Sports Picks & Predictions

4* Major NCAAB Primetime Punisher (ESPN) on Kentucky -5
Bottom Line: Off a loss to UNC, expect a more talented Kentucky team to bounce back strong tonight to hand Notre Dame its first loss of the season. Teams under the direction of coach Calipari are 18-5 ATS versus bad pressure defensive teams - forcing <=12 turnovers/game since 1997. Coach Cal's squads are defeating these teams by an average score of 78.0 to 61.6. The favorite is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings and the Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. loss. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Dominator on Pacers/Bucks UNDER 189
Bottom Line: Plays Under on all teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (INDIANA) in a game involving two average defensive teams (allowing 92-98 ppg), after scoring 60 points or more in the first half last game, are 39-13 the last 5 seasons, including a perfect 3-0 already this season. We are only seeing 180.5 total points scored on average in this situation. Pound the Under.

4* Major Under the Radar Rout on Wright State -8
Bottom Line: Off 4 straight losses all coming away from home, expect Wright State to bounce back in a big way on its home floor tonight. The Air Force Falcons have been a terrible investment when catching points. In fact, they are just 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog. In addition, they are only 4-13-1 ATS in their last 18 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5 points. Lay the points with Wright State tonight.

4* Major NCAAB Non-Conference *CASH COW* (ESPNU) on Valparaiso +7.5
Bottom Line: The Boilermakers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite and 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5 points. The Crusaders are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. the Big Ten. Purdue is also just 1-9 ATS in road games when the total is 129.5 or less over the last 3 seasons. Expect Valpo to take the Boilers down to the wire tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Total "Blowout" of the Week on Warriors/Mavs UNDER 205.5
Bottom Line: Dallas is one of the best defensive teams in the NBA, surrendering only 92.2 ppg (4th). When playing at home, this number goes down to 90.5 ppg. Teams willing to get down and dirty on the defensive end are normally strong "Unders" investments and Dallas is no exception. In fact, the Under is 16-4-1 in the Mavericks' last 21 home games. The perception surrounding Golden State is that it's a high scoring team, but not on the road. The Warriors are only averaging 98.8 ppg away from home this season. Going to the numbers, the Under is 14-4-1 in the Warriors' last 19 road games. Lastly, the Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these teams in Dallas. Bet the Under tonight.

4* Major NBA Side of the Night on Nets +6.5
Bottom Line: The Hawks are just 3-13 ATS in their last 16 home games, 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Off 4 straight losses, including a horrible performance against Boston, the Nets will be ready to go. Atlanta, however, will have a tough time getting up for this one off back-to-back games with Miami and Orlando and San Antonio up next. Take the points.

4* Major Monday Night NBA Monster Blowout on Jazz -9.5
Bottom Line: The Grizzlies are 1-11 ATS in the last 12 meetings in this series, including 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Utah. Utah has won six straight home meetings with the Grizzlies by an average of 19.8 points. It's going to be tough for Memphis to get up for this one following such a tough loss in Denver last night. Meanwhile, the Jazz are rested and hungry after seeing their 7-game win streak come to an end Friday. Lay the points.

4* Major Sunday NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Grizzlies +6
Bottom Line: The Grizzlies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points while the Nuggets are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Plus, the Nuggets are a poor 5-20-2 ATS in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Expect Memphis to bounce back strong with a solid performance tonight after such a poor performance against Houston in its last game. Take the points.

4* Major NBA Bailout (ESPN) on Mavericks +3.5
Bottom Line: The Mavericks are one of the best road bets in the NBA, checking in at 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 road games. Just this season, the Mavs are 7-0 ATS on the road, winning by an average score of 102.3 to 94.9. They are also a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 4.5 or less points. The Jazz, meanwhile, are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 4.5 or less. Bet the Mavs.

5* Wiseguy ESPN Game of the Month on Bulls +5.5
Bottom Line: Motivated by a blowout loss to the Spurs and an OT loss at Boston earlier this season, look for the Bulls to take care of business tonight. The Celtics are 8-25-1 ATS in their last 34 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Recently, they are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite. The Bulls are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss of more than 10 points. Bet the Bulls.

4* Major NBA on TNT *BLOOD BATH* on Cavaliers +6
Bottom Line: The Cavs want this game more than anyone can imagine. They feel as though LeBron James turned his back on them, and they'll be out to prove he made a major mistake. Miami has not looked good on the road this season, going just 2-5 SU and ATS. Plus, the Heat are just 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games. It's going to be tough for James to see the city that loved him so much ridicule him tonight. I'm take the Cleveland and the points.

4* Major NCAAB Game of the Night (ESPN) on Duke -11
Bottom Line: I have no doubt Michigan State will be ready to contend for another national title come March, but the Spartans are yet to play up to their potential this season. The Spartans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5 points. Duke is 6-0 ATS in home games when the total is 145 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons. The Blue Devils are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite, 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 home games and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. the Big Ten. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Timberwolves +10.5
Bottom Line: The road team is 23-6 ATS in the last 29 meetings, which includes a perfect 8-0 ATS run by Minnesota at Dallas. Expect this run to continue as Minnesota enters this contest fresh (3 days of rest) and Dallas does not (6th game in 9 days). The Mavericks are a terrible 7-22-2 ATS in their last 31 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. In addition, Dallas is 0-8 ATS as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons. Take the T-Wolves.

4* Major on Pistons +11.5
Bottom Line: Miami has failed to cover the number in 7 straight and 12 of its last 13. Odds makers continue to overvalue the Heat because they are getting plenty of betting attention despite the fact that they are yet to jell. The Pistons have covered the spread in 10 of their last 14 games. With LeBron James looking ahead to a big showdown at Cleveland tomorrow night, I don't expect Detroit to get his full attention. Pound the Pistons.

4* Major NCAAB Game of the Night (ESPN) on Illinois -6
Bottom Line: I'll back the experienced Illini on their home floor against a young UNC squad that has struggled against much lesser competition than what it will see tonight. The Tar Heels are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games as an underdog and 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of 6.5 or less points. UNC is also 2-9 ATS in road games versus very good teams outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last 2 seasons, losing to these teams by 11.5 points on average. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Week on Lakers -5.5
Bottom Line: Off back-to-back losses we'll see the real defending NBA champs tonight. It's no secret that LA coasts from time to time during the regular season, but a blown 19-point lead against Utah and a home loss to Indiana have certainly gotten its attention. The Lakers have recorded 13 wins already this season and 10 of those victories have come by at least 7 points. Plus, the Lakers have already put a 19-point whooping on the Grizz this season, so we know what they are capable of when they come to play. LA has won 7 of the L8 against Memphis by an average score of 105 to 94. Lay the points.

