Sports Picks & Predictions

7* Pac-12 Game of the Year on Oregon State +1.5
The Key: This is a huge letdown spot for Cal, which will be playing its second road game in three days and is coming off a big upset win over Oregon. This is a big bounce-back spot for Oregon State following back-to-back defeats. The Beavers will also have revenge on the brain having lost by three at Cal last month. Oregon State is an awesome 6-0 ATS this season when it checks in off two consecutive losses to conference foes. It is also a rock solid 13-5 ATS all-time under coach Robinson when checking in off a home loss of 10 points or more. The Beavers have won three of their last four at home against Cal with these wins coming by 7, 16 and 11 points. Bet the Beavers.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Trailblazers +9
The Key: The Lakers are being overvalued here following their decisive win over Boston. We are getting additional line value because the Blazers have lost their last six. Consider that road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points are 31-10 ATS the last 5 seasons provided they check in with 6 or more consecutive defeats and the game takes place in the second half of the season. The public loves the Lakers and books love to take advantage of that by jacking up their lines, especially after a big win. As a result, the Lakers are 16-36 ATS in their last 52 games following a win and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a win of more than 10 points. The Blazers have been struggling on the defensive end and have been struggling to keep teams off the board. However, the Lakers are 0-8 ATS in home games in the second half of the season the L3 seasons versus poor defensive teams that allow their opponents to shoot 46% or better. The Lakers have defeated these teams on average but only by 4.0 points. Also, Portland is 8-0 ATS in the second half of the season the L3 seasons versus teams who average 53 or more rebounds/game. The Blazers have actually defeated these foes by an average of 7.1 points. The Trailblazers are 18-7 ATS in the last 25 meetings, and the underdog is 24-11 ATS in the last 35 meetings. Take the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Nets -1.5
The Key: Expect a letdown from the Rockets as they head out on the road, where they are only 11-18, following a big revenge win against the Thunder. The Nets, who are 20-10 at home, are playing well and will be hungry to avenge last month's loss in Houston. The Nets are a reliable 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400. Brooklyn has also been a fantastic investment when entering with momentum on its side. It is 13-5 ATS when checking in with 2 or more consecutive wins this season. The Rockets have not been playing good defense. They have managed to outscore teams but will have a tough time doing that against a Brooklyn squad that ranks in the top 5 in scoring defense. Consider that Houston is 3-15 ATS in road games after allowing 100 points or more in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. Lastly, the home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings, and the favorite is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Lay the points.

7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Brown +7
The Key: Off a big win over Princeton and with a big rivalry game at Yale tomorrow, Harvard won't be able to help but look ahead. Brown, meanwhile, will be extremely focused on the task at hand. It has lost 7 straight in the series and will leave it all on the floor in order to give itself a chance to end the skid. Harvard has rattled off back-to-back wins in conference play, but that bodes well for us as it is just 1-10 ATS off 2 straight wins against conference foes over the last 2 seasons. It has won by 0.9 points on average in this spot. Also, the Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. The Crimson are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings and 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings at Brown. Take the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Spurs +3.5
The Key: The Spurs have owned the Clippers over the years. In fact, they are 52-13 against the Clipps since 1996, including 24-8 on the road during this span. San Antonio is looking to make one more run at a championship with its current nucleus and the Clippers appear to be one of the teams standing in their way. LA has won the season's first two matchups so I expect the Spurs to treat this one like Game 7 of Finals. They'll be out to make a statement to the Clippers that they're not all washed up yet. The Spurs are on an impressive 23-10 ATS run when out for revenge for an upset defeat to a foe. They have won by an average score of 102.5 to 94.8 in these games. They are also on a 34-19 ATS run when out for revenge for two straight upset losses to a foe. They have won by an average score of 97.2 to 90.1 in this spot. The Spurs are 14-6 ATS in the last 20 meetings and 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings in Los Angeles. Take the points.

6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Oregon -5
The Key: To say this is a game Oregon wants badly is an understatement. The Ducks have lost 10 straight to Cal, including a 4-point road loss earlier this month. I am confident Oregon is the better team. It's at home and it will leave it all on the floor to end its skid against the Golden Bears. The Ducks had 22 turnovers in the first meeting (6 more than their season average), they made only 2 three-point shots (3 less than their season average) and they were just 12 of 19 from the foul line (they average 16 of 22). I'll be shocked if Oregon performs as poorly in those 3 areas again. Just doing a better job of taking care of the basketball will give it an excellent opportunity to cover the number. Consider that plays on a team that is out for revenge for a loss to an opponent that held it to less than 60 points, provided it is coming off a close road win of 3 points or less, are 70-30 ATS the last 3 seasons and 8-1 ATS this season. Also, teams headed up by Dana Altman are on an impressive 42-24 ATS run when out for revenge for a same-season loss to an opponent. Lay the points.

6* Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Northwestern +8.5
The Key: Off a big revenge win at home against Ohio State, I expect Wisconsin to come out flat on the road this evening. The Badgers haven't been reliable on the road where they are on a 2-6-1 ATS slide. It is also worth noting that they haven't won by more than 6 points on the road this season. The Wildcats have dropped three straight and have failed to cover the number in 4 of their last 6. They are being undervalued as a result. This team played Indiana to an 8-point game at home and beat Minnesota so it can certainly hang. The Wildcats are 37-13 ATS under coach Carmody after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 of their last 6 game, including a perfect 7-0 ATS in this spot over the last 2 seasons. Take the points.

6* NBA Line Mistake on Magic +11
The Key: It's common for teams to be rusty in their first game back from the All-Star break. The Magic certainly looked rusty last night when they lost to lowly Charlotte. That loss actually serves us well as they will be hungry because of it and have had a game to shake off the rust. This is Dallas' first game back and it will have a tough time stretching this one out. Of the 9 NBA games that took place last night, the home team won by double-digits in just one of them. The road team won 6 of them straight up. And, the road team covered the number in 7 of the 9 matchups. This just goes to show you the way the books like to overvalue the home side following the break. Consider that plays on any cold team that has failed to cover the spread in 12 or more of its last 15 games, providing it is up against an opponent that has covered the number in 5 or 6 of its last 7 games, are 61-26 ATS since 1996. Orlando is 13-4 ATS in road games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Also, teams headed up by Rick Carlisle are just 26-52 ATS all-time as a favorite of 10 or more points. Take the points.

6* Missouri Valley Conference *CA$H COW* on Drake -4
The Key: Drake lost by 10 at Bradley in the season's first matchup. However, home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are out for revenge for a same-season loss to an opponent, provided they return four starters, are 105-67 ATS the last 5 seasons. These teams have been favored by 5.9 points on average and have won by an average of 7.5 points. The Bulldogs have dropped 5 of their last 7, but that bodes well for us considering they are 19-6 ATS after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games under coach Phelps. They are 9-1 ATS in this spot the last 3 seasons. Drake has won 2 straight at home against Bradley by at least 6 points. Plus, it defeated the Braves by at least 7 points in all 3 of last season's meetings. Take Drake in this revenge spot.

7* Ohio Valley Conference Game of the Year on SIU Edwardsville +7
The Key: SIU Edwardsville isn't getting the respect it deserves here. The Cougars are 8-4 at home where they defeated Ohio Valley West division leader Murray State, and they return four starters from a team that played Tennessee State to a three-point game on the road last year. The Cougars suffered a letdown following their win over Murray State, losing by double digits at home to Austin Peay. That bad loss and the fact that this is their last home game of the season assures us that they will be motivated. SIU Edwardsville is 7-0 ATS all-time under coach Forester when checking in off a loss of 10 points or more to a conference foe. It is also 6-0 ATS all-time under Forrester after allowing 80 points or more in its previous game. Tennessee State is just 4-10 on the road this season and finds itself in a letdown spot following a big win over Belmont. Take the points.

6* Eastern Conference *CA$H COW* on Knicks +3.5
The Key: Motivated by back-to-back defeats as well as a five-point loss in Indiana last month, expect the Knicks to take care of business here. The Knicks have been an extremely valuable underdog. In fact, they are 51-30 ATS as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. In addition, New York is an outstanding 29-11 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less during this span. Indiana has been good at home this season but it should be noted that it is only 9-21 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 3 seasons. The Knicks are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings and the underdog is 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings. Take the points.

