Sports Picks & Predictions

*3 Star Play Under* Typically conference tournament games are a little bit lower scoring than regular season matchups because these games are so important. Whoever loses this game will see their season end. Look for improved defense and a slower pace because of that. Both of the regular season meetings between these two stayed under the posted total (133 and 120). I had this one lined at 129.5 points. Take the under here. 

*5 Star TOP Play 100% Total* The Miami Ohio Redhawks typically play to the pace of their opponent. Akron has been slowing the game down late in the year this year. The Zips are without their primary point guard, and that has definitely hurt them in the last couple games. Akron can still play great defense though. Akron is number one in the MAC in two point field goal percentage defense. Miami isn't going to get many looks near the rim here. The first game between these two went into overtime and still didn't get to 110 points. 

The under is 4-0 in Akron's last 4 games. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 Tuesday games. The under is 2-0-2 in Miami's last 4 following an ATS loss. The last seven meetings between these two have finished under this posted total. A 22-0 angle. Take the under big! 

*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT* The Cal Poly Mustangs have been a tremendous under team the last few seasons. Cal Poly is bad on offense, and they are strong on the defensive end. They also play at an extremely slow pace. UC Davis isn't playing fast like they have in the past. Davis is shooting 48% from three point range in the conference, but numbers like that aren't likely to continue against a good defense on the road. I expect a tight game all the way, and I think this game stays below 120 points. Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* The first meeting between these two teams stayed well under the posted total, and I like the under here too. Northern Colorado's tempo has been relatively slow of late, and Northern Arizona's defense has been tremendous in conference play. This total is set as if this would be a game between two fast paced teams, but that isn't the case. I think this game stays in the 130's. Take the under. 

*4 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* The Louisiana Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns have been one of the most consistent fast paced teams in the nation this year. Lafayette has only been able to be slowed down by Louisiana Monroe and Texas State, the two slowest paced teams in the Sun Belt. Georgia Southern ran with Lafayette in the first meeting, and I expect another quick pace here. Georgia Southern's offense is underrated, and both teams are good at the free throw line. I had this number at 145. Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Over* The Elon Phoenix and UNC Wilmington Seahawks are the two fastest paced teams in the CAA. The first time these two met the final total was 147 points. I think this one gets to the mid 140's again. Both teams are aggressive on defense to try to get steals, but they also foul a lot. There should be plenty of trips to the charity stripe in this game. Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Over* The San Jose State Spartans are an absolutely terrible team. San Jose State has decided to speed up the game a bit down the stretch though, and the Spartans defense is one of the worst in the entire nation. Nevada's defense hasn't been good in the conference either. The first game between these two was played fast, but the shooting numbers were terrible. Look for a higher scoring game this time. Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Under* The first time these two teams met the total finished at 144 points. Both teams shot the ball extremely well in that one though, and I expect lower shooting numbers here. This is a really important game for both teams, and that generally means the pace is slower than normal. Montana has the best defense in the Big Sky Conference, and they should slow down the Eagles enough to keep this one under the total. Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Over* The Eastern Michigan Eagles have picked up their tempo in a big way at the end of the year. Eastern Michigan is running at every opportunity. The first game between these two finished just below this posted total, but I expect a quicker pace in this one. Western Michigan has been good offensively over the last two years, and Eastern Michigan fouls a lot so the Broncos will be on the line a lot as well. I had 138 here. Take the over. 

*4 Star Play Over* Two teams who really like to push the tempo. The first meeting sailed past this posted total, and I don't see any reason why this wouldn't either. Fordham's bad defense should allow UMass' offense to put up a big number in this contest. I had this number at 141 points. Take the over. 