4* Major on Nets +5
Bottom Line: The Knicks have struggled at home this season, and they are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite. With this in mind, I just don't trust the Knicks laying this many points. Plus, New Jersey is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games as an underdog. Avery Johnson has the Nets competing in just about every game. They'll take New York down to the wire with a chance to win this one outright tonight.

4* Major NBA "Total" Blowout on Rockets/Mavs UNDER 197.5
Bottom Line: Both of these teams have played a lot of games in few days, which means we can expect a slower pace tonight. Plus, Houston is without two of its top scorers and is facing one of the better defensive teams in the league. The Under is 14-4-1 in the Mavericks' last 19 home games and 11-1 in their last 12 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. The Under is 5-1 in the Rockets' last 6 road games and 9-2 in their last 11 overall. Bet the Under.

4* Major Friday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Lakers -1.5
Bottom Line: After losing Boozer and sharp shooter Kyle Korver, the Jazz aren't even as talented as they were last spring when the Lakers swept them in the playoffs The Lakers have won 13 of the last 16 against the Jazz. They are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Utah. The Lakers are also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Month on Jazz -3.5
Bottom Line: This is a tough scheduling spot for New Orleans, and it comes against a team that has had its number. New Orleans will be playing its 7th game in 12 days and its 3rd road game in 4 days. Plus, Utah is 6-1 SU and ATS in its last 7 games against New Orleans, winning these games by an average score of 104 to 92. Also, the Hornets are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Utah. The Jazz are an impressive 24-8-2 ATS in their last 34 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. Bet the Jazz.

4* Major NCAAB *BLOOD BATH* on Utah State -8.5
Bottom Line: Utah State has the big advantage returning way more experience. Plus, it has the advantage of playing on its home floor, where it is 24-1 in its last 25 against in-state foes. The Aggies are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games, and an impressive 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite of 7.0 to 12.5 points. I'll grad the Aggies in this point spread range tonight.

4* Major NBA Primetime Punisher (ESPN) on Heat +5
Bottom Line: Off back-to-back defeats, the Heat will be extremely hungry when they take the floor tonight. They punched Orlando in the mouth with a 96-70 win in the season's first meeting, and they definitely have what it takes to win outright in this highly motivated spot. The Magic are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 vs. the Eastern Conference and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite. Take Miami and the points.

4* Major NBA Bailout on Bulls +8
Bottom Line: The underdog is 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings between these teams. The Lakers are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The Bulls are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 3 or more days rest, 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points and 12-4 ATS in their last 16 road games period. Bet the Bulls.

5* Wiseguy NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Cavs +4.5
Bottom Line: Huge letdown spot for Indiana after such a big win over Miami last night. The Pacers will still be patting themselves on the back when this rested Cleveland team comes out strong tonight. The Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest and 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. The Pacers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win of more than 10 points and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. The Cavaliers are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 at Indiana. Plus, the road team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Take the Cavs.

4* Major NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Timberwolves +10
Bottom Line: The Timberwolves are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog. The Thunder are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games, and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite. Since the Sonics moved to OKC and became the Thunder, they have only defeated Minnesota by double digits 1 time in 8 games. Take the points.

4* Major NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Mavs +3
Bottom Line: The Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. The Hawks are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 home games. Also, Dallas is 15-4 ATS in road games off an upset loss over the last 3 seasons, responding to win by an average score of 102.1 to 94.2. Look for the Mavs to bounce back strong here following last night's disappointing loss to the Bulls.

4* Major NBA *BLOOD BATH* (ESPN) on Bulls +5
Bottom Line: The Mavericks are 14-35-3 ATS in their last 52 home games, and just 6-20-2 ATS in their last 28 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. The Bulls are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points, 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a S.U. loss and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss. Lastly, the underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Primetime Punisher (ESPN) on Thunder +6.5
Bottom Line: This game is all about revenge for the Thunder, who were defeated by 9 points at home by Boston earlier this month. The Thunder are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points and 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. Meanwhile, the Celtics are 17-35 ATS in their last 52 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points and 8-22 ATS in their last 30 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. Still a big play at +8.5 or better if Durant can't go.

4* Major NBA on TNT "Total" Bailout on Nuggets/Blazers UNDER 203
Bottom Line: The Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings between these teams in Portland. The Under is 6-1 in the Trail Blazers' last 7 home games and 5-1 in the Nuggets' last 6 road games. Not having Roy in the lineup hurts the Portland offense tonight, but the Blazers should still bring their "D". The Blazers are holding their opponents to just 90.2 ppg at home this season. Take the Under.

4* Major NBA Game of the Night (ESPN) on Heat -7.5
Bottom Line: Look for a rested Miami team to crush a Suns team that will be playing its 4th game in 6 nights. The Suns will really miss center Robin Lopez in this one. Without him, Miami should really dominate the paint. It's going to take another impressive shooting display for Phoenix to cover this number, and I don't see it happening. The legs will be a little tired, and the Heat will be focused on the defensive end after a bad 3-game stretch defensively. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy NCAAB Under the Radar Game of the Year on Delaware +6
Bottom Line: This isn't the same Cornell team that made a trip to the NCAA Tourney. This team has a lot less experience. However, the books have set a line for Cornell as if they are still that same team. We'll gladly take advantage with a Delaware squad that returns all five starters. Cornell is a poor 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points, losing by an average score of 66.6 to 63.8 in these games. Take the points as Delaware has an excellent opportunity to win this one outright.

5* Wiseguy NBA "Total" Blowout on Lakers/Bucks UNDER 193
Bottom Line: Milwaukee is the No. 1 defensive team in the league (89.4 ppg allowed) and the 30th ranked offensive team (92.1 ppg). The Lakers are more than capable of putting the clamps on defensively, and I expect a strong defensive effort from them tonight after allowing 118 and 121 in their last 2 games. Plays Under on road teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (LA LAKERS) after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, against an opponent that has gone under the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, are 74-35 since 1996. This situation is already 1-0 this season. Pound the Under.

