Sports Picks & Predictions

NCAA Basketball Archive
Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
11-24-15	Drake v. Weber State UNDER 139.5		58-74	Win	100	7 h 55 m	Show
4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION The Weber State Wildcats have a good team this year, and it starts with a very strong frontcourt. Weber State has slowed their tempo down in the past couple years. When Damian Lillard was at Weber State, they were a team who played quickly, but now that their strength is in the post instead of at the guard they are playing a halfcourt style. Drake has had two games go into overtime already, which has skewed their numbers to make them look like a high scoring team. Drake actually ranks in the bottom 25 teams in the nation (there are 351 overall) in terms of pace. The Bulldogs will be looking to slow this game down, and Weber State is likely to be happy with that as well. The under is 19-7 in Drake's last 26 games at a neutral site. Shooting percentages are generally a little lower at neutral sites. Take the under in this one.
11-24-15	Louisiana Tech v. Ohio State UNDER 148.5		82-74	Loss	-110	6 h 18 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Total Value Ohio State has seemingly decided to slow the tempo of the game down this year. With an athletic roster, I'm not really sure why they are doing it, but that's been the game plan so far. Ohio State lost at home to UT Arlington last game, and now they come back to play Louisiana Tech. The Bulldogs like to speed the game up, but so do Mt. St. Mary's and UT Arlington. Ohio State didn't let either of those teams play fast as they prefer to. Look for the Buckeyes defense to improve following that ugly loss to UT Arlington. Take the under here.
11-23-15	Sam Houston State v. California OVER 144.5		63-89	Win	100	8 h 52 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT The Cal Golden Bears have a very athletic team this year and they will look to get up and down much more than they have in past years. With Brown and Rabb added to an already talented roster, Cal has the second most talent in the Pac 12 behind Arizona. The Golden Bears are likely to have a bunch of success on offense here. Cal was flat in their last game, a win over East Carolina. Coach Martin's team should be ready for this one. Sam Houston State has been torched on defense by both SMU and Southern Illinois. It should happen again here. This total is a few points too low. Take the over.
11-23-15	East Carolina v. San Diego State UNDER 129		54-79	Loss	-105	8 h 53 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION The San Diego State Aztecs are a grind it out team. Steve Fisher gets his team to work hard on the defensive end like no other coach in the country can. No matter who comes to play for Fisher, they will work hard on defense, or they won't see the floor. San Diego State still slows the game down, and they still have trouble scoring. The Aztecs lost at home to Little Rock last game. The Aztecs should show up ready to play here, and I think that will mean some great defense. East Carolina has been a good under team in recent years so I like this matchup to be very low scoring. The under is 36-16 in San Diego State's last 52 home games. Take the under.
11-22-15	Stanford v. St. Mary's UNDER 145.5		61-78	Win	100	8 h 24 m	Show
4 Star NCAA BB Late NIGHT BAILOUT The Stanford Cardinal lost their best two players from last year's team. Stanford is likely to have trouble scoring this season. This is their first road game of the season, and with a young team that should prove difficult. St. Mary's also lost a bunch of talent, and the Gaels are going to be way down this year. Randy Bennett is a good coach and he is going to slow this game down and play a halfcourt style that the Gaels prefer. I made this number 140 points, and I think there is quite a bit of value here. Take the under.
11-22-15	Yale v. SMU UNDER 139.5		69-71	Loss	-110	3 h 31 m	Show
3 Star Play Under SMU and Yale are both defensive teams who like to slow the game down. This total is a few points too high. I made this one 135 points. Take the under.
11-21-15	Cleveland State v. Rhode Island UNDER 131		45-73	Win	100	5 h 56 m	Show
4 Star Play Under The Rhode Island Rams are without their star player, EC Matthews. Matthews is out for the year with an injury. He was their best offensive threat. Without him, the Rams will still be a solid team, and it will be because of the tremendous defense they play. Cleveland State hasn't been able to score against Akron or Malone College, so how are they going to score here? I think Cleveland State will struggle to pass 50 points here. An ugly game between two teams that are good on the defensive end. Take the under.
11-21-15	Oregon State v. UC-Santa Barbara UNDER 141.5	Top	71-59	Win	100	3 h 47 m	Show
5 Star TOP Play Total CRUSHER The Oregon State Beavers and UC Santa Barbara Gauchos have both played teams who are very fast in tempo so far this year. They won't be playing an opponent who wants to run in this one. Oregon State is all about defense and UC Santa Barbara has been one of the slowest paced teams in the nation on a consistent basis. There is a lot of value on this play because of their high scoring games against teams like California (fast paced) and Iona (very fast paced). I had this number at 131 points, which makes this my biggest play of the college basketball season thus far. Take the under big!
11-20-15	Long Beach State v. Virginia UNDER 138.5		52-87	Loss	-105	8 h 6 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB National TV Total The Virginia Cavaliers put up 82 points last night against Bradley, but it wasn't because they have picked up the tempo. Virginia just shot an amazing percentage from the floor. Bradley's defense offered little resistance, but Long Beach State is decent on defense. Virginia's defense is far better than anything Long Beach State generally sees. This line has been pushed up by 6.5 points from the open. That line move makes this under a good value in my eyes. Virginia is still the halfcourt team that plays great defense, and I think some of their early season numbers have skewed this number too high. Take the under.
11-20-15	UL-Lafayette v. Alabama OVER 152.5		93-105	Win	100	6 h 37 m	Show
4 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total The Alabama Crimson Tide are coming off a humbling loss at the hands of the Dayton Flyers. Alabama is playing with a much quicker tempo this year, and Louisiana Lafayette has been one of the fastest paced teams in the nation with Bob Marlin as their head coach. Alabama is looking to use full court pressure to speed up the game, and I think Lafayette will be glad to play that type of game here. Lafayette has a very good frontcourt, and I think they'll get a lot of second chance points on offensive rebounds against a relatively small Alabama frontcourt. I had this one lined at 158 points. Take the over.
11-20-15	Lipscomb v. Miami (OH) OVER 148.5		68-70	Loss	-110	6 h 3 m	Show
4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION The Miami (Ohio) Redhawks have always liked to play at a quick tempo under coach John Cooper. Most of the teams inside the Mid American Conference slow the game down. Miami will get their chance to play a quick paced game when they take on Lipscomb on Friday night. Lipscomb has been a team that looks to play fast for several years in a row now. With the new tighter rules we are seeing about four fouls more per game than we have seen in the past. Both of these teams have been teams that do a good job getting to the line in the past two years. They have also both been teams that commit a bunch of fouls. Look for a lot of trips to the charity stripe throughout this game. My numbers made this game 154 points. Take the over.
