Sports Picks & Predictions

4* Western Conference Total of the Week on Lakers/Pelicans OVER

The New Orleans Pelicans are coming into this matchup with some serious issues on the defensive end of the court. Over their last five games the Pelicans have surrendered an average of 109.8 points per game. On the offensive end of the court the Pelicans should be fine tonight since they face a Lakers team that is allowing 109.6 points per game over their last five games.

With both defenses surrendering a combined average of 219.4 points per game over their last five games I think we are getting a lot of value on the over tonight. The Pelicans offense should get the boost they need facing a struggling defense like the Lakers, and the Lakers should have no problem continuing to put up big offensive numbers since they are already averaging 106 points per game over their last five games. It is also worth noting that the Lakers have gone over the total in six of their last seven games.

The over has a 39-19 record over the last two seasons when the Pelicans are facing a team with a losing record. When their opponent is being outscored by three or more points per game the over is 11-3 in Pelican's games this season. The over is also 13-5 in Lakers games against poor pressure defenses that are forcing less than 14 turnovers per game. Both teams are playing extremely soft defense right now, and they have gone over the total in four of the last five head-to-head meetings.

3* Total No Brainer on Jazz/Cavaliers UNDER

This total is set quite a bit higher than it should be considering how poorly these teams have looked on the offensive end of the court this season. The Jazz come into this matchup averaging just 92.3 points per game on the road. That has come against opponents allowing an average of over 100 points per game. Cleveland is an above average team in comparison, allowing just 98.2 points per game at home this season.

The Cavaliers have also had a lot of problems getting points on the board. They are averaging 96.9 points per game this season. The Jazz are definitely a soft team defensively, but I think they should be able to slow the Cavaliers down in this matchup. Utah's opponents have an offensive scoring average of 101.7 points per game, and with Cleveland averaging almost five points per game below that number the under shows a lot of value.

This game fits into a very profitable system to play the under. You should take the under when one of the teams (Utah) is coming off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, and they are facing an opponent that is coming off a road win by 10 points or more. The Jazz picked up a 23 point win at home over Phoenix in their last outing, while the Cavaliers picked up a 10 point road win over Oklahoma City. In this situation the under has a 98-52 (65%) record.

3* Total Annihilator on Bucks/Pacers UNDER

The Pacers defense has been ridiculously good against division opponents this season. They are surrendering a mere 87.4 points per game in those games. When playing at home Indiana has allowed an average of just 86.3 points per game. Now the Pacers have the luxury of facing a Milwaukee team that only averages 93.3 points per game, which makes the under an easy call in this matchup.

Milwaukee may not have a great record, but they are not a bad team defensively. Against division opponents the Bucks have allowed 99.1 points per game, and simply matching that average makes the under a very attractive play. The under is 22-9 when Milwaukee is a road underdog of 12.5 points or more. I expect to see the Pacers take a big early lead and have a lot of clock killing possessions late in this game that ensure we stay under the total.

This matchup fits into a system that identifies matchups where the oddsmakers have set the total too high because of recent performances rather than how these teams actually match up. You should play the under when the total is 190 to 199.5 points after one of the teams scored 110 points or more in two straight games (Indiana), and they are playing against an opponent that scored 60 points or more in the first half of their last game. This system has a 24-5 (83%) record in favor of the under.

4* Total Annihilator on Spurs/Suns OVER

There has been no shortage of scoring from both of these teams coming out of the All-Star break. Over their last five games the Spurs have averaged 106.4 points per game. They put up 113 points against the Clippers in their first game following the break, then scored 111 points on Portland in the second half of a back-to-back. The defense has not been great either, allowing 102.6 points per game over their last five.

For the Suns it has been business as usual on offense. They average 107.6 points per game at home this season, and are scoring 107.8 points per game over their last five. The value on the over from Phoenix' side of things comes from the fact that the defense that has allowed 101.8 points per game overall this season is giving up an astonishing 107 points per game over their last five games. Now they will be tasked with facing a great offensive team like the Spurs, which should lead to a lot of points being scored tonight.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system to play the over. You should take the over when one of the teams (San Antonio) is coming off a win by six points or less, and they are facing an opponent that is coming off two straight wins by six points or less. The Spurs squeaked by Portland in their last outing, and the Suns picked up wins over Denver and Boston by five and six points, respectively. This system is 130-73 (64%) in favor of the over.

