Sports Picks & Predictions

5* WISEGUY CBB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Oklahoma State -4

Bottom Line: I love the Cowboys at home in this highly motivated spot. Not only are they off a 10-point loss at K-State, but they lost both meetings with Baylor last season. They'll be out for some serious revenge tonight. Oklahoma State is a ridiculous 50-28 ATS in lined home games under Travis Ford and has won these by 10.3 points on average. It is 44-23 ATS as a home favorite or pickem under Ford, winning these by 12.1 points on average. Additionally, the Cowboys are 25-12 ATS in home games after a game where they failed to cover the spread under their current coach and have won these contests by 12.4 points on average. Pound Oklahoma State.

4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Pacers +4

Bottom Line: The Raptors have been struggling for a month. They've lost 8 of 13 SU and are just 2-10-1 ATS during this span. The Pacers have been struggling too, but largely because they've been spending a lot of time on the road. They have won or lost by fewer than 4 points in 6 of their last 7 home games against Eastern Conference opponents, including 4 straight. They've also won or lost by fewer than 4 points in each of their last 11 home games against the Raptors. Grab the points.

4* MAJOR NBA *SUREFIRE* on Magic +12.5

Bottom Line: Memphis won in Orlando by 10 points Jan. 16 so it will be looking right past the Magic and onto tomorrow night's revenge game at Dallas. The Grizzlies just lost to Dallas Jan. 19 and will be looking for payback. That gives us a good opportunity here. The Magic are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 road games versus teams with a winning home record. The Grizzlies are 5-15-2 ATS in their last 22 games versus a team with a winning percentage below .400. Orlando is 17-8 ATS as a road underdog this season while Memphis is on a 14-30 ATS slide as a double-digit favorite.

5* WISEGUY NBA LINE MISTAKE OF THE WEEK on Suns +3

Bottom Line: The wrong team is favored here, and the Clippers have been a terrible play as small road chalk. LA is 8-20 ATS as a road favorite of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons and has lost these games by an average of 2.0 points. Playing against road teams when the line is +3 to -3 in the second half of their schedule following a game where they shot 55% or better, provided it is a matchup of teams that have held opponents to an average of 43.5-45.5% shooting on the season, has resulted in a 22-4 ATS mark since 1996. This system is a perfect 4-0 ATS the last 5 seasons. Additionally, the Suns are 34-19 ATS as an underdog the last 2 seasons and 27-14 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. Pound Phoenix.

4* MAJOR BIG TEN *BLOOD BATH* on Ohio State -8

Bottom Line: This is a letdown spot for Indiana as it heads out on the road following a big win over Maryland. This is just the 4th true road game of the season for the Hoosiers, so based on the line, odds makers are telling us Indiana's record wouldn't be nearly as good had they stepped out on the road a few more times. This is a big revenge spot for Ohio State, which lost by 3 at Indiana earlier this month. The Buckeyes are 12-1 at home on the season where they have a ridiculous 28.3-point average margin of victory. Indiana is 14-30 ATS in road games following a cover under Crean, including 5-14 ATS in this spot the last 3 seasons. Ohio State is 26-16 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points under Matta.

4* MAJOR NBA "TOTAL" DOMINATOR on Knicks/Hornets UNDER 185.5

Bottom Line: Charlotte is a terrific defensive team. It's held 8 of its last 11 opponents to below 40% shooting. However, it allowed Cleveland to shoot 51.7% last night. This team is not happy with that effort and will tighten the screws defensively tonight. The Knicks had been playing exceptional defense over a 3-game stretch and then allowed Orlando to shoot better than 50% last night. They know they'll have to be much better at the defensive end in this one if they're going to avenge back-to-back losses to Charlotte. The under is 4-0 in the Hornets' last 4 home games and 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. The under is 5-1 in the Knicks' last 6 road games and 4-1 in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

5* WISEGUY BIG TEN GAME OF THE WEEK on Minnesota -5

Bottom Line: Illinois has been a completely different team away from home and is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 road/neutral floor games. The 6 SU losses during this span all came by at least 7 points. Minnesota has been at its best at home where it is 10-2 with an average winning margin of 21.0 points. Minnesota is off to a 1-6 start in Big Ten play and was upset on this floor by Illinois last season so it will not be lacking any incentive. Pound the Golden Gophers.

4* MAJOR on Nebraska-Omaha -1.5

Bottom Line: Denver has really struggled on the road where it is 1-6 this season. It is 11-25 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less or pickem under coach Scott. Nebraska-Omaha has lost 5 straight and was swept by Denver last season so it will be very, very hungry.

4* MAJOR MOUNTAIN WEST MASSACRE on Air Force +6.5

Bottom Line: Huge letdown spot for Boise State following a 50-point win over San Jose State. Huge bounce-back spot for Air Force following a 32-point loss to San Diego State. Boise Sate is 0-9 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. It is 0-7 ATS off a home win of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

4* MAJOR on IUPUI -2

Bottom Line: Terrible spot for South Dakota, which is playing its 3rd consecutive road game and 2nd in 3 days. IUPUI is off a loss but is an outstanding 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games following defeat. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

4* MAJOR BIG EAST *BLOOD BATH* on Xavier -12

Bottom Line: This may seem like a lot of points but Xavier is 10-0 at home on the season and has won these games by an average of 18.3 points. DePaul upset the Musketeers in the first meeting, but they are 12-3 ATS when out for revenge for a road loss over the last 3 seasons.

4* MAJOR NBA *ODDSMAKER ERROR* on Timberwolves +7

Bottom Line: This is too many points for New Orleans to be laying on the road given its weak 8-16 road record. The Pelicans destroyed Minnesota by 48 at home in the season's first meeting and will be looking right past the Wolves and onto Sunday's showdown with Dallas because of it. You can bet Minnesota hasn't forgotten about that brutal defeat, and it will be out to save face. New Orleans took care of business against the Lakers last time out but is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games following a win. The home team has enjoyed a nice edge in the series as it is on a 7-0 SU and ATS run. 4 of these were in Minnesota.

