Sports Picks & Predictions
All Sports Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
11-21-20 | Oklahoma State +7 v. Oklahoma | Top | 13-41 | Loss | -105 | 33 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA ST. COWBOYS for our Big 12 Game of the Year. Oklahoma St. is off to a 5-1 start and has a great chance at getting revenge from five straight losses in this series. The Cowboys lone loss came against Texas in overtime which never should have happened as they outgained the Longhorns by 243 total yards but were hurt by a -4 turnover margin as well as allowing a 100-yard kickoff return. The Sooners started the season with two losses but have won and covered four straight games and that is playing into this line. Oklahoma leads the Big 12 in passing offense and total offense but Oklahoma St. is second in total defense, scoring defense and passing defense so the Sooners finally have a challenge. Though the series has often favored Oklahoma, the Sooners know that does not matter this year, especially with so much on the line and this is the best Oklahoma St. team they have faced in years but are still a touchdown favorite. The Cowboys are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as a road underdog while the Sooners are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. 9* (401) Oklahoma St. Cowboys |
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11-21-20 | Liberty +4 v. NC State | 14-15 | Win | 100 | 32 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a play on the LIBERTY FLAMES for our CFB Saturday Supreme Annihilator. Liberty is 8-0 which is its best start in program history, and it already has defeated ACC members Syracuse and Virginia Tech. The Flames offense has been potent from the start as they are ranked No. 18 in total offense and No. 16 in scoring offense. Malik Willis, who transferred from Auburn, has thrown for 15 touchdowns with just one interception and he has a team-high 700 rushing yards and nine of their 20 rushing touchdowns. They have outgained all eight opponents and have done so by 183 ypg. NC State snapped a two-game skid with a 38-22 win over Florida St. but it outgained the Seminoles by just 66 yards and the Wolfpack have been outgained in five of their eight games. Liberty is 6-0 ATS in its last six games after gaining 450 or more total yards in two consecutive games while NC State is 0-8 ATS in its last eight games against teams averaging 34 or more ppg. Here, we play on road underdogs that are outgaining their opponents by 125 or more ypg, after gaining 6.75 or more yppl in their previous game. This situation is 69-32 ATS (68.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (359) Liberty Flames |
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11-21-20 | Cincinnati v. Central Florida +6 | 36-33 | Win | 100 | 29 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CENTRAL FLORIDA KNIGHTS for our CFB Saturday Ultimate Underdog. Cincinnati is off to a perfect start to the season and the recent dominance has skewed this line. The Bearcats have upped the pace offensively their past four outings, averaging a scoring margin of 46-13 in wins over SMU, Memphis, Houston and East Carolina. But those wins came over teams that are a combined 15-13 for the season, with SMU and Memphis accounting for 11 of the wins. UCF has won three in a row since dropping back-to-back games to Tulsa and Memphis and has averaged 44.3 ppg in its winning streak. Quarterback Dillon Gabriel has completed 63.3 percent of his passes for an average of 396.3 ypg which is No. 1 in the country with 23 touchdowns against only two interceptions. This is a dangerous team that can mess up the Bearcats playoff hopes. UCF is 8-0 ATS in its last eight games after allowing 14 points or less last game Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points that allow 8.0 or fewer ppg in the first half, after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in two straight games. This situation is 34-10 ATS (77.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (344) Central Florida Knights |
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11-20-20 | New Mexico v. Air Force -7 | Top | 0-28 | Win | 100 | 55 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the AIR FORCE FALCONS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. Air Force has been off since Halloween as it had to pull out of its past two games, at Army and at Wyoming, for similar reasons because of COVID-19. The Falcons are 1-2 as they have lost two straight games following a season opening rout over Navy. The practice to game ratio, approaching something in the neighborhood of 30 to 1, has tested the patience of everyone. This is a huge motivational advantage and we saw a similar situation with Wisconsin last week. Air Force leads the country in rushing at 330.0 ypg and while the Lobos have a solid rushing defense, this is by far their toughest test to date. New Mexico is 0-3 as they have been scorched on defense, allowing 491.7 ypg which is No. 116 in the country. The Lobos look to be limited on offense once again as junior starting quarterback Tevaka Tuioti has yet to gain clearance after sustaining a concussion against Hawaii on Nov. 7.Air Force is 8-0 ATS in its last eight home games against teams allowing 3.25 or fewer rushing ypc while New Mexico is 1-7 ATS in its last eight games following an ATS win. Here, we play against road teams with a losing record coming off two covers where the team lost as an underdog. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (330) Air Force Falcons |
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11-19-20 | Cardinals v. Seahawks -3 | Top | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 54 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. Seattle let us down on Sunday as it scored a season low 16 points but it also allowed just 23 points which tied for a season low and with how the defense has been, that is a big deal against a solid Rams defense. The Seahawks have lost their last two games and three of their last four after a 5-0 start to the season. Russell Wilson has tried to do too much bit it should be scaled back here. In 2018, when the Seahawks passed on fewer than half their plays, he had the best passer rating of his career (110.9) and was fourth in the league in touchdown passes (35). Expect a heavy run game against the Cardinals which are very average against the run. The return of running back Chris Carson is huge. The Cardinals beat the Bills 32-30 last week as Kyler Murray connected with DeAndre Hopkins for a 43-yard Hail Mary touchdown pass with 2 seconds left in the game. Arizona has won for of its last five games to take over first place in the NFC West but this is not a good spot coming off that miracle and facing a desperate Seahawks team. Seattle is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games after two or more consecutive losses while going 6-0 ATS in its last six home games off a loss by seven points or less to a division rival. Here, we play against underdogs or pickems after going over the total by 28 or more points total in their last three games, versus division opponents. This situation is 35-8 ATS (81.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (322) Seattle Seahawks |
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11-18-20 | Western Michigan v. Central Michigan -1.5 | Top | 52-44 | Loss | -109 | 30 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the CENTRAL MICHIGAN CHIPPEWAS for our CFB Wednesday Supreme Annihilator. Western Michigan is coming off an improbable win against Toledo as it trailed 38-28 with less than three minutes remaining, scoring a touchdown with 45 seconds left and then recovered the ensuing onside kick and then faked a clock killing spike for the go-ahead score. The Broncos are 2-0 and while the offense is humming, the defense looks to be short-handed as they hope to get starting defensive ends Ali Fayad (calf) and Andre Carter (ankle) back from injuries, but both players are doubtful. The Chippewas have been playing just as well through two weeks as they beat visiting Ohio 30-27 in Week One before crushing Northern Illinois 40-10 on the road last week. Central Michigan has a great running game, averaging 210.5 ypg and with the Broncos ends out, it could have a really big night. Central Michigan is 7-0 ATS in its last seven home games while Western Michigan is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games after one or more consecutive wins against the spread. Here, we play against road teams averaging 34 or more ppg going up against teams allowing between 16 and 21 ppg, after a win by three or less points. This situation is 25-5 ATS (83.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (314) Central Michigan Chippewas |
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11-17-20 | Akron v. Kent State -23.5 | Top | 35-69 | Win | 100 | 25 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the KENT ST. GOLDEN FLASHES for our CFB Tuesday Enforcer. Akron has lost its first two games of the season and has now lost an amazing 19 straight games going back to 2018. The Zips did have a solid effort last time out against Ohio as they actually won the yardage battle but committed three turnovers and that will be an issue going on with a freshman quarterback to go along with four freshmen offensive linemen. They will struggle here as Kent St. leads the MAC with just 173.0 passing ypg allowed and ranks fifth with 160.5 rushing ypg allowed. The Golden Flashes have opened the season 2-0 and have won seven straight games dating back to last season. Kent St. is leading the MAC in total offense, rushing offense, and passing offense, averaging 549.0 ypg to go along with 44.5 ppg. Akron is giving up 7.3 yppl, the second-worst mark in the MAC, and the Zips defense will have its hands full trying to slow down a Golden Flashes offense that can it do on the ground or through the air. Akron is 0-10 ATS in its last 10 games after two or more consecutive straight up losses while Kent St. is 7-0 ATS in its last seven games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in its previous game. Here, we play on home teams after allowing 5.5 or more rushing ypc last game going up against an opponent after allowing 5.5 or more rushing ypc in two straight games. This situation is 61-25 ATS (70.9 percent) since 1992. 10* (302) Kent St. Golden Flashes |
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11-16-20 | Vikings v. Bears +3 | Top | 19-13 | Loss | -100 | 49 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. Chicago has lost three straight games to fall to 5-4 on the season. The Bears were handled by the Rams without much resistance but they played a great game against New Orleans to lose in overtime and while they lost to Tennessee by a touchdown last week, they outgained the Titans by 147 total yards but they were -2 in turnovers. This included a fumble being returned 63 yards for a touchdown. The Vikings are coming off a pair of wins over Green Bay and Detroit to move to 3-5 on the season but they were +4 in turnovers in those two games. The Bears defense could be the difference here as they are ranked No. 9 overall and No. 7 in scoring defense. Dalvin Cook has just 86 yards on 34 carries in three career games against the Bears. Quarterback Kirk Cousins, since joining the Vikings in 2018, is 0-3 with just three touchdown passes, two interceptions and one lost fumble against Chicago. While the Bears offense has been an issue, the Vikings defense is struggling as they are No. 29 0verall, including No. 30 against the pass, and No. 25 in scoring defense. Chicago is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 home games against teams averaging 5.0 or more rushing ypc while going 19-4 ATS in their last 23 games after three consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. Meanwhile, the Vikings are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 Monday games. 10* (276) Chicago Bears |
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11-15-20 | Seahawks +2.5 v. Rams | Top | 16-23 | Loss | -104 | 28 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFC West Game of the Year. Seattle is coming off its second loss of the season as it fell at Buffalo 44-34. The defense continues to be an issue as Seattle is allowing a league-worst 362 yards per game passing, on pace to shatter the NFL record for most passing yards allowed in a season. The Rams offense has been off of late as they have scored 17 points or less in three of their last five games. Rams quarterback Jared Goff struggled in his last game, going 35 for 61 with four turnovers while Los Angeles scored only 17 points in losing to Miami. They do have the benefit of coming off a bye week but facing Russell Wilson off a loss is bad news as he is 13-1 in 14 starts coming off a loss and playing with revenge. The Rams defense is strong but they have played only two teams with a winning record and they are 4-0 against the putrid NFC East. Seattle is 7-0 ATS after allowing 350 or more passing yards in their last game while Los Angeles 17-50 ATS in its last 67 games after allowing 150 or less passing yards in their last game since 1992. Here, we play against home favorites after a loss by 10 or more points going up against an opponent after trailing in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half. This situation is 95-51 ATS (65. Percent) since 1983. 10* (269) Seattle Seahawks |
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11-15-20 | Bills v. Cardinals -2.5 | 30-32 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a play on the ARIZONA CARDINALS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. Buffalo has gotten back on track with three straight wins. The Bills are now 7-2 on the season but two of those wins came against the winless Jets while in three other wins, they were outgained by their opponent. The Bills defense might finally be finding an identity with coordinator Leslie Frazier taking a more aggressive approach. In its past three games, Buffalo has generated 13 sacks and seven takeaways which is a big difference from its first six outings in which it combined for 11 sacks and seven takeaways. However, they now face a very dynamic offense with Kyler Murray proving he is a star in the making. The Cardinals are ranked No. 1 in total offense including No. 2 in rushing offense. Arizona had its three-game winning streak snapped with a three-point loss to the Dolphins but it actually outgained Miami by 130 total yards as it was hurt by a costly fumble that was returned for a touchdown. Arizona is 7-0 ATS defenses allowing 7 or more passing ypa while going 26-11 ATS in home games off a home loss. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off an upset win by 10 or more as a home underdog, after the first month of the season. This situation is 42-17 ATS (71.2 percent) since 1983. 9* (268) Arizona Cardinals |
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11-15-20 | Chargers +1.5 v. Dolphins | 21-29 | Loss | -107 | 27 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CHARGERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Chargers are 2-6, with their losses by a combined 24 points, but quarterback Justin Herbert has been terrific since becoming the starter in Week Two. He has 2,146 yards with 17 touchdowns and just five picks for a passer rating of 104.7. Despite losses in the last two games against Denver and Las Vegas, the Chargers won the yardage battle in both games by 134 and 120 yards, respectively. Miami has won four straight games including the last two with Tua Tagovailoa behind center but those games were won with smoke and mirrors as the Dolphins were outgained by 426 total yards. They scored three defensive/special teams touchdowns over that stretch. The defense is getting a lot of credit but Miami is just No. 22 in total defense including No. 26 against the pass and No. 21 against the run. The Chargers are 7-0 ATS in their last seven road games after scoring 25 points or more in 4 straight games while Miami is 5-20 ATS in its last 25 home games after a win by three or less points. Here, we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after scoring 25 points or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored. This situation is 57-23 ATS (71.2 percent) since 1983. 9* (277) Los Angeles Chargers |
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11-14-20 | Wisconsin v. Michigan +5 | 49-11 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MICHIGAN WOLVERINES for our CFB Saturday Star Attraction. Michigan has lost two straight games after beating Minnesota in its opener. The Wolverines were 23-point favorites against in-state rival Michigan St. and failed to force a turnover in a 27-24 loss. Michigan then lost to Indiana for the first time in 33 years and it was not close as the Wolverines allowed 342 passing yards and once again did not force a turnover in the 38-21 loss. Michigan is not in the Top 25 poll for the first time since the end of the 2017 season and while the last two losses have not been good, this team is better than that and is in a great situation here. Wisconsin rolled over Illinois in its opener but has not played the last two weeks because of COVID yet comes in as a road favorite. Wisconsin is the team that had the outbreaks, not their opponents, and that means they went a significant time without having players going through workouts and in practice together. The Badgers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a losing record while Michigan is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 home games after a game where it forced one or less turnovers. 9* (162) Michigan Wolverines |