*4 Star Play Under* The Virginia Cavaliers have the best defense in the nation. Tony Bennett's team makes it really hard for anyone to score. Virginia Tech often has problems scoring to start with. The Hokies are coming off an exhausting overtime home loss against Duke. Virginia should put the clamps down on defense. Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Under* The first time these two teams played I played the under as a 5 star top play and cashed in. I'm taking the under again, though for a 4 star play this time around since the number is lower. Both of these teams really struggle on offense. Loyola hasn't been the same offensively without Milton Doyle hitting shots from long range. Expect a sloppy low scoring game between two bad teams. Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Over* 

*4 Star Play Under* 

*3 Star Play Under* 

*3 Star Play Under* 

*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night TV Total* The Utah Utes beat the Arizona State Sun Devils 76-59 earlier this year. The Utes shot lights out in that game, and they had 30 free throw attempts as well. The pace in the game was slow, and if we see a similar pace as that first game, it's like that this one stays under the total. Arizona State's defense has improved a bit lately, and the Utes are tremendous defensively. Utah does a great job controlling the tempo and making the game a halfcourt game consistently. Take the under. 

*4 Star NCAA BB Late Night Totals MONEY* The UC Irvine Anteaters work hard on the defensive end as well as anyone in the Big West Conference. Cal Poly is a team that slows the pace down more than anyone else in the league. The Mustangs offense isn't good, but they are a solid defense as well. Cal Poly has been a great under team for me in the past few seasons. The first game between these two edged over the total because of a lot of late fouling. The under is 38-12-1 in UC Irvine's last 51 games overall. My numbers made this game 117 points. Take the under here. 

*4 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* The Idaho Vandals have been slowing things down a little bit lately. They were running and gunning earlier this year. Montana is the slowest paced team in the Big Sky, and the Grizzlies are really the only team who plays any defense in this conference. Montana slowed the game down to a pace of just 62 possessions in the first meeting that finished with a total of 126 points. This one is probably a little higher than that game, but this total is too high. The Grizzlies defense should keep this one low scoring. Take the under. 

*4 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Troy Trojans typically play to the pace of their opponent, and their opponent in this game definitely wants to slow things down. Texas State's offense has had a terrible time getting anything going in recent games, and there's no reason to believe they will start being successful tonight. This total was several points higher than I was expecting it to be. Look for a sloppy low scoring contest. Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Under* The Mercer Bears and Wofford Terriers are the two slowest paced teams in the Southern Conference. The first time they met, the game was played at a ridiculously slow pace of 49 possessions. Wofford won that game 49-46. Mercer hosts this game and it should be another close game where both teams have a ton to play for. That usually means the defense has the upper hand. I had this number at 113 points. Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Under* The Drexel Dragons will be without their star for the first time in this game. Damion Lee was the team's leading scorer at 21.4 points per game. He was fourth in the nation in scoring. Drexel's offense often struggled even with him in the lineup, and without him I expect them to have major problems. The Dragons have been playing better on the defensive end lately, and they should work hard on that end in their final home game. I had this one at 124 points. Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Under* The IUPUI Jaguars have played much better defense this year than they did a year ago, and that has them winning several more games. Jason Gardner has done a great job getting the most out of this team. The first meeting between Western Illinois and IUPUI finished at 122 points, and I see this one playing out to a very similar total. Look for the offenses to struggle throughout in this game. Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* The IPFW Mastadons have played one game all year that went over this posted total and that was by a single point. While Nebraska Omaha loves to run and push the tempo, they don't play against defenses as good as IPFW on a normal basis. Omaha only put up 65 points in the first meeting between these two. Look for IPFW to grab an early lead and then coast while slowing the game down in the second half. This total is a few points too high. Take the under. 

*5 Star Top Play Total* The first time these two teams met I had the over and cashed when the final score was 89-78. While there likely won't be that many points scored this time around, I think this number is too low. Both of these teams like to play fast, so the tempo will be quick here. The two teams both do a lot of fouling, so freebies at the line will come in bunches in this one. I had 145 points here. Take the over big! 

*4 Star NCAA BB Missouri Valley Total* The Northern Iowa Panthers are going to be ready for this game after Evansville upset them early this year in Evansville. The Panthers will be hungry for revenge, and I expect them to play excellent defense because of that. Evansville's offense has had major problems scoring against the best defenses in this league, and I think that continues tonight. I had this number at 117 points. Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* The TCU Horned Frogs and Texas Tech Red Raiders both have very bad offenses. The first game between these two was 62-42. While this one will likely be higher than that, I don't think it gets to this posted total. Neither of these teams is good at being efficient, so even if the pace speeds up from the first meeting, it would take a rare impressive shooting performance to push the total over this number. I had this one at 116. Take the under. 

