Sports Picks & Predictions

3* BEST BET on 76ers/Pacers over 211½ -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* BEST BET on Kings/Spurs over 216 -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

3* BEST BET on Jazz/Pelicans over 224½ -106

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

5* BEST BET on Fever/Mystics under 161 -115

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

3* BEST BET on Alexander Volkov/Curtis Blaydes over 2½ +110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

3* NBA - Late Night Total ANNIHILATOR on Raptors/Kings under 228½ -110

I really like the UNDER in Sunday's late night NBA action that has the Raptors visiting the Kings. Toronto's offense has been potent here of late, scoring 118 or more in each of their last 3, but the last two came against the Suns and Warriors. 

I just think we are going to see a bit of an uninterested Raptors' team in this one. This will be Toronto's 4th straight on the road in their 5-game west coast trip, which concludes with a much bigger game tomorrow night in Utah. 

Kings also figure to be playing at a much slower pace than normal, as they will be on no rest after a up-tempo game last night in Portland. Sacramento also just got back one of their top defensive players in Richaun Holmes. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAAB - Sharp Money Total HEAVY HITTER on UTEP/Rice over 139½ -109

Rice and UTEP should have no problem eclipsing the total. This will actually be the third meeting between these two this season. Both of the first two games went under, but both teams shot poorly in both games and still each had at least 130 points. 

OVER has been a strong play when the Owls are laying points at home, cashing in 4 straight. OER is also a staggering 8-0 in Rice's last 8 games when playing with double-revenge and the average combined score in these games is 157.1. OVER is also 8-1 in the Owls last 9 off 2 or more wins in a row and 32-15 in UTEP's last 47 after allowing 65 or less in 3 straight games. Take the OVER! 

3* NCAAB - Over/Under Total DOMINATOR on Georgia/LSU under 159½ -115

The UNDER is definitely worth a look here in Saturday's SEC matchup that has LSU hosting Georgia. Really big game for the Tigers, who need to win to lock up a double-bye in the SEC Tournament. That should lead to a big effort defensively from LSU sho should also be motivated to play well after giving up 99 at Arkansas last time out. 

Georgia comes in off 14-point home loss at Florida, where they managed just 54 points and that game is worth noting. UNDER is 16-7 in the Bulldogs last 23 off a double-digit loss at home and 8-1 in their last 9 after playing a game as a home dog. 

UNDER is also 6-2-1 in the Tigers last 9 at home vs a team with a losing road record and 13-3 in LSU's last 16 home games after playing in a game with a combined score of 175 or more. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAAB - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Rutgers/Purdue under 127½ -110

Easy play on the UNDER in Saturday's Big Ten clash between Purdue and Rutgers. These two combined for 133 in the first meeting at Rutgers, as the Scarlet Knights won 70-63. I think that result has created value with the number this time around. Total for that first meeting was just 120.5. 

Purdue is only giving up 59.8 ppg on 39% shooting at home this season and Rutgers' offense hasn't exactly traveled well. Big reason why the Scarlet Knights are a mere 1-10 on the road. Boilermakers also like to slow the game down. They are dead last in the Big Ten in tempo and 334th overall in that department. 

Both teams rank in the Top 4 of the Big Ten in defensive efficiency and are both in the bottom half of the conference in offensive efficiency. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAAB - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on George Mason/Fordham under 120½ -110

This has the makings of a very ugly offensive game, which tends to be the case anytime Fordham is involved. The Rams play solid defense, as they are giving up just 63.5 ppg in conference games and are 5th in the A-10 in defensive efficiency. The problem is they can't score. Fordham averages just 55.2 ppg in league play (dead last in the A-10 in offensive efficiency). 

George Mason figures to have a hard time scoring in this one. Patriots aren't as bad as the Rams, but are one of the worst offenses in the A-10. Big problem here is Fordham does a great job of forcing teams to take 3-pointers and the outside shot is not a strength of George Mason. They only shoot 30% from deep and average a mere 6 made 3-pointers/game. 

UNDER is 10-3 in Fordham's last 13 home games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games, 8-3 in their last 11 as a dog and 23-9 in their last 32 off a SU win. Take the UNDER! 

3* NCAAB - Early Bird Total ANNIHILATOR on Wisconsin/Indiana under 130 -110

The UNDER is worth a look in Saturday's early Big 10 action that has Wisconsin visiting Indiana. These two combined for 148 when they played way back in early December. That was simply a result of the Badgers going off, as they shot 54% from the field and 40% from deep. 

I'm confident they will regress in the rematch. Wisconsin is only averaging 67.4 ppg on 43% shooting for the season, so that was clearly an outlier. They are even worse on the road, where they are only scoring 60.9 ppg on 40% shooting (only 30% from deep). Indiana's defense may rank bottom half in the Big Ten, but they are giving up just 66.9 ppg on 42% shooting at home, where they are 15-3 compared to 4-8 on the road. 

No reason to expect a ton offensively from the Hoosiers. While the Badgers' offense hasn't traveled well, their defense has. Wisconsin also plays at one of the slowest paces in the conference.

UNDER is 10-4 in their 14 road games this season. UNDER is also 14-5 in Badgers last 19 as a dog and 13-3 in Indiana's last 16 when revenging a loss where they allowed 75 or more. Take the UNDER! 

5* NCAAB - MAC TOTAL PLAY OF THE YEAR  on Ball State/Northern Illinois under 126½ -110

I absolutely love the UNDER in Friday's MAC West showdown that has Ball State visiting Northern Illinois. These two are 1-2 in their respective division and both come in playing well. Ball State has won 3 of their last 4, while the Huskies have gone 9-3 in their last 12. 

Both teams were outstanding defensively last time out. The Cardinals held Central Michigan to just 68 points on 38% shooting, while NIU limited one of the best offenses in the MAC in Toledo to just 50 points on 30% shooting. 

These two teams played once already back on Feb. 11 and that game saw a combined score of just 122. I think they will be lucky to get to 120 in the rematch. 

UNDER is 9-1 in Ball State's last 10 road games and 9-2 in their last 11 as a road dog of 6 points or less. UNDER is also 11-3 in Northern Illinois last 14 off a game with a combined score of 125 or less and 7-1 in their last 8 at home off a win. Take the UNDER! 

5* NCAAB - Big Sky GAME OF THE MONTH on Idaho State/Weber State over 139½ -110

Easy play here on the OVER 139.5 in Monday's matchup of Big Sky bottom feeders Weber State and Idaho State. 

These two teams faced off back on Jan. 16. The Wildcats defeated the Bengals 76-68 for a combined score of 144, easily eclipsing the total of 133.5. Books have adjusted, but not enough. Big system supporting a play on the OVER. 

OVER is 112-60 (65%) over last 5 season when the road team is revenging a loss where they allowed 75 or more, as long as it's a matchup of two bad teams that have won between 20% - 40% of their games.

OVER is also 12-1 in Idaho State's last 13 games overall and 6-0 in their last 6 as a road underdog. OVER is 7-3 in Wildcats last 10 as a home favorite and 4-0 in their last 4 at home vs a team with a losing road record. Take the OVER! 

3* NBA - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Grizzlies/Hawks over 239½ -109

I really like the value here with the OVER 239.5. This is a massive number for a NBA total, but with the style in which the Hawks play, these two should have no problem eclipsing the mark. 

Atlanta basically plays to outscore their opponent, as they want to run and gun behind 2nd-year All-Star Trae Young. Hawks are No. 4 in the NBA in pace and No. 28 in defensive efficiency. They are No. 29 in points/allowed at 119.1 ppg, barely in front of the last place Wizards (119.9 ppg). 

While they only average 114 ppg at home, they come in averaging 122.6 ppg in their last 5. Hard to see Memphis slowing them down. Grizzlies are giving up 116.6 ppg on the road. Memphis also wants to play fast, as they are No. 7 in pace. 

OVER is 7-3 in the Grizzlies last 10 road games and 4-0 in their last 4 on the road against a team with a losing home record. OVER is 21-8 in Atlanta's last 29 at home vs a team with a losing road record, 11-4 in their last 15 off a win and 5-0 last 5 off a win by more than 10 points. Take the OVER! 

4* XFL - Over/Under Total HEAVY HITTER on Dragons/BattleHawks under 39 -110

I like the value here with the UNDER in Saturday's showdown between the BattleHawks and the Dragons. Seattle has yet to crack 20 points in 3 games and will be facing a St Louis defense that has held two of their first 3 opponents to single digits. The only exception being 3-0 Houston. 

the BattleHawks have a decent offense, but nothing special and I just don't see them doing enough here to push this over. Seattle is also going to give everything they got to get that first win of the season and I think that effort is huge for this thing cashing. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAAB - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Texas/Texas Tech under 127 -110

I really like the value here with the UNDER in Saturday's Big 12 matchup between rivals Texas Tech and Texas. These two teams played once already this season, earlier this month, and combined for just 119 points. 

The Red Raiders were able to limit the Longhorns to just 57 points on 36% shooting on the road. It figures to be even harder for Texas to score in Lubbock, as the Longhorns only average 60.6 ppg on 40% shooting away from home. 

Also the one big weakness for Tech's defense is fouling and sending their opponents to the free throw line. Texas is one of the worst in the country in getting to the foul line (only had 8 free throw attempts at home against the Red Raiders). Without those freebies it's really hard to score against this Texas Tech defense, which is only giving up 59.3 ppg aon 39% shooting at home. 

UNDER is 6-0 in the Longhorns last 6 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games, 9-0 this season when revenging a loss and 8-0 last two seasons when revening a loss where they scored 60 or fewer points. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAAB - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Davidson/Dayton under 141 -110

I like the value with the UNDER in Friday's A-10 showdown between Dayton and Davidson. These are the top two offensive teams in the A-10 and I think it has the books inflating the number on the total. We have seen them set the bar too high in Dayton games here of late, as the UNDER is 5-2 in the Flyers last 7 games. 

Both of these teams can play some defense. Both rank in the top half of the conference in defensive efficiency. Given the spotlight of this game with it being arguably the best game on the board Friday and it being the only meeting between these two programs, I think both teams are going to bring it defensively. 

