Sports Picks & Predictions

This is a play on the BUFFALO BILLS for our NFL Monday Night Enforcer. There is only one way to play this game as it is rare to get a home underdog at this number, especially in a divisional game but it is the Patriots and despite the pointspread, the public is all over them. New England has received 71 percent of the bets at offshore books which is tied for the most one-sided action in Week Eight with the Bengals and unfortunately, we all saw how that turned out. Over the last 10 years, there have been just 17 double-digit divisional home underdogs and those games have resulted with the home team taking the money in 13 of those games. This includes a 4-1 ATS mark on Monday nights with one of those wins coming last season as the Patriots were in a pretty similar spot as they were riding an eight-game winning streak and rolled into Miami as a double-digit favorite only to lose outright by a touchdown. The other two wins were the Rams in 2013 in a five-point loss to Seattle as 13-point underdogs and the Raiders in a four-point loss to San Diego as 10.5-point underdogs. New England has won four straight games after a 1-2 start and the offense has been on a roll, scoring 38 points three times and 43 points the other. Buffalo is down to its third quarterback this week as Derek Anderson will be making his second start but this will be his first one at home and his first one with more than three days to prepare so he should be better off than he was last week. In addition to the divisional home underdog situation, Buffalo falls into another where we play on underdogs of 10.5 or more points after a loss by 14 or more points going up against an opponent after scoring 30 points or more last game. This situation is 24-6 ATS (80 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (276) Buffalo Bills

This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS for our NBA Monday Supreme Annihilator. Both the Knicks and Nets are riding losing streaks and on paper, it is the former that has been playing much worse. But New York is still favored as it is at home in what is a great contrarian situation. The Knicks opened the season with a win over Atlanta but has since dropped five straight games including the last three by double-digits. We were on them Friday against Golden St. and they were covering the whole game into the fourth quarter then the Warriors went off by closing the game with a 42-9 run while making 17 of their last 21 shots. It was the first bad run at home as three of those five losses have come on the road while the other home defeat was against the Celtics by just a bucket. We won the Nets last night as they stayed within the big number against Golden St. thanks to a big fourth quarter but fell six points short. This could be a letdown spot coming off a game against the Warriors and prior to that, coming off a two-point loss at New Orleans. This is the second time this season that Brooklyn is playing with no rest on the road coming off a home game and the first time it resulted in a 20-point loss at Indiana. Coincidentally, that win at home prior to that was against the Knicks so there is revenge in play tonight as well. Brooklyn is 11-25 ATS in its last 36 road games after successfully covering the spread in three or more consecutive games and the Knicks fall into a successful situation where we play on teams in a game involving two teams averaging 102 or more ppg, after three straight losses by 10 points or more. This situation is 43-16 ATS (72.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (708) New York Knicks

This is a play on the BROOKLYN NETS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. We played against Golden St. on Friday and it was looking really good for a little over three quarters and then the Warriors went off by closing the game with an absurd 42-9 run while making 17 of their last 21 shots. Kevin Durant led the charge as he scored 25 of his 41 points in the fourth quarter, turning what was a three-point deficit through three quarters into a 128-100 win over the Knicks. This is what this team is capable of but at the same time, Golden St. can be complacent and goes through the motions at times and it lets teams hang around, especially on the road where it came into Friday with a 1-1 record. The Nets have been decent this season as they are 2-3 with two of those losses coming by a combined five points and both taking place on the road. This is just their second home game of the season and they have been able to step it up against the better teams as they finished last season by going 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games against teams with a winning road record. Brooklyn falls into a spectacular situation where we play against favorites after three consecutive covers as a favorite, with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 from last season. This situation is 22-3 ATS (88 percent) since 1996. 10* (502) Brooklyn Nets

This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFC Game of the Year. Green Bay heads west following its bye week as it prepares to take on the meat of its schedule. The Packers, namely Aaron Rodgers, will be playing the respect card on Sunday as this line is out of control even if it is against the best team in the NFL at this point. Rodgers has never been an underdog by this many points and in his career, he has been an underdog of six or more points four times and he is a perfect 4-0 ATS. He has a healthy receiving corps this week Geronimo Allison and Randall Cobb were back practicing after missing the last game while Davante Adams should be back to 10 percent. Green Bay has gone 10-4-1 ATS when coming off a bye under head coach Mike McCarthy. The Rams are coming off their seventh straight win to open the season including the last three all coming on the road. They snapped a three-game ATS skid with the rout over the 49ers last week, the same 49ers team that nearly pulled off the upset two weeks ago in Green Bay and that is playing into this line. The Los Angeles offense is humming but the defense will again have its hands full on the interior where Rodgers could have a field day in the middle of the field. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points with a completion percentage of 60 percent or better, after gaining 7.0 or more passing ypa in three straight games. This situation is 36-15 ATS (70.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (271) Green Bay Packers

This is a play on the OAKLAND RAIDERS for our NFL Sunday Ultimate Underdog. The Raiders are making headlines for all the wrong reasons, namely that David Carr has lost the locker room, but many players have stepped out this week to quell those rumors and if there is a time a team comes together, this is it. The Raiders are 1-5 on the season and coming off a bye week so they do have a huge advantage from that standpoint as it was a perfect time to regroup. The schedule has not been in their favor as four of the first six games have come away from home and one of the two home games came against the 7-0 Rams. The Raiders are 5-1 ATS when coming off a bye week since the start of the 2012 season. The Colts picked up their second win of the season last week against the Bills which snapped a four-game slide but they hit the road once again where they have dropped three in a row. Indianapolis looked great on offense last week but going back, the Colts are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. The defense was bailed out last week as they faced the Bills and Derek Anderson but the defense is still ranked No. 21 overall and No. 24 in points allowed. Here, we play on team after being beaten by the spread by 28 or more points total in their last three games going up against an opponent after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games. This situation is 34-10 ATS (77.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (268) Oakland Raiders

This is a play on the CINCINNATI BENGALS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Bengals look to right the ship after suffering a pair of one-sided losses in their last two games. The lost to Pittsburgh by a touchdown but they were outgained by 206 yards and last week, they were torched by Kansas City by 35 points while getting outgained by 312 yards. A 4-1 start has been negated the last two weeks and this is a big game to get to 5-3 instead of 4-4 heading into their bye week. The Bengals can refocus on beating a handful of mediocre teams in the next month to rebuild their confidence especially on the defense where Cincinnati is on pace to allow 440 points, the most in 30 years. Tampa Bay is coming off an overtime win over Cleveland last week to improve to 3-3 and it hits the road where the defense has been atrocious as it has allowed an average of more than 40 ppg over the teams three 2018 road games. And they are banged up as the Buccaneers will be without two starting defensive linemen, tackle Gerald McCoy and end Vinny Curry, for a second straight game. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after a game where they committed 1 or fewer turnovers going up against an opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse. This situation is 37-14 ATS (72.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (264) Cincinnati Bengals

This is a paly on the JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS for our NFL Sunday Early Start From London. Both Philadelphia and Jacksonville are mired in some poor runs right now as the Eagles have lost three of their last four games while the Jaguars have dropped three straight games. While neither come into London with positive momentum, it is Philadelphia that is worse off at this point after blowing a 17-0 fourth quarter lead last week at home against Carolina. The Super Bowl hangover has hit the Eagles harder than expected yet they continue to be overpriced. The Jaguars are playing in London for the sixth time and that is a big advantage as they are now accustomed to this lengthy trip and know how to prepare for it. They have won their last three trips here including a blowout win over Baltimore last season. The defense will have to step up with their banged up secondary but it is the offense that really needs to get going and Blake Bortles got his wake up call last week after getting benched against the Texans. Here, we play on teams after scoring nine points or less in two straight games. This situation is 38-11 ATS (77.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons including going 15-3 ATS since the start of 2014. Additionally, Jacksonville has covered four of its last five games coming off a double-digit loss at home. 9* (252) Jacksonville Jaguars

This is a play on the ORLANDO MAGIC for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. Milwaukee improved to 5-0 on the season following a 30-point win at Minnesota last night as the game was over early on as the Timberwolves never led and the Bucks were able to sit their starters early. That is the good news with playing the second of a back-to-back set and because of four straight double-digit wins, they are overpriced tonight. Milwaukee is 4-17 ATS in its last 21 home games against teams getting outscored by three or more ppg including going 0-9 ATS against teams getting outscored by six or more ppg. Orlando has been hit or miss this season as it is coming off a 14-point loss at home against Portland which was its second loss of the season by double-digits. On the flip side, the Magic have a pair of solid wins over Miami and Boston, the latter coming on the road, while the other loss was just a one-point setback at Philadelphia. The talent on this team is there, they just need to be more consistent and we can expect a big effort tonight after the big loss last time out. The Magic are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600 and they fall into a great situation where we play on road teams allowing 99 or more ppg on the season going up against an opponent after scoring 110 points or more three straight games. This situation is 134-81 ATS (62.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (717) Orlando Magic

This is a play on the STANFORD CARDINAL for our PAC 12 Game of the Year. Washington St. is coming off a win over Oregon to move to 3-1 in the Pac 12 North and remain a half-game behind Washington for first place. The Cougars have been humming as they have outgained all seven opponents including their game against USC, which was their only loss. Additionally, they are a perfect 7-0 against the number which is keeping this number down. Stanford has been up and down and after back-to-back blowout losses, the Cardinals bounced back with a big road win at Arizona St. last week to also move to 3-1 in the conference making the winner of this game still in the Pac 12 Championship hunt. Stanford will be out for double-revenge after getting blown out here by 26 points two years ago and getting outgained 430-198 last season in Pullman. Stanford is 8-0 ATS in its last eight games against teams averaging 5.9 or more yppl. Meanwhile, Washington St. is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games off two consecutive double-digit conference wins while going 2-10 ATS in its last 12 road road games after allowing 100 or fewer rushing yards last game. 10* (162) Stanford Cardinal

This is a play on the MISSISSIPPI ST. BULLDOGS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. We lost with Mississippi St. last week and it did not play as bad as the final score shows. the Bulldogs outgained the Tigers by 21 yards but quarterback Nick Fitzgerald had an awful game as he was 8-24 for 59 yards and he threw four interceptions. After they allowed an opening touchdown, the Bulldogs defense tightened up as they allowed just four field goals the rest of the way. They are facing a strong offense but overall, they are allowing just 282.4 ypg while allowing only 4.4 yppl. The Aggies have won three straight games and to their credit, their only two losses have come against Clemson and Alabama so Jimbo Fisher has come in and done a great job. Texas A&M has outgained six of seven opponents and this is another game with a low line based on the Aggies spread success as they are 6-1 against the number. The Bulldogs can keep their defensive momentum and going back, they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game. Meanwhile, Texas A&M is 11-24 ATS in its last 35 games against teams averaging 5.25 or more rushing ypc. 10* (174) Mississippi St. Bulldogs

This is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. With the Winnipeg win over Calgary last night, all six playoff spots have been secured and now the only thing left is jockeying for positions. It looked as though the West Division was going to be locked up by Calgary but the Stampeders suffered their third straight loss and winning the division is no longer a guarantee. Saskatchewan defeat Calgary last week to take the season series 2-1 which means a tie gives them the division and a spot to host the West Division final on November 18th. In order for this to happen, the Roughriders need to win tonight which is their regular season finale and hope that B.C. can extend the Calgary losing streak to four games next week. That will be pointless if they do not get it done tonight and they come in having won eight of their last 10 games and knowing they are off next week will have then fully fueled tonight. B.C. has won six of its last seven games and it is likely going to head to Hamilton in the crossover game in the postseason. The Lions have had a couple of successful late season pickups as DeVier Posey and Tyrell Sutton have become big additions to the team and make the Lions a serious contender down the stretch as their defense has picked it up considerably in the back half of the season. We cannot ignore the fact they are 2-6 on the road with one of those wins coming at 3-13 Montreal. The Roughriders have covered six of their last seven divisional games while the Lions are 0-6 ATS in their last six games following three or more consecutive wins. 10* (664) Saskatchewan Roughriders

This is a play on the MISSOURI TIGERS as part of our CFB Saturday Ultimate Trifecta. Kentucky became bowl eligible last week with its 14-7 win over Vanderbilt as it moved to 6-1 on the season. The Wildcats improved to 4-1 in the SEC East and have moved to No. 12 in the AP Poll, their highest ranking since 2007. This is just the third road game for Kentucky and while it lost the last one in overtime, the Wildcats were dominated by Texas A&M as it was outgained by 212 total yards and did not cross midfield once the entire games as the two touchdowns were on a fumble return and a 54-yard pass. Missouri rolled over Memphis last week to snap a three-game losing streak but two of those were against Alabama and Georgia and the other came against South Carolina despite outgaining the Gamecocks by 113 total yards. The Tigers should able to exploit the struggling secondary for Kentucky by taking big shots downfield from quarterback Drew Lock who has been outstanding this season. Kentucky is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 games after having won five or six out of its last seven games while Missouri is 6-0 ATS in its last six games after one or more consecutive wins against the spread. 9* (176) Missouri Tigers

This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS as part of our CFB Saturday Ultimate Trifecta. Houston has won four straight games to move to 6-1 on the season and it sits alone in first place in the AAC West at 3-0. The Cougars are pretty much guaranteed a spot in the AAC Championship as the two contenders coming in are both sitting at 1-3 in the conference. They have been blowing through the opposition as all of their six wins have been by 13 or more points but the same cannot be said for South Florida which is 7-0 but it has been involved in some close games as the last four have been decided by one possession. And those have come against some horrible teams, none of which have more than two victories. Overall, the Bulls schedule is ranked No. 124 and while Houston is about the same, the Cougars have been blowing teams out. Houston is 7-0 ATS in its last seven games off a road win and it falls into a great situation where we play on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points that are averaging 440 or more ypg going up against a defense allowing between 390 and 440 ypg after 7 or more games, after gaining 6.75 or more yppl in their previous game. This situation is 29-7 ATS (80.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (184) Houston Cougars

This is a play on the IOWA HAWKEYES as part of our CFB Saturday Ultimate Trifecta. Penn St. snapped a two-game slide with a win at Indiana despite getting outgained by 137 yards but took advantage of three Hoosiers turnovers. The Nittany Lions have lost twice at home and were taken to overtime by Appalachian St. as their only complete game at home was against lowly Kent St. Iowa has won and dominated its last three games and come in with great form. The Hawkeyes have easily outpaced Penn St. on the offensive line despite the ability of Trace McSorley to use his legs to avoid the rush, as Iowa has surrendered only six sacks this season compared to 13 for Penn St. Iowa has allowed just two teams to gain 100 rushing yards this season and the Hawkeyes last three opponents have combined for just 221 yards and less than three ypc. Iowa prides itself on limiting the big plays, as its defense is among the best in the country, especially against the run, and its offense can move the ball on the ground and through the air, as it relies on veteran quarterback Nate Stanley. Here, we play on road teams averaging 3.5 to 4.3 ypc against a team allowing 3.5 to 4.3 ypc, after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards last game. This situation is 91-49 ATS (65 percent) since 1992. 9* (185) Iowa Hawkeyes

This is a play on the MICHIGAN ST. SPARTANS for our CFB Afternoon Dominator. Purdue pulled off the big upset last week as it defeated Ohio St. at home by 29 points as a 12.5-point underdog. The Boilermakers were outgained by Ohio St. but it was an inspired effort in front of their home crowd in a rare night game on national television. This is a big letdown spot as this was their biggest win since they beat the No. 7 Buckeyes since 2009. Michigan St. lost by 14 points at home against rival Michigan and it was not even that close as the Spartans were outgained by 301 total yards. The offense could do nothing as they managed just 94 total yards so we are expected to see a big effort this week to get back on track. The Purdue defense is allowing 433.1 ypg so the Spartans will be able to move the ball and while they have failed to cover the last four meetings in this series, all of those lines were over 20 points and these teams have not closed the gap that much. Purdue is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 road games after gaining 375 or more passing yards in its last game and it falls into a negative situation where we play against road teams coming off a win as a home underdog of seven points or more, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 27-6 ATS (81.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (188) Michigan St. Spartans

This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. We are going ultra-contrarian here as the public is not being shy about backing the double-digit road favorites in what looks like a mismatch on paper. The Warriors embark on a three-game east coast roadtrip against arguably three of the worst teams in the Eastern Conference but they are playing the price. After suffering its first loss of the season, Golden St. rebounded with a pair of wins over Phoenix and Washington by 20 and 22 points respectively as the offense shot a combined 54.4 percent from the floor. The Warriors now hit the road where they are 1-1 with those games being decided by a combined three points. The Knicks opened the season with a win over Atlanta but has since dropped their last four games, the final two coming by double digits. The last game was a disaster as the Knicks shot 36 percent from the field against Miami, while allowing the Heat to shoot 48 percent and 45 percent from three-point range, their third time in four games allowing the opponent to shoot better than 47 percent from the field. Three of those four losses have come on the road while the one home defeat was against the Celtics by just a bucket. Going back to last season, the Warriors are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. The Knicks fall into a great contrarian situation as we play against road favorites of 10 or more points that are outscoring their opponents by nine or more ppg going up against an opponent after scoring 90 points or less. This situation is 34-10 ATS (77.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (506) New York Knicks

