Sports Picks & Predictions

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT "Total" Blowout on Spurs/Nuggets UNDER 206
Bottom Line: 5 straight and 21 of the last 22 meetings between these teams have finished below this number. The Under is a perfect 7-0 in the Spurs' last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Also, plays Under on all teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (SAN ANTONIO) - a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team, in February games are 74-37 since 1996, including a perfect 6-0 already this season. Bet the Under.

4* Major ESPN Prime Time Pounder on Ole Miss +4.5
Bottom Line: Miss St. won the season's first meeting at Ole Miss, but I look for the Rebs to return the favor here. Ole Miss is 13-4 ATS in road lined games over the last 2 seasons and 6-0 ATS in road games when revenging a loss over the last 2 seasons. We'll take the points.

4* Major NCAAB Bailout on New Mexico +5.5
Bottom Line: I'll take the Lobos catching a generous amount of points tonight as they look to avenge an earlier season loss to UNLV considering that the underdog is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. New Mexico has the edge in terms of motivation here and that will be the difference in this one. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Clippers/Warriors OVER 212
Bottom Line: The Over is 32-14 in the Warriors' last 46 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and 5-1 in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Over is also 9-3 in the Clippers' last 12 games vs. Western Conference. The Warriors feel this is a great opportunity to snap their long losing streak so I expect them to really push the tempo tonight and the "Over" should be the result.

4* Major NCAAB Rivalry Game of the Week (ESPN) on Duke -5.5
Bottom Line: UNC will likely hang around for a while, but when it's all said and done, the Heels just don't have it this year. Duke could not be more hungry to embarrass the Tar Heels when you consider that UNC has won 3 straight and 6 of the last 7. UNC is 0-6 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games this season, losing to these teams by an average of 12.3 points. Lay the number!

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout of the Week on Jazz/Clippers OVER 201
Bottom Line: Utah has it going on the offensive end of the floor right now so we'll gladly take the Over here, especially since the Jazz are 9-1 Over in road games off a home win in which they scored 110 or more points over the last 2 seasons. The Over is 4-0 in Utah's last 4 road games and 8-3 in the Clippers' last 11 vs. the Western Conference. We'll pound the Over here as these two well rested teams get out and run tonight.

4* Major ESPN Prime Time Pounder on Michigan State -2.5
Bottom Line: Purdue is on a 9-27 ATS skid as a road underdog of 6 points or less or a pick losing in these spots by an average score of 64.1 to 71.9. Off back-to-back road defeats, I expect the Spartans to bounce back strong at home where they are 13-0 this season. Plus, the Spartans are 21-4-2 ATS in their last 27 games as a favorite of 6.5 or less points. Take Michigan State.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB Underdog of the Week on Alabama +16
Bottom Line: I expect the Wildcats to come out flat tonight after an absolutely huge win over LSU and with Tennessee on deck. The Crimson Tide are a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog of 13.0 or greater. Plus, Kentucky is on a 1-10 ATS slide in home games after allowing 60 points or less, only winning in these spots by an average of 8.5 ppg. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy Monday Night NBA "Total" Blowout on Mavs/Warriors OVER 218
Bottom Line: We just saw these two teams combine for 211 points in Dallas last week, but with this game now being played at Golden State, we can expect the tempo to be faster and more points to be scored. In fact, the last 3 meetings at Golden State have gone over with these teams combining for an average 227.3 points in those games. Pound the Over.

4* Major Big 12 Game of the Week (ESPN) on Texas +2
Bottom Line: We cashed in with Texas last week on Big Monday, and we will ride them again here as the Horns should be even more motivated following their worst performance of the season Saturday. There is one thing that can atone for Texas' recent losses and that is a win tonight on its home floor where it had defeated the Jayhawks 3 straight times. The Longhorns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog of 6.5 or less points and we'll take the Horns in the home dog role tonight.

4* Major Motivational Monster on Oregon +1.5
Bottom Line: After losing to OSU in the season's first meeting, I expect the Ducks to bounce back strong with a win this evening. The Ducks are 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings, the Road team is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings and the Beavers are just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite. Off back-to-back wins, look for the Ducks to keep it going today in this highly motivated spot.

5* Wiseguy Pac-10 Game of the Year (CBS) on Cal -3.5
Bottom Line: With first place in the Pac-10 on the line, I expect Cal to avenge an earlier season loss to UCLA today. On top of that, Cal is coming off back-to-back defeats so I don't think we'll find the Bears in a more motivated spot all season. The road team is now 11-3 ATS in the last 14 meetings and the Golden Bears are a spectacular 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a road favorite. Pound Cal.

4* Major NBA Game of the Night on 76ers +5
Bottom Line: The 76ers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog, and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 0 days rest. The 76ers are also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Houston. Meanwhile, the Rockets are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. Take the points.