11-19-15	SMU v. Stanford UNDER 146		85-70	Loss	-108	11 h 36 m	Show
3 Star Play Under The SMU Mustangs play at a methodical pace under Coach Larry Brown. He's suspended now, but SMU isn't going to change the way they play. Stanford lost their two best players from last year, and this Stanford team needed overtime to beat Wisconsin Green Bay at home earlier this year. I don't think Stanford can control the pace of this game, and I think they'll struggle to score against an SMU squad that makes you would hard for every bucket. Look for SMU to grab a lead in this game and work the clock in the second half. I had this number at 141. Take the under.
11-19-15	Oregon State v. Rice UNDER 141		77-69	Loss	-110	8 h 7 m	Show
4 Star Play Under The Rice Owls lost their best long range shooter from last year, and that's about all Rice could do well last season. The Oregon State Beavers have a very good coach in Wayne Tinkle and he is all about slowing the game down and winning with defense. Oregon State doesn't have many good scoring options, but everyone on this team can play defense. Rice likes to slow the game down as well. This is one of those lines that has gotten out of hand because of the success of early season overs. As the line has been bet up, there's just too much value here to pass up. Take the under.
11-19-15	Green Bay v. Georgia Tech OVER 159		77-107	Win	100	5 h 45 m	Show
3 Star Play Over Wisconsin Green Bay has a new coach who has totally changed the look of the team. Their goal is to be one of the fastest paced teams in the country this year. Georgia Tech has worked all offseason on trying to be a faster paced team. Brian Gregory's team put up 116 points in their season opener. Wisconsin Green Bay just gave up 103 points last game to East Tennessee State. I think the Yellow Jackets put up a really big number here and the pace of the game means Green Bay should score plenty as well. I made this line 164. Take the over.
11-19-15	Creighton v. Indiana OVER 164		65-86	Loss	-105	4 h 10 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO The Creighton Blue Jays have a lot of offensive weapons, and they've made it known in the offseason that they want to get out and run. Here's their chance! Indiana loves to run, and the Hoosiers could put up a really big number here. Indiana ranks as the number one team in the nation in offensive efficiency so far this year. Creighton doesn't have many defensive stoppers on their roster. The Blue Jays will get open looks here, because Indiana's defense has been a problem for the past three years. Look for both teams to knock down a lot of threes and this game to go over the posted total. Take the over.
11-18-15	Southern Utah v. UNLV OVER 150.5		64-84	Loss	-105	10 h 2 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT The UNLV Runnin' Rebels are going to be running a lot more this year. Dave Rice said in the preseason that his team has extensively practiced during the offseason to be much faster paced than a year ago. They have the athleticism to beat most teams down the floor. Southern Utah is always glad to play a fast paced game under Coach Nick Robinson. Southern Utah's defense has been among the worst in the nation in each of the last three years. They foul a bunch as well, which will be helpful to the over in this game. A quick tempo with a lot of trips to the charity stripe. Take the over.
11-18-15	Fairfield v. Northwestern UNDER 141	Top	72-79	Loss	-110	7 h 19 m	Show
5 Star TOP Play Best Bet Total The Northwestern Wildcats and Fairfield Stags play a similar style of basketball. Both look to slow down the game and work down the shot clock. Northwestern is without Jershon Cobb this year and he was their best playmaker a year ago. They are also without Vic Law who was slated to be their best player this season. Law was injured before the season. Fairfield played a 70-57 game against Yale earlier this year. Northwestern played a 79-57 game against UMass Lowell. Because overs have done so well so far this year, I think we'll be able to catch games with inflated lines like this one in some spots. All totals are being bet up several points. While the new rules do make higher scoring games more frequent, teams like Fairfield and Northwestern are unlikely to fundamentally change the way they play the game. This total has gone up 9 points since the opener. That's way too much in my opinion. Take the under big!
11-18-15	Illinois v. Providence OVER 147		59-60	Loss	-105	6 h 12 m	Show
4 Star College Hoops TV Total The Providence Friars are led by one of the best players in the country in Kris Dunn. Dunn is going to have a spectacular season this year. Coach Cooley has said he's looking for Dunn and the rest of his team to push the tempo more often this year because of their skillset. Illinois is glad to run. The Fighting Illini have had 93-81 and 80-74 finals in their first two games this year. Malcolm Hill is a very good scorer for Illinois, and the Fighting Illini should attack the rim a lot in this one. I see a close game between two teams who want to run. Take the over.
11-17-15	Texas-Arlington v. Louisiana Tech OVER 152.5		68-80	Loss	-110	4 h 28 m	Show
4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs have a new coach, but they are expected to play the same uptempo style they have in the past. Louisiana Tech uses a full court diamond press to get a lot of turnovers and easy buckets in transition. UT Arlington ranked 8th out of 351 teams in terms of pace last year, and I think this game turns into a real track meet. The sharp money is already on the over, and I made this game 158 points. Take the over.
11-17-15	Missouri v. Xavier UNDER 145.5		66-78	Win	100	4 h 42 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO The Missouri Tigers know they can't turn this into a fast paced game. Missouri doesn't have the offensive firepower that Xavier has. Missouri is likely to be ranked near the bottom this year in terms of pace. The Tigers had a lot of very low scoring games last year. Xavier is likely to get a big lead and coast in this one. The Musketeers defense should be improved this year vs. last season. Take the under.
11-16-15	Eastern Kentucky v. NC-Wilmington OVER 149		59-78	Loss	-107	7 h 48 m	Show
4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION The Eastern Kentucky Colonels are playing a totally different style of basketball this year. They have been a slow tempo team for a long time, but now they have a coach who has said his goal is to have this team near the top of the country in terms of pace. They showed that in their season opener. UNC Wilmington pushes the tempo under a coach who learned under Rick Pitino. There will be a lot of pressing and a lot of fouls in this one. The tempo along with the new shorter shot clock and rules to help higher scoring make this a strong play for me. My number here was 157. Take the over.
11-16-15	Tennessee State v. Ohio OVER 142		67-75	Push	0	4 h 1 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO The Ohio Bobcats are pushing the tempo and they have a lot of offensive weapons. Tennessee State surprised a lot of people by running and scoring like crazy in their season opener. The Tigers put up 86 points on the road. They'll likely lose this game by a good margin, but Ohio should have little to no trouble scoring against this Tennessee State defense that has been really bad the last few seasons. With the shorter shot clock and more blocking fouls being called, I'm taking the over in this game.
11-15-15	Nevada v. Montana State OVER 147.5		83-62	Loss	-110	5 h 58 m	Show
4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION The Nevada Wolf Pack are playing a much faster paced game under new coach Eric Musselman this year. Nevada has been known for their halfcourt sets that waste a lot of time in the past few years under David Carter, but this is a big change. In practices, Nevada has been playing as fast as possible. Montana State's Brian Fish prefers to play fast too, so I don't see anything slowing this one down. All of the new rule changes are leading to higher scoring games early on, and this total of 147.5 isn't a very high number with the shorter shot clock. Look for a lot of transition baskets here. Take the over.