UNDER is 14-5-3 in Davidson's last 22 games vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games and 7-2-2 in their last 11 as a dog. UNDER is also 15-5 in Dayton's last 20 at home after 2 straight games where they were called for 15 or less fouls. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAAB - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Temple/Wichita State over 136 -110

The OVER is definitely worth a look here between the Owls and Shockers. These two played to a final score of just 118 earlier this season. The total for that game was 136.5. The fact that the books are setting the same mark in the rematch, tells you they think that first game was a bit of a fluke. 

I completely agree. Wichita State scored just 53 points in an outright loss as a 4-point favorite. The Shockers shot terrible in that game. Largely because they were playing their second straight on the road with just 2 days of rest and the last game went to double-overtime. Not to mention a massive game on deck at home against Houston. 

Temple is giving up 72.6 ppg in league play and 78.0 ppg over their last 5. OVER has cashed in 4 of their last 6 games and is 6-1 in the Owls last 7 vs a team with a winning record. Over is also 9-3 in the Shockers last 12 as a home favorite. Take the OVER 136! 

3* NCAAB - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Eastern Kentucky/Murray State under 150 -110

The books have been off of their game with the totals for both of these teams. UNDER has cashed in 3 of the last 4 for Eastern Kentucky and 8 of the last 9 for Murray State. I just think because the Racers are such a good team with such a potent offense, the books inflate the over knowing that's where they public will be drawn. 

What they overlook is how good this Murray State team is defensively. The Racers are tops in the Ohio Valley in defensive efficiency, ranking in the top two of both 3-point and 2-point percentage defense. They have allowed 67.1 ppg in conference games this season, but are allowing just 62.8 ppg in their last 5 and a mere 58.1 ppg at home. I just don't see this game getting into the 150's. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAAB - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Duquesne/St Bonaventure under 136½ -115

The UNDER is worth a look here between St Bonaventure and Duquesne. Most will be looking to take the OVER at this price, as these two teams combined for 163 points earlier this month. I just don't see them coming close to that output. 

The two couldn't miss from deep. The Bonnies shot 10 of 21 (48%) and the Dukes were 14 of 34 (41%). Keep in mind that the meetings between these two teams last year both finished with fewer than 120 points. 

UNDER is 22-12 in St. Bonaventure's last 34 with a total of 130 to 139.5 and 30-15 in Duquesne's last 45 on the road when playing a team that's won 60% to 80% of their games at least 15 games into the season. Under is also 11-4 in the Bonnies last 15 ats a home favorite and 8-3 in their last 11 vs a team with a winning record. Take the UNDER! 

3* NCAAB - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Rhode Island/Fordham under 123½ -110

I just don't see these two teams combining for more than 120 points. It's going to be real tough here for Fordham to score. Rhode Island is outstanding at defending the 3-pointer and Fordham is dead last in the A-10 in 2-point shooting percentage. 

In last year's lone meeting between these two teams, both shot under 35% from the field. Fordham comes in having failed to reach 60 points in a game in 8 straight. The Rams are averaging a mere 50.8 ppg in their last 5. They have also been locking down defensively, as they only give up 62.8 ppg in league play. 

UNDER is 10-3 in Fordham's last 13 conference games, 12-3 in their last 15 at home and 6-0 in their last 6 after scoring 55 or less in a conference game. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Bucks/Raptors over 230½ -109

I really like the value here with the OVER in Tuesday's big Eastern Conference matchup that has the Raptors hosting the Bucks. I just don't think the number here is anywhere close to what it needs to be at. 

These are two of the best offensive teams in the NBA. Milwaukee is 2nd in offensive efficiency and the Raptors are T-8th. Toronto is also a much better offensive team at home. Raptors average 113.3 ppg on the season, but that jumps to 117.2 ppg at home. 

Both of these teams also love to run. Bucks are No. 1 in the NBA in pace of play and Raptors are 12th. Both really like to get out in run. Toronto is No. 1 in the NBA in fast break points and Bucks are No. 2. Not to mention both teams are averaging 14 made 3-pointers per game. 

OVER is 8-1 in the Raptors last 9 at home off a home win and 14-5-1 in Bucks last 20 road games vs a team that has won more than 60% of their home games. Take the OVER! 

4* NBA - Over/Under Total KNOCKOUT on Nets/Hornets under 212½ -110

I really like the UNDER in Saturday's NBA matchup between the Hornets and Nets. Charlotte plays at the slowest pace in the NBA and are in the bottom 5 in offensive efficiency. With the game on their home floor they should be able to play the game closer to their tempo. 

As for the Nets, they are not only playing better without Kyrie Irving this year, they are a much better defensive team when Irving isn't on the floor. With the way their offense has struggled here of late, scoring 106 or fewer in 3 straight, this sets up to be a defensive battle that could see both teams fail to reach the century mark. 

UNDER has cashed in 5 of the last 7 meetings between these two in Charlotte and is 6-2 in the Hornets last 8 vs a team with a losing record and 19-7 in Brooklyn's last 26 on the road vs a team with a losing home record. Take the UNDER! 

3* NCAAB - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Florida/Kentucky under 139 -114

I really like the value here with the UNDER in Saturday's big SEC showdown between No. 10 Kentucky and Florida. The books just can't seem to get the number right on the total when these two face off. Since Mike White took over at Florida the UNDER has cashed in 6 of 8 games. 

I don't see them eclipsing the mark in this one. Both of these teams are playing well on the defensive side of the ball. Florida just held Arkansas to 59 in their last game and are giving up just 63.5 ppg over their last 4. Kentucky's opponents are shooting a mere 38% against them in SEC play and the Wildcats are allowing just 62.8 ppg at home on the season. 

Kentucky has won 5 straight and when they are on a run like this their games tend to go UNDER. In fact, UNDER is 10-1 in their last 11 when playing on a winning streak of 5 or more. UNDER is also 10-2 in Gators last 12 on the road with a total of 130 to 139.5. Take the UNDER! 

4* XFL - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Houston Roughnecks/Tampa Bay Vipers under 45½ -110

I really like the value here with the UNDER. This is a big number, especially when you factor in how little the Tampa Bay offense has been able to muster the first two weeks. After scoring just 3-points in Week 1 against the Guardians, the Vipers managed just 9 against the Dragons in Week 2. 

Note that the Guardians gave up 27 in Week 2 and the Dragons allowed 31 in Week 1. That really speaks volumes to how bad the Vipers offense is. Roughnecks have put up at least 28 in each of their first two games, but both of those were at home. As for the Vipers, this will be their first game at home and I would expect their best defensive showing of the season. 

I just don't see these two flirting with 46+ points in this one. Take the UNDER! 

3* NCAAB - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Virginia/Pittsburgh under 112 -115

The UNDER is worth a look here in Saturday's ACC matchup that has Pitt hosting Virginia. It's no secret that the Cavaliers are a strong defensive team. The key here is the matchup. Virginia does an outstanding job of forcing team to beat them with jump shots. They just don't give you many easy looks at the rim. 

Shooting is not a strength of the Panthers, especially from deep. Pitt ranks a miserable 329th in the country in 3-point percentage. Last year the Panthers could only muster 49 points in a loss at Virginia. The previous year they only scored 37 at home. I think getting to 50 in this one will be a struggle. 

Virginia's offense is nothing to write home about either and the Cavaliers only average 56.2 ppg away from home this season and are scoring just 58.9 ppg in ACC play. 

UNDER is 17-5 in Pitt's last 22 as a home dog and 8-1 in their last 9 at home off a road loss by 10 or more. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAAB - Early Bird Total ENFORCER on Kansas/Baylor under 129½ -110

I really like the UNDER in Saturday's massive Big 12 matchup between No. 3 Kansas and No. 1 Baylor. Not only is this a matchup of two Top 5 teams, but for Kansas they have to win to have any shot at the Big 12 title, as they already lost at home to the Bears earlier this season. This could also play a big part in a No. 1 seed for the Big Dance. 

Either way, I'm confident both teams are going to show up for this one with everything they got. I With how strong these two are defensively, I just don't see them eclipsing 130 points. Baylor is No. 3 in the country in defensive efficiency and KU is No. 2. These two only combined for 122 in their first meeting this season. 

UNDER is 15-5 in Kansas' last 20 vs a team with a winning record and 8-2 in their last 10 when facing a top tier team that's outscoring opponents by 8+ points/game. UNDER is also 8-0 in Jayhawks last 8 on the road when they come in having won 8 of their last 10. Take the UNDER! 

3* NCAAB - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on VCU/St. Louis under 133½ -115

The UNDER is definitely worth a look in Friday's A-10 matchup that has the Billikens hosting VCU. I think we are going to see both of these teams come out with a big effort here to try and save their season. Both teams have struggled recently and have just 5-games left before the A-10 Tournament. It might not be enough, but 5 straight could get them in the conversation for the Big Dance. 

Either way, I think this is going to be a low scoring game. VCU's offense has completely abandoned them here of late. It started with a mere 67 points against a bad George Mason defense, then they managed just 59 at Richmond and 61 at home against Dayton. Hard to see them snapping out of this funk on the road, against a St Louis team that needs their defense to play well to make up for their inefficiencies on offense. 

UNDER has cashed in 12 of the last 16 home games for St Louis if they are off a game they didn't cover. It's also 11-4 in their last 15 as an underdog and 8-2 in their last 10 vs a team with a winning record. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA - Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Mavs/Magic under 220½ -110

I like the value here with the UNDER between the Magic and Mavericks. Dallas has been better offensively than expected this year and it's why the OVER is 35-20 in their 55 games to this point. I just think the books have made the adjustments and now it's time to start looking the other way. 

Getting a game to go over 220 with Orlando is not an easy task. I get they put up 116 and 135 points in their last two games before the break, but that was against the Pistons and Hawks. This is still the same team that had a stretch of 4 games where they didn't crack 100. Part of that is their lack of offensive playmakers, but even more so is their desire to play at a slow pace (3rd slowest). 

Keep in mind these two teams played back in November and only combined for 213 points and that was with the Magic shooting 49% from the field (shoot 43.4% on the season). 

Mavs rely on the 3-pointer (average 15 made 3's/game). UNDER is 8-1 in Orlando's last 9 home games vs a team who shoots 36% or better from deep. It's also 13-2 in Magic's last 15 at home in the 2nd half of the season vs strong teams (outscoring opponents by 3+ ppg). Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAAB - Late Night Total NO-BRAINER on Santa Clara/BYU under 153½ -110

I really like the value with the UNDER in tonight's WCC action that has Santa Clara visiting Provo to take on the Cougars. There's going to be some scoring in this one, but nothing like what the number is suggesting. 

