Sports Picks & Predictions

5* American League TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Orioles/Astros OVER 9

I love the value here with the OVER in Monday's AL matchup that has the Astros hosting the Orioles. This will be Houston's home opener and that makes this an extra special night for the defending champs, as they will get their 2017 World Series rings. I think we are going to see plenty of offensive fire-works in this one. 

Houston's offense struggled in their first two games against the Rangers, scoring just 5 runs on 11 hits, but exploded in the final two games with 17 runs on 27 hits. It's not out of the question that the Astros could eclipse this total on their own, as they will be facing the Orioles Chris Tillman, who was a miserable 1-7 with a 8.12 ERA and 1.946 WHIP in 19 starts last season. That included an awful 13.28 ERA and 2.697 WHIP on the road. 

Houston's starting rotation has been lights out to start and they will send out Charlie Morton for this one. Morton is coming off a strong 2017 season, but I think he struggles here against an Orioles lineup that is poised to breakout after scoring just 5 runs while getting swept at home by the Twins to open the season. Take the OVER! 

3* MLB Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Cards/Mets OVER

I like the value here with the OVER in Sunday's MLB action that has the Mets hosting the Cardinals.  While we have a couple of decent starters on the mound, these are two teams that can put up runs. St Louis has scored just 6 runs over the first 2 games, but that's to be expected going up against Syndergaard and deGrom. Now they face Steven Matz, who had a 6.08 ERA and 1.530 WHIP in 13 starts a season ago. Matz was especially bad at home, where he was 0-4 with a 10.39 ERA and 2.031 WHIP in 5 starts. 

The Cardinals will send out Luke Weaver, who is a promising young starter, but he will be up against a red-hot New York offense that has scored 15 runs on 23 hits over the first 2 games. The Mets could have put up even more, as they have left double-digit men on base in each game. I like New York's chances of keeping it going in this one and pushing this game over the short total. Take the OVER! 

4* NBA Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Bulls/Magic UNDER

I like the value here with the UNDER in Friday's NBA action that has the Bulls visiting the Magic. Both of these teams clearly have no interest in winning down the stretch and the offensive output has been atrocious for both sides. Chicago is averaging just 96 ppg over their last 5 and haven't score more than 105 in each of their last 6. It's been just as ugly offensively for the Magic, who are averaging just 95.2 ppg over their last 5 and haven't scored more than 105 in each of their last 6. 

The reason we are seeing such a high total is these two haven't been the best on the defensive side of the ball down the stretch, but I think if anything that's creating the value here, as there's just not enough offensive fire-power on either side for the total to be this high. 

UNDER is 14-6 in the Magic's last 20 home games with a total of 210 to 219.5. UNDER is also 12-4 in their last 16 when playing with double-revenge and a perfect 8-0 in the Bulls last 8 vs a team with a losing record. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Jazz OVER

I like the value here with the OVER in Wednesday's NBA action that has the Jazz hosting the Celtics. These are two strong defensive teams, but I just feel the number has been adjusted too much here because of all the injuries for Boston. The thing is the Celtics are a deeper team than they get credit for and have scored 100+ in each of their last 4 games. 

Utah just held the Warriors to 91 points in their last game, but that was against a Golden State team that was missing all their star players. Prior to that the Jazz had given up 124 to the Spurs and 112 to the Mavs. At the same time, Utah has scored 110 in each of their last 3 games.

I just think the total is too low here. OVER is 7-1-1 in the Celtics last 9 after a game where they failed to cover the spread and 4-0-1 in their last 5 road games vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. OVER is also 8-2 in Utah's last 10 vs a team with a winning record. Take the OVER! 

4* NBA Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Grizzlies OVER

I like the value here with the OVER in Wednesday's NBA action that has the Grizzlies hosting the Blazers. This is a very low total for a game involving the Blazers, who have really been an offensive force for the last month and a half. You have to go back to a Feb. 11 game at home against the Jazz to find the last time Portland failed to reach 100 points in a game. 

They have gone under in each of their last two games, but keep in mind those were both against teams they were competing against for playoff spots in the Thunder and Pelicans. The most recent was last night's game at New Orleans. The key here is I don't see the Blazers being 100% locked in on the defensive side of the ball in this one. Not only are they going to be dealing with tired legs, playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back and 3rd in 4 nights, but they aren't going to feel like they have to play their best to beat a team like Memphis. 

The Grizzlies aren't a great offensive team, but did just put up 101 in a shocking win at Minnesota and have eclipsed the century mark in 6 of their last 8 games. OVER is 14-3 in the Blazers last 17 after attempting 90+ shots in 2 straight games and 6-1 when playing on no rest after the starters logged 160+ minutes. Take the OVER! 

4* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on T-Wolves/Hawks OVER

I like the value here with the OVER in Wednesday's NBA action that has the Timberwolves hosting the Hawks. Last time out we saw Minnesota suffer a shocking 93-101 home loss to the Grizzlies as a 13-point favorite. The offense was to blame for the defeat, as there's no excuse for scoring 93 points against a tanking Memphis team. The shots simply weren't falling for Minnesota, who hit on just 41.8% of their attempts. 

That snapped a streak of 9 straight games where the Timberwolves had scored at least 100 points. I think we see a big bounce back performance from Minnesota offensively in this one. Atlanta is in full on tank mode and I just don't see the Hawks being interested at all at playing defense in this game. They are coming off two much bigger games at Golden State and Houston and will be playing the final game of a 6-game road trip. Atlanta allowed 118 to the Rockets in their last game and have allowed 118 or more in 5 of their last 8 games. 

OVER is 29-16 in the Timberwolves last 45 home games with a total set between 210 and 219.5, 21-9 in their last 30 off an upset loss as a favorite and 8-1 in their last 9 off a home loss. Take the OVER! 

3* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Mavs/Kings OVER

I like the value here with the OVER in Tuesday's NBA action that has a couple of bottom feeders in the Mavs and Kings facing off in Sacramento. There's zero reason for either of these teams to get up for this game and that should result in very little defense being played by either side. 

That would be nothing new for the Mavs, who come in giving up 114.4 ppg over their last 5. The Kings have gone UNDER in 3 straight and 4 of 5, but I see these two having no problem going over the small mark set by the books in this one. These two teams last played in February and combined for 223 points with a total of 205.5. I think we see a similar output here, as this flies over the number. Take the OVER! 

4* NBA Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER  on Nuggets UNDER

I like the value here with the UNDER in Monday's NBA action that has the 76ers hosting the Nuggets. After scoring 135 or more in back-to-back games, the Nuggets managed just 108 in their most recent game and I look for them to struggle to put up a big number here on the road against a 76ers team that is only giving up 103.1 ppg at home. 

I also don't see Philadelphia putting up a big number, as we should get a max effort here defensively from the Nuggets, who simply can't afford a loss given their current standings in the Western Conference playoff race and they should have some fresh legs having had the last 2 days off. 

Adding to all of this is a couple of great systems. UNDER is 46-13 (78%) over the last 5 seasons when you have a total of 220 or more with one team having won at least 2 straight and the opponent having won 3 or more games. UNDER is also 41-13 (76%) when you have a total of 210 or more in the month of March with the home team working on a 4 or more game winning streak. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Heat UNDER

I like the value with the UNDER in Sunday's NBA action that has the Pacers hosting the Heat. This is a big game for both teams, as each is trying to position themselves for the postseason. Indiana is just a 1/2-game back of the 76ers for the No. 4 spot, while the Heat are just a 1/2-game ahead of the Bucks for the 8th and final spot. I expect a big effort from both sides on the defensive end and for this to go well below the number set by the books. 

UNDER is 18-8 in the Heat's last 26 road games against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. UNDER is also 7-0 in the Pacers last 7 home games and 10-1 in their last 11 games vs a team from the Eastern Conference. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Spurs/Bucks OVER

I like the value here with the OVER in Sunday's NBA action that has the Spurs visiting the Bucks. The OVER has cashed in each of Milwaukee's last 7 games. Every one of those games saw a combined score of at least 123. I know the Spurs are a great defensive team, but they did just allow 120 at home to the Jazz in their last game, which saw a combined score of 244. I just think there's too much value here to pass up with this total sitting where it is. 

OVER is 12-2 in the Bucks last 14 games after playing two straight games with a combined score of 215 or more and 10-1 in their last 11 after going OVER the total in 4 or more consecutive games. Take the OVER! 

3* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Wolves UNDER

I like the value here with the UNDER in Saturday's NBA action that has the 76ers hosting the Timberwolves. Both teams have put up some big numbers of late. Minnesota has scored 120+ in each of their last 2 games, while Philadelphia has scored 118 or more in 4 of their last 5. I believe we are seeing an inflated number because of this and there's simply too much value to pass up. 

UNDER is 14-4 in the 76ers last 18 games against an above average, but not elite team, that's won between 51% and 60% of their games in the 2nd half of the season. UNDER is also 10-1 in Philadelphia's last 11 games in the 2nd half vs teams who average 110 or more ppg. 

Adding to all of this is a great system in play. The UNDER is 40-11 (78%) in the month of March when you have a team on at least a 4-game winning streak and a total at or above 210 points. 