4* MAJOR NBA *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Thunder +4.5

Bottom Line: This line in an overreaction to Atlanta's unexpected run. The Thunder are more talented and starting round into shape now that they're healthy. The Thunder are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 versus the Eastern Conference and 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 versus the NBA Southeast division. The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings, and the Thunder are 10-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Atlanta.

5* WISEGUY NBA "TOTAL" BLOWOUT on Raptors/76ers OVER 194

Bottom Line: Toronto has had no trouble controlling the pace against poor teams. The Raptors are 12-3 OVER the last 2 seasons versus teams that have a win percentage of 25% or less. We have seen an average of 208.0 total points scored in these games. The OVER is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings between these teams with 6 of the meetings totaling 199 points or more. We've seen an average of 207.6 total points scored in these 7 matchups. Pound the OVER.

4* MAJOR BIG TEN *BLOOD BATH* on Indiana -1.5

Bottom Line: This line opened as a pickem and has since been bet up which is the right move. The Hoosiers are 6-0 ATS as a home dog of 3 points or less or pickem under coach Crean and have won these 6 by an average of 8.0 points. While this trend is in play because of the opening line, it is also worth mentioning that Indiana is 26-9 ATS at when the line is +3 to -3 since 1997. It is 16-6 ATS during this span as a home favorite of 3 points or less or pickem. Maryland went off from deep in its rout of Michigan State, but it is 0-7 ATS in road games after a game where it made 50% of its 3 point shots or better under coach Turgeon, and it has lost these 7 by an average of 17.5 points.

4* MAJOR NBA on TNT *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on Bulls +6.5

Bottom Line: It's gut check time for the Bulls. Look for them to put forth an outstanding effort tonight in a highly motivated spot. The Bulls haven't lost 3 consecutive games all season. They are 11-5 following a loss and 3-0 following 2 straight losses. They are an impressive 50-33 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games under Tom Thibodeau. Grab the points.

5* WISEGUY BIG EAST GAME OF THE WEEK on Seton Hall -10

Bottom Line: The Pirates are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games while the Blue Demons are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games. The Pirates are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games overall, 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400. The Pirates are also 8-1 ATS as a favorite this season. Seton Hall is off its first home loss of the season, which can't be sitting well. Plus, it lost its last meeting with DePaul so it will have no problem getting up for this one. The Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 home games against the Blue Demons with the wins coming by an average of 12.4 points so there is plenty of value in Seton Hall here.

4* MAJOR BIG TEN *BLOOD BATH* on Illinois -3

Bottom Line: This is a highly motivated spot for the Fighting Illini. Illinois just suffered its first home loss of the season and will be looking to bounce back tonight. It gets further incentive from a home loss to Purdue in last season's meeting. The Illini is 8-1 at home where it has a nice win over Maryland, so it has shown the ability to take down a better team on this floor than the one it will see tonight. The Fighting Illini are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 home games versus teams with a losing road record.

5* WISEGUY NBA WESTERN CONF. GAME OF THE WEEK on T-Wolves +8.5

Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from Dallas following Monday's big win at Memphis. The Mavs have a matchup with Chicago on Friday and are very likely already peeking ahead to that one mentally. It will be hard for Dallas to get up for the lowly T-Wolves, but it won't be hard for Minnesota to get up for this one. It's finally home after a week on the road, and it will be out for revenge for a 131-117 November loss in Dallas. The Mavericks are just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall, 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games versus a team with a losing record and 2-11-1 ATS in their last 14 games versus Western Conference opponents. The Timberwolves are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600 and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 versus Western Conference foes. Pound Minnesota.

4* MAJOR CBB *CRUNCH TIME BAILOUT* on Nevada +1

Bottom Line: Look for the Wolf Pack to come storming back following an ugly 98-42 loss at Colorado State. They are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing more than 90 points in their previous game and 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a loss of more than 20 points. Nevada has also been a nice play in games odds makers expect to be close. It is 10-2 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Nuggets +8.5

Bottom Line: Look for Denver to come storming back at home following last night's brutal 122-79 loss at Golden State. The Nuggets have been a strong play at home in recent seasons against good teams, going 25-12 ATS the last 3 seasons versus teams that are outscoring their opponents by 3.0 PPG or more. Denver has defeated these teams by an average of 3.4 points. The Spurs are off a dominant 89-69 win over Utah, but they are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games after allowing less than 75 points in their previous game and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a win of more than 10 points. Pound Denver.

5* WISEGUY CBB *BEST BET* on South Carolina -6.5

Bottom Line: The Gamecocks check in having lost 3 of their last 4. They have also dropped 14 in a row to the Volunteers. Yet, they are laying quite a few points tonight. Clearly books want the money coming in on Tennessee. We won't take the bait. It is significant that the Gamecocks have been installed as favorites since the favorite is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. I fully expect this trend to continue. Look for South Carolina to finally break through against the Vols.

4* MAJOR A-10 *SUREFIRE* on Davidson -2.5

Bottom Line: Look for Davidson to hand Dayton its first conference loss. The Wildcats are 8-0 at where they are winning by an average of 24.9 points. Dayton has found its way into the Top 25 behind 8 straight victories. It has even covered the spread in its last 5 but is 0-8 ATS in road games after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite since 1997 and has lost these by an average of 10.0 points. Davidson is 7-1 ATS as a favorite this season.

5* WISEGUY SUN BELT GAME OF THE MONTH Louisiana-Lafayette -7.5

Bottom Line: Louisiana-Lafayette got off to a 4-0 start in Sun Belt play but has since lost its last 2. Despite the losses, it can pull even with UL Monroe for first place in the league with a win here, and I expect it to take care of business. The Ragin' Cajuns are 7-1 in their last 8 at home versus Monroe with the 7 wins coming by an average of 15.7 points. Despite the bad loss to South Alabama last game, ULL's high scoring output is a good sign. The Ragin' Cajuns are 6-0 ATS in home games the last 2 seasons after scoring 80 points or more last game. They have won by a ridiculous average margin of 25.3 points in these contests. Pound ULL.