This is a play on the BOSTON COLLEGE EAGLES for our ACC Game of the Month. Miami and Boston College come into Friday with identical 5-2 records including 2-1 marks in the ACC so this is a pivotal game for both sides. This is a strength on strength matchup and one that Boston College should have the edge at home. The Eagles are ranked 35th in the nation in total offense, making Boston College the most potent offense Miami has faced this year. It is ranked No. 21 in rushing offense, again, making the Eagles the top-ranked team the Hurricanes have faced that features four players averaging at least 4.9 ypc. One of those returns to the field as the Eagles get running back AJ Dillon back after he missed the last two games with an ankle injury. He leads the team with 652 yards rushing on 6.2 ypc after gaining 1,589 yards on 5.3 ypc last season as a freshman. While the Miami rushing defense is stout, ranked No. 12 in the nation, the Boston College offensive line will pose a big challenge. The Hurricanes are once again making a change at quarterback as Malik Rosier will get the start. This is not a good sing for Miami as Rosier started the first three games of the season and has completed 52 percent of his passes for 781 yards with five touchdowns and three interceptions. He was replaced by N'Kosi Perry who started the next four games but was pulled in the last game against Virginia after going 3-6 with a pair of picks. Boston College is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games after one or more consecutive wins against the spread while Miami is 9-23 ATS in its last 32 games coming off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite. Additionally, we play against road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points coming off a road loss, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 30-8 ATS (78.9 percent) since 1992. 10* (116) Boston College Eagles

This is a play on the HOUSTON TEXANS for our NFL Thursday Enforcer. Here we have two teams heading in opposite directions as Houston, after a 0-3 start, has won four straight games to take over the lead in the AFC South while the Dolphins have dropped three of their last four games after a 2-0 start. This is a number larger than we normally prefer to lay but it has not gone south of a touchdown so there is no value loss and laying over a touchdown is validated in this situation. The Texans are where they were expected to be before the season started and even that 0-3 start is not that bad on paper as one loss came at New England by a touchdown while the other two losses were against the Titans and Giants by a combined eight points and they won the yardage battle in both games by a combined 202 total yards. Houston is ranked No. 14 in total defense but it is ranked No. 5 in the more important defensive efficiency category according to Football Outsiders and it has picked it up over the last three games, allowing just 12 ppg. The Texans have not been dominant at home as they have failed to cover their last five games at NRG Stadium, but they welcome the perfect opponent. Miami is a mess right now as not only is it without starting quarterback Ryan Tannehill, two of the top three receivers were lost last week as Albert Wilson and Kenny Stills, who are tied for the lead in touchdowns with four apiece, both suffered injuries. Brock Osweiler has not looked bad over the last two games but he will be making his first road start and any talk of the revenge narrative because of Houston trading him can be tossed out the window. Going back, Miami is 0-7 ATS in its last seven road games following a loss, losing those games by an average of 15.6 ppg. 10* (104) Houston Texans

This is a play on the GEORGIA SOUTHERN PANTHERS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. Appalachian St. is ranked for the first time ever as it crept into the No. 25 spot in the AP Poll but now comes the first real test in a while. It has been an impressive season for the Mountaineers whose only loss came in their season opener against Penn St. in overtime but they are overpriced in this spot by laying doubles on the road. This is a very potent offense that averages 476 ypg and 44.8 ppg but they will be facing their biggest test since opening 3-0 in the Sun Belt Conference. They did suffer a big hit two weeks ago when leading rusher Jalin Moore suffered a dislocated ankle and was lost for the season. While there are capable backups, his 2,839 rushing yards over the last two and a half seasons will be missed here. The Eagles may not be ranked, but their list of victims includes Sun Belt West favorite Arkansas St., and their only loss is to No. 2 Clemson by a 38-7 score. In his first full year at the helm, Chad Lunsford has the Eagles off to their hottest start in recent history, which is even more impressive considering Georgia Southern went 2-10 last season. The Eagles are averaging 276.6 ypg rushing with quarterback Shai Werts leading the team with 542 yards. Running back Wesley Fields has rushed for 472 but is coming off a groin injury that kept him out of last week's 48-31 win over New Mexico St. The good news is that he is listed as probable this week. On the other side. the Georgia Southern defense this season is allowing 15.6 ppg to Sun Belt Conference opponents, and the unit currently sits at No. 24 in the country in scoring defense with 19.3ppg. there is plenty of motivation for the home team as Georgia Southern has not beaten their arch rival since 2014 and has lost six of the last seven to the Mountaineers. Here, we play against teams with a winning percentage of .800 or better after beating the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 59-23 ATS (72 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (110) Georgia Southern Eagles

This is a play on the Cleveland CAVALIERS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. The loss of LeBron James has clearly affected the Cavaliers as they are off to a 0-4 start. They are coming off an awful game against Brooklyn as they lost by 16 points while managing only 86 points on offense. Kevin Love was held to 14 points in 29 minutes, George Hill had seven points and no assists in 25 minutes, while Tristan Thompson shot 1-for-10 from the field. As a team, Cleveland shot just 38.2 percent while going 3-18 from long range and the lone bright spot was rookie Colin Sexton who scored 14 points off the bench and he will be more integrated into the offense. Prior to that, it was a 22-point loss to the Hawks and now we are seeing a significant line inflation after losing the last two games against the number by a combined 49 points. Detroit is off to a 3-0 start including a one-point win over Philadelphia in overtime on Tuesday. While the record is perfect, it has not been a dominating run as the Pistons have won their three games by a combined six points, so as bad as Cleveland has looked, Detroit cannot be trusted laying this big of a number. The Pistons are shooting just 0.1 percent better from the floor than Cleveland while the defense is allowing opponents to shoot 1.7 percent more than the Cavaliers so clearly these teams are more even than the line is telling us. Here, we play on road underdogs after allowing 100 points or more in two straight games going up against an opponent after three straight wins by six points or less. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (701) Cleveland Cavaliers

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES LAKERS as part of our NBA Wednesday Trifecta. The Lakers are off to a disappointing 0-3 start and this should not be surprising with the new additions needing time to find their chemistry together. While they are also 0-3 against the number, they have had a chance in all three games but have been unable to close the deal as going into the fourth quarter, they have trailed by just 2, 1 and 3 points in the three games. The last game was especially frustrating as Los Angeles had a six-point lead against the Spurs with under a minute to go but were outscored 7-0 to end the game and LeBron James missed a pair of free throws late that could have changed the outcome. This is just the second 0-3 start for a team under James as the first was way back in 2004-05, his second season with Cleveland. Phoenix opened its season with a big home win over Dallas but failed to carry that momentum forward as the Suns have dropped consecutive games against Denver and Golden St. by 28 and 20 points respectively. To their credit, those were against strong opposition and both were on the road but playing at home is not a huge edge as their 11 wins going back to last season are by far the lowest in the league. Phoenix is 3-15 ATS in its last 18 home games against teams allowing 106 or more ppg. Here, we play on teams after allowing 130 points or more going up against an opponent after two straight double-digit losses. This situation is 25-6 ATS (80.6 percent) since 1996. 9* (517) Los Angeles Lakers

This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS as part of our NBA Wednesday Trifecta. We played against Indiana on Monday as it continued its drastic home/road splits but we will be bucking that tonight in what is a good spot for the Pacers to finally put a good road game together. They are 2-0 at home with their wins coming by 28 and 20 points but they are 0-2 on the road with the losses coming by 17 and 10 points. They were 21-20 on the highway a season ago and with basically the same nucleus as last year, the road fortunes will turn around. Going back to last season, the Pacers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. San Antonio is 2-1 following an overtime win over the Lakers on Tuesday as the offense has carried the load thus far. The problem is their trademark defense is still a work in progress as they continue to acclimate eight new players and new star guard DeMar DeRozan into the fold. They are allowing opponents to shoot 49.3 percent from the floor while allowing 123.7 ppg through the first three games. Making it more disturbing is that the Spurs allowed the Lakers to shoot 51 percent from the floor and surrendered 74 points in the paint that included 41 fast-break points. Here, we play on road underdogs after a loss by 10 points or more going up against an opponent after two straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more. This situation is 286-193 ATS (59.7 percent) since 1996. 9* (513) Indiana Pacers

This is a play on the ATLANTA HAWKS as part of our NBA Wednesday Trifecta. Dallas opened the season with a 21-point loss in Phoenix but recovered with a pair of wins against Minnesota and Chicago. Both of those victories however were at home and now the Mavericks come in as road favorites, at least as of Wednesday morning, and this is not ideal as they are 9-33 since the start of last season on the highway. Dallas is far from being at full strength as Harrison Barnes, Dirk Nowitzki and Devin Harris are all out for tonight. the Mavericks are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games against teams allowing 110 or more ppg while also going 2-12 ATS in their last 14 road games when the line is between +3 and -3. Atlanta is coming off a convincing road win over Cleveland on Sunday and tonight will be the first home game of the season for the Hawks as they are the last team in the NBA yet to play a home game. The good news for Atlanta from an injury standpoint is that it welcomes back center Dewayne Dedmon who missed the first three games due to a fractured left ankle and his return comes at a key time facing DeAndre Jordan, who became the first player in Mavericks team history to record three straight double-doubles to open a season. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 after scoring 110 points or more going up against an opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more. This situation is 46-19 ATS (70.8 percent) since 1996. 10* (504) Atlanta Hawks

This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. Denver is coming off an upset over Golden St. on Sunday to move to 3-0 on season and has been one of the early surprises through the first week. The Nuggets just missed out on the playoffs last season as they finished a game behind Minnesota for the eighth and final playoff spot in the Western Conference. Known for the potent offense, Denver is doing it with defense as it is allowing a league-low 95.7 ppg. With the new rules in place, we do not see this continuing and the Nuggets are in for a tough matchup tonight. on top of the upset win over the Warriors, the Nuggets next game is at the Lakers so a lookahead is more than possible. Sacramento is second in the NBA in scoring at 125.7 ppg, a staggering development for a team that finished last with an average of 98.8 ppg last season. The Kings have piled up the points despite starting the season against three of the top teams in the Western Conference as they scored 117 against Utah, 129 against New Orleans and 131 against Oklahoma City. This is no fluke as they have unleashed an up-tempo style designed to suit a young, athletic roster. This of course has hurt the defense but with points spreads big like this, the backdoor is always wide open. Sacramento falls into a great contrarian situation where we play against favorites that had a winning record last season playing a team that had a losing season last season, after three or more consecutive wins. This situation is 26-7 ATS (78.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (705) Sacramento Kings

This is a play on the ATLANTA FALCONS for our NFL Monday Night Game of the Month. The Giants have had extra time to prepare for this Monday night game as they played last Thursday and were hammered by the Eagles by 21 points. That extra time means little as New York is going nowhere fast and has been stuck in neutral all season. It is three games behind the Redskins in the NFC East and this could very well be the last stand for Eli Manning, who is putting up decent numbers but they are not translating into wins. The Giants need to give Manning time to throw, and he might have it against Atlanta, which has not had much of a pass rush this season. Only four teams have fewer than the 10 sacks the Falcons have recorded this season. But New York can help add to that number as the Giants continue to make changes along what has been a porous offensive line for the past two seasons, benching disappointing right guard Patrick Omameh, in favor of backup interior lineman Spencer Pulley. While the Falcons sack numbers are low, the Giants have just seven and that is tied with the Raiders for fewest in the league. New York is ranked No. 27 in defensive efficiency and faces a potent offense where Matt Ryan has been on fire of late, throwing for 1,433 yards, 12 touchdowns and no interceptions over his last four games. This can be considered a must win for Atlanta heading into its bye week as a couple of late blown leads could come back to haunt them, but the Falcons are a couple plays from being 4-2 or even 5-1. And they have won two of three inside the NFC South, so they still control their own destiny. The Falcons have played a relatively tough schedule as they have faced only one team ranked outside the top 16 and that resulted in a win over Tampa Bay last week. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after a game where they forced no turnovers going up against an opponent after four consecutive games where they committed one or less turnovers. This situation is 43-15 ATS (74.1 percent) since 1983. 10* (476) Atlanta Falcons

This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES for our NBA Monday Enforcer. Indiana is off to a 2-1 start, winning the two games by 28 and 20 points against Memphis and Brooklyn respectively while losing to Milwaukee by 17 points. The victory over Brooklyn on Saturday was impressive as Indiana shot 55 percent, had eight players in double figures and led by as many as 29 while scoring 30 points off 20 turnovers. The Pacers also registered 58 points in the paint and were 16 of 24 from three-point range. That loss against the Bucks was the Pacers only road game thus far and this is usually the trend early in the season for NBA teams as they still are not accustomed to playing well on the highway. So far this season, road teams are 14-25. Minnesota is 1-2 to start the season, with both losses coming on the road one the one victory taking place at home against Cleveland by eight points. Jimmy Butler sat in the last game at Dallas on Saturday but will be back in the lineup tonight as his defense needs to come out along with everyone else. Through three games, Minnesota is allowing 125 ppg, owns one of the worst defensive ratings in the NBA with a 121.7 and is allowing opponents to shoot 47.2 percent from the floor. The offense has been just as good however as the Timberwolves are averaging 125 ppg on 48.5 percent shooting and their 1.161 offensive efficiency ranking is third best in the NBA. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 after scoring 110 points or more going up against an opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more. This situation is 45-19 ATS (70.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (506) Minnesota Timberwolves

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. This line came out late due to the possible suspension of Chris Paul following the altercation last night with Rajon Rondo and Brandon Ingram although he was not the instigator for the latter. This is the second game of a back-to-back for Houston but the good news is that there is no travel involved but this is a tough spot coming off that emotional win last night against the Lakers. It has not been a great start for the Rockets as despite averaging 118 ppg through the first two games, they are shooting just 44.1 percent from the floor. The real issue is on the other side as Houston is allowing opponents to shoot 50.5 percent and while the season may be young, it is ranked No. 22 in defensive efficiency after finishing last season No. 5 in that category. The Clippers are also 1-1 to start the season following a 16-point win over Oklahoma City on Friday. They lost their season opener against Denver despite outshooting the Nuggets from the floor as free throws were the difference with Denver holding a 33-20 edge from the stripe. The defense has been solid both games against two very strong offense as Los Angeles is allowing just 36.8 percent shooting while its 0.958 defensive efficiency rating is second in the league. 10* (708) Los Angeles Clippers

This is a play on the WASHINGTON REDSKINS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. If there was any question that the Dallas offense was struggling, last week should have answered that. Or at least many will think that but that is not the case as one week does not make a cure but that is what the public saw and now the line reflects that. The Cowboys improved to 3-3 with the victory but the venue has played a big part as they are 3-0 at home and 0-3 on the road. Dallas is 7-23 ATS in its last 30 road games after allowing nine points or less last game. Washington is coming off an impressive win over Carolina although it was outgained and took advantage of three Panthers turnovers. The defense is no joke as the Redskins are ranked No. 5 overall and No. 8 in scoring defense and this is with that New Orleans debacle from a couple weeks ago. They should be out for some payback as Dallas has won the last four meetings in this series that has always been notoriously close. Going back, the Redskins are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games. Here, we play against road underdogs or pickems off an upset win by 14 points or more as an underdog, with a winning percentage of between .450 and .550 on the season. This situation is 32-10 ATS (76.2 percent) since 1983. 10* (472) Washington Redskins

This is a play on the BALTIMORE RAVENS for our NFL Game of the Week. The Saints come in red hot having won four straight games following a season opening loss against Tampa Bay but they caught a momentum killer with a bye last week. The New Orleans offense is firing on all cylinders right now but it has yet to face a defense this strong, especially on the road where it has faced scoring defenses ranked No. 31 and No. 24. New Orleans is 4-15 ATS in its last 19 road games after scoring 25 points or more in three straight games. The Ravens are coming off a 21-0 shutout over Tennessee in sloppy conditions but even with that, this is a very strong defense. Baltimore is ranked No. in the NFL in both total defense and scoring defense as it has held all but one opponent to 14 or fewer points. The offense is not too shabby either as the Ravens are No. 9 in total offense and No. 12 in scoring offense and they face off against a Saints defense that is in the bottom third in both categories. The Ravens are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning record. Here, we play against road underdogs or pickems after three or more consecutive wins against the spread, in the first half of the season. This situation is 30-8 ATS (78.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (470) Baltimore Ravens

This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. While the Colts may be 1-5 on the season, they are arguably the best team in the league with a losing record. They have lost four straight and while the defeat to the Eagles was not as good as the final score indicates, they have outgained each of the last three opponents and overall, they have won the yardage battle in four of their five losses. Obviously winning is the main focal point but Indianapolis is close and it welcomes the perfect opponent to get back on track and this is the start of a stretch of 10 straight games to end the season that are all winnable as none are against teams with a solid shot to make the playoffs. Only two games back, this division is sill wide open. Buffalo had a chance to pull off another upset but quarterback Josh Allen got hurt against Houston and the rest is history. The Bills are averaging just 12.7 ppg this season, and will now turn to veteran quarterback Derek Anderson, who will be replacing Allen and with just a few days with the players and playbook, this could easily get ugly. Buffalo is getting outgained by 89.2 ypg which is not horrible for such a bad offense but the defense has overachieved and Andrew Luck can pick them apart. 9* (462) Indianapolis Colts

