Sports Picks & Predictions
All Sports Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
09-06-19 | Wake Forest v. Rice +19.5 | Top | 41-21 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the RICE OWLS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. We played on Wake Forest last week as it pulled off a miracle win against Utah St. as it scored on a fourth and two with a minute remaining to win by three points. The Demon Deacons now hit the road where they won their final three games but not at this price. They have not been a road favorite this big since 1997 and it is not because Wake Forest is suddenly a powerhouse. It is implied Rice is going to be bad again as it has gone 3-22 over the last two seasons but this is an improving team. The Owls played very well in a seven-point loss against Army and while they bring back a lot of experience, they also brought in seven graduate transfers from winning programs. 10* (302) Rice Owls |
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09-05-19 | Packers +3 v. Bears | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 30 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFL Thursday Season Opening Enforcer. The 2019 NFL season kicks off with the oldest rivalry as Green Bay takes on Chicago. The Packers have a new head coach in Matt LaFleur and he can rev up an already potent offense. As the offensive coordinator in Tennessee last season, the Titans finished No. 7 in rushing offense, as the offense coordinator for the Rams in 2017, they averaged 29.9 ppg, more than doubling their average from 2016 (14.0 ppg) and in 2016, he tutored Matt Ryan who led the league in passer rating and was named NFL MVP. Aaron Rodgers has a new coach for the first time in his NFL career and even though last season was disappointing, Rodgers was exceptional. He has been one of the best at avoiding interceptions, and last season he only threw two picks. He ended up with the lowest interception percentage, 0.3, in the history of the NFL. He had one of his best games here in the opener last season as he rallied Green Bay from a 20-point deficit. Rodgers is 16-5 against the Bears during the regular season with a 45-to-10 touchdown-to-interception ratio with one loss coming in 2013 after he left the game with an injury after the first series. Green Bay added a lot of new names over the offseason, most notably to the defensive side of the ball as they focused on the pass rush and revamped the safety position. While we know the Bears defense is the strength, the offense showed signs of improvement but they could have trouble against a revamped Packers defense. In Week One, division underdogs are 17-4-1 (81 percent) since 2014. 10* (451) Green Bay Packers |
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09-02-19 | Edmonton v. Calgary -3 | Top | 9-25 | Win | 100 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the CALGARY STAMPEDERS for our CFL Monday Enforcer. This is the time that Calgary needs to get going and things are going in their favor starting today. The Stampeders have not played since August 17 where they lost 40-34 in overtime at home to the Montreal Alouettes to fall to 5-4 on the season. To put that into perspective, Calgary lost just five games all of last season. Part of the struggles are because of the lack of execution at quarterback but after missing the last seven games with a torn pectoral muscle, Stampeders quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell is expected to start against the Eskimos. Edmonton is also coming off a loss in its last game as it fell at home against Winnipeg to snap a two-game winning streak. The Eskimos are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning record while the Stampeders are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against teams with a winning record. Here, we play on home teams after two or more consecutive straight up losses, in weeks 10 through 15. This situation is 105-61 ATS (63.3 percent) since 1996. 9* (694) Calgary Stampeders |
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09-02-19 | Toronto +13 v. Hamilton | 27-38 | Win | 100 | 3 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TORONTO ARGONAUTS for our CFL Game of the Week. Hamilton got away with it yet again as it won at British Columbia last week despite getting outgained by 106 total yards. That was the sixth time over the last seven games the Tiger-Cats have been outgained and yet they are 8-2 on the season and that record is obviously skewed. Five of the eight wins have come by just one possession, Hamilton has been outgained seven times and is getting outgained by an average of 21.6 ypg which may not seem like much but that is a lot for a double-digit favorite. Toronto is coming off a loss against Montreal which was the exact opposite situation where it was defeated by six points yet outgained the Alouettes by 157 total yards. It was the fourth time in the last six games the Argonauts have won the yardage battle but they were able to come away with the victory only once. Here, we play on road underdogs or pickems with a poor passing defense that is allowing 300 or more passing ypg. This situation is 37-12 ATS (75.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (691) Toronto Argonauts |
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09-01-19 | Houston v. Oklahoma -22.5 | Top | 31-49 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA SOONERS for our CFB Sunday Star Attraction. This line opened at -26 and has settled in at -23 across most places which is big under the key number 24. Oklahoma is again in the National Championship discussion even after losing No. 1 draft pick Kyler Murray to the NFL. The Sooners new quarterback is Alabama transfer Jalen Hurts, who started the 2016 and 2017 seasons and led Alabama to a 26-2 overall record. He lost the starting job to Tua Tagovailoa in 2018 but still played in 13 games. He adds to a rushing offense as well that should be one of the best in the country. Houston lost its best defender in Ed Oliver from a unit that was already bad in the first place. The Cougars collapsed down the stretch, allowing 37.2 ppg last season. They gave up 45, 59, 52, and 70 points in four of their final five games of the year and in the bowl game against Army, they allowed 507 yards on the ground. The Houston offense is legit and in years past, that would give Oklahoma fits but we expect things to be better this season as new defensive coordinator Alex Grinch is unleashing what promises to be an attacking defense. The Sooners bring back eight starters on defense which makes the learning curve of a new scheme a lot easier to translate. Houston has a new head coach in Dana Holgorsen who comes over from West Virginia and he never could solve Oklahoma, going 0-7 straight up while failing to cover five straight. The Cougars are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 road games while the Sooners are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 home games. 10* (216) Oklahoma Sooners |
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08-31-19 | Fresno State v. USC -13.5 | 23-31 | Loss | -105 | 60 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a play on the USC TROJANS for our CFB Saturday Last Chance For Cash. It was a dreadful season for USC last season by its standards. The Trojans had their first losing season since 2000 and had a 19-game home winning streak snapped. They actually lost their last three home games, albeit by a combined 11 point so playing their first game in 2019 at home is a huge factor. The offense is the most anticipated one in a while as new offensive coordinator Graham Harrell comes over from North Texas and is bringing in the Air Raid offense. Quarterback JT Daniels had his moments last season but should make a big jump after taking over for Sam Darnold and he gets his top three receivers back. Normally this could be a big edge for Fresno St. considering it had a good amount of extra practices leading up to its bowl game while USC had none but the Bulldogs lost so much that it is not an edge at all here. They have just nine starters back including only three on offense and they have to replace quarterback Marcus McMaryion who had an exceptional final season as he threw for 3,629 yards on a 68.6 percent completion rate while tossing 25 touchdowns and just five picks. He also added 294 yards rushing and eight touchdowns. Fresno St. is second to last in the country on the experience chart, ahead of only Massachusetts. Here, we play against underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points in the first 2 weeks of the year, after closing out last season with three or more straight wins. This situation is 22-3 ATS (88 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (214) USC Trojans |
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08-31-19 | Virginia -2.5 v. Pittsburgh | Top | 30-14 | Win | 100 | 74 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the VIRGINIA CAVALIERS for our CFB Game of the Month. The Cavaliers are starting to take big steps under head coach Bronco Mendenhall as they finished 8-5 to make it to their second straight bowl game, culminating with a blowout shutout over South Carolina 28-0. Virginia returns 14 starters, which is tied for No. 34, and this includes eight starters on a defense that finished in the top 20 in the nation last season. Also back is quarterback Bryce Perkins who is a duel threat as he finished with 2,680 yards through the air and 923 rushing yards. Last season could have been even better as three of the five losses came by four points or less including two in overtime. One of the other losses came at home against Pittsburgh by 10 points so payback will be in play. The Panthers won the ACC Coastal last season which was a surprise to many especially after getting outgained and outscored on the season. Pittsburgh should take a big step back this season as it returns just 11 starters which is tied for No. 90. The Panthers do bring back quarterback Kenny Pickett but he was far from efficient last season with a 58.1 percent completion rate while tossing only 12 touchdowns and throwing three picks. The offense especially bogged down late in the season, averaging a mere 8.7 ppg over their final three games. The experience factor and revenge factor are big time in play which is why we are not shying away from the road chalk. 10* (203) Virginia Cavaliers |
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08-31-19 | Toledo +12 v. Kentucky | Top | 24-38 | Loss | -106 | 68 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the TOLEDO ROCKETS for our CFB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. Kentucky is coming off one of its best seasons in recent memory but the Wildcats are expected to take a step back this season. They were 10-3 last season that included a win over then No. 12 Penn St. in the Citrus Bowl but they lost a lot of key pieces to that team as no longer around are all-time leading rusher Benny Snell and top 5 NFL Draft pick defensive end Josh Allen. They lost a lot more as well as they come in as the No. 103 ranked team in experience. That makes this number pretty large given the fact Kentucky is 0-10 ATS in its last 10 games as a home favorite. Toledo had an average season last year where it went 7-6 but the offense is expected to be better. The Rockets averaged 40.4 ppg and went over 50 points six times and while none of those came against powerful teams, they have an explosive offense that can take advantage of the short-handed Kentucky defense. The Wildcats offense was bad so they were fortunate the defense was so strong and that offense only returns for starters, the same as the defense. That helps out of porous Toledo defense that should be better or at the very least equivalent. Here, we play on road teams that allowed 400 or more total ypg last season, with five defensive starters returning, in the first two weeks of the season. This situation is 61-27 ATS (69.3 percent) since 1992. The fact this is a 12 PM ET start helps the road team also as it takes away the rowdy SEC crowd. 10* (171) Toledo Rockets |
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08-30-19 | Utah State v. Wake Forest -3.5 | Top | 35-38 | Loss | -109 | 54 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the WAKE FOREST DEMON DEACONS for our CFB Friday Supreme Annihilator. Head coach Dave Clawson has done a great job at Wake Forest as he has taken the Demon Deacons to three straight bowl games, all resulting in wins which is the first time that has happened in program history. They were forced to use three different quarterbacks last season and the quarterback that led them to two underdog wins in the final two games, Jamie Newman, won the job this season. Overall, this is a pretty experienced teams, ranked No. 47 in the country, and this is a big factor early on as mentioned in prior analysis. Utah St. is coming off a very successful 11-2 campaign that included a 10-game winning streak as well as a 9-1 ATS run. That could be playing into this number and while it is as low as it is. Another reason could be the return of quarterback Jordan Love who was responsible for 39 touchdowns last season. The only problem with that is that he gets just other starter back in his offense so it could be rough early on. Overall, the Aggies are ranked No. 123 in experience and looking at the ever important offensive line, Utah St. is ranked dead last in the nation with only 15 starts along the line compared to 82 for Wake Forest which is No. 31. Wake Forest lost 120 player-game because of injury so Clawson led a total upheaval in training techniques that forced them to rebuild the Fall Camp process from the ground up which resulted in a significant reduction in injuries. 10* (148) Wake Forest Demon Deacons |
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08-29-19 | Utah v. BYU +6 | Top | 30-12 | Loss | -105 | 55 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the BYU COUGARS for our CFB Thursday Enforcer. We have a quick turnaround revenge game in play on Thursday night and this is not simply a revenge play but how it happened. In the regular season finale , BYU and Utah met in the 93rd edition of the Holy War and the Cougars led 27-7 but allowed 28 unanswered points to lose 35-27 so they will be out for some serious payback. Additionally, the Utes have won eight straight meetings in this series but only one of those have come by more than one possession. BYU returns 17 starters including quarterback Zach Wilson who was questionable for this game but has been upgraded to probable. The Cougars have an experience offensive line as they are ranked No. 45 in the country in offensive linemen starts. On the other side, Utah is ranked No. 98 in this category, as they bring back only 35 starts across the offensive line. This is a huge factor early in the season which gives BYU a solid edge as both defenses on nearly the same with just over 51 percent of their tackles returning. The Cougars know that to beat Utah they have to play at a high level without costly lapses which they have experienced during this series. Here, we play on home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that had a completion percentage of 62 percent or better last season, in non-conference games. This situation is 31-7 ATS (81.6 percent) since 1992. 10* (144) BYU Cougars |
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08-24-19 | Arizona v. Hawaii +11 | Top | 38-45 | Win | 100 | 57 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the HAWAII WARRIORS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. The Warriors were a great turnaround team last season as they went 8-6 after going 3-9 the previous season. Hawaii returns 18 starters, nine on each side of the ball including five on the offensive line and three on the defensive line. Last year, with the move back to the true run-and-shoot, the air show went up by almost 1,500 yards as it finished ninth in the nation averaging over 300 ypg. Cole McDonald most notably returns for the Warriors, as the redshirt junior quarterback threw for over 3,800 yards with 36 touchdowns to just 10 interceptions last season. Additionally, the Warriors return a majority of their offensive production last season, as guys like Cedric Byrd and JoJo Ward are going to challenge the Arizona defense immensely. This is good news come Saturday as the Arizona scoring defense finished 10th in the Pac-12, allowing 32.6 ppg. Arizona brings back just six starters on defense. Offensively, the Wildcats hope that quarterback Khalil Tate can remain healthy as he was not near 100 percent for most of last season. Hawaii brings back a lot of talent and experience on defense and that has to translate into production for a defense that could not come up with enough third down stops, getting hit for 40 points or more over a rough mid-season run of five games in six. 10* (294) Hawaii Warriors |
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08-24-19 | Hamilton v. BC +3.5 | Top | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the B.C. LIONS for our CFL Game of the Week. After posting a CFL-best 7-2 home record in 2018, the B.C. Lions have dropped each of their three contests at BC Place this season with the closest result coming by ten points in the season opener against Winnipeg. The Lions are 1-8 overall and the schedule has not been in their favor as six of the first nine games have come on the road but they have played a lot better than that record shows. B.C. has outgained its opponent in four of its last seven games and overall, it has been outgained by just 33.8 ypg. That is not much worse than Hamilton, which has been outgained by 12.2 ypg on the season despite a 7-2 record which shows how its record is skewed as well. The Tiger-Cats were outgained in five straight games before last week when it won in Ottawa 21-7 to make it four wins in five games. With their bye week coming up, this is a big letdown spot for Hamilton. Here, we play on home underdogs or pickems after five or more consecutive straight up losses, in weeks 10 through 15. This situation is 23-5 ATS (82.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (686) B.C. Lions |