Santa Clara is a team that is prone to foul trouble. They are 9th out of 10 in the WCC in defensive foul rate. Good news for them is BYU is the worst in the conference at getting to the free throw line and it's not close. When the Broncos have faced similar teams who struggle to get to the line, the games have been much lower scoring than anticipated. UNDER is 8-1 in Santa Clara's last 9 vs a team that's attempting 18 or fewer free throws a game at least 15+ games into the season. 

Santa Clara also doesn't figure to score a ton in this one. The Broncos only average 67.5 ppg on the road, where they are shooting a miserable 40% from the field. In their last two games they failed to score more than 61 points. Take the UNDER! 

5* NCAAB - Big Ten Total PLAY OF THE MONTH on Michigan State/Nebraska over 151 -110

This might seem like a big total for what figures to be a lopsided matchup between the Cornhuskers and Spartans. I don't think it's high enough. I look for these two to fly past the number. 

I don't care how bad Michigan State is playing coming into this game, they aren't going to lose this game because they can't score. Nebraska just gave up 81 on their home floor to Wisconsin, who likes to play at a snails pace. In their last 5 games the Cornhuskers are giving up 80.8 ppg. A lot of that is bad defense, but it's part of the pace they like to play at, as they lead the Big Ten in tempo. 

I know Nebraska's offense isn't great and Michigan State's defense is one of the top units in the Big Ten. I just don't see the Spartans being 100% locked in defensively with how easy it will be for them to score and just how much more talented they are. These two played last March to a combined score of 167 in a 91-76 Spartans win. I could see something similar here. Take the OVER! 

3* NBA - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Hornets/Bulls under 211½ -110

I just look for the Bulls and Hornets to have a difficult time scoring enough to eclipse the mark set by the books. These two of the worst offensive teams in the league in terms of efficiency. In fact, both are tied for the 26th worst mark in offensive efficiency for the season. 

Factor in the slow tempo that Charlotte likes to play at (ranks dead last in pace) and the laundry list of injuries that the Bulls are dealing with right now and it's just hard to see either offense doing a lot in this one. These two did just play a couple months ago (12/13) and that game finished with a mere 156 points, as Charlotte won 83-73. Take the UNDER! 

3* NCAAB - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Ohio State/Iowa over 143 -105

I like the value with the OVER between Ohio State and Iowa. The Hawkeyes are coming off an extremely low-scoring game by their standards, as they won 58-55 at Minnesota on Sunday. The previous low for points scored by Iowa on the season was 67 in a win over Maryland.

As for the defense allowing 55, that's just not who the Hawkeyes are. Iowa is giving up 75 ppg in Big Ten play. I just think with the way the Hawks like to push the tempo and the likelihood that they shoot well at home, this thing is going to approach 150 points. 

Ohio State should definitely score. Buckeyes are an excellent 3-point shooting team (No. 1 Big Ten) and Iowa gives up a ton of good looks from deep. The Hawks also offer little resistance inside. OVER is 4-1 in Iowa's last 5 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games and 14-6 in Buckeyes last 20 vs a team with a winning record. Take the OVER! 

5* NCAAB - ACC Total PLAY OF THE MONTH on Syracuse/Louisville over 140 -118

I absolutely love the OVER in Wednesday's ACC matchup between Syracuse and Louisville. These are two of the top teams in the conference in offensive efficiency. Duke leads the ACC with a 112.8 offensive efficiency rating. Louisville is No. 2 at 108.8 and Syracuse is No. 3 at 106.8. Notre Dame and FSU are the only other teams with a rating over 99.7. 

You have to be the Cardinals are going to put up a bunch of points in this one. Louisville is averaging 77.2 ppg on 48% shooting from the field and 40% from deep at home this season. Cardinals are also Top 15 in the country in 3-point shooting pct. They should get a lot of good looks against Syracuse's 2-3 zone. Teams that have played zone against Louisville have definitely paid the price this year. 

Another thing is the Orange have not played well defensively away from home. It's why we have seen the OVER go a perfect 7-0 in their last 7 road games. Most recently losing at FSU 77-80. 

Key here is Syracuse can score. They have proven that. They are scoring 75.2 ppg on the road this year and are averaging 76.8 ppg in their last 5, despite only shooting 40.6% from the field. Take the OVER! 

3* NCAAB - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Wofford/NC-Greensboro over 130½ -114

I like the value here with the OVER at this low number. These two teams played once already this year and it ended up Wofford outscoring Greensboro 98-92 in double-overtime. The two extra periods didn't matter on the total. The game closed at a total of 128.5. It was 78-78 at the end of regulation. 

I see no reason not to expect another high-scoring game in the rematch. These two teams both love to shoot 3-pointers. They hoisted up a combined 76 attempts in the first meeting. Both teams making 14. They both had at least 18 made free throws.  I think both teams can get into a rhythm offensively when you have to similar styles like this. Take the OVER 130.5! 

5* NCAAB - SEC Total PLAY OF THE YEAR on Kentucky/LSU over 145 -110

I absolutely love the OVER in tonight's late night SEC matchup between LSU and Kentucky. The Tigers have consistently been involved in high-scoring games. Each of their last 4 games have seen a combined score of 160 or more. In their last 9 conference games, only one has finished with fewer than 156 and that was 136 against Ole Miss, who is one of the worst offenses in the SEC and they like to play slow. 

Kentucky can definitely score. While they did just play in a low-scoring game on Saturday, which saw 129 total points, that was against Ole Miss. Prior to that they had scored 77 or more in 3 straight games. Wildcats are going to do some damage here. LSU is 12th out of 14 SEC teams in both defensive efficiency and effective field goal defense. They are also 12th in forced turnovers at just 14.9%. 

Kentucky has a solid defense, but they are playing on the road on a just two days of rest, so they aren't going to have the freshest of legs here. I also just don't think there's any slowing down the Tigers at the Maravich Assembly Center. 

OVER is 8-1 in LSU's last 9 at home vs teams holding opponents to 42% or worse at least 15 games into the season. OVER is also 10-2 in the Tigers last 12 conference games overall. OVER is also 8-1 in Kentucky's last 9 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games and 6-2 in their last 8 on the road. Take the OVER! 

3* NCAAB - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Northwestern/Maryland under 133½ -109

The UNDER is definitely worth a look in Tuesday's Big 10 matchup that has 1st place Maryland hosting last place Northwestern. Terps have won 8 straight to improve to 11-3 (only other team in Big 10 with fewer than 6 losses is Penn St.), while Wildcats have lost 9 in a row and are sitting at 1-13 in league play. 

These two first met this season on Jan. 21. Northwestern jumped out to a 40-26 1st half lead, but ended up losing 77-66. While that game ended with 143 points, I'm confident the rematch will be a lot lower scoring. 

Northwestern shot 50% from the field and 44% from deep in that game at home against the Terps. Chances of that repeating are slim. Wildcats are shooting just 40.8% overall in conference play. They ranked 13th in the conference in 2-point shooting. 

I also don't see Maryland's offense going off in this one. This is big letdown spot for the Terps off that monster road win at Michigan State on Saturday. I see Maryland going thru the motions and could see this thing struggling to get to 125. Take the UNDER! 

4* XFL - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on BattleHawks/Roughnecks OVER 49 -110

I like the value here with the OVER in Sunday's XFL matchup that has Houston Roughnecks hosting St Louis Battlehawks. Houston was the best offense in Week 1 and it centered around the great play of quarterback P.J. Walker, who went 23 of 39 for 272 yards and 4 scores. The Roughnecks only attempted 16 rushes and 4 of those were by Walker. Clearly they are looking to air it out. 

St Louis could only manage 15 points in their opener, which is a bit misleading. They actually had 374 yards of total offense, rushing for 191 yards and getting a big game from their QB in Jordan Ta'amu, who was 20 of 27 for 209 yards and rushed for 77 yards on 9 attempts. 

Keep in mind that Houston put up 37 points in their opener on just 315 total yards. I see both of these teams scoring early and often, as this one flies past the number. Take the OVER! 

4* NCAAB - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Virginia/North Carolina under 118½ -110

This game is not going to be one to watch if you like scoring. With the Cavaliers inability to score on a consistent basis and the Tar Heels lack of outside shooting, I wouldn't be surprised if these two failed to reach 100 points. 

Virginia plays as slow as any team and they figure to be on the slower side of things after a grueling OT win against Notre Dame on Tuesday. As for the Tar Heels, they had that great game against Duke last Saturday, but then managed just 57 points on the road against Wake Forest next time out. Even with the home crowd to help, I don't see UNC's offense being able to generate a lot here. 

UNDER is also 38-18-1 in Virginia's last 57 road games and 37-15 in their last 52 as an underdog. UNDER is 6-1 in the Tar Heels last 7 vs a team with a winning straight up record and 11-4-1 in their last 16 as a favorite. Take the UNDER! 

3* NCAAB - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Cornell/Dartmouth under 134½ -109

I like the value here with the UNDER in Saturday's Ivy League action that has Dartmouth hosting Cornell. These are two of the slower paced Ivy teams and both figure to be on the slow end of things in this one. The Big Red were on the road at Harvard last night and could not stop the Crimson in a 63-85 loss. Big Green were also in action last night. They pulled out a grueling 65-63 win at home against Columbia. 

Last two times Dartmouth has played in the second game of a back-to-back the offense has been a now show. Last Saturday they managed just 57 points at Yale and the Saturday before a mere 46 at Penn. I could see both teams failing to reach 60 in this one. 

UNDER is 8-3 in the Big Green's last 11 off a win and 5-1 in their last 6 as home favorite. UNDER is also 4-0 in Cornell's last 4 off a SU loss by more than 20 and 8-2 in their last 10 on Saturday. Take the UNDER! 

4* XFL - Over/Under Total DOMINATOR on New York Guardians/DC Defenders under 47½ -110

I like the value with the UNDER in Saturday's XFL showdown between the DC Defenders and the New York Guardians. I think we are seeing a big total here given how good both offenses looked in Week 1, especially the Defenders, who hung 31 against the Dragons. 