5* WISEGUY MLK DAY *BEST BET* on Knicks +7

Bottom Line: The Knicks have been awful, but I'm not hesitating to back them catching a good number in a favorable spot. The Pelicans are on a 10-22 ATS slide as a road favorite. They are off a big upset win in Toronto yesterday but are 0-7 ATS this season when checking in off an upset victory. They have lost these 7 by a whopping 16.3 points on average. New Orleans is also 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games versus a team with a winning percentage below .400. Additionally, home underdogs that are playing for the 3rd time or fewer in a 10-day span are 79-41 ATS since 1996 if they failed to cover the spread last game. Pound NY.

4* MAJOR NBA "TOTAL" DOMINATOR on Thunder/Magic UNDER 211

Bottom Line: Playing the UNDER on any team (OKC) that is off 2 or more consecutive overs has resulted in a 108-60 record the last 5 seasons when they are matched up against a team that is off 4 or more consecutive overs. Additionally, when the total is 210 or higher, playing the UNDER on road teams that are off an upset win of 10 points or more at home has resulted in a 29-7 record since 1996. Lastly, the UNDER is 11-1 in OKCs last 12 games after scoring more than 125 points in its previous game.

4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Trailblazers +2.5

Bottom Line: Plays on underdogs that are out for revenge for a home loss to an opponent that is off 2 or more consecutive road wins has resulted in a 75-34 ATS record the last 5 seasons. The Blazers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games when playing without a day of rest and 11-2 ATS the last 3 seasons in Saturday road games. The Grizzlies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games versus a team with a winning percentage above 60% and 3-11-1 ATS in their 14 home games against the Blazers.

4* MAJOR ESPN2 *PRIMETIME PUNISHER* on UConn +5

Bottom Line: Look for UConn to bounce back strong off a loss at Tulsa. The Huskies were upset at home by Stanford last season and will draw added motivated from that defeat. The Huskies are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games following a loss and 11-4 ATS in their last 15 non-conference games. They're also 6-0 ATS the last 2 seasons in road games that occur 15 games or more into the season versus teams with a win percentage of 60-80%, and they have defeated these teams by an average of 9.0 points.

5* WISEGUY SEC GAME OF THE YEAR on Missouri pk

Bottom Line: Missouri was buried Tuesday at Kentucky, but it is 7-3-1 ATS in its last 11 following a loss, 4-1 ATS in its last 5 following a loss of more than 20 points and 3-0-1 ATS in its last 4 at home. The Vols are a poor 3-11-1 ATS on the season, including 1-4-1 ATS in road/neutral court games. They're also 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Saturday games. These teams have met 3 times since Missouri joined the SEC and the home team is 3-0. Pound the Tigers.

5* WISEGUY ESPN GAME OF THE MONTH on Thunder +2.5

Bottom Line: It's gut check time for the Thunder, and I expect them to respond. They have been really good at home where they are 4-0 in their last 4 and 9-2 in their last 11. 1 of the 2 losses came by 2 points and the other came in OT so based on this number, the Thunder are 11-0 ATS in their last 11 home games. Now that's a trend I'll gladly get behind. Golden State is 0-2 in its last 2 and 1-3 in its last 4 on the road. Also, since the Super Sonics moved to Oklahoma City and became the Thunder, they are 10-2 at home versus Golden State. Pound OKC.

4* MAJOR *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Raptors +1

Bottom Line: Atlanta is getting too much respect on the road because it has won its last 10 games while going 9-0-1 ATS in these contests. I believe the streak comes to an end tonight as it has not been able to figure out the Raptors. Toronto has won the season's first 2 meetings and is 3-0 in the last 3. The 3 wins came by 10, 7 and 11 points. The Raptors are also 3-0 in their last 3 home games versus the Hawks with the wins coming by 12.7 points on average. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings, and the Hawks are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

4* MAJOR BOUNCE BACK *BLOOD BATH* on Nets +10

Bottom Line: I like the Nets to bounce back strong tonight. They are 11-2 ATS after 2 straight losses of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons and have won by an average of 8.7 points in this situation.

5* WISEGUY PAC-12 PUNISHER OF THE WEEK on Arizona State +5

Bottom Line: I like ASU catching points at home in a motivated spot against an overvalued Utah squad that I expect to show some rust following a 7-day layoff. Playing home dogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are off a cover where they lost straight up as an underdog has resulted in a 24-6 ATS record the last 3 seasons if they are up against an opponent that's off a home blowout win by 20 points or more. The home team is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings with an average winning margin of 11.4 points. ASU's 4 home wins during this stretch have come by an average of 4.8 points so I have no problem taking the points in a game it should have a chance to win outright.

4* MAJOR BIG 10 *BLOOD BATH* (ESPN2) on Wisconsin -14.5

Bottom Line: Nebraska is off back-to-back double-digit wins at home but things haven't gone as smoothly for the Huskers on the road. They are 1-8 ATS in road games after a win of 10 points or more under coach Miles. They also catch Wisconsin at a bad time. The Badgers are off a bad loss at Rutgers and will be out for blood as a result. I expect an inspired performance from Frank Kaminsky in his return and for Bronson Koenig to step up for the injured Traevon Jackson. The Cornhuskers are 10-25 ATS in their last 35 road games versus a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. They are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games overall versus a team with a winning percentage above .600.

4* MAJOR NBA *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Thunder +1.5

Bottom Line: The fresher team has a huge advantage, and the Thunder will be the much fresher team tonight. OKC has had the last 5 days off while the Rockets played in Orlando last night and are playing their 13th game in 19 days. They were on the road 6 of their last 8 games, which adds to the fatigue. The Thunder lost by 4 at home when these teams met earlier this season but Westbrook and Durant weren't available for that one. With both active here and with OKC much fresher, I like the Thunder to have their revenge. Playing on teams when the line is +3 to -3 that will be playing just 3 times or less in 10 days and are out for revenge for a home loss to an opponent has resulted in a 51-20 ATS record since 1996.