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08-22-19 | Panthers +3.5 v. Patriots | Top | 3-10 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the CAROLINA PANTHERS for our NFLX Thursday Enforcer. After going through a ton of articles to get a good idea of playing time across the Thursday board, Carolina is the team to target tonight. The Panthers exercised caution with quarterback Cam Newton, running back Christian McCaffrey, linebacker Luke Kuechly and tight end Greg Olsen during the first two weeks of the preseason, opting to hold them out against Chicago and Buffalo. They are expected to see extended time tonight with them going likely four series and possibly into the second half. We are not quite sure what to expect from New England and how sharp they will be on the offensive line as this will be the first preseason action across all five players. Julian Edelman (non-football injury) and Demaryius Thomas (PUP) have been moved off their respective injury lists and while they are both healthy enough to practice, this does not necessarily mean they will play in the game, though. The New England defense has looked outstanding so far in training camp, with the starters regularly getting the best of the offense. Tonight, the scheme will be comparatively vanilla, the depth and overall level of talent will be tested against a talented Panthers offense. Carolina is 5-1 ATS in its last six preseason games as an underdog going up against an opponent off back-to-back wins while going 5-0 ATS in their last five games coming off a straight up loss as a favorite. 10* (255) Carolina Panthers |
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08-17-19 | Cowboys -2 v. Rams | Top | 14-10 | Win | 100 | 32 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS COWBOYS for our NFLX Game of the Week. The Rams were dominated by the Raiders in their preseason opener as they were outgained 407-190 while committing a massive 19 penalties. They should be better this week with another week of prep but there will be plenty of unfamiliar faces and a lot of the guys that will be on the field likely will not be on the roster come Week One. Los Angeles head coach Sean McVay confirmed that RB Todd Gurley, QB Jared Goff and other starters will stay home while the team travels to Hawaii. After playing most of their available starters for one series in their preseason contest against the 49ers in Week One, fans should see increased snaps for the Cowboys starters in this matchup. Dallas lost to San Francisco in its preseason opener but it was nearly as lopsided as the Rams/Raiders game. It was outgained by just 45 total yards and the Cowboys were very disciplined by committing just five penalties. Even though the full Rams roster will not be here, Dallas will be playing with a chip on its shoulder following getting ousted by Los Angeles in the playoffs last season. 10* (421) Dallas Cowboys |
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08-17-19 | Hamilton v. Ottawa +2.5 | Top | 21-7 | Loss | -100 | 25 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the OTTAWA REDBLACKS for our CFL Game of the Week. Though the RedBlacks fell short of picking up their second-straight win in Edmonton last weekend, the team put on one of its best defensive efforts of the season, while quarterback Dominique Davis threw for 289 yards and a touchdown. While they are 3-5, they could be 5-3 and right in the mix for the East Division lead. The Ottawa pass protection has improved tremendously. In the first six games, they allowed 14 sacks; in the past two games, it has been just one. The RedBlacks have lost three straight games at home and they have not lost four in a row at home since 2014, their expansion season. Hamilton is being deemed a Grey Cup contender but the record is skewed when digging deeper. The Tiger-Cats are 6-2 with four of those wins coming by one possession but they have been outgained in five straight games. When mentioning Ottawa last week, we said that they rank at or near the bottom in both offense and defense but a lot of that was due to early poor play and the RedBlacks have improved immensely and come into Saturday in the rare role of home underdog. Here, we play on home underdogs or pickems after one or more consecutive straight up losses, in weeks 10 through 15. This situation is 97-54 ATS (64.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (694) Ottawa RedBlacks |
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08-16-19 | Edmonton v. Toronto +8 | Top | 41-26 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO ARGONAUTS for our CFL Friday Enforcer. Toronto picked up its first win of the season two weeks ago in what was biggest upset of the season as it handed Winnipeg its first loss of the season. Now at 1-6, the Argonauts look to carry that momentum forward and they have actually been playing much better for a longer period as they have outgained their opponent in three of their last four games. The only bad game came at Edmonton in a 26-0 loss so revenge is in play. Toronto is 6-0 ATS in its last six games following a bye week. Edmonton is undefeated this season while playing in the friendly confines of Commonwealth Stadium, however, they have fared much worse on the road as they are 1-3 on the year and have lost their last two contests on the road. The Eskimos are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games. Here, we play against road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after playing a game at home, in weeks 10 through 15. This situation is 52-23 ATS (69.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (692) Toronto Argonauts |
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08-16-19 | Dolphins v. Bucs -3 | Top | 14-16 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS for our NFL Friday Enforcer. Like the Dolphins, the Buccaneers made a coaching change in the offseason when they hired former Arizona Cardinals head coach Bruce Arians. He put together a staff that features several former Dolphins coaches, including defensive coordinator Todd Bowles, special teams coordinator Keith Armstrong, quarterbacks coach Clyde Christensen and defensive line coach Kacy Rodgers which could be a slight edge against familiar personnel. The Buccaneers lost against Pittsburgh last week despite outgaining the Steelers by 140 totals and with this being the home opener, Arians will be out to win for the home fans to give them positive hope. The Dolphins defeated Atlanta in its opener and now hits the road for the first time this season. Head coach Brian Flores openly criticized Josh Rosen this week, then made him the first-team quarterback for his first practice on Wednesday. He admits his processing speed is not where it needs to be. 10* (416) Tampa Bay Buccaneers |
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08-09-19 | Ottawa v. Edmonton -8.5 | Top | 12-16 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the EDMONTON ESKIMOS for our CFL Game of the Week. Having had a hot start to the season, going 3-1 in their first four games of the season and putting up 125 points on the board in those four games, the Eskimos spark that had them start the season off hot has died down a bit in the past few weeks, having lost two of their past three games, while only scoring 54 points. The 4-3 record is a bit deceiving as Edmonton has outgained all but one opponent and that came by just a -24-yardage differential. It does not take much to understand why the Eskimos are dominating despite the average record as they lead the CFL in both total offense and total defense. Back in February, ex-RedBlacks quarterback of three seasons Trevor Harris inked a two-year deal with the Eskimos as a free agent, joining other teammates in Greg Ellingson and SirVincent Rogers in the move to Edmonton. In six games with the Eskimos this year, Ellingson has caught for 457 yards and two touchdowns, while Harris has thrown 2304 yards and 10 touchdowns. Ottawa snapped a four-game losing streak with a win over Montreal but it was the sixth straight game that is has been outgained and unlike Edmonton the stats do not lie. Ottawa is dead last in total offense and No. 7 in total defense. 10* (686) Edmonton Eskimos |
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08-09-19 | Vikings v. Saints -2.5 | Top | 34-25 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS SAINTS for our NFL Friday Enforcer. If there is one team this preseason that wants to come out with an opening game win, it is the Saints following their horrible end to last season in the playoffs. If for nothing else, a win would be good for the fans, or at least just to shut them up and they cannot let it go. Quarterback Teddy Bridgewater, now in his second season as Drew Brees backup with the Saints, figures to play plenty in the preseason opener. Having a veteran like that is big as is the fact another veteran, Tayson Hill should also see significant action. On the other side, it is a lot less stable. Sean Mannion will probably get most of the snaps in the second quarter and then rookie Browning should see a majority of the second half after Kyle Sloter gets some action. The Saints have the clear edge in the quarterback depth even if Brees plays just one series or not at all. The one thing that is keeping this line down is the fact that the Vikings are 17-4 in the past five preseasons under Head Coach Mike Zimmer and while that normally would be a slight cause for concern, motivation is clearly on the other side tonight. 10* (276) New Orleans Saints |
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08-08-19 | Colts v. Bills +2.5 | Top | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the BUFFALO BILLS for our NFL Thursday Enforcer. This is a line shift rarely seen in the preseason as Buffalo opened as a slight favorite but now the Bills are home underdogs which is the case for five teams tonight. Buffalo is in the best spot of them all based on game planning and what we are seeing at quarterback depth. Bills head coach Sean McDermott told the media his starters will play about a quarter which is considered a heavy load in the first preseason game. Quarterback Josh Allen will get to work a decent amount and he will be replaced by veteran Matt Barkley. After that, it will be Tyree Jackson who is an explosive rookie with great size and athleticism. Colts head coach Frank Reich said he is planning to sit out the majority of his starters and rest any players dealing with nagging injuries. The Colts will also call from a limited playbook on both offense and defense, as they plan to study certain plays and sets on film following the game. Jacoby Brissett will get the nod over Andrew Luck at quarterback and after that it is a sketchy. Philip Walker, an undrafted, third year pro who has spent most of his first two seasons on the Colts practice squad will get time as will . Chad Kell, the former Broncos and Ole Miss quarterback, who is battling to make an NFL roster. 10* (254) Buffalo Bills |
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08-03-19 | Edmonton v. Calgary +1 | Top | 18-24 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the CALGARY STAMPEDERS for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. Calgary finally has some competition in the West Division after years of dominance as it has to deal with Winnipeg and Edmonton and this is a true test of where it now stands. Calgary is 3-1 in four games without quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell. It scored just 17 points last week after putting up a total of 86 points in the previous three games but it did outgain Hamilton by 272 total yards so the game should not have been as close as it was. The Stampeders have outgained three of their last four opponents by an average of 193.3 ypg so the domination is still there despite many believing the ship has sailed. The loss of Mitchell is a big factor in that but Stampeders backup Nick Arbuckle ranks sixth in the CFL with 1,284 yards in five games. He has five touchdowns and just two interceptions and he leads all qualified starters by completing 73.9 percent of his passes. He leads the CFL in game-winning drives in the fourth quarter with two. Edmonton is coming off a shutout win over Toronto last week but that is not saying a whole lot. The defense has been dominant of late, allowing 26 points over the last three games but two of those came against B.C. and Toronto, which are a combined 2-12. Edmonton has dominated this series against the number with five straight covers but this is the first time since 2015 that the Eskimos are favored. And they should not be here. 10* (696) Calgary Stampeders |
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08-02-19 | Ottawa +7.5 v. Montreal | Top | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the OTTAWA REDBLACKS for our CFL Friday Enforcer. This is not the records we expected from these two teams coming into this game we have two teams heading in opposite directions but that is where the value lies. This is the second meeting of the season with Montreal winning the first one on the road in Ottawa as an 8.5-point underdog and even though the record are what they are, the Alouettes should be nothing more than a pickem based on the venue change but we are seeing over a two-touchdown swing which is simply too much. With starting quarterback Dominique Davis set to make his return from injury after missing two games, the RedBlacks will be looking to snap a four-game losing streak in Montreal, but most importantly are on the hunt for a crucial two points in what is always a tight race to the top of the division. It has been a huge regression for Ottawa that has gone from Grey Cup participant to a team that is 2-4 and is getting close to must win territory. The Alouettes have been one of the pleasant surprises in the CFL so far this year as Montreal enters tonight with a 3-2 record, just two wins off of their win total for all of the 2018 season. They are on a three-game winning streak and while each victory came by at least a touchdown, Montreal did not dominate as it outgained the three opponents by just 108 total yards combined. Here, we play against teams after beating the spread by more than 14 points in two consecutive games, with a winning record on the season. This situation is 35-12 ATS (74.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (693) Ottawa RedBlacks |
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08-01-19 | Hamilton v. Saskatchewan -3 | Top | 19-24 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Thursday Enforcer. Hamilton is coming off its biggest win of the season as it upset then-undefeated Winnipeg 23-15 but the Blue Bombers were done in by five turnovers. The Tiger-Cats were outgained by 99 yards and it was the fourth time in six games they have been outgained. The only two games where they won the yardage battle came against Toronto and Montreal and this is a great spot for a letdown after that big win. Additionally, they lost quarterback Jeremiah Masoli to a torn ACL and Dane Evans will be making the start and he has seen limited action. Saskatchewan has won two straight games to improve to 3-3 on the season. The Roughriders are ranked No. 2 in total offense and No. 4 in total defense. Saskatchewan lost 23-17 in Hamilton in the regular-season opener on June 13. On the third offensive play, since-traded Roughriders quarterback Zach Collaros absorbed an illegal hit from Simoni Lawrence, who is to complete a two-game suspension on Thursday and emerged with a concussion. Saskatchewan actually outgained the Tiger-Cats by 134 yards in that game but turnovers and special teams were the difference. So that brings in revenge along with a situation based on turnovers where we play on favorites after two consecutive games where they forced one or less turnovers going up against an opponent after a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better. This situation is 23-4 ATS (85.2 percent) since 1996. Additionally, we play on teams after allowing 225 or less total yards in their previous game going up against an opponent after gaining 275 or less total yards in their previous game. This situation is 39-15 ATS (72.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (692) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
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07-30-19 | Sky v. Sun -7.5 | Top | 94-100 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the CONNECTICUT SUN for our WNBA Tuesday Enforcer. Chicago and Connecticut open the second half with a crucial Eastern Conference game that could go a long way in the standings. The Sun have a two-game lead over the Sky so this is a big game for both sides and we will be favoring the home team. Connecticut closed the first half with four straight wins including three at home where it is 9-1 on the season, covering seven of those games. This is also a revenge game for the Sun which lost the first meeting by 18 points in Chicago. Going back, Connecticut is 71-47 ATS revenging a loss versus opponent by 10 points or more. Chicago also closed the first half on a four-game winning streak but three of those wins came at home where it is 8-3 but the Sky come into tonight just 3-5 on the road. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after going under the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team after 15 or more games. This situation is 24-4 ATS (85.7 percent) since 1997. 10* (614) Connecticut Sun |
