Sports Picks & Predictions

This is a play on the TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS for our NFL Game of the Month. Kansas City looks to win its second straight Super Bowl while Tom Brady will be playing in his 10th Super Bowl and searching for his seventh win. While Tampa Bay is considered the home underdog in this game, there is no real home field advantage based on fans but the comfort of their own stadium from locker room to site visions is and edge for the Buccaneers. Bet count is higher on the Chiefs, but money volume is higher on Tampa Bay which means smaller bettors are all over Kansas City but the big money bets are on the Buccaneers. One big factor that cannot be overlooked is the Tampa Bay pass rush against a depleted Kansas City offensive line. Kansas City was already without All-Pro right tackle Mitchell Schwartz and lost its Pro Bowl left tackle, Eric Fisher, to a torn Achilles in the AFC Championship Game. Shaquil Barrett and Jason Pierre-Paul, who combined for five sacks at Green Bay and they should have another huge game here. Tampa Bay is 8-1 ATS against teams allowing 5.65 yppl this season while the Chiefs are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games as a favorite. Here, we play against road favorites outgaining opponent by 70 or more passing ypg on the season, after allowing 5.5 or less passing ypa last game. This situation is 81-40 ATS (66.9 percent) since 1983. 10* (102) Tampa Bay Buccaneers

This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFL Conference Championship Game of the Year. The Packers are in their fourth conference championship since 2014 and playing at home is big. Green Bay has committed a league-low 11 turnovers this season, including only two during its current seven-game winning streak. The Packers have allowed just 21 sacks all season and did not give up any sacks last week against the Los Angeles Rams, who had 53 sacks during the regular season. While the Buccaneers finished the regular season with the 4th most passing yards, 4,776 yards, Tampa Bay finished near the bottom of the league with only 1,519 rushing yards and balance is key in this matchup. Tampa Bay allowed an average of 246.6 yards per game, which is inside the bottom third of the NFL. Here, we play against road teams off an upset win as an underdog, with a winning record playing another winning team in the second half of the season. This situation is 132-80 ATS (62.3 percent) since 1983. 10* (312) Green Bay Packers

This is a play on the TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS for our NFL Divisional Game of the Year. Tampa Bay looks for revenge after suffering a pair of losses against the Saints during the regular season. The Saints defeated the Buccaneers twice in the regular season, by a score of 34-23 in Week 1 and handily by a score of 38-3 in Week 9. Over the last five games since the Tampa Bay bye week, the Bucs have averaged 35.8 ppg as the offense has found its groove. The Buccaneers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. The Saints are coming off a win over Chicago 21-9 as they dominated throughout but it is a bigger challenge this week. The Saints are 1-5 ATS in their last six playoff games as a favorite. Here, we play against home teams in a game involving two teams averaging 1.25 or fewer turnovers per game, after a game where they forced no turnovers. This situation is 37-14 ATS (72.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (307) Tampa Bay Buccaneers

This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFL Saturday Enforcer. Green Bay is back in action following its bye week and has a big home field advantage here, not because of the crowd, but because of the weather and its familiarity to it. The Green Bay defense, which has allowed 25 points or less in its last six games, is an underrated unit and it will be facing an inconsistent Rams offense that has scored more than 30 points only twice in their last 10 games. Rams quarterback Jared Goff is only a few weeks removed from surgery on the thumb of his throwing hand. He appeared to struggle with his grip last week and that can only get worse in freezing temperatures. While the Rams defense is solid and ranked No. 1 in the NFL, Aaron Donald will almost certainly be playing, but with a rib injury and they are facing the No. 1 scoring offense in the NFL. Here, we play against road teams off an upset win as an underdog, with a winning record playing another winning team in the second half of the season. This situation is 131-79 ATS (62.4 percent) since 1983. 10* (302) Green Bay Packers

This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS for our NFL Wild Card Game of the Year. The Bears earned the No. 7 seed in the expanded playoff format when the Cardinals lost to the Rams in Week 17. They closed with three victories in four games to close the regular season and sneak into the playoffs. Mitch Trubisky was benched earlier this season and has started just nine games but the Bears went 6-3 in those games. The Bears offense has averaged 31.2 ppg over the final five weeks of the season, tied with the Saints for sixth in the NFL. While the Saints finished 12-4, they defeated only one team this season with a winning record. The Bears catch a break on offense as the Saints ruled out one of their top defensive playmakers, defensive end Trey Hendrickson, with a neck injury on Friday. He finished with a team high 13.5 sacks. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a winning percentage of .730 or better in the second half of the season off a road win against a division rival. This situation is 31-8 ATS (79.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (149) Chicago Bears

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Saturday Enforcer. Los Angeles clinched a playoff spot last week with an 18-7 win over Arizona and will be out for revenge as Seattle held Los Angeles to less than 10 points for only the sixth time in the Sean McVay tenure. The Rams have not said whether starting quarterback Jared Goff or backup John Wolford will be under center to face the Seahawks and neither is a downgrade. The Rams defense was the best in the NFL by most statistical measures this season, finishing tops in both total yards allowed and points allowed while boasting the No. 1 pass defense as well. Seattle has slipped on offense as Russell Wilson was putting up MVP numbers but has digressed over the last few weeks. His only touchdown pass against the Rams since the arrival of Jalen Ramsey came in the fourth quarter two weeks ago. Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 after going under the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games, in conference games. This situation is 71-34 ATS (67.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (143) Los Angeles Rams

This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our AFC North Game of the Year. Pittsburgh scored 21 unanswered points to beat the Colts last week and clinched a home playoff game next week. The Steelers are resting starters this week with nothing to play for and they will be starting Mason Rudolph at quarterback. Additionally, defensive lineman Cam Heyward, center Maurkice Pouncey and linebacker T.J. Watt will stay back in Pittsburgh. The Browns need a win to get into the playoffs following a bad loss against the Jets last week but they were down two offensive linemen and their top four receivers. Three seasons removed from 0-16, Cleveland can exorcise demons for players and fans. Here, we play on favorites revenging a road loss against opponent, off an upset loss as a road favorite. This situation is 61-28 ATS (68.5 percent) since 1983. 10* (110) Cleveland Browns

This is a play on the NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. The AFC East champion Bills have already clinched home-field advantage in the wild-card round. While they had a chance to get a first round bye with the top seed heading into Sunday, those chances were dashed with the Chiefs narrow victory over the Falcons so the only thing left for Buffalo is to stay healthy. While the Patriots have been eliminated from the playoffs, there is motivation for this proud franchise as they can keep alive their record streak of 19 seasons without getting swept by a divisional opponent. And Bills Mafia will add to that motivation as they won a contest for the best NFL fanbase this fall. The prize was a billboard proclaiming their supremacy, placed in an opposing town and of course the Buffalo fans picked a spot on Route 1 just four miles south of Gillette Stadium. The matchup itself is pretty much a wash based on offense against defense on both sides so this line is inflated based on records and standings. Here, we play on home teams revenging a road loss against opponent, off an upset loss as a road favorite. This situation is 90-44 ATS (67.2 percent) since 1983. 10* (482) New England Patriots

This is a play on the PITTSBURGH STEELERS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. Pittsburgh has lost three straight games after an 11-0 start but can still clinch the division with a win on Sunday. One of the major reasons the Pittsburgh offense has taken a significant step backward in recent weeks is because of the running game unable to do much at all. The Steelers are the 31st-ranked rushing offense, but they might have found some momentum in Cincinnati after Benny Snell ran for 84 yards. Indianapolis has won three straight games but it was outgained in two of those while outgaining the Raiders by just 32 yards in the other one. The Steelers defense remains one of the best in the NFL as they are ranked No. 2 overall, against the pass and in scoring defense. On the other side, the Colts have dipped on defense as they have allowed 415.7 ypg over their last three games. Pittsburgh is 16-3 ATS in its last 19 home games off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite while the Colts are 0-4 ATS in their last four games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 after three or more consecutive losses against the spread going up against an opponent after two or more consecutive wins against the spread. This situation is 36-9 ATS (80 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (466) Pittsburgh Steelers

This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS SAINTS for our NFL Friday Star Attraction. New Orleans is coming off a loss against Kansas City which was its second straight loss by a field goal but things are not that bad. The Saints can win the NFC South with a win over the Vikings when they kick off Week 16 on Christmas Day. Drew Brees did not play great in his return but that was expected against a tough Kansas City defense. The Vikings defense is a shell of its former self and just got gashed by the Bears for 199 yards rushing. If the Saints could find a way to have something similar, this game should not be close. New Orleans has a very underrated defense as the Saints are ranked No. 3 overall, No. 5 in passing defense, No. 4 in rushing defense and No. 6 in scoring defense. The Vikings are 0-5 ATS in their last five games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game while the Saints are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games against teams who give up 27 or more ppg. Here, we play teams averaging between 5.4 and 5.8 yppl going up against teams allowing 5.8 or more yppl, after being outgained by 100 or more total yards last game. This situation is 37-7 ATS (84.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (452) New Orleans Saints

This is a play on the CINCINNATI BENGALS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. Pittsburgh has lost two straight games after an 11-0 start and while it will be motivated to bounce back before ending the season with two big games against Indianapolis and Cleveland, the Steelers are overpriced here. Cincinnati has lost five straight games and has averaged a mere 10 ppg over that stretch but getting over two touchdowns at home makes this a home contrarian play. Pittsburgh is just 1-4 ATS in its last five games laying double-digits on the road. It was announced that Ryan Finley will start for the Bengals and while that is a downgrade, he will be fine here. In the first meeting, a 36-10 loss, Joe Burrow was still the starter but he did not play well, yet the Bengals were outgained by just 53 total yards as the Steelers could not run the ball and they still cannot. The Bengals are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss. 10* (370) Cincinnati Bengals

This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFC North Game of the Year. This is a prime example of an overreaction to recent results. The look-ahead line on this game was Minnesota -6.5 but has been bet down to -3 in some places. The Vikings are coming off a 12-point loss against the Buccaneers but they outgained Tampa Bay and has 10 more first downs but were bad on third down which led to three missed field goals. On the other side, the Bears rolled over Houston 36-7 as Mitch Trubisky had one of his better games of his career. While the Minnesota defense is not going to strike fear into many teams, a repeat performance of that is unlikely. The Vikings won the first meeting by just six points but they outgained the Bears by 236 yards on the road. The key here is Kirk Cousins who was not horrible last week and he was facing the top defense in the league. He had a good game against Chicago in that first meeting. Here, we play against road underdogs or pickems with a winning percentage between .450 and .550 off an upset win by 14 points or more as an underdog. This situation is 35-10 ATS (77.8 percent) since 1983. 10* (358) Minnesota Vikings

This is a play on the CAROLINA PANTHERS for our NFL Saturday Star Attraction. The Panthers are undervalued as despite a 4-9 record, they are better than that and still have a slim chance at a playoff spot. Carolina has won the yardage battle in eight of its 13 games as it has been more competitive than the record shows. The Panthers are getting outgained by just eight ypg while getting outscored by only two ppg. Seven of the nine losses have come by one possession so they have been in most games until the final whistle. Teddy Bridgewater has been terrific in this role as he 18-2 ATS as a non-divisional underdog including a perfect 10-0 ATS mark when getting more than a field goal. The Panthers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Packers have clinched the division and currently possess the top seed in the NFL so naturally, they are going to be overpriced. The Packers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a winning percentage of .750 or better coming off a road win against a division rival, in the second half of the season. This situation is 31-8 ATS (79.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (343) Carolina Panthers