5* Total No Brainer on Magic/Cavaliers OVER

This matchup features two very poor defensive teams, and two offenses that have the ability to catch fire. The value in this matchup is clearly going to be on the over. Orlando is surrendering 102.3 points per game on the road this season. The Cavaliers have allowed an average of 102 points per game overall. Neither of these teams has done a lot of scoring this year, and I think that is the biggest reason for such a low total. That will change tonight since the competition is soft both ways.

For a tired team the first thing to go is usually the defense. The Cavaliers are playing in the second half of a back-to-back situation. I expect their defense to be even worse than normal for this game. Orlando is also playing in a back-to-back after losing on the road against Milwaukee last night in a game they surrendered 104 points.

The Cavaliers have a history of going over the total against Southeast division teams. The over has a 5-1 record in their last six games against that division, and it is 11-3 in Cleveland's last 14 games against a team with a losing record. For Orlando, the over is 43-26 the last three seasons when they are revenging a road loss to their opponent. With two soft defenses playing in a tough back-to-back situation, I expect to see a lot of points going on the board tonight.

3* Total Annihilator on Nets/Bulls UNDER

I like this matchup to easily stay under the posted total. Both of these teams have been solid on defense this season. The Bulls have surrendered a mere 90.7 points per game, while the Nets have held opponents below their scoring averages at 99.7 points per game. I don't expect Brooklyn to have any problem improving on that number tonight since they are up against a Chicago team that only averages 92.3 points per game.

This is the last game before the All-Star break, and both of these teams need a win. I think they will step up their defensive efforts today and that will keep this game under the total. Brooklyn has been playing great defense recently, allowing 94.4 points per game over their last five games. Just like Chicago, the Nets are not a high scoring team. They are averaging 96.3 points per game on the road this year, and they will struggle to match that number tonight since Chicago will be one of the best defensive teams they have seen.

The under is 23-8 when Chicago is playing against a team with a losing record this season. The under is also 12-2 when the Bulls are playing at home and the total has been set between 180-189.5 points. In their last seven games against Atlantic division teams the under has a 7-0 record for Chicago. With Both teams struggling to score points this season, and both teams playing great defense right now the under is an easy call in this matchup.

3* Total Dominator on Mavericks/Bobcats UNDER

This total is simply too high, which makes the under a strong value play. The Bobcats may not have a great record, but that has not been because of a lack of defensive talent. They are playing at home, and should easily control the pace of this game. Charlotte has held opponents to 94.6 points per game at home this season, while scoring a mere 92.8 points in those games.

Dallas has been a soft team defensively at times, but that does not hurt us in this matchup tonight. The Bobcats opponents have a defensive scoring average over 100 points per game this year, yet they are still averaging well under 95 points per game. Also, the Mavericks have been playing a lot better defensively in recent weeks. Over their past five games Dallas has held its opponents to 95.6 points per game.

This matchup fits into a very profitable indicating this should be a low scoring game. You should play the under when one team (Dallas) has beaten the spread by 36 points or more in their last five games, and they have won 51 to 60 percent of their games on the season and are playing against a team with a losing record. Over the last five seasons the under is 54-34 (61%) in this situation.

4* Total Dominator on Blazers/Pacers UNDER

The total on this game is set way too high. The Indiana Pacers have one of the best home court advantages in the NBA, and I think that will allow them to control the pace of this game. The Pacers defense has been unbelievably hard to score on this year, and they are surrendering a mere 84.8 points per game when playing at home. On the offensive end of the court the Pacers are not a high scoring team. They haven't needed to average triple digits to win games, which is a big reason the under is 17-8 when playing in Indianapolis.

Portland has really been struggling recently. Over the Trailblazers' last five games they have averaged a mere 91.8 points per game. They have also gone under the total in seven of their last eight games. The normally soft Portland defense has stepped up during that five game stretch. They are holding opponents to 98.8 points per game which is five points under their defensive scoring average on the season. With the offense struggling, and the defense playing so well, the under becomes a very strong value play.

This matchup fits into a system indicating this should be a low scoring game. You should play the under when the total is between 190 to 199.5 points and the road team is well rested playing four or less games in the last 10 games and they have won 60 to 75 percent of their games on the season, when they are playing against a team with a winning record. The under is 147-85 (63%) in this situation.

