Saint Mary's the more motivated team here, especially after how badly it was embarrassed by Gonzaga in last year's conference tournament. The Bulldogs are just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 6.5 or fewer points and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as a favorite. The Gaels are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games. We'll take Saint Mary's.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Mavs/T-Wolves UNDER 207
Bottom Line: Right away I like the Under here when you consider that Dallas is 18-6 Under in road games where the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 2 seasons, and we have only seen an average of 199.1 points scored in these games. Plus, Dallas is 11-1 Under in road games after a game where it made 55% of its shots or better over the last 3 seasons, and we are only seeing 185.4 points scored in these spots. Also, the Under is 15-6 in the last 21 meetings between these two teams, including 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Minnesota. Bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy Sunday Night Bomb (ESPN) on Blazers +6.5
Bottom Line: Portland is playing well, having won 5 of its last 6 SU & ATS. We'll take Portland and the points tonight as this should be a heated division rivalry game. Portland is 20-10 ATS in all road games this season. The Trail Blazers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 road games and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. The Nuggets are just 9-19-1 ATS in their last 29 games as a favorite and 1-7-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU win. We also can't overlook the fact that Portland has had 3 full days to rest and prepare. We should see a very strong performance from the Blazers in this spot. Take the points.

4* Major ACC Game of the Week (FSN) on Wake Forest -1.5
Bottom Line: Wake has lost 4 in a row, but 3 of those losses came on the road. The Demon Deacons will be happy to be back home this evening where they are 12-2 on the season and they will use those losses as motivation on senior night. The Tigers are 0-8 ATS in the last 8 meetings and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games. The Demon Deacons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 6.5 or fewer points. Take Wake!

4* Major National TV Total of the Week (ABC) on Lakers/Magic UNDER 195
Bottom Line: The Lakers will want this game badly after losing 2 in a row, but so will the Magic, who lost the season's first meeting and fell to LA in last year's NBA Finals. The result should be a game with extreme playoff intensity, catering to the Under. In the last 3 meetings between these two teams, we haven't seen more than 190 total points scored. And both of these teams have been Unders machines. First off, the Under is 20-5-2 in the Lakers' last 27 Sunday games and 20-8 in the Magic's last 28 Sunday games. The Under is 9-3 in the Lakers' last 12 overall, 8-1 in their last 9 games as a road underdog and 26-10 in their last 36 games following a SU loss. The Under is 20-6 in the Magic's last 26 games as a favorite, 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite and 6-0 in their last 6 vs. NBA Pacific. We'll bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy Saturday Night NBA Blowout on Suns -12
Bottom Line: After playing an uptempo game in Denver last night, the Pacers won't have the legs to run and gun with a hungry Suns team that is coming off a loss to Utah and will be out to avenge a January loss to Indiana. Here's the key: Phoenix is 17-4 ATS versus poor teams outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons, beating these teams by 15.7 points on average. Take the Suns.

4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Warriors/Bobcats UNDER 205.5
Bottom Line: Expect tired legs from the road-weary, short-handed Warriors tonight. As a result, Charlotte should really be able to put the clamps on defensively to keep this one well under. The Under is 5-1 in the Warriors' last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game and 4-1 in their last 5 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. Charlotte has played to the Under in 4 straight and we'll pound it here.

4* Major NCAAB Dog of the Week on UMass +8
Bottom Line: Really like UMass catching a generous amount of points at home on senior day in this very motivated spot. Can't help but think Rhode Island is in for a letdown after such a dominant performance against Charlotte. In fact, RI is just 1-8 ATS after scoring 80 points or more this season. The Rams are also just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5 points, 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. win, 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win and 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win of more than 20 points. Take UMass.