*3 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle TV Total* The Cincinnati Bearcats are great at turning a game into a low scoring slugfest. Cincinnati plays at a very slow tempo, and they are terrific on the defensive end. The Bearcats offense struggles most of the time, because they don't have consistent long range shooters. UCF has decided to slow the tempo down late in the year, which gives us some more value here. The first game between these two finished at 102. This one should be a little higher than that, but lower than this posted total.

The under is 4-0 in UCF's last 4 road games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two. A 16-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Rhode Island Rams have played a grand total of two games this year that have gone over this posted total. Davidson is certainly a scary team to have an under with, but the Wildcats have actually slowed their tempo down a bit in recent weeks. Rhode Island's defense is the best in the Atlantic 10, and I'm counting on that Rhode Island defense to hold Davidson below their normal shooting numbers. Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* The East Carolina Pirates have been a good under team for me in the last couple years. East Carolina knows how to slow the game down, and they are particularly good at doing that on their home floor. East Carolina and UConn played to a very slow 51 possessions in their earlier meeting this year (117 total points). Look for a slow pace again and a game that stays several points below this total. Take the under. 

*3 Star NCAA BB National TV Total* The Pittsburgh Panthers have been playing better basketball in the last couple weeks. Jamie Dixon is a good coach, and this team is attempting to make a late push. The Panthers walk the ball up the court and use up the shot clock most of the time. Boston College is playing at a much slower pace inside the conference than they were earlier this year. The first meeting between these two finished at 121 points, and that was in overtime. This total is several points too high. Take the under. 

*4 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Eastern Michigan Eagles have been picking up the tempo in a big way lately. They recently played a game at a pace of 84 possessions, which is just ridiculously fast. Central Michigan likes to run when given the opportunity. These two teams met earlier this year and played a low scoring game, but the shooting numbers were poor and there weren't many free throws. Expect better shooting here and a lot more trips to the charity stripe. 

The over is 7-0 in EMU's last 7 games. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 following a win. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS win. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a 60% or higher win percentage. The over is 7-0 in their last 7 league games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 home games. A 31-0 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star Play Under* The first time these two teams met, the total finished at 121 points. I played the under and won in that game, and I'm taking the under again. In the first meeting, the pace was very slow (57 possessions) but both teams shot the ball extremely well. I don't think they'll be able to shoot it any better than that tonight, which gives us value to the under. This should be a close game with strong defense on both sides. Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Over* The first meeting between these two teams sailed over the posted total. The game went into double overtime, but it was at 152 points at the end of regulation. I had the over in that game, and I'm taking the over again in this meeting. While Ball State does prefer to play slowly, their defense is the worst in the MAC. Western Michigan is a good offensive team, and the Broncos defense is subpar as well. I had this one at 140 points. Take the over. 

*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Eastern Illinois Panthers and the Southeast Missouri State Redhawks met on February 7 in a 68-64 final. The shooting numbers in that one weren't very good, but it still went past this posted total. Southeast Missouri State played at a really quick tempo last year. Early this year the team had slowed things down a bit, but they have decided to pick up the pace again late in the year. Southeast Missouri State should force the issue in this one and I expect improved shooting numbers compared to their last meeting. Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Iowa Hawkeyes have drastically slowed down their pace over the course of the season. Nebraska plays at a slow tempo, and they have a way of making a lot of games look very sloppy thanks to their bad offense and quality defense. The first game between these two went to 129 points, but that was largely because of a ridiculous amount of free throws. Iowa alone was 31 for 38 from the free throw line in that game. Look for a decrease in free throws and some quality defense. Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Over* UC Davis has shot the ball ridiculously well all year. I keep waiting for their shooting numbers to come back to earth, but it isn't happening. The Aggies are loaded with tons of great three point shooters. Corey Hawkins is the best of them, and he should star in this one. Davis shoots 49% from three point range in the conference, which is just an amazing number. Hawaii speeds the game up and the first game between these two went to 150. Take the over. 