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CHARGERS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. The Chargers are arguably the best team in the NFL with a losing record as seven losses have been by one possession including three games by a field goal or less. Over the last eight games, Los Angeles has outgained six of its opponents and in the two games it did not, it was outgained by just 33 and 7 yards. Despite being just 4-9, the Chargers are ranked in the top ten in both total offense and total defense, one of only four teams to be there, joining the Packers, Colts and Rams. The Raiders have lost three of their last four games and are falling out of the playoff picture in the AFC as they are currently the No. 9 seed. Turnovers have been an issue as over the last four games, Derek Carr thrown at least one pick in each game and fumbled three times against the Falcons. Las Vegas is 7-3 when he has one or fewer turnovers and 0-3 when he commits multiple giveaways. The Raiders are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games after allowing 25 points or more in three straight games while the Chargers are 32-15-4 ATS in their last 51 games as road underdogs. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in two straight games going up against an opponent after a loss by 10 or more points. This situation is 40-14 ATS (74.1 percent) since 1983. 10 * (301) Los Angeles Chargers

This is a play on the BALTIMORE RAVENS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. Baltimore is coming off a much needed win against Dallas as it snapped a three-game skid to remain in the hunt for an AFC playoff spot. The Lamar Jackson return got the Baltimore strong running game roaring as the Ravens averaged 7.9 ypc against the Cowboys while getting contributions from all three running backs. The key here is Baltimore getting off to a strong start which we anticipate as the Browns are 3-14 since drafting Baker Mayfield when he attempts at least 35 passes in a game. The Browns defense has not been dominant this season as it ranks No. 22 in points allowed and No. 19 overall. Cleveland has won four straight games but has not been dominant as it has outgained just one opponent by more than 100 yards. Baltimore linebacker Matthew Judon and tight end Mark Andrews will be back Monday after missing two straight games while on the COVID-19 list. Here, we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after scoring 25 points or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored. This situation is 60-25 ATS (70.6 percent) since 1983. 10* (179) Baltimore Ravens

This is a play on the PITTSBURGH STEELERS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. This game is nearly identical to the Washington/San Francisco game as the line is an overreaction to what happened on national television. The Steelers were upset by Washington and their undefeated record came to a halt while the Bills easily got past the 49ers in the second game. That cause a line flip as Pittsburgh was favored in the opening line last week but now comes in as underdogs. Pittsburgh turned the ball over twice on downs and another on an interception in squandering a 14-0 lead in that loss. The Bills looked great once again and the market loves them at this point. Buffalo is 1-4-1 ATS in its last six games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game while Pittsburgh is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games as an underdog. Here, we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in two straight games going up against an opponent after gaining 50 or less rushing yards last game. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) since 1983. 10* (177) Pittsburgh Steelers

This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS for our NFC Game of the Month. This is a complete overreaction to last Monday and what transpired with Washington handing Pittsburgh its first loss of the season and the favored 49ers losing at home against the Bills. This is the third straight road game for Washington and while home field advantage is not what it is normally like, the travel is a concern, going from Dallas to Pittsburgh to San Francisco. The 49ers had their chances last week but a pair of interceptions really cost them. This is a good bounce back spot for San Francisco which is still alive for a playoff berth. Washington is 5-16 ATS in its last 21 games after allowing 75 or less rushing yards in two straight games while the 49ers are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play against teams playing their third straight game and seeking revenge coming off an underdog win and covering the spread by more than 13 points. This situation is 10-0 ATS (100 percent) since 1980. 10* (176) San Francisco 49ers

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. New England is coming off a 45-0 shellacking of the Chargers but special teams played a big role in that as the Patriots outgained the Chargers by just 33 total yards. They managed only 291 total yards and have averaged a mere 235 total yards over the last two games and now faces one of the best defenses in the NFL. Los Angeles is ranked No. 2 overall, No. 1 against the pass and No. 3 against the run. Cam Newton does possess the ability to move the pocket and run the ball but so does Kyler Murray and the Rams held him to just 15 yards rushing and only 232c total yards for the Cardinals overall. On the other side, the Patriots defense has been playing better, obviously by them pitching a shutout last week, but that was against a rookie quarterback where Bill Belichick improved to 21-5 against rookie quarterbacks. The Rams are ranked No. 3 overall in total offense and New England will be challenged here. Los Angeles is are 6-0 ATS in its last six games after a game where its time of possession was 34 minutes or more and it gained 24 or more first downs. Meanwhile, the Patriots are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win. 10* (102) Los Angeles Rams

This is a play on the BALTIMORE RAVENS for our NFL Tuesday Star Attraction. Bad news and good news for Baltimore as it is on the outside looking in as the No. 9 seed in the AFC but it gets Lamar Jackson back and the remaining schedule is one of the easiest remaining in the league. Four of the last five games are against teams with losing records including three that have three wins or less. One of those is on Tuesday facing the 3-8 Cowboys which are coming off a 41-16 blowout loss on Thanksgiving against the Redskins. Jackson will be activated and will start hoping to snap a three-game losing streak. The run game will be in full effect as the Ravens are ranked No. 2 in rushing offense. The Cowboys entered the weekend ranked No. 24 in the NFL in defensive efficiency while their run defense was No. 29. On the other side, the Cowboys have used 15 unique combinations on their offensive line through 10 games. Four players have seen action at left tackle and now there will be no Zack Martin making matters even worse. Here, we play on teams averaging 5.4 to 5.8 yppl going up against teams allowing 5.8 or more yppl, after being outgained by 100 or more total yards last game. This situation is 35-7 ATS (83.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (484) Baltimore Ravens

This is a play on the PITTSBURGH STEELERS for our NFL Monday Enforcer. This line has been bet down considerably with a lot of that based on the most recent results as well as the rest factor and the fact that Ben Roethlisberger has ended up on the injury report. Washington has not played since Thanksgiving when in trampled Dallas 41-16 so it is on significant rest which can be good or bad as it could kill momentum. Pittsburgh is coming off a Wednesday win over Baltimore 19-14 but the Steelers dominated that game as they outgained the Ravens by 115 total yards. Baltimore got the cover on a 70-yard touchdown pass late in the game so the yardage differential should have been bigger if not for that fluke play. Washington is 4-16 ATS in its last 20 games after allowing 75 or less rushing yards in two straight games while the Steelers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games against teams with a losing road record. Here, we play against road teams coming off a win by 21 or more points as an underdog going up against an opponent off a win against a division rival. This situation is 22-5 ATS (81.5 percent) since 1983. If Roethlisberger is a late scratch, this is a NO PLAY but he did practice Sunday. 10* (488) Pittsburgh Steelers

This is a play on the ARIZONA CARDINALS for our Sunday NFL Enforcer. The Cardinals are 6-5 as they have lost two straight games to fall into the No. 7 seed in the NFC. Arizona is 4-3 over its last seven games but the three losses have come by one possession including two by three points. They have failed to cover four straight games and despite being just a game behind the Rams, they are home underdogs which is based on that four-game winless cover streak. Los Angeles is also coming off a three-point loss as it lost at home against the 49ers on a last second field goal. The Rams do possess recent big wins over Tampa Bay and Seattle but the others have come against reeling Chicago and the entire NFC East. Los Angeles is 0-10 ATS in its last 10 road games against winning teams that are coming off consecutive losses. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems in the second half of the season with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 coming off an upset loss as a road favorite. This situation is 30-8 ATS (78.9 percent) since 1983. 10* (470) Arizona Cardinals

This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. Seattle took out Arizona last Thursday to snap a two-game slide and the extra prep time here is big. The Seahawks get Chris Carson back and with Carlos Hyde also back in the mix, Russell Wilson has the ability to be more efficient. The Seahawks are third overall in total offense and first in the league in scoring offense. The Eagles are a game and a half out of first place in the NFC East as they have been outgained in three straight games. Carson Wentz has had issues all season as he leads the NFL with 18 turnovers, including 14 interceptions, and has career lows in completion percentage (58.4) and passer rating (73.3). The arrival of Carlos Dunlap in a trade from Cincinnati has helped the Seahawks turn up the pass rush in recent weeks. Seattle has 16 sacks over the past four games, including three sacks last week of Arizona's Kyler Murray. The Seahawks are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine road games against teams with a losing home record while the Eagles are 1-8 ATS in their last nine home games after one or more consecutive losses. 10* (275) Seattle Seahawks

This is a play on the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. The Chiefs got their revenge as they rallied for a 35-31 win over the Raiders to move to 9-1 on the season. Patrick Mahomes has been masterful as he has thrown for 1,136 yards in his last three games while adding 11 touchdowns and just a single interception. Tampa Bay is 7-4 but the inconsistencies continue as just two of the seven wins have come against teams with winning records. The Chiefs are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game while the Buccaneers are 6-19-2 ATS in their last 27 home games against teams with a winning road record. Here, we play on road teams after allowing 8 or more passing ypa in their last game going up against an opponent after gaining 4.5 or less passing ypa in last game. This situation is 43-16 ATS (72.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (271) Kansas City Chiefs

This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFC Game of the Year. The Panthers are coming off a 20-0 shutout win over Detroit last week to snap a five-game losing streak. Carolina has really struggled in stopping the run all season and even though it held Detroit in check, the Lions were short-handed and Dalvin Cook has been a beast. Minnesota lost to Dallas as a touchdown favorite despite outgaining the Cowboys by 55 total yards which snapped a three-game winning streak. Christian McCaffrey missed six games with a high ankle sprain earlier and will likely sit out a third straight game on Sunday with a shoulder problem. The Panthers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game while the Vikings are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off an upset win by 14 or more points as a home underdog, after the first month of the season. This situation is 30-7 ATS (81.1 percent) since 1983. 10* (260) Minnesota Vikings

This is a play on the DETROIT LIONS for our NFL Thursday Enforcer. Lions quarterback Matthew Stafford and the offense is coming off a tough outing as they were shutout in a 20-0 loss against the Panthers. The Lions have lost three of their last four games and at 4-6 are mathematically alive for the postseason making this a must win game. It was the first time Detroit has been shut out in 11 years so we can expect a bounce back here. They face a Houston defense that is ranked second to last in the NFL. The Texans have won two of three games since their bye and are coming off a 27-20 win over the Patriots. The Texans announced a slew of players will not make the trip to Detroit for the game including receivers Kenny Stills and Randall Cobb. Here, we play on teams averaging between 5.4 and 5.8 yppl going up against teams allowing 5.8 or more yppl, after being outgained by 100 or more total yards last game. This situation is 33-6 ATS (84.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (122) Detroit Lions

This is a play on the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS for our AFC West Game of the Year. Kansas City is coming off its bye week following four straight wins and we all know how good Andy Reid is coming off a bye week. The Chiefs are now 8-1 on the season and that lone loss was at home against Las Vegas so there will be a little extra in the tank for their division rival. The offense leads the way as they are ranked No. 2 overall and they lead the NFL in passing offense at 294.7 ypg. They will go up against a Raiders defense that in No. 25 against the pass and No. 21 overall. The Raiders have caught fire with three straight wins following a 1-3 stretch and they are now sitting at 6-3 and right in the think of the playoffs. They are outscoring opponents by just 1 ppg compared to 12 ppg for Kansas City so that is a huge disparity. Kansas City is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games after allowing 400 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 3 seasons while Las Vegas is 7-19 ATS in its last 26 games after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 10* (471) Kansas City Chiefs