4* Major NCAAB *Underdog Shocker* on Sacramento State +4
Bottom Line: Sac State was crushed the last time it faced Portland State, but I don't see it happening again tonight. In fact, I see quite the contrary. The Hornets are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 6.5 or fewer points, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog period, and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. After getting brutally embarrassed at Porland State, expect the Bees to show up in a big way here.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Pistons/Pacers UNDER 200.5
Bottom Line: The Pacers are 7-3 Under in their last 10 overall, and we have found a strong correlation between the Under and the Pacers being favored. In fact, the Under is 10-3-2 in the Pacers' last 15 games as a favorite and 9-2-2 in their last 13 games as a home favorite. Also, the Under is 7-2 in the Pistons' last 9 overall and 5-0 in their last 5 games as an underdog. We'll bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *BLOOD BATH* on Spurs -2
Bottom Line: With Brandon Roy still expected to be out, but with Tony Parker expected to be back, I have to give the edge to the Spurs tonight. Plus, revenge should also play a major factor here. The Spurs lost to the Blazers as a 13-point favorite in late December to set up a very strong situation tonight. In fact, San Antonio is 11-1 ATS when revenging a straight up loss as a favorite of 7 or more points over the last 3 seasons, winning in these spots by an average score of 106 to 94.3. Take the Spurs.

4* Major ACC Total of the Week on UNC/VA Tech UNDER 145
Bottom Line: UNC is 6-0 UNDER against conference opponents this season. We only saw 142 points in the first meeting between these two teams and that game was in Chapel Hill. I expect this one to be even lower scoring as VA Tech is holding its opponents under 53 ppg at home.

4* Major NBA on TNT Line Mistake on Heat +9.5
Bottom Line: 7 of the last 8 meetings between the Cavs and the Heat have been decided by 9 or fewer points so I feel like we are getting pretty good value with the Heat catching 9.5. The road team has covered the spread in 6 of the last 8 meetings, and the Heat will be especially motivated tonight after enduring a 1-point home loss to the Cavs in late January. I feel odds makers have made a mistake, spotting the Heat a few too many points.

4* Major Wednesday Night NBA Bailout (ESPN) on Nuggets -7
Bottom Line: The home team is 10-2 ATS in the last 12 meetings, the favorite is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings and the Suns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Denver. Also, the Suns are just 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. Meanwhile, the Nuggets are 47-18-2 ATS in their last 67 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. After getting a scare by lowly Sacramento, expect the Nugs to show up focused tonight. Plus, it won't hurt that Carmelo Anthony is expected to return for Denver tonight. We'll lay the number.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Bobcats/Lakers UNDER 194
Bottom Line: Plays Under on any team (LA LAKERS) - extremely tired team - playing 9 or more games in 14 days against a tired opponent - playing its 3rd road game in 5 days, are 49-18 since 1996. Teams in this spot are only combining to score 186.9 points on average. Bet the Under.

4* Major Big 12 Total of the Week (ESPNU) on Texas A&M/Missouri Over 145
Bottom Line: We saw 182 points scored in last year's meeting and I expect another high scoring affair here as Mizzou's uptempo style helps push this one over the number. Mizzou is 12-4 Over in home games where the total is 140 to 149.5 under coach Anderson, and we have seen a combined score of 151.6 points in these games. Take the Over.

4* Major Big Ten Total of the Week (ESPN) on Michigan State/Wisconsin UNDER 123.5
Bottom Line: The Under is 10-2 in the Badgers' last 12 overall, 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home favorite, and 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Under is 5-1 in the Spartans' last 6 road games, 15-5 in their last 20 vs. the Big Ten, and 28-10-1 in their last 39 games as an underdog. The Under is also 6-2 in the last 8 meetings. Bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy 53-0 ATS NBA Underdog of the Month on Warriors +6
Bottom Line: The Warriors are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. They are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games overall and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Rockets are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. They are also 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 day's rest, 0-7 ATS in their last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game, 0-7 ATS in their last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game, and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss. The last 3 meetings in this matchup have been decided by 4 or fewer points. Take the Warriors and the points tonight.

4* Major NBA Line Mistake on Pacers +1
Bottom Line: Witth DeMar DeRozan and Hedo Turkoglu expected to miss, look for the Pacers to avenge Sunday's loss to Toronto. The home team is a perfect 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings and the Pacers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. loss. Plus, the Pacers only got 8 points from Danny Granger Sunday so he will be especially focused tonight. Take the Pacers.

4* Major ESPN Big Monday *BLOOD BATH* on Texas -1.5
Bottom Line: I strongly feel that Texas is the better team and it will show up focused tonight after enduring a loss to Baylor last game. The Cowboys are just 7-22 ATS in their last 29 games as an underdog of 6.5 or fewer points, including 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a home underdog of 6.5 or less. Texas shows up tonight and gets back in the win column. Take Texas.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout of the Week on Lakers/Grizzlies UNDER 208
Bottom Line: The Lakers won't have much left tonight as this is the very last game of a grueling road trip. But this is an experienced team, which isn't going to lay down either. Expect LA to slow the pace of this game down to give itself a chance to win. In turn, this one should stay under the number. Memphis is a good home team; we're talking 17-6 on the season. So when the Grizz are in the home underdog role, odds makers aren't expecting them to score many points. In fact, Memphis is 11-1 UNDER as a home underdog of 3 points or less since the beginning of last season, and we are only seeing an average of 184.9 points scored in these games. Bet the Under.

