Sports Picks & Predictions

This is a play on the WAKE FOREST DEMON DEACONS for our CFB ACC Game of the Year. Virginia Tech is off to a 3-1 start, but it is just +51 in total yards in those four games. The Hokies are coming off a 40-14 win over Boston College, but they won the yardage battle by only 26 points but benefitted from a +5-turnover differential. Wake Forest is 2-2 and has arguably played better than that. The Demon Deacons have won two straight games following an opening loss against Clemson and then a three-point loss against NC State. The Wake Forest defense came out of the halftime locker room and executed its adjustments to hold Virginia to three second-half points last week. After struggling defensively in games against Clemson and NC State, it was more of the same in the first half against Virginia, which used three different quarterbacks. The Demon Deacons will do all they can to prevent the comfort of normalcy. While the Hokies forced five turnovers by the Eagles, Wake Forest has committed one all season. The Hokies are 7-23 ATS in their last 30 games as a road favorite while the Demon Deacons are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games. 10* (324) Wake Forest Demon Deacons

This is a play on the UAB BLAZERS for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. Following an opening loss against Miami, UAB has run off three straight wins, outgaining all three opponents and by an average of 143.7 ypg. The defense once again leads the way as opposing offenses have only converted six of their last 37 attempts on third down. In the last three games, UAB is only allowing 12.3 ppg. The Blazers are 17th overall in total defense, ninth with 15 sacks, third in passing defense and 10th in tackles for losses. The Blazers have gone from slight home favorites to slight home underdogs which is surprising considering UAB is getting the majority of bets, so we are benefiting from the reverse line move. The Blazers have won 21 straight home games, going 15-4-2 ATS over that stretch. Louisiana is coming off a lost against Coastal Carolina and has failed to cover three straight games. Louisiana is 0-5 ATS in its last five games against winning teams while the Blazers are 26-9-1 ATS in their last 36 games as a home underdog. Here, we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 averaging 31 or more ppg, after allowing 17 points or less in three straight games. This situation is 33-9 ATS (78.6 percent) since 1992. 10* (310) UAB Blazers

This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. While the Giants have looked better over their last two games, losing a close game against Dallas and defeating Washington last week, this offense remains extremely limited. They were outgained both times and put up just 240 yards against Washington. The Eagles put together a comeback last week against the Ravens but still fell short and are now 1-4-1. Injuries are the story for both teams, so the depth of the Eagles is an advantage. The New York offensive line might be in worse shape than the Eagles and the Giants are also without star running back Saquon Barkley, wide receiver Sterling Shepard, and thanks to an injury sustained in Week Six, they could possibly be without wide receiver Darius Slayton. Carson Wentz having a trustworthy receiver like Travis Fulgham opens up the playbook as the offense has been decimated with injuries. Still, in the end, they put up an average of 28.5 ppg against two of the best defenses in the league over the last two weeks. The Giants are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game while the Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last five Thursday games. 10* (304) Philadelphia Eagles

This is a play on the ARKANSAS ST. RED WOLVES for our CFB Thursday Enforcer. Arkansas St. started the season with an admiral effort against Memphis and then went on the road to defeat Kansas St. but followed that up with a clunker against Coastal Carolina. Since then, the Red Wolves have two straight games, putting up 50 and 59 points in the process. An offense as dynamic as this, being a double-digit underdog is a sure take. Appalachian St. has yet to play a game in October as it went 2-1 in September but has failed to cover any of those games. Not playing for three weeks and not practicing for two weeks is n issue. The Red Wolves are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game while the Mountaineers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play on road underdogs with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 after covering the spread in four out of their last five games. This situation is 32-9 ATS (78 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (305) Arkansas St. Red Wolves

This is a play on the DALLAS COWBOYS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. The Cowboys are off to a 2-3 start but still lead the NFC East thanks to the other three teams possessing just one victory. The string of 72 straight starts for Dak Prescott to begin his career will end Monday when Andy Dalton makes his initial start as a Cowboy and his first start in anything other than a Bengals uniform. We saw last week what he is still capable of and with the weapons around him, he can thrive in this situation. So, the Cowboys not only get a proven starter but one with something still to prove. Dallas comes in with the No. 1 offense in the league and it has outgained each of its last four opponents. The Cowboys can help ease the sting of losing Prescott by being more balanced on offense and having running back Ezekiel Elliott shoulder a larger share of the load. The Cardinals present a good opportunity for the Cowboys to establish a strong running game as they are allowing 4.5 ypg on the ground. The Cardinals are 1-8-2 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game while the Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last five Monday games. 10* (276) Dallas Cowboys

This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. The 49ers are off to a rough 2-3 start with both wins coming against the winless Jets and Giants. Injuries have played a big role in this, but they are getting healthier and this is a must win to stay alive in the NFC West. San Francisco quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo has a sprained right ankle and while it might not be at full strength just yet, it is as close as it has been since before he injured it back in Week Two. According to Pro Football Focus, Garoppolo threw just 13 percent of his total passes accurately, and he ended up with a 32.6 passing grade, which was good for the second-worst grade of the season. The Rams are 4-1 but all four wins have come against teams from the NFC East, easily the worst division in the NFL. The 49ers defense has been banged up but is still ranked No. 5 overall and No. 3 against the pass. The Rams are 0-7 ATS in their last seven road games after allowing 3.5 or less yppl in their previous game while the 49ers are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning record. 10* (274) San Francisco 49ers

This is a play on the DETROIT LIONS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. Detroit is coming off its bye week following a 35-29 loss against New Orleans and it is 1-7 ATS in its last eight games following a bye. The Lions have been competitive in two of their three losses and they have faced some tough defenses. That is not the case here as Jacksonville has allowed 30 or more points in four straight games. Matthew Stafford has not been great by his standards, but he picked up the aggression in the loss heading into the bye week, averaging a season-high 11 intended air yards per throw. In the lone win over the Colts, the Jaguars were actually outgained by 204 total yards but benefitted from three turnovers. Jacksonville is 8-20 ATS in its last 28 in home games after allowing 30 points or more last game. Here, we play against home underdogs or pickems that are being outgained by their opponents by 50 or more ypg, after allowing 375 or more total yards in two consecutive games. This situation is 29-7 ATS (80.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (253) Detroit Lions

This is a play on the MISSISSIPPI ST. BULLDOGS for our CFB SEC Game of the Year. Texas A&M kicked a field goal on the final play last week against Florida, notching its first win over a top-five team since 2014. This spells a big letdown for the Aggies and they are now favored on the road. After handing reigning national champion LSU its first loss since Nov. 24, 2018, Mississippi St. has dropped its last two contests to Arkansas and Kentucky. The Bulldogs fell to the Wildcats 24-2 last week but had a 18-10 first down edge and 295-157 total yard advantage but were -5 in turnovers. A loss like that can provide great motivation especially when the coach calls out the players after. The Aggies allowed have allowed 897 passing yards and nine touchdowns through the first three games of the season so we can expect Mississippi St. to get back on track on offense. Texas A&M is 7-18 ATS in its last 25 road games after gaining 450 or more total yards in two consecutive games. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points with a turnover margin of -2 per game or worse on the season, after 3 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. This situation is 33-10 ATS (76.7 percent) since 1992. 10* (144) Mississippi St. Bulldogs

This is a play on the TULANE GREEN WAVE for our CFB Friday Enforcer. SMU comes in with a 4-0 record including a big win over Memphis last time out. While the win was big, the Mustangs lost leading wide receiver Reggie Roberson (22 catches, second-in-the-nation 474 yards, five touchdowns) and starting running back TJ McDaniel (60 carries, 297 yards) to season-ending injuries. Those are two huge losses for Houston which comes in ranked No. 4 in total offense. We feel the Mustangs are overinflated in this role as road favorites. Tulane is coming off a blowout loss against Houston as it jumped ahead 24-7 but then was outscored 42-7 the rest of the game. The issues have come in the second half this year, dropping Tulane to 0-2 in the conference for the first time since 2016. Tulane had its 56-game streak of rushing for at least 100 yards snapped last week at Houston. The 56-game streak dated back to the end of the 2015 season. The Green Wave are still averaging 242.8 ypg on the ground and the rushing attack should get back on trach here against a below average Houston rushing defense. SMU is 9-22 ATS in its last 31 road games against teams averaging 4.75 or more ypc while going 3-16 ATS in its last 19 games after a win by three or less points. Here, we play against teams after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game going up against an opponent after gaining 3.25 or less yppl in their previous game. This situation is 45-17 ATS (72.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (108) Tulane Green Wave

This is a play on the ARKANSAS ST. RED WOLVES for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. Arkansas St. opened the season with a loss at Memphis that was closer than the 13-point deficit indicates and followed that up with a huge upset at Kansas St. Then the pandemic came into play with two straight weeks off before getting blown out by Coastal Carolina, but the Red Wolves bounced back with a 23-point win over Central Arkansas backed by a season high 573 yards on offense. Teams that are playing their fifth game of the season and playing their second straight home game following three straight road games are 15-3-1 ATS if their opponent is coming off a win. Georgia St. opened the season with a pair of losses before blowing out East Carolina by 20 points two weeks ago. The rushing offense leads the way, but the Panthers have been outrushed in two of three games and that is key for Arkansas St. which has been inconsistent in the running game but can get it going here which can help their passing game even more that is currently eighth in the country, averaging 342.5 ypg. The Red Wolves will be out to avenge a 52-38 loss last season where they allowed 722 total yards. The Panthers are 2-10-2 ATS in their last 14 road games while the Red Wolves are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up loss. 10* (106) Arkansas St. Red Wolves

This is a play on the LOUISIANA RAGIN' CAJUNS for our CFB Wednesday Enforcer. Both Coastal Carolina and Louisiana come in at 3-0 but we fell there is a significant edge for the Cajuns as they have played the better schedule and has a better defense. Louisiana is ranked for the first time since 1943 as it owns a big win over Iowa St. to open the season and followed that up with a pair of close wins over Georgia St. and Georgia Southern. Those close wins came as double-digit favorites and now the line is significantly lower based on that and the hot start for the Chanticleers. They have won their three games by an average of 22 ppg albeit against much weaker competition. The Cajuns have a star in quarterback Levi Lewis while featuring a pair of running back weapons in Trey Ragas and Elijah Mitchell. On the other side, Coastal Carolina has gotten a lot of production from quarterback Grayson McCall, but he is just a freshman, and this will be his biggest test of the season. The Louisiana defense has allowed just a 53.3 completion percentage to opposing quarterbacks while allowing less than one passing touchdown per game so far. Here, we play against conference road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that are averaging 6.2 or more yppl going up against teams with a defense allowing between 4.8 and 5.6 yppl. This situation is 35-11 ATS (76.1 percent) over the last 5fiveseasons. 10* (170) Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

This is a play on the BUFFALO BILLS for our NFL Tuesday Star Attraction. Tennessee is off to a 3-0 start, but it has not been overly dominating as the three wins have come by a combined six points and it has needed a game-winning field goal in each. Buffalo has more wins than the three teams Tennessee has beaten combined. Plus, the Titans have to play this game after an unexpected bye and an abbreviated practice schedule. The defense has been awful as the Titans are ranked 30th in total defense and 31st in rushing defense. They have taken a hit on offense as the Titans are without several key players, including top receivers Adam Humphries and Corey Davis, who have been placed on the reserve/COVID-19 list. Overall, Tennessee is down five starters based on positive tests. Buffalo is 4-0 and rolling along on offense as it possesses the No. 3 total offense and No. 5 scoring offense. Buffalo offensive coordinator Brian Daboll has scripted some tremendous drives to open games, first and foremost, which has led to Buffalo scoring before their opposition in all four games this year. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after allowing 30 points or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 17 points or more in the first half in two straight games. This situation is 26-6 (81.2 percent) since 1983. 10* (461) Buffalo Bills

This is a play on the ATLANTA FALCONS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Falcons are off to their first 0-4 start since 1999 and are out to save the job of head coach Dan Quinn. Atlanta remains solid on offense as it is ranked ninth in total offense. The Atlanta defense has had a lot of guys banged up and this week, they could see three starters return to the lineup (S Keanu Neal, S Ricardo Allen, DL Takk McKinley) and getting those guys back should help the production of their defense The Falcons are hoping to continue recent success in their division as they have four straight seasons with winning records in the NFC South, including a 4-2 record each of last three years. Carolina has won two straight games following a 0-2 start. The offense had a good showing last week against the Cardinals, but they were outgained by 134 total yards in their win against the Chargers two weeks ago. The Panthers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game while the Falcons are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 and coming off an upset win by 10 or more as a home underdog, after the first month of the season. This situation is 42-16 (72.4 percent) since 1983. 10* (452) Atlanta Falcons

