Sports Picks & Predictions

This is a play on the ATLANTA HAWKS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. Atlanta is back home following a five-game roadtrip where it went 2-3 to remain one game under .500 on the season. This is the first Hawks home game since November 22 which also came against Brooklyn in a two-point win and this is an important game with games against Philadelphia and Denver on deck. Atlanta is the worst ATS team in the league as it is 5-14 against the number which adds value with people staying clear. Brooklyn defeated Orlando by 29 points in its last game on Saturday which concluded a five-game homestand where it went 4-1 to move a game over .500. The Nets have been a pleasant surprise in the Eastern Conference as the roster has been depleted from the last couple seasons. While Atlanta has poor against the spread, Brooklyn has been the opposite as it is 14-4-1 ATS which is tied with Oklahoma City for the best in the NBA. Here, we play against road underdogs after a blowout win by 20 points or more going up against an opponent after scoring 120 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 22-4 ATS (84.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (570) Atlanta Hawks

This is a play on the TOWSON TIGERS for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. Towson is coming off two straight 20-win seasons and is pegged for another top finish in the Coastal Athletic Association. The Tigers are off to a 3-5 start but the schedule has been a tough one as they opened the season with a pair of road games and have played four neutral games while hosting just two games. This is their only home game until December 22 so it has turned into a big one. The offense has left a lot to be desired but the defense has made up for it. Massachusetts is off to a 4-1 start so it has played a limited schedule thus far and this is the first time this season it has left campus and still laying points. The Minutemen had another rough season, its fifth straight of 15 wins or fewer and the prognosis does not look good for this season. They have just one starter back from last year and only three players who were in the rotation. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 allowing 40 percent shooting and after a game allowing 33 percent shooting or lower going up against teams allowing between 42.5 and 45 percent shooting. This situation is 31-8 ATS (79.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (680) Towson Tigers

This is a play on the PHOENIX SUNS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. We were hoping to find more injury info in this matchup but it is likely going to be late with LeBron James listed as questionable and will likely go as he seems to be on the injury report every game. This game is for a trip to the semifinals of the In-Season Tournament and the Suns look for some revenge here. They have lost the first two meetings with Los Angeles and while they are not at full strength, they are better off than those first two games with Devin Booker back in the lineup. He has been consistent since coming back with the exception of a poor game against Toronto two games back when he rolled an ankle but was fine in the last game against Memphis where he put up 34 points. After a rough start by going 4-6 in their first 10 games, the Suns have won eight of their last 10 to move into fourth place in the Western Conference. The Lakers also started slow but then went on a 6-1 run but have gone 3-3 since then. They are laying a short number but for good reason and they are a significant public side tonight. 10* (561) Phoenix Suns

This is a play on the MICHIGAN WOLVERINES for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. Indiana is off to a 6-1 start but is in a very tough spot here. The Hoosiers are coming off a win over Maryland in their Big Ten Conference opener which was their third straight victory which followed a 20-point loss against Connecticut, their only game against a real quality opponent away from home. While they have played three games away from home, this is their first true road game of the season and come in a banged up bunch as their backcourt is in shambles with four guards on the injury report. Michigan opens conference action following a pair of losses to Texas Tech and Oregon. The wolverines have lost four of their last five games and are back home for the first time since November 17 where they lost to Long Beach St. by eight points as a 15-point favorite. This is the get right game and catch the Hoosiers in a vulnerable spot with matchup advantages on the home side. Michigan will be out for revenge against their rival, losing both meetings last season by a combined three points. 10* (648) Michigan Wolverines

This is a play on the EVANSVILLE PURPLE ACES for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. BYU is coming off a 19-15 season including a 7-9 record in their final year in the WCC and now it enters the Big 12 are have been projected to be a middle of the pack team. The Cougars have four starters back and got an early jump on the season with an overseas trip to Italy and Croatia so their 7-0 start should not be overly shocking. This is a bad spot however and the markets have to catch up by laying a massive number based on their 7-0 record against the number. BYU has a big rivalry on deck as it heads to Utah on Saturday. Evansville got off to a 6-0 start before losing its Missouri Valley Conference opener at Missouri St. by 12 points but bounced back with a home win over Northern Iowa on Saturday. The Purple Aces have already surpassed their win total from all of last season and tied the win total from two seasons ago. They are expected to be a much improved team and the record already shows that as they have four starters back that includes two fifth year players and a senior along with a junior so they are experienced and this road environment will not affect them. 10* (655) Evansville Purple Aces

This is a play on the NORTHERN ILLINOIS HUSKIES for our CBB Signature Enforcer. Indiana St. is coming off a pair of big Missouri Conference Valley wins to make it six straight victories and now hits the road again in a big letdown spot. The Sycamores have covered five of the six games and now laying points on the road coming off the big upset at Bradley. They are coming off a 23-win season and the start thus far is surprising after losing their top three scorers from last year. While their offense has been one of the best in the nation, the defense still has a lot to be desired and faces a sneaky good offense. Northern Illinois is off to a 5-2 start but coming off a 22-point loss at Northwestern last time out. However, that was 10 days ago and the Huskies have been fuming since then. This is a team that had a .500 season in the MAC last year and s projected for a top five finish with plenty of experience. They are still without Keshawn Williams whose return is expected soon but this has been a balanced team with four double-digit scorers that has been very efficient. Northern Illinois is No. 31 in the country in scoring and No. 37 in shooting. 10* (626) Northern Illinois Huskies

This is a play on the JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS for our AFC Game of the Month. This would have been a marquee matchup a few weeks ago but the loss of Joe Burrow has taken the steam out of it and this line is now nine points higher than the early line that came out over the summer. Is Burrow worth nine points? The short answer is probably no but are more factors going into it. Cincinnati is coming off a loss against Pittsburgh by six points and while that seems like a close defeat, it was not. The Bengals were outgained 421-222 and it was the first time Pittsburgh gained over 400 yards of total offense in over three years which shows how bad this defense really is. Cincinnati is allowing 6.2 yppl which is the most in the league and a full yard more than last season and it has moved to No. 26 in defensive DVOA and No. 26 in defensive EPA. The Jaguars are coming off a pair of divisional wins to improve to 8-3 and the matchup could not be better here. The offense has been inconsistent all season and is ranked No. 17 in DVOA but now faces an awful defense so that is not an issue. The defense has been exceptional as the Jaguars are No. 5 in defensive DVOA and catches a break as they face Jake Browning who did not look horrible last week but did have some lucky breaks go his way. Jacksonville should dominate on this side as well. Here, we play against road teams with a pathetic allowing 6.0 or more yppl, after being outgained by 150 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 24-6 ATS (80 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (474) Jacksonville Jaguars

This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFL Sunday Primetime Dominator. Kansas City finally got its offense going last week after falling behind 14-0 as the Chiefs put up 31 points which surprisingly is tied for its second highest output of the season. The Chiefs are now in a tough spot coming off that divisional win with a game against Buffalo on deck so it is a letdown lookahead situation. This offense managed 360 total yards which is still below their season average so saying that are back is not justified. Travis Kelce had a typical big game and they got a huge effort from rookie Rashee Rice for his best game of the season but this receiving corps is still underachieving. The Chiefs are No. 12 in the luck rankings so despite a recent 7-3 ATS run, it is a bit deceiving. Green Bay is coming off a Thanksgiving win over Detroit which was its second straight underdog win to improve to 5-6 on the season. The Packers have lost some tough games this season as four of their defeats have come by a total of 11 points. Quarterback Jordan Love has been playing a lot better and is obviously more comfortable after some midseason struggles and he has put up a passer rating of 108.5 or better in three of his last four game. Defensively, they have improved as well and are now No. 7 in pressure rate, No. 5 in quarterback knockdown percentage and No. 7 in hurry rate. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems in the second half of the season with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 off two or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) since 1983. 10* (472) Green Bay Packers

This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS for our NFL Star Attraction. Philadelphia is coming off a pair of big wins as it got its revenge against the Chiefs and battled Buffalo to the end last week in an overtime win and it only gets tougher this week. The Eagles are 10-1 and a very fortunate 10-1 with seven of those 10 wins coming by just one possession including their last four games. In those recent games, Philadelphia was outgained in all four of those by 98, 114, 98 and 127 yards so it has not even been close so basically most everything has gone right. With an offense that has averaged only 320.5 ypg over this four-game run, they are catching the wrong team at the wrong time. The Eagles defense was on the field for over 40 minutes and 95 plays last week and now have a very physical test. San Francisco has won three straight games following a three-game losing streak where it was riddled with injuries. The 49ers are coming off a pretty easy win over Seattle where it was not given much of a challenge and now they have had the extra rest coming off a short week prior to that. Defensively, they are coming off their best three-game stretch of the season with only 30 points allowed on just 242.6 ypg and the 49ers have moved to No. 6 in defensive DVOA. The other side has been even better as San Francisco is No. 1 in offensive DVOA as it is now averaging 32.4 ppg taking out those three losses when numerous offensive pieces were missing. This game has been circled following the playoff loss from last season when Brock Purdy had to leave the game and the result was an embarrassing 31-7 loss. 10* (467) San Francisco 49ers

This is a play on the DETROIT LIONS for our NFC Game of the Month. This is a minimal public play with Detroit but it is not as popular as it normally would have been just a few weeks ago but the Lions are coming off a pair of ugly games and this is a big one to get right. Detroit was able to salvage a win against the Bears despite losing the turnover battle 4-1 but could not match that on Thanksgiving as it lost to Green Bay with another -3 turnover margin. The Lions won the yardage battle in both of those games including a 464-377 advantage last week and face another very average team and while it is on the road, it is on the turf. Detroit is No. 7 in net DVOA with both units ranking in the top 10. New Orleans lost at Atlanta last week but it still very much alive in the NFC South at 5-6 which is keeping this number down. The Saints relied on their defense early in the season but have regressed of late by allowing 25.2 ppg over their last five games. They are still a respectable No. 13 in defensive DVOA but have faced some poor offenses as in their 11 games, that have gone against an offense eight times that is bottom half of the league in DVOA and the best they have faced is ranked No. 9 and remain without cornerback Marshon Lattimore. Offensively, New Orleans is hurting with their top three receivers all in jeopardy of missing this game. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off an upset loss as a home favorite going up against an opponent off a road loss. This situation is 35-10 ATS (77.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (453) Detroit Lions

This is a play on the WASHINGTON COMMANDERS for our NFL Signature Enforcer. Washington is coming off a blowout loss on Thanksgiving against Dallas which was its third straight loss to fall to 4-8 and it is catching another big number this week. The Commanders parted ways with defensive coordinator Jack Del Rio as it has been a struggle and while it does not look to get any easier here, players tend to step up in these spots after a coach getting let go. They are ranked No. 31 in defensive DVOA which is obviously horrible but it could not be in a better contrarian spot after everyone saw them get lit up against the Cowboys. They have been adequate on offense with efficiency and Sam Howell is still slinging it around and facing a middle of the pack defense. Miami is coming off a Black Friday win over the Jets on the road and is laying a similar number here coming off a big divisional win. The Dolphins have won two straight games following a mediocre 3-3 run and while those losses were against elite teams, this being the second of a back-to-back road set, it sets up similar to the first two games of the season where it scored 36 in the season opener and followed that up with just 24 points against the Patriots in their second back-to-back game. Home underdogs of a touchdown or more are 8-4-1 ATS this season. Here, we play on home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points outscored by five or more ppg in the first half, after scoring 14 points or less last game. This situation is 34-10 ATS (77.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (464) Washington Commanders

This is a play on the DALLAS MAVERICKS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. Dallas is coming off a loss last night against Memphis which was its second worst offensive output this season. The Mavericks scored 94 points, second lowest, and shot just 37 percent from the field which was also its second lowest this season. They were without Luka Doncic on Friday night as he welcomed Baby Doncic and he is on track to return tonight with the line still making it questionable. It was his first missed game of the season and he is obviously the cog of this team, averaging 31.1 ppg, 8.0 rpg, and 7.9 apg in 17 games. Oklahoma City snapped a two-game losing streak with a 23-point win over the Lakers on Thursday and it is the biggest surprise in the Western Conference through the early part of the season. The Thunder are 12-6 which is good for third place in the conference, two games behind Minnesota. They have been excellent on both sides of the ball, No. 3 in offensive shooting and No. 2 in opponent shooting percentage but have done the damage against the bottom half of the league where they are 6-0 and just 6-6 against the top 15. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after scoring 95 points or less going up against an opponent after scoring 130 points or more. This situation is 23-5 ATS (82.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (546) Dallas Mavericks