4* MAJOR CBB *ODDSMAKER ERROR* on Florida Atlantic +4

Bottom Line: FAU isn't getting the respect it deserves at home. The Owls have won 4 of the last 6 meetings with only 1 of the defeats coming by more than 4 points. This has been a highly competitive series in which the underdog is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The Owls are 5-1 at home on the season with the lone loss coming by just 2 points. WKU hasn't been on the road since Dec. 13 and is just 2-7 ATS in its last 9 road games.

4* MAJOR NBA *SUREFIRE* on Nuggets -2.5

Bottom Line: This is a favorable spot for Denver, which has had the last 4 days off to rest up and prepare for this contest. The Mavs, meanwhile, are off a tough OT game in Sacramento last night and now head to the thin Denver air with tired legs. The Mavericks are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 versus Western Conference foes and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day. The Nuggets are 30-11 ATS in their last 41 home games versus a team with a winning road record and 27-10-2 ATS in their last 39 games when playing on 3 or more days' rest.

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST  BET* on Bulls -5.5

Bottom Line: This game is all about revenge for the Bulls, who were defeated 102-86 at Washington last week. The Bulls are 19-7 ATS when out for revenge for a double-digit defeat since the start of last season. Additionally, playing home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are out for revenge for a double-digit road loss has produced a 121-73 (62.4%) ATS record the last 19 years, provided both teams carry win percentages of 60-75%. Pound Chicago.

4* MAJOR NBA *SUREFIRE* on Nets +7

Bottom Line: The Grizzlies are being overvalued here considering their road struggles. They are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games and 2-7 ATS in their last 9. The Nets have lost their last 6 but were competitive in all of those until they were dealt a double-digit defeat by Houston last game. However, the Nets are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games following a loss of more than 10 points.

5* WISEGUY BIG EAST GAME OF THE WEEK on St. John's +3

Bottom Line: The Red Storm has lost 3 in a row but has had a week off to get right. I expect them to right the ship tonight. The Johnnies were pathetic defensively last game, allowing Villanova to shoot 55.7%. Rest assured the defense will be much better here. St. John's is 10-0 ATS in road games after allowing a shooting percentage of 55% or higher since 1997, and it has won these games by an average of 6.7 points. Additionally, when the line is +3 to -3 for a Wednesday game, playing against teams off 2 consecutive close wins of 5 points or less over conference opponents has resulted in a 22-5 (81.5%) ATS record the last 5 seasons. Pound St. John's.

4* MAJOR CBB BAILOUT (ESPNU) on Boise State -5

Bottom Line: UNLV pounded San Jose State last game, but the Runnin' Rebels are 10-23 ATS off a conference win under Dave Rice, including 4-13 ATS if the win came by 10 points or more. Additionally, 15 games or more into the season in a matchup of teams that commit 14.5 turnovers per game or less, home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points are 75-37 ATS the last 5 seasons if they shoot 45-47.5% and are facing a team that hold opponents to 40% or worse shooting.

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Jazz +8

Bottom Line: The Jazz are being undervalued at home where they have been extremely competitive. They've won or lost by less than 8 points in 7 straight at home. The Warriors haven't played a road game since Christmas so they'll finally be outside their comfort zone. They've lost or won by less than 8 points in each of their last 5 on the road. Pound Utah.

4* MAJOR SEC *SUREFIRE* (ESPNU) on South Carolina -4

Bottom Line: South Carolina has lost back-to-back games since winning 7 straight, and that actually bodes well for us tonight. The Gamecocks are 6-0 ATS in home games after losing 2 straight games or more over the last 2 seasons. They have won these 6 by 8.3 points on average.

4* MAJOR NBA *MARQUEE MATCHUP* on Wizards -1

Bottom Line: The Spurs are off an easy double digit win and cover in Minnesota but are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS win and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a win of more than 10 points. Washington was kicked by Atlanta last game but is 3-0-1 ATS in its last 4 games following an ATS loss. Additionally, the favorite is 20-5-2 ATS in the last 27 meetings.

5* WISEGUY CBB *BEST BET* on Tennessee +3.5

Bottom Line: Arkansas has covered the spread in 3 straight. However, it is 0-6 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games under Mike Anderson and has lost these games by 8.7 points on average. Arkansas does an excellent job of sharing the basketball, but Donnie Tyndall's teams are 7-0 ATS all-time in home games versus good passing teams that average 16.0 assists per game or more. They have won these 7 by an average of 15.3 points. Additionally, Arkansas is 15-30 ATS as a road favorite or pickem since 1997 while Tennessee is 30-8 ATS as a home underdog or pickem since 1997. Pound the Vols.

4* MAJOR NBA *SUREFIRE* on Celtics +5

Bottom Line: The Pelicans are off a double-digit win over Memphis while the Celtics are off a double-digit loss to Toronto. However, the Pelicans are 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games following a win of more than 10 points while the Celtics are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a loss of more than 10 points. Additionally, playing against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that have covered the spread in 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, provided they have a win percentage of 45-55% on the season, has resulted in a 66-33 (67%) ATS record over the last 5 seasons. Also, in a game involving teams with +/- 3.0 ppg differential, playing against a favorite off a double-digit win has resulted in a 132-84 (61%) ATS record the last 5 seasons.

4* MAJOR ACC *BLOOD BATH* on Syracuse -9.5

Bottom Line: Florida State has struggled on the road where it is 0-6 ATS in its last 6. It's off a win and cover against Virginia Tech but is 0-5-1 ATS in its last 6 games following an ATS win. Syracuse is a bad matchup for the Seminoles because they are a poor perimeter shooting team. They are shooting only 27.5% from 3-point range on the season. It takes a zone buster to stretch the Syracuse matchup-zone to open up driving lanes and high-post entries, and the Noles have only one outside threat. That makes it easy on the Orange. It's important to note that 15 games or more into the season FSU is just 2-14 ATS the last 3 seasons versus teams that are outscoring the opposition by 8.0 PPG or more. In other words, they've struggled in conference play against top-notch competition. Bet the Orange.

