Sports Picks & Predictions

3* NCAAB - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on St Bonaventure/Buffalo under 145½ -110

I really like the value here with the UNDER in Monday's matchup between Buffalo and St. Bonaventure. The Bonnies are rolling right now, as they have won 7 straight and their defense has been a big part of their success.

Only once during this stretch has St Bonaventure given up more than 65 points, so while the Bulls are scoring 80.6 ppg, I don't see them coming anywhere close to that. Buffalo will find it really tough scoring inside. Bulls have an undersized frontline and will be facing one of the best interior defenders in the country in Osun Osunniyi. 

I know Buffalo's defense has had their lapses, but the Bonnies are from an offensive juggernaut. In fact, they only average 67.7 ppg. 

UNDER is 18-4 in the Bulls last 22 home games after scoring 80 or more points in 2 straight games and 6-0 in their last 6 at home off a blowout win by 20 or more. UNDER is also 11-3 in the Bonnies last 14 road games and 6-0 in their last 6 as a road dog of 3 or less. Take the UNDER! 

3* NHL - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Canadiens/Panthers over 6 -115

Easy play here on the OVER 6 in Sunday's NHL matchup that has the Panthers hosting the Canadiens. These two teams both are red-hot offensively coming into this one. Montreal is averaging 4.0 goals/game in their last 5, while Florida is even better at 4.6 goals/game in their last 5. 

These two offenses should both go off against the sub-par defenses that they will be facing. Canadiens are giving up 3.2 goals/game and 3.7 goals/game against division opponents. Panthers are allowing 3.4 goals/game overall, in their last 5 and against division opponents. 

OVER is 8-2 in Montreal's last 10 road games after scoring 3 or more goals in 2 straight games and 7-1 in their last 8 when playing their 2nd road game in 2 days. OVER is also 9-2 in Florida's last 11 home games after going OVER in their previous game and 14-4 in their last 18 at home after allowing 4 or more in two straight games. Take the OVER! 

3* NFL - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Titans/Texans under 46 -110

I really like the UNDER in Sunday's AFC South matchup between the Texans and Titans. I really think Houston is going to be going through the motions in this one. The only thing the Texans can do is move up from the No. 4 to the No. 3 seed, but chances are the Chiefs will beat the Chargers in the early slate of games and Houston will be locked into the No. 4. 

I could see the Texans either resting their starters or playing them for just a few series. There's just no incentive here for them to do anything special in this game. Offensively they are likely be very vanilla with a lot of runs and I could see them struggling to score more than 14. 

As for Tennessee they are in a must-win situation. Win and they are the No. 6 seed and in the playoffs. Lose and they are more than likely out. Titans are built for UNDERs. They are really good defensively and have an offense built around a power running game with Derrick Henry. 

UNDER is 6-0 in Houston's last 6 games vs good rushing teams that average 4.5 or more yards/carry. It's also 7-1 in their last 8 division games and 8-3 in their last 11 at home. Take the UNDER! 

5* NFL - NFC South TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Saints/Panthers under 47 -110

I absolutely love the UNDER 47 in Sunday's NFC South matchup between the Panthers and Saints. Carolina turned over the offense to rookie Will Grier last week and it couldn't have much worse. The Panthers managed 6 points and 286 total yards, failing to find the endzone. Grier was a respectable 27 of 44 for 224 yards, but threw 3 interceptions and was sacked 5 times. 

It's hard to imagine it going any better against the Saints on Sunday. That means the only way this game goes over this total is if New Orleans pops off for 30+ points and I just don't see that happening. If the Saints get any kind of comfortable lead they are going to become very conventional and really try to grind this thing out. 

New Orleans still has a shot at the No. 1 or No. 2 seed. However, this game only matters if they win and the Packers lose at Detroit (GB 12.5-point favorite). They can also get the No. 2 seed if the Seahawks beat the 49ers, but they don't have to win to get it, as they would own the tie-breaker. If GB and SF win they are No. 3. 

You can bet they will be paying close attention that the Packers score and if Green Bay gets up big, I wouldn't be shocked at all if they pulled several of their key players. Either way they aren't going to be trying to run up the score. 

UNDER is also 11-2 in New Orleans' last 13 games vs a team with a losing record and 12-4 in their last 16 trips to Carolina. Take the UNDER! 

3* NHL - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Coyotes/Golden Knights under 5½ +105

The UNDER 5.5 is worth a look in Saturday's NHL showdown between the Coyotes and Golden Knights. These two division rivals have really locked down defensively against division opponents this season. Both are giving up just 2.4 goals/game against division foes. 

UNDER is also 15-5 in Vegas' last 20 home games with a total of 5.5 and 9-2 in their last 11 at home after a road game where both teams scored 3 or more goals. UNDER is also 7-1 in Arizona's last 8 road games vs a team thats scoring 2.85 or more goals/game and 10-2 in Vegas' last 12 at home against teams giving up 2.55 or less goals/game. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA - Late Night Total NO-BRAINER on Suns/Kings under 222 -110

I really like the value here with the UNDER in Saturday's NBA matchup that has the Kings hosting the Suns. Just went Sacramento was starting to pick up the pace with De'Aaron Fox and Marvin Bagley back from injuries, both players are hurt once again and out for this game. 

Kings are going to have to go back to slowing things down and Phoenix figures to be looking to slow the pace as well, as they will be in the second game of a back-to-back set after playing last night in Golden State. 

UNDER is 15-5 in the Suns last 20 road games against division opponents and 21-9 in the Kings last 30 at home when playing only their 2nd game in a 5 day stretch. Take the UNDER 222! 

5* NCAAF - Clemson/Ohio St TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Clemson/Ohio State under 64 -110

I really like the value here with the UNDER in Saturday's CFP Semifinal matchup between Ohio State and Clemson. There's going to be plenty of talk about the two high-powered offenses and what they were able to do this season, but I just think both are going to have a miserable time moving the ball on these two elite defenses, especially at the rate needed to eclipse a high total like this one. 

Ohio State's defense ranked 3rd in the country giving up just 12.5 ppg and were 2nd in total defense, allowing just 247.9 ypg. Clemson had the best scoring defense in the country, giving up only 10.6 ppg and were also 1st in total defense, allowing 244.7 ppg. Both defense ranked in the Top 10 against the run and the pass. 

UNDER is 6-0 in Clemson's last 6 games when they have two or more weeks to prepare and 4-0 in their last 4 semifinal games in the playoffs. UNDER is also 5-1 in the Buckeyes last 6 vs a team with a winning record and 4-1 in their last 5 bowl games. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAAF - Memphis/Penn State COTTON BOWL on Memphis/Penn State under 60½ -109

I really like the UNDER in Saturday's matchup between Penn State and Memphis in the Cotton Bowl. Simply based on what these two offenses were able to accomplish in the regular-season, it would be really easy to expect a shootout. Memphis put up 40.5 ppg and Penn State finished the year at 34.3 ppg. 

However, there's a good reason to believe that neither offense will be on top of their game. That's because both offenses will be working under a new play caller. Memphis lost head coach Mike Norvell to Florida State and he was the guy that orchestrated that offense. As for Penn State, offensive coordinator Ricky Rahne left to be the head coach at Old Dominion. 

Another thing here is that these two teams can get after you defensively. Penn State has one of the best d-lines in the country and gave up just 14.1 ppg. Memphis had their lapses on defense, but only gave up 24.4 ppg when it was all said and done. 

The other big thing is I expect the effort to be there defensively, as these two know a lot of people will be tuned into Saturday's card leading up to the two big semifinal matchups in the playoffs. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAAF - Temple/N Carolina MILITARY BOWL on North Carolina/Temple over 53½ -110

I really like the value here with the OVER in the Military Bowl between Temple and North Carolina. The Owls are perceived to be a great defensive team, but I just don't know that's the case. The only decent offense they faced in non-conference was Buffalo and they gave up 38 points to the Bulls. 

Temple finished with the 6th best record in the AAC and every team below them had 3 or fewer conference wins, so basically they were the worst of the quality teams in the American. Their only win against one of the top teams was a 30-28 victory over Memphis, but it was real fluky. The Tigers turned it over 3 times in their first 4 possessions, which allowed the Owls to jump out to a 16-0 lead. They were outscored 28-14 in the final 36 minutes of that game. 

The two best offenses that Temple faced outside of Memphis were SMU and UCF and those two did whatever they wanted. The Knights put up 63 points and over 600 yards of offense, while the Mustangs had 45 points and over 650 yards.

UNC has the 14th best offense in the country, ranking in the top 45 in both rushing and passing. Tar Heels will score and score a lot. 

While I don't think Temple is going to be able to go score for score with UNC, I do think they will be able to put some points on the scoreboard. Owls offense was 39th in passing and will be up against a Tar Heels defense that finished 79th against the pass. I think worse case here this ends up like 35-21 in favor of UNC. Take the OVER! 

5* NFL - Packers/Vikings NFC North PLAY OF THE MONTH on Packers/Vikings under 46 -110

I absolutely love the value here with the UNDER in this one. These two teams already played once this season and combined for a mere 37 points. I have a really hard time seeing them eclipsing that mark by a full 10 points. 

Green Bay's offense hasn't been nearly as good as their scoring average. Packers are 13th in scoring at 23.6 ppg yet are 22nd in total offense and rank in the bottom half of the league in both passing and rushing. Hard to see them figuring it out against a Vikings defense that is one of the best in the league and one that is giving up just 14.2 ppg at home. 

As for Minnesota's offense, they are really short handed here with their top two running backs, Dalvin Cook and Alexander Mattison both doubtful to play. Note that in that first game against Green Bay they had 198 yards rushing. Green Bay's defense is also playing really well at the moment. Packers have held each of their last 3 opponents to 15 or less. 

UNDER is a perfect 7-0 in the Vikings last 7 division home games and 7-0 in the Packers last 7 overall against a team from the NFC North. UNDER is also 10-2 in Minnesota's last 12 after a game where they scored 30 or more and 8-3 in Green Bay's last 11 vs a team with a winning record. Take the UNDER! 

