Sports Picks & Predictions

4* NHL - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Penguins/Lightning under 6½ +104

Love the value here with the high total in tonight's NHL matchup between Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay. I still think we are seeing an inflated total with the Penguins from them scoring 23 goals in a 5-game winning streak. 

That offense has come and gone. Pittsburgh has managed just 2 goals in back-to-back losses and will be facing a stingy and motivated Lightning defense that just allowed a season-high 6 goals. Penguins not only are struggling offensively, but they have allowed 3 or fewer in 4 of their last 5. 

UNDER is 10-3 in the Penguins last 13 road games after scoring 2 goals or less in 2 straight games. Take UNDER! 

5* NBA - Opening Night GAME OF THE YEAR  on Lakers/Clippers under 226½ -110

I think the books have completely missed the mark with the total in tonight's highly anticipated season opener between the Clippers and Lakers. I think we are seeing a high number because the Lakers brought in AD and the Clippers added Kawhi and George. However, George is not ready to play and Lakers will be without Kuzma. 

You got two of the very best defensive players on the same team in Leonard and Patrick Peverley. Lakers got LeBron and AD and a bunch of guys that can play defense in Rondo, Howard, Bradley Green, etc. 

I'm expecting playoff like intensity from both teams in this game and a bit of a slower pace. Total should be closer to 215 than 225. Take the UNDER! 

4* NHL - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Golden Knights/Blackhawks under 6½ -105

The UNDER is definitely worth a look in tonight's NHL matchup that has the Blackhawks hosting the Golden Knights. Chicago has scored 3 or fewer goals in all but one game and will be facing a Vegas defense that has allowed 2 or fewer in 4 of their last 6. 

Also don't see a lot of offense out of the Knights, who have scored 3 or fewer in each of their last 4. Vegas will also be looking to play at a slower pace in the second game of a back-to-back road set and 3rd in 4 nights. 

UNDER is 27-16 in Vegas' last 43 road games when playing their 4th game in 7 days. UNDER is also 29-8 (78%) in all NHL games since 1996 when you got a total of 6 or more where the road team is outscoring opponents by 0.5 goals/game and are off a blowout loss by 4 or more. Take the UNDER! 

3* NHL - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Coyotes/Rangers under 6 -109

I just don't see these two teams reaching 7 goals. Arizona has one of the best defenses in the league. They have held 6 of their first 7 opponents to 2 goals or fewer. Rangers haven't scored more than 2 in 4 straight. 

Key here is that New York won't let the Coyotes go off at home. Arizona's offense hasn't been nearly as potent on the road. UNDER is 50-35 in the Coyotes last 85 road games and 20-11 in the Rangers last 31 at home with a total of 6 or more. Take the UNDER! 

3* NFL - Eagles/Cowboys SNF HEAVY HITTER on Eagles/Cowboys under 50 -110

We are getting great value on the UNDER as the books always inflate the number on the total in these prime time games. You also got two division rivals that are very familiar with one another. Last 5 games in the series have all finished with fewer than 50 points in regulation. 

Cowboys offense has hit a road block as they have taken a step up in competition and I just don't see them doing a lot against that talented Eagles front that is outstanding against the run. Key here is that Dallas is a pretty good defensive team. They are in the top half of the league against both the run and the pass. Take UNDER! 

4* NFL - AFC Over/Under TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Jaguars/Bengals under 44½ -110

I don't see these two teams coming close to the total posted by the books. As much as we keep hearing about Minshew Mania you would think the Jags are scoring 30+ points/game. Their season high for a game is 23 and that was against the Cardinals. 

I know the Bengals defense isn't great, but they are at home and I think this team truly wants to win a game unlike some other tanking teams. They have come close. Cincinnati is 0-6 with 4 loss by less than a touchdown. I think they keep the Jags in check and at the same time the Jacksonville defense should have no problem keeping the Bengals in check. 

UNDER is 8-1 in the Jags last 9 off an upset loss as a favorite and 10-1 in their last 11 after failing to cover 2 of the last 3. UNDER is also a perfect 7-0 in their last 7 vs awful defensive teams that are giving up 6 or more yards/play. Take the UNDER 44.5! 

3* NCAAF - Late Night TOTAL BAILOUT on Air Force/Hawaii over 65½ -120

Easy play on the OVER 65.5 in Saturday's late night action with Hawaii hosting Air Force. Hawaii features a potent offense that averages 37.0 ppg and 473 ypg. They have scored 31 or more in every game but one and that was a road game at Washington. 

Air Force has allowed no fewer than 23 in any game this season vs a FBS opponent. I don't see the Falcons ending that streak in this one. In fact, I think both teams easily eclipse the 30-point mark. 

OVER is 38-19 in Air Force's last 57 road games after a cover and 8-1 in their last 9 road games if the last one was against a conference foe. OVER is also 19-8 in Hawaii's last 27 as a home dog of 7 or less and 14-4 i their last 18 at home after a 2-game road trip. Take the OVER! 

3* NCAAF - C Carolina/G Southern Side/Total Parlay on Georgia Southern -6½ & UNDER 45½

I like both the side and total in Saturday's Sun Belt showdown between Coastal Carolina and Georgia Southern. Last time out the Eagles held South Alabama to just 17 points and I don't see them allowing much in this one. 

Coastal Carolina just gave up 350 yards rushing last time out to Georgia State. All Georgia Southern wants to do is run the ball with that option attack. These option teams are not fun to face and I just think the Chanticleers are going to want nothing to do with being cut block all game. 

Coastal Carolina is just 3-7 ATS last 10 games and have failed to cover 6 straight conference games. Eagles are 7-3 ATS last 10 at home. UNDER is 5-2 in Chanticleers last 7 off a loss and 12-4 in Georgia Southern's last 16 after giving up 20+ points. Take Georgia Southern & UNDER! 

4* NCAAF - Over/Under TOTAL NO-BRAINER on New Mexico/Wyoming under 49½ -110

I see a ton of value here with the total in Saturday's MWC action between New Mexico and Wyoming. I just don't see these two sniffing 50 points. The only FBS team that the Lobos have scored more than 21 against is an awful New Mexico State team and it's not like the other have been against stiff competition. 

UNDER has cashed in each the last 3 games for New Mexico and is 7-3 in their last 10 road games vs a team with a winning record. I just don't see this team being able to do much at all. 

On the flip side, Wyoming's offense is also limited. They have scored 23 or fewer in 4 of their last 5. UNDER is 11-5 in the Cowboys last 16 conference games, 7-3 in their last 10 vs a team with a losing record and 10-3-1 in their last 14 off a loss. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAAF - Power 5 TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Oregon State/California under 52½ -109

I think because Oregon State is so bad defensively, people just assume even a limited offense like Cal will be able to score at will. The Golden Bears only scored 27 at home against Cal Davis and 23 at home to a North Texas team that allowed 46 to Houston (after King red-shirted) and 45 to Southern Miss. 

It's just not Cal's style of play. They are going to grind out the game regardless of who they are playing. They should have no problem doing that against the Beavers on Saturday. 

UNDER is 5-1 in Cal's 6 games this season and 22-8 in their 30 games played with Justin Wilcox as head coach. UNDER is 6-0 in their last 6 off a conference loss and 10-1 in their last 11 conference games. Take UNDER! 

5* NFL - Non-Conf TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Redskins/Dolphins under 42 -104

I love the UNDER in Week 6's matchup between two of the worst teams in the league. You got the 0-5 Redskins facing off against the 0-4 Dolphins. While both of these defenses have given up a lot of points, these are two horrible offensive teams. 

Miami comes in averaging 6.5 ppg and 225 ypg. The Redskins aren't that much better at 14.6 ppg and 281 ypg. Key here is I think we get a big effort here defensively from both teams as both know this is going to be one of their rare opportunities for a win in 2019. I also think we get a big effort from the Dolphins coming off a bye and Washington should play harder than normal after watching their head coach get fired. 

UNDER is 31-16 in the Redskins last 47 games off a road loss by 10 or more and 8-1 in their last 9 when off a loss of 14 or more. UNDER is also a perfect 7-0 in the Dolphins last 7 off a loss by 14 or more. Take the UNDER! 

3* NCAAF - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Georgia Tech/Duke under 49½ -110

UNDER is worth a look in Saturday's ACC matchup between Duke and Georgia Tech. For starters, the Yellow Jackets are atrocious on the offensive side of the ball. They are averaging a mere 15.2 ppg and 296 ypg. Last time they were on the road they scored just 2 points at Temple. 

Prior to giving up 33 to Pitt, Duke had held their previous 3 opponents under 20 points. It will be a struggle here for the Yellow Jackets just to get to 14 points. Duke's averaging 32.8 ppg, but I see them being up early and just eating up the clock with the run game. They got much bigger games on deck against Virginia and North Carolina. 

UNDER is 15-5 in the 20 games under head coach David Cutcliffe where his team is coming off an upset loss as a home favorite. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAAF - Over/Under TOTAL PLAY OF THE WEEK on Miss State/Tennessee under 53 -102

All you need to know that there's value with the UNDER at this price is the fact that the UNDER is 14-4 in Mississippi State's last 18 conference games and the average combined score in these matchups is a mere 43.9 points. 

There's plenty of reason to believe these two will keep that trend rolling. In the Vols last two games they have scored a mere 14 points against Georgia and 3 against Florida. I know last time out the Bulldogs gave up 56 to Auburn, but they held Kentucky to just 13 the game before. Mississippi State is also coming off a bye, so they are going to be 100% locked into what the Vols are doing. 

Tennessee's defense has given up a lot of points the last two games, but Mississippi State is not a great offensive team. They don't have much of a passing game and Tennessee's defense is much better against the run than they are the pass. 

UNDER is also 21-7 in Bulldogs last 28 off a game where 70 or more total points were scored, 8-0 in their last 8 after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 and 6-0 in their last 6 games played in October. Take the UNDER! 