5* WISEGUY NBA TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Bucks/Bulls OVER 195

Bottom Line: Milwaukee has finished under the total in 9 straight, which has forced oddsmakers to overadjust the line due to the amount of action the under is getting in Milwaukee games. This provides us with an excellent overs opportunity tonight. Milwaukee's unders run has been directly correlated with how well it has defended, but this will be its 4th game in 5 days and defense is the first thing to go in fatigued spots. The over is 18-6 in the Bulls' last 24 home games, including 5-0 in their last 5 versus teams with a winning road record. The over is 14-4 the last 2 seasons in Milwaukee's games as a road dog of 6.5 to 9 points. We've seen 210.4 total points scored on average in these contests. Pound the over.

5* WISEGUY Summit League GAME OF THE MONTH on Nebraska-Omaha -1.5

Bottom Line: Nebraska-Omaha is 7-0 ATS lifetime under coach Hansen after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games and has won these by an average of 4.4 points. Additionally, when the line is +3 to -3 plays against road teams that are off a cover as a double-digit favorite and are playing their 3rd game in 7 days has resulted in a 36-11 ATS record the last 5 seasons. This system is already 2-0 ATS this season. Pound UNO.

4* MAJOR BIG EAST *BLOOD BATH* on Butler -2

Bottom Line: We picked up a big win with Xavier Wednesday, but now we'll go against the Musketeers as they head back out on the road where they have struggled. The Musketeers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games while the Bulldogs are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 at home. Butler is off a loss and lost both meetings with Xavier last season so it will be highly focused. The Musketeers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win while the Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss.

5* WISEGUY NBA *FRIDAY NIGHT FEAST* on Cavs +12.5

Bottom Line: The Cavs have struggled with LeBron James out nursing injuries, but there is still a ton of talent on the roster, and I expect them to show up against the best team in the NBA with the bright ESPN lights on. Playing against home teams that are outscoring opponents by 9.0 PPG or more on the season has resulted in a 30-9 ATS record the last 5 seasons when they are up against an opponent that allowed 105 points or more last game. Pound Cleveland.

4* MAJOR NBA *SUREFIRE* on Spurs -5

Bottom Line: The Spurs are off an ugly loss at home to Detroit where they blew an 18-point advantage and even led by 3 points with 10 seconds left and couldn't close the deal. All that actually bodes well for us here. San Antonio is 17-6 ATS off an upset loss at home the last 3 seasons and has won these games by 9.8 points on average.

4* MAJOR NBA *SUREFIRE* on Thunder -11.5

Bottom Line: Playing against underdogs that beat the spread by more than 24 points in their previous game has resulted in a 26-6 ATS record the last 5 seasons, provided they have a win percentage of 25-40% on the season. Utah upset Chicago on the road in its last game but is 2-11 ATS the last 3 seasons in road games following a road win.

4* MAJOR BIG TEN *BLOOD BATH* on Nebraska -9.5

Bottom Line: Nebraska has been outstanding in league play in bounce back spots. It is 16-5 ATS off a loss to conference foe over the last 3 seasons, including 9-1 ATS during this span off 2 straight losses to conference opponents.

5* WISEGUY OHIO VALLEY GAME OF THE YEAR on Tennessee Tech +6.5

Bottom Line: Now's the time to fade Murray State, which has won its last 9 games. The Racers are on an 8-19 ATS slide after 9 or more consecutive wins. Murray State put the hurt on Tennessee Tech last season as it was able to control the glass, but this year's Murray State team hasn't been nearly as good on the boards. The Racers are averaging just 33 rebounds per game, and that number drops to 30 in games played away from home. The Golden Eagles, on the other hand, are averaging 38 boards per game. This number goes up to 41 at home where they are 6-0 on the season. Tennessee Tech is 12-1 ATS the last 2 seasons versus teams that average 33 or less rebounds per game. Pound Tennessee Tech.

4* MAJOR NBA "Total" DOMINATOR on Hornets/Raptors UNDER 199.5

Bottom Line: Toronto was horrible defensively in its last 2 games and will be looking to tighten the screws here. The Raptors have had the last 3 days off to get fresh and prepare for the Hornets, and I expect them to put forth an outstanding defensive effort tonight. Toronto is 19-7 UNDER since 1996 in home games after allowing 110 points or more 2 straight games. The UNDER is 11-5-1 in the last 17 meetings between these teams in Toronto.

4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Timberwolves +8.5

Bottom Line: This is a bad spot for Phoenix, which played a hard fought game in Milwaukee last night and has big games against the Spurs and Grizzlies on deck. I don't see the Suns giving the lowly T-Wolves their complete focus. The Suns are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day. The underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Bet Minnesota.

5* WISEGUY BIG TEN GAME OF THE MONTH on Illinois +2

Bottom Line: This is a big bounce back spot for Illinois following consecutive defeats at Michigan and Ohio State. This is a big letdown spot for Maryland following big wins over Michigan State and Minnesota. Illinois is a perfect 7-0 at home where it is winning by an average of 30.0 points. It has two more Big Ten road games following this one, which makes this game that much more important. Rayvonte Rice is out with a hand injury, but I fully expect this deep, talented group to step up. Pound Illinois.

5* WISEGUY BIG EAST GAME OF THE MONTH on Xavier -7

Bottom Line: This is a big bounce back spot for Xavier following a bad loss at DePaul. It's also a big revenge spot for the Musketeers after getting swept by Seton Hall last season. Additionally, this is a big letdown spot for the Pirates who hit the road off back-to-back big home wins over St. John's and Villanova. Xavier is a perfect 8-0 at home where it is winning by an average of 21 points and has notable double-digit wins over Alabama and Georgetown. Pound Xavier.