4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Warriors/Thunder UNDER 215.5
Bottom Line: System Play: Plays Under on all teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (GOLDEN STATE) - an excellent offensive team (>=102 PPG) against an average defensive team (92-98 PPG), after a loss by 10 points or more are 31-13 the last 5 seasons. Plus the Warriors are 5-0 Under in their last 5 road games with the Thunder. Bet the Under tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Month on Pacers +9
Bottom Line: Expect the Pacers to bounce back strong this evening after getting embarrassed by the Lakers and the Cavs this week. Toronto has been playing well, but not well enough to warrant this much respect, especially when you consider that the Raptors are only 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5, and the Pacers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. Plus, the Pacers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. loss. Take the Pacers and the points as they take the Raptors right down to the wire with a chance to pull off the upset in the end.

4* Major National TV Game of the Week on Celtics +1
Bottom Line: This is a tough spot for the Lakers as they are nearing the end of a gruesome road trip. Boston has dropped a pair of tough ones to Orlando and Atlanta, but I expect it to rise to the occasion against a tired Lakers team this afternoon. In addition to Kobe's broken finger, he now has a bum ankle, and that should only help Boston put the clamps on him defensively. The Lakers are 2-8 ATS in the last 10 meetings and 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Boston. Take the Celtics.

3* SUREFIRE on Drake -1
Bottom Line: Drake will be in big time bounce back mode after seeing its 5-game winning streak come to an end. Creighton is just 2-9 SU and 3-8 ATS away from home this season. Plus, Drake has had the Jays' number the last few years, posting a 4-2 SU and 5-1 ATS mark. Take Drake at home.

5* NBA "Total" Blowout of the Month on Hawks/Magic UNDER 195
Bottom Line: The last 3 meetings between these two division rivals have all finished under this number and I fully expect this trend to continue. Atlanta was crushed by Orlando earlier this month, and that defeat plays right into our hands here. In fact, Atlanta is 17-5 Under revenging a road loss of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons, and we are only seeing this situation produce 183.1 total points. We'll pound the Under tonight.

5* Wiseguy Pac-10 Game of the Year on Stanford +11.5
Bottom Line: I know Stanford has struggled on the road, but this young ASU team doesn't deserve to be laying this many points against just about anyone. The Sun Devils prefer to play a slow-paced game and that only adds value to these 11.5 points we are catching. In fact, Stanford is on a 24-11 ATS run versus slow-down teams averaging 53 or less shots/game after 15+ games. Stanford has also won 10 of the last 12 meetings at ASU. The Sun Devils are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5 points and the Underdog is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Expect the Cardinal to cover easily in an ugly game.

4* Major Early Upset on Saint Louis +7
Bottom Line: Saint Louis isn't getting nearly enough respect with this line. I've called this play my early upset because I wouldn't be at all surprised if the Billikens pull it off. I just can't justify laying this many points with Richmond when the Spiders are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite and 8-21-1 ATS in their last 30 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5 points. Take the points.

4* Major Horizon League Game of the Month on Wisconsin-Green Bay +9
Bottom Line: The Phoenix will be looking for payback tonight after getting embarrassed at Butler earlier this season, and recent history tells us they'll get it. The Phoenix are a perfect 8-0 ATS in home games when revenging a loss since the beginning of last season, winning in these spots by an average score of 76.9 to 65.6. After losing at Butler last season, the Phoenix turned around and defeated the Bulldogs by 9 points at home. Wisconsin-Green Bay should be able to keep this one within the number. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA East Coast Game of the Year on Celtics +4
Bottom Line: Boston could not be more motivated in this spot. Not only will the Celtics be looking to avenge 3 straight losses to the Hawks this season, but they will be further motivated by blowing a double digit lead and losing to Orlando last night. Here's the key: Boston is 10-1 ATS when playing with triple revenge - 3 straight losses vs. an opponent over the last 3 seasons, winning in these spots by an average score of 103.2 to 88.5. Take the Celtics and the points.

4* Major "Total" Blowout on Lakers/76ers UNDER 202.5
Bottom Line: Philly has been an Unders machine this season. In fact, the 76ers have played to the Under in 5 straight and 8 of their last 9. Because of the slower pace that the 76ers play, only teams that get to the free throw line a great deal, scoring with the clock stopped, have had good success in pushing their games over. So here's the key: Philly is 7-0 Under in home games versus poor foul drawing teams attempting 24 or less free throws per game this season. We are only seeing 181.1 points on average in these games. Take the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT MONSTER BEST BET on Mavs +2.5
Bottom Line: It really makes sense to fade Phoenix here when you consider that plays against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread, winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season are just 21-3 ATS the last 3 seasons. Dallas has won 3 straight against the Suns and 5 of the last 6. Plus, the Suns are really struggling right now, having lost 7 of their last 9 games, and things will likely only get tougher with all the Amare Stoudemire trade talk and with Leandro Barbosa out with injury. Lastly, the Mavericks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 4.5 or fewer points and the Suns are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite. Take the Mavs.