3* NCAAF - C Mich/SD State NEW MEXICO BOWL on Central Michigan/San Diego State under 41 -110

The UNDER is worth a look in the New Mexico Bowl as San Diego State takes on Central Michigan. I just think it's going to be a real struggle for both teams to score, which is just about how every game this season has went when the Aztecs are involved. 

UNDER is 11-1 in San Diego's 12 games this season, including a perfect 6-0 away from home. Aztecs simply have no offense, as they score just 19.0 ppg. What they do have is a great defense, that is holding teams to 12.8 ppg and 289 ypg. Central Michigan is scoring 31.9 ppg, but a lot of that has to do with the soft defenses they faced in the MAC. They didn't score a point in a game at Wisconsin and managed just 12 vs Miami. Take the UNDER! 

3* NFL - Texans/Bucs Over/Under ANNIHILATOR on Texans/Bucs over 50 -110

The OVER is definitely worth a look here in Saturday's first of 3 NFL games that has the Texans visiting the Bucs. I just don't think either side is going to be able to keep the other team from moving the football up and down the field. 

Houston comes in ranked 11th in the NFL in passing at 245.0 ypg and will be up against one of the worst secondaries in the NFL as the Bucs are 30th against the pass, allowing 276.8 ypg. Also, Texans are an even more potent offense when they got all 3 of their weapons on the outside in Hopkins, Stills and Fuller and all 3 are a go here. 

As for Tampa, the Bucs haven't had any problem racking up offensive numbers. Tampa Bay is 3rd in total offense (400.1 ypg) and 3rd in scoring (29.7 ppg). Jameis Winston continues to make too many mistakes, but when he isn't throwing to the other team he's carving up opponents no matter who he has at his disposal. He should be in store for another big game here against a Texans defense that ranks 28th against the pass, giving up 266.1 ypg.

OVER is 11-3 in Bucs games this year, including 4-1 at home. OVER is also 11-3 in Tampa's last 14 vs excellent passing teams and 6-0 vs awful pass defenses (allowing completion rate of 64% or better). Take the OVER! 

4* NHL - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Stars/Panthers over 5½ -110

The OVER 5.5 is definitely worth a look here in Friday's NHL clash between the Stars and Panthers. Both offenses will be coming in feeling confident after putting up a big number in their last game. Dallas scored 4 in a win at Tampa Bay and Florida hung 6 on Ottawa at home. 

OVER is also 31-15 in the Panthers last 46 off a win/tie and 31-17 in their last 48 after scoring 4 or more goals in their previous game. OVER is also 12-3 in their last 15 off a win over a division opponent and 34-17 last 51 in the 1st half of the season when playing a team with a winning record. Take the OVER! 

5* NCAAF - Buffalo/Charlotte BAHAMAS BOWL Top Play on Buffalo/Charlotte under 58½ -110

Easy play here on the total in Friday's first bowl game of the season with Buffalo taking on Charlotte. Couple factors here that really has me loving this game staying UNDER the total. 

First off these are two teams that are run-first offenses. Buffalo finished the season ranked 9th in the country in rushing at 254.3 yards/game and Charlotte was 26th at 211.3 ypg. I full expect both teams to try to come out and establish the run. 

They might not have a choice. The other big factor here is the weather with the game in the Bahamas. Winds are expected to exceed 20 mph with gusts approaching 30 mph. Plus, the game is being played in a soccer stadium, which is built like your normal CFB stadiums, so the wind could be even more of a factor than you would expect. 

UNDER is also 28-6 (82%) since 1992 in games where you have two non-Power 5 teams with decent offensive teams (390 to 440 ypg) facing off in a non-conference game. Take the UNDER! 

3* NHL - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Ducks/Devils over 5½ -101

I just don't see these two eclipsing this total. These are two of the worst teams in the NHL and a big reason for that is their inability to score goals on a consistent basis. New Jersey is only scoring 2.4 goals/game and Anaheim isn't much better at 2.6 goals/game. 

Not only that, both offenses come in even worse form. The Ducks are down to 2.2 goals/game in their last 5 and the Devils are at a mere 1.6 goals/game in their last 5. I get neither has a great defense, but I just don't think either side has the playmakers to take advantage of it. UNDER is 20-9 in Anaheim's last 29 road games in the 1st half of the season when playing a team with a losing record and 11-3 in the Devils last 14 at home against poor power play teams. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Magic/Jazz under 208½ -105

The UNDER is worth a look here in Tuesday's NBA action that has the Jazz hosting the Magic. These are two teams that like to play slow. Utah ranks 16th in pace of play and Orlando is way back at 26th. 

Another thing here is I think we are going to get a big effort here from Utah on the defensive side of the ball, as they can't be happy about letting each of their last two opponents shoot over 53% from the field. 

UNDER is also 14-3 in Orlando's last 17 road games when they come in having lost 2 of their last 3 and the average combined score in this spot is just 200.3. UNDER is also 35-17 in Utah's last 52 at home after scoring 110 or more in 2 straight games. Take the UNDER! 

4* NFL - Colts/Saints MNF Vegas INSIDER on Colts/Saints over 46 -110

I love the value here with the OVER on Monday Night Football. New Orleans just seems to always deliver a big offensive performance when playing at home in prime time games and it's hard to see the Colts slowing down Drew Brees and that high-powered passing attack after Jameis Winston just torched the Indy defense for 467 yards and 4 TDs in their last game. Tampa Bay finished with 542 yards of total offense. Colts defense is much better suited to slow down run-first teams. 

The key here is I don't think New Orleans will be able to take their foot off the gas. The Saints defense has been really good for the most part this season, but a big reason for that is the play they were getting up front. Unfortunately for NO they just lost two studs from the defensive line to season ending injuries in defensive end Marcus Davenport and defensive tackle Sheldon Rankins. They also are dealing with some injuries at linebacker and in the secondary. 

OVER is 11-3 in the Saints last 14 games under head coach Sean Payton on Monday Night Football and 29-12 in their last 41 at home off a loss by 6 or less. OVER is also 15-3 in the Colts last 18 on the road after giving up 35 or more points in their last game. Take the OVER! 

4* NFL - SNF Over/Under Total DOMINATOR on Bills/Steelers under 36½ -110

Even when there's every reason to believe there's going to be little to no offense in a game, the betting public struggles to stomach an under with a total less than 40. I just can't help myself here, as this is just one of those games where both offenses are going to have a hard time just getting first downs. 

With all the injuries the Steelers have had on offense they really have leaned hard on their defense to win games and the stop unit has been up to the task. Pittsburgh has held each of their last 3 opponents to 17 or fewer. Buffalo has a little more offensive fire-power, but not much. Bills also want to win games with their defense. 

Buffalo comes in 3rd in the NFL in total defense (296.8 ypg) and the Steelers have the 28th ranked offense (290.1 ypg). Pittsburgh's stop unit is 5th in total defense (310.9 ypg) and the Bills are 20th in total offense (341.9 ypg). 

UNDER is 10-3 in the Bills 16 games this season and a perfect 6-0 in 2019 when they are listed as a dog. UNDER is also 11-3 in their last 14 on the road. UNDER is 10-3 in the Steelers 13 games this season, 12-4 in their last 16 off a cover and 7-0 in their last 7 after playing their previous game against a team from the NFC. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA - Over/Under Total KNOCKOUT on Knicks/Nuggets over 205½ -110

Easy play here on the OVER for me in Sunday's NBA showdown between the Knicks and Nuggets. Denver comes into this one off back-to-back wins, scoring 114 against the Blazers on Thursday and 110 yesterday against the Thunder. Nuggets should have no problem putting up another big number here against a Knicks defense that is giving up 113.9 ppg on the road. 

Key here is that with Denver playing on no rest, as well as their 3rd game in 4 nights, it's unlikely they give a top notch defensive effort in this one, especially given how bad this Knicks team is. Nuggets can simply go through the motions on defense and still win this game no problem. Knicks scored 124 on 48% shooting at the Warriors on Wednesday and 103 on 46% shooting at Sacramento on Friday. If NY can just get to 95 here we cash this thing easy. Take the OVER! 

3* NCAAB - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Long Beach State/USC under 149½ -109

The UNDER is worth a look in Sunday's NCAAB matchup that has USC hosting Long Beach State. I just think the number here is way too high for this one. I get that the 49ers aren't the best defensive team and USC has some offensive fire-power, but I think both offenses could struggle to produce in this one. 

Both teams figure to be a bit rusty on offense, as USC hasn't played since Dec. 6 and Long Beach has been off since Dec. 7. Trojans last game was at TCU and they scored 80 points, but the UNDER is 8-1 in USC's last 9 at home after playing their previous game on the road, 15-6 in their last 21 as a home favorite and 11-3 in their last 14 after a game where they scored 80 or more. Take the UNDER! 

3* NFL - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Bears/Packers under 41 -110

These two managed to combine for just 13 points when they met up in Week 1 and neither offense had more than 255 total yards in the matchup. I would expect a little more offense in the rematch this Sunday, but I still don't see them approaching 40 points. 

Chicago's offense has come to life a little over the last couple of weeks, but there's little reason to be optimistic about them putting up a big number here. Mitch Trubisky is simply not playing at a high level and the Bears' lack of a running game really puts the entire offensive unit behind the 8-ball. 

While the offense continues to struggle for Chicago, the defense remains a strength and while the Packers have Aaron Rodgers, they have struggled to put up points against the better defenses they have faced. Even last week they only scored 20 points against the Redskins at home and that was them scoring 14 points in the 1st quarter. 

Add in just how familiar these two teams are with one another being division opponents and the fact the game will be played at wind chills in the single digits and it wouldn't surprise me if neither team scored 20 points. 