5* WISEGUY CBB *BEST BET* BLOWOUT on Houston -7

Bottom Line: This is not the night to back Central Florida. The Knights are 0-8 ATS on Tuesday night under coach Jones. Houston, on the other hand, is on an 18-6 ATS run in Tuesday night home games. The Cougars are 10-2 ATS as a home favorite or pickem over the last three seasons. They are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 home games, and the favorite is 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Pound Houston.

5* WISEGUY CBB *BEST BET* on Troy State +3.5

Bottom Line: Texas-Arlington is 0-8 ATS the last 3 seasons off a home win of 10 points or more and has lost these games by 7.1 points on average. Troy is 6-0 ATS after a blowout loss of 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons and has won these games by an average of 2.0 points. Pound Troy State.

5* WISEGUY NBA "Total" BLOWOUT on Wizards/Pelicans OVER 200

Bottom Line: These teams have come in under 200 points in each of the last 9 meetings so it's clear the books are begging for action on the under. However, they have good reason for posting such a high number as the Washington defense is really struggling (gave up over 52% shooting in each of its last 3 games) and it's up against a New Orleans team that is averaging over 108 ppg at home. Washington is 17-7 OVER the last 2 seasons in road games after finishing under the total in its last game. The OVER iis 10-4 in the Pelicans' last 14 home games and 11-4 in their last 15 versus the East.

4* MAJOR on Charleston -3.5

Bottom Line: James Madison is off a strong performance over Towson where it held the Tigers to just 52 points. However, JM is 0-6 ATS the last 2 seasons after holding an opponent to 55 points or less and has lost by an average of 8.4 points in these games.

4* MAJOR on Virginia Military +2.5

Bottom Line: VMI is 3-1 at home while Mercer is 1-5 on the road. The Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 following a cover while the Keydets are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS defeat.

4* MAJOR on Towson -3

Bottom Line: I'm fading Elon in a spot it hasn't performed well in. The Phoenix are on a 17-28 ATS slide when playing win one or no days of rest.

4* MAJOR on Fairfield +1

Bottom Line: The Broncs are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a win. The Stags are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a loss and 4-0-2 ATS in their last 6 versus Metro Atlantic Athletic opponents. The underdog is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings.

4* MAJOR on Drexel +5.5

Bottom Line: Playing against road teams that are off a win of 20 points or more in conference play has resulted in a 30-9 ATS record since 1997 if they are up against an opponent that's off an upset loss of 10 points or more at home. This system is a perfect 5-0 ATS the last 3 seasons.

4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Kings +4

Bottom Line: The Kings will be hungry as they seek revenge for a home loss to Detroit last month. Playing underdogs that are out for revenge for an upset loss at home has resulted in a 33-10 ATS record the last 5 seasons, provided the team they are seeking revenge against is off 2 or more consecutive road wins. Bet Sacramento.

4* MAJOR BIG EAST *BLOOD BATH* on Marquette -1.5

Bottom Line: Look for Marquette to bounce back strong against Providence following a tough loss at DePaul. The Golden Eagles are a perfect 7-0 at home versus Providence since they began competing in the Big East Conference. None of these wins have come by fewer than 7 points. Additionally, when the line is +3 to -3 playing against road teams that have beaten the spread by 18 or more points total in their last 3 games has resulted in a 19-1 ATS record the last 3 seasons if they are up against a team that has gone under the total by 18 or more total points in their last 3 games. Bet Marquette.

4* MAJOR NON-CONFERENCE *MARQUEE MATCHUP* (CBS) on Florida -9.5

Bottom Line: This game is all about revenge for Florida, which lost to UConn in last season's Final Four. The Gators are an impressive 114-89 ATS as a home favorite or pickem under coach Donovan, including 39-27 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. Florida is on a 65-38 ATS run after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games.

4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Knicks +3

Bottom Line: Detroit is being overvalued following 3 straight wins. It is just 1-8 ATS as a favorite this season. The Knicks lost ugly to the Blazers and Clippers in their last 2 but are 26-9 ATS off 2 consecutive road losses of 10 points or more since 1996. The Knicks are 8-0 in their last 8 home games versus the Pistons.

5* WISEGUY BIG EAST GAME OF THE MONTH on DePaul +4.5

Bottom Line: Marquette is 0-7 ATS the last 3 seasons in road games following 2 consecutive double-digit wins and has lost these games by an average of 7.0 points. Additionally, DePaul is 14-5 ATS in home games against teams with win percentages of 60-80% under coach Purnell. Pound DePaul.

4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Pelicans -1.5

Bottom Line: This is a challenging spot for Phoenix, which will be playing a 3rd road game in 5 days and this one comes after a long cross-country trip from LA. The Suns also have a big revenge game in Oklahoma City tomorrow so they could be peeking ahead to that one. New Orleans has had the last 2 days off so it should be the fresher team. It should also be the hungrier side as it tries to end 4-game losing streak to the Suns. The Pelicans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games versus a team with a winning record and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games versus a team with a winning road record.

4* MAJOR CBB *BEST BET* on Penn +11.5

Bottom Line: LaSalle is 2-10 ATS since 1997 after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games. The Explorers are 4-11-2 ATS in their last 17 versus Ivy League opponents and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games versus a team with a losing road record. They are 10-24 ATS in non-conference home games under coach Giannini and 27-41 ATS as a home favorite or pickem under their current coach. The road team is 6-0-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Playing road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points that are an average shooting team (42.5-45%) playing against a good defensive team (40-42.5%) has resulted in a 70-33 ATS record since 1997, provided the play on team allowed a shooting percentage of 55% or higher last time out.

4* MAJOR CBB HOME COURT *SUREFIRE* on Denver -4.5

Bottom Line: After giving Colorado State all it wanted, Denver suffered a letdown and lost to lowly Bryant. It was the kind of loss that gets the blood boiling. The Pioneers lost at St. Joe's by 1 points last season so they will draw added motivation from that. Home court has been good to Denver. It is 56-36 ATS in lined home games under coach Scott, including 23-10 ATS as a home favorites of 6 points or less or pickem. Additionally, Scott's teams are 7-0 ATS all-time in home games following a game where they shot 20% or worse from beyond the arc. They've won these seven by an average of 9.3 points.