Thing is neither offense was as good as it seemed. While DC's offense put up 31, they only had 295 total yards (were actually outgained) New York scored 23 points on a mere 226 total yards. Guardians only had 44 rushing yards and 182 passing yards. Take the UNDER! 

5* NCAAB - Big 12 Total PLAY OF THE YEAR on Kansas/West Virginia over 135 -109

I absolutely love the value here with the OVER in Wednesday's massive Big 12 matchup that has No. 14 West Virginia hosting the No. 3 Kansas. These two played back on Jan. 4 at KU and that game finished with a mere 113 points in a 60-53 Jayhawks win. That game had a total of 141.5, so there's clearly been an adjustment by the books for the rematch. 

I just think we are going to see a lot more offense this time around, in large part because the scene is shifting to Morgantown. West Virginia likes to play fast. They are the top team in Big 12 play in tempo and should be able to dictate the pace at home. Mountaineers average 72.8 ppg on 43% shooting for the season, but that jumps to 78.7 ppg on 47% shooting at home. 

As for Kansas, they are pretty consistent regardless of the venue, as they average 75.0 ppg on 48.6% shooting overall and that drops just slightly to 73.4 ppg on 48.3% shooting on the road. I think both teams are going to get to 70-points in this one. 

In that first meeting, which saw WV score just 53 points, they couldn't have shot it any worse. Mountaineers were 19-59 (32.2%) from the field and 3-14 (21.4%) from deep. They also went just 12-22 (54.5%) from the free throw line. Kansas wasn't much better going 19-47 (40.4%), 3-17 (17.6%) from deep and 19-30 (63.3%) on free throws. OVER is also 5-0 last 5 times the Jayhawks have been listed as a dog! Take the OVER! 

4* XFL - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on St. Louis BattleHawks/Dallas Renegades over 51½ -110

I like the value here with the OVER in Sunday's XFL matchup between St Louis and Dallas. I just think we are going to see plenty of high-scoring games early on in the XFL. Both games on Saturday hit the 50 point mark and that was with one team doing the majority of the scoring. I think we see both the Renegades and BattleHawks light up the scoreboard on Sunday. Take the OVER 51.5! 

4* NCAAB - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Purdue/Indiana under 129½ -110

I really like the value here with the UNDER in Saturday's Big Ten showdown between Purdue and Indiana. Don't be fooled by the 104 points that the Boilermakers put up in Wednesday's win at home over Iowa. Hawkeyes have the worst defense in the conference and were in a huge flat spot off a big home win over Illinois. 

I look for Purdue to go right back to their ways of struggling to score, especially with this game being on the road. Boilermakers are averaging a mere 54.8 ppg in regulation on the road in Big Ten play and have not scored more than 63 points in regulation in those 6 road games. Indiana only gives up 66.1 ppg on 40% shooting at home. 

Purdue's defense isn't as good on the road as it is at home, but they are giving up just 64.3 ppg on the highway and are facing an Indiana offense that has scored 49 and 59 points in their last two games. 

UNDER is 11-2 in the Hoosiers last 13 home games off a road loss and 9-1 in their last 10 at home if they have failed to cover 4/5 of their last 6. UNDER is 7-2 in Purdue's last 9 after scoring 90 or more points and 6-2 in their last 8 on the road. Take the UNDER! 

3* NCAAB - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Rhode Island/George Washington under 141 -110

The UNDER is definitely worth a look in Saturday's early action out of the A-10 between George Washington and Rhode Island. I just think the total here is way too high for this matchup. The Rams are one of the best defensive teams in the Atlantic 10 and couldn't matchup better with the Colonials. 

George Washington runs basically their entire offense thru the pick and roll and Rhode Island is exceptional at defending that action, ranking 28th best in the country. Rams have also really hit their stride on the defensive side of the ball here of late and are giving up just 64.3 ppg in conference play. The UNDER is 7-3 in their 10 conference games. 

Colonials are also struggling offensively right now. They managed just 47 points at St Bonaventure last time out. A game they were missing starting point guard Armel Potter, who is questionable to play in this one. Prior to that they scored just 54 on the road against Richmond. You need both teams to score to hit a total like this and I just don't see it happening. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Rockets/Suns under 235½ -109

The UNDER is worth a look here. Books have set a massive number on the total for this one, but I have hard time seeing the pace being there for these two to eclipse the mark. 

Houston is in a massive letdown spot here playing on the second leg of a back-to-back road set after playing last night in LA. A game they won 121-111, which I think only makes it that more likely they don't show up for this one. You also have to factor in they are going to rest Russell Westbrook, as they continue to keep him from playing both games in a back-to-back scenario. 

As for the Suns, they are really hurting with injuries. Aaron Baynes, Dario Saric, Tyler Johnson, Ty Jerome and Cam Johnson are all out for this one. Also, while Phoenix is at home on a day of rest, this figures to be a tired Suns team. As they had to play Sunday at Milwaukee, Monday at Brooklyn and then Wednesday at Detroit. Suns are only scoring 105 ppg over their last 4 games, well below their season mark of 112.5 ppg. 

UNDER has cashed in 5 of the Rockets last 7 on 0 days rest and 5 of their last 7 as a road favorite. UNDER is also 6-1 in the Suns last 7 home games. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Pistons/Thunder under 217½ -110

I really like the value here with the UNDER between the Pistons and Thunder. This is just too big a number given what Detroit has to work with on the road. The Pistons are without Blake Griffin and Luke Kennard long-term. Derrick Rose, Markieff Morris and Svi Mykhailiuk won't be available for this one.

Detroit also just traded away their best player in Andre Drummond. They did get John Henson and Brandon Knight in the deal, but hard to imagine the suit up here and even if they do it's hard seeing their offense do much of anything. 

Just a couple of games ago we saw Detroit manage just 82 points on the road at Memphis and I would be shocked if they sniffed 100 in this one. UNDER is 9-4 in the Pistons last 13 as a road dog and 4-1 in their last 5 trips to OKC. UNDER is also 4-1 in the last 5 overall for the Thunder. Take the UNDER! 

3* NCAAB - Over/Under TOTAL DESTROYER on Wisconsin/Minnesota over 124½ -110

The books have completely missed the mark here with the total in Wednesday's Big Ten matchup between Wisconsin and Minnesota. I get the Badgers like to play slow, but there's just too much value with this low total to not take a shot on the OVER. 

Gophers are a different offensive team on their home floor and the OVER is 10-1 in Minnesota's last 11 home games as a favorite of 6 points or less and the average combined score in these games is 149. OVER is also a perfect 6-0 in the Gophers last 6 at home after a game where they scored 60 or fewer points. Take the OVER! 

5* NBA - Northwest Div TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Nuggets/Jazz under 218 -109

I love the value here with the UNDER in Wednesday's NBA matchup that has the Jazz hosting the Nuggets. After losing 4 straight where the defense has not been playing well, I think we are going to get a big time effort from Utah at home in this one. 

One of the reasons the Jazz's defense was slipping was the team was just worn down. They should be refreshed here playing on a full 3 days of rest. Last time out Utah lost 107-124 at Portland as a 8-point favorite and that's worth noting. UNDER is 26-9 in the Jazz's last 35 off a double-digit loss as a favorite of 6 or more. 

Another big thing here is Denver will be playing this game on no rest, as they had to host the Blazers last night. Look for a Nuggets team that ranks 29th in pace to play even slower than normal on no rest. 

UNDER is also 31-9 (78%) last 5 seasons in games where you have a team off 2 or more consecutive road losses in a matchup of two good teams that have won between 60% to 75% of their games. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Suns/Pistons under 220 -109

The UNDER is definitely worth a look here between the Pistons and Suns. These are two teams that are really dealing with some big injuries right now. Detroit's been without Blake Griffin and Luke Kennard for a while.

They won't have Derrick Rose or Svi Mykhailiuk for this one and Markieff Morris is questionable. Pistons were in a similar spot in their last game and managed just 82 points on 35% shooting at Memphis a game that saw a combined 178 points with a total of 223.5. 

As for the Suns, Cameron Johnson, Aron Baynes, Tyler Johnson, Ty Jerome, Dario Saric and Frank Kaminsky are all expected to miss this game. Much like the Pistons the Suns struggled to overcome these injuries in their last game, scoring just 97 on the road at Brooklyn, who is far from a good defensive team. Take the UNDER! 

5* NCAAB - Southern Conf TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Mercer/Furman over 142½ -114

I love the value here with the OVER between Mercer and Furman in Wednesday's action out of the Southern Conference. Both of these teams come into this game clicking on the offensive side of the ball.

The Bears are averaging 78.2 ppg on 53% shooting in their last 5 and the Paladins are averaging 77.6 ppg on 46% shooting in their last 5. 

It's worth noting the spread here, with Furman currently laying 11-points at home. The OVER is 9-2 the last 2 seasons when the Paladins are a home favorite of 10 or more and the average score in these games is 159.9. Take the OVER! 

3* NCAAB - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Wofford/VMI over 137½ -115

I really like the value here with the OVER between Wofford and VMI. I think we are getting some value here with the number due to the fact that these two played to a combined score of just 120 in an earlier meeting. 

Thing is both teams shot poorly in that matchup with VMI connecting on just 35% of their attempts and Wofford at 43%. The two also went a combined 15 of 55 from 3-point range. Wofford averages 10 made 3's a game and VMI averages 11, so that was clearly an off night for both teams. Note each of the previous 3 meetings between these two saw a combined score of 166 or more. 

VMI comes in losers of 3 straight and that's a positive here, as the OVER is 16-4 in their last 20 off 3 straight losses and 6-0 in their last 6 at home after 2 or more losses. OVER is also 20-8 in Wofford's last 28 off a conference win by 20 or more and 8-1 in their last 9 off a cover as a double-digit favorite. Take the OVER! 

3* NBA - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Hornets/Rockets under 224½ -110

I like the value with the UNDER in tonight's NBA matchup that has the Rockets hosting the Hornets. As good as Houston is offensively they are shooting a mere 44% over their last 5 games and figure to have a hard time putting up a big number here. 

Not because the Hornets are a juggernaut on defense, but because Charlotte plays at the slowest pace of any team in the league. Not to mention the Hornets are arguably the worst offensive team in the league right now. Charlotte is shooting 42% from the field in their last 5 and 42% on the road this season. In the Hornets last 10 games the most they have scored in any game is 112 and 7 of the 10 have seen them score 100 or less. 

