Sports Picks & Predictions

6* Xavier/Providence Big East *CA$H COW* on Providence +2

The Key: Providence lost at the buzzer 73-74 on the road to Xavier in their first matchup this season.  They will be looking to avenge that defeat and I expect them to win outright as home underdogs tonight.  The Friars are 6-3 SU at home this year while Xavier is just 2-2 in true road games.  The Musketeers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as road favorites.  The Friars are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games against a team with a .500 or better road record.  The Friars are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games when avenging a same-season loss.  Take Providence.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Chicago Bulls -4

The Key: The Timberwolves will be playing for a 2nd consecutive night after losing in Milwaukee last night.  They will be playing their 6th game in 9 days and their 15th game in 25 days as well.  They have lost 9 of their last 10 games overall with each of their last 8 losses all coming by 4 or more points.  They are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.  The Bulls are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games with their lone loss coming on the road to Philadelphia by 7, which isn't a bad loss at all.  They are playing well and should take advantage of this tired Timberwolves team.  Take Chicago.

6* Tulane/Memphis AAC *CA$H COW* on Tulane +10.5

The Key: Tulane is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games overall and hasn't lost any of those games by more than 7 points.  Now the Green Wave are catching double-digits against a Memphis team that will be rusty after having the last 16 days off due to COVID.  They have only recently been able to start practicing again.  Memphis only won 80-74 in its first matchup with Tulane this year.  The Green Wave are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games when lined as a +6.5 to +12 dog.  The Green Wave are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring at least 80 points in their previous game.  Take Tulane.

7* Warriors/Pacers ESPN *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 231

The Key: The Warriors just got their 2 big men in Wiseman and Looney back in the lineup last night after being out for a couple weeks.  They will have to go to bigger lineups and that will make them better defensively moving forward.  They beat the Knicks 114-106 last night behind a strong defensive effort.  And now they will be tired playing for a 2nd consecutive night and their offense will struggle because of it.  The Pacers will likely be rusty after having the last 6 days off.  It all adds up to a great situation to back the UNDER.  The UNDER is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 road games.  Bets on the UNDER on home games where the total is 230 or higher in non-conference games who are coming off a road win are 36-9 since 1996.  Take the UNDER.

6* Tuesday Pac-12 *CA$H COW* on Washington +9.5

The Key: Arizona State led the entire way against UCLA until the final seconds and lost 79-80 over the weekend.  I don't think they'll be able to get back up off the mat following that defeat.  At least not enough to put away Washington by double-digits, which is what it is going to take to cover this lofty number.  This is a bad Arizona State team, plain and simple, and it has been reflected by the fact that they've gone just 4-14 ATS on the season.  The Sun Devils haven't won a single Pac-12 game by more than 4 points, and they have just one win all season by more than 8 points, and that came in a 23-point win over Houston Baptist as a 37-point favorite.  Washington keeps fighting down the stretch going 7-4 ATS in their last 11 games overall including an upset win over California 62-51 in their last contest.  The Sun Devils are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 home games against a team with a losing road record.  Arizona State is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games as a home favorite.  The road team is 22-10 ATS in the last 32 matchups.  Take Washington.

6* Tuesday Big 12 *CA$H COW* on Iowa State +23.5

The Key: The Baylor Bears have had the last 3 weeks off and just won't be hitting on all cylinders in their first game back.  I really like the price on the Cyclones catching 23.5 points given the awful situation for the Bears.  Iowa State only lost by 11 to Baylor in their first matchup this year as 15.5-point dogs.  So there's no reason they should be 23.5-point dogs with the books adjusting 8 points for home-court advantage.  This line should be much closer to the line from the first matchup this season.  Take Iowa State.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Sacramento Kings +6.5

The Key: I love the price we are getting on the Sacramento Kings tonight.  We are getting this price because they have lost 7 straight both SU and ATS.  The Nets have won 6 straight both SU and ATS.  And now the Kings will be looking to avenge their 11-point home loss to the Nets just 8 days ago.  The Nets return home from a 5-game road trip that saw them finish it by upsetting the Suns, Lakers and Clippers.  They are primed for a letdown now tonight.  The Kings have gone 23-9 ATS in their last 32 games as road underdogs and they are certainly a live dog tonight given the situation.  Take Sacramento.

7* NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month on Philadelphia 76ers -1.5

The Key: I like the situation for the Philadelphia 76ers tonight in the 2nd game of this double-header at Toronto.  They lost the first 103-110 and now will be looking to avenge that defeat.  They shot just 38.8% compared to 49.4% for the Raptors.  They got Ben Simmons and Shake Milton back in the lineup for that game from injury and they combined for 37 points in the loss.  They finally had their full team together Sunday for the first time since December 26.  So there should be even better chemistry tonight in this rematch with the Raptors.  I could see the Raptors relaxing after finally getting above .500 at 16-15 for the first time all season.  Toronto is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 home games.  Take Philadelphia.

6* Tuesday SEC *CA$H COW* on Georgia +5

The Key: The Georgia Bulldogs will be looking to avenge their 92-94 (OT) loss at LSU in their first matchup this season.  Now the Bulldogs are 5-point home dogs in a game they can win outright.  The Bulldogs are 4-1 SU in their last 5 home games including upset wins over Kentucky, Ole Miss and Missouri.  They are 11-3 SU at home this year.  The home team is 7-2 SU in the last 9 matchups.  LSU is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games off 2 consecutive home games.  The Tigers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games off a win by more than 20 points.  The Bulldogs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 Tuesday games.  Georgia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games as an underdog.  The underdog is 9-2-1 ATS in the last 12 matchups.  Take Georgia.

7* Wizards/Lakers NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Washington +7

The Key: The Washington Wizards are really playing well right now and are as healthy as they've been all season.  Westbrook and Beal are really starting to gel together.  The Wizards are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games while covering those 4 games by a combined 47.5 points.  They upset Portland, Denver and Boston as underdogs and beat Houston by 12 as a short favorite.  Now they are catching 7 points against a Lakers team that has been upset in 3 of its last 4 games.  And it's a tired Lakers team that is playing without Anthony Davis and Dennis Shroeder.  The Wizards will be playing only their 2nd game in 5 days and are in the more favorite situation.  The Lakers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games against teams that lose by 3 PPG or more on average on the season.  They just have a way of playing to their level of competition.  Take Washington.

6* Monday NBA *Total* Annihilator on Blazers/Suns OVER 227

The Key: The Blazers have scored 111 or more points in 6 straight games and have combined for 229 or more points with their opponents in 5 of those 6.  They don't play much defense, but their offense has been clicking.  The Suns have also been playing their best on offense all season here recently since getting Devin Booker back.  The Suns have scored 119 or more points in 6 of their last 7 games overall.  The OVER is 6-1 in those 7 games.  The Suns and Blazers have combined for 226 or more points in 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matchups.  The OVER is 7-0 in Blazers last 7 games as underdogs.  Take the OVER.

6* Oregon/USC Pac-12 *CA$H COW* on Oregon +4

The Key: The Oregon Ducks had some COVID breaks that interrupted their season at the start of Pac-12 play.  But they have found a rhythm now and have won 5 straight games to improve to 14-4 on the season.  They always seem to be the best team in the Pac-12 every year, at least the most consistent.  And this is a great opportunity to back them as a dog against the perceived best team in the conference in USC.  But the Trojans showed their vulnerabilities in a 72-81 loss to Arizona on Saturday.  They have weak guard play, and rely too much on their post players.  Oregon is 25-9 ATS in its last 34 games against a team that wins more than 60% of their games.  The Ducks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as road dogs.  The Ducks are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 trips to USC.   The Trojans are 17-34 ATS in their last 51 games as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points.  The Ducks are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games against good teams that outscore their foes by 8 PPG or more after 15 or more games.  Take Oregon.

6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Southern Illinois -1.5

The Key: Southern Illinois lost a heartbreaker to Valparaiso by a single point 65-66 on Sunday.  Look for the Salukis to avenge that defeat and continue being great in this situation.  The Salukis are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games after losing the first game of the double-header in MVC play.  They have come back to win all 3 games and were short favorites or underdogs in all 3 against Northern Iowa, Bradley and Illinois State.  Valparaiso is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 games after winning its last game outright as an underdog.  Take Southern Illinois.