4* Major Monday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Thunder +6
Bottom Line: This is a big revenge spot for the Thunder, who were handed a 21-point home loss by Utah late last month. With that loss, and last night's disappointing 2nd half performance against San Antonio, fueling the fire, I like the Thunder's chances of pulling off the upset. The Thunder are 50-24 ATS in their last 74 games following a S.U. loss and 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. Look for this talented OKC team to play up to its potential tonight.

4* Major NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Kings -5
Bottom Line: After 4 consecutive losses, I expect the Kings to end their skid in a big way at home this evening. Detroit is just 1-4 on the road this season, where it is losing by 7.6 points on average. Sac has won 10 of its last 13 at home against Detroit, and the Pistons are a lousy 4-9 ATS in their last 13 vs. the NBA Pacific. They are also just 6-16 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons, losing by 9.0 ppg on average in this situation. Take the Kings.

4* Major NBA Saturday Night *BLOOD BATH* on Bobcats +2
Bottom Line: Utah has managed to come from behind to beat Miami, Orlando and Atlanta, but it will finally run out of gas tonight. The Bobcats are strong defensively, and they will be hungry to record their first home win of the season. The Bobcat defense is ridiculously good, and it is certainly worth noting that the Cats are 10-1 ATS after 5 straight games allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less over the last 2 seasons, winning by an average of 8.0 ppg in these spots. The home team is a dominant 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings and the Jazz are just 1-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. Bet the Bobcats.

4* Major NCAAB *Power Play* on N. Arizona +8
Bottom Line: The Lumberjacks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog of 7.0-12.5 points. Expect NAU to take this Iowa State team, which lost a lot of talent and is adjusting to a new coaching staff, down to the wire tonight.

5* ESPN Game of the Month on Hawks -4
Bottom Line: Off 3 straight defeats, expect the Hawks to bounce back strong against a Utah team which should be feeling the effects of two come from behind wins. The Jazz are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog of 4.5 or less points while the Hawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or less. The Hawks are also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings with Utah. Lay the points.

4* Major NBA on TNT Bailout on Nuggets +4
Bottom Line: The Lakers are 1-3 SU and 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings with Denver. They are also just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Denver. The Nuggets have played the Lakers as tough as anyone in recent years, and they will be extremely motivated to hand LA its first loss of the season tonight. Denver was embarrassed at Indiana in its last game, but it is certainly worth noting that it is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games following a loss of more than 10 points. Lastly, the Lakers are just 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a road favorite of 4.5 or less points. Take Denver and the points.

4* Major Wednesday Night NBA Blowout on Knicks -3.5
Bottom Line: This is a big time bounce back spot for the Knicks after an embarrassing loss to Milwaukee last night. The Knicks are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest and 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games following a loss of more than 10 points. I'm not sold on this Golden State team, which doesn't play any defense and has its two best players banged up - Curry (ankle) and Ellis (back). Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Total of the Month (ESPN) on Jazz/Magic UNDER 194.5
Bottom Line: Orlando is a great defensive team, especially at home where it is only allowing 87.0 ppg. I expect the Magic to have a great deal of success slowing down a Jazz team that used a ton of energy in last night's come from behind, overtime upset at Miami. The Under is 6-1 in Utah's last 7 games playing on 0 days rest. The Under is 37-13-2 in Orlando's last 52 games playing with 1 day of rest and 40-13-1 in its last 54 games following an ATS loss. Pound the Under.

4* Major NBA *Top Dog* on Clippers +8.5
Bottom Line: The Hornets are being extremely overvalued at home tonight because of their fast start, and we'll look to take advantage. The Hornets are a poor 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. The Clippers have been playing well, winning, or losing by 7 or less, in 3 straight covers as a dog. New Orleans hasn't been favored by more than 3 points all season. This big of a jump tells me the books are trying to trap the public bandwagon jumpers. Take the points with LA.

5* Wiseguy NBA Blowout Game of the Week on Bucks -4.5
Bottom Line: The Bucks own the Knicks, going 6-1 SU and ATS versus NY the last 2 seasons. 4 of the last 5 wins by Milwaukee in this series have come by at least 15 points. Having lost their last 2 home games, the Bucks will be lacking no motivation and no confidence against this Knicks team. The Bucks are a rock solid 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games as a favorite of 4.5 or less points. I like Milwaukee by double digits.

4* Major Monday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Mavericks -3
Bottom Line: This will be Boston's 5th game in the last week, while it will only be Dallas's 3rd. Considering the game is at home, where Dallas has won 9 of its last 13 against Boston, and considering Dallas is in a bounce back spot, I really like its chances. The Mavericks are an impressive 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite. Back the Mavs as they push the ball on a Boston team with some very tired legs.

4* Major NBA Bailout on Trail Blazers +8
Bottom Line: Portland has won 4 of the last 5 against the Lakers, and it is 7-2 against the Lakers with Brandon Roy in the lineup. I know the Blazers just played last night, but they are an awesome 17-4 ATS in their last 21 games when playing on back-to-back days, winning these games by an average score of 99.3 to 92.9. The Trail Blazers are 24-8 ATS in the last 32 meetings and the underdog is 20-6 ATS in the last 26 meetings. Portland isn't getting the respect it deserves here. We'll take the generous amount of points in what should be a dog fight.

4* Major NBA Saturday Night *BLOOD BATH* on Bucks -3
Bottom Line: Huge letdown spot for New Orleans playing on the road after a big win over the mighty Heat. Plus, the Bucks will be out for revenge after losing by just 4 points at New Orleans in their season opener. The favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings between these teams. The Bucks are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite of 4.5 or fewer points and 19-4 ATS when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons. With or without Bogut (missed last night with migraine), I like the Bucks to hand the Hornets their first loss of the season.

5* Wiseguy NBA Game of the Week on Raptors +13.5
Bottom Line: The Lakers are a terrible 24-52 ATS in their last 76 games as a home favorite of 11.0 or greater. They are also just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 11.0 or more points. The Raptors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games. With a big matchup against Portland up next, Toronto won't get LA's full attention tonight. Meanwhile, Toronto will show up ready to play off back-to-back losses. Take the points.

4* Major NBA Primetime Total (ESPN) on Bulls/Celtics UNDER 195
Bottom Line: The Chicago Bulls are a perfect 9-0 to the Under in their last 9 road games after scoring 100 points or more in 2 straight games. We are only seeing 189.3 total points scored on average in this situation. With Chicago playing back-to-back, and against a strong defensive team, I fully expect this one to come in Under the number tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *BLOOD BATH* on Thunder +5.5
Bottom Line: The Thunder are a much better team than they have shown in their last two games, and they'll rise to the occasion against Portland tonight. I'll gladly grab the points when you consider that the Thunder are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games and 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. Meanwhile, the Trail Blazers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. They are also just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. Take the Thunder tonight.