11-13-15	Southern Utah v. Utah OVER 140	Top	71-82	Win	100	9 h 37 m	Show
5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Total From everything I've read about the Utah Utes in the offseason, this team is changing the way they play this year. Utah is going to push the tempo. Utah was one of the slowest paced teams in the nation last year. It usually takes the oddsmakers a little bit to adjust to something like this. Utah has the perfect opponent to try out their new tempo on tonight in Southern Utah. Southern Utah has been an extremely fast paced team the last few years. Additionally, Southern Utah is awful on defense and fouls a bunch. The Utes should get a lot of easy buckets at the basket, and they should be on the free throw line a lot as well. Utah beat down Cal State Monterey Bay 124-70 in exhibition play last week. I'm not saying they'll pour in the points at that pace tonight, but that shows a totally different type of play. This line is far too low. I think this one gets into the 150's. Take the over big!
04-06-15	Wisconsin v. Duke UNDER 141		63-68	Win	100	44 h 28 m	Show
2 Star NCAA BB Championship CASH The Wisconsin Badgers and Duke Blue Devils meet in the NCAA Championship Game on Monday night. I expect this to be a tremendous game, and with an opening line of pick'em, so do the oddsmakers. I don't want any part of taking a side in this one, but I see a small amount of value in the under. Wisconsin shoots the ball extremely well, but they do still slow the game down. Duke hasn't been pushing the tempo nearly as much in recent games as they did early in the season. In title games, we often see the tempo slow down as both teams know that every possession matters. Note that this is a smaller play than normal for me because both offenses are very good, but with a total this high and an expected slow tempo, I'm siding with the under. Take the under here.
03-31-15	Miami (Fla) v. Temple UNDER 142.5		60-57	Win	100	114 h 37 m	Show
4 Star NIT Semifinals Total Domination The Temple Owls have struggled on the offensive end all year. Temple is a team that struggles to knock down jump shots, and that's dangerous as they go to play the NIT Semifinals here at Madison Square Garden. Madison Square Garden is arguably the toughest shooting backdrop in the United States. College players very frequently struggle to get a rhythm here. Miami is a team that slows the game down and I expect them to slow the tempo here. The total is inflated due to so many totals going over in the NIT thus far. This one shows plenty of value for me for a couple reasons: the Madison Square Garden factor, and this game means more now because both teams will want to push harder to reach the NIT finals. Take the under.
03-28-15	Arizona v. Wisconsin UNDER 134		78-85	Loss	-110	41 h 3 m	Show
4 Star Elite 8 Total DOMINATION The Arizona Wildcats lost by a point in this same situation last year against Wisconsin. Arizona gets a huge advantage by playing in front of a ton of their faithful in Los Angeles here. Wisconsin is ranked number one in offensive efficiency, but Arizona is the best defensive team they have played this year. The Badgers still love to run the shot clock down and win with ball control. Arizona is unlikely to turn this game into a track meet. With two teams that play so hard on the defensive end as well as a game that means so much to both teams, I think this total is a few points too high. It's important to note that Wisconsin fouls less than any other team in the country, and that could be a big key for the under here. The under is 6-1 in Arizona's last 7 neutral site games. The under is 5-1 in Arizona's last 6 games. The under is 37-14-1 in Arizona's last 52 Saturday games. Take the under.
03-27-15	Utah v. Duke UNDER 136		57-63	Win	100	93 h 41 m	Show
3 Star Duke/Utah Totals CASH The Duke Blue Devils and Utah Utes square off in what should be a pretty competitive game. I thought it was interesting to see the oddsmakers set the opening line at Duke -4.5. That tells me the oddsmakers are very high on Utah in this one. The Utes didn't finish playing their best at the end of the regular season, but they have bounced back and are playing very well in the tournament thus far. If Utah is going to be successful, they must slow the game down and win with ball control and defense. Utah knows not to get into a track meet with a Duke team that has athleticism all over the place. Several teams have been able to slow down the Blue Devils in recent games. The difference between this Duke team and last year's team is the fact that this team plays very hard on the defensive end. The Blue Devils aren't going to make things easy on Delon Wright and the Utes offense. Duke does a nice job defending beyond the arc, and that's an area where Utah has done most of their damage this year. The under is 4-0 in Duke's last 4 games. The under is 16-5 in their last 21 neutral site games. The under is 7-3 in Utah's last 10. The under is 18-6 in Utah's last 24 neutral site games. Take the under.
03-26-15	Wichita State v. Notre Dame UNDER 137.5		70-81	Loss	-110	18 h 6 m	Show
3 Star Notre Dame/Wichita St Total DOMINATION The Notre Dame Fighting Irish offense has been tremendous all year. My problem with a team like Notre Dame this time of the year is that they are too reliant on jump shots. Notre Dame is now playing on neutral floors with shooting backdrops that they haven't seen before. That can be tough to handle for teams that rely so much on long range jumpers. Speaking to the value from this angle is the fact that the under is 13-2-1 in Notre Dame's last 16 NCAA Tournament games. Wichita State's defense is a strength too, and Gregg Marshall's team is going to contest most of those jumpers. Wichita State has played against two teams who love to run so far in this year's NCAA Tournament, and that has led to two high scoring games. The Shockers typically prefer to slow the game down when they can, and Notre Dame's tempo is actually slower than the average pace in the nation. With a spot in the Elite Eight on the line, it's obvious that this game means a ton to both teams. The more important the game, the slower the tempo tends to be on average. Take the under in this one.
03-25-15	Vermont v. Louisiana-Monroe OVER 132.5		65-71	Win	100	19 h 1 m	Show
4 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total The Louisiana Monroe Warhawks and Vermont Catamounts meet in CBI Postseason Tournament game on Wednesday night. The shorter shot clock has brought a bunch of overs so far this postseason. The NIT, CBI, and CIT Tournaments are all using 30 second shot clocks and a bigger restricted circle (more blocking fouls instead of charges). At first, the shorter shot clock might have hurt offenses a bit as they rushed things, but efficiencies are improving across the board now. This is also a time of the year where teams have typically not cared as much on the defensive end in these smaller postseason tournaments. Louisiana Monroe was a great under team throughout the season, but they have been playing fast and scoring far more efficiently in this tournament. Vermont has scored 85 and 78 points in their two CBI games. With a shorter shot clock, a number this low isn't something I can pass up. Take the over.