3* Total Dominator on Spurs/Nets UNDER

This game should play out to be a defensive battle. A big reason for the Nets success in the New Year has been outstanding defensive play. They suffered a three game stretch of poor defense a week ago, but I like the Nets to get back to playing solid defense in this matchup with the Spurs. San Antonio will be without Duncan and Parker tonight, and that will take a big hit out of the Spurs offensive production.

On the defensive end of the court San Antonio will be fine. They have played without there stars before and still manage to put up solid defensive numbers. San Antonio is holding opponents to a mere 96.3 points per game on the road this season, and that has come against much better scoring teams than the Nets. Brooklyn averages 97.5 points per game overall, and I think they will struggle to match that number in this game.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system backing the under. You should play the under when one of the teams (San Antonio) is coming off two or more consecutive overs, and their opponent (Brooklyn) is coming off three or more consecutive overs. This system identifies matchups where the oddsmakers have a history of setting the total to high, and the under has delivered a 216-144 (60%) record over the last five seasons.

3* Total Annihilator on Kings/Raptors UNDER

This is a lot of points for two teams that have been trending towards the under recently. The Raptors have gone under the total in three of their last four games, while the Kings have gone under in four consecutive games. Both teams are playing great defense right now, and nothing in this matchup indicates that will be changing today.

Over their last five games the Raptors have held opponents to 92.2 points per game. They have been a solid defensive team all season allowing an average of just 95.2 points per game on the road. The Kings may have a decent scoring average at home, but that has come against opponents who are surrendering over 100 points per game on the season. On the defensive end of the court Sacramento has allowed just 95.4 points per game over its last five games.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system to play on the under. When the total is between 200 to 209.5 points in a non-conference matchup and one of the teams (Sacramento) went under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game the under has a 54-25 (68%) record over the last five seasons. I expect this matchup to be a defensive battle, and it should stay comfortably under the posted total.

3* Total Dominator on Bulls/Kings UNDER

This matchup sets up perfectly for a play on the under. The Kings are coming into this game having given up 106.4 points per game over their last five games. Sacramento has been struggling defensively, and that has forced the oddsmakers to set this total higher than it should be. The Kings are facing a horrible Bulls offense, and I just don't see their defensive woes continuing in this matchup with Chicago.

The Bulls may not be a great team on offense, but they have one of the league's best defenses. Chicago has surrendered 92.7 points per game this season. Their defensive scoring average is a full eight points below the average opponent Sacramento has faced this season. The Kings offense has been putting up below average numbers since losing DeMarcus Cousins to an ankle injury, and with his status doubtful today I expect them to continue struggling on offense.

The Bulls have gone under the total in five of their last six games while the Kings have stayed under the total in three consecutive games. There are too many variables indicating this will be a low scoring game. Both teams are coming into this matchup with a day of rest, Chicago is playing great defense, the Kings are struggling to score without Cousins and the list goes on and on. Take the under because this one will be low scoring.

4* Western Conference Total of the Week on Spurs/Pelicans UNDER

This matchup should play out to be a defensive battle. The Spurs defense has been solid on the road, holding opponents to a mere 95.3 points per game. They are not a team that has been putting up big offensive numbers recently either. San Antonio is averaging just 95.4 points per game over their last five games.

The Pelicans come into this matchup with a very underrated defense. They have held opponents to 98.7 points per game when playing on the road, but over their last five games they have surrendered just 89.8 points per game. Just like the Spurs, New Orleans has been in a bit of a scoring slump. They have scored an average of 93.6 points over their last five games.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system indicating this game will stay below the total. You should play the under in a game involving two good three point shooting teams that make 36.5 percent or more of their attempts, in a matchup involving two average rebounding teams that have a +3 to -3 rebounding margin on the season. This system is 270-178 (60%) to the under throughout the last five seasons. The system points out the fact that the oddsmakers tend to set the total far too high for games with good three-point shooting teams, not taking into account how well the teams have played defensively.

5* NBA Total of the Week on Blazers/Wizards OVER

The Portland Trailblazers are one of the highest scoring teams in the league this season. They are averaging 108.3 points per game overall, and when playing on the road that number increases to 108.7 points per game. They are also a very soft defensive team that has allowed 105.1 points per game on the road. Their high scoring and poor defensive play are a big reason the over is such an easy call in this matchup with the Wizards.

Washington comes into this matchup averaging just over 100 points per game at home. I think they have a lot of potential to exceed there scoring average since they will be facing a soft defense in this game. Portland is allowing 103.4 points per game overall against opponents whose scoring average is 100.8 points per game. When the Trailblazers are playing on the road that number gets even worse.