4* Major NBA on TNT "Total" Blowout on Knicks/Bulls UNDER 205
Bottom Line: Odds makers have set the bar too high tonight. Chicago is 18-8 Under when the total is greater than or equal to 200 over the last 2 seasons. The Under is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings between these teams and a perfect 9-0 in the Knicks' last 9 Thursday games. Because of the betting attention that big market teams like the Bulls and Knicks receive, odds makers really look to trap the public, especially in these national TV games. I like this one to come in 10 points Under the number.

4* Major Wednesday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Spurs -1
Bottom Line: The Suns swept the Spurs in the playoffs last season, but that Phoenix team had Amare Stoudemire. This one doesn't, but that won't change the fact that San Antonio will be out for some serious revenge. Nash often struggles against quicker guards, and he'll have a heck of a time sticking with Tony Parker tonight. Plus, a finally healthy Tim Duncan will have his way in the post without the younger, more athletic Stoudemire in the paint. San Antonio has the better players and it is the better defensive side. In a huge revenge spot, I'm backing the Spurs.

3* NBA Surefire on Pacers -1.5
Bottom Line: This is a terrible spot for Philly, which is playing back-to-back off an overtime loss at Washington last night. It is also playing against a team that has had its number. The Pacers just beat the 76ers by 13 points last weekend, which marked the third straight win for Indiana in the series. It is also worth noting that all 3 of those wins have come by at least 11 points. Philly is an awful 1-12 ATS in home games off a road loss since the beginning of last season, losing these contests by an average score of 101.5 to 92.5. Take the Pacers.

4* Major Monday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Kings -4
Bottom Line: Great spot for the Kings as they will be jacked up for their first home contest of the season against a Raptors team playing on the road for the first time. The Kings are 11-2 SU & 10-3 ATS in their last 13 home games against the Raptors, winning these games by an average score of 105 to 92. Also, the favorite is a perfect 8-0 ATS in the last 8 meetings. I'm laying the points.

4* Major Sunday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Lakers -9.5
Bottom Line: The Warriors don't match up well with the size and length of the Lakers, which is a big reason why LA has won 9 straight in the series. The Warriors find themselves at an even bigger disadvantage today with Stephen Curry out with an ankle injury. Playing their first road game of the season without their starting point guard spells disaster against a two-time defending NBA champs. Lay the points with LA.

4* Major Saturday Night NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Trail Blazers -4.5
Bottom Line: I'll take the rested Blazers here against a Knicks team that expended a lot of energy in last night's loss at Boston. Plays on road favorites (PORTLAND) after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more, against an opponent coming off a game with a combined score of 205 points or more, are 59-27 ATS the last 5 seasons. Teams fitting into this situation are winning by 8.4 points on average. Also, the Trail Blazers are a terrific 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games as a road favorite. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy NBA Primetime Total (ESPN) on Lakers/Suns UNDER 209.5
Bottom Line: The Suns won't have the gas to run and gun this one over the total after playing in Utah last night. Plus, the Under has been a money play on the Lakers when they have had 2 days to rest the last couple seasons. In fact, the Under is 24-9 in the Lakers' last 33 games in this situation, and we are only seeing a total of 196.6 points scored on average. The Under is also a perfect 8-0 in the Lakers' last 8 Friday night games. Bet the Under.

4* Major NBA **TOP SIDE** on Hornets +1.5
Bottom Line: New Orleans on its home floor with a healthy Chris Paul has cashed a lot of tickets the last few seasons, and I believe it cashes another one here. The shorthanded Nuggets (minus Kenyon Martin and Chris Andersen) are a pathetic 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 road games. This team is also 2-12-3 ATS in its last 17 games following a win of more than 10 points. Take the Hornets at home.

5* Wiseguy NBA on TNT *BLOOD BATH* on Magic -13.5
Bottom Line: Without Arenas in the lineup tonight, the Wizards will be without their best scorer. That's not good news considering they are up against one of the best teams in the entire league. Without Arenas, the Wizards will be asking a lot of rookie PG John Wall. I'm expected him to be very turnover prone early in the year as he has to carry the load. The Magic are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 11.0 or greater, including 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 11.0 or greater. The Magic are deep, and they'll be out to lay the wood to send a message to division rival Miami that they're still the team to beat.

5* Wiseguy NBA Late Night Bailout (ESPN) on Clippers +3
Bottom Line: I expect major improvement from the Clippers this season with former No. 1 draft pick Blake Griffin joining Chris Kaman to create a dominant front court. Plus, this is a very tough spot for Portland, playing back-to-back nights to start the season with the second game coming on the road. The Blazers haven't started 2-0 since 2004. The Clippers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog. I expect them to be the more energized team tonight. Take the points.

4* Major NBA "Total" Dominator on Bobcats/Mavericks UNDER 184.5
Bottom Line: The Under is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings between these teams, and I expect this trend to continue tonight. The Under is 9-1-1 in the Bobcats' last 11 games as a road underdog and 4-0-1 in the Mavericks' last 5 games as a home favorite. Charlotte boasted the No. 1 scoring defense in the league last season. Dallas made huge defensive improvements as the year went on, and I expect it to be a Top 10 defensive team this season. I'm betting the Under with these 2 strong defenses battling it out tonight.

4* Major NBA *BLOOD BATH* on Rockets +7.5
Bottom Line: I'm expecting a very good season out of the Houston Rockets this year, and they'll go hard after the target on LA's back tonight. Houston has a lot of young athletic guys that pose matchup problems for LA. That's why Houston played LA to a 1-point game in the first meeting last season and defeated the Lakers in the second meeting. Not having Andrew Bynum hurts the Lakers, and Kobe Bryant and Lamar Odom are both banged up to start the season. The Lakers will be in the running for another title by season's end, but tonight I like the Rockets to steal the show.

4* Major NBA Primetime Total on Heat/Celtics UNDER 189
Bottom Line: It's going to take LeBron James, Dwayne Wade and Chris Bosh a little while to figure out how to play with one another. These guys are all used to seeing a lot of the basketball, and now they must learn how to share it. I don't expect the Miami offense to start looking like a well-oiled machine until this dynamic is ironed out. In addition, the Heat are up against a very good defensive team tonight. The Under is 13-5-1 in the last 19 meetings between these teams in Boston. Bet the Under.