UNDER is 8-1 in the Bears last 9 games as road underdog, 6-1 in their last 7 division games and 9-2 in their last 11 games played in the month of December. UNDER is also 7-3 in the Packers last 10 vs a team with a winning record and 6-0 in their last 6 division games. Take the UNDER! 

4* NFL - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Patriots/Bengals over 41 -110

I like the value here with the OVER in Sunday's matchup that has the Patriots visiting the Bengals. I think we are getting a great number here with how New England's offense has struggle here of late. Patriots only managed 16 points at home last week against a Chiefs defense that isn't perceived to be very good and are averaging just 17 ppg in their last 4. 

The thing is, those 4 games were against some pretty good defensive teams. I wouldn't be surprised at all if they had one of their best offensive games of the season against a Bengals team that just gave up 27 points to a struggling Browns offense. 

As for Cincinnati's offense and how they will manage to score against this Patriots defense. It won't be easy, but the Bengals have looked a lot better on that side of the ball since going back to Andy Dalton. While they only managed 19 points last week against the Browns, they had 451 yards of total offense. If they can just put up like 17-20, which I think is very doable, this thing should fly past the number. 

OVER is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams and 4-1 in the Bengals last 5 at home vs a team with a winning road record. OVER is also 10-1 in Cincinnati's last 11 at home vs elite pass defenses that are giving up 5.2 or less yards per attempt. Take the OVER! 

3* NBA - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on 76ers/Celtics over 210 -110

I like the value here with the OVER at this price. A lot of people are going to be thinking UNDER here with this being a matchup of two of the top teams in the Eastern Conference, especially with how these teams can get after it on defense. 

The thing is, I just don't think these two are going to have enough in the tank to bring their "A" game defensively. Boston just played last night at Indiana in a game that saw 239 combined points. It's also the Celtics 3rd game in 4 days. 76ers had yesterday off, but are playing their 4th game in 6 nights. 

OVER is 25-10 in the Celtics last 35 home games after a combined score of 235 or more. It's also 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two in Boston. Take the OVER! 

3* NHL - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Flames/Coyotes under 5½ -130

I really like the value here with the UNDER 5.5 in tonight's NHL matchup between the Flames and Coyotes. Both teams have winning records overall and come in playing well. Calgary has won 5 in a row and Arizona is 3-1 in their last 4. These are the kind of games teams take their game up a notch. 

While both teams are fully capable of scoring a bunch of goals, I expect these two defenses to win out. Flames have held 6 of their last 7 opponents to 3 or fewer goals and the Coyotes have done the exact same. 

UNDER is 14-4 in Calgary's last 18 road games against a team with a winning record in the 1st half of the season and 10-3 in Coyotes last 13 against good offensive teams that are averaging 29 or more shots and are converting 17% or more. Take the UNDER! 

5* NFL - NFC EAST PLAY OF THE MONTH on Giants/Eagles under 45½ -109

I love the UNDER between the Eagles/Giants on Monday Night Football. I think a lot of people are going to look at this number and think it's way to low given how poorly New York's defense has played and the Eagles coming off a game where they gave up 37 points and over 400 yards of offense to the Dolphins. 

However, I don't see either team going off in this one. Eagles are perceived to be this great offense, but that just hasn't been the case in 2019. Giants are going to show up with one of their best efforts in this one, plus I think the conditions favor a low scoring game with rain expected throughout and winds approaching 15 mph. 

UNDER is 9-2 in the Eagles last 11 games after going OVER the total in their previous game, 13-4 in their last 17 at home with a total of 42.5 to 49 and 16-4 in their last 20 after scoring and allowing 30 points in their last game. Take the UNDER! 

3* NFL - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Ravens/Bills under 44 -105

I don't see either offense being able to do a whole lot in this one. Baltimore's high-powered offensive attack had a difficult time moving the ball against a strong 49ers defense last week and I expect more of the same against a Bills defense that ranks No. 3 in the league in total defense. 

Buffalo's also well aware that their offense is not built for a shootout, so they are going to come out looking to play keep away from Lamar Jackson and try to grind out possessions with their running game. 

Another factor here for a low-scoring game is the conditions. Temps are expected to be in the mid 30's, but it's expected feel more like 25 degrees. There are also expected to be winds close to 17 mph. This should limit both teams ability to throw the ball, which means more clock getting eat up with all the run plays. 

UNDER is 15-6 in the Bills last 21 off a win, 13-5 in their last 18 as an underdog and perfect 7-0 in their last 7 with a total of 42.5 to 49. Take the UNDER! 

4* NHL - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Penguins/Red Wings under 6 +105

I like the value here with the UNDER in Saturday's NHL action between the Penguins and Red Wings. The books have completely missed the mark with this number, as both of these offenses are really struggling to score coming into this game. 

Pittsburgh has scored 3 or fewer goals in each of their last 4 games and their defense comes in having not allowed a goal in two straight games. Detroit has scored a whopping 5 goals in their last 6 games combined. Take the UNDER! 

3* NHL - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Avalanche/Bruins under 6 +100

The UNDER is worth a look here in Saturday's NHL action between the Avalanche and Bruins. Colorado is playing their 3rd straight on the road and the first two games of their trip have been low scoring. They won 3-1 at Toronto and 3-2 at Montreal. 

Expect a similar type of game here against the Bruins. Boston has scored 3 or fewer goals in 5 straight games and have allowed 2 or fewer goals in 7 of their last 9. Bruins did give up 4 in their last game, but history suggests they will return to form, as the UNDER is 22-12 in Boston's last 34 at home after giving up 4 or more goals. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Wizards/Heat under 234 -109

The UNDER is worth a look in Friday's NBA matchup that has division rivals Washington and Miami facing off. The scoring numbers here might suggest this thing going OVER, but I just don't think the pace of play will be at the point needed to eclipse this total. 

Washington is playing in the second leg of a back-to-back set and 3rd in 4 days. They are also primed to come out a little flat after a big upset win over the 76ers last night as a 7.5-point dog. Miami had yesterday off, but will also be playing their 3rd game in 4 days and should give a big effort defensively coming off a 19-point loss at Boston. 

UNDER is 33-16 in the Wizards last 49 off a home win and 31-17 in their last 48 after playing 2 straight games at home. Take the UNDER! 

4* NHL - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Jets/Stars under 5½ -125

I like the value here with the UNDER 5.5 in Thursday's NHL action between the Jets and Stars. UNDER is 34-19 in Winnipeg's last 53 road games after winning 4/5 of their last 6 and 9-2 in their last 11 after playing their previous game at home. 

UNDER is also 30-13 in Dallas' last 43 home games after a game against a division rival, 10-2 in their last 12 off a blowout loss by 3 or more to a division foe and 7-1 in their last 8 at home when playing their 3rd game in 5 days. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Grizzlies/Bulls over 221 -110

I think we are getting some great value here with the OVER in Wednesday's NBA matchup that has the Bulls hosting the Grizzlies. These two teams like to play fast, as the Bulls are T-11th in pace and Memphis is 6th. 

The Grizzlies are without star rookie point guard Joe Morant, but in the last two games without him both matchups saw a combined score of 221 or more. Not only do these two teams like to play fast, they also don't play much defense. Memphis is allowing 117 ppg and the Bulls are giving up 110 ppg. 

Another thing to keep in mind when we have two bad teams facing off against each other, the defensive intensity is usually not there. OVER is 5-1 in the Grizzlies last 6 vs a team with a losing home record and 5-1-1 in the Bulls last 7 vs a team with a losing record. Take the OVER! 

3* NHL - Over/Under DESTROYER on Senators/Canucks under 6½ -115

The UNDER is worth a look in Tuesday's NHL action that has the Canucks hosting the Senators. It's just almost a no-brainer at this point to roll the dice with the UNDER in games involving Ottawa. UNDER is 8-2 in their last 10 and 11-4 in their 15 road games this season. 

It all has to do with their inability to score on a consistent basis and the high level they play at defensively. Senators have scored 2 or fewer goals in 7 of their last 9 games. During this same stretch they have allowed 2 or fewer goals 6 times. Vancouver has allowed 3 or fewer 5 of 6. Take the UNDER! 

3* NHL - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Golden Knights/Rangers over 6 -110

The OVER is the play in Monday's NHL action between the Rangers and Golden Knights. The game is in New York and there's been a lot of high-scoring games when the Rangers play at home, as they average 3.6 goals/game and are allowing 3.1 goals/game on their home ice. 

Vegas comes in having won 2 straight, both by a single goal. OVER is 10-3 in the Knights last 13 when they come in having won 2 straight and 10-2 in their last 12 off back-to-back wins by 1 goal. OVER is also 16-7 in the Rangers last 23 after going UNDER the total in their previous two games. Take the OVER! 

3* NFL - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on 49ers/Ravens over 46 -110

This is a no-brainer for me. This is just too low a total for a game involving Lamar Jackson and this high-powered Ravens offense. Baltimore is averaging 35.1 ppg and I think the perception here is the strong front of the 49ers can make things difficult. I just don't think that will be the case. San Francisco has struggled against mobile quarterbacks and there's not a more elusive signal caller in the game than Jackson. 

On the flip side of this, the 49ers have a much better offense than they get credit for. San Francisco is putting up 30.2 ppg. I know the Ravens defense is coming off two excellent games against the Rams and Texans, but I don't think this defense is elite by any means.

OVER is 12-3 in the 49ers last 15 off 2 straight home wins by 10 or more points and 30-14 in their last 44 on the road after scoring 25 or more in 2 straight. OVER is 13-4 in the Ravens last 17 home games off a game on Monday Night Football. Take the OVER! 

3* NFL - Titans/Colts TOTAL WINNER on Titans/Colts under 43½ -110

I got a strong feeling on both the side and the total in Sunday's huge AFC South matchup between the Colts and Titans. I think we are getting an excellent price here on both Tennessee and the UNDER. 

The Titans have really come on strong in the second half of the season. Tennessee is 4-1 in their last 5. A big reason for their turnaround is the switch from Mariota to Tannehill at QB, as they now have an offense that can compliment their defense. With T.Y. Hilton not able to go for Indy, I just don't see the Colts being able to win this game. 