UNDER has gone 9-3 in Charlotte's last 12 games vs a team with a winning record. UNDER is also 7-2 in Rockets last 9 vs a team with a losing record and 4-0 in their last 4 at home vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. Take the UNDER! 

5* NCAAB - SEC TOTAL PLAY OF THE MONTH on Auburn/Arkansas over 143 -115

We should have no problem cashing the OVER in tonight's big SEC showdown between Arkansas and No. 11 Auburn. These are not only two of the top offenses in the SEC, but both of these teams like to play fast. Razorbacks are 3rd in the SEC in tempo and Auburn is 5th. 

Auburn comes in having scored 74 or more in 4 straight games and have done so in each of their last two games despite shooting worse than 38% from the field. Arkansas has scored 70 or more in each of their last 4 and 7 of their last 8 overall. Razorbacks are also giving up 75 ppg over their last 5. Last time they were at home they allowed 79 points on 50% shooting to South Carolina. 

OVER is 5-1 in Arkansas' last 6 as a home favorite and 40-22 in Auburn's last 62 on the road against top tier teams that are outscoring opponents by 8+ ppg at least 15 games into the season. Take the OVER! 

5* NFL - Super Bowl 54 (KC/SF) Total NO-BRAINER  on 49ers/Chiefs under 54½ -105

I'm confident we see Super Bowl 54 finish UNDER the mark. This will be the 7th time since 2000 that we have seen a total north of 50 in the Super Bowl and the UNDER has cashed in 5 of the previous 6. The only game that went OVER was Super Bowl 51 when the Patriots made that ridiculous comeback from down 28-3 to force OT and win 34-28. 

Just look at last year, everyone was calling for a shootout between the Rams and Patriots. The total for the game was 58 and it ended up being 13-3. I just think the number here is too high. Sure the Chiefs have the best QB in the league and all these weapons on offense, but they are going up against a really good 49ers defense. Also, San Francisco is a run heavy team and are going to try and limit the possessions of KC by chewing up the clock. 

Another big thing here is the Chiefs defense. Kansas City has really made remarkable strides on the defensive side of the ball. Not just from last year, but from earlier this season. KC's run defense gets a really bad wrap, but in their last 6 games they are giving up just 89 yards/game. Everyone thought Derrick Henry was going to run all over them and they held him to 69 yards on 19 attempts. 

Lastly, you got to factor in the edge these two defenses have with the two weeks to prepare for this game. There's just not a lot at this point that's not on tape for either offense, so both defense are going to be well prepared. I'm not saying it will be like last year, but the number is too high. Take the UNDER! 

5* NBA - Over/Under VEGAS INSIDER Top Play on Nuggets/Pistons under 216 -110

I really like the value here with the UNDER in Sunday's NBA matchup between the Nuggets and Pistons. I just don't see either one of these offenses being in sync with this early start time. The game is tipping off at 12:30 EST, which means it's going to feel like playing at 10:30 am for the Nuggets. 

This also figures to be a tired Denver team, who just finished up a back-to-back Thursday/Friday at Milwaukee after a game at home against Utah the night before. Detroit could only manage 92 points on 35% shooting at home against the Raptors in their last game and it doesn't figure to be much better for them in this one. 

UNDER is 15-5 in the Nuggets last 20 games against a team with a losing record in the 2nd half of the season and 4-1 in their last 5 on the road. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAAB - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on George Mason/St Bonaventure under 132½ -109

I like the value with the UNDER quite a bit in Saturday's action out of the Atlantic 10, which has St. Bonaventure hosting George Mason. The Bonnies snapped their 3-game losing streak with a 62-55 win at Fordham. St Bonaventure limited the Rams to just 33% shooting and I look for them to carry over that strong defensive effort here at home against the Patriots. 

It also helps that George Mason's offense is in a bit of a slump. They have shot 38% or worse from the field in each of their last 3 games and last time on the road they managed just 53 at Davidson, who ranks near the bottom of the league in defensive efficiency. 

UNDER is 11-3 in St Bonaventure's last 14 home games and 10-2 in their last 12 as a home favorite. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAAB - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Drexel/Delaware under 141½ -110

I like the value here with the UNDER in Saturday's CAA action that has Drexel visiting Delaware. Drexel is your ideal team for a low scoring game. The Dragons really struggle to score offensively, but are sound on the defensive side of the ball. 

So even if there defense slips like it has in their last two games, they don't figure to score enough to push it over the mark. Drexel only managed 59 last time out at Hofstra and 52 the game before at Northeastern. As for Delaware, they like to play fast, but are only averaging 72.8 ppg in their last 5. 

I just don't see these two combining for more than 140 points. UNDER has cashed in 7 of their last 9 road games and is 7-3 in their last 10 as a road dog. Take the UNDER! 

5* NCAAB - MAAC PLAY OF THE MONTH on Quinnipiac/Canisius under 149 -112

I love the value here with the UNDER in Friday's action out of the MAAC. This is a really big number for these two to get to. Canisius likes to play fast, which I think is playing into the high total, but they are just 10th out 11 in offensive efficiency in the MAAC and will be up against a Quinnipiac defense that is 2nd in the conference in effective field goal defense. 

Canisius also comes into this game in poor form. In their last two games they have scored 66 points on 43% shooting at Iona and just 55 points on 40% shooting at Fairfield. Quinnipiac has scored 61 points or fewer in 3 of their last 4, including a mere 61 last time out on the road against a bad Siena defense. 

UNDER is 11-4 in Quinnipiac's last 15 road games vs a team with a winning home record and 7-3 in their last 10 games overall. Take the UNDER! 

3* NCAAB - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on CS-Fullerton/Cal Poly over 131½ -109

The OVER is definitely worth a look between CS-Fullerton and Cal Poly. This is a really low number for how good the Titans have been on the offensive side of the ball in their last two games. Fullerton followed up a 78-point outburst at Cal Davis with 82 at home against CS-Northridge. 

They got a great shot here to stay hot against a slumping Mustangs defense. Cal Poly allowed 97 on 54% shooting at CS-Riverside and then allowed 74 on 48% shooting at UC-Irvine. All we really need here is for the Titans to get to 70, as they are allowing 71 ppg in league play. 

OVER is 8-1 in Fullerton's last 9 vs a team with a losing record. It's also 6-0 in Cal Poly's last 6 vs a team with a losing record and 4-0 in their last 4 at home after playing 3 straight on the road. Take the OVER! 

4* NCAAB - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on South Dakota/Denver over 149 -110

Easy play on the OVER in tonight's Summit League action that has South Dakota visiting Denver. These are two of the fastest paced teams in the league with the Coyotes ranking 3rd in tempo and the Pioneers 2nd. 

South Dakota is absolutely lighting it up on the offensive end right now. The Coyotes have scored 83 or more in each of their last 3 and 80 or more in 5 of their last 6. Hard to see them not getting to 80 in this one. Denver is giving up 78 ppg in conference play. 

South Dakota's defense is also allowing a lot, as they are giving up 76 ppg in Summit action and have allowed 80 or more in 3 of their last 5. OVER is 10-4 in the Coyotes last 14 road games. It's also 13-3 in Pioneers last 16 as a home dog and 6-0 in their last 6 at home vs a team with a losing road record. Take the OVER! 

5* NBA - Non-Conference TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Raptors/Spurs under 223 -109

Love the value here with the UNDER in Sunday's afternoon showdown between the Spurs and Raptors. I just think both of these teams are going to be looking to slow things down a bit. Toronto is playing their second straight on the road and 4th away from home in their last 5 overall. It's also the Raptors 6th game in the last 10 days. 

Spurs will be playing their second straight at home, but prior to that were on the road for 6 of 8 games and they are also on little rest with this being their 5th game in 8 days. 

You also have two teams that have been playing well and I think both will bring the defensive intensity in this one. There's just also something about playing on Sunday. UNDER is 3-0-1 in the Raptors last 4 on Sunday and 6-1 in the Spurs last 7. 

These two teams also played recently, as the just faced off in Toronto on Jan. 12th. That game only saw a combined score of 209. Spurs really did a good job of slowing the game down and making the Raptors play at their pace, something they should be able to do even more at home. Take the UNDER! 

3* NCAAB - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Loyola-Chicago/Northern Iowa under 131 -109

I really like the value here with the UNDER between Loyola-Chicago and Northern Iowa. This is a big time matchup in the MVC. The Ramblers are currently sitting on top the conference at 6-1, but the Panthers are right on their heels at 5-2 and can essentially take over the top spot with a win here, as they would own the tie-breaker. 

I just think we are going to get the best of both teams on the defensive side of the ball. Loyola-Chicago is the best defensive team in the MVC and also the slowest in terms of tempo. It's why the UNDER has cashed in all 7 of their conference games. Only once have they allowed a MVC opponent to top 58 points. 

UNI is one of the better offensive teams, but the two best defensive teams in the conference behind the Ramblers are Southern Illinois and Indiana State. Panthers had just 68 points at home against the Sycamores and 66 at the Salukis. 

UNDER is 13-3-1 in Loyola's last 17 games as a road dog and 4-1 in the Panthers last 5 vs a team with a winning record. Take the UNDER! 

4* NFL - Pro Bowl (AFC vs NFC) Total NO-BRAINER on NFC/AFC over 49½ -110

It's crazy to think the total for the Pro Bowl is less than that of the Super Bowl. I get the UNDER has cashed in each of the last 3 and 5 of the last 6 Pro Bowls, but the average score since 2014 is still at 49 points. I just think there's too much value here in an exhibition game to take a shot at this price. Take the OVER! 

3* NCAAB - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Vanderbilt/South Carolina under 142 -109

The books have completely missed the mark with the total they have set for Saturday's SEC matchup between Vanderbilt and South Carolina. These are two of the worst offensive teams in the conference. The Gamecocks rank 11th in offensive efficiency and the Commodores are dead last at 14th. No surprise given how they struggle to generate easy baskets. SC is 12th in 2-point field goal percentage and Vandy is 11th. 

The one area where the Gamecocks have done well offensively is shoot the 3, as they are 3rd in 3-point field percentage. Just so happens that's one of the few things that the Commodores defend well, as they are 4th in the SEC in 3-point field goal defense. 