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11-14-20 | Army v. Tulane -3 | Top | 12-38 | Win | 100 | 20 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the TULANE GREEN WAVE for our CFB Saturday Blowout Game of the Year. Army is off to a 6-1 start and became the first team to accept a bowl invitation this season when it reached six victories by defeating Mercer 49-3 on Oct. 24. The Black Knights are scheduled to face a Pac-12 opponent in the Independence Bowl. They have won four straight games but three of those were against FCS teams and the other three victories teams that are a combined 6-17. Tulane has won two straight games to move to 4-4 on the season. With Tulane, its passing defense has been bad but that will not come into play here against a basic run only team. The improved play of the Tulane run defense and especially its defensive line has been important the last two weeks. The Green Wave held Temple to 77 rushing yards on 36 attempts, then limited East Carolina to 35 yards on 29 rushes. Tulane has the No. 3 rushing offense in the AAC, averaging 230.8 ypg. Here, we play on teams in a game involving two teams averaging 4.8 or more ypc, after allowing 40 or less rushing yards last game. This situation is 33-8 ATS (80.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (204) Tulane Green Wave |
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11-13-20 | Iowa v. Minnesota +4 | Top | 35-7 | Loss | -112 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. We won with Iowa last week but will be going against the Hawkeyes this week as a road chalk. The Iowa defense made life miserable for Michigan St. quarterbacks last week, producing two sacks, three interceptions and five quarterback hurries while forcing the Spartans into 21 incompletions in their blowout victory. Minnesota defeated host Illinois 41-14 on Saturday behind a standout performance from running back Mohamed Ibrahim, who rushed 30 times for 224 yards and four touchdowns. Gophers quarterback Tanner Morgan is 16-6 as a starter and has completed 61.6 percent of his passes this season, completing 45-of-73 passes for 602 yards. The Gophers are second in the Big Ten with 15 touchdowns through three games and they are averaging 36.3 ppg, which ranks fourth in the conference. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 24 points or more in the first half last game. This situation is 39-13 ATS (75 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (128) Minnesota Golden Gophers |
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11-12-20 | Colts +1 v. Titans | Top | 34-17 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. Tennessee snapped a two-game losing skid with a win over Chicago but it was skewed as the Titans were outgained by 147 total yards. They have not topped 24 points in three straight games, and slow starts have been an issue, only one field goal in the first quarter combined in that span. As effective as the Bears were in slowing the Titans offense, the Colts defense is rated even higher and they pair it with a better offense. Indianapolis is ranked first in the NFL in total defense while coming in at No. 3 in both rushing defense and scoring defense. The Indianapolis defense turned in another strong performance last week, holding the Ravens almost 40 percent below their average rushing total while allowing just 266 total yards. On the other side, nobody has allowed fewer sacks than the Colts, who have given up only eight. The Colts are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games following a double-digit loss at home while the Titans are 1-5 ATS in their last six games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. 10* (121) Indianapolis Colts |
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11-11-20 | Toledo v. Western Michigan -2 | Top | 38-41 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the WESTERN MICHIGAN BRONCOS for our CFB Wednesday Enforcer. Western Michigan was able to tune up with a nearly flawless 58-13 performance against Akron. The Broncos run defense might get hit for a big dash or two this week, but overall, the defense is just strong enough to a lot of bending, but not a lot of breaking. Coming into the season, Western Michigan quarterback Kaleb Eleby was targeted to solve all of his Broncos offensive concerns if he is as good as advertised. He did not disappoint in the opener as he went 12-16 for 262 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions. Toledo is coming off an equally impressive performance as it hammered Bowling Green, 38-3, scoring 21 first quarter points and never looking back. The Broncos will have to get off to a fast start against Toledo after the Rockets took a 24-7 halftime lead and held on for a 31-24 win last season in Toledo. The Rockets are 0-6 ATS in their last six games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game while the Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a home favorite. 10* (120) Western Michigan Broncos |
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11-09-20 | Patriots v. Jets +10 | Top | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK JETS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. This is not a matchup that many will be wanting to witness but it is an intriguing game to see which team can bounce back. The Patriots are 2-5, well back of first place in the AFC East. Injuries have played havoc on the Patriots ability to establish consistency on both sides of the ball but it is mostly the offense that has struggled. They entered the week ranked 29th in the NFL averaging 19.4 ppg as part of the reason for their lack of production can be traced to their poor starts. A loss here would mark New England's first five-game losing streak since 1995. The Jets are winless at 0-8 and they have covered only one game this season which came in their last home game against a really good Buffalo team. Sam Darnold has been ruled out but that is not a bad thing as he has the worst passer rating in the NFL and he will be replaced by veteran Joe Flacco. Here, we play against underdogs or pickems averaging 5.3 or less ypa going up against teams allowing 7.3 or more ypa after allowing 8.0 or more passing ypa in their last game. This situation is 21-4 ATS (84 percent) since 1983. 10* (476) New York Jets |
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11-08-20 | Saints v. Bucs -4.5 | 38-3 | Loss | -109 | 56 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. Tampa Bay was just going through the motions last Monday against the Giants as it won by two points following a controversial no call on a Giants two-point conversion that would have put the game into overtime. It is safe to say the Buccaneers were in lookahead mode to this game considering this is a revenge game from Week One when the Saints won 34-23. This is a different team now as Tom Brady was playing his first game and the offense is now getting healthy and clicking. They did put up a clunker in their loss against the Bears but in the six wins surrounding that defeat, Tampa Bay has averaged 34.2 ppg. While the offense has been potent, the defense is even better as the Buccaneers are No. 3 in total defense including No. 1 against the rush. The Buccaneers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. New Orleans is a half-game behind Tampa Bay in the NFC South following a four-game winning streak. Those wins have been by just 3.8 ppg including two overtime wins by a field goal. New Orleans has won the yardage in six of seven games, the only exception being the game against Tampa Bay. The Saints are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win. 9* (474) Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
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11-08-20 | Dolphins v. Cardinals -4 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -115 | 53 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA CARDINALS for our NFL Blowout Game of the Year. Miami is coming off one of the more improbable wins we have ever seen. The Dolphins defeated the Rams 28-17 last Sunday despite being outgained by 326 total yards as they managed just 145 total yards and had only eight first downs. They took advantage of four turnovers, including a 78-yard fumble return for a touchdown, and an 88-yard punt return for a touchdown. It was the third straight win for Miami but the others came against the winless Jets and the banged up 49ers while its other victory earlier in the season came against 1-6 Jacksonville. While the Dolphins have the No. 1 scoring defense in the NFL, they are just No. 20 in total defense. The disparity is due to the defense has 13 takeaways which is tied for No. 5 in the league. Arizona does not give the ball away though as it has just nine giveaways and the offense has shifted into a new gear. The Cardinals are coming off their bye week and now possess the top ranked offense in the NFL, averaging 419.1 ypg. Arizona is 5-2 on the season with a scoring differential of +41 which is fourth best in the NFC. Here, we play against road underdogs or pickems off an upset win by 10 points or more as an underdog, in weeks 5 through 9. This situation is 56-25 ATS (69.1 percent) since 1983. 10* (472) Arizona Cardinals |
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11-08-20 | Ravens -1 v. Colts | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 49 h 0 m | Show | |
This is a play on the BALTIMORE RAVENS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. We lost with the Ravens last week despite the fact they outgained the Steelers by 236 total yards but four turnovers did them in. It was an incredibly rare loss historically as teams that rush for at least 250 yards and outgain their opponent by more than double are now 215-2-1. Baltimore is now 5-2 on the season but it has dropped four of its last five against the number and that is part of the reason this number has shrunk from an opener of -3. Baltimore has won nine straight road games, which is the longest active streak in the NFL, while the defense has forced a turnover in 20 straight games. The Ravens also have scored 20 or more points in 30 successive games, tied for the longest streak in NFL history and they also have rushed for 100 yards in 30 straight games. The Colts have won two straight games and five of their last six but of those five wins, only one has come against a winning team which is the Bears and they are one of the worst winning teams in the league. Here, we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after scoring 25 points or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored. This situation is 56-23 ATS (70.9 percent) since 1983. 9* (459) Baltimore Ravens |
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11-08-20 | Giants v. Washington Football Team -2.5 | 23-20 | Loss | -108 | 49 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON FOOTBALL TEAM for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. Washington can move within a half-game of idle, first-place Philadelphia in the NFC East by evening the season series with the Giants. That would make the Washington Football Team 3-1 in the division and only increase the confidence growing around the young team. They have played well in their last two games as they rolled over Dallas and lost to the Giants by just one point despite winning the yardage battle by 97 total yards. That makes this a revenge game for Washington which is laying a favorable number. The Washington defense has been excellent as it is ranked No. 4 overall and No. 1 against the pass, making this a good matchup here. This will be Washington's first home game this season with fans in attendance and while they will be limited, it still makes a difference. The Giants are coming off a really good game Monday night against Tampa Bay as it was a two-point conversion away from sending the game into overtime. Even though this is a revenge game, that could spell a letdown. Here, we play against road underdogs or pickems with a winning percentage of 25 percent or worse after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, playing a team with a losing record. This situation is 29-7 ATS (80.6 percent) since 1983. 9* (466) Washington Football Team |
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11-07-20 | Washington State v. Oregon State -1.5 | 38-28 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a play on the OREGON ST. BEAVERS CFB Saturday Late Night Beatdown. This is the opening game for both teams and Oregon St. has the clear edge playing at home and laying a very short price. Oregon St. averaged 31.2 ppg in 2019, the second-best mark in program history for a 12-game season, and it hopes to keep that going this season even with a switch at quarterback. The key component is the offensive line as the starters have combined to start 83 games entering 2020. The Beavers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall. The Cougars have an entirely new coaching staff, did not have spring practice, are breaking in a new quarterback and do not exactly strike fear in opponents defensively. Washington St. will be starting freshman Jayden de Laura at quarterback, now that he has won the competition in camp for the job. The Cougars lost most of their top receivers from a year ago as well so it could be a challenge for new head coach Nick Rolovich to build a strong offense early in the season. The Cougars are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games. 9* (362) Oregon St. Beavers |
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11-07-20 | Florida v. Georgia -3 | 44-28 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a play on the GEORGIA BULLDOGS CFB Saturday Star Attraction. Georgia is coming off a pedestrian 14-3 win over Kentucky last Saturday but the defense proved how good it is. It was a ball-control offensive approach that allowed the Bulldogs to find the end zone twice in a game that was a defensive struggle. Given that Kentucky is a solid defensive team, this bodes well for Georgia going up against a Florida squad that is better known for its passing attack. Georgia has played tremendously well defensively in all of its wins this season. While the team did fall apart in the second half of the Alabama game nearly a month ago, Georgia did lead heading into halftime. The Bulldogs may have the most complete and dominant defense in the country. Florida rolled past Missouri and will be looking to snap a three-game losing streak in this series. They were exposed against Texas A&M which can happen here as well. The Gators are 1-6 ATS in their last seven neutral site games as an underdog while the Bulldogs are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games as a favorite. 9* (382) Georgia Bulldogs |
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11-07-20 | Maryland +25 v. Penn State | 35-19 | Win | 100 | 51 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MARYLAND TERRAPINS for our CFB Saturday Ultimate Underdog. After getting blown out in its opener against Northwestern, Maryland bounced back with an overtime win over Minnesota last week, outgaining the Gophers by 224 total yards. That was a big confident-boosting win for the Terrapins and they are catching an even bigger number this week. Quarterback Taulia Tagovailoa went 26 for 35 for 394 yards and three touchdowns. Penn St. lost its opening game in overtime against Indiana and then got blasted by Ohio St., getting outgained by 201 total yards. The mindset of the Nittany Lions has to be in question as they are out of contention already for the Big Ten Championship and any sort of big bowl game. Penn St. is 3-17 ATS in its last 20 games coming off a loss while going 0-8 ATS in its last eight home games coming off a home loss. Here, we play against home teams with two teams at -0.75 or worse tpg, after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. This situation is 48-20 ATS (70.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (343) Maryland Terrapins |
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11-07-20 | Houston +13.5 v. Cincinnati | Top | 10-38 | Loss | -105 | 51 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS for our CFB Saturday AAC Game of the Year. Houston got blasted at UCF last week 44-21 as it was outgained by 247 total yards. That will not instill a lot of confidence on the Cougars but they are in a great spot while catching a huge number. Houston is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games as a double-digit underdog including 8-1 ATS when sitting at .500 or better. After crushing a good SMU team, Cincinnati exacted a measure of revenge against Memphis last Saturday, rolling to a 49-10 victory over the Tigers. Memphis handed the Bearcats a pair of losses last season, including a 29-24 decision in the AAC Championship one week after beating Cincinnati in the season finale. The Bearcats defense is excellent as they are No. 18 overall and No. 8 in scoring defense and this is by far their strength but Houston does possess a solid offense even without receiver Marquez Stevenson. Cincinnati has put together two straight near perfect games so putting up another one is a stretch in what clearly is a letdown situation. 10* (327) Houston Cougars |