As for the UNDER, both of these teams want to play ball control with the run game and both defenses are built to stop the run. I just don't think there's going to be enough possessions for this to eclipse the mark. I expect something very similar to the first meeting that ended 19-17 with a combined total of 36. 

Titans are 4-1 ATS last 5 road games vs a team with a winning home record and the UNDER is 14-3 in the Colts last 17 vs a team with a winning record, 15-5 in their last 20 in the 2nd half of the season and 8-1 in the Titans last 9 on the road off a division game. Take the Titans & UNDER! 

3* NBA - Over/Under Total DOMINATOR on Pacers/76ers over 206 -109

The books have completely missed the mark with Saturday's NBA total between the Pacers and 76ers. I get these are two strong defensive teams, but Philadelphia is scoring 108.3 ppg and Indiana is even better at 109.3 ppg. Pacers are also red-hot on the offensive side of the ball right now, as they are scoring 115.6 ppg in their last 5. 

76ers don't figure to be at their best defensively in this one, as they will be playing in the second game of a back-to-back set and this will be their 6th game in the last 9 days. Same thing with the Pacers defense, as Indiana is also in the second game of a back-to-back. 

OVER is 5-1-1 in the Pacers last 7 when playing on 0 days of rest and 4-1 in the 76ers last 5 on no rest. OVER is laos 6-1 in Philadelphia's last 7 when their starters combine for 160 minutes in the previous day and 6-2-1 in Indiana's last 9 when their starters combine for 160 or more minutes the previous day. Take the OVER! 

4* NHL - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Predators/Panthers over 6½ -120

I like the value here with the OVER in Saturday's NHL total between the Panthers and Predators. The OVER is almost a no-brainer at this point in game involving Florida. The OVER is 8-1 in the Panthers last 9 games and the only game that didn't cash had 6 goals coming up just a 0.5 goal shy of the 6.5 total. 

A big reason for all these overs is the Florida defense, which has allowed 4 or more goals in 4 straight and 7 of 9 overall. Nashville has scored 3 or more in 4 straight. OVER is 9-1 in the Panthers 10 homes games this season with a total of 6 or more and 18-3 in their last 21 off a road game where both teams scored at least 3 goals. Take the OVER! 

4* NHL - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Senators/Flames under 6 -105

The UNDER is worth a look in Saturday's NHL matchup between the Flames and Senators. Both of these offenses are struggling to produce. Calgary is averaging just 1.4 goal/game in their last 9 games and Ottawa has scored 2 or fewer goals in 3 straight and 6 of their last 8 overall. 

UNDER is 10-3 in the Senators last 13 games and 8-0-1 in the Flames last 9. UNDER is also 14-5 in Ottawa's last 19 road games when playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set and 10-2 in the Flames last 12 in the month of November. Take the UNDER! 

3* NCAAF - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Vanderbilt/Tennessee over 45½ -110

I really like the value here with the OVER in Saturday's SEC East clash between Vanderbilt and Tennessee. The Commodores are giving up 38.2 ppg and 513 ypg on the road this season and 37.0 ppg and 487.5 ypg in conference play. There's a realistic chance the Vols could eclipse this total on their own. 

However, I don't think they will need to. Tennessee's defense is solid, but Vanderbilt should be able to generate some offense in this one. I think they could easily get to 20-points and that would have us flying past this total. Just last year they hung 38 on the Vols and have scored 28 or more in 4 straight meetings. Take the OVER! 

4* NCAAF - Ohio St/Mich Total NO-BRAINER on Ohio State/Michigan over 50 -110

The OVER is worth a look in Saturday's highly anticipated Big Ten showdown between No. 1 Ohio State and No. 13 Michigan. I think the fact that the Buckeyes are coming off a much lower scoring game than expected against Penn State has created some value here. 

That was the first time this season that Ohio State failed to score at least 34 points and had they not turned it over 3 times they probably would have got there, as they put up over 400 yards of offense against the Nittany Lions. 

Michigan's got a good defense, but they have not been able to slow down Ohio State in recent years. Buckeyes have put up at least 30 on the Wolverines in each of the last 6 meetings, 4 times scoring 42 or more. 

Wolverines offense has improved greatly over the course of the season and I think with them playing at home they can make more than enough plays to push this thing OVER the mark. OVER is 11-3 in the Buckeyes last 14 as a road favorite and 10-2 in Michigan's last 12 at home against a conference rival. Take the OVER! 

4* NBA - Late Night TOTAL BAILOUT  on Wizards/Lakers under 235 -105

UNDER is definitely worth a look in tonight's NBA matchup between the Lakers and Wizards. While LA has seemed to figure out the offense here i n the last couple of weeks, I just feel the number is way too high for the spot. 

I just don't see the Lakers looking to push the pace at all in this one. They just finished up a 4-game road trip that spanned just 6 days and they just last played in New Orleans on Wednesday. If LA wants to play slow, they are good enough to dictate the tempo to their liking. 

Wizards are a team that likes to play fast, but they too figure to be a little slower than normal. Washington is playing it's 3rd straight on the road and this will be their 3rd game in the last 4 days. 

UNDER is 15-5 in Lakers last 20 as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points and 24-9 in their last 33 after scoring 105 or more in 4 straight games. UNDER is also 17-7 in their last 24 at home vs a team with a losing record and 18-5 in their last 23 vs bad defensive teams that are allowing opponents to shoot 46% or better from the field. Take the UNDER! 

3* NCAAF - Late Night Total DESTROYER on South Florida/Central Florida under 63½ -110

I just feel the books have set the total way too high for tonight' AAC action between USF and UCF. You really need to good offensive teams to go over a total like this and I don't think that's the case at all.

The Bulls have done next to nothing offensively when matchup up against the top teams in the American, scoring just 3 against Navy, 7 against Temple, 17 against Cincinnati and 10 against Memphis. Even against a UCF defense that has allowed 29+ in 3 straight games, I think they struggle to get to 20 here. 

The other key here is the Bulls aren't a complete pushover on the defensive side of the ball and we know they are going to give a big effort against their in-state rivals. USF is giving up less than their opponents average on the season and are only allowing 22.7 ppg and 333 ypg on their home field. Take the UNDER! 

5* NCAAB - Vegas No Limit GAME OF THE MONTH on UAB /Kentucky under 130 -110

I love the value here with the UNDER in this one. While UAB has little to no shot of winning this game, I think the Blazers are good enough defensively to hold their own against an injury plagued Kentucky team to keep this UNDER the mark. 

UAB's defense is the main reason they are off to a strong 4-1 start. Blazers only average 64.0 ppg, but are holding teams to just 58.4 ppg. While the strong defensive play has come against some weak competition, they are holding teams a full 8-points under their scoring average. 

Kentucky's defense has been outstanding, as they are allowing just 61.7 ppg and holding teams almost 12 points under their average. I could easily see the Blazers failing to score more than 50 and I just don't see Kentucky's offense going off for 80+ in this one. 

UNDER is 10-2 in UAB's last 12 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games, 10-2 in Kentucky's last 12 non-conference, 8-0 in their last 8 off a win by 20+ and 13-3-1 in their last 17 vs a team from C-USA. Take the UNDER! 

4* NHL - Over/Under Total DOMINATOR on Lightning/Capitals over 6½ -120

I'm confident the Capitals and Lightning will combine for at least 7 goals Friday afternoon. OVER has cashed in each of Tampa Bay's last 3 games and they are a big reason why, as they have scored 18 goals in their last 4 games, and have hit 3 or more in 8 of their last 9. 

Key here is the Lightning also give up their fair share of goals and the Capitals are more than capable of hanging a big number. They just scored 4 in their last game against Florida and are averaging 3.7 goals/game on the season. 

Lightning also tend to see a lot of high scoring games when they are playing on short rest. OVER is 6-0 in their last 6 when playing their 3rd game in 5 days. OVER is also 10-3 in Washington's last 13 after scoring 4 or more. Take the OVER! 

4* NBA - Early Bird Total NO-BRAINER on Celtics/Nets under 216½ -109

I really like the value here with the UNDER 216.5 in Friday's early NBA action between the Celtics and Nets. This is a far cry from what NBA players are use to in terms of start time for a game and I just think when you have games this early, especially on Friday, it's hard for players to get up for the game and play at their normal tempo. 

On top of that, these two teams just played Wednesday night in Boston, so both teams are going to be much better equipped for what the other wants to do offensively. UNDER is 15-5 in the Celtics last 20 division road games and 5-1 in the Nets last 6 overall. Take the UNDER! 

3* NCAAF - Early Bird Total ANNIHILATOR  on Bowling Green/Buffalo under 53 -105

A lot of people are going to look to take the OVER here given that Buffalo just put up 49 last week against Toledo, marking the 3rd time in their last 4 that they scored 40+, and the fact that Bowling Green Gave up 66 at home to Ohio. I just don't see this being that kind of high-scoring affair. 

Not a lot for either team to play for in this one, so don't be surprised if a few backups get a few more reps, especially the younger guys. With the Bulls win over Toledo last week they got their 6th win for bowl eligibility and the Falcons are simply playing for pride at 3-8. 

Another big factor here is both teams really like to run the football. Buffalo is averaging 51 rush attempts/game and Bowling Green runs it 42 times per game. UNDER is also 7-1 in the Falcons last 8 road games and 13-3 in their last 16 overall. Take the UNDER!

3* NFL - Bills/Cowboys Total NO-BRAINER on Bills/Cowboys over 46 -109

Most will look at this matchup and have a hard time seeing these two going OVER the total, but that's exactly what I expect to happen. I think both of these offenses are better than they get credit for.

Cowboys should definitely have a better showing this week than they did last week against the Patriots. Dallas is averaging 30.2 ppg and 476 ypg at home. Key here is they should be able to get the running game going and when Zeke is moving the chains everything seems to click. 