*4 Star Play Under* The Cal Poly Mustangs are one of my favorite under teams. Cal Poly does an amazing job of controlling the tempo of the game. Cal Poly is missing their most talented player (Nwaba) right now, and that limits their offense. The UC Riverside Highlanders offense is really bad, and Cal Poly has one of the better defenses in the conference. I look for a game that stays in the upper 110's because of Cal Poly's suffocating defense and slow tempo. Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Over* I'll be the first to admit that taking an over with San Diego State involved is a bit scary since the Aztecs play defense so well, but I've been watching this San Jose State basketball team speed up their game in recent weeks and I believe this number is too low. San Jose State essentially doesn't even try on the defensive end, and San Diego State's offense should put up a much bigger number than most believe here. Look for the Spartans to get some points late after the Aztecs have called off the dogs. This is an ugly one, but I think the total is too low. Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Over* The Southern Utah Thunderbirds play very hard, but they aren't a highly talented team. They send the opposition to the foul line a ton of times each game, and Idaho should be able to take advantage of that. Idaho ranks second in the nation (out of 351 teams) at shooting it from beyond the arc (42%). Idaho's defense is even worse than Southern Utah's, and we should see a lot of points. Take the over. 

*5 Star TOP Play Totals Takedown* The UT Arlington Mavericks love to run and Louisiana Lafayette is the only team that plays faster than them in the Sun Belt. I played the over when they met last time and cashed in and I'm backing the over again this time around. Look for up and down action and a lot of trips to the line as both teams attack the basket well. I had this one lined at 156 points. Take the over big! 

*4 Star Play Over* South Dakota State is the top team in the Summit League. The Jackrabbits play at a quick tempo and score the basketball very efficiently. Oral Roberts has sped up their tempo significantly this year, and the Golden Eagles should be happy to play quickly in this one. The first meeting between these two went over the total by several points and I expect this to do the same. Look for solid offensive efficiency in this game. Take the over. 

*5 Star TOP Play Hidden GEM Total* Chattanooga and East Tennessee State met earlier this year and it was Chattanooga who controlled the tempo despite being on the road. The Mocs slowed the game down, and they should do the same again in this one. East Tennessee State typically plays quickly, but the best teams in the Southern Conference have slowed them down in a big way. Chattanooga's defense is very good, and a total like this is awfully high for them. This stays in the 130's. Take the under big! 

*4 Star Play Over* The South Alabama Jaguars do a nice job forcing the tempo. South Alabama and Georgia Southern went way over this posted total when they played earlier this year. Georgia Southern is one of the best teams in the conference, and their offense should have a field day against this poor defense of South Alabama. This total is several points too low. Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Rice Owls have been a good under team this year. Rice is slowing the game down and controlling the tempo. Florida Atlantic is a team that typically plays to the pace of their opponent. Florida Atlantic ranks seventh in the nation in 3 point defense. The only thing Rice has been good at this year has been shooting it from three point range. The Owls defense should neutralize that. Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Over* The Manhattan Jaspers and Siena Saints played to a 87-79 final earlier this year. This one probably won't be that high, but it should be a high scoring game once again. Both of these teams are great at getting to the line, and both of them are also terrible about fouling a bunch on the defensive end. That leads to some really high scoring contests when they get together. The oddsmakers also expect a close game so a fouling fest at the end is very possible. Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Over* Colorado State likes to run whenever they can. Air Force attempts to slow the game down, but the Falcons defense is among the worst in the nation. Air Force got way behind in the first matchup between these two and had to speed up their tempo. I think that happens again here. It was 92-87 in the first game. I don't expect that high of a total, but I think it is higher than this posted total. Take the over. 

*5 Star TOP Play Under* My numbers made this one 117. These two played an extremely ugly game earlier this year that didn't even come close to hitting 100 points. Both teams prefer to walk it up the floor and both teams are horrible on the offensive end. Take the under big! 