This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. Seattle let us down on Sunday as it scored a season low 16 points but it also allowed just 23 points which tied for a season low and with how the defense has been, that is a big deal against a solid Rams defense. The Seahawks have lost their last two games and three of their last four after a 5-0 start to the season. Russell Wilson has tried to do too much bit it should be scaled back here. In 2018, when the Seahawks passed on fewer than half their plays, he had the best passer rating of his career (110.9) and was fourth in the league in touchdown passes (35). Expect a heavy run game against the Cardinals which are very average against the run. The return of running back Chris Carson is huge. The Cardinals beat the Bills 32-30 last week as Kyler Murray connected with DeAndre Hopkins for a 43-yard Hail Mary touchdown pass with 2 seconds left in the game. Arizona has won for of its last five games to take over first place in the NFC West but this is not a good spot coming off that miracle and facing a desperate Seahawks team. Seattle is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games after two or more consecutive losses while going 6-0 ATS in its last six home games off a loss by seven points or less to a division rival. Here, we play against underdogs or pickems after going over the total by 28 or more points total in their last three games, versus division opponents. This situation is 35-8 ATS (81.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (322) Seattle Seahawks

This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. Chicago has lost three straight games to fall to 5-4 on the season. The Bears were handled by the Rams without much resistance but they played a great game against New Orleans to lose in overtime and while they lost to Tennessee by a touchdown last week, they outgained the Titans by 147 total yards but they were -2 in turnovers. This included a fumble being returned 63 yards for a touchdown. The Vikings are coming off a pair of wins over Green Bay and Detroit to move to 3-5 on the season but they were +4 in turnovers in those two games. The Bears defense could be the difference here as they are ranked No. 9 overall and No. 7 in scoring defense. Dalvin Cook has just 86 yards on 34 carries in three career games against the Bears. Quarterback Kirk Cousins, since joining the Vikings in 2018, is 0-3 with just three touchdown passes, two interceptions and one lost fumble against Chicago. While the Bears offense has been an issue, the Vikings defense is struggling as they are No. 29 0verall, including No. 30 against the pass, and No. 25 in scoring defense. Chicago is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 home games against teams averaging 5.0 or more rushing ypc while going 19-4 ATS in their last 23 games after three consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. Meanwhile, the Vikings are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 Monday games. 10* (276) Chicago Bears

This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFC West Game of the Year. Seattle is coming off its second loss of the season as it fell at Buffalo 44-34. The defense continues to be an issue as Seattle is allowing a league-worst 362 yards per game passing, on pace to shatter the NFL record for most passing yards allowed in a season. The Rams offense has been off of late as they have scored 17 points or less in three of their last five games. Rams quarterback Jared Goff struggled in his last game, going 35 for 61 with four turnovers while Los Angeles scored only 17 points in losing to Miami. They do have the benefit of coming off a bye week but facing Russell Wilson off a loss is bad news as he is 13-1 in 14 starts coming off a loss and playing with revenge. The Rams defense is strong but they have played only two teams with a winning record and they are 4-0 against the putrid NFC East. Seattle is 7-0 ATS after allowing 350 or more passing yards in their last game while Los Angeles 17-50 ATS in its last 67 games after allowing 150 or less passing yards in their last game since 1992. Here, we play against home favorites after a loss by 10 or more points going up against an opponent after trailing in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half. This situation is 95-51 ATS (65. Percent) since 1983. 10* (269) Seattle Seahawks

This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. Tennessee snapped a two-game losing skid with a win over Chicago but it was skewed as the Titans were outgained by 147 total yards. They have not topped 24 points in three straight games, and slow starts have been an issue, only one field goal in the first quarter combined in that span. As effective as the Bears were in slowing the Titans offense, the Colts defense is rated even higher and they pair it with a better offense. Indianapolis is ranked first in the NFL in total defense while coming in at No. 3 in both rushing defense and scoring defense. The Indianapolis defense turned in another strong performance last week, holding the Ravens almost 40 percent below their average rushing total while allowing just 266 total yards. On the other side, nobody has allowed fewer sacks than the Colts, who have given up only eight. The Colts are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games following a double-digit loss at home while the Titans are 1-5 ATS in their last six games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. 10* (121) Indianapolis Colts

This is a play on the NEW YORK JETS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. This is not a matchup that many will be wanting to witness but it is an intriguing game to see which team can bounce back. The Patriots are 2-5, well back of first place in the AFC East. Injuries have played havoc on the Patriots ability to establish consistency on both sides of the ball but it is mostly the offense that has struggled. They entered the week ranked 29th in the NFL averaging 19.4 ppg as part of the reason for their lack of production can be traced to their poor starts. A loss here would mark New England's first five-game losing streak since 1995. The Jets are winless at 0-8 and they have covered only one game this season which came in their last home game against a really good Buffalo team. Sam Darnold has been ruled out but that is not a bad thing as he has the worst passer rating in the NFL and he will be replaced by veteran Joe Flacco. Here, we play against underdogs or pickems averaging 5.3 or less ypa going up against teams allowing 7.3 or more ypa after allowing 8.0 or more passing ypa in their last game. This situation is 21-4 ATS (84 percent) since 1983. 10* (476) New York Jets

This is a play on the ARIZONA CARDINALS for our NFL Blowout Game of the Year. Miami is coming off one of the more improbable wins we have ever seen. The Dolphins defeated the Rams 28-17 last Sunday despite being outgained by 326 total yards as they managed just 145 total yards and had only eight first downs. They took advantage of four turnovers, including a 78-yard fumble return for a touchdown, and an 88-yard punt return for a touchdown. It was the third straight win for Miami but the others came against the winless Jets and the banged up 49ers while its other victory earlier in the season came against 1-6 Jacksonville. While the Dolphins have the No. 1 scoring defense in the NFL, they are just No. 20 in total defense. The disparity is due to the defense has 13 takeaways which is tied for No. 5 in the league. Arizona does not give the ball away though as it has just nine giveaways and the offense has shifted into a new gear. The Cardinals are coming off their bye week and now possess the top ranked offense in the NFL, averaging 419.1 ypg. Arizona is 5-2 on the season with a scoring differential of +41 which is fourth best in the NFC. Here, we play against road underdogs or pickems off an upset win by 10 points or more as an underdog, in weeks 5 through 9. This situation is 56-25 ATS (69.1 percent) since 1983. 10* (472) Arizona Cardinals

This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. The Packers are coming off a loss against Minnesota despite outgaining the Vikings by 76 total yards as they were killed by Dalvin Cook and his 226 total yards and four touchdowns. Green Bay is thin at running back so the passing game and Aaron Rodgers will be big as usual. Davante Adams has been terrorizing secondaries since returning from a hamstring injury that sidelined him for two and a half games as he has 20 catches for 249 yards and five touchdowns in the last two games, including three against the Vikings Sunday. The offensive line remains outstanding as they have given up just eight sacks this season, the third-fewest in the league. Making it even more impressive is that All-Pro left tackle David Bakhtiari has missed the last two games but has a good chance to be back on Thursday. The 49ers injuries continue to mount up as Jimmy Garoppolo and George Kittle are both back on the injury list. The Packers are 6-0 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss. Here, we play on road teams after five consecutive games where they forced one or less turnovers going up against an opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. This situation is 36-13 ATS (73.5 percent) since 1983. 10* (301) Green Bay Packers

This is a play on the NEW YORK GIANTS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. The Buccaneers sit atop the NFC South standings thanks to a 5-2 record and come in with a two-game winning streak. They are laying a big number here which is no surprise but this is a tough test based on the situation. This will be the Buccaneers third road game over the last four weeks in a stretch that featured games against the Bears and Packers. Also, there is a massive look-ahead factor with a home game against the Saints coming up, a team they lost to back in Week One. The Giants have had extra time to prepare for this one following a tough loss against the Eagles last Thursday after blowing a 22-10 lead. The defense does not get enough credit for what it has done, limiting four teams to 24 points or less. The Buccaneers are 3-7-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points while the Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last five games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play against road favorites that are outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg, after a win by 10 or more points. This situation is 51-20 ATS (71.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (274) New York Giants

This is a play on the BALTIMORE RAVENS for our AFC North Game of the Year. This is a rescheduled game as both Pittsburgh and Baltimore were supposed to be on their bye week. Instead the Steelers had their bye week in Week Four while the Ravens had their bye week last week which is a significant edge in this matchup. Pittsburgh is now the lone undefeated team in the NFL but we expect that to end abruptly on Sunday after coming of a physical game against the Titans only to face an ever tougher test against the Baltimore defense. The lookahead line in this game was -6 so the Steelers are getting a lot of credit with a lot of that based on the undefeated record obviously but also because they have covered four straight games. Pittsburgh is 6-16 ATS in its last 22 road games after a win by six or less points. Baltimore failed to cover its last game against the Eagles as it had a big lead only to let Philadelphia get back into it. Under head coach John Harbaugh, the Ravens are 12-3 after a bye wile going 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play on teams after a game where they committed one or less turnovers going up against an opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse. This situation is 72-34 ATS (67.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (282) Baltimore Ravens

This is a play on the ATLANTA FALCONS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. Atlanta is coming off another brutal loss to fall to 1-6 in this already lost season. Detroit drove down the field, 75 yards in eight plays, and scored on an 11-yard touchdown pass as time expired. Give this team credit however as the Falcons continue to fight every week as they have been outgained by just 174 total yards and they are only -23 in scoring differential as four of their six losses have come by just one possession including three by four points or less. Atlanta will be out for revenge following a seven-point loss to the Panthers in Week Five, but it was without Julio Jones and Matt Ryan had his worst game of the season as he threw for just 226 yards with no touchdowns and one interception. The Falcons are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as a road underdog. Carolina is coming off a loss at New Orleans to fall to 3-4. While the Panthers lost by just three points, they were outgained by 132 total yards and managed just 283 total yards. Running back Christian McCaffrey is off the IR but is a longshot to play. The Panthers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite. Here, we play against home favorites with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 after covering the spread in four out of their last five games, playing a losing team. This situation is 32-9 ATS (78 percent) since 1983. 10* (101) Atlanta Falcons

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. Nobody is talking about the 5-1 Bears and for good reason. Their defense is particularly good as usual, but the offense is one of the worst in the league as they are ranked No. 27 or lower in total offense, rushing offense, passing offense and scoring offense. Chicago does own a win over Tampa Bay, but it was outgained in that game by 96 yards and overall, it has been outgained in five of six games on the season. The Rams are coming off a loss to the 49ers to fall to 4-2 on the season but with the Seahawks loss last night, they can stay right in the mix with a victory tonight. Chicago ranks top-10 in pass yards allowed per game and has surrendered a league-best one touchdown to a wide receiver, but the Robert Woods/Cooper Kupp duo will be their toughest test to date. The Bears are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning record while going 8-24 in their last 32 road games against teams averaging 375 or more ypg. The Rams are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS loss. 10* (476) Los Angeles Rams

This is a play on the ARIZONA CARDINALS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. Seattle is one of three remaining undefeated teams in the league and we fell that there will be just one after Sunday as the other two teams square off against each other. The Seahawks are the worst of the undefeated teams as they have been outgained in all five games and by an average of 75 ppg. They are dead last in total defense and while it is a small sample size, it is the worst defense in yards allowed in the history of the league should this pace continue. Seattle will be missing All-Pro safety Jamal Adams who has been ruled out for the third straight game due to a groin injury. Arizona is rolling along as following a 31-10 win over the Cowboys last week, the Cardinals are 4-2 which is their best start since 2015. Possessing one of the most productive offenses led by Kyler Murray and receiver DeAndre Hopkins as well as the No. 2 scoring defense, Arizona has arrived as a contender. Arizona is 6-0 ATS in its last six games against teams allowing 7.0 or more passing ypa. 10* (468) Arizona Cardinals