7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Missouri +5
The Key: Mizzou isn't getting the respect it deserves here. The Tigers were crushed by 31 in the season's first meeting, but they are a completely different team at Mizzou Arena where they are 14-0 this season, 29-1 under Frank Haith and 81-4 the last 5 seasons. Plus, that ugly loss assures us that they will be hungry and focused. Mizzou hasn't faced an opponent of Florida's caliber at home this season but proved it can rise to the occasion last year when it defeated No. 8 Kansas and No. 6 Baylor. Florida has been rolling along but showed it can be had with an 11-point loss at Arkansas. Keep in mind that Mizzou just played the Razorbacks to a 2-point game on the road. Take the Tigers and the points as they take Florida right down to the wire.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Nuggets -8
The Key: The All-Star break couldn't have come at a better time for Denver, which saw its 9-game win streak come to an end with 3 consecutive losses on the road in a span of 4 days. One of those was a 4-point loss at Boston in a game that went into triple-OT. Denver will certainly be motivated to return the favor. The break came at a bad time for Boston which had won 8 of 9 since learning the Rondo would miss the remainder of the season. The break brings an end to the momentum the Celtics had going while it gives the Nuggets time to regroup. 7 of Boston's last 8 wins have come at home. It is not the same team on the road where it is on a 1-4 ATS slide. It is also 3-8 ATS in its last 11 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games, 17-8 ATS in home games this season and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a loss. They are also 40-19-2 ATS in their last 61 games when playing on 3 or more days' rest and 30-14 ATS when playing 6 or less games in 14 days over the last 3 seasons. The Celtics are on a 21-35 ATS slide when playing with 3 or more days' rest. Denver is 51-33 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points under coach Karl. Also, the home team is 16-5 ATS in the last 21 meetings, the favorite is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings and the Celtics are 1-7 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Denver. The Nuggets have won 3 in a row at home against the Celtics and 2 of those came by 9 points or more. Lay the points.

6* Big East *CA$H COW* on Seton Hall +6
The Key: The Golden Eagles aren't the same team on the road where they are 2-5, averaging 59.3 points and shooting just 40.3 percent from the field. Off a big win over Pitt and with a big game at Villanova on deck, I expect Marquette to look right past a Seton Hall squad that has lost 7 in a row. Marquette lost by 13 the last time it visited Seton Hall, and it won by a single point the time before that. It will have to earn this one. The Pirates have been better than most with the tough Saturday-Tuesday turnaround. In fact, they are 8-1 ATS when playing on Tuesday night the last 2 seasons and have won these games by an average score of 73.7 to 59.5. It is also worth noting that they are an impressive 14-4 ATS the last 2 seasons versus good shooting teams that make 45% of their shots or better. They have won these contests by an average score of 68.2 to 65.6. Take the points.

7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Rutgers +10.5
The Key: Rutgers lost at DePaul Saturday, and it lost leading scorer Eli Carter to a right knee injury in that game. However, I expect the Scarlet Knights to rally in wake of Carter's injury. They were blown out by 21 by Villanova in last season's Big East Tournament, and that loss will provide plenty of motivation here. Villanova is coming off a big win at Connecticut Saturday, and I'm expecting a letdown from it here. Consider that plays against favorites of 10 or more points that have covered the number in 5 or 6 of their last 7 games and are playing with one or no days of rest are 83-47 ATS the last 5 seasons. In addition, plays on road underdogs of 10 or more points in the month of February that are playing their 2nd road game in 3 days are 101-48 ATS the last 5 seasons. Plus, Nova is 0-7 ATS the last 3 seasons when matched up against teams that carry a winning percentage of 51% to 60%. The Wildcats have lost to these foes by an average of 3.7 points. Take the points.

6* ACC *CA$H COW* on Clemson +6.5
The Key: Miami is 11-0 in conference play and is being overvalued on the road because of it. The Hurricanes have won by more than 6 points just once in their last four road games. They won two of those games by only one point. Clemson has been extremely competitive at home where it is 4-2 in conference play. Neither of the losses came by more than 5 points. This series has been very close. In fact, the Tigers have won or lost by fewer than 4 points in each of the last 9 meetings. That's a 9-0 trend I can get behind. In terms of the spread, the Tigers are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings, and the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5. Take the points.

6* Pac-12 *CA$H COW* on Arizona -9
The Key: Motivated by back-to-back defeats, expect this talented Arizona team to take its frustrations out all over an inferior Utah squad. The Utes have been blown out at home by USC and Stanford so it is no stretch to think the Wildcats can run up the score as well. The Wildcats won the first meeting by only 3 points but that further assures us that they will show up. Prior to that win, they had won 4 straight in the series by at least 9 points. They are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings, winning them by an average of 14.3 points. The Wildcats are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a loss, 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games versus a team with a losing record and 15-7 ATS in their last 22 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Wildcats had a miserable first half at Colorado last time out as they were held to just 23 points. This is significant because they are 6-0 ATS the last 2 seasons after being held to 25 points or less in the first half last game. Also, the road team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Expect Arizona to jump all over Utah early in this one.

7* Big East *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN) on South Florida +14
The Key: The value lies with South Florida here. The Bulls have lost 7 in a row and were defeated by 26 by Louisville in the season's first meeting. We are getting a great number with the home team as a result. The Bulls have been no pushover at home where they are 8-6 with a win over Georgetown. Consider that plays on underdogs of 10 or more points that check in with 7 or more consecutive losses, provided they are playing just their 2nd game in 8 days, are 164-99 ATS since 1997. Also, playing underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points that have been beaten against the spread by 48 points or more in their last ten games are 79-39 ATS the last 5 seasons. These teams have been underdogs of 13.6 points on average but have lost by only 10.9 points on average. Lastly, South Florida is an awesome 6-0 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. It has won by an average score of 65.3 to 60.0 in this situation.

6* NCAAB Bailout on San Jose State +12
The Key: Off Thursday's big win at Utah State, I expect Denver to get caught looking right past a team it defeated by 36 in the season's first meeting. Consider that plays against favorites that are off 2 straight wins against conference foes and are matched up against a team off 2 consecutive home defeats of 10 points or more are 54-23 ATS since 1997. Now that's a time-tested 70.1% system I can get behind. SJSU is in the midst of a 9-game losing streak but it has been showing signs of life lately. In fact, three of the Spartans' last 4 losses have come by 10 points or less. Denver is not the same team on the road where it is on a 30-45 ATS slide. Take the points.

6* Big Ten *CA$H COW* (BTN) on Nebraska +9.5
The Key: This is a sandwich game for Michigan State. The Spartans check in off a big win over Michigan, and they have Indiana on deck. They only defeated Nebraska by 10 points at home in the season's first meeting and will have a very difficult time getting there in what figures to be a flat spot for them. Consider that plays against favorites of 10 or more points that check in off a blowout win of 20 points or more over a conference rival and are up against an opponent that is off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival are 79-43 ATS the last 5 seasons. Nebraska is 7-1 ATS following a loss to a conference foe this season. Plus, its head man, Tim Miles, has a proven track record in revenge spots. His teams are 23-10 ATS all-time when out for revenge for a loss in which it was held to less than 60 points. His teams have lost by only 1.9 points on average in this situation. Take the points.

7* MVC Game of the Year on Drake +3
The Key: Motivated by three consecutive defeats, and with an embarrassing 30-point loss at Northern Iowa also stoking the fire, Drake will be ready to roll tonight. The Bulldogs have Northern Iowa right where they want it as the Panthers enter off a huge win over Creighton. Riding high off that victory, I believe they are in for a major letdown. UNI has not been the same team on the road where it is 2-5 in its last 7 with only one of these wins coming by more than 3 points. Drake, meanwhile, has been plenty dangerous at home where it has wins over Creighton and Indiana State - two teams tied for second in the Valley ahead of UNI. The Panthers are just 7-18 ATS in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons. They are also just 3-13 ATS as a road favorite or pickem over the last 3 seasons. The Bulldogs are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss and 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games versus a team with a winning record. Lastly, the home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Take Drake.

6* Southern Conference *CA$H COW* on The Citadel +19.5
The Key: Davidson is coming off a big win over College Charleston, and I expect it to get caught looking past a Citadel squad it defeated by 32 a month ago. Consider that plays against any team that has covered the spread in 2 consecutive games as a favorite and is matched up against a foe that checks in off a home blowout loss of 20 points or more are 25-6 ATS the last 5 seasons. Davidson has been susceptible on the road where it is even 5-14 ATS when playing against teams with a losing record the last 3 seasons. It is on a 9-19 ATS slide as a road favorite or pickem. The Wildcats have been solid on the defensive end throughout the season, but Citadel has never lost in this situation against good defensive teams under Chuck Driesell. In fact, they are 6-0 ATS all-time when at least 15 games into the schedule under his watch when matched up against teams that allow 64 points or less per game. Cit has actually managed to hold its own versus these teams and has edged them by .3 points on average. Take the points.