5* NCAAF - WEEKNIGHT TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Virginia/Miami-FL under 43½ -110

I don't expect to see a whole lot of offense in this game. Don't be fooled by Miami's last game against Va Tech where they saw 82 combined points in a 42-35 upset win by the Hokies. Hurricanes had 5 turnovers in the first half and trailed 28-7. They had no choice but to turn it into a track meet. 

Manny Diaz was not happy with the defensive showing and he's taking more control of that side of the ball. Virginia's offense is not great. They want to beat you with ball control and strong defense. Last year's final between these two was 16-13 and that was with a total of 47. I also think this being a weekday prime time game at home will add some life to that Miami defense. 

Hurricanes offense should be better with Perry, but it's also limited. They don't have much of a running game, so it's not going to be easy against this stingy Cavaliers defense. I wouldn't be shocked at all if both teams failed to reach 20 points. 

UNDER is 20-9 in the Hurricanes last 29 overall, 14-5 in their last 19 vs a conference opponent and 15-2 in their last 17 after playing their previous game against a conference opponent. Take the UNDER! 

4* WNBA - Finals Game 5 VEGAS INSIDER on Sun/Mystics under 175½ -110

I see a ton of value here with the UNDER in the winner-take-all Game 5 of the 2019 WNBA Finals. I know the OVER is 3-0-1 in the series to this point, but there's just a different atmosphere that comes in this spot.

Not only are both teams going to lay everything they got on the defensive side of the ball, both teams are dealing with fatigue at this point in the series and you can't discount the pressure that is on the players in a game of this magnitude. 

UNDER is 15-5 in the Sun last 20 after allowing the opponent to shoot 42% or better in each of their last 3. It's also 19-9 in their last 28 when listed as an underdog. Take the UNDER! 

3* NFL -Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR  on Packers/Cowboys under 47 -110

Forget who will cover the spread, there's huge value with the UNDER in Sunday's NFC matchup between the Cowboys and Packers. 

Don't let the poor showing by Green Bay's defense in that Thursday Night Football loss to the Eagles. Just about every team struggles defensively when playing on just 3 days of rest. Prior to that this team had been outstanding on defense, holding each of their first 3 opponents to 16 or fewer points. 

Cowboys offense looked great in their first 3 games, scoring 30+, but then managed just 10 points at New Orleans last week. I think the Dallas offense was a bit of fools gold, as they had played 3 really bad defensive teams in the Giants, Redskins and Eagles. I think they have a tough time moving the ball in this game. 

Packers got Aaron Rodgers, but they have not looked great offensively early on. The only real positive was that TNF game against the Eagles, and it's even harder on the road team's defense in those weekday matchups. Cowboys defense has been rock-solid all season long. Take the UNDER! 

3* NFL - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Bucs/Saints under 47 -110

The books have completely missed the mark here with the total. This is a different Saints team right now with Teddy Bridgewater at quarterback. They got to rely a lot more on the defense and hope the offense can do enough to win. Without the explosive plays on offense, there's just fewer possessions for scoring. 

Big key here is that New Orleans has the defense to carry the load, especially at home where they can feed off of that rowdy crowd. We are simply seeing a high number here because Tampa is off a game against the Rams where they put up 55 and allowed 40. Saints don't have anything close to the offense of LA and are a much stronger defensive team. 

UNDER is 13-4 in the Bucs last 17 off a upset win as a dog by 14 or more points and 4-1 in their last 5 after giving up 30 or more. UNDER is also 7-2 in the Saints last 9 off a SU win and 9-2 in their last 11 vs another team from the NFC. Take the UNDER! 

5* NFL - Monday Night Football TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Bengals/Steelers over 43½ -110

Big time value here with the OVER at this price. While there's some big names missing on the offensive side of the ball for both teams, there's more than enough talent to score on the two defenses that will be playing. 

Steelers are giving up 28.3 ppg and have struggled against both the run and the pass. Teams are averaging 139 ypg on the ground and 303 through the air with 8.7 yards/completion. Bengals are allowing 27.7 ppg. They are giving up 169 rushing yards/game and while they are only giving up 238 ypg thru the air, they too are allowing 8.7 yards/completion. Teams are averaging 6.4 yards/play against the Steelers and 6.6 yards/play against the Bengals. 

OVER is 12-4 in the Steelers last 16 home games and 7-2-1 in the Bengals last 10 vs a division opponent. Take the OVER! 

4* NFL - Bears/Redskins MNF Total NO-BRAINER on Bears/Redskins over 41 -105

Love the value here with the OVER between the Bears/Redskins on Monday Night Football. This might seem like a solid number given how bad Chicago's offense has looked in the first two games, but I think we are going to see the Bears put up a big number here. 

Chicago has played a couple of solid defenses the first two weeks and now get a much easier opponent in the Redskins. Washington is giving up over 30 points/game and the key stat for me is the run defense. Redskins are allowing 168 ypg and 5.2 yards/carry on the ground. I think getting that running game going will really open up some big plays in the air. 

Redskins saw a combined 59 points with a total of just 44 in Week 1 at Philadelphia and 52 with a total of 46 in last week's loss at home to the Cowboys. OVER is 13-4 in the Bears last 17 road games vs a team with a losing home record and 4-1 in Washington's last 5 games at home. Take the OVER! 

4* NFL - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER under 44½ -110

I think we are getting some value here with the UNDER in Sunday's AFC matchup between the Bills and Bengals. Buffalo is a team that likes to win ugly. They want to wear you down with the run game and let their defense do the talking. Given how limited the offense is and how good the defense is, it's the perfect type of team for UNDERs. 

Bengals offense has not exactly looked great. Andy Dalton threw for almost 400 yards at Seattle and yet they only could manage 20 points. Last week they had almost 300 in the air and finished with 17. They have no rushing attack. They got 59 yards rushing in two games combined. 

Bills had the No. 1 ranked pass defense last year and are giving up just 198 ypg and 4.6 yards/pass attempt. I know the competition hasn't been great (Jets & Giants), but I think we can trust they are going to be good on that side again. 

Bengals defense isn't great, but it's a lot better than it was last week against the 49ers and definitely capable of keeping Buffalo from going off. Take the UNDER! 

3* NCAAF - Tulsa/Wyoming Total DOMINATOR on Wyoming/Tulsa under 45 -110

I'm dialed in on this Saturday's matchup with Tulsa and Wyoming. I not only like the Golden Hurricane, but I see a ton of value here with the UNDER as well. 

Tulsa's only two losses on the season are to Michigan State by 21 on the road and by 19 at home to Oklahoma State. While the final score against the Cowboys ended up being 40-19, they had a 21-20 lead at the half and were down by just 12 with less than 5 minutes to play in the 4th quarter. 

They gave up 506 yards to OKlahoma State, but a bunch of that was on big plays. Cowboys had a 75-yard TD run and 90-yard TD pass. Given how good Oklahoma State has looked, I thought for the most part that defense played well. Keep in mind this is a Tulsa defense that returned 8 starters from a unit that went from giving up 37.5 ppg in 2017 to only allowing 29.6 ppg. 

I think that defense will have no problem keeping Wyoming's offense in check. They only scored 23 in a 9-point win over a bad Texas State team and 7 of those came on a 72-yard pick six with them down 14-13 in the 3rd quarter. They followed that up with just 21 in a mere 5-point win over Idaho and were only up 14-13 before a 80-yard TD run in the 4th (only pts 2nd half). 

Easy for Tulsa to win by 3, but I also think the Wyoming's defense is good enough to keep the Golden Hurricane from putting up a ton of points. I see this something like 27-10 in favor of the home team. Take Tulsa & UNDER! 

4* NCAAF - Houston/Tulane Total NO-BRAINER on Under 57.5

I really like the value here with the UNDER in tonight's American Athletic showdown between Houston and Tulane. I think the number here is a lot higher than it should be because of how poor the Cougars defense has looked thru the first 3 weeks of the season. 

Houston is giving up 32.3 ppg and 506 ypg, but that's because they played two of the best offenses in the country in Oklahoma and Washington State. Defense actually played well for a good portion of that game last week against the Cougars. 

Tulane is not a team that looks to put a ton of points on the scoreboard. Green Wave are built around running the football and stopping the run. Tulane is putting up 5.9 yards/carry on the ground and giving up just 3.0 ypg. They are the ideal team for a low-scoring game, as they will limit the number of possessions with all the clock they eat up. 

Last year the Cougars defense wasn't great and they held Tulane to just 17 points. Houston had 48 in that one and the game still stayed under the total of 68. Last time they played in Tulane the two combined for only 37. 

UNDER is 44-16 (73%) in the first month of the season when you have a total of 56.5 to 63 with a team (Houston) that has lost 2 of their first 3 games. Take the UNDER! 

3* NFL - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Cardinals/Ravens under 47 -115

I really like the value here with the UNDER in Sunday's Week 2 NFL action between Arizona and Baltimore. I just think the total here is way too high. I get the Ravens offense looked unbelievable in Week 1, but I think that more of who they played than who they are. 

Miami is a mess right now and it feels like management wants to lose right now and increase their chances of getting a QB with a top pick in next year's draft. I think it's the right move to make if you don't have that position solidified. The problem is the players aren't a fan. They want to win. The Dolphins players were really upset about them trading Tunsil prior to Week 1. I think their lack of effort is why Baltimore looked so good. 

Arizona's defense is going to put up a much bigger fight here. No one player will be more motivated for this one than Cardinals new linebacker Terrell Suggs, who made his name with Baltimore. I also think we see the Ravens run the ball a lot more this week, which will eat up the clock and limit the number of possessions. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAAF - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Western Kentucky/Louisville under 51½ -110

I think we are getting some great value here with the UNDER. I think when most people think of WKU and Louisville they think of high-scoring offenses and sub-par defenses. That's just not how these two teams are anymore. 