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11-07-20 | Michigan State v. Iowa -6.5 | 7-49 | Win | 100 | 47 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a play on the IOWA HAWKEYES for our CFB Saturday Supreme Annihilator. We lost with Iowa last week as it was unable to hold on to a 17-0 lead after the first quarter as the Hawkeyes managed just three points in the last three quarters. This came after a loss to Purdue in its season opener and Iowa had not lost its first two games since the 2000 season. The two losses have been by a combined five points and the Hawkeyes won the yardage battle in both games. Iowa is 18-9-1 ATS in its last 28 games coming off a loss as a favorite. Michigan St. is coming off a huge upset over rival Michigan as it won 27-24. This came after a clunker where the Spartans lost to Rutgers at home by 11 points no thanks to having seven turnovers. Because of that victory coupled with the Iowa losses, this line is filled with value as the Spartans were getting three touchdowns last week and that has been cut by two touchdowns. The Spartans are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. 9* (350) Iowa Hawkeyes |
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11-06-20 | BYU v. Boise State +3 | Top | 51-17 | Loss | -105 | 54 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOISE ST. BRONCOS for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. BYU comes in with a perfect 7-0 record, winning all but one of its games by double digits. This will be the biggest test to date however even though Boise St. has played just two games. BYU did not practice on Sunday, per its own rules, and by NCAA dictates could not practice on Tuesday so that means BYU had and has three days to get ready. Boise has already disassembled Utah St. and Air Force, taking those victories with the same ease and comfort the Cougars have taken theirs. While Zach Wilson is having a fantastic season as the BYU quarterback, the Boise St. pass defense has been solid so far, allowing just 80.5 ypg which is No. 1 in the country. Boise St. is 7-3 all-time against BYU, including an unblemished 5-0 record on the blue turf at Albertsons Stadium and the Broncos will be playing with revenge following a 28-25 loss at BYU last season as a touchdown favorite. Boise St. is 20-8 ATS in its last 28 home games after scoring 35 points or more in a win over a conference rival while the Cougars are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Here, we play on home underdogs after scoring 42 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 60-27 ATS (69 percent) since 1992. 10* (314) Boise St. Broncos |
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11-05-20 | Wyoming v. Colorado State +3.5 | Top | 24-34 | Win | 100 | 33 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the COLORADO ST. RAMS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. Colorado St. is coming off a 21-point loss despite getting outgained by just 60 total yards. As the teams get ready for the 112th rendition of the Border War, the Rams are deciding between two quarterbacks as coach Steve Addazio said he has already decided on a starter between Patrick O’Brien and Todd Centeio, but it is not being made public and that is a big disadvantage for the Wyoming defense in preparation for this one. Achieving a balance between the two could undoubtedly pay dividends against Wyoming especially given the difficulty of devising a sound multi-quarterback game plan for opposing defenses. Colorado St. will get back one of its more explosive athletes in receiver/kick returner Dante Wright, who was not available for the opener. Aside from a couple of substantial bursts from Ronnie Rivers, Colorado St. contained the Fresno St. rushing attack to an encouraging extent upon holding the Bulldogs to a mere two ypc on 43 attempts. The Rams are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game while going 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points. 10* (306) Colorado St. Rams |
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11-05-20 | Packers -5.5 v. 49ers | Top | 34-17 | Win | 100 | 36 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. The Packers are coming off a loss against Minnesota despite outgaining the Vikings by 76 total yards as they were killed by Dalvin Cook and his 226 total yards and four touchdowns. Green Bay is thin at running back so the passing game and Aaron Rodgers will be big as usual. Davante Adams has been terrorizing secondaries since returning from a hamstring injury that sidelined him for two and a half games as he has 20 catches for 249 yards and five touchdowns in the last two games, including three against the Vikings Sunday. The offensive line remains outstanding as they have given up just eight sacks this season, the third-fewest in the league. Making it even more impressive is that All-Pro left tackle David Bakhtiari has missed the last two games but has a good chance to be back on Thursday. The 49ers injuries continue to mount up as Jimmy Garoppolo and George Kittle are both back on the injury list. The Packers are 6-0 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss. Here, we play on road teams after five consecutive games where they forced one or less turnovers going up against an opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. This situation is 36-13 ATS (73.5 percent) since 1983. 10* (301) Green Bay Packers |
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11-04-20 | Buffalo v. Northern Illinois +13.5 | Top | 49-30 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTHERN ILLINOIS HUSKIES for our CFB Wednesday Enforcer. Northern Illinois opens the season at home and as a significant underdog with a lot of this based on the results from last season. While the Huskies lost Tre Harbison, their leading rusher in 2019, they return quarterback Ross Bowers, who threw for 2,130 yards on 166-for-287 passing last season, and averaged 236.7 yards per game while throwing for at least 200 yards in seven of the nine games in which he played. With a multi-dimensional offense, playmaking at both running back and wide receiver, and a strong-armed quarterback, Northern Illinois distinguishes itself positively from Bulls offense. Buffalo comes into this season with high expectations as they finished with the best overall record in the MAC last season but 8-5 overall is nothing to get overly excited about. Buffalo has no clear starting quarterback as it took almost up to game time to name the starter. This is a run first team and the Huskies front seven has the capability to slow them down as the passing attack will not be able to take over. Northern Illinois is 5-0 ATS as home underdogs in MAC games over the last two seasons. 10* (294) Northern Illinois Huskies |
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11-02-20 | Bucs v. Giants +13 | Top | 25-23 | Win | 100 | 14 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK GIANTS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. The Buccaneers sit atop the NFC South standings thanks to a 5-2 record and come in with a two-game winning streak. They are laying a big number here which is no surprise but this is a tough test based on the situation. This will be the Buccaneers third road game over the last four weeks in a stretch that featured games against the Bears and Packers. Also, there is a massive look-ahead factor with a home game against the Saints coming up, a team they lost to back in Week One. The Giants have had extra time to prepare for this one following a tough loss against the Eagles last Thursday after blowing a 22-10 lead. The defense does not get enough credit for what it has done, limiting four teams to 24 points or less. The Buccaneers are 3-7-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points while the Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last five games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play against road favorites that are outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg, after a win by 10 or more points. This situation is 51-20 ATS (71.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (274) New York Giants |
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11-01-20 | Cowboys +9 v. Eagles | 9-23 | Loss | -109 | 76 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a play on the DALLAS COWBOYS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. The Cowboys struggles are well known as they fell to 2-5 following their second straight blowout loss in which they lost their second quarterback with Andy Dalton nearly getting his head taken off. He is questionable and if Dalton is out Sunday, Ben DiNucci is slated to be the starter which does not inspire a ton of confidence but that has been taken into consideration in this line. Dallas has not covered a single spread this season, going 0-7 ATS and that is putting the majority of money on the Eagles which makes this the perfect contrarian situation. Ezekiel Elliott still does not have a 100-yard outing and he had never gone more than two games deep in a season without hitting 100 yards. That should change against a bad Philadelphia rushing defense. The Eagles secured their second win of the season in a come-from-behind win over the Giants and while injuries are plaguing the Cowboys, it is not much better for Philadelphia either. The offense has struggled behind a busted up offensive line as they are ranked No. 25 overall and No. 24 in scoring. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that are being outscored by opponents by seven or more ppg, after scoring seven points or less in the first half in two straight games. This situation is 122-66 ATS (64.9 percent) since 1983. 9* (271) Dallas Cowboys |
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11-01-20 | 49ers v. Seahawks -3 | 27-37 | Win | 106 | 73 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. Seattle is coming off its first loss of the season as it lost in overtime against Arizona despite outgaining the Cardinals by 53 total yards. The offense racked up 572 yards of total offense but the defense let the Seahawks down and it was the first time that it bit them. They return home where they are 3-0 but a play in each of those games going against them could make them 0-3 as they were outgained in all three of those games. The historically bad defense has caught up with the lines as this number has been bet down from an opening of five to its current number. The Seahawks are 6-0 ATS in their last six games after allowing 350 or more passing yards in their last game. San Francisco has won two straight games but this remains banged up as the injury list is significant. Last week they outgained New England by 226 total yards and the 33-6 defeat was the worst home loss for the Patriots ever under Bill Belichick and that is certainly playing a part with this number as well. San Francisco is 6-16 ATS in its last 22 road games after allowing six points or less last game. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing six points or less last game going up against an opponent after a loss by three or less points. This situation is 33-8 ATS (80.5 percent) since 1983. 9* (270) Seattle Seahawks |
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11-01-20 | Steelers v. Ravens -3.5 | Top | 28-24 | Loss | -110 | 70 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the BALTIMORE RAVENS for our AFC North Game of the Year. This is a rescheduled game as both Pittsburgh and Baltimore were supposed to be on their bye week. Instead the Steelers had their bye week in Week Four while the Ravens had their bye week last week which is a significant edge in this matchup. Pittsburgh is now the lone undefeated team in the NFL but we expect that to end abruptly on Sunday after coming of a physical game against the Titans only to face an ever tougher test against the Baltimore defense. The lookahead line in this game was -6 so the Steelers are getting a lot of credit with a lot of that based on the undefeated record obviously but also because they have covered four straight games. Pittsburgh is 6-16 ATS in its last 22 road games after a win by six or less points. Baltimore failed to cover its last game against the Eagles as it had a big lead only to let Philadelphia get back into it. Under head coach John Harbaugh, the Ravens are 12-3 after a bye wile going 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play on teams after a game where they committed one or less turnovers going up against an opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse. This situation is 72-34 ATS (67.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (282) Baltimore Ravens |
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11-01-20 | Titans v. Bengals +6 | 20-31 | Win | 100 | 69 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI BENGALS for our NFL Sunday Ultimate Underdog. Tennessee suffered its first loss of the season last week against the Steelers as it nearly rallied from a 27-7 deficit but just fell short and this despite a 3-0 turnover advantage. The Titans now hit the road for the first time since September 27 and as a significant favorite. Only one of their five wins has been by more than six points and even in that game against the Bills, they were outgained. The Titans are 6-19-1 ATS in their last 26 road games against teams with a losing home record. Cincinnati is coming off a tough loss against Cleveland and despite the 1-5-1 record, the Bengals have been more competitive than anyone would have thought. They had a bad loss at Baltimore but the other four losses have come by an average of 3.8 ppg and none by more than five points. Joe Burrow has proven to be the right choice for the No. 1 pick as he has been sensational as he has thrown for 300 or more yards in five of his last six games. Cincinnati is 23-9 ATS in its last 32 home games after allowing 300 or more passing yards in their last game. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points with a winning percentage of .250 or less off a loss by three points or less to a division rival, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) since 1983. 9* (258) Cincinnati Bengals |
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10-31-20 | Boise State v. Air Force +14.5 | 49-30 | Loss | -115 | 73 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a play on the AIR FORCE FALCONS for our CFB Saturday Ultimate Underdog. Boise St. opened its season with a resounding 42-13 win over rebuilding Utah St. which had to break in a new quarterback to replace Jordan Love. The Broncos are the team to beat in the Mountain West Conference, but they are definitely overvalued here as they were -17 at home last week and are now -14 on the road against a much better team than the Aggies. Name recognition plays a big role in this and that is surely taking place here. Air Force did itself no favors last week as it went to San Jose St. as more than a touchdown favorite only to leave with a 17-6 loss against the Spartans. It has been a weird season for the Falcons which opened with a big win over Navy by 33 points after not playing in September and then having 21 days off after that game so this being its first back-to-back game of the season is a big deal. Air Force has been great in these situations as it has gone 6-1 ATS in its last seven home games against undefeated teams and playing with revenge adds to that. Here, we play against road favorites off a home win by 17 points or more going up against an opponent off a loss as a road favorite of seven or more. This situation is 23-4 ATS (85.2 percent) since 1992. 9* (152) Air Force Falcons |
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10-31-20 | Northwestern v. Iowa -2 | Top | 21-20 | Loss | -117 | 71 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the IOWA HAWKEYES for our Big Ten Game of the Year. We are only one game into the Big Ten season, yet we are seeing overreactions, and this is one of those. Iowa got upset by Purdue in its season opener and it hopes to avoid their first 0-2 start in over a decade. The Hawkeyes return home and while home field advantage is not the same as it is in normal years, it is still a thing and Iowa is very undervalued here. While the Hawkeyes lost to Purdue, they outgained the Boilermakers by 74 yards but two lost fumbles were costly as were 10 penalties for 100 yards so it was a game they should have won. Northwestern is coming off a blowout victory over Maryland and it looks for their first 2-0 start since the 2015 season. The Wildcats offense rolled up 537 yards and the defense held the Terrapins to just 207 yards on 4.1 per play. A big win for sure but Maryland is arguably the worst power five team in the country. The offense will play with tempo and look to keep defenses off balance as it did against Maryland, but Iowa is a different animal in this situation which has turned into a must win spot. Under Kirk Ferentz, the Hawkeyes are 8-1 ATS off an upset loss as a road favorite while the Wildcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win. 10* (162) Iowa Hawkeyes |