This is a play on the KANSAS ST. WILDCATS for our CFB Big 12 Game of the Year. The TCU defense had a goal-line fumble recovery to stun Texas 33-31 in a game that had 26 penalties and ended when TCU took a safety as time ran out. Because of the win, the Horned Frogs are now overinflated in what is a classic letdown spot. Head coach Gary Patterson is anti-Texas and that is the one game he gets his players fired up for and it showed once again but it has been a letdown of late as TCU is 0-4 ATS in its last four games following the Texas game. The Horned Frogs are 129th in rushing defense, allowing seven YPC. That is a problem here as Kansas St. running back Deuce Vaughn averages 5.7 ypc on 36 carries after three games behind a strongly improved offensive line. On the other side, with one of the better pass rushes in the country, Kansas St. has the ability to pressure TCU quarterback Max Duggan which makes life easier for its secondary. This is a potent TCU offense, but the Wildcats can definitely slow it down. TCU is 2-12 ATS in its last 14 games off an upset win as a road underdog. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival going up against an opponent after a road game where both teams scored 31 points or more. This situation is 54-21 ATS (72 percent) since 1992. 10* (335) Kansas St. Wildcats

This is a play on the LOUISVILLE CARDINALS four our CFB Friday Star Attraction. Both Louisville and Georgia Tech are coming off a bye week while riding two-game losing streaks. After gaining 516 total yards against Miami, the Cardinals mustered just 223 yards against Pittsburgh. Despite their issues, Louisville can score against anyone with its offensive weapons. And the Georgia Tech defense has proven to be one of the worst teams in the FBS as they are allowing 441.3 ypg. Louisville will need to rely on running back Javian Hawkins, who has rushed for 313 yards this season. Hawkins will look to have a big game against Georgia Tech defense that is giving up big yards on the ground as the Yellow Jackets are 51st in rushing defense at 171.7 ypg. In the two losses to UCF and Syracuse, Georgia Tech quarterback Jeff Sims has thrown for a combined two touchdowns and six interceptions. The Yellow Jackets have shown the ability to be able to run the ball, but leading rusher Jordan Mason remains questionable. Georgia Tech is on a 1-10 ATS run as a home dog. Here, we play against home teams in a game involving two teams with turnover differentials of -0.75 or worse, after two consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. This situation is 48-18 (72.7 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (305) Louisville Cardinals

This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. The Bears are coming off their first loss of the season as the offense could get nothing going. One bright spot on Sunday was wide receivers Allen Robinson and Darnell Mooney, who combined for 12 receptions and 153 receiving yards. Nick Foles needs to be more consistent but as much as the Buccaneers get after the quarterback, establishing a run game will be the key to moving the ball. Tampa Bay improved to 3-1 with a comeback win over the Chargers last week and it has now won three in a row. This is a tough spot having to travel on a short week as a favorite no less. While the offense is slowly coming into its own, it is still pretty banged up and the Chicago defense is for real once again as after four games, the Bears are ranked seventh in scoring defense and eighth in total defense. Last week, the defense had nine plays in which it stopped a Colts run for a loss or no gain. Five came on first down to put the Colts behind the chains, and that was significant as the Bears entered the game allowing an average of 7.34 yards on first down, which ranked 29th. Chicago is 23-9 ATS in its last 32 home games after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse while the Buccaneers are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning record. 10* (302) Chicago Bears

This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. It will be the season opener for the Cougars, who have had five games delayed or canceled because of coronavirus issues with their opponents. While it may seem a disadvantage, it could work in their favor as Tulane has already played a quarter of its season. The pluses and minuses of having three games under its belt extend to personnel. Tulane lost its top running back, Tyjae Spears, to a torn ACL in its last game. Freshman quarterback Michael Pratt will make his first career start after coming off the bench and was 8-of-18 passing for 142 yards against Southern Miss. Additionally, a pair of freshmen start on the right side of the offensive line. Not only is Houston eager to get onto the field, but it is out for some revenge the Green Wave won last year 38-31 on a 53-yard touchdown pass with three seconds left. They bring back a ton of experience with 19 starters returning that have not forgotten about that game. The Green Wave are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. 10* (304) Houston Cougars

This is a play on the ATLANTA FALCONS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. The 3-0 Packers take on the 0-3 Falcons with money going to be all over the former based on the two recent meltdowns from Atlanta. The Falcons have lost their last two games after leading in the fourth quarter by more than two touchdowns. This offense is still clearly capable of putting up big numbers and it is up to the team to put those last two games behind them. Matt Ryan is expected to have a big game with Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley expected to both suit up. While the Packers have not allowed a lot of completions, they are 28th with 7.88 ypa and 30th with an opponent passer rating of 113.4. Green Bay is the first team in NFL history to have at least 35 points and no turnovers in each of its first three games, according to the Elias Sports Bureau. The Packers average 6.9 yppl to lead the NFL. The Packers cannot sustain this however and this is a great opportunity for a possible lookahead while catching a big number. The Falcons are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games while going 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as underdogs. 10* (279) Atlanta Falcons

This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS SAINTS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. New Orleans has lost two straight games, both in primetime, and people are hitting the panic button but that should not be the case. The Saints now take on a 28th ranked Lions defense that has given up an average of 409 ypg and 30 ppg this season. The Lions enter their fourth game of the season ranked 30th in the NFL in rush defense, surrendering 170+ yards per game. New Orleans should take note that Detroit has struggled against shifty scat backs like Alvin Kamara. Success on the ground will help open up the passing game which has been inconsistent this season. Detroit won their first game of the season upsetting the Cardinals on the road on a last second field goal and that broke an 11-game losing streak dating back to last year. While the defense has been inconsistent, the offense has struggled also. The Detroit offense has scored a touchdown on six of their 13 trips into the red zone through the first three weeks and its red zone efficiency rate of 46.2 percent ranks 27th in the NFL. Here, we play on road favorites with a winning percentage between .250 and .400 coming off a loss as a home favorite, playing a team with a losing record. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent) since 1983. 10* (253) New Orleans Saints

This is a play on the NAVY MIDSHIPMEN for our CFB Game of the Month. Navy comes in as a road favorite and for very good reason. Air force has yet to play a game this season and a key challenge for the Falcons will be establishing depth. Turnbacks, generally explained as the option to leave the academy for a semester for medical reasons, and in this case, offered to cadets in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, have decimated the football roster, especially on defense. None of the five eligible returning starters are back and four freshmen appear on the two-deep list. And on offense, starting quarterback Donald Hammond III is not expected to suit up, as he is not in good standing as a cadet, the Colorado Springs Gazette reported. Navy put together the largest comeback in school history, scoring 27 unanswered points in the second half to overtake Tulane 27-24 two weeks ago. Navy head coach Ken Niumatalolo is seeking his 100th career victory, and the first leg of the Commander-in-Chief Trophy series provides an ideal opportunity. Having two games under their belt going up against a depleted roster is a huge edge. Navy is 15-3 ATS in its last 18 road games after a win by three or less points. 10* (131) Navy Midshipmen

This is a play on the LOUISIANA TECH BULLDOGS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. BYU is off to a dominant start as it has defeated Navy and Troy by a combined score of 103-10 and all that is doing is inflating this line. Due to an outbreak of COVID-19 in Provo, state and local health officials have prohibited fans from attending the BYU game this week in an effort to prevent the spread of the virus. The Bulldogs are coming off a blowout win to improve to 2-0 on the season. Louisiana Tech began the season with a 31-30 victory at Southern Miss, then routed Houston Baptist 66-38 in its home opener as Luke Anthony threw five touchdowns and ran for another. Louisiana Tech allowed 406 yards passing, but that is not as bad as it might seem. Houston Baptist quarterback Bailey Zappe, who completed 37 of 58 passes against the Bulldogs, had passed for more than 1,000 yards combined with seven touchdowns and no interceptions against North Texas and Texas Tech. The Bulldogs are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games against teams with a winning home record while the Cougars are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. 10* (103) Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

This is a play on the NEW YORK JETS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. The Jets have opened 0-3 and have arguably been the worst team in football with all three losses coming by double-digits. The play of Sam Darnold has been bad but there is reason for optimism. Last year, Darnold had a bad three-game stretch when he went 59-of-101 (58.42 percent) for 564 yards with three touchdowns and eight interceptions with a 50.9 quarterback rating. He bounced back in the final eight games of the season with 13 touchdowns and four interceptions. After losing to the Buccaneers on Sunday, Denver is now 0-3 and the Broncos have started consecutive years 0-3 for the first time in franchise history. They will reportedly turn to their third different starting quarterback this season as Brett Rypien is expected to start in place of the injured Drew Lock. Denver has now seen six starters go down to injuries just three weeks into the season. The Broncos are 8-23-1 ATS in their last 32 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game while the Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a home underdog. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in two straight games against opponent after a loss by 10 or more points. This situation is 72-35 ATS (67.3 percent) since 1983. 10* (102) New York Jets

This is a play on the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. A pair of streaks are on the line Monday. Baltimore closed the regular season with 12 straight wins and have now won 14 straight regular season games while the Chiefs will be bringing an 11-game winning streak into the game. Both teams come in a perfect 2-0 and the Ravens home field advantage is taken away here yet the Ravens come in as an overpriced favorite. Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson is 21-3 during the regular season but two of those losses came against the Chiefs. Pass protection is an issue for Baltimore as in a win over the Texans last week, Jackson went down for four sacks, his highest single-game total since Week Five of last season and the Chiefs got him on the ground three times last season. While the Baltimore defense was and still is solid, Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes threw for 377 yards and two touchdowns in that 2018 game, and last year pierced the Ravens for 374 yards and three scores. Kansas City is one of three teams in the NFL to not turn the ball over in the first two weeks which is right in line with their 2019 season where they were third in fewest giveaways. Here, we play on road underdogs or pickems that averaged 275 or more passing ypg last season, after allowing 8 or more passing ypa in their last game. This situation is 22-3 ATS (88 percent) since 1983. 10* (489) Kansas City Chiefs

This is a play on the NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Raiders are coming off a very emotional win as an underdog at home on Monday night which puts them in a tough spot here. They are now working on a short week and are travelling to the east coast for the second time in three weeks. Las Vegas is dealing with some key injuries as running back Josh Jacobs, tight end Darren Waller and offensive tackle Trent Brown all did not practice Thursday. That is a problem for the offense if these players are not 100 percent because bailing out the defense will be a problem. The passing defense for the Raiders has allowed the third most passing yards in the NFL. Cam Newton looked brilliant in Week Two, passing for 397 yards, the third-highest total of his career, while rushing for two scores and he has learned this system and looks very comfortable. This is a big game for the Patriots coming off that loss as they have to travel the Kansas City next week and sitting at 1-3 after the first quarter of the season is not is not ideal. Look for a big bounce back effort from New England. The Raiders are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games following a straight up win while the Patriots are 48-23-1 ATS in their last 72 games following a straight up loss. 10* (462) New England Patriots

This is a play on the LIBERTY FLAMES for our CFB Non-Conference Game of the Year. The Flames took to the road as 15-point underdogs and won outright against Western Kentucky, winning the time of possession by almost 10 minutes and the yardage battle by 196 yards without turning the ball over. They have quarterback Malik Willis, who was the Auburn second-string quarterback in 2017 and 2018 so you know he has legit talent. He proved that in his debut rushing for 168 yards, three touchdowns while also completing 13 of 21 passes for 133 yards. The Liberty offensive line is its under-the-radar weapon. Florida International begins its season finally and it will be looking for young inexperienced players to continue its recent success under head coach Butch Davis. Quarterback James Morgan and cornerback Stanley Thomas-Oliver were drafted in the fourth and seventh round of the 2020 NFL Draft, respectively. Thomas-Oliver and Sage Lewis were selected as second-team All-C-USA for the 2019 season. The Panthers did not have any spring practices, so it might be tough to keep up with Willis and the Flames who have a game under their belt. Here, we play on favorites of a touchdown or more in their second game of the season coming off a win as a double-digit underdog. This situation is 11-5 ATS since 1996. 10* (442) Liberty Flames