4* Major NBA Finals Game 7 "Total" Dominator on Celtics/Lakers OVER 186
Bottom Line: We've made some good money by pounding the Under in this series, but now is the time to go the other way as plays Over on all teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (BOSTON) - after scoring 35 points or less in the first half last game, against an opponent which played in a game with a combined score of 175 points or less, are 29-8 the last 5 seasons. We are seeing an average of 191.9 total points scored in this situation. With the intensity high, I expect to see a lot of fouls, and therefore a lot of free throw attempts, to push this one Over.

5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Game 7 BOMB on Celtics +7
Bottom Line: Boston's Game 6 blowout loss was an aberration. I know the Celtics will be without Perkins tonight, but they are still not getting the respect they deserve with this line. With Perkins out, Big Baby and Rasheed Wallace will get more playing time, and Boston is better offensively when those two are in the game. It takes the heart of a champion to bounce back after such a devastating defeat, and Boston certainly has that. In fact, Boston is 16-4 ATS in road games off an embarrassing road loss scoring less than 80 points since 1996, winning these games by an average of 1.1 points. And over the last 2 seasons, Boston is 8-0 ATS in road games when revenging a road loss vs. an opponent, winning in these spots by an impressive 12.3 points. The Celtics are also 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. loss period. Take the points as Boston has an excellent opportunity to pull off the upset tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Parlay of the Year on Lakers -6.5/Under 189
Bottom Line: This is a must-win Game 6 for the Lakers, and I have no doubts that they will take care of business tonight. The Lakers are 9-1 at home in the playoffs, and those 9 wins have come by an average of 10.7 points. Boston is responsible for that lone loss, but the Lakers are too good of a team to suffer 3 straight defeats to anyone. Anything is possible, but the odds are strongly against it. The reason why LA is behind in this series is because Bryant and Gasol haven't had much help. I expect Odom, Artest and Fisher to be much more comfortable on their home floor tonight, and they will provide the Lakers with the extra offensive spark they've been missing.

We've seen these two teams play to the Under each of the last 3 games, and the Under is now 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings. Game 5 went Under easily despite Boston shooting over 56% from the field. This is a strong reflection of how slow the pace of play has been. The Lakers weren't happy with their defensive effort in Game 5, and you can bet it will trigger a much stronger defensive performance tonight. Plays Under on all teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points in the NBA finals are 38-8 since 1996, including a perfect 4-0 over the last seasons. And we are only seeing an average of 176.3 total points scored in these games.

We'll play the Lakers -6.5 and the Under 189 as our NBA Finals Parlay of the Year. Best of Luck!

5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Parlay of the Year on Lakers -6.5/Under 189
Bottom Line: This is a must-win Game 6 for the Lakers, and I have no doubts that they will take care of business tonight. The Lakers are 9-1 at home in the playoffs, and those 9 wins have come by an average of 10.7 points. Boston is responsible for that lone loss, but the Lakers are too good of a team to suffer 3 straight defeats to anyone. Anything is possible, but the odds are strongly against it. The reason why LA is behind in this series is because Bryant and Gasol haven't had much help. I expect Odom, Artest and Fisher to be much more comfortable on their home floor tonight, and they will provide the Lakers with the extra offensive spark they've been missing.

We've seen these two teams play to the Under each of the last 3 games, and the Under is now 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings. Game 5 went Under easily despite Boston shooting over 56% from the field. This is a strong reflection of how slow the pace of play has been. The Lakers weren't happy with their defensive effort in Game 5, and you can bet it will trigger a much strong defensive performance tonight. Plays Under on all teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points in the NBA finals are 38-8 since 1996, including a perfect 4-0 over the last seasons. And we are only seeing an average of 176.3 total points scored in these games.

We'll play the Lakers -6.5 and the Under 189 as our NBA Finals Parlay of the Year. Best of Luck!

4* Major Game 5 "Total" Dominator on Lakers/Celtics UNDER 188.5
Bottom Line: Odds makers have lowered the number again, knowing that the public would be ready to jump on the Over. That's exactly what has happened, but I have to go against the grain and stick with the Under tonight. This game is incredibly important. Of the 25 finals series' that have been tied at 2-all, the Game 5 winner has gone on to win 19 of them. With so much at stake tonight, I expect the defensive intensity to go up yet another notch. Game 4 marked the first time in this series both teams shot over 44% from the field in the same game and we only saw 185 points. With the defense expected to be even better tonight, the point production should go down. And you have to consider this: Plays Under on all teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points, in the finals, are 36-8 since 1996. We'll bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Game 5 *BLOOD BATH* on Lakers +2.5
Bottom Line: I absolutely love the Lakers' chances of winning Game 5 outright tonight. Since 1996, the Lakers are 20-6 when tied in a playoff series. They are a perfect 3-0 in this situation in the 2010 NBA playoffs and a perfect 9-0 over the last 3 years in this spot. It is also worth noting that the Lakers are a perfect 2-0 after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog this season and 12-1 over the last 3 seasons in this spot. In a bounce back spot, with an extra day of rest on Bynum's knee, I'll take the Lakers and the points tonight. Best of Luck!

4* Major Game 4 "Total" Blowout on Lakers/Celtics UNDER 190.5
Bottom Line: Based on opening lines, we have seen the Under cash in 2 of the first 3 games of this series. The pace of Game 2 was on track for the Under as well, but Ray Allen had an abnormally good shooting night to push that one Over. Both teams have been great defensively in this series as the intensity has picked up each game. I expect this pattern to continue and for the result to be another Under winner. The Under is 5-1 in the Celtics' last 6 home games and 4-0 in their last 4 playoff games as a favorite of 4.5 or less points. The Under is also 14-6-1 the last 21 times the Lakers have been an underdog. We'll ride these trends here tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Game of the Year on Celtics -3.5
Bottom Line: Boston knew it had to steal Game 2 in LA if it was going to win this series and it rose to the occasion. Now, Boston knows that it must even the series tonight or it will be in serious trouble. This is a must-win game for Boston, and I expect it take care of business in front of its fired up home crowd tonight. The Celtics had an excellent opportunity to win Game 3 even though they fell behind big at one point, and even though Ray Allen went 0 for 13. I don't think Allen will get shutout again tonight. Plus, Boston relied too heavily on running plays for Allen to get him looks. Look for Rondo to be the catalyst tonight as he plays much more aggressive offensively. Also, Game 3 did a lot for KG's confidence and he should respond with another strong game. The Celtics are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a defeat, and I fully expect this trend to continue tonight.