UNDER is 20-8 in Vanderbilt's last 28 as an underdog and 8-0 in their last 8 vs a team with a winning record. UNDER is also 6-0 in the Commodores last 6 off 2 straight loss by 10 or more and 7-0 in their last 7 after scoring 65 points or less in 3 straight games. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAAB - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Clemson/Louisville over 127½ -109

The OVER is definitely worth a look here between Clemson and Louisville. I'm not expecting a shootout by any means, but these two should easily surpass this low number. Only once in Louisville's 8 conference games have they combined for fewer than the total for this game and that was a home game against Pitt back in early December. 

It's a similar story with Clemson, who has had just one of their last six conference games fail to reach 139 points. With how Louisville likes to attack in transition and the Tigers willingness to let teams shoot from deep (Cardinals hitting 38% from deep), I see them flirting with 70 points and I think Clemson can definitely keep pace. 

OVER has cashed in 5 of the Tigers last 6 overall and is 25-12 in their last 37 as a road dog. OVER is also 5-1-1 in Louisville's last 7 home games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. Take the OVER! 

4* NCAAB - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Villanova/Providence over 136½ -109

I'll gladly take my chances here with the OVER in Saturday's Big East showdown between Providence and Villanova. The Wildcats have got their offensive act together of late in conference play, as they are averaging 78.3 ppg in their last 3 Big East games. 

Hard to see them slowing down against a Friars defense that has really struggled against the top teams in the Big East, as they allowed 70 points on 56% shooting to Butler at home and 73 points on 58% shooting at Seton Hall last time out. 

Key here is I think we see Providence snap out of their recent offensive funk, which has seen them shoot under 40% in each of their last 4 games. While Villanova's defense was great last time out at home against Butler, they let UConn shoot 49% and DePaul to connect on 48% in their previous two games. 

Friars last two were also on the road and that's worth noting as the OVER is 37-16 last 53 after 2 straight road games and 16-6 in their last 22 off 2 straight road losses. OVER is also 68-45 in Villanova's last 113 games as a road favorite and 55-32 last 87 road games off a conference win by 10 or more. Take the OVER! 

5* NCAAB - MAC TOTAL PLAY OF THE MONTH on Kent State/Buffalo under 156 -110

I absolutely love the value here with the UNDER in Friday's massive total in the MAC between Buffalo and Kent State. No question these are two of the better offensive teams in the MAC, but this is just too many points. 

Both of these teams rank in the Top 6 in defensive efficiency in the MAC and Kent State is one of the few teams that can slow down Buffalo. Bulls are not a great 3-point shooting team. They are No. 1 in the MAC in 2-pt percentage, yet 11th in 3-pt percentage. That plays right into the Golden Flashes defense, which is No. 2 in the conference in 2-pt percentage defense. 

Bulls are coming off back-to-back high scoring games, as they had 86 in a win at Central Michigan and then 90 at home against Western Michigan. That's important to note as the UNDER is a perfect 7-0 in their last 7 home games after two straight games where they scored 85 or more. UNDER is also 6-0 in their last 6 at home off 4 or more consecutive wins. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Wizards/Cavs under 232 -110

I really like the UNDER in tonight's NBA matchup between the Cavs and Wizards. Washington is a team that finds themselves in a lot of high scoring games, but this will not be one of them. Wizards aren't going to have much gas in the tank for this one, as they just played last night in Miami in a game that went to OT. 

Cleveland won't have any problem playing this game at a slower pace, as they come in ranked 23rd in the league in pace of play. Cavs won't have Brandon Knight for this game, which is a big positive for their defense, as is the expected return of John Henson. Last time out Cleveland scored just 86 points against the Knicks in a game that saw a combined score of 192 with a total of 222.5. 

UNDER is 5-0 in Washington's last 5 games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games and 7-1 in the Cavs last 8 when playing on 2 days of rest. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA - Late Night VEGAS INSIDER on Jazz/Warriors under 218½ -110

The UNDER is definitely worth a look in tonight's NBA matchup that has the Warriors hosting the Jazz. Golden State is coming off a game at Portland where they put up 124 points and combined for 253. I just think it has the total here a lot higher than it should be. 

Warriors have only eclipsed 110 points twice in their last 10 games and will have a hard time coming anywhere close to that against a good Utah defense that just held the Pacers to 88 points at home in their last game. 

UNDER is 14-5 in the Warriors last 19 as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 points, 22-9 in their last 31 at home after going over the total in their last game and 12-2 in their last 14 home games after a contest with a combined score of 245 or more points. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Grizzlies/Celtics under 232½ -110

I really like the value here with the UNDER in tonight's NBA matchup between the Celtics and Grizzlies. Boston will be without one of their top players, as Jaylen Brown has been ruled out with an ankle injury. That's a big loss for a Celtics team that is likely to suffer some kind of letdown after that big win over the Lakers on Monday. 

In terms of a letdown, I think we see a little slower pace and more focus on the defensive end for Boston, who I think will find some motivation here trying to slow down a red-hot Memphis offense that has a ridiculous streak going of scoring 110 or more points in 14 straight games. 

I'm not saying this won't be a high-scoring game, I just don't think it eclipses the high total set by the books. UNDER is 4-1 in Boston's last 5 after a game where they scored 125 or more and 7-3 in the Grizzlies last 10 after giving up 125 or more in their last game. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAAB - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Drake/Evansville under 134 -109

I really like the value here with the UNDER in Wednesday's Missouri Valley action that has Drake vistining Evansville. This is just too many points given the circumstances. 

For one, Drake is not near the offensive team on the road as they are at home. In 3 conference road games the Bulldogs are averaging just 60.7 ppg, a drastic difference from their average of 76.0 ppg in 3 conference home games. Not to mention they are coming in just 2 days removed from a horrific offensive showing at Southern Illinois, where they scored just 49 points on 36% shooting. 

As for the Purple Aces, they have statistically been the worst offense in the MVC and it's not even close. Evansville ranks last in offensive efficiency at 81.8 (next worst is 89.5) and effective field goal percentage at 42.5 (next worst is 46.4). 

On top of that, Purple Aces just fired head coach Walter McCarty and replaced him with Todd Lickliter, who in his days as the head coach of Iowa and Butler deployed some of the slowest paced teams in the country (9 years never higher than 316th in tempo). 

It's also worth noting that Drake is favored in this matchup, as the UNDER is 10-3 in their last 13 as a road favorite and 5-0 in Evansville's last 5 as a dog. Take the UNDER! 

5* NCAAB ACC Total PLAY OF THE MONTH on Miami-FL/Duke over 149½ -109

I love the value with the OVER in Tuesday's ACC matchup that has Duke hosting Miami. These two teams already played once this season and that game finished with a combined score of 157 as the Blue Devils won 95-62. 

I wouldn't be shocked at all if Duke put up 100 in this one. They have scored 88 or more 3 times in ACC play and are going to be 100% locked in for this one after losing their last two games. No team has been better in the ACC in finishing at the rim and Miami's allowing teams to convert on 64.5% of their shots at the ri, which is the 310th worst mark in the country. 

I would be shocked if Duke didn't score at least 90 in this one, which means we only need Miami to eclipse 60 to cash a winner. I think they easily do that. Hurricanes just shot 47% and scored 79 points against a good FSU defense in their last game and the Blue Devils defense has really been exposed in their last two games, giving up 57% shooting to Clemson and 48% to Louisville at home.

OVER is 15-6 in Miami's last 21 vs a team with a winning record and 15-5 in Duke's last 20 vs a team with a winning record. Take the OVER! 

3* NBA - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Clippers/Mavs under 233½ -110

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER in Tuesday's only NBA action that has the Mavs hosting the Clippers. In the only previous meeting between these two they combined for just 213 points with a total of 225. Both defenses were really good, as both sides shot under 43% from the field. 

I think we get a big effect defensively from both teams knowing that a lot of eyes will be on this one. Also, both teams are going to be well-rested, as LA hasn't played since Saturday and Dallas since Friday. 

It's also worth noting that Dallas is favored, which adds some value. UNDER is 8-1 this season when the Clippers are listed as an underdog and a perfect 7-0 when they are a road dog. UNDER is also 8-1 in LA's last 9 vs a top tier team that's outscoring teams by 6+ points/game. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Bulls/Bucks under 226½ -109

I really like the value with the UNDER in Monday's Central Division clash between the Bulls and Bucks. These two teams are very familiar with one another and will be meeting for the 4th time this season. After combining for 239 points in the first matchup, the last two have gone for 225 or less. 

I just have a hard time seeing these two eclipse the mark set for this one. Milwaukee's one of the best defensive teams in the league and Chicago's offense has had it's struggles against better teams, especially on the road. 

One thing the Bulls do well that should help this stay under is play solid transition defense. Chicago ranks 8th in defensive transition defense. They also defend spot up shooting, which is where Milwaukee's offense really thrives. 

It's also important to note the Bucks come in off a 117-97 win at Brooklyn, as the UNDER is 13-3 in Milwaukee's last 16 home games off a road win by 10 or more and a perfect 8-0 if that win was by 20 or more. Take the UNDER! 

3* NCAAB - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR  on St. Mary's/Pepperdine under 147 -115

I think we are getting some great value here with the UNDER in Saturday's West Coast matchup that has St. Mary's visiting Pepperdine. While the Gaels are averaging 80.2 ppg and giving up 79.0 ppg in league play, those numbers are skewed quite a bit from a 4-OT game at Pacific that ended up seeing 206 combined points after the two had only combined for 128 in regulation (64-64). 

The only game they have really played that was a shootout was against BYU, who has an even better offense than the Gaels. Pepperdine is just middle of the pack offensively, but are in the Top 5 defensively and are only allowing teams to shoot 44% from the field in WCC play. 

It's also worth noting St Mary's is coming off an upset loss at home to Santa Clara, as the UNDER is a perfect 9-0 in the Gaels last 9 road games off an upset loss as a home favorite. Take the UNDER! 

3* NCAAB - Over/Under Total DOMINATOR on Colorado State/Air Force under 150½ -115

I just think there's too much value here with the UNDER in Saturday's Mountain West clash between Colorado State and Air Force. I just think we are seeing an inflated number with the Rams off a game at home against New Mexico, where they put up 105 points. 