Scott Satterfield is the new head coach at Louisville coming over from App State. I know they gave up 35 to Notre Dame, but the defense had their moments and that's a good ND offense with a top tier QB. Last week they pitched a shutout at Eastern Kentucky, giving up just 172 total yards. 

Tyson Helton is the new HC at Western Kentucky and he's the brother of USC head coach Clay Helton. Hilltoppers held FIU to just 14 points and 217 total yards on the road last week. 

These two teams also combined for just 37 points last year with a total of 54. I see this being a very similar type of game. 

Great system in play here. Non-conference games played at a neutral site with a total of 49.5 to 56 with two teams who are strong defensively (allowing 280 to 330 yards/game) have gone UNDER the total 38 out of the last 46 (83%). This system dates back to 1992, so it's no fluke. Take the UNDER!

4* NCAAF - Friday Night Total NO-BRAINER on Wake Forest/Rice under 59 -105

The books have set the total way too high for Friday's showdown between Rice and Wake Forest. While the Demon Deacons just played in a shootout last week against Utah State, the Owls lost 14-7 at Army, coming no where close to the total of 46.5. 

I don't think Rice is getting enough credit for what they did on the road against Army last week. While Army had 231 rushing yards, they needed 56 attempts to get there. Now they head home for a pretty big home game, as this is one of just two FBS matchups on the board tonight. I look for the defense to feed off the home crowd. 

I could see Rice scoring more than 7-points this week, but I don't think they are going to light up the scoreboard. Owls only attempted 14 passes last week and when you focus on the run and can't pick up big yards in the air, you eat up a lot clock. 

UNDER has cashed in 15 of the Demon Deacons last 20 games vs a team with a losing record and 4-0-1 in the Owls last 5 after totaling fewer than 170 yards in their last game. Take the UNDER! 

4* NFLX - Steelers/Titans VEGAS INSIDER on Steelers/Titans under 40 -110

I see a defensive battle in the final preseason action for Week 3. I think a lot of people are sleeping on the Steelers this year. The offense might not be as potent, but the defense looks improved and I like the guys they got to run the ball. 

Titans defense was one of the best in the NFL last year  (8th in total defense, 3rd in scoring defense) and have looked good on that side of the ball the first two weeks of the preseason. I see them coming to play early, as this a great test for them before games start counting for real. Take the UNDER!

3* WNBA - Over/Under TOTAL ANNIHILATOR on Dream/Wings under 148½ -110

The UNDER is a dominant 18-8-2 in Dallas' 28 games this season and I think the books have failed to set the number low enough for Sunday's matchup with Atlanta. 

Easy to see why the Wings are responsible for a lot of UNDERs, as they are awful offensively (70.7 ppg, 38.8% shooting pct.) and pretty decent on the defensive side of the ball. Dallas only gives up 72.2 ppg and 39.7% shooting at home. 

UNDER is 7-2 in the Wings last 9 games played on Sunday and a perfect 4-0 on the final day of the week for the Dream. Under is also 11-3 in Atlanta's last 14 vs a team from the Western Conference and 9-3-1 in Dallas' last 13 off a non-cover. Take the UNDER! 

3* WNBA - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Aces/Sun over 161 -105

I look for these two teams to fly past the total set here by the books. Both of these teams can light it up offensively. Las Vegas is averaging a healthy 80.5 ppg on the road, while Connecticut is sitting at 82.4 ppg at home. 

These two teams just played on Aug. 11th and combined for 170 points, as the Aces pulled out a 89-81 win. OVER is now 6-2 in the series over the last 3 seasons, which includes a perfect 3-0 mark when they meet at Connecticut. 

OVER is 11-3 in the Sun's last 14 home games off a cover and 8-1 in their last 9 home games off a home win by 10 or more. OVER is 23-8 in Aces last 31 off a no cover where they won the game as a favorite. Take the OVER! 

4* WNBA - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Sky/Sparks under 165 +100

Books have set the total too high here in Sunday's WNBA action between Chicago and LA. These two played at LA back in June and combined for just 163 and that was with the Sparks scoring 94 points. 

UNDER has been the go to play when LA is at the Staples Center. UNDER is 36-15 in the Sparks last 51 home games. I don't see these two coming close to 160. Take the UNDER! 

3* WNBA - Over/Under Total KNOCKOUT on Lynx/Dream under 146 -103

The UNDER is worth a look in Tuesday's WNBA action between the Lynx and Dream. Basically any time the Lynx play on the road you want to be looking to play the UNDER, as it's 26-7 in their last 33 road games. 

UNDER is also 20-7 in the Dream's last 27 vs a team from the Western Conference and 23-10 in their last 33 home games. UNDER is also a solid 5-2 in the last 7 games in the series. Take the UNDER! 

3* WNBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Mercury/Sun under 153½ -110

The books have completely missed the mark with today's WNBA total between the Sun/Mercury. Phoenix has scored 95 and 93 in their last two games and both saw a combined total of more than 170. Connecticut just put up 100 in their last game, are averaging 84.6 ppg in their last 5 and 84.5 ppg at home. 

4* WNBA - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Sky/Sun over 158 -105

Easy play here on the OVER. Chicago is an ideal over team, as they can light it up offensively (79.8 ppg) but also don't lock it down defensively (79.3 ppg), especially on the road (85.1 ppg). Connecticut is 9-1 at home, where they are averaging a hefty 82.9 ppg. I think both teams get into the 80s in this one, as Chicago is putting up 83 ppg over their last 5. 

OVER is 5-0 in the Sky's last 5 road games and 10-2 in the Suns last 12 home games off a home win. No surprise that the OVER is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Take the OVER! 

5* WNBA - Over/Under TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Lynx/Aces over 156 -110

The books have completely missed the mark on the over/under for Sunday's WNBA action between the Lynx and Aces. I think too much is being made of the defenses in this one. Minnesota is a very good offensive team an are averaging just over 76 ppg. Vegas is the second highest scoring team in the league at 81.8 ppg. 

Lynx just gave up 90 points at home in their last game against Seattle, so it's hard to see them slowing down the Aces on the road today. While Vegas is only giving up 76 ppg they have allowed 80 or more in 4 of their last 7. 

OVER is 7-1 in the Lynx last 8 vs a team with a winning record, 6-1 in the Aces last 7 after an ATS loss and 4-1 in their last 5 at home. Take the OVER! 

4* WNBA - Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Mystics/Fever over 160 -105

I really like the OVER in Friday's WNBA action, as we have two teams that can score but also don't play a ton of defense. Washington puts in 85 ppg and Indiana is not to far back at 77 ppg. The Mystics give up 78 ppg on the road and Fever give up 79 ppg at home. 

OVER is 14-2 in Indiana's last 16 off a loss to a division rival and 9-1 in their last 10 at home when riding a losing streak of 3 or more games. 

Adding to this is a great system in favor of the OVER. OVER is 27-7 (79%) with a total of 140 and the home team has failed to cover 2 or more and are not a good team (25% to 40%) and playing a team with a winning record. Take the OVER! 

3* WNBA - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Sky/Liberty under 165

I believe the books have completely missed the mark with this WNBA total. Chicago comes into this one having won 3 straight and great defense is a big reason why. The UNDER cashed in all 3 of those wins and is 5-1 in the Sky's 6 games overall. 

Books have also been setting the bar too high here of late in New York's game. UNDER is 3-1 in the Liberty's last 4 games. NY also comes in off a win and that's a good thing here, as the UNDER is 13-4-1 in their last 18 off a straight up win. UNDER is also 8-2 in their last 10 vs a team with a winning record. Take the UNDER! 

3* WNBA - Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Sun/Aces under 167 -110

The books have set the total way too high for Sunday's WNBA action that has Connecticut visiting Las Vegas. The Aces are coming off a very high-scoring game at Phoenix, but only combined for 153 in their home opener against LA, limiting the Sparks to just 70 points on 36.4% shooting. As for the Sun, they are scoring at a high clip, but they are also defending well. 

This total is basically calling for both teams to eclipse 80 points and I just don't see that happening. UNDER is 15-5 in Connecticut's last 20 as a dog and 19-8 in Vegas' last 27 after a game where they combined for 165 or more. Take the UNDER! 

4* WNBA - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Lynx/Wings over 151½ -120

These two teams should have no problem going OVER the total here. Minnesota combined for 170 in their opener against Chicago and Dallas is coming off a game in which they combined for 148 at Atlanta, despite shooting a mere 35.1% from the field. 

I think both teams are going to eclipse 75 points in this one without much problem, which in turn should have them flying by the number here. OVER is an impressive 10-2 in the Wings last 12 vs a team from the Western Conference. Take the OVER! 

3* WNBA - Over/Under TOTAL ANNIHILATOR on Storm/Dream over 146 -115

The fact that the UNDER has cashed in each of Seattle's first two games and in Atlanta's lone contest, has created some great value here on the OVER in this matchup. OVER has cashed in 6 of the last 8 in the series, including 4-1 in the last 5 times they met up in Atlanta. 

Keep in mind the last time these two teams played in 2018, the total for that game was 163.5. The time before that they combined for 191 points. Take the OVER! 

5* NBA Playoffs NO LIMIT Top Play on Raptors/Bucks under 217½ -110

While each of the last 3 games in the series have gone OVER the total, I absolutely love the UNDER in Game 5 on Thursday. With the series tied 2-2, this feels like a must-win for both team, so we can expect a max effort here from both sides. 

With both teams giving all they got on the defensive side of the ball, I think we are poised to get our lowest scoring game of the series. Keep in mind that neither team even got to 100 points in regulation of Game 3 and there were just 208 scored in Game 1. UNDER has cashed in 7 of the Raptors last 10 on the road and 13 of the Bucks last 19 off a loss. Take the UNDER! 