This is a play on the LOUISVILLE CARDINALS for our ACC Championship Winner. We played against Florida St. last week in its first game without quarterback Jordan Travis and it got away with a win against Florida. The offense definitely suffered as the Seminoles managed only 224 yards of offense and now faces a much better defense this week as it looks to stay alive in the CFP. Florida St. was knocked down to the No. 5 spot last week but moved up to the No. 4 spot this week after Ohio St. losing and a win here likely gets it in. That will he harder said than done. It has obviously been a great season for Florida St. and it can surely get by here with its defense but another non-home against a very good offense could be an issue which almost did it in last week. The offense has been solid all season but it cannot be ignored that quarterback Tate Rodemaker struggled against the Gators, going just 12-25 for 134 yards. The Cardinals bring in a defense ranked No. 19 overall including No. 12 against the run while their 20 ppg allowed are No. 25 in the nation. Louisville is coming off a tough loss against rival Kentucky as it won the yardage battle 403-289 but lost the turnover battle 3-1 and allowed a kickoff return for a touchdown. Its other loss against Pittsburgh was a similar outcome as it lost the turnover battle 3-0 so clear those miscues up and the Cardinals could be 12-0 as well. Here, we play on teams in the second half of the season rushing for 4.8 or more ypc and after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game going up against teams averaging between 4.3 and 4.8 ypc. This situation is 77-38 ATS (67 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (321) Louisville Cardinals

This is a play on the TOLEDO ROCKETS for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. George Mason is off to a 6-1 start including a 5-0 record at home with the split coming on a neutral floor against Charlotte and South Dakota St., the loss coming against the former. This is the Patriots first true road game for the Patriots which are coming off a 20-win season but are starting over with a new head coach and a roster that brings back only one starter. They have been favored in all seven games which shows how mediocre the competition has been and now they get a test. Toledo is coming off a great season where it just fell short of an NCAA Tournament berth as it went 27-8 including 16-2 in the MAC and while it has to replace a lot of parts, it will still be in contention. The Rockets opened the season 3-0 but dropped three games at the Ball Dawgs Classic in Nevada, all of which were competitive and could have gone either way and all against quality teams. Toledo is back home where it has won 10 straight games and is 40-4 in its last 44 home games and now laying a short price. 10* (680) Toledo Rockets

This is a play on the GEORGETOWN HOYAS for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. TCU is coming off a good season where it started strong but struggled down the stretch and could not make it out of the second round of the NCAA Tournament. The Horned Frogs bring back two starters from last season and lost close to 50 percent of their scoring and their early 6-0 start this year is very deceiving. They have played one of the easiest schedules in the country as they have been favored by at least 27 points in all six games with all of those games taking place at home. Now, TCU is overvalued on the road based on what it has accomplished. Georgetown is certainly not a big threat to anyone as it is coming off two horrible seasons which led to the firing of head coach Patrick Ewing after 13 wins over the past two years. Ed Cooley brings in a new perspective and a winning pedigree and there is an upswing. The Hoyas are 5-2 with some unimpressive close wins but a winning attitude is what was needed and they are catching an overpriced number with a lot of that based on the past and the fact they are 3-0 against number in their last three games. 10* (668) Georgetown Hoyas

This is a play on the TROY TROJANS for our SBC Championship Winner. The Trojans are hosting the Sun Belt Conference for a second straight season and will be looking for a similar result when they defeated Coastal Carolina by 19 points as a 6.5-point favorite. They are coming off a 10-2 regular season and Troy is one of the hottest teams in the country going back to last season that no one is really talking about as it has gone 21-2 over its last 23 games with the losses coming against Kansas St. and 11-1 James Madison. The Trojans have an adequate offense which has picked up steam over the second part of the season and it is the defense that has been great all year as they are No. 12 overall and No. 10 in points allowed and have given up more than 17 points only twice in their last 10 games. Appalachian St. has caught fire at the right time as it comes in on a five-game winning streak yet is in this game because of an NCAA stipulation where James Madison was unable to compete for the championship. The Mountaineers did hand the Dukes their only loss and have covered four straight games which is helping with value as it the fact three of their four losses were by six points or less and the other being seven points. They posses a very good offense but are going against the tough defense and their running game was stifled against James Madison. Their own defense is below average and Troy quarterback Gunnar Watson is playing very efficient right now with a 17:1 TD:INT ratio his last seven games. These teams did not meet this season but this is a revenge game from last season that Troy wants some payback for as Appalachian St. won on a 53-yard Hail Mary with no time remaining. 10* (320) Troy Trojans

This is a play on the RUTGERS SCARLET KNIGHTS for our Big 10 Game of the Month. Rutgers opened the season with a loss against Princeton but has won five straight games since then and host its Big Ten Conference opener before hitting the road for a pair of out of conference road games. The Scarlet Knights went 10-10 in the rugged conference last season and were snubbed by the NCAA selection committee and certainly have chip on the shoulder so this is a big one. This is one of the best home environments as the Scarlet Knights are 19-6 at home over the past two seasons. Illinois is ranked at 5-1 with the lone loss coming against an excellent Marquette team. The other five games have been against no one as the Illini were favored by 24 or more points in all of those games and they were all on their home floor. They hit the road for the first time this season as they are the only team in the conference not to have even played a neutral court game. They have a great offense but will be facing the best defense that have seen all season. 10* (650) Rutgers Scarlet Knights

This is a play on the BOISE ST. BRONCOS for our MWC Game of the Year. A tiebreaker had to be used to determine which teams went to the Mountain West Conference Championship with Boise St., UNLV and San Jose St. all finishing with 6-2 records. Since the three teams did not all play each other, the three-way tie was broken by an average of four computer rankings, Anderson & Hester, Colley Matrix, Massey and Wolfe. UNLV arguably should not be here despite having the best overall record of the three as it finished with the lowest ranked schedule played and actually lost to San Jose St. in the season finale in a game that was closer than the final score indicated. The tiebreaker awarded UNLV being the host which is what the conference wanted and the Rebels are underdogs for a reason. Despite playing a soft slate, the Rebels were not a dominating team as they have an above average offense but the defense faltered, finishing No. 85 overall and of their nine wins, only two were against winning teams. Boise St. got here despite firing coach Andy Avalos after a 42-14 win against New Mexico earlier this month with two games left in the season and it looks to have inspired the Broncos with a pair of key victories. The offense was one of the better ones in the country as they were No. 28 overall, spurned by a strong rushing attack that finished No. 11, averaging 207.5 ypg on 5.3 ypc and faces a soft UNLV rushing defense. This is an experienced team that has been here before and while UNLV has been a feel good story after not having won more than five games since 2013 but will be overmatched here. 10* (313) Boise St. Broncos

This is a play on the BRADLEY BRAVES for our MVC Game of the Month. We played against Bradley on Wednesday as it lost its first game of the season after a 6-0 start and the Braves return home following their second true road game of the season. Bradley is coming off a massive season a year ago where it went 25-10 including a 16-4 record in the Missouri Valley Conference to win the regular season title but lost in the tournament championship game which denied the Braves a trip to the NCAA Tournament. The last game was a spot play against the Braves and this is the recovery game. Indiana St. opened the season with a win over St. Mary's of the Woods (?) before losing to Alabama in its first road game and it has won five straight games since then. This includes a 29-point win on Wednesday over Southern Illinois at home in its Missouri Valley Conference opener and now comes the letdown from that. The Sycamores were right in the mix in the conference last season with a fifth place finish but have just two starters back that averaged only 17.7 ppg so a road opener in the Valley is a new experience for many of these players and a tough one against a prime contender. 10* (612) Bradley Braves

This is a play on the ROBERT MORRIS COLONIALS for our CBB Afternoon Dominator. Youngstown St. opened Horizon League play with a 25-point win over Cleveland St., a preseason contender to win the conference, and the Penguins are starting right where they left off. They won the regular season title last year at 15-5 but failed to get out of the conference tournament and now it is another rebuild. They came in inexperienced last season and made it work but now they have just one starter back and lost 11 players from last season. The Penguins are 0-3 on the road and the first conference road game is always a challenge, especially one being favored. Robert Morris has only one win over a Division 1 team this season but the schedule has been a challenge. The Colonials have played four road games, the first three coming against solid opponents where they were able to cover all of those and the last one at league contender Northern Kentucky where they were not competitive in an 18-point loss which sets up a great rebound spot. Robert Morris is experienced and has four double-digit scorers and is better than its 2-5 record indicates and that is the main reason it comes in as a dog. 10* (616) Robert Morris Colonials

This is a play on the FURMAN PALADINS for our CBB Signature Enforcer. We have gone against Princeton a few times earlier this season and it did not work out as the Tigers are off to a 7-0 start, feeding off their NCAA Tournament run from last season. The markets are catching up as they were laying their biggest number of the season last time out against Bucknell and while winning big, they still failed to cover. Now they are laying a big number against the best team they have seen with Duquesne being in the conversation and that was their closest game with just a three-point win. Furman shared the Southern Conference title last season with Samford and advanced to the second round of the NCAA Tournament and is loaded for another run. The Paladins lost two players to NBA futures but of the overall conference teams that lost 53 players to the transfer portal, they lost one. They have two preseason First Team players and the fact they have gone 0-5 against the number in their last five games is playing into this number as well the undefeated Princeton record. 10* (629) Furman Paladins

This is a play on the MIAMI OHIO REDHAWKS for our MAC Championship Winner. Toledo was the preseason pick to win the MAC and it proved to be the best team, finishing 11-1 including 8-0 in the conference with the only loss coming in its season opener against Illinois by two points on the road so the Rockets clearly come in with a ton of momentum. This line is an overreaction however as the power rankings make this a 4.5-point number on a neutral field. Toledo beat five teams that finished .500 or better including Miami along with San Jose St., Northern Illinois, Eastern Michigan and Bowling Green with four of those coming by a combined 11 points and the win over the Eagles being the only dominating performance. They defeated the RedHawks by four points as a two-point favorite in Oxford which also correlates to roughly a 4.5-point number when switching to a neutral field. Miami lost its opener at Miami Florida and then went on to win 10 of its final 11 games and it was actually more dominating with eight of its 10 wins coming by double digits. The RedHawks have survived after losing starting quarterback Brett Gabbert in that Toledo game and the offense has suffered but the defense has made up for it. Miami is No. 23 in total defense and No. 8 in scoring defense and this has been no fluke as it came into the season with nine returning starters and have allowed nearly 50 ypg less than last season. That defense will once again lead them and keep this one close which we could see going either way. 10* (311) Miami Ohio RedHawks

This is a play on the KANSAS JAYHAWKS for our CBB Star Attraction. We played against Kansas on Tuesday as a small comp play knowing this game was coming up. The Jayhawks went through the motions as they won by only eight points as a 38.5-point favorite against Eastern Illinois and many will be fading them here based on that game. While Kansas lost badly against Marquette in its only defeat, it owns two very quality wins against Kentucky and Tennessee sandwiched around that and both of those were away from home. The Jayhawks are 3-0 here and while this is their toughest opponent by far, it is hard to ignore the fact they are 149-6 in nonconference games at Allen Fieldhouse under Bill Self. The reigning National Champions are off to a 7-0 start including impressive wins over Indiana and Texas but those were on a neutral floor and this is their first true road game of the season. The talent is here for another run but the Huskies lost so much from that team last season that will be hard to replace, especially in an environment like this. The big thing for Connecticut last season was that it lost only one nonconference game, going 18-1 in its 19 games outside the Big East Conference, but only one of those games was a true road game and that was at Florida which does not compare to this environment. 10* (878) Kansas Jayhawks

This is a play on the NORTHWESTERN WILDCATS for our CBB Elite Powerhouse. Northwestern is coming off one of its best seasons in program history as it went 12-8 in the Big Ten and its No. 2 finish was its highest in over 60 years and the rise has been impressive, going from 8 to 9 to 15 to 22 wins the last four seasons. The Wildcats are off to a 5-1 start and while this is the biggest test so far, the spot could not be better playing its conference opener at home on a Friday night so this environment will be electric. They are led by guard Boo Buie who is on the preseason All-Big Ten team and averaging 18.5 ppg, which is part of the third best backcourt in the conference, ahead of Purdue and that can make the difference again after Northwestern won here last season by six points. We have seen this script before for Purdue will all sorts of early season hype and while this season could be different, this is a tough spot. The Boilermakers won the Maui Invitational with three impressive wins over Marquette, Tennessee and Gonzaga but it was far from a tough environment and this is their first true road game of the season which is always a good fade when laying a big number. Purdue wants to get out with a win and it will be tougher than expected. 10* (876) Northwestern Wildcats

