Sports Picks & Predictions

7* Ohio State/Michigan State Big Ten *HEAVY HITTER* on Michigan State -6.5

The Key: Like clockwork, the Michigan State Spartans are starting to play their best basketball of the season down the stretch again this year.  They are 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall.  Now they get to host an Ohio State team with pretty much nothing to play for at this point.  The Spartans are 11-2 at home this season, while the Buckeyes are just 3-7 SU & 3-7 ATS on the road.  The home team is 7-1 SU in the last 8 meetings.  The Buckeyes are 7-24-1 ATS in their last 32 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.  The Buckeyes are 10-28-1 ATS in their last 39 road games.  The Spartans are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.  Take Michigan State.

7* NBA Situational Game of the Month on Milwaukee Bucks -3

The Key: The Milwaukee Bucks are not getting any respect from oddsmakers right now due to having lost 12 of their last 15 games coming into tonight.  But they have won 2 of their last 4 in blowout fashion with a 25-point win at Phoenix and a 16-point win at Indiana, so the signs of a turnaround are there.  But this is more of a fade of the Pistons, who will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 16-point comeback in the 4th quarter last night to beat the Raptors 102-101.  It's going to be tough to follow up that performance, especially with as much effort as they put into the final period.  The Pistons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest.  The Pistons are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up win.  Bets against all teams with a line of +3 to -3 like Detroit who are revenging a loss vs. opponent while also off a road win by 3 points or less are 41-14 ATS over the last 5 seasons.  Take Milwaukee.

7* Cincinnati/SMU AAC *HEAVY HITTER* on SMU -4.5

The Key:  The Mustangs are one of the best teams in the country that nobody is talking about.  They have won 7 straight games with 6 of those coming by double-digits to improve to 21-4 on the season.  They are a perfect 14-0 at home this season and a tremendous 8-1 ATS on their home floor, mopping up opponents by an average of 22 points per game.  Now they get their shot at revenge on Cincinnati with the AAC regular season title likely at stake here.  They only lost 64-66 at Cincinnati to prove that they can play with them, and now they prove that they are the best team in the conference with a win and cover at home Sunday.  The Bearcats are 16-35 ATS in their last 51 Sunday games.  The Mustangs are 13-2-1 ATS in their last 16 vs. American Athletic Conference.  The Mustangs are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  Take SMU.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Phoenix Suns +14

The Key: One of the best-kept secrets in the NBA is that the Suns actually perform very well ATS when playing on zero or little rest.  That's because they have one of the deepest benches in the league.  The Suns are 11-3 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season.  They just thumped the Bulls 115-97 at home last night while playing 12 players.  They won't be phased by this back-to-back situation because of their deep bench.  And the Suns are going to want some revenge here after losing their first 2 meetings of the season to the Rockets by 14 and 16 points.  I don't expect the Rockets to be too concerned here with beating the Suns by a margin having already done it twice this year.  Look for this game to be much closer than expected.  The Rockets are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 Saturday games.  The Suns are 22-8 ATS in the last 30 meetings in Houston.  Take Phoenix.

7* Big East Game of the Month on DePaul +10.5

The Key: The Creighton Bluejays cannot be trusted to lay double-digits on the road against anyone right now without star PG Mo Watson Jr.  They just haven't been the same without him.  After starting 18-1 with him, they are just 2-3 SU & 2-3 ATS without him.  They did beat DePaul 83-66 without him, but that was at home and just 2 weeks ago, meaning the Blue Demons will be seeking revenge in the rematch.  I think they have what it takes to stay within double-digits at home this time around.  Take DePaul.

6* K-State/WVU Big 12 *CA$H COW* on Kansas State +10.5

The Key: This is a bad spot for West Virginia.  They are coming off a big road win at Oklahoma, and they have a huge road game on deck against Kansas on ESPN's Big Monday just two days from now.  They won't fully be invested in beating Kansas State by a margin today as a result.  The Wildcats haven't been able to be beaten by margins all year.  They have lost 8 games, but 7 of those defeats came by 9 points or fewer.  They already beat WVU 79-75 as 3.5-point home dogs and they know another win over the Mountaineers would go a long way in helping them get in the tournament.  They just won their last road game at Baylor 56-54 as 7-point dogs.  They haven't lost a Big 12 road game by more than 5 points all season.  The Wildcats are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games.  The Mountaineers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 Saturday games.  Take Kansas State.

7* Warriors/Grizzlies Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Memphis +8

The Key: This is a classic case of the Golden State Warriors being overvalued.  They come in off a blowout win over the Bulls, who were without both Jimmy Butler and Dwyane Wade.  The Warriors could be caught looking ahead to Kevin Durant's return to Oklahoma City Saturday against the Thunder here.  Plus, Memphis has already proven it can beat Golden State, going 2-0 SU & 2-0 ATS against them this season.  The Grizzlies won 110-89 as 13-point home dogs, and 128-119 as 13.5-point road dogs.  Now they are catching 8 points here, which is simply too much in a game that they could win outright.  The Grizzlies have won 3 straight with an 8 point win at Minnesota, a 15-point home win over San Antonio and a 19-point home win over Phoenix.  The Grizzlies are the best team in the NBA defensively, holding those 3 opponents to just 88 points per game.  The Grizzlies are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.  Take Memphis.

7* American Athletic Game of the Month on Temple +7.5

The Key: The SMU Mustangs are overvalued right now due to their 6-game winning streak.  Not only have they won 6 straight, but they've also gone 5-0-1 ATS during this stretch.  The betting public is all over them, driving this line all the way up to 7.5.  The Mustangs shouldn't be laying this kind of price on the road to the Temple Owls tonight.  Temple is 8-0 ATS versus good passing teams that average at least 16 assists over the last 2 seasons.  SMU is 0-6 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3-point shots per game over the last 2 years.  The home team is 6-1 SU & 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.  Take Temple.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Dallas Mavericks +4

The Key: After going 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall, the Utah Jazz are now overvalued.  And the Jazz are in a difficult situation tonight.  They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days.  The Mavericks will be ready for them as they come in playing their best basketball of the season.  Dallas is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games overall, yet it continues to get no respect from oddsmakers here as 4-point home dogs.  Utah is 5-14 ATS when playing its 3rd game in 4 days this season.  The Jazz are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games.  The Jazz are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.  The Mavericks are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games.  Take Dallas.

7* Bulls/Warriors ESPN *BAILOUT* on Chicago +14

The Key: The Chicago Bulls have a way of playing to their competition.  They beat teams they're not expected to, and they lost to teams they shouldn't.  The Bulls are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  I think they'll put up a great effort tonight against the Golden State Warriors and easily stay within this 14-point spread.  The Bulls are 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.  They beat the 76ers by 13 at home, went on the road and upset the Thunder by 28 as 2.5-point dogs, only lost by 4 at Houston as 10-point dogs, and upset the Kings by 5 as 4.5-point road dogs.  They will be playing just their 2nd game in 5 days, so they are fresh right now.  Take Chicago.

6* Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Ohio State -10.5

The Key: The Ohio State Buckeyes need to start piling up the wins if they want to make a run at the NCAA Tournament.  They sit at 14-10 right now and boosted their chances with a 70-66 win at Michigan as 9-point dogs on Saturday.  Now they'll be playing with confidence tonight as they host lowly Rutgers.  The Scarlet Knights are coming off an upset win of their own at Penn State.  Now this is a letdown spot for them as they aren't used to winning in Big Ten play.  Ohio State has owned Rutgers, going 3-0 in 3 meetings since the Scarlet Knights joined the Big Ten.  They won by 10 on the road, by 26 at home and by 19 on the road.  Expect another double-digit blowout here.  The Scarlet Knights are 14-39-1 ATS in their last 54 games following a ATS win.  The Buckeyes are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.  Take Ohio State.

6* ACC *CA$H COW* on Boston College +3

The Key: The Boston College Eagles have an excellent chance to pick up their 2nd win in ACC play this season.  They have been extremely competitive in going 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall, but they just haven't been able to translate that competitiveness into wins.  They'll be hungry to get their win tonight.  They host a Pitt Panthers team that has been atrocious, going 0-8 SU in their last 8 games overall.  The Panthers are coming off back-to-back games against UNC and Duke, and it's only human nature that they won't be able to get up for a team like Boston College after facing those two powerhouses in consecutive contests.  Pitt is 0-7 ATS as a road favorite or PK over the last 3 seasons.  The Panthers are 0-6 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 20% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons.  Take Boston College.