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07-27-19 | Saskatchewan v. BC +2.5 | Top | 45-18 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the B.C. Lions for our CFL Game of the Month. This is the second game of a home-and-home between B.C. and Saskatchewan with the latter taking the first meeting at home. The Lions actually outgained the Roughriders by 89 yards but a costly pick and allowing a kickoff return for a touchdown did them in. The offense put up 468 total yards but they had to settle for too many field goals. B.C. is just 1-4 but has outgained its opponent in three of five games and the schedule has done it no favored as four of the first five games have come on the road. Field position has also been an issue. Of the Lions 75 offensive drives this season, only five have started on the opposing side of the field. The Lions opponent has started on their side of the field 13 times. Saskatchewan is 2-3 and remains winless on the road at 0-2. The Roughriders are coming off a three-game homestand, going 2-1, with the other win coming against hapless Toronto. Nothing comes easily in football, so the desperate Lions will come out fighting and the Roughriders should expect a very difficult game. Here, we play against favorites coming off a win over a division rival, in July games. This situation is 75-34 ATS (68.8 percent) since 1996. 10* (688) B.C. Lions |
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07-26-19 | Winnipeg -2 v. Hamilton | Top | 15-23 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS for our CFL Friday Enforcer. Hamilton is off to a 4-1 start and likely many will be calling for the upset here and ending the undefeated start to the season for Winnipeg. That record is deceiving however as the Tiger-Cats have been outgained in three of their five games and three of the wins came against Toronto, Montreal and Calgary which was without its starting quarterback. Nobody has been able to defeat the Tiger-Cats at home this season as they are currently 3-0 at Tim Hortons Field. A big reason for that is their league-leading offense as their 187 points are the most in the CFL. The 5-0 Blue Bombers have beaten their opponents by an average of nearly 18 ppg this season. They have given up just 80 points all season, including a minuscule eight total first-quarter points. Winnipeg has not trailed in four straight games and has been behind for just 9:24 this season, forcing opponents to often play catchup. The Tiger-Cats will not have their leader on defense as linebacker Simoni Lawrence sits out the first game of a two-game suspension and this is a big deal. The Tiger-Cats are 7-18-3 ATS in their last 28 games against team with a winning record while the Blue Bombers are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 games against teams with a winning record. Here, we play on teams after allowing 225 or less total yards in their previous game going up against an opponent after gaining 5.5 or less yppl in their previous game. This situation is 40-14 ATS (74.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (685) Winnipeg Blue Bombers |
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07-23-19 | Fever +5 v. Mercury | Top | 77-95 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA FEVER for our WNBA Tuesday Enforcer. Indiana and Phoenix are playing their final game prior to the WNBA All-Star game and while Phoenix wants t keep rolling, Indiana needs some positive momentum going into the break. The Fever are mired in a season-worst five-game losing streak following a 78-70 loss at Chicago on Sunday. Indiana squandered a 13-point first-half lead while getting outscored 51-34 in the final two quarters. Despite the recent struggles, the Fever are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning straight up record. Phoenix has won two straight games, both coming against Dallas to improve to 9-8 on the season and it now sits in a tie for fourth place in the Western Conference. The Mercury are getting outscored on the season by less than a point per game while Indiana is getting outscored by just 2.4 ppg so these teams are closer than what the records are and what the line is saying. Here, we play on road underdogs after three or more consecutive losses going up against an opponent after one or more consecutive wins. This situation is 50-19 ATS (72.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (651) Indiana Fever |
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07-20-19 | Edmonton v. Montreal +6 | Top | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 5 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the MONTREAL ALOUETTES for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. After opening the season 0-2, Montreal has won two straight games and both have been legitimate as it outgained both Hamilton and Ottawa while registering 36 points on offense in both of those games. The Alouettes are third in the CFL in offense which was a concern heading into the season but Vernon Adams Jr. has done a solid job at quarterback. The Alouettes are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games. The Eskimos opened their three-game roadtrip with a 28-21 loss to the Blue Bombers, their first setback of the season, but rebounded with a 33-6 drubbing in B.C. last week. The Edmonton defense, which leads the CFL in allowing an average of 255 ypg, is second in sacks and third in giving up an average of 20.5 ppg and the Alouettes have already faced this defense. They put up 25 points with the game being tied late in the third quarter before a late touchdown sealed it for the Eskimos. Here, we play against favorites with a turnover margin of +0.75 /game or better on the season, after two consecutive games with a turnover margin of +2 or better. This situation is 39-15 ATS (72.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (694) Montreal Alouettes |
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07-19-19 | Ottawa +10.5 v. Winnipeg | Top | 1-31 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the OTTAWA REDBLACKS FOR OUR CFL Friday Enforcer. Ottawa is coming off a pair of losses including an embarrassing loss at home against Montreal last week as an 8.5-point favorite. The game prior to that was a home loss against Winnipeg so this sets up a revenge spot with a line that is completely overadjusted. Ottawa quarterback Dominique Davis got hurt in the last game but this might not be a bad thing despite the line going up. Davis won the starting role out of training camp and has started all four games for the RedBlacks but through four games, he has completed 103 of 156 passes for 1,132 yards with three touchdowns and seven picks. Former B.C. Lions pivot Jonathon Jennings will make his first start for Ottawa after signing with the club as a free agent this offseason. Winnipeg will be looking to go 5-0 for the first time since 1960 and while the chances are in its favor based on the number, it has shifted two touchdowns since the last meeting two weeks ago. This team is solid on both sides of the ball but is in an overpriced spot tonight. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points coming off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite, in the first half of the season. This situation is 25-4 ATS (86.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (691) Ottawa RedBlacks |
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07-17-19 | Storm v. Lynx -5 | Top | 90-79 | Loss | -101 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA LYNX for our WNBA Wednesday Enforcer. Seattle rolls into Minnesota on a two-game winning streak to conclude a 3-3 homestand. This marks the first road game for the Storm since June 25th and this will be just the second road game in over a month. Seattle is 3-5 on the road and going back, the Storm are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games following an ATS win. Minnesota has won four of its last five games including a pair on the road as an underdog. Like Seattle, the Lynx are better at home than on the road as they are 6-3 on their home floor while going 7-1-1 ATS in those games which includes a run of five straight covers. While the Storm have been without MVP Breanna Stewart all season, they are also without second leading scorer Jewell Lloyd who has missed nearly seven games with an ankle injury. Minnesota is 7-1 ATS against teams averaging 73 or more ppg this season. Here, we play on favorites that are revenging a loss going up against an opponent after two consecutive covers as a favorite. This situation is 83-44 ATS (65.4 percent) since 1997. 10* (628) Minnesota Lynx |
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07-14-19 | Sky v. Wings +1 | Top | 89-79 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS WINGS for our WNBA Sunday Supreme Annihilator. After a 0-5 start, Dallas has picked things up by going 5-5 over its last 10 games which is certainly nothing special but the venue has played a big role. The home team is 9-1 in those 10 most recent games with Dallas going 5-1 at home and the Wings remain the only team in the league without a win on the road. The Wings are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss. We won with Chicago on Friday as it cruised past New York with a 16-point win to briefly put a halt to a 1-5 stretch. The Sky improved to 6-3 at home with the victory but they are just 2-5 on the road. This includes three straight losses and on the season, they are getting outscored by 8.3 ppg on the highway. Here, we play against road underdogs that are averaging 77 or more ppg on the season going up against an opponent after a loss by 10 points or more. This situation is 102-60 ATS (63 percent) since 1997. 10* (618) Dallas Wings |
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07-13-19 | Calgary v. Hamilton -3.5 | Top | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 8 h 0 m | Show |
This is a play on the HAMILTON TIGER-CATS for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. We played against Hamilton last week as it lost at home against Montreal in what was a classic letdown/lookahead spot after starting the season 3-0 and with this game looming. Lookaheads are a term that can be overused but in this case, the Tiger-Cats have been eyeing this one. They defeated Calgary back in September of 2011 and in the seven seasons since then, the they have been on the short end of 14 consecutive games against the Stampeders, 15 when you include the Grey Cup in 2014. This is one of the better teams that Hamilton has had to break the streak and it faces a shorthanded Calgary team. The Tiger-Cats will be facing Stampeders backup quarterback Nick Arbuckle instead of 2018 CFL Most Outstanding Player and Grey Cup MVP Bo Levi Mitchell. Mitchell is 12-0 against Hamilton. The Stampeders are coming off their best game of the season in a win over Saskatchewan but this is a different team now traveling in back-to-back weeks. Hamilton also has the benefit of an extra two days of rest over Calgary. Here, we play on favorites after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after a game with a turnover margin of +3 or better. This situation is 22-4 ATS (84.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (688) Hamilton Tiger-Cats |
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07-12-19 | Toronto +15 v. Winnipeg | Top | 21-48 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO ARGONAUTS for our CFL Friday Enforcer. 3-0 Winnipeg hosts 0-3 Toronto in a matchup of the best team against the worst team in the CFL. To no surprise, the public is all over the Blue Bombers but the line is taking this into consideration and this is simply too big of a number in what can be a very volatile league. Toronto has not looked good but is coming off its best game and it can carry that forward. It was the first start of the season for Argonauts quarterback McLeod Bethel-Thompson, who replaced James Franklin (hamstring) after he went on the six-game injured list. Bethel-Thompson acknowledged he has a lot of weapons on offense and that first start was big one to get into the flow and improve the unit. Toronto head coach Corey Chamblin said his players aren't down on themselves and he's seeing improvement. Winnipeg has been led by its defense as it has not allowed a touchdown over the last two games and has allowed just one all season. The Blue Bombers have a strong rushing attack on offense but the passing game has been a letdown and that is key with a line this big as there is no quick strike offense that can put Toronto away early. Here, we play on road underdogs or pick with a poor passing defense allowing 300 or more passing ypg. This situation is 34-9 ATS (79.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (683) Toronto Argonauts |
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07-12-19 | Liberty v. Sky -3.5 | Top | 83-99 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO SKY for our WNBA Friday Enforcer. Chicago is a game under .500 and has already been above .500 earlier this season but is looking to get back to the break-even mark after a 73-72 loss to Minnesota on Wednesday, a game in which it had a chance to win at the buzzer but fell just short. The Sky have lost five of their last six games but three of those were on the road and the only other home loss came against Washington which is in first place in the Eastern Conference. The Liberty had successfully shaken off an 0-4 start and had a chance on Sunday at home to make it five straight wins but nothing went according to plan as they absorbed a 90-58 drubbing against Las Vegas. At 7-8, New York has already matched its win total from all of last season when it went 7-27. The Liberty actually have a better road record than home record but they are still getting outscored by 4.6 ppg on the highway. The Liberty are 0-6 ATS in their last six games playing on three or more days rest while the Sky are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up loss. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games going up against an opponent after having won 3 of their last 4 games. This situation is 33-8 ATS (80.5 percent) since 1997. 10* (608) Chicago Sky |
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07-10-19 | Lynx v. Sky +1 | Top | 73-72 | Push | 0 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO SKY for our WNBA Wednesday Enforcer. Chicago snapped a four-game losing streak with a win over Dallas on Sunday to move back to .500 on the season. Three of those losses came on the road while the other one came against Washington during the Mystics five-game winning streak. The Sky are 5-2 at home compared to 2-5 on the road yet they come into tonight home underdogs where they have won three of four already this season. The Sky are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning straight up record. Minnesota is 8-6 on the season following a pair of wins and going 4-1 over its last five games. The Lynx are coming off an upset win in Connecticut on Saturday but going back, they are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win. Additionally, Minnesota is 0-8 ATS in its last eight games after a win by six points or less over the last two seasons. 10* (662) Chicago Sky |
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07-07-19 | Dream v. Mercury -5.5 | Top | 63-65 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 49 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHOENIX MERCURY for our WNBA Game of the Week. Phoenix lost for the first time in two weeks with an 80-76 home loss against the suddenly resurgent Liberty on Friday. The Mercury are still 5-6 on the season after a 2-5 start put them in the hole but the schedule was not easy with five of those first seven games coming on the road and the two home games coming against Western Conference contenders Los Angeles and Las Vegas. The good news is that Diana Taurasi could return for the first time this season but we are not banking on that and is she does, it is a bonus. Atlanta has gotten off to an atrocious start after having the best record in the Eastern Conference last season. The absence of forward Angel McCoughtry is clearly showing as the Dream are 3-9 on the season and while they are coming off their first road win of 2019, all that does is spell letdown. Atlanta is still getting outscored by 9.4 ppg on the road as the four road losses have been by an average of 14.5 ppg. The Dream are 0-4 ATS in their last four games against teams with a losing straight up record while the Mercury are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up loss. Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after one or more consecutive unders, while getting outscored by their opponents by three or more ppg. This situation is 171-105 (62 percent) since 1997. 10* (650) Phoenix Mercury |
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07-06-19 | Calgary v. Saskatchewan -4.5 | Top | 37-10 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Game of the Week. Calgary bounced back from its season opening loss with a win over B.C. last week but paid the price as starting quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell went down late. Nick Arbuckle, who led the Stampeders to the come-from-behind win will be starting. Arbuckle connected on all nine passes he threw for 93 yards and a major score in the win and while it was solid, he is no Mitchell and this will be his first road start. Running back Don Jackson and receiver Juwan Brescacin are also out for the Stampeders as the depth will be tested. Saskatchewan is off to a 1-2 start but did pick up its first win of the season last week after opening with a pair of close losses. Cody Fajardo threw for a career-high 430 yards last week, dissecting the Argonauts secondary on the way to victory and he has been solid since taking over from Isaac Harker who opened the season as the starter for the injured Zach Collaros but did not last the opening game. The Roughriders will get a boost on defense as Solomon Elimimian will start at middle linebacker after missing the team's first three games of the season. Despite being 1-2, the Roughriders have won the yardage battle in all three games and by an average of 110 ypg. Calgary has failed to cover 12 of its last 16 games against the West while the Roughriders are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games against the West. Saskatchewan is 17-6 ATS in its last 23 games after allowing nine points or less last game and this has been a common success across the league as we play on favorites after allowing nine points or less last game. This situation is 93-50 ATS (65 percent) since 1996. 10* (696) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