6* Sunday NBA *Total* Annihilator on Thunder/Cavs OVER 216

The Key: Two non-playoff teams here in the Thunder (11-18) and Cavaliers (10-20) who I expect to have defense be option today.  Defense has really been optional for the Cavaliers since Andre Drummond decided to sit out.  The Cavaliers have yielded 119 or more points in 9 straight games now.  The OVER is 7-0 in Thunder's last 7 road games against a team with a losing home record.  The OVER is 21-7 in OKC's last 28 games as a road favorite.  The OVER is 10-4-1 in Cavaliers last 15 games as an underdog.  Take the OVER.

6* Celtics/Pelicans ABC *CA$H COW* on OVER 232

The Key: The Pelicans are 8-0 OVER in their last 8 games overall with their last 6 games all getting to 235 or more points.  They are 21-3 OVER in their last 24 games dating back further.  The OVER is 12-1 in Pelicans last 13 home games.  The last 4 matchups in this series have seen 231 or more points scored 3 times.  The Celtics and Pelicans will take part in yet another shootout today.  Take the OVER.

6* Cincinnati/Houston AAC *CA$H COW* on Cincinnati +13.5

The Key: The Houston Cougars have recent upset losses to ECU 73-82 as 16.5-point favorites and Wichita State 63-68 as 7.5-point favorites.  They should not be laying 13.5 points to Cincinnati today.  I like the price we are getting on a Bearcats team that has won 4 straight and just doesn't get blown out.  They have only lost one game all season by double-digits.  The underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 matchups.  Take Cincinnati.

7* Michigan/Ohio State Big Ten *HEAVY HITTER* on Ohio State ML +110

The Key: The Ohio State Buckeyes have won 10 of their last 11 games with their only loss coming by 2 points to Purdue.  The Buckeyes have won 16 of their last 18 home matchups with the Wolverines.  The home team has covered 8 of the last 10 matchups in this series.  The Buckeyes are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 home games.  Take Ohio State on the Money Line.

7* NBA Non-Conference Game of the Year on Charlotte Hornets +2

The Key: The Golden State Warriors just can't have much gas left in the tank tonight.  They will be playing for a 2nd consecutive day after their loss in Orlando last night.  Curry played 37 minutes, Oubre 36, Green 33 and Wiggins 32.  And the Warriors don't have much of a bench at all especially without Wiseman and Looney.  Golden State hasn't had more than one day off in a row in over 3 weeks.  The Hornets will have plenty of gas in the tank because they have had the last 5 days off.  They got good news on the injury front too with both Hayward and Washington returning to the lineup tonight.  Golden State is 5-16-1 ATS in its last 22 games when playing for a 2nd consecutive day.  The Hornets are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games as home dogs.  Take Charlotte.

6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Fresno State +14

The Key: I like the price we are getting on Fresno State here in this rematch with San Diego State.  The Bulldogs lost 53-67 at home to the Aztecs as 13.5-point dogs and are now 14-point dogs this time around.  They will be the hungrier team and they aren't likely to shoot as poorly as they did in the 1st matchup.  They shot just 33.3% while the Aztecs shot 48.1%.  The price is getting steep to back the Aztecs now that they are ranked in the Top 25 after going 7-0 SU & 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.  The price is right to back the Bulldogs after going 4-5 SU & 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games.  The Bulldogs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games off a double-digit home loss.  The underdog is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 matchups.  The Bulldogs are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games off a home conference loss.  Take Fresno State.

6* Auburn/LSU SEC *CA$H COW* on LSU -4

The Key: The Auburn Tigers know they won't be going to the NCAA Tournament and they are having a hard time just playing for pride of late.  They are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games overall with their only win coming over lowly Vanderbilt by 6 points.  That includes upset home losses to both Ole Miss and Georgia.  Now they hit the road to take on a very good LSU team that is trying to cement itself in the NCAA Tournament.  The Tigers are 9-2 at home this year and coming off 2 straight blowout wins over Tennessee by 13 at home and Mississippi State by 14 on the road.  They were underdogs in both games.  I like the price here as only 4-point home favorites.  Take LSU.

6* Utah State/Boise State Mountain West *BAILOUT* on Utah State +1.5

The Key: The Utah State Aggies will be looking to avenge their 70-79 road loss at Boise State on Wednesday.  The Aggies made just 3 3-pointers and shot them at 18% in that game.  They shoot over 34% on the season, so it was an aberration.  Utah State is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 road games.  The road team is 10-3 ATS in the last 14 matchups.  Take Utah State.

6* Friday NBA *Total* Annihilator on Thunder/Bucks UNDER 231.5

The Key: The Milwaukee Bucks will be playing for a 2nd consecutive night after scoring just 96 points against the Toronto Raptors last night.  They are 9-2 UNDER in their last 11 games when playing for a 2nd consecutive day.  They are tired right now and that will affect their legs and shooting on offense.  These teams just played 5 days ago with the Thunder winning 114-109.  The UNDER is now 8-2 in the last 10 matchups, including 6-1 in the last 7 matchups in Milwaukee.  The Thunder and their opponents have combined for 223 or fewer points at the end of regulation in 5 of their last 6 games coming in.  Take the UNDER.

7* Bulls/76ers ESPN *HEAVY HITTER* on Chicago +8.5

The Key: The Philadelphia 76ers are 1-3 SU & 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.  Their only win came against a short-handed Houston Rockets team by 5 as 8.5-point favorites.  And they shouldn't be 8.5-point favorites tonight over a Chicago Bulls team that is playing well and thrives in the role of the underdog.  The Bulls have won 4 of their last 6 games overall with one of their losses coming by 4 points.  The Bulls are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as underdogs.  Chicago is an even better 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games as a road underdog.  Philadelphia is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 games after scoring 110 points or more in 3 straight games.  Take Chicago.

7* Pac-12 Game of the Year on Oregon -3

The Key: The Oregon Ducks have won 3 straight coming in with double-digit wins over Washington and ASU as well as an upset road win at Arizona.  They are playing their best basketball of the season now that they are 4 games removed from their last COVID pause.  And now they have their sights set on avenging a 72-79 loss at Colorado in their first matchup.  The Buffaloes are just 17-43 ATS in their last 60 road games.  The home team is 14-2 ATS in the last 16 matchups.  The favorite is 11-1 ATS in the last 12 matchups.  The Ducks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home matchups with the Buffaloes.  Take Oregon.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Sacramento Kings +1.5

The Key: The Miami Heat are 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last 3 games.  They just have been a huge disappointment this year.  And now the Heat are in an awful situation tonight playing for a 2nd consecutive day after a 112-120 (OT) loss to the Warriors last night.  They are still missing several key players due to injury so they are short-handed, making this situation off an OT game in which their starters played big minutes even worse.  The Kings will be hungry to end a 4-game losing streak here against a pretty tough schedule.  Now they've had the last 2 days off to regroup and will be the fresher team.  They will push the tempo like they do every night and take advantage of those tired Miami legs.  This will also be the 5th straight road game for the Heat, adding to the tough situation.  Miami is 1-9 ATS in its 10 games against teams that allow 46% shooting or higher this season.  The Heat are 3-11 ATS as favorites this season.  Sacramento is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 Thursday games.  The Kings are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 matchups with Miami.  Take Sacramento.

6* St. Mary's/Gonzaga WCC *CA$H COW* on St. Mary's +20.5

The Key: St. Mary's only lost 59-73 in its first matchup with Gonzaga as a 16.5-point dog earlier this season.  Now the Gaels are 20.5-point dogs in their 2nd matchup and it's just too much.  The Gaels are the one team in the WCC that has proven to give the Bulldogs some trouble over the years.  They can make a game of this with their ability to slow the tempo and play great defense.  They give up only 61.8 PPG this year.  The Gaels are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 road games.  St. Mary's is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 road games against a team with a winning home record.  The road team is 11-5 ATS in the last 16 matchups.  The Bulldogs are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games off an ATS win.  Take St. Mary's.