5* NBA Playoffs Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on 76ers/Raptors over 207½ -109

I know that the defensive effort will be there for both teams in Game 7, but I just can't pass up on the value here with the OVER at this price. While both teams have flashed great defense in the postseason, especially the Raptors, I just think there's too much offensive fire-power on the floor for these two to not reach at least 210 points. 

Each of the last 2 games have went OVER the total and both of those were blowouts. I think this one is going to be a lot closer and even more high-scoring than the last two. OVER is 17-6 in the 76ers last 23 road games with a total set between 200 and 209.5. Over is also 34-19 in the Raptors last 53 when revenging a loss where they gave up 110 or more points. Take the OVER! 

5* NBA Eastern Conf TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Bucks UNDER

No need to overthink this one. Big time value here with the UNDER at this number. While Game 2 went OVER the mark, it do so just barely and was a bit of a fluke given how poorly both teams shot overall. Despite scoring 123 points, the Bucks only shot 43.8% from the field. Boston was even worse at 39.5%. The only reason the game went over is the Bucks made 20 3-pointers and the two combined to go 49 for 58 (84%) from the free throw line. 

These two only combined for 202 points in Game 1 and I still think we have yet to see a true defensive game between these two. I think the Celtics defense is really going to benefit from playing at home, and Milwaukee is going to be extremely motivated to take back homecourt in the series. I wouldn't be shocked at all if both teams failed to break 100 points. Take the UNDER! 

5* NBA Playoffs NO LIMIT Top Play on Raptors UNDER

I just don't know how you don't play the UNDER at this number given what we have seen in the first two games of the series. Game 1 had a total of 223 and it ended up with a combined score of 203. They lowered the total down to 219.5 for Game and it still wasn't close. This time they only managed 183 points. 

I don't see any reason to expect anything but another low-scoring game. Toronto has yet to allow an opponent to shoot better than 42% from the field in any game this postsesaon. They have held the 76ers under 40% in both games. They have also not allowed more than 96 points in any game since Game 1 of the first round against Orlando. 

You also have to factor in that Embiid is not 100% and when he's not right the 76ers offense can really struggle to score in the halfcourt. I think Philly understands that for them to win this series they have to play with same defensive intensity that they brought to the table in Game 2. Take the UNDER! 

3* NHL Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Bruins OVER

This might seem like a crazy play, given that each of the first 3 games stayed under the total, all of which were set at the same line of 5.5. However, we did see a combined 5 goals in both Game 1 and Game 2. 

What I really like is that both teams are getting a ton of shots off and I just don't feel like the goaltending can keep being as good as it's been. OVER is 13-4 in Boston's last 17 when revenging a close loss of 1 goal or less and 23-10 in Columbus' last 33 off a home win by 1 goal. Take the OVER!

3* MLB Over/Under PLAY OF THE DAY on Pirates UNDER

Hard to not like the UNDER in Friday's series opener between the Dodgers and and Pirates. Not only do we have a great starting pitching matchup with LA's Hyun-Jin Ryu against Pittsburgh's Chris Archer, but both offenses head into this series struggling at the plate. 

Dodgers scored just 10 runs in their 3-game series at Chicago, twice managing to score just 2 runs. That's now 5 times in their last 8 games that they have scored 3 or fewer. Pittsburgh hasn't scored more than 4 runs in 7 straight games and totaled a mere 3 runs over their final 3 games at home against the Diamondbacks. 

UNDER is 21-9 in Pittsburgh's last 30 games off a loss, 20-7 in their last 27 after giving up 5 or more runs and 38-16-4 in their last 58 vs a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. UNDER is also 20-4-2 in the Dodgers last 26 home games vs a team with a winning record and 22-5-1 in Ryu's last 28 starts after they scored 2 or fewer runs last time out. Take the UNDER! 

5* NHL Playoffs West TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Stars UNDER

I absolutely love the value here with the UNDER in the series opener Thursday night between the Dallas Stars and St Louis Blues. This is just too big a number with how good both of these teams are defensively. 

Dallas never allowed Nashville to score more than 3 goals in any game in their first round upset. St Louis only allowed more than 3 once in their upset of Winnipeg. It all stems from two really good goalies in the Stars' Ben Bishop and Blues' Jordan Binnington. 

UNDER us 12-4 in Dallas' last 16 off a division win, 16-3 after two straight wins and 12-0 in their last 12 winning 5 or 6 of their last 7. UNDER is also 10-3 in the Blue last 13 home games after winning 4 or more of their last 6 and 5-0 in their last 5 as a home favorite of -110 to -150. Take the UNDER! 

5* NBA Playoffs Over/Under PLAY OF THE MONTH on Clippers UNDER

I love the value here with the UNDER in Game 5 between the Warriors and Clippers. I'm not saying there won't be a lot of offense, I just feel like the number here is way too high with Los Angeles fighting off elimination and the Warriors surely motivated to end this series at home and get ready for their big showdown with Houston in the next round. 

We saw a much more defensive-minded contest in Game 4, as the two only combined for 218 points with a total at 236. I wouldn't be shocked at all if this thing stayed under 220 again. 

UNDER is 13-1 in the Clippers last 14 when revenging a home loss and 15-4 in their 19 road games this season against a team with a winning record. UNDER is also 10-3 in the Warriors last 13 home games and 17-5 in their last 22 when playing on 1 day of rest. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA Playoffs Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Spurs UNDER

Each of the last 3 games in the series have gone OVER and it's resulted in the highest total of the series in Game 5. I think it's time to shift gears and bet the UNDER. Not only are we getting a few points of value, but we can count on both teams showing up defensively.

With the series tied 2-2, both teams know that the winner of this game almost always ends up winning the series. I expect a very similar type of scoring output to Game 1, where the two teams combined for 197 points. 

UNDER is 23-12 in the Spurs last 35 when playing on 2 days of rest and 8-3 in their last 11 on the road. UNDER is also 13-4 in the Nuggets last 17 off a win and a perfect 6-0 in their last 6 at home vs a team that's won less than 40% of their road games. Take the UNDER! 

5* NBA Playoffs Western Conf TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Warriors UNDER

I think we are getting some big time value here with the UNDER after these two combined for 266. A lot of that had to do with the Warriors taking their foot off the gas after building up a 31-point lead. They let the Clippers score 40+ points in both the 3rd and 4th quarter. Expect more of what we saw in Game 1, when the two combined for just 125. 

That's an embarrassing loss for the defending champs and I'm confident they come out 100% locked in for Game 3, especially with them feeling the need to step up after the injury to DeMarcus Cousins. Not having Cousins on the floor definitely hurts the Warriors offense, but I also think it helps them defensively. 

UNDER is 12-2 in the Warriors last 14 when revenging a loss as a home favorite of 10 or more and 13-3 in Clipper home games during the 2nd half of the season, when facing a team that's outscoring opponents by 6+ points/game. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Pistons OVER

The Pistons and Bucks combined for 207 points with Detroit accounting for just 86 in Game 1. Some of Detroit's struggles offensively were a product of Milwaukee's defense, but the Pistons simply didn't shoot well.

I think we are going to see a little more out of Detroit's offense in Game 2 and a big reason for that is it will be hard for Milwaukee to bring that same intensity on the defensive side after how lopsided it was in Game 1 (won by 35). Key here is that we are getting value on the total because of what happened in the series opener. 

OVER is 21-8 in the Bucks last 29 when playing on 2 days of rest and 7-3 in their last 10 off a SU win by more than 10 points. OVER is also 12-3 in the Pistons last 15 when revenging a loss by 20 or more. Take the OVER! 

5* MLB AL East TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Yankees UNDER

Most are going to just look at the awful numbers of today's two starters and take the OVER without thinking twice. Boston's Nathan Eovaldi has a 8.40 ERA and 1.867 WHIP in 3 starts and Yankee's J.A. Happ owns a 8.76 ERA and 1.946 WHIP in 3 starts. 

Both of these guys are way better than those numbers and are going to start regressing back with some quality starts. Given the track record of both of these guys against the opposing side, I think we see both guys turn a corner tonight. Eovaldi has a 1.78 ERA and 0.758 WHIP in 5 starts vs New York, while Happ has a 3.33 ERA and 1.277 WHIP in 21 starts against Boston. 

You also can't overlook all the guys that the Yankees are missing in their lineup right now, as well as how much Boston's offense is struggling. Red Sox are only scoring 3.8 runs/game and hitting .228 in road games. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA Late Night Total ANNIHILATOR on Thunder/Blazers UNDER

These two combined for just 203 points in Game 1 with a total set at 223. The books have adjusted quite a bit for Game 2, but not nearly enough. These are two teams that don't get the respect they deserve on the defensive side of the ball because of all the fire-power they have on the offensive side. 

What people also overlook is the lack of legit scorers that both teams have after their top guys. Westbrook (24) and George (26) combined for 50 and Lillard (30) and McCullum (24) combined for 54. Thunder also got 17 from Adams, while the Blazers got 20 from Kanter. Chances are we see a couple of these guys struggle in Game 2 and I wouldn't be shocked if this thing ends up under 200. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Nets/76ers UNDER

These two teams combined for just 113 in the opener, finishing well below the mark of 228. The books have adjusted a little, but not nearly enough. Brooklyn's a very strong defensive team and their intensity on that side of the ball really gave the 76ers problems. 

As for Philadelphia, I think they got a big wake-up call in the Game 1 loss. I think they went in thinking it was going to be easy to take down the Nets. They won't make that mistake in Game 2. Expect the 76ers to lay everything on the line, especially on the defensive side, to avoid going down 0-2. I just don't see this one coming close to the mark. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAAB Final Four TOTAL NO-BRAINER on Auburn/Virginia UNDER

Absolutely love the value here with the UNDER in Saturday's Final Four action between Auburn and Virginia. I think the fact that the Cavaliers are coming off a game against Purdue that saw a combined 155 points and Auburn has really scored the ball well in their first 4 tournament games, has the number way too high for this one. 