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07-05-19 | Mystics v. Aces -1 | Top | 51-36 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
This is play on the LAS VEGAS ACES for our WNBA Friday Star Attraction. The Aces have won four of their last five games heading into their rematch with the league-leading Mystics, who beat them by 23 points on their home floor on June 20. Las Vegas is coming off consecutive wins over Indiana and Chicago to make it four straight wins at home so it has the positive momentum heading into this revenge battle against Washington. It was an uneven start for the Aces who dealt with early season chemistry issues but they have come together since then. Washington has won and covered five straight games with four of those coming by at least 16 points. This includes a 102-59 victory over Connecticut last time out and the Mystics set a franchise record for margin of victory that was also the fourth-biggest in WNBA history. The Mystics continue to outpace the league offensively, averaging a WNBA-best 86.8 points while making a league-topping 8.9 three-pointers per game. This being said, this is a tough spot for Washington as it will catch a much more focused Aces team this time around. 10* (642) Las Vegas Aces |
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07-05-19 | Winnipeg v. Ottawa -3.5 | Top | 29-14 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the OTTAWA REDBLACKS for our CFL Friday Enforcer. Ottawa comes in off its bye week with a 2-0 record and has had the luxury of staying put the last three weeks with no travel. In Week One for the RedBlacks, a win over Calgary, it was probably the defense that bailed out the offense. In Week Two, a win over Saskatchewan, the offense put up 44 points as the RedBlacks won by three. The Ottawa defense is much better than it showed by allowing 41 points against the Roughriders. Quarterback Dominique Davis impressed in the win, completing 30 of his 39 pass attempts for 354 passing yards and three touchdowns. Winnipeg also comes in 2-0 and got a little fortunate last week as it was outgained by 162 total yards. If the Blue Bombers are going to start a season 3-0 for the first time since 2014, they will have to do it without their best defensive player as middle linebacker Adam Bighill has been placed on the one game injured list. Bighill was the 2018 CFL Defensive Player of the Year. The RedBlacks are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning record. 10* (692) Ottawa RedBlacks |
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07-04-19 | Hamilton v. Montreal +12.5 | Top | 29-36 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the MONTREAL ALOUETTES for our CFL Thursday Enforcer. The public is all over Hamilton here for obvious reasons as it comes in a perfect 3-0 on the season while Montreal remains winless at 0-2. The last two wins for the Tiger-Cats has come by a combined score of 105-24 which includes a win over Montreal last week 41-10. The difference here is the change in venue as they mover to Montreal yet Hamilton comes in favored by nearly the same amount as it goes from a 13-point home favorite to a 12.5-point road favorite. It has been some rough years for the Alouettes but they closed last season with two straight wins and played Edmonton tough in the season opener and tonight marks the home opener for Montreal. Hamilton has not started a season 4-0 since 1989 and clearly it is in good shape to match that but stranger things have happened in this league and going against the public has been a huge factor in the past. Montreal Quarterback Vernon Adams Jr. looks like he is worth investing time in while B.J. Cunningham and William Stanback continue to be exciting options on offense. Despite sitting 0-2, the Alouettes lead the league in turnover ratio at +4 while home teams are 8-3 on the season. Here, we play against favorites off a win over a division rival, in the first month of the season. This situation is 59-24 ATS (71.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (690) Montreal Alouettes |
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07-03-19 | Liberty +7.5 v. Storm | Top | 84-83 | Win | 100 | 4 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK LIBERTY for our WNBA Wednesday Enforcer. After finishing 7-27 last season, New York is only two wins shy of matching its win total from last year following a pair of victories against Dallas and Atlanta. Typically, this would be a spot to go against such a streak but the line is telling us otherwise. While Seattle is the reigning WNBA Champion, this is a totally different team at this point. The Storm continue to play without starters Sue Bird and 2018 WNBA MVP Breanna Stewart, who are both out long-term, while guard Jewell Loyd is out at least one more week with an ankle injury suffered two games back. Seattle went 26-8 last season and just the opposite of New York, it is two losses shy of the total from last season. Despite the Seattle situation, it is favored by a big amount which seems to be based on history and not the current scenario. The Liberty are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning straight up record while the Storm are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against teams with a losing straight up record. 10* (633) New York Liberty |
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07-01-19 | Toronto v. Saskatchewan -10 | Top | 7-32 | Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Monday Enforcer. Toronto is coming off a complete debacle last week in its season opener as it lost 64-14 at home against Hamilton and that is clearly playing into this line. Both sides of the ball were awful for the Argonauts as quarterback James Franklin looked skittish in the pocket and was pulled after failing to get anything going and while the defense allowed 64 points, they sustained some key injuries to go along with that. This will be a homecoming of sorts for Argonauts head coach Corey Chamblin, who was head coach of the Roughriders for three and a half seasons. He was at the helm when the Riders won the 2013 Grey Cup and he is already feeling the pressure. Saskatchewan is off to a 0-2 start but both games were winnable as the combined losses were by just nine points and the Roughriders actually outgained both opponents. Quarterback Zach Collaros remains out but Cody Fajardo made his first CFL start and he was solid as he completed 27-of-34 passes for 360 yards and two touchdowns. He has the ability to build on that tonight against an awful Toronto defense. Saskatchewan is 26-8 ATS in its last 34 games off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog while the Argonauts are 9-24 ATS in their last 33 games following a straight up loss. 10* (688) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
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06-30-19 | Sky v. Sparks -5.5 | Top | 69-94 | Win | 100 | 6 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES SPARKS for our WNBA Sunday Enforcer. Los Angeles will try to win back-to-back home games for the first time this season to close out the month of June. The Sparks are 2-2 at home as they have played a very unfavorable schedule to start the season as those four home games are tied with Phoenix for the fewest played. Forward Nneka Ogwumike is likely to be available after she was essentially rested on Thursday. Los Angeles has won and covered four straight meetings in this series. Chicago is coming off a loss in Seattle on Friday to snap a two-game road winning streak. While the defense has improved in its first season under coach and general manager James Wade, keeping control of the basketball continues to be an issue. The Sky's 15.8 turnover average ranks third in the WNBA and they've combined to commit 32 in losing their last two contests. Here, we play on favorites with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, playing a winning team. This situation is 54-25 ATS (68.4 percent) since 1997. 10* (626) Los Angeles Sparks |
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06-27-19 | Edmonton v. Winnipeg -5 | Top | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS for our CFL Thursday Enforcer. Edmonton is off to a 2-0 start with big wins over B.C. and Montreal but both of those victories came at home and the Eskimos hit the road for the first time this season. The weapons on offense, including receivers Greg Ellingson, Ricky Collins Jr. and Kenny Stafford, and running back CJ Gable, have moved the Eskimos to the top of the league in almost all offensive categories behind quarterback Trevor Harris. Now they face their first challenge of the season. Winnipeg is also coming off a win over B.C. in its season opener and is also coming off a rare early season bye week. The Blue Bombers offense operated an efficient attack in the season-opening win before the bye, as Matt Nichols threw for three touchdowns and Andrew Harris rushed for 148 yards. Now, they get receiver Chris Matthews into the rotation making the offense that much more lethal. The situation is just the opposite here as the Blue Bombers lone game came on the road making this their home opener. Going back, the Blue Bombers are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games against teams with a winning record and this situation has treated them well as Winnipeg was 3-0 last year coming off a bye, and 5-0 since 2017. 10* (682) Winnipeg Blue Bombers |
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06-26-19 | Sun -8 v. Wings | Top | 73-74 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the CONNECTICUT SUN for our WNBA Wednesday Enforcer. Connecticut had its seven-game winning streak snapped Sunday in a 93-75 loss at Chicago. The Sun never recovered from an 11-0 burst by the Sky to start the second quarter, falling behind by 21 at halftime. Connecticut is a perfect 6-0 at home while going a much more average 3-2 on the road but coming off that loss puts it in good position, especially against a depleted Winds team. Dallas was thwarted in its bid for a third straight victory after an 0-5 start with Saturday's 86-68 defeat at Las Vegas. The Wings shot only 28.6 percent overall and 6 of 31 from beyond the arc. Injuries are the story as the they have been without Skylar Diggins-Smith and Moriah Jefferson for the entire season and now Glory Johnson and Tayler Hill are out with injuries. The Wings are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss and here, we play on road favorites up-tempo team averaging 62 or more shots per game on the season against an opponent after a game where a team made 90 percent of their free throws or better. This situation is 56-26 ATS (68.3 percent) since 1997. 10* (607) Connecticut Sun |
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06-20-19 | Mystics v. Aces -4.5 | Top | 95-72 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the LAS VEGAS ACES for our WNBA Thursday Enforcer. Washington is coming off a 29-point win over Los Angeles on Tuesday to snap a two-game slide but it has a challenge tonight against a team that looks to have turned the corner. With the addition of star forward Liz Cambage prior to the season, Las Vegas went from a squad in rebuilding mode to a potential WNBA title contender. When the Aces dropped three of their first five, coach Bill Laimbeer continued to warn fans and media alike that he still has a young team learning how to win. They have now won two straight games and lead the league in several important categories as they are the best defensive team, allowing 89.4 points per 100 possessions amid the fastest offensive pace, 102.2 possessions per game. Las Vegas is also holding opponents to a league-low 38.1 percent shooting from the field while rebounding a league-high 76.5 percent of their misses. This is huge considering the Aces were among the worst defensive teams in the league last season, allowing 105 points per 100 possessions and 44.7 percent shooting en route to a 14-20 record. 10* (648) Las Vegas Aces |
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06-15-19 | Winnipeg v. BC | Top | 33-23 | Loss | -104 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the B.C. LIONS for our CFL Game of the Week. Winnipeg added some key pieces to its roster and many are saying this is finally the year to end a 30-year Grey Cup drought. The Blue Bombers were close last year, falling to Calgary in the Western Final and this could be the year should they stay healthy. Last season, the receiving corps was a negative but they added Chris Matthews, who played three seasons in the NFL and he is going to have a big season. But it will not start tonight as he is on the injury list and will miss the opener. B.C. general manager Ed Hervey spent his off-season picking up talent from around the league and beyond, including receivers Duron Carter and Lemar Durant, offensive lineman Brett Boyko and linebacker Maleki Harris. The real prize however was quarteback Mike Reilly who makes his long-anticipated debut since signing with the Lions this off-season, and the weapons around him have the potential to put up big numbers right from the start. The Lions went just 2-7 on the road last season but went 7-2 at home, a three-point loss to Saskatchewan and a loss to eventually Grey Cup Champion Calgary in the regular season finale that meant nothing. 10* (688) B.C. Lions |
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06-14-19 | Sparks v. Mercury -2.5 | Top | 85-68 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHOENIX MERCURY for our WNBA Friday Enforcer. Both Phoenix and Los Angeles have played heavy road schedules to open the season as through five games, they both have been on the road for four of those. The Mercury get the luxury of heading home tonight while the Sparks are playing their fourth straight road game before heading home for a pair of games. Los Angeles is 2-2 on the road, two losses coming against contenders in Connecticut and Las Vegas while the two wins came against New York, one of the worst teams in the league and shorthanded Minnesota. The Sparks are still down three key players and the matchup does not bode well for tonight. The Mercury have one of the top frontcourt tandems in the league in DeWanna Bonner and Britney Griner as they are averaging 24.2 and 16.4 ppg respectively and have combined to pull down 15.8 rpg. The Sparks are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up win while the Mercury are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss. Here, we play on home favorites with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 after having lost two of their last three games, playing a winning team. This situation is 66-32 ATS (67.3 percent) since 1997. 10* (626) Phoenix Mercury |
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06-13-19 | Raptors +3 v. Warriors | Top | 114-110 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO RAPTORS for our NBA Game of the Month. It is the call everyone is pondering. Toronto head coach Nick Nurse called a timeout with the Raptors up by six points and about three minutes left to play, allowing the Warriors to reset on defense, snatching defeat from the jaws of victory and allowing the NBA Finals to return to Golden St. for another game. The 106-105 final not only produced the first one-point NBA Finals margin since 2007, but it also made the Warriors just the sixth team in NBA history to win a potential elimination game on the road. While Toronto had every chance to win this series at home, it can now get it done on the road with the Warriors once again being without Kevin Durant and it is bigger than most people realize. When Durant has not been available, the Raptors have been the better team on both sides of the floor for most of this series, consistently finding seams in the Warriors inconsistent defense for its highest offensive rating out of any series in these playoffs and suffocating the Warriors shooters into their lowest offensive rating out of any series in these playoffs. That is not coincidence as the Durant absence is something Golden St. cannot handle as it is still just 9-9 in the NBA Finals without him and 8-1 with him. Here, we play against home favorites with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 off a road win by three points or less, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 97-55 ATS (63.8 percent) since 1996. 10* (531) Toronto Raptors |
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06-13-19 | Fever v. Wings +3 | Top | 76-72 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS WINGS for our WNBA Thursday Enforcer. The Wings are 0-4 to start the season after making the playoffs a season ago and we are going contrarian with them here in a great spot in an overinflated line based on the fact they are winless. Dallas has struggled transitioning without both Skylar Diggins-Smith and the since-traded Liz Cambage, with close losses in its first two games followed by blowout defeats on the road. One of the Dallas losses was a 79-64 loss at Indiana on Friday in which the Wings never recovered from a 10-point deficit after one quarter so there is immediate revenge on the table tonight. Indiana opened the season 3-1 but it is coming off a pair of losses in its last two games. Two of those three wins came against New York which is arguably still the worst team in the WNBA so we cannot be sold on the 3-3 record for the Fever. They finished 6-28 last year, the lowest win total in franchise history and the Fever missed the playoffs for the second consecutive season after finishing 12th in league standings. The Fever are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games following a straight up loss. 10* (620) Dallas Wings |