6* WCC *CA$H COW* on San Francisco +12.5
The Key: Off Thursday's huge win at Saint Mary's, I'm expecting a letdown from Gonzaga this afternoon. Plus, San Francisco will be hungry after being upset at home by Portland. Consider that plays against favorites of 10 or more points that are coming off a win of 15 points or more and are matched up against an opponent that's off a loss of 3 points or more are 113-65 ATS the last 5 seasons. In addition, Gonzaga is only 4-13 ATS the last 3 seasons in road games after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more. The Dons have been undervalued all season, especially against quality competition. They are 10-3 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season as a result. Even more impressively, they are 6-0 ATS this season when up against excellent teams that shoot 45% or better and hold their opponents to 42% shooting or worse. Take the points.

6* Big Ten *CA$H COW* (ESPN) on Purdue +19
The Key: Off back-to-back double-digit losses, including a 20-point defeat at Illinois last time out, Purdue will be ready to go this afternoon. A 37-point home to Indiana earlier this season certainly adds fuel to the fire. With a big showdown at Michigan State on deck, I don't expect Indiana to give the Boilermakers its full attention. Consider that underdogs of 10 or more points that check in off a loss of 20 points or more in conference play and are out for revenge for a home loss to an opponent are 80-43 ATS the last 5 seasons. Also, Purdue is 12-4 ATS all-time under coach Painter when listed as an underdog of 10 or more points. Take the points.

7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Cleveland State +5
The Key: Motivated by back-to-back defeats, including a humiliating 30-point loss at Detroit last time out, I expect Cleveland State to leave it all on the floor tonight. The Vikings will be further motivated by an ugly 27-point loss at Wisconsin-Green Bay in the season's first meeting. The Phoenix check in off an upset win over Detroit but are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win. Cleveland State is a rock solid 8-3 at home while Green Bay is just 2-9 on the road. This is significant because the Vikings are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400. The Vikings are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 home games overall, and the home team is 9-3-1 ATS in the last 13 meetings. The home team has won each of the last 4 and 11 of the last 12 meetings. Take the points.

6* Big Ten *CA$H COW* (ESPNU) on Penn State +8
The Key: The Nittany Lions are 0-11 in Big Ten play, and with two games against Michigan remaining, as well as games at Illinois, at Minnesota, at Northwestern and against Wisconsin, they are in danger of getting shut out. This is likely the most winnable game left on the schedule, and I expect them to go after in with ferocity. Iowa has lost its last 4 on the road and is 1-6 in true road games this season. It has also dropped its last 5 at Penn State. The Hawkeyes check in off a much-needed win against Northwestern but are on a 21-37 ATS slide in road games off a home win by 10 points or more. Also, Penn State is a near-perfect 8-2 ATS the last 3 seasons in home games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games. It has won by an average score of 61.3 to 57.3 in this spot. Take the points.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Thunder -4.5
The Key: Motivated by Tuesday's double-digit loss at Utah and further fueled by a 6-point loss at Miami in the season's first meeting, expect the Thunder to have a small measure of revenge against the team that beat them in last year's Finals. Consider that favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that check in off a road loss of 10 points or more, provided they have won 60 or more of their games on the season, are 264-184 ATS since 1996. That's a 59% success rate over a 17-year span. The Thunder are 9-1 ATS this season following an upset loss. They are also on a 10-2 ATS run in home games when out for revenge for a loss to an opponent. In addition, they are 7-0 ATS in home games this season when checking in with wins in 4 of their last 5 games. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS loss, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss of more than 10 points and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games versus a team with a winning road record. Lastly, the home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Lay the points.

7* Big Ten *HEAVY HITTER* on Minnesota -4.5
The Key: Following an improbable win over Michigan in a game it trailed by 3 points with 2.4 seconds left, Wisconsin is primed for a letdown. Minnesota, on the other hand, will be in bounce-back mode following back-to-back defeats. It will also be out for revenge for a 1-point loss at Wisconsin in the season's first meeting. Plays on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are out for revenge for a same-season loss to an opponent, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 80%), are 112-65 ATS the last 5 seasons. In addition, Wisconsin is only 1-9 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) this season. Minnesota has been taking fantastic care of the basketball, which is a good sign because that means it's not beating itself. Wisconsin isn't very aggressive defensively and doesn't force many turnovers so I expect Minnesota to operate smoothly on the offensive end tonight. Plus, the Gophers are 7-0 ATS all-time under Tubby Smith when checking into a matchup following 5 straight games of committing 14 or less turnovers. The Gophers have won by an average score of 77.3 to 59.4 in this situation. Lay the points.

6* MWC *CA$H COW* on Air Force +3
The Key: Expect a letdown from UNLV on the road tonight following Saturday's big win over New Mexico. Air Force, meanwhile, will be in bounce-back mode following back-to-back losses. It will also be revenge-minded having lost the season's first meeting at UNLV in OT. The Runnin' Rebels can't be trusted on the road where they have lost 3 in a row and 5 of 6. The Rebs are just 3-17 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons and 1-11 ATS as a road favorite or pickem during this span. In addition, UNLV is on a 0-6 ATS slide in road games that take place at least 15 games into the season versus good shooting teams that make 45% of their attempts or more. It is also on a 0-8 ATS skid in road games versus slow-tempo teams that average 53 shots or fewer per game. Take the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Timberwolves -2
The Key: The Jazz are just 9-18 on the road, and I expect their road struggles to continue here. Off last night's huge win against the Thunder, I believe they'll go into All-Star Break mode early. The Jazz are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games when playing without a day of rest, 5-14 ATS as a road underdog this season and 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a win of more than 10 points. They are also 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games versus a team with a losing record and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win. Utah won the season's first meeting handily (by 22) but teams headed up by Rick Adelman are on a 30-13 ATS run when out for revenge for a road blowout loss of 20 points or more to an opponent. Lastly, the home team is 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings, and the favorite is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Lay the points.

6* Big 12 *CA$H COW* (ESPNU) on Texas Tech +12.5
The Key: Oklahoma State checks in off a double-digit win at Texas but is a poor 1-8 ATS off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival over the last 3 seasons. Texas Tech was smoked at Baylor last time out (75-48) and it was also smoked by Oklahoma State in the season's first meeting (79-45). The Red Raiders will be extremely motivated as a result. Consider that plays on home teams that are coming off a road defeat of 20 points or more and are out for revenge for a loss to an opponent that held them to fewer than 50 points are 93-51 ATS since 1997. Take the points.

7* ACC Game of the Week on Florida State +6.5
The Key: As if Saturday's 71-46 loss at Wake Forest doesn't provide enough motivation, Florida State was kicked 71-47 at Miami in the season's first meetings. The Seminoles will be out for some serious revenge tonight. Consider that home teams that are out for revenge for a loss to an opponent that held them to less than 50 points, provided they are also off a road loss of 20 points or more, are 93-51 ATS since 1997. In addition, the Noles are 29-15 ATS all-time under coach Hamilton when out for revenge for a same-season loss to an opponent. It is also worth noting that FSU is 21-10 ATS under Hamilton as a home underdog or pickem. Miami hasn't been as dominant on the road where it has a loss at Florida Gulf Coast. Each of its last four road wins have come by single digits, and two of its last three have come by a single point. One of the one-point road wins came against Boston College, which is currently tied for last in the ACC with a 2-8 record. If Boston College can give Miami a game, I have no doubt Florida State can as well. Outside of a loss to Duke, the Seminoles have been competitive at home in ACC play. They are 2-1 in their other three conference home games with wins over Clemson and Maryland and a five-point loss to North Carolina. Last but not least, FSU is a 100% perfect 6-0 in its last 6 home games in the series. Take the points.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Jazz +6
The Key: Utah is tough as nails on its home floor, and it will be hungry to end a two-game slide tonight. It will also be motivated by a 12-point loss at Oklahoma City in the season's first meeting. It's been a while since the Thunder have played a high-intensity game as they check in off four consecutive blowouts. Plus, I believe they'll be looking ahead to Thursday's showdown with the Heat, which beat them in last season's Finals and in this season's first meeting. Home underdogs that have failed to cover the number in 4 of their last 5 games that are matched up against a team that has covered the spread in 6 or 7 of its last 8 games are 31-6 ATS the last 5 seasons. Teams fitting into this situation have caught 5.4 points on average but have won outright by an average of 1.8. Take the points.