This is a play on the OREGON DUCKS for our Pac 12 Championship Winner. This line stinks based on the first meeting between Oregon and Washington. The Huskies were a three-point favorite at home where they won by three points and now they are getting close to double digits on a neutral field but the power numbers do actually justify this number. The Ducks outgained Washington 541-415 but failed to send the game into overtime after missing a 43-yard field goal as time expired and since then, they have been the more dominant team. They have won six straight games since then, winning five of those by double digits and the other coming by nine points against USC and they had a statement win last week in the Civil War against a strong Oregon St. team by 24 points. It has been the complete opposite for Washington which also won out but five of the six wins were by one possession and the one exception was just a nine-point victory over 3-9 Stanford where the Huskies were outgained 499-460. The offense remains potent but the defense has struggled, coming in ranked No. 96 overall. Conversely, Oregon is the No. 2 ranked total offense and No. 2 ranked scoring offense while the defense has been sneaky good, No. 15 overall and No. 7 in points allowed. Here, we play on teams in the second half of the season rushing for 4.8 or more ypc and after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game going up against teams averaging between 4.3 and 4.8 ypc. This situation is 77-38 ATS (67 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (305) Oregon Ducks

This is a play on the WASHINGTON WIZARDS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. We are grabbing the big number here on a bad team that is in a great situation. This is the second straight game between Washington and Orlando with the Magic winning the first meeting by 19 points and the line has slightly gone up because of that. Washington has won only three games this season which includes a 2-9 record on the road but because of the inflated lines, the Wizards are 7-4 against the number compared to covering just one game at home in seven tried where the lines are a lot shorter. Orlando is off to a very impressive start as it is now 13-5 which has it sitting in the second spot in the Eastern Conference. The Magic are 8-1 at home but this is not a good spot despite coming off that 19-point win as they come in banged up with Paolo Banchero dealing with an ankle injury after exiting the last game early. He is probable but could be limited and a late scratch would not be surprising in this matchup with a game at Brooklyn on deck for tomorrow night. Orlando is in that lookahead situation as it will be out to avenge a 20-point loss to the Nets earlier this season, it biggest defeat of the season. 10* (519) Washington Wizards

This is a play on the XAVIER MUSKETEERS for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. Xavier is in a similar position to where it was last season as it opened 4-3, where it is now, and then found its groove and won 13 of 14 games enroute to a 27-10 season and a Sweet 16 appearance. The Musketeers lost three starters from last season but have an excellent roster that will contend in the Big East Conference once again. Xavier lost a pair of games away from home against Purdue and Washington and it is coming off a bad loss against Oakland on Monday as a 15-point favorite and it certainly can be guilty of a lookahead to this one. Houston is off to a 7-0 start as it came into the season with high expectations following a 33-win season a year ago but also ended in a Sweet 16 loss. The Cougars, like Xavier, lost some key personnel including three double-digit scorers from the starting lineup including AAC Player of the Year Marcus Sasser. Houston has won every game by double digits but it has been favored in all but one game by double digits so basically has not played anyone of significance and this marks its first true road game of the season. The hype is there once again as the Cougars are ranked No. 6 but these are two similar rosters in transition and we will take the abundance of home points. 10* (846) Xavier Musketeers

This is a play on the COLLEGE OF CHARLESTON COUGARS for our CBB Signature Enforcer. Liberty tipped off on Thursday against Florida Atlantic on the Owls home floor and we were hoping for the Flames to win to make this situation even better. This is a four-team event held in Boca Raton, part of the Field of 68 Tip-Off, and Liberty having to play the second of a back-to-back and laying a big number after being a big underdog on Thursday. The Flames opened 6-0 and 5-0 against the number in their first six games which included good wins against Furman and Wichita St. which were back-to-back but facing a team not on a back to back is a different scenario. Charleston opened the season 1-3 which is only one loss less than all of last season but the Cougars bounced back with a pair of wins in true road game against Coastal Carolina and Kent St., the latter coming by six points as a five-point underdog and they are back on track. They lost three starters from that team but are loaded with talent both up top and down low. They push the ball and rely on the three-point ball but bang the boards as the Cougars have been in the top 20 in offensive rebounding percentage the last four seasons and while not there yet, they are in the top 50 so far this year. 10* (844) College of Charleston Cougars

This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Dominator. We won with the Cowboys on Thanksgiving as they ran away from Washington in the second half as this team is rolling right now and has been dominant at home. The Cowboys are 5-0 at home and have outscored opponents by 29 ppg but those have been against some poor teams with the Rams being the best of the bunch and none possessing a winning record. Despite that, this looks like they are laying a number to another losing team but they are putting it down against a competent team. Dallas is now 8-3 but has played only two teams with a winning record and lost both of those so we are not comparing San Francisco and Philadelphia to Seattle, this is way too aggressive. Dallas has played the second easiest schedule in the league and has moved up to No. 4 in net DVOA and No. 2 in net EPA so the numbers back up the record which has been helped by the easy slate. Dallas is 7-19 ATS in its last 26 games after a win by 28 or more points. The Seahawks are coming off a Thanksgiving loss to the 49ers and while that was a bad call, we are back on the Seahawks again despite hitting the road. They have lost two straight games and three of their last four and have San Francisco and Philadelphia on deck so there has to be a win in their somewhere to avoid falling out of the playoff hunt. The health of Geno Smith has been a concern but he has had another week to help his injured elbow and Seattle hopes to get Kenneth Walker back after missing the last two games. This line has gone up four points since opening at 5.5 a week ago in some spots and this is simply a massive overreaction. Here, we play against favorites averaging 360 or more total ypg, after gaining 450 or more total ypg over their last three games. This situation is 32-11 ATS (74.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (303) Seattle Seahawks

This is a play on the SE MISSOURI ST. REDHAWKS for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. SE Missouri St. hits the road for the fourth time and while it is catching its biggest underdog number, it is still ridiculously high. The Redhawks are 1-5 to start the season including a 0-6 ATS mark after making the NCAA Tournament last season. They have played a tough schedule but catch a low rated opponent here and one that might not be taking them too serious. They lost some great guards from that team and have two starters back which means it may take time but this is the first of five straight winnable games to turn their season around. UMKC is off to a 2-5 start but have lost five straight games as the two wins to open the season came against non-Division 1 teams which have been their only two home games in what of the worst home environments in the country based on location. The Kangaroos are coming off an 11-21 season and while three starters are back, they lost their two top scorers and are having trouble defending with scoring not making up for that. UMKC is home for just one game as it has a game at Kansas on deck so the focus here could be lacking with their biggest game of the season upcoming. 10* (753) SE Missouri St. Redhawks

This is a play on the CHARLOTTE HORNETS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. Brooklyn has won three straight games which snapped a three-game losing streak to get back over .500 and is currently sitting right on the playoff line with a ton of basketball left. The Nets have covered four straight games and remain home where they are just 6-4 which is nothing special. Brooklyn has won the games it has supposed to win as it is a perfect 6-0 as a favorite and has covered all of those games as well but the difference now is that the Nets are laying their biggest number of the season. Charlotte has dropped two straight games following a two-game winning streak and it has been a rough start overall as the Hornets are 5-11. They played their first game without LaMelo Ball who suffered a sprained ankle against Orlando after playing only 14 minutes and their offense struggled with their lowest point total with just 91 points scored on 41.6 percent shooting but now a second game in they should be more comfortable as Terry Rozier is a very capable backup. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 off a win against a division rival. This situation is 34-10 ATS (77.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (507) Charlotte Hornets

This is a play on the HOFSTRA PRIDE for our CBB Signature Enforcer. Hofstra is coming off a tournament championship at the Gulf Coast Showcase winning three games in the three days to move the Pride to 4-2, losses coming against Princeton and on the road at George Washington. They return home for just their third home game and it is a big one with a three-game road trip upcoming including games at St. Louis and Duke. Hofstra shared the CAA regular season title with a 16-2 record and made it to the NIT second round and the Pride will be contenders again. The lost two-time CAA Player of the Year Aaron Estrada but bring back three starters led by Tyler Thomas who is averaging 25 ppg. South Florida is 2-2 to start the season with all four games being played at home and now hit the road for the first time up north. Two losses came as favorites so the Bulls have underachieved early on following a 14-18 season including a 7-11 record in the AAC. It is a rebuild in South Florida as the Bulls have a new head coach with Amir Abdur-Ramin and have just one starter back and only three players from the roster from last season. The talent looks to be there but chemistry is an early issue and now the first road game will be a test. 10* (742) Hofstra Pride

This is a play on the BUTLER BULLDOGS for our CBB Star Attraction. Texas Tech is off to a 5-1 start following a 2-1 record in the Battle 4 Atlantis Tournament as it lost to Villanova by 16 points in the opener before beating Northern Iowa, which is the top team in the Missouri Valley Conference, and Michigan. The Red Raiders were a fringe NCAA Tournament team last season before losing their final three regular season games and dropping the opener in the Big 12 Tournament and now it is a fresh start with a new head coach in Grant McCasland, who won the NIT with North Texas. This is their first true road game of the season. Butler is 5-2 to start the season with losses to likely NCAA Tournament teams Michigan St. and Florida Atlantic, both away from home. The Bulldogs followed that up with impressive wins over Penn St. and Boise St. and they are back home where they are 3-0. Last season was a tough one as injuries killed them from the start and they never found continuity resulting in a 14-18 season including 6-14 in the Big East Conference. Head coach Thad Matta cleaned house with just one starter back but in his second season, this is now his team with his players and are in a good spot for another quality win. 10* (740) Butler Bulldogs

This is a play on the MONTANA GRIZZLIES for our CBB Late Powerhouse. Montana has opened the season 2-3 following a 35-point loss at Houston and is catching a big number tonight in a great spot. For comparison, the Grizzlies were getting 15 points at Oregon in their first road game and stayed within the number. They bring back a great roster and have been pegged to finish third in the Big Sky Conference with the best backcourt in the conference led by seventh-year guard Aanen Moody, a preseason player of the year candidate. Nevada is 4-0 with covers in all four games that included an impressive win at Washington but is still one of the worst teams in the Pac 12. The Wolf Pack made the NCAA Tournament as a First Four team but lost and they bring back three starters but are still a middle of the pack team in the Mountain West Conference. The Wolf Pack has a revenge game on deck at Loyola Marymount following a 12-point loss last season which was their fourth biggest defeat. Here, we play on road teams after a blowout loss by 20 points or more going up against an opponent after scoring 75 points or more in three straight games. This situation is 102-54 ATS (65.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (721) Montana Grizzlies

This is a play on the ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS for our CBB Star Attraction. Duke is one of the top teams in the country as it used a huge run late last season with a 10-game winning streak on its way to an ACC Tournament Championship before eventually falling in the second round of the NCAA Tournament. The Blue Devils have been tested with games against Arizona and Michigan St. which resulted in a split and they come in riding a four-game winning streak. However, this is their first true road game of the season and not an easy place to go to. Arkansas is just 4-3 to start the season and it is coming off a 1-2 tournament record at the Battle 4 Atlantis with the losses coming against Memphis and North Carolina. The Razorbacks came into the season ranked No. 14 in the AP Poll but have fallen out and could use a big quality win. They opened the season with a blowout win over Alcorn St. and have gone 0-6 ATS since then which brings in great value. Arkansas is 38-7 in its last 45 home games since the COVID year and it will be lit tonight. Here, we play on road teams as an favorite or pickem with a winning percentage of .800 or better off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, playing a team with a winning percentage between .501 and .600. This situation is 141-85 ATS (62.4 percent since 1997. 10* (718) Arkansas Razorbacks

This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS PELICANS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. Philadelphia has won two straight games following a 2-4 stretch and this includes a 44-point win over the Lakers on Monday at home. Not only does that provide a letdown opportunity to go against but the Sixers have a game at Boston on deck in a revenge spot so there is the lookahead aspect as well. Philadelphia is tied for No. 3 in the Eastern Conference, one and a half games behind the Celtics and despite one of the best records in the NBA, they are ranked just No. 10 in offensive shooting and No. 12 in defensive shooting. New Orleans was on a 5-1 run including covers in all six games but went to Utah and lost both games by a combined seven points. The Pelicans are now 9-9 on the season and sitting on the playoff line and are back home where they are 6-4 which includes solid wins over Dallas, Denver and Sacramento twice. Despite a record that is 3.5 games worse, New Orleans is right in line statistically as it is No. 11 in offensive shooting and No. 9 in defensive shooting. Excellent spot with a good line where a win gets the cover. 10* (564) New Orleans Pelicans

This is a play on the MURRAY ST. RACERS for our CBB Conference Game of the Month. Bradley is coming off a massive season a year ago where it went 25-10 including a 16-4 record in the Missouri Valley Conference to win the regular season title but lost in the tournament championship game which denied the Braves a trip to the NCAA Tournament. They are 6-0 to start the season but it has been a very tame schedule with only one true road game to open the season. Bradley is 5-0-1 ATS which is playing into this number and open MVC action as a significant road favorite. Murray St. came into last season as a total rebuild yet put together an 11-9 record in their first season in the conference coming over from the OVC and the Racers are better equipped this year with a lot of experience and the best frontcourt in the Missouri Valley Conference. They opened the season 2-0 but have lost three straight games with two of those losses by a combined seven points and the other against a very strong Appalachian St. team. This is a huge game to turn it around before a three-game upcoming road trip. Here, we play against road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a winning percentage of .800 or better playing a team with a winning percentage between .400 and .499. This situation is 59-23 ATS (72 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (698) Murray St. Racers