4* MAJOR CBB DOUBLE DIGIT BLOOD BATH on BYU -10

Bottom Line: This may seem like a lot of points for 10-4 BYU to be laying against 10-3 Portland, but this is a tough spot for Portland. The Pilots are playing their 2nd road game in 3 days. BYU is also playing a 2nd game in 3 days but has been at home the entire time, and that makes quick turnarounds much easier. The Cougars are 12-4 ATS in home games when playing a 2nd game in 3 days under coach Rose, and they have won these games by 23.0 points on average. BYU is 5-0 in its last 5 home games versus Portland with these wins coming by an average of 15.0 points.

5* WISEGUY NBA "TOTAL" DOMINATOR on Kings/Nets UNDER 204.5

Bottom Line: Playing the UNDER on a team that has finished over the total in at least its last 2 games has resulted in a 108-58 (65%) record the last 5 seasons if that team is playing an opponent that has finished over the total in at least its last 4 games. Additionally, playing the UNDER on a road team when the total is 200 or higher has resulted in a 72-38 (66%) record since 1996 if the road team averages 102 PPG or more and is playing a team that averages 92-98 PPG, and if the road team allowed 55 points or more in the 1st half in its last 2 games. Pound the UNDER.

4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Nuggets +2.5

Bottom Line: Tough spot for Toronto playing without rest in high altitude. The difficulty of this spot is magnified by the fact it is off a big win and has a bigger game on deck. The Nuggets are 29-10 ATS in their last 39 home games versus a team with a winning road record. Denver is 14-4 ATS at home the last 3 seasons versus very good teams that outscore their opponents by 6 PPG or more, and it has defeated these teams by an average of 1.4 points.

4* MAJOR CBB *BEST BET* on Monmouth -2.5

Bottom Line: Monmouth is coming off a pathetic performance against Saint Francis-New York. However, playing favorites that return all 5 starters and are off a game where they were held to 60 points or fewer has resulted in a 161-97 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Rutgers defeated Saint Francis-NY at home earlier this season by 3 points yet it is an underdog to a team that was just crushed by the same opponent? It appears odds makers are begging for money on Rutgers. Take Monmouth.

4* MAJOR NBA "Total" DOMINATOR on Pacers/Nets UNDER 191

Bottom Line: Lionel Hollins is a defensive-minded coach and can't be happy with yesterday's performance in Boston. The Nets got the win but allowed the Celtics to score 107 points on 51.7% shooting. Hollins has been able to make the proper adjustments and motivate his team following poor defensive game. The Nets are 8-0 under his watch after allowing 105 points or more and are holding opponents to only 94.0 in this spot.

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Hornets +6.5

Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from OKC following a big Christmas Day win in San Antonio. The Hornets are playing their best basketball of the season, and they'll be more rested and more prepared for this contest. They are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a win, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games versus teams with a losing record and 4-0 ATS in their 4 road games. Charlotte is 10-1 ATS in December road games under coach Clifford. Pound the Hornets.

5* WISEGUY CHRISTMAS *BEST BET* on Heat +5.5

Bottom Line: This line is inflated due to a combination of Cleveland's back-to-back blowout wins and covers and Miami's ugly loss to the 76ers. This will be an emotional game for LeBron James as he returns to the place he won 2 Championships. He struggled mightily in the season opener in his return to Cleveland and I believe his emotions will also get the better of him in this one. I also expect a big effort from the Heat as they look to show LeBron that he would have been better off staying in South Beach. At the end of regulation, Cleveland has won by more than 5.5 points in just 3 of 11 road games this season. Miami has been a great bounce-back team this season at 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games following a loss. Pound the Heat.

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on T-Wolves +14

Bottom Line: This is a sandwich game of the Cavs, which are off a big blowout win over Memphis and have a Christmas day showdown at Miami on deck. I don't see them giving the lowly T-Wolves their full attention tonight. Playing against home favorites after a game where they shot 60% or better has resulted in a 26-6 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Additionally, Tuesday night double-digit dogs that have a win percentage of 25% or worse on the season are 104-59 ATS since 1996. Pound Minnesota.

4* MAJOR CBB *BEST BET* on Niagara +2

Bottom Line: Off back-to-back wins over Mississippi State and Marshall, Arkansas State will be looking right past a Niagara team it blew out last season. I'm playing the revenge angle here as this is the first home game for the Purple Eagles since Dec. 6, and they'll be ready to get their revenge in front of their home crowd. Arkansas State is 19-36 ATS after playing a game as a home favorite under coach John Brady, including 6-17 ATS the last 3 seasons. 

4* MAJOR CBB *BEST BET* on Miami -1.5

Bottom Line: Look for Miami to bounce back strong following an ugly loss to Eastern Kentucky. The Hurricanes managed only 44 points on 29.3% shooting, but they are on a 13-1 ATS run when playing away from home after a game where they made 33% of their shots or less. They are on a 6-0 ATS run in games played away from home after being held to 55 points or less. They are also 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss.

5* WISEGUY NBA Pre All-Star Break GAME OF THE YEAR on Rockets -3.5

Bottom Line: This game is all about revenge for the Rockets, who were bounced by Portland in six games in last season's playoffs. What stings even worse is how they lost. It looked like Houston was going to force a Game 7, then Damian Lillard nailed a three-pointer as time expired. You just don't forget losses like that, and this is the first meeting since. Houston will be ready. The Rockets have been a much better play than Portland when facing quality competition. The Rockets are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games versus a team with a winning percentage above 60% while the Blazers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games versus a team with a winning percentage above 60%. The Rockets are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Pound Houston.