5* NCAAB 'Sweet 16' NO LIMIT Top Play on Villanova UNDER

I like the value here with the UNDER in Friday's Sweet 16 action that has No. 1 seed Villanova taking on No. 5 seed West Virginia. Both of these teams have been impressive on the offensive side of the ball. The Mountaineers put up 85 on Murray State and 94 against Marshall. As for the Wildcats, they hung 87 on Radford and 81 on Alabama. 

I believe those high outputs have created some great value here with the UNDER. Not to say these aren't strong offensive teams, I just feel the level of competition played a big role in those high offensive outputs. I expect to see both sides struggle to find a rhythm offensively in this one. While Villanova has the guards to handle the West Virginia pressure, it's likely to still cause some problems just because they haven't really played against it. The Mountaineers simply aren't going to shoot 50% from the field against this Villanova defense like they did in the first two rounds. 

Note that UNDER is 8-2-1 in the Mountaineers last 11 games after they scored 90 or more points. The UNDER is also 12-3 in West Virginia's last 15 as an underdog and 9-1 in their last 10 vs teams that average 84 or more points/game. Take the UNDER!  

3* LATE INFO INSIDER

No Analysis on late releases

3* LATE INFO INSIDER

No Analysis on late releases

5* NCAAB 'Sweet 16' VEGAS INSIDER Top Play on A&M/Michigan OVER

I like the value here with the OVER in Thursday's Sweet 16 matchup between Texas A&M and Michigan. The Wolverines came out flat offensively in their first round game against Montana (didn't score in first 4 minutes, trailed 10-0), which was to be expected after the long layoff between that game and the Big Ten Tournament. They then were matched up with an elite Houston defense in the Round of 32 and ended up needing a last-second 3-pointer to pull out a 64-63 win. 

Prior to these two Tournament games, Michigan had scored 75+ in each of their previous 5 games and I look for the offense to return to form here against Texas A&M. The Aggies limited UNC to just 65 points and 33.3% shooting, but put up 86 on the Tar Heels. Simply put this total has been set too low given the talent offensively on both sides. 

OVER is 13-4 in Michigan's last 17 road games after allowing 30 points or less in the 1st half of each of their last 2 games and 9-2 in their last 11 road games after playing 2 straight as a favorite. OVER is also 9-2 in the Wolverines last 11 vs a team that is shooting 45% or better from the field at least 15 games into the season and a perfect 7-0 in their last 7 on the road vs teams who average 17 or fewer fouls/game. Take the OVER! 

3* NBA Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Nets OVER

I like the value here with the OVER in Wednesday's NBA action that has the Nets hosting the Hornets. While Charlotte managed just 94 points in their last game at the 76ers, this is a team that had been rolling offensively before that contest. The Hornets were averaging 115.3 ppg over their previous 7 games. I think they have no problem here getting back on track offensively against the Nets, who have allowed 111 or more points in 9 of their last 10 games. 

Brooklyn should also be in store for a big game offensively. The Hornets have allowed at least 108 points in each of their last 7 games, and have given up 115 or more in 6 of those 7. Brooklyn has scored 114 or more in 3 straight games and keep mind they put up 125 at Charlotte earlier this month (3/8) in a game that saw a combined 236 points. While the books have adjusted some (total was 217 in the previous meeting), I think these two fly over the number again. Take the OVER! 

4* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Rockets/Blazers OVER

I like the value here with the OVER in Tuesday's showdown between the Rockets and Blazers. These are the two hottest teams in the NBA right now. Houston has won 5 straight and are 22-1 in their last 23 games, while Portland enters on a 13-game winning streak. 

While both are better defensively than they get credit for, I just think there's too much offensive fire-power for them to not reach at least 220 points. Houston is averaging 113.5 ppg on the season and the Blazers are scoring 115 ppg over their last 5. These two teams have played twice already this season. They combined for 141 in the first meeting at Portland and 133 in the matchup at Houston. 

OVER is 18-4 in the Blazers last 22 games in the 2nd half of the season vs elite teams that are outscoring opponents by 6+ points/game. OVER is also 15-5 in their last 20 in the 2nd half vs teams who average 110+ ppg. OVER is also 23-9 in the Rockets last 32 games vs a team with a winning record. Take the OVER! 

4* NBA Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Grizzlies/Nets UNDER

I like the value here with the UNDER in Monday's NBA action that has the Grizzlies visiting the Nets. While Brooklyn is a team built to go over the total with a respectable offense and bad defense, Memphis is one of the worst teams in the league and come in averaging a mere 97.8 ppg on the season. 

The Grizzlies were able to snap a 19-game losing streak in their last game and did so by limiting the Nuggets to just 94 points. That's now two straight games where they have really played well defensively. The held the Bulls to just 43.7% shooting in their previous game. I look for another strong effort here, as they will try to snap a 14-game road losing streak. Note these two teams combined for a whopping 186 points in their only previous meeting this season. 

Brooklyn also won their last game and that's important to note, as the UNDER is 12-2 in the NEts last 14 home games after a win. UNDER is also 12-1 in the Grizzlies last 13 games with a total set between 210 and 219.5. Take the UNDER! 

5* NCAA Tournament NO LIMIT Top Play on Cincy OVER

I love the value here with the OVER in Sunday's Round of 32 action that has Nevada taking on Cincinnati. It's no secret that the Bearcats are a great defensive team and I think that is definitely playing into this low number. 

The key here is the matchup and unfamiliarity with this explosive Nevada offense, which features 3 big time offensive players in Jordan Caroline and the Martin twins. This is a team that scores 83.2 ppg and doesn't play at a really fast tempo, which speaks to how efficient they are. The other big key is they don't turn the ball over and shoot close to 40% from behind the 3-point line. 

While I could see the Bearcats struggling to contain this Nevada offense, they should be able to put up a big number of their own against this Wolf Pack defense. Nevada hasn't allowed fewer than 74 points in each of their last 6 games. 

OVER is 5-1 in the Wolf Pack's last 6 non-confernece games, and 8-2 in their last 10 games played on a neutral site. OVER is also 33-15 in Nevada's last 48 vs great defensive teams that are giving up 64 or fewer points/game at least 15 games into the season. Take the OVER! 

3* NIT Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Oregon/Marquette UNDER

I like the value here with the UNDER in Sunday's NIT action that has Marquette hosting Oregon. The Ducks come in off a 99-86 win over Rider in the opening round of the NIT. That game flew over the total of 159 and I think it has the number here inflated. The Golden Eagles are a team that averages 80.8 ppg, but aren't in great form right now, as they have scored 72 or fewer in each of their last 3 games. 

While Oregon gave up 86 to Rider, the Ducks had held each of their previous 4 opponents to 74 or less and I expect a big effort here defensively on the road. Keep in mind that both teams can score well into the 70s and we can still cash a winning ticket with this high number.

UNDER is 9-2 in the Ducks last 11 off a home win by 10 or more points, 15-5 in their last 20 road games off a home game and 7-1 in their last 8 after allowing 80 or more points. UNDER is also 16-5 in Marquette's last 21 home games with a total in the 150's. Take the UNDER! 

4* NIT Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Penn State OVER

I like the value here with the OVER in Saturday's NIT action that has Notre Dame facing off against Penn State. While Notre Dame put up 84 in their first NIT game against Hampton, the Nittany Lions played a very low-scoring game against Temple, which the won 63-57. I think that combined with the fact that the Irish only allowed 63 to Hampton has this number a lot lower than it should be. 

Penn State is a much better offensive team than they showed in their game against the Owls and should have a much easier time scoring here against the Irish. Keep in mind that Notre Dame allowed Duke to shoot 55.4% from the field in their final game of the ACC Tournament. The other key here is I don't see the Nittany Lions defense being able to slow down the Irish offense, which is averaging 82 ppg at home. 

Note the OVER is 14-4 over the last 2 seasons when Penn State is listed as a road dog and 8-1 in Notre Dame's last 9 home games as a favorite of 6 or less. Take the OVER! 

3* NBA Over/Under TOTAL ANNIHILATOR on Nets UNDER

I like the value here with the UNDER in Friday's NBA action that has the 76ers hosting the Nets. These two division rivals have a history of playing lower scoring games than what the books expect. The UNDER is 11-3-2 in the last 16 meetings and 5-1-1 in the last 7 games played in Philadelphia. 

With how well the 76ers are playing overall an especially at home, there's a good chance this gets out of hand and blowouts typically aren't all that high-scoring. You really need both teams to put up a lot of points to go OVER a mark like this. The Nets just aren't clicking offensively right now, as they are shooting just 43.7% from the field in their last 5 and only average 99.7 ppg vs division opponents. 

UNDER is 11-2 in Philadelphia's last 13 home games when playing against a bad team like the Nets, who have won between 25% to 40% of their games. UNDER is also 22-9 in Brooklyn's last 31 after 3 straight games with a combined score of 215 or more and 17-7 in their last 24 when revenging a home loss of 10 or more points. 