This is a play on the DETROIT TITANS for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. Oakland opened the season 1-3 with all three losses being as an underdog but has since won three straight games including a massive upset last time out at Xavier as a 15-point underdog. Now the Golden Grizzlies open conference play as an overvalued team based on that win and the fact they are 7-0 ATS which makes them a big public side tonight. They had a decent season in the Horizon League last year going 11-9 for a middle of the pack finish and bowed out in the tournament quarterfinals. Oakland is picked to finish middle of the pack again after losing some key contributors from last season. Detroit has started the season 0-6 with the schedule playing a big role in that. Five of its first six games have been on the road and most against some elite teams as the Titans were underdogs by 15.5, 24, 23 and 16.5 points in their first four games. One of those losses was a very strong effort in a one point defeat at Mississippi and their one home game resulted in a four-point loss to Eastern Michigan. They are now catching a big number at home and their own ATS record is playing into that as the Titans are 1-5 against the number. Great to keep this within reach. 10* (672) Detroit Titans

This is a play on the DUQUESNE DUKES for our CBB Signature Enforcer. UC Irvine lost its season opener at San Jose St. but has won six straight games including impressive wins over USC and Toledo. The victory over the Rockets was part of the Ball Dawgs Classic in Henderson, NV which it won five days ago and now finds itself in a horrible spot as it leaves the west coast for the first time this season and heads east for a stand alone travel spot. The Gauchos have Utah St. and San Diego St. on deck so the focus here will be tough to keep. Duquesne opened the season 3-0 before losing to a very solid Princeton team and is coming off a loss at Nebraska a week ago in its most recent game which was its first true road game of the season. The Dukes are coming off its second 20-win season in the last four years which was sandwiched around two seasons where they won a combined 15 games and they are sleeper team in the Atlantic Ten Conference this season. They have one of the best players in the conference with guard Dae Dae Grant who has the most returning points of any player in the A-10 and is averaging 20.2 ppg. He is part of a starting backcourt averaging a combined 48.8 ppg. Lay the short price here. 10* (660) Duquesne Dukes

This is a play on the DALLAS MAVERICKS for our NBA Supreme Annihilator. Dallas has lost four of its last six games after an 8-2 start and head back home at full strength. Six of the last seven Mavericks games have been on the road and are 4-2 at home with the only home game during this stretch resulting in a 16-point loss against Sacramento. This is a top ranked offense that is No. 6 in scoring and No. 6 in long range shooting. The Rockets opened 0-3 but have turned a corner by going 8-3 over their last 11 games to get over .500 and they are currently in the No. 8 spot in the Western Conference. They have been cash at the betting window as Houston has covered 11 straight games and this is certainly not sustainable especially when hitting the road where it has played only five games and has gone 0-5. Nine of the Rockets last 12 games have been at home and this is the start of a tough three-game roadtrip. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after beating the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game going up against an opponent after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game. This situation is 27-6 ATS (81.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (554) Dallas Mavericks

This is a play on the MISSOURI TIGERS for our CBB Signature Enforcer. Missouri also made it to the NCAA Tournament last year and was bounced by Princeton in the second round so it was a very successful season kind of out of nowhere. The Tigers bring back two starters and brought in the No. 27 ranked recruiting class so there is plenty of talent. They are aggressive on defense and can cause a Pittsburgh team to struggle, one that can score but is not a good shooting team. The Tigers are 5-2 and did win their only true road game at Minnesota but most importantly, they are 0-7 against the number which is inflating this number and they are a live dog here. The Panthers are 5-1 to start the season with a split against Florida and Oregon St. in the NIT Season Tip-Off. Pittsburgh is back home where it has played no one as it was favored by double digits in all four games so this is the biggest test. While it is part of the inaugural ACC/SEC Challenge, this is not the best of spots coming off the trip to NYC and with its ACC opener on deck against Clemson and then the Backyard Brawl against West Virginia. 10* (617) Missouri Tigers

This is a play on the GEORGIA TECH YELLOW JACKETS for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. Georgia Tech is in its first season with Damon Stoudamire as head coach following a 15-18 season and the last five years under Josh Pastner were just not good enough. The Yellow Jackets brought back four starters from last season, although one of those is on the shelf until December, so there is plenty of experience and they have five starters that are averaging double digits. They are led by Miles Kelly who is averaging 21 ppg and is in the running for a First Team All ACC player. Georgia Tech is 2-2 with a loss last time out against Cincinnati on the road. Mississippi St. is off to a 6-0 start including three decent wins against Arizona St., Washington St. and Northwestern. The Bulldogs moved up to No. 21 in the latest AP Poll following a less than impressive win over Nichols St. and this is their first true road game of the season. They were the worst three-point shooting team in the country last season and are not much better this year so far and overall, they are No. 226 in shooting and No. 256 from behind the arc. Too many points to be laying away from home. 10* (608) Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

This is a play on the EASTERN WASHINGTON EAGLES for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. Eastern Washington put together an incredible season although it did not end the way it wanted. The Eagles put together an 18-game winning streak that included wins in their first 16 Big sky Conference games but then they dropped their final two regular season games, which were meaningless as they already clinched the regular season championship. They lost two starters but still have a veteran group led by all-conference forward Etan Price and they bring in the newcomer of the year in transfer Jake Kyman. The early schedule has been brutal with four road losses against major conference teams and catching a similar number to all of those and this is the worst of the bunch. Washington St. is 4-1 including a 40-point win over Utah Tech but the Trailblazers are pegged to finish dead last in the WAC so that was a deceiving win. The Cougars made it to the NIT last season following an 11-9 record in the Pac 12 but they are expected a regression and while they have won all four games when laying points, they are playing their most experienced team in this role. Washington St. lost four starters and its top four scorers from last season and while it is 4-1, the overall schedule has been fairly tame in addition to that Utah Tech game. This is a revenge game for the Cougars from the NIT last season but it is too many points here. 10* (865) Eastern Washington Eagles

This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS PELICANS for our NBA Supreme Annihilator. This is the second game of a back-to-back between New Orleans and Utah with the Jazz winning the first game on Saturday. That win snapped the Pelicans three game winning streak and a five-game cover streak but they are still 5-2 over their last seven games after a 4-6 start. They are 3-4 on the road and are coming off their third worst shooting performance of the season where they hit just 41.9 percent from the floor. This is actually a four-game revenge spot after getting swept in all three games last season. Utah snapped a four-game losing streak with the win on Saturday and put an end to a 2-8 skid. This is one of the worst offenses in the league as the Jazz are No. 25 in shooting and their defense has been just as bad, ranking No. 24 in opponents shooting. The advanced stats are even worse against a No. 18 schedule and they are 2-8 against the top 16 in the league. Here, we play on road favorites revenging a straight up loss as a favorite, off an upset loss as a road favorite. This situation is 46-21 ATS (68.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (537) New Orleans Pelicans

This is a play on the UC-SANTA BARBARA GAUCHOS for our CBB Signature Enforcer. Fresno St. is 3-2 following a split in Cancun where it narrowly defeated New Mexico St. and got rolled by James Madison by 31 points. The Bulldogs other two wins came against Fresno Pacific and Morgan St. and now catch another tough opponent in what should not be in a favorite role. They finished 11-20 last season and lost four of their top seven scorers and have been picked to finish deal last in the 11-team Mountain West Conference. UC-Santa Barbara opened the season with a pair of losses against Portland St. and UTEP and both of those games should have been won. The Gauchos recovered to get wins over LeMoyne and Westmont which are far from quality wins but has them trending the right way. They are the preseason pick to win the Big West Conference after finishing tied for the regular season title last year. They have a great backcourt led by Big West Preseason Player of the Year Ajay Mitchell who missed those first two games but has averaged 18 ppg in the two games since. Here, we play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 shooting 36.5 percent or better from long range and after a game where it made 60 percent of their shots or better going up against teams allowing 36.5 percent or higher from long range. This situation is 34-5 ATS (87.2 percent) since 1997. 10* (863) UC-Santa Barbara Gauchos

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CHARGERS for our NFL Sunday Primetime Dominator. The Chargers fell to 4-6 with a 23-20 loss at Green Bay which makes in five times in those six defeats they have lost by a field goal or less. That includes all three losses at home and those came against Miami, Dallas and Detroit so it has been elite competition they have fallen to and get another similar opponent this week although now they are catching the biggest number of the bunch. Los Angeles is in the top half of the league in both net DVOA and net EPA and this has come against a schedule ranked No. 8 in the NFL. Baltimore shook off its last second loss to Cleveland with a win last Thursday night against Cincinnati but caught a big break there with quarterback Joe Burrow going down for the season. The Ravens are 8-3 and have a half-game lead over Cleveland in the AFC South but the schedule has been favorable as they are coming off a three-game homestand and this is just their second true road game since October 8. Baltimore is top five in both net DVOA and net EPA but it suffered a huge injury in its own right last week with tight end Mark Andrews lost for the season, adding to an already impacted injury report. Here, we play against road favorites outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg, after a win by 10 or more points. This situation is 48-14 ATS (77.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (272) Los Angeles Chargers

This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Boston is coming off a 17-point loss at Orlando on Friday which was its second loss in the last three games, both on the road, and the Celtics return home for the start of a seven-game homestand. 10 of their first 16 games have been on the road and they are back in Boston where they are 6-0 and in a great spot for a get right game. The Celtics are still in first place in the Eastern Conference behind a top five defense and coming off a game with its lowest scoring output of the season. Atlanta is coming off a win at Washington last night and this is its second back-to-back road games this season and the first with no rest. The Hawks are 8-7 and while they bring in a top ranked offense, their defense is one of the worst, ranking No. 27 in both points allowed and opponent shooting percentage. Here, we play against underdogs off a road win against a division rival, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 45-19 ATS (70.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (518) Boston Celtics

This is a play on the BUFFALO BILLS for our NFL Nonconference Game of the Year. This could be a season defining game for Buffalo which rolled the Jets last week in its first game after firing offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey. Now the Bills hit the road against a much better team but they are catching a great number and they could have some renewed confidence in what is now a wide open AFC. While they have underperformed, the difference in turnovers and how they have occurred has been the situation as they are No. 7 in turnover worthy play rate. Buffalo is now ranked No. 5 in net DVOA while Philadelphia comes in at No. 10. The Eagles picked up a big win over Kansas City last week and it was a very fortunate one with the Chiefs making too many critical mistakes as well as a late dropped touchdown pass. Philadelphia is now 9-1 with six of those wins coming by one possession which puts it No. 2 in the latest Luck Rankings. Good teams know how to win and that is what the Eagles do but they are well down in the metrics compared to that record. Even in net EPA, they are well behind the Bills at No. 9 compared to Buffalo at No. 3. The Super Bowl revenge win presents the letdown here. Here, we play on road underdogs or pickems allowing a completion percentage of 64 percent or worse, after allowing 5.5 or less passing ypa last game. This situation is 58-29 ATS (66.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (267) Buffalo Bills

This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our NFL Signature Enforcer. Cleveland took out Pittsburgh last week to keep pace in the AFC North with Baltimore as it is a game back and could leave town with the lead should the Ravens trip up against the Chargers. Dorian Thompson-Robinson picked up his first win as a starter and it was not very pretty but it was enough where the Browns relied on the defense which is what we expect again here. It is important that this will be his second straight week of work with the first team. The defense remains No. 1 in both net DVOA and net EPA. Denver was looking like the team from last season with a 1-5 start but it has won four straight games which is actually the longest current winning streak in the NFL, to keep its playoff hopes alive. The Broncos are favored again this week against another backup quarterback and escaped with a one point win over Minnesota last week despite getting outgained by close to 100 yards as they won the turnover battle 3-0. The difference this week the Vikings do not have close to the defense as the Browns do and Denver could not must 300 yards of offense. Here, we play against teams in the second half of the season averaging between 18 and 23 ppg and after two straight wins by three or less points going up against teams averaging between 18 and 23 ppg. This situation is 27-6 ATS (81.8 percent) since 1983. 10* (265) Cleveland Browns

This is a play on the LONG BEACH ST. 49ERS for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. Montana St. has been one of the most successful programs in the Big Sky Conference the last couple years but this is a new era with not a lot to build on. The Bobcats won 52 games the last two seasons and made it to the NCAA Tournament but retained only four scholarship players from last season while bringing in a new head coach. They are off to a 3-2 start including an upset win at California but the Golden Bears are arguably the worst team in the Pac 12 and they remain home following a one point win over UC-Riverside and face a better Big West Conference team today. Long Beach St. had a middle of the pack season last year with a 17-16 record as a very inexperienced team but this is now a veteran group with five starters returning and 10 players overall. It has been a tough early season schedule as the 49ers are playing their eighth straight game away from home. They are coming off a 1-2 tournament in Florida which followed an eight-point win at Michigan. This is a great bounce back spot with the much better roster laying a short price. 10* (725) Long Beach St. 49ers