This is a play on the UTSA Roadrunners for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. UTSA is off to a 2-0 start and while the schedule has not been tough, confidence goes a long way. The Roadrunners have outgained opponents by an average of 89.5 ypg and they get another great matchup here on Friday night where they have edges on both sides of the ball. While they have been outpassed in both games, the running game has been tough to defend. Middle Tennessee St. returned just five starters on defense and it is showing as the Blue Raiders are dead last in both yards allowed and points allowed per game. They were outgained by 184 yards against Army and 255 yards against Troy last week. The big issue has been the run defense as they are allowing 290.0 ypg and this is another horrible matchup as UTSA is averaging 282.5 ypg with is seventh in the country. The offense is not much better as they are also dead last in total yards and points scored and the opposition has not been overwhelming. Here, we play on home teams after gaining 450 or more total yards in five consecutive games, with 5 defensive starters returning, in the first month of the season. This situation is 30-4 ATS (88.2 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* 456) UTSA Roadrunners

This is a play on the MIAMI DOLPHINS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. We like what we have seen out of Miami as it fought hard in two divisional losses. This is a team on the rise, and this is its first winnable game of the season and quite frankly, should not be an underdog here. These teams are even in the power rankings and the three points assigned for home field advantage is overinflated since the stadium will seat only 14,000 fans and this is one of the worst home field advantages anyway. Ryan Fitzpatrick is 7-0-1 ATS in his career as an underdog coming off consecutive losses. The Jaguars can be considered impressive as well, but it is a bit misleading. They defeated the Colts in the season opener, but they were outgained by 204 total yards. It was a narrow loss last week against Tennessee, but it was more the Titans letting the foot off the gas as they had a 30-17 lead after three quarters but allowed Jacksonville to sneak back in it. The Dolphins are 4-0 ATS in their last four games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game while the Jaguars are 1-5 ATS in their last six games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Here, we play against home favorites that allowed 24 or more ppg last season, after scoring 30 points or more last game. This situation is 24-3 ATS (88.9 percent) since 1983. 10* (301) Miami Dolphins

This is a play on the SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS for our CFB Thursday Enforcer. We like what we have seem from South Alabama thus far as we won with them in their opener against Southern Mississippi and then lost by just three points against Tulane. There are some new faces from the squad that got slaughtered by UAB last season, and maybe that is a good thing. Chance Lovertich will take over at quarterback and he has played in both games this season, completing 20 of 32 passes for 311 yards and three touchdowns with no interceptions. The Jaguars have a solid running back in Carlos Davis who is averaging 5.4 ypc to go along with a veteran offensive line. The Blazers will also start a new quarterback on Thursday in redshirt freshman Bryson Lucero, who replaces the injured Tyler Johnston, out indefinitely with an injury to his non-throwing shoulder. The defensive line for the Blazers has shown susceptibility against the run as the rebuilt defensive line has yet to get it going. Here, we play on teams off a home loss by three points or less, in the first month of the season. This situation is 32-8 ATS (80 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (418) South Alabama Jaguars

This is a play on the LAS VEGAS RAIDERS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. The Raiders won their season opener over Carolina 34-30 and head home for their first game ever in Las Vegas albeit with no fans. While the Saints won their opener last Sunday, they were actually outgained by Tampa Bay by 39 yards. They took a bigger hit as they lost wide receiver Michael Thomas for a few weeks with a high ankle sprain and he is an obviously a big part of this offense. The Saints run defense has been one of the best in the league the last few years but they will be tested here as running back Josh Jacobs ran for 93 yards and three touchdowns and caught four passes for 46 yards in the opener. The offensive line did a great job from that standpoint and Derek Carr was under pressure on only 10 percent of his dropbacks for the game, the best rate in the league in Week One, according to Pro Football Focus. Here, we play against favorites off a home win, in the first month of the season. This situation is 77-37 ATS (67.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (290) Las Vegas Raiders

This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS for our NFL Game of the Month. The 49ers are coming off a disappointing season opener as they lost to the Cardinals, continuing the trend of the Super Bowl loser hangover. A big part of the 49ers loss to the Cardinals was the scrambling of quarterback Kyler Murray, but Sam Darnold will be a relative sitting duck for the San Francisco pass rush. This San Francisco defense will be playing with a chip on its shoulder after allowing 404 yards to the Cardinals. Jimmy Garoppolo had an efficient game and can thrive against the Jets which allowed 404 yards against Buffalo. Tight end George Kittle is upgraded to probable after having just four catches last week. Here, we play on teams in Week Two after losing in Week One as favorites of six points or more. This situation is 15-4 ATS (78.9 percent) since 2002. 10* (269) San Francisco 49ers

This is a play on the SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI GOLDEN EAGLES for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. We played against Southern Miss in its season opener and the Golden Eagles lost outright as 12-point favorites. Now after a bye week, they catch a great spot. It should be noted that head coach Jay Hopson resigned after that loss but because of the week off, Southern Miss has had plenty of time to prepare under former receiver coach Scott Walden who was given the interim head coach tag. Louisiana Tech has yet to play a game this season and are at a big disadvantage here based on experience as the Bulldogs have just eight starters back including two on defense. Expect them to struggle early in the season and that includes here against a team with a game under their belt and one that brings back double the starters. 10* (126) Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles

This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our NFL Thursday Enforcer. Cleveland got hammered in its opener 38-6 at Baltimore but the score is a bit skewed. The Browns were outgained by just 71 total yards, had only three fewer first downs and won the time of possession. Four of the six Baltimore scoring drives started at midfield or in Cleveland territory, so field position played a big role. The defense needs to step up and they can do so here against a rookie quarterback. Joe Burrow was decent but unspectacular as he threw for just 193 yards while tossing an interception and having no touchdown passes although he did run for one. The defense played surprisingly well but the Bengals will be facing a more loaded roster this time around. The Browns will be out for revenge as one of the Bengals two wins last season came in the season finale. The Browns are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games as a home favorite while the Bengals are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. 10* (102) Cleveland Browns

This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. We are getting exceptional value with Denver here as Tennessee is going to be a heavy bet team early on based on its run at the end of last season. The Titans went 9-4 in their last 13 games and jumped out to an early double-digit lead at Kansas City before succumbing 35-24 to the soon-to-be Super Bowl champs. Now they are road favorites and they go to a place where it has not been good for opponents early in the season. At home in the first two weeks of the season, Denver is 33-4 straight up and 22-11-4 ATS since 1989 and this is based on teams having trouble early on due to the altitude. Additionally, Denver is 18-2 straight up and 16-3-1 ATS in its last thirty games in home openers against non-division opponents. The Broncos finished 7-9 last season, but they have a strong chance to improve upon that this season with a strong defense, sans Von Miller, and the continued improvement of quarterback Drew Lock. 10* (482) Denver Broncos

This is a play on the TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. With home field advantage taken away for most teams this season for the foreseeable future, Tampa Bay gets a big edge in the season opener. The fact the Buccaneers added so much on both sides of the ball, they are the trendy pick to win the division. We all know what happened with the offense with the additions on offense where they will be much more efficient, but the other side is what should get the job done here. The Buccaneers defense finished 14th in defensive DVOA according to Football Outsiders and they should be even better this season as turnovers on offense will likely be down meaning less time on the field. New Orleans went 13-3 last season, tied for the second-best record in the NFL and expectations are high there as well but the Saints are laying more than expected. Here, we play on road underdogs or pickems that averaged 360 or more ypg last season, versus division opponents. This situation is 22-4 ATS (84.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (475) Tampa Bay Buccaneers

This is a play on the LOUSVILLE CARDINALS for our CFB Saturday Supreme Annihilator. Louisville had an excellent season last year, going 9-5 under first year head coach Scott Satterfield after a 2-10 season in 2018 under Bobby Petrino and now returns eight starters on each side of the ball. This is a loaded offense that should only be better. Micale Cunningham is a productive dual threat at quarterback who had 22 touchdown passes with only five picks while running for 482 yards and six scores. Running back Javian Hawkins finished second in the ACC with 1,525 yards, ringing up eight 100-yard games. Tutu Atwell led the ACC with 98.2 receiving ypg while Dez Fitzpatrick would have been highly drafted but decided to come back. Western Kentucky relies on a particularly good pass rush to keep things in front of them but that is not always easy when you have the play action game that Louisville has. The Hilltoppers are solid on offense but they are replacing quarterback Ty Storey and 1,000-yard receiver Lucky Jackson. The Cardinals need to get more pressure on the opposing quarterbacks, which will lead to more turnovers. Louisville only had seven interceptions and recovered 11 fumbles last season in 13 games. Here, we play on favorites of 10.5 to 21 points that averaged 6.4 or more yppl last season, with an experienced quarterback returning as starter. This situation is 36-12 ATS (75 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (406) Louisville Cardinals

This is a play on the HOUSTON TEXANS for our NFL Thursday Enforcer. Houston will face the Chiefs for a second straight time after blowing a 24-0 second-quarter lead in the playoffs last season, eventually losing 51-31. Revenge is obviously in play and there is too much value on the Texans and do not forget that they defeated the Chiefs once last season. While that was at home, only 22 percent of the seats will be filled this Thursday, knocking down the homer field advantage. Houston head coach Bill O'Brien likes having one featured back in his offense, so David Johnson should get plenty of opportunities as the Texas want to milk the clock and keep the Kansas City offense off the field as much as possible. The matchup favors Houston as the Chiefs gave up 4.9 ypc last season, fourth most in the league, and allowed running backs to total 1,039 yards receiving, second most in the NFL. Additionally, with all five starters on the offensive line returning, including Pro Bowl left tackle Laremy Tunsil, they should take a big step forward protecting Deshaun Watson. We all know what the Chiefs offense is so it will be up to Houston to slow the attack down because they cannot stop it completely. A healthy J.J. Watt is a big boost to the unit a well. The last 20 games in Week One where there was an underdog of eight or more points, the underdog covered 15 times. 10* (451) Houston Texans

This is a play on the UAB BLAZERS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. UAB has a huge edge of already having a game under its belt as it defeated Central Arkansas 45-35 last Thursday. The Blazers dominated even what seemed like it was a close game as they outgained the Bears 459-293. Central Arkansas scored a touchdown on a fumble recovery and two others in the final six minutes when UAB reserves were in. Spencer Brown is the star of the offense over the first two years with well over 2,500 rushing yards and 26 touchdowns but was dinged last season. He finished with 127 yards on 24 carries (5.3 ypc). Defensively, this team will be great once again. The Blazers were ranked second in the league in total and scoring defense, third in the nation in third down stops, and 11th in sacks and eight of the top 10 tacklers are back. They also got the best defensive player at South Alabama via transfer. Rhett Lashlee, Miami's new offensive coordinator, has installed a high-tempo attack, and rebuilt an offensive line that was among the worst in college football last season. While the offense can be effective, it might take a while and that gives the stout UAB defense an edge. Last year, Miami surrendered 51 sacks, the most among Power 5 teams. Defensively, the back seven is a question mark. At linebacker, the Hurricanes must replace 99 combined starts with a group of mostly unproven linebackers and lost their best defensive back. 10* (393) UAB Blazers

This is a play on the ARKANSAS ST. RED WOLVES for our CFB Saturday Star Attraction. Arkansas St. has 14 returning starters including nine on offense and it is expected to score points in bunches once again. The Red Wolves scored 30 or more points in 10 of their 13 games last season and they bring back both quarterbacks along with the entire offensive line. Additionally, leading rusher Marcel Murray is back after running for 820 yards and six scores. They went 8-5 last season which was exceptional given the rebuilding job that had going on and expectations are higher this season. Arkansas St. has a nice groove under head coach Blake Anderson with six straight bowl appearances and six straight winning seasons. Memphis has a strong offense back as well but the defense struggled and will have a tough time holding down the Red Wolves offense. One huge factor here is the preseason schedule where Arkansas St. had 11 practices and Memphis had none and that is a huge issue considering the Tigers have a new head coach. Additionally, the Red Wolves had 18 days of fall practice compared to just nine days before school started for both teams and practice time became limited. 10* (237) Arkansas St. Red Wolves

This is a play on the SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS for our CFB Opening Night Star Attraction. South Alabama went just 2-10 last season but should be a much-improved team with 15 starters back. It was a woeful offense last year, but quarterback Desmond Trotter started as a freshman late and had eight touchdown passes and two picks, while moving the offense and pushing the ball down the field. The receiving corps should get back six of the top seven wideouts while the offensive line returns four starters. Defensively, seven of the top eight tacklers are back from a unit that finished fifth in the SBC in points allowed and yards allowed. While Southern Miss was supposed to bring back a lot of starters, some key ones will not be here Thursday. Former first-team All-Conference USA defensive end Jacques Turner, former freshman All-America linebacker Racheem Boothe, wide receiver and return man Jaylond Adams and running back Steven Anderson have all opted out of this season. For the third time in three years with Jack Abraham at quarterback, Southern Miss has a new offensive coordinator so there will a whole new playbook to learn. 10* (235) South Alabama Jaguars