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10-31-20 | Indiana v. Rutgers +11 | 37-21 | Loss | -110 | 71 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a play on the RUTGERS SCARLET KNIGHTS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. The Hoosiers are coming off a massive win over Penn St. as a touchdown home underdog. It was a controversial win for Indiana as a two-point conversion was upheld even though it could have gone either way. That being said, the Hoosiers snapped a 42-game losing streak against top ten teams, so it is safe to say it is letdown time and facing Rutgers even enhances that theory. While the win over the Nittany Lions was impressive, Indiana was outgained by 277 total yards and managed just 211 yards of offense. Rutgers is coming off a big win as well as it went on the road to defeat Michigan St. by 11 points. The Scarlet Knights snapped a 21-game Big Ten losing streak with victory for the return of head coach Greg Schiano. No letdown here though as this is a huge jump and Schiano has been here before so he knows how to handle the situation. Rutgers was getting 9.5 points at Michigan St. and is now getting 10 points at home against Indiana. What? Here, we play against road teams coming off a win over a conference rival as an underdog of six or more points going up against an opponent off a double digit road win. This situation is 60-25 ATS (70.6 percent) since 1992. 9* (134) Rutgers Scarlet Knights |
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10-31-20 | Coastal Carolina v. Georgia State +2.5 | 51-0 | Loss | -109 | 67 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a play on the GEORGIA ST. PANTHERS for our CFB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. Coastal Carolina is off to a perfect 5-0 start while covering four of those five games and the Chanticleers already have matched win totals from each of the past two seasons. Coastal Carolina football coach Jamey Chadwell is cautiously optimistic that injured starting quarterback Grayson McCall could play Saturday, but he is not close to 100 percent. This is another big conference road test and while it passed the first one at Louisiana, this one will be difficult. Georgia St. beat Coastal Carolina 31-21 a year ago and set a school record with 350 yards rushing, with three runners topping 100 yards. Georgia State is 0-7 against ranked opponents and lost to then-No. 19 Louisiana in overtime to open the season but is Coastal Carolina really a ranked team? Georgia St. is back home following a 1-1 road split as the offense continues to hum. The Panthers have scored at least 30 points in every game this season while quarterback Cornelious Brown IV is second in total offense in the Sun Belt with 275.8 ypg. Here, we play on home teams averaging 4.8 or more ypc going up against teams averaging between 4.3 and 4.8 ypc, after allowing 100 or fewer rushing yards last game. This situation is 35-10 ATS (77.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (130) Georgia St. Panthers |
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10-31-20 | Memphis v. Cincinnati -6.5 | 10-49 | Win | 100 | 67 h 0 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI BEARCATS for our CFB Saturday Star Attraction. Cincinnati is coming off a big win at SMU last weekend but that does not mean a letdown is in order as the Bearcats now control their own destiny to make it to a New Years Six bowl game and with the uncertainty of everything, a CFP big is not out of the question should they run the table. A win here will amplify that against a solid Memphis team and there is extra incentive here as well. The Bearcats are out for revenge for not one, but two losses against the Tigers last season including a defeat in the AAC Championship. All four victories have come by double-digits and while the last win came against a solid SMU team, another win came against Army which is the Black Knights only loss of the season. Memphis is 3-1 with its lone loss coming against SMU by a field goal so the Tigers could very well be 4-0 as well. After the loss to the Mustangs, Memphis defeated UCF and Temple but was outgained in both games so wins could have turned into losses. Here, we play on home teams averaging 4.8 or more ypc going up against teams averaging between 4.3 and 4.8 ypc, after allowing 100 or fewer rushing yards last game. This situation is 35-10 ATS (77.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (138) Cincinnati Bearcats |
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10-30-20 | Hawaii -1 v. Wyoming | Top | 7-31 | Loss | -107 | 58 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the HAWAII WARRIORS for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. Hawaii is coming off a win in its season opener at Fresno St. as the Warriors racked up 552 total yards with 323 on the ground, while the defense forced four turnovers for a plus-3 ratio. The Warriors hit the mainland for a second straight week which is typically not a great thing, but the matchup situation is on their side again. The Hawaii offense is led by quarterback Chevan Corderio, as he led the team in rushing with 116 yards and two touchdowns while going 20-31 through the air for 229 yards. The Warriors outgained the Bulldogs by 143 yards. Wyoming lost at Nevada in overtime, but the game was not that close as the Cowboys were outgained by 135 total yards. Wyoming quarterback Levi Williams is stepping into the starting role in place of Sean Chambers following yet another injury to Chambers. There is plenty of room for improvement for the offense after the Cowboys struggled to muster much of anything last week before a big fourth quarter. This will be just the second career start for Williams, and this will be the second straight game to begin the season for Hawaii to face an inexperienced quarterback in its war dog defense. Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 after a road game where both teams scored 31 points or more going up against an opponent off a double digit road win. This situation is 27-6 ATS (81.8 percent) since 1992. 10* (141) Hawaii Warriors |
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10-29-20 | Falcons +3 v. Panthers | Top | 25-17 | Win | 100 | 54 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA FALCONS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. Atlanta is coming off another brutal loss to fall to 1-6 in this already lost season. Detroit drove down the field, 75 yards in eight plays, and scored on an 11-yard touchdown pass as time expired. Give this team credit however as the Falcons continue to fight every week as they have been outgained by just 174 total yards and they are only -23 in scoring differential as four of their six losses have come by just one possession including three by four points or less. Atlanta will be out for revenge following a seven-point loss to the Panthers in Week Five, but it was without Julio Jones and Matt Ryan had his worst game of the season as he threw for just 226 yards with no touchdowns and one interception. The Falcons are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as a road underdog. Carolina is coming off a loss at New Orleans to fall to 3-4. While the Panthers lost by just three points, they were outgained by 132 total yards and managed just 283 total yards. Running back Christian McCaffrey is off the IR but is a longshot to play. The Panthers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite. Here, we play against home favorites with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 after covering the spread in four out of their last five games, playing a losing team. This situation is 32-9 ATS (78 percent) since 1983. 10* (101) Atlanta Falcons |
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10-29-20 | South Alabama v. Georgia Southern -5 | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 55 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the GEORGIA SOUTHERN EAGLES for our CFB Thursday Enforcer. South Alabama is 3-2 on the season following a pair of wins the last two weeks. It is a very skewed record however as the Jaguars have defeated Texas St., UL-Monroe and Southern Mississippi which are a combined 2-16 this season. This is a horrible scheduling situation as South Alabama has played four straight home games so this will be its first road game in 56 days, and it has to do it on a short week. South Alabama is 0-9 ATS in its last nine games when playing against teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600. Georgia Southern is coming off a loss to fall to 3-2 on the season with the losses coming against Coastal Carolina and Louisiana which are a combined 9-1. Georgia Southern averages 248.6 ypg on the ground which in No. 13 in the country, and South Alabama has given up 396 rushing yards in its two losses so the Panthers will be able to control the line of scrimmage similar to last season where they rushed for 310 yards. The Panthers will have to pass the ball to open up that running game and they will have success here against a Jaguars defense that is horrible against the pass. The Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points allowing 5.8 or more yppl, after gaining 225 or less total yards in their previous game. This situation is 25-4 ATS (86.2 percent) since 1992. 10* (104) Georgia Southern Eagles |
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10-26-20 | Bears v. Rams -5.5 | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. Nobody is talking about the 5-1 Bears and for good reason. Their defense is particularly good as usual, but the offense is one of the worst in the league as they are ranked No. 27 or lower in total offense, rushing offense, passing offense and scoring offense. Chicago does own a win over Tampa Bay, but it was outgained in that game by 96 yards and overall, it has been outgained in five of six games on the season. The Rams are coming off a loss to the 49ers to fall to 4-2 on the season but with the Seahawks loss last night, they can stay right in the mix with a victory tonight. Chicago ranks top-10 in pass yards allowed per game and has surrendered a league-best one touchdown to a wide receiver, but the Robert Woods/Cooper Kupp duo will be their toughest test to date. The Bears are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning record while going 8-24 in their last 32 road games against teams averaging 375 or more ypg. The Rams are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS loss. 10* (476) Los Angeles Rams |
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10-25-20 | Seahawks v. Cardinals +3.5 | Top | 34-37 | Win | 100 | 28 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARIZONA CARDINALS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. Seattle is one of three remaining undefeated teams in the league and we fell that there will be just one after Sunday as the other two teams square off against each other. The Seahawks are the worst of the undefeated teams as they have been outgained in all five games and by an average of 75 ppg. They are dead last in total defense and while it is a small sample size, it is the worst defense in yards allowed in the history of the league should this pace continue. Seattle will be missing All-Pro safety Jamal Adams who has been ruled out for the third straight game due to a groin injury. Arizona is rolling along as following a 31-10 win over the Cowboys last week, the Cardinals are 4-2 which is their best start since 2015. Possessing one of the most productive offenses led by Kyler Murray and receiver DeAndre Hopkins as well as the No. 2 scoring defense, Arizona has arrived as a contender. Arizona is 6-0 ATS in its last six games against teams allowing 7.0 or more passing ypa. 10* (468) Arizona Cardinals |
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10-25-20 | Bucs v. Raiders +4.5 | 45-20 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a play on the LAS VEGAS RAIDERS for our NFL Sunday Late Afternoon Winner. This is an ADD ON due to the Raiders offensive line being cleared to play after it was possible that the entire starting linemen would miss this game due to COVID-19. Tampa Bay is coming off an upset win over previously undefeated Green Bay and now the Buccaneers head west in a possible trap game. They are now 4-2 and sit atop the NFC South thanks mostly to the top ranked defense in the NFL. The Raiders offense is ranked No. 6 in both total offense and scoring offense and with the entire offensive line able to play, they can have success here. On the other side, the pass rush will be the most important element of the Raiders defense. Here, we play against road teams coming off an upset win by 21 or more points as an underdog going up against an opponent off a win against a division rival. This situation is 22-4 ATS (84.6 percent) since 1983. 9* (474) Las Vegas Raiders |
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10-25-20 | Packers -3 v. Texans | 35-20 | Win | 100 | 21 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Packers dropped their first game of the season last week against Tampa Bay as they built a 10-0 lead, but a pair of interceptions changed momentum and the Buccaneers scored 38 unanswered points. Expect Green Bay to bounce back here, especially Aaron Rodgers. He is coming off a dreadful performance as he committed his first turnovers of the season while completing just 47.5 percent of his passes. He goes up against a Houston passing defense that has allowed 13 touchdowns, tied for No. 25 in the league while picking off just one pass, tied for lowest in the NFL. Additionally, the Texans are allowing a 69.6 completion percentage. Houston is coming off an overtime loss against Tennessee to fall to 1-5 on the season and even with a strong passing game, they are outmatched in this one. Here, we play against underdogs or pickems that are averaging 5.7 or more yppl, after being outgained 100 or more total yards last game. This situation is 92-49 ATS (65.2 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (465) Green Bay Packers |
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10-25-20 | Steelers +1.5 v. Titans | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 21 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH STEELERS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. This is the game of the day as both Pittsburgh and Tennessee come in at 5-0. The Titans may be a bit overrated however as four of the five wins have come by a combined 12 points, and all against losing teams, while in the lone blowout win, they were outgained by Buffalo. Pittsburgh has played a weak schedule as well, but it has been more dominant with a +65 scoring differential, which is second best in football. The Steelers defense is second-best in the league as well as second against the rush which is important against the Titans. A big reason the Steelers defense has forced and capitalized on turnovers is their elite pass-rushing abilities as the unit leads the league with 24 sacks. On the other side, Tennessee allows 129 more ypg on defense than the Steelers. Here, we play against home teams in a game involving two teams averaging 1.25 or fewer turnovers per game, after a game where they forced no turnovers. This situation is 29-8 ATS (78.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (477) Pittsburgh Steelers |
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10-24-20 | South Carolina v. LSU -5.5 | 24-52 | Win | 100 | 29 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a play on the LSU TIGERS for our CFB Saturday Star Attraction. South Carolina is coming off an upset win against Auburn to improve to 2-2 on the season. Auburn had 27-20 first down and 481-297 yardage advantage but had three costly turnovers that led to three South Carolina touchdowns. The only other win came against lowly Vanderbilt. LSU is just 1-2 with the only win coming against that same Vanderbilt team but this is a great situational spot. The Tigers are coming off a bye week following a loss at Missouri in a game that was supposed to be a home one but had to be moved because of the hurricane. The run defense has not been a major problem in 2020. It is the pass defense that is the issue. The Tigers currently rank No. 20 in run defense. On offense, LSU absolutely must run the ball. That starts with the Tigers getting back one of their best overall players in offensive guard Ed Ingram. But the Tigers also need to throw the football early in the game to prove to South Carolina it cannot just stay in an aggressive defensive front. The Gamecocks are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game while the Tigers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. 9* (362) LSU Tigers |
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10-24-20 | Notre Dame v. Pittsburgh +10 | 45-3 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 60 m | Show | |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PANTHERS for our CFB Saturday Ultimate Underdog. Notre Dame is off to a great start but the four teams it has beaten are a combined 3-16 against FBS teams this year. The Irish have played their first four games at home, so this is the first time they have travelled. While the Panthers have dropped three straight games following a 3-0 start, they feature one of the best pass rushes in the nation and have developed a habit under sixth-year head coach Pat Narduzzi of pulling off the occasional stunner. A pair of one-point losses to North Carolina St. and Boston College cooled the early momentum and you know the Panthers will be fired up with Notre Dame making the visit. It is a pass-heavy offense, with Pittsburgh averaging 39.3 pass attempts per game and this will be the second start for Joey Yellen at quarterback over an injured Kenny Pickett. Yellen through for 277 yards last week. The Fighting Irish are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game while the Panthers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. 9* (318) Pittsburgh Panthers |