This is a play on the OLD DOMINION MONARCHS for our CBB Afternoon Dominator. Old Dominion is off to a 1-3 start with three straight losses coming into today, two on the road at Ball St. and Arkansas and then a home loss against Princeton. The Monarchs are coming off a solid 19-12 season despite going through numerous uphill battles mostly due to injury and so far, they remain healthy. They have the best player on the floor in Chaunce Jenkins, a junior point guard who led the team in scoring, assists and three-point shooting last year and he is averaging 17.3 ppg so far and he is in the running for SBC Player of the Year. Drexel is 3-2 and coming off a pair of double-digit wins and this is the start of a four-game roadtrip following a three-game homestand. The Dragons are coming off a 17-15 season and are looking to make a move up in the Coastal Athletic Association but winning on the road has been a challenge. They went 4-10 away from home last season and while their defense has been lethal during their three-game homestand by allowing 32 percent shooting, taking that on the road will be a challenge. 10* (714) Old Dominion Monarchs

This is a play on the HOUSTON TEXANS for our NFL Divisional Game of the Month. Jacksonville had its five-game winning streak snapped with a 31-point loss against San Francisco but got it back last week against Tennessee with a 20-point victory. The Jaguars hit the road where they are 3-0 in true road games with this being the toughest opponent to date. They are 7-3 overall and have a one game lead over Houston in the AFC South who they lost to in Week Three so they are playing with revenge. Despite the strong start, Jacksonville is ranked only No. 21 in net EPA which is nine spots lower than the opponent it is favored over today. Houston opened 0-2 so it took a while to get its footing and it has made a great turnaround with wins in six of its last eight games including three straight. The two recent losses were both on the road and by two points each so the Texans come in on a four-game home winning streak. They are No. 12 in net EPA and net DVOA with similar splits on both sides of the ball. The story has been rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud who is now No. 8 in QB rating and has put up a 17:5 TD:INT ratio. The Texans are undervalued here with the wrong team favored. Here, we play against teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 revenging a loss against opponent, playing a team with a winning percentage between .501 and .600. This situation is 31-6 ATS (83.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (252) Houston Texans

This is a play on the COLORADO ST. RAMS for our CFB Late Powerhouse. Colorado St. has saved it season with wins over the last two week to move to 5-6 on the season and it needs the win here to become bowl eligible and with the short price, it is a great spot for it to happen. A trip to Hawaii can feel more like a vacation than a job but the Rams know what is at stake so it is all business. They are 1-4 on the road but three of those losses have come against teams either bowl eligible or on the cusp and the other against Colorado early in the season when teams had not figured them out yet. Hawaii picked up a big upset two weeks again against Air Force but other than that, it has not won another quality game and has been blown out in six of its eight losses. The Warriors were in rebuilding mode again this season with the offense hopefully taking a step up but that has not happened and the defense has not helped, sitting No. 115 in points allowed and they are getting outscored by 12 ppg. Here, we play on road favorites off a home no-cover where the team won as a favorite going up against an opponent off a road loss by 28 points or more. This situation is 44-15 ATS (74.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (237) Colorado St. Rams

This is a play on the FLORIDA GATORS for our Nonconference Game of the Year. Florida St. took a massive blow to its National Championship hopes with quarterback Jordan Travis going down with a gruesome leg injury against North Alabama of all teams. As expected, the Seminoles were jumped by Washington in the CFP rankings as they fell to No. 5 and are in a tough spot here with Tate Rodemaker taking over. It has obviously been a great season for Florida St. and it can surely get by here with its defense but taking the game on the road against a very good offense could be an issue to win by margin. Florida is coming off a last second loss against Missouri to make it four straight losses and the Gators all of a sudden have to win here to become bowl eligible. They certainly caught an unfortunate break for their rival but the line has come down after Travis was lost for the season. Florida is No. 42 in total offense and while it struggled to score against potent defenses Utah and Georgia, those were away from home and they are averaging 34.8 ppg at home. Here, we play on home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after a game where they committed one or fewer turnovers going up against an opponent after two consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better. This situation is 25-8 ATS over the last five seasons. 10* (154) Florida Gators

This is a play on the CHARLOTTE 49ERS for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. Charlotte is a much more experienced team as it has three starters back from a team that went deep into the postseason by winning the CBI Tournament. The 49ers also have a new head coach but they promoted a top assistant and he was able to retain they key players that were expected to transfer out and he brought in a great recruiting class. Charlotte is coming off a loss to UCF by three points on a neutral floor and the other loss came against Liberty, a team that is favored to win Conference USA and the 49ers are back home where they are 2-0. Georgia St. is coming off a pair of wins over Little Rock to improve to 3-2. The Panthers are 2-1 on the road with both wins coming as the favorite and while they did cover their only game as an underdog, it was the opening game of the season against a rebuilding Belmont team where they still did end up losing. Georgia St. finished 10-21 last season that included only three SBC wins and it is projected to finish near the bottom again. The Panthers are more experienced but still very hard to be trusted on the road especially in this spot with the biggest number it has seen and that is telling. 10* (628) Charlotte 49ers

This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. The Sixers have lost two straight games including a 13-point loss at Minnesota on Wednesday where Joel Embiid was a scratch with a bothersome hip but he will be back tonight. Philadelphia is now 10-5 which is goof for fourth place in the Eastern Conference, a game and a half behind Boston following the Celtics loss yesterday. The Sixers have one of the best rosters when healthy with the top three of Embiid, Tyrese Maxey and Tobias Harris averaging a combined 77.7 ppg. Oklahoma City has won six straight games to improve to 11-4 which is good for a tie for first place in the Western Conference. It has been surprisingly good on the road at 6-1 but it just 5-3 at home. The Thunder have covered all six of those games and their 12-3 ATS is record is second best in the NBA behind Orlando, another surprise team with a young roster. Oklahoma City has been getting it done on both sides as it leads the league in shooting defense and is second in shooting offense but there are troubles. Guard Josh Giddey could be in some serious trouble that it has been uncovered he has been in a relationship with a minor and it would not be surprising if he is out for this game and the distractions are not ideal for this team. 10* (501) Philadelphia 76ers

This is a play on the MARSHALL THUNDERING HERD for our SBC Game of the Month. Arkansas St. has turned its season around as after losing its first two games by a combined score of 110-3, it has won six of nine games to become bowl eligible for the first time since 2019. The Red Wolves put up 77 points against Texas St. week to gain bowl eligibility but the offense was not the catalyst as they had three defensive touchdowns as well as a kickoff return for a touchdown. Three of their wins have come against teams with at least eight losses and other against Stony Brook of the FCS. Marshall got off to a 4-0 start but it is fighting for its postseason life as it suffered through a five-game losing streak and then was shut out last week at South Alabama. The thundering Herd have scored nine or fewer points in four of their last five games but three of those were on the road and the other came at home against James Madison, one of the best defenses in the country. They are averaging 26.6 ppg at home and that success should continue against a Red Wolves defense that is No. 124 in the country and No. 105 in points allowed. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 after four or more consecutive wins against the spread. This situation is 45-18 ATS (71.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (192) Marshall Thundering Herd

This is a play on the ARIZONA ST. SUN DEVILS for our CFB Ultimate Underdog. Here is another rivalry game where the home underdog is very much alive to play the role of spoiler. Arizona has been red hot as it has won five straight games to improve to 8-3 and still has a shot at the Pac 12 Championship with a win and some help. It has been a very unexpected successful season as their three losses have all been by one possession but in the same regard, three of their wins have come by three points or less. The wildcats are laying a big road price, the second biggest of the season and the first one resulted in a one point win at Stanford. Arizona St. has had the opposite season as it is 3-8 but has been better of late as it is 2-2 in its last four games after losing six straight. The Sun Devils offense has struggled but mostly on the road where they have averaged 12.0 ppg but are averaging a touchdown more than that at home. This is their bowl game and if nothing else, they keep it close. Here, we play against road favorites averaging 6.2 or more yppl and after gaining 6.25 or more yppl in two consecutive games going up against a team allowing between 5.6 and 6.2 yppl. This situation is 84-41 ATS (67.2 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (196) Arizona St. Sun Devils

This is a play on the LITTLE ROCK TROJANS for our CBB False Favorite. Tulsa is off to a 4-0 start which is already just one win away from its win total from last season where it went 5-25 including a 1-17 record in the AAC. The Golden Hurricane had nowhere to go but up based on the disaster from last season but are still predicted to finish No. 12 in the 14-team conference and this is the first test. Tulsa lost all five starters and nine of its top ten scorers from last season which may not be a bad thing and the main goal was to shore up a horrible defense which it has done thus far. However, They have played no one with all four games at home and they were favored by double digits in all four games. Little Rock has seen opposite results as it is 1-4 to open the season which includes four straight losses and four straight non-covers. Three of those defeats were away from home with the last one coming in overtime in Little Rock and all of these followed a season opening win at home against Texas St. The Trojans are expected to make a move up in the OVC after a 10-21 season that was filled with brutal losses as 12 times it was a one-point game either way at the last media timeout and they lost all of them. False favorite. 10* (616) Little Rock Trojans

This is a play on the SE MISSOURI ST. REDHAWKS for our CBB Afternoon Dominator. Evansville is off to a 5-0 start and those five wins have already matched the win total all of last season. The Purple Aces are coming off an overtime win over UT-Chattanooga as 8.5-point underdogs yesterday so they are in a tough spot playing back-to-back days off an overtime game. Evansville clearly has improved from last season which was expected with four returning starters but it is still picked to finish 11th in the 12-team Missouri Valley Conference. SE Missouri St. will also be playing back-to-back games in this format in Chattanooga but this is the first game with the second taking place on Sunday. The Redhawks are 1-3 to start the season including a 0-4 ATS mark after making the NCAA Tournament last season. They lost some great guards from that team and have two starters back which means it may take time but coming off their first win and now in a great spot put them in a great position. This is an rare early nonconference revenge spot as SE Missouri St. already lost to Evansville by 19 points at home no less which was just 10 days ago and we are seeing a massive nine-point line swing. 10* (602) SE Missouri St. Redhawks

This is a play on the RICE OWLS for our CFB Supreme Annihilator. Rice closes the season at home with a chance to become bowl eligible. The Owls did go to a bowl game last season but they were 5-7 and made it due to not enough 6-win teams being eligible and got in because of academics so they are going for six wins for the first time since 2013. They won at Charlotte last week to keep hope alive following a three-game losing streak against the three teams that are a combined 21-0 in the AAC and two of those were by seven points combined. Florida Atlantic was on pace to make it to a bowl game for the first time since the COVID season and now the best they can do is win five games for a fourth straight season. The Owls have lost three straight and the wind has come out of their sails with the offense scoring just 15 points over the last two games. The offense has struggled overall as they are No. 102 overall and they are not much better on defense at No. 89. Their three wins against FBS teams were against teams with losing records. Here, we play against road underdogs in the second half of the season in a game involving two rushing teams averaging between 3.5 and 4.3 ypc. This situation is 44-21 ATS (67.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (190) Rice Owls

This is a play on the OHIO ST. BUCKEYES for our CFB Afternoon Dominator. A trip to the Big 10 Championship is up for grabs yet again with the chance to face Iowa. Michigan comes in as the expected favorite playing at home and it has dominated Ohio St. the last two meetings and for being a heated rivalry, it has not been close of late with the last five meetings decided by double digits, that last one possession game taking place in 2016. The Wolverines have been dominant for the most part but had a scare last week against Maryland and the game plan it had against Penn St. where they did not throw a pass in the second half will likely not work here as they will have to pass the ball. Ohio St. has a great pass rush so that could be an issue and the Michigan offense line has struggled in pass protection. The Buckeyes have been just as dominant as the offense is averaging only four points less than Michigan while both teams are allowing only nine ppg. We have not seen those defenses dominate in this series during the last five games but that easily should change here and that favors a low scoring game obviously which favors the underdog. Here, we play on road teams with a great scoring defense allowing 14 or less ppg, after allowing 14 points or less in two straight games. This situation is 39-15 ATS (72.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (141) Ohio St. Buckeyes