This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS for our NFL Sunday Ultimate Underdog. After taking the league by storm through the first six weeks, the Bears put up a dud against Miami last week as they led 21-10 but the defense fell apart late and they eventually lost in overtime. While there is speculation that the defense may not be as good as advertised, it actually is and Chicago wilted in the 90 degree Miami heat so not much can be done about that. The Bears has won three straight prior to that and since it came against weak opposition, not many will be giving them a chance here. New England is coming off a massive win over Kansas City last Sunday night, which was its third straight win and all of those came at home where they are 4-0. Conversely, they are 0-2 on the road and have been outgained by 383 yards in those games. The Patriots offense is clicking for sure but the three defenses they faced at home were nothing special and the Bears still possess a top ten defense despite the second half debacle last week. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems coming off an upset loss as a road favorite, with a winning percentage between .501 and .600. this situation is 36-12 ATS (75 percent) since 1983. 9* (454) Chicago Bears

This is a play on the PURDUE BOILERMAKERS for our CFB Saturday Star Attraction. This is one of the biggest games for Purdue in recent memory as it has been a while since the Boilermakers have been featured on a nationally televised nighttime game. They opened the season with three straight losses but those came by a total of eight points so instead of sitting at 3-3, Purdue could very well be 6-0 at this point. The offense is rolling along with the passing game leading the way but they also possess a pair of backs that is going to present matchup problems for Ohio St. With the Buckeyes struggling in pass defense, they will also have to deal with two very talented runners in the backfield. Purdue has 24 plays of 30 or more yards and Ohio St. is No. 106 in the country in allowing plays of 40 or more yards. Ohio St. is 7-0 but it has struggled in its two road games as TCU kept it close most of the game and it narrowly escaped Penn St. The Buckeyes also feature a strong passing attack but the Boilermakers defensive backs have only allowed two passing touchdowns so far this season. Purdue falls into a contrarian situation where we play against road favorites of 10.5 to 21 points that are outgaining their opponents by 125 or more ypg, after gaining 525 or more total ypg over their last two games. This situation is 47-17 ATS (73.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (334) Purdue Boilermakers

This is a play on the MISSISSIPPI ST. BULLDOGS for our CFB Saturday Ultimate Underdog. We won with LSU last week as it upset Georgia and it remains home on upset alert. The Tigers lost the previous week against Florida for its first defeat of the season and they have to avoid a letdown here. The public is all over LSU this week after that big upset as they are seeing a line that is considered shorter than it should be. For LSU, the Tigers will look to establish a balanced attack against the Bulldogs, much like they did against Georgia, finishing with 275 rushing yards and 200 passing yards but it will not be easy. The Bulldogs are also coming off an upset of their own as they defeated Auburn at home by 14 points as underdogs but the big difference is that they are coming off a bye week so there is no chance of a letdown. Quarterback Nick Fitzgerald and running back Kylin Hill stole the show, rushing for 195 yards and 126 yards, respectively and the Tigers linebackers and secondary will be tested by Fitzgerald's ability to turn busted plays into first downs. Here, we play on road underdogs that are averaging 230 or more rushing ypg going up against a team averaging between 190 and 230 rushing ypg, after gaining 6.0 or more ypc last game. This situation is 26-7 ATS (78.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (403) Mississippi St. Bulldogs

This is a play on the WASHINGTON WIZARDS for our NBA Saturday Supreme Annihilator. Toronto is off to a 2-0 start and it produced a statement win last night as it rallied from an early deficit to defeat the Celtics by 12 points in a matchup of the likely top two teams in the Eastern Conference. Both wins have come by 12 points, the first coming against Cleveland, and both came at home so this will be the first road game of the season for the Raptors. The chemistry with Kawhi Leonard is already in place as Toronto has a ridiculous 2.05 assist/turnover ratio but that is not going to hold up. Washington is a team that is a mystery despite plenty of talent as it has not met expectations over the last few years. The Wizards opened the season with a disappointing loss at home against Miami by a point despite outshooting the Heat 46.9 percent to 39.2 percent. They were crushed on the boards 55-40 including a 22-7 disadvantage on the offensive glass which led to numerous second chance points for Miami. We can expect a raucous atmosphere at Capital One Arena as it was the Raptors that ended the Wizards season a year ago as they lost in six games in the first round of the NBA Playoffs. The final loss was a Game Six defeat on this floor by 10 points as Toronto outscored Washington 29-14 in the final quarter so revenge is definitely in play tonight. 10* (502) Washington Wizards

This is a play on the SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI GOLDEN EAGLES for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. Southern Mississippi fell to 2-3 on the season after its second consecutive loss last week. The first loss was a respectable 11-point loss at Auburn but last week, they went to North Texas and lost by 23 points so they will be out for a big win as they return home. They are 2-1 with the lone loss coming by a point against UL-Monroe which was attributed to four turnovers. UTSA had a three-game winning streak snapped with a 31-3 home loss against Louisiana Tech but that winning streak cannot be taken too seriously. Two wins were against the two worst teams in C-USA while the other victory came against the worst team in the Sun Belt Conference. The Roadrunners were actually outgained in two of those victories and on the season, they are getting outgained by an average of 115.4 ypg. Here, we play on favorites of 10.5 to 21 points after two or more consecutive straight up losses, with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 on the season. This situation is 24-2 ATS (92.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons with the average margin of victory being 26 ppg. 10* (394) Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles

This is a play on the NC STATE WOLFPACK as part for our CFB Saturday Ultimate Trifecta. NC State is quietly off to a 5-0 start and it could be ready to make some noise in the ACC. We were on the Wolfpack two week ago before their bye week and despite outgaining Boston College by 215 total yards, they won by just five points as the Eagles sealed the cover with a late blocked punt return for a touchdown. Quarterback Ryan Finley was picked by many as First Team All-ACC and he is living up to that and he could really make a name for himself here against a Clemson defense that has shown some vulnerability at times. Clemson is also coming off its bye week after opening the season with six straight wins but a couple of those were a little close for comfort. Clemson has dominated this series throughout the years but the gap is closing as despite owning a decisive 7-1 straight up advantage over the Wolfpack in their last eight games against them, the Tigers are just 2-6 ATS over that stretch as five of the last six Clemson wins have been by fewer than what it is laying in this game. Here, we play on road teams that are averaging 6.2 or more yppl going up against a team allowing 4.2 or fewer yppl, after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 35-10 ATS (77.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (389) NC State Wolfpack

This is a play on the MIDDLE TENNESSEE ST. BLUE RAIDERS as part for our CFB Saturday Ultimate Trifecta. This is a perfect setup for Middle Tennessee as it is coming off an upset loss at Florida International by a field goal, its first conference loss of the season so now running the table in the C-USA East is not an option. The Blue Raiders are back home where they are 2-0 and have a chance to beat up on Charlotte which is coming off a 26-point victory over Western Kentucky as a 9.5-point home underdog. This happened before when the 49ers defeated Old Dominion as home underdogs and then went on the road and lost crushed by a bad Massachusetts team. Again, they are in the wrong place at the wrong time. Blue Raiders quarterback Brent Stockstill had to leave the game against FIU because of an ankle injury but all indications are he is good to go. Even if he is limited, backup Asher O'Hara is a capable backup that can carve through the Charlotte defense. Middle Tennessee is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games after one or more consecutive straight up losses while going 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games after allowing 75 or fewer rushing yards last game. Meanwhile the 49ers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. 9* (396) Middle Tennessee St. Blue Raiders

This is a play on the WYOMING COWBOYS for our Underdog Game of the Year. Wyoming has lost three straight games and five of its last six and it is getting closer to missing out on a bowl game. The recent schedule has been tough as the Cowboys faced Boise St. and lost by 20 points then had to travel to Hawaii where they played a competitive game but fell short and had to turn around to travel to Fresno St. last week where they were overmatched. They are back home and in a great contrarian situation. Utah St. lost its season opener at Michigan St. by just seven points and it has rolled over its last five opponents. The Aggies have covered all six games this season which is inflating this line and while they defeated BYU in their last road game by 25 points, they outgained the Cougars by just 27 yards as they took advantage of three turnovers. Wyoming falls into a great contrarian situation where we play on team after five or more consecutive losses against the spread going up against an opponent after one or more consecutive wins against the spread. This situation is 35-10 ATS (77.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (360) Wyoming Cowboys

This is a play on the DUKE BLUE DEVILS as part for our CFB Saturday Ultimate Trifecta. Virginia is coming off an upset win over Miami as it defeated the Hurricanes by a field goal despite getting outgained by 108 total yards. The Cavaliers managed only 231 yards of offense but both teams tossed three interceptions and they were able to capitalize the most. Virginia moved to 4-0 at home but it is still winless on the road at 0-2 with the losses coming at Indiana and NC State. As bad as Virginia has been over the years, it has won three straight meetings in this series so Duke is in revenge mode. The Blue Devils lone loss came against Virginia Tech at home and that was an unfortunate spot as the Hokies were coming off that embarrassing home loss to Old Dominion. Duke has won all of its games by at least 14 points including road wins at Northwestern and Georgia Tech so this game is in the same type of significance as far as the opposition goes. It was unclear when quarterback Daniel Jones was going to be back after getting injured but he was back quicker than expected and it has shown. Here, we play against road teams coming off an upset win as a home underdog of seven points or more, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 27-5 ATS (84.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (322) Duke Blue Devils

This is a play on the AIR FORCE FALCONS for our MWC Game of the Month. The points at home look very tempting in this spot but UNLV is at a severe disadvantage in the most significant areas in this matchup. The Rebels opened the season 2-2 with quarterback Armani Rogers behind center and he is one of the most physically talented quarterbacks in the MWC. However, he suffered a significant toe injury in the loss to Arkansas St. and has not played since and it has showed. Though the Rebels lead the conference in rushing offense at 257.2ypg, Rogers ranks second on the team with 488 rushing yards with an impressive average of 6.87 ypc and his absence is striking. UNLV has been outrushed by 276 yards over the last two games and has been beaten by 36 and 31 points. The Rebels have rushed for a combined 197 yards on 75 carries (2.6 ypc) in those games and that will not do the job here against the Falcons which are ranked second in the MWC and eighth in the country having held opponents to 101.2 rushing ypg on 3.2 ypc. They need to load up and stop running back Lexington Thomas, who is banged up with a concussion. The Rebels have had to resort to passing the ball more with Max Gilliam at quarterback and it has not gone well. He was sacked seven times last week and overall, UNLV has averaged 8.9 yards to go on third down, 126th nationally, and their third-down Success Rate is 127th (29 percent). On the other side, Air Force also relies on the rushing game as it is averaging 248.3 ypg and while its quarterback situation is nearly as bad with injuries, the Falcons do not rely on a lot of production from the quarterback. UNLV is ranked last in the MWC and No. 105 in the nation, allowing 199.0 ypg. Here, we play against home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that are allowing 35 or more ppg, after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored. This situation is 44-15 ATS (74.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (309) Air Force Falcons

This is a play on the EDMONTON ESKIMOS for our CFL Friday Enforcer. The West Division playoff race is heating up and this game tonight will go a long way in determining the outcomes. Edmonton got back to .500 with a win over Ottawa last week which snapped a three-game losing skid and kept its playoff hopes alive. It was obviously a big win for the standings but the performance is something they can carry forward. The Eskimos did not allow a sack which gave quarterback Mike Reilly an opportunity to get back to his normal ways. It was a big bounce-back performance by an Eskimos pass protection that surrendered 11 sacks in their three previous outings, after averaging just two sacks a game over their previous 12. This is a must win for the Eskimos as a loss puts them at 8-9 which would be a game and a half behind idle Winnipeg and the only way to make the playoffs would to have Winnipeg lose against Calgary next week and then defeat the Blue Bombers in the season finale in Week 21 as they would own the tiebreaker. A victory tonight gives then a little breathing room. B.C. is coming off an upset win at Calgary, handing the Stampeders their first home loss of the season. The playoff situation for the Lions is simple, if they win tonight they are in and while things look good, should B.C. lose out and it is out of the playoffs if Edmonton also wins against Winnipeg. The Lions have won five of the last six games as they have been one of the hotter teams in the league but they have not been overly dominant as they have been outgained in half of those games. B.C. is 6-1 at home but it is getting outgained by an average of 25.6 ypg which is telling of the truer story going on. Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 revenging a loss as a favorite, with a winning percentage of between .450 and .550 on the season. This situation is 27-5 ATS (84.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (653) Edmonton Eskimos

This is a play on the BROOKLYN NETS for our NBA Friday Supreme Annihilator. The Nets dropped their season opener by three points in Detroit and it was a pretty solid effort considering they played without DeMarre Carroll, Allen Crabbe and Rondae Hollis-Jefferson. Brooklyn only lost by three points despite going 5-27 (18.5 percent) from long range as it was able to attack the rim for easy baskets, namely from Spencer Dinwiddie and Caris LeVert, who helped the team shoot 64 percent from two. The Nets got crushed down low as they had no answers for Pistons starters Andre Drummond and Blake Griffin who combined for 50 points and 28 rebounds but they do not have to worry about that tonight. New York is coming off a season opening blowout win over Atlanta by 19 points but it was not overly dominating as shooting percentages were the same with the difference being 24 turnover from the Hawks. The Knicks hit the road where they were 10-31 last season which was tied for the third worst record in the Eastern Conference. Winning consecutive games was a struggle and it was even more of a struggle in the home and road spots as New York was 2-8 last season on the road following a win at home. While the Knicks did win all four meetings with the Nets last season, they did so with Kristaps Porzingis active for all four games and he scored at least 26 points in three of the four outings against Brooklyn. 10* (704) Brooklyn Nets

This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS for our NBA Thursday Star Attraction. The Blazers enter the 2018-19 season with virtually the same rotation and while that means likely not challenging Golden St. and Houston, it does mean they have a chance to repeat in the Northwest Division. 2017-18 was a bittersweet experience for the Blazers, who were left to wonder how far they could go with Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum hauling the load since they won the division but were swept in the first round of the playoffs by New Orleans. Portland lost 20 percent of its three-point shooting to free agency but they signed Seth Curry and Nik Stauskas with the former being a real intriguing option as Curry missed most of last season and is a 43.2 percent long range shooter. The Blazers closed last season 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 home games with this always being a solid home court edge. The public is lining up on the Lakers and why not? LeBron James is now in Los Angeles and they are getting points to what is considered a middling Western Conference team. While the Lakers have potential, it could take this team a while to come together with James trying to work with his new roster. The biggest question is how the young core will work with the signings of Rajon Rondo, Lance Stephenson, Michael Beasley and JaVale McGee who all have unique personalities. We will take the team that has the better chemistry at this point at a short price. 10* (506) Portland Trail Blazers

This is a play on the ARIZONA CARDINALS for our NFL Thursday Enforcer. Arizona returns home following a two-game roadtrip where it split with San Francisco and Minnesota and looks to grab its first win at State Farm Stadium after starting the season 0-3. The Cardinals did look good in its last two home games, losing to Chicago and Seattle by a combined five points and Thursday presents a good opportunity to get the offense going. Arizona is dead last in the NFL in total offense and second to last in scoring offense but it has faced some strong defenses with four teams ranked at No. 11 or better in total defense and the other two coming in at No. 16 and No. 19. Denver will be the worst defense the Cardinals have faced and by a wide margin. The Broncos are near the bottom in numerous defensive categories and while they have faced the Rams and Chiefs, they have struggled against the rest of the schedule as well. In their last game against Minnesota, the Cardinals may have found something on offense they can use against the Broncos defense. The Cardinals used a hurry-up, no-huddle offense successfully, resulting in their one touchdown on offense in the fourth quarter and quarterback Josh Rosen looked comfortable which is no surprise since he has the on-huddle at UCLA. Their 302 offensive plays are the fewest by any team through that same time span since 2005 so the defense has been on the field for way too long. Despite that, he Arizona defense has not been horrible based on the schedule it has played and it will face a Broncos offense that has been inconsistent this season. The Cardinals are ranked No. 8 in defensive yppl at 5.4 despite being dead last in time of possession percentage and if they could keep that unit off the field, they could be even better. The Broncos are 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. 10* (302) Arizona Cardinals