This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS for our NFL Super Bowl Winner. While it is hard to go against the dynamic Kansas City offense, the 49ers possess a defense that can slow it down while also posing problems with its own offense against the Chiefs defense. Defensively, the 49ers are powered by a star-studded line that features five former first-round picks in the rotation and the pass rush has made the secondary even better. San Francisco allowed the fewest passing yards (2,707) and defensed the 10th-most passes (74). They only intercepted 12 passes, admittedly an improvement over picking off two in 2018, but San Francisco allowed the fewest completions exceeding 20 yards in the NFL this season, according to Pro Football Focus. On the other side, San Francisco had the second-best rushing offense in the NFL in 2019 at 144.6 ypg while it finished tied for second in the NFL with 16 runs of 20-plus yards. Against the Chiefs, San Francisco needs to continue to pound the ball given the Chiefs struggles against the run, particularly against runs preceded by shifts or motions, when Kansas city has allowed 5.2 ypc. Although Jimmy Garoppolo hasn't been asked to throw it much in the playoffs, he put together a highlight reel of pinpoint passes during the regular season with games hanging in the balance. On deep balls, according to Next Gen Stats, Garoppolo actually led the NFL in completion percentage (58.1) and yards per attempt (20.3), while also totaling seven passing touchdowns and posting a 102.6 passer rating on such throws. 10* (101) San Francisco 49ers

This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFC Championship Winner. San Francisco is an overpriced favorite here as it is now favored by more points than it was against Minnesota which ended the regular season three games worse than the Packers. Green Bay is a sneaky live dog here as they are getting no credit. Matt LaFleur came in and tinkered with the offense, and they brought in key additions such as pass-rushing duo Preston Smith and Za'Darius Smith, who combined for 25.5 sacks on the season. Many will point to the first meeting where San Francisco dominated in a 37-8 win but that is a thing of the past. Aaron Rodgers had the worst day of his career, averaging 3.2 yards per attempt and getting sacked five times so do not think there is not a chip on his shoulder. The Packers are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games against teams with a winning record while the 49ers are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up win of more than 14 points. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after two consecutive covers as a favorite going up against opponent off a home win. This situation is 36-13 ATS (73.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (311) Green Bay Packers

This is a play on the CLEMSON TIGERS for our CFP Championship Winner. LSU remains a sizable favorite for this game which just does not seem right. Clemson is the defending national champion, winner of 29 consecutive games, and looking for its third national championship in four seasons. Clemson has been an underdog in each of its previous three trips to the title game under head coach Dabo Swinney and has won outright or covered the spread in each instance. The Tigers are led by Trevor Lawrence who has been overshadowed by his opponent Joe Burrow. After being intercepted eight times in his first seven games, Lawrence has attempted a school-record 202 consecutive passes without an interception in seven games since. He has 22 touchdowns during that span. On the other side, Clemson allows the fewest points of any team in the country (11.5 ppg) and the second-fewest yards (264.1 ypg). Brent Venables may have turned in the top coaching performance of his career this season, taking a defense that lost seven starters, including its entire defensive front, and molding a youthful group into the top scoring defense in the country. Clemson is 7-0 ATS against teams averaging 31 or more ppg this season while LSU is 0-4 ATS in its last four games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play on neutral field underdogs that are outrushing their opponents by 100 or more ypg on the season. This situation is 38-15 ATS (71.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (283) Clemson Tigers

This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. We were hoping to get some earlier injury news and while there is positive news, it is not official. Seattle left tackle Duane Brown, who has missed the past three games with a knee injury, is hoping to get back. Brown was able to practice on a limited basis on Friday, his first practice action since having surgery and will be a game-day decision, Seahawks coach Pete Carroll said. The offensive line is the weakness for the Seahawks so this could be a big upgrade. Green Bay is very overrated. The Packers did have a pair of solid wins over Minnesota but they were outgained in one of those and the Vikings were not healthy in the second one and the win over Kansas City was against Matt Moore and not Patrick Mahomes. This is the smallest of the spreads in the Divisional round yet it is arguably too high. This is a spot Russell Wilson has excelled in as he is 10-4 ATS as an underdog of three or more points, while going 6-2 ATS when the line is four or more points. The Packers are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a winning road record. Here, we play against home teams with a winning percentage of .750 or better off a road win against a division rival, playing a team with a winning record in the second half of the season. This situation is 26-8 ATS (76.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (307) Seattle Seahawks

This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFL Saturday Star Attraction. The Vikings showed they can go on the road and win a big game and if there was any pressure on Kirk Cousins, he did not show it and any hint of that theory is long gone. While the 49ers defense is thought to be the better defense when compared to the Saints, they are actually in a worse position based on this matchup and the strengths of the Vikings offense. Minnesota has a healthy Dalvin Cook, Adam Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs for the first time in a long time and that is a dangerous trio. On the other side, the main focus for the 49ers against the Vikings should be protecting quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo against one of the best front sevens in the NFL. Coming into last week, Saints starting offensive tackles Terron Armstead and Ryan Ramczyk had not given up a sack all season but they gave up three Sunday. Quarterbacks making their first playoff start are 16-34 straight up and 15-34-1 ATS since 2002 and while that 30.6 percent record may seem skewed based on the fact that first-time starters are more likely to be on the road, home favorites in this scenario are just 5-16 ATS (23.8 percent). Here, we play against home teams with a winning percentage of .750 or better off a road win against a division rival, playing a team with a winning record in the second half of the season. This situation is 26-7 ATS (78.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (301) Minnesota Vikings

This is a play on the MIAMI OHIO REDHAWKS for our CFB Monday Lending Tree Bowl Winner. The RedHawks are not getting any respect here with this being tied for the third biggest spread of all the bowl games. Miami finds itself as an underdog tonight against Louisiana, but that is nothing unusual for the RedHawks, who in their 12 previous games against FBS opponents were underdogs in all but two of those games despite their 8-5 record and 6-2 mark in MAC games. While the RedHawks may not score a lot of points, most of the season they have made the points they score in games count. Entering tonight, Miami holds a 5-0 record this season in games decided by one score. They have made a season, and won a Mid-American Conference championship, out of winning close games. Louisiana is coming off a loss to Appalachian St. in the Sun Belt Conference Championship. The Cajuns possess a very potent offense so Miami will be tested but has proved to be able to slow teams down. Through 13 games in 2019, Louisiana ranks eighth in country and leads the conference in total offense per game (501.3) and 10th in the nation in scoring offense (38.8). After raising the New Orleans Bowl trophy four straight seasons under coach Mark Hudspeth, the Cajuns have lost their past two bowl games and have not won a bowl game outside of Alabama since 1944. 10* (279) Miami Ohio RedHawks

This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. Seattle was inches away from winning the NFC West but lost in the final seconds to the 49ers and were handed the No. 5 seed. While the Seahawks have to travel, that is not a bad thing for this team as they finished 7-1 on the road and get to face a banged up Eagles team that is lucky to be here. Seattle is banged up in its own right but is not as depleted as the Eagles are. Russell Wilson is healthy, and he threw for 4,110 yards and 31 touchdowns this season with just five interceptions. he finished sixth in the NFL in passing yards despite attempting just 516 passes, which ranked 12th. Travel is certainly no issue for him. Since the beginning of the 2018 season, Wilson is 7-0 in the Eastern time zone, with a 72.2 completion percentage, a 15-1 intercept touchdown ratio and a 128.0 pin rating. Offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer said more of the playbook should be available to Marshawn Lynch on Sunday now that he has another week of work under his belt. Carson Wentz guided the Eagles to four straight wins to close out the season, albeit all against the moribund NFC East. Now facing a team with a pulse, Philadelphia will have its hands full despite playing at home. He has limited targets at receiver and tight end Zach Ertz is still listed as questionable. Making matters worse, starting right tackle Lane Johnson will not play. Here, we play on road favorites averaging 335 or more total ypg, after allowing 375 or more total yards in two consecutive games. This situation is 44-20 ATS (68.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (147) Seattle Seahawks

This is a play on the BUFFALO BILLS for our NFL Saturday Star Attraction. The first Wild Card game of the playoffs takes place in Houston as the Bills hit the road in the postseason for the second time in three years. Buffalo leaned on their defense to reach 10 wins this season. The Bills defense finished second in points allowed (16.2), fourth in passing yards allowed (195.2), 10th in rushing yards allowed (103.1) and third in total yards allowed (298.2) this season. They were one of only three teams that held opposing quarterbacks to under an 80.0 QB rating (To put that in perspective opposing quarterbacks had a 95.3 rating against the Texans this year). The Texans are an offense-first squad which explodes at unpredictable times. It did not happen enough in the second half of the season, and it usually happens when Will Fuller is on the field but he has been downgraded to doubtful. Houston averages over 25 ppg when Fuller plays and less than 20 when he is missing so he is a big factor in this offense. J.J. Watt will be back on Saturday but the Texans defense has major issues lately even though Watt will be back. Look for Buffalo to try and pound the ball as Devin Singletary had 775 yards, two touchdowns, on 151 carries, which is an average of 5.1 ypc, fifth-best in the NFL. Get the running game going and Josh Allen should be able to take some shots against this Texans secondary. Here, we play against home favorites that are averaging 4.5 ypc going up against teams allowing between 3.5 and 4.5ypc, after being outrushed by 75 or more yards last game. This situation is 54-20 ATS (73 percent) since 1983. 10* (141) Buffalo Bills

This is a play on the OHIO BOBCATS for our CFB Friday Potato Bowl Winner. Ohio finished the season 6-6 but it could have been a lot better as four of those losses came by a field goal or less. Ohio quarterback Nathan Rourke is arguably one of the greatest quarterbacks in program history, owning the record for most touchdowns accounted for in a career with 110 (60 passing, 48 rushing, 2 receiving). This season, Rourke ranks 16th in the FBS in points accounted for per game with 16.5. He is also one of the most productive rushers in MAC history as his career average of 6.1 ypc is tied for 8th in the MAC since 1962. Because of his production, Ohio has been one of the most productive offenses in the FBS in the last three seasons, finishing 9th, 12th, and 20th in scoring offense each season, respectively culminating with an average of 34.7 ppg this season. Nevada will have a tough time finding a way to overcome the loss of four key defensive players from a defense already allowing 32.1 ppg as those players were suspended for this game. The offense will be challenged as well as Nevada averaged just 21.3 ppg on the season and even that is skewed with big numbers against bad teams. They finished 1-4 against bowl teams while getting outgained by 211 ypg which is the most of any team in a bowl game this season. The Wolf Pack won three of their last four games to become bowl eligible but the schedule was in their favor as three of three of those four teams finished 4-8 or worse. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points in the second half of the season that are averaging 440 or more ypg going up against a team allowing between 390 and 440 ypg, after gaining 6.75 or more yppl in their previous game. This situation is 38-9 ATS (80.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (275) Ohio Bobcats

This is a play on the CINCINNATI BEARCATS for our CFB Thursday Birmingham Bowl Winner. Boston College ended the season 6-6 and it will be without a couple key pieces. Head coach Steve Addazio was fired after the regular season and has since been hired by Colorado St. Wide receivers coach Rich Gunnell will serve as the interim coach for this game. Additionally, they will not have star running back AJ Dillon, who rushed for 1,685 yards and scored 14 touchdowns this season and is the Boston College all-time leading rusher. He has declared for the draft and is sitting out the game. That puts a lot of pressure on quarterback Dennis Grosel who completed under 50 percent of his passes, sometimes turning the Boston College offense one-dimensional. On the other side, the Eagles defense is allowing 480.3 ypg which is tied for fourth worst in the country. The Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win. In just three seasons, Cincinnati head coach Luke Fickell took his team from four wins to less than 90 seconds away from a conference championship. The Bearcats lost only three games this season, one to Ohio St. and the final two against Memphis, the eventual AAC Champion. Cincinnati is led offensively by running back Michael Warren and dual-threat quarterback Desmond Ridder. Warren collected 1,160 yards and 14 touchdowns on the ground, while Ridder threw for 2,069 yards and 17 touchdowns while rushing for 545 yards and two scores. Cincinnati allowed 21.7 ppg, leading the conference in scoring defense for a second consecutive year. Cincinnati is 6-0 ATS against defenses allowing 8 or more passing ypa over the last two seasons. 10* (272) Cincinnati Bearcats