Few teams, if any, are better at slowing down the tempo of a game and taking teams out of their comfort zone than Virginia. The Cavaliers also take exceptional care of the basketball and defend the 3-ball exceptionally well. Without easy looks from the outside and few opportunities in transition, Auburn is going to find it difficult to score. 

Key here is that the Tigers are a solid defensive team and this Virginia offense is far from a juggernaut. We saw the Cavaliers core just 53 against Oregon and 63 against Oklahoma prior to the 80 they put up against Purdue. 

UNDER is 15-6 in Virginia's last 21 away non-conference games and 20-9 in their last 20 with a total in the 130's. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Raptors/Hornets OVER

The books completely missed the mark here. With Milwaukee's win last night, Toronto is locked into the No. 2 seed in the east. The defensive effort simply isn't going to be there, especially on the road. 

While the game means something to the Hornets, Charlotte has been playing little to no defense down the stretch. Hornets have allowed each of their last 4 opponents to shot 47% or better from the field and have allowed 50% or better in 3 of their last 6. Raptors might limit some minutes, but they are a deep team. I could see both teams scoring 120. Take the OVER 223! 

3* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Grizzlies UNDER 

I just don't see the Blazers and Grizzlies surpassing the mark set by the books. Memphis is only shooting 41% from the field over their last 5 games. They just lost Jonas Valanciunas, are already without Avery Bradley and aren't expected to have the services of Mike Conley. Grizzlies only scored 96 on 38% shooting last time out against the Clippers, which marked the first time since late Jan. that LAC held an opponent under 100 points. 

Portland is fighting the Rockets for the No. 3 seed in the west and they control their own destiny. They win their final 4 games and they will be the No. 3 seed. I expect a big effort here and chances are this thing turns into a bit of a blowout, which is always a good thing for the UNDER. 

UNDER is 7-2 in the Grizzlies last 9 on the road vs a team with a winning home record and 11-2 in their last 13 on the road with a total set between 210 and 219.5. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA Late Night Total NO-BRAINER on Nuggets/Warriors UNDER

This is a massive game this late in the year, as these two are fighting for the No.1 seed and home court advantage throughout the Western Conference playoffs. Right now the Warriors have a 1-game lead over the Nuggets, but a Denver win would not only pull them even in the standings it would make it a 2-2 series split between the two teams. 

I think both teams understand the importance of home court and will basically treat this like a playoff game. Add in the Nuggets scoring problems of late (scored 95 or less in 4 of 5) and this thing should stay well below the number posted here.

UNDER is 12-3 in Denver's last 15 road games when revenging a road loss, 10-2 in their last 12 vs the Western Conference and 8-2 in their last 10 vs a team with a winning home record. UNDER is also 12-3 in the Warriors last 15 overall, 8-2 in their last 10 vs a team from the west and 7-1 in their last 8 at home. Take the UNDER! 

5* NBA Central Division TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Pistons UNDER

There's a lot to like here with the UNDER in Monday's division clash between the Pistons and Pacers. The obvious is that being division rivals these two teams are very familiar with one another. They have already faced each other twice this season. 

Both will be without their best player, as the Pacers continue to go to work without Victor Oladipo, while the Pistons will be without the services of Blake Griffin. Detroit just played a game without Griffin against the Blazers and the two combined for just 189 points. 

Both of these teams are strong defensively and both still have plenty to play for. Indiana is tied for 4th/5th with Boston and getting home court in that series would be huge for them. As for the Pistons, they are sitting 6th in the east, but just 1.5-games ahead of 9th place Orlando. 

UNDER is 20-8-1 in the Pistons last 29 road games vs a team that has won more than 60% of their home games, 35-16 in the Pacers last 51 at home and 28-11 in last 39 vs a team with a winning record. Take UNDER! 

4* Sweet 16 Late Night TOTAL NO-BRAINER on Michigan UNDER

This might seem like a low total, but I think it's way too many points for this matchup. These are the top two defenses in the country in defensive efficiency, led by two of the best coaches in the nation in Chris Beard and John Beilein. Each of which has had multiple days to prepare for the other team. 

Not to mention, neither of these teams like to push the pace and both defend the 3-pointer exceptionally well. This should lead to a lot of very difficult and contested 2-point shots for both teams, which is exactly what you want for a low-scoring game. 

UNDER is 11-3 in Texas Tech's last 14 non-conference games, including a 9-3 mark in their last 12 NCAA Tournament games. UNDER  is also 21-9 in Wolverines last 30 non-conference and 4-1 in their last 5 in the Big Dance. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Bulls/Raptors UNDER

Big time value here with the UNDER in this one. Toronto comes into this game around a 14-point favorite and for good reason, as the Bulls are expected to be without 3 starters in Kris Dunn, Zach LaVine and Otto Porter Jr. Both LaVine and Porter Jr sat out their last game and the Bulls managed just 83 points on 36% shooting. Without those guys there's just not enough offensive fire-power for the Bulls to put up a ton of points. 

Making matters even worse for Chicago's offense is they are likely to get a pissed off Raptors team that just lost back-to-back at home. Toronto should be in complete control of this game from the start and blowouts tend to be lower scoring, as there's not as many fouls late and the better players are typically on the bench. 

These two combined for just 184 points in the most recent meeting and a mere 205 in the only other matchup this season. UNDER is 4-1 in the Bulls last 5 vs a team with a winning percentage above 60% and 5-2 in the Raptors last 7 vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. Take the UNDER! 

5* NBA Eastern Conf TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Sixers/Magic UNDER

Love the value here with the UNDER in Monday's NBA matchup between the 76ers and Magic. Orlando comes in off a high-scoring game against the Grizzlies, but they didn't bring the defensive intensity early. When it mattered the most they held Memphis to 15 points in the 4th quarter. Prior to that the Magic had held 3 straight teams under 100 points. 

Not a big surprise, as Orlando has been the best defensive teams since the All-Star break, at least in terms of points allowed (103.8 ppg). A big reason for that is they have posted the best 3-point percentage defense during this run. No question we are going to get a max effort defensively from Orlando against a top-tier team like the 76ers. 

UNDER is 18-8 in Magic's last 26 home games vs a team with a winning road record and a perfect 5-0 in their last 5 vs another team from the east. UNDER is also 6-2 in the 76ers last 8 road games vs a team with a winning home record and 4-0 in their last 4 off a SU loss. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Pistons UNDER

Look for Detroit and Portland to fly UNDER the mark set by the books on Saturday. Pistons have really been playing well for a while now, but he offense has struggled of late. Detroit has shot 43% or worse in 4 of their last 7 and considering they are playing their 4th game in 7 days and 3rd straight on the road, I don't see them going off offensively in this one. 

Blazers are known for their offense, but this is a very sound defensive team, especially at home. UNDER has actually cashed in 4 of the last 5 games for Portland. UNDER is also 5-0 in the Blazers last 5 when they are playing on a full 2 days of rest. 

UNDER has also gone 16-5 in Detroit's last 21 vs a team from the Western Conference, 33-14-4 in their last 51 road games vs a team with a winning home record and 11-1 in their last 12 when playing 8 or more games in a 14 days stretch. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA Over/Under Total NO BRAINER on Nets/Lakers OVER

Easy play on the OVER here in Friday's NBA action between Brooklyn and Los Angeles. Lakers are playing little defense and that's to be expected when you have a team that has come up this short on expectations. LA just gave up 121 against the Kings and have allowed at least 114 points in 3 straight. Hasn't been much better for Brooklyn, who has allowed 110 or more in 4 straight and 12 of 13 overall. 

OVER is 25-9 in Brooklyn's last 34 road games vs a team with a winning home record and a perfect 4-0 in the Lakers last 4 when playing on 2 days rest. Take OVER! 

3* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Sixers/Bucks UNDER

Books have set the total way too high for Sunday's afternoon showdown between the Bucks and 76ers. This is a big time matchup, as both of these teams are trying to take claim to the Eastern Conference now that LeBron is gone. I look for both teams to come out looking to send a message to the other side. 

UNDER has been a money-maker in 76ers game of late, as it's cashed in 8 of the last 9 games for Philadelphia. UNDER is also a perfect 8-0 in the 76ers last 8 road games with a total of 230 or more and 6-0 in their last 6 vs a team with a winning home record. UNDER is also 7-3 in the Bucks last 10 at home, 7-1 in their last 8 vs a team from the East and a perfect 6-0 in their last 6 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Take the UNDER! 

5* NCAAB Over/Under TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Auburn/Tennessee UNDER

Absolutely love the value here with the UNDER in Sunday's SEC title game between Auburn and Tennessee. These two teams just played in the regular-season finale and combined for 164 points, but both teams shot lights out. Both were better than 46% from the field, combined for 22 made 3-pointers and 32 free throws. 

That was the first and only meeting between the two. Second meeting is typically a lot lower-scoring and no question we are going to get max effort from both teams with what is at stake. 

UNDER is 10-2 in the Vols last 12 after two straight games that went over the total and is a perfect 6-0 in the Tigers last 6 road games when they come in having covered 3 straight. UNDER is also 4-0 in Auburn's last 4 when playing their 3rd game in 5 days. Take the UNDER! 

5* NBA Western Conf TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Jazz/Thunder UNDER

I'm confident that Utah and OKC will fly UNDER the mark set by the books. These are two of the better teams in the Western Conference and that should bring out the best in both sides. Both teams also are going to be hungry for a win. The Thunder have lost 6 of 8, while Utah comes in having lost 2 of 3, getting upset as a favorite in both defeats. 

I get the last time these two teams played they combined for a ridiculous 295 points, but that was a double-overtime game and it was also the first contest back from the All-Star break. UNDER is still 17-8 in the last 25 meetings overall and a dominant 10-2 in their last 12 meetings played in Utah. 