*4 Star Play Under* 

*3 Star Play Under* 

*3 Star Play Over* 

*3 Star Play Under* 

*4 Star Play Over* 

*4 Star NCAA BB Friday Night MONEY* The Dartmouth Big Green have picked up their tempo during league play. Princeton is also playing at a much faster tempo than we are accustomed to seeing from the Tigers. Both of these teams foul a lot, so I see a bunch of trips to the charity stripe in this game. Their earlier meeting this year was only 117 points, but the shooting numbers were miserable. Dartmouth was 0 for 9 from long range. The pace in that game was 67 possessions. I think this game has a good chance of topping 130 points. The first game being so low gives us value on the over this time around. Take the over. 

*4 Star NCAA BB Late Night Totals Cash* The Cal State Fullerton Titans prefer to play a quick tempo, but their offense isn't any good. Cal Poly is the slowest team in the Big West by a large margin. The Mustangs have been a great under team in the last few seasons. The first game between these two finished at 121 points, and I see a similar final in this one. Plenty of value in this number. Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Over* Portland State and North Dakota played to an 82-75 final earlier this year. The shooting numbers were relatively good, but they were nothing over the top. This total is 12 points below that, and I don't see why there would be such a big change. Both of these teams like to run when given the opportunity, so the tempo should be quick. Neither defense is good at all, and we should see a lot of free throws for both teams. Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Over* As the season has progressed Arkansas Little Rock has gradually picked up their tempo. This is something I like to keep track of very closely. Changes over the course of the season in tempo are hard to keep up with, but if you can get a slight edge on the oddsmakers here, you can get some nice value on these under the radar games. I had this number at 137 points. Take the over. 

*4 Star Play Over* The Eastern Washington Eagles have a high flying offense that has put up some really big numbers this year. Southern Utah plays at a really quick pace, and they also foul at a very high rate. Eastern Washington will be glad to play at a quick pace, because many of the teams in the Big Sky Conference have been slowing them down. A lot of potential for points in this one. Take the over. 

*4 Star Play Under* The first time these two played the tempo played out to a ridiculously low 49 possessions. Despite the fact that both teams shot the ball well, the game stayed under this total by a few points. Fort Wayne is playing much slower of late, and their defense has gotten much better. This is an important game for these two teams, and I expect the defensive intensity to be high. I had this one at 123 points. Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Over* The Ole Miss Rebels and Mississippi State Bulldogs have had some very high scoring games in their recent history. Mississippi State played slower earlier this year because they weren't healthy. Now that they are healthy, the Bulldogs have been using a high pressure defense and a quicker pace. Both teams get to the line and should make a lot of free throws. Ole Miss shoots 79% from the line. This total is several points too low. Take the over. 

*5 Star TOP Play Over* The UT Arlington Mavericks are a really good over team. They push the tempo and are efficient on offense. They aren't very good on the defensive end. Appalachian State was a team in limbo earlier this year on their identity, but in recent games they have wanted to run more often. That bodes well for a track meet in this game. I had this number at 145 points. Take the over big! 

*4 Star Play Under* The North Dakota State Bison have really picked up the intensity on the defensive end as the season has moved along. The first game between these two went into overtime, but it was well below this total before overtime. IUPUI was terrible last year, but by focusing on the defensive end they have improved a great deal this year. Slow tempo and good defense in this one. Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Under* The Rice Owls are great at controlling the tempo. They slow the game down because they simply don't have enough athletes to win in a fast paced game. FIU is a team that generally plays to the pace of their opponent. FIU is much better on the defensive end than they are on offense. Look for a lot of shots with the shot clock about to run out. I had this one at 119. Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Over* The UIC Flames and Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers are relatively similar teams this year. These two teams don't do many things well, and it's been a long year for both of them. They do both get to the line a lot normally, and they knock down their free throws. The first meeting between these two finished at 136, but there weren't many free throws. Look for more free throws and a little higher scoring game here. Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Eastern Illinois Panthers were crushed by Tennessee Martin the last time they played. Look for a much better effort from Eastern Illinois in this one. Martin hit 11 out of 20 three pointers last time, and Eastern Illinois has the top ranked three point defense in the conference. I expect a slow pace again, but much better defense in this one. Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Wofford Terriers have been a great under team for me in the past couple years. Wofford plays better defense than any other team in the SoCon. The Terriers control the tempo very well. The first game between these two was played at a slow pace and the final was 58-42. This one likely won't be that low, but I like the value. Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Over* The Siena Saints are good at making a game high scoring. They push the tempo. They get to the foul line a lot. They foul their opponent a lot. They also are pretty good on offense and terrible on defense. Canisius blasted Siena the first time they played, but this game should be much closer since its being played at Siena. I had 138 here. Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Under* St. Peter's and Monmouth played earlier this year and the final was 62-61 in overtime. Before the extra session, the score was 52-52. Both of these teams really struggle on the offensive end, and there is definitely the potential for this one to be an ugly game all the way around. The Peacocks of St. Peter's have a way of making the game sloppy in order to give themselves the best chance to win. The winner here might not reach 60. Take the under. 