This is a play on the BAYLOR BEARS for our CFB Sugar Bowl Winner. This line has come down considerably and for good reason. Georgia is depleted in key areas whether it be by injury or other factors. Starting offensive linemen Andrew Thomas and Isaiah Wilson will miss the game after declaring early for the NFL draft, while right guard Ben Cleveland will miss the game, reportedly for academic reasons. Second-leading rusher Brian Herrien also won't play for undisclosed reasons, and it's believed several other players won't be on hand. Additionally, the status of leading rusher D'Andre Swift is also uncertain due to a shoulder injury he suffered late in the year. That is a lot to overcome and it was so bad that head coach Kirby Smart closed all 11 of the team's practices prior to arriving in New Orleans. It was a remarkable season for Baylor that on one saw coming. The Bears finished 1-11 in 2017, improved to 7-6 in 2018 before this year's 11-2 campaign, their only losses coming to Oklahoma. No. 7 Baylor lost to the Sooners in the regular season and later 30-23 in overtime of the Big 12 championship game. While Georgia is shorthanded, Baylor head coach Matt Rhule said that he will have his entire team at his disposal, including starting quarterback Charlie Brewer, who left the Big 12 championship game on Dec. 7 with a concussion. Being down 15 scholarship players is a big deal and you know that Baylor is going to have a ton of fight and energy coming into this game. Rhule coached teams are 14-2 ATS after three or more consecutive wins against the spread. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a rushing defense allowing 100 or less rushing ypg, after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game. This situation is 56-24 ATS (70 percent) since 1992. 10* (269) Baylor Bears

This is a play on the NAVY MIDSHIPMEN for our CFB Tuesday Supreme Annihilator. This is a great spot for Navy which comes in loads of momentum following three straight wins and going 8-1 over its last 10 games, the lone loss coming against Notre Dame. Midshipmen quarterback Malcolm Perry broke a lot of school records this season and he will be a nightmare matchup for Kansas St. as not only is Navy the No. 1 rushing offense in the country but they own the No. 2 redzone offense and will square off against the No. 130 in redzone defense in Kansas St. Additionally, the Wildcats rushing defense is mediocre as they are ranked No. 61 and allow an average of 4.9 ypc. Kansas St. closed the season with a little bit of momentum as it defeated Texas Tech and Iowa St. over its final two games to finish third in the Big XII Conference. Kansas St. split its six games against bowl teams but that is misleading as the Wildcats were outgained by an average of 106 ypg which is the fourth most among bowl teams from the Power 5 conferences. Overall, Navy outgained nine of 12 opponents while the Wildcats outgained just five of 12 foes. Navy is 40-19 ATS in its last 59 games after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards in two straight games. Here, we play on teams averaging 4.8 or more ypc going up against teams averaging between 4.3 and 4.8 ypc, after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards last game. This situation is 116-56 ATS (67.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (258) Navy Midshipmen

This is a play on the KENTUCKY WILDCATS for our CFB Tuesday Afternoon Dominator. Kentucky comes in riding a three-game winning streak including a 32-point win over rival Louisville in its regular season finale. The Wildcats were 4-5 but vaulted into a bowl game with their strong finish. The defense is the strength as they are ranked No. 20 overall and No. 12 in scoring. Kentucky is 7-0 ATS in its last seven games against non-conference opponents. While going just 2-4 against fellow bowl teams, Kentucky outgained those six teams by an average of 24 ypg. Conversely, Virginia Tech went 4-3 against bowlers but were outgained by 27 ypg on average. While those margins are not overwhelming, the strength of schedules actually make those numbers skewed as the ACC as a conference ranked lower than the Pac 12 and the AAC. A big storyline here is that this is the last game for Hokies defensive coordinator Bud Foster so while they will be jacked up the matchup is not a good one. Virginia Tech has struggled against running quarterbacks this season and Kentucky quarterback Lynn Bowden Jr. is an electric athlete. He has averaged 174.3 ypg during the three-game winning streak. Here, we play against teams off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite going up against an opponent off two consecutive home wins by 14 points or more. This situation is 35-10 ATS (77.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (291) Kentucky Wildcats

This is a play on the VIRGINIA CAVALIERS for our CFB Orange Bowl Winner. Even though they were dismantled in the ACC Championship by Clemson, the Cavaliers are clearly the second best team in the conference and while that might not be saying much to some, this is a solid team with a solid coach that wants to rebound from that defeat. Scoring hasn't been a problem for the Cavaliers, whose 421 total points and 32.4 ppg average are both the second-highest marks in school history. The Cavaliers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games against teams with a winning record. Florida is an overrated No. 9 in the CFP Rankings as it has defeated hardly anyone. A win over No. 12 Auburn was nice but that is the only win over a team ranked within the top 30. The Gators finished the season just +57 ypg against bowl teams so there was no domination to make them a two-touchdown favorite here. Florida won't have cornerback C.J. Henderson, who is sitting out after declaring for the draft and he is a big piece of the secondary that decided to give up on his team despite a high profile bowl game. Bowl favorites are a dismal 9-36 ATS in the last 45 occurrences when coming off three or more ATS wins and facing an opponent that scored 21 or fewer points last time out. Additionally, we play against teams with a winning percentage of .800 or better after beating the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games, playing a team with a winning percentage between .600 and .800. This situation is 46-18 ATS (71.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (251) Virginia Cavaliers

This is a play on the NEW YORK GIANTS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. This is another instance of going against a team that needs to win and one simple belief for that is if a team needs to win in Week 17 to get into the playoffs, it cannot be that good of a team to begin with. That is certainly the case for the Eagles which are coming off a must win game against the Cowboys. We are not here saying the Eagles cannot or will not win this game but this line is simply too high. The Giants have won two straight games, albeit against Miami and Washington and they would like nothing more than to finish with three straight wins and knock their rival from the playoffs. Daniel Jones is coming off the best game of his rookie season where he threw for 352 yards and five touchdowns. He has another good matchup here and while the Eagles help Dak Prescott in check last week, clearly he was not close to 100 percent. Additionally, Saquon Barkley is back as he has two straight 100-yard games, including a career-best 189 yards rushing last week. He finished with a franchise-record 279 yards from scrimmage. Here, we play against teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 off an upset win as a home underdog, playing a losing team in the second half of the season. This situation is 24-3 ATS (88.9 percent) since 1983. 10* (116) New York Giants

This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our AFC West Game of the Year. Oakland still has an outside shot at a playoff berth as it needs a win here plus losses by Pittsburgh and Tennessee, a win by Indianapolis and a win or tie from either Chicago, Detroit, Los Angeles Chargers or New England. The scenario for the final four teams would give the Raiders the strength of schedule tiebreaker over Pittsburgh. That being said, this is a very inconsistent team and one that should not be trusted on the road. The Raiders are 2-5 away from home and their -105 scoring differential of fifth worst in the NFL. Denver has played well of late by winning three of its last four games has played very well in those wins. The game against Kansas City can be tossed out since it was being played in a snowstorm. Oakland has some horrible history heading into this game. The Raiders are 0-12 ATS in their last 12 games as divisional underdogs coming off a SU/ATS Win, 0-18 ATS in their last 18 games following a win in which they had less than 400 yards of offense and did not commit a single turnover and 0-11 ATS in their last 11 road games following a win. This includes losses this season at the Packers 42-24 and at the Jets 34-2. 10* (132) Denver Broncos

This is a play on the CLEMSON TIGERS for our CFB Saturday Fiesta Bowl Winner. The Buckeye defense has not seen a quarterback all season long that even comes close to the talent level of Trevor Lawrence. This will be a massive adjustment for the Ohio St. defenders. Lawrence for the season has over 3,100 yards passing and 34 touchdowns. But he also gets it done on the ground as he has rushed for 407 yards and seven scores. While the Buckeyes will be focused to slow Lawrence down, there is another big weapon they have to worry about. Travis Etienne is a monster in the backfield as he averages 8.2 ypc and scores a touchdown about every 11th time he takes a handoff. His 19 plays of 20 or more yards are tied for fifth among all non-receivers. The three running backs ahead of him on the list all have considerably more offensive touches than his 211. Etienne seems like a new challenge altogether in that the Buckeyes cannot make him the focal point of their defensive plan, nor can they afford to overlook him. This Ohio St. roster is one of the best in recent memory. The Buckeyes also have one of the most talented backfields in the country, comprised with Heisman finalist quarterback Justin Fields and Doak Walker Award finalist running back J.K. Dobbins. But Clemson is clearly the best defense that the Buckeyes will have faced this season. Defensive coordinator Brent Venables has had multiple weeks to prepare for the Buckeyes and we have seen what he has done in the past when given extra time to prepare. Clemson is a team that has won 28 straight games with CFP experience matched up with a group not all that familiar with the big stage. 10* (243) Clemson Tigers

This is a play on the USC TROJANS for our CFB Friday Holiday Bowl Winner. USC opened the season 3-3 but the Trojans came to life by winning five of their last six games to bounce back from a disappointing 2018 season where they went 5-7. The four USC losses have largely come against solid competition with three of the four at the hands of ranked opponents. The poise of USC quarterback Kedon Slovis the last few games and the growth of the wide receivers into Graham Harrell’s scheme has really shown that this is a deadly offense. It is ranked as one of the best for a reason. Slovis ended up missing only one full game and was named Pac 12 Offensive Freshman of the Year after completing 260 of 362 passes. He has a QB rating of 167.60 and averages 294.7ypg. The Hawkeyes surrender an average of only 184.2 ypg through the air, hold opposing quarterbacks to a passer rating of 113.08, and have allowed only twelve passing touchdowns while picking off eleven passes. But they have not faced a passing offense such as this. Iowa is totally dependent on its defense, which is ranked 3rd and 12th in scoring and total defense. The offense has been a different story as the Hawkeyes are ranked 96th, 97th, & 98th in scoring, rushing, and total offense respectively. Seven of last 10 games have been decided by one possession. While it may seem off because of the Pac 12, the Trojans played the 11th toughest schedule in the nation. 10* (233) USC Trojans

This is a play on the LOUISIANA TECH BULLDOGS for our CFB Thursday Independence Bowl Winner. This line has come down a point from opening but it is not enough. Miami has little interest in playing in this game as it comes in 6-6 after an underachieving regular season and the proof of not wanting to show up is evidenced by the top players. Defensive ends Jonathan Garvin and Trevon Hill, junior wide receiver Jeff Thomas, and linebacker Michael Pinckney have all decided to skip the Independence Bowl to prepare for the NFL draft. That says a lot. Louisiana Tech meanwhile would like nothing more than to secure a win over a major program to gain its first 10-win season since 1984. The Bulldogs are led by quarterback J'Mar Smith, Conference USA's Offensive Player of the Year and one of the most dynamic quarterbacks the Hurricanes have faced this season. The Hurricanes defense was one of the best this season but they are down their three best players and that will be a huge difference here. On the other side, the quarterback situation for Miami is so bad, a starter has yet to be names as it was an open tryout heading into the bowl game. The Louisiana Tech's campus in Ruston is located about an hour away from Shreveport, where the Independence Bowl will be played. Needless to say, the Bulldogs should have a distinct home-field advantage on Thursday. 10* (224) Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

This is a play on the BYU COUGARS for our CFB Tuesday Hawaii Bowl Blockbuster. Hawaii finished the regular season strong with a run of four straight wins but three of those were against non-bowl teams while the other was an ugly win against San Diego St. and of its nine total wins, only three came against bowl teams. The Warriors lost the yardage battle in five of the seven games against bowlers and in the four outright losses, they lost by an average of 26.3 ppg. BYU finished the season 7-5 with four of those wins coming against bowl teams including a win over Boise St., the Broncos only regular season loss of the season. The Cougars finished strong on the field as they outgained seven of their last eight opponents including the last five but that did not pay off at the ticket window as BYU dropped its last four games against the number. How important is the outcome of the Hawaii Bowl to BYU coach Kalani Sitake, his staff and the Cougar players? According to BYU Insiders, very important. This will be a business trip, not a vacation, to be sure. Here, we play on road favorites after allowing 14 points or less last game going up against an opponent after allowing 31 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 107-60 ATS (64.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (221) BYU Cougars