3* NCAA Tournament TOTAL ANNIHILATOR  on Butler UNDER

I like the value with the UNDER in Friday's East Region action that has No. 7 Arkansas taking on No. 10 Butler. Those that just look at the numbers from the regular-season will think this is gong to be a high-scoring game. Both teams average right around 80 ppg and both are allowing on average in the high 70's. 

The thing is, the defensive intensity is taken to a different level in the NCAA Tournament and teams also simply don't shoot as well because of all the hype and pressure that comes with these games. The other thing is both offenses weren't exactly clicking down the stretch. 

While Arkansas put up 80 in a win over Florida in the SEC Tournament, that was the only time in their last 4 games they reached 70 points. Same thing with Butler, who scored 70 or fewer in 3 of their final 4 games. I think we get enough defense here to keep this well below the mark. Take the UNDER! 

3* NCAA Tournament TOTAL MASSACRE on Marshall UNDER

I like the value here with the UNDER in Friday's first round action out of the East Region that has Marshall taking on Wichita State. There's no denying that these are two explosive offensive teams. The betting public is going to simply look at the offensive numbers of these two teams and run to the window to take the OVER. The books are well aware of this and have certainly inflated this total to a price where I think the value is on the other side. 

One thing to keep in mind with teams like Wichita State and Marshall, who rely a lot on the 3-point shot, is that first game of the tournament can prove to be difficult for teams to shoot well. The defensive intensity is also at it's highest, so there's not going to be as many easy looks like their will be in the regular season. 

Note that Marshall has seen the UNDER cash in 23 of their last 31 games when they are up against a dominant rebounding team like Wichita State that's outrebounding opponents by 7+ boards/game. UNDER is also 15-5 in the Shockers last 20 games as a neutral court favorite and 16-5 in their last 21 tournament games overall. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAAB Over/Under TOTAL DESTROYER on Gonzaga UNDER

I like the value here with the UNDER in Thursday's first round action out of the West Region between No. 4 seed Gonzaga and No. 13 seed UNC-Greensboro. Gonzaga is an offensive juggernaut. The Bulldogs ranked 10th in the country in offensive efficiency while averaging 84.5 ppg. 

The problem here is I don't think Gonzaga is going to be able to put up a big number here against the Spartans. UNC-Greensboro is a team that is built around it's defense and will do whatever they can to slow down the pace of the game to take the other team out of their offensive rhythm. They know their only shot of pulling off the upset is to do exactly that and I just don't think there's going to be enough possessions to push this over the mark. Keep in mind Gonzaga is no slouch on the defensive side of the ball. They only gave up 67.1 ppg and Greensboro is not a very good offensive team. Take the UNDER! 

4* NIT Over/Under TOTAL ANNIHILATOR on Washington OVER

I like the value here with the OVER in Wednesday's late night NIT action that has Boise State taking on Washington. The Broncos defense really slipped down the stretch, as they allowed 79 ppg over their final 3 games.

I know the Huskies aren't a great offensive team, but they should be able to put up a big number here at home against this defense. On the flip side of this, I don't think Washington will be able to slow down the Broncos attack, sending this one well over the mark set here by the books. 

OVER is 19-9 in the Huskies last 28 non-conference games and 9-1 in their last 10 when playing on 5 or 6 days of rest. Take the OVER! 

3* NBA Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Spurs OVER

I like the value with the OVER in Monday's NBA action that has the Rockets hosting the Spurs. Houston is coming off a couple of sub-par offensive showings in their last two games to close out a 4-game road trip, but still managed to score 105 in both of those games. They also played their last game without James Harden. With Harden expected back in the lineup tonight, I think we see the Rockets return to form and put up a big number here on a Spurs team that is struggling.

San Antonio has lost 4 of 5 and are just 2-8 in their last 10 games. They are giving up 110 ppg over their last 5. They did score just 94 in their last game against OKC, but had scored 100 or more in each of their previous 7 games. I think they get to at least the century mark here, which should push this well over the mark. Take the OVER! 

3* NCAAB Early Bird ATS ANNIHILATOR on Central Michigan OVER

I like the value here with the OVER in Monday's early CIT action that has Fort Wayne hosting Central Michigan. The Mastodons averaged 82.1 ppg and were even better at home, where they put up 89.5 ppg. I don't think the Chippewas will be able to slow down this attack. Central Michigan wasn't a great defensive team and allowed 77.7 ppg away from home. 

The key here is the Chippewas have the offensive fire-power to keep pace with the Mastodons and push this well over the mark set by the books. Central Michigan closed out the season averaging 78.0 ppg over their last 5 contests. Fort Wayne allowed 83.8 ppg over their final 5 games. 

The OVER is a perfect 8-0 in the Mastodons last 8 games and 7-1 in the Chippewas last 8 games. OVER is 9-2 in Central Michigan's last 11 road games with a line and 8-1 as an underdog this season. OVER is also 14-4 in Fort Wayne's last 18 as a home favorite and 7-1 in their last 8 after scoring 75+ in 3 straight games. Take the OVER! 

3* NBA Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Magic UNDER

I like the value here with the UNDER in Saturday's NBA action that has the Clippers hosting the Magic. While the Clippers have scored 116 or more in 4 straight games, I think we could see a much slower pace for LA tonight. The Clippers playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back after laying it all on the line at home last night against LeBron James and the Cavs. A game they won by 14. 

This is now a prime letdown spot for Los Angeles against a bottom feeder like the Magic. Orlando is a complete mess right now and the offense has really struggled of late. The Magic have failed to score 90 twice in their last 3 games. The key here is they have played some decent defense of late, as they are only allowing 100.4 ppg over their last 5. 

UNDER is 18-8 in the Magic's last 26 non-conference games and 10-1 in the Clippers last 11 home games off an upset win as a dog. Take the UNDER! 

3* LATE INFO INSIDER 

3* NCAAB Early Bird ANNIHILATOR on Alabama UNDER

I like the value here with the UNDER in Saturday's SEC semifinal action between Kentucky and Alabama. These are two of the better defensive teams in the league and with a trip to the title game on the line, I think this one stays well under the mark set by the books.

The Crimson Tide limited Texas A&M to just 70 points and on 39% shooting in their first game of the Tournament and followed that up by holding Auburn to a mere 63 points on 32.3% shooting. Kentucky's defense was even better in their only game so far in the tournament, as they held Georgia to a mere 49 points on 28% shooting. 

UNDER is 10-2 in Alabama's last 12 games after playing 2 straight games as an underdog and 15-5 in their last 20 after going UNDER the total in their previous game. UNDER is also 7-2 in Kentucky's last 9 games played on a neutral site. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAAB Over/Under VEGAS INSIDER on Cornell UNDER

I like the value here with the UNDER is Saturday's Ivy League action between Cornell and Harvard.  These two teams combined for at least 149 in both regular-season meetings, but I expect a much more defensive game with what is at stake here in postseason play. 

Harvard won the most recent meeting at home by double-digits and that's worth noting, as the UNDER is 13-4 in Cornell's last 17 road games when revenging a road loss of 10 or more points. UNDER is also a strong 16-5 in Harvard's last 21 when they come in off 2 straight games where they scored 75 or more points. 

Adding to all of this is a great system in play. The UNDER is 25-3 when you neutral court teams against the total (HARVARD) - after 3 or more consecutive overs, an average team (+/- 3.5 PPG diff.) against a poor team (-3.5 to -8 PPG diff.) after 15+ games. Take the UNDER!

3* NBA Over/Under TOTAL ANNIHILATOR on Lakers UNDER

I like the value here with the UNDER in Wednesday's NBA action that has the Lakers hosting the Magic. While these two teams have played in a lot of high-scoring games of late, both come in off a poor offensive showing. Orlando scored just 80 points and shot a mere 34.1% from the field in their last game at Utah, while LA scored just 103 and shot 39.5% from the field in their last game against the Blazers. 

UNDER is 7-1 in the Magic's last 8 games vs a team with a losing record and 11-2 in their last 13 vs the Western Conference. UNDER is also 15-3 in the last 18 meetings between these two teams when they face off in LA. Take the UNDER! 

3* LATE INFO INSIDER

No Analysis on late releases

4* LATE INFO INSIDER

No Analysis on late releases

3* NBA Over/Under TOTAL ANNIHILATOR on Nuggets OVER

I like the value here with the OVER in Tuesday's NBA action that has the Nuggets visiting the Mavericks. Denver comes in scorching hot on the offensive side of the ball. They have scored 104  or more points in 14 straight games and have hit or eclipsed 110 points in 11 of those 14 games. They are averaging 118 ppg over their last 5. 

Dallas isn't a great offensive team, but are in good form, averaging 107 ppg over their last 4. I think they hit that mark and then some. As good as the Nuggets have been offensively, they have been just as bad defensively. Denver has given up 100+ in 14 straight and have allowed 12 of their last 13 opponents to shoot 50% or better from the field. 

OVER is 21-8 in the Mavs last 29 home games after giving up 105 or more points in 3 straight games and 5-0 in their last 5 at home. OVER is also 14-4 in the Nuggets last 18 road games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their home games and 20-9 in their last 29 off 2 or more consecutive wins. Take the OVER! 