6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Texas +3

The Key: Iowa State is coming off one of the biggest wins in school history.  The Cyclones just ended Kansas' 54-game home winning streak with an upset victory over the Jayhawks in overtime.  Now it's only human nature that they'll go on the road and suffer a letdown here at Texas on Tuesday.  The Longhorns have won 10 of their last 12 home meetings with the Cyclones.  The Cyclones are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.  The Longhorns are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog.  Iowa State is 5-15 ATS as a road favorite of 3 points or less or PK in its last 20 tries.  Texas is 9-1 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.  Take Texas.

7* NBA Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Portland Trail Blazers -2

The Key: The Portland Trail Blazers were upset at home by the Dallas Mavericks this past Friday by a final of 104-108.  Now I expect them to return the favor just 4 days later as they get their shot at revenge in Dallas here Tuesday night.  The Mavericks will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a loss in Denver last night.  Playing in the altitude last night will also have them extra tired in this back-to-back situation.  Look for the Blazers to take advantage.  The road team has gone 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in this series.  Take Portland.

7* NBA Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Denver Nuggets -3.5

The Key: The Denver Nuggets have shown what they're capable of when healthy.  They are 8-5 in their last 13 games overall and most of their losses during this stretch can be attributed to an injury or two.  But they are almost fully healthy now and should make easy work of the Dallas Mavericks tonight.  The Mavs come in overvalued after a season-high 4-game winning streak.  That streak comes to an end tonight against the Nuggets.  Bets against teams where the line is +3 to -3 off an upset win as a road underdog, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing against a team with a losing record are 34-12 ATS over the last 5 seasons.  Take Denver.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Oklahoma City Thunder -4.5

The Key: For starters, the Blazers are 8-18 on the road this season, while the Thunder are 17-7 at home.  This is a very small number being asked of the Thunder to cover today and I think this is a great price because of it.  That's especially the case with how important home-court advantage has been in this series.  The home team is 7-0 SU in ther last 7 meetings.  The Thunder have won their last 3 home meetings with the Blazers by 36, 16 and 11 points, or by an average of 21 points per game.  Take Oklahoma City.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Miami Heat -8.5

The Key: The Miami Heat are 9-0 SU & 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games overall.  Normally I'd look to fade teams on runs like this, but not the Heat here.  They have had two days off since throttling Atlanta 116-93 at home on Wednesday.  And they have not only been winning during this streak, they've been blowing teams out on the regular. Their last 4 wins have come by 12, 13, 8 and 23 points.  Philadelphia is 1-4 in its last 5 games overall with the 3 road games during this stretch resulting in blowout losses by 13, 18 and 16 points.  And the 76ers are without Joel Embiid tonight, and they could be without two other key players in Nerlens Noel and Robert Covington, who are both questionable after sitting out their last game against the Spurs.  Miami is 10-1 ATS off a home win this season.  The Heat are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.  Take Miami.

6* Miami/NC State ACC *CA$H COW* on NC State +2.5

The Key: Miami has been one of the most overrated teams in the country this season.  The Hurricanes are just 5-14 ATS in their lined games this year.  Now they are actually favored on the road at NC State, a team that is 11-3 at home this season.  The home team is 4-0 SU in the last 4 meetings.  NC State beat Miami 85-69 as 5-point home dogs last season.  The underdog is 9-2-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings.  The Hurricanes are 3-15 ATS in their last 18 games as a favorite.  Miami is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 road games.  The Wolfpack are 24-11-2 ATS in their last 37 games following a straight up loss.  Take NC State.

7* Iowa State/Kansas Big 12 *HEAVY HITTER* on Iowa State +11

The Key: I love this situation for Iowa State.  The Cyclones will be hungry for a win off back-to-back losses to Vanderbilt and WVU.  They will also be hungry after already narrowly losing to Kansas 72-76 at home on January 16th.  I like them here catching double-digits in the rematch.  The Jayhawks are in a letdown spot off back-to-back narrow wins over Kentucky and Baylor, two of the top teams in the country.  They won't be able to get up for Iowa State after facing those two teams.  Iowa State has only lost to Kansas once by more than 11 points in the last 9 meetings.  The Cyclones always play them tough.  The Cyclones are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog of 7.0-12.5.  The Jayhawks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games.  Take Iowa State.

7* NBA Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Oklahoma City Thunder +1

The Key: Off 3 straight losses to the Cavs, Spurs and Bulls, the Thunder will be hungry for a victory tonight.  These 3 losses have them undervalued as they are now home dogs to the Memphis Grizzlies.  The Grizzlies come in overvalued due to 3 straight road wins over the Jazz, Suns and Nuggets.  The only impressive win in there was the Jazz, but the win over the Nuggets last time out came against a very injury-ravaged team.  And it's unlikely the Grizzlies will be able to win a 4th consecutive road game here tonight.  The Thunder are 16-7 at home.  The home team is 7-1 SU in the last 8 meetings.  The home team is 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings.  The Grizzlies are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 trips to Oklahoma City.  The Thunder are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.  Take Oklahoma City.

7* Warriors/Clippers TNT *BAILOUT* on Los Angeles +8

The Key: The Los Angeles Clippers are in about as tough a spot as they've been in all season here tonight.  They will be playing the second of a back-to-back and their 4th game in 5 days.  They will be playing on their 9th straight different court as they haven't been able to stay in the same city here over the past few weeks.  I think they run out of gas tonight against the Clippers.  I also like this revenge spot for the Clippers, who were embarrassed by the Warriors 98-144 on the road on January 28th just a few days ago.  Look for the fresher Clippers to be the more hungry team here and to give the Warriors a run for their money, possibly pulling off the upset.  Los Angeles is 13-4 ATS in home games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.  The Warriors are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest.  Take Los Angeles.

6* Utah/Cal Pac-12 *CA$H COW* on California -3

The Key: California has one of the best home-court advantages in the country.  The Golden Bears have gone 12-2 at home this season with their only losses coming against Virginia (by 4) and Arizona (by 5), which are two of the best teams in the land.  I expect the Golden Bears to take down the Utah Utes tonight.  The home team is 4-0 SU in the last 4 meetings in this series, including a 71-58 victory for the Golden Bears last season as identical 3-point favorites. Cal is 10-1 ATS off a conference win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.  The Golden Bears are 7-0 ATS in February games over the last 2 years.  Take California.

7* NBA Non-Conference Game of the Month on Charlotte Hornets +15.5

The Key: The Charlotte Hornets and Golden State Warriors just played a week ago on January 25th.  The Hornets blew a 5-point lead going into the 4th quarter and lost that game 103-113 at home as Stephen Curry went off int he 4th quarter.  But now the Hornets will be out for revenge in the rematch a week later, and we are getting a great price on them as 15.5-point dogs.  Bets on road dogs after allowing 105 points or more in 3 straight games against an opponent off a win by 6 points or less are 35-4 ATS over the last 5 seasons.  Take Charlotte.

6* UCLA/Washington State Pac-12 *CA$H COW* on Washington State +16.5

The Key: Washington State is one of the most improved teams in the Pac-12 this season.  They have won 4 conference games already while pulling off 3 upsets in the process.  They beat Washington on the road as 12.5-point dogs, Colorado at home as 7-point dogs and Arizona State on the road as 10.5-point dogs.  UCLA has been an overvalued commodity since entering Pac-12 play.  The Bruins are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall, yet they're again being asked to lay a big number on the road here tonight.  They haven't won a true road game by more than 15 points this season.  The Bruins are 5-21-1 ATS in their last 27 games as a road favorite  The home team is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.  The Cougars are 4-0 ATS in their last four home meetings with UCLA.  Take Washington State.