6* NCAAB Under the Radar *CA$H COW* on James Madison -2.5
The Key: Motivated by Sunday's upset loss at Drexel and further fueled by a humiliating 73-47 loss at Towson in the season's first meeting, expect James Madison to bounce back strong this evening. The Dukes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 at home. They are also 9-2 ATS as a favorite this season. Prior to dropping the season's first meeting, James Madison had won 4 in a row in the series by an average of 12.5 points. It has won 5 straight at home in the series with each of these wins coming by at least 3 points. Lay the points.

7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Virginia Tech +14.5
The Key: Virginia Tech will have no problem getting up for this rivalry showdown because it was defeated by 16 at home in the season's first meeting. While it will be tough for the Hokies to come away with a win, I like their chances of keeping this one close throughout. After all, we had seen six straight games decided by 7 points or less in this series prior to the season's first meeting. The Cavs have only had a day to digest their big win at Maryland, and I don't believe that's enough time. Plus, plays against favorites of 10 or more points that have covered the spread in 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, provided they are playing with one or less days' rest, are 82-44 ATS the last 5 seasons. VA Tech is a reliable 10-2 ATS in the road underdog or pickem role the last two seasons. Also, it is 8-0 ATS in road games the last 2 seasons when at least 15 games into the schedule versus good teams that outscore their opponents by 4.0 points or more per game. The Hokies have lost to these teams on average but only by 3.0 points. Take the points.

7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Idaho State +17.5
The Key: This will be Weber State's second game in three days while Idaho State has three days of rest and preparation time on its side. Besides being the more fatigued team, I believe Weber State will be looking ahead to Thursday's showdown with first-place Montana, which defeated the Wildcats by only two points on the road in the season's first meeting. Weber State won at Idaho State by 15 points in the first meeting so I don't believe it will give the Bengals its full attention. History certainly shows that to be the case. Consider that underdogs of 10 or more points that are out for revenge for a home loss of 10 points or more to an opponent, provided the opponent checks in off a cover as a double-digit favorite, are 76-39 ATS the last 5 seasons. These teams have been underdogs of 17.5 points on average but have lost by just 14.2 points on average. Take the points.

7* NBA Pre-All-Star Break Game of the Year on Bobcats +4.5
The Key: This is a tough spot for Boston, which checks in off yesterday's triple-OT win. The Celtics won't have the legs to pull away from a Charlotte team that has a day of rest on its side. The Celtics are a soft 18-32 ATS when playing without a day of rest over the last 3 seasons. It is also worth noting that they are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 road games, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games versus a team with a losing home record and 4-13 ATS in their last 17 road games when listed as a favorite of 6 points or less. In addition, plays against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that have successfully covered the spread in 4 or more consecutive games, provided they have a winning percentage between 45-55% on the season, are 29-6 ATS the last 5 seasons. This system is a perfect 3-0 ATS this season. Lastly, the underdog is 17-6-1 ATS in the last 24 meetings. Take the points.

6* CAA *CA$H COW* on William & Mary +2.5
The Key: This is a difficult spot for Northeastern, which will be playing its third road game in six days. William & Mary hasn't played since Feb. 6 so it will be the much fresher team. The Tribe played Northeastern to a 4-point game on the road in the season's first meeting and will have an excellent chance to get the "W" tonight. After all, they are 5-0 in their last 5 home against Northeastern. The Huskies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS win. The Tribe are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600. The home team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings, and the Huskies are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Take the Tribe.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Suns +8.5
The Key: Off back-to-back losses, including a humiliating 127-96 loss in Oklahoma City last game, expect the Suns to bounce back strong this evening. Phoenix is a phenomenal 21-7 ATS in its last 28 games after allowing more than 125 points in its previous game. Nothing gets a team to tighten the screws on defense like getting completely whacked. The Thunder are often overvalued following big wins. In fact, they are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a victory. They are also only 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games. OKC has lost 2 straight and 4 of 6 on the road. Take the points.

7* Colonial Athletic Association Game of the Year on Drexel -5.5
The Key: Motivated by back-to-back defeats, including an ugly upset loss to Old Dominion last game, and further fueled by an 8-point loss at James Madison in the season's first meeting, expect Drexel to play some inspired basketball this evening. The Dragons are 8-1 ATS all-time under coach Flint in home games following 2 straight losses against conference foes. They have won by an average of 10.4 points in these contests. Also, plays on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are out for revenge for a same-season loss to an opponent, provided four starters return from last season, are 97-60 ATS the last 5 seasons. The Dragons have won 8 of their last 9 at home against James Madison with 7 of these wins coming by 10 points or more. Lay the points.

6* ACC *CA$H COW* on Boston College +12.5
The Key: Off back-to-back dominant performances against Florida State and NC State and with rival North Carolina on deck, expect Duke to get caught looking ahead here. Consider that plays against favorites of 10 or more points after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite, provided they are a top-level team (80% win rate or higher) playing a team with a losing record, are 80-43 ATS the last 5 seasons. Also, Duke is 6-16 ATS after covering the number in 4 or 5 of its last 6 games over the last 3 seasons and 8-18 ATS after a cover as a double-digit favorite over the last 3 seasons. Boston College has played NC State to a 5-point game at home and Miami to a 1-point game so it has what it takes to hang around. Plus, Duke came in and beat the Eagles by 25 on this floor last season so they will be lacking no motivation. Boston College is 12-3 ATS in home games versus top caliber teams that outscore opponents by 12.0 points or more per game, provided it is at least 15 games into the schedule, since 1997. Take the points.

6* Mountain West Conference *CA$H COW* on UNLV -5
The Key: The Runnin' Rebels fit into a strong wagering situation. Consider that plays on February home favorites or pickems that check in off 2 or more consecutive upset losses on the road are 37-12 ATS since 1997. This system is 13-1 ATS the last 5 seasons. UNLV has won 12 of its last 16 at home against the Lobos, and it has lost 3 straight meetings in the series so it will be lacking no motivation tonight. The Lobos were blown out at Saint Louis and at San Diego State, and I believe they take it on the chin again here.

6* NBA Play of the Day on Mavericks -5.5
The Key: This is a difficult scheduling spot for the struggling Warriors to say the least. They just lost a tough one in Memphis last night and this will be their 4th road game in 5 days. Dallas, meanwhile,, has had 2 days of rest and will be very hungry as it has lost the season's first two meetings. Consider that home favorites that are playing only their 2nd game in 5 days that are up against an opponent playing their 4th game in 5 days are 33-9 ATS the last 5 seasons. This system is already 4-1 ATS this season. Lay the points.

6* SEC *CA$H COW* on Vanderbilt +1.5
The Key: Expect a letdown from Arkansas following its big upset win over Florida. Consider that Arkansas is 0-7 ATS all-time under coach Anderson in road games after a win by 10 points or more. It hasn't just lost in this spot, it has lost by an average of 14.7 points. Also, we can't ignore the fact that Arkansas is a soft 5-19 ATS in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.

6* National TV Annihilator (CBS) on Missouri -6.5
The Key: The Tigers lost the season's first meeting by 15 points. However, home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are out for revenge for a road loss to an opponent, provided that opponent is coming off a home win in which it scored 85 points or more, are 68-33 ATS the last 5 seasons. The Tigers are a perfect 13-0 at home where they are outscoring opponents by 20.0 points per game. Look for Mizzou to have its revenge on its home floor this afternoon.

6* Big East *CA$H COW* on Rutgers +6.5
The Key: Rutgers fits into a terrific system. Consider that plays against any team (Georgetown) checking in off 2 consecutive covers as a favorite and is matched up against an opponent coming off a home blowout loss by 20 points or more are 24-5 ATS the last 5 seasons. Rutgers was kicked by Louisville last time out but is a 44-26 ATS run in games following a loss of 15 points or more. The Scarlet Knight played Georgetown to a 2-point game last season, and I expect them to give the Hoyas all they want and more again in this highly motivated spot.

7* ACC Game of the Year on Wake Forest +2.5
The Key: After taking it on the chin at Maryland and North Carolina, I expect the Demon Deacons to bounce back strong at home. FSU handed Wake a 23-point loss when it visited last season, and you can bet the Deacs haven't forgotten. Wake is an impressive 12-2 ATS after a loss by 15 points or more over the last 2 seasons. The Seminoles are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall and have struggled on the road in conference play. Before winning by 2 points at Georgia Tech last game, they were blown out in games at Miami and Virginia. Wake, meanwhile, has been an awesome investment at home where it has wins over Xavier, Virginia and NC State and took Duke down to the wire. The Demon Deacons are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games. Take the points.