3* LATE INFO INSIDER

No Analysis on late releases

4* BEST BET on Greensboro OVER

No analysis in late info plays

4* NBA Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Suns/Heat OVER

I'm recommending a play on the OVER in Monday's NBA action that has the Suns visiting the Heat. In Phoenix's 6 games since the All-Star break they rank 1st in the league in pace of play and I think that up-tempo brand of basketball will help push this well over the mark. The Suns have scored 112.5 ppg in those 6 games since the break. As good as the offense has been, the defense has been equally bad, which explains why they are just 1-5 SU despite the offensive fire-works. Phoenix is giving up 116.3 ppg during this stretch. 

Miami is known more as a defensive team, but are just two games removed from allowing 131 to the Lakers on their home floor. They are also trending up offensively right now, as they have scored 100+ in 7 straight games and should have zero problem eclipsing that mark against this Suns defense, which might be lacking energy off that crushing last second loss to the Hawks yesterday. 

OVER is 8-3 in the Heat's last 11 overall and 4-0 in their last 4 games vs a team from the Western Conference. OVER is also 11-2 in the Suns last 13 road games when playing in the second game of a back-to-back set and 7-0 in their last 7 when their starting 5 logged more than 160 minutes the previous day. Take the OVER! 

4* NBA Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Bucks UNDER

I think we are going to see a high-intensity game here on Sunday with the Bucks and 76ers facing off in Milwaukee. Both of these teams are trying to climb up the ranks in the Eastern Conference and I expect both to be highly motivated for a win. 

Philadelphia comes in playing their best basketball of the season, as they are 9-2 in their last 11 games. The 76ers will be motivated to keep that going. As for the Bucks, they come in having lost 4 straight and will be desperate for a win here. Note the UNDER has cashed in each of Philadelphia's last 4 games and each of Milwaukee's last 3 contests. 

Adding to all of this is a great system in play based off the Wizards recent struggles. The UNDER is 142-81 (64%) over the last 5 seasons in the month of March when you have a total greater than 200 in a game that involves a team that's lost 3 or more straight games. Take the UNDER! 

5* NBA Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Pacers UNDER

I love the value here with the UNDER in Sunday's NBA action that has the Wizards hosting the Pacers. Just 2-games separate these two teams in the Eastern Conference playoff race and I think both sides will be highly motivated here to get a win. 

Indiana snapped a short 2-game skid with an impressive 103-96 win at Milwaukee in their last game and should be motivated here to finish up their road trip with a .500 record at 2-2. As for Washington, they are looking to bounce back from back-to-back home losses to the Warriors and Raptors. 

It's also worth noting the UNDER has been a really strong play of late in Wizards' games. In fact, the UNDER has cashed in each of Washington's last 4 games. The Pacers have also played to the UNDER in each of their last 2 games and is 9-2-1 in Indiana's last 12 road games and 5-0-1 in their last 6 on the road vs a team with a winning home record. Take the UNDER! 

3* LATE INFO INSIDER 

3* NCAAB Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on TCU UNDER

I like the value with the UNDER in Saturday's Big 12 action that has TCU at Texas Tech. I think the number here really says it all. These two teams combined for 154 points in their previous meeting this season, going over the mark set of 146. Now we have an even lower total in the rematch. That's a clear sign the books think this will be more of a defensive battle than the first meeting, as the public will be all over the OVER at the cheaper price. 

Texas Tech seems to always bring the defensive intensity when they play on Saturday. In fact, 10 of the last 12 games the Red Raiders have played on a Saturday have gone UNDER the total. Keep in mind this is senior day for Texas Tech, so we should get their very best effort on that side of the ball. The UNDER is also 4-1 in the Horned Frogs last 5 road games vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Take the UNDER! 

5* NBA Non-Conference TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Warriors/Hawks OVER

I recommending playing the OVER in Friday's NBA action that has the Hawks hosting the Warriors. We can pretty much bank on Golden State putting up a big number here offensively. The Warriors haven't scored fewer than 105 points in 11 straight games and are averaging 119.4 ppg over their last 5. Atlanta doesn't have the talent or scheme defensively to slow them down. 

The key here is I don't think we are going to see Golden State bring the defensive intensity against an inferior opponent in what's the final game of a 3-game road trip and a nice 3-day break looming after this contest. I think we get a very similar type of game to the Warriors recent road game against the Knicks, where they won 125-111. 

OVER is 6-2-1 in the Warriors last 9 games vs a team with a losing record. It's also 13-4 in the Hawks last 17 home games vs a team with a winning road record and 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs a top tier team that's won more than 60% of their road games. Take the OVER! 

4* NCAAB Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Penn State UNDER

I like the value here with the UNDER in Friday's Big Ten action that has Penn State taking on Ohio State. These two teams have already played twice this season. The first meeting saw a ton of offensive fireworks, as the two combined for 171 points.

It was a completely different story in the rematch, as the two only combined for 135. I think we see an even bigger edge defensively in the 3rd meeting, keeping this well under the mark. 

UNDER is 20-9 on the season in Ohio State games. It's also 8-2 in the Buckeyes are playing only their 2nd game in a 8-day stretch and 7-1 in their last 8 when playing on a neutral site. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA Over/Under Total NO BRAINER on Nets UNDER

I like the value in the UNDER for Thursday's NBA action that has two of the league's worst going at it in the Kings and Nets. These are two of the worst offenses in the league. The Kings rank dead last in offensive efficiency and the Nets are far behind at 26th. Note they played once already this season and combined for a mere 203 points in a 104-99 Sacramento win at Brooklyn. I'm expecting a similar outcome here. 

UNDER is 9-2 in the Kings last 11 games vs the Eastern Conference and 12-3 in their last 15 after allowing 105 or more points in 4 straight games. UNDER is also 6-2 in the Nets last 8 vs a team with a losing record, 20-8 in their last 28 off a SU loss and 12-4 in their last 16 when revenging a home loss to an opponent. 

Adding to this is a great system in play. The UNDER is 46-18 (72%) going all the way back to 1996 when you have a total of 210 to 219.5 where you have a bad team (Win pct. 25% to 40%) off a road loss by 10 or more (Kings) and are playing another team with a losing record. Take the UNDER! 

3* LATE INFO INSIDER

No Analysis on late releases

3* LATE INFO INSIDER

No Analysis on late releases

3* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Pacers OVER 

I like the value here with the OVER in Wednesday's NBA action that has the Hawks hosting the Pacers. These two teams faced off last Friday in the first game out of the break for both sides and the two teams combined for 209 points with Atlanta mustering a mere 93 points. 

The key here to this one being even higher scoring is that the Hawks should be more of a threat offensively at home, as the Pacers are not the same team defensively on the road. On the flip side of this, we should see a similar offensive outburst from Indiana, as Atlanta is equally bad on the defensive end at home as they are on the road. 

OVER is 5-1 in the Hawks last 6 off a loss by 10 or more and 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs a team with a losing road record. Take the OVER! 

3* LATE INFO INSIDER

No Analysis on late releases

4* NBA Over/Under TOTAL NO-BRAINER on Rockets UNDER

I like the value here with the UNDER in Sunday's late night NBA action between the Rockets and Nuggets. Houston is a team the public absolutely loves to back the OVER because of their offensive fire-power. What people overlook with all the points the Rockets put up is how well they are playing defensively. Houston ranks in the Top 10 in defensive efficiency and have allowed 108 or fewer points in 8 of their last 9, with 6 of those being 102 points or less. 

A big key here is that the Rockets will be playing without Eric Gordon, who is 3rd on the team in scoring at 18.5 ppg and primarily has been their biggest spark off the bench. I think that disrupts the rhythm enough to keep Houston from putting up a big number here. 

This will surprise a lot of people, but the UNDER is 11-2 in the Rockets last 13 games against other teams from the west. It's also 10-4 in their last 14 road games and 5-1-1 in their last 7 road games vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Take the UNDER! 

3* LATE INFO INSIDER

No Analysis on late releases

3* LATE INFO INSIDER

No Analysis on late releases

5* NBA Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Celtics UNDER

I love the value here with the UNDER in Saturday's NBA action that has division rivals Boston and New York going head-to-head at Madison Square Garden. The Celtics returned from the All-Star break with a 110-98 win at Detroit. Their defense held the Pistons to just 43.5% shooting and my money is on another big effort on the defensive side of the ball tonight.

New York put up 120 in a win over the Magic in their last game, but that's nothing to get excited about. This is still a very limited Knicks offense without Porzingis and last time they faced the Celtics they managed just 73 points. Adding to this is the fact that each of the last 4 meetings in the series have seen 204 or fewer combined points with all 3 meetings this seasons failing to eclipse the 200 mark. Take the UNDER! 

5* NCAAB Big 12 TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Iowa State UNDER

I think the books have completely missed the mark here on Saturday's total for West Virginia/Iowa St. The Cyclones simply don't have the offensive fire-power away from home to push this over the mark, which is why you can't read into the first meeting that saw ISU put up 93 in a 16-point win at home over West Virginia. 

Iowa State has failed to score more than 67 in each of their last 4 road games and don't figure to eclipse that mark here against the Mountaineers. West Virginia is only giving up 63.4 ppg and holding teams to 39.1% shooting at home this season. It's a big reason why just one of their last 6 Big 12 home games have seen a combined score more than what is listed here. 