7* Mountain West Game of the Month on Colorado State -1

The Key: Colorado State continues to lack the respect they deserve from oddsmakers today as only 1-point home favorites over Boise State.  The Rams have gone 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall while beating both Utah State and San Diego State on the road outright as underdogs.  This stretch also includes a 73-74 loss at Boise State as 7.5-point dogs.  Now the Rams get the Broncos at home and will be out for revenge in the rematch.  Colorado State is 10-3 at home this season.  The Rams are 5-1 straight up in their last 6 home meetings with the Broncos.  The Rams are 6-0 ATS after 2 straight games with 12 or fewer assists this season.  Colorado State is 7-0 ATS vs. teams who force 14 or fewer turnovers per game this season.  Take Colorado State.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Houston Rockets -11.5

The Key: The Sacramento Kings are running on fumes right now.  They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 4th road game in 5 days.  They aren't going to have much left in the tank for Houston tonight, which is not a good thing with the way the Rockets like to push the tempo.  And they're going to be up against a hungry Houston squad that has lost 3 of their last 4 coming in.  The Kings have not fared well at all in their last 3 meetings with the Rockets, 2 of which have come this season.  They lost by 34 in Houston, by 13 at home, and by 35 in Houston in those 3 meetings.  Look for another lopsided affair in this game as the Rockets get back on track and take advantage of an extremely tired Kings squad.  The Rockets are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up loss.  The Rockets are 18-6 ATS in the last 24 meetings, and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home meetings.  Take Houston.

7* Grizzlies/Suns TNT *BAILOUT* on Memphis -3.5

The Key: The Memphis Grizzlies beat Toronto at home, only lost by 3 at Portland and upset Utah by 7 as 7.5-point dogs in their last 3 games overall.  That's a very tough stretch, and the Grizzlies nearly went 3-0.  Now they take on one of the worst teams in the NBA in the Phoenix Suns, who have lost 3 straight to the Timberwolves and Nuggets (twice) coming in.  The Grizzlies are 13-3 ATS after playing a game as a road underdog this season.  The Grizzlies are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 vs. Western Conference.  The Suns are 6-15-1 ATS in their last 22 vs. Western Conference.  Take Memphis.

6* Oklahoma State/Oklahoma ESPN *CA$H COW* on Oklahoma State -2

The Key: The Oklahoma State Cowboys have played the single-toughest schedule in the country.  Their 13-8 record doesn't look impressive on the surface, but this team has some remarkable wins.  The Cowboys have beaten Georgetown, UConn and Witchita State in non-conference while only losing at Maryland 70-71.  Now they come in off 3 straight dominant showings with an 83-64 win at Texas Tech, an 89-76 home win over TCU and a 99-71 home victory over Arkansas.  Oklahoma has lost 3 straight while going 2-10 in its last 12 games overall, which includes a 52-84 home loss to Florida on Saturday.  The Sooners have swept the season series in 3 consecutive years while winning 7 straight over the Cowboys.  It's safe to say that Oklahoma State is going to be hungry to end this streak tonight.  The Sooners are 9-19-1 ATS in their last 29 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.  Take Oklahoma State.

6* Thunder/Cavs ABC *CA$H COW* on Cleveland -7

The Key: I'm seeing value on the Cleveland Cavs for once today because they have been so abysmal at the pay window of late.  The Cavs are just 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games overall.  The Thunder are starting to get too much respect from the books after covering 3 straight and going 8-3 ATS in their last 11 contests.  But now the Thunder are without one of their best players for over a month on Enes Kanter, who broke his arm punching a chair in their last game.  Kanter is a huge loss for them because he's instant offense and averages 14.4 PPG.  The Cavs are 20-5 at home this season and this is a relatively small spread for them to have to cover compared to most games.  Bets on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CLEVELAND) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games are 36-9 ATS since 1996.  Take Cleveland.

7* Pac-12 *HEAVY HITTER* on Washington State +10.5

The Key: I don't think Arizona State should be laying double-digits to any team in the Pac-12.  The Sun Devils are just 10-11 this season and not that much better than Washington State, who is 10-10 and one of the most improved teams in the league.  The Cougars gave Arizona a fight on the road last time out and will certainly be able to compete with Arizona State here.  The Sun Devils are 3-16 ATS after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 3 seasons.  The Cougars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.  The Sun Devils are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.  Arizona State is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 Sunday games.  Take Washington State.

6* St. Mary's/Santa Clara WCC *BAILOUT* on Santa Clara +10

The Key: Santa Clara is playing very well right now in going 9-4 in its last 13 games overall.  It has done a lot of its damage at home, but it also has an 87-80 road win at Valparaiso and a narrow 68-69 road loss to Washington State.  Santa Clara is 6-1 in its last seven home games with its only loss coming to Gonzaga.  The six wins have come by 25, 24, 14, 28, 1 and 8 points, including an upset 76-68 win over BYU last time out as 3.5-point dogs.  St. Mary's is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 after having won 18 or more of its last 20 games coming in.  I think the Broncos will stay within double-digits over the Gaels tonight, possibly pulling off the upset.  Take Santa Clara.

6* Saturday MAC *CA$H COW* on Akron -9

The Key: Akron is the best team in the MAC hands down.  The Zips continue to roll as they are 10-0 in their last 10 games overall.  Now they take on a Buffalo team that is just 4-6 in its last 10 contests.  The Zips are 10-0 at home this season while outscoring the opposition by nearly 19 points per game on average.  Take Akron.

7* ACC Game of the Month on Florida State -3

The Key: After failing to cover the spread in 4 straight games, including outright road losses to UNC and Georgia Tech, I expect the Florida State Seminoles to put forth a big effort today.  They went through a grueling stretch of 4 straight ranked opponents, which explains their letdown last time out against Georgia Tech.  But that poor showing will have them refocused here and ready to go.  The Syracuse Orange are way down this season compared to years' past, while the Seminoles have their best team in recent memory.  FSU is 12-1 ATS off 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.  Syracuse is 6-20 ATS in Saturday games over the last 3 years.  The Orange are 11-22 ATS off a home win over the last 3 seasons.  The Orange are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win.  Take Florida State.

7* NBA Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Atlanta Hawks -3

The Key: The Washington Wizards have been playing great basketball over the past month.  But now it's to the point where they are getting too much respect from oddsmakers and it's time to fade them.  I think this is a great price on Atlanta as only 3-point home favorites now.  After all, the Hawks have been playing just as good, winning 12 of their last 15 games coming in.  Yet, they aren't getting the respect they deserve.  And the Wizards are coming off a huge win over the Celtics in which they wore black to the game, signifying the Celtics' funerals.  They put a lot into that game and won't be nearly as focused for the Hawks here.  The Wizards are just 6-14 on the road this season.  Washington is 7-20 ATS in its last 27 road games after scoring 120 points or more.   Take Atlanta.

7* Pac-12 Game of the Week on Washington State +23.5

The Key: The Arizona Wildcats are in a flat spot here against the Washington State Cougars.  They are coming off their biggest win of the season, a 96-85 upset at UCLA as 5-point underdogs.  They will have a hard time getting up to play Washington State now, and that's going to make it very difficult to cover this 23.5-point spread.  The Cougars are a much-improved team this season that is senior-led and will be competitive in this game.  They have gone a respectable 3-4 in conference play this year.  Bets against home teams who have at least a +8 PPG differential on the season against a team with a PPG differential of -3.5 to -8, after scoring 95 points or more in their previous game are 70-35 ATS since 1997.  Take Washington State.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Minnesota Timberwolves -3

The Key: The Minnesota Timberwolves have won 6 of their last 8 games overall.  They are finally starting to play up to their potential right now and certainly are worth a bet as only 3-point home favorites tonight over the Indiana Pacers.  The Timberwolves are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.  The Pacers are not only 6-16 SU but also 6-16 ATS on the road this season.  Indiana has gone 1-10 ATS in their 11 road games this season against good free throw shooting teams that make at least 76% of their attempts.  Take Minnesota.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Memphis Grizzlies -5.5

The Key: The Toronto Raptors have lost 4 straight games for the first time since March of 2015.  They lost on the road to the 76ers, lost by 35 at Charlotte, lost by 12 at home to Phoenix, and fell to the Spurs last night who were playing without several key players, including star Kawhi Leonard.  Now they will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 6th game in 9 days.  They are expected to be without leading scorer DeMar DeRozan again tonight as well. Now they have to play a Memphis Grizzlies team that has been sitting there waiting for them.  The Grizzlies have had 3 days off since a home loss to Houston on Saturday.  Memphis is 8-1 ATS revenging a same season loss this season.  After losing 105-120 in Toronto on November 30, look for the Grizzlies to avenge that defeat and take advantage of this fatigued Raptors squad tonight.  Take Memphis.