03-23-15	Louisiana-Monroe v. Mercer UNDER 131		71-69	Loss	-108	5 h 43 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO The Mercer Bears and the Louisiana Monroe Warhawks have been two great under teams the last couple years. Mercer is a team that slows the game down and tries to get to the line for points. Louisiana Monroe doesn't foul much at all, so Mercer should get less free throws than in a normal game. Monroe ranked dead last, 351st, in the nation in getting to the line this year. Mercer doesn't foul much either. While the shot clock here will be 30 seconds, I still expect both of these teams to use most of that time. This total has been adjusted a little bit too high based on that shorter clock. Take the under.
03-22-15	West Virginia v. Maryland OVER 138.5		69-59	Loss	-102	19 h 60 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION The Maryland Terrapins play in the Big Ten where most teams like to slow the game down. They have shown the ability to get up and down when they are given the chance. West Virginia is going to do everything they can to force the tempo of this game. The Mountaineers press more than anyone else in the country, and Maryland has been a bit turnover prone late in the year. Importantly, West Virginia commits more fouls than any other team in the nation. Maryland is great at drawing fouls, and the Terrapins are also terrific at the line. As a team, Maryland shoots 76% from the line. They should rack up the points at the charity stripe on Sunday. It should also be noted that the rims were very loose in Columbus on Friday for the Round of 64, and that helped several shots into the hoop. It should do the same on Sunday. One other key for me here-the public has been taking the under in this game, but the line continues to move up anyways. That's a nice signal. Take the over.
03-21-15	Arkansas v. North Carolina OVER 157		78-87	Win	100	32 h 37 m	Show
4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION The Arkansas Razorbacks and North Carolina Tar Heels play the same style of basketball. They both get out in transition and try to score before the opposing defense is set. I don't see anyone wanting to slow the game down here. North Carolina is tremendous in transition, and Marcus Paige should have a big game here. Arkansas has more inside strength than they have had in the past, but North Carolina should still get a lot of offensive rebounds and second chance points here. With a very quick pace and a game that should be close throughout, this total is more than attainable. I had this one at 161. Take the over.
03-21-15	Georgia State v. Xavier UNDER 132	Top	67-75	Loss	-110	16 h 31 m	Show
5 Star TOP Play 100% Angle CRUSHER The Georgia State Panthers have been the darlings of the NCAA Tournament thus far. R.J. Hunter's very long three finished off an amazing comeback by the Panthers. One thing to note from Georgia State's recent games is that star point guard Ryan Harrow is injured. Harrow used to play for Kentucky, and he is a key player for this Panthers team. Without him, Georgia State has decided to slow the tempo down of late. They won the Sun Belt final by a ridiculous score of 38-36 in a game that had just 47 possessions by both teams (65 is average). The Baylor game had only 58 possessions. I think Georgia State slows this game down as well, and that gives us value on the under. Xavier has been a good under team for me this year, and the Musketeers have absolutely shown that they like to slow the game down in important games. This game is the most important one of the season thus far for both teams. The under is 4-0 in Xavier's last 4 games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a win percentage of 60% or higher. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 on a neutral floor. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 following an ATS win. The under is 2-0 in Georgia State's last 2 games. A 21-0 angle. Take the under big!
03-21-15	Louisiana-Lafayette v. Sam Houston State OVER 148.5		71-70	Loss	-108	13 h 53 m	Show
3 Star CIT Totals TKO This one is a play on a CIT under the radar game. Sam Houston State hosts Louisiana Lafayette in this second round game on Saturday afternoon. Sam Houston State has decided to pick up the pace quite a bit down the stretch. Louisiana Lafayette ranks in the top 12 in the nation in terms of pace. The 30 second shot clock experiment and the larger arc in the paint (more blocking fouls) will be important in this game. This game should stay close throughout, and that means fouling at the end of the game is a very real possibility. I think this game tops 150 points. Take the over.
03-20-15	Albany NY v. Oklahoma UNDER 131		60-69	Win	100	18 h 47 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle Total The Oklahoma Sooners still push the tempo a bit, but they don't play nearly as fast as they did last year. Oklahoma is now focusing a lot of their energy on the defensive end of the floor, and I think they are a better team because of that. Albany knows they can't run and keep up with Oklahoma. The Great Danes have done a tremendous job slowing the tempo down against Duke and Florida in their first games in the NCAA Tournament the last two years. They should slow this one down as well. The under is 6-0 in Oklahoma's last 6 games played at a neutral site. The under is 4-0 in Albany's last 4 following an ATS loss. The under is 2-0 in Oklahoma's last 2 games. A 12-0 angle. Take the under.
03-20-15	Wyoming v. Northern Iowa UNDER 111		54-71	Loss	-105	11 h 26 m	Show
4 Star NCAA BB Early Bird Special The Northern Iowa Panthers and Wyoming Cowboys both rank in the bottom ten teams in the nation (351 teams) in terms of tempo. If you don't like to watch teams stall and use the entire shot clock up on nearly every possession, this isn't going to be the game for you. Northern Iowa normally shoots it well, but this is a neutral floor where the players haven't been before and that typically brings down shooting percentages a bit. Wyoming is very reliant on Larry Nance Jr. in the post, and Northern Iowa has a good frontcourt capable of slowing him down here. While I don't like taking unders that are this low normally, this one is low for a reason. Very low scoring game here. Take the under.
03-19-15	Ohio State v. VCU OVER 136		75-72	Win	100	45 h 40 m	Show
4 Star Ohio State/VCU Total DOMINATION The VCU Rams always want to play fast. VCU isn't very good in the halfcourt sets on offense, but they are tremendous at creating transition scoring opportunities. Ohio State played very fast in their non-conference games this year. The Buckeyes were often slowed down by teams in the Big Ten, but they'll get their wish to play a faster paced game here. VCU's full court defense is great, but the Rams definitely give up some easy baskets in the halfcourt because they aren't nearly as good defensively without Briante Weber. Ohio State isn't nearly the defensive team they used to be when Aaron Craft was here. This one looks like a close game all the way and one that should be relatively high scoring. Take the over.
03-19-15	Texas v. Butler UNDER 124		48-56	Win	100	38 h 11 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown The Butler Bulldogs have gradually slowed the tempo down over the course of the season. Butler isn't an extremely talented team, but they play some fundamentally sound basketball. The Bulldogs aren't a particularly tall team, and that is going to hurt against Texas' length on defense. Texas is a team that plays slowly as well, and Texas' offense has been a disappointment all year. The Longhorns are number one in the nation in two point field goal defense though. Texas isn't going to give up easy looks around the hoop. This should be a competitive game between two teams that work hard on the defensive end. I had this number at 120 points. Take the under.
03-18-15	CS Sacramento v. Portland OVER 149		73-66	Loss	-110	8 h 39 m	Show
4 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total The Portland Pilots and Sacramento State Hornets met once already this year and the final was 80-75. They finished at 155 even with a 35 second shot clock. The shot clock will be set at 30 each time today, so I expect several more possessions. Portland and Sacramento State are similar in that they are both way better on the offensive end than they are on the defensive end. The Big Sky Conference (Sacramento State's league) is notorious for bad defenses, and in non-conference games I like to play overs with teams in that game. This should reach the mid 150's. Take the over.