As for the Cowboys defense, it's been pretty good, but it's far from great. Just two weeks ago they gave up 27 points to a Jeff Driskel led Lions offense. Buffalo is averaging 22.4 ppg and a respectable 368 ypg on the road and I think they can easily get to 20 points in this one. 

OVER is a strong 8-2 in the Cowboys last 10 off a loss and 9-4 in their last 13 at home. OVER is also 26-12 in the Bills last 38 after covering the spread in 3 straight games. 

OVER is 73-31 (70%) last 10 seasons when you have a total of 42.5 to 49 with a road team that is outscoring opponents by 4+ points/game and off a game where they gave up 3 or fewer points in the 1st half. Take the OVER! 

3* NBA - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Wizards/Nuggets over 226½ -110

I think we are getting some great value here with the OVER in Tuesday's NBA action between Denver and Washington. The Nuggets have been great defensively over their recent 9-1 stretch, but I just don't think we are going to see a big effort on that side against a bad Wizards team, especially with the holiday's coming up and Denver getting a much-needed 3-day break after this game. 

Washington is also a team that just doesn't play any defense and if Denver gets up big they aren't going to keep trying on the defensive side of the ball. Wizards have allowed 113 or more points in 11 of their last 12 games, giving up 120 or more 7 times in this stretch. Only one of their last 6 games has seen a combined less than 243 points. 

OVER is 20-8 in the Wizards last 28 off a loss, 7-2 in their last 9 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games and 5-1 in their last 5 vs a team from the Western Conference. OVER is also 31-17 in their last 48 with a total set in the 220's. Take the OVER! 

4* NBA - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Kings/Celtics under 208½ -110

I like the value here with the UNDER in Monday's NBA matchup between Boston and Sacramento. These two teams met just 8 days ago in Sacramento and the Kings won that contest 100-99. Both defense played really well in that game and the pace was extremely slow. 

Playing slow is what the Kings want to do, as they 27th in the NBA in pace of play. I like them to dictate the tempo once again, as Boston is likely to be without starting point guard Kemba Walker. They are already down a big offensive weapon in Gordon Hayward and while Marcus Smart is going to play, he's at less than 100%. 

UNDER is 24-12 in Kings last 36 non-conference games, 16-6 in their last 22 vs a team with a winning record and 9-3 in their last 12 on the road. UNDER is also 12-3-1 in Boston's last 16 at home after a road trip of 7 or more days and 5-0 n their last 5 non-conference games. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Magic/Pistons under 206½ -110

Really like the value here with the UNDER in Monday's NBA matchup that has the Magic visiting the Pistons. It's been a struggle on the offensive end for Orlando who are 29th in the league at just 102.1 ppg.

It's not going to get any better in the short-term, as the Magic will be without Aaron Gordon and Nikola Vucevic. Gordon is 4th on the team at 13.1 ppg and Vucevic is second at 17.1 ppg. These are Orlando's two best offensive rebounders. 

Magic also are the league's slowest team in pace of play and will have to rely even more on their defense and slow tempo to have any shot here. Detroit's offense isn't exactly clicking, as they have failed to top 90 in 2 of their last 3. The Pistons also rank in the bottom half of the league (21st) in pace of play. 

UNDER is 13-3 in Orlando's last 16 road games after losing 2 of their last 3 and 29-13 in their last 42 when playing 4 or less games in 10 days. UNDER is 14-3 in Pistons last 17 when playing their 3rd game in 4 days. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA - Over/Under Total DOMINATOR on Mavs/Rockets under 231½ -109

Most are going to look to pound the OVER here, as you got a Mavs team coming off back-to-back 140+ point showings against a Rockets team that can score all kinds of points behind their dynamic duo of Westbrook and Harden. 

I just think it's a lot harder than people realize for these NBA players to get their minds right for these early start times on the weekend, especially Sunday. Add in both of these teams playing on limited rest and I think we get a lot lower scoring game than you would normally get with these two. 

UNDER is a strong 17-7 in the Rockets last 24 games with a total of 230 or more. It's also 35-19 in the Mavs last 54 after 2 straight where they shot 50% or better from the field. Take the UNDER! 

5* NFL - NFC Over/Under TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Seahawks/Eagles under 47½ -110

Absolutely love the value here with the UNDER in Sunday's big NFC matchup between Seattle and Philadelphia. I just think the total here is based too much on how these two defenses played early on and not how they are playing right now. 

Seattle's defense looked as good as they had all season in their last game at San Francisco and I would expect that to carry over here, especially coming off their bye. I also don't think the Eagles offense is anything special. Philly has scored 22 or fewer in 4 of their last 5, including just 10 at home last week against the Patriots. 

Philadelphia defense has finally got healthy and it's shown. The Eagles have held each of their last 3 opponents to 17 or fewer points. They held the Bills to just 243 total yards, then held the Bears to 164 before limiting Tom Brady and the Pats to just 298 last week. 

There's also a good chance for strong winds in this game, which should have both teams running it a little more than they normally would. That should eat up some clock and have this thing well below the number. 

UNDER is 20-8 in Seattle's last 28 after scoring 25 or more in 3 straight games and 7-0 in the Eagles last 7 at home vs a team that's giving up 5.65 or more yards/play. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Blazers/Cavs over 223 -110

Easy play on the OVER in Saturday's NBA slate that has the Cavaliers hosting the Blazers. Defense is not a strength of either of these teams. Cleveland is giving up 112.1 ppg and Portland is allowing 116.7 ppg. Both teams are in much worse form than that of late, as the Cavs are giving up 122.8 ppg in their last 5 and the Blazers are allowing 122.4 ppg in their last 5. 

Blazers are one of the best pick and roll teams in the league and the Cvs are one of the worst defending it. Portland should be able to exploit this in a big way, especially with Damian Lillard expected back in the lineup after missing the Blazers last game. 

I wouldn't be shocked at all to see both teams score into the 120s and this thing fly past the number. OVER is 10-3-1 in Portland's last 14 vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games and 13-3 in the Cavs last 16 off a loss by more than 10. Take the OVER! 

5* NBA - Late Night TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Rockets/Clippers under 228 -109

This number doesn't make any sense to me. I just don't see these two teams coming close to 230 points. Houston is a tired team. They will be playing their 5th game in 7 days. Playing their 4th game in 6 days they managed just 95 points and shot just 42% from the field on Wednesday at Denver. 

Now they face a Clippers team that I believe can be the best in the league when they want to be on the defensive side of the ball. I fully expect a max effort on that side of the ball from LA at home against Harden and Westbrook. They definitely got the guys to slow those two down. 

Houston's offense gets a lot of praise, but they better defensively than they get credit for. Clippers offense only scored 90 on 40% shooting against the Thunder on Monday and then had 107 (in OT) on 42% shooting against the Celtics. 

UNDER is 16-4 in the Rockets last 20 road games as a dog of 6 or less and 19-5 in their last 24 on the road after going under in their previous game. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAAF - Friday Night Total NO-BRAINER on Colorado State/Wyoming over 50½ -109

I think we are getting some great value here with the OVER in Friday's Mountain West clash between Colorado State and Wyoming. I get the Cowboys aren't the most explosive offense and like to play slow, but it's hard to play slow against this horrible Rams defense that is giving up 38.6 ppg on the road and are allowing 228 rushing yards/game and 5.4 yards/carry away from home. 

Key here is Colorado State has a decent offense that can put up points. Rams are averaging 30.6 ppg and their strength is their passing attack, which is averaging 316 yards/game and 8.4 yards/attempt. Wyoming is a solid defensive team, but are built much more to stop the run. 

OVER is 31-7 (82%) since 1992 in games with a total of 49.5 to 56 when you have a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) off a conference loss and facing a team with a marginal losing record. 

4* NBA - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Heat/Bulls under 216½ -105

The UNDER is worth a look here in Friday's NBA matchup between Chicago and Miami. This just feels like to big a number when you got a decent Heat defense that's facing a Bulls offense that is having a miserable time shooting well from the field. Chicago has shot 43% or worse in 4 straight games and will be facing a Heat defense that has only allowed a team to shoot better than 45% once all season. 

Miami has also slowed the pace considerably of late and we have seen the UNDER cash in 7 of their last 10 games. UNDER has cashed in each of the Bulls last two and they are off one of their best defensive showings of the season on Wednesday, as they held the Pistons to just 89 points on 34% shooting. 

UNDER is 8-2 in Miami's last 10 vs a team with a losing record and 27-11-1 in the Bulls last 39 at home vs a team with a winning road record. Take the UNDER! 

3* NHL - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Capitals/Rangers under 6½ +120

The books have set the total too high here for this division matchup. Both the Capitals and Rangers are averaging just 2.7 goals/game in division games this season. 

It's also worth noting that these two played back on Oct. 18 at Washington, which the Capitals won 5-2. UNDER is 12-4 in the Rangers last 16 home games revenging a road loss of 2 or more. 

UNDER is 89-47 (65%) since 1996 when you have a team revenging a loss versus opponent as a favorite, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA - Raptors/Magic TOTAL WINNER on Magic/Raptors under 208 -115

I'm doubling down on tonight's NBA matchup between Orlando and Toronto, as see great value both with the Magic and the UNDER. 

I know Orlando comes in 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS on the road this season, but they just weren't playing well at all to start the year. Magic got the kinks worked out on their recent 5-game homestand. They won each of the last 3 and 4 of 5 overall. I like them to carry over that momentum and not just cover but win this game outright. 

Raptors have been playing without Kyle Lowry and Serge Ibaka and I just think they are starting to show some signs of fatigue. One player that really seems to be effected is Fred VanVleet, who is averaging close to 38 mins/game. He's just 11 for 38 from the field in his last two games. 

As for the UNDER, the Magic like to slow things way down. Orlando is the third slowest team in the league with a pace rating fo 98.6. Toronto starting out playing fast (104.2 pace rating in October), but injuries have forced them slow things down. In the month of November their pace rating is just 101.6. 