7* Creighton/Georgetown Big East *HEAVY HITTER* on Georgetown +2.5

The Key: Creighton just isn't the same without PG Mo Watson Jr., who was lost two games ago against Xavier.  The Bluejays went on to get upset at home in their first game without him 94-102 at home to Marquette.  Watson Jr. actually accounted for 38% of Creighton's points between his scoring and gaudy assist numbers.  Georgetown will pull the upset at home tonight.  The Hoyas are 5-1 SU in their last 6 meetings with Creighton, including 3 straight home victories in this series.  Take Georgetown.

7* Spurs/Raptors NBA TV *HEAVY HITTER* on Toronto +3.5

The Key: The Toronto Raptors are in the midst of their first 3-game losing streak since November of 2015.  I look for them to end this skid tonight with an upset home victory over the San Antonio Spurs in an inspired effort.  The Spurs will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back here after a win in Brooklyn last night.  They have all kinds of injuries right now as Manu Ginobli, Tony Parker and Pau Gasol are expected to sit, while Kawhi Leonard is questionable.  That's not good news for them to be short-handed when this will also be their 3rd game in 4 days.  The home team is 6-0 SU in the last 6 meetings between these teams with the Raptors pulling off the upset in their 2 home meetings as underdogs during this stretch.  Take Toronto.

6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Auburn +9.5

The Key: South Carolina is in a prime flat spot here tonight.  With first place on the line last Saturday against Kentucky, the Gamecocks lost 69-85 on the road to the Wildcats.  Now they're going to have a hard time getting motivated to face Auburn just a few days later here on Tuesday.  The Tigers are coming off one of their best performances of the season in an 84-64 win over Alabama to give them confidence.  This was a very young team to start the season, but one of the most talented in the SEC.  It appears Bruce Pearl has them playing their best right now as they have won 3 of their last 4 with their only loss coming on the road to Kentucky.  This is a team that is only going to get better as the season goes on.  Bets on dogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points off a home blowout win by 20 points or more against opponent off a road loss by 10 points or more are 79-37 ATS over the last 5 seasons.  Take Auburn.

6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Portland +23.5

The Key: I don't foresee the Gonzaga Bulldogs being motivated at all for this game against Portland tonight.  That's because the Bulldogs just beat the Pilots 73-52 in Spokane on Saturday.  Now these teams have to square off again two days later because their earlier meeting in Portland was postponed due to snow.  After losing by 21 on the road, I think the Pilots can stay within 23.5 at home this time around in the rematch.  Bets on dogs of 10 or more points after scoring 55 points or less in a loss to a conference opponent when playing with one or less days' rest are 54-21 ATS since 1997.  Take Portland.

7* NBA Non-Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Miami Heat +12

The Key: The Golden State Warriors have covered 5 straight games coming into this showdown with the Miami Heat. However, they are now getting way too much respect from oddsmakers.  This will be a tough situation for the Warriors as they will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days.  They pulled away from the Magic in the second half yesterday after being tied at halftime.  I think they'll struggle to win by a margin against the Miami Heat, who have won 3 straight with home victories over the Rockets. Mavs and Bucks.  The Heat are 3-0 ATS in their last 3 meetings with the Warriors, which were all decided by 12 points or less despite two of those coming on the road, including a 95-107 road loss at 14.5-point dogs on January 10th.  The Warriors are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.  The Warriors are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  Take Miami.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Los Angeles Lakers +6

The Key: I like the spot for the Los Angeles Lakers.  They will be playing just their 2nd game in 5 days here.  They are coming off a 108-96 home win over the Pacers on Friday and will certainly be fresh for this game.  The Mavericks will be playing their 3rd game in 4 days after an overtime home loss to the Jazz on Friday that followed up a trip to Miami on Thursday.  The Lakers will also be in revenge mode here after losing each of their first 2 meetings this season at home to the Mavs.  Take Los Angeles.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Memphis Grizzlies +1

The Key: Talk about a tough situation for Houston here.  The Rockets will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back, their 4th game in 5 days and their 11th game in 17 days.  And they just played the Warriors last night and lost, so they'll likely suffer a hangover effect from that defeat and not get up to face the Grizzlies.  Memphis will also be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back here, but this will be just its 3rd game in 6 days.  And the Grizzlies made easy work of the Kings 107-91 last night, so they should still be fresh for this game.  The Grizzlies clearly have the Rockets figured out as they won 115-109 at home and 110-105 on the road in their first 2 meetings this year.  They are as well-equipped to stop the Rockets as any team in the NBA because they actually play defense.  The Rockets are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 Saturday games.  The Grizzlies are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games.  The Rockets are 3-9 ATS in the last 12 meetings in Memphis.  Take Memphis.

7* Pac-12 Game of the Week on Utah -3

The Key: The Utah Utes are absolutely flying under the radar right now.  They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.  They did lose 82-83 to UCLA, but the Bruins could be the best team in the country.  They beat Arizona State by 6 on the road, USC by 22 at home, and Washington State by a whopping 41 on the road during this stretch.  Washington is one of the worst teams in the Pac-12 with its only 2 wins coming at home against Oregon State and Colorado.  It lost on the road to both Cal and Stanford, while getting upset by Washington State at home as 12.5-point favorites and also losing to Oregon by 22 at home.  Utah won both meetings last year with Washington and will likely sweep the season series again this year.  The Utes have a much more complete team than the Huskies.  The Utes have 7 players averaging at least 9.5 points per game, while the Huskies are too reliant on freshman sensation Markelle Fultz.  The Huskies don't play defense as they give up 78.5 points per game, while the Utes score 80.9 points per game and allow just 65.9.  The Utes are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5.  The Huskies are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.  Washington is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games as a home underdog.  Take Utah.

6* Atlantic 10 *CA$H COW* on Duquesne +9

The Key: I'm not sure exactly what Rhode Island has done to warrant being a 9-point road favorite.  The Rams are 1-4 in true road games this season with their only win at Saint Louis, which is the worst team in the Atlantic 10.  Duquesne has given Rhode Island fits of late, going 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.  Nine of the last 10 meetings in this series were decided by 8 points or fewer.  The only exception was an 83-71 road win by Duquesne as 5-point dogs in 2014.  So, the Rams haven't beaten them by this margin in any of the last 10 meetings, making for a 10-0 angle backing the Dukes pertaining to this 9-point spread.  Take Duquesne.

7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Utah Jazz -6

The Key: The Utah Jazz have played since Monday, so they have had 3 days off to rest and ready ready for the Mavericks tonight.  Dallas hasn't had the same luxury as this will be the 2nd of a back-to-back and its 3rd game in 4 days here tonight.  The Mavs lost 95-99 in Miami last night, and they won't have much left in the tank for the Jazz here Friday.  I look for the Jazz to continue to roll because of it after going 9-3 in their last 12 games and 4-0 in their last 4 contests coming in.  Dallas has gone just 2-11 ATS in its last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.  Take Utah.

6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Santa Clara +13

The Key: The Santa Clara Broncos come in playing their best basketball of the season.  They have won 4 of their last 5 with blowout home wins over San Francisco by 14 and Portland by 28, as well as impressive road wins at San Diego and Pepperdine.  Now they're amped up to get their shot at unbeaten Gonzaga, which they only lost to 77-79 as 15-point home dogs last season.  Herb Sendek has all 5 of his starters back from that squad.  And the Broncos catch the Bulldogs in a letdown spot here after their big win over St. Mary's last time out.  Gonzaga is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games off 3 straight games where it shot 53% or better.  The Broncos are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games following three or more consecutive road games.  The Bulldogs are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 meetings, and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 trips to Santa Clara.  Take Santa Clara.

7* T'Wolves/Clippers TNT *BAILOUT* on Minnesota PK

The Key: The Minnesota Timberwolves are playing up to their potential now as they are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.  I look for them to take advantage of a short-handed Clippers team that is now without both Chris Paul and Blake Griffin.  It's well documented that they have been terrible without Paul, and that is amplified when either Griffin or DeAndre Jordan are also out.  Minnesota is 26-11 ATS in road games revenging a loss vs. opponent over the last 2 seasons.  The Timberwolves are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.  The road team is 23-7-1 ATS in the last 31 meetings.  Take Minnesota.