Thing is Colorado State had a near perfect night from the floor, as they shot 59% from the field going a ridiculous 19 of 28 from 3-point range. Note we saw them have similar strong showing at home against Doane, where they put up 87 on 54% and the next time out managed just 61 points on 38% shooting at Nevada. 

Air Force is not an easy place to play and if they don't light it up it's going to be really hard for these two to eclipse the high mark set for this game. UNDER is 5-1 in the Falcons last 6 at home vs a team with a winning road record and 19-8 in the Rams last 27 on the road after a game where they shot 55% or better from the field. Take the UNDER! 

5* NCAAB - Big Ten TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Michigan/Iowa under 148 -109

It will be extremely difficult for many to take the UNDER in this one, as these two teams combined for 194 points in a meeting at Michigan back in early December. However, I think there's a ton of value with the UNDER at the current price. 

What you got to keep in mind is that these two teams are going to have a much better idea of how to stop the other team in the rematch and both teams have to be a bit worn down given the gauntlet of Big Ten play. 

One thing that really stands out to me is how much Michigan's offense has struggled in true road games this season. THey have played 4 games on an opponents court and in this 4 games have scored 43, 62, 69 and 67 points. Not to mention

Iowa is a much better defensive team at home, Hawkeyes are allowing 63.2 ppg at home. Hawks have played just two home games in Big Ten PLay and in those games have held Minnesota to 52 points and Maryland to 49. Their game against the Gophers ended with just 124 points with a total of 147 and against the Terps the combined for just 116 with a total of 174. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Hawks/Spurs under 230½ -109

I really like the value here with the UNDER in Friday's NBA matchup that has the Spurs hosting the Hawks. I know Atlanta's defense is one of the worst in the league and San Antonio's isn't much better, but I just don't see the pace being at the point needed to eclipse this total. 

While the Hawks will be on two days rest, I still think they are going to be a bit fatigued for this one. Atlanta was at Washington last Friday, had to play at Brooklyn two days later and then were back home on just 1 day of rest against the Suns. 

As for the Spurs, they are going to be playing on just 1 day of rest after a grueling 4-game road trip that had them go from Boston to Memphis to Toronto and finally end up in Miami. 

UNDER is 5-0 in the Hawks last 5 road games. It's also 8-2 in the Spurs last 10 home games off a road trip of 7 or more days and 6-0 in their last 6 vs a team with a losing record. UNDER is also 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in this series. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAAB - Over/Under Total DESTROYER  on North Texas/Southern Miss under 133 -110

I really like the value with the UNDER in this one. North Texas has the best offense in C-USA and will be facing a Southern Miss defense that ranks at the bottom of the conference, giving up 78.5 ppg in league play. I just think that has the total inflated to where there's value on the UNDER. 

Big thing to note is that the Mean Green are not nearly as potent on the road. North Texas is averaging 70.6 ppg on 47.4% shooting overall, but just 61.4 ppg and 42.7% on the road. Southern Miss is also an awful offensive team, scoring just 58.2 ppg in conference play and will be facing a Mean Green defense that has held 3 of their 4 conference opponents to fewer than 65 points. 

UNDER is 25-12 in North Texas' last 37 road games after 3 or more consecutive wins and 10-2 in their last 12 on the road after going OVER the total in their previous game. Take the UNDER! 

3* NCAAB - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Southern Illinois/Loyola-Chicago over 117½ -109

There's no denying that these are two of the better defensive teams in the Missouri Valley, but I just think we are seeing a ridiculously low total due to the fact that the UNDER has been so good for both teams of late. UNDER has cashed in 7 straight for Southern Illinois and 5 straight for the Ramblers. 

Loyola-Chicago is No. 3 in the MVC in both offensive efficiency and effective field goal percentage, so it's not like they can't score. Ramblers are scoring almost 75 ppg at home and that's exactly how many they had last year when they hosted the Salukis, which saw a combined score of 125. 

It's also worth noting that Loyola is fresh off a 78-44 blowout win over Evansville at home as a 13.5-point favorite, as the OVER is a dominant 13-3 in their last 16 off a cover as a double-digit favorite.  OVER is also a perfect 7-0 in Southern Illinois' last 7 road games when facing a team that is shooting 48% or better from the field. Take the OVER 117.5! 

3* NCAAB - Over/Under Total DOMINATOR on Texas-Arlington/UL - Lafayette over 142½ -110

Easy play for me on the OVER in Thursday's Sun Belt showdown between UT-Arlington and UL-Lafayette. I think there's some hidden value here due to the fact that Ragin' Cajuns are coming off two dreadful offensive showings at Georgia State and Georgia Southern, where they scored just 52 and 51 points respectively. 

Thing is, Lafayette is a different offensive team on the road than they are at home and those are two of the top defenses in the Sun Belt. In their previous two games they put up 81 at App State and 79 at home against Troy. Arlington is not a great defensive team and just gave up 82 at home to Coastal Carolina. 

The other big key here is tempo. The Mavericks like to speed up the game and are playing at the 3rd fastest tempo in the Sun Belt. I think Lafayette also likes to play fast and will be up for a faster tempo after their last two games. 

OVER is also 12-1 in Arlington's last 13 games as a road favorite and 15-4 in Lafayette's last 19 at home against poor shooting teams 15+ games into the season. Take the OVER! 

4* NCAAB - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Charlotte/Marshall over 132 -117

I really like the value here with the OVER in Thursday's C-USA matchup that has Marshall hosting Charlotte. This is the lowest total we have seen in a game involving the Herd this season and a big reason for that is because of their recent struggles offensively and the fact that Charlotte plays at one of the slowest paces in the country. 

Thing is, Marshall has had a way of making the 49ers play up to their tempo in recent meetings. Last year the two played to a combined 169 points at Charlotte. You have to go back to their first meeting in 2015 to find the last time these two didn't combine for at least 150 points. OVER is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings and the averaged combined score in these 11 matchups is 161.5. 

Also in regards to the Herds' poor shooting of late, with how many outside shots they take they are going to have games where they don't connect. Good chance they get going at home, where they are shooting 47% from the field on the season. Take the OVER! 

4* NBA - Late Night Total ANNIHILATOR on Mavs/Kings over 226½ -109

Easy play on the OVER in tonight's late action between the Kings and Mavs. I just don't think Sacramento has any hope here of slowing down this potent Dallas offensive attack. Mavs are No. 1 in the league in offensive efficiency at 114.1 per 100 possessions. Next best is the Bucks at 111.9. 

Dallas is lethal in the pick and roll and the Kings are rank in the bottom 10 of the league at defending the pick and roll. Sacramento is giving up 111.8 ppg in their last 5 and have allowed 110 or more in 10 of their last 14. 

Key here is the Kings are clicking on the offensive end right now, as they are scoring 111.6 ppg in their last 5 and have scored 110 or more in 7 of 9 overall. Dallas held the 76ers to 91 and the Warriors to 97 in their last 2, but Philadelphia's without Embiid and Golden State is just not very good. Prior to that they had given up 114.4 ppg in their previous 8. Take the OVER! 

3* NBA - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Wizards/Bulls over 230 -103

I look for the Bulls and Wizards to easily surpass the big total set for tonight's matchup. It's really hard to not like the OVER with Washington as long as Bradley Beal is in the lineup. Wizards are obviously a better offensive team with Beal on the floor, but what people don't realize is how he negatively impacts the defense. Wizards defense is 14.4 worse per 100 possessions with him on the floor. 

On the season Washington is giving up 121.6 ppg away from home and the Bulls can and should hit that mark. Chicago had 110 at the Wizards when these two played about a month ago and shot just 40% from the field in that game. 

Other key here is the Bulls who had been playing solid defense are struggling on that side of the ball since Wendell Carter Jr went down. In Chicago's last 6 games they have given up 111 or more points in 5 of those games and the only exception was a game against a depleted Pistons squad. Also, Bulls have gone 8 straight games allowing the opposition to shoot 46% or better from the field. Take the OVER! 

4* NHL - Over/Under Total DOMINATOR on Blackhawks/Canadiens under 6 +100

The UNDER is worth a look in tonight's NHL matchup that has the Blackhawks visiting the Canadiens. UNDER has cashed in 7 of Montreal's last 8 games and it's easy to see why when you look at the results.

Canadiens have scored 2 or fewer goals 7 of their last 8 games with a mere 3-goal outburst being their highest output in this stretch. Hard to see them getting it turned around against a Chicago defense that has held 4 of their last 5 to 2 or fewer. 

UNDER is 15-2 over the last 2 seasons in Montreal's home games in the month of January, 7-1 in their last 8 at home in a non-conference game and 6-0 in their last 6 at home after going UNDER in their previous two games. Take the UNDER! 

4* NHL - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Kings/Lightning under 6½ +115

The books have set the total way too high for tonight's NHL matchup between the Lightning and Kings. Both of these offenses are really struggling coming into this game and both are pretty locked in defensively. 

LA has scored 2 or fewer goals in 4 of their last 5 games and will be facing a Tampa Bay defense that has held 5 of their last 7 to 2 or fewer goals, including two shutouts in their last 3 games. Lightning have scored just 1 goal in each of their last two games and Kings have held each of their last 3 opponents to exactly 2 goals. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Hornets/Blazers under 217 -105

The UNDER is worth a look here in Monday's NBA matchup between the Blazers and Hornets. I just don't see these two teams playing with the kind of pace needed to go over a total of this magnitude. 

Charlotte has to be running on fumes as they flew across the country for a game at Utah on Friday and then were at Phoenix last night before making another long trip up north for this game on no rest. Blazers had to return home from a 4-game road trip to face one of the league's best in Milwaukee and will be on just 1-day of rest for this one. 

Portland has been playing at a slower pace of late with all the travel and have scored no more than 102 in their last 3 games. Charlotte plays at the slowest pace of any team in the league and we saw how that can impact a game last night against the Suns. Phoenix shot 50% from the field and yet the game only saw a 192 combined points. Same thing in their game against Utah. Jazz shot 51% and the two combined for only 201 points. Take the UNDER! 

5* NCAAF - National Championship NO LIMIT Top Play on Clemson/LSU under 68½ -110

I love the value here with the UNDER in the title game between Clemson and LSU. After watching LSU score at will against Oklahoma in the semifinal matchup, I think the perception here is that there's just no stopping Joe Burrow and that offensive attack. 