5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout of the Year on Thunder -4.5
Bottom Line: Defense has been the calling card of the Thunder but it hasn't been there in their last 2 games. The Thunder were able to get past the Kings at home while allowing over 50% shooting, but they were absolutely crushed by the Nuggets when they allowed better than 50% shooting the next night. Expect to see the "D" return tonight and expect to see the Thunder very hungry after enduring their worst loss of the entire season last game. Here's the clincher: The Thunder are a perfect 7-0 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more this season, bouncing back to win by 13.1 points on average. With that in mind, I'd say we're getting some series line value here. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy MAC GAME OF THE YEAR (ESPN 2) on Akron -3
Bottom Line: Really think the odds makers are tipping their hand here by favoring Akron after it was defeated by 17 points at Kent State in January. With first place on the line, I'll ride the home team here on senior night as it will be pumped up to avenge that embarrassing January defeat. Here's the key: Kent State is 1-9 ATS in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons, losing to these teams by an average score of 59.7 to 72.4. Kent State is also just 5-14 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons, losing in these spots by an average score of 60.5 to 68.1. Take Akron.

4* Major NBA Central Division Game of the Month (ESPN) on Pistons +12
Bottom Line: I know the Pistons just got drilled by the Knicks, but I think we are getting some pretty good line value with them here when you consider that they are only losing by an average of 7.5 points on the road this season and Cleveland is only winning by an average of 9.9 points at home. Last Friday we cashed in on the Pistons as they got up to play the Nuggets on the road and only lost by 5 points as a 9.5-point dog. I expect a similar result tonight as they will be pumped to take on the best team in the NBA. Cleveland is on a 2-13 ATS slide after scoring 100 points or more 5 straight games, actually losing in these spots by an average score of 95.7 to 103.1. Take the Pistons and the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *BLOOD BATH* on Jazz +2
Bottom Line: The Jazz just don't lose consecutive games (haven't in 2 months), especially when they are fresh. Having not played since Monday, I'll pound them in this bounce back spot against a Suns team that just played last night. The Jazz are 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 road games against a team with a home winning % of greater than .600, 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog and 5-0-2 ATS in their last 7 games when playing on 2 day's rest. Plus, the Jazz are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Phoenix in this matchup. Take Utah!

4* Major MVC Tourney Massacre on Evansville +9.5
Bottom Line: Odds makers are treating Evansville like the doormat of the MVC, and it has proven down the stretch that it no longer deserves that treatment with wins over the top two teams in the league (Wichita St, N. Iowa). Expect the Aces to easily keep this one within the number with a great opportunity to pull the upset tonight. The Bears are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400 while the Purple Aces are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Bears are also just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 neutral site games as a favorite. We'll take the points.

3* NBA on TNT Prime Time Total on Lakers/Heat UNDER 189.5
Bottom Line: The public is all over the Over tonight after watching both the Lakers and Heat play Over the total in their last game. But LA is 8-2 Under in its last 10 and Miami is 12-3-1 Under in its last 16. Plus, the last time these two teams met in Miami, we only saw 176 points put up on the board. The Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Miami, 5-0 in the Lakers' last 5 games as a road favorite and 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. The Under is also 5-0-1 in the Heat's last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. We'll take this 19-0 Totals Angle to the bank tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Double Digit *BLOOD BATH* on Nuggets -7
Bottom Line: Expect an offensive explosion from Denver tonight. The Nuggets should be extremely motivated following back-to-back losses to the Lakers and Suns and they will be further motivated by an embarrassing 101-84 loss at OKC in January. Plus, this is a tough spot for the Thunder playing a back-to-back. I also love the fact that plays against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points playing on back-to-back days, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 57-25 ATS the last 5 seasons. Also, Denver is 14-3 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 2 seasons, winning these games by an average of 14.8 points. Lay the points.

4* Major NCAAB Upset Special on St. Louis +3
Bottom Line: The Billikens are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games overall, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog. St. Louis has won 5 of its last 6 games as an underdog outright. Its only defeat was a 2-point loss to Xavier and it still covered the spread in that game. Look for the Billikens to pull another upset tonight.