03-18-15	Vanderbilt v. St. Mary's UNDER 143.5		75-64	Win	100	8 h 40 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO The shorter shot clock in the NIT has made this total higher than it would have been, but I think this is an overreaction by the oddsmakers. Both of these teams like to play slow, and I don't see them turning this game into an uptempo affair. St. Mary's is great at controlling the tempo, and this game is played on their home floor. I think this one stays in the upper 130's. Take the under.
03-18-15	Northern Arizona v. Grand Canyon UNDER 152		75-70	Win	100	8 h 35 m	Show
4 Star NCAA BB Under Radar Total It's an in-state battle here in the state of Arizona. Northern Arizona plays in a much bigger and better league, but Grand Canyon will be hungry to try knock off their bigger foe. In a game like this, I think we see a little more defense than we do in the average postseason game. This game means something to both teams, and that should keep the tempo down a bit and keep the defenses interested. Take the under.
03-17-15	Ole Miss v. BYU OVER 158		94-90	Win	100	21 h 8 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB First 4 Total DOMINATION The BYU Cougars push the tempo as well as anyone in the country. While most of the nation knows only Tyler Haws from BYU, it is Kyle Collinsworth who is the key to this BYU offense. Collinsworth is a tremendous point guard with the ability to pass, score, and rebound. Collinsworth set the NCAA record mark with six triple doubles this year. He'll be a big key in this game because I don't think there is a guy on the Ole Miss roster who can slow Collinsworth down. The Rebels like to play quickly as well, and Ole Miss and BYU both can really get hot from long range. Also important in this game is that both team get to the line a lot and shoot free throws very well. BYU shoots 77% at the line and Ole Miss 78% at the line. Both of these defenses put opponents on the line a lot, and that should mean a lot of points on the charity stripe here. The over is 5-0 in the Rebels last 5 non-conference games. The over is 5-0 in BYU's last 5 neutral site games. Take the over.
03-17-15	UL-Lafayette v. Incarnate Word OVER 161.5		83-68	Loss	-110	7 h 8 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total These two teams both love to push the tempo and play as fast as possible. Throughout the season both of these teams have had to play against a lot of teams that play stall ball against them, but when these two meet I expect a very high scoring game. Both teams are better on the offensive end than the defensive end. They both shoot free throws extremely well too. Louisiana Lafayette will have a big advantage on the inside and that should lead to a lot of points from their frontcourt. I had this game lined at 165 points. Take the over.
03-17-15	Central Michigan v. Louisiana Tech UNDER 153.5		79-89	Loss	-110	5 h 19 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs and Central Michigan Chippewas meet tonight. Louisiana Tech is a tricky team because they push the tempo and press, but they are also good on defense in the halfcourt. The Bulldogs aren't good offensively unless they are getting easy buckets off the press. Central Michigan has been one of the best in the nation this year at taking care of the basketball. The Chippewas will look to slow the game down here, and because they take care of the basketball, I think it will be a little more difficult for the Bulldogs to score. This total is inflated by a few points. Take the under.
03-14-15	Sam Houston State v. Stephen F. Austin OVER 130.5		70-83	Win	100	6 h 28 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total Stephen F Austin has changed their style of play in a big way from last year to this year. The Lumberjacks now push the tempo and run at every opportunity. Last year, they were a team that liked to walk it up the court and play slowly. Sam Houston State typically plays to the pace of their opponent. The most important part of this game is both teams ability to get to the charity stripe. Both of these teams rank in the top five in the nation in trips to the charity stripe, and both teams foul a lot on defense. Because of that reason I think this one gets over the total. Take the over.
03-14-15	Eastern Washington v. Montana UNDER 148		69-65	Win	100	6 h 41 m	Show
3 Star Play Under The Montana Grizzlies are the only team in the Big Sky that really focuses on defense. Montana will slow the tempo down in this game, because that is their best chance of winning. In addition, a game of this magnitude typically sees a slower tempo because both teams have no chance to get into the NCAA Tournament without a win. Both of these teams are capable of hitting a lot of long range jumpers, but the value here is enough to warrant a play. Take the under.
03-14-15	Xavier v. Villanova UNDER 140.5		52-69	Win	100	7 h 50 m	Show
4 Star Big East Title Total Takedown The Villanova Wildcats defense is far better than it was last year. Villanova has been superb all season long, and in my mind they have been one of the biggest surprises in the nation. I knew they would be solid, but they have been way better than I expected. Villanova slows the tempo down more than they have in the past, and they take great care of the basketball. Xavier has been a team I've had success playing the under with. The Musketeers aren't playing nearly as fast recently as they did during the early part of the season. This game is played at Madison Square Garden, where the shooting backdrops are terrible. The under is 5-0 in Xavier's last 5 following an ATS win. The under is 6-0 in Xavier's last 6 following a straight up win. The under is 6-1 in Xavier's last 7 vs. a team with a 60% or higher win percentage. A 17-1 angle. Take the under.
03-14-15	Southern v. Texas Southern OVER 130		58-62	Loss	-103	4 h 9 m	Show
4 Star Play Over This is a really interesting spot for these teams. Southern is ineligible for the NCAA Tournament, so regardless of who wins this game, it will be Texas Southern representing the SWAC in the NCAA Tournament. That makes for an interesting dynamic here, and I think it means that both teams will play faster than they normally do. Texas Southern has the best offense in the SWAC by a wide margin. Texas Southern should be able to put up a big number here, and Southern typically prefers to play fast as well. Take the over.
03-14-15	Rhode Island v. Dayton OVER 124.5		52-56	Loss	-105	3 h 5 m	Show
4 Star Play Over
03-14-15	Cal-Irvine v. UC-Santa Barbara UNDER 126		72-63	Loss	-105	12 h 36 m	Show
3 Star Play Under The under is 24-6 in UCSB's last 30 games at a neutral venue. The under is 42-13 in UC Irvine's last 55 games. When these two teams meet tonight, there's a lot on the line. UC Irvine is the best defensive team in the Big West thanks to a tremendous 7'6 shot blocker in Mamdou N'Diaye. With him in the game, Irvine also slows the tempo down. UCSB prefers a slow tempo as well. The last time these two met (just a couple weeks ago) the game stayed way under this posted total. With so much on the line, I expect the defenses to hold the edge here. Take the under.
03-13-15	Xavier v. Georgetown UNDER 135		65-63	Win	100	9 h 32 m	Show
4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION The Georgetown Hoyas and Xavier Musketeers have played twice this year and both games stayed way under the posted total. These two teams know each other well, and the defenses make it hard for the opposing offense to get open looks. This game is also played at Madison Square Garden, which probably has the worst shooting backdrop in the country. There are often some very low shooting percentages here when college teams that aren't used to the gym show up. I had this number at 131. Take the under.