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06-13-19 | Saskatchewan v. Hamilton -3 | Top | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the HAMILTON TIGER-CATS for our CFL Opening Night Enforcer. Orlondo Steinauer will be making his head coaching debut tonight for Hamilton and it has been a long time coming as he has been a top assistant in the CFL following an elite playing career. Usually, injuries do not impact games early in the season but Saskatchewan is down some key players. Veteran offensive lineman Brendon LaBatte will open the season on the six-game injured list, while linebacker Emmanuel Arceneaux and slot back Solomon Elimimian will also miss the Week One opener. The Roughriders will again hand the offensive reigns to Zach Collaros and this could again be dicey. Last season, he would throw more interceptions than touchdowns, only twice did he register more touchdowns than interceptions in a game, he exceeded 300 yards in a single game twice and only once would he have multiple touchdown passes in a game. On the other side, Jeremiah Masoli and the Ticats are looking to repeat as the top CFL top offense. It was an impressive attack last year, and most of the critical pieces are back including two of the best receivers in the league in Luke Tasker and Brandon Banks. On the other side, the defense is filled with impressive playmakers, including experienced veterans like linebacker Simoni Lawrence, corner Delvin Breaux and nose tackle Ted Laurent. Here, we play against underdogs or pickems, poor passing defense from last season, allowing a completion percentage of 61 percent or worse. This situation is 86-43 ATS (66.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (682) Hamilton Tiger-Cats |
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06-11-19 | Mystics v. Sun -4 | Top | 75-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the CONNECTICUT SUN for our WNBA Tuesday Enforcer. The Mystics have the opportunity to avenge their only loss of the season tonight as they face Connecticut for the second time in less than three weeks. We do not see it happening however. Washington has won four straight games but three of those were at home and the lone road win was against New York which has lost 17 of 18 games going back to last season. The Mystics will once again be without Emma Meesseman, who is the third leading scorer on the team at 13.3 ppg, as she will be gone for upwards of a month as she plays with Belgium in the EuroBasket Championships. Connecticut meanwhile has won three straight games and its winning stretch has been much more impressive with road wins at Los Vegas and Atlanta and a home win over Los Angeles. The Sun have played the toughest schedule in the WNBA and is still an impressive 5-1. They have done it with defense as the Sun are second in the league in scoring defense, allowing 72.2 ppg, and are holding opponents to a league-low 25.7 percent shooting from beyond the arc. Connecticut is a perfect 3-0 at home while going 8-3 ATS in its last 11 home games going back to last season. 10* (614) Connecticut Sun |
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06-10-19 | Warriors v. Raptors -1.5 | Top | 106-105 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO RAPTORS for our NBA Monday Enforcer. Golden St. received a boost for Game Four when Klay Thompson and Kevon Looney returned to the lineup and played well after missing Game Three with injuries. But Kevin Durant remains questionable tonight despite being cleared for practice on Sunday. The Warriors have been without Durant for the series and his availability for Game Five is uncertain as he has missed the last nine games with a calf injury. The Raptors are beating the Warriors by using their own strengths against them. Golden St. is frustrated because they are unable to do the things they normally do. Coaching in the Finals is all about making the right adjustments and by that measure, Nick Nurse is having one of the finest Finals coaching performances since Rick Carlisle in 2011 for the Mavericks. The Raptors length, strength and speed have, at times, overwhelmed the Warriors while they operate without a safety valve in Durant to release some pressure. There is talk about how Draymond Green made a motivational speech in the locker room after Game Four according to Kevon Looney and while saying all the right words are nice , playing with a newfound level of desperation is another especially without arguably the best player in the NBA. The Raptors are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600 while the Warriors are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Additionally, they are 8-1 in NBA Finals with Durant and 8-9 without him. 10* (530) Toronto Raptors |
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06-07-19 | Raptors v. Warriors -5.5 | Top | 105-92 | Loss | -105 | 31 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. Toronto was able to regain home court edge with its Game Three win in Golden St. against a shorthanded Warriors team and now it is up to Golden St. to avoid a devastating 3-1 deficit. The Warriors will be getting Klay Thompson back and that is huge considering they shot just 39.6 percent from the floor with Stephen Curry scoring 47 of their 109 points. There is also a chance that Kevin Durant comes back and that would be a real game-changer. 47.5 ppg were not playing on Wednesday and that is a loss that no team can withstand, even a team with other talent that Golden St. has. This is taking nothing away from Toronto considering it has won four of five games against Golden St. this season but only one of those was with a fill Warriors roster although DeMarcus Cousins did not play in that lone game. Kyle Lowry had a huge game with 23 points but he has struggled putting together solid back-to-back games. Prior to Wednesday, he scored 20 or more points 19 times and backed it up with another 20 point game only twice. In those 19 follow up games, he averaged only 13.5 ppg. Since losing the NBA Championship to Cleveland in 2015-16, Golden St. is 9-2 in the playoffs following a loss. Here, we play on favorites that are revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points against opponent off an upset win as an underdog. This situation is 209-144 ATS (59.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (528) Golden St. Warriors |
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06-06-19 | Sparks v. Sun -6 | Top | 77-89 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the CONNECTICUT SUN for our WNBA Thursday Enforcer. This is an early season revenge game for Connecticut which lost in Los Angeles last Friday. The Sun bounced back from that loss and split its two-game road swing with an 80-74 victory at Las Vegas on Sunday. They are 2-0 at home and going back, the Sun have won eight straight regular season home games. Los Angeles followed up its win over the Sun with a 78-73 victory at New York on Tuesday when Chelsea Gray scored eight of her career high 29 points in a game-changing 10-0 run that erased a five-point deficit. That was not an overly impressive win considering New York came into that game riding a 15-game losing streak dating back to last season. The Sparks are 1-11-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after allowing 70 points or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after a win by six points or less. This situation is 96-52 ATS (64.9 percent) since 1997. 10* (642) Connecticut Sun |
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06-05-19 | Raptors +5 v. Warriors | Top | 123-109 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
Toronto had a great opportunity to take control of this series but allowed a 22-0 run by the Warriors in the end of the second and start of the third quarters and yet still had a chance late to pull it out. We waited on this release in trying to get any info on Klay Thompson who is questionable with a hamstring injury. As game time gets closer, it is likely that he is going to sit this one out based on his own comments as he expects this to be a long series and would not want to jeopardize the remaining games should he make it worse tonight. But even if he does go, he will be limited and will not be 100 percent. Kevin Durant is out for Game Three of the finals, still not ready to return for the two-time defending champions as he works back from a strained right calf suffered during the Western Conference semifinals. Additionally, Kevon Looney has been lost for the rest of the series as depth is now a big issue for the Warriors. Toronto went just 35 for 94 (37.2 in Game Two, compared to 50.6 percent while winning the series opener, including 11 of 38 from three-point range. The Raptors missed shots and defensive stops are exactly what the Warriors count on to get out into their push-the-pace transition game. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in non-conference games, off an upset win as a road underdog. This situation is 50-18 ATS (73.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (525) Toronto Raptors |
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06-02-19 | Warriors v. Raptors -2 | Top | 109-104 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO RAPTORS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Game One was a bad one for the Warriors but was it just an aberration or do they really have a matchup disadvantage? It seems to be a little of both. They lost the three-point battle and the two-point battle, lost the transition battle, lost the turnover battle and Toronto introduced a physicality that muddied up the game, crowded the perimeter, induced 17 turnovers and frustrated the Warriors' ball handlers and jump shooters. When the defense thrives, it tends to outdo the offense and that was the case Thursday. Golden St. entered the Finals with the postseason's best pick-and-roll offense, averaging 1.13 points per play. But Toronto entered with the best pick-and-roll defense, yielding 0.74 points per play. While the Warriors would like nothing more than to get the split here and take over home court, Toronto cannot afford a split and give away the home court edge. Toronto has just lost 11 games here all season including only one in the postseason where it is 7-1 and going back, the Raptors are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (524) Toronto Raptors |
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06-01-19 | Liberty +3.5 v. Fever | Top | 77-92 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK LIBERTY for our WNBA Saturday Enforcer. New York is coming off a nightmare season as it finished with a franchise-low seven wins, the only single-digit win season in franchise history and it was a sudden fall. The Liberty finished first in the Eastern Conference for three straight years with 23, 21 and 22 wins and ended last season with a 13-game losing streak. New York lost its season opener at home against Indiana on a last second shot so it is out for some immediate revenge. While Indiana won that opening game, it lost on Tuesday against Connecticut by 11 points and it is expected to be another poor season. The Fever finished 6-28 last year, the lowest win total in franchise history. Indiana missed the playoffs for the second consecutive season after finishing 12th in league standings. While this is the first home game of the season, the Fever are 7-21 ATS in their last 28 home games. Here, we play on road underdogs after one or more consecutive losses, first five games of the season, after closing out last season with 12 or more losses in their last 15 games. This situation is 24-5 ATS (82.8 percent) since 1997. 10* (623) New York Liberty |
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05-31-19 | Sun v. Sparks | 70-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES SPARKS for our WNBA Friday Enforcer. We played on the Sparks in their season opener and lost against the up and coming Aces in Las Vegas and now Los Angeles heads back home for its home opener. The Sparks were 11-6 at home last season and going back to last season, they are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up loss. Connecticut is off to a 2-0 start following wins over Washington and Indiana but both of those were at home where the Sun are now 15-4 going back to last season. The Sun were the top scoring team in the league last season at 87.6 ppg and used a balanced offense to score those points. Chiney Ogwumike was their leading scorer at 14.4 ppg but she was shipped to Los Angeles for a 2020 draft pick so expect her to play with a chip on her shoulder tonight because of that as well as after she managed just two points on 1-of-10 shooting in the opener. Here, we play against road favorites or pickems that averaged 72 or more ppg last season, after a win by 10 points or more. This situation is 39-13 ATS (75 percent) since 1997. 10* (622) Los Angeles Sparks |
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05-30-19 | Warriors v. Raptors +1 | Top | 109-118 | Win | 100 | 34 h 36 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO RAPTORS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. Golden St. is on the path to a three-peat, attempting to bring home their fourth championship since Steve Kerr became the head coach in 2014. The Warriors are coming off a sweep of the Portland Trail Blazers but it was not easy as Golden St. trailed by 17, 18 and 17 points over the final three games. They might be 5-0 without Kevin Durant during this stretch, but the margin for error has been slim-to-none. And the matchup only gets tougher here especially with Kevin Durant sitting out at least Game One. The Toronto defense is comprised of longer, more aggressive, and smarter veterans than Portland and Houston had. The absence of Durant and his one-on-one creation and mid-range arsenal gives Toronto a positive edge since Kawhi Leonard can now move around and guard other players. In the 696 minutes with Leonard on the floor, the Raptors are 24.3 points per 100 possessions better than during his minutes on the bench which is the most by a wide margin. Many will claim how good the Warriors have been with Steph Curry in Durant out but this is a matchup not in their favor with the current available roster. The Warriors enter the 2019 NBA Finals with a +6.6 net rating in 16 playoff games (non-garbage time), while the Raptors are right on their tail at +6.3 so these teams are not far off from each other. The goal for the Warriors are to steal one game in Toronto meaning a home sweep would bring home their third straight championship. With this being the first ever Final game in Toronto, any game stealing will not take place until Game Two if at all. 10* (522) Toronto Raptors |
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05-29-19 | Blues v. Bruins -1.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON BRUINS for our NHL Wednesday Puckline Dominator. As expected, St. Louis got off to the hot start in Game One as it took a 2-0 lead before Boston finally found its legs after a long layoff and the Blues were unable to match the Bruins intensity. Boston rallied with four unanswered goals, held a 30-12 edge in shots over the final two periods and had its way with St. Louis in the physicality department. Boston, which has now won eight straight games, can close out the month of May without a loss. The Bruins have allowed 11 goals in the eight games, only one when shorthanded. They are 25-for-26 on the penalty kill (96.2 percent), have started in the offensive zone 56.22 percent of the time at 5-on-5 and have won 56.6 percent of all offensive zone face-offs. The Blues were very undisciplined in Game One as they gave the Bruins five power play opportunities. Even if you kill off every single one, you have no opportunity to generate any positive game flow and you tire yourself out killing it off. Six of the eight Boston wins during this streak have come by two or more goals and the momentum from the final two periods on Monday carries forward into Game Two. 10* (4) Boston Bruins Puckline -1.5 Goals |
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05-29-19 | Storm +3 v. Lynx | Top | 61-72 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE STORM for our WNBA Wednesday Enforcer. With reigning MVP Breanna Stewart out for the season with an Achilles injury and Sue Bird sidelined indefinitely with a knee injury, the Storm rallied from 11 down in the first half to open defense of their WNBA title with an impressive 77-68 win over Phoenix on Saturday. Now Seattle hits the road for the start of a three-game roadtrip after going a very impressive 13-4 on the highway last regular season. Despite being shorthanded, the Storm are still a very well rounded team. Minnesota also got off to an impressive start with an 89-71 win over Chicago following a disappointing season a year ago where it went just 18-16. Napheesa Collier scored 27 points in her WNBA debut and Sylvia Fowles added 16 with 10 rebounds as the Lynx shot 44.1 percent, held a 46-29 advantage on the glass and attempted more than twice as many free throws (32 to 15) than the Sky. The play of rookie Collier was big but we cannot ignore the fact that Minnesota is without Maya Moore, Lindsay Whalen, Seimone Augustus and Rebekkah Brunson, four massive pieces to winning four titles and making six Finals appearances since 2011. 10* (615) Seattle Storm |