7* OKC/GS ESPN *BAILOUT* on Oklahoma City +13.5

The Key: This is a great spot to fade the Golden State Warriors.  They are coming off an emotional 126-91 win over Cleveland in which they put everything into that game to end a 4-game losing streak to the defending champs.  I don't expect them to show up nearly as focused for the Thunder, who will be hungry after losing badly to the Clippers last time out.  They'll also be out for revenge from an earlier blowout loss at Golden State in their first meeting this season.  OKC is 8-1 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games this season.  Bets on road dogs of 10 or more points after a blowout loss by 15 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games are 29-9 ATS since 1996.  Take Oklahoma City.

6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Bradley +11

The Key: This is a great spot to fade the Illinois State Redbirds.  They are coming off their biggest win of the season, a 76-62 home victory over Wichita State, the favorite to win the MVC.  It was their 7th straight victory overall.  Now they are primed for a letdown here against Bradley, which has played well of late.  The Braves have upset wins over Southern Illinois 60-51 as 2-point dogs, Evansville 74-63 as 11.5-point dogs and Northern Iowa 72-61 as 2-point dogs in conference play alone.  Illinois State is 0-6 ATS off 3 or more consecutive ATS wins over the last 3 seasons.  The Redbirds are 18-42 ATS in their last 60 vs. teams that are outscored by 4-plus points per game.  The Redbirds are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite of 7.0-12.5.  The Braves are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.  The Braves are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up loss.  Take Bradley.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Los Angeles Lakers +1

The Key: The Los Angeles Lakers are 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.  But that makes them a 'play on' team today because the Lakers have gone 21-8 ATS in their last 29 home games when entering on at least a 4-game losing streak.  The Nuggets played yesterday in a home win over the Magic.  But the Nuggets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 during the 2nd of a back-to-back.  This is a great situation for the Lakers to get a win Tuesday.  Take Los Angeles.

7* Big Ten Game of the Week on Purdue -12

The Key: Purdue is coming off a 78-83 loss at Ohio.  The Boilermakers have now had 4 days off since that loss on Thursday, and I expect them to come out hungry for a victory at home here.  The Illinois Fighting Illini don't have the same luxury after losing 56-62 at home to Maryland on Saturday, only getting 2 days to prepare for Purdue.  And it's not like the Fighting Illini have shown anything worth wanting to back on the road.  They are 0-2 in true road games this year, losing by 16 at Indiana and by 25 at Maryland.  Chalk up another blowout road loss by the Fighting Illini after tonight.  Illinois is 1-10 ATS in road games vs. good shooting teams that make 48% or better over the last 3 seasons.  The Boilermakers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.  Take Purdue.

7* Thunder/Clippers TNT *BAILOUT* on UNDER 215.5

The Key: This is an inflated total tonight between the Oklahoma City Thunder and Los Angeles Clippers.  These are two of the better defensive teams in the NBA.  The Clippers rank 6th in the league in defensive efficiency, while the Thunder are 8th in the same category.  These teams have already played 3 times this season and this will be their 4th and final meeting, so they are obviously familiar with one another.  They have averaged just 196 combined points in those 3 meetings.  OKC is 11-0 UNDER offf 3 straight games with 55 or more rebounds this season.  The UNDER is 6-0 in Clippers last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.  The UNDER is 6-1 in Clippers last 7 home games.  The UNDER is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles.  Take the UNDER.

6* Syracuse/UNC ESPN *CA$H COW* on Syracuse +14.5

The Key: Syracuse wants revenge from a 66-83 loss to UNC in the Final Four last season.  The Orange have played the Tar Heels very tough outside of that defeat as they hadn't lost any of their previous 5 meetings by more than 11 points.  I think this game will be closer than the books anticipate.  UNC is in a letdown spot off a huge 96-83 home win over a Top 10 Florida State team that had only lost one game prior to Saturday.  The Orange are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  UNC is 0-8 ATS in home games off a win by 10 points or more against a conference opponent over the alst 3 seasons.  It is only winning by 2.2 points per game on average in this situation.  Take Syracuse.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Dallas Mavericks -1.5

The Key: The Mavericks are well-rested and ready to go.  They will be playing just their 2nd game in 6 days here after their trip to Mexico City and win over Phoenix.  And they want revenge from a 92-101 loss to the Timberwolves on January 9th.  So they obviously don't have to wait long to exact that revenge here as they face them less than a week later.  The Timberwolves are starting to get too much credit from the books because they have won 3 straight while going 4-0 ATS in their last 4.  The Mavs basically just have to win this game at home to cover.  The Timberwolves are 5-13 SU & 6-12 ATS in their 18 road games this year.  The Timberwolves are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.  Take Dallas.

6* Michigan State/Ohio State Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Ohio State -2

The Key: The Ohio State Buckeyes are hungry for their first conference victory of the season after opening 0-4 against a brutal schedule.  They have 3 road losses to Illinois, Minnesota and Wisconsin, as well as a heartbreaking 75-76 home loss to Purdue in their only conference home game.  That game against Purdue showed what they are capable of.  I look for an inspired effort from them here at home.  The Spartans have only played 2 road games in conference pay, narrowly escaping with a 75-74 win at Minnesota in comeback fashion, and losing at Penn State 63-72.  Ohio State is 6-0 ATS in home games off a conference loss over the last 2 seasons.  The Buckeyes are 6-0 ATS in home games after allowing 80 points or more over the last 3 years.  The Buckeyes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points.  Take this combined 17-0 angle straight to the bank. Take Ohio State.

6* Saturday Big 12 *CA$H COW* on Oklahoma PK

The Key: Oklahoma just returned its best player in Jordan Woodard against Kansas last time out.  Woodard had missed the previous 4 games due to injury, and it's not surprise that the Sooners were 0-4 in those games.  They actually led Kansas 36-27 at home in their last game before falling apart after intermission.  That effort for a half showed what they were capable of.  Now they face Texas Tech, which is 1-2 in true road games this season.  The Sooners have won 6 of their last 8 meetings with the Red Raiders.  The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.  The Red Raiders are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 road games vs. a team with a winning % between 20% and 40%.  Take Oklahoma.

6* Saturday NBA *Total* Annihilator on Lakers/Clippers UNDER 216.5

The Key: It's clear that when you look at the series history between the Lakers and Clippers that this total has been set too high Saturday.  The UNDER is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings and they haven't combined for more than 213 points in any of those 8 contests.  They have averaged just 192.1 combined points per game in their last 8 meetings.  Enough said.  Take the UNDER.

7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Orlando Magic +7.5

The Key: We are getting a great price on the Orlando Magic today because they have lost 6 of their last 7 games.  I think they have a great shot to pull off the upset here against a Blazers team in a bad situation.  The Blazers put a lot into their win over the Cavaliers on Wednesday, and I think they come out flat here tonight against a Magic team that will want this game more.  The Magic will be the fresher team as this will be their 2nd game in 5 days, while the Blazers will be playing their 3rd game in 4 days and 6th game in 10 days.  Orlando is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 road games against Northwest opponents.  Portland is just 7-19 ATS in its last 26 games following a straight up win.  Take Orlando.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Dallas Mavericks -2

The Key: I like this situation for the Mavs.  They will be hungry for a win after losing 3 straight.  And adding to that hunger is the fact that they just lost to the Suns 7 days ago 95-102, so they'll be in revenge mode here.  The Mavs had won 4 straight over the Suns prior to that defeat by 13, 10, 16 and 3 points.  Phoenix is 1-10 ATS in road games when playing only its 2nd game in 5 days over the last 2 seasons.  Dallas is 25-11 ATS after losing 3 of its last 4 games over the last 2 seasons.  The Mavericks are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up loss.  The Suns are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 vs. Western Conference.  The Suns are 18-37 ATS in their last 55 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.  Take Dallas.

7* WCC Game of the Month on San Francisco +12.5

The Key: San Francisco is having a solid season at 11-6 this year.  The Dons are coming off back-to-back losses to the two best teams in the WCC in Gonzaga by 15 and St. Mary's by 11.  They'll clearly be battle-tested coming into this game against BYU, and I look for them to easily stay within the number here.  The Dons have been a tremendous road bet over the years.  They are 47-23-2 ATS in their last 72 games as a road dog.  The Dons are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games following a double-digit loss at home.  The Cougars are 17-36 ATS in their last 53 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.  The road team is a perfect 8-0 ATS in the last 8 meetings.  The Dons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 trips to BYU.  Take San Francisco.