03-13-15	CS Sacramento v. Eastern Washington UNDER 151		83-91	Loss	-110	6 h 55 m	Show
3 Star Play Under The Sacramento State Hornets like to slow the game down. I don't think they are going to let Eastern Washington run and gun like they want to here. Sacramento State has played 13 straight games that have finished under this posted total. In a game of this magnitude, the tempo generally slows down because both teams know how much is at stake. Look for the game to slow down a bit like their last meeting did. I had 147.5 on this one. Take the under.
03-13-15	UAB v. Louisiana Tech OVER 134.5		72-62	Loss	-113	5 h 42 m	Show
3 Star Play Over The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs and UAB Blazers both like to play fast. Both of their regular season meetings went over this posted total. Both teams have certain areas in this matchup where they should be able to take advantage of the opposing teams weakness. Louisiana Tech should get some easy buckets off their full court press because of UAB's weakness in the backcourt. UAB should get a lot of second chance opportunities thanks to LA Tech's inability to get defensive boards. Take the over.
03-13-15	Auburn v. LSU OVER 144		73-70	Loss	-105	2 h 30 m	Show
3 Star Play Over
03-12-15	Minnesota v. Ohio State UNDER 142		73-79	Loss	-105	9 h 48 m	Show
4 Star Play Under The Ohio State Buckeyes haven't played as fast lately. Ohio State has improved defensively over the course of the season. The Minnesota Golden Gophers aren't nearly as fast temp wise as they were earlier this year either. These teams met early this year and the Buckeyes won in overtime 74-72. Even with overtime, the tempo was only 69 possessions. This game will be played at a neutral site that both teams are unfamiliar with. That often leads to lower scoring games. I had this one at 138 points. Take the under.
03-12-15	Duquesne v. George Washington UNDER 139		55-73	Win	100	6 h 28 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO The George Washington Colonials are good at getting the tempo they want, and in both games with Duquesne this year they have been able to slow the game down. The two regular season meetings finished at 133 and 140 points respectively. The shooting numbers in both games were astronomically high. It's highly unlikely that these two teams can shoot that well again. The venue should help too. This one is played at Barclay's Center in Brooklyn which is a much bigger arena than either team is used to. That kind of thing generally helps the under. Take the under here.
03-12-15	Hawaii v. Long Beach State OVER 126.5	Top	79-72	Win	100	5 h 49 m	Show
5 Star TOP Play Over My number here was 139. Hawaii pushes the tempo better than anyone else in the Big West Conference. I don't see Hawaii changing the way they play just because it is conference tournament time. The tempo has been really quick in both meetings this year. Take the over big!
03-12-15	Central Florida v. East Carolina UNDER 129.5		80-81	Loss	-110	2 h 59 m	Show
3 Star Play Under
03-11-15	Creighton v. DePaul UNDER 135.5		78-63	Loss	-110	6 h 37 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Total PERFECTION The DePaul Blue Demons and Creighton Blue Jays meet at Madison Square Garden in New York City tonight. Madison Square Garden might have the worst shooting backdrop of any gym in the country. College players have a particularly tough time here since they aren't used to shooting in this large of a gym. The first two meetings between these teams were both played at a slow tempo, and if we see a similar tempo here I like our chances with the under. The under is 4-0 in Creighton's last 4 vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 5-0 in DePaul's last 5. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 following an ATS loss. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 following a straight up loss. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 league games. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams. A 29-0 angle. Take the under.
03-11-15	Missouri v. South Carolina UNDER 120.5		54-63	Win	100	5 h 17 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT The South Carolina Gamecocks have a terrible offense and a solid defensive team. Missouri is just awful on both ends of the floor. Both of these teams have slowed down their tempo late in the year. Bridgestone Arena will host this game, and it is notorious for its terrible shooting backdrop. These two teams should struggle from the floor in this game. Look for a very sloppy low scoring contest here. The under is 5-0 in Missouri's last 5. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 league games. The under is 7-1 in South Carolina's last 8 neutral site games. A 17-1 angle. Take the under.
03-11-15	Rutgers v. Minnesota OVER 136		68-80	Win	100	6 h 38 m	Show
4 Star Play Over The Minnesota Golden Gophers beat Rutgers 89-80 in the first meeting between these two teams. While I certainly don't expect a game that is that high scoring, I do think this total is set too low. Rutgers has totally quit on the defensive end at the end of the year. Opposing teams have been lighting them up on a consistent basis. Minnesota likes to push the tempo more than any other team in the league. I had this one at 140.5. Take the over.
03-11-15	Coppin State v. North Carolina Central UNDER 141		43-91	Win	100	5 h 57 m	Show
3 Star Play Under North Carolina Central is the much better team here, and they should control the tempo of the game. Coppin State loves to run, but they aren't a good team. NC Central grabs an early lead and slows this game down. Also, this game is played at a neutral site that is well known for being a tough site for shooters. This one is a few points too high. Take the under.
03-11-15	Air Force v. New Mexico UNDER 119		68-61	Loss	-110	2 h 52 m	Show
3 Star Play Under
03-10-15	North Dakota State v. South Dakota State OVER 125		57-56	Loss	-102	4 h 4 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle Total The South Dakota State Jackrabbits have a really efficient offense with George Marshall leading the way. Marshall transferred to South Dakota State from Wisconsin and he's been a guy that really kickstarts this offense. His athleticism and ability to get his own shot has been key. The Jackrabbits should look to push the tempo against North Dakota State here. North Dakota State likes to slow the game down, but their defense isn't good. They give up a lot of three-pointers, and they are great at shooting threes themselves. This total is posted a few points too low. The over is 4-0 in North Dakota State's last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 5-0 in SD State's last 5 following an ATS win. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a 60% or higher win percentage. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two. A 21-0 angle. Take the over.
03-09-15	Miami (OH) v. Eastern Michigan OVER 133	Top	61-62	Loss	-110	8 h 31 m	Show
5 Star TOP Play Total Big play here for me. The Eastern Michigan Eagles have bumped up the tempo in a big way late in the season. Recency means a lot to me when it comes to totals. Miami (Ohio) has been a team that has played to the tempo of their opponent all year long. When they have played against Eastern Michigan this year, both games have gone way over this posted total. In fact, the last game was played at a ridiculously fast 84 possessions pace. Despite some bad shooting numbers, that game finished at 152 points. My numbers made this game 140 points. The over is 9-2 in E. Mich's last 11 games. Take the over big!