4* Major on Bobcats +4.5
Bottom Line: The Bobcats are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings at Boston and 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings overall. The underdog is 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings. The Celtics are only 6-20-1 ATS at home this season and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 0 days rest. Look for Charlotte, which has 2 embarrassing losses to Boston this season, to show up in a big way tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout of the Week on Kings/Thunder UNDER 204
Bottom Line: Sacramento is 10-0 UNDER when its scores just 87 to 92 points in a game this season and we are only seeing an average total score of 189.5 in these spots. Considering the Kings have been held to just 89 and 88 points respectively in their last 2 road games, the above angle has a lot of relevance in this spot. Plus, the last 3 matchups between these two teams have all gone UNDER and they didn't break the 200 total points barrier in any of those games. Bet the UNDER.

4* Major Big 12 Game of the Week on Texas Tech +3.5
Bottom Line: The Bears are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite of 6.5 or fewer points and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 6.5 or fewer points period. The Red Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 6.5 or fewer points and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games. Texas Tech is playing to avoid its first four-game home losing streak in more than 10 years, and this is its last home games of the season so you can imagine the passion and energy the Red Raiders will come with tonight. Take Tech.

4* Major NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Heat -10
Bottom Line: The Warriors have an injury list 2 pages long and will be without leading scorer Monta Ellis and second leading scorer Corey Maggette tonight. Off 4 straight defeats, look for Miami to explode to victory at home tonight against the shorthanded Warriors. The Heat are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Lay the points with Miami tonight.

4* Major ESPN Big Monday *BLOOD BATH* on Texas -14
Bottom Line: Look for Texas to lay the wood tonight in its final home game of the season after a poor performance at Texas A&M and after an earlier season loss at Oklahoma. The home team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings and the Sooners are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings at Texas. We also can't overlook the fact that Texas is 11-1 ATS in home games where the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons, winning in these spots by an average score of 78.8 to 59.5. Lay the number.

5* Wiseguy Monday Night NBA Blowout on Bobcats -1.5
Bottom Line: I'll take a rested Bobcats team that is 20-7 at home against a Mavs team that just played last night. Charlotte will be happy to be playing on its home floor again tonight after completing a 4-game road trip. Dallas has played a lot of games in few days and we really started to see it wear down in the second half last night. In fact, the Mavericks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 0 days rest. Also, the Bobcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. We'll pound the much fresher Bobcats in this one.

5* Wiseguy NBA Bailout of the Month on Hornets +8.5
Bottom Line: The Hornets are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog and 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Mavericks are 6-23 ATS in their last 29 games as a home favorite and 4-17 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. The Hornets are also 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in this matchup. Dallas has played well since the All-Star break but it has proven time and time again that it can't be trusted laying points. Take the Hornets.

4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Nuggets/Lakers UNDER 209
Bottom Line: The Under is 11-4 in the last 15 meetings between these two teams. The Under is 19-5-2 in the Lakers' last 26 Sunday games, 7-1 in their last 8 overall and 4-0 in their last 4 home games. The Under is 11-4 in the Nuggets' last 15 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record and 17-8 in their last 25 games as a road underdog. This one has the Under written all over it.

3* SUREFIRE on Lakers -6
Bottom Line: After a couple bad defeats to the Nuggets this season, expect the Lakers to send a message today that they aren't about to pass the torch. I love the fact that plays on home favorites (LA LAKERS) after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 40-15 ATS the last 5 seasons. Plus, the Nuggets are just 4-12 ATS in the last 16 meetings in LA. The Lakers are also a solid 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Lay the number.

4* Major Saturday Night NBA Bailout on Warriors -3.5
Bottom Line: I'll take the rested Warriors laying a small number at home against a tired Detroit team that lost a tough one at Denver last night. It will be extremely tough for the Pistons to get up for this one after playing so hard last night only to come up short. The Pistons are 6-18 ATS in their last 24 games as an underdog of 4.5 or fewer points and 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. The favorite is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings and the Pistons are just 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings at Golden State. Take the Warriors.