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05-26-19 | Sparks +1.5 v. Aces | Top | 70-83 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES SPARKS for our WNBA Sunday Enforcer. Las Vegas enters the season an WNBA Championship contenders following a 14-20 season but it has definitely upgraded. The move that has many considering the Aces to be championship-caliber was the blockbuster deal made earlier this month to acquire center Liz Cambage from the Wings. While the future will be bright, she will not be in uniform tonight as she is nursing an Achilles injury. Los Angeles is expected to make a rebound as week following a disappointing 19-15 season by its standards. The Sparks will be without star Candace Parker, who is nursing a hamstring injury. But they have All-Star sisters Nneka and Chiney Ogwumike, along with guard Chelsea Gray, and will provide the Aces with a formidable test to start the season. The Sparks acquired Chiney Ogwumike in a trade with Connecticut in late April, adding another 2018 All-Star to the roster. While she has dealt with injury issues that caused her to miss the 2015 and 2017 seasons, she averaged 14.1 ppg and 7.5 rpg while shooting 60.3 percent for the Sun last year. 10* (611) Los Angeles Sparks |
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05-25-19 | Bucks +2.5 v. Raptors | Top | 94-100 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. This is an elimination game for the Bucks which have lost three straight games for the first time this season and after looking invincible for the opening part of the postseason, they are looking vulnerable for the first time. Giannis Antetokounmpo was an unstoppable force that drove the conference's most efficient offense for 93 games. The Toronto defense has turned the Bucks into an offensively-challenged group that cannot score in the half-court. While all of the emphasis has been placed on Antetokounmpo, there is way more to it. Khris Middleton scored six points on nine shots Thursday night. Eric Bledsoe was five-of-23 from the field in Toronto. The Bucks have no chance if those two players are going to have that kind of production and we do not see this happening for another game with everything on the line. With this all being said, the line value is simply too strong for Milwaukee as it was favored by three points the last game played here and is now seeing a 5.5-point line shift into Game Six. Milwaukee is 16-4 ATS off a loss as a favorite this season while Toronto is 6-17 ATS after covering three of its last four games against the spread this season. 10* (511) Milwaukee Bucks |
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05-23-19 | Raptors v. Bucks -6.5 | Top | 105-99 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. The series heads back to Milwaukee for Game Five as the home team has held serve through the first four games. Milwaukee has been a force on home court during the postseason, winning straight up and ATS in six of seven, including five victories by 21 or more points. While momentum may have shifted, we feel the Bucks swing it back their way tonight. Two factors led to the Raptors tying this series up in Game Four and the Bucks need to reverse both. The Milwaukee bench outscored Toronto 130-78 through the first three games of the series but it was the Raptors bench, Norman Powell scoring 18 points, Serge Ibaka adding 17 points and Fred VanVleet tossing in 13 points, that decided Game Four and it will be up to the Bucks reserves to get back to the way they were in the first two games. Second, Game Four was the Bucks worst defensive game (120 points allowed on 96 possessions) of the postseason, and that was the focus of head coach Mike Budenholzer's frustration Tuesday night. The league's No. 1 defense simply cannot have the same kinds of breakdowns going forward. Milwaukee is 16-3 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite this season and here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points revenging a loss of 10 points or more, off two or more consecutive road losses. This situation is 37-13 ATS (74 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (508) Milwaukee Bucks |
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05-23-19 | White Sox v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON ASTROS for our MLB Thursday Runline Destruction. Houston had a seven-game home winning streak snapped with a 9-4 loss last night as Gerrit Cole got lit up for six runs on seven hits in five innings. We expect the Astros to bounce back tonight and while we have no interest in laying a moneyline of this size, we will be going with the runline where there is a lot of value. The recent seven-game home winning streak saw the Astros win all seven games by at least two runs and on the season, of their 18 home wins, 14 have come by more than one run. The White Sox snapped a three-game losing streak and the nine runs scored was the first time they scored more than four runs in seven straight games where they plated a total of just 13 runs. The starting rotation has been dreadful for the White Sox with a lone bright spot being Lucas Giolito and his 3.35 ERA. He is perfect on the road with a 4-0 record and a 2.42 ERA but this will be his biggest challenge as the Astros lead all of baseball in home average, on-base percentage and slugging percentage. The White Sox are 5-13 in his last 18 starts against teams with a winning record. Houston counters with Corbin Martin who struggled last time out after a strong Major League debut. That last game was in Boston however and Chicago is hitting just .243 on the road against righties. 10* (916) Houston Astros -1.5 Runs |
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05-21-19 | Bucks -2.5 v. Raptors | Top | 102-120 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. We had Toronto in Game Three and it was a fortunate cover that took double-overtime to complete and that only proved that the Bucks are dominating the postseason for a reason. Milwaukee could be ahead 3-0 if it had shot better than 14-44 from three-point range. Giannis Antetokounmpo scored 12 points, his worst scoring night in four months, on 5-16 shooting, with eight turnovers. He was still just one of only two starters that finished on the plus side as his numbers were actually better than Kris Middleton and Eric Bledsoe who both went 3-16 from the floor, including 1-6 from long range and had a combined eight assists against eight turnovers. The Bucks have to remain positive as their best player had an off night and a lot went wrong at both ends of the court and they still had a win well within their reach. They have been in this position 23 times this season and they are 22-1 following a loss while going 19-4 against the number. Shockingly, that one loss came against Phoenix of all teams but there was no Middleton at the time and 17 of those wins came by double-digits. Included in that record is a 12-2 ATS mark coming off a road loss. 10* (503) Milwaukee Bucks |
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05-20-19 | Warriors v. Blazers +3.5 | Top | 119-117 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS for our NBA Monday Enforcer. Portland is facing elimination and with its back against the wall at home, we should see a big rebound tonight. The Blazers blew an 18-point lead in Game Three, eventually losing by 11 points and are down 3-0 in the series and no team in NBA history has lost the first three games of a playoff series and come back to win which is the big reason they have gone from a 2.5-point favorite to a 3.5-point underdog one game later. The one thing Portland needs to avoid one bad period. In all three games this series the Warriors have had a dominating quarter where they scored at least 15 points more than the Blazers. Most games between two quality opponents have some ebbs and flows, but a 15-point differential in a single quarter is just too much. The Blazers missed 13 free throws in Game Three on top of it, making just 20 of 33. Playing without Kevin Durant and DeMarcus Cousins seems like the sort of factor that would have extended the series, but instead it has served as a rallying cry of sorts for the remaining Warriors. However, Golden St. will be without Andre Iguodala tonight which puts its limited depth in question yet again. Here ,we play on home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points in a game involving two teams allowing between 43.5 and 45.percent shooting, after three straight games allowing 47 percent shooting or higher. This situation is 27-7 ATS (79.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (502) Portland Trail Blazers |
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05-19-19 | Bucks v. Raptors -2 | Top | 112-118 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO RAPTORS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Like Portland, Toronto is in must win mode after falling behind 2-0 in this series but after the Blazers blew an 18-point lead, we do not expect a repeat from the Raptors. Toronto is 37-11 at home and feasibly could have this series tied and home court advantage on its side. The Bucks, showing rust after a week off, needed a fourth-quarter surge to win Game One 108-100 on Wednesday. In Game Two on Friday, they dominated from the tip in a 125-103 victory to take a 2-0 series lead. The Raptors, after trailing by 28 points Friday, made a push to draw to within 13 in the third quarter and that was encouraging to see while the game was thought to be over. For the Bucks, the Friday victory continues a dominating run through the postseason, lifting them to 10-1 SU and ATS so far in the playoffs and with Milwaukee being the underdog, the public is all over the Bucks. Toronto 10-2 ATS after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games this season while Milwaukee is 7-21 ATS in its last 28 games off three or more consecutive home wins. Here, we play on home favorites revenging a loss of 10 points or more, off two or more consecutive road losses. This situation is 53-22 ATS (70.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (550) Toronto Raptors |
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05-18-19 | Warriors v. Blazers -2 | Top | 110-99 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. We have been on Portland the first two games of this series and the Blazers head home in what should be a tied series as they gave Game Two away to the Warriors. If Golden St. can secure a split here, this series is likely over and it is up to the Blazers to keep hope alive after Game Three which is typically the time that home teams do respond after losing the first two games on the road. This is a pretty big deal in Portland tonight as Game Three will be the first conference final game in Portland since 2000. The Blazers lost that series to the eventual champion Los Angeles Lakers in seven games. Golden St. overcame a 15-point deficit at halftime, which was the second-largest comeback in postseason franchise history so there has to be some letdown coming from that as the Warriors hit the road where they are 4-2 in the postseason but could easily be 2-4. The Blazers tied for the third best home record in the NBA during the regular season while going 5-1 in the postseason and they are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. Golden St. is 9-21 ATS in its last 30 games off two or more consecutive home wins and here, we play on home favorites revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off two or more consecutive road losses. This situation is 90-46 ATS (66.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (548) Portland Trail Blazers |
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05-17-19 | Raptors +6.5 v. Bucks | Top | 103-125 | Loss | -103 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
This is a play on the TORONTO RAPTORS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. We won with Milwaukee in Game One as it overcame a deficit most of the game with a big fourth quarter to take the series opener. Toronto got 14 of its 17 points in the fourth quarter from Kyle Lowry as the rest of the team was 0-15 from the floor and that was the big difference as the Raptors actually held the lead with three and a half minutes left. Another significant part was the play of Brook Lopez for the Bucks as he scored a playoff-career-best 29 points and grabbed 11 rebounds. To put that into perspective, he had scored a total of 27 points in his previous five games combined. Do not expect a repeat performance.. Toronto has to knock down some shots from deep as after going 10-22 in the first half, it was just 5-20 in the second half but the opportunities will be there considering no team gave up more three-point attempts per game than the Bucks this season. While the offense has struggled, fortunately for the Raptors, they have also proven largely effective at containing opposing shooters when playing on the road, allowing just 101 ppg over their past seven games. Here, we play against home favorites with a winning percentage of .750 or better when leading in a playoff series, playing a team with a winning percentage between .600 and .750. This situation is 33-11 ATS (75 percent) since 1996. 10* (545) Toronto Raptors |
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05-16-19 | Blazers +7.5 v. Warriors | Top | 111-114 | Win | 100 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. We lost with Portland in Game One as it could not have played worse but was not out of it until late. Portland went 7-28 from long range while committing 21 turnovers yet the Blazers were still in this game leading up to the final quarter and we can expect a much better performance tonight. The backcourt of the Blazers was horrible as both Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum both struggled which has been atypical this postseason as one or the other has picked up the slack if the other has been struggling. Lillard scored 19 points on just 4 of 12 shooting while McCollum was only 7 of 19 from the floor and scored 17 points. A lot of the poor play on both ends of the floor can be blamed on the quick turnaround from the seven-game series against Denver while Golden St. enjoyed an extra two days off. Now, the time off is back even and do not foresee the Warriors hitting 51.5 percent from long range once again. But this is not the first time the Blazers, who lost Game One to the Nuggets in the conference semifinals, have been in this position as they rebounded to win Game Two. Portland is 8-0 ATS revenging a road loss of 10 points or more this season while Golden St. is 9-19 ATS after a win by 15 points or more this season. 10* (543) Portland Trail Blazers |
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05-15-19 | Raptors v. Bucks -6 | Top | 100-108 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. Toronto hits the court after just two days off from its last second miracle win over Philadelphia that looked destined to go to overtime. The Raptors won the final four games against Orlando in the opening round but struggled to put the Sixers away in the 336 minutes played and now they face a tougher challenge. Milwaukee took three of four games against the Raptors during the regular season and are now playing at a higher level. Only one of the Bucks nine games (Game 3 in Boston) has been within five points in the last five minutes, though that was only when the Celtics got to within five with just 11 seconds left. Seven of their eight wins have been by double-digits and five of the eight have been by 21 points or more. Milwaukee's reserves remained significant as it breezed through its first two playoff rounds, but Toronto has had limited contributions from its backups. By relying so heavily on a shortened rotation in a grueling series with the Sixers, the Raptors might show some fatigue here. The Bucks, meanwhile, not only have had a week off, but have confidence in their reserves. Here, we play on home favorites that are averaging 83 or more shots per game on the season, after allowing opponent to shoot 35 percent or less. This situation is 53-22 ATS (70.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (532) Milwaukee Bucks |
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05-14-19 | Blazers +7.5 v. Warriors | 94-116 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. Golden St. was able to overcome the absence of Kevin Durant and Steph Curry going scoreless in the first half to pull off the five-point win as a 7.5-point underdog to move on to the Western Conference Finals. We are now seeing a 15-point swing in the line and granted there is a venue change but this is too much of an adjustment especially with Durant being out for this opener. The Blazers won an epic series against Denver, rallying from a 3-2 deficit to win the last two games thanks to a pair of monster outputs from CJ McCollum. Portland won the lone game in Golden St. when both teams were at full strength and now the Blazers do not have to contend with Durant for at least one game. Damian Lillard was the hero in that game and his 113-point, four-game season series against the Warriors was the most points scored against Golden St. in the regular season. While his ability to dominate is big, the Blazers have been fine when he has not during the postseason as his two worst games where he scored 13 and 14 points, Portland still won those games thanks to other contributors. Here, we play against home favorites after two straight wins by six points or less going up against an opponent after scoring 100 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 88-47 ATS (65.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (533) Portland Trail Blazers |