This is a play on the ARKANSAS ST. RED WOLVES for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. The bad news for Arkansas St. is that it is 0-2 in the Sun Belt Conference. The good news is that both losses came against Georgia Southern and Appalachian St., the two top teams in the SBC East Division and the Red Wolves reside in the much weaker West Division and if they win out, they will be in the Sun Belt Conference Championship no matter what any other team does. The last two losses were painful in that both were winnable as they lost to the Eagles in the final seconds and against the Mountaineers, the were outgained by just 54 yards but three interceptions and a 3-17 third down conversion rate killed them. The offense is better than what was on display the last two games and they will face one of the worst defenses in the nation as Georgia St. is allowing 491.3 ypg which is No. 119 in the country. The Panthers have allowed 543, 679, 528 and 554 yards in four of their games so if the Red Wolves are to break out, this is the game to do it. They have made some changes on offense as select offensive packages were simplified to boost confidence and to limit excessive thinking. Creating more one-on-one matchups for their offensive skill players, something the Red Wolves have found as their offensive strength, has become prioritized even more. They welcome the Sun Belt's worst scoring offense as the Panthers 22.3 ppg is No. 115 in the country. Georgia St. did put up 46 points against UL-Monroe but has scored no more than 24 points in any of its other five games, averaging just 17.6 ppg. Arkansas St. is 15-5 ATS in its last 20 games against teams allowing 31 or more while going 9-1 ATS in its last 10 home games off a home loss. Additionally, we play on home teams after allowing 5.5 or more rushing ypc last game going up against an opponent after allowing 5.5 or more rushing ypc in two straight games. This situation is 56-25 ATS (69.1 percent) since 1992. 10* (304) Arkansas St. Red Wolves

This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. Milwaukee put a scare into the Celtics in the first round of the NBA playoffs last season as it took Boston to seven games and showed the future is bright for the Bucks. They fired Jason Kidd early in the season and used an interim coach for the rest of the season but they were able to sway Mike Budenholzer away from Atlanta and he should fit in well. With Giannis Antetokounmpo along with Khris Middleton, the Bucks had a solid two-man tandem and they were aided by Eric Bledsoe who assumed the starting point guard spot. Milwaukee brought in depth down low so it should improve upon its 44-38 record from last season and that first round loss will have them fueled early on. Charlotte failed to make the playoffs once again as it finished 10 games under .500 and it did not make a big splash in free agency so this is a team with a lot of questions still. The Hornets have numerous big money contracts that are tied to little production which did not allow them to go out and find someone to compliment Kemba Walker. Charlotte was average at home last season at 21-20 and this has not ben a good role as the Hornets have gone 2-14 ATS in their last 16 games as home underdogs including a 1-8 ATS record last season. 10* (703) Milwaukee Bucks

This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. The NBA season tips off with a pair of teams with lofty goals in the Eastern Conference and a rematch from the postseason last year. The Celtics, who knocked the Sixers out of the playoffs in the second round, are looking at the upcoming season with even more hope and expectation than before. The team made a run to the Eastern Conference finals, where they fell to the Cavaliers, without two of their best players in Kyrie Irving and Gordon Hayward. Both are back and healthy but Hayward will be on a 25-minute limit for the start of the season, according to head coach Brad Stevens. Boston struggled during the preseason and while wins and losses mean nothing, there were some continuity and rotation issues they might have issues with early in the season. Philadelphia had a good preseason led by center Joel Embiid who is starting the season on a healthy note and he averaged 22.9 ppg, 11.0 rpg and 1.8 bpg. Second-year guard Markelle Fultz will join Ben Simmons in the backcourt as a starter. Last season, Fultz missed 68 games with a right shoulder injury but he is good to go after working on his shooting all summer. That means J.J. Reddick is coming off the bench which is a dangerous threat against the Celtics bench. If the playoffs last season are any indication, we should be in for a great game tonight. Boston won in five games with three of the four victories coming by 5, 2 and 2 points. The Celtics finished with a 24-17 record at home which was not great as it was tied for the 11th best home record in the league. They were an amazing 10-0 ATS as home underdogs but just 20-18-4 ATS as home favorites. 10* (501) Philadelphia 76ers

This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. This is a big number to be laying down but the 49ers injury situation is not improving from earlier in the week. We already know Jimmy Garoppolo is out for the season but tonight, San Francisco will be without running back Matt Breida while three starting offensive linemen and a backup are all still listed as questionable. This is not ideal going up against a defense that has been underrated this season as the Packers are ranked No. 4 in total defense, allowing just 313.8 ypg while the scoring defense is also a top ten unit. C.J. Beathard gets the start and in just two games this season, he has thrown four interceptions giving him 10 career picks in only seven career starts. In the 28-18 loss to Arizona last week, Beathard completed 34 of 54 passes for 349 yards with two touchdowns and the 49ers rang up 447 yards of total offense. Of course, there were also five turnovers and that has plagued the 49ers offense all season. This is a big game for the Packers prior to their bye coming up next week as they are looking to bounce back from a loss to Detroit and they can move into first place with a victory. Following their bye, they have back-to-back games against the Rams and Patriots, both on the road, which puts more emphasis on this game. Many are down on this team but according to Pro Football Focus elite stats, the Packers enter Week Six as the 7th best team in the NFL with an 81.6 grade, while their offense ranks 6th with a 76.0 grade and their defense ranks 7th with a grade of 79.3. The Packers have outgained their last two opponents by 278 and 257 total yards so the offense continues to roll as well and while many are blaming the field goal kicking doing them in, the offense should not have put Mason Crosby in that position so many times by finishing 3-10 in third down. The Packers were unable to execute when needed but that should change at home against a mediocre San Francisco defense. 10* (278) Green Bay Packers

This is a play on the NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS for our NFL Sunday Night Game of the Year. The game of the season so far will take place Sunday night as Kansas City brings in a perfect 5-0 record and will try to win here for a second straight season. The Chiefs are coming off an impressive win over Jacksonville as the defense held the Jaguars to just 14 points and that was due to five turnover. The defense still allowed 502 total yards so it is still an issue and was masked by the final score. Kansas City has been outgained in four of five games and while the offense will still move the ball, this is the one matchup where they will not likely jump out to a big lead which they have done in three of their four games. The Chiefs are 1-4 ATS in their last five games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. This is the third straight home game for the Patriots which is a significant advantage, even more so when playing with an extra three days of rest. They should excel against the Chiefs defense as quarterback Tom Brady has been very good this season and has recently gained steam while the Chiefs defense has not. The goal is at least 400 yards as going back to 2013, they are 32-2 when hitting that number. The history of Belichick-coached teams facing rookie quarterbacks is timely to revisit this week, and it starts with this: The Patriots are 9-0 at home against rookie signal-callers. It gets even better. Since 2007, quarterback Tom Brady is 59-2 at home against AFC opponents. The first loss was in a meaningless Week 17 game against the Buffalo Bills in 2014, when the Patriots had already clinched home-field advantage and Brady was pulled at halftime. The second was last season in their season opener and more important, it came against the Kansas City Chiefs which only adds to the motivation this Sunday night. Here, we play against road underdogs or pickems after three or more consecutive wins against the spread, in the first half of the season. This situation is 29-7 ATS (80.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (276) New England Patriots

This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our NFL Sunday Ultimate Underdog. We won with Seattle last Sunday as the Seahawks played tough at home against the Rams and we are expecting the Broncos to do the same. Denver has lost three straight games after a 2-0 start and it has been a rough stretch from the schedule. An early game in Baltimore was followed up by a Monday game against the Chiefs and then a short week before another early east coast game against the Jets. This will obviously be their biggest test of the season and one of the advantages for the Broncos could be the elements. With snow on Saturday night and a high of just 31 and a high chance of snow in the morning, means there could be a sloppy field come mid-afternoon when the game begins. This could also mean a heavier dose of the run for Denver which can help slow down the Rams potent offense by keeping them off the field. The Broncos lead the league in rushing yards before first contact and Royce Freeman ranks fifth in the NFL in rushing yards after first contact. The Denver defense is anchored by Von Miller who has 4.0 sacks, 20 tackles, two forced fumbles, and a fumble recovery through five games. This is the third road game for the Rams and they have not been the same team on the highway as they were outgained against Oakland and had a tough test last week in Seattle. Despite laying a touchdown on the road, the public is all over the Rams once again which does not come as much of a surprise as recreational bettors are reacting to recent results. The Rams are now 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Denver is 14-3 ATS in its last 17 home games against teams that are outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg on the season. Additionally, we play on teams after being beaten by the spread by 21 or more points total in their last three games going up against an opponent after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games. This situation is 45-19 ATS (70.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (270) Denver Broncos

This is a play on the MIAMI DOLPHINS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. We were on Miami last week and things were looking good with the Dolphins possessing a 17-0 lead late in the third quarter and then the wheels fell off. The Bengals tied the game early in the fourth quarter by way of a 22-yard interception return for a touchdown and took the lead late with a field goal. Miami was still alive with over two minutes remaining but quarterback Ryan Tannehill was strip sacked and the fumble was returned for a touchdown. The Dolphins are back home following a two-game roadtrip that saw them lose to the Patriots as well in a blowout. Chicago has won three straight games but the Bears have benefitted from playing the 27th ranked schedule in the NFL. They are coming off a bye week and the early bye is not good here as it killed momentum from the winning streak including the victory over Tampa Bay which was one of the most complete games on both sides in a while. The question here is are the Bears six points better than the Dolphins on a neutral field? The simple answer is no as this line is based on recency bias. Looking at the Defense-adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA) provided by Football Outsiders for both teams, the Bears are 1st in defensive DVOA, while Miami checks in at 5th. The Bears are 17th offensively, with the Dolphins right behind them at 18 so these teams are more even that people think. The Chicago defense is a tough unit with the addition of Khalil Mack so the offensive line for the Dolphins has to step up which it did not do last Sunday. That was due to losing left tackle Laremy Tunsil with a concussion but he is projected to return this week as he is back at practice. Chicago is 0-8 ATS in its last eight road games after allowing 75 or fewer rushing yards last game and is 0-6 ATS in its last six road games after gaining 6.0 or more yppl last game. Additionally, we play against favorites that are outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg, after allowing 14 points or less in two straight games. This situation is 33-9 ATS (78.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (256) Miami Dolphins

This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. The Jets picked up a win last week at home against the Broncos but they were in a very favorable spot with Denver playing on a short week and having to play an early east coast game. New York snapped a three-game losing streak with the victory but now the roles are somewhat reversed with the Colts playing with an extra three days of rest coming off a Thursday night game. Winning consecutive games is rare for New York. Under head coach Todd Bowles, the Jets are 3-7 coming off of wins since 2016. Of those three wins, two were against the hapless Browns, and the other was at home against a Jaguars team that was coming off of a London game without a bye. The offensive line has determined the outcomes of their games thus far and they have a tough matchup here as the Colts present an improved defensive front that ranks 6th in defensive sack rate and is playing faster, more effective football with their revamped defensive scheme. Indianapolis has lost three straight games and it is now 1-4 on the season with the lone win coming at Washington. The Colts have played the fifth toughest schedule in the NFL with three of those five losses coming against teams ranked within the top 15 in the league. The loss against a team outside that came against the Texans in overtime. Quarterback Andrew Luck has a chance to carve up the Jets zone heavy defense that was crushed by Blake Bortles and Baker Mayfield. The Colts should have their starting offensive tackles back, which could mean a more effective ground game and more time for Luck to take shots down the field. Indianapolis is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 road games against teams with a .500 or better home record. The Jets are 0-5 ATS in their last five games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game and they fall into a negative situation where we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 in a game involving two teams within +/- 40 ypg of their opponents, after gaining 400 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 41-16 ATS (71.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (259) Indianapolis Colts

This is a play on the WISCONSIN BADGERS as part of our CFB Saturday Ultimate Trifecta. Wisconsin came into the season as a legitimate National Championship contenders but those aspirations are likely dead after it lost to BYU four weeks ago. The Badgers have yet to put together a complete game as they once again started slow last week against Nebraska and ended up outgaining the Huskers by just 15 yards despite winning the time of possession by over 11 minutes. Wisconsin is getting a lot of negative pub which can be a good thing when backing the Badgers where there is added value. The defense got shredded against Nebraska but the Huskers have a very solid offense and they take a step down this week. The interesting matchup here is the Badgers offense against the Wolverines defense. Wisconsin is statistically the best offense the Wolverines have faced thus far, averaging 480.2 ypg which is No. 25 in the nation. They are ranked No. 4 in rushing offense and are very efficient through the air behind quarterback Alex Hornibrook. Michigan has the top ranked defense in the country but it needs to be noted that the Badgers only road game came at Iowa and they put up 415 total yards (210 rushing and 205 passing). This is significant because the Hawkeyes are ranked No. 4 in the country in total defense. The Wolverines broke open a close game last week against Maryland with a pair of fourth quarter touchdowns including an interception returned for a touchdown that sealed it. Michigan is another team that has started games slow and this is not the game to do that as its offense may not have the capability of playing catch up. Michigan is 2-12 ATS in its last 14 games after one or more consecutive wins against the spread while the Badgers are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 road games and they fall into a solid situation where we play on road underdogs averaging 230 or more rushing ypg against teams averaging between 190-230 rushing ypg), after gaining 6.0 or more ypc last game. This situation is 26-6 ATS (81.2 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (169) Wisconsin Badgers

This is a play on the LSU TIGERS for our SEC Game of the Year. We played against LSU last week as the Tigers went to Florida and suffered their first loss of the season. They are back in Baton Rouge for their first real home test of the season and they have an excellent shot at a big bounceback and to remain in the thick of the SEC West race. A loss here will likely take any chance out as they would fall two games behind Alabama. This is a tough matchup for sure but LSU matches up well against Georgia in their first meeting since 2013. The Tigers are averaging 190 ypg rushing on 4.5 ypc and they have a chance to succeed here as the Bulldogs rushing defense has been nothing special of late. Taking Tennessee out of the equation, Georgia has allowed 4.8 ypc, 4.6 ypc and 4.2 ypc over its last three games. Quarterback Joe Burrow has been very solid as he has given LSU a quarterback that has been able to take some shots downfield for the first time in a very long time and he will be facing a fairly young secondary. Taking nothing away from how Georgia has dominated every game thus far but it has played the easiest schedule of all teams in the SEC. The Bulldogs defeated Missouri by 14 points in their last road game and it was far from a domination as they benefitted from three Tigers turnovers including a fumble that was returned for a touchdown and they also blocked a punt for a touchdown. Georgia is one of the youngest teams in the nation this season as its roster consists of 68.5 percent freshmen and sophomores. That is the youngest in the SEC and 15th youngest in the country and this will be the toughest place those players will have seen as before this is was Auburn which resulted in a blowout loss. The Bulldogs will be starting two for sure, and maybe three, freshmen on the offensive line. They lost a ton from the front seven and coming into this week, the Bulldogs are last of 14 SEC schools in sacks with just six. LSU has been a home underdog just seven times since 2009 and never allowed more than 23 points in any of those games. Additionally, LSU is 9-0 ATS against teams averaging 8.0 or more passing ypa. 10* (198) LSU Tigers

This is a play on the OREGON DUCKS as part of our CFB Saturday Ultimate Trifecta. Oregon was in prime position to defeat Stanford at home three weeks ago but ended up losing in overtime which snapped its three-game winning streak to open the season but instead of sulking, the Ducks went out and pulled off an impressive won on the road at California. This is a big play offense once again led by quarterback Justin Herbert who is projected to be the likely No. 1 pick taken in the upcoming NFL Draft. The Oregon passing game improved in recent weeks, with receiver Dillon Mitchell breaking out for 21 catches for 344 yards in the Stanford and California games combined. With 13 passes that have gone for 30 yards or more (12th in FBS), Herbert is making big plays. Oregon is off a bye week which is a huge advantage and going back, the Ducks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a bye week. Washington has been pretty average for a team ranked No. 7 in the country as it has only one convincing win over a team from he FBS. The Huskies have especially struggled on the road and last week was a perfect example as they were three-touchdown favorites at winless UCLA and escaped with a seven-point win as they only outgained the Bruins by just 40 yards. They are solid on both sides of the ball so this is no cakewalk for Oregon but this environment will be a tough one for Washington. Oregon has won 10 of its last 14 games against Top 10 teams at Autzen Stadium. The Ducks have also won 11 of their last 15 contests at Autzen Stadium when they are ranked and the opponent is ranked. Additionally, they have won 23 of their last 26 home games when ranked. The Huskies are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games while Oregon is 29-9 ATS in its last 38 games after leading their last two games by 14 or points at the half. Additionally, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points in a game involving two teams that are outgain opponents by 1.2 or more yppl, after gaining 450 or more total yards in two consecutive games. This situation is 36-9 ATS (80 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (160) Oregon Ducks

This is a play on the NAVY MIDSHIPMEN as part of our CFB Saturday Ultimate Trifecta. In a lot of cases, when teams are coming off embarrassing losses in meaningful games, they tend to pick up their play next time out and we are expecting that from Navy this week. The Midshipmen are coming off a disastrous 35-7 defeat at the hands of rival Air Force in which the offense managed only six first downs and 119 total yards through three quarters. They also struggled offensively the previous game during a 31-30 overtime loss to SMU but that could be chalked up to looking ahead to the Falcons. The offense has taken a lot of heat with quarterback being blamed but coaches claim there is no issue with Malcolm Perry and offensive coordinator Ivin Jasper made a great in saying that Navy was leading the nation in rushing coming into the Air Force game. He took the blame for instituting a bad game plan as Air Force came in with a different plan than he anticipated. Because of that game and the recency bias, the Midshipmen are catching a favorable number at home. Temple moved back .500 with a blowout win over East Carolina but that was East Carolina. The Owls do own an impressive road win over Maryland and they have been playing better of late after a 0-2 start but being a road favorite here is pretty aggressive. Quarterback Anthony Russo had another solid game but the offense took a hit when running back Ryquell Armstead, who leads the team with 626 yards, left in the third quarter last game and is listed as questionable this week and that will be a big blow, even if he plays and is limited. Navy is 22-8 ATS in its last 30 games after gaining 3.75 or fewer yppl in its previous game while the Owls are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Additionally, we play against teams after allowing six points or less last game going up against an opponent after scoring seven points or less in the first half in two straight games. This situation is 122-69 ATS (63.9 percent) since 1992. 9* (174) Navy Midshipmen