UNDER is also 11-3 in the Thunder's last 14 road games when they are listed as an underdog on the spread and 12-2 in their last 14 after playing a game where they attempted 100 or more shots. Take the UNDER! 

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Iona/Monmouth UNDER

Books have set the total way too high for the MAAC Championship Game Monday night between Iona and Monmouth. Both teams have to be a bit exhausted. This will be the Gaels' 3rd game in 3 days, while the Hawks are playing their 3rd straight and 4th in the last 5 days. Tired legs will more times than not lead to a slower pace and few less made shots from the outside. 

This also the 3rd meeting between these two teams, so these two are very familiar with one another, which is an advantage for the defenses. UNDER has gone 23-10-1 in the Hawks last 34 neutral site games and 5-1 in their last 6 vs a team with a winning record. UNDER is also 10-4 in Iona's last 14 conference games and a perfect 3-0 this season when revenging a road loss. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Pacers/Bucks OVER

The Pacers and Bucks should have zero problem eclipsing the total set by the books in Thursday's showdown on TNT. Milwaukee is one of the best offensive teams in the league. The Bucks are averaging 117.3 ppg on the season and that goes up to 119.6 ppg at home. They have shot under 39% from the field in each of their last 2 games, yet still averaged 108 points in those contests. 

Pacers have scored 100+ in each of their last 7 games, a stretch in which they are averaging 113.4 ppg. If they can just hit the 110 mark in this one, this game is going to fly past the number. Keep in mind they have allowed 110 or more points in 6 of their last 7. Take the OVER! 

3* NCAAB Over/Under Total DESTROYER  on Michigan St/Nebraska UNDER

The books have completely missed the mark here with the total for Tuesday's Big Ten action between Michigan State and Nebraska. Spartans have consistently been going UNDER the total set by the books. In fact, the UNDER is 5-1 in their last 6 and 11-3 in their last 14. \

A big reason for that is they have really turned up the intensity on the defensive side of the ball. In their last 6 games they have held all 6 of their opponents under 43% shooting from the field. They are only giving up 61.5 ppg at home and are facing a Cornhuskers team that is averaging just 63.4 ppg over their last 5 and 65.4 ppg overall in the Big Ten. 

UNDER is 6-1-1 in Michigan State's last 8 at home and 8-2 in their last 10 vs a team that forces 14 or fewer turnovers per game. UNDER is also 30-15 in Nebraska's last 45 road games vs team who average 8 or more made 3-pointers and 20-7 in their last 27 vs strong defensive teams that are holding opponents to 42% or worse shooting from the field. Take the UNDER! 

5* NCAAB SEC TOTAL OF THE YEAR  on Ole Miss/Arkansas UNDER

The books have set the total way too high for Saturday's SEC clash between the Rebels and Razorbacks. The UNDER has been the smart play in recent games for both of these teams. Ole Miss has gone UNDER the total in 3 straight and 6 of their last 7 overall. Arkansas has gone UNDER the total in 9 of their last 12. 

These two teams played earlier this season and combined for 151, but that was with both teams shooting over 80% from the free throw line and the Rebels score 84 on 48.4% shooting. Arkansas only managed 67 on 40%. Razorbacks offense just hasn't been great of late, but the defensive effort should be a lot better at home. Ole Miss is no where close to the same offensive team on the road. 

UNDER is 10-3 in the Rebels last 13 conference games and 8-2 in their last 10 games with a total in the 150's. UNDER is also 6-1 in Arkansas' last 7 vs a team that's won more than  60% of their games and 8-3 in their last 11 conference games. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Hornets OVER

The Nets and Hornets should have no problem eclipsing the mark set here by the books. This is an ideal matchup for a high-scoring game. Both teams come in in good form offensively. Charlotte is averaging 110 ppg over their last 5, which is pretty impressive given they are only shooting 43.8% from the field during this stretch. Brooklyn is averaging 116.2 ppg and have also not shot well (44.1%). Nets also expected to get back a big offensive piece tonight in Spencer Dinwiddie. 

Not only are both teams scoring a lot, but they are both not playing a bunch of defense. Hornets have allowed 110+ in each of their last 5 games. As for the Nets, they have allowed 113 or more in 8 of their last 9. OVER is 7-1 in the Hornets last 8 vs a team with a winning record and 5-0 in the Nets last 5 vs a team from the Eastern Conference. Take the OVER! 

3* NBA Late Night TOTAL ANNIHILATOR on Thunder UNDER 

I'm not sure why the books have the total here as high as they do, but I'll gladly back the UNDER. We just saw a similar total in Denver's last game at home against the Clippers. The total for that contest was 235.5 and the two teams combined for 119. 

UNDER has cashed in 4 of the Nuggets last 5 overall and a big reason for that is this a better defense team than they get credit for. No doubt they are going to come to play on that side of the ball against a team like OKC. Thunder just has a total of 240 in their last game against the Kings and failed to eclipse the mark. OKC also shot a mere 38% in the process. 

UNDER is 13-2 this season in games involving the Thunder with a spread of +3 to -3 and 20-9 in OKC's last 29 as an underdog. UNDER is also 6-2 in the last 8 meetings, which includes two meetings earlier this season that failed to eclipse 210 points. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAAB Big Ten TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Iowa UNDER

These two teams combined for just 134 points in the first meeting this season, as Iowa won 72-62 at home. I'm expecting more of the same in the rematch. Iowa is coming off a couple of poor shooting performances at home against Indiana (32.8%) and Maryland (41.9%) and will face a Ohio State defense that is only giving up 64.3 ppg on 40.8% shooting this season. 

This is also a game the Buckeyes desperately need, as a win over a ranked team would be huge for their NCAA Tournament resume. They really have no choice but to rely on their defense, as they have just not been able to get the offensive side of the ball figured out. Buckeyes are shooting a mere 39% from the field over their last 5. 

UNDER is 11-5 in Iowa's last 16 following a win and 5-1 in their last 6 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. UNDER is also 6-2-1 in Ohio State's last 9 off a SU loss and 5-2 in their last 7 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. UNDER is also 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in the series at Ohio State. Take the UNDER! 

3* NHL Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Coyotes OVER

The Coyotes and Jets should have no problem combining for at least 7 goals to cash the OVER on the total Sunday. Winnipeg has been involved in several high-scoring games of late. Last time out they saw a combined 9 goals in a 6-3 win at Vegas. The game before there were 8 combined goals in a 7-1 loss at Colorado. They have hit 7 or more combined goals in 4 of their last 5. 

While not quite as high-scoring, Arizona's last 3 games are seeing an average of 5.7 goals. OVER is 7-2 in the Coyotes last 9 when playing on 2 days rest. Take the OVER! 

4* NBA Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Raptors UNDER 

I'm expecting a much lower-scoring game than the books are calling for in Sunday's afternoon tilt between the Magic and Raptors. Orlando has really been playing well of late, especially on the defensive side of the ball. They held 3 of their final 4 opponents going into the break under 90 points. While they gave up 110 in a loss to Chicago in the first game back, they held the Bulls to just 44.4% shooting. 

This is one of those "measuring stick" games for the Magic against a team like Toronto, so we can bank on a big effort here on the defensive side of the ball. Toronto is a better defensive team than they get credit for and are only going to get better once the new pieces, like Marc Gasol get more comfortable with their new teammates. 

UNDER is 22-9 in the Magic's last 31 road games off a home loss by 3-points or less and 4-1 in their last 5 on the road against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA Over/Under TOTAL NO-BRAINER on Wizards OVER

The Wizards and Hornets are going to have zero problem eclipsing the total set by the books tonight. The first meeting between these two teams this season saw a combined 256 points in a 130-126 win for Washington. That's now 5 of the last 6 meetings between these two that have finished OVER the mark. 

Washington is just a perfect team to play with the OVER. The Wizards rank in the Top 10 in the league in pace of play, they are in the top half of the league in offensive efficiency and the bottom 5 in defensive efficiency. Charlotte also ranks top half of the league in offensive efficiency and bottom 10 in defensive efficiency. No surprise these two played such a high-scoring game the first time around. 

Adding to this is a great system. OVER 63-35 (64%) over the last 5 seasons when you have a total of 210 or more where one team (WASH) has gone over the total by 24 or more points in their last 3 games and the other (CHA) has gone under the total by 48 or more in their last 10. Take the OVER! 

3* NCAAB Over/Under TOTAL ANNIHILATOR on Ohio/Bowling Green OVER

The books have completely missed the mark here with the total in Friday's MAC action between Bowling Green and Ohio. These two should have zero problem flying past the number set by the oddsmakers. 

The Falcons are a very strong offensive team, as they are averaging 78.9 ppg on the season and are at a tick higher at 80.2 ppg in conference play. I don't see them having any problem getting to the 80-point mark against the Bobcats, who are giving up 82.2 ppg over their last 5. 

I know Ohio's offense isn't the greatest, but they are averaging a healthy 75.8 ppg at home this season and the Falcons don't exactly play great defense. Bowling Green has allowed at least 67 points in each of their last 8 games. These two played earlier this season and combined for 145 and that was with Ohio scoring just 63 on the road. I think this time around they get into the 150's. Take the OVER! 

3* NHL Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Penguins UNDER 

Books have set the total way too high for this one. I think we are definitely seeing an inflated number due to Pittsburgh coming in off two high-scoring games at home, but keep in mind the UNDER had cashed 5 of their previous 6. 

These are also two division teams that are very familiar with one another and this will be the fourth time the two will have faced off this season. Only one of the previous 3 reached 7 goals. 