4* Major NBA on TNT Prime Time Punisher on Magic -3
Bottom Line: The Magic will be out for revenge here tonight after falling to the Celtics at home on Christmas Day. The Celtics have lost 5 in a row ATS and they are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. We'll grab Orlando at home tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Favorite of the Month on Spurs -3
Bottom Line: After 3 straight defeats, expect a Spurs team that is 11-1 SU & 10-2 ATS in its last 12 home games against the Hawks to be motivated enough to get the job done tonight. The Spurs recent struggles have been as much to do with poor shooting as anything, but they are on a 17-4 ATS run in home games after 3 straight games where they made 42% of their shots or worse, winning in these spots by an average score of 98 to 84.3. Plus, Atlanta is just 3-15 ATS in road games versus good teams outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game in the 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons, losing to these teams by an average score of 87.6 to 105.8. Lay the points.

4* Major NBA Dog of the Night on 76ers +2.5
Bottom Line: Look for the more rested 76ers to pull the upset here against a Bucks team that just had a tough one in Dallas last night. Philly has owned the Bucks, going 7-1 SU & ATS the last 3 seasons, including 3-0 SU & ATS at Milwaukee during that span. The 76ers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Take the points.

4* Major NCAAB Game of the Night on Drake +13.5
Bottom Line: Drake is rolling, having won 5 in a row SU and 6 in a row ATS. While I think its straight up winning streak will come to an end here, I believe its ATS winning streak will continue. This is an in-state rivalry game as well as a conference clash so Drake will be extremely motivated in this spot. Drake is also 10-3 ATS as an underdog this season and 17-6 ATS as a road underdog or pick over the last 3 seasons. The Panthers are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 13.0 or greater and the road team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Underdog of the Month on Bucks +7
Bottom Line: Dallas is 13-7 at home but only 5-15 ATS in those games. Plus, the Mavs have struggled with up-tempo teams. In fact, Dallas is 0-7 ATS in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots per game this season, winning these games by just 2.1 ppg. The Mavericks are 0-11 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points, 0-9 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. Meanwhile, the Bucks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy C-USA Game of the Year on Tulsa +4
Bottom Line: UAB has been extremely overvalued at home recently. It was favored by 18 points over E. Carolina and only won by 8. It was favored by 12 points over S. Miss and only won by 1. In all, the Blazers are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. This isn't good news considering that the Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in this matchup. Plus, the Golden Hurricane are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 6.5 or less points and 25-12 ATS in their last 37 vs. Conference USA. Tulsa has won the last 3 meetings between these two teams and I'll take the Golden Hurricane catching points here tonight.

4* Major Tuesday NBA Blowout on Knicks -5.5
Bottom Line: After getting completely embarrassed by the Mavs at home Sunday, look for the Knicks to bounce back strong against a T-Wolves team losing by an average of 13.1 points in road games this season. The Knicks are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. Look for the Knicks to win by double digits tonight.

3* ESPN Big Monday Bailout on Kansas -12
Bottom Line: After losing DeMarre Carroll and Leo Lyons, the Tigers don't have the fire power to stick with Kansas this season. Even with those guys, Mizzou was blown out 90-65 at Kansas last season. Mizzou relies on getting points off turnovers, and they lead the nation by forcing 20.9 per game, but I look for Kansas to abuse the pressure tonight as veteran point guard Sherron Collins won't be phased. Kansas is a perfect 11-0 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons, winning these games by an average of 14.5 points. Take Kansas.

5* Wiseguy NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month on Pacers +4.5
Bottom Line: The Pacers just fell at home to the 76ers Saturday, but I expect them to return the favor tonight. The team that loses the first game of these home and home matchups usually bounces back with a solid effort, and I expect no less from Indy here. Philly is just 5-16 ATS in home games this season, losing by an average score of 95.2 to 98.3. The 76ers are also just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as a home favorite and 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games following a S.U. win. The Pacers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog, and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 day

4* Major ESPN Big Monday Blood Bath on Georgetown +6
Bottom Line: The Hoyas took the Orange to overtime before losing by 4 points in last year's matchup at the Carrier Dome. The Hoyas should have another opportunity to pull off the upset tonight. Georgetown certainly has the size, and shoots the 3 well enough, to have success against the Syracuse zone. In fact, plays on road teams as an underdog or pick in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (>=36.5%) after 15+ games, and after 2 straight games making 50% of their 3 point shots or better, are 35-8 ATS since 1997. Take the Hoyas and the points.

4* Major NBA Early Cash Cow on Mavs -3
Bottom Line: Dallas is 12-1 ATS on the road after an upset defeat over the last two seasons, winning in these spots by an average score of 100.4 to 92.2. Look for the Mavs to bounce back from Friday's upset loss to Philly today.

5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout of the Week on Pacers -3
Bottom Line: The 76ers are 1-5-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings and 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games following a S.U. win. The Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 4.5 or less points. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy Big 12 Game of the Year on Oklahoma State +9.5
Bottom Line: Huge letdown spot for K-State after a win over Texas. There's just no way the Cats will be able to get up for this game the same way. The Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings, 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, and 11-3 ATS in their last 14 vs. the Big 12. Take the Cowboys as they keep this one well within the number.