5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Month on Pacers -3
Bottom Line: Joakim Noah doubtful. Bulls tired coming off an OT win last night. Pacers fresh with a day's rest. Pacers extremely motivated having lost 3 times to the Bulls already this season. Indiana has won 23 of L30 at home against Bulls. Need I say more? Just love this situation tonight. Pacers step up and paste the Bulls tonight.

5* Wiseguy MWC Game of the Year on New Mexico +8
Bottom Line: I know BYU will be out to avenge an earlier season loss to the Lobos, but I can't see New Mexico losing by more than 8 points with first place in the conference on the line. The Lobos are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5 and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog period. The Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Take the points.

4* Major NBA "Total" Bailout on 76ers/Lakers UNDER 198.5
Bottom Line: The Lakers are 6-1 Under their last 7. They allowed Dallas over the century mark Wednesday after 6 straight games of holding their opponents to 98 or fewer points. I expect the Lakers to really clamp down defensively tonight. The Under is 5-0 in the Lakers' last 5 games as a favorite and 24-10 in their last 34 games following a S.U. loss. The Under is 8-1 in the 76ers' last 9 games following a S.U. loss. Bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy Friday NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Pistons +9.5
Bottom Line: We'll fade the Nuggets tonight as they will have a very difficult time getting up for this one after playing a late one last night at Golden State and with the Lakers on deck. The Pistons have covered 5 straight in this series. The Nuggets are a lousy 8-17-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite and just 12-23 ATS in their last 35 games after playing a game as a road favorite. The Nuggets are also just 1-5-2 ATS in their last 8 games when playing with zero day's rest. We'll take the Pistons and the points tonight.

3* SUREFIRE on Bulls -3
Bottom Line: The Blazers find themselves in a tough spot tonight playing their third road game in 4 days. Because of that, I'll lay the small number with the Bulls, which are 7-2 SU & ATS their last 9. The Bulls have been strong at home all season at 18-9 and they are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite. Lay the points.

4* Major Pac-10 Game of the Week on Stanford +2.5
Bottom Line: This is a sandwich game for ASU. The Suns Devils are off a big rivalry win over Arizona and they have Pac-10 leader Cal up next. Meanwhile, Stanford, who is a strong 10-3 at home, will be looking to pay ASU back for a bad road loss last month. The Cardinal are an outstanding 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a home underdog. Take Stanford.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Game of the Year on Cavs -2
Bottom Line: Even if Paul Pierce was expected to play Thursday, which he is not, I love the Cavs laying this small number on the road tonight. If you remember, Cleveland lost 95-89 at home in the very first game of the season on TNT. I know the Cavs have not forgotten. We cashed in on the Celtics in that game, but I expect the Cavs to return the favor in Boston tonight. The Celtics have struggled against top notch competition this season, and as a result, they are just 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Celtics have lost to the Hawks 4 times this season. They have also dropped 3 of 4 to Orlando. Boston is just 16-9 SU and 6-18-1 ATS in home games this season. In fact, the Celtics are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. After just losing on the road to Orlando, the Cavs will be very hungry tonight. This one may be close for a while, but I expect the Cavs to pull away in the 4th. Lay the points.

4* Major ESPN Prime Time Total on Lakers/Mavs UNDER 195
Bottom Line: The Lakers are a perfect 7-0 UNDER as an underdog this season and we are only seeing an average of 187.2 total points scored in these games. The Lakers are also 10-1 UNDER off a road win by 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons and the Mavs are 14-5 UNDER when revenging a loss vs. an opponent this season. Dallas has had this one circled since it lost by 5 at home to the Lakers last month. While I would lean toward Dallas getting the job done tonight, I feel the UNDER is the stronger play as the Mavs have been very good defensively in revenge games. Bet the UNDER.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Pacers/Bulls UNDER 204
Bottom Line: Plays Under on all teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (INDIANA) - extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days against a tired opponent - playing 6 or more games in 10 days, are 19-5 the last 3 seasons, including a perfect 2-0 already this season. With Danny Granger not expected to play, points will likely he hard to come by for the Pacers tonight. We'll bet the Under.