UNDER is 32-14 in Pittsburgh's last 46 games after allowing 5 or more goals in 2 straight contests and 18-8 in their last 26 on the road after giving up 2 or more goals in the 3rd period of their last game. UNDER is also 12-5 in the Devils last 17 vs a division opponent and 10-2 in their last 12 at home when playing for the 8th time in 14 days. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Thunder/Blazers UNDER 

I think we are going to get a big defensive effort from both of these teams, which will have this game staying well below the big total set by the books. These are two division rivals fighting for a top seed in the Western Conference. OKC is currently No. 3 in the standings, but are just 3-games ahead of Portland. 

The Thunder have already won each of the first two meetings, and can secure the tie-breaker with a win here (teams meet one last time in early March). That really makes this one important for Portland, who is also going to be highly motivated coming off a loss at Dallas where they blew a double-digit 4th quarter lead. 

UNDER is 21-10-1 in the Thunder's last 32 vs a team with a winning record, 13-4 in the Blazers last 17 division games and 17-7 in the last 24 meetings between these two teams in OKC. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Wizards/Bulls OVER

We cashed in an easy winner on the Bulls/Nets OVER last night, as those two combined for 231. While Chicago was playing in a shootout, the Wizards combined for 225 to go OVER the total with the Cavs. 

It just continued a trend of high-scoring games for both of these teams. The OVER has cashed in the Wizards last 4 and 6 of their last 7. The OVER is also cashed in 4 of the last 5 for the Bulls. Washington has scored 115+ in 4 straight and have allowed 130+ in 3 of their last 4. The only team not to reach the mark is the worthless Cavs. Bulls have scored 118+ in 3 straight and 100 or more in every game since Jan. 4. Take the OVER! 

5* NBA Eastern Conf TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Bulls/Nets OVER 

The Bulls/Nets should have zero problem eclipsing the total set here by the books. The average score in Chicago's last 5 games is 225.2 and for Brooklyn the average score in their last 5 games is 226.6. 

Bulls defense has been non-existent in their last 2, giving up 125 to both the Pelicans and Hornets. Chicago's offense on the other hand is shooting lights out, having hit 50% from the field in each of their last 4. Brooklyn just gave up 130 to the Nuggets in a game that saw 265 total points scored, as both teams shot over 50% from the field. 

OVER is 32-18 in the Bulls last 50 as a road dog of 6.5 to 12 points (last 3 seasons). OVER is also 6-1 lat 7 for Chicago on the road against a team with a winning home record. 

Adding even more value here is a big time system that has cashed 76% over the last 5 seasons. The OVER is 44-14 in the month of February when you have a game with a 1st half total greater than 100 and a team (Nets) that went over the total by more than 30 points in their last game. Take the OVER! 

3* NBA Late Night TOTAL ANNIHILATOR on Rockets/Kings UNDER

A lot of people are just going to look at how high-scoring these two teams are and just assume that they will easily eclipse the total set here by the books. The thing is, the books have adjusted, especially on Sacramento. The UNDER is 11-2-1 in the Kings last 14 games. 

OVER has cased in each of the Rockets last 4 games, but the UNDER is a strong 13-6 in Houston's last 19 road games vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. UNDER is also a staggering 17-3 in the Rockets last 20 road games with a line of +3 to -3. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA Late Night Total NO-BRAINER on Bulls UNDER

The books have missed the mark here with the total in this one. People just see the Warriors and automatically assume it's going to be a high-scoring game. I don't think we see an offensive explosion in this one. The Warriors are so much better than Chicago that it's going to be extremely hard for Golden State to show up for this one. 

On the flip side of this, the Bulls are a young team that is going to play their hearts out to see how they stack up against the defending champs. Don't be fooled by the 149-124 Warriors win at Chicago earlier this season. The Bulls were missing a ton of players to injury and if anything that result will make them focus that much more on the defensive side of the ball. 

UNDER is 12-3-1 in the Warriors last 16 home games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games and 11-3 in the Bulls last 14 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Take the UNDER! 

5* NBA Non-Conf TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Cavs/Rockets OVER

The books have completely missed the mark here with the total. Houston and Cleveland should have no problem eclipsing 220 points and there's a potential for them to fly by the number. Houston can light up the scoreboard, especially when James Harden has it going like he does now. 

Last 3 games the Cavs have allowed 140 at New Orleans, 123 to the Pacers and 133 to the Pelicans at home. Each of their last 7 opponents have eclipsed 110 points. I think Houston could easily top 130 and we should see the Cavs score at least 100. Rockets haven't allowed fewer than 100 since the middle of December and are just not the same defensive team without Chris Paul in the lineup. 

OVER is 8-2 in the Rockets last 10 vs a team from the Eastern Conference and 5-1 in their last 6 at home vs a bad team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. Take the OVER! 

3* Clemson/Alabama Total Winner on  UNDER

The first two times these two met they played some really high-scoring games, but last year was a defensive struggle that Alabama won 24-6. I get that both teams have transitioned to younger and more talented quarterbacks. I just don't see the kind of up and down the field type of game needed to eclipse a total of this magnitude. 

Both of these teams are absolutely loaded with talent on the defensive side of the ball and I just think both of these offensive lines are going to have a tough time keeping the opposing teams' defensive line out of their backfield. I think there's going to be a lot of negative plays, which should cause a lot of 3rd and long situations that allow the defense to get off the field. I also think scoring (touchdowns) in the red-zone will be tough for both sides. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Sixers UNDER

There's simply too much value to pass up on here with the UNDER. I get the Clippers have been a part of a lot of high-scoring games of late, but this will be their 3rd game in 4 days and we should get a max effort here defensively from the 76ers after their embarrassing 34-point loss to the Blazers, where they gave up 129 points and allowed Portland to shoot 59% from the field. 

UNDER is 64-42 in the 76ers last 106 games after they allow 120 or more points and an amazing 15-4 in their last 19 road games after a blowout loss by 30 or more points. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Grizzlies UNDER

If you have watched Memphis play at all, you know that they are an ideal team to be involved in a low-scoring game. While everyone else is trying to speed it up and stretch the floor, the Grizzlies are grinding out possessions and trying to win games with their defense. 

It  hasn't worked great for them of late, as they are just 3-8 in their last 11, but they have won 2 of their last 3 and we can bank on a big effort here, as Memphis just lost at home to Houston on 12/15. 

The other key here is that the Rockets will have to play this one without Eric Gordon and they are already without Chris Paul. Gordon averages 15.7 ppg. That means the only healthy double-digit score for Houston besides James Harden is big man Clint Capela. As good as Harden is, he can't do it all and Memphis is going to make him work. 

All this should add up to a very low-scoring game. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Pistons UNDER

This is an ideal matchup for a low-scoring grind it out type of game. Both the Magic and Pistons rank in the bottom 5 in the league in offensive efficiency. While both have struggled to score, they have played hard defensively and both are in the top half of the league in defensive efficiency. Another key here is pace and while the Pistons are 14th in pace, Orlando is 26th. 

UNDER is 10-4-1 in the Pistons last 15 games and 8-4 in Orlando's last 12. UNDER is also 20-7 in the Magic's last 27 games vs a team from the Eastern Conference and 5-0 in Detroit's last 5 vs the Southeast Division. Take the UNDER! 

5* NBA Eastern Conf TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Sixers/Celtics UNDER

I love the UNDER here in this division clash between the 76ers and Celtics. There's a ton of talent on both teams and these are two teams that are believed to have a legit shot at winning the Eastern Conference. I think both are going to be out to make a statement here and we are going to get max effort from both sides on the defensive side of the ball. 

These two played back in October and the Celtics won 105-87 for a combined total of just 193 points. That game had a total of 211.5. I get the 76ers have added Jimmy Butler since that game, but he's an elite defender and we got plenty of wiggle room here with this total north of 220. 

The average score in the 76ers last 17 division road games is 214.5. The average score in the Celtics last 15 division home games is 207.1. Take the UNDER! 

3* Bucks/Knicks NBA Total Winner on Knicks UNDER

I love the value here with the Knicks as a double-digit dog and this game staying well UNDER the mark on the total. 

New York is way undervalued here because of the fact that they have lost 4 straight and are just 1-9 in their last 10. They have been competitive in a lot of these losses and we know we are going to get a max effort here at home against a team like the Bucks. 

These two teams have already played twice this year and both times the Knicks have kept it within single-digits. In fact, they won outright earlier this month at home as a 8-point dog. 

That last meeting was very high-scoring, which is why we are seeing such a high total here. There's just a different defensive intensity that teams play with on Christmas Day. I also think this early start time will have both offenses struggling to get going. Take New York & UNDER!

4* NFL Jets/Packers Over/Under Winner on Jets UNDER

Green Bay shouldn't be a favorite on the road against New York and the books have set the total way too high.

The Packers lost 24-17 at Chicago last week. A game if they had won, would have put them in a position to still have a shot at the playoffs. Now these last two games mean absolutely nothing and that can't be an easy pill to swallow when you have Aaron Rodgers as your quarterback. It's Super Bowl or bust with that kind of talent behind center. 

I know Rodgers is playing and the Packers are saying all the right things, like they are going to give these last two their best shot, but I'm not buying it for a second. I think the only thing on the mind for a lot of these players is getting this game over with so they can get home to their families for Christmas. 

The Jets also don't have anything to play for, but that was kind of to be expected with a rookie quarterback. There's plenty of incentive for New York to try and build some momentum for next year in these final few games. They certainly have been playing hard of late. They really should be riding a 3-game winning steak. They had a 13-point 2nd half lead in a 4-point loss to the Titans, beat Buffalo 27-23 a couple weeks back and last week gave the Texans all they could handle. 

I just think this is a great spot for the Jets to get a win at home in what is likely going to be an ugly grind it out kind of game. Keep in mind that even with Rodgers the Packers offense has struggled, scoring 17 in 3 of their last 4.

Jets are 35-18 ATS in their last 53 home games after playing their previous game at home and a 21-7 ATS in their last 28 home games when coming off a home loss. UNDER is 6-2 in the Packers last 8 games overall and 4-1 in their last 5 on the road. Take New York & UNDER! 