6* NBA Bailout (ESPN) on Bulls +4
The Key: After getting completely embarrassed in Denver last night, I expect the Bulls to bounce-back strong here. Prior to losses of 10 and 32 points in its last two road games, Chicago had won or lost by 4 points or less in 8 of 9 road contests. It has wins over the Knicks and Heat during this stretch so it clearly has what it takes to get the job done tonight in this highly motivated spot. The Bulls are one of the best defensive teams in the NBA but haven't looked like it in their last two games. I expect last night's ugly effort to be the wake-up call they need. Consider that they are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. The Bulls are also 13-6 ATS in their last 19 road games versus a team with a winning home record. Chicago has won 3 straight against Utah and is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings. Take the points.

6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on San Jose State +6.5
The Key: San Jose State has lost 7 in a row overall and 11 straight to Utah State so it will be lacking no motivation. The Spartans played the Aggies to a 6-point game on the road in the season's first meeting without leading scorer James Kinney, who is out indefinitely with a suspension, so they clearly have what it takes to take them down to the wire tonight. It is worth noting that Utah State won't have Preston Medlin and Kyisean Reed on the floor tonight. Medlin had 25 points and Reed had 10 in the season's first meeting so these two will be missed. Plus, this is a tough scheduling spot for the Aggies as this will be their third consecutive road game. Utah State is on a 34-53 ATS slide in road games after playing a road game. Also, the Spartans are 9-1 ATS all-time under coach Nessman is 9-1 ATS after 6 or more consecutive losses. Take the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Pistons +5
The Key: The Spurs are expected to be without Duncan and Ginobli tonight, but I like Detroit in this spot regardless of who San Antonio sends out there. The Spurs have won 11 in a row but have benefited from a pretty soft slate of games. They haven't faced a single elite team during this stretch and have faced the likes of Minnesota (twice), Philly, New Orleans, Phoenix, Dallas, Charlotte and Washington. All of these teams are well below .500. Detroit is far from elite and also fits into this category of teams that are well below .500 but it has been very competitive at home and we are getting a good number because of San Antonio's winning streak. The Pistons are 8-5 in their last 13 at home with 3 of the losses during this stretch coming by 3 points or less. The Pistons have wins over the Heat, Hawks and Celtics during this stretch so they are capable of beating quality teams on their home floor. It is also worth acknowledging San Antonio's struggles in Detroit. The Spurs are just 3-2 in their last 5 visits with only 1 of the wins coming by more than 5 points. The Spurs are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games versus a team with a winning percentage below .400 and 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings in this series. Take the points.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Raptors +7.5
The Key: Indiana is getting a little too much respect from oddsmakers tonight. Toronto has been extremely competitive of late. It is just 3-9 in its last 12 games but only two of these losses came by more than 7 points. Plus, the Raptors have played the Pacers very tough. Each of the season's first two meetings have been decided by 2 points with the Raptors winning on this floor. While Indiana will be out to avenge that loss, we can't ignore the fact that this will be its 4th game in 5 days. This will be Toronto's second game in 5 days so it will be the fresher team. Also, the Pacers haven't defeated Toronto by more than 5 in any of the last 6 meetings. Plays against home teams that are out for revenge for a close loss of 3 points or less to an opponent, provided they are coming off a road win of 10 points or more, are 25-7 ATS the last 5 seasons. Take the points.

7* NBA Total of the Week on Bulls/Nuggets Under 196.5
The Key: With Hinrich out, Belinelli doubtful and Noah questionable, the Bulls could be down a few key players tonight. They know they can't afford to get into a track meet with Denver so I expect them to take the air out of the ball every chance they get. Plus, Chicago is one of the best defensive teams in the league but didn't look like it last time out when it gave up 111 points to Indiana. That poor performance should fuel a strong defensive effort tonight. Consider that the Bulls are 15-4 UNDER since Thibodeau took over after allowing 105 points or more in their last game. The Nuggets can put up points in bunches, but the Bulls are also 17-5 UNDER under coach Thibs versus explosive offensive teams that score 103+ points/game. Take the UNDER as fresh Chicago team that has had 2 days of rest really gets after it on "D" tonight.

6* NCAAB Home-court *CA$H COW* on Wisconsin-Milwaukee +13.5
The Key: The Panthers aren't getting the respect they deserve at home tonight considering they are 7-1 in their L8 and 12-2 in their L14 home meetings with Detroit. Also, Wisconsin-Milwaukee is a perfect 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings overall, and the Titans are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games versus a team with a losing record. Detroit checks in off a double-digit win at Youngstown State but it is on a 35-57 ATS slide after a win by 10 points or more. Wisconsin-Milwaukee was blasted by Valpo last time out but is on a 32-13 ATS run following a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival. The Titans won the season's first meeting but the Panthers are on an 88-56 ATS run in revenge spots. Take the points.

6* ESPN Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Illinois +8
The Key: This is a game Illinois needs badly. The Fighting Illini are just 2-7 in the Big Ten so they know they need to make a run. They have quality wins against Butler, Gonzaga and Ohio State and knocking off No. 1 would certainly bolster their resume. Illinois has had plenty of success at home against the Hoosiers. In fact, it has won 3 straight and 9 of 10 at home in the series. Indiana is coming off a big win over Michigan and is being overvalued here because of it. The Hoosiers have covered the spread in their last two but are only 3-13 ATS all-time under coach Crean in road games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games. They have lost by an average of 8.8 points in this spot. Take the points.

7* Summit League Game of the Year on IUPU Fort Wayne +9
The Key: This is a game IUPU Ft. Wayne wants badly. It has had 6 full days to prepare for a team it has lost to 6 straight times, and I expect it to be ready. The Jackrabbits won the season's first meeting by 26 so I don't expect them to give Ft. Wayne their full attention. Plus, South Dakota State hasn't played a road game since Jan. 19 so having to deal with a different routine should be a disruptor. In fact, the Jackrabbits are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games following three or more consecutive home games. SDSU shut down Missouri KC last time out but I expect it to have a tough time shutting down a Ft. Wayne offense that has been scoring the ball well. The Mastodons have scored 80 and 79 points, respectively, in their last two games. Plays against road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that allowed 60 points or less last game and are matched up against an opponent that has scored 75 points or more in 2 straight games are 39-10 ATS the last 5 seasons. Teams fitting into this system have won by just 1.5 points on average. Take the points.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Hornets -6
The Key: New Orleans steps back on the floor at home tonight after losing 4 in a row on the road. It will be the much fresher side and will be lacking no motivation. The Hornets were buried in their last two games and have dropped 4 straight to the Suns so I expect the to be hungry. They will benefit from having had 3 days of rest while the Suns face the difficult task of playing a second game on the road in as many nights. The Hornets are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games when playing on 3 or more days' rest while the Suns are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games when playing without a days' rest. The Hornets are also 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games following a loss of more than 10 points. Lay the number.

7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Hofstra +8
The Key: Hofstra has lost 6 in a row but 4 of these have come on the road. It only lost by 3 and 6 points in the 2 home games during this stretch. In fact, it has won or lost by less than 7 points in each of its last 5 at home. This is Northeastern's first road game since Jan. 19. Plus, it has struggled with the Pride. Hofstra has won or lost by 7 points or fewer in each of the past 7 meetings. The Pride are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games, and the underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Take the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on 76ers -2.5
The Key: This will be Indiana's third game in as many days, and I don't think it will have enough left in the tank to get the job done. The 76ers have been solid at home all season while the Pacers have struggled on the road. The Pacers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games versus a team with a winning home record while the 76ers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games versus a team with a losing road record. The 76ers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games overall. The Pacers held the Hawks to only 5 offensive boards last night, but they'll have a tough time keeping Philly off the glass with as fatigued as they will be. Plus, the Pacers are 0-9 ATS after a game of giving up 5 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons. Expect second-chance opportunities for the 76ers to lead to a win and cover.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Raptors -3
The Key: Boston has won 4 straight without Rondo, but I believe it gets hit with a harsh dose of reality tonight. Each of those 4 wins came at home. It won't be as easy on the road where the Celtics are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 road games. Boston is even 4-15 ATS in road games when playing against bad teams (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons. The Raptors were kicked by Miami last time out but are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss of more than 10 points and are expected to get Andrea Bargnani back tonight. Also, it is extremely important to note that the home team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Toronto has won its last 2 home meetings with Boston by 5 and 12 points. Lay the number.

6* ESPN Big 12 *CA$H COW* on Baylor +7
The Key: Expect a letdown from Oklahoma State this evening following Saturday's huge upset win at Kansas. The Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win, 7-16-1 ATS in their last 24 games following an ATS win and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600. Baylor has won three straight in the series, including a 10-point win at home in the season's first meeting, and it will be lacking no motivation here following back-to-back losses in conference play. The Bears are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU loss, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games and 35-17 ATS all-time under coach Drew following 2 straight losses against conference rivals. Take the points.