This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. While the Giants have looked better over their last two games, losing a close game against Dallas and defeating Washington last week, this offense remains extremely limited. They were outgained both times and put up just 240 yards against Washington. The Eagles put together a comeback last week against the Ravens but still fell short and are now 1-4-1. Injuries are the story for both teams, so the depth of the Eagles is an advantage. The New York offensive line might be in worse shape than the Eagles and the Giants are also without star running back Saquon Barkley, wide receiver Sterling Shepard, and thanks to an injury sustained in Week Six, they could possibly be without wide receiver Darius Slayton. Carson Wentz having a trustworthy receiver like Travis Fulgham opens up the playbook as the offense has been decimated with injuries. Still, in the end, they put up an average of 28.5 ppg against two of the best defenses in the league over the last two weeks. The Giants are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game while the Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last five Thursday games. 10* (304) Philadelphia Eagles

This is a play on the DALLAS COWBOYS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. The Cowboys are off to a 2-3 start but still lead the NFC East thanks to the other three teams possessing just one victory. The string of 72 straight starts for Dak Prescott to begin his career will end Monday when Andy Dalton makes his initial start as a Cowboy and his first start in anything other than a Bengals uniform. We saw last week what he is still capable of and with the weapons around him, he can thrive in this situation. So, the Cowboys not only get a proven starter but one with something still to prove. Dallas comes in with the No. 1 offense in the league and it has outgained each of its last four opponents. The Cowboys can help ease the sting of losing Prescott by being more balanced on offense and having running back Ezekiel Elliott shoulder a larger share of the load. The Cardinals present a good opportunity for the Cowboys to establish a strong running game as they are allowing 4.5 ypg on the ground. The Cardinals are 1-8-2 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game while the Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last five Monday games. 10* (276) Dallas Cowboys

This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. The 49ers are off to a rough 2-3 start with both wins coming against the winless Jets and Giants. Injuries have played a big role in this, but they are getting healthier and this is a must win to stay alive in the NFC West. San Francisco quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo has a sprained right ankle and while it might not be at full strength just yet, it is as close as it has been since before he injured it back in Week Two. According to Pro Football Focus, Garoppolo threw just 13 percent of his total passes accurately, and he ended up with a 32.6 passing grade, which was good for the second-worst grade of the season. The Rams are 4-1 but all four wins have come against teams from the NFC East, easily the worst division in the NFL. The 49ers defense has been banged up but is still ranked No. 5 overall and No. 3 against the pass. The Rams are 0-7 ATS in their last seven road games after allowing 3.5 or less yppl in their previous game while the 49ers are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning record. 10* (274) San Francisco 49ers

This is a play on the DETROIT LIONS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. Detroit is coming off its bye week following a 35-29 loss against New Orleans and it is 1-7 ATS in its last eight games following a bye. The Lions have been competitive in two of their three losses and they have faced some tough defenses. That is not the case here as Jacksonville has allowed 30 or more points in four straight games. Matthew Stafford has not been great by his standards, but he picked up the aggression in the loss heading into the bye week, averaging a season-high 11 intended air yards per throw. In the lone win over the Colts, the Jaguars were actually outgained by 204 total yards but benefitted from three turnovers. Jacksonville is 8-20 ATS in its last 28 in home games after allowing 30 points or more last game. Here, we play against home underdogs or pickems that are being outgained by their opponents by 50 or more ypg, after allowing 375 or more total yards in two consecutive games. This situation is 29-7 ATS (80.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (253) Detroit Lions

This is a play on the BUFFALO BILLS for our NFL Tuesday Star Attraction. Tennessee is off to a 3-0 start, but it has not been overly dominating as the three wins have come by a combined six points and it has needed a game-winning field goal in each. Buffalo has more wins than the three teams Tennessee has beaten combined. Plus, the Titans have to play this game after an unexpected bye and an abbreviated practice schedule. The defense has been awful as the Titans are ranked 30th in total defense and 31st in rushing defense. They have taken a hit on offense as the Titans are without several key players, including top receivers Adam Humphries and Corey Davis, who have been placed on the reserve/COVID-19 list. Overall, Tennessee is down five starters based on positive tests. Buffalo is 4-0 and rolling along on offense as it possesses the No. 3 total offense and No. 5 scoring offense. Buffalo offensive coordinator Brian Daboll has scripted some tremendous drives to open games, first and foremost, which has led to Buffalo scoring before their opposition in all four games this year. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after allowing 30 points or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 17 points or more in the first half in two straight games. This situation is 26-6 (81.2 percent) since 1983. 10* (461) Buffalo Bills

This is a play on the ATLANTA FALCONS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Falcons are off to their first 0-4 start since 1999 and are out to save the job of head coach Dan Quinn. Atlanta remains solid on offense as it is ranked ninth in total offense. The Atlanta defense has had a lot of guys banged up and this week, they could see three starters return to the lineup (S Keanu Neal, S Ricardo Allen, DL Takk McKinley) and getting those guys back should help the production of their defense The Falcons are hoping to continue recent success in their division as they have four straight seasons with winning records in the NFC South, including a 4-2 record each of last three years. Carolina has won two straight games following a 0-2 start. The offense had a good showing last week against the Cardinals, but they were outgained by 134 total yards in their win against the Chargers two weeks ago. The Panthers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game while the Falcons are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 and coming off an upset win by 10 or more as a home underdog, after the first month of the season. This situation is 42-16 (72.4 percent) since 1983. 10* (452) Atlanta Falcons

This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. The Bears are coming off their first loss of the season as the offense could get nothing going. One bright spot on Sunday was wide receivers Allen Robinson and Darnell Mooney, who combined for 12 receptions and 153 receiving yards. Nick Foles needs to be more consistent but as much as the Buccaneers get after the quarterback, establishing a run game will be the key to moving the ball. Tampa Bay improved to 3-1 with a comeback win over the Chargers last week and it has now won three in a row. This is a tough spot having to travel on a short week as a favorite no less. While the offense is slowly coming into its own, it is still pretty banged up and the Chicago defense is for real once again as after four games, the Bears are ranked seventh in scoring defense and eighth in total defense. Last week, the defense had nine plays in which it stopped a Colts run for a loss or no gain. Five came on first down to put the Colts behind the chains, and that was significant as the Bears entered the game allowing an average of 7.34 yards on first down, which ranked 29th. Chicago is 23-9 ATS in its last 32 home games after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse while the Buccaneers are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning record. 10* (302) Chicago Bears

This is a play on the ATLANTA FALCONS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. The 3-0 Packers take on the 0-3 Falcons with money going to be all over the former based on the two recent meltdowns from Atlanta. The Falcons have lost their last two games after leading in the fourth quarter by more than two touchdowns. This offense is still clearly capable of putting up big numbers and it is up to the team to put those last two games behind them. Matt Ryan is expected to have a big game with Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley expected to both suit up. While the Packers have not allowed a lot of completions, they are 28th with 7.88 ypa and 30th with an opponent passer rating of 113.4. Green Bay is the first team in NFL history to have at least 35 points and no turnovers in each of its first three games, according to the Elias Sports Bureau. The Packers average 6.9 yppl to lead the NFL. The Packers cannot sustain this however and this is a great opportunity for a possible lookahead while catching a big number. The Falcons are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games while going 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as underdogs. 10* (279) Atlanta Falcons

This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS SAINTS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. New Orleans has lost two straight games, both in primetime, and people are hitting the panic button but that should not be the case. The Saints now take on a 28th ranked Lions defense that has given up an average of 409 ypg and 30 ppg this season. The Lions enter their fourth game of the season ranked 30th in the NFL in rush defense, surrendering 170+ yards per game. New Orleans should take note that Detroit has struggled against shifty scat backs like Alvin Kamara. Success on the ground will help open up the passing game which has been inconsistent this season. Detroit won their first game of the season upsetting the Cardinals on the road on a last second field goal and that broke an 11-game losing streak dating back to last year. While the defense has been inconsistent, the offense has struggled also. The Detroit offense has scored a touchdown on six of their 13 trips into the red zone through the first three weeks and its red zone efficiency rate of 46.2 percent ranks 27th in the NFL. Here, we play on road favorites with a winning percentage between .250 and .400 coming off a loss as a home favorite, playing a team with a losing record. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent) since 1983. 10* (253) New Orleans Saints

This is a play on the NEW YORK JETS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. The Jets have opened 0-3 and have arguably been the worst team in football with all three losses coming by double-digits. The play of Sam Darnold has been bad but there is reason for optimism. Last year, Darnold had a bad three-game stretch when he went 59-of-101 (58.42 percent) for 564 yards with three touchdowns and eight interceptions with a 50.9 quarterback rating. He bounced back in the final eight games of the season with 13 touchdowns and four interceptions. After losing to the Buccaneers on Sunday, Denver is now 0-3 and the Broncos have started consecutive years 0-3 for the first time in franchise history. They will reportedly turn to their third different starting quarterback this season as Brett Rypien is expected to start in place of the injured Drew Lock. Denver has now seen six starters go down to injuries just three weeks into the season. The Broncos are 8-23-1 ATS in their last 32 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game while the Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a home underdog. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in two straight games against opponent after a loss by 10 or more points. This situation is 72-35 ATS (67.3 percent) since 1983. 10* (102) New York Jets

This is a play on the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. A pair of streaks are on the line Monday. Baltimore closed the regular season with 12 straight wins and have now won 14 straight regular season games while the Chiefs will be bringing an 11-game winning streak into the game. Both teams come in a perfect 2-0 and the Ravens home field advantage is taken away here yet the Ravens come in as an overpriced favorite. Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson is 21-3 during the regular season but two of those losses came against the Chiefs. Pass protection is an issue for Baltimore as in a win over the Texans last week, Jackson went down for four sacks, his highest single-game total since Week Five of last season and the Chiefs got him on the ground three times last season. While the Baltimore defense was and still is solid, Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes threw for 377 yards and two touchdowns in that 2018 game, and last year pierced the Ravens for 374 yards and three scores. Kansas City is one of three teams in the NFL to not turn the ball over in the first two weeks which is right in line with their 2019 season where they were third in fewest giveaways. Here, we play on road underdogs or pickems that averaged 275 or more passing ypg last season, after allowing 8 or more passing ypa in their last game. This situation is 22-3 ATS (88 percent) since 1983. 10* (489) Kansas City Chiefs

This is a play on the NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Raiders are coming off a very emotional win as an underdog at home on Monday night which puts them in a tough spot here. They are now working on a short week and are travelling to the east coast for the second time in three weeks. Las Vegas is dealing with some key injuries as running back Josh Jacobs, tight end Darren Waller and offensive tackle Trent Brown all did not practice Thursday. That is a problem for the offense if these players are not 100 percent because bailing out the defense will be a problem. The passing defense for the Raiders has allowed the third most passing yards in the NFL. Cam Newton looked brilliant in Week Two, passing for 397 yards, the third-highest total of his career, while rushing for two scores and he has learned this system and looks very comfortable. This is a big game for the Patriots coming off that loss as they have to travel the Kansas City next week and sitting at 1-3 after the first quarter of the season is not is not ideal. Look for a big bounce back effort from New England. The Raiders are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games following a straight up win while the Patriots are 48-23-1 ATS in their last 72 games following a straight up loss. 10* (462) New England Patriots