Magic are 11-2 ATS last 13 when they come in having won 4 of their last 5 and the UNDER is 14-3 in their last 17 road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days. Take Orlando & UNDER! 

5* NCAAF - Weekday Over/Under TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Akron/Miami-OH under 45 -110

I love the value here with the UNDER 45 in Wednesday's MAC matchup between Miami (OH) and Akron. This has an ugly low-scoring affair written all over it. The Zips are one of the worst teams in college football and are as bad offensively as a team can be in today's game. Akron comes in averaging 10.6 ppg on the season and a mere 7.8 ppg in MAC play. 

Miami is only giving up 16.0 ppg at home and will be extra motivated to play with this being their final home game and senior night. The big concern here would be the RedHawks covering this total on their own, but with the MAC East already locked up, I think we could see Miami go a little more vanilla on offense, especially in the 2nd half. There biggest thing is to stay fresh and as healthy as possible over the final two regular-season games. 

UNDER is 24-11 in Miami's last 35 vs a bad team that's won fewer than 25% of their games and 14-4 in their last 18 vs horrible offensive teams that are averaging 17 or fewer points/game. Take the UNDER! 

4* NHL - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Senators/Red Wings under 6½ -120

No need to overthink this one. The books have simply missed the mark with tonight's high total between Ottawa and Detroit. Both of these teams are bad offensive teams. The Senators come in averaging 2.7 goals/game and the Red Wings are even worse at 2.3 goals/game. 

Both defenses are pretty solid. Ottawa is only giving up 3.3 goals/game and Detroit is allowing just 3.4 goals/game at home and just 2.8 goals/game over their last 5. Each of the Red Wings last two games have seen them fall in OT and the UNDER is 10-1 in Detroit's last 11 at home off 2 straight overtime losses. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Spurs/Mavs under 225 -109

This just feels like way too many points for this matchup. Both of these teams rank in the bottom half of the league in pace of play. I know the Spurs have played some high scoring games of late, but only one time in the Mavs last 6 games have they finished with a combined score of 225 or more. 

Spurs offense is averaging a respectable 112.4 ppg, but a lot of that is them playing a lot of bad defenses. San Antonio's opponents on the season are giving up 111.7 ppg, so they are just barely eclipsing what their opponents allow. 

Another thing to note is that in the last 30 meetings between these two teams, they have not had a game hit 225 points. UNDER is also 27-14 in Dallas' last 41 vs a poor defensive team that is allowing a shooting percentage of 46% or more. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Cavs/Knicks over 208½ -109

I like the value here with the OVER in Monday's NBA matchup of Eastern Conference bottom feeders, as the Knicks will play host to the Cavs. A lot of time when you get two bad teams against one another, you don't see a whole lot of effort on the defensive side and that's what I'm expecting here. 

Cavs defense has been slipping of late, as they have allowed 50% shooting in each of their last two games and 47% or better in 5 of their last 7. Knicks are giving up 109.2 ppg. 

OVER is 5-2 in Cleveland's last 7 games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games and 10-3 in their last 13 off a game where they didn't cover. Take the OVER! 

3* NBA - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Wizards/Magic under 223 -109

UNDER is worth a look here in Sunday's NBA matchup between Orlando and Washington. The Magic are just an ideal UNDER team, as they rank dead last in the league in pace of play (99.7). They are 28th in offensive efficiency (100.9) and 5th in defensive efficiency (100.0). 

UNDER is 8-3-1 in Orlando's last 12 vs a team from the Eastern Conference and a perfect 5-0 in their last 5 vs a bad team like the Wizards that has won less than 40% of their games. 

UNDER is 29-7 (81%) with a total of 220 to 229.5 when you have a road team off a win that's won between 25% to 40% of their games and facing another team with a losing record. Take the UNDER! 

4* NFL - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Patriots/Eagles under 45 -101

I like the value here with the UNDER in Sunday's Super Bowl rematch from two years ago, as the Eagles host the Patriots. I just think this is going to be a defensive struggle. I know New England's defense didn't look great in their last game against the Ravens. Some will say that's because they finally played a legit quarterback. Part of that is true. Lamar Jackson is an absolute nightmare to defend. He's the one guy that can still beat a defense even when they do everything right. 

Not to take anything away from Carson Wentz, but he just doesn't pose the same threat. Add in how motivated New England is going to be coming off that poor showing and that they have had two weeks to prepare off their bye, I expect them to return to that elite form we saw in their first 8 games.

As for the Patriots offense, I think some of the struggles we saw against the Ravens could linger on, especially on the road against a talented defense like the Eagles, which feels like it's getting better as the season progresses. 

Under is 16-5 in New England's last 21 road games when listed as a favorite and a perfect 6-0 in their last 6 off an upset loss as a road favorite. Eagles are also off a bye and the UNDER is 23-10 in their last 33 off a bye. It's also 9-2 in their last 11 at home vs a team with a winning road record. Take the UNDER! 

3* NFL - Over/Under Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Jets/Redskins under 38½ -102

Don't be scared away of the low total here. In fact, I think we are getting some decent value here with the UNDER at this price. The Jets 34-point outburst last week was simply a result of playing an awful Giants defense. The Redskins might be a bad team, but the defense has been more than respectable, especially given how much they are on the field. 

Washington's defense should also have one of it's better performances coming off of their bye and playing at home. Prior to going off against the other New York team, the Jets had topped 20 points just once in their first 8 games. 

Speaking of offenses that can't score. The Redskins have gone 7 straight games with 17 or fewer points and have failed to top 10 points in 5 of those games. It's not going to get any better with Dwayne Haskins at quarterback. He's just not ready, but at this point Washington really has nothing to lose throwing him out there. 

UNDER is 13-3 in the Redskins last 16 home games in the 2nd half of the season vs bad teams that are getting outscored by 6+ points/game. UNDER is also 20-8 in the Jets last 28 on the road in the 2nd half vs team that allow 350+ yards/game. Take the UNDER! 

4* NHL - Red Wings/ Sharks TOTAL WINNER on Red Wings/Sharks over 6½ +100

I look for the Red Wings and Sharks to easily surpass the 6.5 total set by the books on Saturday. San Jose comes into this one on fire offensively. The Sharks have scored 4 or more goals in 4 of their last 5, twice putting up 6 goals. 

While the Red Wings aren't quite scoring at that clip, they are averaging over 3 goals per game in their last 4 and if they can get to 3 this thing easily reaches 7. OVER is 16-6 in the Sharks last 22 off a division road win, 16-7 in their last 23 when they come in having won 3 or more in a row and 15-5 in their last 20 off a win by 2 or more. Take the OVER! 

4* NCAAF - Late Night Total BLOWOUT on New Mexico/Boise State under 60 -110

I think we are getting some great value here with the UNDER in Saturday's MWC game between Boise State and New Mexico. The Lobos are a team that likes to try and run the ball and control the close. They come in averaging 200 yards/game 5 yards/carry on the ground.

The problem is they struggle to score. New Mexico is only averaging 18.6 ppg in MWC play and 13.0 ppg on the road. Not a big surprise then that the UNDER is 4-1 in their 5 road games and 4-1 in their 5 conference games. 

Boise State's offense only put up 20 last week at home against a Wyoming team that likes to play ball control and just 25 a few weeks ago against BYU. Unless the Broncos put up 50 here, I don't see anyway this thing climbs past the number set by the books. 

UNDER is 16-4 in Boise State's last 20 as a home favorite of 21.5 to 28 points and 7-2 in their last 9 conference games. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA - Blazers/Spurs TOTAL WINNER on Blazers/Spurs under 228 -109

I just think the total here has been set way too high for this one. Portland was playing with some decent pace early on, but all the injuries have forced the Blazers to slow things down. Their pace of play rating was a respectable 105.1 in their first 8 games and is just 99.4 over their last 4. It's important to note the dip has come against teams that look to push the pace, which is a good sign the slow play will continue. 

Spurs defense hasn't been great, but their biggest weakness has been protecting the paint. Portland isn't really a team to take advantage of that, as they are 25th in the league in number of attempts per game within the restricted area. Look for this to stay well below the mark. Take the UNDER! 

3* BEST BET on Blackhawks/Predators over 6½ -105

I look for Chicago and Nashville to easy eclipse the total of 6.5 in Saturday's NHL action. These are two offenses that can light up the scoreboard. The Blackhawks have scored 5 goals in 2 straight and 3 of their last 5 overall. 

They almost have to because their defense isn't great. Chicago has allowed 3 or more in 3 straight and 6 of 8 overall. Nashville should be able to take advantage of that soft defense, as they have scored 14 goals in their last 4 games and have seen a combined score of 7 or more in 3 of their last 4. 

OVER is 15-5 in Chicago's last 20 off a road game where both teams scored 3 or more and 8-1 in their last 9 after scoring 4 or more in 2 straight games. Take the OVER! 

4* NCAAF - Over/Under Total HEAVY HITTER on Kentucky/Vanderbilt under 43½ -110

No need to overthink this one. You got two of the worst offenses the SEC has to offer facing off with Kentucky and Vanderbilt. The Wildcats are averaging just 15.3 ppg in SEC play and Vanderbilt is even worse at 13.0 ppg. 

I know the two aren't great defensively, but Kentucky is at least respectable on that side of the ball and Vanderbilt has the benefit of feeding off their home crowd. There was a similar total in last year's meeting at 44.5 and the game ended 14-7. 

UNDER is 13-2 in Kentucky's last 15 conference games and 7-2 in the Commodores last 9. UNDER is also 8-2 in the Wildcats last 10 road games and 6-1 in Vandy's last 7 at home vs a team with a losing road record. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAAF - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Central Michigan/Ball State over 59½ -110

Saturday's big MAC showdown between Ball State and Central Michigan has all the makings of a shootout. Both these teams can light up the scoreboard. The Chippewas are averaging 34.7 ppg in conference play and the Cardinals aren't far behind at 32 ppg. 