6* Minnesota/Indiana Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Minnesota +6.5

The Key: Everyone is jumping on Indiana today seeing that Minnesota is 0-7 SU & 1-6 ATS on the road this season.  But those 7 road losses all came to better teams than Indiana with the exception of Maryland.  This is an 11-9 Indiana team that has lost 3 of its last 4 home games with its only win coming by 2 points.  The Hoosiers should not be laying 6.5 points here to the Golden Gophers.  I actually think Minnesota is the better team, so home-court advantage is not worth 6.5 points.  The price is right to back the Gophers, who are 10-1 ATS int heir last 11 games off a loss in which they scored less than 60 points.  The Hoosiers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as home favorites.  The underdog is 15-6 ATS in the last 21 matchups.  Take Minnesota.

7* NBA Situational Game of the Month on Washington Wizards +3.5

The Key: The Washington Wizards are finally healthy and playing up to their potential now after a COVID pause.  The Wizards are coming off 2 straight blowout wins over Boston by 13 and Houston by 12.  They had yesterday off and will be the fresher team here.  The Nuggets will be playing for a 2nd consecutive day after their 99-112 loss in Boston last night.  They are already short-handed as they played without Barton, Millsap, Harris and Morris last night and all 4 are questionable to return tonight.  Jokic played over 37 minutes and scored 43 points and it still wasn't enough to beat the Celtics.  That effort will have taken its toll on their best player.  The Nuggets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.  The Wizards are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home matchups with Denver.  Take Washington.

6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Valparaiso +20.5

The Key: Valparaiso recently outscored Drake by 14 points in 2 matchups with them.  They lost by 3 in OT in the first matchup and won by 17 in the 2nd matchup.  Given they've shown they can play with Drake, they will have the confidence to play with Loyola-Chicago tonight as well.  They did get blown out by the Ramblers earlier this season, but they have been a much better team since.  And they were 11-point dogs in that first matchup and are now 20.5-point dogs in the 2nd matchup.  That 9.5-point difference shows that the price is right to back the Crusaders here tonight.  Loyola-Chicago could be primed for a letdown after playing Drake twice over the weekend as well.  They won't be nearly as hungry to face this Valpo team that they've already blown out once.  Bets on dogs of 10 or more points who went under the total by 24 or more points in their last 3 games against an opponent that went under the total by 42 or more points in their last 7 games are 71-32 ATS over the last 5 years.  Loyola-Chicago plays at a snails' pace which makes it difficult for them to cover these big numbers.  Take Valparaiso.

6* Evansville/Indiana State MVC *CA$H COW* on Evansville +6.5

The Key: Evansville wants to avenge its 70-76 home loss to Indiana State on February 14 as 3-point underdogs.  The Purple Aces come back as 6.5-point dogs at Indiana State just 3 days later here.  To give up 59.6% shooting to the Sycamores and only lost by 6 is actually impressive.  The Sycamores won't shoot nearly as well in the rematch.  They shoot just 43.4% as a team this season.  The Purple Aces are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games as dogs.  Take Evansville.

7* Nets/Suns TNT *BAILOUT* on Phoenix -5

The Key: The Phoenix Suns are proving to be a real contender in the Western Conference now that they are healthy.  The Suns are 9-1 SU & 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall.  Now they get to host a Brooklyn Nets team that is in a terrible situation playing for a 2nd consecutive night after a 136-125 win in Sacramento last night.  The Nets are without Kevin Durant and don't have a very deep bench, so it's tough for them to handle these situations right now.  The Nets are 9-21 ATS in their last 30 games when playing for a 2nd consecutive day.  The Suns are 7-0 ATS in their 7 home games against Eastern Conference teams this season.  Phoenix is 17-4 ATS in its last 21 games against a team with a winning record.  The Suns are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as home favorites.  Take Phoenix.

6* Xavier/St. John's Big East *CA$H COW* on St. John's -1

The Key: St. John's is 7-2 SU & 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games overall.  The Red Storm's only losses during this stretch came by 2 points to Marquette and by 3 at Butler in OT after they blew a 16-point lead.  They have upset wins over Providence, Villanova, Marquette and Connecticut during this run.  Now they want to avenge their 61-69 road loss at Xavier on January 6th.  The Musketeers have only played 2 games since January 10 due to COVID pauses.  They are rusty right now and taking on a completely different Red Storm team than the first time they met.  The Red Storm are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.  Take St. John's.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Boston Celtics -2

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Boston Celtics tonight.  They have been upset in each of their last 2 games by Detroit and Washington and have dropped 4 of their last 5 coming in.  They will be ready to bounce back tonight with the Denver Nuggets coming to town.  The Nuggets have won 3 straight home games coming in, including their win over the Lakers on Sunday.  I look for them to fall flat tonight after beating the Lakers.  The Nuggets will be without Millsap, Harris and Barton tonight and could be without Morris.  Denver is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games off a win by more than 10 points.  The Celtics are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as home favorites.  Take Boston.

7* 76ers/Jazz NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Philadelphia +8

The Key: Bettors are getting no bargains on the Utah Jazz at this point after going 17-2 ATS in their last 19 games overall.  Now they are 8-point favorites here over a Philadelphia 76ers team that is one of the best in the NBA.  But the 76ers are coming off 2 straight road losses at Portland and Phoenix, so we are getting a bargain on them tonight.  The 76ers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 matchups with Utah.  The Jazz are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against teams that win more than 60% of their games.  Take Philadelphia.

6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Washington +8

The Key: I really like the price we are getting with Washington in this rivalry game.  Washington State beat Washington by 15 points in their first matchup this year.  But that was a letdown spot for the Huskies as they were coming off 2 straight upset wins over Colorado and Utah.  The price is right to back them in the rematch when you consider they were 1.5-point favorites in that first matchup and now are 8-point dogs in the 2nd matchup.  The books have adjusted this line a whopping 9.5 points.  The underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 matchups.  Take Washington.

6* Monday NBA *Total* Annihilator on Bulls/Pacers OVER 226

The Key: The Chicago Bulls have gone OVER the total in their last 2 games coming in with averages of 238 combined points per game.  The Pacers just finished with 238 combined points with the Hawks.  The OVER is 4-0 in the last 4 matchups in this series, including the 231 points they combined for in their first matchup this season.  The Bulls are 8-0 OVER in their last 8 home games when avenging a home loss.  Take the OVER.

7* Blazers/Mavericks ESPN *HEAVY HITTER* on Dallas -4.5

The Key: It's fun seeing what the Mavericks can do at full strength now that they have been healthy for the first time all season just recently.  The results have shown as they have won 4 straight games.  But the Mavericks are just 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games overall, so we are getting them cheap today as only 4.5-point favorites over the Blazers.  I can't see the Blazers competing with the Mavericks without CJ McCollum.  Portland is 6-14-1 ATS in its last 21 games off a win by more than 10 points.  The Blazers are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 road games against a team with a losing home record.  Dallas is 21-8 ATS in the last 29 matchups, including 9-4 ATS in the last 13 home matchups.  Take Dallas.

6* Missouri Valley *CA$H COW* on Missouri State -10

The Key: Bradley played without 4 of its best players yesterday in a 58-80 road loss to Missouri State.  It should be more of the same here as the Braves are without these guys until Wednesday.  They are missing Childs (14.2 PPG, 8.3 RPG), Henry (10.7 PPG, 4.7 RPG), Nolan Jr. (11.2 PPG, 3.3 APG) and Kingsby (4.0 PPG) due to suspension.  That's their Top 3 scorers plus a key bench guy.  Missouri State is 8-0 ATS as a favorite this season.  The Bears are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games off a blowout home win by 20 points or more.  Take Missouri State.

6* American Athletic *CA$H COW* on Tulane +5

The Key: Tulane is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games overall.  It has lost just once by more than 4 points during this stretch, which was an 8-point loss at Wichita State as as 12-point dogs.  The Green Wave shouldn't be catching 5 points against a South Florida team that is rusty due to a COVID break.  The Bulls didn't play for an entire month then had to come back and play Houston, and it wasn't pretty in a 17-point loss.  They were gassed in the 2nd half.  They won't be much better today in their 2nd game back and this is a game I expect the Green Wave to win outright.  Tulane is 7-0 ATS in its last 7 road games off 3 straight games as an underdog.  The Bulls are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.  Take Tulane.

6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on UNLV +9.5

The Key: UNLV will be hungry to avenge its 66-78 road loss at Boise State on Thursday.  Now the Rebels are 9.5-point dogs here Saturday and will be the hungrier team.  The Rebels are 32-12 ATS in their last 44 road games when playing with one or less days' rest.  The Rebels are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Saturday games.  We're getting them cheap here Saturday because they have failed to cover 6 in a row coming in.  The Broncos have dropped 3 of their last 5 games overall after finally stepping up in competition after padding their 14-4 record in the first half of the season.  Take UNLV.