6* NCAAB Home-court *CA$H COW* on NC Wilmington +4.5
The Key: Wilmington isn't getting the respect it deserves from oddsmakers at home where it is 7-2 this season. The Seahawks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games, 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games versus a team with a losing road record, 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400 and 13-4 ATS in their last 17 home games after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. In addition, the Panthers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games versus a team with a winning home record and 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 road games versus a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Lastly, the home team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Take the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Suns +9
The Key: I don't think the well-rested Suns are getting quite enough respect from oddsmakers here. They are coming off back-to-back double-digit losses but those came on consecutive nights. They have had 2 days to gear up for this one and are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games when playing on 2 days' rest. The Grizzlies have had 3 days' rest, but I believe they will be looking past Phoenix, which they defeated by 11 a month ago, and ahead to tomorrow night's revenge showdown with Atlanta, which beat them by 10 on this floor earlier this season. The Suns have won or lost to the Grizzlies by fewer than 9 points in 26 of the last 32 meetings. I'll gladly grab the points.

7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Texas Tech +11.5
The Key: Off a big win at Oklahoma and with a revenge game against Iowa State on deck, expect K-State to look right past a Texas Tech team it defeated by 22 and 19, respectively, in last season's meetings. Those ugly losses will be the driving force behind a strong effort from Texas Tech this evening. It is significant that K-State held Oklahoma to only 50 points last time out. That's because it hasn't been able to duplicate such efforts in the following game. In fact, the Wildcats are 0-7 ATS in road games after holding their last opponent to 55 points or less over the last 3 seasons. They have lost these games by an average score of 71.3 to 67.6. As this trend shows, I don't expect the K-State defense to be as tough tonight. Also, plays on underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points that are an average shooting team (42.5-45% from the field) and are matched up against a good defensive team (holds its opponents to 40-42.5% shooting), provided they allowed a shooting percentage of 55% or higher last game (allowed WVU to shoot 56.5%), are 20-3 ATS the last 3 seasons. Take the points.

6* NCAAB Super System Smoker on Central Michigan +19.5
The Key: This play is supported by several extremely profitable situations. Akron has rattled off 13 straight victories but plays against home favorites of 10 points or more after 10 or more consecutive wins are 117-64 (64.6%) ATS the last 5 seasons. Also, plays against home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points that outscore their opponents by 8.0 points or more per game and are matched up against a team that is outscored by 3.5 to 8.0 points per game, provided they are coming off a game which saw a combined score of 155 points or more, are 93-49 (65.5%) ATS since 1997. This system is a perfect 3-0 ATS this season. In addition, plays on road underdogs of 10 or more points that are coming off an upset loss at home to a conference foe and are matched up against a team that checks in off a win over a conference opponent are 81-42 (65.9%) ATS the last 5 seasons. Take the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Bobcats +13.5
The Key: The Heat are being overvalued here as they so often are following an emphatic victory. They are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a win and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a win of more than 10 points. The Bobcats have been smoked in their last two and have also been smoked in three straight versus Miami so they will be lacking no motivation here. Plus, plays against favorites of 10 or more points that average 99 points or more per game and gave up 85 points or less last game are 151-96 (61.1%) ATS since 1996. These teams have been favored by 12.5 points on average but have won by just 11.2 points on average. This system is a potent 30-15 (67%) ATS the last 3 seasons. Lastly, the Bobcats are 5-2-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Miami. Take the points.

6* Under the Radar Line Mistake on NC Wilmington +8
The Key: Motivated by two straight losses and hungry to avenge a 5-point loss to Towson in the season's first meeting, I'm expecting an inspired performance from NC Wilmington here. The Seahawks should not be catching this many points considering each of the last 4 meetings have been decided by 6 points or less. I know Wilmington will be playing its second road game in 3 days while Towson hasn't played since Wednesday but teams that are playing the second road game in 3 days are 314-223 (59%) ATS the last 5 seasons as long as they are out for revenge for a home loss to an opponent. These teams have been underdogs of 8.1 points on average but have lost by just 6.5 points on average. It is also especially important to note that the underdog is 8-0 ATS in the last 8 meetings and has won 7 of these outright. Take the points.

7* ESPN Big Monday *HEAVY HITTER* on Syracuse -8
The Key: Motivated by back-to-back defeats on the road, and further motivated by a 9-point loss at Notre Dame in last season's meeting, I'm expecting a dominant performance from Syracuse on its home floor tonight. The Orange are a perfect 13-0 at home this season and have won these games by an average of 25.2 points. Also, they are 2-0 in their last 2 home meetings with the Fighting Irish, winning these by a 12 and 19 points. This is a 15-0 angle I have no problem getting behind tonight. The Irish have won 3 straight but those came against South Florida, Villanova and DePaul. They all have losing records in Big East play and USF and Nova are the 2 worst teams in the league. Notre Dame takes a big step up in competition tonight against a highly motivated side, and I don't expect it to make it out alive. The Fighting Irish are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600. Lay the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Heat -4.5
The Key: Off Friday's embarrassing double-digit loss in Indiana, expect the reigning NBA champs to bounce back strong this afternoon. The Raptors, on the other hand, are primed for a letdown following their blowout victory over the Clippers. Miami typically responds following defeat. In fact, they have won by an average of 22.0 points following their last 3 defeats. The Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS loss. It is also worth noting that the Heat are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games versus a team with a winning percentage below .400 while the Raptors are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600. Miami is 9-0 in its last 9 games versus Toronto, and it has won these by an average of 11.6 points. Lay the points as the champs respond in this highly motivated spot.

6* Big East *CA$H COW* on South Florida +9.5
The Key: Motivated by three consecutive defeats, I expect South Florida to give UConn a game this afternoon. The Bulls have been getting hammered on the boards but the Huskies aren't a particularly good rebounding team. In fact, they are getting outrebounded by 5 boards per game. Consider that USF is a perfect 6-0 ATS the last 3 seasons versus poor rebounding teams that get outrebounded by 4+ per game. The Bulls have actually defeated these teams by an average of 10.9 points. South Florida has played UConn very tough. It is just 1-4 in the last 5 meetings but 3 of the losses during this stretch came by 5 points or less. It is worth noting that the Bulls went a perfect 5-0 ATS in these games. Take the points.

6* West Coast Conference Bailout (ESPNU) on San Diego +15
The Key: San Diego fits into a solid wagering situation tonight. Consider that plays against favorites of 10 points or more that check in off a blowout win of 20 points or more over a conference foe and are up against a team that is coming off a loss of 10 points or more to a conference opponent are 74-40 ATS the last 5 seasons. Teams fitting into this situation have been favored by an average of 15.6 points but have won by only 13.1 points on average. There is further reason to believe Gonzaga is being overvalued here. Consider that the Bulldogs are 2-9 ATS in road games after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Lastly, San Diego is on a rock solid 49-31 ATS run as an underdog of 10 or more points. Take the points.

6* Big West Conference Bailout on CS Fullerton -6.5
The Key: Motivated by Thursday's upset loss to CS Northridge and hungry to avenge last month's 2-point loss in Hawaii, expect Fullerton to play some inspired basketball tonight. The Titans have been impressive in bounce-back spots at 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games following a loss. They are also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games versus a team with a winning record while the Warriors are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games versus a team with a winning record. Fullerton has lost its last 3 at home and that is not sitting well. I expect it to deliver here in this highly motivated spot.

6* NBA Play of the Day on Cavs +10
The Key: The Thunder are 15-8 on the road but don't often win via blowout away from home. In fact, they have won by more than 10 points just once in their last six road games. The Thunder are coming off a blowout win against Memphis but are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a win. The Cavs just played last night and showed poorly in Detroit, but they are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing without a day of rest and 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS loss. Lastly, the home team is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings. Take the points.

6* Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Nebraska +12.5
The Key: Off a big win over Wisconsin and with a big showdown at Michigan on deck, expect Ohio State to look right past a Nebraska team it has defeated by 26 or more in each of the past 3 meetings. Nebraska is a much better team than it was a year ago and it will be out to show that here as it seeks revenge for a 70-44 loss at Ohio State in the season's first meeting. Teams headed up by Nebraska's Tim Miles are on a 22-10 ATS run when out for revenge for a loss to an opponent that held them to less than 60 points. In addition, the Cornhuskers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS loss and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss. It is also worth noting that Ohio State is only 19-30 ATS lifetime under coach Matta in road games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games. Take the points.