This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. Even though we are 14 games into the season, it is hard to get a grasp on the Packers and how good their 11-3 record really is. They've been outscored in the second and fourth quarters, only four of their 11 wins have come by more than one score and their team rankings in rushing and passing yardage on both offense and defense are all in the bottom half of the league. Green Bay has been outgained in five of its last six and seven of its last 10 games and just two of the 11 wins are against teams in current playoff positions. The Vikings have won eight of their last 10 games after an uneven 2-2 start to the season. There is a lot on the line for Minnesota as well even though it clinched a playoff berth with the Rams loss on Saturday. The only way Minnesota can win the NFC North is if the sputtering Lions beat the Packers in addition to Vikings victories in their last two games. They host Chicago on Dec. 29, with the chance to go 8-0 at home for the first time in 10 years. It is well documented that Kirk Cousins is 0-8 on Monday Night Football but he is not solely to blame. He has completed 191 of 292 passes (65.4 percent) for 2,153 yards with 11 touchdowns and five interceptions, and his passer rating is 92.7 in those games. Here, we play against road underdogs or pickems after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games. This situation is 40-16 ATS (71.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (482) Minnesota Vikings

This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. We won with Dallas last week as a home underdog and now it comes into this week as a road favorite which is a complete overreaction to the win last week. Couple that with the Eagles needing a late comeback to defeat to the Redskins and the public will be all over the Cowboys this week.0020Dallas is top ten in scoring offense, total offense, scoring defense and total defense yet it is just 7-7 on the season. The Cowboys can win the NFC East with a win no matter what happens next week but a playoff berth is still in play for the Eagles. Beat the Cowboys and win in Week 17 against the Giants, and they're in so clearly there is a lot at stake for both sides. Carson Wentz is playing one of the true must-win games of his career. He tossed a two-yard touchdown pass to Zach Ertz in overtime to beat the Giants and followed up on the road with a touchdown pass to Greg Ward to beat the Redskins. He is down his top three receivers so expect big games from Ertz and Ward as the Cowboys struggle to defend the middle of the field. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off an upset win by 14 or more points as a home underdog, after the first month of the season. This situation is 29-7 ATS (80.6 percent) since 1983. 10* (476) Philadelphia Eagles

This is a play on the CAROLINA PANTHERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Colts put up a dud for us on Monday night as the Saints used the Drew Brees record setting night as a means for motivation. Now there is nothing to play for as a rash of injuries, a flurry of costly special teams mistakes, and back-to-back sub-par defensive performances led to a fourth consecutive loss at New Orleans, sealing their playoff fate. They've been outscored 31-7 in the fourth quarter of the last three games to go along with no running game. The Panthers have given up on the Kyle Allen experiment that actually started out good but has failed miserably of late. They have lost six straight games but four of those losses came by just one possession and there is no wat the Colts should be laying this number with nothing on the line especially facing Christian McCaffrey. He needs 186 yards receiving over the final two games to become the third player to have 1,000 yards both rushing and receiving so he will be a heavy part of the passing game with new starter Will Grier. Here, we play against home favorites with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 off a road loss, playing a team with a winning percentage between .250 and .400. This situation is 49-18 ATS (73.1 percent) since 1983. 10* (471) Carolina Panthers

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Saturday Primetime Punisher. The Rams are coming off a loss last week in Dallas which severely hurt their playoff chances. They have to win out in their final two games, here and then next week at home against the Cardinals. Additionally, Los Angeles needs Minnesota to love this Monday and then next week at home against the Bears. All scenarios are more than possible so it is up to the Rams to do its job. The Rams are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss. San Francisco is coming off a bad loss against Atlanta last Sunday and while it can still lock down the No. seed in the NFC, it can also fall to the No. 5 seed which is where it currently sits. The 49ers are just 3-2 against the top 10 in the league while playing the No. 17 ranked schedule. While these teams are separated by three games, San Francisco seems pretty overpriced here and this is just the second time the Rams have been road underdogs and by far by the biggest amount. The 49ers are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a home favorite. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 off an upset loss as a road favorite, in the second half of the season. This situation is 29-8 ATS (78.4 percent) since 1983. 10* (451) Los Angeles Rams

This is a play on the BOISE ST. BRONCOS for our CFB Game of the Week. The storyline here is that this is the final game for Washington head coach Chris Peterson and he squares off against his former team which he directed a complete turnaround to where they are now. It is a great feel good story but the game is played on the field and the Broncos will not have any less motivation. Boise St. lost once this season, a three-point loss at BYU, and was favored in every game it played. Granted, they are now playing a team from a Power 5 conference but the Pac 12 is the worst of the bunch. Since 2006, the Broncos are 5-3 as neutral-site underdogs and two of those losses came back to back with an interim coach in the 2013 Hawaii Bowl vs. Oregon St. and in the first game under head coach Bryan Harsin in 2014 against Ole Miss. The Broncos are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog. Washington struggled down the stretch, going 3-4 in its last seven games and two of those losses came against teams not playing in a bowl game. Pac 12 teams are 2-20 ATS in bowl games over the last three years while the Huskies are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. 10* (216) Boise St. Broncos

This is a play on the BUFFALO BILLS for our NFL Saturday Afternoon Dominator. This is a game where you have to trust the eye test and not the history lesson. New England is making its 11th straight playoff appearance but this could be the worst of the bunch despite an 11-3 record. The defense is great but the offense has struggled as Tom Brady looks slow and inaccurate and he has no weapons to throw to. Facing one of the best defenses in the league will be a challenge and the Patriots struggled in the first meeting as they won by six points but mustered a mere 224 yards of total offense and the difference was a blocked punt returned for a touchdown. Playing at home with a chance to win the division in tough to go against but the Patriots are 1-5 ATS in their last six games against teams with a winning record. Buffalo will not be intimidated here just like last week when they were not against the Steelers. They held Pittsburgh to 229 total yards and the site of Brady is not going to scare them off. The offense has certainly been inconsistent but Josh Allen has the ability to confuse the Patriots with his mobility. The Bills are 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight road games. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems after covering the spread in three out of their last four games, in the last two weeks of the regular season. This situation is 38-14 ATS (73.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (453) Buffalo Bills

This is a play on the UTAH ST. AGGIES for our CFB Friday Frisco Bowl Winner. Kent St. snuck into the postseason with a 6-6 record thanks to winning its final three games of the regular season. The Golden Flashes lost the yardage battle in two of those games and on the season, they were outgained in all seven games against current bowl teams and by an average of 192 ypg. Utah St. had a below average season by its standards as it went 7-5 and four of those five losses came by at least 24 points. Of course, those were all against teams much better than Kent St. and three of those are currently ranked. One of the big reasons for the pedestrian season was the average play of quarterback Jordan Love who crushed it last season with 28 touchdowns and five interceptions compared to a 17:16 split this season. He is pegged as a high draft NFL quarterback and this is his showcase. For the Aggies, beating the Golden Flashes would represent ending 2019 on a high note after missing their goal of winning a Mountain West Conference championship. Here, we play on teams after being beaten by the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games, in December games. This situation is 44-17 ATS (72.1 percent) since 1992. 10* (204) Utah St. Aggies

This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. The money and the public is on the Saints here which comes as no surprise and that has driven this line up to double-digits in some places. The Saints are coming off a tough loss against the 49ers last Sunday but have still clinched the division but they can win out and still get the third seed if they don't receive some extra help. The New Orleans defense has regressed and that is not ideal when laying a number this big as the Saints enter this game ranked 13th in total defense, surrendering 338 ypg and 17th in points allowed at 22.8 ppg. New Orleans is 7-17 ATS in its last 24 home games as favorites coming off a home loss including 0-7 ATS when laying more than a touchdown. Indianapolis needs to win out and get some help for the postseason as it is a game and a half out of the final Wild Card spot in the AFC. The Colts are 2-4 on the road but three of those losses came by a combined eight points and the other came in overtime. Indianapolis is 9-0 ATS in its last nine games against NFC teams .500 or better. Here, we play on road underdogs or pickems off a road loss by three points or less, in the last four weeks of the regular season. This situation is 24-5 ATS (82.8 percent) since 1983. 10* (333) Indianapolis Colts

This is a play on the DALLAS COWBOYS for our NFL Game of the Year. The advanced line for this game was Dallas -3.5 which was released on Tuesday but after the Dallas loss on Thursday, the number came down to -3 and then after the Rams blowout winner over Seattle on Sunday night, the line came down once again and this is the time to buy. The Cowboys have lost three straight games to fall to 6-7 and this is a must win game with their following contest taking place at Philadelphia which will most likely decide the NFC East. In the loss against the Bears, Dallas still won the yardage battle for the ninth straight game. Dallas is 19-8 ATS in its last 27 home games after having lost three out of their last four games. The Rams are coming off the impressive win over Seattle to remain in the Wild Card hunt. They are one game behind the Vikings for the second Wild Card spot and the Rams are going to have to get some help from the Vikings. While the offense has looked good the last two games, quarterback Jared Goff is having a mediocre season, posting 3712 passing yards with a 15:14 TD to INT ratio. The Rams are 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog. The game will be a rematch of the NFC Divisional round matchup from last season, when Dallas traveled to Los Angeles and got their pride handed to them. Head coach Sean McVay used a combination of Todd Gurley and C.J. Anderson to rush for over 250 yards on the Dallas defense and the Cowboys were outgained 459-308 making revenge a big factor. Here, we play on home favorites after having lost four or five out of their last six games, with a winning percentage between .450 and .550 on the season. This situation is 24-6 ATS (80 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (330) Dallas Cowboys

This is a play on the OAKLAND RAIDERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. After three straight losses, the Raiders are nearly eliminated from playoff contention so one could argue there is little motivation on the Oakland sideline. That could be the furthest from the truth. This is the final game being played in Oakland as it will be calling Las Vegas home starting next season so there will be plenty of motivation to pull out one final victory for the home crowd. It was a rough second half last week for the Raiders but they are in a great bounce back spot here facing a team that has mailed it in. The Raiders are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss. Jacksonville has lost five straight games and none have been close as those losses have all come by at least 17 points and by an average of 23.4 ppg. The Jaguars are officially out of the playoff mix and are ready for the season to end. The Jaguars are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Here, we play on favorites after failing to cover the spread in 4 out of their last 5 games, after the first month of the season. This situation is 105-67 ATS (61 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (324) Oakland Raiders

This is a play on the ARMY BLACK KNIGHTS for our CFB Saturday Army/Navy Enforcer. It has been a tough season for Army that came in with high expectations following an 11-2 season a year ago. The Black Knights opened 3-1 with the lone loss coming at Michigan in overtime. It has been a 2-6 finish but five of those losses came by single digits. Army has won the last three games in the series. Although the Black Knights (5-7) are having an off-year compared with Navy (9-2), a victory for the Midshipmen is certainly not guaranteed. Another win over Navy on Saturday would give the Black Knights their first four-game winning streak in the rivalry since 1993 to 1996. Navy turned things around after going 3-10 last season as it is 9-2 with the tow losses coming against Memphis and Notre Dame. Army has outgained four of its last five opponents so it is playing better than the record shows which makes the points being a premium. Seven of the nine Army-Navy Games in this decade have been decided by a touchdown or less. The only two to get out of hand in Navy's favor came before Army hired Jeff Monken. Here, we play on neutral field underdogs that are outrushing their opponents by 100 or more ypg on the season, after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in three straight games. This situation is 29-6 ATS (82.9 percent) since 1992 including a perfect 15-0 ATS over the last five seasons. 10* (303) Army Black Knights

This is a play on the NEW YORK GIANTS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. The Giants have lost eight in a row but could spoil Philadelphia's playoff hopes with a victory. Eli Manning is expected to make his first start since Week 2 because rookie Daniel Jones has a high ankle sprain. Manning struggled in his first two starts but there was a lot of pressure on him to keep his job and now with that pressure being lifted, he should be able to go out and just play. The Giants are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog. Despite their poor record, the Eagles would win the NFC East by winning their last four games. But when you lose 7 of 12, three in a row, and at the woeful Dolphins, nothing is guaranteed. The Eagles have not shown the ability to put a team away aside from their life-draining drive against the Bears in Week Nine, their win over the Bills in Week Eight and the rout of the Jets in Week Five. The Eagles are 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games against teams with a losing road record. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after allowing 30 points or more last game going up against an opponent after scoring 14 points or less in two straight games. This situation is 49-20 ATS (71 percent) since 1983. 10* (159) New York Giants