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10-24-20 | Virginia Tech v. Wake Forest +10 | Top | 16-23 | Win | 100 | 26 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the WAKE FOREST DEMON DEACONS for our CFB ACC Game of the Year. Virginia Tech is off to a 3-1 start, but it is just +51 in total yards in those four games. The Hokies are coming off a 40-14 win over Boston College, but they won the yardage battle by only 26 points but benefitted from a +5-turnover differential. Wake Forest is 2-2 and has arguably played better than that. The Demon Deacons have won two straight games following an opening loss against Clemson and then a three-point loss against NC State. The Wake Forest defense came out of the halftime locker room and executed its adjustments to hold Virginia to three second-half points last week. After struggling defensively in games against Clemson and NC State, it was more of the same in the first half against Virginia, which used three different quarterbacks. The Demon Deacons will do all they can to prevent the comfort of normalcy. While the Hokies forced five turnovers by the Eagles, Wake Forest has committed one all season. The Hokies are 7-23 ATS in their last 30 games as a road favorite while the Demon Deacons are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games. 10* (324) Wake Forest Demon Deacons |
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10-24-20 | Florida State v. Louisville -4 | 16-48 | Win | 100 | 23 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a play on the LOUISVILLE CARDINALS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. Florida St. is coming off an upset win against North Carolina last week, but it had 11 fewer first downs and was outgained by 126 total yards. The Seminoles are now 2-3 and the only time they have won the yardage battle came against Jacksonville St. of the FCS. Tackling effectively has been such an issue in their losses, especially when a team like Notre Dame ran right through them in the opening half. Louisville is off to a disappointing 1-4 start but played Notre Dame and Pittsburgh extremely tough, losing by a combined eight points, and actually outgained Miami in its first loss of the season. The Cardinals have not been as explosive as expected so the margin of error for the Cardinals is slim, and it is not helping it with penalties and negative plays. If Louisville can finally win the turnover margin, something it has yet to do this season, it gives itself a good chance to snap its losing streak. The Seminoles are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games off an upset win as an underdog while the Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last four games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. 9* (314) Louisville Cardinals |
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10-23-20 | UL-Lafayette v. UAB +2.5 | Top | 24-20 | Loss | -109 | 32 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the UAB BLAZERS for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. Following an opening loss against Miami, UAB has run off three straight wins, outgaining all three opponents and by an average of 143.7 ypg. The defense once again leads the way as opposing offenses have only converted six of their last 37 attempts on third down. In the last three games, UAB is only allowing 12.3 ppg. The Blazers are 17th overall in total defense, ninth with 15 sacks, third in passing defense and 10th in tackles for losses. The Blazers have gone from slight home favorites to slight home underdogs which is surprising considering UAB is getting the majority of bets, so we are benefiting from the reverse line move. The Blazers have won 21 straight home games, going 15-4-2 ATS over that stretch. Louisiana is coming off a lost against Coastal Carolina and has failed to cover three straight games. Louisiana is 0-5 ATS in its last five games against winning teams while the Blazers are 26-9-1 ATS in their last 36 games as a home underdog. Here, we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 averaging 31 or more ppg, after allowing 17 points or less in three straight games. This situation is 33-9 ATS (78.6 percent) since 1992. 10* (310) UAB Blazers |
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10-22-20 | Giants v. Eagles -4.5 | Top | 21-22 | Loss | -104 | 29 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. While the Giants have looked better over their last two games, losing a close game against Dallas and defeating Washington last week, this offense remains extremely limited. They were outgained both times and put up just 240 yards against Washington. The Eagles put together a comeback last week against the Ravens but still fell short and are now 1-4-1. Injuries are the story for both teams, so the depth of the Eagles is an advantage. The New York offensive line might be in worse shape than the Eagles and the Giants are also without star running back Saquon Barkley, wide receiver Sterling Shepard, and thanks to an injury sustained in Week Six, they could possibly be without wide receiver Darius Slayton. Carson Wentz having a trustworthy receiver like Travis Fulgham opens up the playbook as the offense has been decimated with injuries. Still, in the end, they put up an average of 28.5 ppg against two of the best defenses in the league over the last two weeks. The Giants are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game while the Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last five Thursday games. 10* (304) Philadelphia Eagles |
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10-22-20 | Arkansas State +13.5 v. Appalachian State | Top | 17-45 | Loss | -105 | 30 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARKANSAS ST. RED WOLVES for our CFB Thursday Enforcer. Arkansas St. started the season with an admiral effort against Memphis and then went on the road to defeat Kansas St. but followed that up with a clunker against Coastal Carolina. Since then, the Red Wolves have two straight games, putting up 50 and 59 points in the process. An offense as dynamic as this, being a double-digit underdog is a sure take. Appalachian St. has yet to play a game in October as it went 2-1 in September but has failed to cover any of those games. Not playing for three weeks and not practicing for two weeks is n issue. The Red Wolves are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game while the Mountaineers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play on road underdogs with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 after covering the spread in four out of their last five games. This situation is 32-9 ATS (78 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (305) Arkansas St. Red Wolves |
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10-19-20 | Cardinals v. Cowboys -1 | Top | 38-10 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS COWBOYS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. The Cowboys are off to a 2-3 start but still lead the NFC East thanks to the other three teams possessing just one victory. The string of 72 straight starts for Dak Prescott to begin his career will end Monday when Andy Dalton makes his initial start as a Cowboy and his first start in anything other than a Bengals uniform. We saw last week what he is still capable of and with the weapons around him, he can thrive in this situation. So, the Cowboys not only get a proven starter but one with something still to prove. Dallas comes in with the No. 1 offense in the league and it has outgained each of its last four opponents. The Cowboys can help ease the sting of losing Prescott by being more balanced on offense and having running back Ezekiel Elliott shoulder a larger share of the load. The Cardinals present a good opportunity for the Cowboys to establish a strong running game as they are allowing 4.5 ypg on the ground. The Cardinals are 1-8-2 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game while the Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last five Monday games. 10* (276) Dallas Cowboys |
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10-18-20 | Rams v. 49ers +3 | Top | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 26 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. The 49ers are off to a rough 2-3 start with both wins coming against the winless Jets and Giants. Injuries have played a big role in this, but they are getting healthier and this is a must win to stay alive in the NFC West. San Francisco quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo has a sprained right ankle and while it might not be at full strength just yet, it is as close as it has been since before he injured it back in Week Two. According to Pro Football Focus, Garoppolo threw just 13 percent of his total passes accurately, and he ended up with a 32.6 passing grade, which was good for the second-worst grade of the season. The Rams are 4-1 but all four wins have come against teams from the NFC East, easily the worst division in the NFL. The 49ers defense has been banged up but is still ranked No. 5 overall and No. 3 against the pass. The Rams are 0-7 ATS in their last seven road games after allowing 3.5 or less yppl in their previous game while the 49ers are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning record. 10* (274) San Francisco 49ers |
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10-18-20 | Packers v. Bucs +1.5 | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 23 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS for our NFL Sunday Ultimate Underdog. Tampa Bay is coming off a loss at Chicago last Thursday to fall to 3-2, snapping a three-game winning streak. The Buccaneers have won the yardage battle in four of their five games and the passing game is starting to click and receiver Chris Godwin is back this week. The Buccaneers are 2-0 when running for 115 yards or more, and Green Bay has allowed more than that in two of its four games. Overall, the Packers defense is 29th in efficiency which is not a good sign heading into this game. The Packers are 4-0 following their bye week and Aaron Rodgers has been outstanding. This is the toughest defense he will face however as Tampa Bay is ranked No. 2 in total defense and No. 1 in rushing defense. Tampa Bay is 15-4 ATS in its last 19 games coming off an upset loss as a road favorite. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 that are coming off an upset loss as a road favorite. This situation is 40-14 ATS (74.1 percent) since 1983. 9* (272) Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
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10-18-20 | Lions -3 v. Jaguars | Top | 34-16 | Win | 100 | 21 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT LIONS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. Detroit is coming off its bye week following a 35-29 loss against New Orleans and it is 1-7 ATS in its last eight games following a bye. The Lions have been competitive in two of their three losses and they have faced some tough defenses. That is not the case here as Jacksonville has allowed 30 or more points in four straight games. Matthew Stafford has not been great by his standards, but he picked up the aggression in the loss heading into the bye week, averaging a season-high 11 intended air yards per throw. In the lone win over the Colts, the Jaguars were actually outgained by 204 total yards but benefitted from three turnovers. Jacksonville is 8-20 ATS in its last 28 in home games after allowing 30 points or more last game. Here, we play against home underdogs or pickems that are being outgained by their opponents by 50 or more ypg, after allowing 375 or more total yards in two consecutive games. This situation is 29-7 ATS (80.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (253) Detroit Lions |
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10-18-20 | Washington Football Team v. Giants -2.5 | 19-20 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a play on the NEW YORK GIANTS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The two worst teams in the NFC East square off as the winless Giants face Washington which has lost four straight games by two or more touchdowns. The New York offense showed some life last Sunday against the Cowboys as the game was theirs for the taking but allowed a pair of field goals. The Giants defense has quietly seen solid as they are second the NFL with 31 stops behind the line of scrimmage. Meanwhile the Washington offense is ranked last in the NFL averaging just 263 ypg. Kyle Allen was able to get nothing going last week and he will be making the start again this week. Washington is 2-12 ATS in its last 14 games after 1 or more consecutive losses while the Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss. Here, we play against road teams averaging between 70 and 95 rushing ypg going up against a team allowing between 95 and 125rushing ypg, after being outrushed by 75 or more yards in two straight games. This situation is 47-19 ATS (71.2 percent) since 1983. 9* (260) New York Giants |
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10-17-20 | North Carolina v. Florida State +14 | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 51 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a play on the FLORIDA ST. SEMINOLES for our CFB Saturday Star Attraction. North Carolina is off to a 3-0 start and is now ranked No. 5 in the country which is a bit of a stretch at this point. Now the Tar Heels are overinflated on the road following a 56-45 win over Virginia Tech last week. That is a jump from No. 12 and while it is a unique season, the jump is unprecedented without a signature win. This is its highest ranking in more than two decades, even though they have yet to have a strong performance from their offense and defense in the same game. Florida St. is coming off its third ACC loss, the first time it is 0-3 in the conference since 2009. It is one of 14 teams nationally to rush for at least 250 yards and pass for at least 250 yards in a game this season. The Seminoles are much improved at quarterback with Jordan Travis as he was 13 of 24 for 204 yards while leading the Seminoles with 96 rushing yards and a touchdown last week against Notre Dame. The Tar Heels are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games against teams with a losing home record. While the fall at Florida St. has been big, getting double digits at home is a must take against a still unproven team. 9* (126) Florida St. Seminoles |
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10-17-20 | Marshall v. Louisiana Tech +13.5 | 35-17 | Loss | -105 | 49 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a play on the LOUISIANA TECH BULLDOGS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. Marshall is off to a 3-0 start and has covered all three games by an average of 22.3 ppg and this line is reflecting that, but it is too much of an overreaction. Last week, Marshall beat Western Kentucky 38-14, but it was a misleading final score as the Thundering Herd had just two more first downs and a 343-294 total yard edge. They were +3 in turnovers and all three led to touchdowns. This is the first 3-0 start for Marshall since 2014. The day before the game against UTEP last Saturday, Louisiana Tech lost both starting edge linemen due to COVID-19 related issues but both are expected to return this week. Those losses led to a smaller than anticipated win against the Miners by just four points. Nonetheless, the Bulldogs are 3-1 and catching double digits at home in what could be considered a preview for the C-USA Championship. This is a revenge game for Louisiana Tech, and it is 16-4 ATS in its last 20 revenge games as underdogs including 13-1 ATS in conference games while going 6-1 ATS in its last seven games after a loss by 20 or more points. Marshall is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 road games off a win by 21 points or more over a conference rival. 9* (162) Louisiana Tech Bulldogs |
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10-17-20 | North Texas +6.5 v. Middle Tennessee State | 52-35 | Win | 100 | 48 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a play on the NORTH TEXAS MEAN GREEN for our CFB Saturday Ultimate Underdog. North Texas and Middle Tennessee St. are both off to rough starts to the season, yet we are getting great value here with the Mean Green. North Texas heads into its game struggling defensively and ranks last in the conference in scoring defense (46.5 ppg), rushing defense (237 ypg) and passing defense (341.8 ypg). This is not necessarily a bad thing here as the Blue Raiders are averaging just 19.4 ppg as they are off to a 1-4 start. Things are better for the Mean Green offense as they are averaging 36 ppg behind quarterback Austin Aune who has completed 56 percent of his passes for 1,108 yards and eight touchdowns to just two interceptions. Receiver Jaelon Darden is a playmaker as last week, he caught 13 passes for 244 yards and three touchdowns against Charlotte. Overall, North Texas is ranked sixth in the country in total offense. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after allowing 37 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 37-10 ATS (78.7 percent) over the last five seasons. Definite upset ability here in this spot with the Blue Raiders favored for the first time this season. 9* (157) North Texas Mean Green |