4* Major MVC Massacre on Southern Illinois -2
Bottom Line: The Salukis are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 6.5 points or less. Having already defeated SIU this season, look for Illinois State to get caught looking ahead to Wichita State today. Plus, SIU will be very motivated after laying an egg against Bradley. Lay the points.

4* Major Early Upset on Drake +5
Bottom Line: Letdown spot for Wichita St. after a big win over Norther Iowa, and it couldn't come at a worse time as it faced a Drake team that has rattled off 4 straight wins, including 5 in a row ATS. Plus, Drake will be motivated by a bad loss at Wichita State to start 2010. The Bulldogs are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog. Take the points.

4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Rockets/Spurs UNDER 194
Bottom Line: Plays Under on all teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (HOUSTON) revenging a loss where they scored less than 85 points against an opponent off an upset loss as a home favorite are 34-9 the last 5 seasons. We have seen an average posted total of 193.9 in these spots with the average total score coming in at just 185 points for a nearly a 9-point under the total margin of victory. 17 of the L24 games played in San Antonio in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL. Bet the Under.

3* ESPN Prime Time Pounder on Knicks +6
Bottom Line: The Lakers haven't played many games on the road this season, and it will be especially difficult for them to find a rhythm tonight after such an emotionally and physically draining defeat last night in Cleveland. The Knicks will be the much fresher and better prepared team having not played since the 18th. Plus, they will be plenty motivated to stop Kobe Bryant after allowing him to score 61 points in his last visit to MSG. The Knicks are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 26-12-1 ATS in their last 39 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. Plus, the Lakers are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Public Opinion Game of the Year on Mavs -2.5
Bottom Line: The Mavs are 15-7 SU & 14-8 ATS on the road this season while the 76ers are just 6-14 SU & 4-16 ATS at home. Naturally, the public is all over Dallas in this spot, and I'm going to have to agree. Dallas needed a game-winning shot to post a 2-point victory over the 76ers earlier this season, but keep in mind that the Mavs held an 11-point 4th quarter lead in that game. They'll learn from that game tonight by not letting off the gas pedal. We can't ignore the fact that Philly is 0-7 ATS as a home underdog this season, losing these games by an average score of 91.4 to 102.7. Take the Mavs.

3* NBA on TNT Bailout on Nuggets -9
Bottom Line: Eric Gordon will either not play for LA tonight, or he will play but not at 100%. Either way, without him at 100%, it's going to be very difficult for the Clippers to keep this one close tonight. Denver is 18-6 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons and 13-2 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 2 seasons. The home team is also 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. With this being a back-to-back for both teams, the edge has to go to a Nuggets team that is 18-3 at home and winning by an average of 10.1 points in those games.

4* Major Pac-10 Pounder on Oregon State +7.5
Bottom Line: The Beavers are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog, 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog period, and 15-3 ATS in their last 18 games overall. Expect the Beavers to keep this one close tonight with a chance to pull off the upset.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *BLOOD BATH* on Lakers +3.5
Bottom Line: The Lakers were embarrassed at home by the Cavs on Christmas Day so they will be plenty motivated to return the favor tonight. The Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings and the Lakers are 36-17-2 ATS in their last 55 games as an underdog. The Cavaliers are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite and 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win. Expect L.A. to win round two tonight. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Western Conference Game of the Month (ESPN) on Utah Jazz +6.5
Bottom Line: Utah has won 3 straight over the Spurs and has lost by 6 or fewer points in the last 5 meetings. While the road struggles of the Jazz have been well documented, they haven't had those struggles of late, and they have showed up on the road against quality competition. In fact, the Jazz are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The thing I really like about Utah is that it is a great bounce back team. Following a loss to the Nuggets, I expect the Jazz to give the Spurs all they want and more tonight. The Jazz are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a loss. While the Spurs will be out for revenge here, they are just 5-17 ATS when revenging a road loss vs. an opponent over the last 2 seasons, actually losing in these spots by an average score of 97.5 to 99.1. Take the points.

4* Major NBA Southwest Division Game of the Week on Grizzlies +4
Bottom Line: Memphis is one of the hottest teams in the NBA, having won 4 in a row and 12 of its last 15, and I'll ride the Grizz here tonight. New Orleans is a good home team at 15-4 on the season, but it has not proven that it can be trusted laying points. The Hornets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite and 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games as a favorite of 4.5 or less points. The Grizzlies are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games overall and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. We'll take the points.

4* Major ESPN 2 Prime Time Pounder on South Florida +9.5
Bottom Line: In order to cover this spread, Cincy is going to have to score off of turnovers and I just don't see it happening when you consider that S. Florida is a perfect 7-0 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams forcing 14 or less turnovers per game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. We'll take the points.

4* Major NCAAB Game of the Night on Boston College +6.5
Bottom Line: B.C. is on a 10-1 ATS run in road games off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite, winning in these spots by an average score of 71.2 to 68.6. It's nice to be catching the Canes on a Tuesday as they are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 Tuesday games. Plus, the Hurricanes are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. the ACC. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy Tuesday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Pacers +6.5
Bottom Line: The Pacers are a completely different team than they were when they were crushed by the Heat just before the New Year as they now have their best player, Danny Granger, back in the lineup. Right away you have to like Indy's chances of covering this number when you consider that road teams revenging a road blowout loss of 30 points or more are 29-7 ATS the last 5 seasons. Additionally, the underdog is 20-6-2 ATS in the last 28 meetings. You also have to love the fact that the Heat are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite and only 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. We'll take the points tonight.