6* Nets/Warriors ABC *CA$H COW* on Brooklyn -4

The Key: The Brooklyn Nets have dropped 3 of their last 4 games without Kevin Durant.  But Durant practiced Friday in San Francisco and makes his return today.  They have been such a better team with him than without him.  They had won 5 of their previous 6 games before he was sidelined.  And you know he's going to want to put on a show here against his former team in the Warriors.  This is a Golden State team that is missing 2 of its best big men in James Wiseman and Kevon Looney.  The Nets should be able to get to the rim and finish at will against Golden State because of it.  The Nets come in on 2 days' rest so they will be ready to go.  The Warriors will be playing their 4th game in 6 days here.  Brooklyn is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 matchups, including 4-1 ATS in the last 5 matchups at Golden State.  We are getting the Nets cheap here Saturday.  Take Brooklyn.

7* Big Ten Game of the Year on Michigan State +5

The Key: The Michigan State Spartans have won 2 in a row and are making a push to make the NCAA Tournament.  Now it's time for them to avenge their 78-84 road loss at Iowa last week.  The Spartans come back as 5-point home dogs here.  That's significant when you consider Michigan State is 17-1 SU in its last 18 home matchups with the Hawkeyes.  This line is way off for a Hawkeyes team that has dropped 4 of its last 6 games coming in.  The Spartans should be the favorites in this matchup and don't be afraid to bet a percentage of your wager on the money line as well.  Take Michigan State.

6* NBA Friday Night *BAILOUT* on Cleveland Cavaliers +4.5

The Key: Portland is coming off a huge upset win over Philadelphia last night on National TV on TNT.  Now the Blazers will be playing for a 2nd consecutive night and won't have much left in the tank for the Cleveland Cavaliers.  They also won be nearly as hungry to face Cleveland as they were to face the 76ers.  The Blazers will now be playing their 7th game in 12 days.  The Cavaliers are hungry for a win after losing 5 straight against a brutal schedule of the Bucks (twice), Clippers, Suns and Nuggets.  Portland is 3-13 ATS in its last 16 games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days.  The Blazers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games.  Take Cleveland.

7* Pelicans/Mavs ESPN *HEAVY HITTER* on Dallas -2.5

The Key: We are getting a great price on the Dallas Mavericks tonight after failing to cover 10 of their last 11 games overall.  But they have won 4 of their last 5 games straight up and only have to cover 2.5 points tonight at home against the New Orleans Pelicans.  It's a good time to fade the Pelicans after covering 4 of their last 5 games.  But after playing 7 of their last 9 games at home, the Pelicans are now back on the road.  New Orleans is 2-6 SU in its last 8 road games with its only wins coming by 1 point over the Pacers and by 5 over the Kings.  The 6 losses all came by 5 points or more with 5 of them coming by double-digits.  The Mavericks are 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last 4 matchups with the Pelicans with the 4 wins coming by 19.5 PPG.  Take Dallas.

6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Temple +6.5

The Key: Temple will be hungry to avenge its 63-60 home loss to Cincinnati as 3-point dogs on February 4th.  Now the Owls are 6.5-point dogs in the rematch just 8 days later with the only difference being the change of venue.  I love the price we are getting with the Owls here tonight catching 3.5 more points than they were in the first matchup.  Cincinnati has won just one of its last 11 games by more than 5 points.  That was a 7-point win over SMU.  The Owls are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.  The Bearcats are 16-38 ATS in their last 54 games overall.  Cincinnati is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 home games.  The Bearcats are 16-35 ATS in their last 51 games as favorites, including 1-7 ATS as favorites this season.  The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 matchups.  Take Temple.

7* Raptors/Celtics NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Boston -3

The Key: The situation really favors the Celtics over the Raptors tonight.  They are back home after playing 5 straight road games.  They had Wednesday off and are 5-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.  They host a Raptors team that will be playing their 5th road game in 7 days.  The Raptors will be playing for a 2nd consecutive day after winning in Washington last night.  I just don't see Toronto having much left in the tank for a hungry Boston team that will be looking to bounce back from 2 consecutive losses.  The Celtics are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 matchups with the Raptors.  Take Boston.

6* Iowa State/Kansas Big 12 *CA$H COW* on Iowa State +15.5

The Key: The Iowa State Cyclones keep fighting hard for their first Big 12 victory.  They are 0-9 SU in Big 12 games but 6-3 ATS in conference play.  They are 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games with a 4-point loss to West Virginia as an 11.5-point dog, a 7-point loss at Oklahoma as a 14-point dog and a 3-point loss at TCU as a 4.5-point dog.  They can certainly stay within 15.5 points of a Kansas team that is the worst Kansas team we have seen in years.  The Jayhawks are just 13-7 SU & 8-11 ATS this season.  They have won just one of their last 9 games by more than 12 points.  They just aren't blowing teams out this season.  The Cyclones are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games against teams that win more than 60% of their home games.  The Jayhawks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games off a win.  The road team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 matchups.  The Cyclones are 25-12 ATS in their last 37 games as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points.  Take Iowa State.

6* Purdue/Minnesota Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Minnesota -3

The Key: Minnesota will be hungry to avenge a 62-81 road loss at Purdue on January 30th.  I like their chances considering the Golden Gophers are 12-1 SU & 8-4-1 ATS at home this year.  Purdue is just 3-5 SU in true road games this year.  The home team is 5-0 SU in the last 5 matchups in this series.  The Golden Gophers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.  Take Minnesota.

6* Bucks/Suns ESPN *BAILOUT* on OVER 226.5

The Key: The OVER is 5-1-1 in Bucks last 7 games overall with none of those games going to overtime.  They have averaged 237.9 PPG combined with their opponents and 6 of the 7 games have seen 228 or more combined points.  So a total of 226.5 here against the Suns is too low.  And 3 of the last 4 matchups in this series have gone for 230 or more combined points with an average of 239.3 PPG combined.  Take the OVER.

7* Hawks/Mavericks ESPN *Total* Annihilator on OVER 232

The Key: The OVER is 4-0 in Mavericks last 4 games overall.  They have averaged 254 PPG combined with their opponents in these 4 games and none of them went to overtime.  So a total of 232 here against a Hawks team they just combined for 238 points with a couple games back is too low.  Enjoy rooting for points here because there will be plenty of them to cash this ticket.  Take the OVER.

6* Wednesday NCAAB *UPSET SPECIAL* on UCF ML +120

The Key: UCF wants to avenge its 88-93 (OT) loss at Wichita State on January 30th.  The Knights get to host the Shockers just 10 days later and will pull the upset at home to get their revenge.  Wichita State has been very fortunate to win its last 3 games as they have all come by 8 points or less against some bad teams in UCF, Tulane and Temple all at home.  IN their last road game, they lost 52-72 at Memphis.  The Shockers are now 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.  The Knights have played 4 straight road games and just upset Tulsa 65-58 as 5-point road dogs.  They will be happy to be back home tonight.  The Knights are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.  The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 matchups.  Take UCF on the Money Line.

6* Wednesday NCAAB *BLOWOUT* on Houston -12.5

The Key: South Florida has been off since January 9 due to COVID.  Now they return almost exactly one month later and face the worst possible team they could in the American Athletic.  They have to go up against a Top 10 team in Houston here, which is 16-2 on the season with 14 of those wins by double-digits.  Rust will be a factor for the Bulls, and the Cougars will take advantage and stomp on them early and hold them off late for a win and cover.  The Cougars are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.  The favorite is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 matchups.  The Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.  Take Houston.

6* Tulane/Tulsa AAC *CA$H COW* on Tulane +7.5

The Key: Tulane has covered 3 straight coming in with an upset win at Temple, an 8-point loss at Wichita State and a 3-point home loss to Cincinnati.  The Green Wave are playing well, while the Tulsa Golden Hurricane are not.  Tulsa has lost 4 of its last 5 games overall with 2 straight home losses to SMU and UCF.  The road team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 matchups in this series.  In its last 5 trips to Tulsa, Tulane hasn't once lost by more than 8 points.  The Green Wave are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a road dog between 6.5 and 12 points.  The Green Wave are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 road games overall.  Take Tulane.