This is a play on the MIAMI DOLPHINS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. We like what we have seen out of Miami as it fought hard in two divisional losses. This is a team on the rise, and this is its first winnable game of the season and quite frankly, should not be an underdog here. These teams are even in the power rankings and the three points assigned for home field advantage is overinflated since the stadium will seat only 14,000 fans and this is one of the worst home field advantages anyway. Ryan Fitzpatrick is 7-0-1 ATS in his career as an underdog coming off consecutive losses. The Jaguars can be considered impressive as well, but it is a bit misleading. They defeated the Colts in the season opener, but they were outgained by 204 total yards. It was a narrow loss last week against Tennessee, but it was more the Titans letting the foot off the gas as they had a 30-17 lead after three quarters but allowed Jacksonville to sneak back in it. The Dolphins are 4-0 ATS in their last four games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game while the Jaguars are 1-5 ATS in their last six games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Here, we play against home favorites that allowed 24 or more ppg last season, after scoring 30 points or more last game. This situation is 24-3 ATS (88.9 percent) since 1983. 10* (301) Miami Dolphins

This is a play on the LAS VEGAS RAIDERS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. The Raiders won their season opener over Carolina 34-30 and head home for their first game ever in Las Vegas albeit with no fans. While the Saints won their opener last Sunday, they were actually outgained by Tampa Bay by 39 yards. They took a bigger hit as they lost wide receiver Michael Thomas for a few weeks with a high ankle sprain and he is an obviously a big part of this offense. The Saints run defense has been one of the best in the league the last few years but they will be tested here as running back Josh Jacobs ran for 93 yards and three touchdowns and caught four passes for 46 yards in the opener. The offensive line did a great job from that standpoint and Derek Carr was under pressure on only 10 percent of his dropbacks for the game, the best rate in the league in Week One, according to Pro Football Focus. Here, we play against favorites off a home win, in the first month of the season. This situation is 77-37 ATS (67.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (290) Las Vegas Raiders

This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS for our NFL Game of the Month. The 49ers are coming off a disappointing season opener as they lost to the Cardinals, continuing the trend of the Super Bowl loser hangover. A big part of the 49ers loss to the Cardinals was the scrambling of quarterback Kyler Murray, but Sam Darnold will be a relative sitting duck for the San Francisco pass rush. This San Francisco defense will be playing with a chip on its shoulder after allowing 404 yards to the Cardinals. Jimmy Garoppolo had an efficient game and can thrive against the Jets which allowed 404 yards against Buffalo. Tight end George Kittle is upgraded to probable after having just four catches last week. Here, we play on teams in Week Two after losing in Week One as favorites of six points or more. This situation is 15-4 ATS (78.9 percent) since 2002. 10* (269) San Francisco 49ers

This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our NFL Thursday Enforcer. Cleveland got hammered in its opener 38-6 at Baltimore but the score is a bit skewed. The Browns were outgained by just 71 total yards, had only three fewer first downs and won the time of possession. Four of the six Baltimore scoring drives started at midfield or in Cleveland territory, so field position played a big role. The defense needs to step up and they can do so here against a rookie quarterback. Joe Burrow was decent but unspectacular as he threw for just 193 yards while tossing an interception and having no touchdown passes although he did run for one. The defense played surprisingly well but the Bengals will be facing a more loaded roster this time around. The Browns will be out for revenge as one of the Bengals two wins last season came in the season finale. The Browns are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games as a home favorite while the Bengals are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. 10* (102) Cleveland Browns

This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. We are getting exceptional value with Denver here as Tennessee is going to be a heavy bet team early on based on its run at the end of last season. The Titans went 9-4 in their last 13 games and jumped out to an early double-digit lead at Kansas City before succumbing 35-24 to the soon-to-be Super Bowl champs. Now they are road favorites and they go to a place where it has not been good for opponents early in the season. At home in the first two weeks of the season, Denver is 33-4 straight up and 22-11-4 ATS since 1989 and this is based on teams having trouble early on due to the altitude. Additionally, Denver is 18-2 straight up and 16-3-1 ATS in its last thirty games in home openers against non-division opponents. The Broncos finished 7-9 last season, but they have a strong chance to improve upon that this season with a strong defense, sans Von Miller, and the continued improvement of quarterback Drew Lock. 10* (482) Denver Broncos

This is a play on the TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. With home field advantage taken away for most teams this season for the foreseeable future, Tampa Bay gets a big edge in the season opener. The fact the Buccaneers added so much on both sides of the ball, they are the trendy pick to win the division. We all know what happened with the offense with the additions on offense where they will be much more efficient, but the other side is what should get the job done here. The Buccaneers defense finished 14th in defensive DVOA according to Football Outsiders and they should be even better this season as turnovers on offense will likely be down meaning less time on the field. New Orleans went 13-3 last season, tied for the second-best record in the NFL and expectations are high there as well but the Saints are laying more than expected. Here, we play on road underdogs or pickems that averaged 360 or more ypg last season, versus division opponents. This situation is 22-4 ATS (84.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (475) Tampa Bay Buccaneers

This is a play on the HOUSTON TEXANS for our NFL Thursday Enforcer. Houston will face the Chiefs for a second straight time after blowing a 24-0 second-quarter lead in the playoffs last season, eventually losing 51-31. Revenge is obviously in play and there is too much value on the Texans and do not forget that they defeated the Chiefs once last season. While that was at home, only 22 percent of the seats will be filled this Thursday, knocking down the homer field advantage. Houston head coach Bill O'Brien likes having one featured back in his offense, so David Johnson should get plenty of opportunities as the Texas want to milk the clock and keep the Kansas City offense off the field as much as possible. The matchup favors Houston as the Chiefs gave up 4.9 ypc last season, fourth most in the league, and allowed running backs to total 1,039 yards receiving, second most in the NFL. Additionally, with all five starters on the offensive line returning, including Pro Bowl left tackle Laremy Tunsil, they should take a big step forward protecting Deshaun Watson. We all know what the Chiefs offense is so it will be up to Houston to slow the attack down because they cannot stop it completely. A healthy J.J. Watt is a big boost to the unit a well. The last 20 games in Week One where there was an underdog of eight or more points, the underdog covered 15 times. 10* (451) Houston Texans

This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS for our NFL Super Bowl Winner. While it is hard to go against the dynamic Kansas City offense, the 49ers possess a defense that can slow it down while also posing problems with its own offense against the Chiefs defense. Defensively, the 49ers are powered by a star-studded line that features five former first-round picks in the rotation and the pass rush has made the secondary even better. San Francisco allowed the fewest passing yards (2,707) and defensed the 10th-most passes (74). They only intercepted 12 passes, admittedly an improvement over picking off two in 2018, but San Francisco allowed the fewest completions exceeding 20 yards in the NFL this season, according to Pro Football Focus. On the other side, San Francisco had the second-best rushing offense in the NFL in 2019 at 144.6 ypg while it finished tied for second in the NFL with 16 runs of 20-plus yards. Against the Chiefs, San Francisco needs to continue to pound the ball given the Chiefs struggles against the run, particularly against runs preceded by shifts or motions, when Kansas city has allowed 5.2 ypc. Although Jimmy Garoppolo hasn't been asked to throw it much in the playoffs, he put together a highlight reel of pinpoint passes during the regular season with games hanging in the balance. On deep balls, according to Next Gen Stats, Garoppolo actually led the NFL in completion percentage (58.1) and yards per attempt (20.3), while also totaling seven passing touchdowns and posting a 102.6 passer rating on such throws. 10* (101) San Francisco 49ers

This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFC Championship Winner. San Francisco is an overpriced favorite here as it is now favored by more points than it was against Minnesota which ended the regular season three games worse than the Packers. Green Bay is a sneaky live dog here as they are getting no credit. Matt LaFleur came in and tinkered with the offense, and they brought in key additions such as pass-rushing duo Preston Smith and Za'Darius Smith, who combined for 25.5 sacks on the season. Many will point to the first meeting where San Francisco dominated in a 37-8 win but that is a thing of the past. Aaron Rodgers had the worst day of his career, averaging 3.2 yards per attempt and getting sacked five times so do not think there is not a chip on his shoulder. The Packers are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games against teams with a winning record while the 49ers are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up win of more than 14 points. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after two consecutive covers as a favorite going up against opponent off a home win. This situation is 36-13 ATS (73.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (311) Green Bay Packers

This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. We were hoping to get some earlier injury news and while there is positive news, it is not official. Seattle left tackle Duane Brown, who has missed the past three games with a knee injury, is hoping to get back. Brown was able to practice on a limited basis on Friday, his first practice action since having surgery and will be a game-day decision, Seahawks coach Pete Carroll said. The offensive line is the weakness for the Seahawks so this could be a big upgrade. Green Bay is very overrated. The Packers did have a pair of solid wins over Minnesota but they were outgained in one of those and the Vikings were not healthy in the second one and the win over Kansas City was against Matt Moore and not Patrick Mahomes. This is the smallest of the spreads in the Divisional round yet it is arguably too high. This is a spot Russell Wilson has excelled in as he is 10-4 ATS as an underdog of three or more points, while going 6-2 ATS when the line is four or more points. The Packers are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a winning road record. Here, we play against home teams with a winning percentage of .750 or better off a road win against a division rival, playing a team with a winning record in the second half of the season. This situation is 26-8 ATS (76.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (307) Seattle Seahawks

This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFL Saturday Star Attraction. The Vikings showed they can go on the road and win a big game and if there was any pressure on Kirk Cousins, he did not show it and any hint of that theory is long gone. While the 49ers defense is thought to be the better defense when compared to the Saints, they are actually in a worse position based on this matchup and the strengths of the Vikings offense. Minnesota has a healthy Dalvin Cook, Adam Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs for the first time in a long time and that is a dangerous trio. On the other side, the main focus for the 49ers against the Vikings should be protecting quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo against one of the best front sevens in the NFL. Coming into last week, Saints starting offensive tackles Terron Armstead and Ryan Ramczyk had not given up a sack all season but they gave up three Sunday. Quarterbacks making their first playoff start are 16-34 straight up and 15-34-1 ATS since 2002 and while that 30.6 percent record may seem skewed based on the fact that first-time starters are more likely to be on the road, home favorites in this scenario are just 5-16 ATS (23.8 percent). Here, we play against home teams with a winning percentage of .750 or better off a road win against a division rival, playing a team with a winning record in the second half of the season. This situation is 26-7 ATS (78.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (301) Minnesota Vikings

This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. Seattle was inches away from winning the NFC West but lost in the final seconds to the 49ers and were handed the No. 5 seed. While the Seahawks have to travel, that is not a bad thing for this team as they finished 7-1 on the road and get to face a banged up Eagles team that is lucky to be here. Seattle is banged up in its own right but is not as depleted as the Eagles are. Russell Wilson is healthy, and he threw for 4,110 yards and 31 touchdowns this season with just five interceptions. he finished sixth in the NFL in passing yards despite attempting just 516 passes, which ranked 12th. Travel is certainly no issue for him. Since the beginning of the 2018 season, Wilson is 7-0 in the Eastern time zone, with a 72.2 completion percentage, a 15-1 intercept touchdown ratio and a 128.0 pin rating. Offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer said more of the playbook should be available to Marshawn Lynch on Sunday now that he has another week of work under his belt. Carson Wentz guided the Eagles to four straight wins to close out the season, albeit all against the moribund NFC East. Now facing a team with a pulse, Philadelphia will have its hands full despite playing at home. He has limited targets at receiver and tight end Zach Ertz is still listed as questionable. Making matters worse, starting right tackle Lane Johnson will not play. Here, we play on road favorites averaging 335 or more total ypg, after allowing 375 or more total yards in two consecutive games. This situation is 44-20 ATS (68.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (147) Seattle Seahawks