7* NBA Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Memphis Grizzlies +5

The Key: I like catching 5 points here with the Memphis Grizzlies as this is clearly the value side tonight.  The Grizzlies thumped the Thunder 114-80 as 1.5-point home favorites on December 29th.  Now they're catching 5 points in the rematch.  Certainly the Thunder will be hungry for revenge, but I think it is adjusted too much.  The Grizzlies rank 2nd in the NBA in defensive efficiency and they have the formula to stop Russell Westbrook with one of the best PG defenders in the NBA in Mike Conley.  He frustrated Westbrook so much so that he was ejected with two technical fouls in their recent meeting.  The Grizzlies are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 vs. Western Conference.  Take Memphis.

6* Wednesday ACC *CA$H COW* on Wake Forest +9

The Key: Wake Forest is 6-1 at home this season with its only loss coming 68-73 to Clemson.  The Demon Deacons were outscored 12-0 in the final few minutes to blow that game.  That's the same Clemson team that just recently took UNC to overtime on January 3rd.  I think the Demon Deacons are good enough here to stay within single-digits of the Tar Heels as this game goes down to the wire.  Wake Forest is 54-34 ATS in its last 88 games off a loss by 15 points or more.  The Demon Deacons are coming off a blowout loss, while the Tar Heels are coming off a blowout win, which has this line inflated.  The underdog is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.  Take Wake Forest.

6* Pistons/Kings Tuesday NBA *BAILOUT* on Sacramento -2

The Key: The Kings come in hungry for a victory after losing 5 of their last 6 contests.  They have played a very tough schedule here of late, but it lightens up tonight against the Pistons, and I look for them to take advantage.  The Pistons are just 8-12 SU & 8-12 ATS on the road this year.  The Kings are 8-0 ATS after playing a game as a home underdog this season.  The Pistons are 8-19 ATS in their last 27 road games against Western Conference teams.  The Pistons are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.  The Kings are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up loss, and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games off a loss by more than 10 points.  Take Sacramento.

7* SEC Game of the Month on Arkansas -10

The Key: Arkansas is 9-1 at home this season with its only loss coming to Florida.  Off a bad loss at Kentucky, the Razorbacks are now 1-2 in conference play.  That will have them playing with a sense of urgency here tonight against Mississippi State.  The Bulldogs are coming off a tremendous 95-78 win at LSU in their last game.  They won't be playing with the same sense of urgency after that upset victory.  Arkansas has owned Mississippi State in Fayetteville.  The Razorbacks are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS int heir last 4 home meetings, winning by 14, 20, 26 and 10 points.  Look for this string of double-digit home wins over the Bulldogs to extend to 5 after tonight.  Take Arkansas.

6* Tuesday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Central Michigan +3

The Key: Akron may be 12-3 this season, but all 12 wins either came at home or on a neutral court.  The Zips are 0-3 in true road games with losses by 8, 12, and 18 points.  Central Michigan is 6-0 at home this season with an average margin of victory of 27.3 points per game.  The Chippewas beat the Zips 92-81 at home last season.  The Zips are 7-16-1 ATS in their last 24 games as a road favorite of 0.5-6.5.  The Chippewas are 6-0 ATS in Tuesday home games over the last 2 seasons.  Take Central Michigan.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Chicago Bulls -1

The Key: The Chicago Bulls have really started playing up to their potential here of late since benching Rajon Rondo.  They have gone 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games overall with a 118-111 win over Charlotte, a 106-94 win at Cleveland and a 123-118 victory over Toronto.  Now they take on Russell Westbrook and the Oklahoma City Thunder at home here tonight.  The Bulls are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning record, so they have upped their level of play against the better teams in this league.  The Thunder are 1-9 ATS as a road underdog of 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons.  Oklahoma City is 1-10 ATS in road games vs. Central Division opponents over the last 3 years.  Take Chicago.

7* NBA Non-Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Houston Rockets -2.5

The Key: The Toronto Raptors just played an overtime game in Chicago last night.  They won't have much left to give in this 2nd of a back-to-back Sunday.  Now they have to face the hottest team in the NBA in the Houston Rockets, who are 18-2 in their last 20 games overall.  The Rockets will run them out of the building here.  The Rockets are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 road games.  Take Houston.

6* Sunday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Nebraska Cornhuskers +1

The Key: The Nebraska Cornhuskers continue getting no respect from oddsmakers.  They are dogs again today despite the fact that they are 3-0 in the Big Ten with a win at Indiana as 13.5-point dogs, a win at Maryland as 7.5-point dogs and a home win over Iowa as 3-point favorites.  Northwestern hasn't exactly shown well so far, beating Penn State, but losing at short-handed Michigan State by 9 and at home to Minnesota as 3.5-point favorites.  The Wildcats are just 1-2 in true road games with that lone win at Penn State.  Fans of the Huskers are excited about this team and will be out in full force Sunday.  The Huskers are 44-18 ATS in their last 62 home games with a line of +3 to -3.  Take Nebraska.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Toronto Raptors -2

The Key: The Chicago Bulls are coming off their biggest win of the season, a 106-94 road win at Cleveland.  But keep him mind that Kyrie Irving and Kevin Love both sat out that game.  Still, they are feeling good about themselves for beating Lebron James.  I think they have a letdown here in their next game against the Toronto Raptors, who may well be the best team in the East.  They are 24-11 on the season, but they will be focused here after dropping 3 of their last 5 games coming in.  Chicago is 4-14 ATS off a road win by 10 points or more over the last 3 years.  The Raptors are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 vs. Eastern Conference.  The Bulls are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win.  Take Toronto.

6* Maryland/Michigan Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Maryland +8

The Key: The Maryland Terrapins come in undervalued today after a poor 65-67 home loss to the Nebraska Cornhuskers.  They led that game by double-digits late and managed to blow it.  But the Huskers are 3-0 in the Big Ten this season, including a road win at Indiana as well.  I think Michigan can't be laying 8 points here to the Terrapins in what is a very evenly-matched game, and I actually think the Terrapins are the better team.  Michigan lost 83-86 at Iowa, then needed a big comeback to beat Penn State 72-69 as 11.5-point home favorites to open conference play.  The Wolverines are 1-7 ATS versus good defensive teams who allow 42% or less shooting this season.  The Wolverines are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.  They have not done well when stepping up in class.  Take Maryland.

7* NBA Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Brooklyn Nets +13.5

The Key: The Brooklyn Nets will be amped up to face the defending champion Cleveland Cavaliers tonight.  And they catch the Cavs at a good time as they are as banged-up as they have been all season.  Both Kyrie Irving and Kevin Love sat out last game and are questionable to return tonight.  Lebron James is dealing with an ankle injury, and JR Smith remains out.  It's no wonder they lost at home to the Bulls 94-106 last time out.  Now they're being asked to go on the road and beat the Nets by 14-plus points to cover this number.  The Nets upset the Cavs 104-95 as 9.5-point home dogs in the last meeting in Brooklyn.  The Cavs are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 road games after four straight games where they forced 14 or fewer turnovers.  The Cavaliers are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a double-digit loss at home.  Cleveland is 16-33-2 ATS in its last 51 games vs. a team with a losing record.  The Nets are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.  Take Brooklyn.

6* Thursday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on San Diego +1

The Key: San Diego is 6-0 ATS in its last 6 games overall.  The Toreros had won 5 straight before losing their last two games, but those were understandable.  They only lost 74-80 at San Francisco as 10.5-point road dogs and 60-72 at St. Mary's as 22-point road dogs.  Pacific has not played well at all on the road this season.  The Tigers are 0-6 SU & 0-6 ATS in all road games this season, losing by an average of 14.6 points per game.  San Diego beat Pacific 54-43 as identical 1-point home dogs last year.  The Tigers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog.  The Toreros are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.  The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.  Take San Diego.