6* Iowa State/TCU Big 12 *CA$H COW* on Iowa State +6.5

The Key: The Iowa State Cyclones are 0-8 SU in Big 12 play but 5-3 ATS.  They have been competitive against some great teams as they covered in losses to Oklahoma by 7 and WVU by 4 in their last 2 games coming in.  They are hungry for their first Big 12 victory and their best chance of the season comes tonight against the TCU Horned Frogs.  This is a TCU team that is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games with its lone victory coming by 3 points.  TCU is 1-7 ATS in its 8 home games this year.  The Horned Frogs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as home favorites.  TCU is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 home games against a team with a losing road record.  The Horned Frogs are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games against a team with a losing record.  Take Iowa State.

6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Butler -1

The Key: The price is getting steep to back a St. John's team that has won 6 straight and covered 8 in a row coming in.  That includes their 69-57 home win over Butler back on January 12.  Now the Bulldogs will be hungry to avenge that defeat and put an end to this winning streak.  The Bulldogs are as healthy as they've been all season now and are starting to play up to their potential.  They have won 3 of their last 6 including and upset home win over Creighton.  They also beat DePaul by 10 at home last time out and are in the more favorable situation playing just their 2nd game in 7 days.  The Red Storm will be playing their 5th game in 14 days and their 4th road game during this stretch.  The Bulldogs are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games when the line is +3 to -3.  The Bulldogs are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games when avenging a loss.  The home team is 11-1 ATS in the last 12 matchups.  Take Butler.

7* Rockets/Pelicans TNT *HEAVY HITTER* on New Orleans -5.5

The Key: The New Orleans Pelicans are playing their best basketball of the season right now.  They are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games overall while outscoring Phoenix, Indiana and Memphis by a combined 32 points.  Now they are in the better spot here coming in on 2 days' rest and hosting the tired Houston Rockets.  The Rockets will be playing for a 2nd consecutive day after a 25-point loss in Charlotte last night in which they only trailed by 3 entering the 4th quarter before gassing out.  It will also be the 5th game in 7 days for the Rockets.  They are already without their best player in Christian Wood and will be without Victor Oladipo tonight due to rest.  The Rockets are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games against a team with a winning home record.  Houston is 8-20 ATS in its last 28 games off a SU loss.  The Pelicans are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 2 days' rest.  Take New Orleans.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on San Antonio Spurs -1.5

The Key: The Spurs want to avenge their 99-121 road loss to the Warriors a few weeks ago.  They shot 4-of-33 (12.1%) from 3-point range in that defeat.  They won't shoot that poorly again.  Now the Spurs are at home for the rematch and the home team has been dominant in this series.  The home team is 7-1 SU in the last 8 matchups.  The Warriors will be without James Wiseman this time around.  He had 20 points on 8-of-11 shooting in that first matchup.  The Spurs are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games when avenging a road blowout loss by 20 points or more, 58-28 ATS in their last 86 games avenging a loss, and 21-4 ATS in their last 25 games avenging a road loss by 10 points or more.  Take San Antonio.

7* NBA Total of the Month on Warriors/Spurs OVER 233.5

The Key: These are two OVER teams right now, especially the Warriors.  Golden State is coming off 2 straight games that didn't go to OT against Dallas in which they combined for 263 and 266 points.  A big reason for these high-scoring games is the losses of 2 post players for the Warriors in Wiseman and Looney.  They have been forced to go small ball even more than they usually do.  The Spurs will oblige as they like the small ball route as well and have to do the same now that LaMarcus Aldridge is out with a hip injury.  These teams played a couple weeks ago with the Warriors winning 121-99.  But the Spurs shot 4-of-33 (12.1%) from 3-point range in that game.  It was a fast-paced game with the Spurs getting 94 shots and the Warriors 91.  Betting shooting from the Spurs and an even faster-paced game in the rematch will have this one sailing OVER the total.  Take the OVER.

6* Monday NBA *Total* Annihilator on Rockets/Hornets UNDER 223.5

The Key: The Houston Rockets won't have one of their best offensive weapons tonight in Christian Wood, who remains out with an ankle injury.  That will certainly help this UNDER.  The Rockets are the 2nd-ranked team in the NBA in defensive efficiency this season.  They have yielded 112 points or fewer in 10 straight contests.  The Hornets won't be lighting up the scoreboard given the tough situation for them.  They will be playing for a 2nd consecutive day here and it will also be their 10th game in 18 days.  The Hornets just held the Wizards to 97 points in their win on Sunday.  This looks to be a defensive struggle.  The UNDER is 9-1 in Houston's last 10 games against teams that average 88 or more shots per game.  The UNDER is 19-7 in the last 26 matchups.  The UNDER is 8-2 in the last 10 matchups in Charlotte.  Take the UNDER.

6* Oregon State/Colorado Pac-12 *CA$H COW* on Oregon State +12.5

The Key: The Oregon State Beavers are playing too well right now to be catching this many points from Colorado.  The Beavers are 5-2 SU & 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.  Their only losses both came on the road to 2 of the best teams in the Pac-12 in USC by 13 and UCLA by 5.  They also upset Oregon by 11 as 9-point road dogs and upset USC as 10-point home dogs.  Colorado hasn't won any of its last 5 games by more than 12 points.  They lost outright as a 7.5-point home favorite to Utah and outright as a 13-point road favorite at Washington.  That's the same Washington team that Oregon State beat by 20 at home two games ago.  The road team is 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in the last 4 matchups with the Beavers pulling the outright upset in each of their last 2 trips to Colorado.  The Buffaloes are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games off a win.  The Beavers are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games against teams that attempt 18 or fewer FT per game.  Take Oregon State.

6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Southern Illinois +8

The Key: Southern Illinois was covering the entire way yesterday until fouls in the final second led to them losing 66-74 at Bradley, pushing as 8-point underdogs.  Now the Salukis are identical 8-point road dogs to the Braves today.  I expect them to improve upon that result and stay within the number this time and possibly pull the upset.  It's a struggling Bradley team that is just 1-6 SU & 0-5-2 ATS in its last 7 games overall.  The Salukis are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games against a team that wins more than 60% of their games.  The road team is 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 matchups.  Take Southern Illinois.

6* Celtics/Suns NBA TV *CA$H COW* on Phoenix -3

The Key: The Boston Celtics will be without both Jaylen Brown and and Marcus Smart today.  I don't think they'll have what it takes to beat the Phoenix Suns without these two.  The Suns are playing too well right now in going 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last 5 contests.  They are coming off a 17-point home win over the Pistons.  That's significant because the Suns are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games after winning their previous game by more than 10 points.  Take Phoenix.

6* Missouri Valley *CA$H COW* on Valparaiso +13

The Key: We were right on Valpo +13 yesterday and the price is right to back the Crusaders again at home as identical 13-point dogs to Drake again today.  They nearly handed Drake their first loss of the season, losing just 77-80 yesterday.  So even held an 8-point lead at halftime.  They can stay within 13 here and possibly pull off the upset.  The pressure is mounting with each passing game for the Bulldogs to try and remain unbeaten.  At some point they will slip up and it's going to be hard for them to keep covering these double-digit spread.  These 2 road games against Valpo are the first time all season that Drake has been a double-digit road favorite.  The Crusaders are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games as home dogs.  Bets on home teams off a home cover where they lost straight up as an underdog against an opponent after a road game where both team scored 75 points or more are 34-7 ATS over the last 5 years.  Take Valparaiso.

6* Saturday NBA *UPSET SPECIAL* on Memphis Grizzlies ML +106

The Key: The Memphis Grizzlies had won 7 straight prior to losing their last 2 games to Indiana and Houston.  Now the Grizzlies will be hungry to get back on track here against the New Orleans Pelicans, who are in an awful spot.  The Pelicans will be playing for a 2nd consecutive day after a hard-fought 114-113 win at Indiana last night.  Now they have to travel back home here and will be playing their 6th game in 9 days.  Don't be surprised if they rest some guys.  The Grizzlies will get both Valanciunas and Allen back in the lineup today after sitting out due to quarantine, which will give them a boost as both players were playing at a high level before having to sit out.  The Grizzlies are 6-2 SU & 6-2 ATS in road games this season.  Memphis is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games overall.  The Pelicans are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as home favorites.  Take Memphis on the Money Line.