*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* The Northeastern Huskies and William & Mary Tribe play a really important game tonight in the CAA. These are two of the top teams in the league. They are both really efficient on offense, so in a game like this it won't necessarily take a fast pace to get a game that goes over the total. Both teams shoot the ball really well. Northeastern should have the advantage inside and score in the paint. William & Mary is great from long range. 

The over is 6-0 in Northeastern's last 6 vs. a team with a losing road record. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road win percentage of 40% or lower. The over is 7-1 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record overall of 60% or higher. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams. A 23-1 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* The Western Michigan Broncos don't play good defense, and they prefer to run when they can. Many teams in the MAC slow the game down, but Ohio has shown they like to run as well under their new coach this year. The Bobcats foul a lot, so Western Michigan should get to the line plenty here. I think this game gets into the mid 140's, so I like the value here. Take the over. 

*3 Star NCAA BB Total PERFECTION* The UMass Minutemen have changed their game this year. This was previously a team that used full court pressure to speed the game up and try to score in transition. Now, UMass is playing more of a halfcourt game and they have seen a lot of their games go under the posted total. Rhode Island plays the best defense of anyone in the Atlantic 10. The Rams and Minutemen played to a 60-56 final earlier this year.

The under is 5-0 in UMass last 5 vs. a team with a winning home record. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a home win percentage of 60% or higher. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 games overall vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in Rhode Island's last 4 vs. a team with a 60% or higher win percentage. A 17-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Eastern Michigan Eagles have sped up their game in a big way this year. Eastern Michigan was previously a team that stalled and ran the shot clock. They have found success by speeding things up this year. Buffalo is the fastest paced team in the Mid American Conference, so I see no reason why this one won't be a track meet. Both teams are great at getting to the charity stripe, so we should see a nice amount of attempts from the line. My numbers made this one 146. 

The over is 5-0 in E Michigan's last 5. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following a win. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 league games. The over is 4-0 in Buffalo's last 4 road games vs. a team with a home win percentage of 60% or higher. An 18-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star NCAA BB MAC Total Value* The Kent State Golden Flashes are really good on the defensive end. They have struggled most of the year on offense, and they have been much worse on offense of late because they are without star player Jimmy Hall. Hall has mono and is out for an indefinite period. Ball State and Kent State got together a few weeks ago when Hall was still playing and the final was 63-52. It doesn't make sense for the line to be even higher when Kent is missing its best scoring option. Take the under. 

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Tulsa Golden Hurricane have hit a bump in the road of late. East Carolina has been playing better of late, but they typically aren't very competitive on the road. Look for Tulsa to clamp down on the defensive end in this one. Tulsa is usually very good on the defensive end at home. East Carolina's inefficiency on offense on the road is striking. The Pirates have been stalling in a big way of late. Tulsa also prefers to slow it down when they can. I see a slow tempo and solid defense. Take the under. 

*3 Star NCAA BB National TV Total* The West Virginia Mountaineers play at the fastest tempo in the Big 12. Bob Huggins' team forces a ton of turnovers, and Kansas has struggled some with full court pressure this year. The Mountaineers defense isn't any good in the halfcourt though, and Kansas has a really efficient offense. I see Kansas making a lot of threes in this matchup. West Virginia also fouls a lot, and Kansas should take advantage of tons of trips at the line. The tempo here should be quick from start to finish. 