The over is 20-6 in Portland's road games versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots per game over the last 2 seasons. The over is also 13-3 in Washington's home games against good teams that are outscoring opponents by three or more points per game. These two angles combined for a 33-9 (79%) record in favor of the over.

4* Total Dominator on Nets/Celtics UNDER

The total in this game seems to be quite a bit higher than it should be. Boston is playing some solid defense right now surrendering just 87.8 points per game against division opponents. The Celtics offense has been horrible this year, so I think the Nets are poised for a strong defensive performance too. Boston averages 95.1 points per game and should struggle against this Brooklyn team that has held opponents to 96.4 points per game over its last five games. That five game stretch has come against opponents with a lot more scoring potential than the Celtics bring to this matchup.

The under is 14-4 in Boston's last 18 home games when coming off a matchup with a non-conference opponent. The under is also 12-4 when Boston has been an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. Brooklyn is well rested right now, playing just their second game in five days. The under is 26-14 in the Nets last 40 games when playing in a 2-in-5 situation over the last two seasons.

There is a very profitable system backing the under in this matchup. You should play the under when the total is between 190 to 199.5 points and the road team is well rested playing their second game in five days, and they have won 40 to 49 percent of their games on the season. This system is 48-21 (70%) to the under for the last five seasons. With both teams playing solid defense recently I expect this to be a very low scoring game.

3* Total Annihilator on Rockets/Grizzlies UNDER

With the Grizzlies playing at home I think they will control the pace of this game. That puts a lot of value on the under since they are surrendering just 96.3 points per game this season. The under is 22-8 in Memphis games after a matchup where both teams scored 90 points or less.

This is the second leg of a home-and-home series between these teams. In the first game these teams combined for a score of 175 points, and there is no reason to expect an outcome much different than that in this matchup. Memphis has gone under the total in five consecutive games, and the Rockets have gone under the total in five of their last seven games.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system backing the under. You should play the under when a team, like Memphis, is facing a division opponent and they are coming off a road win over a division rival. This system has gone under the total at a rate of 69-36 (66%) over the last five seasons.

5* NBA Non-Conference Total of the Month on Wizards/Suns OVER 207

This total is set far too low given how well these teams have been playing on offense recently. Over their last five games the Wizards are averaging 105.2 points per game. The Suns have also been on a scoring binge averaging 113 points per game over their last five games. These teams have an 11-3 record in favor of the over in their last 14 games combined.

Both offenses are playing great right now, but both of these defenses have been horrible. Washington has surrendered 101.2 points per game over their last five games, and I think that number will only get worse against a high scoring team like the Suns. Phoenix has had a notoriously bad defense all season, but somehow they have managed to play worse than average recently allowing 105 points per game over their last five games.

The over is 13-2 in the Suns last 15 home games against opponents who attempt 18 or more three point shots per game. The over is also 13-5 when the Suns are playing against a team with a losing record this season. You should play the over when the total is 200 points or more and the road team is coming off a loss by three points or less and their opponent has scored 100 points or more in four straight games. The over has a 54-23 (70%) record in this situation.

4* Total Annihilator on Mavericks/Suns OVER

I think the total for this game is set much lower than it should be. Dallas is coming into this matchup averaging 108.2 points per game over their last five games. They are not a team that takes a big hit in offensive production when playing on the road, and I like their chances to continue their scoring binge against this soft Phoenix defense. The Suns are surrendering 105.8 points per game over their last five games, and there scoring defense at home has actually been worse than when the Suns are playing on the road.

The Suns should also score at-will in this game. Dallas may be on a tear on the offensive end of the court, but there defense has been non-existent recently. The Mavericks have surrendered 105.2 points per game over their last five games. The Suns are a very good scoring team at home, averaging 108.1 points per game when playing in Phoenix. These teams met last month and the total was set at 208 points. They combined for a total of 231 points in that game, yet the total set by the oddsmakers has barely increased. I think that represents strong value on the over tonight.

This matchup fits into a very profitable system to play on the over. You should take the over when the total is over 200 points, and the teams went over the total by more than 18 points in their last meeting, and one of the teams (Dallas) went over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game. This system has a 159-94 (63%) record in favor of the over.