Central Michigan has scored 38 or more in 4 of their last 5 games, including 48 last time out against Northern Illinois. They got a shot of adding to that, as Ball State has allowed 35 to Western Michigan and 34 to Ohio in their last 2 games. 

OVER is 14-4 in the Chippewas last 18 road games when they are a dog of 7 points or less and 13-4 in their last 17 after going over in their last game. OVER is also 11-3 in the Cardinals last 14 in the 2nd half of the season and 4-0 in their last 4 at home against a team with a winning road record. Take the OVER! 

3* NBA - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Pistons/Hornets over 219 -109

I look for the Pistons/Hornets to fly past the total set by the books Friday night. These are simply too bad defensive teams. Detroit comes in allowing 112.5 ppg and that jumps up to 115.2 ppg on the road. Charlotte is allowing 113.7 ppg and their defense is even worse at home, where they are allowing 118.0 ppg. 

The Pistons have seen an average score of 223 in their 6 road games this season, while the Hornets are combining for 228.2 ppg on their home floor. Charlotte also really likes to push the pace at home. They also struggle to defend spot up shooting, which is something that Detroit excels at. 

Charlotte has allowed each of their last 3 opponents to shoot 50% or better from the field and the OVER is a dominant 13-3 in their last 16 after 2 such games of bad defense. OVER is also 6-1 in the Pistons last 7 on the road, 8-1 in their last 9 when playing on 2 days of rest and 8-2 off a loss. Take the OVER! 

4* NHL - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Penguins/Devils under 6½ -115

Easy play on the UNDER 6.5 in Friday's NHL showdown between Pittsburgh and New Jersey. The Devils are in a major funk on the offensive side of the puck, as they have scored 2 or fewer in 5 straight games. Penguins are only averaging 2.8 goals/game in their last 5 and 3.3 overall and it won't get any easier for them with Sidney Crosby sidelined. 

Last time out Pittsburgh fell 3-2 at the Rangers and that result puts the UNDER in a very profitable spot. UNDER is 12-4 in the Penguins last 16 road games off a division loss and 11-2 in their last 13 road games off a road loss by 1 goal. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on 76ers/Magic over 204 -110

I think we are getting some decent value here with the total in Wednesday's game that has the 76ers visiting the Magic. I just feel like the number here has been deflated way too much due to Orlando's offensive struggles and the 76ers coming off a game last night at Cleveland that ended with a mere 197 points. 

Thing is I don't think we are going to get a great defensive effort from Philadelphia playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back and 3rd in 4 days. We should also get one of the better offensive performances from the Magic playing at home on a full 2 days of rest. 

OVER is 31-12 in Philadelphia's last 43 road games off a home win by 3-points or less, 14-3 in their last 17 when playing on 0 days rest and 10-4 last 14 vs a team with a losing record. Take the OVER! 

3* NBA - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Knicks/Bulls under 213½ -109

Easy play on the other here as two of the league's worst offensive teams go head-to-head at the United Center. The Knicks rank dead last in offensive efficiency and the Bulls are sitting at 27th. Both teams also rank in the bottom half of the league in pace of play with the Knicks way back there at 28th. 

These two teams already played once this season and combined for just 203 points. Both teams shot under 43% from the field. Expect more of the same tonight. UNDER is 8-2 in New York's 10 games and 12-3 in their last 15 when playing a bad team that's won 25% to 40% of their games. Take the UNDER! 

5* NFL - Seahawks/49ers NFC West TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Seahawks/49ers over 47 -109

I look for these two teams to easily combine for at least 50 points an cover the total set by the books. Everyone likes to talk about the 49ers defense and rightfully so, but SF is averaging an impressive 35.3 ppg. That offense will be without George Kittle tonight, but they are getting back left tackle Joe Staley and fullback Kyle Juszczyk. 

I look for San Francisco to run the ball at will here and that's going to open up the opportunities for some big passing plays. I think the 49ers will easily score 30+ points here against a Seattle defense that has allowed 28 or more in 4 of their last 5. That means all we need is for the Seahawks to score around 18-20 to have us safely over the mark. I'm pretty confident Russell Wilson and that group can give us that. 

OVER is 41-18 in the Seahawks last 59 vs strong defensive teams that are giving up 17 or less points/game and 6-0 in their last 6 vs strong rushing teams that average 4.5+ yards/carry. OVER has also cashed in 4 of San Fran's last 5 division games and 8 out of their last 11 vs a team with a winning record. Take the OVER! 

4* NBA - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Cavs/Knicks under 214 -110

Easy play for me on the UNDER in Sunday's NBA showdown between bottom feeders New York and Cleveland. The Knicks are scoring just 101.2 ppg on the road, while the Cavs are managing a mere 97.3 ppg at home. 

Neither of these teams like to play up-tempo. New York is 28th in pace of play and Cleveland comes in at 23. UNDER is 3-1 in the Knicks 4 road games and a perfect 3-0 in the Cavs 3 home games this season. 

UNDER is also 20-7 in the Knicks last 27 at home with a line of +3 to -3 and 7-3 in the Cavs last 10 vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. Take the UNDER! 

3* NHL - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Devils/Canucks under 6 +105

The books have been set too high for Sunday's NHL total between the Devils and Canucks. This is just too good a price to pass up with how these two offenses are struggling to score. 

Both of these teams come in having scored 2 or fewer goals in each of their last 3 games. Also, these two played once already this season and it ended in a 1-0 win for New Jersey. UNDER is 20-8 in Vancouver's last 28 home games when revenging a same-season loss. Take the UNDER! 

4* NHL - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Wild/Coyotes under 5½ -135

I don't see Arizona and Minnesota combining for 6 or more goals Saturday night. UNDER has cashed in 5 of the last 6 games for the Coyotes, as they continue to struggle to put the puck in the net while making it very difficult on the opposing team to score. Arizona is averaging just 2.9 goals/game at home, while holding opponents to 1.9 goals/game at home. It's also worth noting that the Wild are only averaging 2.1 goals/game on the road this season. 

Arizona lost last time out and that's a plus for the UNDER, as it's 30-14 in the Coyotes last 44 when coming off a loss. UNDER is also 10-2 in the Wild's last 12 on the road after a game where 8 or more goals were scored. Take the UNDER! 

5* NCAAF - MWC Over/Under TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Utah State/Fresno State under 59 -110

I think we are getting big time value here with the UNDER. Fresno State comes in off 3 really high-scoring games, but those were all against horrible defensive teams in Hawaii, Colorado State and UNLV. They also gave up a ton of points in those games. Utah State has scored 14 or fewer in 3 of their last 4. I just don't see anyway these two get into the 60's. 

UNDER is 7-0 in Utah State's last 7 road games on Saturday. It's also 12-4 in Fresno State's last 16 as a favorite and 15-6 in their last 21 conference games. 

UNDER is 43-17 (72%) over the last 10 seasons when you have a strong offensive team (Fresno ST) that averages 390-44 yards/game facing a terrible defensive team (Utah St) that is giving up 440+ yards/game at least 7 games into the season and has allowed 475 or more yards in 3 straight games. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAAF - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Wake Forest/Virginia Tech under 61½ -105

I just think there's some decent value with the UNDER at this price. The Demon Deacons have to be feeling the pressure of what's at stake. A win here and next week's game against Clemson will be for top spot in the Atlantic. 

No way is Virginia Tech not going to put up a fight, especially with the Hokies paying tribute to their great defensive coordinator Bud Foster. The Hokies are going to give every once they have in this one. 

Offensively Va Tech is hoping Hendon Hooker will be back, but with or without him, I think they know their best chance of beating this WF team is to control the ball and not let this get into a shootout. 

UNDER is 6-0 in Wake's last 6 when they come in having won 3 of 4 and 13-4 in the 17 games Justin Fuente has coached against a team that's won more than 75% of their games. Take the UNDER! 

5* NBA - Western Conf TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Blazers/Clippers over 228 -109

I look for the Blazers and Clippers to fly past the total when the two face off in LA tonight. These are two of the most efficient offenses in the league right now. Clippers are No. 3 in offensive efficiency and the Blazers are just two spots back at No. 5. 

On top of that, both of these teams rank in the top half of the league in pace of play and the bottom half of the league in defensive efficiency. I do think the Clippers can be a top tier defensive team if they choose, but I don't see them having the energy on that side tonight playing in the second game of a back-to-back. 

OVER is 30-18 in the Clippers last 48 home games and 11-2 in their last 13 at home if they are playing their 3rd straight at home. Take the OVER! 

4* NBA - Late Night Total HEAVY HITTER on 76ers/Jazz over 210½ -105

I look for the Jazz and 76ers to fly past the total tonight. The UNDER is 7-0 in Utah's first 7 games. I think the books have over-adjusted the number here, creating value on the OVER. This is the lowest total of the season for the Jazz and it's not like they are facing an offense that can't score. 

Philadelphia is averaging 114 ppg and have played 3 times without their best player in Embiid. While the 76ers offense has traveled well (115.0 ppg on the road), the defense has not. Philadelphia is giving up 114 ppg and allowing teams to shoot 52% from the field on the road, including 44% from deep. Both teams will hit at least 105 in this one. Take the OVER! 

4* NBA - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Bulls/Hawks over 219 -110

I'm confident the Bulls/Hawks will fly over the total Wednesday night in Atlanta. With both teams off big games Tuesday night, I just don't see the defensive effort being there for either side. Bulls were in a heated contest against the Lakers at home and the Hawks pulled out a late rally to upset the Spurs. 

OVER has cashed in 3 of the last 4 games for the Bulls. I know the UNDER is a perfect 6-0 in Atlanta's 6 games, but they played several games without their best player in Trae Young. He returned against SA and scored 28 points in the 2nd half after a slow start. Hawks defense took a huge hit with John Collins getting handed a 25-game suspension, so Atlanta will have to rely on the offense even more. 

OVER is 7-3-1 in Chicago's last 11 off a SU loss and 4-1 in Atlanta's last 5 at home vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. Take the OVER! 