This is a play on the WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. We lost our big game last week on Edmonton as it was covering for the first three quarters until early in the fourth quarter when Saskatchewan picked off a Mike Reilly pass and returned it 49 yards for a touchdown to take a four-point lead and the eventual win. Reilly was picked off three times so the fact that the Roughriders were outgained for the sixth time in their last seven games meant nothing. The victory cliched a playoff spot for Saskatchewan which has won three straight games and seven of its last eight despite the negative yardage differentials. The only time it has won the stats over the last seven games was against 3-12 Montreal so a lot of things have gone its way during this unexpected run. The defense has shown improvement but the stagnate offense will eventually catch up as the Roughriders are ahead of only Montreal in total offense as they are averaging just 333.5 ypg. The Roughriders are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games after having won four out of their last five games. Winnipeg has won three straight games to improve to 8-7 on the season and the last victory could keep the momentum rolling as it defeated Ottawa in overtime. The Blue Bombers moved ahead of Edmonton and they control their own destiny at this point to host a playoff game. The three-game run is a season high and it has been a dominating one as they have led by at least 15 points each time, with two wire-to-wire victories. This is a revenge game as well in this rivalry as Winnipeg has lost the first two meetings this season which came in back-to-back weeks a month ago despite outgaining the Roughriders both times. The Blue Bombers are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games against teams with a winning record. 10* (664) Winnipeg Blue Bombers

This is a play on the NEBRASKA CORNHUSKERS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. Give a lot of credit to Northwestern as it was coming off a heartbreaking loss against Michigan two weeks ago at home where it blew a 17-0 lead but bounced back brilliantly on the road as the Wildcats went to East Lansing and defeated Michigan St. by 10 points. Those were two very impressive games for Northwestern, which was coming off losses against Duke and Akron, but digging deeper shows they should not have been where they finished. Against the Wolverines, they were outgained by 174 total yards as they benefitted from 11 penalties by Michigan that resulted in 100 yards. Against the Spartans, they were outgained by 44 yards and the winning margin was gained by Michigan St. missing a fourth down on its own 11-yard line with over three minutes left, which was a suspect play call. We are seeing huge reverse line movement in this game as the Wildcats opened as 7.5-point favorites and while over two-thirds of the tickets are on then, the line has dropped considerably. Nebraska is off to its worst start since 1945 and the natives are getting restless as this is not what was envisioned when Scott Frost was hired as head coach. Going back to last season, the Huskers have lost nine straight games so they need to get on the right side of the scoreboard and fast. Three weeks against Michigan was a disaster but the next week, they outgained Purdue but lost because of 136 penalty yards. Last week, they lost at Wisconsin by 17 points but were outgained by just 15 yards as 100 yards in penalties were the difference once again. Two situation favor Nebraska. First, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points coming off two consecutive conference losses by 10 points or more, in October games. This situation is 26-6 ATS (81.2 percent) over the last five seasons. Second, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after gaining 525 or more total ypg over their last two games. This situation is 47-14 ATS (77 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (179) Nebraska Cornhuskers

This is a play on the EASTERN MICHIGAN EAGLES for our CFB Afternoon Dominator. Eastern Michigan has to be the most unlucky team in football over the last two seasons. Expectations were high last season following the Eagles first bowl game since 1987 as they returned 15 starters from that 2016 squad but they finished 5-7 with three of those losses coming in overtime and another three coming by a combined 10 points. The unfortunes have continues this season as after a 2-0 start, including a win at Purdue, Eastern Michigan has dropped four straight games including two more in overtime and a three-point loss last week in Western Michigan. There is nothing flashy about the Eagles but they clearly have found a way to compete after a four-year run between 2012 and 2015 where they went a combined 7-41. While the Eagles have lost 11 straight meetings in this series, this is not the same Toledo of old. The Rockets are 3-2 but all three wins have come at home and it was handled pretty easily by Fresno St. in its lone road game of the season. They have been outgained in four straight games including both victories that came by a combined 35 points but they were outgained by a combined 131 yards. The offense can be explosive as they have put up point totals of 66, 63 and 52 but those were all at home against inferior opponents and Eastern Michigan has the resemblance of a solid defense and in its last home game, it allowed only 356 yards against Northern Illinois. Eastern Michigan has played the third toughest schedule in the MAC while Toledo has played the second easiest so if those were flipped, we could easily see a difference in the records of both teams. Eastern Michigan is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games when playing against a team with a winning record while going 7-0 ATS in its last seven games off a conference loss. Additionally, we play against teams outscoring opponents by 7.0 or more ppg, after allowing 31 points or more in three straight games. This situation is 34-9 ATS (79.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (120) Eastern Michigan Eagles

This is a play on the TULSA GOLDEN HURRICANE for our CFB Friday Game of the Month. This is what we can consider a trap line. South Florida, which lost only twice last season, is off to a 5-0 start but it is a misleading 5-0 start. One win came against Elon of the FCS while three others came against Illinois, East Carolina and Massachusetts, not exactly murderers row. The one quality win came against Georgia Tech by 11 points but the Bulls were outgained by 176 total yards as it returned two kickoffs for touchdowns and benefitted from three Georgia Tech turnovers, two of which were at the end of the game and led to two touchdowns. Basically, it was a game the South Florida was completely outplayed in but won thanks to four touchdowns from somewhere other than the offense. Another part of the trap line concept is that the Bulls were favored by 24 points last season at home and we are seeing a 17-point shift which is too big for some to comprehend. Despite the big number, it was only a seven-point loss. South Florida lost one of the best players in the conference in quarterback Quinton Flowers, who was also its leading rusher, its two other top rusher and top receiver as well as six defensive starters. We played against Tulsa last Thursday as it lost to Houston but stayed within the number. The Cougars could not come through with the revenge cover and give the Golden Hurricane credit for staying close nearly the entire game and only getting outgained by 53 yards. They have 15 starters back from their 2-10 team and at 1-4, this is a huge game for a much improved team. They have some tight losses against quality teams from a schedule that is ranked No. 33 in the country. Going back, the Golden Hurricane are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games against teams with a winning record. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points coming off two consecutive losses by 10 points or more to conference rivals, in October games. This situation is 26-6 ATS (81.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (110) Tulsa Golden Hurricane

This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFL Thursday Enforcer. Philadelphia is off to a 2-3 post-Super Bowl Champion start which is not overly surprising considering most teams not named the Patriots tend to go through a Super Bowl hangover. The Eagles three losses all could have been wins however as the net yardage differential in those games is a total wash at 0.0. Only seven previous defending Super Bowl champions that started 2-3, and only one of the previous seven rebounded to make the postseason. Their season is far from over as they can buck history simply because they are located in the NFC East. Philadelphia is a half-game behind Washington, along with Dallas, and a game ahead of the Giants and this division is the only one with a team possessing first place that is not above .500. The Eagles simply have to win the close games they have been losing and they need to get the offense on track as their 20.6 ppg is ranked No. 25 in the league. Enter the Giants, which have allowed 33 points in each of their last two games including an excruciating last second loss against Carolina last week to drop them to 1-4. While they are not dead either because of the weakness of the division, they are a mess inside he locker room. The offense finally showed something against the Panthers but they will struggle against a strong Eagles defensive front as the offensive line has stunk it up. New York is No. 28 in rushing offense while Philadelphia is ranked No. 2 in rushing defense so any resemblance of balance on Thursday will be a tall order. The Giants are 0-6 ATS in their last six games following a ATS win while the Eagles are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game and fall into a solid situation where we play on road favorites after two or more consecutive losses, with a winning percentage of between .400 and .499 on the season. This situation is 35-11 ATS (76.1 percent) since 1983. 10* (103) Philadelphia Eagles

This is a play on the TCU HORNED FROGS for our Big XII Game of the Month. Texas Tech has had a nice turnaround after getting crushed in its season opener against Mississippi and a lot of that credit goes to quarterback Alan Bowman. He replaced McLane Carter who had to leave that game with a high ankle sprain and was great by going 29-49 for 273 yards and a touchdown in his first action as a freshman but the defense was the typical Texas Tech defense in the 47-27 loss. Bowman started the next four games but had to leave the last one against West Virginia when a hit partially collapsed a lung and he had to be hospitalized for four days. Jett Duffey took over and he did not play well and he is in line to start tonight as Bowman has been downgraded to doubtful after being questionable all week and all signs are that the Carter ankle will still keep him out. Quarterback play is huge in the Red Raiders system and if this were any normal game, going to the third string might not make a big difference but this is no normal game. They will be facing a 3-2 TCU team that stayed with Ohio St. for three and a half quarters and the following week, had Texas on the ropes but costly turnovers did them in as they outgained the Longhorns. The challenge for the Red Raiders is facing a defense that is allowing just 303.6 ypg, which is tops in the Big XII and No. 12 in the nation. Additionally, the Horned Frogs lead the conference in passing defense and passing efficiency defense, checking in at No. 22 and No. 24 in the nation respectively. In their last game against West Virginia, the Red Raiders came in averaging 621 ypg and was held to 463 yards against a Mountaineers defense that is slightly worse than that of the Horned Frogs. While the strength of the Texas Tech defense is stopping the run, which is the strength of the TCU offense, it is skewed as the Red Raiders are 52nd against the run but 101st in ypc average. Texas Tech is 5-17 ATS in its last 22 games as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points while the Horned Frogs are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games against teams with a winning road record. 10* (106) TCU Horned Frogs

This is a play on the ARKANSAS ST. RED WOLVES for our CFB Tuesday Star Attraction. We expected this line to go up and that is precisely what it has done as Appalachian St. opened at -7.5 and it is now up to -10.5 in some places. The is a classic reason to wait and let the betting public move the number so we can get on the other side with the added value. The Mountaineers have been great this season as they lost in overtime to Penn St. but have bounced back with three blowout wins. Dominating? Yes. Impressive? No. Those wins came over Charlotte, Gardner Webb and South Alabama and those teams are currently ranked No. 175, No. 243 and No. 162 respectively in the most recent Sagarin Ratings with a combined 4-13 record. Conventional handicapping says to back the better rushing team, especially when there is a large differential between the two teams and in this case, Appalachian St. averages 269.5 ypg on 6.5 ypc while Arkansas St. allows 245.0 ypg on 5.7 ypc. That does not mean a blowout is in order. The Red Wolves got decimated on the ground in their last two games as they allowed 310 yards rushing on 6.3 ypc against UNLV and still won the game. In their last game against Georgia Southern, they allowed 348 yards rushing on 7.1 ypc and they lost by just a touchdown and that was on the road. Georgia Southern is ranked No. 5 in the nation in rushing offense while Appalachian St. comes in at No. 7 so there is no bigger advantage for the Mountaineers. Arkansas St. is ranked No. 87 in the Sagarin Ratings as it is now 3-2 on the season including a 2-0 record at home where it is 36-7 since 2011. Going back to last season, Appalachian St. is on a perfect 8-0 ATS run and do not think the linesmakers do not know that. Meanwhile, Arkansas St. has failed to cover five straight at home which sets up the perfect contrarian scenario. 10* (102) Arkansas St. Red Wolves

This is a play on the WASHINGTON REDSKINS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. The Saints are off to a 3-1 start to the season but they are overpriced as being a big, primetime public home team, the line has been inflated. They are coming off a pair of road wins but they were against teams that are a combined 2-8 so not much should be taken from that. The home edge is always a big one here and tonight it will be electric with Drew Brees likely to pass Peyton Manning as the All-Time Passing Leader but that is certainly no reason to bet on a team. Even more so knowing the Saints are 1-5 ATS in their last six Monday night games. Washington is 2-1 coming off its bye week which is a good thing now but could catch up to the Redskins later with it being so early. They were able rest and recover some injuries as running back Adrian Peterson (ankle) is ready to go and cornerback Josh Norman (hamstring) and left tackle Trent Williams (knee surgery) had time to heal and ease their way into practice this week. Alex Smith has proven to be a good pickup from the Chiefs as he manages the offense just like he did in Kansas City. Washington has an assorted array of skill talent, as well a solid offensive line, for a balanced attack that can get to a Saints defense which is allowing 30.2 ppg despite playing four teams that are a combined 5-10-1 with none possessing a winning record. The scoring defense is ranked No. 30 in the NFL while the total defense is ranked in the bottom quarter of the league. Washington is tops in the league in total defense but that is against a small sample size however it has been successful at disrupting opposing quarterbacks this season, ranking top-10 in pressures and that is important against Brees. New Orleans is just 12-32 ATS in its last 44 home games after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better. Meanwhile the Redskins are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (477) Washington Redskins

This is a play on the EDMONTON ESKIMOS for our CFL Game of the Year. We played against the Roughriders last week as they were unable to put away a bad Montreal team despite having a 294-yard advantage. Quarterback Zach Collaros recorded season highs in completions (29) and attempts (41) as the Roughriders registered a season-best 502 yards of total offense yet they only won by five points. Saskatchewan has been red hot, winning six of its last seven games but that record is as deceiving as they come. The Roughriders have outgained only two opponents over this seven-game stretch, with Montreal being one and the other was by just 12 yards. The Roughriders are four games over .500 yet are getting outgained on average in their 14 games. The last five victories have come by an average of just 4.4 ppg. Saskatchewan is 0-8 ATS in its last eight games after having won four out of its last five games. Edmonton had a chance to make a move in the West Division but it lost to Winnipeg by 27 points at home despite outgaining the Blue Bombers. The Eskimos killed themselves as they finished with seven turnover, which led to 20 Winnipeg points, including a pair of interceptions from Mike Reilly, who had his worst game of the season by a wide margin. Over the last two games, both losses, the Eskimos have been outscored 58-18 while totaling 585 yards and 12 turnovers and we know they are better than this. These recent results are skewing a line that is considerably off. Edmonton is 6-0 ATS in its last six games as a road underdog of seven points or less. The Eskimos fall into two solid situations as well. First, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points coming off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite going up against an opponent off a road win. This situation is 26-6 ATS (81.2 percent) since 1996. Second, we play on underdogs or pickems in the second half of the season in a game involving two teams allowing between 23 and 28 ppg, after a loss by 20 or more points. This situation is 22-4 ATS (84.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (657) Edmonton Eskimos

This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Rams are off and running to a 4-0 start and their +73 scoring differential leads the NFL. They lead the league in total offense, averaging 125 ypg on the ground and 343 ypg through the air and they have scored at least 33 points every game this season. The schedule has been in their favor with three home games and the lone road game coming in Oakland and it has now been well over month since they left the state of California. Despite laying over a touchdown on the road, the public is all over the Rams which does not come as much of a surprise as recreational bettors are reacting to recent results while sharps like getting a 2-2 team as a touchdown or more underdog at home. The Rams are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. After losing its first two games by one possession, Seattle has bounced back with two straight wins including a last second victory over Arizona last week. The Seahawks have rediscovered their run game with consecutive 100-yard rushers and their defense has held three straight opponents to under 305 total yards of offense. Seattle is not without its problems and the one most talked about most is the offense line. But according to analysis based on new player tracking information, the much-maligned Seahawks offensive line might actually be decent at pass blocking, and it might not have been bad last season, either. The Seahawks have the fourth-best PBWR (pass block win rate) 2.5 seconds after the snap so they could have some success against the Rams defense. This is a big revenge game for Seattle and as much as the Seahawks would like to forget that day last December, a 42-7 loss to Los Angeles lingers. This is a situation the Seahawks have thrived in as they are 11-0 ATS in their last 11 games as home underdogs of two or more points while going 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games as underdogs playing with revenge against a .500 or better opponent. 10* (474) Seattle Seahawks

This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our AFC North Game of the Year. Cleveland comes into Week Five at 1-2-1 and it has played a lot better than that record shows. Two missed field goals and two bad referee calls last week has put the Browns in this spot and had those gone the other way, they could feasibly be 4-0 right now. While a lot of the hype is surrounding Baker Mayfield and the improved defense, and as it well should, the improvement overall can partly be attributed to not making mistakes. Prone to turnovers in past years, the Browns have the best turnover ratio in the NFL through the first quarter of the season. Mayfield is the type of quarterback that the Ravens have traditionally struggled against. He is mobile, he can beat you in unconventional ways and he has the arm talent to do damage. Cleveland finished No. 18 last season in rushing offense but it is currently No. 2 in that category, averaging 15.8 ypg. Baltimore is coming off a huge win in Pittsburgh last week to move to 3-1 on the season and that presents us with a great letdown opportunity. The last time Cleveland defeated Baltimore was back in October of 2015 and that situation is very similar to this week as the Ravens were coming off a win at Pittsburgh. Ravens quarterback Joe Flacco has traditionally had his best games against the Browns but this will be the best Browns team that has faced. The recency bias is in full effect here after last week with the Baltimore win over Pittsburgh coupled with the Brown allowing 45 points last week against the Raiders. Baltimore falls into a negative situation where we play against favorites that are outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg, after allowing 14 points or less in two straight games. This situation is 32-9 ATS (78 percent) over the last 10 seasons. This includes a 14-2 ATS record over the last five seasons. 10* (452) Cleveland Browns