6* Nets/76ers Eastern Conference *CA$H COW* on Philadelphia -3.5

The Key: The Brooklyn Nets will be playing for a 2nd consecutive day after a 117-123 home loss to the Toronto Raptors last night.  They lost some depth with the James Harden trade, which is big considering now they will be without Kevin Durant tonight.  They won't have much left in the tank for a hungry 76ers team looking to bounce back from an upset loss to Portland on Thursday.  The 76ers took the Blazers lightly because of all they were missing.  Look for the 76ers to get back to playing how they were before, which is dominant basketball in going 7-1 SU & 6-2 ATS in their previous 8 games.  They will certainly get up for the Nets tonight.  Philadelphia is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 home games after yielding 115 points or more last game.  The 76ers are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games as home favorites of 6 points or less.  The Nets are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games when playing the 2nd of a back-to-back.  The 76ers are 7-2 ATS in the last 9 matchups, including 4-0 ATS in the last 4 home matchups.  Take Philadelphia.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Chicago Bulls -1

The Key: The Orlando Magic are just 3-12 SU in their last 15 games overall.  They pulled the upset over the Bulls in a 4-point win yesterday.  But now the Bulls come back the hungrier team and looking to avenge that defeat.  I think they get the job done against the short-handed Magic, who are without 5 key players right now due to injury.  It's a much tougher rest spot for the Magic as they will be playing their 8th game in 14 days.  The Magic are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days.  Take Chicago.

7* Mountain West Game of the Month on Wyoming +7.5

The Key: Wyoming will be looking to avenge its 72-74 home loss to Colorado State as identical 7.5-point dogs on Thursday.  The Cowboys blew a 38-32 halftime lead in that contest and allowed the Rams to shoot 55.1% while they shot 42.6% themselves.  Just a slight improvement will have them covering this spread again and possibly winning outright.  The Cowboys are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games when avenging a same-season loss.  The Cowboys are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games as underdogs.  The underdog is 9-1-1 ATS in the last 11 matchups.  Take Wyoming.

6* Washington/Oregon Pac-12 *CA$H COW* on Washington +12.5

The Key: The Oregon Ducks can't catch a break.  They had to pause their program for 2 weeks on 2 separate occasions lately.  The results have been awful.  They were upset 64-75 as 9-point home favorites by Oregon State in their first game back from their first break.  And then they were upset 71-74 as 11.5-point favorites against Washington State on Thursday in their first game back from their 2nd break.  Not to mention, they lost their best player in Chris Duarte (17.8 PPG) to a serious ankle injury in that loss to the Cougars.  Now they won't have him against Washington tonight.  The Huskies are good enough to stay within this 12.5-point spread given all the difficulties surrounding Oregon's program right now.  The Ducks are just 6-18 ATS in their last 24 games off 2 consecutive home losses.  The road team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 matchups.  Take Washington.

6* Syracuse/Clemson ACC *CA$H COW* on Syracuse +3.5

The Key: The Syracuse Orange have won 3 of their last 4 games with their only loss coming on the road to Virginia.  Clemson is 2-4 SU & 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games overall.  The situation favors the Orange as they have been off since January 31st while Clemson is coming off an upset win over UNC on February 2nd.  That makes this a potential letdown spot for the Tigers as well.  It's a bad matchup for Clemson.  They shoot just 30.9% from 3-point range this year, one of the worst percentages in the country.  Teams need to be able to make the 3 ball against Syracuse's 2-3 zone defense.  I don't foresee the Tigers having much success in that department as the Orange allow just 29.5% shooting from 3 on the season.  Clemson is 4-14 ATS in its last 18 games against teams that commit 12 or fewer turnovers per game.  Syracuse is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 road games with a total of 130 to 139.5.  The underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 matchups.  Take Syracuse.

6* Drake/Valparaiso MVC *CA$H COW* on Valpo +13

The Key: The price is right to back Valpo at home today as they come in hungry to hand Drake its first loss of the season.  The pressure is mounting with each passing game for the Bulldogs to try and remain unbeaten.  At some point they will slip up, and at the very least it will be difficult for them to cover this double-digit spread in the road.  It's the first time all season they have been a double-digit road favorite.  The Crusaders are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games when coming off 2 consecutive road games.  The Crusaders are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games as home dogs.  Take Valparaiso.

6* Boise State/Nevada Mountain West *CA$H COW* on Nevada +4.5

The Key: The Boise State Broncos have padded their record against an easy Mountain West schedule.  They finally had to face a decent team in Colorado State and split their 2 games with the Rams last time out, but got outscored by a combined 14 points in those 2 games.  Now they face an even better team here in Nevada in my opinion.  It's a Nevada team that has gone 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games overall and hasn't lost any of its last 13 games by more than 7 points.  That includes road losses to San Diego State by 5 and 2 points in a back-to-back situation.  If they can hang with the Aztecs on the road, they can beat Boise State at home.  After all, the Wolf Pack have won 8 of their last 9 matchups with Boise State outright.  Take Nevada.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Miami Heat -6.5

The Key: The Miami Heat will be hungry to avenge their 100-103 loss to Washington on Friday when they were 9-point favorite.  They blew a 10-point halftime lead in that matchup.  Now they come back as only 6.5-point home favorites in the rematch.  Look for the Heat to put it on the Wizards early and not let up for 4 quarters and win this game by 7-plus points to cover the number.  The Wizards are 17-37-1 ATS in their last 55 road games against a team with a losing home record.  Bets on teams who are revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 points or more who are also off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as favorites are 88-49 ATS over the last 5 years.  Take Miami.

7* NBA Non-Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Charlotte Hornets +8.5

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Charlotte Hornets tonight.  They have gone 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games with outright upset wins over the Bucks, Heat and Pacers.  Their only loss came by 7 points to the 76ers, who are playing as well as anyone right now.  And now they get to face a Utah Jazz team that is also playing great basketball in winning 13 of its last 14 games.  But the Jazz are in a tough situation tonight as they will be playing for a 2nd consecutive day after winning in Atlanta last night.  It will also be the 7th game in 11 days for the Jazz.  The Hornets are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games as home underdogs.  Take Charlotte.

6* Washington State/Oregon Pac-12 *BAILOUT* on Washington State +11.5

The Key: The Oregon Ducks should not be double-digit favorites over Washington State tonight given the status of their program.  The Ducks will be playing for just the 2nd time since January 9th.  They came back from a 2-week break on January 23rd and were upset 64-75 by a bad Oregon State team as a 9-point home favorite.  They have since had to take another nearly 2 week break and return to action tonight against the Cougars.  There will be some rust with the Ducks that won't allow them to cover this big number.  Washington State is one of the most improved teams in the country this year.  The Cougars only have one loss all season by more than 15 points.  Washington State is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 road games, and 5-1 ATS in its last 6 road games against a team that wins more than 60% of its home games.  The Cougars are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games off a game with 9 or fewer assists.  Take Washington State.

7* Warriors/Mavs TNT *HEAVY HITTER* on Dallas -2.5

The Key: The Dallas Mavericks have some depth now that everyone has returned from quarantine.  So they will be more prepared to handle this situation of playing for a second consecutive day after a win in Atlanta last night.  And I really like the price we are getting on the Mavericks as a short home favorite over the Warriors, a team they are clearly better than.  The Warriors are going to have a tough time defending the paint now that they recently lost both Wiseman and Looney to injuries.  They are going to be one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA now.  The Mavericks are primed to be one of the best offensive teams in the NBA moving forward now that they are healthy.  The Mavericks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 matchups with the Warriors while winning each of the last 4 by 20-plus points.  Take Dallas.