4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on T-Wolves +3

Bottom Line: When the line is +3 to -3, playing a team that has allowed 105 points or more in 2 straight games has resulted in a 28-7 ATS record since 1996, provided their opponent is off a game where 165 points or less were scored. This system is a perfect 4-0 ATS the last 5 seasons. Additionally, teams off 2 straight double-digit defeats are 46-18 ATS the last 5 seasons when they are playing a team that is off a game where both it and its opponent scored 90 points or less. Grab the points.

4* MAJOR CBB *BEST BET* on Georgia State -18.5

Bottom Line: The Panthers will be highly motivated following a loss at Old Dominion, and they'll show no mercy to a So. Miss team they lost to last season. The Panthers have played just 2 home games this season and won both handily. The 24-point win over Wisconsin-Green Bay was very impressive. So. Miss is 0-3 on the road this season and has been smacked by 23 and 20 points in its last 2 road games. The Panthers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400.

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Pacers +4

Bottom Line: Playing road teams that are out for revenge for a home blowout loss of 20 points or more to an opponent, provided that opponent checks in off a home win, has resulted in a 41-12 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Off a big win over the Clippers last night, Denver will have a tough time getting past a more motivated and better rested Indiana squad. Pound the Pacers.

4* MAJOR CBB *BEST BET* on Drexel +7

The Key: Penn State is getting a little too much respect in this neutral floor contest. The Nittany Lions have been a terrible investment at 9-23 ATS in their last 32 games overall. They are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games. These teams have played two like opponents this season and had very similar results. Drexel defeated Cornell by 2 points, Penn State defeated Cornell by 1. Drexel lost to USC by 2 points, Penn State defeated USC by 2 points. The results of those games show me this line is being inflated due to Penn State's overall record (10-2) versus Drexel's overall record (2-7). Grab the points.

5* WISEGUY NBA *FRIDAY NIGHT FEAST* on Bulls +6.5

Bottom Line: Memphis is being overvalued following back-to-back big wins over Golden State and San Antonio. The Bulls have been outstanding on the road where they are 11-4, and they are an incredible 17-5 ATS in Friday night road game over the last three seasons. Playing underdogs that are outscoring opponents by 3 PPG or more on the season and are matched up against a team that is coming off a close win of 3 points or less has resulted in a 46-21 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Pound the Bulls.

4* MAJOR CBB *BEST BET* on Saint Mary's +7

Bottom Line: Look for St. Mary's to give St. John's all it wants and more tonight. The Gaels got caught in a sandwich last game, losing to Northern Arizona, as they were off a big win at Creighton and had this contest on deck. The loss assures us they will be even more motivated. The Gaels are 11-3 ATS off a home loss of 3 points or less under coach Bennett. There is also another factor at play that can't be ignored. St. John's is 3-19 ATS after committing 8 turnovers or less under coach Lavin.

4* MAJOR CBB *BEST BET* on South Florida +6

Bottom Line: Seton Hall is being overvalued here because it is 8-0 ATS in lined games this season. That's the type of streak the public takes notice of and the type of streak the books like to use against the public. The Pirates are 8-1 but have been aided by a schedule that has included just 1 road game to this point. The home team is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these teams. It is also 8-2 in the last 10 with neither of the losses coming by more than 5 points. That creates a perfect 10-0 matchup trend given the number we are getting here.

5* WISEGUY NBA *BEST BET* on Nuggets +1.5

Bottom Line: This game is all about revenge for the Nuggets, who were defeated by double digits in Houston Saturday. I expect home court to make the difference as the home team is 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings. The Nuggets are 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings overall, including 4-0 SU and ATS in the last 4 at home. These 4 wins came by an average of 12.0 points. Pound the Nuggets.

4* MAJOR CBB *BEST BET* on New Mexico State +13.5

Bottom Line: Baylor is being overvalued at home. The Bears haven't played since Dec. 9, and I expect to see some rust. The Bears are 0-6 ATS in their last six versus Western Athletic Conference opponents. The Aggies are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 non-conference games, 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following an ATS loss and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games versus a team with a winning record.

4* MAJOR NBA *PUBLIC MASSACRE* on Pistons +6.5

Bottom Line: The public doesn't want any part of a Pistons team that is 5-20 on the season, but this is a good spot for them. The Mavs played in New York last night while the Pistons had the night off so I expect Detroit to be the fresher side. The Mavs will also be tempted to peak ahead to their next opponents - San Antonio. The Mavericks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games when playing without a day of rest.

5* WISEGUY NBA WESTERN CONFERENCE GAME OF THE WEEK on Kings +7.5

Bottom Line: The Kings are 17-4 ATS the last 3 seasons following a stretch of 8 or more losses in a 10-game span. They are also on a 32-16 ATS run as a home underdog of 6.5 to 9.0 points. Playing against favorites in a game involving teams with a +/- 3.0 PPG scoring differential, provide they are off a blowout win of 15 points or more, has resulted in a 73-35 ATS record the last 5 seasons. Pound Sacramento.

4* MAJOR CBB *BEST BET* on Northern Arizona +14

Bottom Line: This is a sandwich game for St. Mary's. The Gaels are coming off a big win over Creighton and they have another big showdown at St. John's on deck so I don't think they'll give Northern Arizona their full attention. The Gaels are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a cover. The Lumberjacks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games versus a team with a winning record. Take the points.

4* MAJOR NBA *BEST BET* on Suns -5

Bottom Line: Expect a letdown from Milwaukee as it hits the road following a big upset win over the Clippers. The Bucks are 4-14 ATS off an upset victory over the last 2 seasons, losing by an average of 12.3 points in this spot. The Suns have owned the Bucks at home to the tune of 16-1 since 1997. The Suns have won these games by an average score of 110 to 100. Bet Phoenix.

4* MAJOR CBB *BEST BET* on Austin Peay -2.5

Bottom Line:Austin Peay just played Saturday, but it is 36-25 ATS in home games when playing with 1 or no days of rest under coach Loos. The Governors will be lacking no motivation after a bad loss to Lipscomb. They are 28-17 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses under Loos. The Troy Trojans are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a win. Bet Austin Peay.