This is a play on the BUFFALO BILLS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. Of all the 4-0 and 3-1 teams in the NFL, Tennessee is arguably the fraud of the bunch. The Titans improved to 3-1 with an overtime win over the Eagles last Sunday, all three victories coming in succession after opening the season with a loss in Miami. While it was an impressive win over the reining Super Bowl Champions, the Titans were outgained for the third time this season and the one game they won the yardage battle, it was by just one yard against Jacksonville. In the win over Houston, they were outgained by 154 yards and overall, Tennessee is ranked No. 24 in total offense and No. 15 in total defense. The defense took a hit last week as the Titans lost starting safety Kenny Vaccaro for several weeks after he was injured on Sunday. Buffalo is not a good football team as it got shutout last week in Green Bay to fall to 1-3 on the season. This is another classic situation of recency bias as the linesmakers had to make a line adjustment knowing where the majority of the money will fall. Buffalo has the second worst offense in the NFL but it will eventually find a groove as Josh Allen gets more reps and he is showing a lot of promise. While the offense has struggled, the Bills improvement on defense has been tangible in the last two-and-a-half games. Buffalo has quietly moved just outside the top 10 in run defense. They are facing a Titans run game whose leading rusher is their quarterback Marcus Mariota. Derrick Henry managed just 24 yards on eight carries last week and Dion Lewis had four carries for zero yards. Neither are averaging more than 3.3 ypc. Tennessee is 0-8 ATS in its last eight road games after gaining 6.0 or more yppl in their previous game. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off a win as a home underdog, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team. This situation is 36-13 ATS (73.5 percent) since 1983. 9* (456) Buffalo Bills

This is a play on the MIAMI DOLPHINS for our NFL Sunday Afternoon Value Play. Miami got thumped last week in New England and that has been the case for the Dolphins in New England since Tom Brady took over so we cannot read to much into last week. Against the Patriots last week, Dolphins quarterback Ryan Tannehill completed only 11 passes while the Miami offense was largely unproductive thanks to early penalties, being behind schedule with several third-and-long situations, and no run game to provide balance. They have to take advantage of the Cincinnati defense, one of five teams to surrender more than 300 yards passing per game this season. Prior to the loss, Miami ranked 11th in scoring offense with 25.0 ppg and sixth in scoring defense while allowing just 17.3 ppg. The Dolphins defense leads the NFL with nine interceptions and is second in opposing passer rating (72.2). The Bengals are coming off an impressive upset win in Atlanta last week and while many will call the Dolphins one of the worst 3-1 teams in the NFL, the Bengals have to be in that argument as well and have no business laying a number this big. Cincinnati has been outgained in three of its four games, similar to Miami so these team are pretty close to each other. The back-end of the Bengals defense appears to be vulnerable to the pass at all levels. If the offensive line of the Dolphins can give Ryan Tannehill a little bit of time, the quick release works. Matt Ryan did this all game last Sunday to help neutralize the pass rush of Cincinnati. The Bengals rank last in third-down efficiency, allowing opponents to convert 57.4 percent (35 of 61). Here, we play against home teams after scoring and allowing 30 pts or more points last game going up against an opponent after scoring seven points or less in the first half in two straight games. This situation is 45-19 ATS (70.3 percent) since 1983. Additionally, Cincinnati is 8-20 ATS after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in two straight games. 9* (465) Miami Dolphins

This is a play on the TEXAS A&M AGGIES for our CFB Saturday Supreme Annihilator. One of the early season surprises has been Kentucky as it is off to a 5-0 start while outgaining all five opponents on top of it. The Wildcats only road game was an impressive win at Florida but the Gators have turned the corner since that debacle. Gone are the laughingstock Wildcats as they are just one win away from qualifying for their third straight bowl game. The strength of Kentucky is the running game as it averages 259.4 ypg on 5.9 ypc led by Benny Snell Jr. who has rushed for 664 yards following a pair of 1,000-yard seasons his first two years at Kentucky. The Wildcats will be in for a test this week as Texas A&M allows just 85 rushing ypg, good for No. 6 in the country, and just 3.3 ypc. This can be very bad news for the Wildcats as they are not necessarily equipped to take advantage of a glaring weakness on the Aggie defense. They have struggled to stop big plays in the passing game and ranked 108th in passing yards allowed at 272.2 ypg but Kentucky cannot throw the ball. Texas A&M is 3-2 and it is one of the better 3-2 records in the country as the two losses came against Alabama, in a game was close for a while, and Clemson by just two points. The Aggies should have the edge on offense as well despite playing one of the top and underrated defenses in the country. The Aggies average 511.8 ypg which ranks 13th in the country. They are No. 24 in rushing offense and No. 32 in passing offense and they will undoubtedly be the most balanced offense Kentucky has faced. Playing a night game at Kyle Field is a big advantage for Texas A&M with the 12th man. Texas A&M has covered four straight games against winning teams and falls into a great situation where we play against teams with a winning percentage of .800 or better after beating the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games, playing a team with a winning percentage between .600 and .800. This situation is 34-10 ATS (77.3 percent) over the last 5 seasons. 9* (382) Texas A&M Aggies

This is a play on the FLORIDA ATLANTIC OWLS for our C-USA Game of the Year. Florida Atlantic is coming off a tough loss against Middle Tennessee as it gave up the winning touchdown with 38 seconds left which was culminated with the two-point conversion. The Owls fell to 2-3 overall and now need to make up ground in the C-USA East Division after losing the conference opener. We saw something similar to this last season as they started the season 1-3 and went on to win 10 straight games. It will be up to the defense to make a similar result which is surprising considering the Owls allowed 390 ypg and 22.7 ppg but those averages have increased to 459 ypg and 39.8 ppg despite the return of 10 starters. However, this regression has been because of two games against UCF and Oklahoma where they allowed and average of 597.5 ypg and 59.5 ppg and Old Dominion is not in that group despite what it did to Virginia Tech. While the Monarchs hung with the Pirates last week, East Carolina dominated throughout as it outgained the Monarchs 492-271 but needed a field goal with less than a minute remaining to pull out the win. The Pirates had two interceptions which both led to Old Dominion touchdowns that totaled 44 yards so that is a big reason the score was as close as it was. Old Dominion has been outgained in four of five games and in that Virginia Tech game, it outgained the Hokies by just 32 total yards. Overall, the defense is allowing 509 ypg and while the Owls offense as not quite as potent as last season thus far, they should be able to name the score here. Old Dominion is 0-8 ATS in its last eight games after allowing 475 or more total yards in two consecutive games and Florida Atlantic falls into a situation where we play on favorites of 10.5 to 21 points after two or more consecutive straight up losses, with a winning percentage of between .400 and .499 on the season. This situation is 23-2 ATS (92 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (328) Florida Atlantic Owls

This is a play on the FLORIDA GATORS as part of our CFB Saturday Ultimate Trifecta. The public is all over LSU in this matchup as the No. 5 ranked team in the AP Poll is favored by less than a field goal. The Tigers off to a 5-0 start with impressive wins against Miami and Auburn and it is coming off its most complete game of the season last week against Mississippi. In the first four games, LSU was outgained twice including in its game against Louisiana Tech so this team may not be quite as good as some may think. The defense is legit once again and while the offense is averaging a decent amount of points, the Tigers are averaging just 5.6 yppl which is No. 59 in the country. The Gators have won three straight games in dominant fashion following that home loss against Kentucky. While they only won 13-6 last week against Mississippi St., they outgained the Bulldogs by 155 total yards with the defense leading the way by allowing just 202 yards on a mere 3.5 yppl. The Gators have good defensive metrics in most categories: 19th in total defense (LSU is 32nd), 6th in pass-efficiency defense (LSU is 23rd), and 13th overall in S&P+ defense (LSU is 15th). To win, the defense has to play its game and it does not need to do anything over the top. Florida enters with momentum and confidence, having played great defense the past two weeks against offenses with similar efficiency profiles to LSU. The offense was pretty solid last week but Florida struggled on third down but it is still converting at a 39.1 percent slip which is a vast improvement from their 32.5 percent from last season. While the line is short and the public is piling on the road team and the thinking is the wrong team is favored. The difference in the latest S&P+ projections suggest that LSU is only 0.6 points (15.5 to 14.9) better than Florida on a neutral field which means the Gators should be favored. 9* (334) Florida Gators

This is a play on the MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS as part of our CFB Saturday Ultimate Trifecta. Both Iowa and Minnesota are coming off losses and then a bye week so there is no scheduling or motivation edge on either side which is good for Minnesota considering it is getting a sizable number at home. The Gophers are coming off their worst game of the season by a lot as they were hammered against Maryland on the road. They have dominated at home including a solid win over a good Fresno St. team. There is no denying the offense has had its share of problems through four games but we are banking on the other side to keep this one low scoring which makes the points that much better. Iowa lost a tough one to Wisconsin which was at home, and this is the first road game of the season for the Hawkeyes. They too have a lethargic offense that has been unable to get anything going. Both teams have used a similar blueprint to reach this point, relying on a generally stingy defense to overcome an oft-sputtering offense. While Minnesota's offensive numbers are pretty dismal, their defensive numbers have been much more solid. They're allowing 17.3 ppg, 19th best in the nation and they are giving up 300.3 ypg, 14th best nationally. They will give Iowa a real test as its best game came against Northern Iowa od the FCS. The one issue is that Minnesota lost their best defender, safety Antoine Winfield, Jr., for the season to a foot injury sustained in the Maryland game but Iowa does not have the firepower to take advantage. Iowa quarterback Nate Stanley has struggled this season after a very solid 2017 season as he has been pedestrian and the offense has sputtered at times as a result. The Hawkeyes are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games against teams with a winning home record while the Gophers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse against opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse. This situation is 34-10 ATS (77.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (388) Minnesota Golden Gophers

This is a play on the MARYLAND TERRAPINS for our Big Ten Game of the Month. With all of the turmoil with Maryland entering the season, it is very impressive what it has done. The Terrapins are 3-1 including an upset over Texas and the one hiccup came against Temple, a game they simply did not show up for. They bounced back with a resounding victory over Minnesota and the big part about heading into this week is not just the renewed confidence but the fact they are coming off a bye week and an extra week of preparation before Michigan is a big advatnage. The Terrapins are 20th in the country in total defense, 18th in rushing defense and 52nd in passing defense so the inconsistent Wolverines offense will be put to test. Michigan is coming off a hard-fought physical game against Northwestern and it was fortunate to come away with a victory even though it dominated the stats. Northwestern was a tough test because it was on the road, but Maryland is the best all-around team Michigan has faced since the opener against Notre Dame. Saturday will be the definition of a trap game for Michigan, as the Wolverines are coming off a close, emotional road win and looking forward to three straight games against ranked opponents starting Wisconsin next week in a revenge game. Looking at raw numbers, we see that Maryland has played a schedule ranked No. 48 and Michigan has played a schedule ranked No. 43 so those are a near wash. As far as output, the Wolverines are ranked No. 8 in net yppl at +2.79 but Maryland is not far behind at +1.90. Michigan is 0-6 ATS in its last six home games after allowing 3.75 or fewer yppl in their previous game and Maryland falls into a great situation where we play on road underdogs (averaging 230 or more rushing ypg going up against a team averaging 190-230 rushing ypg after gaining 6.0 or more rushing ypc last game. This situation is 26-5 ATS (83.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (337) Maryland Terrapins

This is a play on the NC STATE WOLFPACK as part of our CFB Saturday Ultimate Trifecta. NC State came through for us last week and we will be backing the Wolfpack again this week. They fell behind 7-3 but ran off 24 consecutive points to pull away and they have a similar matchup this week. The Wolfpack had their game against West Virginia postponed which would have given us a good indicator of how they are against elite competition but we are not putting Boston College at that level just like we did not with Virginia. NC State is now 4-0 on the season while moving into the top 25 which is pretty meaningless in the big picture but it is big for the players and it boasts strong units on both sides of the ball. It leads the ACC and ranks ninth in the FBS in passing offense, throwing for 342.3 ypg. NC State is converting 59.3 percent of its third downs this season (32 of 54), which trails only UCF and Alabama (59.7 percent) nationally. running back AJ Dillon will be a game-time decision against NC State on Saturday with an ankle injury. His absence will be huge and even if he does play, he will not be 100 percent as he has been unable to practice. Dillon, who ranks No. 3 in the nation with 652 yards, rolled his left ankle last week against Temple in the third quarter and did not return to the game. Boston College averages 243.4 ypg on 51 attempts per game but the Eagles also have not been all that efficient about getting there, ranking only 70th in marginal efficiency. Additionally, over 20 percent of their rushing attempts are stopped for no gain or negative yards, a figure that ranks 84th among FBS teams. Boston College will need all the help it can get against the Wolfpack, a team that ranks 19th and 13th in the nation in rushing defense and scoring defense respectively. While stopping the run game is the main focus, the Wolfpack secondary has to stay on its toes and prepare for surprises in the pass game. 9* (332) NC State Wolfpack

This is a play on the MARSHALL THUNDERING HERD for our CFB Friday Supreme Annihilator. Marshall enters Friday coming off a win over Western Kentucky but it was an ugly victory. The Thundering Herd had four turnovers with all of them occurring on the Western Kentucky side of the field, eliminating scoring opportunities for them to distance themselves early. The good news is that it was an important road win and one they can learn from in what is a huge early season conference game. It may only be the second game of the Conference USA slate, but it takes on significant meaning with the Blue Raiders coming in with a 1-0 record and having a win in hand over one of the C-USA top teams. Middle Tennessee defeated Florida Atlantic last week by one point with the winning touchdown coming in the final minute so a Marshall victory here at home put it in the drivers seat over the other two top teams in the East Division. The Blue Raiders are now 2-2 and have been outgained in three of four games. The schedule has no doubt been tough which has included a pair of games against SEC teams. Marshall could have some solid matchup edges here. With Middle Tennessee's blitz-heavy defense, the opportunity opens up for one-on-one situations and mismatches. Given that Marshall wide receivers Tyre Brady and Obi Obialo have excelled in one-on-one scenarios this season, there is plenty optimism that they can take advantage in this particular matchup. The Thundering Herd come in with the better defense, namely against the run where they are allowing 2.0 fewer ypc than what Middle Tennessee is allowing and for a pair of less than average rushing offenses, that is significant. The Blue Raiders are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win and here, we play on home teams rushing for 3.5 to 4.3 ypc going up against teams rushing for 3 to 3.5 ypc, after gaining 125 or less rushing yards in two straight games. This situation is 53-22 ATS (70.7 percent) since 1992. 10* (308) Marshall Thundering Herd

This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our AFC Thursday Game of the Year. Indianapolis enters Week Five with a 1-3 record and with a few bounces its way, it could be 3-1 or 4-0 as the three losses have been that close to going either way. In their last road game, the Colts lost at Philadelphia where they were getting 6.5 points and went down by just four. Now they are getting over a field goal more and at this point in the season, New England is not three points better than the Eagles so this is an inflated line based on who it is and not what it is. Andrew Luck is coming off his best game of the season as he threw for 464 yards and four touchdowns and on the season, he is completing over 67 percent of his passes which is by far the best of his career. The Patriots passing defense is ranked in the top ten in the league but they have not been overly tested yet with Matthew Stafford cutting them up pretty good and while DeShawn Watson is considered near the top, it was his first game back from injury. The Patriots put their most complete game together last week against Miami as they outgained the Dolphins by 277 total yards. They have looked dominant at home and not so much on the road but just because they blew out Miami last week, they should not be put on this high of a pedestal. There are issues all over the place that can be exploited. In making another line comparison, New England was favored by 6.5 points over Miami and we are here to say that Miami is not a over a field goal better than the Colts despite the 3-1 record compared to the 1-3 record. As a matter of fact, look at most power rankings and you will find the Colts ahead of Miami. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points in a game involving two teams with a +/- 3 ppg differential.), after allowing three points or less in the first half last game. This situation is 46-19 ATS (70.8 percent) since 1983. 10* (301) Indianapolis Colts