This is a play on the OREGON DUCKS for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. There is a lot on the line for Oregon in this edition of the Civil War. A Pac-12 title game appearance and keeping alive hopes of a possible College Football Playoff berth are the two big factors and there is also revenge in play. Last season, the Ducks built what seemed like a commanding 31-10 lead with 4 minutes, 46 seconds left in the third quarter and appeared to be on their way to a spot in the Pac-12 championship game but the Beavers scored 28 of the next 31 points to pull off the comeback with a 38-34 victory. Since losing to Washington by three points, the Ducks have rolled over their last five games. Oregon St. is coming off a tough loss against Washington as it lost by two points, its third loss of the season by three points or less. This will be its biggest test on the road where it is 3-2 with the best win coming against California or San Jose St. The Beavers do a lot of things right as they have a top 25 offense and a top 30 defense and while the letter unit has been great at generating turnovers which has helped the offense, Oregon has only six giveaways the entire season with two of those coming last week against Arizona St. Here, we play against road teams in a game involving two teams averaging 34 or more ppg, after a loss by six or less points. This situation is 27-6 ATS (81.8 percent) since 1992. 10* (136) Oregon Ducks

This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. Denver opened the season 8-1 and looked to continue the run from its NBA Title from last season but it has gone 2-4 since then to fall into third place in the Western Conference. The Nuggets have failed to cover seven straight games and we are getting some value here. The struggles have coincided with the absence of Jamal Murray but this is now their fourth game without him so there has been time to find the continuity without him. The Rockets opened 0-3 but have turned a corner by going 7-3 over their last 10 games to get over .500 and they are currently in the No. 8 spot in the conference. It has been the opposite at the betting window as Houston has covered 10 straight games and this is certainly not sustainable. This is a good roster overall but not a good spot with a revenge minded Denver coming to town. Here, we play on road teams revenging a loss of three points or less, off an upset loss as a favorite. This situation is 41-15 ATS (73.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (567) Denver Nuggets

This is a play on the TEXAS TECH RED RAIDERS for our CBB Signature Enforcer. Texas Tech is off to a 4-1 start following a 1-1 split to open the Battle 4 Atlantis Tournament as it lost to Villanova by 16 points in the opener before beating Northern Iowa, which is the top team in the Missouri Valley Conference, yesterday. The Red Raiders were a fringe NCAA Tournament team last season before losing their final three regular season games and dropping the opener in the Big 12 Tournament and now it is a fresh start with a new head coach in Grant McCasland, who won the NIT with North Texas and brings in a tenacious defense. Michigan lost to Memphis in the opener before beating Stanford by five points yesterday. The Wolverines opened the season 3-0 with three blowout wins but then lost against Long Beach St., falling by eight points as a 16-point favorite. That defeat was probably a more telling sign of this team that did not bring much back and is picked to finish 12th in the big 10. 10* (853) Texas Tech Red Raiders

This is a play on the ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS for our CFB Friday Ultimate Underdog. Missouri is coming off a dramatic last second win over Florida last week in its final home game to improve to 9-2 on the season and has a chance for its first 10-win season since 2014. That should provide the motivation but coming off the win over the Gators and knowing the SEC Championship is out of play, this is not an easy spot. The Tigers offense has been one of the best in the country as they are ranked No. 20 overall and No. 33 in scoring but face an above average defense that is No. 49 in the nation. Arkansas is coming off a 44-20 win over Florida International last week. The Razorbacks are 4-7 on the season with their lone SEC win coming against the Gators in overtime so they will not be going bowling but this is the Battle Line Rivalry so playing spoiler and ending the season on a high is the goal. It has been a tough season as it easily could have been better as Arkansas has a 1-5 record in one-score games so it has been close. Razorbacks quarterback KJ Jefferson has had a solid season as he has been able to keep these games within reach. Here, we play against road favorites in the second half of the season averaging 440 or more ypg and after allowing 6.25 or more yppl in their previous game going up teams allowing between 330 and 390 ypg. This situation is 56-21 ATS (72.7 percent) since 1992. 10* (128) Arkansas Razorbacks

This is a play on the TULANE GREEN WAVE for our CFB Friday Enforcer. A berth in the AAC Championship is on the line with the winner going while the loser still can make it should SMU lose to Navy on Saturday. Tulane has won nine straight games and is 10-1 overall with the only loss coming against Mississippi where quarterback Michael Pratt missed. New Year's Six stakes are also on the line, primarily for No. 23 Tulane, which controls its own destiny for a second consecutive appearance. The Green Wave have been dominant at home in its five wins and are laying a short number. The Roadrunners are also 7-0 but has done so on a different path. UTSA has had a fairly easy run to its undefeated conference record as all seven opponents the Roadrunners have faced are all below .500, so the Green Wave represent a significant step up in competition. They too have been great down the stretch after an uneven start but quarterback Frank Harris is over his injury but now faces his biggest defensive test with Tulane coming in No. 25 overall and No. 18 in scoring. Their own defense has not been nearly as good despite playing lesser teams as they are No. 59 overall and No. 56 in points allowed. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival going up against an opponent off three straight wins against conference rivals. This situation is 63-28 ATS (69.2 percent) since 1992. 10* (186) Tulane Green Wave

This is a play on the USC TROJANS for our CBB Star Attraction. USC opened the season with a big win against Kansas St. as it came into the season ranked No. 21 in the preseason AP Poll and then rolled UC Santa Barbara before losing to UC Irvine but the Trojans were without two of their best players as Boogie Ellis and Kobe Johnson were out. They are back and USC is totally healthy now and that duo scored a combined 35 points yesterday in their eight-point win over Seton Hall and they are in good shape to take the tournament. Oklahoma opened the season 4-0 with four blowout wins at home over some bad competition and it opened the tournament with a nice win over Iowa, which looks to be in another down season. The Sooners are coming off a rough season a year ago as they finished with just 15 wins including a 5-13 record in the Big 12 and not much more is expected this season. The early 4-0 start has this team overvalued. 10* (861) USC Trojans

This is a play on the TOLEDO ROCKETS for our CBB Afternoon Dominator. The final round of the Ball Dawgs Classic from Henderson, NV takes place Friday with the first tip between Toledo and Indiana St. The Rockets are 0-2 through the first two games and the Sycamores are 2-0 but the teams had completely different draws. Toledo had to face New Mexico and UC Irvine, two teams that are expected to contend in the Mountain West Conference and Big West Conference respectively so the Rockets take a step down. Conversely, Indiana St. faces Rice and Pepperdine, two teams that are predicted to finish near the bottom of the AAC and WCC respectively so the Sycamores take a step up. Indiana St. came to Nevada 2-1 with both wins at home against garbage teams while toledo came in 3-0 that included a very impressive win on the road at Wright St. Wrong team favored. 10* (801) Toledo Rockets

This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Dominator. The 49ers are coming in as big road favorites and while those spots have been good to take on Thanksgiving, this is a good spot to fade in a divisional game with a lot on the line. San Francisco has a one game lead over Seattle in the NFC West following a pair of wins over Jacksonville and Tampa Bay which happened to be the first two games back at pretty much full strength with Deebo Samuel and Trent Williams returning for the offense. The 49ers swept all three games last season including a 41-23 win in the playoffs setting up a big revenge spot for the Seahawks. Seattle is coming off a loss to the Rams by a point as it missed a last second field goal making it two of its four losses coming against the Rams. The Seahawks are currently in the No. 6 spot in the NFC and this starts a stretch of four games against the 49ers twice, Dallas and Philadelphia so they need to at least take care of business at home. Seattle is 4-1 at home including four straight wins and while the competition has not been great, the metrics are still good taking the strength of schedule into consideration. Here, we play against road favorites outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg, after a win by 10 or more points. This situation is 48-14 ATS (77.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons with the average point differential being just 1.5 ppg. 10* (110) Seattle Seahawks

This is a play on the BOISE ST. BRONCOS for our CBB Signature Enforcer. Boise St. has made the NCAA Tournament each of the last two seasons and will be going for a third consecutive trip which should not be an issue. The Broncos are one of the most experienced teams in the country coming off 51 wins the last two seasons and they have three potential All-MWC Players with the best frontcourt in the conference. Boise St. is off to a 2-1 start with the most recent game resulting in a 17-point loss at Clemson and we can chalk that up to an aberration as the Broncos could not buy a bucket in the second half while Clemson ended up making 51 percent of its shots and now it gets a second chance against another ACC school, one that is not close to that of the Tigers. Virginia Tech is 3-1 to start the season with wins over teams where it was favored by at least 18 points with its one loss coming against South Carolina, a team pegged to finish last in the SEC. The Hokies have three starters back but this team is nothing special as they are picked as a bottom half ACC team. Basically, they should not be favored here. 10* (775) Boise St. Broncos

This is a play on the MISSISSIPPI ST. BULLDOGS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. Mississippi St. snapped a three-game losing streak with a 21-point win over Southern Mississippi to keep its bowl hopes alive. The Bulldogs are 5-6 and need this game and in a rivalry game, anything is possible even in a game with a spread this big. The most significant change for the Bulldogs in their first game under interim head coach Greg Knox last week is that they committed to the run game more than they had all season as they rushing for 240 yards on 43 carries (5.6 ypc). The Mississippi rushing defense could be in trouble because of that as the Rebels are No. 79 in rushing defense, allowing 157 ypg. While that could be a big edge, the Bulldogs possess a solid defense as they are No. 48 overall including No. 48 against the pass and No. 49 against the run. Bulldogs quarterback Will Rogers played for the first time in more than a month against the Golden Eagles and his presence is a big one. Mississippi easily took out UL-Monroe last week 35-3 to close out its home schedule and hits the road where it is 2-2 and while those losses were against Alabama and Georgia, this will be a tougher spot than expected. While the defense will be tested, the offense does face that strong defense and the Rebels have not been as lethal on the road. Their offense averages 36.5 ppg overall, but that includes an average of 23.0 ppg away from home. 10* (110) Mississippi St. Bulldogs

This is a play on the DALLAS COWBOYS for our NFL Thursday Enforcer. This is a big number to be laying with the Cowboys which are always a big public play on Thanksgiving but we are backing them in a great situational spot. Dallas has not been very good on Thanksgiving covering numbers but this team is rolling right now and has been dominant at home. The Cowboys are 4-0 at home and have outscored opponents by nearly 28 ppg and while those have been against some poor teams, their opponent Thursday falls into that as well. Dallas has moved up to No. 6 in DVOA and No. 2 in net EPA with both offense and defense ranked in the top 5. Washington is coming off a brutal loss to the Giants last week as it committed six turnovers in the 12-point defeat. The Commanders are now 4-7 and likely out of playoff consideration with a very tough upcoming schedule with three games against two of the top teams in the NFC. Washington has fallen to No. 27 in DVOA and No.. 26 in net EPA with the offense landing at No. 22 and defense being No. 30. Quarterback Sam Howell had a decent run going but was dreadful against New York and he has been sacked 51 times this season and Dallas is the No. 6 ranked blitzing team in the league. He leads the league in passing yards but is No. 22 in QBR. Here, we play against road underdogs of 10.5 or more points with a winning percentage between .250 and .400 after two or more consecutive losses. This situation is 23-2 ATS (92 percent) over the last 10 seasons with the average scoring differential being 22.6 ppg. 10* (108) Dallas Cowboys

This is a play on the TEXAS A&M AGGIES for our CBB Afternoon Dominator. Penn St. had a magical run last season as it nearly won the Big 10 Tournament, losing by a bucket to Purdue, then defeated Texas A&M in the first round of the NCAA Tournament before losing to Texas by five points. The Nittany Lions are now starting over as they brought back only four players while losing 95 percent of their scoring to go along with a new head coach. They are 4-0 but have played no one as they were favored by at least 13 points in all of those games. Texas A&M is also 4-0 with impressive wins at Ohio St. and SMU and the Aggies are primed for another run after winning 25 games last season. They have four starters back and are currently ranked No. 12 and certainly in the mix in the SEC. They have had this game circled and get their revenge today. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .600 and .800 from last season, with three or more starters returning from last year than opponent. This situation is 36-12 ATS (75 percent) since 1997. 10* (770) Texas A&M Aggies

This is a play on the SMU MUSTANGS for our CBB Star Attraction. SMU is undervalued here with a lot of that based on what transpired last season but the 10-22 record does not tell the whole story. The Mustangs lost seven games by one possession and of those 22 losses, 15 were by five points or less so things could have been a lot better. They were coming off a 24-win season in the previous year but lost a ton of talent including point guard Kendrick Davis who transferred to Memphis and averaged 22.1 ppg. SMU was forced to plug the point but are much better off this season with plenty of backcourt experience. The Mustangs are already 4-1 including a big win at West Virginia last time out. Wisconsin opened the season 1-2 with two double-digit losses against Tennessee and Providence but has since won two straight games including a home upset over Virginia in its last game by 24 points and that is also affecting this line. This is a very experienced team that is expected to make a move up in the Big Ten after going 20-15 including 9-11 in the conference. That being said, this is a slow down team as usual making points a premium and SMU can score and has its own solid defense as well. 10* (747) SMU Mustangs