This is a play on the BUFFALO BILLS for our NFL Saturday Star Attraction. The first Wild Card game of the playoffs takes place in Houston as the Bills hit the road in the postseason for the second time in three years. Buffalo leaned on their defense to reach 10 wins this season. The Bills defense finished second in points allowed (16.2), fourth in passing yards allowed (195.2), 10th in rushing yards allowed (103.1) and third in total yards allowed (298.2) this season. They were one of only three teams that held opposing quarterbacks to under an 80.0 QB rating (To put that in perspective opposing quarterbacks had a 95.3 rating against the Texans this year). The Texans are an offense-first squad which explodes at unpredictable times. It did not happen enough in the second half of the season, and it usually happens when Will Fuller is on the field but he has been downgraded to doubtful. Houston averages over 25 ppg when Fuller plays and less than 20 when he is missing so he is a big factor in this offense. J.J. Watt will be back on Saturday but the Texans defense has major issues lately even though Watt will be back. Look for Buffalo to try and pound the ball as Devin Singletary had 775 yards, two touchdowns, on 151 carries, which is an average of 5.1 ypc, fifth-best in the NFL. Get the running game going and Josh Allen should be able to take some shots against this Texans secondary. Here, we play against home favorites that are averaging 4.5 ypc going up against teams allowing between 3.5 and 4.5ypc, after being outrushed by 75 or more yards last game. This situation is 54-20 ATS (73 percent) since 1983. 10* (141) Buffalo Bills

This is a play on the NEW YORK GIANTS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. This is another instance of going against a team that needs to win and one simple belief for that is if a team needs to win in Week 17 to get into the playoffs, it cannot be that good of a team to begin with. That is certainly the case for the Eagles which are coming off a must win game against the Cowboys. We are not here saying the Eagles cannot or will not win this game but this line is simply too high. The Giants have won two straight games, albeit against Miami and Washington and they would like nothing more than to finish with three straight wins and knock their rival from the playoffs. Daniel Jones is coming off the best game of his rookie season where he threw for 352 yards and five touchdowns. He has another good matchup here and while the Eagles help Dak Prescott in check last week, clearly he was not close to 100 percent. Additionally, Saquon Barkley is back as he has two straight 100-yard games, including a career-best 189 yards rushing last week. He finished with a franchise-record 279 yards from scrimmage. Here, we play against teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 off an upset win as a home underdog, playing a losing team in the second half of the season. This situation is 24-3 ATS (88.9 percent) since 1983. 10* (116) New York Giants

This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our AFC West Game of the Year. Oakland still has an outside shot at a playoff berth as it needs a win here plus losses by Pittsburgh and Tennessee, a win by Indianapolis and a win or tie from either Chicago, Detroit, Los Angeles Chargers or New England. The scenario for the final four teams would give the Raiders the strength of schedule tiebreaker over Pittsburgh. That being said, this is a very inconsistent team and one that should not be trusted on the road. The Raiders are 2-5 away from home and their -105 scoring differential of fifth worst in the NFL. Denver has played well of late by winning three of its last four games has played very well in those wins. The game against Kansas City can be tossed out since it was being played in a snowstorm. Oakland has some horrible history heading into this game. The Raiders are 0-12 ATS in their last 12 games as divisional underdogs coming off a SU/ATS Win, 0-18 ATS in their last 18 games following a win in which they had less than 400 yards of offense and did not commit a single turnover and 0-11 ATS in their last 11 road games following a win. This includes losses this season at the Packers 42-24 and at the Jets 34-2. 10* (132) Denver Broncos

This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. Even though we are 14 games into the season, it is hard to get a grasp on the Packers and how good their 11-3 record really is. They've been outscored in the second and fourth quarters, only four of their 11 wins have come by more than one score and their team rankings in rushing and passing yardage on both offense and defense are all in the bottom half of the league. Green Bay has been outgained in five of its last six and seven of its last 10 games and just two of the 11 wins are against teams in current playoff positions. The Vikings have won eight of their last 10 games after an uneven 2-2 start to the season. There is a lot on the line for Minnesota as well even though it clinched a playoff berth with the Rams loss on Saturday. The only way Minnesota can win the NFC North is if the sputtering Lions beat the Packers in addition to Vikings victories in their last two games. They host Chicago on Dec. 29, with the chance to go 8-0 at home for the first time in 10 years. It is well documented that Kirk Cousins is 0-8 on Monday Night Football but he is not solely to blame. He has completed 191 of 292 passes (65.4 percent) for 2,153 yards with 11 touchdowns and five interceptions, and his passer rating is 92.7 in those games. Here, we play against road underdogs or pickems after having won 8 or more out of their last 10 games. This situation is 40-16 ATS (71.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (482) Minnesota Vikings

This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. We won with Dallas last week as a home underdog and now it comes into this week as a road favorite which is a complete overreaction to the win last week. Couple that with the Eagles needing a late comeback to defeat to the Redskins and the public will be all over the Cowboys this week.0020Dallas is top ten in scoring offense, total offense, scoring defense and total defense yet it is just 7-7 on the season. The Cowboys can win the NFC East with a win no matter what happens next week but a playoff berth is still in play for the Eagles. Beat the Cowboys and win in Week 17 against the Giants, and they're in so clearly there is a lot at stake for both sides. Carson Wentz is playing one of the true must-win games of his career. He tossed a two-yard touchdown pass to Zach Ertz in overtime to beat the Giants and followed up on the road with a touchdown pass to Greg Ward to beat the Redskins. He is down his top three receivers so expect big games from Ertz and Ward as the Cowboys struggle to defend the middle of the field. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off an upset win by 14 or more points as a home underdog, after the first month of the season. This situation is 29-7 ATS (80.6 percent) since 1983. 10* (476) Philadelphia Eagles

This is a play on the CAROLINA PANTHERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Colts put up a dud for us on Monday night as the Saints used the Drew Brees record setting night as a means for motivation. Now there is nothing to play for as a rash of injuries, a flurry of costly special teams mistakes, and back-to-back sub-par defensive performances led to a fourth consecutive loss at New Orleans, sealing their playoff fate. They've been outscored 31-7 in the fourth quarter of the last three games to go along with no running game. The Panthers have given up on the Kyle Allen experiment that actually started out good but has failed miserably of late. They have lost six straight games but four of those losses came by just one possession and there is no wat the Colts should be laying this number with nothing on the line especially facing Christian McCaffrey. He needs 186 yards receiving over the final two games to become the third player to have 1,000 yards both rushing and receiving so he will be a heavy part of the passing game with new starter Will Grier. Here, we play against home favorites with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 off a road loss, playing a team with a winning percentage between .250 and .400. This situation is 49-18 ATS (73.1 percent) since 1983. 10* (471) Carolina Panthers

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Saturday Primetime Punisher. The Rams are coming off a loss last week in Dallas which severely hurt their playoff chances. They have to win out in their final two games, here and then next week at home against the Cardinals. Additionally, Los Angeles needs Minnesota to love this Monday and then next week at home against the Bears. All scenarios are more than possible so it is up to the Rams to do its job. The Rams are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss. San Francisco is coming off a bad loss against Atlanta last Sunday and while it can still lock down the No. seed in the NFC, it can also fall to the No. 5 seed which is where it currently sits. The 49ers are just 3-2 against the top 10 in the league while playing the No. 17 ranked schedule. While these teams are separated by three games, San Francisco seems pretty overpriced here and this is just the second time the Rams have been road underdogs and by far by the biggest amount. The 49ers are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a home favorite. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 off an upset loss as a road favorite, in the second half of the season. This situation is 29-8 ATS (78.4 percent) since 1983. 10* (451) Los Angeles Rams

This is a play on the BUFFALO BILLS for our NFL Saturday Afternoon Dominator. This is a game where you have to trust the eye test and not the history lesson. New England is making its 11th straight playoff appearance but this could be the worst of the bunch despite an 11-3 record. The defense is great but the offense has struggled as Tom Brady looks slow and inaccurate and he has no weapons to throw to. Facing one of the best defenses in the league will be a challenge and the Patriots struggled in the first meeting as they won by six points but mustered a mere 224 yards of total offense and the difference was a blocked punt returned for a touchdown. Playing at home with a chance to win the division in tough to go against but the Patriots are 1-5 ATS in their last six games against teams with a winning record. Buffalo will not be intimidated here just like last week when they were not against the Steelers. They held Pittsburgh to 229 total yards and the site of Brady is not going to scare them off. The offense has certainly been inconsistent but Josh Allen has the ability to confuse the Patriots with his mobility. The Bills are 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight road games. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems after covering the spread in three out of their last four games, in the last two weeks of the regular season. This situation is 38-14 ATS (73.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (453) Buffalo Bills

This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. The money and the public is on the Saints here which comes as no surprise and that has driven this line up to double-digits in some places. The Saints are coming off a tough loss against the 49ers last Sunday but have still clinched the division but they can win out and still get the third seed if they don't receive some extra help. The New Orleans defense has regressed and that is not ideal when laying a number this big as the Saints enter this game ranked 13th in total defense, surrendering 338 ypg and 17th in points allowed at 22.8 ppg. New Orleans is 7-17 ATS in its last 24 home games as favorites coming off a home loss including 0-7 ATS when laying more than a touchdown. Indianapolis needs to win out and get some help for the postseason as it is a game and a half out of the final Wild Card spot in the AFC. The Colts are 2-4 on the road but three of those losses came by a combined eight points and the other came in overtime. Indianapolis is 9-0 ATS in its last nine games against NFC teams .500 or better. Here, we play on road underdogs or pickems off a road loss by three points or less, in the last four weeks of the regular season. This situation is 24-5 ATS (82.8 percent) since 1983. 10* (333) Indianapolis Colts

This is a play on the DALLAS COWBOYS for our NFL Game of the Year. The advanced line for this game was Dallas -3.5 which was released on Tuesday but after the Dallas loss on Thursday, the number came down to -3 and then after the Rams blowout winner over Seattle on Sunday night, the line came down once again and this is the time to buy. The Cowboys have lost three straight games to fall to 6-7 and this is a must win game with their following contest taking place at Philadelphia which will most likely decide the NFC East. In the loss against the Bears, Dallas still won the yardage battle for the ninth straight game. Dallas is 19-8 ATS in its last 27 home games after having lost three out of their last four games. The Rams are coming off the impressive win over Seattle to remain in the Wild Card hunt. They are one game behind the Vikings for the second Wild Card spot and the Rams are going to have to get some help from the Vikings. While the offense has looked good the last two games, quarterback Jared Goff is having a mediocre season, posting 3712 passing yards with a 15:14 TD to INT ratio. The Rams are 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog. The game will be a rematch of the NFC Divisional round matchup from last season, when Dallas traveled to Los Angeles and got their pride handed to them. Head coach Sean McVay used a combination of Todd Gurley and C.J. Anderson to rush for over 250 yards on the Dallas defense and the Cowboys were outgained 459-308 making revenge a big factor. Here, we play on home favorites after having lost four or five out of their last six games, with a winning percentage between .450 and .550 on the season. This situation is 24-6 ATS (80 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (330) Dallas Cowboys

This is a play on the OAKLAND RAIDERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. After three straight losses, the Raiders are nearly eliminated from playoff contention so one could argue there is little motivation on the Oakland sideline. That could be the furthest from the truth. This is the final game being played in Oakland as it will be calling Las Vegas home starting next season so there will be plenty of motivation to pull out one final victory for the home crowd. It was a rough second half last week for the Raiders but they are in a great bounce back spot here facing a team that has mailed it in. The Raiders are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss. Jacksonville has lost five straight games and none have been close as those losses have all come by at least 17 points and by an average of 23.4 ppg. The Jaguars are officially out of the playoff mix and are ready for the season to end. The Jaguars are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Here, we play on favorites after failing to cover the spread in 4 out of their last 5 games, after the first month of the season. This situation is 105-67 ATS (61 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (324) Oakland Raiders