3* Dollar General Bowl Total ANNIHILATOR on Buffalo/Troy UNDER

I think there's a ton of value here with the Trojans at basically a pick'em and this game going UNDER the total set here by the books. 

Buffalo suffered a crushing 30-29 loss to Northern Illinois in the MAC title game, despite having a 29-10 lead at the half. That loss will be a tough one for the Bulls to bounce back from and the even bigger thing is the MAC simply wasn't that good. We already saw Northern Illinois get rolled in their bowl game against UAB. 

Troy won at Nebraska and were one of the best bets in the country this year with a 8-3 ATS mark. A big reason for that is their defense, which only gave up 21.2 ppg. I think they have no problem slowing down the high-powered attack of Buffalo. 

The Bulls do have a good defense, so I'm expecting Troy to go off, which is why I think there's a big time correlation here with the Trojans and the UNDER

Troy is 12-3-1 ATS last 16 games overall and 42-20-2 ATS last 64 vs a team with a winning record. Bulls are 6-18 ATS last 24 off a conference loss by 7 or less and 0-5 ATS last 5 on a neutral site. 

UNDER is 10-4 in Buffalo's last 14 off a loss and 6-0 in their last 6 road games off a conference loss. UNDER is also 12-4-1 in Trojans last 17 games played on fieldturf. Take Troy & UNDER! 

3* Idaho Potato Bowl TOTAL DESTROYER on BYU OVER

The books have simply not set the total high enough for this one. I think BYU could flirt with covering the number on their own, as we saw Western Michigan give up some huge numbers down the stretch. 

The Broncos last 4 games they gave up 51 to Toledo, 59 to Ohio 42 to Ball State and 21 to Northern Illinois. The key thing to note about the finale against the Huskies, is that's a really bad Northern Illinois offense and the game meant nothing to them, as they had already secured a spot in the MAC title game the next week against Buffalo. 

Don't be fooled by BYU only averaging 25.4 ppg. They play a really tough schedule for an Independent. They started the year with 3 straight against Arizona, Cal and Wisconsin. They also played Washington and Utah later in the year out of the Power 5. Not to mention games against Utah State, Northern Illinois and Boise State. Just about all of these teams are above average defensively. 

Had BYU played Western Michigan's schedule I'm confident they would have averaged closer to 35 ppg. The offense was also better once they went with Zach Wilson at quarterback. 

I look for the Cougars to put up a bunch of points and while the BYU defense is decent, I think the Broncos will put up more than enough to push us over the mark. Take the OVER! 

4* Bahamas Bowl Total ANNIHILATOR on Toledo UNDER

The total for this game was simply set way too high by the books, as this thing figures to be a lot more of a defensive battle than you would think for two teams that put up quite a few points. 

FIU finished the year averaging 34.6 ppg, but a lot of that was them pouring it on bad teams. The only teams they reached at least 30 points against were UMass, ARK-Pine Bluff, Rice, WKU, UTSA and Charlotte. 

It was a very similar story for Toledo. The Rockets put up 41.1 ppg, but the only teams they eclipsed 30 points against were VMI, Nevada, Bowling Green, W Michigan, Ball St, Kent St and C Michigan. 

These are two strong defensive teams and there's plenty of motivation for both teams in this one. Toledo hasn't won a bowl game since 2015 and there's still got to be a sour taste in their mouths from last year's 34-0 loss to Appalachian State as a 7-point favorite in the Dollar General Bowl. 

As for the Panthers, they haven't won a bowl game since 2010 and with a win can set a new school record for wins in a single season. Last year they lost 28-3 to Temple in the Gasparilla Bowl. Take the UNDER! 

4* Gasparilla Bowl Total NO-BRAINER on Marshall/South Florida UNDER

I just don't see these two teams coming anywhere close to this total. USF is known for having a high-powered offense and they were putting up some big numbers early in the year, but they were one of the worst offenses in the country to close out the season. 

In the Bulls last 4 games they averaged just 16.3 ppg. Marshall has one of the best defenses of all the Group of 5 teams. They allowed just 22 ppg and were outstanding against the run, giving up only 2.9 yards/carry and 104 yards/game. 

I believe for USF's offense to score a bunch of points they have to be able to run the football and I just don't see Marshall giving up a big number on the ground. There's also a good chance that starting QB Blake Barnett doesn't play. 

As for the Thundering Herd offense, it's struggled to get going and I think we saw just how limited they are when they could only put up 20 points against an struggling Virginia Tech defense. I'm not saying neither team is going to score, I just don't see either side eclipsing the 30 points mark. Take the UNDER! 

3* NCAAF Camellia Bowl TOTAL ANNIHILATOR on Eastern Michigan UNDER

This doesn't figure to be the most entertaining bowl game, as both of these offenses figure to have a hard time moving the football. I think there's a ton of value with the UNDER in this contest due to the matchup. 

Georgia Southern is an option team. They average 49 rush attempts per game compared to 9 pass attempts. Eastern Michigan has a solid defense and the extra time to prepare for bowl games will pay off huge. As will the fact that the Eagles played a non-conference game in late October against Army. 

While the Black Knights had 289 rushing yards, they ran it a ridiculous 73 times for just 4.0 yards/carry. That's the perfect recipe for long drives that just eat up the clock. 

As for Eastern Michigan's offense it's nothing special. They only averaged 27.5 ppg and the teams they played gave up close to 30 ppg. They can't run the ball very well, as they only averaged 3.8 yards/carry. Georgia Southern only gave up 3.9 yards/carry. I just think they will find themselves behind the chains a lot, which is a drive killer and often leads to having to settle for field goals in the red zone. Take the UNDER! 

5* NCAAF Opening Week BOWL TOTAL OF THE YEAR  on Arizona State UNDER

The books have complete missed the mark on this total. I think we are getting over a touchdown in value with the UNDER in this one. This Fresno State defense is the real deal. The Bulldogs ranked 17th in the country in total defense. They were great against both the run (27th) and the pass (30th). 

With Arizona State's star wide out N'Keal Harry sitting out this game to prepare for the NFL Draft, that only makes it that much easier on the Fresno State defense. Harry was a massive part of this offense. He had 73 catches for 1,088 yards and 9 scores. Only one other player on the team has more than 35 catches and that's Kyle Williams with 40 and he's also next best in receiving yards at 432. 

Without Harry even on the field, that lets the Bulldogs focus their defense even more on the run. I'm not expecting them to shutdown the Sun Devils rushing attack, but I think they can slow it down, which is going to lead to long possessions and less scoring chances for both sides. 

I also don't see much coming out of Fresno State's offense. They really struggled to score against the better defenses they faced. They only 14 points against a pretty bad Minnesota team in non-conference, so I'm pretty confident Arizona State can slow them down. I think both teams struggle to top 24 points. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Lakers OVER

These two teams should have no problem eclipsing the total set here by the books. I get the low number here with Memphis and their tendency for lower-scoring games, but I just don't think these two will be bringing the defensive intensity in this one. 

Both teams are on no rest, as the Lakers played at San Antonio last night in a shootout (lost 133-120) and the Grizzlies were in a dog fight at New Orleans (won 107-103). I think both teams easily reach the 100-point mark in this one and I wouldn't be shocked if this thing ended up a closer to 225. 

OVER is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams, including 3-1-1 in the last 5 games played at Memphis. Take the OVER! 

4* NBA Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Bulls/Rockets OVER

The Bulls and Rockets should have no problem eclipsing the total set here by the books. A big reason for that is both teams don't figure to be exerting a lot of energy on the defensive side, as each team will be playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set, as well as their 3rd game overall in the last 4 days. 

Houston's offense has really gotten better since the start of the season and they put up 136 last night in San Antonio and are averaging 118.8 ppg over their last 5. Chicago is giving up 113.8 ppg on the road and will have no answer for Harden and company. 

Key here is that while the Bulls offense is limited, the Rockets defense has been slipping of late. Houston has allowed at least 105 in 7 straight games and I just don't see this game being close enough to where they feel they have to lock down defensively. 

OVER is a perfect 7-0 in the Rockets last 7 after scoring 100 or more points, 5-0 in their last 5 vs a team from the Eastern Conference and 4-0 last 4 home games vs a team with a losing road record. Take the OVER! 

5* NBA No Limit TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Magic/Warriors UNDER

Books have completely missed the mark here. The Warriors will be without both Steph Curry and Draymond Green. Sure they still have KD and Klay Thompson, but it's just not the same without those two on the court. 

Not to mention we know the Magic are going to give max effort here on the defensive side of the ball, as everyone brings it when they get a shot at Golden State and they have to be thinking about potentially stealing a win with the Warriors short-handed. 

I think Golden State matches that defensive intensity as they have really played well on that side of the ball the last two games and this Orlando offense is limited and haven't shot it great of late. 

Look for a slower than normal pace and for this to fly under the mark set by the books. UNDER is 26-10-1 in Warriors last 37 off a game they didn't cover the spread and 4-1 in Magic's last 5 on the road vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Take UNDER! 

4* NCAAF Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Oklahoma UNDER

I just think the there's too much value here with the UNDER at this number. I know these two teams have been a part of several Big 12 shootouts this year, but these two have to average more than 3 touchdowns (21.75 points) per quarter for this to go over the mark. 

I just think when you factor in how big a game this, with a spot in the Big 12 Championship and maybe more with the playoffs if some other teams drop, chances are we aren't going to see 90 points on the scoreboard. Not to mention the game will be played in less than ideal conditions with temps in the mid 30's. 

UNDER is 15-4 in West Virginia's last 19 games after scoring 31 or more in 4 straight and 14-5 in the Mountaineers 19 games under head coach Dana Holgorsen with a spread of +3 to -3. Take the UNDER!