This is a play on the BUFFALO BILLS for our NFL Game of the Week. We bet against Baltimore again last week as it finally paid off as the Ravens snuck by a quality opponent. While some may not think it, Buffalo is another quality opponent as its 9-3 record indicates. The line is inflated once again as the book want to avoid liability after getting crushed for five straight games. The San Francisco defense did a great job on the Ravens offense, holding them to a season low 20 points. The Bills defense is built similarly to the 49ers and it is a legit unit. On the other side, Josh Allen has been sensational since the Patriots game with just the one hiccup against Cleveland. Buffalo gained the early action causing the line to go from -6 to -5 on Sunday. When Monday hit, the action switched and the Ravens were getting hit hard moving the line to 5.5 and the action has remained on the Baltimore side yet the line has increased to -6 as of Friday night. Here, we plat on home teams off an upset win as an underdog, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages of .750 or better. This situation is 29-8 ATS (78.4 percent) since 1983. 10* (132) Buffalo Bills

This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Colts burned us last week as they were ready to take the lead against Tennessee but had their field goal blocked and returned for a touchdown and then another turned sealed the game. The Colts outgained the Titans by 99 total yards and have won the yardage battle in five of their last six games despite going 2-4. The Colts are in must win mode and are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a double-digit loss at home. The Buccaneers are on a two-game winning streak but are just 1-3 at home with the lone won coming by a field goal against Arizona. They were favored by 5.5 points in that game and are now 0-4 ATS at home not including the London game where they were the designated home team and lost by 11 points. At 5-7, Tampa Bay is out of the playoff mix yet is favored again. Here, we play against home favorites after having won two out of their last three games, with a winning percentage of between .400 and .499 in the second half of the season. This situation is 28-8 ATS (77.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (147) Indianapolis Colts

This is a play on the APPALACHIAN ST. MOUNTAINEERS for our CFB Game of the Week. The 2019 Sun Belt Championship Game is set with the Appalachian St. Mountaineers hosting the Louisiana Ragin Cajuns. Appalachian St. clinched the Sun Belt East Division title after finishing 7-1 in conference play and 11-1 overall, two games ahead of Georgia Southern. The Mountaineers have won three-consecutive Sun Belt titles including last season when they defeated Louisiana 30-19 on this same field. Louisiana has had no trouble moving the ball the season, as evidenced by a sixth-ranked offense in yards per play. On the other side, the Appalachian State defense is a top-25 unit in regard to yards per play, which sets up for an interesting battle of strength vs. strength. If short history is any indication, the Mountaineers have the edge as they held the Cajuns to just 5.5 yppl in the first meeting in a 17-7 win and that game was in Lafayette. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival going up against an opponent off three straight wins against conference rivals. This situation is 57-25 ATS (69.5 percent) since 1992. 10* (108) Appalachian St. Mountaineers

This is a play on the MIAMI OHIO REDHAWKS for our CFB 10* Star Attraction. Miami will be going to a bowl game for the first time since 2016-17 after winning five of its last six games to win the MAC East Division. The RedHawks finished the regular season 7-5 and while it is coming off a loss in its last game, it was a meaningless game on the road. On paper, the RedHawks bring in one of the best overall defenses in the MAC and arguably the best special teams unit in the country. Offensively, the RedHawks are excellent in the red zone as they are 34-for-39 in red-zone opportunities and have scored 21 touchdowns (53.8 percent).Central Michigan turned its season around and is one of the biggest stories in the country. The Chippewas went 1-11 last season including 0-8 in the MAC and then opened this year 2-3 but went on to win six of their last seven games. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after having won four or five out of their last six games, with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 of their games on the season. This season is 37-10 ATS (78.7 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (105) Miami Ohio RedHawks

This is a play on the OKLAHOMA SOONERS for our Big XII Championship Winner. Oklahoma and Baylor will meet for the second time this season, yet again with both of their College Football Playoff hopes on the line. The first one was an epic comeback for the Sooners as they rallied from a 31-10 halftime deficit. Turnover were the story as Oklahoma won the yardage battle by 218 total yards so the outcome should not have been that close. The Sooners offense has been riding high as usual and the defense has improved from recent years so a big showing here could propel them into the CFP should Georgia lose. Baylor feels it still has a shot as we but it is slim as it is ranked No. 9 and would need a win and a lot of help. The Bears only loss came against the Sooners where Oklahoma was a 10.5-point favorite but now Oklahoma is actually favored by less on a neutral field. This is the first time all season that the Sooners have been single-digit favorites. Here, we play on any team after being beaten by the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games, in December games. This situation is 44-16 ATS (73.3 percent) since 1992. 9* (110) Oklahoma Sooners

This is a play on the DALLAS COWBOYS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. Dallas has lost two straight games and is 3-5 0ver its last eight games but there has been one common denominator and that is the Cowboys have outgained all eight opponents in those games. The problem is not on the offense as they have the top ranked offense in the NFL with 432.8 ypg and the defense has not been bad either as they are ranked No. 8 overall with 321.6 ypg. But on that side of the ball, they have just 12 takeaways which is tied for fourth fewest in the NFL and the eight teams they are grouped with that have 14 or fewer takeaways, seven have no chance for the playoffs. A lot of this is luck and can turn around quickly as we are backing a team that is one of only two ranked in the top eight in both offense and defense, San Francisco being the other and the 49ers are 10-2. Chicago was fortunate to get out of Detroit with a win on Thanksgiving as it had its best game on offense on the season with 419 yards yet won by just four points. Mitchell Trubisky had his best game of the season but that was against the third worst passing defense in the NFL and we do not expect a big effort Thursday. Here, we play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 with a defense forcing one or fewer tpg, after two consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. This situation is 49-20 ATS (71 percent) since 1983. 10* (101) Dallas Cowboys

This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. Seattle has won four straight games including three on the road where it is a perfect 6-0 on the season. The Seahawks are just 3-2 at home with those three wins being an overtime win over Tampa Bay, a one-point win over the Rams and a one-point win over the Bengals. They are outgaining opponents by just 17 ypg at home and going back, the Seahawks are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games. Minnesota has won two straight games and is coming off its bye week which is a big edge this late in the season. The Vikings are a half-game behind Green Bay in the NFC North and they hold onto a game and a half lead over the Rams for the final Wild Card slot in the NFC and can take over the first spot with a win tonight. Here, we play on road teams after failing to cover the spread in three out of their last four games, in December games. This situation is 42-15 ATS (73.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (475) Minnesota Vikings

This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Game of the Week. Indianapolis and Tennessee are both squarely in the playoff mix as both come in at 6-5, one game behind Houston in the NFC South and with the Texans playing the Patriots, the winner of this game could be in a first place tie. Tennessee is coming off a pair of impressive wins as it defeated Kansas City and then Jacksonville in a blowout but both were at home. Tennessee is just 1-3 in its last four road games yet is getting just one point as of Saturday. The Colts stumbled in Houston for their third loss in four games but against the Texans, it broke a streak of outgaining their opponents in four straight games. Here, we play on favorites in the second half of the season averaging between 335 and 370 ypg going up against teams averaging between 295 and 335 ypg, after being outgained by 100 or more total yards last game. This situation is 23-5 ATS (82.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (458) Indianapolis Colts

This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. Baltimore is coming off another impressive win last week against the Rans but it came with a cost and now the Ravens are playing on short rest. Center Matt Skura got hurt on Monday night and now the Ravens weak at left guard and center and San Francisco can take advantage of this. Baltimore has now won seven straight games, the last five coming by double-digits so it is no surprise the public is loving the Ravens yet the line has actually come down. San Francisco is coming off a pair of impressive wins as it defeated Arizona and Green Bay, outgaining them by 176 yards and 141 yards respectively. The 49ers are 10-1 but are not getting the deserved respect because of the dominant Baltimore run. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points that are averaging 27 or more ppg, after allowing 14 points or less in two straight games. This situation 27-7 ATS (79.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (455) San Francisco 49ers

This is a play on the MIAMI HURRICANES for our CFB Game of the Week. We have two huge factors going the Hurricanes way here. Miami lost at home to Florida International last week prompting head coach Manny Diaz to say it was one of the worst losses in program history so making amends from that is paramount. Second, the Hurricanes lost home to Duke last season for the first time since 1976 so revenge is in play. The loss last week was misleading as Miami outgained the Panthers by 116 total yards but lost the turnover battle 3-0 and missed two crucial fourth and one conversions. It has been a rough stretch for Duke as it has lost five straight games and six of seven while getting outgained in all of those. At 4-7, the Blue Devils will miss out on a bowl game for the first time since 2011-12. Here, we play against home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after having lost 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games going up against an opponent after having won 3 out of their last 4 games. This situation is 30-8 ATS (78.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (425) Miami Hurricanes

This is a play on the INDIANA HOOSIERS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. Purdue is another team that has had a rough season after coming in with high expectations. The Boilermakers are 4-7 and will miss out on a bowl game after making the postseason the last two years. The door was officially shut last week in a 45-24 loss to Wisconsin but it was the loss of starting quarterback Elijah Sindelar after three games that really hurt them and this was the second straight season he did not come close to play a full season. Indiana is going bowling after missing out the last two seasons despite losing its last two games. The Hoosiers had a four-game losing streak snapped with a loss at Penn St. where they actually outgained the Nittany Lions and then lost last week against Michigan. The Hoosiers are 6-0 ATS in their last six games following an ATS loss. Here, we play on road favorites after gaining 100 or less rushing yards in two straight games going up against an opponent after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game. This situation is 23-3 ATS (88.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (391) Indiana Hoosiers

This is a play on the CINCINNATI BEARCATS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. Temple won for us last Saturday as it stayed within the big number at Cincinnati but now we will be backing the Bearcats as a big road underdog. Cincinnati has won nine straight games and its only loss on the season came at Ohio St. back in early September. The Bearcats already clinched the AAC East title but there is still a lot on the line as a win here and win next week likely gets them into a major bowl being the highest ranked non-power conference team. Slowing down the Memphis offense is the key and Cincinnati can do that as the Bearcats are allowing just 19.9 ppg which is 23rd in the nation. The Tigers have won five straight games and they bring in an identical 10-1 record yet are double-digit favorites. These teams are separated by just three points in the power rankings so the line is definitely inflated in favor of the home team. While it may seem dominating, Memphis has actually been outgained in four of its last eight games so a lot of the games have been fairly competitive. Here, we play on road underdogs after two or more consecutive losses against the spread, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages of .800 or better. This situation is 29-7 ATS (80.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (331) Cincinnati Bearcats

This is a play on the MISSOURI TIGERS for CFB Friday Supreme Annihilator. We played on Missouri last week and it lost at home for its fifth straight loss but now with the season on the line, the Tigers come out strong. They fell to 5-6 so a win here is necessary to gain a bowl berth and facing the worst team in the SEC is the cure. The offense remains a liability as the early season potent unit has fallen apart. A lot of that has to do with playing some tough defenses but that will not be the case this week. The Tigers have failed to cover six straight games but that is keeping this line in check. Arkansas has lost eight straight games to remain winless in the SEC and the other defeats came against San Jose St. and Western Kentucky. The Razorbacks are allowing 38 ppg on the season including 50.8 ppg over their last five games. Additionally, they have been outgained by an average of 260.8 ypg over that stretch so the scores are no fluke. A coaching change has done no good and it is safe to say Arkansas just wants this miserable season to end. Here, we play against underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points after allowing 5.5 or more rushing ypc in two straight games going up against an opponent after gaining 125 or fewer rushing yards in two straight games. This situation is 25-3 ATS (89.3 percent) since 1992. 10* (329) Missouri Tigers

This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS SAINTS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. New Orleans and Atlanta meet on Thanksgiving night for the second straight season with the Saints looking to wrap up the NFC South division. They have a four-game lead over Carolina following their win over the Panthers this past Sunday. New Orleans has won two straight games to improve to 9-2 on the season and it had a six-game winning streak snapped three games back at home against Atlanta. Revenge will be in play here against an inconsistent Atlanta team which pulled off stunning back-to-back road wins only to fall flat at home last week against the Buccaneers. The Falcons have lost four straight home games and while they have the edge in not having to travel following a home game, the defense will struggle here. The Saints are 24-8 ATS in their last 32 road games while Atlanta is 0-7 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. Additionally, the Falcons are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing six or more yppl in their previous game. Here, we play on road teams in the second half of the season averaging 1.25 or fewer turnovers per game going up against teams with forcing 1.25 or fewer turnovers per game, after four consecutive games where they committed one or less turnovers. This situation is 30-10 ATS (75 percent) since 1983. 10* (309) New Orleans Saints