03-08-15	Monmouth v. Iona OVER 138.5		77-95	Win	100	3 h 29 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION The Iona Gaels are tremendous at forcing the tempo of the game. Iona isn't going to slow down for anyone, because that simply isn't Tim Cluess' style. Monmouth initially slowed their tempo down earlier this year, but they have started playing faster late in the season. Monmouth over the years has been a team that plays fast, and I believe they are going back to that style. Both teams shoot it well from the line, and that's a big bonus here. Take the over.
03-08-15	Hofstra v. William & Mary OVER 152.5		91-92	Win	100	2 h 37 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO These two teams might twice during the regular season and both times the game went well over this posted total. Hofstra should be able to dictate the pace here, and they were the fastest paced team in the league. Hofstra is a slight favorite here, but this should be a close game. William & Mary have been the most efficient offense in the CAA all year. With a close game likely, fouling late as neither team wants to see their season end is a very real possibility. I had 156 here. Take the over.
03-07-15	Santa Clara v. BYU UNDER 146	Top	76-78	Loss	-110	8 h 40 m	Show
5 Star TOP Play 100% Total The BYU Cougars love to push the tempo and run, but Santa Clara is a very slow paced team. The first two games between these two stayed well under this posted total, and this game means a lot more so I think the tempo slows down a bit more. Santa Clara's only chance here is to stall, and I think they'll do that. BYU is likely to get a large lead in the second half and then coast to conserve energy for the rest of the tournament. I had this number at 140.5. I see a lot of value on the under. In Santa Clara's 19 games vs. a WCC opponent this year, zero of those games reached this posted total. The under is 5-0 in BYU's last 5. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 following an ATS cover. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a conference foe. A 34-0 angle. Take the under big!
03-07-15	UC-Irvine v. UC-Davis UNDER 134	Top	61-80	Loss	-110	6 h 55 m	Show
5 Star TOP Play of the Week This is a strong play for me. UC Davis has been shooting the ball extremely well, but they run into the best defense in the Big West here. UC Irvine can really defend, especially now that they have a great shot blocker inside in 7'6 Mamdou N'Diaye. The Anteaters slow the game down much more when he's in the lineup, and since he has missed most of the season, I believe the oddsmakers aren't lowering Irvine's totals enough yet now that he is back. Davis prefers to slow the game down as well, and their defense is much improved this year. Earlier this year the final total was 131 when these two played, and I expect lower than that in this one. I had this one at 128 points. The under is 41-12 in Irvine's last 53 games. Take the under big!
03-07-15	Cleveland State v. Valparaiso UNDER 120.5		55-60	Win	100	5 h 25 m	Show
3 Star Play Under The Valparaiso Crusaders and Cleveland State Vikings met twice this year in the regular season. The final totals were 114 points and 109 points. This game means even more because the losing team will be done. That usually means a slower tempo and better defense. Cleveland State and Valpo both like to slow the game down. My numbers had this game at 116.5. Take the under here.
03-07-15	Virginia v. Louisville UNDER 112.5		57-59	Loss	-110	2 h 26 m	Show
3 Star Play Under The Virginia Cavaliers shut down Louisville earlier this year in a 52-47 win. I think they can do it again here on the road. Virginia's defense is just tremendous and Louisville's offense is even worse now without Jones in the backcourt. Justin Anderson is still out for Virginia and that hurts them a lot on offense. Look for a very low scoring close game. Take the under.
03-07-15	Cal Poly v. UC-Santa Barbara UNDER 120.5		56-64	Win	100	5 h 52 m	Show
3 Star Play Under Cal Poly has been a great under team for me in the past few years. UCSB is another team that likes to slow the game down. When these two get together, it's typically a very low scoring game. The first game finished 50-45. This one will likely be higher than that, but I like the under. I had this one at 116.5. Take the under.
03-07-15	Columbia v. Princeton OVER 128		83-85	Win	100	5 h 51 m	Show
3 Star Play Over The first time these two got together the game coasted over this total. Princeton is great at getting to the line, and Columbia has been fouling a lot lately. The Lions can shoot it really well from long range, and despite their slow tempo they have had some very high scoring games. This one is a few points too low. Take the over.
03-07-15	St. Peters v. Rider UNDER 121.5		68-59	Loss	-110	3 h 28 m	Show
3 Star Play Under
03-07-15	San Diego v. Pepperdine UNDER 121.5		47-50	Win	100	4 h 19 m	Show
3 Star Play Under
03-07-15	Kansas v. Oklahoma OVER 142		73-75	Win	100	4 h 9 m	Show
3 Star Play Over
03-07-15	Rice v. UTEP UNDER 127.5		65-68	Loss	-110	3 h 55 m	Show
3 Star Play Under
03-07-15	Clemson v. Notre Dame UNDER 132		67-81	Loss	-110	2 h 4 m	Show
4 Star Play Under
03-07-15	Texas-Arlington v. Appalachian State OVER 145.5		60-72	Loss	-115	2 h 26 m	Show
4 Star Play Over
03-07-15	Georgia Southern v. Georgia State UNDER 134		55-72	Win	100	2 h 52 m	Show
4 Star Play Under
03-07-15	Rutgers v. Michigan UNDER 123		69-79	Loss	-110	2 h 44 m	Show
4 Star Play Under
03-07-15	Xavier v. Creighton UNDER 138		74-73	Loss	-108	2 h 56 m	Show
4 Star Play Under
03-07-15	St. Joe's v. Rhode Island UNDER 124.5		68-78	Loss	-110	1 h 13 m	Show
3 Star Play Under
03-06-15	Toledo v. Eastern Michigan OVER 141		59-85	Win	100	7 h 36 m	Show
4 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total The Eastern Michigan Eagles have really been pushing the tempo late in the year. Eastern Michigan is looking to get out and run and get to the basket. Toledo is the best offense in the Mid American Conference, and the Rockets should make a living at the line against an Eastern Michigan team that fouls a bunch. The first meeting finished at 144 points, and both teams have been playing at a faster tempo recently. I had this one at 145.5. Take the over.
03-06-15	Columbia v. Pennsylvania OVER 123.5		46-54	Loss	-110	6 h 31 m	Show
3 Star Ivy League Total The Penn Quakers and Columbia Lions both play terrible defense. On a lot of my totals plays, I'm looking at tempo. This isn't one of those plays. The tempo here should be slow, but both teams have been burying a ton of threes, and they shouldn't get much resistance from the defense here. Efficiency on offense is the key. The first meeting between these two went to 139 points. I think this one gets into the upper 120's. Take the over.
03-06-15	Samford v. NC-Greensboro OVER 139		76-81	Win	100	6 h 34 m	Show
4 Star Play Over This is the third time these two teams have met this year. I have played the over and cashed in twice, and I'm going to play the over a third time. Both of these teams play terrible defense, and they both prefer to run. Additionally, both of these teams do a bunch of fouling. That is key because this should be a close game, and a foul fest late in the game would not surprise me one bit. The pace of the game is the primary factor, and the poor defense and fouls are a nice boost as well. Take the over.