3* Total Annihilator on Hawks/Grizzlies UNDER

The total on this game is set far too high considering how these teams have been playing recently. In their last five games the Atlanta Hawks have averaged a mere 90 points per game. They have played well defensively during that stretch holding opponents to just 90 points per game. They are up against a Grizzlies team that is not known for putting up big numbers on the scoreboard. Memphis averages 96.2 points per game, and I expect the Grizzlies to struggle to match that number in this matchup since the Hawks are playing so well defensively right now.

The under is a perfect 8-0 in the Grizzlies last eight home games against Southeast division opponents. It is also 29-15 when Memphis is coming off a win by six points or less. The Grizzlies squeaked by Phoenix in their last game winning by just five points. They uncharacteristically gave up 99 points, and I expect to see a much stronger defensive performance in this matchup, especially since Memphis is playing with a day of rest. The Grizzlies opponents have averaged over 101 points per game on the season, and they have held those opponents to just 97.5 points per game on the year. They are poised to improve on that number in this game since the Hawks are having so many problems scoring points right now.

This matchup fits into a system to play on the under when the total is set between 190 and 199.5 points, and one of the teams (Atlanta) is coming off a game allowing 80 points or less when they are facing an opponent that has scored 100 points or more over in four or more consecutive games. This system is 46-17 (73%) in favor of the under. The fact that Memphis has been scoring so many points has created a lot of value on the under in this matchup.

4* Total Dominator on Magic/Kings OVER

There should be no shortage of scoring between the Magic and Kings tonight. Orlando has been horrible defensively when playing on the road, allowing an average of 102.1 points. Meanwhile, the Kings have scored an average of 101.4 points when playing at home. The Kings are also a soft team defensively which only adds value to the over. Sacramento has surrendered an average of 105 points per game overall this season.

Over their last five games Sacramento has averaged 108.8 points. There defense has been horrible in those games, allowing an average of 112.6 points per game. The Magic have not been scoring a lot of points recently, and I think that has forced the oddsmakers to set this total much lower than it should be. Even a team like Orlando should score a lot of points against Sacramento's non-existent defense.

The Kings have gone over the total in nine of their last 10, and the oddsmakers have still not set the bar high enough in this matchup. The over is 12-4 in Sacramento's games against teams who are called for 21 or less fouls, and 24-13 against poor pressure defense teams that are forcing 14 or less turnovers per game. The over is also 5-1 in Orlando's last six games against a team with a losing record and 5-1 in their last six head-to-head meetings between these teams.

3* Total Dominator on Wizards/Bobcats UNDER

The way Washington and Charlotte matchup puts a lot of value on the under. Washington is not a high scoring team, averaging just 98.3 points per game against opposing defenses that have allowed an average over 100 points per game on the year. The Bobcats are also a low scoring team averaging just 91.7 points per game at home this season.

The under is 32-18 in Washington's last 50 games when playing against a team with a losing record. Defensively the Wizards have been decent this year. They should have no problem keeping a bad team like the Bobcats from putting up any big offensive numbers. It is the same story for Charlotte's defense. The Bobcats have held opponents to a mere 93.8 points per game at home, and they should make easy work of the Wizards tonight.

The under is 32-19 over the last two seasons when the Wizards are playing as a road underdog. It is also 25-14 when Washington is coming off a game against a non-conference opponent. The under is 8-1 in Charlotte's last nine games as a home favorite this season, and 13-4 in all their home games on the year. Neither of these teams scores a lot of points, and both are better defensively than they are getting credit for, and that makes the under the play in this game.

3* Total Annihilator on Wolves/Sixers OVER

These two teams should have no problem scoring enough points to send this game over the total. Minnesota comes into this matchup averaging 106.8 points per game. They have the luxury of facing a Philadelphia defense that is allowing 110.8 points per game at home this season. It is a similar story for the 76ers. They are averaging 104 points per game at home, but will be up against a Timberwolves defense that is allowing 103.9 points per game.

For the most part, the oddsmakers have been unable to set the bar high enough on the total for these teams. Minnesota has gone over in six of their last eight games, while Philadelphia has gone over the total in seven of their last 10 games. If not for going under in three of their last four I suspect this total would be set even higher. I don't think the 76ers recent trend is an indication of anything. They played six consecutive road games, but in this matchup they are at home and playing with a day of rest.