4* Major Game 3 "Total" Blowout on Lakers/Celtics UNDER 193
Bottom Line: We cashed in with the Under 192 on Game 1, but we missed with the Under on Game 2 as Ray Allen decided to go off from beyond the arc. Otherwise the pace of the game was very much in accordance with the Under, and I expect the pace to be even slower and for the game to be even more physical on the defensive end tonight. The Lakers are 9-1 Under in road games when revenging an upset loss over the last 2 seasons. It is also worth noting that the Under is 13-6-1 in the Lakers' last 20 games as a road underdog and 6-2 in the Celtics' last 8 playoff games as a favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. Look for this one to finish Under by double digits tonight.

5* Wiseguy Game 3 *BLOOD BATH* on Celtics -2.5
Bottom Line: Returning home with momentum and an added boost of confidence after stealing away home court, look for the Celtics to take the 2-1 series lead tonight. I expect Boston's defense to be fantastic as it feeds off the energy of the home crowd, and I also expect Kevin Garnett to finally show up on the offensive end. Look for Paul Pierce to have a bounce back game as well. Boston is 10-3-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings in this matchup, including 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 at home. It's also hard to bet against Bean Town in the small chalk when you consider that it is 20-8 ATS in its last 28 games as a favorite of 4.5 or less points, including 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games as a home favorite of 4.5 or less. Lay the points with the Celtics!

4* Major Game 2 "Total" Dominator on Celtics/Lakers UNDER 191
Bottom Line: We saw Game 1 finish at this number, and I expect Game 2 to be even lower scoring as Boston does a better job on the defensive end. Plus, this system has been good to me: Plays Under on all teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points, extremely well rested team playing 3 or less games in 10 days with a winning record on the season, playing another winning team, are 46-18 (71.9%) the last 5 seasons. We also can't overlook the fact that the Under is a perfect 5-0 in the Celtics' last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game and 21-6 in the Lakers' last 27 games when playing on 2 days rest. Bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy Game 2 *BLOOD BATH* on Celtics +6
Bottom Line: Boston just didn't have it going in Game 1, but that gives it all the more motivation to show up tonight. Considering 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two teams have been decided by a single point, taking the points is the right call here, especially since the Celtics are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 2 days rest and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. They are also 4-1 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points and 37-18 ATS in their last 55 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. Look for Boston to respond in a big way tonight.

4* Major Game 1 *BLOOD BATH* on Celtics +5.5
Bottom Line: The last 3 meetings between these two teams have all been decided by 1 point. Expect this trend of close games to continue tonight in LA. Over the last 3 seasons, these teams have split 6 games in LA. The Lakers were favored by an average of 5.3 points in those games, but the Celtics have won by an average of 1.0 points. As a result the Celtics are 5-1 ATS in those matchups. During the same time frame, these two teams have played 12 games in all, and Boston has won 7 of them. The Lakers have been favored by an average of 1.0 points, but Boston has won by 6.0 points on average. As a result, the Celtics are 9-2-1 ATS in these games. I'm taking Boston and the points tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Finals Total of the Year on Celtics/Lakers UNDER 192
Bottom Line: Both of these teams know how important winning Game 1 is historically, and with this in mind I expect defense to take center stage tonight. Plays Under on all teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (BOSTON) - extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team, are 46-17 the last 5 seasons. Also, plays Under on home teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (LA LAKERS) revenging a straight up loss vs. an opponent as a favorite, against an opponent off a home win by 10 points or more, are 30-12 the last 5 seasons. It is also worth noting that the Lakers are 15-3 Under as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. I'll pound the Under in Game 1 in this matchup of 2 Top 10 defenses.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs Parlay of the Year on Lakers +1.5/Under 216
Bottom Line: An exhilarating Game 5 win has the Lakers in the driver's seat, and after watching Boston seal the deal last night, they will be playing with an even greater sense of urgency in this one. One of the big reasons the Lakers are winning this series is because they are winning the turnover battle. In fact, LA is 13-4-2 ATS after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers this season, winning these games by an average score of 102.1 to 93.2. We saw both teams really pick up the defensive intensity last game, and this will carry over to tonight with so much at stake. It is also worth noting that the Under is 14-5 in the above situation I outlined. I'm pounding the Lakers and the Under tonight. Best of Luck.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs Parlay of the Year on Lakers +1.5/Under 216
Analysis will be posted shortly

4* Major Game 6 Power Play on Celtics -3
Bottom Line: I know Wallace and Davis may not be able to go, but Boston got the break it needed with Perkins being able to play tonight. Boston was embarrassed in Game 5, and beyond that, they felt they were screwed by the officials and beat up physically by Orlando. These things will have this championship team motivated to close out this series. The Celtics are a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. The Magic are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog. Lay the points w/ Boston as it responds in a big way.

5* Wiseguy Eastern Conference Finals Total of the Year on Magic/Celtics UNDER 188.5
Bottom Line: Prior to the Game 5 outburst, where we saw 205 total points scored, the Magic and Celtics had finished under this number in 5 straight and 10 of their last 11. I expect both teams to tighten the screws defensively in this critical Game 6 as we cash in on the Under as a result. The Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Boston and 10-3 in the last 13 meetings overall between these two teams. The Under is 4-0 in the Celtics' last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game and 7-1 in the Magic's last 8 games as a road underdog of 4.5 or fewer points. Boston could be without Davis and Wallace tonight, so it is going to want to slow this game down to stay fresh. Plus, the Celtics will make an effort not to foul as much knowing that they could be short handed. With the clock rolling and the Celtics slowing the tempo down, we'll pound the Under here.

4* Major Game 5 *BLOOD BATH* on Lakers -7
Bottom Line: After LA was beaten in back-to-back games in Oklahoma City in the first round, it responded to win Game 5 by 24 points at home. I expect the defending NBA champs to come up with a similar response tonight. The Lakers have won 6 straight home games against the Suns by an average of 17.2 points, and I absolutely love the fact that LA is 18-5 ATS in its last 23 games when tied in a playoff series. Lay the points.