UNDER is also 10-3 in West Virginia's last 13 conference games and 7-2 in the Mountaineers last 9 after a game where they covered the spread. Take the UNDER! 

3* NCAAB Over/Under Total DESTROYER on Notre Dame OVER 

The books have set the bar too low for Saturday's total between Notre Dame and Wake Forest. The Irish come in off a loss at home to Miami, but still managed to score 74 points and shoot 53% from the field. Notre Dame is averaging 80.8 ppg over their last 5. 

While the offense has been clicking, the defense hasn't been great for the Irish, as they are allowing 76.2 ppg over their last 5. Wake Forest is a very capable offensive team and are also in good form, as they are averaging 75.4 ppg over their last 5. In their last home game they combined for 174 points with NC Stat and I think we could see a similar outburst in this one.

OVER is 5-1 in the Demon Deacons last 6 ACC games and 12-4 in the Irish's last 16 vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. Take the OVER! 

4* NCAAB Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Georgia Tech UNDER

I like the value here with the UNDER in Saturdays' ACC action that has Georgia Tech visiting Clemson. These are two teams that like to slow down the pace, which in turn limits the number of possessions and more times than not leads to a much lower scoring game than anticipated.

Georgia Tech ranks 13th in the ACC in pace of play and an even bigger bonus is they are dead last in the league in offensive efficiency. Clemson ranks 10th in the league in pace of play in the ACC. They are also 3rd in defensive efficiency and a mere 11th in offensive efficiency. 

UNDER is 14-4 in Clemson's last 18 home games and 7-1 in the Tigers last 8 home games vs a team with a losing road record. Take the UNDER! 

3* NCAAB Over/Under Total DOMINATOR on Michigan OVER

I think we are getting some great value here with the OVER in Saturday's Big Ten action that has Michigan visiting Maryland. The Wolverines feature one of the most efficient offenses in the Big Ten, as they come in averaging 73.9 ppg on 47% shooting. The big key here is the offense doesn't regress when they are on the road, as Michigan is averaging 73.6 ppg on 47% shooting away from home. 

As for Maryland, the Terps are flying high on the offensive end right now. They come shooting a scorching 51.2% from the field over their last 5 games and are averaging 76.8 ppg on their home floor this season. These two teams combined for 135 points in the first meeting and that was back when Maryland wasn't playing well and Michigan shot an uncharacteristic 41% from the field. I think we could see this one eclipse 150. Take the OVER! 

3* LATE INFO INSIDER 

5* NBA Eastern Conf TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Bulls/76ers UNDER

I really like the value here with the UNDER in Thursday's NBA action that has the Bulls hosting the 76ers. Chicago's offense simply isn't as potent following the trade of Mirotic and they went into the break averaging just 101 ppg over their last 5. Philadelphia on the other hand really got their defense going in the final games before the break, as they allowed just 95.2 ppg over their last 5, while holding opponents to just 41.3% from the field. 

I think that combination will be more than enough to keep this below the mark set by the books. It also helps the game is being played in Chicago, as we should get a big effort here from the Bulls defensively at home.

It's also worth noting the Bulls went into the All-Star break having failed to cover the spread in each of their final 3 games. That's important, because the UNDER is 23-8 in Chicago's last 31 games after failing to cover 3 or more games in a row. UNDER is also 13-4 in the Bulls last 17 home games in the 2nd half of the season vs strong offensive teams that average 106 or more points/game. Take the UNDER! 

3* LATE INFO INSIDER 

3* LATE INFO INSIDER

No Analysis on late releases

3* LATE INFO INSIDER

No Analysis on late releases

3* LATE INFO INSIDER

No Analysis on late releases

3* NCAAB Over/Under Total NO BRAINER on Kansas/Oklahoma UNDER

I like the value here with the UNDER in Monday's Big 12 matchup that has Kansas hosting Oklahoma. There were a lot of offensive fire-works in the first meeting between these two teams and yet they only combined for 165 points in a 85-80 win at home for Oklahoma. 

I just don't see the rematch being more of an offensive game than the first meeting. Especially given how much this game means to both teams. Kansas needs a win here to stay in a position to win the Big 12, while the Sooners are desperate for a victory after losing their last 5 (in danger of missing the NCAA Tournament). 

All the hype surrounding Trae Young has really made life difficult for the Sooners and opposing teams appear to be figuring him out. Young is really struggling from the outside, as he's just 9-51 (17.6%) over his last 5 games on 3-point attempts. I don't see Young breaking out of his slump here against the Jayhawks. Kansas is 2nd in the Big 12 at defending the 3-point shot. They will also have a much better idea of how to game-plan for Young having already faced him once this season. 

UNDER is 9-1 in the Sooners last 10 off a conference loss and a perfect 10-0 in the Jayhawks last 10 games off a home win. Take the UNDER! 

3* NCAAB Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Michigan State OVER

I like the value here with the OVER in Saturday's Big Ten action that has Michigan State visiting Northwestern. While these are two strong defensive teams, it's not asking a lot here for them to go over the mark set here. Keep in mind that Michigan State comes in average 83.2 ppg on the season and have scored at least 87 in each of their last 2 road games. Only 3 of the Spartans 15 conference games have failed to combine for more than the total set here. 

Adding to all of this is a great system. OVER is 36-12 (75%) over the last 5 seasons when you have  a total of 130 to 139.5 in a game in involving two good defensive teams that are allowing 63-67 ppg at last 15 games into the season with one of the teams off a win by 20 or more points. Take the OVER! 

3* NCAAB Early Bird Total DOMINATOR on SMU UNDER

I like the value here with the UNDER in Saturday's AAC action that has UCF hosting SMU. Both of these teams have been hit hard with injuries and simply don't have a whole lot of offensive fire-power to work with.

These are also the two slowest teams in the American in terms of pace and both rank outside the top 300 in pace nationally. SMU is only giving up 63.5 ppg and will be facing a UCF offense that averages just 59.8 ppg. The Knights only give up 59.8 ppg at home and are facing a Mustangs offense that is averaging only 65.4 ppg on the road. 

UNDER is 9-1 in UCF's last 10 after allowing 65 or less points in 2 straight games, 12-3 in their last 15 off a SU win by 15 or more points and 18-5 in SMU's last 23 road games when playing their 3rd game in a week span. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA Over/Under Total Annihilator on Hawks/Bucks OVER

Last time out the Bucks combined with the Magic for 115 points, finishing well over the total posted for that game of 208.5. That snapped a streak of 9-straight games for Milwaukee that had gone UNDER the total. I think we saw a big overreaction from that streak in their game against Orlando, who is awful defensively and not a team the Bucks are going to get up for. I see a very similar scenario here with this game against Atlanta. 

The Hawks are in full on rebuilding mode, and as you might expect for a team that's basically tanking for the future, they aren't great on the road. Atlanta is just 5-22 away from home and a big reason for that is their defense, which gives up 109.3 ppg, while allowing their opponents to shoot 47% from the field. Milwaukee should be able to score at will here. With the All-Star break just around the corner, I don't think we see a great defensive effort here from the Bucks, which should allow the Hawks to provide more than an enough here to push this over the mark. Take the OVER! 

5* NBA Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Raptors UNDER

I love the value here with the UNDER in today's early action that has the Raptors visiting the Hornets. I think it's hard for NBA teams to get in a flow offensively in these early games on Sunday, especially this late in the season. These two teams combined for 140 points in their previous meeting back in December, which I believe has this total way too high. 

Toronto has been locked in defensively over their current 4-game winning streak. The Raptors have held their opponents to just 92.5 ppg and have held each of their last 3 opponents under 40% from the field. I think there's a good chance they keep it going here against a Hornets team that has shot poorly in each of their last two games and managed just 94 points in their last game against the Jazz. 

UNDER is 5-1 in the Raptors last 6 games off a win and 4-1 in the Hornets last 5 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. 

Adding to all of this is a great system in play. The UNDER is 74-39 (66%) over the last 5 seasons when you have a total north of 200 where they home team comes in having failed to cover the spread in 3 or more games and are on little rest, playing their 3rd game in a 4 day span. Take the UNDER! 

5* NBA WESTERN CONF TOTAL OF THE MONTH on UNDER

I love the value here with the UNDER in Wednesday's NBA action that has the Jazz visiting the Grizzlies. I know Utah has been putting up some big offensive numbers of late, but I think we could see them struggle to put up a big number here against Memphis. The pace here figures to be  a lot slower than the last few games for the Jazz, plus they have to be a bit fatigued here playing their 4th straight on the road. 

The Grizzlies have decided to sit out arguably their biggest offensive threat in Tyreke Evans until the trade deadline passes. In the 4 games without him the offense hasn't scored more than 102 points and have failed to eclipse 90 in their last 2 games. Memphis has no choice but to slow down the pace without Evans and this isn't a spot where they will look to push it playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back. 