4* Major NBA Super System of the Week (TNT) on Suns +2
Bottom Line: This is an extremely motivated spot for the Suns, who have lost 3 in a row and were embarrassed by Charlotte in their last game. Plus, the Suns will be especially hungry tonight as they were defeated at home by the Grizzlies 128-103 earlier this month. Now it's pay back time. Plays on road teams (PHOENIX) - explosive offensive team - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half, are 25-3 ATS the last 5 seasons. This system is already off to a 2-0 start this season. Take the Suns.

5* Wiseguy NBA Non-Conference Game of the Year (TNT) on Magic +6.5
Bottom Line: Off back-to-back embarrassing losses, expect the Magic to finally show up tonight in a big way against the team that defeated them in last year's NBA Finals. Plays on any team (ORLANDO) off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite, playing with 2 days rest, are 26-5 ATS the last 3 seasons. The rest seems to be the key here as the Magic are 14-3 ATS in road games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons. But motivation is clearly a key as well, as the Magic are 16-4 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. It is also worth noting that the Underdog is 10-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings. We'll take the points.

4* Major "Total" Blowout on Kings/Bobcats UNDER 196.5
Bottom Line: Plays Under on road teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (SACRAMENTO) - cold team - having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, extremely tired team - playing their 3rd road game in 4 days, are 84-47 since 1996. This system is also 22-10 the last 3 seasons. The Kings have now played to the Under in 7 straight and I expect them to again tonight in this fatigued spot.

5* Wiseguy Sunday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Nuggets -6.5
Bottom Line: A couple things really stand out here. The first is the Jazz are 2-14 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog of 5 to 10.5 points. The second is the Nuggets are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games when playing with 3 or more day's rest. With Utah having just played Saturday, I look for a fresh Nuggets team to run the Jazz off the court tonight. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy Saturday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Bobcats -2
Bottom Line: I'll take the Bobcats at home, where they are 15-4 on the season, against a Suns team that has lost 9 of its last 10 on the road. Plus, the Suns are coming off s heartbreaker in Atlanta last night which will make it very difficult to get up for this one. Playing the back-to-back should hurt a Suns team which relies on an uptempo offense far worse here. In fact, the Bobcats are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day. Also, the Bobcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. Take the Cats.

4* Major NCAAB Under the Radar Bomb on Fordham +18
Bottom Line: Fordham isn't getting enough respect with this line. Plays on Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (FORDHAM) after scoring 60 points or less, against an opponent after scoring 95 points or more, are 51-21 ATS the last 5 seasons. Take the points!

3* Friday Night NBA Bailout (ESPN) on Magic -4.5
Bottom Line: The reason why we are seeing this line is because Brandon Roy is listed as doubtful for the Blazers, and rightfully so, as I give the banged up Blazers no shot without him healthy tonight. The Magic will be very hungry in this spot following an embarrassing loss to Denver. The Magic are 60-28-1 ATS in their last 89 games following a loss and 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games when following a loss of more than 10 points. The Magic are also 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in this series. Take Orlando.

5* Wiseguy ESPN Game of the Month on Suns +5
Bottom Line: I think Atlanta is the better team, but it has struggled with the Phoenix and its uptempo game. In fact, Atlanta has lost three straight to Phoenix and nine of the last 11 meetings. The Suns enter Atlanta as motivated as ever, too, after blowing a 24-point lead and losing to the Pacers in their last game. I expect Phoenix's defense to be much better tonight after that performance and history would agree with me. The Suns are 13-3 ATS after allowing 120 points or more over the last 2 seasons, winning in these spots by an average score of 112.3 to 105.5. The Suns are also 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a loss and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. This is a gut check game for the Suns, and I believe they will rise to the occasion.

4* Major Line Mistake on Kings +3
Bottom Line: The Kings lost by 10 points at home to the 76ers on Dec. 30th, but Tyreke Evans and Kevin Martin did not play in that game. Martin, who averaged 30.6 points in five games before injuring his left wrist, is expected to return to action tonight. I expect a big game from Evans tonight, playing close to where he grew up in Chester, PA. He is averaging 20.7 points, 5.1 rebounds and 5.0 assists. Philly is 1-9 ATS in home games versus good offensive teams scoring 99+ points/game this season, losing to these teams by an average score of 96.2 to 102.5. Take the points.