This is a play on the NEW YORK GIANTS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. The Giants have lost eight in a row but could spoil Philadelphia's playoff hopes with a victory. Eli Manning is expected to make his first start since Week 2 because rookie Daniel Jones has a high ankle sprain. Manning struggled in his first two starts but there was a lot of pressure on him to keep his job and now with that pressure being lifted, he should be able to go out and just play. The Giants are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog. Despite their poor record, the Eagles would win the NFC East by winning their last four games. But when you lose 7 of 12, three in a row, and at the woeful Dolphins, nothing is guaranteed. The Eagles have not shown the ability to put a team away aside from their life-draining drive against the Bears in Week Nine, their win over the Bills in Week Eight and the rout of the Jets in Week Five. The Eagles are 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games against teams with a losing road record. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after allowing 30 points or more last game going up against an opponent after scoring 14 points or less in two straight games. This situation is 49-20 ATS (71 percent) since 1983. 10* (159) New York Giants

This is a play on the BUFFALO BILLS for our NFL Game of the Week. We bet against Baltimore again last week as it finally paid off as the Ravens snuck by a quality opponent. While some may not think it, Buffalo is another quality opponent as its 9-3 record indicates. The line is inflated once again as the book want to avoid liability after getting crushed for five straight games. The San Francisco defense did a great job on the Ravens offense, holding them to a season low 20 points. The Bills defense is built similarly to the 49ers and it is a legit unit. On the other side, Josh Allen has been sensational since the Patriots game with just the one hiccup against Cleveland. Buffalo gained the early action causing the line to go from -6 to -5 on Sunday. When Monday hit, the action switched and the Ravens were getting hit hard moving the line to 5.5 and the action has remained on the Baltimore side yet the line has increased to -6 as of Friday night. Here, we plat on home teams off an upset win as an underdog, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages of .750 or better. This situation is 29-8 ATS (78.4 percent) since 1983. 10* (132) Buffalo Bills

This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Colts burned us last week as they were ready to take the lead against Tennessee but had their field goal blocked and returned for a touchdown and then another turned sealed the game. The Colts outgained the Titans by 99 total yards and have won the yardage battle in five of their last six games despite going 2-4. The Colts are in must win mode and are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a double-digit loss at home. The Buccaneers are on a two-game winning streak but are just 1-3 at home with the lone won coming by a field goal against Arizona. They were favored by 5.5 points in that game and are now 0-4 ATS at home not including the London game where they were the designated home team and lost by 11 points. At 5-7, Tampa Bay is out of the playoff mix yet is favored again. Here, we play against home favorites after having won two out of their last three games, with a winning percentage of between .400 and .499 in the second half of the season. This situation is 28-8 ATS (77.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (147) Indianapolis Colts

This is a play on the DALLAS COWBOYS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. Dallas has lost two straight games and is 3-5 0ver its last eight games but there has been one common denominator and that is the Cowboys have outgained all eight opponents in those games. The problem is not on the offense as they have the top ranked offense in the NFL with 432.8 ypg and the defense has not been bad either as they are ranked No. 8 overall with 321.6 ypg. But on that side of the ball, they have just 12 takeaways which is tied for fourth fewest in the NFL and the eight teams they are grouped with that have 14 or fewer takeaways, seven have no chance for the playoffs. A lot of this is luck and can turn around quickly as we are backing a team that is one of only two ranked in the top eight in both offense and defense, San Francisco being the other and the 49ers are 10-2. Chicago was fortunate to get out of Detroit with a win on Thanksgiving as it had its best game on offense on the season with 419 yards yet won by just four points. Mitchell Trubisky had his best game of the season but that was against the third worst passing defense in the NFL and we do not expect a big effort Thursday. Here, we play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 with a defense forcing one or fewer tpg, after two consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. This situation is 49-20 ATS (71 percent) since 1983. 10* (101) Dallas Cowboys

This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. Seattle has won four straight games including three on the road where it is a perfect 6-0 on the season. The Seahawks are just 3-2 at home with those three wins being an overtime win over Tampa Bay, a one-point win over the Rams and a one-point win over the Bengals. They are outgaining opponents by just 17 ypg at home and going back, the Seahawks are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games. Minnesota has won two straight games and is coming off its bye week which is a big edge this late in the season. The Vikings are a half-game behind Green Bay in the NFC North and they hold onto a game and a half lead over the Rams for the final Wild Card slot in the NFC and can take over the first spot with a win tonight. Here, we play on road teams after failing to cover the spread in three out of their last four games, in December games. This situation is 42-15 ATS (73.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (475) Minnesota Vikings

This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Game of the Week. Indianapolis and Tennessee are both squarely in the playoff mix as both come in at 6-5, one game behind Houston in the NFC South and with the Texans playing the Patriots, the winner of this game could be in a first place tie. Tennessee is coming off a pair of impressive wins as it defeated Kansas City and then Jacksonville in a blowout but both were at home. Tennessee is just 1-3 in its last four road games yet is getting just one point as of Saturday. The Colts stumbled in Houston for their third loss in four games but against the Texans, it broke a streak of outgaining their opponents in four straight games. Here, we play on favorites in the second half of the season averaging between 335 and 370 ypg going up against teams averaging between 295 and 335 ypg, after being outgained by 100 or more total yards last game. This situation is 23-5 ATS (82.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (458) Indianapolis Colts

This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. Baltimore is coming off another impressive win last week against the Rans but it came with a cost and now the Ravens are playing on short rest. Center Matt Skura got hurt on Monday night and now the Ravens weak at left guard and center and San Francisco can take advantage of this. Baltimore has now won seven straight games, the last five coming by double-digits so it is no surprise the public is loving the Ravens yet the line has actually come down. San Francisco is coming off a pair of impressive wins as it defeated Arizona and Green Bay, outgaining them by 176 yards and 141 yards respectively. The 49ers are 10-1 but are not getting the deserved respect because of the dominant Baltimore run. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points that are averaging 27 or more ppg, after allowing 14 points or less in two straight games. This situation 27-7 ATS (79.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (455) San Francisco 49ers

This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS SAINTS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. New Orleans and Atlanta meet on Thanksgiving night for the second straight season with the Saints looking to wrap up the NFC South division. They have a four-game lead over Carolina following their win over the Panthers this past Sunday. New Orleans has won two straight games to improve to 9-2 on the season and it had a six-game winning streak snapped three games back at home against Atlanta. Revenge will be in play here against an inconsistent Atlanta team which pulled off stunning back-to-back road wins only to fall flat at home last week against the Buccaneers. The Falcons have lost four straight home games and while they have the edge in not having to travel following a home game, the defense will struggle here. The Saints are 24-8 ATS in their last 32 road games while Atlanta is 0-7 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. Additionally, the Falcons are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing six or more yppl in their previous game. Here, we play on road teams in the second half of the season averaging 1.25 or fewer turnovers per game going up against teams with forcing 1.25 or fewer turnovers per game, after four consecutive games where they committed one or less turnovers. This situation is 30-10 ATS (75 percent) since 1983. 10* (309) New Orleans Saints

This is a play on the DETROIT LIONS for out NFL Thursday Afternoon Dominator. The Bears are coming off a home win over the lowly Giants by it was by just by five points. Since a 3-1 start to the season, Chicago is only 2-5 in its last seven games including a 0-3 record on the road. Three games back, they defeated Detroit by a touchdown for its third straight win in this series so the Lions will be out for payback. This offense remains incredibly inconsistent as they are ranked No. 29, averaging a mere 269.3 ypg and 17.1 ppg. Chicago has outgained only four of 11 opponents while on the other side, Detroit has outgained six of its 11 opponents. This includes outgaining the Redskins by 134 total yards this past Sunday but lost late. Quarterback Jeff Driskel has not been great but he is no worse than Mitchell Trubisky yet the Lions come in as the road underdog here. The defense has struggled overall but their worst games have come against premier offenses as they have gone against the top ten units. Detroit held Chicago to 226 yard offense in the first meeting. The Bears are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play on home teams revenging a road loss against opponent, off an upset loss as a road favorite. This situation is 86-43 ATS (66.7 percent) since 1983. 9* (306) Detroit Lions

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. Everyone is in love with Baltimore right now and rightfully so. The Ravens opened the season by hanging 59 points on the Dolphins, and have also enjoyed 49, 40, and 37 point outbursts. The Ravens defense has also enjoyed some success this season as they have allowed the 6th fewest points in the league and are 14th in yardage allowed. This is a bad matchup though. The Rams defense is stout and ranks 10th overall. They have given up 10 or fewer points three of the past four weeks. Offensively, the Rams need some work. In 10 games this season, they totaled only 243 ppg and 24 offensive touchdowns. Los Angeles has coughed up the ball 18 times,15 times by Jared Goff in the form of 10 interceptions and five lost fumbles. And a ground attack that finished with the third-most yards in the league a year ago ranks 20th in the NFL. Still, only five quarterbacks have thrown for more yards than Goff (2,783) so he will give the Ravens a big test. Here, we play against road favorites that are outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg, after a win by 10 or more points. This situation is 53-18 ATS (74..6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (276) Los Angeles Rams

This is a play on the DALLAS COWBOYS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Patriots are a M*A*S*H unit right now on offense as the three top receiving targets Mohamed Sanu, Julian Edelman and Philip Dorsett are all questionable and even Tom Brady popped up on the injury report with an elbow issue. New England has gained 342 yards or less in its last four games while playing the second easiest schedule in the NFL. We all know New England has won 20 straight home games but being favored by this much against one of the best rosters in the league is too much. The Cowboys have underachieved this season as they are just 3-4 over their last seven games. Despite this, they have outgained their opponents by 133.0 ypg over their last six games. Here, we lay against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a winning percentage of .750 or better after having won six or seven out of their last eight games, , in the second half of the season. This situation is 29-10 ATS (74.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (269) Dallas Cowboys

This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our NFL Game of the Week. Despite a 7-3 record, Buffalo is No. 23 in the latest power rankings as it has played the easiest schedule in the NFL. After outgaining their opponents in their first five games, Buffalo has outgained only two of their last five opponents. The Bills wins have come against the Jets, Giants, Bengals, Titans, Redskins and Dolphins twice. We can throw Denver into this mix as it is just 3-7 but the Broncos are the best losing team in the NFL. Five of the seven losses have been by just one possession which includes four coming within the final minute. Denver is just -25 points in scoring differential while outgaining half of its opponents and not being outgained by more than 84 yards in any game. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after covering the spread in three out of their last four games, team with a losing record in the second half of the season. This situation is 37-12 ATS (75.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (253) Denver Broncos

This is a play on the HOUSTON TEXANS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. We played on Houston last week and got totally destroyed as the Texans lost 41-7 and coupled with the Indianapolis blowout of Jacksonville, they are now tied for first place in the AFC South so this game will go a long way in determining the champion. The running game will be key here. Houston held Indianapolis to just 62 rushing yards in the first meeting, by far the Colts worst showing of the season. The loss of Marlon Mack, who broke his hand against Jacksonville, makes it harder to get the ground game going. On the other side, a Colts run defense that ranks ninth in the NFL will be tested as Houston has rushed for more than 100 yards in six straight games. The Texans are in revenge mode from the 30-23 loss in the first meeting as well as the 21-7 at home in the playoffs last season. Here, we play on home favorites revenging a loss by seven points or less, off a road loss. This situation is 41-13 ATS (75.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (110) Houston Texans