4* Major Early *BLOOD BATH* (Big 10 Network) on Penn State +7.5
Bottom Line: Penn State is playing like it has nothing to lose and the result has been back-to-back road wins. From here on out the Nittany Lions will be looking to play spoiler and I like them to give the Buckeyes a scare tonight. Penn State is 8-2 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) this season, only losing by an average score of 63.3 to 67.2 in these games. Off a huge win at Michigan State, the Buckeyes are looking susceptible to a letdown here. We'll take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Western Conference Total of the Year on Suns/Thunder UNDER 204
Bottom Line: Plays Under on all teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (PHOENIX) - a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team, in February games are 42-9 the last 5 seasons, 30-6 the last 3 seasons and a perfect 8-0 this season. The average total posted in these games was 204 points and teams have only combined to score 196.2 on average. With Nash out, I just can't see the Suns scoring enough to push this one Over. Pound the Under.

3* NBA Side of the Night on Lakers -5
The Lakers are well rested having not played since the 18th, and they are also expected to have both Kobe Bryant and Andrew Bynum on the floor tonight. The Lakers started the month of February by losing in Memphis so they should have a little extra motivation to take it to the Grizz here. The fact that LA is coming off an upset loss to Boston actually puts us in nice position as plays on road favorites revenging a loss vs. an opponent, off an upset loss as a home favorite are 89-48 ATS since 1996, including 4-1 ATS this season. We'll lay the points.

4* Major NCAAB Dog of the Week on Texas Tech +6
Bottom Line: The Wildcats are 0-6 SU & ATS in their last 6 meetings at Texas Tech, losing by an average of 12.1 points in these games. In other words, K-State hasn't won in Lubbock since Big 12 play began in 1996-97. This is a very dangerous spot for the Wildcats tonight as they can't help but look ahead to revenge games with Missouri and Kansas up next. The Red Raiders are coming off 3 straight defeats so they should be plenty motivated here, especially since they are an outstanding 13-3 SU & 8-3 ATS in home lined games this season. We can't overlook the fact that K-State is on a 3-15 ATS slide in Tuesday night road games. Plus, the Red Raiders are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 6.5 or fewer points. Look for the Red Raiders to take the Wildcats down to the wire tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Pacers/Mavs UNDER 208.5
Bottom Line: Thanks to Dallas' new additions from Washington, it is a much better defensive team. In fact, Dallas' four opponents since the break are averaging only 93.0 points on 44.1 percent shooting. Indiana is 14-5 UNDER when playing its 3rd game in 4 days this season and we are only seeing 198.6 points on average in these spots. Dallas is 19-9 UNDER when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons and we are only seeing 196.9 points on average in these spots. Indiana really struggles on the road, scoring just 99 ppg away from home this season. So with Dallas' renewed defensive focus, I expect this one to finish under the number.

4* Major ESPN Big Monday Total of the Month on West Virginia/Connecticut UNDER 134.5
Bottom Line: We saw only 116 points the last times these two teams met and I'm expecting another low-scoring affair tonight. The UNDER is 4-1 in the Huskies' last 5 overall and 5-2 in their last 7 home games. UConn is also 6-0 UNDER in home games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 3 seasons and we are only seeing a total of 125.5 points on average in these spots. Lastly, Coach Huggins is 9-1 UNDER after his teams have scored 75 points or more in 4 straight games in all games he has coached since 1997. We'll bet the UNDER.