This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. This is the second game of a two-game home set for New Orleans which rolled over Sacramento on Monday by 36 points for this is a big revenge game for the Kings. They are now 8-5 and had a six-game winning streak snapped in that last contest. This included three straight road wins after starting 1-3 on the highway. De'Aaron Fox has played only eight games but is healthy again and coming off his worst game of the season as he scored 14 points on 5-18 shooting including 2-12 from long range so we should see a big bounce back game from him. New Orleans has won three of its last four games following a five-game losing streak. The offense has been shooting lights out, going over 51 percent from the floor in its last five games including a season high 54.3 percent on Monday. The Pelicans can expect the best effort from Sacramento after that awful effort and they do come in just 5-4 at home. The Pelicans are still without CJ McCollum who is out indefinitely with a collapsed lung. Here, we play on teams revenging a same season loss, off an upset loss by 20 points or more as a favorite. This situation is 39-15 ATS (72.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (539) Sacramento Kings

This is a play on the CHICAGO BULLS as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. Oklahoma City is one of the biggest surprises in the NBA as it is now 10-4 following its fifth straight win. Two of those games were against two of the worst teams in the Western Conference in Portland and San Antonio while the other three games were against a depleted Golden St. twice and a banged up Phoenix team at the time. The Thunder are 11-3 against the number and the markets are starting to catch up as they are laying a sizeable number here. Chicago is coming off a four-game homestand where it went 1-3, losing to games against Orlando and splitting games with Miami. The Bulls are now 5-10 straight up and 5-0-1 against the number and are catching their third biggest number of the season with the first two bigger numbers coming against Denver and Milwaukee and we cannot put Oklahoma City in the group with those team just yet. This is a road revenge game with Chicago losing the season opener by 20 points at home. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points in a game involving two teams allowing between 108 and 114 ppg, after scoring 105 points or less in two straight games. This situation is 52-22 ATS (70.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (541) Chicago Bulls

This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. Boston is coming off an overtime loss at Charlotte as it was in a horrible spot riding a six-game winning streak with this game on deck so the fact there was a lack of focus was no surprise. We played against the Celtics there but are now backing them as they return home where they are undefeated but has played only five of their 14 games here. Their three losses have by a combined 11 points and currently sitting in the No. 1 spot in the Eastern Conference, this is an early statement game. Milwaukee got off to an uneven start as it opened 5-4 but has won five straight games to sit one game behind Boston in the conference and while this is a statement game for the Bucks as well, the venue will make a big difference here. Milwaukee has played a very favorable schedule that is ranked No. 27 in the league and while it is 6-1 at home, it is 4-3 on the road. The Damon Lillard acquisition is paying off thus far and while a top team in the NBA, this is not a good spot. Here, we play on home favorites with a winning percentage of .750 or better after having won three of their last four games. This situation is 51-26 ATS (66.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (536) Boston Celtics

This is a play on the GEORGIA TECH YELLOW JACKETS for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. Cincinnati is off to a 4-0 start with the four wins all coming against mid-majors and now have its biggest test of the season Wednesday. The Bearcats had a great season in their last in the AAC as they went 23-13 and made a run in the NIT. They lost a lot from that team as four of the top five scorers departed as did five of the last seven players in minutes played. They were hoping to have a pair of big time transfers get onto the court right away but 7’0 Aziz Bandaogo and 6’10 Jamille Reynolds were not granted waivers and have to sit out the season. Georgia Tech is in its first season with Damon Stoudamire as head coach following a 15-18 season and the last five years under Josh Pastner were just not good enough. The Yellow Jackets brought back four starters from last season, although one of those is on the shelf until December, so there is plenty of experience and they have five starters that are averaging double digits. They are led by Miles Kelly who is averaging 21 ppg and is in the running for a First Team All ACC player. Georgia Tech is 2-1 with a loss last time out against a very good UMass-Lowell team and are in bounce back mode but more of our concern, it is getting a big number. 10* (687) Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

This is a play on the OLD DOMINION MONARCHS for our CBB Signature Enforcer. Princeton was one of many Cinderella stories last season as it made it to the Sweet 16 as a No. 15 seed after defeating Arizona and Missouri before eventually losing to Creighton. The Tigers are expected to be a top half team in the Ivy League again but they lost a ton as they have to replace three key seniors in Tosan Evbuomwan, Ryan Langborg and Keeyshawn Kellman which contributed a combined 36 ppg last season. They are off to a 4-0 start, both straight up and against the number and that is affecting this number. There has been a lot of travel with this being the fifth destination in five games with their first home game of the season coming up. Old Dominion is off to a 1-2 start with two straight losses coming into today, both on the road at Ball St. and Arkansas. The Monarchs are coming off a solid 19-12 season despite going through numerous uphill battles mostly due to injury and so far, they remain healthy. They have the best player on the floor in Chaunce Jenkins, a junior point guard who led the team in scoring, assists and three-point shooting last year and he is averaging 19 ppg so far and he is in the running for SBC Player of the Year. 10* (680) Old Dominion Monarchs

This is a play on the MURRAY ST. RACERS for our CBB Afternoon Dominator. This is a great early spot play for Murray St. Appalachian St. played yesterday and rolled over UNC Wilmington by 30 points but it was in the good spot there as the Seahawks were coming off win the previous day in overtime against the Racers in the first game of the Fort Myers Tip-Off. Now it is the Mountaineers playing in a back-to-back spot and playing early in the afternoon no less. That win snapped a two-game losing streak where they lost at Illinois St. and Oregon St. by double digits, two teams to finish in the bottom half of their respective conferences. Murray St. let that game against UNC Wilmington get away as it has a 10-point lead in the second half and led by seven points with 2:06 remaining but lost the lead and the game was sent into overtime on a controversial foul with 1.6 seconds left. That bad taste in their mouths will provide plenty of motivation for the Racers whose defense will improve. Here, we play on teams shooting 36.5 percent or better from three going up against a team shooting 32 percent or worse from three, after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting percentage of 47 percent or higher. This situation is 39-12 ATS (76.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (672) Murray St. Racers

This is a play on the ATLANTA HAWKS for our NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month. The Hawks have opened their four-game homestand with a pair of losses against New York and Philadelphia to fall to 6-6 on the season. Atlanta has lost three straight home games and are in a good spot here to keep the offense rolling as it is No. 5 in the league in scoring with Trae Young and Dejounte Murray averaging a combined 44.7 ppg while having seven players averaging double digits in scoring. Indiana is coming off a home loss against Orlando to go to 7-5 on the season. The Pacers have the top scoring offense in the NBA as they go fast, averaging a league high 107.7 possessions per game but the defense suffers from it. Indiana is No. 28 in points allowed and No. 26 in opponents shooting and over the last four games, they have allowed 50.7 percent shooting. Here, we play on teams after a loss by 10 points or more going up against an opponent after two straight games where both teams scored 115 points or more. This situation is 83-43 ATS (65.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (522) Atlanta Hawks

This is a play on the SOUTHERN ILLINOIS SALUKIS for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. Southern Illinois is off to a 3-0 start with wins against Kentucky St., Queens, and Chicago St. and while this is obviously their toughest opponent, the Salukis are a live dog here. While they lost their top two scorers from last season, thee starters are back from a team that went 23-10 and finished tied for third in Missouri Valley Conference. James Madison is off to a 4-0 start and has moved up to No. 22 in the AP Poll. The Dukes opened the season with the big upset over Michigan St. and most recently snuck by Radford at home by three points. This is a buy low, sell high spot and have a tough matchup here against a long and athletic team. The offense has been potent but the defense has been an issues as they are No. 349 in points allowed while their 43.4 percent shooting percentage allowed in No. 229. Here, we play against neutral court teams that has a winning percentage between .600 and .800 last season off a home win by three points or less, playing a team that had a winning record. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent) since 1997. 10* (660) Southern Illinois Salukis

This is a play on the AKRON ZIPS for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. Akron is off to a 4-0 start following a win over Florida International last night and is in another good spot here. Akron is the preseason pick to win the MAC and for good reason. The Zips finished 13-5 in the conference last season behind Toledo and Kent St. and have arguably the two best players in the MAC. Center Enrique Freeman is the Preseason Player of the Year after two straight seasons averaging a double-double and the Zips leading scorer from two years ago, Ali Ali, is back after going to Butler for a season. Overall, the Zips have six players that are playing in their fifth year so this is one of the most experienced teams in the country. Utah St. rolled over Marshall by 23 points yesterday which was a big win after an uneven start to the season. The Aggies are one of the most inexperienced teams in the country as it lost 100 percent of its scoring from last season so facing an experienced team here is not ideal. The Aggies are picked No. 7 in the MWC after a tie for second last season and not in the spot here. 10* (841) Akron Zips

This is a play on the CHARLOTTE HORNETS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Boston has won six straight games to move to 11-2 and one game up on the Sixers and two games up on the Bucks. The Celtics are coming off their second straight one possession win and while the opposition is not good tonight, this is a bad spot. Boston is No. 2 in both points allowed and opponents shooting even with the loss of Marcus Smart and while this should be an easy layup, It is too many points with a home game on deck against Milwaukee. Charlotte has lost four straight games and is 3-9 on the season but it is in a great spot off two double digit losses. This is contrarian and the line says it. Arguably, one of the worst teams in the league, they can score as the Hornets are No. 14 in scoring and No. 15 in shooting. They can keep up here in a great lookahead spot for the opponent in a quad revenge spot. The Celtics are 9-19 in their last 28 games following consecutive road games. 10* (504) Charlotte Hornets

This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. This is the ultimate letdown spot for Oklahoma City which is coming off a two-game sweep at Golden St. including an overtime win last night. The Warriors led by as many as 18 points midway through the third quarter before the Thunder came back to force overtime as Chet Holmgren has his coming out party with 36 points and 10 rebounds. Along with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who scored 40 last night, this will be a great top two but it is not sustainable yet. Oklahoma City is one of the big surprises at 9-4 and with its 10-3 ATS record, it is now a public team. Portland is off to an expected poor start as it is 3-9 which includes six straight losses and this is exactly the time to back the Blazers. The offense has failed to reach 100 points in three straight games shooting just over 37 percent but catches a team at the right time. The Blazers have been hurt with injuries but that has only built chemistry with the latest roster and there is a possibility Malcolm Brogdon comes back tonight after missing the last four games. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after scoring 95 points or less going up against an opponent after scoring 130 points or more. This situation is 23-4 ATS (85.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (570) Portland Trail Blazers

This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our NFL Sunday Primetime Dominator. Minnesota is one of the hottest teams in the NFL as it has won five consecutive games to get within a game and a half of Detroit in the NFC North. The Vikings have covered all five of those games as well, the last two with Joshua Dobbs at quarterback and he has been a great story but those wins were against the NFC South, the worst division in football. They now head out west to face another team on a turnaround and one that is more justified at this point. The Vikings are the public darling right now with the longest winning streak in the league and are catching 82 percent of the money yet this line has not budged since opening and that is telling. The Broncos have won three straight games to move to 4-5 to get right into the playoff hunt. They are coming back home for a pair of games where they have won two in a row after dropping their first three games in Denver. The defense has been outstanding during this recent winning streak as they have allowed only 16 ppg which has helped an offense that has not been very productive. While Russell Wilson has not put up big numbers, he has been efficient with 18 touchdowns and only four interceptions and a 104.0 passer rating. Here, we play against teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 off an upset win as a home underdog, playing a losing team in the second half of the season. This situation is 25-4 ATS (86.2 percent) since 1983. 10* (474) Denver Broncos

This is a play on the ST. MARY'S GAELS for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. Xavier made a run to the Sweet 16 last season and ended up finishing the season 27-10 and led the Big East in every offensive category but the Musketeers lost the majority of that production with three departed starters that averaged a combined 45.6 ppg. Only four players from last season are on the roster and making matters worse, the two returning starters who were going to lead the offense are out for the season as Jerome Hunter and Zach Freemantle are done. Xavier has to rely on a brand new roster and the offense is hurting as it is ranked No. 206 in scoring and No. 170 in shooting and even more concerning is its free throw shooting that comes in No. 256. St. Mary's is also coming off a great season where it went 27-8 but it is in much better shape as three starters are back. The Gaels opened the season 2-0 but have dropped their last two games with total meltdowns in the second half. They lost to Weber St. after blowing a 16-point lead and in their last game against San Diego St., they trailed by just one point at halftime before getting outscored 45-21 in the second half. This is the get right game they need before heading back home. 10* (735) St. Mary's Gaels