This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS for our AAC Game of the Month. Houston was able to bounce back from its only loss of the season at Texas Tech as it rolled over Texas Southern 70-14, racking up 671 total yards in the process. The offense has been rolling all season as through four games, the Cougars are averaging 607 ypg and 52.3 ppg which are good for No. 1 and No. 2 in the country respectively. They have been as efficient as they come with Houston scoring 29 touchdowns and just two field goals in the four games. The big reason for the success is quarterback D'Eriq King. He took over the starting job toward the end of last season and has not missed a beat in 2018 as he has completed 62.7 percent of his passes while throwing for 1,197 yards and he has an unreal 15:1 TD/INT ratio. He has also added five rushing touchdowns. This is bad news for a Tulsa defense that has improved immensely since last season but it has yet to face an offense of this caliber. Houston got thumped in Tulsa last season and it will be out to return the favor. The Cougars allowed 288 yards rushing on 53 carries (5.4 ypc), which was their worst performance of the season. Things have changed however. Tulsa lost leading rusher D'Angelo Brewer and Houston, while giving up a ton of passing yards, have been excellent against the run, allowing just 114 ypg and while a lot of that can be attributed to teams abandoning the run to play catchup, the Cougars are allowing just 2.8 ypc so they have been stuffing the run. Tulsa does not have the offense to play catchup as quarterback Luke Skipper is averaging just 181.8 ypg and he has only four touchdowns compared to six interceptions. Here, we play on home teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .800 after a cover as a double digit favorite, playing a team with a winning percentage of .250 or worse. This situation is 61-27 ATS (69.3 percent) since 1992. 10* (304) Houston Cougars

This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. The red hot Chiefs travel to Denver to take on their rival as they will be going for a sixth straight victory in this series. Kansas City is off to a 3-0 start thanks to an offense that has yet to be stopped. The problem is, the defense has yet to stop anyone and the fact the Chiefs have been outgained in all three games is concerning. The Chiefs defense has combined to miss 36 tackles so far this season, which is the most among NFL defenses and it will not be getting any better this week as it has now been 48 days since safety Eric Berry practiced or played and he is again listed as doubtful. The Chiefs come in as the road favorite, which is rare in this series as it has happened only twice in 30 years and it is because of their hot start which can offer us opportunities in a market that tends to overreact week-to-week. Denver is off to a 2-1 start as it looks to improve to 3-0 at home following a loss in Baltimore last week. It will be up to the defense to come through here and try and slow down Mahomes and company. The Broncos possess a solid pass rush that can get to the quarterback and in this case, they will be looking to rattle Mahomes who tends to hold the ball longer than he should. Arguably one of the best cornerbacks in the game, Chris Harris Jr. has continued to shut down opposing receivers and he will be tested for sure by Tyreek Hill but he will play a key role. On the other side, the Broncos offense is middle of the pack but the rushing offense leads the way as they are ranked No. 4 in the NFL at 144.7 ypg while their 5.2 ypc average is also good for No. 4 in the league. Here, we play against road favorites that are averaging 27 or more ppg, after leading in their previous game by 21 or more points at the half. This situation is 47-20 ATS (70.1 percent) since 1983. 10* (278) Denver Broncos

This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS for our NFL Game of the Week. The Bears are back home following a scare in Arizona as they rallied from a 14-0 deficit to win 16-14. The defense was the story once again as they allowed 221 total yards and are now ranked No. 5 in total defense and No. 8 in scoring defense. The unit is second in the NFL in takeaways with eight and as we saw last Monday, Tampa Bay is prone to give it up and overall, the Buccaneers are ranked No. 25 in giveaways. The Buccaneers offense has been one of the big stories in the NFL but they have yet to face a defense like this and Chicago can take a script from Pittsburgh from last Monday night. In the first two games of the season, the Tampa Bay offense did not face a lot of pressure and it took advantage of that but last week, the Steelers applied a ton of pressure from their defensive front and some blitz packages. As great as Ryan Fitzpatrick has been, he looked flustered when he was under pressure and this Sunday will be even worse for him. This has been a horrible spot throughout his career as he has just one win in 18 tried coming off a loss when facing an above .500 team coming off a win. Chicago has a glaring weakness on offense and that is the passing game. Mitch Trubisky is ranked No. 26 in Total QBR but he gets a big break this week as he squares off against the worst passing defense in the NFL as Tampa Bay is allowing 363 ypg through the air. Facing Drew Brees and Ben Roethlisberger will do that but there are issues nonetheless and they are relying heavily on three rookies. This is the fourth game in the new system for the offense and we will continue to see improvements and this is the perfect week to get it jumpstarted. Head coach Matt Nagy said they will scale it back some but that does not mean it will be going vanilla. Going back, the Bears are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 home games. 10* (264) Chicago Bears

This is a play on the HOUSTON TEXANS for our Sunday NFL Enforcer. The Colts are off to a 1-2 start following a loss in Philadelphia last week and come in as a slight favorite back home. While the Colts have looked like an improved team, especially on the defensive side of the ball, there are still concerns entering the Week Four matchup on Sunday. Andrew Luck has shown signs of his former self but he is still not 100 percent back and there are fears his shoulder is far from 100 percent after Jacoby Brissett was brought in last week to throw the ball for the 50-yard hail mary. Luck is ranked No. 13 in Total QBR. It does not help that the running game is non-existent as the Colts are averaging a mere 82.3 ypg which is No. 29 in the NFL. The Texans defense has not lived up to the hype yet this season as they are ranked No. 17 but J.J. Watt looks to be back into the groove and the rushing defense has been solid mainly because they have not allowed big plays. The passing defense has been solid as the Texans are ranked No. 12 and the Indianapolis offensive line is below average and it will be missing some pieces this week. According to Pro Football Focus, the Colts line is ranked No. 22 and the tackles have been the weakness, allowing 31 pressures through three games. The explosive Houston offense that appeared when Deshawn Watson entered the lineup last season has not been great but they are way above average and have the playmakers to compliment Watson. Houston is ranked No. 8 in total offense and Watson has thrown for 300 yards in back-to-back games, the first time a Houston quarterback has done that since 2012. That is hard to ignore as it the fact the Colts are allowing opposing quarterbacks to complete 71.2 percent of their passes. Here, we play on road teams averaging 265 passing ypg and allowing 7.0 or more passing ypa in two straight games going up teams allowing 230-265 ypg passing. This situation is 29-6 ATS (82.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (253) Houston Texans

This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. The results from last week are giving us tremendous value in this line. Buffalo pulled off the massive upset last Sunday as it won in Minnesota by 21 points as a 16.5-point underdog and now it is getting a touchdown less against a team that is on the same level as the Vikings. The Bills were pathetic in their first two games of the season against the Ravens and Chargers and while the victory may look impressive, it was not the overall domination and you may think. The Bills and Vikings both finished with 292 total yards so the offense was below average again and while the defense limited the yards, Buffalo did so by forcing three turnovers. Going back, the Bills are 9-20 ATS in their last 29 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. The Green Bay loss at Washington is also playing into this line and it is time for the Packers to make a move. After the Bills, Green Bay has two more winnable games at Detroit and at home against San Francisco before facing the Rams and Patriots in back-to-back road games. Sitting at 1-1-1, the Packers could easily be 0-3 right now as they have been average on both sides of the ball but they catch an opponent in a horrible spot. It is up to the offensive line to protect Aaron Rodgers and eliminate a strong Bills pass rush. Rodgers has been elite when passing from a clean pocket this season and posted a passer rating of 117.2, sixth-best among quarterbacks. However, his rating plummets to 71.2 when facing pressure, 18th-best among quarterbacks through three games. This could be another breakout game similar to first game against the Bears in the second half. Here, we play against road underdogs or pickems coming off an upset win by 14 points or more as an underdog going up against an opponent off a road loss. This situation is 48-20 ATS (70.6 percent) since 1983. Additionally, teams coming off a win as a two-touchdown or higher underdog have gone 4-15-2 ATS next time out. 9* (258) Green Bay Packers

This is a play on the DALLAS COWBOYS for our NFL Sunday Afternoon Value Play. This is a matchup of strength vs. strength and weakness vs. weakness so something will have to give. The Lions have had a pretty solid offense (23.3 ppg) but a poor defense (29.3 ppg). The Cowboys have struggled on offense (13.7 ppg) but have had a rather stingy defense (17.7 ppg). Things are not good in Dallas right now as there are issues all over the offense including the quarterback, receivers and the offensive line. Dak Prescott has not thrown for over 170 yards in any game this season so far and only has two passing touchdowns on the year to go with two interceptions. While the Lions possess the No. passing defense in the NFL as far as yards go, they are No. 21 in opposing quarterback rating and No. 16 in ypa allowed so going off yards alone is not the way to look at it. They will not be able to flood the field with defensive backs like they are often inclined to do, because of Ezekiel Elliott's presence in the backfield. Elliott has been a lone bright spot for the offense and he is coming off his best game where he averaged 7.9 ypc against Seattle after a 4.6 ypc average through two weeks. He is tied with 49ers running back Matt Breida to lead the league at 274 yards and that is significant as the Lions gave up 138 to Breida to weeks ago. After a pair of losses to open the season, the Lions pulled off the upset last Sunday night over the Patriots giving a false sense of hope. This is not a great team and Detroit beat a team that has more problems than it does. It was a big game for Detroit and Matt Patricia to avoid falling to 0-3 and the new head coach certainly wanted to give it to his old club. Here, we play against road underdogs or pickems coming off an upset win by 14 points or more as an underdog going up against an opponent off a road loss. This situation is 48-20 ATS (70.6 percent) since 1983. 9* (260) Dallas Cowboys

This is a play on he MONTREAL ALOUETTES for our CFL Sunday Enforcer. With Edmonton losing last night no thanks to six turnovers, the Roughriders now have a 1.5-game lead over three teams for second place in the CFL. Saskatchewan has been red hot, winning five of its last six games but that record is as deceiving as they come. The Roughriders have outgained only one opponent over this six-game stretch, and that was by just 12 yards, and they have been outgained in five straight games. Saskatchewan is 0-7 ATS in its last seven games after having won four out of its last five games. Montreal is having a tough season as it sits at 3-10 but there is still hope as the Alouettes are just 3.5 games out of fourth place which is not insurmountable at this point. They have split their last four games while outgaining three of their last four opponents and they turn to Johnny Manziel, who will be making his fourth start. Saskatchewan will be without a key piece of its offense today as Naaman Roosevelt will not be playing due to a knee injury. He has 48 catches for 570 yards and four touchdowns this season as he is leading the Roughriders in targets and receiving yards and is second in receptions. This is not ideal for a team that is averaging just 315.3 ypg over its last three games. The Alouettes are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning record and they fall into a great contrarian situation where we play on home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after one or more consecutive losses against the spread, in September games. This situation is 34-11 ATS (75.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (678) Montreal Alouettes

This is a play on the LOUISIANA TECH BULLDOGS as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. Louisiana Tech came through for us last week although it was not looking good to start out. LSU jumped ahead 24-0 but give the Bulldogs credit for not giving in as they scored three touchdowns between the second and fourth quarters while the defense shut the Tigers out over that stretch. Louisiana Tech won the yardage battle 417-409 but committed two costly turnovers deep in its own territory that led to a pair of LSU touchdowns that covered just 31 yards total. Louisiana Tech is now 2-1 and has won the stats in all three games. The Bulldogs are the frontrunners along with UAB and North Texas in the C-USA West Division so this is a big conference game for both sides and the underdog number is significant. North Texas improved to 4-0 with the blowout victory at Liberty last week and it has been an impressive run for the Mean Green, thus the big line here. Being favored by 3.5 points over SMU to open the season but being favored by double that number against a very solid team is too much. While the offense has put up gaudy numbers, the defense has improved considerably from last season as it has been known as recently as last year for giving up large numbers to opposing offenses, the defense has reduced its points allowed average by 20 points down to 15.8 ppg this season. Of course, playing the No. 160 ranked schedule in the country helps and while a blowout win looks good at Arkansas, the Razorbacks are not a good football team. Do not expect the Bulldogs to get pushed around. Pass protection had been suspect after the first couple of weeks, but the offensive line pieced together a remarkable effort versus the aggressive front seven for the Tigers, keeping redshirt junior quarterback J'Mar Smith clean nearly the entire game. North Texas is 8-26 ATS in its last 34 games after a game where they committed no turnovers while the Bulldogs are 23-11 ATS in their last 34 road games against teams with a winning home record. 9* (185) Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

This is a play on the VIRGINIA TECH HOKIES for our ACC Game of the Year. Virginia Tech is coming off the worst loss of the young season as it lost at Old Dominion by allowing 28 fourth quarter points The Hokies were undefeated and favored by 27.5 points while they ended up allowing 632 total yards. How bad is that? That was the most yards allowed ever under defensive coordinator Bud Foster. To say they will be better this week is quite obvious but the thinking is that it will be considerably better as this week of practice has been extremely intense. With quarterback Josh Jackson sidelined for essentially the rest of the season with a broken fibula, the reigns to the offense have been turned over to backup quarterback Ryan Willis. This is not as bad as it may sound. His athleticism might be more beneficial to the offense as his size, speed, and fluidity with how he moves can help both the zone read and the passing game. He looked good coming in last week and now has had a week to practice with the ones. Duke is off to a perfect 4-0 start but it is somewhat skewed. The Blue Devils predictably destroyed North Carolina Central last week but in their first three wins over Army, Northwestern and Baylor, they were a combined -63 in yardage differential as Army was the only team they outgained. This is the first true test for Duke without quarterback Daniel Jones and All ACC cornerback Mark Gilbert. Surprisingly the Blue Devils have yet to throw an interception in 110 passes through four games and have lost just two fumbles so this will not last. Virginia Tech thrives on forcing turnovers, leading the ACC with a turnover margin of plus 1.67 and it will be more motivated this week than any other week this season looking to get back on track and prove last week was just a fluke. Here, we play on road underdogs that are averaging 230 or more rushing ypg after gaining 6.0. or more rushing ypc last game. Going up against a team averaging between 190 and 230 rushing ypg. This situation is 25-5 (83.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (133) Virginia Tech Hokies

This is a play on the EDMONTON ESKIMOS for our CFL Saturday Enforcer. Once in hot pursuit of the Stampeders for first place, the Eskimos have gone 2-4 in their last six games and are now 7-6 as they take on the 6-7 Blue Bombers in a game that falls under the must-win category for both teams. Edmonton came into the season as arguably the team with the best chance to contend with Calgary but the Stampeders once again ran away from everyone and the Eskimos are now two points behind Saskatchewan for second place in the West Division. The home and road splits are glaring but good for tonight in this spot as the Eskimos have lost four consecutive games on the road and won five straight at home. This is not overly shocking but three of those losses have come by a combined seven points. The offense will be the spotlight tonight led by quarterback Mike Reilly, who is the reigning Most Outstanding Player, and he leads the CFL in passing yards and touchdown passes with 27, 17 of which have covered 20 yards or more. This is a big game for Winnipeg as well as it can catch Edmonton in the standings with a victory. The Blue Bombers snapped a four-game losing streak with their win over Montreal last week, but they have yet to beat a team with a winning record this season. Four of their six wins have come against the Alouettes (3-10) and Toronto (3-9) while the other victories coming against B.C. and Hamilton. The Blue Bombers are 0-5 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning record and Edmonton falls into a solid situation where we play on home teams that are averaging 385 to 420 ypg after allowing 7.6 or more yppl in their previous game going up against teams that are averaging 345 to 385 ypg. This situation is 23-5 ATS (82.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (676) Edmonton Eskimos

This is a play on the NEW MEXICO LOBOS for our MWC Game of the Month. Liberty flamed out for us last Saturday, pun intended, as they were soundly defeated at home against North Texas. The Mean Green dominated from start to finish as they scored touchdowns on their first two possessions and after Liberty cut it to seven points, the Flames crossed midfield only two more times in their next eight possessions. Liberty did get inside the Mean Green 15-yard line twice but tossed an interception and missed a field goal. North Texas racked up 532 yards of offense including 346 yards rushing on 47 carries (7.4 ypc). Now they hit the road as a short underdog and they were soundly defeated in their only road game at Army. New Mexico is off to a 2-1 start with the lone loss coming at Wisconsin which was undoubtedly expected. After a pair of bowl games in 2015 and 2016, the Lobos struggled last season with a 3-9 record as they only returned three starters. One thing to note though is that three of those losses were by three points or less so they were more competitive than the record showed and they have a lot more experience back this season. New Mexico quarterback Tevaka Tuioti got hurt in that Wisconsin game early and missed the New Mexico St. game but is back this week which happens to come after a bye week to give him even more time to get healthy. Tuioti, who has thrown for 382 yards and five touchdowns with one interception on 18-of-29 passing, is a duel-threat that won the job with his athleticism. The running game showed positive signs against the Aggies as redshirt senior running back Tyrone Owens rushed for a game-high 110 yards and a touchdown, while junior running back Ahmari Davis had four rushing touchdowns on 74 yards. Here, we play against teams that are averaging between 4.3 and 4.8 ypc going up against teams averaging between 3.5 and 4.3 ypc, after allowing 225 or more rushing yards in two straight games. This situation is 24-4 ATS (85.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (168) New Mexico Lobos