The over is 6-1 in Kansas' last 7 Monday games. The over is 5-0 in West Virginia's last 5 Monday games. The over is 4-0 in the Mountaineers last 4 following a loss. A 15-1 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets are the worst shooting team in the ACC. The Clemson Tigers defense is tremendous. Clemson's offense isn't any good either. Georgia Tech normally does most of their damage on the offensive end on the glass. Clemson is solid on the glass as well though. Both teams prefer to play at a slow pace. I see no reason why this one would be high scoring unless the shooting percentages are abnormally high. 

The under is 4-0 in Clemson's last 4 road games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning road record. The under is 8-0 in their last 8 following a win. A 16-0 angle. Take the under here. 

*4 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Pittsburgh Panthers and Virginia Cavaliers both play even slower than they did last year. These two teams met twice last year and the final scores were 48-45 and 51-48. They weren't able to top 100 points in either matchup, but the oddsmakers have posted this total far higher. Pitt's defense is worse this year, but Virginia's offense is struggling without Justin Anderson in the lineup. The tempo here should be extremely slow (55 possessions or slower probably). I had this one at 116. Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* Quinnipiac has shown the tendency to slow games down this year. They are playing three possessions per game slower than they did last year. Iona is still playing fast, but they are a lot better on defense this year than they were last season. While I still think this game will be relatively high scoring, this is a high number and I see value on the under here. I had this one at 149. Take the under. 

*4 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* The Northern Colorado Bears and Montana Grizzlies met earlier this year. The score was 66-48 in that one. While I'm not calling for a game that low this time around, I do think this total is too high. Montana is the team I'm counting on to slow the game down and defend well here. The Grizzlies are the only team in the Big Sky Conference that plays good defense, and it is very rare for them to play a game that gets this high scoring. I had this one at 137. Take the under in this one. 

*4 Star NCAA BB Under the Radar Total* The Eastern Kentucky Colonels are very efficient on the offensive end. They are up against a Tennessee State team that isn't good at all on the defensive end. The Tigers couldn't slow down Eastern Kentucky last weekend, and I don't expect them to here either. Last weekend's game sailed over this total 77-72. Tennessee State can't take care of the ball, and Eastern Kentucky is second in the nation in turnovers. Lots of easy buckets for Eastern Kentucky and Tennessee State is shooting the three much better of late.

The over is 6-1 in E Kentucky's last 7 vs. a team with a win percentage of 40% or lower. The over is 5-0 in Tenn St's last 5 vs. a team with a winning road record. The over is 7-1 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record overall. A 18-2 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Over* The Southeast Missouri State Redhawks have decided to speed up their tempo in the last few games. This was a team that played extremely fast last year, and they seem to be going back to their ways of last season. Murray State's Racers are always willing to play fast and they win a bunch of shootouts. Murray State's offense is tremendous with point guard Cameron Payne leading the way. Last week these two met and it was 82-72 with average shooting numbers. This number is a little too low. Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Under* Denver plays at the third slowest tempo out of 351 teams in the country. Denver is methodical in everything they do. Unless they shoot a very high percentage, this game isn't going to top 120. IUPUI isn't a particularly good team, but they are far better than they were last year because they have improved greatly on the defensive end of the floor. Take the under here. 

*5 Star TOP Play Under* My number on this game was 108. Wyoming will be without Larry Nance Jr. in this one, and anyone who knows this Wyoming team at all knows he is by far their best player. The first game between Wyoming and San Jose State went to 123 and both teams shot the ball better than normal. Wyoming plays at a very slow tempo, and San Jose State's offense is just awful. Wyoming should grab a lead early and then work the clock and win comfortably. Strong play for me. Take the under big! 

*3 Star Play Under* Wofford has been a great under team for me over the years. The Terriers are coming off a surprising loss at home, and they should turn up the defense here and control the tempo. The first game between these two was 105 points. Look for this one to stay at 120 or lower. Take the under. 