5* Wiseguy NBA Northwest Division Game of the Year (ESPN) on Blazers +1
Bottom Line: Portland has lost all 3 prior meetings to Utah this season with all 3 of those losses coming by double digits. Plus, Portland is coming off one of its worst performances of the season, scoring only 76 points in a blowout loss to Boston last game. These things should add up to one of Portland's most inspired efforts of the season. The Trail Blazers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. loss and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss of more than 10 points so this is a strong bounce back team. The Trail Blazers are also 31-14 ATS in their last 45 games as a home underdog, which gives us another reason to take them seriously tonight. Lastly, the Jazz are only 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings at Portland. Bet the Blazers.

4* Major ESPN Prime Time Total on Hawks/Warriors UNDER 213.5
Bottom Line: Plays Under on all teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (ATLANTA) after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game against an opponent after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game are 28-6 since 1996. Plus, the Under is 7-3 in the Hawks' last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. We'll bet the Under here.

3* SUREFIRE on Suns -9.5
Bottom Line: The Kings are really struggling offensively after shipping out scorer Kevin Martin and I expect those struggles to continue in Phoenix this evening. The Kings are 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Phoenix, 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 vs. the NBA Pacific. Phoenix is 17-5 ATS versus terrible defensive teams allowing 103+ points/game in the 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons, beating these team by 11 points on average. Lay the number.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB Total of the Year on UCLA/Washington OVER 143
Bottom Line: UCLA is 12-3 OVER when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons and we are seeing an average of 152.5 points scored in these games. The fact that these two teams played a low-scoring game in the first meeting, and the fact that each team is coming off a low-scoring game against opponents that prefer to slow the pace, has brought this line down. Washington loves to push the pace at home, where it scores 85.1 ppg, and prior to scoring only 64 points last game, the Huskies had scored 78 or more in 6 straight. The Over is 28-11 in the Huskies' last 39 vs. the Pac-10 and 11-3 in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The Over is also 9-3-1 in the Bruins' last 13 games as a road underdog. Pound the Over.

5* Wiseguy Saturday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Pacers +8
Bottom Line: I don't trust the Rockets laying this many points tonight, especially with all the new players that are expected to make their debut with the team. It's almost impossible for a team to operate smoothly after making so many changes and I just don't see it happening here. The Rockets are just 1-10 ATS in their last 11 home games and the Pacers are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. With these things in mind, the Pacers should not be catching this many points, even if they did play last night. Indiana keeps this one within the number.

4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Thunder/Knicks UNDER 204.5
Bottom Line: With all the changes that the Knicks have made, further disrupting an already disrupted team, I don't expect them to get anywhere near the 103.5 ppg they average at home tonight. It also plays to our favor that OKC isn't typically a high-scoring team. In fact, OKC is 8-0 UNDER in road games off a home win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons and we are only seeing an average of 190.2 points scored in these spots. We'll take the Under here.

4* Major NBA Blowout of the Week on Suns -4
Bottom Line: Expect the Suns to roll tonight at home against a Hawks team that has struggled on the road all season. Plus, Phoenix will be hungry to payback Atlanta for a 1-point defeat last month. The Hawks are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog of 4.5 or fewer points while the Suns are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. Take the Suns.

5* ESPN Total of the Year on Mavs/Magic UNDER 204
Bottom Line: Dallas is 17-6 UNDER in road games where the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last 2 seasons. Plus, Orlando is 10-1 UNDER when playing on Friday night this season and 16-6 UNDER in its last 20 overall. With Dallas coming off a big win over Phoenix and with Orlando set to take on Cleveland next, this is a flat spot for both teams which should result in the Under.

3* SUREFIRE on Spurs/76ers OVER 192
Bottom Line: Each of these teams have played to the Under in so many games recently that we are seeing a very low number here, especially since the Over is 11-2 in the last 13 meetings between these two teams in Philadelphia. Also, plays Over on any team (SAN ANTONIO) after a game where both it and its opponent scored 90 points or less, against an opponent that scored 35 points or less in the first half last game, are 24-7 the last 3 seasons. Bet the Over.