I'm not about to say Clemson is going to shutdown LSU's offense, but they are definitely going to offer a lot more resistance than Oklahoma, who keep in mind was not a great defensive team and missing some key guys on that side of the ball. 

It's no secret that LSU's offense is built around Burrow and the passing game, but that plays right into the strength of the Clemson defense, which was No. 1 in the country against the pass, giving up just 138.5 ypg. 

As for the LSU defense, it's been a lot better of late and they definitely got the talent on that side of the ball to keep Clemson's offense in check. 

I also think the long layoff from the semifinal games to this contest really benefits both defenses and there's simply not enough being made of the two mastermind defensive coordinators in this matchup with LSU's Dave Aranda and Clemson's Brent Venables. 

UNDER is 13-1 in Clemson's last 14 games played in a dome and 7-0 over the last 3 seasons when playing on 2 or more weeks of rest. UNDER is also 20-5 in LSU's last 25 after 3 or more consecutive covers and 16-5 under Orgeron after a game where they gained 6.75 or more yards/play. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Warriors/Grizzlies over 221 -109

Easy play on the OVER in Sunday's NBA matchup that has Memphis hosting the Warriors. The books are having a terrible time setting the total high enough in Grizzlies' games of late. The OVER is 12-3 in Memphis' last 15 games. 

A big part of that is the Grizzlies' offense, which is absolutely on fire right now. Memphis is averaging 127.4 ppg in their last 5 and have scored 110 or more in 10 straight games. Not only is their offense lighting it up, but they are allowing a ton of points. Grizzlies have given up 112 or more in 5 straight. 

OVER is 10-1 in Memphis' last 11 home games and a perfect 7-0 in their last 7 at home against a team with a losing road record. Take the OVER! 

4* NBA - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Hornets/Jazz under 213 -109

I like the value here with the UNDER in Friday's NBA matchup that has Utah hosting Charlotte. I just think this is too big a number given how strong the Jazz are defensively and how poor the Hornets are on offense. 

Utah ranks 7th in the NBA in defensive efficiency and in their last 5 games are giving up just 101 ppg on 43% shooting. Charlotte ranks 22nd in offensive efficiency, as they are scoring just 104.6 ppg on 44% shooting and that drops to 102 ppg on 43% shooting when on the road. 

Another thing here is pace. Both teams rank in the bottom half of the league in pace of play with Charlotte the slowest team in the league. 

UNDER is also 28-15 in Utah's last 43 off a home win and 36-18 in their last 54 at home off 2 straight games where they scored 110 or more points. UNDER has also cashed in 7 of their last 9 games vs a team with a losing record. and is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings between these two in Utah. Take the UNDER !

3* NBA -Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Raptors/Hornets under 209 -110

The UNDER is worth a look in tonight's NBA matchup that has the Hornets hosting the Raptors. UNDER has cashed in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games and a big reason for that is they have had to really slow things down with all the injuries. They have been without Siakam, Powell and Gasol for a while now and just recently lost VanVleet. 

Last night they played at home against the Blazers and that game finished with a combined 200 points with a total of 221. Note that Portland had seen each of their previous 6 games see a combined score of 210 or more with 5 of those going for at least 225. 

With Toronto playing on no rest, expect them to slow things down even more and Charlotte will have no problem joining in, as they are dead last in the NBA in pace of play and rank in the bottom 10 in offensive efficiency. Take the UNDER! 

3* NCAAB - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on UL - Lafayette/Appalachian State under 146 -110

I really like the value here with the UNDER in Monday's Sun Belt matchup between UL-Lafayette and Appalachian State. I think we are getting value with the total due to the fact that the Ragin' Cajuns come in averaging 73 ppg while giving up 74.6 ppg. 

Thing is Lafayette was playing much faster in non-conference than they are early on in Sun Belt play. Ragin' Cajuns are averaging just 67.2 ppg and allowing 67.5 ppg in their 4 conference games. You combine that with the fact that the Mountaineers are giving up just 63.8 ppg overall and 61.6 ppg at home and you can see why the books have completely missed the mark in this one. 

UNDER is 22-7 in Lafayette's last 29 games vs a team that is giving up 64 or fewer points/game 15+ games into the season. UNDER is also 9-3 in Appalachian State's last 12 games overall, 9-1 in their last 10 at home and 9-1 in their last 10 as a favorite. Take the UNDER! 

3* NHL - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Panthers/Penguins under 6½ -120

Easy play here on the UNDER 6.5 in Sunday's NHL matchup between the Penguins and the Panthers. Both teams failed to get their offense going in their last game, as Florida scored just 2 at Buffalo and Pittsburgh managed just 3 at Montreal. Penguins have also held each of their last 3 opponents to 3 or fewer. 

UNDER is 29-19 in the Penguins last 48 home games in the second half of the season, 40-29 in their last 69 at home when playing their 3rd game in 5 days and a dominant 20-9 in their last 29 at home off a road game. Take the UNDER! 

5* NFL - Seahawks/Eagles Wild Card VEGAS INSIDER on Seahawks/Eagles under 46 -110

I love the value here with the UNDER in Sunday's NFC Wild Card matchup between the Eagles and Seahawks. These two teams met up in Week 12 of the regular-season and the two combined for just 26 points in a 17-9 Seattle win at Philadelphia. 

It's hard to expect nearly double the offense in the rematch, especially with the problems both of these teams are facing offensively. Seattle's offensive line has been decimated with injuries and things got so bad at running back they had to bring back Marshawn Lynch. 

Eagles defense has played really well down the stretch and should continue that trend at home in this one. At the same time, Philadelphia's offense has been decimated with injuries and while Seattle's defense has struggled some down the stretch, they should be able to keep Wentz and the Eagles in check. 

UNDER is 15-5 in the Seahawks last 20 road games after a loss by 6 or less and 9-2 in their last 11 road games vs a NFC East team. UNDER is also 24-9 in Eagles last 33 home games and 7-0 in their last 7 at home off a division win. Take the UNDER! 

4* NHL - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Islanders/Maple Leafs under 6½ -115

I really like the value with the UNDER 6.5 in Saturday's NHL clash between the Islanders and Maple Leafs. I get Toronto comes in having scored 4 or more in 9 straight games, but all good things must come to an end and this New York defense is up to the task. 

Islanders have allowed just 6 goals in their last 3 games combined and are giving up a mere 2.5 goals/game on the road. They are only scoring 2.4 goals/game in their last 5, so you can see how there's value with the UNDER at 6.5 for the total. 

UNDER is 15-5 in Toronto's last 20 home games after playing each of their last two against non-conference opponents. It's also 34-17 in NY's last 51 road games in the 2nd half of the season and 9-1 in their last 10 when playing their 4th game in 7 days. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Thunder/Spurs under 218½ -109

Easy play on the UNDER in tonight's NBA matchup between the Spurs and Thunder. Oklahoma City likes to play at a slow pace and that combined with a mediocre offense and solid defense is a great recipe for low-scoring games. UNDER has cashed in each of their last 5 games. 

Spurs inability to lock down defensively was a big reason for their early season struggles, but they have been much better on that side of the ball. San Antonio has held 9 of their last 14 opponents to 44% or worse from the field and will be facing a Thunder offense that has shot no better than 45% in their last 4 games. 

UNDER is 10-5 in OKC's 15 road games this season, 27-12 in their last 39 as a dog and 11-2 in their last 13 with a line of +3 to -3. Take the UNDER! 

3* NCAAF - Wisconsin/Oregon ROSE BOWL  on Wisconsin/Oregon under 52 -110

I'm expecting a defensive showdown in the Rose Bowl between Oregon and Wisconsin. While both teams ranked in the Top 40 in total offense and Top 25 in scoring, they will both be facing two of the nations best defenses. 

Wisconsin was 8th in total defense (295.2 ypg) and 10th in scoring (16.1 ppg). While Oregon ranked a little further back at 24th in total defense (331.1 ypg) they were 9th in scoring defense (15.7 ypg). 

The other big thing here is that Oregon's defense is built to stop a team like the Badgers that is built around their running game. Ducks were 59th against the pass, but ranked 12th against the run, giving up just 107 ypg and 3.2 yards/carry. 

Wisconsin's defense was great against both the run (8th) and the pass (16th). They only gave up 3.4 yards/carry and opposing QB's completed a mere 50.8% of their pass attempts against them. 

It's just going to be really tough for both teams to get a lot going offensively and when they do move the ball I could see both having to settle for field goals instead of touchdowns. Take the UNDER! 

5* NCAAF - Minn/Auburn OUTBACK BOWL Top Play on Minnesota/Auburn under 52½ -110

I really like the UNDER in the Outback bowl, which has No. 12 Auburn facing off with No. 18 Minnesota. While both offenses were decent, the strength of the both of these teams was their defense. Both units ranked in the Top 20 in total defense. Auburn was 19th, giving up just 323.9 ypg and Minnesota was 14th, allowing just 312.8 ypg. 

The other thing here is that both of these teams really like to run the football. Minnesota averaged 43 rush attempts per game compared to just 24 pass attempt and Auburn put it on the ground an average of 44 times compared to 31 through the air. 

All that running combined with the talent on defense is really going to make it tough for this game to eclipse the total. The clock is going to be running constantly and there just isn't going to be a ton of possessions for either side. 

UNDER has cashed in 11 of Auburn's last 14 non-conference games. It's also 24-11-1 in their last 36 vs a team with a winning record and 4-1-1 in their last 6 bowl games. UNDER is also 7-2 in Minnesota's last 9 vs a team with a winning record and 4-1 in their last 5 bowl games. Take the UNDER! 

4* NHL - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Panthers/Blue Jackets over 6 -118

I look for Florida and Columbus to fly past the total set by the books. Florida comes into this game on an absolute tear on the offensive end. Panthers have scored 4 or more goals in 5 of their last 6 games. 

While Columbus hasn't been scoring at near the same clip, Florida's defense is giving up a ton of goals of late. Panthers have allowed 15 goals in their last 3 games, so this is one where the Blue Jackets can also go off.

OVER is 31-15 in Florida's last 46 road games with a total of 6 or more, 21-7 in their last 28 when playing their 3rd game in 4 nights and 14-2 in their last 16 when they come in having won 5/6 of their last 7. Take the OVER!