6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Temple -1.5

The Key: I like the price we are getting on Temple tonight in a home game where they basically just have to win to cover.  We are getting them cheap because they weren't mentally in the game against Tulane in their 17-point home loss due to the death of former head coach John Chaney.  But they should come back more focused tonight.  The Owls are still 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games even with that loss to Tulane.  And now they host a Cincinnati team that has been off since January 10th.  It's safe to say there will be rust involved with the Bearcats because they've barely even been able to practice, and there's talk that some walk ons might have to play.  Cincinnati hasn't been very good as it is in going 1-6 SU & 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games.  The Bearcats are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games after going 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.  The Bearcats are 15-37 ATS in their last 52 games overall.  Take Temple.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Miami Heat -8.5

The Key: We are getting the Miami Heat cheap because they are off to a shocking 7-13 start this season after making the NBA Finals last year.  COVID has hit this team hard, but they are finally coming out the other side of it now and starting to play better.  Look for them to blow out the Washington Wizards, who are in a terrible spot tonight.  The Wizards are 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games since returning from a nearly 2-week absence due to COVID.  All 5 losses came by 11 points or more.  Now they will be playing for a 2nd consecutive night after a 121-132 loss to the Blazers last night.  They will also be playing their 6th game in 9 days.  And they will be without Russell Wesbrook, who is sitting this game to rest.  The Wizards are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.  The Heat are 38-18-2 ATS in their last 58 games off a loss.  Take Miami.

6* Tulane/Wichita State AAC *CA$H COW* on Tulane +11.5

The Key: Wichita State is laying too many points here against Tulane.  The Shockers have won just one of their last 6 games by more than 6 points.  They needed OT to beat UCF last time out.  Tulane just won 81-64 outright at Temple last time out and is starting to play well.  They are undervalued due to 2 recent blowout losses to Houston, which is blowing everyone out.  Houston is the only team to beat Tulane by more than 10 points all season.  Wichita State only has 3 wins by double-digits all season and 2 of them came against Emporia State and Newman.  The Green Wave are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 games against good teams that win 60% to 80% of their games.  The Green Wave are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 road games.  Take Tulane.

7* Pacers/Bucks ESPN *HEAVY HITTER* on Milwaukee -8

The Key: We are getting the Bucks cheap right now because they are off to just a 12-8 start this season and have lost 2 of their last 3 coming in.  But they flashed their potential with a 134-106 win over the Blazers last game.  And now they catch the Indiana Pacers in a bad spot.  The Pacers will be playing for a 2nd consecutive day after their win over Memphis yesterday.  It will also be the 7th game in 11 days for the Pacers.  The Bucks are 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last 6 matchups with the Pacers with all 5 wins coming by 9 points or more.  The Bucks are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home matchups with all 4 wins by 17 points or more.  Take Milwaukee.

6* Virginia Tech/Pittsburgh ACC *CA$H COW* on Pittsburgh +4.5

The Key: The Virginia Tech Hokies are primed for a letdown tonight after upsetting Virginia at home in their last game.  The Hokies only have 2 road wins all season and they came against ACC bottom feeders Notre Dame and Wake Forest.  Pittsburgh is a hungry team off 3 straight losses and we should get a big effort from the Panthers tonight because of it.  The Hokies are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games.  The Panthers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games off 2 straight home losses.  Take Pittsburgh.

7* Pistons/Jazz NBA *BAILOUT* on Detroit +12.5

The Key: The Pistons have recent upset wins over both the Lakers and 76ers, so they are playing well coming in and fully capable of hanging with the Utah Jazz.  The Jazz are coming off a loss to the Nuggets that ended their 11-game winning streak.  They won't show up with the same kind of effort they were playing with to keep that winning streak alive, and that's going to make it very difficult to cover this 12.5-point spread.  They were only 8.5-point favorites against the Pistons in their 96-86 win over them in their first matchup this season.  So I like the price we are getting on the Pistons in the rematch.  Detroit is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games off a loss by more than 10 points.  The Pistons have gone 9-1 ATS in their 10 games this season against teams that make at least 46% of their shots.  Take Detroit.

6* Mississippi State/Arkansas SEC *CA$H COW* on Mississippi State +7

The Key: Mississippi State has gone 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games overall.  They were competitive in losses at Alabama by 8 and at Tennessee by 3 before crushing Iowa State 95-56 over the weekend.  So to be competitive with Alabama and Tennessee on the road tells you all you need to know about this team considering those are the 2 best teams in the SEC.  Now they are catching 7 points against an Arkansas team that has been mis-priced for weeks.  The Razorbacks are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games overall with their only covers coming against 2 of the worst teams in the SEC in Ole Miss and Vanderbilt.  They lost by 31 at Alabama, by 16 at LSU and were just beaten by 4 at Oklahoma State.  The Bulldogs are 6-0 SU & 6-0 ATS in their last 6 matchups with Arkansas, winning 4 times outright as underdogs.  Take Mississippi State.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Washington Wizards -2

The Key: The Washington Wizards have gotten most of their players back from their COVID-19 break that caused the stoppage in the first place.  They are starting to get some chemistry together and that showed in their 149-146 win over the Brooklyn Nets last time out.  Look for them to build off that win here and take down a tired Portland Trail Blazers team that is still missing CJ McCollum and Jusuf Nurkic.  Being short-handed won't help the Blazers in this tough situation where they will be playing for a 2nd consecutive day and their 3rd road game in 4 days.  The Wizards are 25-9 ATS in their last 34 home games after a combined score of 245 points or more.  The Blazers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games against a team that wins less than 40% of their games.  Take Washington.

6* Oklahoma/Texas Tech Big 12 *CA$H COW* on Texas Tech -6.5

The Key: The Oklahoma Sooners have won 5 straight games and covered in 6 straight.  But things won't be so easy for them tonight against the Texas Tech Red Raiders, who are improving rapidly as well in going 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.  And while the Red Raiders are fully healthy, the Sooners will be missing 2 key players tonight due to COVID-19.  Leading scorer Austin Reaves (15.8 PPG, 5.1 RPG, 5.1 APG) and fellow starter Alondes Williams (7.7 PPG, 3.4 RPG) will both have to sit out tonight.  The Sooners stand little to no chance of even keeping this game competitive without these two.  Texas Tech is 6-0 ATS in its last 6 home games when playing with one or fewer days' rest.  The home team is 10-2-1 ATS in the last 13 matchups.  Take Texas Tech.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on San Antonio Spurs -3.5

The Key: The San Antonio Spurs had won 3 straight over Washington, Boston and Denver prior to getting blasted 112-129 by the Memphis Grizzlies on Saturday.  Now the Spurs will get a chance to avenge that defeat, and I like the price we are getting with them here.  The Spurs are 40-15 ATS in their last 55 games when revenging a loss where opponent scores 110 points or more.  San Antonio is 26-9 ATS in its last 35 games when revenging a loss by 10 points or more.  The Grizzlies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games off a win by more than 10 points.  The Spurs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games off a double-digit home loss.  Take San Antonio.

6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Illinois State +18

The Key: Everyone knows that Drake is not only 16-0 SU but also 13-1 ATS by now.  And with those records comes a lot of respect from the oddsmakers and betting public with inflated lines moving forward.  I cashed in Illinois State +18 yesterday as my free play, and I'm making them a premium play today.  It was Drake's 2nd-largest favorite role of the entire season as they were only favored by more against Chicago State, one of the worst teams in the country.  In fact they have only been more than a 10.5-point favorite only three times all season.  Illinois State has only been beaten by this kind of margin by Ohio State and Loyola-Chicago this season.  Their last 6 losses all came by 9 points or fewer.  That includes their 76-78 (OT) loss to Drake yesterday in which they covered by 16 points.  The Redbirds are hungry to avenge that defeat and will stay within this ridiculous number again today.  Take Illinois State.

7* UNLV/Nevada Mountain West *BAILOUT* on Nevada -2

The Key: I like the price we are getting on Nevada.  The Wolf Pack are coming off 2 straight upset losses at Wyoming.  But each of their last 5 losses have come by 7 points or fewer.  That's how close they are to being on an 11-game winning streak.  UNLV is starting to get some respect after going 5-1 SU in their last 6 games against a very soft schedule.  They starting 1-6 this season prior to this run.  Injury news favors the Wolf Pack as well.  They will get Meeks (9.1 PPG, 5.9 RPG) back from a 3-game absence, and Cambridge Jr. (15.2 PPG) is probable.  UNLV's best player in Hamilton (18.3 PPG) is questionable with an ankle injury suffered in a loss to Utah State last time out.  He had just 2 points in 32 minutes of action against the Aggies, so it clearly affected his play.  The Wolf Pack are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after playing a road game.  The Rebels are 15-32-4 ATS in their last 51 road games against a team with a winning home record.  The Wolf Pack are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games as home favorites.  Take Nevada.