7* NBA Non-Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Toronto Raptors -4.5

The Key: The Toronto Raptors just finished a brutal road trip in which they lost three of their final four games, including two to the Warriors and Spurs.  Now they'll be hungry to get back in the win column as they return home to face the Utah Jazz tonight.  The Raptors are 11-5 at home this season and outscoring their opponents by nearly 12 points per game.  The Jazz are still without starting point guard George Hill and will be playing their 3rd game in 4 days here after losing to the Celtics 104-115 on Tuesday.  The Raptors are 6-1 SU and a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last 7 meetings with the Jazz.  Look for the one-sided nature of this series to continue Thursday night.  Take Toronto.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Sacramento Kings -8

The Key: The Miami Heat are in a very tough situation here.  They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days.  They have now lost 6 in a row and are starting to wear down.  They have been crushed by injuries too as Hassan Whiteside, Justise Winslow and Josh McRoberts will miss tonight's game.  Not to mention, James Johnson, Dion Waiters, Tyler Johnson and Goran Dragic are all dealing with injuries right now.  The Kings played last night as well, but they had two days off before that game and will be the fresher team by far.  They won 120-113 in Denver last night.  And that makes them fit into a nice trend this season in which they've gone 7-0 ATS in their following game after allowing 110 points or more this year.  Take Sacramento.

7* Louisville/Notre Dame ACC *HEAVY HITTER* on Notre Dame -1

The Key: The Notre Dame Fighting Irish are a perfect 9-0 at home this season.  Their only two losses this season came on neutral courts against two of the best teams in the land in Villanova (66-74) and Purdue (81-86).  Louisville has only played one true road game this season, which was a lackluster 79-70 win over Grand Canyon.  Notre Dame is 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in its last 5 home meetings with Louisville.  The Cardinals are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games.  The Fighting Irish are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 home games.  Take Notre Dame.

7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Boston Celtics -5.5

The Key: The Utah Jazz are in a tough situation here as they will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days.  They were tied with the Nets on the road last night at the end of 3 quarters before outscoring them 31-19 in the 4th to pull away for a 12-point win.  Now they won't have much left in the tank to face the Boston Celtics, who haven't played since Friday, giving them 3 days off in between games.  The Jazz are 10-23 ATS in their last 33 games as road underdogs.  The Jazz are 7-17 ATS in their last 24 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  The Celtics are 7-2-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings, including 5-0-2 ATS in their last 7 home meetings.  Take Boston.

6* Tuesday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Akron -9.5

The Key: Akron has really had Bowling Green's number.  The Zips have won 16 straight meetings in this series.  Five of their last 6 wins have come by 10 points or more, too, including 14, 25 and 15-point wins in their 3 meetings last season.  The Zips are 10-3 this season with their only losses all coming in their 3 true road games at Gonzaga, Creighton and Youngstown State.  Bowling Green is 0-5 in true road games this season with losses to the likes of Oakland, South Dakota, San Jose State and Evansville, as well as a 29-point blowout loss at Cincinnati.  Akron is  14-4 ATS in its last 18 conference home games.  The Zips are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5.  The Falcons are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  The Zips are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home meetings with the Falcons.  Take Akron.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Washington Wizards +9.5

The Key: The Houston Rockets have won 15 of their last 17 games overall, and as a result backers are paying a premium to bet on them moving forward.  They failed to cover as 12.5-point favorites in a 7-point home win over the Knicks last time out, and now they're being asked to lay 9.5 points to the Washington Wizards.  The Wizards will stay within the number tonight and have a chance to win this game in the closing minutes.  They have turned the corner but don't get any respect from oddsmakers.  The Wizards are 7-2 SU & 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.  They have scored at least 105 points in 8 of those 9 games, so they have the firepower to keep up with the Rockets.  A whopping 9 straight meetings between the Wizards and Rockets have been decided by 8 points or fewer.  The road team has won 5 straight meetings outright, and the road team is 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings.  Take Washington.

6* Sunday NCAAB Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Rutgers -1.5

The Key: The Rutgers Scarlet Knights are vastly improved this season with an 11-3 record to this point.  They have gone 8-0 at home this season with an average margin of victory of 18.4 PPG.  Penn State is just 8-6 this season and just lost its Big Ten home opener to Northwestern by 10.  The Nittany Lions are 0-6 ATS after allowing 85 points or more over the last 3 seasons.  The Scarlet Knights are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.  This is a generous price for the Scarlet Knights here as only 1.5-point home favorites in their conference opener.  Take Rutgers.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Oklahoma City Thunder -5.5

The Key: The effects of missing Blake Griffin and Chris Paul are starting to show for the Clippers.  They are 0-5 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.  Now they're in a brutal situation as they will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days.  Making matters worse is that they got in a shootout with the Rockets last night, who put up 140 points on them.  That makes this back-to-back even tougher.  The Thunder had yesterday off and will be hungry to bounce back from a bad loss in Memphis on Thursday in which Russell Westbrook was ejected.  The Clippers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games.  The Thunder are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.  The Thunder are 27-10-2 ATS in their last 39 Saturday games.  Take Oklahoma City.

6* Louisville/Indiana NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Indiana +3

The Key: The Indiana Hoosiers will be hungry to bounce back from an ugly 83-87 home loss to the Nebraska Cornhuskers on Wednesday.  They were clearly caught looking ahead to this game against Louisville.  In their previous two losses this season, they bounced back to win by 33 and 37 points, respectively.  This will essentially be a home game for the Hoosiers inside Bankers Life Fieldhouse in Indianapolis.  Louisville is 0-7 ATS in road games after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons.  The Cardinals are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games following a conference game.  The Hoosiers are 33-16-2 ATS in their last 51 games following a ATS loss. Indiana is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 games following a straight up loss.  The Hoosiers are 24-9-1 ATS in their last 34 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5.  Take Indiana.

6* Friday NCAAB Big 12 *CA$H COW* on Texas +8.5

The Key: The Texas Longhorns are coming off a bad 58-63 home loss to Kent State as 12.5-point favorites.  Maybe they were looking ahead to their Big 12 opener, but either way that result has provided some extra line value here with the Longhorns.  We've seen Texas beat Alabama by 9 and UAB by 36 this season, while also narrowly losing to Michigan 50-53 on the road and Arkansas 74-77 on a neutral court.  The Longhorns have faced a much tougher schedule than Kansas State, which is getting too much respect from oddsmakers due to its 11-1 start.  The Wildcats lost to Maryland on a neutral court in their toughest game this year.  They have been favored in every game this season and double-digit favorites in all but two games, which just shows how easy their schedule has been.  Three of the last 4 meetings have been decided by 4 points or less.  The Longhorns are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 7.0-12.5.  Texas is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 vs. Big 12 opponents.  Kansas State is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 vs. Big 12 opponents.  The Longhorns are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games following two consecutive home games.  Take Texas.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Brooklyn Nets +8

The Key: It's time to fade the Washington Wizards, who are 8-3 SU & 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall.  Now they find themselves laying a big number here against the Brooklyn Nets.  You can count on three fingers how many times the Wizards have won a game by more than 7 points this season.  That's right, in their 31 games, they have only won by 8 or more 3 times.  The Nets are playing well right now themselves as they beat the Hornets 120-118 as 7-point dogs and then only lost 99-101 at Chicago as 9.5-point dogs in their last two games.  Washington is 10-26 ATS off a win by 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons.  Star SG Bradley Beal is doubtful to play for the Wizards tonight.  The Nets are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.  Brooklyn is 8-1-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on 1 days rest.  The Nets are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss.  Take Brooklyn.

7* NBA Non-Conference Game of the Month on Phoenix Suns +9

The Key: The Toronto Raptors are in a bad spot here.  They will be playing their 4th straight road game, the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days.  And they are coming off a 111-121 loss to Golden State last night.  They rallied from 25 down in the first quarter and got within 5 in the 4th, using a ton of energy to make that comeback.  Now they won't be nearly as excited to face the Suns tonight on the road.  The Suns are also playing the 2nd of a back-to-back off a loss to the Spurs last night.  But this is one of the deepest teams in the NBA and they can handle these back-to-backs better than most.  All they have to do is stay within single-digits for us to get the cover, and I don't think that's asking too much given the tough spot for the Raptors.  Phoenix is 15-4 ATS in home games off a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 years.  The Suns are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS loss.  The Suns are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings with the Raptors.  Take Phoenix.