6* SEC Game of the Week on Mississippi State +4
The Key: Look for LSU to suffer a letdown on the road following a big win over Mizzou. The Tigers have lost 5 of 6 road games this season and will be going up against a Mississippi State squad that will be hungry to end 5-game slide. The Bulldogs have won or lost by 3 points or less to the Tigers in each of the last 8 meetings so they are showing value with this line. Teams headed up by LSU's Johnny Jones are on a 4-17 ATS slide as a road favorite of 6 points or less or pickem. Also the Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games versus a team with a winning percentage below .400, and the underdog is 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take the points.

6* Pac-12 Game of the Week on Utah +5.5
The Key: Colorado is coming off back-to-back wins at home but I expect it to struggle out on the road today where it has lost 5 of 7. Utah has lost the first two games of its 3-game home stand and is coming off an ugly loss to Stanford so it will be lacking no motivation. Plus, it will be out for some cold hard revenge after losing each of last season's 3 meetings with Colorado. Plays against team that check in off 2 consecutive covers as a favorite and are matched up against an opponent that's off a home blowout loss of 20 points or more are 22-4 ATS the last 5 seasons. In addition, Utah is 9-2 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons. The Utes are also on an 18-4 ATS run in home games after playing 2 consecutive home games. Take the points.

7* Atlantic-10 Game of the Year on Dayton +7
The Key: Expect a letdown from Saint Louis following Thursday's big win over ninth-ranked Butler. Dayton, meanwhile, will be hungry following a loss at Xavier and out for revenge for a loss to Saint Louis in the most recent meeting. Just one of Dayton's last seven losses have come by more than six points so this line is clearly an overreaction to St. Louis' win over Butler. The Flyers are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600 and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 versus Atlantic-10 foes. Most importantly, the underdog is 18-3 ATS in the last 21 meetings between these two. Take the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Bucks +5.5
The Key: Milwaukee has been playing some outstanding basketball and has won eight of its last 12 games as a result so Wednesday's double-digit loss to the Bulls can't be sitting well. The Bucks will be further motivated by a double-digit loss to the Knicks in the season's first meeting. The Bucks have been tremendous lately in bounce-back spots. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU loss and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS loss. They are also 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a loss of more than 10 points. In addition, the Bucks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games while the Knicks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games. Milwaukee is 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings in the series and 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in New York. Take the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Cavaliers +4.5
The Key: The Pistons struggled at Indiana in their first game after trading forwards Tayshaun Prince and Austin Daye, and I expect their struggles to continue. Prince was averaging nearly 12 points and five boards and provided veteran leadership to a young team. Cleveland had its three-game winning streak snapped by Golden State in its last time but Kyrie Irving, who was ill, went just 5 of 17 from the field for 14 points. He had averaged 35.7 points and shot 61.2 percent in the previous three contests. Detroit has won the season's first two meetings but Irving didn't play in either. With a healthy Irving on the floor tonight, I expect the Cavs to have their revenge. The Cavaliers are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 road games while the Pistons are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 home games. The Cavs are also 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Detroit. Take the points.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Magic +9.5
The Key: Boston is being seriously overvalued tonight. The Celtics have won two straight without Rondo but their success without one of the top point guards in the NBA won't continue. The Magic have lost seven in a row but four of those defeats came by six points or less. Orlando desperately wants to end this skid and would take great pleasure in doing so against Boston, a team it has lost to six straight times. Keep in mind that the last three losses have come by eight points or less. The Magic are 40-17-2 ATS in their last 59 games following a loss of more than 10 points while the Celtics are 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a win of more than 10 points. The Magic are also 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Celtics are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games versus a team with a winning percentage below .400. Lastly, February road teams that check in with six or more consecutive losses are 24-5 ATS the last 5 seasons. These teams have been underdogs of 8.7 points on average but have lost by just 1.9 points on average. Take the points.

6* NCAAB Bailout on Portland State +5.5
The Key: Portland State is just 5-12 on the season but it has played a road-heavy schedule. The Vikings are 5-2 at home and neither of their home losses came by more than 5 points. The Vikings are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 home games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games versus a team with a winning record. The Grizzlies are just 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 road games versus a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Montana won the season's first meeting by 7 points, but Portland State is 13-4 ATS the last 2 seasons when looking for revenge for a loss to an opponent. It has won by an average score of 74.1 to 73.6 in these contests. Also, the Vikings have won or lost by 5 points or less in each of their last 5 home games against Montana. Take the points.

7* Big West Game of the Month on Cal Riverside +2
The Key: Motivated by back-to-back losses on the road and even more motivated by a 15-point loss at Hawaii (76-61) earlier this month, expect Cal Riverside to bounce back strong tonight. Teams headed up by Jim Woolridge are on an impressive 51-32 ATS run when out for revenge for a loss to an opponent of 10 points or more. In addition, the Highlanders are 13-5 ATS all-time under Woolridge when out for revenge for a loss to an opponent that they allowed to score 75 points or more. The Highlanders are also 16-4 ATS lifetime under Woolridge in home games when the line is +3 to -3. They have won these contests by an average score of 68.1 to 64.9. The Warriors are just 1-4 in true road games this season. Take Riverside.

7* TNT Total of the Month on Grizzlies/Thunder Under 191.5
The Key: We saw 204 total points scored when these two last met back in November in Oklahoma City, but I don't see the Thunder giving up 107 points to the Grizzlies on their home floor again, especially since Memphis will be without leading scorer Rudy Gay (traded) and likely won't have its new acquisitions available. Gay went for 28 in the first meeting so not having him on the floor will be a blow to the offense in the short term. The Thunder will tighten the screws defensively tonight after giving up 105 points to the Lakers last game. Memphis always brings the "D" and it knows it must be especially good on the defensive end tonight if it's going to hang with the defending Western Conference champs. The Grizzlies lead the NBA in scoring defense with 89.5 points allowed per game and are 19-7-1 Under in their last 27 games as a result. The Under is 37-18-1 in the Grizzlies' last 56 road games and 22-7 in their last 29 road games versus teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. The Thunder have had 3 days off so we can expect maximum effort from them on the defensive end. They have played to the under in 7 of their last 9 games when taking the floor on 3 days rest or more. Bet the Under.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Suns +3
The Key: Motivated by back-to-back losses on the road to the Spurs and Mavs, and further fueled by a 12-point road loss to the Lakers in the season's first meeting, I expect the Suns to leave it all out on the floor tonight. Phoenix hasn't played since Sunday so it will be the much fresher team (the Lakers just played last night). L.A. has won 3 in a row, but all 3 came at home. The Lakers haven't been the same team on the road where they are 5-15 on the season and 0-7 in their last 7. The Lakers are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day. They are also 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 games versus a team with a winning percentage below .400 and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games. The Suns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games versus a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400. Lastly and most importantly, we can't underestimate home court in this series. The home team is 5-0 SU and ATS in the last 5 meetings with each of these wins coming by at least 12 points. Take the Suns.

6* ACC *CA$H COW* on Virginia Tech +10
The Key: Miami is being overvalued on the road because it enters off a pair of blowout wins over Duke and Florida State by 27 and 24-points, respectively. Both of those wins came at home. Miami hasn't been as dominant away from home. It won by just 1-point at Boston College in its last road contest, has a loss at Florida Gulf Coast and a neutral-floor loss to Indiana State. In other words, the Canes have shown some vulnerability outside Miami, even against lesser foes. The Hokies are a solid 8-3 at home and will be very focused here following back-to-back losses to Virginia and Clemson. The Hokies have been very competitive recently at home versus good road team, going 2-0-2 ATS in their last 4 home games versus teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. Take the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Timberwolves +4.5
The Key: Motivated by 4 consecutive losses and a 90-77 home loss to the Clippers earlier this month, I expect the Timberwolves to give L.A. all it wants and more this evening. The Clippers snapped a 4-game losing streak last time out, but I'm not ready to lay this many points with them on the road. Not against a team that is looking for revenge, and not with Chris Paul at less than 100%. The Clippers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall and even 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games versus a team with a losing record. The Timberwolves,meanwhile, are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games versus a team with a winning road record. It is also worth noting that the underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Take the points.

7* MAC Game of the Year on Miami Ohio +4
The Key: Miami Ohio has lost 3 in a row SU and ATS and is being undervalued here because of it. Its last 2 losses have come at home by double digits so the Red Hawks will certainly be motivated, especially since this is their last home game before they play six of their last nine on the road. They are going to want to make this one count. The Red Hawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home. Western Michigan has won its last 4 games but is just 3-6 in true road games this season. Plus, this series has been dominated by the home team. The home team is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings, and the underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Take the points as Miami Ohio will have an excellent chance to win this one outright.