4* NHL - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Blackhawks/Sharks under 6½ +105

I think the books have set the bar way too high for Tuesday's NHL action between Chicago and San Jose. Most will focus on the amount of goals these two teams are allowing, especially the Sharks, who have given up 4 or more in 6 of their last 8. 

The thing is these are two struggling offenses. Chicago has scored 3 or fewer in 10 of their last 11 games and the Sharks have scored 2 or fewer in 5 straight. UNDER is 5-0 in the Blackhawks last 5 when playing their 3rd game in 5 days and 5-0 in their last 5 when revening a loss where they gave up 4 or more. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Magic/Thunder under 204 -110

Don't be fooled into taking the OVER with this low total in tonight's NBA action between the Thunder and Magic. I actually think there's value with the UNDER in this one. Both of these teams are strong defensively. OKC is tied for 3rd in defensive efficiency and Orlando is right on their heels at No. 5. 

Not only that, both teams are struggling on the other side of the ball. Magic are dead last in the league in offensive efficiency and the Thunder aren't to far back at 26th. Orlando also plays at the second slowest pace in the league. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA - Late Night Total ANNIHILATOR on Blazers/Warriors under 224 -109

The Warriors are a complete mess right now. They won't have Steph Curry for months because of a broken hand. Draymond Green is out at the moment with a torn ligament in this finger and D'Angelo Russell is questionable with an ankle injury. Without these 3 in the lineup, they scored just 87 points in a 6-point home loss to the Hornets. 

The only way Golden State even has a chance to be competitive without Curry and Green is to slow the game way down and play hard defensively, which is what I'm expecting here agianst the Blazers. Even if they can't keep Portland in check, this should turn into a blowout and still stay under the high total set by the books. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Pistons/Wizards over 224½ -109

I look for Detroit and Washington to have zero problem eclipsing the total Monday night. The Wizards haven't exactly been playing a lot of defense. In Washington's last 3 games they have allowed 124 to the Spurs, 159 to the Rockets and 131 to the T-Wolves (without KAT). All of those saw a combined score of 140 or more. 

Pistons aren't a great offensive team, but they are scoring 112.7 ppg on the road and giving up 115.7 ppg on the road. Wizards are averaging 133.5 ppg on their home floor. OVER is 30-15 in Washington's last 45 with a total of 220 to 229.5 and 25-10 at home the last two seasons with a total of 220 or more. Take the OVER! 

3* NBA Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Lakers/Spurs over 217½ -109

I think this is an easy play on the OVER. Lakers offense has been clicking lately and it figures to only get better the more chemistry LeBron and AD form. Not to mention they have recently just got back a big time scorer in Kyle Kuzma. Lakers have scored 119 or more in each of their last 3 games. 

I could easily see them getting to that points, but all we need is for both teams to get to 109 and we can't lose. Spurs have scored 113 or more in 4 of 5 games and are averaging 119 on the road. OVER is 6-0 in Spurs last 6 at home and 10-3 in the Lakers last 13 vs a team with a winning record. Take the OVER! 

3* NHL - Over/Under Total DESTROYER  on Devils/Hurricanes over 6 -115

Easy play here on the OVER 6 in Saturday's NHL matchup between the Devils and Hurricanes. Last time out the Hurricanes put up 7 goals in a win over Detroit and has now seen the OVER cash in 4 of their last 6. 

New Jersey has played 3 straight with a combined score of 7 or more. Over has cashed in all 3 of those and is 5-1 in their last 6 overall. OVER is also a strong 40-19 in the Devils last 59 against teams like the Hurricanes who are scoring on 17.5% or more of their power play chances. Take the OVER! 

4* NHL - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Sabres/Capitals over 6 -115

Easy play on the OVER in Friday's NHL matchup with the Capitals and Sabres. OVER is on a ridiculous 10-4 run to start the season in Washington's games and the OVER is a perfect 8-0 in the Capitals' last 8 games. 

Each of Washington's last 7 games have seen at least 7 goals. Capitals have scored at least 3 goals in 11 straight and have allowed 3 or more 9 times during this stretch. OVER is 27-13 in the Sabres last 40 off a loss by 1 goal or less, 26-12 in their last 38 on the road vs a team with a winning record and 30-19 last 49 vs a team that's allowing 3 or more goals/game. Take the OVER! 

3* NBA - Late Night Total ANNIHILATOR on Clippers/Jazz over 215 -109

I'm not expecting this thing to get into the 230's or anything, but I see a ton of value with the total at this price. Utah is averaging 106.5 ppg at home and will be facing a Clippers defense that is giving up 126.0 ppg on the road. 

While Utah has an elite defense that is allowing just 91.5 ppg, it's hard to see them holding this Clippers team under 100, as LA is averaging 121.5 ppg. 

Not to mention the books are begging for UNDER money with this total, as the public will be much more inclined to take the UNDER seeing that the Jazz haven't played a game all season where the two teams combined for more than 200 points. Take the OVER! 

3* NBA - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Warriors/Pelicans over 235 -109

Don't be afraid of the big number here. These two should easily eclipse this total. Each of the Pelicans first 3 games have seen a combined score of 139 or more. Both teams also love to push the pace. New Orleans is currently No. 6 and the Warriors are No. 9. Both are also struggling defensively. Golden State ranks dead last in defensive efficiency and the Pelicans come in at 25th. 

OVER is 21-8 in the Pelicans last 29 after 2 straight losses and the average score in this spot has been 138.1. Take the OVER! 

3* NHL Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Sharks/Senators under 6½ +104

I believe the books have set the total way too high for tonight's NHL action that has the Senators hosting the Sharks. Ottawa is not a great offensive team. They have scored 2 or fewer goals in 5 of their last 6 games.

San Jose's offense is a little better, but it's far from great. Sharks have eclipsed 3 goals just 3 times in 11 games. I just think it will take a lot to go right for these two bad offenses to combine for 7+ goals. Take the UNDER! 

3* NFL - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Bengals/Rams under 48 -110

I look for the Bengals and Rams to stay UNDER the mark set by the books in Sunday's action at Wembley Stadium in London. For two teams to combine for a total this high, you need production from both offenses. 

I don't think we are going to get that. Cincinnati's offense has scored 17 or fewer in 5 of their last 6 games and a big reason for those offensive struggles is they can't run the ball. Bengals are dead last in the NFL, averaging a mere 53.1 ypg on the ground. 

A lot of people questioned the Rams moves to send Peters away and bring in Jalen Ramsey. Hard to argue with the results in their first game with Ramsey, as they held the Falcons to just 10 points and 224 total yards. 

Another key factor here that should help both defenses is the familiarity with the offensive schemes, as Bengals new head coach Zac Taylor came over from LA and is trying to run the same schemes he learned under McVay. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA - Late Night Total KNOCKOUT on Clippers/Suns under 228 -110

I think these two teams will fly past the total Saturday night. The rest of the league has to be a bit worried with what they are seeing from the Clippers, as they look every bit as good as we thought they we would Khawi and they are going to be adding Paul George to the mix here shortly. 

Clippers have featured the most efficient offense in the league at 123.6 points per 100 possessions. The next best is the hawks at 116.7. The defense was great the first two games, but one was against a Lakers team that is the slowest pace team in the league and the other against a Warriors team that looks to be in big trouble with their lack of scoring options. 

I don't think the Clippers will bring that same intensity on defense against the Suns on the road and I wouldn't be surprised at all if both teams score into the 120's. Take the OVER! 

5* NBA - Western Conf TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Blazers/Kings over 225 -110

I look for the Blazers and Kings to fly past the total tonight. Sacramento let the Suns of all teams shoot 50% from the field in their season opener. That says a lot about this team and the effort they will be giving on the defensive side of the ball. 

The offense did manage just 95 points on 39% shooting, but I would expect a much better showing from the offense at home. Blazers also due for a much better shooting night after connecting on just 41% against a really good Denver team. 

OVER is 18-7-1 last 26 Blazers games after they failed to cover the spread and 8-1-1 in their last 10 vs a team with losing record at or below 40%. Take the OVER! 

4* NHL - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Sabres/Rangers over 6 -113

I'm taking the OVER 6 tonight in the NHL matchup between the Sabres and Rangers. Buffalo comes in having scored 3 or more goals in 9 of their first 10 games. New York has allowed 3 or more goals in 6 of their first 7. 

Wouldn't shock me at all if the Sabres put up 6 on their own in this one. With that said, I do think we get at least a few goals from the Rangers at home. 

OVER is 30-18 in Buffalo's last 48 after going OVER the total in their previous game. OVER is also 16-4 in Rangers last 20 at home after scoring 2 goals or less in 5 straight games. Take the OVER! 

5* NBA - Late Night TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Nuggets/Blazers under 218 -109

You will hear a lot about the offensive playmakers on both sides of the ball in this game, but I think we are going to see the two defenses shine. This season opener means a little more, especially to the Nuggets, as the Blazers knocked them out of the playoffs last year. 

I also think Portland is still a team playing with a chip on their shoulder, as they just continue to not get the respect they feel they deserve. This team just went to the Western Conference Finals and yet no one is picking them as a title contender. I expect as close to a playoff-like atmosphere as you can expect this early in the season. I also think we are getting a few points of value here with the books inflating the total in a nationally televised game. Take the UNDER! 

4* NHL - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Penguins/Lightning under 6½ +104

Love the value here with the high total in tonight's NHL matchup between Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay. I still think we are seeing an inflated total with the Penguins from them scoring 23 goals in a 5-game winning streak. 

That offense has come and gone. Pittsburgh has managed just 2 goals in back-to-back losses and will be facing a stingy and motivated Lightning defense that just allowed a season-high 6 goals. Penguins not only are struggling offensively, but they have allowed 3 or fewer in 4 of their last 5. 

UNDER is 10-3 in the Penguins last 13 road games after scoring 2 goals or less in 2 straight games. Take UNDER!