*5 Star TOP Play* My numbers made this one 150 points. Strong play for me. Both teams love to push the tempo and they are both poor on the defensive end. Take the over big! 

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*4 Star NCAA BB Play of Day* The Niagara Purple Eagles are a totally different team than they were last year. They played at a pace of 71 possessions per game last year. This year they play at 66 possessions per game. That's a huge difference, and it's why I see so much value on this total. St. Peter's is always going to try to slow the game down and win with defense under Coach Dunne. The Peacocks have played a ton of very low scoring games in the conference this year, and I expect them to get their wish to play a halfcourt game in this one too. Unless the shooting percentages are very high, I see this one staying under. My number here was 120. Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Under* The Cal Poly Mustangs do a great job slowing the game down. In the past, Cal State Northridge has been a team that likes to push the tempo. This year, Northridge has been playing at an average tempo, and they have allowed slower teams to control the tempo of the game. Cal Poly and Northridge's first meeting was a very low scoring game where I cashed on the under. I'm backing the under again as my numbers had 116. Take the under. 

*4 Star NCAA BB Late Night Totals Cash* The Portland Pilots and Pepperdine Waves meet late tonight. Pepperdine has found a lot of success lately by slowing the game down and playing very good defense. Portland is the type of team that typically plays to the opponent's tempo. The first meeting between these two finished at 130 points, even with a lot of fouling at the end of the game. 

The under is 5-0 in Portland's last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 5-0 in Pepperdine's last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 6-1 in Pepperdine's last 7 road games. A 16-1 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Over* The Idaho Vandals are a very good over team because they push the tempo and play virtually no defense. Idaho shoots 42% from long range, and they are playing against a Portland State team that is bad at guarding beyond the arc. Portland State prefers to play fast as well, so the tempo here should be quick. Even with only mediocre shooting numbers, the first game between these two went over the total. Take the over in this one. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Utah Utes play some tremendous defense, and I expect that to be what keeps this game under the total. Stanford likes to run and push the pace, but the Cardinal haven't faced many defenses as good as this one. Utah is a difficult place to play with the elevation hurting the opposition and causing lower shooting numbers. I had this one at 130.5. Take the under here. 

*4 Star National TV Total* The Illinois Fighting Illini have changed their game plan now that they are without Rayvonte Rice, their best offensive player. Illinois is slowing the game down and winning with ball control and defense. That is exactly what Michigan does as well. Michigan is missing their top two offensive players, so the Wolverines are really hurting on offense now. I expect a very slow tempo and a game that stays under. I had this at 118. Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Under* The Louisiana Monroe Warhawks have been a great under team for me the last couple seasons. Lafayette likes to play fast, but Monroe has done a great job slowing the game down the last two times these teams have played. The first meeting between these two this year finished at 112 points. I don't think this one will be that low, but it doesn't need to be. Monroe's defense and tempo keeps this one low. Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Over* The Eastern Washington Eagles are a really good over team because of the way they push the tempo and shoot the ball very well. Sacramento State doesn't play fast, but the Hornets shoot three's at 46.5% in the conference, and they are number one in two point shooting percentage as well. Both teams are great from the line, which could be important too. This should be a close game, and that helps our chances. I had this one at 156. Take the over. 

*4 Star Play Under* The Montana Grizzlies are the only team in the Big Sky Conference that plays defense. Montana slows the game down and works really hard on the defensive end. North Dakota plays very fast, but their efficiency on the offensive end isn't good. Expect Montana to slow this one down and win a close and lower scoring game than expected. Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Over* This one is less about the pace of the game and more about the lack of defense and the solid shooting percentages I expect to see. These two teams are both great on offense and terrible on defense. Despite a very slow pace, their first meeting went over this total by a few points. The Citadel is great at shooting threes and they'll have plenty of open ones here. Both teams foul a lot as well. Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Under* Wofford is a team I've been backing unders with over the past few years. The Terriers slow the game down and play defense that is the best in the conference. Chattanooga is a good team as well, but they won't shoot a high percentage against this Wofford defense. This line is inflated because the teams played to 131 points in the first meeting. Take the under here.