3* NBA on TNT Bailout on Utah Jazz +1
Bottom Line: The Jazz are rolling with back-to-back blowout wins over Dallas and Miami and I like them to get past the Cavs at home tonight. The Jazz are an impressive 21-5-1 ATS in their last 27 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or fewer points (Utah listed at -1 at some books), 10-3 ATS in their last 13 home games period, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall, and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games. The Cavaliers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a win. Utah is one of the toughest places in the NBA to win, and the Cavs will find that out first hand tonight. Take the Jazz.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT Game of the Month on Bulls +7
Bottom Line: I really like the Bulls tonight. Chicago is quietly playing much better basketball and has covered the spread in 8 of its last 9 and 11 of its last 14 as a result. The Bulls will be especially motivated here because they have been crushed by Boston twice already this season. The shorthanded Celtics, who are playing without Kevin Garnett and Rasheed Wallace, just played last night, and it is worth mentioning that the Celtics are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games when playing without any rest. The Celtics are just 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points and 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Meanwhile, the Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. The Bulls haven't played since the 11th so they'll be ready to go here, but the Celtics have been playing a lot of basketball in few days. In fact, Boston is on a 5-16 ATS slide in home games when playing its 5th game in 7 days, actually losing in these spots by an average score of 94.5 to 95.7. Take the Bulls.

4* Major NCAAB Letdown Game of the Week on Auburn +16
Bottom Line: This is a big letdown spot for Tennessee after pulling off the improbable upset over Kansas. Last season Auburn split with a Tennessee team that was much more talented than the one we'll see tonight, and its loss was by just 9 points. I just can't see the Vols getting up for this one the way they did for Kansas. Auburn is 8-1 ATS as a road underdog or pick over the last 2 seasons, and we expect this trend to continue. Take the points.

4* Major NBA Underdog of the Week on Spurs +2
Bottom Line: I know the Spurs are coming off a big win over the Lakers last night, but I expect no letdown tonight as they look to pay the Thunder back for handing them a loss earlier this season. Plays on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SAN ANTONIO), an excellent offensive team (>=102 PPG) against an average defensive team (92-98 PPG), after a blowout win by 20 points or more, are 27-6 ATS since 1996. Take the Spurs.

4* Major Big 12 Game of the Week on Iowa State +8
Bottom Line: Longhorns are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 6-18-2 ATS in their last 26 vs. the Big 12. The Cyclones are 9-1 at home this season and I look for them to keep it close with the help of a little Hilton Magic.

4* Major ESPN Prime Time Pounder on Boston College +17
Bottom Line: Other than talent, Duke wins because it gets teams playing faster than they are capable of playing because of its pressure defense, but I don't expect that to affect a Boston College team that returns 4 starts and is 6-2-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings with Duke. Plus BC is 7-0 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game over the last 2 seasons. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy ESPN 2 Game of the Year on UConn -6
Bottom Line: Getting UConn at home in this point spread range has been money as it is on a 17-5 ATS run as a home favorite of 6 points or less and on a 12-3 ATS run as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points. Off a loss to Georgetown, and looking to avenge back-to-back losses to Pitt, look for the Huskies to roll tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Clippers/Grizzlies UNDER 200.5
Bottom Line: The Clippers are 12-4 Under versus good offensive teams scoring 99+ points/game this season and 14-5 Under when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points this season (line opened at 199). The Under is also 11-4 in the Grizzlies' last 15 games playing on 2 days rest. The last 2 meetings have both came in Under this number with the teams combining for just 186 points in the last. Bet the Under.

4* Major NCAAB Underdog of the Week on Drake +6
Bottom Line: Drake played Creighton to a 4-point game on the road as a 13-point dog. It then won outright by 5 at Southern Illinois as a 12.5-point dog to show its improved play is no fluke. We'll take the points tonight as we fully expect the Bulldogs to take this one right down to the wire with an excellent opportunity to win. The home team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings and the Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. Take the points.

4* Major NBA Side of the Night on Bobcats -2.5
Bottom Line: The Bobcats are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite of 4.5 or fewer points and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. The Rockets are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Charlotte is 13-4 at home this season and I look for it to continue its strong play on its home floor tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout of the Week on Suns -8.5
Bottom Line: The Bucks were crushed 95-77 by the Lakers last night to fall to 4-12 on the road this season. Now, they get a rested and motivated Suns team that is 14-4 at home on the season. The Suns haven't played since the 8th and they will be motivated to get back in the win column following a home loss to Miami in their last game. Phoenix has flat out had Milwaukee's number, having won 21 straight home games against the Bucks. To make matters worse, the Bucks are expected to be without starting guard Michael Redd who continues to have problems with his knees. Take the Suns.

4* Major Big East Game of the Week (ESPN) on Louisville -2.5
Bottom Line: The Cards have had Nova's number, winning 3 in a row SU & ATS. In all, the Wildcats are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings in this matchup. Look for the Wildcats to wear down tonight against the pressure defense of Louisville barely 48 hours after a tough one against Marquette. Louisville is 18-6 ATS against conference opponents the last 2 seasons. Looking back further, the Cardinals are an incredible 42-13-2 ATS in their last 57 vs. the Big East. They are also 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 games as a favorite of 6.5 points or less. Take the Cards.

4* Major Sunday NBA Blowout on Lakers -8.5
Bottom Line: Off back-to-back defeats, expect the Lakers to roll at home tonight against a Bucks team that is only 4-11 on the road this season. The Lakers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points and we'll lay the points in this highly motivated spot.

4* Major NBA Game of the Night on Magic -3.5
Bottom Line: Plays on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after 1 or more consecutive losses, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%), are 73-39 ATS the last 5 seasons. Look for the Magic to get the cover here as they improve to 5-0 SU & ATS in their last 5 games against the Hawks.