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10-17-20 | Texas A&M v. Mississippi State +5.5 | Top | 28-14 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the MISSISSIPPI ST. BULLDOGS for our CFB SEC Game of the Year. Texas A&M kicked a field goal on the final play last week against Florida, notching its first win over a top-five team since 2014. This spells a big letdown for the Aggies and they are now favored on the road. After handing reigning national champion LSU its first loss since Nov. 24, 2018, Mississippi St. has dropped its last two contests to Arkansas and Kentucky. The Bulldogs fell to the Wildcats 24-2 last week but had a 18-10 first down edge and 295-157 total yard advantage but were -5 in turnovers. A loss like that can provide great motivation especially when the coach calls out the players after. The Aggies allowed have allowed 897 passing yards and nine touchdowns through the first three games of the season so we can expect Mississippi St. to get back on track on offense. Texas A&M is 7-18 ATS in its last 25 road games after gaining 450 or more total yards in two consecutive games. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points with a turnover margin of -2 per game or worse on the season, after 3 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. This situation is 33-10 ATS (76.7 percent) since 1992. 10* (144) Mississippi St. Bulldogs |
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10-16-20 | SMU v. Tulane +6.5 | Top | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 51 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the TULANE GREEN WAVE for our CFB Friday Enforcer. SMU comes in with a 4-0 record including a big win over Memphis last time out. While the win was big, the Mustangs lost leading wide receiver Reggie Roberson (22 catches, second-in-the-nation 474 yards, five touchdowns) and starting running back TJ McDaniel (60 carries, 297 yards) to season-ending injuries. Those are two huge losses for Houston which comes in ranked No. 4 in total offense. We feel the Mustangs are overinflated in this role as road favorites. Tulane is coming off a blowout loss against Houston as it jumped ahead 24-7 but then was outscored 42-7 the rest of the game. The issues have come in the second half this year, dropping Tulane to 0-2 in the conference for the first time since 2016. Tulane had its 56-game streak of rushing for at least 100 yards snapped last week at Houston. The 56-game streak dated back to the end of the 2015 season. The Green Wave are still averaging 242.8 ypg on the ground and the rushing attack should get back on trach here against a below average Houston rushing defense. SMU is 9-22 ATS in its last 31 road games against teams averaging 4.75 or more ypc while going 3-16 ATS in its last 19 games after a win by three or less points. Here, we play against teams after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game going up against an opponent after gaining 3.25 or less yppl in their previous game. This situation is 45-17 ATS (72.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (108) Tulane Green Wave |
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10-15-20 | Georgia State v. Arkansas State -3.5 | Top | 52-59 | Win | 100 | 31 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARKANSAS ST. RED WOLVES for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. Arkansas St. opened the season with a loss at Memphis that was closer than the 13-point deficit indicates and followed that up with a huge upset at Kansas St. Then the pandemic came into play with two straight weeks off before getting blown out by Coastal Carolina, but the Red Wolves bounced back with a 23-point win over Central Arkansas backed by a season high 573 yards on offense. Teams that are playing their fifth game of the season and playing their second straight home game following three straight road games are 15-3-1 ATS if their opponent is coming off a win. Georgia St. opened the season with a pair of losses before blowing out East Carolina by 20 points two weeks ago. The rushing offense leads the way, but the Panthers have been outrushed in two of three games and that is key for Arkansas St. which has been inconsistent in the running game but can get it going here which can help their passing game even more that is currently eighth in the country, averaging 342.5 ypg. The Red Wolves will be out to avenge a 52-38 loss last season where they allowed 722 total yards. The Panthers are 2-10-2 ATS in their last 14 road games while the Red Wolves are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up loss. 10* (106) Arkansas St. Red Wolves |
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10-14-20 | Coastal Carolina v. UL-Lafayette -7.5 | Top | 30-27 | Loss | -105 | 32 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOUISIANA RAGIN' CAJUNS for our CFB Wednesday Enforcer. Both Coastal Carolina and Louisiana come in at 3-0 but we fell there is a significant edge for the Cajuns as they have played the better schedule and has a better defense. Louisiana is ranked for the first time since 1943 as it owns a big win over Iowa St. to open the season and followed that up with a pair of close wins over Georgia St. and Georgia Southern. Those close wins came as double-digit favorites and now the line is significantly lower based on that and the hot start for the Chanticleers. They have won their three games by an average of 22 ppg albeit against much weaker competition. The Cajuns have a star in quarterback Levi Lewis while featuring a pair of running back weapons in Trey Ragas and Elijah Mitchell. On the other side, Coastal Carolina has gotten a lot of production from quarterback Grayson McCall, but he is just a freshman, and this will be his biggest test of the season. The Louisiana defense has allowed just a 53.3 completion percentage to opposing quarterbacks while allowing less than one passing touchdown per game so far. Here, we play against conference road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that are averaging 6.2 or more yppl going up against teams with a defense allowing between 4.8 and 5.6 yppl. This situation is 35-11 ATS (76.1 percent) over the last 5fiveseasons. 10* (170) Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns |
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10-13-20 | Bills -3.5 v. Titans | Top | 16-42 | Loss | -109 | 30 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the BUFFALO BILLS for our NFL Tuesday Star Attraction. Tennessee is off to a 3-0 start, but it has not been overly dominating as the three wins have come by a combined six points and it has needed a game-winning field goal in each. Buffalo has more wins than the three teams Tennessee has beaten combined. Plus, the Titans have to play this game after an unexpected bye and an abbreviated practice schedule. The defense has been awful as the Titans are ranked 30th in total defense and 31st in rushing defense. They have taken a hit on offense as the Titans are without several key players, including top receivers Adam Humphries and Corey Davis, who have been placed on the reserve/COVID-19 list. Overall, Tennessee is down five starters based on positive tests. Buffalo is 4-0 and rolling along on offense as it possesses the No. 3 total offense and No. 5 scoring offense. Buffalo offensive coordinator Brian Daboll has scripted some tremendous drives to open games, first and foremost, which has led to Buffalo scoring before their opposition in all four games this year. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after allowing 30 points or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 17 points or more in the first half in two straight games. This situation is 26-6 (81.2 percent) since 1983. 10* (461) Buffalo Bills |
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10-12-20 | Chargers +8 v. Saints | Top | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 31 h 23 m | Show |
10-11-20 | Vikings +7 v. Seahawks | 26-27 | Win | 100 | 31 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. Seattle is off to a perfect 4-0 start, both straight up and ATS. That being said, the Seahawks are overinflated here as in the last four meetings, they have been favored by no more than four points. The Vikings offense is tied for eighth in the NFL in goal-to-go touchdown rate (87.5 percent) and fifth in inside-the-20 touchdown rate (76.9 percent) while the defense is seventh in goal-to-go touchdown rate (58.3%) and second in inside-the-20 touchdown rate (41.2%). Dalvin Cook leads the league with 424 yards rushing and is averaging 5.7 ypc and this is a big part to Sunday night. He will be facing a Seattle defense that ranks third in the league in yards rushing allowed but has not necessarily been tested. Todd Gurley in Week 1 and Ezekiel Elliott in Week 3 both had only 14 carries against Seattle. The Vikings have given up more points and yards than has been the norm for a Mike Zimmer team and struggled with turnovers for the first few weeks, but this is a talented unit that can slow down the Seattle offense. The Vikings are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game while the Seahawks are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games. 9* (475) Minnesota Vikings |
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10-11-20 | Lakers -5 v. Heat | Top | 106-93 | Win | 100 | 30 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES LAKERS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Miami was able to avoid elimination with a Game Five win on Friday. The Lakers led by a point with 21.8 seconds left, before two foul shots by Jimmy Butler put the Heat in front. Danny Green missed a late three-pointer to win the game for the Lakers, as the Heat kept the best-of-seven series alive at 3-2. Miami has yet not won consecutive games since mid-September as it is 0-4 in its last four games following a victory while covering just one of those games on a backdoor cover. The Lakers three wins in this series have come by an average of 11.3 ppg so a win likely means a cover based on their dominance when they outplay Miami. The line has come down considerably as it is the lowest it has been in this series since Game One. The Lakers have failed to cover the last four games and that is playing a role in this number. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 after successfully covering the spread in three or more consecutive games, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 34-13 ATS (72.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (711) Los Angeles Lakers |
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10-11-20 | Colts v. Browns +1 | 23-32 | Win | 100 | 28 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our NFL Supreme Annihilator. Everyone is all about the Colts right now and their defense, but we are not quite sold just yet. Indianapolis has played the Jaguars, Jets, Vikings and Bears, four of the worst offenses in the league. The Colts have not played an offensive line like the Browns and they have not faced a running game like the Browns even without Nick Chubb. Not only are the Browns using zone run schemes successfully, but Cleveland also is one of the best gap running teams in football as well and ranks second in gap run play calls. If there was a silver lining in the Chubb injury, it is that the Browns played most of last week without him and thrived. The Colts offense has been inconsistent and ranked 21st in total offense. The Cleveland defense, led by a rejuvenated Miles Garrett, has forced eight turnovers the past two weeks and leads the league with 11 takeaways. Indianapolis is shorthanded as well as starting left tackle Anthony Castonzo and All-Pro linebacker Darius Leonard have officially been ruled out for Sunday's game against the Browns, coach Frank Reich said Friday. Despite money coming in on the Colts, the line has dropped so we have a solid reverse line move to back the slight home underdog. 9* (474) Cleveland Browns |
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10-11-20 | Panthers v. Falcons -1 | Top | 23-16 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA FALCONS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Falcons are off to their first 0-4 start since 1999 and are out to save the job of head coach Dan Quinn. Atlanta remains solid on offense as it is ranked ninth in total offense. The Atlanta defense has had a lot of guys banged up and this week, they could see three starters return to the lineup (S Keanu Neal, S Ricardo Allen, DL Takk McKinley) and getting those guys back should help the production of their defense The Falcons are hoping to continue recent success in their division as they have four straight seasons with winning records in the NFC South, including a 4-2 record each of last three years. Carolina has won two straight games following a 0-2 start. The offense had a good showing last week against the Cardinals, but they were outgained by 134 total yards in their win against the Chargers two weeks ago. The Panthers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game while the Falcons are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 and coming off an upset win by 10 or more as a home underdog, after the first month of the season. This situation is 42-16 (72.4 percent) since 1983. 10* (452) Atlanta Falcons |
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10-11-20 | Bengals +13 v. Ravens | 3-27 | Loss | -118 | 25 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI BENGALS for our NFL Sunday Ultimate Underdog. Cincinnati is coming off its first win on the season as it defeated the Jaguars by eight points. The Bengals are now 1-2-1 with the two losses coming by a combined eight points. Joe Burrow has been great this season as he is the first rookie quarterback in NFL history to throw for 300-plus yards in three consecutive games. The Bengals have averaged 28.6 ppg over their past three games, with Burrow throwing for a cumulative 928 yards with six touchdown passes and just one interception. The difference in this game will be on the Cincinnati defense as the Bengals have the 27th ranked run defense in the NFL entering Week Five, giving up 181.7 yards a game. Baltimore bounced back with a win last week against Washington following a loss against Kansas City. In that lone defeat, the Chiefs did a commendable job at keeping Lamar Jackson in the pocket and they limited him to a meager 97 yards passing. Baltimore last year set an NFL record for rushing yards and averaged 206 ypg on the ground. So far this year, the Ravens have averaged 160.8 rushing ypg. Here, we play against home favorites of 10.5 or more points after having won 2 out of their last 3 games, in October games. This situation is 40-13 ATS (75.5 percent) since 1983. 9* (467) Cincinnati Bengals |
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10-10-20 | Kansas State +9 v. TCU | Top | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 49 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS ST. WILDCATS for our CFB Big 12 Game of the Year. The TCU defense had a goal-line fumble recovery to stun Texas 33-31 in a game that had 26 penalties and ended when TCU took a safety as time ran out. Because of the win, the Horned Frogs are now overinflated in what is a classic letdown spot. Head coach Gary Patterson is anti-Texas and that is the one game he gets his players fired up for and it showed once again but it has been a letdown of late as TCU is 0-4 ATS in its last four games following the Texas game. The Horned Frogs are 129th in rushing defense, allowing seven YPC. That is a problem here as Kansas St. running back Deuce Vaughn averages 5.7 ypc on 36 carries after three games behind a strongly improved offensive line. On the other side, with one of the better pass rushes in the country, Kansas St. has the ability to pressure TCU quarterback Max Duggan which makes life easier for its secondary. This is a potent TCU offense, but the Wildcats can definitely slow it down. TCU is 2-12 ATS in its last 14 games off an upset win as a road underdog. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival going up against an opponent after a road game where both teams scored 31 points or more. This situation is 54-21 ATS (72 percent) since 1992. 10* (335) Kansas St. Wildcats |
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10-10-20 | Texas Tech +12.5 v. Iowa State | 15-31 | Loss | -103 | 48 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TEXAS TECH RED RAIDERS for our CFB Saturday Ultimate Underdog. We lost with Texas Tech last week as it fell by 10 points despite outgaining the Wildcats by 67 total yards. It was the second straight loss for the Red Raiders which lost against Texas in overtime in a shootout. Iowa St. is coming off a huge win over Oklahoma to improve to 2-0 in the Big 12 and this presents a big letdown spot. It was the first win over Oklahoma at home since 1960 which shows how big it was. The Cyclones lead the Big 12 in sacks, but the Red Raiders live on its quick-hitting attack that gets the ball out in a hurry. Texas Tech has allowed only one sack through its first three games this season despite 153 pass attempts, the third-highest total currently in the country. Opponents have totaled 853 yards of passing against the Cyclones so far this year, which is about an average of 284 per game allowed by the defense. That is almost 60 yards per game more than the pass defense allowed on average last season. The Red Raiders have converted 27 of their 49 third-down conversions thus far (55 percent), which leads the Big 12 and ranks eighth nationally. The Red Raiders are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game while the Cyclones are 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven games as a favorite. 9* (325) Texas Tech Red Raiders |