5* NBA on TNT Total of the Month on Celtics/Lakers UNDER 189.5
Bottom Line: Odds makers are begging for action on the Over with this line and they are getting it as the public is hitting the Over hard. But we won't bite. Both Boston and LA are playing some exceptional defense right now. As a result, both of these teams have played to the Under in 4 straight. We only saw a total of 179 points when these teams played in Boston late last month and I expect another low-scoring, defensive battle here. The Under is 30-14 in the Celtics' last 44 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 and 8-2 in the Lakers' last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Bet the Under.

4* Major Pac-10 Game of the Week (FSN) on UCLA +5
Bottom Line: While Washington State has the better record on the season, UCLA has been the better team in Pac-10 play. The Bruins defeated the Cougars by 12 points at home last month and I look for them to be able to keep this one within the number as well. While the Cougars are 9-3 at home, they are just 2-8 ATS in home lined games. Plus, UCLA is a perfect 12-0 at Washington State dating back to 1997. The Cougars are only 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite of 6.5 or fewer points. We'll take UCLA and the points tonight.

4* Major NBA on TNT *BLOOD BATH* on Nuggets +7
Bottom Line: Expect an inspired performance out of the Nuggets tonight after learning that head coach George Karl has been diagnosed with cancer. Meanwhile, expect the Cavs to struggle following the trade of Zydrunas Ilgauskas, especially since it's doubtful that the guy they got for him, Antawn Jamison, will play tonight. The Nuggets are 18-7-2 ATS in their last 27 games as an underdog and 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. Take the points.

4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Hawks/Clippers OVER 196
Bottom Line: The Clippers have played to the Over in 3 straight and 12 of their last 18 as they are really struggling defensively. Those defensive struggles are only going to get worse without Camby on the team anymore. The Over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in this matchup and 6-0 in the Hawks' last 6 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. Bet the Over.

5* Wiseguy NBA Western Conference Game of the Year on Suns +4
Bottom Line: Dallas was really struggling as it entered the All-Star break, and those struggles continued last night in its first game after the break. The Mavs have some new personnel to adjust to so these struggles will likely continue. Meanwhile, Phoenix is rolling, having won 6 of its last 7 SU & ATS. It's hard to think that Dallas should be laying this many points at home, if any at all, when you consider that it is just 5-21 ATS in its last 26 games as a home favorite. Furthermore, Dallas has struggled with uptempo teams like Phoenix, going 0-10 ATS in home games versus uptempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game this season. Dallas is also 0-7 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points this season, losing in these spots by an average score of 93.3 to 98.7. Take the Suns.

4* Major Big 12 Game of the Week (ESPN 2) on Missouri -2
Bottom Line: with the unranked team favored here, I think the books are trying to tell us something. The Tigers are a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 6.5 or fewer points. The Longhorns are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games overall, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win. Texas has not handled Mizzou's pressure defense well, and as a result, the Tigers have won the last 2 meetings. Take the Tigers tonight.

4* Major NCAAB "Total" Blowout on Kentucky/Miss St. UNDER 142.5
Bottom Line: Kentucky has played to the Under in back-to-back games as teams are starting to figure out that you have to slow down the tempo to have a shot to beat the Wildcats. Plus, Kentucky is proving to be a very good defensive team, allowing only 65.3 ppg. Mississippi State has played to the Under in 5 of its last 7 and it can really "D" up as well, allowing only 62.6 ppg. The public is strongly on the Over here and that makes me like the Under even more. Expect a heated battle to result in the Under tonight.