4* Major Early Blowout on Ole Miss -2.5
Bottom Line: The Rebs went down at home to the Bulldogs last season and there's no way Ole Miss let's that happen again here. Ole Miss is 11-1 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 3 seasons, winning these games by an average score of 79.6 to 66.6 and I fully expect this trend to stay true today.

3* SUREFIRE on Hawks -3
Bottom Line: Boston is not the same team without Kevin Garnett and that's why Atlanta gets the nod laying a small number at home here. The home team is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings and the Celtics are just 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Atlanta. Plus, the Hawks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 4.5 points or less and 23-9-1 ATS in their last 33 games as a home favorite period. Lay the number.

5* Wiseguy Friday Night NBA Double Digit Blood Bath on Grizzlies -3
Bottom Line: Memphis is 7-0 ATS in home games revenging a road loss vs. an opponent this season, winning these games by an average score of 108.7 to 98.6. Utah really crushed the Grizzlies in Utah on Wednesday, but Memphis had just played a tough one in Portland the night before. The Grizzlies are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and I look for them to bounce back strong here.

3* SUREFIRE on Magic -7.5
Bottom Line: Off 3 straight losses, expect the Magic to bounce back strong with a big win over the struggling Wizards. Washington is just 4-17 ATS vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons, losing these games by an average score of 87.0 to 97.2. Take the Magic.

4* Major NCAAB Game of the Night on Missouri State -2
Bottom Line: Missouri State is a perfect 8-0 at home this season and I don't see this streak coming to an end tonight against a Wichita State team that is 0-10 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. The Shockers are also just 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog of 6.5 or less and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning record. Take Missouri State.

4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Celtics/Miami UNDER 188
Bottom Line: Plays Under on any team, Boston in this case, playing with 3 or more days rest, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record, are 84-44 the last 5 seasons. Expect a well rested Boston team to really tighten the screws on the defensive end tonight to keep this one Under.

4* Major NCAAB Blowout of the Week on Illinois -15.5
Bottom Line: Iowa is 0-4 when playing away from home this season, losing these games by an average score of 17.2 points. Illinois is 8-0 at home this season, winning these games by an average of 20.6 points. Off a tough loss to Gonzaga, expect Illinois to take out its frustration on the lowly Hawkeyes tonight. Iowa is just 3-10 ATS in all lined games this season and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home. Lay the points.

3* NBA Side of the Night on Pistons +8.5
Bottom Line: The fact that the Pistons have lost 9 in a row SU & ATS has forced odds makers to undervalue them. Detroit hasn't played since December 31st so it will be well rested and well prepared for this one. While Dallas is 11-5 at home this season, it is just 5-11 ATS in those games. Plays on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after 8 or more consecutive losses, with a losing record, are 30-8 ATS the last 5 seasons. Take the points.

4* NBA "Total" Blowout on Bulls/Bobcats UNDER 187
Bottom Line: Plays Under on home teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days, are 40-15 the last 5 seasons. The average posted total in these games has been 185.8 and we are seeing an average combined total score of just 181.4. This system is already 1-0 this season. This one gets the nod as a "Total" Blowout because I like it to finish at least 10 points Under the number. In fact, the last time these two teams faced off in Charlotte, we saw just 176 total points scored. Bet the Under.

4* Major NBA Game of the Night on Hawks pk
Bottom Line: Both teams have lost 3 in a row so motivation will not be an issue on either side, but I'll side with the better team in this spot, which has had an extra day to rest. The Hawks have won 4 of the last 5 games in this matchup with those 4 wins all coming by 10 points or more. Plus, the Heat are just 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games. We'll take the Hawks.

3* NCAAB Game of the Night on NC Wilmington +9
Bottom Line: The Seahawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games, 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record, and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Meanwhile, the Tribe are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. William and Mary is being overvalued here. We'll take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Line Mistake of the Week on Spurs -1 (still like it up to -4)
Bottom Line: The Spurs have already defeated the Raptors by 7 points this season in a game that Duncan and Parker didn't play in. Both are expected in the lineup today, and with that in mind, I feel San Antonio should be laying more than 1-point here. Toronto is on a 1-12 ATS slide versus very good shooting teams making >=48% of their shots over the last 3 seasons and on a 1-6 ATS skid when playing on 0 day's rest. Take the Spurs again today.

4* Major Saturday NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Spurs -5.5
Bottom Line: The Spurs have defeated the Wizards 8 straight times by at least 7 points, and I expect this trend to continue tonight. Washington is in disarray on and off the court while the Spurs are playing their best ball of the season, winning 10 of their last 12 with 9 of those 10 wins coming by at least 7 points. Take the Spurs.

5* NBA Blowout of the Month on Spurs -8
Bottom Line: Tough spot for Miami here after losing a tough one in New Orleans last night, especially since it is going up against a Spurs team playing its best ball of the season. San Antonio has won 9 of its last 11 games, and it has owned the Heat at home, winning 10 of its last 12 against them in San Antonio. The Spurs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. the NBA Southeast. Look for them to drop the hammer on Miami tonight.