6* Nets/Wizards Eastern Conference *CA$H COW* on Brooklyn -7

The Key: The Washington Wizards have lost 4 straight games by an average of 18.3 PPG.  All 4 losses came by 16 points or more.  It's not going to get any easier for them here against a Brooklyn Nets team that is playing its best basketball of the season.  The Nets have won 4 straight games by 10.8 PPG and 8 of their last 10 games overall.  The Wizards just don't have enough bodies right now due to all the players they lost to COVID-19 and also injuries.  They don't have any chemistry because practice has been all messed up.  The Nets are coming together as a team with Harden, Durant and Irving starting to really figure out how to gel together.  Take Brooklyn.

6* NC State/Syracuse ACC *CA$H COW* on Syracuse -5

The Key: The Syracuse Orange have done their best work at home this season.  They are 8-1 on their home floor and have won their last two home games over Miami and Virginia Tech by an average of 22 PPG.  Now they face an NC State team that is 0-6-1 ATS in its last 7 road games.  The Wolfpack have lost their last 4 road games by 14.3 PPG.  They just had a season-ending injury in their last game to leading scorer Devon Daniels, who averages 16.5 PPG this season.  The Orange are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games off an ACC loss by 10 points or more.  Take Syracuse.

7* NBA Total of the Month on Suns/Mavs UNDER 217.5

The Key: The Suns already play at one of the slowest paces in the NBA due to having the aging Chris Paul at point guard.  And now they are without their best player in Devin Booker and have been for the past 3 games.  Let's take a look at those 3 games.  They were tied 98-98 at the end of regulation with the Nuggets for 196 combined points.  They lost to the Thunder 97-102 for 199 combined points.  And they beat the Warriors 114-93 for 207 combined points.  Now they will be without Booker again tonight and this total with the Mavs is set at 217.5.  The Mavs are a tired team playing for a second consecutive night after falling 101-120 in the altitude in Salt Lake City last night.  They won't be looking to push the tempo today give the situation.  The UNDER is 7-2 in Suns last 9 road games.  The UNDER is 7-2 in Mavs last 9 games off a loss.  The UNDER is 14-6 in the last 20 matchups in Dallas.  Take the UNDER.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Houston Rockets +1

The Key: The Houston Rockets have won 4 straight by by an average of 12 PPG.  They are healthy now and forming chemistry with all of their new faces, led by Wall and Oladipo.  Now they face a tired Pelicans team that will be playing for a second consecutive day after topping the Bucks 131-126 in a shootout.  The Pelicans won't have much left in the tank for the Rockets tonight.  Bets against home dogs that give up 103 PPG or more after leading in their previous game by 20+ points at halftime are 29-7 ATS since 1996.  Take Houston.

6* Saturday NCAAB *BLOWOUT* on Creighton -9.5

The Key: DePaul is neck-and-neck with Georgetown as the worst team in the Big East.  The Blue Demons are 1-6 SU & 2-5 ATS in Big East play this year.  They don't stand a chance of even keeping this game with Creighton competitive today.  Creighton is 12-0 SU & 11-1 ATS in its last 12 matchups with DePaul with 11 wins by double-digits.  Enough said.  Take Creighton.

6* Kansas/Tennessee ESPN *CA$H COW* on Tennessee -2.5

The Key: The Kansas Jayhawks are clearly down this season.  They have lost 3 of their last 4 coming in with their only win coming 59-51 at home over TCU as a 14-point favorite.  Now they take on a Tennessee team that is one of the best squads in the country.  And I like the price we are getting on the Vols due to their recent struggles as well in failing to cover 6 of their last 7 as a massive favorite in most games.  The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 matchups.  Take Tennessee.

6* Saturday NCAAB *UPSET SPECIAL* on Georgia Tech +4

The Key: Florida State has only played 2 road games all season.  Now the Seminoles hit the road to face a Georgia Tech team that has won 5 straight at home.  The 2 losses that the Yellow Jackets have had may be even more impressive during this stretch.  Both came on the road to Virginia by 2 and Duke by 7.  They were never not covering against Duke until the final seconds playing the foul game, and they nearly upset the Cavaliers, who are playing as well as nearly anyone right now.  They can take down Florida State tonight.  The Yellow Jackets are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games off 3 straight games committing 11 or fewer turnovers.  The Yellow Jackets are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games after failing to cover the spread in their previous game.  Take Georgia Tech.

6* Boise State/Colorado State MWC *BAILOUT* on Boise State -2.5

The Key: Boise State had won 12 in a row prior to getting upset at Colorado State on Wednesday.  Now the Broncos want to avenge that defeat and should get the job done here.  The Rams shot 55.8% as a team while the Broncos shot 38.2%.  That disparity is very unlikely to happen again.  The Broncos are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games off a loss.  Boise State is 6-0-1 ATS in its last 7 games off an ATS loss.  The Broncos are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 games as favorites.  Take Boise State.

6* Nuggets/Spurs Western Conference *CA$H COW* on San Antonio +4.5

The Key: The Denver Nuggets have gone 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.  The price is now getting steep on them and they should not be laying 4.5 points on the road to the Spurs tonight.  This will be their 5th straight road game and they've had a couple OT games in there.  This is a tired Nuggets team.  They will be facing a Spurs team that has gone 4-2 SU & 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games overall and just upset the Boston Celtics at home.  It's a rested Spurs team too that will be playing just their 2nd game in 5 days.  This will be the 5th road game in 8 days for the Nuggets.  It's also a Spurs team that is as healthy as they have been all season.  The Spurs are 41-12 SU in their last 53 home matchups with the Nuggets.  Denver is 8-21 ATS in its last 29 road games off a win by 10 points or more.  The Spurs are 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 Friday games.  The Spurs are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as underdogs.  Take San Antonio.

7* NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month on New York Knicks +1

The Key: The New York Knicks will be looking to avenge a 103-106 road loss at Cleveland in which they controlled the game most the way but got crushed in the 4th quarter.  They lost that game 2 weeks ago and have not forgotten.  And they also are hungry for a win after losing 3 straight on the road against a tough schedule coming in.  The Knicks are now as healthy as they have been all season and haven't played since Tuesday.  They are primed for one of their best efforts of the season tonight.  The Cavaliers are 30-61-1 ATS in their last 92 games as favorites.  The Knicks are 21-10 ATS when avenging a same-season loss in their last 31 tries.  Take New York.

7* Warriors/Suns TNT *BAILOUT* on UNDER 220.5

The Key: Phoenix has been without Devin Booker in each of its last 2 games and is likely to be without him tonight.  The Suns and Nuggets combined for 196 points at the end of regulation in their first game without him.  Then last night they combined for 199 points with the Thunder in their 2nd game without him.  Now the Suns are a tired team and will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back.  The Warriors are also a tired team playing the 2nd of a back-to-back.  That fatigue will affect shooting and will favor defense in this game tonight.  The UNDER is 6-0 in the last 6 matchups in this series with each of the last 3 seeing 218 or fewer combined points.  Take the UNDER.

6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Tulane +17.5

The Key: Tulane was a +17.5 dog when it lost 50-71 at Houston on January 9th.  The Green Wave shot just 28.8% from the field and 31.6% from 3-point range in that game while Houston shot 15-of-36 (41.7%) from 3-point range.  Just a slight improvement will have them covering this 17.5-point spread in the rematch.  This line should not be identical to the first matchup when you adjust for home-court advantage.  But the price is getting steep to back Houston now that the Cougars are ranked #6 in the country and have won 6 straight coming in.  Houston is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 road games off a combined score of 125 points or fewer.  The Green Wave are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games when avenging a same-season loss.  The Green Wave are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as home dogs.  Take Tulane.

6* Blazers/Rockets Western Conference *CA$H COW* on Houston -4.5

The Key: The Houston Rockets are starting to play up to their potential now that they have the negativity surrounding James Harden behind them.  They are also as healthy as they have been all season.  Wall, Oladipo, Cousins and Gordon are all making significant contributions and have played a big part in going 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games overall with 3 wins by a combined 45 points.  And now Christian Wood, one of the most underrated players in the NBA, is expected to make his return tonight after missing the past 3 games.  The Blazers are missing McCollum, Nurkic and Covington and have gone 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games while getting outscored by a combined 39 points in those 5 contests.  I like where the Rockets are at right now playing well as a team, while the Blazers are too reliant on one guy in Damian Lillard.  Take Houston.