03-05-15	Cal State Fullerton v. UC-Irvine UNDER 133.5		62-68	Win	100	8 h 2 m	Show
4 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT The UC Irvine Anteaters have been great to under bettors the last couple years. Mamadou N'Diaye is a 7'6 defensive force in the paint for UC Irvine. He missed a lot of time this year due to an injury, but he has come back recently. That slows the game down for them and helps their defense in a huge way. The first meeting between these two stayed well under the total despite him not playing. Fullerton's offense is terrible, and I expect a big Irvine win here. Look for Irvine to grab a big lead and then slow the game down. The under is 40-12-1 in Irvine's last 53 overall. Take the under.
03-05-15	Bradley v. Drake UNDER 120	Top	52-50	Win	100	10 h 11 m	Show
5 Star TOP Play Total The Drake Bulldogs and the Bradley Braves both love to slow the game down. There's little doubt that this game will be played at an extremely slow tempo. The only question is what will the shooting numbers look like? If they don't shoot it well, this one will almost certainly stay under. I'm thinking there's a good chance they won't shoot it well. Arch Madness is played in St. Louis at the Scottrade Center. This is a place that is notorious for its bad shooting backdrops. With two teams who rely on long shots, I think the under is a strong play here. I had 115 for this one. Take the under big!
03-05-15	Georgia State v. Louisiana-Monroe UNDER 125		58-50	Win	100	7 h 27 m	Show
3 Star Play Under The Louisiana Monroe Warhawks are a really good under team. They play very slowly. They play tremendous defense. They are bad on the offensive end. Georgia State has improved a lot defensively this year, and Monroe only put up 45 points in the first meeting between these two. Monroe will likely struggle to score again here, but I think their defense will do well too. I had this one at 121.5. Take the under.
03-05-15	Morehead State v. Tennessee-Martin UNDER 133.5		76-65	Loss	-110	6 h 3 m	Show
3 Star Play Under This game will be played at Municipal Auditorium in Nashville. This is a really bad venue for shooters. The backdrop often leads to poor shooting percentages. The first game between these two teams was below this posted total until they went into overtime. The shooting percentages were very good in that game as well. I see a slower tempo and lower shooting numbers. Take the under.
03-05-15	Wisconsin v. Minnesota UNDER 131		76-63	Loss	-110	5 h 7 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB National TV Total The Minnesota Golden Gophers and Wisconsin Badgers matchup tonight in what could be a pretty good game. Minnesota plays top teams well at The Barn, and Wisconsin has been slightly vulnerable on the road. The tempo here should be slow. Wisconsin is playing far slower this year than they did last season, and Minnesota isn't playing fast like they did earlier this year. I had this one at 127.5. Take the under here.
03-05-15	Temple v. East Carolina UNDER 121.5		70-56	Loss	-108	5 h 51 m	Show
4 Star Play Under The East Carolina Pirates know how they like to play, and they do a good job controlling the style of the game. East Carolina wants to slow the game down, and they should be able to do it here. Temple's offensive efficiency has been really bad inside the conference. The Owls play tremendous defense though, and it's hard to imagine either team finding open shots often today. I had 117 here. Take the under.
03-05-15	Southern Illinois v. Missouri State UNDER 119		55-48	Win	100	5 h 41 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle Total The Missouri State Bears and Southern Illinois Salukis have a long history of playing low scoring sloppy games against each other. This game is played at the Scottrade Center, which is a terrible venue for shooters. The backdrop often leads to some ugly shooting percentages. These two teams aren't good at shooting it even before that is factored into the equation. The under is 6-0 in Missouri State's last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings between these two. A 12-0 angle. Take the under.
03-05-15	Niagara v. Siena OVER 138		54-71	Loss	-110	3 h 42 m	Show
4 Star Play Over These two teams played twice this year and both games went over this posted total comfortably. These are two really bad defenses and both teams send the opponent to the line a bunch. Even though this is a neutral site where shooting percentages can be lower, I expect the tempo and the number of trips to the line to make this one go over the posted total. I had 142 points. Take the over.
03-04-15	SIU-Edwardsville v. Eastern Illinois UNDER 128.5		66-78	Loss	-110	6 h 52 m	Show
4 Star NCAA BB Under Radar Total The Eastern Illinois Panthers have one of the best defenses in the Ohio Valley Conference. SIU Edwardsville is far better on defense than they were a year ago. The real key here though is where this game is being played. It will be played at Municipal Auditorium in Nashville. The shooting backdrop here is very bad, and that has led to some ugly shooting numbers and low scoring games in the last few years in the Ohio Valley Conference Tournament. This should be one of those low scoring contests. I had 124 points here. Take the under.
03-04-15	USC v. UCLA UNDER 140.5		74-85	Loss	-108	5 h 20 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB National TV Total The USC Trojans are without a play maker in McLaughlin. USC didn't have very many play makers to start with, so losing one of them hurt them badly. The Trojans are a team that plays fast, but their inefficiency means that the final scores aren't typically very high in their games. UCLA has surprised a lot of people by slowing the game down significantly in conference play. The Bruins slower pace and better defense has led to a lot of unders. The under is 10-2 in their last 12 games. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 following a win. Take the under here.
03-04-15	Cincinnati v. Tulsa UNDER 119		56-47	Win	100	5 h 17 m	Show
4 Star Play Under The Cincinnati Bearcats have been a tremendous under team for a long time now. The under is 54-21 in their last 75 games overall. Cincinnati has a poor offense and a tremendous defense, and the Bearcats really slow the tempo down. This is an important game for both teams, and that should lead to a spirited effort from both defenses. I had this game lined at 115 points. Take the under.
03-04-15	La Salle v. St. Joe's UNDER 122.5		50-55	Win	100	3 h 21 m	Show
4 Star Play Under St. Joe's and LaSalle are very similar teams. They are both competitive largely because they play some tough defense. These two offenses have been horrendous inside Atlantic 10 play. The first game between these two was an ugly game that finished at 101 points. I see poor shooting numbers in this one again. It should be higher than the first game because there weren't many free throws at all in that one, but still below the total. Take the under.
03-03-15	Texas A&M v. Florida UNDER 123		62-66	Loss	-110	8 h 10 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB National TV Total The Florida Gators offense has been a major disappointment this year. Billy Donovan's team hasn't been able to achieve the success they normally have because they simply can't score. This team is still good defensively, and they still like to slow the game down. Texas A&M has always been a slow it down type of team with Coach Kennedy at the helm. The Aggies and Gators met a couple weeks ago and the final total was 125 points, but both teams shot the ball better than normal in that game. Look for lower shooting numbers here. Take the under.

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