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05-12-19 | 76ers +6.5 v. Raptors | Top | 90-92 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Philadelphia avoided elimination with an 11-point win over Toronto on Thursday to force a Game Seven and while the majority will be on the Raptors, this has the makings of a classic Game Seven which gives the value to the Sixers and the big number. Philadelphia did win here once in the series and while it was blown out in the other two games, a healthy Joel Embiid will make a difference from those two games. He is coming off his best game of the series and while his stat line looked average, in the 35 minutes he was on the floor, he had a plus-minus rating of +40, which means that the Sixers outscored the Raptors by 40 points with him patrolling the paint. His defensive presence goes a long way. Both teams might play seven-man rotations, with the schedule, two full days off between Games Six and Seven, and then two full days off before Game One of the conference finals, allowing the starters to play extended minutes and this should favor the Sixers. Toronto 4-15 ATS in its last 19 home games revenging a loss of 10 points or more while the Sixers are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. 10* (521) Philadelphia 76ers |
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05-10-19 | Warriors +7.5 v. Rockets | Top | 118-113 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. This line is a big overreaction to the Kevin Durant injury as Golden St. is the biggest underdog it has been in a long time. How long? The 7.5 number is the largest Golden St. has seen with Steph Curry in the lineup and Steve Kerr as head coach ever, a span of 440 games dating back to 2014, including the postseason. This is a very interesting scenario with Durant on the sidelines as the perception is that the Warriors are not as good without him and while that may be the case on paper based on who he is and what he brings on a nightly basis, the Warriors are 26-1 in their last 27 games when Curry plays but Durant does not. That is not a knock on Durant by any means but it is just the way Golden St. adjusts when he is not on the floor. The Warriors bench is thin and that is the only difference between now and the team before Durant even arrived, the one that won 73 regular season games and were a layup away from two NBA Championships. Obviously, Houston has a shot to extend this series to it length but there is too much value in this line to not consider the Warriors covering and even winning outright. Here, we play against teams off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .600 and .750. this situation is 99-44 ATS (69.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (519) Golden St. Warriors |
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05-09-19 | Raptors v. 76ers +2 | 101-112 | Win | 101 | 12 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. Philadelphia has gotten it from all angles after its Game Five loss in Toronto which put it in a 3-2 hole in this series and the response tonight should be huge. We expected the same from Golden St. last night and while it started out that way, the Warriors could not sustain it but the Sixers are in a different situation, down to an elimination game and getting points at home. The 2-1 series lead for the Sixers has vanished and they have to win tonight to force a Game Seven in Toronto, where they did win in Game Two so as many doubters as there are, this is not over yet. Obviously, the big story has been Joel Embiid and how he has not shown up over the last two games and if ever there is a time to make all of the doubters eat their words, this is it. Additionally, Ben Simmons has been nowhere to be found all series long. Tobias Harris cannot hit a three-pointer, and the Jimmy Butler playmaking has been outshined by the Kawhi Leonard shot-making. Philadelphia is 13-4 ATS this season following a double-digit loss and it falls into a great situation where we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 against division opponents, off a road loss by 10 points or more. This situation is 41-18 ATS (69.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (514) Philadelphia 76ers |
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05-08-19 | Rockets v. Warriors -6 | Top | 99-104 | Loss | -103 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. The series heads back to Golden St. tied at 2-2 with the home team winning each of the first four games. All have been close however as the biggest win came by six points which has been good for Houston bettors as the Rockets have covered three of the last four games. While many will feel that the close margins of victory will continue, we could see our first relatively easy cover for the Warriors tonight. One way to back this is simply looking at the last game where Golden St. played a horrible game based on efficiency, got nothing from Klay Thompson or Andre Iguodala and nothing from the bench yet had to shots to tie the game late. If the Warriors play the way they are capable of and get even normal production from the key pieces, they win easy and that is what is predicted tonight. Expect Golden St. to be more physical as it is no secret it has been getting pushed around and even head Steve Kerr called his team out on that. The Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last five games playing on one day of rest while the Warriors are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS loss. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off two or more consecutive road losses. This situation is 64-28 ATS (69.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (512) Golden St. Warriors |
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05-07-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets -4.5 | Top | 98-124 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. Denver opened this series with a win but then lost the next two games including that epic four overtime loss in Portland before winning on Sunday to tie it up and regain home court advantage. Despite a loss here in Game Two, the Nuggets are 38-9 at home as they look to carry the momentum over and Denver is 18-5 ATS in home games after a game where they covered the spread this season. The Blazers had won 12 consecutive games at home, including four in the playoffs, before the loss on Sunday. They effectively lost Game 4 in the third quarter, when they made just 5 of 18 shots, committed seven turnovers and scored 14 points. Portland is 3-14 ATS in its last 17 road games after failing to cover five or six of their last seven games against the spread over the last three seasons. Here, we paly against road underdogs against division opponents, off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite. This situation is 25-8 ATS (75.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (508) Denver Nuggets |
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05-06-19 | Bucks v. Celtics -1.5 | Top | 113-101 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Monday Enforcer. Boston was able to snag the first game of this series but the Bucks have won the last two games to regain home court advantage and they have a chance to take a commanding 3-1 lead with a win but the Celtics get it done at home tonight. Giannis Antetokounmpo nearly collected a triple-double with 32 points, 13 rebounds and eight assists and Boston needs to limit his trips to the line as he went to the stripe 22 times, becoming just the sixth player this decade to attempt at least 22 free throws in a playoff game. Another huge factor for the Celtics is that Marcus Smart could return tonight after missing the last month as he has been cleared for full contract practice and is hopeful of playing tonight. Despite the Game Three loss, the Celtics are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. Here, we play on home teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 where the line is +3 to -3 off an upset loss as a favorite, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 90-53 ATS (62.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (502) Boston Celtics |
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05-03-19 | Nuggets v. Blazers -4 | Top | 137-140 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. Which Denver team shows up tonight? The Nuggets shot 50.6 percent from the field and 41.4 percent from three-point range in Game One but they hit just 34.7 percent (34-for-98) from the field, 20.7 percent from three-point range (6-for-29) and 61.5 percent from the foul line (16-for-26) in Game Two. We are thinking somewhere in-between and maybe shying toward Game Two as the Nuggets are a much different team on the road as they come in with a 21-23 record. Portland was able to steal home court advantage with the Game Two victory despite guard Damian Lillard being held to season playoff lows in points (14) and assists (four) on Wednesday. That is a telling sign as the Blazers showed that they are capable of winning other ways as they had five other players score in double-figures while stepping up defensively. This should not come as a surprise as the Blazers were ranked ninth in the NBA in effective field goal shooting defense during the regular season. The Nuggets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games against teams with a winning home record while the Blazers are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 home games against teams with a losing road record. Here, we play against road underdogs against division opponents, off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite. This situation is 25-6 ATS (80.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (588) Portland Trail Blazers |
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05-02-19 | Raptors v. 76ers +1.5 | Top | 95-116 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. Philadelphia stole Game Two of this series to gain home court advantage and it has still not gotten a top effort from Ben Simmons or Joel Embiid which is actually a good sign at this stage with this series being tied. The fact the Sixers are a home underdog here is surprising based on the venue change and what the lines were in Toronto but it is clear that the linesmakers are expecting more Raptors action tonight but we are not buying into that. The Sixers are 33-11 at home which have included two blowout wins over the Nets in their last two games and while the Nets are not on the same level as the Raptors, Philadelphia cannot be taken lightly on its home floor. The Sixers defense was shaky in Game One but terrific in Game Two as they held the Raptors to 36.7 percent shooting, including 27 percent from long range. The return of Mike Scott is actually a big deal tonight as he is a 3-and-D combo forward capable of covering opposing players 2-4 while even being able to play some small ball center. The Game Three winner in a series that is tied 1-1 has gone on to win the series 74 percent of the time which shows how important winning one of those first two games on the road is. Here, we play against road favorites that are outscoring their opponents by three or more ppg, after scoring 90 points or less. This situation is 46-21 ATS (68.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (582) Philadelphia 76ers |
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05-01-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets -3.5 | Top | 97-90 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. Denver took Game One of this series thanks to a huge effort from Nikola Jokic but it also got huge efforts from Jamal Murray and Paul Millsap to improve to 38-8 at home and it rolls into Game Two laying another short price. One of the most important playoff lessons the Nuggets learned was how difficult a series can be after giving up home court advantage. Denver losing Game One to San Antonio put them behind the eight ball until Game Four when they stole it back in a road victory so they know they cannot give this one up. Expect Millsap and Jokic to again have big performances against Portland due to the makeup of the Blazers frontcourt and if they choose to double-team Jokic, it would open up more looks from deep for the Denver backcourt. Damien Lillard has shown in the past he can take over a game as witnessed by his 50-point effort against the Thunder in the series clinching five-point win but he can not do it alone against a team as deep and balanced as Denver. He scored 39 points in Game One but only Enos Kanter had more than 17 points for the Blazers. Denver is 18-4 ATS in 22 home games after a game where they covered the spread this season. The Blazers meanwhile are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (578) Denver Nuggets |
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04-30-19 | Rockets v. Warriors -5.5 | Top | 109-115 | Win | 100 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS for our NBA Tuesday Star Attraction. We lost with Golden St. on Sunday as it won Game One but failed to cover the number despite outshooting the Rockets 50.7 percent to 41.9 percent. The postgame, and going into Monday, was the lack of calls for the Rockets, namely James Harden and while some think those could be made up tonight, that will not be the case as the postseason is a big difference for those marginal calls. The main reason the Warriors were unable to pull away on Sunday was due to their 20 turnovers which is close to seven more than its season average so taking better care of the ball is imperative. The Warriors committed 10 turnovers in the first 16 minutes, giving Houston 10 points. Even with so many empty possessions, they had a three-point lead which tells a lot. Additionally, Golden St. was third best in the league during the regular season in long range shooting but went just 7-22 (31.8 percent) from behind the arc so those two small areas can turn a four-point win into a blowout victory. As can better games from two of its stars that seemed their ankle issues slowed them down. Steph Curry struggled all game (3-of-10 on three-pointers with 18 points) as did Klay Thompson (13 points on 5-of-13 shooting) and both of those lines can be considered outliers. Here, we play against underdogs off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .600 and .750. This situation 57-15 ATS (79.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (574) Golden St. Warriors |
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04-29-19 | 76ers +6.5 v. Raptors | 94-89 | Win | 103 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS for our NBA Monday Enforcer. Toronto took Game One of this series on Saturday in relatively easy fashion, winning by 13 points thanks to a great 51.9 percent shooting night. That was hardly the case for the Sixers as Tobias Harris, Jimmy Butler and Joel Embiid went a combined 15-47 (31.9 percent) from the floor and there is no way to keep a game close that that low percentage. Things can only go up from here and stealing this game outright is not out of the question tonight and while improving the offense is vital, getting better on defense is essential, especially coming off a great end to the Nets series on the defensive side of the ball. It is noteworthy that the Sixers are tied with Golden St. for the highest first-quarter output in the league at nearly 31 ppg and that is what they out up in Game One. Unfortunately, they allowed 39 points and that set the tone for the entire game. Philadelphia is 12-4 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more this season while Toronto is 2-10 ATS after five or more consecutive wins this season. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games going up against an opponent after going under the total by more than six points in three consecutive games. This situation is 23-4 ATS (85.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (561) Philadelphia 76ers |
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04-28-19 | Rockets v. Warriors -5.5 | Top | 100-104 | Loss | -104 | 4 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Golden St. showed what it is capable of with its Game Six win over the Clippers and as long as this team is focused, there is no stopping it. That can be said about every NBA team but the Warriors are on a different level and after going seven games with Houston last season, they will be coming out firing today to open this series. Additionally, with Houston winning both regular season games here, there will be a greater sense of urgency. Surprisingly this postseason, the Warriors have lost more home games (they were 1-2 at home in the first round) than they lost in the last two postseasons combined (19-1) but they can blame this year on complacency rather than focus. Against Utah, the Rockets allowed the Jazz to take wide open threes and hoped that they would not be able to hit them which they did not and they cannot take that chance here. Utah took 77.5 percent of their shots from the restricted area or three-point range, the second-highest rate in the postseason and only slightly lower than that of the Rockets (77.7 percent) and against Golden St. that is not an option. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (that are shooting 48 percent or better on the season, after two straight games making nine or more three-point shots. This situation is 84-58 ATS (60 percent) since 1996. 10* (556) Golden St. Warriors |