5* Wiseguy Game 5 "Total" Dominator on Suns/Lakers UNDER 218
Bottom Line: So far this series has been an Overs machine, but I'm confident that changes tonight. It's all tied up 2-2, and that should have both teams really upping the intensity on defense in this pivotal Game 5. Plus, the Lakers bought into Phoenix's uptempo scheme in Games 3 and 4, taking way too many quick three-point shots. Expect them to make an extra effort to slow down the pace and get the ball inside tonight. The Lakers are 23-8 Under after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons and Phoenix is 19-7 Under after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Bet the Under tonight as the pace slows and the defensive intensity picks up.

4* Major Game 5 "Total" Dominator on Celtics/Magic OVER 186
Bottom Line: This matchup has been an Unders machine, but I'm confident we'll finally see some more scoring tonight. Orlando has not shot well in this series, but it finally got some threes to go in Game 4 (made 10). That should really give them some confidence heading back home so I expect the threes to be falling again tonight. Plus, we've seen Boston's offense come alive time and time again following a defeat. In fact, the Over is 35-17 in the Celtics; last 52 games following a S.U. loss. In addition, Boston is 10-2 Over after a loss by 6 points or less this season, and we are seeing 209 points scored on average in these games. Take the Over.

4* Major TNT Prime Time Total on Lakers/Suns UNDER 221
Bottom Line: After 3 straight high scoring games, look for both of these teams to really up the intensity on the defensive end knowing what this Game 4 means. The Lakers are 12-3 Under in road games when revenging a loss vs. an opponent over the last 2 seasons and the Suns are 13-4 Under after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons. But here's the clincher: the Under is 11-0 in the Lakers' last 11 games as a favorite of 4.5 or fewer points and 6-0 in the Lakers last 6 games as a road favorite of 4.5 or fewer points. It's also worth noting that the Under is 7-2 in the Suns' last 9 games as a home underdog of 4.5 or less points. Bet the Under.

5* Western Conference Playoffs Game of the Year on Lakers -1
Bottom Line: I don't see the Lakers leaving Phoenix empty handed. It took an absolute eruption from Stoudemire and an uncharacteristic 20-point performance from Lopez to earn a Game 3 victory, and I don't see either of those things happening again tonight as the Lakers up the intensity on the defensive end. The Lakers are the better team, and they have had the Suns' number all season. The favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings and the Lakers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. The Lakers have also won 11 of their last 15 against Phoenix over the last 3 seasons. Take LA!

4* Major ESPN Prime Time Total of Magic/Celtics OVER 187
Bottom Line: Down 0-3, the Magic have nothing to lose tonight. That should enable them to relax enough to finally get something done on the offensive end. Right away, this point spread range has us considering the Over because Boston is 21-6 to the Over in its last 27 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. The fact that plays Over on all teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (ORLANDO) - after scoring 35 points or less in the first half last game and after a combined score of 175 points or less, are 29-8 the last 5 seasons puts me over the top. It is also worth noting that Orlando is 18-8 Over after a combined score of 175 points or less over the last 2 seasons and we are seeing 200.3 total points scored on average in these games. Take the Over.

5* Wiseguy Game 4 *BLOOD BATH* (ESPN) on Magic +7
Bottom Line: Orlando won't pack it in down 0-3 after getting brutally embarrassed in Game 3. The Magic are the defending Eastern Conference Champs and they will be much too proud to return home unless it is to play Game 5. Orlando is 17-4 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons, winning by an average of 8.7 points in these spots. Orlando is also 14-4 ATS when revenging a loss vs. an opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons, winning by an average of 7.7 in these games. Plus, the fact that the Celtics are just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 playoff games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points is a clear sign that they are being overvalued. Orlando has nothing to lose at this point and will be motivated to avoid being swept. Look for the Magic to pull off the shocker tonight.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs "Total" Blowout on Lakers/Suns UNDER 219
Bottom Line: Plays Under on home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - looking to avenge a road loss of 10 points or more to an opponent, and coming off a road loss, are 75-39 since 1996. Also, plays Under on home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games, on Sunday games, are 36-13 since 1996. It is also worth noting that the Lakers are 7-0 Under in road games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games this season. The Lakers shot out of their minds at home (58%), but that won't continue here. The Suns know they must play better defense to win, and I expect them to really step up their game on that end of the floor tonight. Bet the Under.

4* Major "Total" Blowout on Magic/Celtics UNDER 190
Bottom Line: The Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Boston and 13-3 in the last 16 meetings overall. Each of the first two games in this series have finished under the total and I expect this trend to continue as this should be the most intense defensive game of the series. Plays Under on all teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (ORLANDO) - extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team, are 46-17 the last 5 seasons, including 10-4 this season. Plus, Orlando is 16-6 Under when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent over the last 2 seasons, and 9-1 Under after a close loss by 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons. Take the Under.

5* Wiseguy 2010 NBA Playoffs Game of the Year on Magic +4
Bottom Line: Home court hasn't mattered much in this matchup when you consider that Orlando has won 11 of the 20 matchups, including 5 of the last 9 in Boston. In fact, the road team has won 6 of the last 7 meetings in this matchup straight up. From the perspective of the point spread, the road team is a perfect 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings. This corresponds to the underdog being a perfect 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings. The Magic have been a great small underdog as they are 39-17-1 ATS in their last 57 games as an underdog of 4.5 or fewer points and 21-9 ATS in their last 30 games as a road underdog of 4.5 or fewer points. The Magic are also a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games. It will be extremely difficult for the Celtics to keep their focus after such a long layoff, while the time off only adds fuel to the Magic's fire as they hear all this "sweep" talk. Boston is a great team, but they aren't 4 straight wins better than Orlando. Look for the Magic to play a lot looser tonight and win this one outright. Best of Luck!

5* Wiseguy Western Conference Finals Game 2 *BLOOD BATH* on Suns +7.5
Bottom Line: The Suns haven't lost back-to-back games since Jan. 25th and 26th. That means that they are a perfect 10-0 in their last 10 games following a loss. Look for this trend to continue tonight as the Suns steal Game 2 on the road. From a point spread standpoint, the Lakers have not been good when playing with just 1 day of rest between games. In fact, they are just 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games playing on 1 days rest. Meanwhile, the Suns are 36-15-1 ATS in their last 52 games playing on 1 days rest. It is also worth noting that the Suns are a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss. The Lakers just had one of those nights in Game 1 when everything went down for them. Expect a combination of the Suns playing better defense and the Lakers coming back down to earth to play a big role in Phoenix getting the cover tonight.