This is a play on the WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS for our CFL Game of the Year. Montreal went into their semifinal game against Toronto with a 12-7 record and the record was pretty straight forward as it depended upon who they were playing. Toronto, Winnipeg and B.C. were the only other teams that finished with a winning record and Montreal went 0-7 in those games but it went 12-0 against every other team. The Alouettes broke that streak by defeating Toronto last week to make the Grey Cup but it was a very misleading final. They were outgained 385-244 but benefitted from five Argonauts turnovers including two interceptions returned for touchdowns, one of them for 101 yards that opened the scoring, and also returned a kickoff for a touchdown that broke the game open in the fourth quarter. Winnipeg defeated B.C. to make its fourth straight Grey Cup and while it benefitted from a 4-0 turnover advantage, it still dominated by holding the Lions to just 189 total yards. Winnipeg led the CFL with 431.4 ypg and 33.0 ppg and was led by the most balanced unit in the league. The Blue Bombers have the best quarterback/running back combo in the league with Zach Collaros and Brady Oliveira so they can come at with you both ways. It will face a tough Montreal passing defense but the balance will keep that defense off balance. As for their own defense, the Blue Bombers can dominate again and they have given quarterback Cody Fajardo fits as they have held him to three touchdowns and 12 interceptions the last 12 meetings. Somewhat of a big number but right around the same as both meetings this season that Winnipeg both by a combined 64-20. 10* (441) Winnipeg Blue Bombers

This is a play on the WOFFORD TERRIERS for our CBB Ultimate Underdog. Wofford is coming off an uneven season where it went 17-16 including an 8-10 record in the SoCon but it was a tough year where its coach resigned in January and yet the Terriers plugged along. They lost three starters but have a core group back with a lot of size and athleticism and played No. 7 Tennessee tough for a majority of the game before losing by 21 as a 31-point underdog. Facing a tough defense, they for forced into 10 steals and while facing another power program, they should not be getting this number here. Virginia Tech is 2-1 to start the season with wins over Coppin St. and Campbell, the latter by 16 points with its one loss coming against South Carolina, a team pegged to finish last in the SEC. The Hokies have three starters back but this team is nothing special as they are picked as a bottom half ACC team and are laying close to the same number it did against Campbell which they did not cover. The story here is head coach Mike Young was at Wofford for 17 years before coming to Blacksburg so there will be no running it up against the school that got him to the ACC 10* (671)Wofford Terriers

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Divisional Game of the Year. Seattle is tied atop the NFC West with the 49ers at 6-3 but while San Francisco is +109 in scoring differential, the Seahawks are -1 and they have been outgained overall by 209 yards. Seattle is at the top of the list as one of the most overrated teams with a winning record and they could be exposed with its upcoming schedule. They are coming off a win over Washington which was their second win in three games which were by a combined seven points and both at home. Taking a look at the teams they have dominated, they are the Panthers, Giants and Cardinals and while the other cover came against Detroit, that was in overtime where the Lions did not even see the ball. This is a possible lookahead with a Thanksgiving game on deck against the 49ers. Los Angeles is coming off its bye week which came at a great time after a brutal stretch. The Rams have dropped three straight games, failing to cover any of those but just one of those was with Matthew Stafford playing a full game and that was the loss to Pittsburgh where the defense allowed a pair of fourth quarter touchdowns. Stafford will return this week and he brings a different dynamic to the offense especially with Cooper Kupp back in the lineup. Even with Stafford and Kupp missing time, the Rams are No. 15 in offensive DVOA which is nothing special but that is just two spots below Seattle. 10* (470) Los Angeles Rams

This is a play on the PITTSBURGH STEELERS for our NFL Signature Enforcer. The Steelers keep finding ways to win as they are now 6-3 following a pair of wins over Tennessee and Green Bay and while those wins are not saying much, they come into a good spot this week. Pittsburgh was turnover free in both of those games and it has only four turnovers in its last seven games after committing four turnovers in its first two games. This is the first of two straight divisional games where they are 2-0 and three of the final four games against the AFC North will be against teams without their starting quarterback with Joe Burrow our for the season. The defense continues to lead the way as Pittsburgh is No. 7 in defensive DVOA and have a great matchup here. Cleveland is coming off an improbable win over Baltimore as it rallied from a 24-9 and won on a last second field goal to also improve to 6-3. Quarterback Deshawn Watson delivered an inspired effort in the second half to pull off the victory but it was announced that he is out for the rest of the season with a shoulder injury. Granted he was not having the best season overall but now the ball will be in the hands of rookie Dorian Thompson-Robinson who made one start and he was awful against the Ravens, going 19-36 for 121 yards with no touchdowns and three interceptions. Granted, he was thrust into that game with no preparation and while he has had practice this week with the top unit, he will struggle. 10* (451) Pittsburgh Steelers

This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS for our NFL Divisional Game of the Month. Detroit is coming off a win over the Chargers for their second straight win following their second loss of the season at Baltimore. The Lions lead the NFC North by a game and a half over the surging Vikings and their offense has led the way as they are No. 2 overall and No. 6 in scoring. They have been buoyed by a rushing offense that has put up over 200 yards in each of their last two games but face a very underrated Bears defense that has improved dramatically. Detroit has been one of the better teams against the number which adds value and it has the lookahead to Thanksgiving. Chicago has been an improving team as it is 3-3 over its last six games and after getting blown out in each of its first three games, the Bears last four losses have come by one possession and they have outgained their opponent in six of their last seven games. The Bears are on a mini bye following a Thursday night game which is always beneficial this late into the season and we have seen this line come down based on the return of Justin Fields at quarterback but we are still above two key numbers in a divisional game. The Chicago defense has improved after an awful start and the numbers prove that as they have allowed 214 passing yards or less in five of their last seven games while giving up an average of only 56.4 ypg on the ground. 10* (461) Chicago Bears

This is a play on the CAROLINA PANTHERS for our NFL Ultimate Underdog. This one is ugly but at this number, it is a must take. Dallas is coming off a home win over the quarterback depleted Giants and that has been the story this season as the Cowboys are 4-0 at home with every win coming by at least 20 points and by an average of 27.5 ppg. It has been a different story on the road as they are 2-3 and while two of those losses were against the 49ers and Eagles, the other came at Arizona where they were laying a similar number and lost by 12 points and they have covered just once in their last nine road games coming off a win. Dallas is clearly the better team here and it would be an easy game if the better team always dominated by that is far from the case in this league and the Cowboys have been awful in these spots, going 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games coming off double-digit win. Carolina is coming off a loss in Chicago which was its best road effort of the season where its other four losses were by an average of 15.8 ppg, three of those coming against current division leaders. The Panthers are 1-3 at home with the lone win coming against Houston and two of the losses were by one possession. We are going to see full focus and effort here as Carolina is staring at a three-game upcoming roadtrip. Home underdogs of a touchdown or more that have a winning percentage of .250 or worse have covered at close to a 60 percent rate since 1993. 10* (466) Carolina Panthers

This is a play on the CHICAGO BULLS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. Miami has been red hot as it has won seven straight games after a 1-4 start to move into the No. spot in the early Eastern Conference standings. Previous to the most recent win over Brooklyn at home, their last four wins have been on the road and this is the start of another roadtrip, this one five games. Three of those road wins were against three of the worst teams in the league and tonight the Heat are actually favored by more than they were against San Antonio. Chicago is off to a rough start at 3-9 but it still is not considered as one of the worst teams in the league as the Bulls have a solid roster. Three of their last six losses have come by a combined five points so they have been unfortunate. This is the second of a back-to-back following a pair of losses against Orlando where the offense scored 94 and 97 points, their two lowest outputs of the season but the Magic have a top four defense. This is a get right spot with the first of two straight against the Heat. Here, we play on underdogs outscored by their opponents by 3.0 or more ppg, after allowing 105 points or less in two straight games. This situation is 65-30 ATS (68.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (550) Chicago Bulls

This is a play on the KANSAS JAYHAWKS for our CFB Primetime Power. Kansas and Kansas St. meet in the Sunflower showdown with identical records yet the Jayhawks come in as a significant home underdog. They are coming off a three-point home loss against Texas Tech which was impacted by quarterback Jason Bean leaving the game early with a head injury and his replacement Cole Ballard was not able to supplement the running game with any sort of passing attack but Bean is probable and practiced. Kansas will rely on its strong rushing game where it is ranked No. 18 in the country. Kansas St. shook off a loss against Texas with a blowout win against Baylor last week by 34 points but it was a misleading final as the Wildcats won the turnover battle 4-0. They have been a dominant team against the lesser opponents with most of those coming as home where the Wildcats are 6-0 but they are 1-3 on the road. That win was at Texas Tech by 17 points but again, it was aided by turnovers where they won that 3-0. This is a well rounded team on both sides of the ball but one that is not in a good spot. Here, we play on home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after a game where they committed one or less turnovers going up against an opponent after two consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better. This situation is 24-8 ATS (75 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (364) Kansas Jayhawks

This is a play on the TEXAS TECH RED RAIDERS for our CFB Signature Enforcer. We won with UCF last week as it rolled over Oklahoma St. by 42 points and the Knights are now overvalued because of that. That was just as much of a play against the Cowboys as it was on UCF which has won two straight games after losing five games in a row. The Knights are now 5-5 and have to either win here or in their finale at home against Houston which is more likely at this point as they are 2-3 on the road with all of those losses coming in the Big 12 and while all against better teams than Texas Tech, they were thoroughly outgained in all. The Red Raiders also come in at 5-5 following a pair of wins against TCU and Kansas and this is a must win to become bowl eligible as they close the season at Texas next week. They opened the season 0-2 with a rough loss in Wyoming after blowing a 17-0 lead and the other coming against Oregon by one possession. The last two losses against Kansas St. and BYU were the result of losing the turnover battle 8-0 and that is always a factor for any team. Here, we play against teams in the second half of the season where the line is +3 to -3 averaging 230 or more rushing ypg and after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards last game going up against teams allowing between 140 and 190 rushing ypg. This situation is 41-15 ATS (73.2 percent) since 1992. 10* (414) Texas Tech Red Raiders

This is a play on the BOSTON COLLEGE EAGLES for our CBB Supreme Annihilator. Harvard is in a big letdown spot following an overtime win yesterday against Massachusetts to improve to 4-0. Harvard was fortunate that the Minutemen could not make a free throw as they went 10-25 from the charity stripe. While it is 4-0, it is not a very impressive 4-0 against three Division 1 teams predicted to finish in the bottom half of their conference and a win against UMass-Boston. The Crimson finished second to last in the Ivy League last season and that is where they are picked again. After losing four seniors, this is a young team with three freshman starters still coming off a Friday high and the back-to-back will be too much to overcome including the preparation standpoint. Boston College is 3-0 with a solid win over Richmond and this is its final home game tune up before playing in the Hall of Fame Classic starting Wednesday. The Eagles are another Harvard opponent picked to finish in the second half of the conference but this is a team from a major conference with a lot of experience. Boston College has gone from 4 to 13 to 16 wins the last three years and brings back three starters all in their third season in the program under head coach Earl Grant. 10* (622) Boston College Eagles

This is a play on the TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS for our CFB Ultimate Underdog. Georgia is once again in the driver's seat for a spot in the CFP as it comes in 10-0 and while it has been potent on both sides of the ball, it has not been as dominant with only three covers. Speaking of three, this is just their third road game of the season as the Bulldogs rolled over a bad Vanderbilt team and escaped Auburn with a seven-point win. They are going to be a big public play here coming off their final home game which was a rout over Mississippi by 35 points and now are laying what is perceived as a short number. We played against Tennessee last week as it went to Missouri and laid an egg, losing by 29 points as it committed a season-high three turnovers. The Volunteers may have been guilty to looking ahead to this game which they cannot be faulted for. They are 5-0 at home with a home finale against Vanderbilt to close the season. Tennessee is obviously not as strong on either side but they are not far off as they are No. 18 in total offense and No. 40 in total defense and this game is obviously their season. Here, we play against road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points averaging 34 or more ppg going against teams allowing between 16 and 21 ppg, after scoring 37 points or more last game. This situation is 30-9 ATS (76.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (330) Tennessee Volunteers

This is a play on the NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS for our CFB Star Attraction. Clemson has won two straight games since the incident with Dabo Swinney and the media but that does not necessarily mean the Tigers have turned that much of a corner. They are still just 6-4 on the season and are laying a touchdown which is still based on name. To their credit, the opening loss against Duke was mostly turnover driven and the last three losses have all been by one possession so the record could be better but on the other side, they should have lost to Notre Dame and only beat Wake Forest by five points. North Carolina is so close to being undefeated as it opened 6-0 before losing two straight games against Virginia and Georgia Tech by a combined eight points with the yardage differentials landing in their favor. They are coming off a closer that expected win over Duke last week to keep the hopes of getting to 10 wins before bowl season. There is also some payback from the ACC Championship last season which Clemson won despite getting outgained but won the turnover battle 3-0. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after gaining 525 or more total ypg over their last three games going up against an opponent after outgaining opponent by 125 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 25-6 ATS (80.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (341) North Carolina Tar Heels