This is a play on the EAST CAROLINA PIRATES as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. The letdown of all letdowns is in store on Saturday in Greenville as Old Dominion hits the road following the biggest upset of the season as it went off in the fourth quarter by scoring 28 points and shocking the Hokies. The Monarchs gained 296 yards on those four touchdown drives and overall they racked up 632 yards of offense. They came into that game 0-3 with bad losses against Liberty, Florida International and Charlotte so the win over the Hokies is even more surprising. The offense is solid and to do what it did against Virginia Tech is impressive but the defense remains an issue as the Monarchs are allowing 513.3 ypg and 35.8 ppg. East Carolina is off to a 1-2 start including a curious loss against North Carolina A&T followed up by a win over North Carolina. The Pirates lost at South Florida last week following an unplanned off week because of the hurricane. That was a very misleading final as East Carolina outgained the Bulls 412-304 but managed only 13 points despite running 96 plays compared to just 49 for South Florida. Despite the yardage disparity, the Pirates managed only 4.3 yppl so that is why they were held off the scoreboard. Of the 10 times into Bulls territory, only three turned into scores. South Florida got the game winner on an 80-yard touchdown run. even though it is 1-2, East Carolina has outgained all three opponents and it is the defense that has impressed the most as they are allowing just 320 ypg which is an amazing 222 ypg less than what the Pirates allowed last season which was the worst in FBS. A lot of the improvement can be attributed to new defensive coordinator David Blackwell, one of the top coordinator at the FCS level when he was there. East Carolina 16-6 ATS in its last 22 home games when playing against teams with a winning percentage between .250 and .400 while Old Dominion is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games after being outrushed by 150 or more yards last game. 9* (122) East Carolina Pirates

This is a play on the NEBRASKA CORNHUSKERS as part of our CFB Saturday Trifecta. Nebraska is off to its worst start since 1945 and the natives are getting restless as this is not what was envisioned when Scott Frost was hired as head coach. Going back to last season, the Huskers have lost seven straight games so they need to get on the right side of the scoreboard and fast. Last week against Michigan was a disaster. Nebraska scored its only touchdown on its final drive in garbage time and has only two net yards of offense in the first half. For the entire game, the Huskers crossed midfield just three times. The Wolverines are elite and Purdue is not. As for the first two losses, those games could have been won as Nebraska lost those by five points but won the yardage battle both times 170 and 111 yards. This is a good situation, as an underdog no less, as there is no second guessing whether or not Adrian Martinez will be good to go, the team is about as healthy as it is going to be across the board, and this game is in the friendly confines of Memorial Stadium. Martinez was dynamic against Colorado, his first college game, but suffered a knee injury and was held out of the loss to Troy. A true dual-threat will give Purdue problems. The Boilermakers are just 1-3 on the season and they could feasibly be 4-0 with all of the losses coming by four points or less and they have outgained all four opponents. So that record is skewed and the Michigan game notwithstanding, these teams are even based on the other games but Purdue comes in as the road favorite as the Nebraska 0-3 start has been all over the news and people are sour on them. Additionally, going back, Nebraska is 0-9 ATS in its last nine home games which makes this a true public contrarian play. Purdue meanwhile is 0-5 ATS in its last five games as road favorites and this is the first road game of the season. 9* (180) Nebraska Cornhuskers

This is a play on the NC STATE WOLFPACK for our CFB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. Virginia won for us last week at it rolled over Louisville, which is clearly a team on the decline. That makes the win over the Cardinals not look at good as it does on paper but because of the name-brand victory, the line is smaller than it should be. Virginia struggled last week early on as the Cavaliers drove inside the Louisville 15-yard line three times in their first four possessions but had to settle for three field goal attempts and only made two. The Cavaliers were 6-7 last season and while I think this team should get back to another bowl game, it is because of the upcoming schedule and not that we have seen anything special against a weak schedule. NC State is off to a 3-0 start including an impressive win last week over Marshall, a team picked to win the C-USA East Division. Marshall pulled to within 10-7 early in the second quarter lead after an 80-yard touchdown drive but it was all Wolfpack after that as they outgained the Thundering Herd 385-191 the rest of the way. The Wolfpack had their game against West Virginia postponed which would have given us a good indicator of how they are against elite competition but we are not putting Virginia at that level just yet. We know that Louisville lost quarterback Lamar Jackson and it is having a hard time replacing him but on the other side, quarterback Ryan Finley leads the ACC in passing yards as he is averaging 352 ypg. He has for 1,056 passing yards, which is the most for an NC State player in his first three games of a season since Philip Rivers in 2003. On the other side, NC State has one of the best defensive units in the nation as the Wolfpack lead the ACC and ranks ninth nationally in scoring defense as they're allowing just 13.3 ppg. NC State is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games after two or more consecutive straight up wins while the Cavaliers are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game. 9* (144) NC State Wolfpack

This is a play on the TULANE GREEN WAVE for our CFB Friday Game of the Month. Coming into the season, I expected Tulane to be one of the most improved teams in the country and while it sits at 1-3, that can still happen. Last season, Tulane was three points away from its first bowl game since 2013 as it lost the regular season finale by a field goal to SMU when the Mustangs scored a touchdown with two minutes left. That gave the Green Wave plenty of motivation in the offseason and they will need to finish games better than they did a year ago, when they dropped four games by six or fewer points. Two of three losses have come by a touchdown or less and one of those in overtime and while the other loss was by 43 points, it was against Ohio St. Memphis is off to a 3-1 start with the three blowout victories coming against garbage teams and the one loss coming against Navy, which is not very good either. Memphis went 10-3 last season and because of the high powered offense, they are huge road favorites which is way too big of an adjustment. The Tigers have played a schedule ranked No. 167 in the nation so they have yet to be tested and while their offense is very solid, their defense is not. They could not put away South Alabama last week as they allowed 467 total yards and they were fortunate that the Jaguars fumbled the ball twice, both inside the Memphis 15-yard line so the game could have been even closer. This is the breakout game that is needed for the Tulane offense. Quarterback Jonathan Banks will start at quarterback again as he continues to look for the form he exhibited at the end of 2017. He ranks eighth in the American Athletic Conference in passing efficiency, completing 49.5 percent of his passes for 792 yards and five touchdowns with one interception. He also has lost three fumbles and been sacked 14 times. The contrarian situation here is to play against road favorites of 10.5 to 21 points that are outgaining their opponents by 125 or more ypg, after gaining 525 or more total ypg over their last two games. This situation is 46-14 ATS (76.7 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (106) Tulane Green Wave

This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFL Thursday Game of the Month. This is a huge game for the Vikings as they are 1-1-1 and while it is still early, not picking up a win in three straight games and having to travel to Philadelphia for their next game would put them in a tough spot. The Rams are off to a 3-0 start and they have the edge here based on the short week and travel and while the first three Thursday night games have been won and covered by the home team, we see that switching up this week, at least the cover part. This line is inflated due to recency bias and because the home team has dominated there nights. Taking nothing away from the Rams as this team is extremely talented but while they have outscored opponents 102-36, they have not exactly played a brutal schedule. Their opponents, Oakland, Arizona and the Los Angeles Chargers, are 1-8 overall. The Vikings will look to bounce back after the ugly 27-6 home loss to Buffalo. Minnesota, a 17-point favorite, fell behind 27-0 at halftime. While many consider the Rams to have the best roster in the NFL, Minnesota is not far behind from top to bottom. Last week was brutal and can be chalked up as an aberration. In the loss to Buffalo, Pro Football Focus reported that the Vikings offensive line surrendered 29 pressures (two sacks, three hits and 24 hurries), the highest total of any team in Week Three so it is pretty clear Minnesota came in complexly unfocused. While this is a tough travel spot for the Vikings, they have done a good job to accommodate. They left Tuesday evening following practice, a day earlier than they usually fly to road games, to try to better acclimate themselves to the two-hour time change. Vikings quarterback Kirk Cousins ranks second in the NFL with 965 passing yards. In September games since the start of 2017, he has thrown for 1,749 yards, 12 touchdowns and three interceptions, totaling a 101.5 passer rating. 10* (101) Minnesota Vikings

This is a play on the MIAMI HURRICANES for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. In trying to get as much information for this game, it has been announced by North Carolina head coach Larry Fedora that Nathan Elliott will get the start at quarterback for the Tar Heels over Chazz Surratt, who is back following a three-game suspension. Elliott has struggled as he has passed for 670 yards, three touchdowns and four interceptions through the first three games. He did have a solid game last week against Pittsburgh but he is taking a massive step up in the opposing defense here. Pressuring the quarterback is something Miami does extremely well and the North Carolina quarterbacks could be in for a very long night. Through the first four games, Miami has 46 tackles for loss to lead the nation. They had 111 in 2017 and are on pace for 138 this season. If Miami gets out to an early lead as they should as a prohibitive favorite at home, that will set up the Hurricanes pass rushers nicely. On the other side, Miami coach Mark Richt declined to say which quarterback would start on Thursday. Malik Rosier opened the season as the starter and he struggled through the first three games so freshman N'Kosi Perry got the nod last week against FIU and he was very solid so likely will see both quarterbacks again here as well. It is not all about the quarterback for the Hurricanes and we should see a healthy dose of the ground game which can flourish in this matchup. Over the last two games, North Carolina has allowed 224.0 rushing ypg as East Carolina ran for 220 yards, while Pittsburgh ran for 228 yards. Miami is averaging 209.5 ypg on the ground. The Hurricanes have won the yardage battle in each game this season, even in the loss to LSU, and they are outgaining opponents by 225.5 ypg. The Hurricanes are 21-5 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. 10* (104) Miami Hurricanes

This is a play on the PITTSBURGH STEELERS for our NFL Monday Star Attraction. Coming into this game, many would have thought these records would have been reversed with Pittsburgh being undefeated and Tampa Bay being winless. Instead, the Steelers are winless and are in dire need of a victory before their Sunday night showdown against the Ravens and we feel they step it up big time on the road. Despite not picking up a victory, Pittsburgh has outgained both opponents and it can take advantage of a very soft defense tonight. One thing working in their favor is that the game will be played in prime time as the Steelers have won their past 10 prime time games, including their last five on the road. Line movement has been working in their favor as well as the Steelers got as high as three-point favorites in some spots, but they are now either an underdog or a pickem across the board. Those type of line movements are often a market overreaction to recent history and that is usually the case when they occur in primetime games. Tampa Bay is off to a surprising 2-0 start behind the arm of Ryan Fitzpatrick and an offense that leads the NFL in total yardage and scoring offense. The problem is the defense as Tampa Bay is No. 31 in yards allowed and No. 29 in yppl and making matters worse, the Buccaneers will be without Vita Vea and Beau Allen, which are two significant injuries along the defensive line. The Steelers defense got lit up last week as they tried to disguise things while trying to matchup against the Chiefs pre-snap motion but they will keep in less complicated this week. Pittsburgh gets cornerback Joe Haden back tonight which is a huge lift for the secondary. Here, we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 99 or fewer rushing yards in two straight games going up against an opponent after gaining 50 or fewer rushing yards last game. This situation is 28-8 ATS (77.8 percent) since 1983. 10* (489) Pittsburgh Steelers

This is a play on the ARIZONA CARDINALS for our NFL Sunday Ultimate Underdog. Along with the Bills and Giants, the Cardinals are being grouped into the worst teams in the league but as mentioned in other analysis, early season overreactions tend to inflate lines and we feel that is the case here as well. The Cardinals offense has mustered just 350 total yards in 2 games. For comparison, their defense has allowed 429 and 432 yards respectively. The Bears defense is ranked No. 8 in the NFL and on paper it should dominate a Cardinals offense that cannot get out of its own way. However, things do not always come out like they should on paper in this league and for a team that has not had a winning season since 2012, laying close to a touchdown on the road is extremely aggressive. Arizona still has weapons on offense and we cannot forget new systems are being put into place that can take a few weeks to come together. The Cardinals are hoping it is this weekend to avoid its first 0-3 start since 2005. A lot of this game comes down to the Bears offense which is still looking pretty vanilla under a new system as well. Even though Mitch Trubisky started 12 games last year, his development was stunted playing under John Fox and Dowell Loggains last season. It is going to take a while for head coach Matt Nagy get Trubisky going as he has been up and down this season, excelling in the early scripted drives and sputtering under the gun. The Bears are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win and Arizona falls into a great contrarian situation as we play on teams after scoring nine points or less in two straight games. This situation is 37-11 ATS (77.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (484) Arizona Cardinals

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CHARGERS for our NFL Sunday Afternoon Dominator. The Rams are the talk of the NFL along with Kansas City as Los Angeles has looked incredible over its last six quarters. Since going into halftime down 13-10 against the Raiders, the Rams have outscored their opponents 57-0 over the last 90 minutes. The fact they are ranked in the top seven in both total offense and total defense should come as no surprise and it is these types of short-term performances that the public eats up which affects the placement of the line and we are seeing that here. Turnovers and special team killed the Chargers in their opener against the Chiefs as despite a 10-point loss, they outgained Kansas City by 179 total yards and followed that up by dominating Buffalo early and then taking the foot off the gas. While the Rams are ranked No. 7 and No. 3 in total offense and total defense respectively, the Chargers are ranked No. 3 and No. 9 in those categories respectively and based on roughly the same strength of schedule, they should not be a touchdown underdog. The Rams defense will be the toughest that the Chargers have seen early in the year, but the Chargers have a lot of weapons to spread the ball around to. They have a good offensive line so Rivers is not going to be under complete duress all game. The Rams do allow an above average yards after catch and the Chargers have some of the best receivers in the NFL when it comes to making tacklers miss and need to capitalize on that area of the offense. The Chargers have been one of the better road teams over the last few years as they are 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 road games. Additionally, they have covered six straight games as non-conference underdogs of more than two points. 9* (481) Los Angeles Chargers

This is a play on the CAROLINA PANTHERS for our NFL Game of the Month. We played against Carolina last week as it lost in Atlanta but we will be backing the Panthers as they head back home in a favorable contrarian matchup. Their first home game resulted in an eight-point win over the Cowboys as the defense dominated for three and a half quarters. Carolina had a streak of 21 consecutive games without allowing a 100-yard rusher snapped against the Falcons when Tevin Coleman ran for 107 yards, but the Panthers catch a break this week as Joe Mixon is out with a knee injury so Cincinnati has to turn to Giovani Bernard who has only three 100-yard rushing games in his career. Offensively for Carolina, the key will be not be Cam Newton but Christian McCaffrey. His strength goes against a Cincinnati weakness as while he is a talented rusher, what sets him apart is his ability to catch the ball out of the backfield and make people miss in space and the Bengals linebackers are not good in pass coverage. Cincinnati has been among the early-season surprises in the NFL, winning their first two games by identical 34-23 scores. The Bengals are ranked third in scoring but just No. 18 in total offense so that offense may not be as good as one may think. They have benefitted from a defensive touchdown and despite the 2-0 record, they have been outgained in both games. The defense is tied for No. 27 in total defense so of the seven 2-0 teams, this could be the biggest fraud. Carolina is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 home games over seven years after allowing 6.5 or more yppl in their previous game while going 5-0 ATS in its last five games after allowing more than 30 points in its previous game. 10* (464) Carolina Panthers

This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. Taking nothing away from what the Chiefs have done to start the season but the overreactions are hitting hard and that brings value to the other side. More than 70 percent of bets are on Kansas City, which enters Week Three as the highest-scoring offense in the NFL. Quarterback Pat Mahomes looks like he could be the real thing and everybody is loving this team right now with their impressive wins the Chargers and Steelers. But there is more to it than that and not in a good way. Kansas City has been outgained in each of the first two games due to a defense that is ranked dead last and it is not even close as it is allowing 508 ypg. While it is only two games, to put that into perspective, Tampa Bay had the worst defense last season at 378.1 ypg. The 49ers were able to pick up their first win of the season last week at home against Detroit. They did have a chance to beat Minnesota as they lost by eight points no thanks to four turnovers, one that took place in the redzone and another that was returned for a touchdown. Kansas City is one of three teams to open the season with two straight road games, Houston and Seattle being the other two, and while the public thinks that this is a huge edge for the home team, that is hardly the case. Play against home teams in Week Three after opening the season with two straight road games. This situation is 26-9-2 ATS (74.3 percent) since 2003. Making this play even stronger is the fact the Chiefs are 2-0 ATS and San Francisco is 0-2 ATS and going the opposite way in this ATS matchup in Week Three has resulted in a 68 percent winning result. 10* (479) San Francisco 49ers

This is a play on the BALTIMRE RAVENS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. As dominant as the Ravens looked in their first game, it came against Buffalo so take it for what it is worth and playing on a short week on the road, they fell behind 21-0 against Cincinnati and were unable to recover. Baltimore now has extra time to recover from that defeat as it will be out to get back into the win column and this has been a good spot in the past as they are 4-0 ATS in their last four games coming off a Thursday loss. A priority for the Ravens is getting their running game going as they are averaging 3.3 ypc, which is the third-worst in the NFL. They are facing a Denver defense that is ranked No. 7 in rushing defense but the Broncos went against below level talent at running back and faced two of the worst offensive lines in football. Stopping Von Miller is a task for every team but Baltimore should do a good job. One of the most underrated offensive linemen in the league, Ronnie Stanley is a staple and maybe even a franchise level left tackle for the Ravens as he is stout in the run game and has improved every year in pass protection. Denver is a surprising 2-0 but it has faced two teams on the decline and both of those were at home where the Broncos have a big edge early in the season because of the altitude. But they struggled to put away the Raiders at home and now they are making a long trip to a difficult road venue. Going back, the Broncos are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game while Baltimore is 4-0 ATS in its last four games following a loss. 9* (470) Baltimore Ravens