5* Wiseguy Game 2 *BLOOD BATH* (ESPN) on Celtics +7
Bottom Line: I don't see Boston relaxing in Game 2 after stealing Game 1. In fact, the Celtics have not relaxed since getting blown out in Game 3 of their previous series, going 4-0 SU & ATS since. During this 4-game stretch, the Celtics have been a 7-point dog twice, and they have won both of those games outright on the road. The Celtics are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Orlando, the underdog is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings and the road team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. The Celtics are a phenomenal 57-28-2 ATS in their last 87 games as a road underdog and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 playoff games as an underdog. Boston is confident and it is playing smart. Look for it to give the Magic all they want and more tonight.

4* Major NBA on TNT Prime Time Pounder on Lakers -6
Bottom Line: The Lakers have won 5 of 6 at home against the Suns over the last 3 seasons by an average of 12 points. In this year's two home games with Phoenix, the Lakers won by margins of 19 and 20. The Lakers are about the only team in the NBA that have proven they can control the tempo on Phoenix. Rest doesn't figure to benefit the Suns when you consider they are just 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games playing on 3 or more days rest. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings and the Suns are just 4-9 ATS in the last 13 meetings in this matchup. Take the Lakers in Game 1.

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs Total of the Year on Suns/Lakers UNDER 211
Bottom Line: While the Suns are an explosive offensive team, they have not played Over the number on the road very often recently, and Phoenix is one team the Lakers don't want to get into a track meet with. Expect the Lakers to slow down the tempo to take advantage of their size in the half court tonight, keeping this one Under the number in the process. The Under is 7-1-1 in the Suns' last 9 road games. It is also is 11-3 in the Lakers' last 14 playoff games as a favorite. Phoenix is 11-2 Under in road games off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons and Los Angeles is 14-3 Under after a blowout win by 15 points or more this season. Bet the Under.

5* Wiseguy "Total" Blowout on Celtics/Magic UNDER 189.5
Bottom Line: The Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams, and I expect this trend to continue today. Boston matches up better with the Magic than just about any other team in the NBA with the exception of the Lakers. A big reason for that is because Kendrick Perkins has proven that he can play solid defense on Dwight Howard. Plus, Boston defends the 3-point line well, only allowing 5 3-point makes per game on 30.7% shooting on the road this season. The Under is 7-2-1 in the Magic's last 10 playoff games as a favorite and 7-2 in the Celtics' last 9 Conference Finals games. Bet the Under.

4* Major NBA Playoffs Power Play on Cavs +1.5
Bottom Line: LeBron James and the Cavaliers were embarrassed in Game 5 on their home floor. The last time that happened (Game 2), James rebounded to score 38 points in a 29-point Game 3 win. I don't see this game being as lopsided, but I do see the Cavs pulling through to force a Game 7. You can bet that the NBA's MVP will show up tonight. Under coach Brown, Cleveland is 21-7 ATS in road games after a loss by 10 points, winning these games by an average of 4.0 points. Meanwhile, under coach Rivers, Boston is just 2-12 ATS in home games off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog, losing by an average of 0.9 points in this situation. The only time the Cavs played with any sense of urgency in this series has been when they were trailing in it. Look for that urgency to lead to a win tonight.

5* Wiseguy ESPN Prime Time Total on Cavs/Celtics UNDER 196.5
Bottom Line: Let's keep this short and sweet. The Celtics are on a 17-4 Unders tear following a blowout victory of 30 or more points, and we are only seeing an average of 182.7 points scored in these games. Plus, you can bet Cleveland will bring the "D" tonight after allowing 120 points in Game 5. I expect every shot in this one to be extremely well contested with all that is at stake. Pound the Under.

5* Wiseguy TNT Prime Time Total on Celtics/Cavs OVER 194
Bottom Line: The Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams. The Over is 5-0 in the Celtics' last 5 games following a S.U. win and 5-0 in their last 5 games following an ATS win. The Over is 4-0 in the Cavaliers' last 4 games following an ATS loss and 6-1 in their last 7 playoff games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. I'm expecting Cleveland to explode offensively, just like it did in Game 3, to carry this one Over!

5* Wiseguy NBA Playoffs Total of the Week on Lakers/Jazz UNDER 207
Bottom Line: After 3 straight overs in this series, the public is all over the over here despite odds makers really elevating the number. I love our chances of collecting by going against the grain tonight. Even after 3 straight overs, the Under is still 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between these teams and 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Utah. We also need to consider that it is highly unlikely that LA, which averages only 7 3-point makes per game, goes off for 13 again. That's an extra 18 points right there. It is also highly unlikely that Kyle Korver goes off the way he did in Game 3 when he was 5 of 5 from 3-point range. The Jazz only average 5 3-point makes per game and they had 10 in Game 3. That's an extra 15 points. We saw a combined score of 221 points in Game 3, but if these teams only hit their averages from the 3-point line, we would have only seen 188. I think this gives us some nice breathing room even if these teams makes a couple more 3's than they average, which is a lot more likely than what we saw in Game 3. Pound the Under!

4* Major NBA Playoffs Side of the Night on Hawks +6
Bottom Line: The entire world is on the Magic here, just as odds makers expected would be the case, that's why we are getting good line value by catching 6 points with the home team here. Had Atlanta lost a close Game 3, I would be all over the Magic as well, but that wasn't the case. They were completely embarrassed, and I expect that the Hawks have far too much pride to go out the same way. The Hawks are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points and 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. But even more importantly, the Hawks are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home. And what most don't realize is that Orlando is only 4-12 ATS off a road win by 10 points or more this season, actually losing by an average score of 102.6 to 103.7 in these games. Take the Hawks.

4* Major Sunday NBA Playoffs *BLOOD BATH* on Spurs -3
Bottom Line: The Spurs won't go down without a fight. It's just not in their DNA. Phoenix has proven its the better team this time around, but I can't see it winning 4 straight over a good Spurs team. San Antonio is 13-3 ATS in home games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons, winning by an average score of 104.9 to 92.8 in these spots. San Antonio is also 11-2 ATS when revenging a straight up loss vs. an opponent as a favorite of 7 or more over the last 3 seasons, winning by an average score of 105 to 94.5 in these spots. Lay the points.