6* Big East *CA$H COW* (ESPN2) on Notre Dame -7.5
The Key: Off back-to-back upset wins at home over Louisville and Syracuse, expect Villanova to suffer a letdown as it heads to one of the toughest venues in college basketball. The Wildcats have dropped their last two on the road, and I believe they'll be up against it here. The Irish are 12-3 at home this season but dropped their last home game by 16 points to Georgetown. Trust me, that loss isn't sitting well and it will be the driving force behind a big win and cover tonight. The Wildcats are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games versus a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. They are 3-7-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings and 1-3-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings at Notre Dame. Lay the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Trailblazers -2
The Key: Motivated by Sunday's 13-point loss in LA to the Clippers and further fueled by an embarrassing 23-point loss in Dallas earlier this season, I expect Portland to bounce back strong tonight. First off, the Blazers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a loss of more than 10 points. Portland has won its last 2 at home and is a respectable 15-8 at home on the season. The Mavs, meanwhile, are 7-16 on the road. Dallas has won its last 2 on the road but those came against Orlando and Sacramento. Prior to those wins, it had lost 3 straight and 9 of 10 away from home. Lay the points.

6* ACC *CA$H COW* on Boston College +5
The Key: Motivated by Saturday's 14-point loss at Virginia, and further fueled by a 23-point loss at Carolina in last season's meeting, I expect Boston College to give the Heels a game tonight. The Eagles have played NC State to a 5-point game and Miami to a 1-point game at home this season so they have shown they can compete with the big boys on their home floor. The Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games and 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in the series. The Tar Heels are talented but they're young and are constantly overvalued because of their history and popularity. They are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games and just 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games versus a team with a losing record. Take the points.

6* Big 10 *CA$H COW* on Minnesota -18.5
The Key: After 4 consecutive losses with 3 of those coming on the road and 3 coming to Indiana, Michigan and Wisconsin, the Golden Gophers will be ready to take their frustrations out all over an inferior Nebraska squad. The Minnesota defense has been sensational at home where it is only giving up 56.3 ppg, and it enters in good form as it has held its last 2 opponents to 55 points or less. It should have no problem putting the clamps on a Nebraska team that averaging just 58.5 ppg. It is significant that Minnesota held Wisconsin to just 24 points in the first half Saturday. That's because the Gophers are 7-0 ATS this season after allowing 25 points or less in the first half last game. Nebraska won big against Northwestern Saturday but is on a 17-33 ATS slide following a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival. It is also on a 6-17 ATS skid off an upset win at home. Lay the points.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Cavs +1.5
The Key: The Cavs, which are 3-0 SU and ATS in their last 3 games, are playing well and find themselves in a solid situation tonight. They will be the fresher team as they will be working on 2 days' rest while the Warriors will be playing their second road game in as many nights and their fourth road game in 5 days. To make matters worse, the Warriors could be down several key pieces. Curry and Bogut are doubtful and Barnes is questionable. Because the Cavs have the advantage in terms of fresh legs, and because the Warriors are banged up, I like Cleveland here even if Kyrie Irving isn't able to go. He is currently listed as questionable with an illness. The Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games versus a team with a winning record and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games when playing on 2 days' rest. Bet Cleveland.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Pacers +5.5
The Key: With back-to-back losses to Portland and Utah stoking the fire, and with a three-point home loss to Denver in the season's first meeting adding to their level of motivation, expect the Pacers to give the Nuggets all they want and more tonight. The Nuggets have won the last three in the series but their last two wins have come by just four and three points, respectively. Keep in mind the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The Pacers have typically been strong in bounce back spots as they are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a loss and 11-3 ATS this season following a road loss. The Nuggets are a good home team and Indiana is playing below .500 ball on the road, but I believe the Nuggets are being overvalued as a result. Consider that Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 home games versus a team with a losing road record. Take the points.

6* ESPN Big Monday *CA$H COW* on West Virginia +9
The Key: Kansas is being overvalued just as you might expect a team that has won 17 in a row to be. The Jayhawks are a soft 27-39 ATS all-time under coach Self following nine or more consecutive wins. West Virginia was thumped by 14 at Oklahoma State Saturday but it has been a different team at home where it is 6-2 on the season. Plus, the Mountaineers are 12-4 ATS lifetime under coach Huggins in games that following a road loss of 10 points or more. They have bounced back to win by an average score of 77.3 to 61.8 in these spots. Take the points.

6* NCAAB Under the Radar *CA$H COW* on Delaware +5
The Key: Drexel has been overvalued all season and is just 5-14 ATS as a result. It has especially been overvalued lately following a game in which it covered the spread. In fact, it is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 games following an ATS win. The Dragons can't be trusted laying this many points at home against an experienced Delaware squad as they are 2-9 ATS as a favorite this season and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games. The Blue Hens were kicked by 14 at James Madison last time out but are 36-18 ATS all-time under coach Ross after a loss by 10 points or more. Take the points.

6* NBA Bailout on Clippers -7.5
The Key: Off four consecutive losses, including a one-point heartbreaker in Portland last night, expect the Clippers to dig down deep here. LA is 31-18 ATS when out for revenge for a loss to an opponent over the last two seasons and it is 13-5 ATS this season as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. It has won these games by an average score of 101.5 to 89.6. It is also worth noting that the Blazers are a soft 8-21 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. They have lost in this situation by an average of 9.5 points. Lay the number.

6* ACC *CA$H COW* on Florida State +10
The Key: Expect a letdown from Miami following Wednesday's dismantling of Duke. Consider that Miami is on a 2-13 ATS slide in home games following a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival. Teams coached by Leonard Hamilton have one thing in common - they get after it on the defensive end. That makes them dangerous here catching double-digits. Teams headed up by Hamilton are on a 20-8 ATS run as an underdog of 10 or more points. This trend tightens up to 16-6 ATS if the game takes place on the road. Take the points.

6* MVC *CA$H COW* on Missouri State +1
The Key: This is a big letdown spot for Drake following Wednesday's upset win over Creighton. Consider that plays against all teams when the line is +3 to -3 that check in off an upset win and are matched up against an opponent that is coming off a cover at home in a game it lost are 42-15 ATS since 1997. Drake is just 5-14 ATS in road games off a home win over the last 3 seasons and 1-12 ATS in road games when checking into a matchup with 2 wins in its last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. Missouri State is 7-1 ATS in the Valley this season and it has had Drake's number. The Bears have won six straight overall in the series and 11 straight at home in the series. Take Missouri State.

7* NBA Game of the Week on Celtics +4
The Key: Miami has struggled on the road where it is just 10-9 and Boston will be hungry to snap a 6-game skid. Plus, this is a game the Celtics want badly for other reasons. They were knocked out of the playoffs by Miami last season and lost the season's first meeting to the Heat in Miami. Plus, KG and company hate the fact Ray Allen bailed on them. They want to show the Heat they are still a force to be reckoned with. The Celtics have won 15 of their last 17 home games against the Heat and are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 home games in the series. Boston plays a lot of nationally televised games on Sunday and it has been awesome in the home ones. Consider that Boston is 12-2 ATS in home games on Sunday over the last 3 seasons and has won these by an average score of 94.7 to 83.2. Take the points.

6* NCAAB Saturday Night Bailout on Seattle -7.5
The Key: Seattle opened as a 9-point favorite and its coming off back-to-back losses, playing against a team off back-to-back wins and has the same number of wins (6) as its opponent? The books clearly want the money coming in on Texas State and they've got it as this line has been bet down to 7.5. I'm not going to oblige them. Prior to pulling off consecutive improbable wins on the road, Texas State had lost 5 straight road games by an average of 10.4 points. The Redhawks have been terrific in bounce-back spots at 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS loss and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a SU loss. It is also extremely important to note that Texas State is 0-6 ATS all-time under coach Davalos when it enters a matchup with covers in 2 of its last 3 games. It has lost by an average of 10.1 points in this situation. Lay the number.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on 76ers +3.5
The Key: Motivated by back-to-back losses to the Spurs and Bucks and further fueled by a pair of blowout defeats to the Knicks in the season's first two meetings, expect this rested 76ers squad to come alive tonight. The 76ers will no doubt be the fresher team and they are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games when playing on 3 or more days' rest. Also, Philly is on an 11-2 ATS run when checking into a matchup with losses in 8 of more of its last 10 games. It has actually won by an average score of 95.8 to 89.8 in this situation. The Knicks check in off Thursday's big win at Boston but are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a SU win and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win. Take the points.