This is a play on the MISSISSIPPI ST. BULLDOGS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. With the Mississippi loss to LSU two weeks ago, the Rebels have officially been eliminated from bowl contention. Because this is a big rivalry game, they will be out to play spoiler but sitting at 0-4 on the road, it will be difficult to achieve. Mississippi, which has not reached a bowl since 2015, will finish with a losing record for the second straight season. The Rebels are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games following a double-digit loss at home. Hope is still alive on the home side as the Bulldogs need a win Thursday to become eligible for a 10th straight bowl appearance. Mississippi St. has been outgained only twice at home and those came against LSU and Alabama. There might be added pressure with everything on the line for the Bulldogs but they have proven that they can get it done as Mississippi St. has achieved a perfect 3-0 record over the last decade when entering the Egg Bowl with bowl eligibility on the line. The Bulldogs are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 home games. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 6.25 or more yppl in their previous game going up against an opponent after outgaining their last opponent by 125 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 73-31 ATS (70.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (312) Mississippi St. Bulldogs

This is a play on the DETROIT LIONS for out NFL Thursday Afternoon Dominator. The Bears are coming off a home win over the lowly Giants by it was by just by five points. Since a 3-1 start to the season, Chicago is only 2-5 in its last seven games including a 0-3 record on the road. Three games back, they defeated Detroit by a touchdown for its third straight win in this series so the Lions will be out for payback. This offense remains incredibly inconsistent as they are ranked No. 29, averaging a mere 269.3 ypg and 17.1 ppg. Chicago has outgained only four of 11 opponents while on the other side, Detroit has outgained six of its 11 opponents. This includes outgaining the Redskins by 134 total yards this past Sunday but lost late. Quarterback Jeff Driskel has not been great but he is no worse than Mitchell Trubisky yet the Lions come in as the road underdog here. The defense has struggled overall but their worst games have come against premier offenses as they have gone against the top ten units. Detroit held Chicago to 226 yard offense in the first meeting. The Bears are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play on home teams revenging a road loss against opponent, off an upset loss as a road favorite. This situation is 86-43 ATS (66.7 percent) since 1983. 9* (306) Detroit Lions

This is a play on the WESTERN MICHIGAN BRONCOS for our CFB Tuesday Star Attraction. This is the last game of the regular season for both teams and the final game of the season entirely for Northern Illinois as its loss last week against Eastern Michigan prevented a bowl berth and this will be just the second losing season since 2009 for the Huskies. With nothing to play for except for pride, they are in a tough spot tonight. The Huskies are 1-8 ATS in their last nine home games against teams with a winning road record. It is pretty simple for Western Michigan. A win and the Broncos claim the MAC West Division while a loss gives Central Michigan the chance to win it with a victory over Toledo on Friday. Western Michigan has won three straight games and is coming off its bye week so it is in great shape to put it away. The difference here will be in the running game as the Broncos average nearly two more ypc than the Huskies and that is what puts these games away late in the season. Western Michigan is 5-1 ATS this season when favored by a touchdown or more. Here, we play against home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after having lost two out of their last three games going up against an opponent after having won four out of their last five games. This situation is 37-10 ATS (78.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (303) Western Michigan Broncos

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. Everyone is in love with Baltimore right now and rightfully so. The Ravens opened the season by hanging 59 points on the Dolphins, and have also enjoyed 49, 40, and 37 point outbursts. The Ravens defense has also enjoyed some success this season as they have allowed the 6th fewest points in the league and are 14th in yardage allowed. This is a bad matchup though. The Rams defense is stout and ranks 10th overall. They have given up 10 or fewer points three of the past four weeks. Offensively, the Rams need some work. In 10 games this season, they totaled only 243 ppg and 24 offensive touchdowns. Los Angeles has coughed up the ball 18 times,15 times by Jared Goff in the form of 10 interceptions and five lost fumbles. And a ground attack that finished with the third-most yards in the league a year ago ranks 20th in the NFL. Still, only five quarterbacks have thrown for more yards than Goff (2,783) so he will give the Ravens a big test. Here, we play against road favorites that are outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg, after a win by 10 or more points. This situation is 53-18 ATS (74..6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (276) Los Angeles Rams

This is a play on the DALLAS COWBOYS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Patriots are a M*A*S*H unit right now on offense as the three top receiving targets Mohamed Sanu, Julian Edelman and Philip Dorsett are all questionable and even Tom Brady popped up on the injury report with an elbow issue. New England has gained 342 yards or less in its last four games while playing the second easiest schedule in the NFL. We all know New England has won 20 straight home games but being favored by this much against one of the best rosters in the league is too much. The Cowboys have underachieved this season as they are just 3-4 over their last seven games. Despite this, they have outgained their opponents by 133.0 ypg over their last six games. Here, we lay against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a winning percentage of .750 or better after having won six or seven out of their last eight games, , in the second half of the season. This situation is 29-10 ATS (74.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (269) Dallas Cowboys

This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our NFL Game of the Week. Despite a 7-3 record, Buffalo is No. 23 in the latest power rankings as it has played the easiest schedule in the NFL. After outgaining their opponents in their first five games, Buffalo has outgained only two of their last five opponents. The Bills wins have come against the Jets, Giants, Bengals, Titans, Redskins and Dolphins twice. We can throw Denver into this mix as it is just 3-7 but the Broncos are the best losing team in the NFL. Five of the seven losses have been by just one possession which includes four coming within the final minute. Denver is just -25 points in scoring differential while outgaining half of its opponents and not being outgained by more than 84 yards in any game. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after covering the spread in three out of their last four games, team with a losing record in the second half of the season. This situation is 37-12 ATS (75.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (253) Denver Broncos

This is a play on the SAN DIEGO ST. AZTECS for our CFB Saturday Last Chance For Cash. We won with San Diego St. last Friday as it improved to 5-2 in the MWC. The Aztecs are a perfect 5-0 on the road and are led by a defense that is ranked No. 8 overall and in scoring defense. A win here gets them into the MWC Championship game. Hawaii can also wrap up a berth in the championship game with a victory. The offense can give San Diego St. a challenge but the same was said last week about Fresno St. and it managed just seven points. The Warriors are 3-2 at home against FBS teams. Here, we play against home teams after failing to cover the spread in four or five out of their last six games, in a game involving two teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .800. This situation is 52-21 ATS (71.2 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (215) San Diego St. Aztecs

This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PANTHERS for our ACC Game of the Year. Pittsburgh is coming off an overtime win over North Carolina last Thursday to improve to 7-3 and since a season opening loss against Virginia, the Panthers have outgained all nine opponents. Should the Panthers win here and against Boston College next week and Virginia loses to Virginia Tech next week, they will face Clemson in the ACC Championship. Virginia Tech rolled over Georgia Tech last week 45-0 and it has now won five of its last six games. The problem is the Hokies have been outgained in four of their last seven games. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points that are +5 to +10 ppg in scoring differential going up against teams that are +/- 5 in scoring differential after 7 or more games. This situation is 36-12 ATS (75 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (187) Pittsburgh Panthers

This is a play on the COLORADO ST. RAMS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. Colorado St. travels to Wyoming for the 110th meeting of the Border War where the teams battle annually for the Bronze Boot, held by Wyoming for the past three seasons. It has been a great season for Wyoming, much better than its 6-4 record indicates. The four losses have come by a combined 15 points so that record could be a lot better than what it is now. The Cowboys are bowl eligible after missing out last season. Wyoming is 0-6 ATS after having lost two out of their last three games over the last two seasons. Colorado St. is coming off a loss against Air Force which snapped a three-game winning streak. The Rams have outgained each of their last four opponents and have outgained seven of ten on the season. Apart from the rivalry, the Rams are seeking to remain in bowl contention this week. A loss would eliminate the Rams for the second consecutive season after reaching bowl eligibility over the previous three seasons. The Rams are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a double-digit loss at home. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points that are +5 to +10 ppg in scoring differential going up against teams that are +/- 5 in scoring differential after 7 or more games. This situation is 36-12 ATS (75 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (113) Colorado St. Rams

This is a play on the HOUSTON TEXANS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. We played on Houston last week and got totally destroyed as the Texans lost 41-7 and coupled with the Indianapolis blowout of Jacksonville, they are now tied for first place in the AFC South so this game will go a long way in determining the champion. The running game will be key here. Houston held Indianapolis to just 62 rushing yards in the first meeting, by far the Colts worst showing of the season. The loss of Marlon Mack, who broke his hand against Jacksonville, makes it harder to get the ground game going. On the other side, a Colts run defense that ranks ninth in the NFL will be tested as Houston has rushed for more than 100 yards in six straight games. The Texans are in revenge mode from the 30-23 loss in the first meeting as well as the 21-7 at home in the playoffs last season. Here, we play on home favorites revenging a loss by seven points or less, off a road loss. This situation is 41-13 ATS (75.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (110) Houston Texans

This is a play on the NC STATE WOLFPACK for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. After suffering a close loss against Virginia two weeks ago to close out any chance of a bowl berth, Georgia Tech laid an egg last week against Virginia Tech 45-0 and with their season completely done, the Yellow Jackets lack any sort of motivation. They have been outgained in all but one game and that was just a six-yard advantage over Duke, a game they still lost 41-23. The Yellow Jackets are 0-7 ATS in their last seven home games. There will be plenty of motivation on the NC State sidelines as after suffering through a four-game losing streak, the Wolfpack need to win their final two games to become bowl eligible. NC State has not won on the road but all of those losses came against teams going bowling or still bowl eligible. The Wolfpack are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four road games against teams with a losing home record. Here, we play on road underdogs after allowing 31 points or more in three straight games going up against an opponent after a loss by 17 or more points. This situation is 64-27 ATS (70.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (111) NC State Wolfpack

This is a play on the AKRON ZIPS for our CFB Wednesday Star Attraction. Akron is one of the worst teams in college football but we are backing the Zips at this ridiculous number. They are 0-10 straight up and have failed to cover any of those games but this is their first nationally televised game and they will go all out. As bad as they have been, the Zips have not gotten more than 22 points in any game and now all of a sudden they are getting over 31 points. Miami defeated Bowling Green last week to become bowl eligible while increasing its winning streak to four games. The RedHawks also clinched the MAC East title so unlike a lot of other teams in the conference, they actually have nothing to play for here so we could see a lot of rotations with players who have not played much seeing significant action. Two contrarian situations are on our side here. First, we play on teams after five or more consecutive losses against the spread going up against an opponent after one or more consecutive wins against the spread. This situation is 43-18 ATS (70.5 percent) over the last five seasons. Second, we play against favorites of 31.5 or more points off a home win, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team. This situation is 29-8 ATS (78.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (107) Akron Zips

This is a play on the OHIO BOBCATS for our CFB Tuesday Star Attraction. We lost a tough one with Ohio last week as it was defeated in overtime by Western Michigan in its final home game of the season. The Bobcats are still two wins away from bowl eligibility with two games left. That should be a non-issue though as they face the two worst teams in the MAC as they close the season next week at Akron. Their last three losses have been by three points so they should not even be in this position but it is what it is and laying the big number is not a problem. The Bobcats are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Bowling Green lost by 41 points at Miami Ohio last Wednesday to be officially eliminated from bowl contention. It has been a tough year for the Falcons as their three wins came against Morgan St. of the FCS, 0-10 Akron and while the last one came against Toledo, the Rockets lost their starting quarterback in that game. The Falcons are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 home games. Here, we play on favorites of 10.5 to 21 points after two or more consecutive straight up losses, with a winning percentage between .400 and .499. This situation is 30-5 ATS (85.7 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (101) Ohio Bobcats

This is a play on the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. Mexico City hosts a big AFC West divisional game as what once looked like a runaway win for the Chiefs has suddenly become a packed race. Kansas City won its first four games but has dropped four of its past six, allowing Oakland to get within a half-game of the division lead with the Chargers sitting just two games back. The absence of quarterback Patrick Mahomes led to a lot of the struggles for the Chiefs but he claimed this week he feels as healthy as he has been since Week One. He had a monster game last week in his return but the Chiefs lost at Tennessee despite outgaining the Titans by 159 total yards as a fumble return for the touchdown was the ultimate difference. The Chargers fell to 4-6 after a loss to the Raiders and that was the sixth loss by one possession. That would entice a play on the Chargers as those numbers point to a close game However, while the Chargers were among the league's better teams in not committing turnovers the past two seasons, their 16 giveaways this season are tied for seventh in the league. And that adds to a great situation as we play on teams after three consecutive games where they forced one or less turnovers going up against an opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse. This situation is 46-18 ATS (71.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (475) Kansas City Chiefs