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10-10-20 | Duke v. Syracuse +2.5 | 38-24 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a play on the SYRACUSE ORANGE for our CFB Saturday Supreme Annihilator. Syracuse is coming off a bye week following its first win on the season, a 37-20 victory over Georgia Tech to move to 1-2. The Orange remain home which is a significant edge on a three-week stretch. Duke is still looking for its first win this college football season, but oddsmakers think it is possible that win might come Saturday in Syracuse. After rushing for 68 yards against North Carolina and 51 against an exceptionally good Pittsburgh defense, the Orange had 163 yards against the Yellow Jackets. Stopping the run is a weakness for the Blue Devils. They crowded the box to stop the run against the Hokies and yet Virginia Tech still gained over 300 yards on the ground. On offense, Duke did score 31 points but had just 200 yards through three quarters and was able to wear down the Hokies defense. Quarterback Chase Brice has not been particularly good at quarterback for the Blue Devils. Between his poor decisions, such as his forced balls, and his inaccuracy, he is completing just 52.7 percent of his passes and has thrown seven interceptions and only three touchdowns. Here, we play on home teams coming off an upset win by 14 or more points as a home underdog, in weeks 5 through 9. This situation is 47-18 ATS (72.3 percent) since 1992. 9* (310) Syracuse Orange |
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10-10-20 | Florida v. Texas A&M +7 | 38-41 | Win | 100 | 44 h 60 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TEXAS A&M AGGIES for our CFB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. This is a weird line as Florida comes in ranked No. 4 in the nation yet are laying under a touchdown against Texas A&M which was hammered by Alabama last week. The Aggies were outgained by just 94 total yards as they put up 450 yards of offense and they should flourish here. The Aggies hope their potent passing game will have success against a Florida defense that has recorded only one interception in two games and is allowing 327.5 ypg which is 68th in the country. The Gators defense though needs some work as a week after allowing 613 yards to Mississippi, they could not get off the field vs South Carolina. Aggies quarterback Kellen Mond has thrown for 507 yards, four touchdowns and one interception in his first two games and against a tough Alabama defense, he completed 25 of 44 passes for 318 yards and three touchdowns. Texas A&M has two weapons on offense that, historically, give Todd Grantham defenses fits which are a pass-catching tight end and a pass-catching running back. Florida plays LSU next week and is looking for revenge from a 42-28 loss last season. The Aggies are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game while going 15-3-3 ATS as home conference underdogs against teams of a win by 14 or more points. 9* (334) Texas A&M Aggies |
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10-09-20 | Louisville -4.5 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 27-46 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOUISVILLE CARDINALS four our CFB Friday Star Attraction. Both Louisville and Georgia Tech are coming off a bye week while riding two-game losing streaks. After gaining 516 total yards against Miami, the Cardinals mustered just 223 yards against Pittsburgh. Despite their issues, Louisville can score against anyone with its offensive weapons. And the Georgia Tech defense has proven to be one of the worst teams in the FBS as they are allowing 441.3 ypg. Louisville will need to rely on running back Javian Hawkins, who has rushed for 313 yards this season. Hawkins will look to have a big game against Georgia Tech defense that is giving up big yards on the ground as the Yellow Jackets are 51st in rushing defense at 171.7 ypg. In the two losses to UCF and Syracuse, Georgia Tech quarterback Jeff Sims has thrown for a combined two touchdowns and six interceptions. The Yellow Jackets have shown the ability to be able to run the ball, but leading rusher Jordan Mason remains questionable. Georgia Tech is on a 1-10 ATS run as a home dog. Here, we play against home teams in a game involving two teams with turnover differentials of -0.75 or worse, after two consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. This situation is 48-18 (72.7 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (305) Louisville Cardinals |
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10-08-20 | Bucs v. Bears +4 | Top | 19-20 | Win | 100 | 27 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. The Bears are coming off their first loss of the season as the offense could get nothing going. One bright spot on Sunday was wide receivers Allen Robinson and Darnell Mooney, who combined for 12 receptions and 153 receiving yards. Nick Foles needs to be more consistent but as much as the Buccaneers get after the quarterback, establishing a run game will be the key to moving the ball. Tampa Bay improved to 3-1 with a comeback win over the Chargers last week and it has now won three in a row. This is a tough spot having to travel on a short week as a favorite no less. While the offense is slowly coming into its own, it is still pretty banged up and the Chicago defense is for real once again as after four games, the Bears are ranked seventh in scoring defense and eighth in total defense. Last week, the defense had nine plays in which it stopped a Colts run for a loss or no gain. Five came on first down to put the Colts behind the chains, and that was significant as the Bears entered the game allowing an average of 7.34 yards on first down, which ranked 29th. Chicago is 23-9 ATS in its last 32 home games after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse while the Buccaneers are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning record. 10* (302) Chicago Bears |
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10-08-20 | Tulane v. Houston -6.5 | Top | 31-49 | Win | 100 | 29 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. It will be the season opener for the Cougars, who have had five games delayed or canceled because of coronavirus issues with their opponents. While it may seem a disadvantage, it could work in their favor as Tulane has already played a quarter of its season. The pluses and minuses of having three games under its belt extend to personnel. Tulane lost its top running back, Tyjae Spears, to a torn ACL in its last game. Freshman quarterback Michael Pratt will make his first career start after coming off the bench and was 8-of-18 passing for 142 yards against Southern Miss. Additionally, a pair of freshmen start on the right side of the offensive line. Not only is Houston eager to get onto the field, but it is out for some revenge the Green Wave won last year 38-31 on a 53-yard touchdown pass with three seconds left. They bring back a ton of experience with 19 starters returning that have not forgotten about that game. The Green Wave are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. 10* (304) Houston Cougars |
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10-06-20 | Lakers -7 v. Heat | Top | 102-96 | Loss | -107 | 27 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES LAKERS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. Miami got back into the series with a Game Three win on Sunday behind an outstanding performance from Jimmy Butler. He had 40 points, 11 rebounds and 13 assists, including 10 points in the fourth quarter as the Lakers were making their last run. A big difference also was keeping Anthony Davis in check. In Game Two, the Lakers attempted an NBA Finals-record 47 three-pointers, which was also their season high. But it made life far too easy for Davis, who started going 14 of 15 from the field. All he had to do was sneak behind the zone and he was almost guaranteed easy points. He averaged 15.5 touches in the paint in his first 17 playoff games, but he got only five in Game Three. He also got into foul trouble and as a team Los Angeles committed 19 turnovers. Now it is time for the Lakers to adjust and we are confident they do so to take the commanding 3-1 lead in the series. Miami is 4-14 ATS in its last 18 games off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog while the are 22-7 ATS after having won three of their last four games this season. 10* (707) Los Angeles Lakers |
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10-05-20 | Falcons +7 v. Packers | Top | 16-30 | Loss | -115 | 31 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA FALCONS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. The 3-0 Packers take on the 0-3 Falcons with money going to be all over the former based on the two recent meltdowns from Atlanta. The Falcons have lost their last two games after leading in the fourth quarter by more than two touchdowns. This offense is still clearly capable of putting up big numbers and it is up to the team to put those last two games behind them. Matt Ryan is expected to have a big game with Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley expected to both suit up. While the Packers have not allowed a lot of completions, they are 28th with 7.88 ypa and 30th with an opponent passer rating of 113.4. Green Bay is the first team in NFL history to have at least 35 points and no turnovers in each of its first three games, according to the Elias Sports Bureau. The Packers average 6.9 yppl to lead the NFL. The Packers cannot sustain this however and this is a great opportunity for a possible lookahead while catching a big number. The Falcons are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games while going 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as underdogs. 10* (279) Atlanta Falcons |
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10-04-20 | Eagles +7.5 v. 49ers | 25-20 | Win | 100 | 58 h 60 m | Show | |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. Philadelphia is off to a 0-2-1 start following a tie with the lowly Bengals last Sunday. The Eagles are a better team than this as turnovers have killed them on both as they have eight on offense and none on defense through three games which are both dead last in the NFL. Quarterback Carson Wentz has been a shell of his normal self with six interceptions and while he will be facing a typically tough 49ers defense, he gets a break. 49ers defensive linemen Nick Bosa and Solomon Thomas are already out for the year while defensive end Dee Ford is dealing with back problems. One bright spot for the Eagles offensive line has been the return of Lane Johnson from injury. He did not allow a single pressure in 43 pass-blocking efforts against the Bengals. On defense, the Eagles defensive line was ranked No. 2 by Pro Football Focus coming into the season and have produced 12 sacks, good for fourth in the league. The 49ers would like to have quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo return from injury, but those plans do not appear to be very realistic. The Eagles are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game while the 49ers are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games as a home favorite. 9* (277) Philadelphia Eagles |
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10-04-20 | Bills v. Raiders +3.5 | 30-23 | Loss | -120 | 54 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a play on the LAS VEGAS RAIDERS for our NFL Sunday Ultimate Underdog. We played against the Raiders last Sunday as they were outrushed by 124 yards against the Patriots. They take a step down in class in that regard as the Bills are ranked just 24th in rushing offense. Quarterback Josh Allen has been unconscious as he has tossed 10 touchdowns with no interceptions and in all three games, he has surpassed 300 yards. He has tossed four touchdowns in two straight games and he became the only Buffalo quarterback to do so in back-to-back games. He cannot sustain this production, however. Against the Rams, the Bills run defense allowed 167 rushing yards. The defense needs to fix things like missed tackles and gap problems quickly because they will play more teams with talented offensive lines and running backs and that includes the Raiders. Las Vegas quarterback Derek Carr has thrown for six touchdowns and no interceptions while completing 74 percent of his passes. He has posted a passer rating over 100 in all three games. The Las Vegas defense is better than what was on the field last week and it must reorganize its defense and find consistency. Here, we play against favorites off a home win, in the first month of the season. This situation is 81-43 ATS (65.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (276) Las Vegas Raiders |
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10-04-20 | Saints -4 v. Lions | Top | 35-29 | Win | 100 | 51 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS SAINTS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. New Orleans has lost two straight games, both in primetime, and people are hitting the panic button but that should not be the case. The Saints now take on a 28th ranked Lions defense that has given up an average of 409 ypg and 30 ppg this season. The Lions enter their fourth game of the season ranked 30th in the NFL in rush defense, surrendering 170+ yards per game. New Orleans should take note that Detroit has struggled against shifty scat backs like Alvin Kamara. Success on the ground will help open up the passing game which has been inconsistent this season. Detroit won their first game of the season upsetting the Cardinals on the road on a last second field goal and that broke an 11-game losing streak dating back to last year. While the defense has been inconsistent, the offense has struggled also. The Detroit offense has scored a touchdown on six of their 13 trips into the red zone through the first three weeks and its red zone efficiency rate of 46.2 percent ranks 27th in the NFL. Here, we play on road favorites with a winning percentage between .250 and .400 coming off a loss as a home favorite, playing a team with a losing record. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent) since 1983. 10* (253) New Orleans Saints |
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10-04-20 | Vikings +4 v. Texans | 31-23 | Win | 100 | 51 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. Minnesota and Houston both enter this game 0-3 which makes it a must win for each team. The Vikings are coming off a tough loss by a point against Tennessee as Stephen Gostkowski kicked field goals of 54 and 55 yards late in the fourth quarter. The once stout defense has struggled but they catch a break here. On the other side, the Vikings lead the NFL with an average of 6.03 ypc. Minnesota running back Dalvin Cook had a career-high 181 yards rushing last week and the Texans have the worst run defense in the NFL, allowing 188.3 ypg. Quarterback Kirk Cousins has covered all eight games he has played following consecutive losses. Minnesota is 9-0 ATS in non-division games when coming off a loss of six points or less. While the run defense has stunk in up for the Texans, the rushing offense has been just as bad. Houston is averaging 3.67 ypc which is 29th in the NFL and its 66.0 ypg is 31st in the league. Deshawn Watson has not been as successful eluding the pressure, taking 13 sacks. Here, we play on teams averaging between 125 and 150 rushing ypg going and after outrushing opponent by 75 or more yards last game up against averaging 70 or fewer rushing ypg. This situation is 21-3 ATS (87.5 percent) since 1983. 9* (261) Minnesota Vikings |
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10-03-20 | Navy -6.5 v. Air Force | Top | 7-40 | Loss | -120 | 72 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the NAVY MIDSHIPMEN for our CFB Game of the Month. Navy comes in as a road favorite and for very good reason. Air force has yet to play a game this season and a key challenge for the Falcons will be establishing depth. Turnbacks, generally explained as the option to leave the academy for a semester for medical reasons, and in this case, offered to cadets in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, have decimated the football roster, especially on defense. None of the five eligible returning starters are back and four freshmen appear on the two-deep list. And on offense, starting quarterback Donald Hammond III is not expected to suit up, as he is not in good standing as a cadet, the Colorado Springs Gazette reported. Navy put together the largest comeback in school history, scoring 27 unanswered points in the second half to overtake Tulane 27-24 two weeks ago. Navy head coach Ken Niumatalolo is seeking his 100th career victory, and the first leg of the Commander-in-Chief Trophy series provides an ideal opportunity. Having two games under their belt going up against a depleted roster is a huge edge. Navy is 15-3 ATS in its last 18 road games after a win by three or less points. 10* (131) Navy Midshipmen |