The over is 14-6 when Philadelphia is playing against a team with a losing record this season. It is also 15-4 in home games when playing a team making 76 percent or more of their free throw attempts. This matchup also fits into a very profitable system for a play on the over. You should play the over when a team, like Minnesota, is off a home loss against a division rival, and playing against an opponent coming off a road win by three points or less. This system has a 79-42 record in favor of the over.

3* Total Dominator on Wizards/Warriors OVER

Golden State is one of the hottest teams in the league right now, and a big reason for their success has been their unstoppable offensive play. In their last five games the Warriors are averaging 108.2 points per game. It has taken a big offensive number to win games since defensively Golden State leaves something to be desired. The Warriors have allowed an average of 100 points per game on the road this season.

The Washington Wizards have been a great team to follow with an over play. They have exceeded the oddsmaker

4* Total No Brainer on Warriors/Heat OVER

Golden State is one of the hottest teams in the NBA right now, and a big reason for their recent success has come from an offense that is scoring a lot of points. Golden State comes into this matchup averaging 102.2 points per game over their last five games. Three of those five games have been played on the road, so there is no reason to expect the offense to cool down in this matchup with Miami.

The Heat are one of the best teams in the league, and I don't think they will have any problems keeping pace with Golden State in this game. Miami averages 108.1 points per game at home, and they are allowing an average of 99.7 defensively. The oddsmakers have continuously set the total too low in Miami's home games, and that as resulted in an 11-5 record for the over.

This matchup fits into a system to play the over when one of the teams, in this case Miami, is coming off a road no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, and they are a well rested team playing only their second game in five days. This system is 25-5 to the over for the last five seasons. The over is also 4-1 in Golden State's last five games against Eastern Conference opponents, and 7-2 in Miami's last nine games overall.

3* Total Annihilator on Wolves/Pelicans OVER

This total seems a bit low considering the complete lack of defense these teams have shown this season, as well as their outstanding scoring potential. New Orleans comes into this game averaging 103 points per game, and I expect them to score at-will against a Minnesota defense that has surrendered 102.2 points per game this season. It should be an easy night to make baskets for the Wolves too. They are averaging 107.4 points per game at home this season, and face a New Orleans defense that has allowed 106.5 points per game on the road.

Minnesota is one game below .500 this season, and that bodes well for the over in this game. New Orleans is 11-0 to the over when playing against a team with a losing record this season. They are also 22-7 to the over against teams shooting under 43 percent from the field with a defense that allows over 46 percent shooting from opponents. Minnesota may not shoot at a high percentage, but their up-tempo pace of play has certainly offset that fact. Not only do the Wolves average 107.4 points per game at home, but they are at 106.2 points per game overall this season.

The Over is 10-4 in the Pelican

3* Total Annihilator on Rice/Miss St UNDER

This game should be a very low scoring matchup. The Owls have yet to face a defense as talented as Mississippi State

4* Total Dominator on Bobcats/Jazz UNDER

The total on this game has been set far too high considering how poorly both of these teams are offensively this season. The Bobcats come into this game averaging just 92.9 points per game. They are shooting a mere 42.2 percent from the field, and 32 percent on three point attempts. They have been saved be decent defensive play, allowing 94.2 points per game, and they should easily improve on that number against this Jazz team that averages just 93 points per game on offense.

Utah may not have the same strong defensive numbers that the Bobcats do, but these teams met just over a week ago and the Jazz held Charlotte to a mere 85 points. The total in that game was very similar, set at 189 points yet the combined score for these teams was just 173 points. I don't think a change in venue is enough to expect an extra 16 points scoring from these teams.

The under is 4-0 in Charlotte's last four games against a Western Conference opponent, and it is 7-1 in their last eight games against a team winning 40 percent of their games or less. The under is 10-4 in the Bobcats last 14 games played on a single day of rest. The Jazz are also trending towards the under with a 12-4 record following an ATS win, and a 5-2 record in their last seven games against Southeast division teams.

3* Total Annihilator on Michigan/K-State UNDER

This is simply too many points for a game involving two teams that almost certainly used the extra preparation time to tighten up on defense. The Wolverines have a better defensive unit than they get credit for. Michigan

5* Total No Brainer on Syracuse/Minnesota UNDER

The Texas Bowl will feature two teams that have a very strong run bias this year. Syracuse comes into this game averaging 42 rushing plays to just 31 pass attempts. The Golden Gophers are even more lopsided at 46 rushing attempts to a mere 20 pass attempts. All that time spent running the ball is sure to be a clock killer in this matchup. You don