6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Pepperdine +25

The Key: I think we are getting some great value here with Pepperdine.  The Waves have lost 7 straight while going 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games, so we will certainly be buying low on them.  Gonzaga is 12-0 on the season and you are paying a premium to back the Bulldogs now.  Just last year Pepperdine gave Gonzaga a fight in the WCC Tournament, only losing 66-69.  Six of the last seven meetings have been decided by 18 points or less, with the lone exception a 26-point defeat.  Bets against home teams as a favorite or PK who outscore opponents by 8-plus PPG against a team that gets outscored by 3.5 to 8 PPG, after scoring 95 points or more are 70-34 ATS since 1997.  Take Pepperdine.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Denver Nuggets -3.5

The Key: The Denver Nuggets just recently got fully healthy and are playing up to their full potential because of it.  They are 4-2 in their last 6 games overall with three double-digit home victories.  They blew an 8-point lead in the final two minutes to Atlanta, otherwise they'd be 5-1 during this stretch.  This is a pretty short number when you consider the Minnesota Timberwolves are 5-10 SU & 5-10 ATS on the road this season.  The Nuggets score 112.6 points per game at home, while the T'Wolves give up 107.2 points per game on the road.  Minnesota is 3-14 ATS off a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.  The Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.  Take Denver.

6* Houston/UConn AAC *CA$H COW* on UConn +3.5

The Key: The UConn Huskies are starting to play better after a slow start to the season.  They have won three of their last five with their only losses coming on the road to Ohio State by 4 and at home to Auburn in overtime.  I think they get back on track today against a Houston team that has only played two true road games all season.  The Cougars lost 65-84 at LSU as 4.5-point favorites and 72-84 at Arkansas as 5.5-point dogs.  They won't be getting their first road win today, either.  The Cougars are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.  The Huskies are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games as a home underdog.  Take UConn.

6* Tuesday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Rutgers +19.5

The Key: Oddsmakers continue to give Rutgers no respect despite the fact that they are one of the most improved teams in the country this season.  They are 11-2 with their only two losses coming in true road games at Miami by 12 as 14.5-point dogs and at Seton Hall by 11 as 8.5-point dogs.  I think they easily stay within this 19.5-point spread of the Wisconsin Badgers, who don't play the type of style that caters to blowouts.  Wisconsin had beaten worse teams than Rutgers by less than 19.5 points at home this season.  They beat Chicago State by 18 and Wisconsin-Green Bay by 14.  The Badgers are 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 games as a home favorite of 13.0 or greater.  Take Rutgers.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Orlando Magic +2.5

The Key: These teams just played earlier this month with Memphis erasing a double-digit lead in the 4th quarter to beat the Magic 95-94 at home.  The Magic have not forgotten, and they've played much better since that defeat.  They've gone 7-6 SU & 8-5 ATS in their 13 games since.  The home team has won 4 straight meetings between these teams now.  The Magic won 119-107 at home last year against the Grizzlies.  Orlando is 13-3 ATS versus good defensive teams who allow a shooting percentage of 43% or less over the last 3 seasons.  The Grizzlies are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 2 days rest.  The Magic are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 2 days rest.  The Magic are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  Take Orlando.

6* Bulls/Spurs Christmas Day *CA$H COW* on Chicago +9

The Key: The San Antonio Spurs aren't putting teams away at home this season.  They are only outscoring their opponents by 3.0 points per game on average at home.  The Chicago Bulls are the type of team that plays well against good teams, and poorly against bad teams.  That is indicated by the fact that they are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. teams with a winning percentage above .600.  They are also 18-8 ATS against teams who have at least a +3 PPG differential on the season over the last 2 years.  The Bulls have covered 4 of their last 5 meetings with the Spurs, including an outright upset in their first meeting this season.  Take Chicago.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Detroit Pistons +6.5

The Key: This is a great spot to fade the Golden State Warriors.  They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days after a come-from-behind 117-101 victory over the Nets last night.  They were down 11 points at halftime and had to exert a ton of effort in the 2nd half to get the win.  Now they have a huge game on deck against Cleveland on Christmas Day, and you know they're going to want revenge against the defending champs.  I fully expect them to have a flat effort here as they look ahead to that game.  Expect the Pistons to put their best foot forward to try and end a 4-game losing streak, which has them undervalued.  And the Pistons beat the Warriors 113-95 as 7-point home dogs last year.  The Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest.  Take Detroit.

6* Providence/BC ESPNU *CA$H COW* on Boston College +9.5

The Key: Boston College and Providence are huge rivals.  I love getting nearly double-digit points here with the home team as the Eagles will be amped up for this game.  And Providence has only played one true road game all season, which was a 67-72 loss at Ohio State.  Home court has been a deciding factor in this series as the home team is 6-0 straight up in the last 6 meetings.  The Friars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite of 7.0-12.5.  The Eagles are 5-3 at home this season with all 3 losses coming by 8 points or fewer.  Take Boston College.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Brooklyn Nets +15.5

The Key: The Golden State Warriors come in overvalued off 5 straight victories, including two blowout home wins over the Jazz and Blazers.  But they have struggled on the road recently, going 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games with their largest victory coming by 8 points.  The Nets are fully healthy now and will be amped up to face the Warriors at home.  All they have to do is stay within 15 points to cover this massive spread, and I think they are more than capable of that.  The Warriors are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  The Nets are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss.  The Warriors are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 trips to Brooklyn.  Take Brooklyn.

7* Thursday NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on George Washington +14.5

The Key: Miami has been one of the most overvalued teams in the country.  The Hurricanes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall, time and time again failing to cover big numbers.  They won by 12 over Rutgers as 14.5-point favorites, won by 17 as 19-point favorites over Wofford and won by 20 as 20.5-point favorites over Florida Atlantic in their three most recent non-covers.  Now they're laying 14.5 points to a George Washington team that won the NIT last year and is better than this line would suggest.  Three of the Colonials' 4 losses this season have come by 8 points or less.  The only exception was  19-point loss to a very good Florida State team.  The Colonials are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games.  The Hurricanes are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.  Take George Washington.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Oklahoma City Thunder -2

The Key: This is a good spot to back the Oklahoma City Thunder, who will be hungry for a win after losing 3 of their last 4 games coming in.  They will be playing just their 4th game in 9 days here and will be ready to go.  The same cannot be said for the Pelicans, who will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 8th game in 12 days after a win in Philadelphia last night.  The Thunder are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing record.  The Pelicans are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Thunder are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings in New Orleans.  Take Oklahoma City.

7* Kentucky/Louisville ESPN National TV *Annihilator* on Louisville +2

The Key: Kentucky is coming off a 103-100 win over North Carolina on Saturday in what was one of the best college basketball games you could ever witness.  Malik Monk scored 47 points, including the game-winner for the Wildcats.  Off such an huge win like that, I can only think the Wildcats will suffer an emotional letdown here.  They will still get up to play Louisville, but I think the Cardinals will want this one more, especially after losing four straight to the Wildcats in this series.  All four losses have come by 8 points or less, including a 73-75 road loss last year, so they've been right there with a chance to win.  I look for the Cardinals to get over the hump here and get the victory.  They are 7-0 SU & 6-0 ATS at home this season, winning by an average of nearly 27 points per game.  Take Louisville.

6* Tuesday NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Iowa -11

The Key: The Iowa Hawkeyes got off to a terrible start this season, but they're now starting to play up to their potential and remain under-priced here as only 11-point home favorites over North Dakota.  The Hawkeyes are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games, beating Stetson by 27 as 20-point favorites, Iowa State by 14 as 6-point dogs and Northern Iowa by 23 as 2.5-point dogs.  They have covered the spread by a combined 45.5 points in their last 2 games just to show how undervalued they are right now.  These teams have a common opponent in Northern Iowa, and North Dakota lost at UNI 70-78 on December 10th, while Iowa obviously beat them by 23 on a neutral.  Iowa is 6-0 ATS in home games versus good defensive teams who allow 42% shooting or less over the last 2 seasons.  North Dakota is 2-12 ATS in its last 14 games after allowing 85 points or more.  The Hawkeyes are 29-14-1 ATS in their last 44 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.  Take Iowa.

7* NBA Western Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on San Antonio Spurs +1

The Key: The Houston Rockets have won 10 in a row and are starting to get a lot of love from oddsmakers.  But they just lost starting center Clint Capela, who averages 12 points, 8 boards and nearly 2 blocks per game, to a broken leg.  Look for the Spurs to capitalize on his absence and for LaMarcus Aldridge and Pau Gasol to dominate inside.  The Spurs will get a ton of layups in this game with no resistance since Capela is no longer in there.  San Antonio has won 4 of its last 5 meetings with Houston.  The Rockets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on 2 days rest.  Take San Antonio.