UNDER is 11-3 in the Grizzlies last 14 after losing 3 or more straight games, 4-1 in their last 5 following a SU loss of more than 10 points and 7-2 in their last 9 home games following a road trip of 7 o more days. UNDER is also 23-8 in the last 31 meetings between these two teams in Memphis. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Raptors/Celtics UNDER

I really like the value here with the UNDER in the total for Tuesday's big Eastern Conference showdown that has Atlantic Division rivals Toronto and Boston facing off. It's no secret that the Celtics are an elite defensive team and we have to believe they will bring their "A" game on that side of the ball against the Raptors, as Boston comes in having allowed just 93.7 ppg in their 11 division games this season. 

So while Toronto comes in averaging 111.4 ppg, there's a good chance they don't come anywhere close to that. The Raptors have been such a good team offensively, people overlook how well they have been playing on the defensive side of the ball. Toronto is only giving up 101.3 ppg at home and have allowed just 99.2 ppg in division games. They are 3rd in the NBA in defensive efficiency. Opponents are making just 44.9% of their field goal attempts (6th) and a mere 34.8% of their 3-point shots (4th). As good as Boston is defensively, they are just 24th in scoring at 103.2 ppg and their 44.9% field pct also ranks 24th. Take the UNDER 206! 

3* NCAAB Over/Under TOTAL ANNIHILATOR on Rutgers OVER 

I like the value here with the OVER in Monday's Big Ten matchup that has Rutgers hosting Indiana. I think a big reason we are getting such great value here is the fact that the Hoosiers come in having had each of their last 3 games go under the mark and all 3 saw Indiana struggle to score. What is getting overlooked is those 3 games came against the 3 best teams in the Big Ten in Purdue, Ohio State and Michigan State. 

The other thing here is that Rutgers is only giving up 59.7 ppg at home this season, but they haven't been playing well defensively of late. The Scarlet Knights just gave up 78 at home to Purdue and the game before that allowed 91 to Illinois (Illini shot 57% from the field). Coming off a crushing 76-78 loss to the Boilermakers and all the injuries that are starting to mount up will make it tough on Rutgers to get the defense back on track against this explosive Indiana offense. Take the OVER! 

4* NBA Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Celtics OVER 

I like the value here with the OVER in Sunday's NBA action that has the Celtics taking on the Blazers. Most will just blindly take the UNDER here due to Kyrie Irving not playing for Boston, but I actually think the books have over-adjusted for this one. 

Boston has scored 100+ in 6 straight games and have shot 47% or better from the field in each of their last 3. Portland is also rolling offensively right now. The Blazers come in off a 25-point loss at Toronto, despite shooting 51% from the field. The second straight game they made more than half their shots. As good as the Celtics are defensively, I don't think we get a great effort from Boston on that side of the ball today. 

OVER is 22-9 in the Celtics last 31 home games after winning 3 of their last 4 and 12-2 in their last 14 home games after scoring 115 or more points in their previous game. Take the OVER! 

5* NBA Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Bucks Nets UNDER

I love the value here in the UNDER with Sunday's NBA total that has the Bucks visiting the Nets. Both of these teams have seen the majority of their games finish below the mark here of late. The UNDER has chased in 6 straight games for the Bucks and 11 of their last 13 overall. UNDER is 7-2 in the Bucks last 9 games and 14-4 in their last 14 games at home. 

Add in the early start time here and I just don't see these two teams eclipsing the mark set here by the books. Keep in mind both teams have been struggling offensively. Milwaukee followed an 89-point effort at Minnesota with a mere 92-points in their last game against the Knicks. As for Brooklyn, they scored fewer than 100 points in 4 of their last 5. Take the UNDER! 

3* NCAAB Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Georgia Tech OVER 

I like the value here with the OVER in Sunday's college action that has Boston College hosting Georgia Tech. The Eagles have really struggled defensively in ACC play, where they are giving up 78 ppg. The average combined score in BC's 9 conference games so far is 150.6 points and that's with a game against Virginia that saw just 117 total points scored. 

Georgia Tech comes in off a very low-scoring game against Syracuse, where they pulled out a 55-51 win. I think that is definitely playing into that number. Georgia Tech had scored 70 or more in each of their previous 2 games and should easily hit that mark here against the Eagles. OVER is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in the series between these two teams and 16-5-1 in the Eagles last 22 conference games. Take the OVER! 

4* NBA Over/Under NO BRAINER on Pacers UNDER 

I like the value here with the UNDER in Wednesday's NBA action that has the Grizzlies visiting the Pacers.  Indiana should be able to dictate the tempo here on their home floor and the Pacers play at one of the slower paces in the league. It's big reason why the UNDER is 16-10-1 in their 27 home games this season. 

Memphis has been playing in a number of higher scoring games, but the UNDER has gone 6-1 in the Grizzlies last 7 vs a team with a winning record. UNDER is also 8-1 in the Pacers last 9 vs the Western Conference, 8-2-1 in their last 11 after a game where they scored 100+ points and 12-3-1 in their last 16 vs a team that allowed 100+ points in their previous game. Take the UNDER! 

5* NBA Western Conf TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Clippers/Pelicans UNDER

The books have set the bar too high for Saturday's total between the Clippers and Pelicans. New Orleans ranks 3rd in the NBA at 111.1 ppg, but they simply aren't going to be the same explosive offensive team going forward. The Pelicans lost star big man DeMarcus Cousins to a season-ending injury. Cousins was averaging 25.2 ppg and a team high 2.2 made 3-pointers/game. New Orleans will have to adjust their style and I think it takes some time for the offense to figure it out. 

The Clippers come in having allowed and scored at least 100 points in 13 straight games, which is also creating value with this big total set here. The offense hasn't been as good for LA the last two games and I think we see them struggle to get going here. 

UNDER is 41-14 (75%) when you have a total of 220 to 229.5 where the road team is revenging a loss to a team that scored 100+ points in the previous meeting and is off a road win. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Knicks UNDER 

I like the value here with the UNDER in Thursday's NBA action that has the Nuggets hosting the Knicks. Denver has really been struggling offensively here of late. They have scored 105 or fewer points in 7 straight games and have shot 41% or worse from the field 5 times during this stretch. 

While the Knicks aren't a great defensive team, Denver has been struggling against teams who are just as bad on that side of the ball. Add in the fact that over the last 15 games both teams rank in the bottom half of the league in pace and offensive efficiency and I think we have a game that could struggle to see 200 combined points. 

UNDER is 14-6 in the Nuggets 20 games this season as a home favorite, 15-4 in their last 19 when revenging a loss and a perfect 7-0 in their last 7 when playing on a full 2 days of rest. Take the UNDER!

4* NBA Over/Under Total NO BRAINER on Bulls UNDER

I think we are getting great value here with the UNDER in Wednesday's NBA total between the Bulls and 76ers. Chicago's a team that normally likes to play at a pretty fast pace, but I think we see a much slower tempo here from the Bulls. Chicago is playing their 3rd straight on the road over a span of just 5 days and are coming off a grueling double-overtime loss to the Pelicans. 

The 76ers are also playing for the 3rd time in 5 days and were on the road last time out at Memphis. A game they blew a late lead in by giving up 31 in the 4th quarter. Head coach Brett Brown called out his star players and I think we get a big effort here from the 76ers. The offense also figures to still be limited with both McConnell and Redick out with injuries. 

UNDER is 34-17 in the Bulls last 51 after 3 straight games in which they scored 105 or more points and 10-1 in the 76ers last 11 home games against a team that's only won between 25% and 40% of their games. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAAB Over/Under Total NO BRAINER  on Iowa State OVER

I like the value here with the OVER in Monday's NCAAB total that has ISU visiting Texas. I just think we are seeing an overreaction here to the Cyclones last game, which saw them combine for just 122 points in a blowout win over Texas Tech at home. Even with that low-scoring affair, the average combined score in ISU's 7 Big 12 games this season is 155. 

Texas comes in only giving up 66.5 ppg on the season, but are allowing 76.9 ppg in Big 12 play and the average combined score in the Longhorns 7 Big 12 games is 148.5. We are sitting here looking at a total at less than 140, which makes this a pretty easy play for me. Take the OVER! 

5* NFL Playoffs TOTAL OF THE YEAR  on Vikings OVER

I love the value here with the total in Sunday's NFC Championship Game between the Vikings and Eagles. I know these are two teams are built around their defenses, but it's not asking a lot to hit 40 points with the talent these two have on the offensive side of the ball. 

Minnesota's offense is better than it gets credit for. The Vikings have score 23 or more points in 4 of their last 5 games. They put up 29 last week against a solid Saints defense and I expect them to be around that 23-27 mark in this one. 

The Eagles come in averaging 27.8 ppg, but haven't been quite as potent with Nick Foles under center. They put up just 15 on the Falcons last week, but did have some success moving the ball. They just had to settle for a couple field goals and had two costly turnovers. Minnesota's defense is very good, but it's not as dominant on the road. 

All we need is to average 10-points a quarter to clear this mark and I think we get that and some more. OVER is 15-4 in the Vikings last 19 road games off a home win where they failed to cover as a favorite and 7-0 in the Eagles last 7 games after posting a turnover margin of -1 or worse in two straight games. Take the OVER! 