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10-03-20 | Memphis v. SMU +2.5 | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 69 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a play on the SMU MUSTANGS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. SMU hosts Memphis as it looks to avenge a 54-48 loss at Memphis last season. The Mustangs are off to a 3-0 start and they possess one of the most powerful offenses in the country. They are led by quarterback Shane Buechele who is off to a great start for the Mustangs, completing 64 of 94 passes for 852 yards with seven touchdowns after throwing for 3,929 yards and 34 scores last year. The Tigers have not played since their season-opening 37-24 win over Arkansas State on Sept. 5 due to COVID-19 cases that caused the program to pause activities and cancel games against Houston and UTSA. They are not 100 percent however as players are missing still and the team will have to rotate more players in and out in all three phases of the game. Another hurdle to overcome throughout this process has been the conditioning of the players. With multiple players testing positive, they likely have not been able to do much activity. Here, we play on home teams in conference games, after two straight covers as a double-digit favorite. This situation is 44-15 ATS (74.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (126) SMU Mustangs |
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10-03-20 | Texas Tech +2.5 v. Kansas State | 21-31 | Loss | -104 | 69 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TEXAS TECH RED RAIDERS for our CFB Saturday Ultimate Underdog. The Red Raiders are coming off a tough loss against Texas in overtime. Texas Tech led 56-41 with 3:31 left, only to see Texas score two touchdowns and a two-point conversion to tie the score with 40 seconds left. This is a good bounce back spot with a very balanced team as three players, KeSean Carter, Erik Ezukanma and T.J. Vasher, have at least 150 receiving yards, while SaRodorick Thompson leads the way on the ground with 222 yards and four touchdowns. The Wildcats are primed for a letdown as they went to Oklahoma as four-touchdowns underdogs and upset the Sooners. Kansas St. was behind by 21 points in the second half on two different occasions and no unranked team in the last 15 years had trailed a top-5 team by 21 points on the road and come back to win until then. The Red Raiders are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game while the Wildcats are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games as a home favorite. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 in conference games, off a road win by 3 points or less. This situation is 23-3 ATS (88.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (135) Texas Tech Red Raiders |
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10-03-20 | Baylor v. West Virginia +3 | 21-27 | Win | 100 | 66 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a play on the WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS for our CFB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. West Virginia is coming off a loss at Oklahoma St. last week and now it heads home as an underdog. The Mountaineers actually outgained the Cowboys, but they lost the turnover battle 2-0 which includes a 56-yard fumble return for a touchdown by Oklahoma St. Additionally, West Virginia had 12 penalties, seven which took place in the second quarter where it fell behind by 17 points. Junior quarterback Jarret Doege passed for 285 yards against Oklahoma St. which was his second-highest passing total in five starts for the Mountaineers. Baylor cruised to a 47-14 victory over Kansas in its season opener under new head coach Dave Aranda. It was an inflated outcome however as the Bears outgained the Jayhawks by just 24 total yards but had two kickoff returns for touchdowns as well as recording a safety. The outcomes are making the Bears a false favorite here. The Bears are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game while the Mountaineers are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. 9* (118) West Virginia Mountaineers |
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10-02-20 | Heat +10 v. Lakers | Top | 114-124 | Push | 0 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Friday Enforcer. The big story here is that Heat guard Goran Dragic and big man Bam Adebayo are both listed as doubtful for Game Two of the NBA Finals. While they are key losses if they cannot go, Miami has plenty of depth to make up for it and we are getting an inflated line on top of it. Despite all the setbacks, Heat coach Erik Spoelstra and his team have prided themselves on not using excuses throughout the season. That attitude has not changed as the Heat attempt to regroup in the series. Rookie Heat guard Tyler Herro, who has had a breakout postseason individually but had a rough Game One with a team-worst minus-35 in the box score and he will need to play better in the absence of Dragic. Also, Kendrick Nunn, who started for the Heat for most of the regular season before Dragic took over for him in the lineup to begin the playoffs, will have to continue to play well after going 8-11 for 18 points on Wednesday. Forward Jae Crowder will be asked to up his game as well if Adebayo cannot go. Winning will depend on playing harder, better and smarter, something that the Heat have done all postseason long. Miami is 23-8 ATS after one or more consecutive losses this season. 10* (703) Miami Heat |
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10-02-20 | Louisiana Tech +23.5 v. BYU | Top | 14-45 | Loss | -108 | 78 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOUISIANA TECH BULLDOGS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. BYU is off to a dominant start as it has defeated Navy and Troy by a combined score of 103-10 and all that is doing is inflating this line. Due to an outbreak of COVID-19 in Provo, state and local health officials have prohibited fans from attending the BYU game this week in an effort to prevent the spread of the virus. The Bulldogs are coming off a blowout win to improve to 2-0 on the season. Louisiana Tech began the season with a 31-30 victory at Southern Miss, then routed Houston Baptist 66-38 in its home opener as Luke Anthony threw five touchdowns and ran for another. Louisiana Tech allowed 406 yards passing, but that is not as bad as it might seem. Houston Baptist quarterback Bailey Zappe, who completed 37 of 58 passes against the Bulldogs, had passed for more than 1,000 yards combined with seven touchdowns and no interceptions against North Texas and Texas Tech. The Bulldogs are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games against teams with a winning home record while the Cougars are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. 10* (103) Louisiana Tech Bulldogs |
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10-01-20 | Broncos v. Jets +2.5 | Top | 37-28 | Loss | -115 | 53 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK JETS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. The Jets have opened 0-3 and have arguably been the worst team in football with all three losses coming by double-digits. The play of Sam Darnold has been bad but there is reason for optimism. Last year, Darnold had a bad three-game stretch when he went 59-of-101 (58.42 percent) for 564 yards with three touchdowns and eight interceptions with a 50.9 quarterback rating. He bounced back in the final eight games of the season with 13 touchdowns and four interceptions. After losing to the Buccaneers on Sunday, Denver is now 0-3 and the Broncos have started consecutive years 0-3 for the first time in franchise history. They will reportedly turn to their third different starting quarterback this season as Brett Rypien is expected to start in place of the injured Drew Lock. Denver has now seen six starters go down to injuries just three weeks into the season. The Broncos are 8-23-1 ATS in their last 32 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game while the Jets are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a home underdog. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in two straight games against opponent after a loss by 10 or more points. This situation is 72-35 ATS (67.3 percent) since 1983. 10* (102) New York Jets |
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09-30-20 | Heat +5 v. Lakers | Top | 98-116 | Loss | -108 | 52 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. Miami got through Milwaukee in five games and then Boston in six games and the Heat were underdogs in all but one of those games with the exception being the one game against Milwaukee where Giannis did not play. The Heat will be underdogs in every game of this series, but they have proven they can handle the task with the best top to bottom roster in the NBA. Of the 12 victories in the postseason, seven were by at least seven points so they have not narrowly escaped and are clearly playing great basketball. the Heat have outscored opponents by 4.5 points per 100 possessions in the playoffs, despite facing two of the three teams that finished the regular season ranked top 10 on both offense and defense. This is a tough matchup for the Lakers and even though Los Angeles won both regular season meetings, this is a different Miami rotation now that features three different starters that did not start those games and two of the old starters are not even getting on the court now. Miami is a much better three-point shooting team and as long as they can play to their average, they can steal a few games in this series. Miami is 8-0 when shooting better than 37 percent from long range as a team and 8-1 when making 13 or more threes in a game. The Heat are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games overall while the Lakers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games playing on three or more days rest. 10* (701) Miami Heat |
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09-28-20 | Chiefs +4 v. Ravens | Top | 34-20 | Win | 100 | 31 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. A pair of streaks are on the line Monday. Baltimore closed the regular season with 12 straight wins and have now won 14 straight regular season games while the Chiefs will be bringing an 11-game winning streak into the game. Both teams come in a perfect 2-0 and the Ravens home field advantage is taken away here yet the Ravens come in as an overpriced favorite. Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson is 21-3 during the regular season but two of those losses came against the Chiefs. Pass protection is an issue for Baltimore as in a win over the Texans last week, Jackson went down for four sacks, his highest single-game total since Week Five of last season and the Chiefs got him on the ground three times last season. While the Baltimore defense was and still is solid, Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes threw for 377 yards and two touchdowns in that 2018 game, and last year pierced the Ravens for 374 yards and three scores. Kansas City is one of three teams in the NFL to not turn the ball over in the first two weeks which is right in line with their 2019 season where they were third in fewest giveaways. Here, we play on road underdogs or pickems that averaged 275 or more passing ypg last season, after allowing 8 or more passing ypa in their last game. This situation is 22-3 ATS (88 percent) since 1983. 10* (489) Kansas City Chiefs |
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09-27-20 | Celtics v. Heat +3.5 | Top | 113-125 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Boston avoided leaving the bubble with a win on Friday thanks to a big second half where the Celtics outscored Miami 70-50. While momentum in now on their side, it is up to Miami to get back to what it had done earlier in the series, win the turnover battle and get off more shot attempts. After the Celtics had averaged 4.7 more turnovers per game in the first four meetings, they had two fewer (13-11) than the Heat in Game Five and also, Miami had averaged 6.0 more shots per game than the Celtics before Friday, when Boston held a 93-86 edge. We can expect a big game from Bam Adebayo who shot under 50 percent for the first time since Game One and was held to a series-low 13 points on Friday, accumulating a minus-15 plus/minus after having been in the positive in each of the first four games. The Celtics are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following an ATS win while the Heat are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are outscoring their opponents by six or more ppg, after allowing 105 points or more in three straight games. This situation is 36-12 ATS (75 percent) since 1996. 10* (718) Miami Heat |
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09-27-20 | Raiders v. Patriots -5 | Top | 20-36 | Win | 100 | 45 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Raiders are coming off a very emotional win as an underdog at home on Monday night which puts them in a tough spot here. They are now working on a short week and are travelling to the east coast for the second time in three weeks. Las Vegas is dealing with some key injuries as running back Josh Jacobs, tight end Darren Waller and offensive tackle Trent Brown all did not practice Thursday. That is a problem for the offense if these players are not 100 percent because bailing out the defense will be a problem. The passing defense for the Raiders has allowed the third most passing yards in the NFL. Cam Newton looked brilliant in Week Two, passing for 397 yards, the third-highest total of his career, while rushing for two scores and he has learned this system and looks very comfortable. This is a big game for the Patriots coming off that loss as they have to travel the Kansas City next week and sitting at 1-3 after the first quarter of the season is not is not ideal. Look for a big bounce back effort from New England. The Raiders are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games following a straight up win while the Patriots are 48-23-1 ATS in their last 72 games following a straight up loss. 10* (462) New England Patriots |
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09-27-20 | Texans +4 v. Steelers | 21-28 | Loss | -103 | 45 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a play on the HOUSTON TEXANS for our NFL Sunday Star Attraction. Houston has gotten off to a 0-2 start but to its defense, it has had to open with the two best teams in the NFL. Losses to Kansas City and Baltimore were expected and this becomes the most winnable game on the early schedule. Deshaun Watson has thrown for 528 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions this season and is looking to do more to help the offense improve and help the team get in the win column. While the Steelers are the most blitzing team in the league, the Texans have the tools to beat the blitz. Watson is nimble and shifty enough to avoid pass rushers and running back David Johnson is one of the better pass-catching backs in the league. Pittsburgh has defeated the Giants, who are not expected to do much this season, and the Steelers got a break last week when Denver quarterback Drew Lock left the game early with an injury. The Texans are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games following a double-digit loss at home while the Steelers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games as a home favorite. Here, we play against favorites off a home win, in September games. This situation is 69-32 ATS (68.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (465) Houston Texans |
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09-27-20 | 49ers v. Giants +3.5 | 36-9 | Loss | -103 | 45 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a play on the NEW YORK GIANTS for our NFL Sunday Ultimate Underdog. The Giants are off to a 0-2 start and now face the 49ers who went to the Super Bowl last season. This is not the same San Francisco team however as it will be without its quarterback, top running back and two best defensive players who were all injured in its win over the Jets last week. Tight end George Kittle has also been ruled out for a second consecutive week. This is the second straight trip to the east coast for the 49ers and there has been some hesitation about the turf at MetLife Stadium and with the injuries that happened last week, there could be some apprehension. The Giants are not healthy either as no Saquon Barkley puts even more pressure on the offense, especially quarterback Daniel Jones. He has shown the ability to get it done and against a banged-up 49ers defense, he can definitely get it done. Also, without Sterling Shepard (turf toe), the Giants will need Golden Tate and Evan Engram to have big games. The 49ers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points while the Giants are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. 9* (468) New York Giants |