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04-27-19 | Spurs v. Nuggets -6 | Top | 86-90 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. We won with San Antonio on Thursday as it staved off elimination with a dominant home win by 17 points by pulling away in the fourth quarter. It was during the beginning of that final period, when Nikola Jokic was on the bench, that the Spurs extended their lead with a massive 22-4 run. The Spurs shot 57.1 percent from the floor but despite that, they were outscored 72-36 in the paint and that is where the Nuggets can once again take advantage on their home floor. It is hard to go against the experience of the Spurs as they have dominated the postseason for two decades however, there are hardly any remnants from those teams on the current roster. San Antonio is only the sixth No. 7 seed in NBA history to force a Game Seven against a No. 2 seed, and only five times has a No. 7 seed beaten a No. 2 seed in a first round match-up. Denver has responded well to must-win situations at every turn in this series as it has won by nine and 14 points following the first two losses. If nothing else, their NBA best 36-8 home record should afford them some measure of comfort in what will be an unprecedented environment. Denver is 12-4 ATS in home games revenging a loss this season while the Spurs are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up win. 10* (542) Denver Nuggets |
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04-26-19 | Warriors v. Clippers +10 | Top | 129-110 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. We won with the Clippers in Game Five in Golden St. as they won outright to send the series back to Los Angeles and we are backing them again behind another huge number. Based on the venue change, this number should be no more than 8.5 but because it is the Warriors, and coming off a loss, the spread is inflated once again. The Clippers have scored 135 and 129 points the last two games at Golden St. but managed only 105 points in the two games at home and that cannot happen again. Los Angeles was far more reserved after its latest win at Golden St.. The Clippers are plenty aware that they shot 56.5 percent from the floor in Game Two, only to turn around and shoot 37.2 percent in Game Three. Now, after shooting 54.1 percent in Game Five, they are fully aware they cannot have a similar regression. Golden St. is 9-22 ATS after failing to cover four or five of their last six games against the spread this season while the Clippers are 29-11 ATS after allowing 105 points or more five straight games this season. Here, we play on underdogs of 10 or more points after allowing 55 points or more in the first half in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 120 points or more. This situation is 39-20 ATS (66.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (534) Los Angeles Clippers |
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04-25-19 | Nuggets v. Spurs -3 | Top | 103-120 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN ANTONIO SPURS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. Denver has a chance to end this series tonight and while it comes in with big momentum, things will not be easy. The Spurs are a very good home team with a 33-10 overall record and have lost in San Antonio twice in a row only once this season. They are hungry and desperate after two shellackings at the hands of the Nuggets that has put Denver ahead 3-2 in the series. The Spurs are obviously in must win mode and they are 24-5 ATS revenging a road loss this season. The Nuggets would love nothing more than to end this series early so they can rest a little bit extra and while they are the No. 2 seed in the Western Conference, their 20-21 road record was second worst of all Western Conference playoff teams. The Nuggets are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games playing with one day of rest while going 7-15 ATS in their last 22 road games after a game where they covered the spread this season. 10* (526) San Antonio Spurs |
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04-24-19 | Clippers +14 v. Warriors | Top | 129-121 | Win | 100 | 15 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. The Clippers put up a good effort in Game Four but eventually lost by eight points and now their backs are really against the wall down 3-1 in this series. Los Angeles stole one here in Game Two and there is no reason to believe it cannot steal another one although our main concern is staying within this huge number. The Clippers got a poor effort from Lou Williams in Game Four as he scored just 12 points off the bench on 2-10 shooting and they need a bigger effort from him tonight. the Clippers are 28-11 ATS after allowing 105 points or more in five straight games this season. The Warriors would like to close this series out to that added rest similar to Philadelphia last night although we hardly see a dominating effort like that one. This is the most vulnerable Golden St. team we have seen since the dynasty began and while they can flip the switch at any given moment, they can also go into a funk at any given moment. The Warriors are 10-21-1 ATS in their last 32 home games. Here, we play on road underdogs of 10 or more points playing with double revenge, against opponent off a road win scoring 110 or more points. This situation is 97-56 ATS (63.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (515) Los Angeles Clippers |
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04-23-19 | Nets v. 76ers -8.5 | Top | 100-122 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS for our NBA Tuesday Supreme Annihilator. After losing the opener of this series, Philadelphia has won the last three games to take control and this is a big game to seize as the Sixers need the same time off as the Raptors which also play tonight and can close out Orlando. They needed a comeback against Brooklyn in Game Four as they outscored the Nets by 10 points in the fourth quarter but the two games prior to that resulted in wins by 22 and 16 points and that is what we expect tonight as long as the Sixers show up, they are capable of another blowout victory. One of the reasons Philadelphia enjoys a 3-1 lead against the Nets is the exceptional defense the team has played on D'Angelo Russell and the Sixers should be able to continue that heading home where they are 32-11 while the Nets, despite the Game One win, are three games under .500 on the road. Additionally, Philadelphia is 17-5 ATS in its last 22 home games after successfully covering the spread in three or more consecutive games while the Nets are now 2-6 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. 10* (508) Philadelphia 76ers |
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04-22-19 | Bucks v. Pistons +13 | Top | 127-104 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS for our NBA Monday Enforcer. This series is a good as over but the Pistons will be playing for pride as they have lost all seven meetings this season including the first three in this series that have come by an average of 24 ppg. While the Bucks will be looking to end their streak of eight straight first-round exits there is a little more embarrassment for the Pistons to remove as they have lost 13 consecutive playoff games, tied for the longest streak in NBA postseason history. Power forward Blake Griffin made his debut in the series after sitting out the first two games with a sore left knee. He toughed it out for 31 minutes and posted 27 points, seven rebounds and six assists. His teammates let him down, as Detroit shot below 40 percent for the third straight game. The Pistons are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games against teams with a winning road record. Here, we play on underdogs of 10 or more points revenging two straight losses of 10 points or more, off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival. This situation is 55-24 ATS (69.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (574) Detroit Pistons |
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04-21-19 | Blazers v. Thunder -5.5 | Top | 111-98 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. After losing the first two games in this series, Oklahoma City got one back on Friday and definitely needs to take Game Four before heading back to Portland. The Thunder won despite a horrible shooting night from Paul George who went just 3-16 from the floor including 2-7 from long range so that is actually a good edge for tonight as he likely will not be as bad. The Thunder are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games while the Blazers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 off a home win by 10 points or more, playing a winning team. This situation is 41-14 ATS (74.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (572) Oklahoma City Thunder |
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04-20-19 | Rockets v. Jazz -2.5 | Top | 104-101 | Loss | -101 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH JAZZ for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. We played on Utah in Game Two on Wednesday but a horrible start cost the Jazz as they fell behind by 20 points after the first quarter and never led the entire game. They shot just 21.1 percent from long range and that was also the problem in Game One where they shot only 25.9 percent from behind the arc. A return home should get Utah back in gear where it is 29-12 on the season. Houston has kept Donovan Mitchell from making plays as he is shooting only 32.4 percent from the floor including going just 4-15 from three-point range. Houston is 0-7 ATS in road games after leading their last two games by 10 or more points at the half this season while the Jazz are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up loss. Here, we play on home favorites revenging a loss of 10 points or more, off two or more consecutive road losses. This situation is 53-21 ATS (71.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (564) Utah Jazz |
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04-19-19 | Celtics v. Pacers -2.5 | Top | 104-96 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. The Pacers need a win tonight to avoid a 3-0 series disadvantage and heading home will help them. Indiana held a lead late in Game Two but went scoreless for nearly eight full minutes in the fourth quarter, a stretch during which the Celtics scored 16 straight points to flip an 82-70 deficit into a four-point lead. The Pacers are 29-12 at home and this is their first home game in close to two weeks. Going back the Pacers are 6-0 ATS in their last six home games following a road trip of seven or more days. Boston is just 21-20 on the road and this is a tough spot to be in which is similar to last postseason when it won the first two games in its opening series against Milwaukee only to hit the road and lose by 24 points in Game Three. The Pacers have another intangible edge as Victor Oladipo is expected to attend Game Three, marking his first public appearance in Bankers Life Fieldhouse since he ruptured his quad tendon. Here, we play on home teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 where the line is +3 to -3 off two or more consecutive road losses, playing a winning team. This situation is 86-45 ATS (65.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (554) Indiana Pacers |
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04-17-19 | Pistons +15 v. Bucks | Top | 99-120 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. We won with the Clippers on Monday as it was coming off a blowout loss against Golden St. in Game One and we will be backing the Pistons in a similar situation tonight. Detroit lost by 35 points on Sunday in a game it never led and trailed by an many as 43 points and the situation here is similar to that of the Clippers in that they are getting the same amount of points in Game Two. The defensive intensity was bad on Sunday as the Pistons were not getting back on defense, which made for some easy baskets so they have to shore that up tonight. They fell behind 20-4 because of that lack of intensity and after returning home and watching the film, head coach Dwane Casey said many adjustments will be made. The Pistons are 5-0 ATS in their last five games playing on two days of rest while the Bucks are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Here, we play against favorites of 10 or more points that are outscoring their opponents by nine or more ppg going up against an opponent after scoring 90 points or less. This situation is 106-57 ATS (65 percent) since 1996. 10* (539) Detroit Pistons |
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04-16-19 | Thunder +2 v. Blazers | Top | 94-114 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. Oklahoma City finds itself in a hole after Game One as it led only once and fell behind by 14 points after one quarter and was unable to make a late rally. The Thunder shot 39.8 percent as a team and were only 5 for 33 from the three-point line which is surprising against a Portland defense that is ranked a below average No. 17 in defensive efficiency. Despite their issues, the Thunder were down just 93-92 with 2:44 remaining in regulation so any average shooting night can even this series heading back to Oklahoma City. One of the main problems was Paul George who after averaging 38 ppg and hitting 45.9 percent from long range on nearly 10 attempts against the Blazers during the regular season, he scored just 26 points, including going 4-15 from behind the arc. The Oklahoma City defense resulted in the Blazers making 12-20 shots (60 percent) overall and 7-10 three-pointers (70 percent) from the floor in the first quarter which was the ultimate difference. Here, we play on road underdogs after allowing 100 points or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after three straight wins by six points or less. This situation is 35-9 (79.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (535) Oklahoma City Thunder |
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04-15-19 | Clippers +13.5 v. Warriors | Top | 135-131 | Win | 100 | 14 h 15 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our NBA Monday Enforcer. Golden St. is clearly the top team in the NBA and it went into playoff mode on Saturday by putting away the Clippers by 17 points in a game it trailed by just three points at one time. The Warriors are now favored by the same amount in Game Two which is a little surprising based on the bounce angle where bettors take the opposing team from the Game One cover but the dominance of Golden St. balances that out with the spread. It is tough in this league to put together back-to-back performances like that, even with the Warriors as last postseason after dominating Game One wins over New Orleans and Houston, they struggled in Game Two. Los Angeles held its own for a while as the game was tied at 51 before Golden St. pulled away so it can certainly hang and needs to as even a small loss can give the Clippers some hope and momentum heading back home. The Warriors are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points while the Clippers are 26-10 ATS in their last 36 games after allowing 105 points or more five straight games this season. Here, we play on underdogs of 10 or more points revenging a road loss of 10 points or more, playing only their 2nd game in five days. This situation is 131-77 (63 percent) since 1996. 10* (523) Los Angeles Clippers |
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04-14-19 | Jazz +6.5 v. Rockets | Top | 90-122 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH JAZZ for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Utah is expected to be another tough out in the playoffs as its defense should be able to go toe-to-toe with the Rockets. The Jazz have ranked in the top three in defensive efficiency each of the last three seasons and they were one of two teams that allowed fewer than 10 three-pointers per game this season. The Jazz and Rockets ranked fourth and fifth, respectively, in point differential per 100 possessions. They were the league's two best teams in that regard after the All-Star break. Utah cannot be discounted on offense however is it scored 6.0 more points per 100 possessions after the All-Star break (114.4, fourth in the league) than they did before the break (108.4, 19th). That was the league's biggest post-break, OffRtg improvement. Utah is 21-9 ATS after one or more consecutive losses this season while the Rockets are 0-6 ATS in their last six games playing on three or more days rest. Here, we play against home teams in the second half of the season that are averaging 102 or more ppg against allowing 102 or more ppg, after scoring 110 points or more three straight games. This situation is 152-96 ATS (61.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (517) Utah Jazz |
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04-13-19 | Spurs v. Nuggets -5.5 | Top | 101-96 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. This is a statement game for Denver as it is getting crushed by the media despite finishing second in the Western Conference, just three games behind Golden St. The Nuggets finished 34-7 at home which was the best home record in the NBA and they get a good matchup in the first round against the Spurs whose 16-25 road record is the second worst of the 16 playoff teams, one win better than Detroit. The home and road defensive splits for the Spurs are not pretty. They gave up 106.7 points per 100 possessions, which was the 10th ranked home mark in the entire league and would have been good for 6th across the entire season. Their performance on the road, however, was another story. For some reason, they were unable to bring the focus and desire they showed at home on the road, allowing 114.3 points per 100 possessions. That 7.6 drop-off made them the 25th ranked defense on the road. In the first two games they played, Denver was without the services of Paul Millsap, Gary Harris, and Will Barton, three players that make up their current starting lineup. Here, we play against underdogs with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 after three or more consecutive wins, playing a winning team. This situation is 81-46 ATS (63.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (508) Denver Nuggets |