3* NBA Over/Under Total Annihilator on Rockets OVER

I look for the Rockets and Timberwolves to have no problem eclipsing the mark set here by the books. Only the Warriors rank higher than these two teams in offensive efficiency this season and the Rockets are a team that likes to push the pace and should dictate the tempo here at home, as they will have both James Harden and Chris Paul available. 

While the Rockets have improved defensively this year, they don't figure to be as good on that side of the ball with both Gerald Green and Trevor Ariza not available because of a suspension. It's also worth nothing that last year all 4 meetings saw at least 220 points with both games in Houston combining for at least 141 points. 

OVER is a perfect 8-0 in the Rockets last 8 home games and 9-1 in the Timberwolves last 10 vs a team with a winning record. Take the OVER! 

4* NBA Over/Under Total NO BRAINER on Bulls UNDER

I like the value here with the UNDER in Monday's afternoon showdown between the Heat and Bulls. Miami plays at one of the slower paces in the league. In fact, only the Spurs and Grizzlies play are playing at a slower tempo this season.

Yesterday the Heat played a defensive battle against the Bucks, where they held Milwaukee to just 79 points and the game finished with a mere 176 points and the total was 203.5. With the Bucks on no rest and playing an afternoon game, I look for them to slow down the tempo even more against the Bulls, as they don't want to get in a transition game with Chicago. 

UNDER is 23-12 in the Heat's last 35 road games with a total of 200 to 209.5 and 20-7 in their last 27 off a win by 10-points or less. 

We also have a great system in play. UNDER is 32-8 (80%) going all the way back to 1996 when you have a total is greater than or equal to 200 with a home team off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record. Take the UNDER! 

5* NBA Eastern Conf TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Nets UNDER

This might seem like a low total given the recent outcomes of both of these teams, but my money in this situation is on the UNDER. These two teams don't like each other and will be facing off for the third time this season. The more familiar two teams get with one another, the harder it becomes to score in the halfcourt. 

Another factor here is I don't think either side has a lot of gas left in the tank. Both teams will be playing their 3rd game in the span of just 4 days. On top of that, we have a rare early start time for a weekday game with the holiday and I think that only makes it harder on the players to come out and be effective offensively. 

UNDER is 20-9 in the Nets last 29 home games with a total of 210 to 219.5. It's also 10-3 in Brooklyn's last 14 off a SU loss and 7-1 in their last 8 home games. Take the UNDER! 

4* Alabama/Georgia Total NO BRAINER on Georgia OVER

The public perception here is that this is going to be a very low-scoring national championship game, as we have two teams that want to run the football and are considered to be elite on the defensive side of the ball. What gets overlooked is the talent that both of these two teams have on the offensive side of the ball and that 44 points is an extremely low total for today's college game. 

Another thing that I think people fall into a trap with is how great these teams look defensively in the semifinals and forget that they have had over a month to prepare for those opponents. People were saying the same thing the last two years with Alabama and Clemson and both of those turned into shootouts. In fact, each of the first 3 title games since the playoffs was introduced has seen at least 62 points. All we need to get a win here is 45. That's less than 2 touchdowns a quarter. Take the OVER! 

4* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Nets UNDER

I like the value here with the UNDER in Saturday's NBA action that has the Celtics visiting the Nets. Boston comes in having won 5 straight and they can credit their defense for their most recent run. The Celtics are allowing just 93.2 ppg over this run and are holding opponents to just 37.5% shooting during this stretch. 

On Wednesday they held the Cavs to just 88 points and last night shut down another elite offense, as they held the Timberwolves to just 84 points. I see no reason for Boston to take their foot off the gas defensively against the Nets, but there's a good chance the offense struggles to get going in this one. 

UNDER is 21-8 in the Celtics last 29 after a game where they held their opponent to 90 or fewer points and 25-14 in their last 39 when listed as a road favorite. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA Over/Under Total NO BRAINER on Jazz UNDER

I like the value here with the UNDER in Wednesday's total between the Jazz and Pelicans. Utah comes in off a 104-101 win against the Cavs at home and will be looking to build on that after a really tough stretch. The Jazz are only giving up 95.5 ppg at home this season, as they have held their opponents to just 43.2% shooting from the floor at home. New Orleans isn't exactly playing well, as they just lost two straight at home against the Knicks and Mavs. 

I think we are get a big time effort from both sides defensively here and each side should have some fresh legs having had the lsat 3 days off. UNDER is 18-7 in the Pelicans last 25 road games against a team with a losing record. UNDER is also 45-19 in the Jazz last 64 off a close home win by 3 points or less and a perfect 7-0 in their last 7 home games when they come in having lost 3 of their last 4. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA Over/Under TOTAL ANNIHILATOR on Bulls OVER

I like the value here with the OVER in Wednesday's NBA action that has the Raptors visiting the Bulls. Chicago has been a completely different team here over the last few weeks. They have been a much more explosive offensive team, as they have really spaced the floor well and have a number of guys shooting well from the outside. The Bulls comes in averaging 111.2 ppg over their last 5. 

While the offense has been great, the defense is still a work in progress, as they are giving up 108 ppg during this same stretch. Toronto is one of the more explosive teams in the league, as they average 111.2 ppg on the season. I think both sides have a great shot at eclipsing 110, which should have this flying over the mark set by the books. 

We also have a great system in play. The OVER is 41-16 (72%) over the last 5 seasons when you have a total off 200 or more in a game that involves a bad team (Winning % 25% - 40%) off an upset loss as a home favorite and are playing a team with a winning record. Take the OVER! 

4* NBA Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Spurs OVER

I like the value here with the OVER in Tuesday's NBA total featuring the Spurs and Knicks. I think we are seeing a much lower total than what we should based on the fact that San Antonio is coming off a game where they scored just 79 points. Prior to that the Spurs had scored 108 or more in 3 straight games and were fresh off a 119 point outburst in New York. 

OVER is also 24-8 in the Spurs last 32 games following a SU loss and 6-1-1 in the Knicks last 8 vs a team with a winning record and 5-1 in their last 6 following a SU win. Take the OVER! 

5* NBA Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Kings/Grizzlies UNDER

The simple fact that the Grizzlies just played in a game last night with Golden State that saw 269 combined points and have a total less than 200 tonight says it all. Memphis couldn't have played any better in that game, as they laid it all on the line against the defending champs. They shot 52% from the field and were a ridiculous 15 of 21 (71%) from long distance.

The pace of the game was frantic and I just don't see how they come out with any energy tonight, especially against one of the league's bottom feeders in the Kings. Keep in mind that even with the massive outburst last night, the Grizzlies are still averaging a mere 98.3 ppg this season. They simply let the Warriors dictate the tempo. Memphis on the season ranks dead last in the NBA in pace. The Kings love to play at a slow tempo as well, as they are right behind the Grizzlies at 29th in pace. This has all the makings of a low-scoring game. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA Over/Under TOTAL DOMINATOR on Nuggets OVER

I look for the 76ers and Nuggets to have little to no problem going OVER the posted total here by the books. Denver features one of the most explosive offenses in the league, especially when they are home. The Nuggets are scoring 111.7 ppg at home, while shooting 49% from the field and 38% from long-distance.

They should have no problem reaching their average at home and I would be shocked if they don't eclipse it. The 76ers are giving up 110.7 ppg on the road and will not have their best defender in Joel Embiid, as he sits this one out to rest. While the 76ers will mis Embiid's scoring, they play at a much faster tempo without him on the floor, as he likes to work a lot of isolations. Denver also isn't a great defensive team, so look for Philadelphia to eclipse 100 points rather easily here. 

Last time out the Nuggets combined for 253 points in their game against the Timberwolves and that sets up a very profitable spot, as the OVER is 10-1 in Denver's last 11 games after a contest with a combined score of 245 or more points. Take the OVER!

4* NCAAF Orange Bowl TOTAL ANNIHILATOR on Wisconsin UNDER

I think we have everything you want for a low-scoring game here in Saturday's Orange Bowl showdown between Wisconsin and Miami. Both these teams are limited offensively, but are dominant on the defensive side of the ball. 

It's no secret that the Badgers offense is built on their ground game. Wisconsin ranked 21st in rushing (229.2 ypg) compared to just 97th in passing (187 ypg). Miami has a very talented and athletic defensive front 7 and I think it will make it very hard for the Badgers to run the ball effectively. As for the Hurricane's offense, it's had more than their fair share of problems. In the ACC Championship Game against Clemson, they only managed 3 points and 197 total yards. Wisconsin comes in with the No. 1 ranked defense in the country, allowing just 253.3 ypg, ranking 2nd against the run and 4th against the pass. 

UNDER is 7-3 in Wisconsin's last 10 non-conference games, including a 3-1-1 mark in their last 5 bowl games. UNDER is also 16-5 in Miami's last 21 games overall and a perfect 4-0 in their last 4 bowl games. Take the UNDER! 

3* NBA Over/Under TOTAL DOMINATOR on Pistons UNDER

I think we are getting some great value here with the UNDER in Tuesday's NBA action that has two Central Division rivals going at it. Usually these division games are spread over the season, but that's not the case with these two teams. This will actually be the 4th and final meeting between these two sides this season. That familiarity with one another will give the edge to the defenses. It's also worth noting that each of the last two meetings both saw fewer than 208 points. 