This is a play on the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. Mexico City hosts a big AFC West divisional game as what once looked like a runaway win for the Chiefs has suddenly become a packed race. Kansas City won its first four games but has dropped four of its past six, allowing Oakland to get within a half-game of the division lead with the Chargers sitting just two games back. The absence of quarterback Patrick Mahomes led to a lot of the struggles for the Chiefs but he claimed this week he feels as healthy as he has been since Week One. He had a monster game last week in his return but the Chiefs lost at Tennessee despite outgaining the Titans by 159 total yards as a fumble return for the touchdown was the ultimate difference. The Chargers fell to 4-6 after a loss to the Raiders and that was the sixth loss by one possession. That would entice a play on the Chargers as those numbers point to a close game However, while the Chargers were among the league's better teams in not committing turnovers the past two seasons, their 16 giveaways this season are tied for seventh in the league. And that adds to a great situation as we play on teams after three consecutive games where they forced one or less turnovers going up against an opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse. This situation is 46-18 ATS (71.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (475) Kansas City Chiefs

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Sunday Primetime Punisher. The Rams have been catching a lot of heat for their 5-4 record after going 13-3 last season and making it to the Super Bowl. They have been one of the unluckiest teams in the NFL however as they have 16 giveaways to just 14 takeaways compared to a +11 turnover margin last season. Los Angeles has outgained eight of nine opponents this season which shows they are playing better than their record shows. The fell short at Pittsburgh last week 17-12 and they are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Chicago is in the same situation as they already have one more loss than all of last season but its 4-5 record is s true indication of how it has played. The Bears have been outgained in six of nine games thanks to an anemic offense that is fourth worst in the NFL with 262.2 ypg. Additionally, they are allowing close to 30 more ypg than in 2018. The Bears are 0-5 ATS in their last five games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play on home favorites with a winning percentage between .450 and .550 after having lost four or five out of their last six games. This situation is 23-5 (82.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (474) Los Angeles Rams

This is a play on the HOUSTON TEXANS for our NFL Underdog Game of the Month. Baltimore remains the talk of the NFL, namely Lamar Jackson, and because of all of the positive pub, the lines are remaining inflated. Coming off a divisional win and a winner over the Patriots prior to that, this could be the letdown finally especially with a Monday night game with the Rams on deck. Baltimore has outgained six of nine opponents, the same as Houston, so they may have overachieved slightly based on their 7-2 record that consists of wins over the Bengals twice, the Cardinals and the Dolphins. The Ravens are 5-12-2 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points. Houston is coming off its bye week with a chance for extra preparation for Jackson. The Texans are 6-3 with all three losses coming by one possession and they were tied or had the lead going into the fourth quarter in two of those. Not much respect in this line with a strong Houston team. The Texans are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a bye week. Here, we play against home teams with a winning percentage of .750 or better off a road win against a division rival, playing a team with a winning record in the second half of the season. This situation is 24-5 ATS (82.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (465) Houston Texans

This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. We played on Cleveland last Sunday and it resulted in a push for most and we are backing the Browns again this week in their back-to-back home spot. It was a must win then and it is a must win again this week and the Browns catch Pittsburgh coming off an upset win as a home underdog and now has to travel. With Mason Rudolph failing to exceed 200 passing yards in four of his seven starts, the Steelers will likely feature a run-heavy offensive attack. The key is whether Cleveland will be able to limit Pittsburgh on the ground on a short week. The money is coming in on the Steelers which is because of their recent success but they have played only one road game over the past seven weeks and they have been outgained in seven of nine games on the season. Here, we play against teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 off an upset win as a home underdog, playing a losing team in the second half of the season. This situation is 22-3 (88 percent) since 1983. 10* (310) Cleveland Browns

This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Monday Night Primetime Punisher. A once heated rivalry is restored with a lot on the line in the NFC West. It is hard to believe but this is the first time since Thanksgiving night in 2014 where both teams have a winning record. Seattle has won two straight games including a thrilling overtime win last week against Tampa Bay. The Seahawks rushed for 145 yards against the Buccaneers which has the top raked rushing defense in the NFL and while the San Francisco defense is highly praised, it is just No. 14 against the run while allowing 4.7 ypc which is near the bottom of the league. The Seahawks are 7-2 and going back, they are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games against teams with a winning home record. The 49ers are the lone remaining undefeated team in the NFL at 8-0 but they have played the third easiest schedule in the league. The 49ers suffered a big loss last week when linebacker Kwon Alexander went down with a season-ending torn left pectoral muscle. Additionally, standout tight end George Kittle likely will not see the field as he is listed as doubtful. Here, we play against home teams with a winning percentage of .750 or higher off a road win against a division rival, playing a team with a winning record in the second half of the season. This situation is 23-5 ATS (82.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (273) Seattle Seahawks

This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our Sunday Night Primetime Punisher. Minnesota had a four-game winning streak snapped with a loss in Kansas City last week as it allowed two field goals over the last 2:30 including one with no time remaining to lose by three. This is a very solid team with one of the best rosters in the NFL and the Vikings come in as the No. 6 ranked team in the latest power ratings which is three spots higher than the Cowboys making this line off by two points. The Vikings trail Green Bay by a game in the NFC North and currently hold the last playoff spot in the conference. The Cowboys are coming off a pair of divisional wins over the Eagles and Giants. Four of their five wins have come against teams with two or fewer wins so it is hard to gage how good this team really is. Dallas is playing on a short week coming off a Monday night game and the Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last five games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game. Here, we play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off a road loss, in November games. This situation is 64-32 ATS (66.7 percent) since 1983. 10* (271) Minnesota Vikings

This is a play on the CINCINNATI BENGALS for our AFC North Game of the Year. We won with Baltimore last week as it won as a home underdog over previously undefeated New England. Now hitting the road and facing a winless team, this presents the perfect letdown spot. Additionally, the Ravens next three games are against the Texans, Rams and 49ers. It has been an ugly season for the Bengals which are 0-8 and finally decided to make a change at quarterback as Andy Dalton has likely played his last game as a Bengal. Ryan Finley will get the start and while some will think this is a bad idea against an elite Baltimore defense, the defense is not elite like it used to be. Baltimore allows 348.3 ypg which is middle of the pack and its 22 ppg allowed is also right in the middle. Look for the Bengals to play an inspired game for Finley. Here, we play against favorites coming off an upset win as a home underdog, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team. This situation is 62-28 ATS (68.9 percent) since 1983. 10* (262) Cincinnati Bengals

This is a play on the OAKLAND RAIDERS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. The Raiders are only half a game ahead of the Chargers, but they have shown all season that they are a better team. The Raiders schedule was incredibly tough in the first half of the season as they have played the second toughest slate behind Tampa Bay. They are 0-4 against the top 10 but 4-0 against everyone else. One big factor here will be the rushing game. For Oakland, Josh Jacobs has been great all season and is coming off an awesome game against the Lions where he rushed for 120 yards and scored two touchdowns. He goes up against a Chargers run defense that allows 114.1 ypg on 4.2 ypc. On the other side, the Chargers averaging just 79.4 rushing ypg on 3.6 ypc, both of which are fifth worst in the NFL. Meanwhile, Oakland is allowing only 92.5 ypg on 3.7ypc, seventh and fifth respectively in the league. The Raiders have plenty of revenge to play for as they have been swept by the Chargers in each of the last two seasons. The Chargers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game while the Raiders have covered six of their last seven home games. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off an upset win by 14 or more points as a home underdog, after the first month of the season. This situation is 27-7 ATS (79.4 percent) since 1983. 10* (108) Oakland Raiders

This is a play on the NEW YORK GIANTS for our NFL Monday Night Primetime Punisher. The debut of Daniel Jones was a resounding success in a win over Tampa Bay, the first of two straight victories but the Giants have now lost four straight games. He is coming off a great game last week however against the Lions where he threw for 322 yards with four touchdowns and no interceptions and now he heads back home where New York has outgained two of its three opponents. Dallas is coming off a win over the Eagles, which snapped a three-game losing streak, and then had its bye week last week. The Cowboys have owned the Giants in recent seasons, winning five straight, including a 35-17 victory in Dallas in the season opener so that brings the revenge angle into play for tonight. The Giants are 17-3 ATS after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in two straight games while the Cowboys are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. Here, we play on home underdogs or pickems with a winning percentage of .250 or below after failing to cover the spread in two out of their last three games, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 133-77 ATS (63.3 percent) since 1983. 10* (476) New York Giants

This is a play on the BALTIMORE RAVENS for our NFL Sunday Primetime Punisher. New England is off to an 8-0 start but we are still not completely sold. The Patriots have played the easiest schedule in the NFL as they have played only one team with a winning record and that resulted in a six-point win over Buffalo where they were outgained by 151 total yards. The defense is putting up record numbers but again, we are still not completely sure how good they are. The Patriots have struggled against versatile quarterbacks and Lamar Jackson fits the bill. He has passed for 1,650 yards and rushed for 576 yards and has led Baltimore to a 5-2 record. The Ravens are coming off a bye following a big win in Seattle to increase their winning streak to three games. The extra time off is key here in facing the Patriots and the Ravens have won 10 straight primetime games. Here we play against road favorites outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg, after a win by 10 or more points. This situation is 52-18 ATS (74.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (474) Baltimore Ravens

This is a play on the TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS for our NFL Underdog Game of the Month. The Seahawks have won four of their last five games to improve to 6-2 overall but this team has its flaws. They have been outgained in three of their wins, two of which were against Cincinnati and Atlanta which are a combined 1-15. Seattle lost starting center Justin Britt for the season last week and that is huge for an offensive line that was bad to begin with. The Seahawks are 0-5 ATS in their last five home games. The Buccaneers have lost three straight games including a loss against Tennessee last week that was misleading. They outgained the Titans by 143 total yards but lost the turnover battle 4-1. The week before, they lost to Carolina despite outgaining the Panthers by 139 total yards but lost that turnover battle 7-1. Keep the mistakes in check and they will be fine here. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points in a game involving two teams with a +/- 3 ppg differential., after allowing three points or less in the first half last game. This situation is 46-19 ATS (70.8 percent) since 1983. 10* (467) Tampa Bay Buccaneers

This is a play on the ARIZONA CARDINALS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. San Francisco has been favored by six or more points this season and has failed to cover both times. The latest came in Washington and while the weather played a big role in that game, the 49ers were favored by 10 points and now they are favored by that same amount. Against a team that is much better and playing much better of late sans last week against New Orleans. Taking nothing away from the 7-0 start but San Francisco has played the fifth easiest schedule in the NFL so that has skewed some of its outstanding defensive numbers. That goes along the same line as some of the quarterbacks they have faced. While Kyler Murray is having an average season, he has improved immensely over his last four games compared to his first four games. The 49ers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game while the Cardinals are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points averaging 27 or more ppg, after allowing 14 points or less in two straight games. This situation is 25-7 ATS (78.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (302) Arizona Cardinals

This is a play on the CAROLINA PANTHERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. Another surprise in the first half of the season in San Francisco which is one of just two undefeated teams in the league. The 49ers are coming off a 9-0 win at Washington where the weather played a role in the outcome of that although it likely would have resulted in a bigger win had the weather been good. A win over the Rams was nice but the other five wins came against teams a combined 7-19 and overall, the schedule is ranked No 27 in the league. The defense has allowed only 10 points over the last three games but should get tested here. Carolina is ranked No. 5 in scoring offense in the NFL and has won four straight games, averaging 31.3 ppg over that stretch. The Panthers have not been as good defensively as in years past but it is still a strong unit. When above .500, Carolina 7-1 ATS coming off a bye and coming off back-to-back wins. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points averaging 370 or more ypg going up against teams allowing between 335 and 370 ypg. This situation is 64-29 ATS (68.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (269) Carolina Panthers