3* NBA Side of the Night on Suns -1
Bottom Line: After back-to-back losses to the Grizzlies, expect the Suns to break through tonight. The Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games while the Grizzlies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall and only 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. loss. Phoenix is also 23-6 ATS versus poor defensive teams, with a shooting pct defense of >=46% in 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons, winning these games by an average score of 120.7 to 108.2. Take the Suns.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout of the Month on Mavericks/Thunder UNDER 195
Bottom Line: With the Mavs shipping some guys out and getting some new guys in, it's going to take some time for them to gel. With that in mind, odds makers have set this number too high. Plus, Dallas is 18-7 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 195 and 199.5 points over the last 3 seasons and OKC is 11-2 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 195 and 199.5 points over the last 2 seasons. The UNDER is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams and 9-1-1 in the last 11 meetings in Oklahoma City/Seattle. Pound the Under.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB Underdog of the Week on Rider +4.5
Bottom Line: Rider could not be more motivated tonight after losing to St. Peters at home as a 6-point favorite earlier this season. The Broncs will be even hungrier because they are coming off a home loss to Fairfield. In fact, the Broncs are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. loss. But here's the real key: the Broncs are a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600, the Road team is 5-1-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings and the Peacocks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 6.5 or fewer points. Look for Rider to get the win tonight.

5* Wiseguy Sunday Night Bailout on UCLA +7.5
Bottom Line: UCLA was crushed by USC in the season's first meeting, but since that game the Bruins have won 4 of 6 and they will no doubt be looking for payback here. It's hard to ignore the fact that UCLA is a perfect 7-0 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points under coach Howland. Plus, UCLA is 18-9 ATS in road games when revenging a loss under Howland, only losing in these spots by an average score of 68.7 to 69.4. We'll take the points.

4* Major NCAAB "Total" Blowout of the Week on Georgetown/Rutgers UNDER 140
Bottom Line: Georgetown is 13-3 UNDER as a road favorite or pick over the last 3 seasons and we are only seeing 123.3 points on average in these games as it brings the "D" everywhere it goes. Plus, the Under is 11-3 in the Scarlet Knights' last 14 home games. Bet the Under.

4* Major (CBS) on Ohio St -1.5
Bottom Line: I really think Illinois is overachieving. Ohio State has the much more talented team and I'll take the talent here. Illinois won both meetings last season so the Buckeyes will not be lacking any motivation. But here's the key: Illinois is on a 2-10 ATS slide as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick 'em, losing in these spots by an average score of 66.9 to 71.4. Take the Buckeyes.

4* Major NCAAB Blowout of the Week on Cornell -5
Bottom Line: After enduring a terrible upset last night, expect Cornell to dominate Saturday. The Tigers are just 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games as a home underdog of 6.5 or fewer points and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Meanwhile, the Big Red are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Look for a motivated Cornell team to lay the wood.

4* Major Underdog Dagger on St. Louis +5
Bottom Line: St. Louis is 6-0 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 3 seasons and 7-0 ATS in home games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% after 15+ games dating clear back to 1997. The Billikens possess a very strong home court so I will gladly take them in the home dog role today.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB Line Mistake of the Month on Drake +2
Bottom Line: This is a revenge game for Drake so it will be hungry. Plus, Indiana State will be playing without 3 of its top players so I look for a motivated Drake team to get the job done here. Because of ISU's key injuries, it should not be favored today. The Bulldogs are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 6.5 or less points. Take Drake.

5* Wiseguy Big East Game of the Year (ESPN) on West Virginia -2.5
Bottom Line: Following a home loss to Villanova, I expect the Mountaineers to be very hungry for a "W" tonight. WVU matches up very well with Pitt and that's a big reason why the Mountaineers have already destroyed the Panthers by 19 points earlier this month. While the Panthers are a good home team, they are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The slower pace that Pitt prefers to play isn't conducive to beating WVU either as the Mountaineers are 7-0 ATS versus slow-down teams averaging 53 or less shots/game over the last 2 seasons, crushing these teams by an average score of 77.4 to 53.6. Lay the points.

4* Major NBA Side of the Night on Spurs +6
Bottom Line: Expect the Spurs to show up tonight and give the Nuggets all they want and more after a really embarrassing effort against the Lakers last game. The Spurs have a lot in their favor tonight when you consider that the underdog is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings and the road team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Plus, the Nuggets are just 6-15-1 ATS in their last 22 games as a favorite. We'll take the Spurs in the dog role tonight.