Indiana comes in allowing 106.9 ppg on the season and 107.0 ppg on the road, but are only giving up 101.4 ppg against division opponents. I think they can slow down a struggling Detroit offense that has shot 44% or worse from the field in 9 of their last 11 games. Pistons defense has been playing well of late, as the additions of Reggie Bullock and Anthony Tolliver in the starting lineup have given them a boost on that side. We should also get a big effort here from Detroit, as they will have fresh legs playing only their 2nd game in the last 6 days. 

UNDER is 27-11 in the pacers last 38 against a team with a winning record, 4-1 in their last 5 road games and 5-0 in their last 5 division games. UNDER is also 4-0 in the Pistons last 4 at home vs a team with a winning road record and 4-0-1 in their last 5 vs a division opponent. Take the UNDER! 

4* NBA Over/Under Total NO BRAINER on Knicks UNDER

These Christmas NBA games have a strong tendency to go UNDER the totals set by the books, as the intensity level gets turned up a notch on the defensive side of the ball. I think that's exactly what we have here in the first game on the board with the 76ers and Knicks. These are two teams that are better defensively than they get credit for and we should see the offenses struggle here with such an early start time. 

UNDER is 10-1 in the Knicks last 11 home games off a road cover where they lost outright as an underdog, UNDER is also 7-3 in the Knicks last 10 home games overall. UNDER is also 6-1 in the 76ers last 7 off a SU loss by more than 10 points and 7-2 in their last 9 vs a team with a winning record. Take UNDER! 

4* Hawaii Bowl Total NO BRAINER on Fresno State UNDER

I think we are getting some great value here on the UNDER in the Hawaii Bowl on Christmas Eve, which features the Houston Cougars and Fresno State Bulldogs. There's a lot to like in this matchup when it comes to a low-scoring game. 

The Bulldogs are a perfect team to back when it comes to an UNDER. The Bulldogs feature one of the best defenses in the country that not many people know about. Fresno State finished 9th in the country, giving up just 17.2 ppg and were 16th in total defense, allowing just 319 ypg. Keep in mind that's with playing non-conference games against the likes of Washington and Alabama, where they allowed a combined 89 points and 917 yards. Take away those two teams and this team only surrendered around 296 ypg and 12.3 ppg against their other 11 opponents. 

Houston averaged 28.4 ppg, but were far from a great offensive team and I think the best supporter of that is they only had 16 points against Arizona and 24 against Texas Tech. A lot of their high-scoring games in the AAC game against teams that like to play at a fast pace, which increase the number of possessions. I think the Cougars have a really hard time scoring here, especially with offensive coordinator Brian Johnson having left the program to join Dan Mullen at Florida. 

As good as the Fresno State defense has been, there offense is very limited and really struggled to score against the better teams they played. Houston has a legit defense, led by one of the best defensive players in the country in Ed Oliver and should be able to keep them in check. Take the UNDER! 

3* NFL Over/Under Total ANNIHILATOR on Lions OVER

I think we are getting some decent value here on the OVER in Sunday's NFL total between the Lions and Bengals. The last two games for Cincinnati have been a complete embarrassment to the players and franchise. They lost at home to the Bears 7-33 and then followed that up with a 7-34 loss at Minnesota. Couple of things to note about those two performances. The first is the game against Chicago was a major letdown spot after their crushing loss to the Steelers at home the week before, which all but eliminated them from playoff contention. Then last week prior to their game against the Vikings it was reported that head coach Marvin Lewis was going to resign and I don't think it sat well with players that they had to learn of the news via the media. 

With all that behind them, I think we are going to see a much better effort from Cincinnati in what will be the final home game for Lewis. The players might not like him leaving, but he's done a lot to get this franchise back on the map and I think they will want his final home game to be one to remember. 

I'm really expecting a big game from the offense here. Keep in mind that it didn't help matters they were going up against two really good defenses in the Bears and Vikings. Detroit comes in ranked 27th in the league in total defense, giving up 362.3 ypg and are 28th against the pass (251.2 ypg). Look for Andy Dalton and A.J. Green to get going. 

As for the Lions offense, I think we see them put up some points as well. It's looking less and less likely that star linebacker Vontaze Burfict will suit up and he's the guy that really makes this defense click. There's also several other key guys on that side of the ball banged up. Detroit has scored at last 20 points in 7 straight games and should eclipse that mark here, which I think will be more than enough to push us over the mark. Take the OVER! 

5* NCAAF Bowl TOTAL OF THE MONTH  on Toledo UNDER

I think we have an inflated total here in the Dollar General Bowl. The public is going to see two teams that have put up some big numbers offensively behind two talented senior quarterbacks in Toledo's Logan Woodside and Appalachian State's Tyler Lamb. No question these two signal callers are talented, but I don't think the defenses are getting near enough respect here. 

The Mountaineers only gave up 21.9 ppg and showed well in non-conference play against two quality opponents. They limited Georgia to just 31 and 368 total yards on the road and Wake Forest to just 20 points and 344 total yards. Toledo allowed 24 or fewer points in 8 of their 13 games and I think they are more than capable of slowing down Appalachian State. While the Mountaineers put up big numbers in Sun Belt play, they only scored 10-points in that game against Georgia and 19 against the Demon Deacons. 

Another key factor here is that these two teams are going to be extremely familiar with one another, as they actually played against each other last bowl season. A game that only featured 59 points and that was with a 28-point outburst by the two teams in the 3rd quarter. Note that 7 of those 59 points came on a kickoff return for a TD. I just think given the familiarity here there's a good chance we see an even lower-scoring affair this time around. Take the UNDER! 

3* Birmingham Bowl Total DOMINATOR on Texas Tech OVER

I think we are getting some great value here on the total in Saturday's Birmingham Bowl that features Texas Tech and South Florida. These are two high-powered offenses that like to play at a fast pace and aren't exactly stout on the defensive side of the ball. 

The Red Raiders put up 34.3 ppg and were 17th in the country at 468.4 ypg. USF was even better at 38.3 ppg and ranked 9th in total offense at 508.7 ypg. We also have two really good passing attacks going up against defenses that are much better at stopping the run than they are the pass, which I believe is going to lead to a lot of big plays and quick scores. 

I believe a big reason this total isn't north of 70 is the fact that the Bulls have a good defense, at least on paper. USF only gave up 22.5 ppg and ranked 28th in the nation, allowing just 342.6 ypg. Those are very misleading numbers, as the Bulls played a cupcake schedule, which included a lot of bad teams that struggled to score, including San Jose State, UConn, Illinois, Cincinnati and Tulane. The one legit offense they faced was in their last game of the season against UCF and they allowed 49 points in a game that featured 91 combined points. I think that's a lot closer to what we are going to see here. Take the OVER! 

4* NBA Over/Under Total NO BRAINER on Rockets OVER 

Houston will be without Chris Paul and Clint Cappella tonight and I think it's resulted in some great value here on the OVER in their showdown tonight with the Clippers. The Rockets still have James Harden and are still going to play their same style of jacking up 3-pointers left and right. This team is also use to playing without Paul, so I don't think it's going to affect their scoring output as much as some might think. Keep in mind this is a team that averages 116 ppg at home and will be facing a Clippers team that has been decimated with injuries and just gave up 109 in their last road game against the Spurs. 

Big key here is I don't think the Rockets are going to offer a ton of resistance on the defensive end. Paul is a big spark plug on that side of the ball and Cappella is their best rim protector. Not to mention that Houston likely doesn't want to go all out with their huge showdown against at OKC looming next on Christmas Day. 

OVER is 21-9 in the Clippers last 30 road games when they are playing their 6th or more game in a 10 day span and 22-8 in their last 30 when they come in having lost 2 of their last 3. Take the OVER! 

3* Bahamas Bowl Total ANNIHILATOR on UAB UNDER

This might seem like a low total given that Ohio comes in ranked 8th in the country at 40.6 ppg and are facing a UAB team that averages a respectable 29.6 ppg. I just think that given the style of  play of these two teams they will struggle to eclipse this total. 

Both of these teams are are looking to establish the run and don't offer much of a passing threat. The Bobcats ranked 17th in rushing at 244.2 ypg, compared to just 97th in passing at 186.8 ypg. The Blazers were 37th in rushing at 190.2 ypg and 106th in passing at 174.4 ypg. I just don't think that there will be enough possessions for these two teams to light up the scoreboard. There's typically a lot less explosive plays on the ground than there are for teams that like to air it out and throw it deep.

At the same time, by running so much, the clock is going to be running constantly. Add in the extra time that each team has had to prepare for these fairly one dimensional offenses and I wouldn't be shocked if this turned into a defensive battle. Keep in mind that these two have to average more than two touchdowns a quarter to eclipse this mark. 

UNDER was 7-1 in the Blazers last 8 games this season and 4-1 in their last 5 against a team with a winning record. UNDER is also 8-3-1 in the Bobcats last 12 games played on a neutral field and 18-7-2 in their last 27 vs a team with a winning record. Take the UNDER!