Sports Picks & Predictions
All Sports Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
11-13-21 | Ohio v. Cleveland State +1.5 | Top | 67-56 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND ST. VIKINGS for our CBB Saturday Supreme Annihilator. Ohio made some noise last season when it upset Virginia in the first round of the NCAA Tournament before losing to Creighton in the second round. The Bobcats are expected to make a run at the MAC title this season after posting a 9-5 record a season ago. They bring back four starters but are short one of those heading into the season as the Bobcats are without starting forward Dwight Wilson III who averaged 15.2 ppg and 7.3 rpg last season and that is a big blow as the competition gets tougher. Ohio had no issues with Belmont as it won 12 points in its season opener and now it hits the road in a tough matchup against a team out for some serious revenge. Cleveland St. lost its season opener at BYU but put up a solid effort in a tough environment in the 10-point loss despite going just 4-16 from long range. The Vikings committed just six turnovers and now they are back in Cleveland for their home opener. They bring back all five starters from the team that went 19-8 overall including and 16-4 in the Horizon Conference and they are picked to win a second straight championship. Overall, Cleveland St. brings back 89 percent of its offense and 86 percent of its rebounding as 14 players are back. As for the revenge factor, the Vikings went to Athens last season and were humiliated 101-46 as they were outshot 59 percent to 23 percent and outrebounded 47-21. To put it into greater perspective, Ohio began the second half on a 35-0 run and the Vikings have not let that one go. The Vikings are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. 10* (634) Cleveland St. Vikings |
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11-13-21 | Hawaii -2.5 v. UNLV | 13-27 | Loss | -125 | 69 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a play on the HAWAII WARRIORS for our MWC Game of the Week. UNLV is coming off its first win of the season after a 0-8 start and there no chance for a bowl game, that was their bowl game. The Rebels have played some tight games but prior to the game against the Lobos, they were outgained in all eight games and on the season, they are getting outgained by 133.6 ypg while getting outscored by almost two touchdowns. They have been pathic on both sides of the ball. UNLV is ranked No. 124 in total offense and No. 115 in scoring offense while on defense, it is No. 102 overall and No. 113 in points allowed. They have scored 20 points or less in regulation in six of their nine games. The Rebels are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS win. Hawaii still has a chance for bowl eligibility as it is 3-6 and the final three games are all against teams with losing conference records. All six losses have come against teams that are all .500 or better so the Warriors are in a good spot here after coming off consecutive losses against Utah St. and San Diego St. which are a combined 8-2 in the conference and a combined 15-3 overall. Hawaii put up a great effort last week against the Aztecs as they lost by just seven point while winning the yardage battle. The Warriors are just 1-4 on the road but two losses came against Pac 12 teams while the other two came against the two division leaders in the MWC and the one victory came against a similar 1-8 team. The Warriors are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are +/- 5 in ppg differential going up against teams -10 or worse in ppg differential, in conference games. This situation is 34-11 ATS (75.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (165) Hawaii Warriors |
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11-13-21 | UAB v. Marshall -4.5 | Top | 21-14 | Loss | -110 | 69 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the MARSHALL THUNDERING HERD for our C-USA Game of the Year. Marshall is in a tie for first place in the C-USA East Division with Western Kentucky at 4-1 so this is a must win game with Charlotte on deck and then the finale against the Hilltoppers. Marshall has outgained its opponent in eight of nine games this season with the lone exception coming against Appalachian St. where it lost by just one point. The Thundering Hern own the best defense in the conference in terms of scoring as they are allowing 19 ppg which is No. 19 in the nation. The lone conference loss came against Middle Tennessee St. despite winning the yardage battle by 193 total yards. Marshall committed six turnovers including four fumbles, one which was returned 90 yards for a touchdown. The Thundering Herd are 14-5-2 ATS in their last 21 home games against teams with a winning road record. The Blazers are 4-1 in the C-USA West Division with the loss coming against Rice as a 23.5-point favorite and they bounced back with a win over Louisiana Tech last week. The defense has been solid but they have allowed 30 or more points in three of their last five games and while they have two shutouts, one came against Jacksonville St. from the FCS and the other came against 1-8 Southern Mississippi. This will be the toughest test for the defense as Marshall is No. 8 in total offense. UAB is 3-1 on the road but those three wins have come against teams that are a combined 5-22. The Blazers are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play on home teams off two consecutive wins by 10 points or more against conference rivals, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .600 and .800. this situation is 32-9 ATS (78 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (204) Marshall Thundering Herd |
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11-13-21 | Miami-FL v. Florida State +2.5 | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 68 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a play on the FLORIDA ST. SEMINOLES for our CFB Saturday Rivalry Annihilator. Miami has won three straight games to move over .500 for the first time this season and is now playing just its third road game of the season. The Hurricanes were over touchdown underdogs in both of those games and while facing an inferior opponent, this is no normal game. The three recent victories came by a combined eight points and the Hurricanes four FBS wins came by a total of 10 points. While the offense looks good by sitting at No. 24 overall and No. 31 in scoring, those ranking are severely skewed due to a 69-0 win over Central Connecticut St. where they put up 739 yards of offense. While they have scored a lot of points recently, they have allowed 34.8 ppg over their last four games. The Hurricanes are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as a road favorite. Florida St. is having a rough season at 3-6 and it will need to win out to make it to a bowl game. It will not be easy as the final two games are on the road which makes this the final home game of the season and closing out with a win over its most hated rival only adds to the motivation. A loss against Jacksonville St. in September was horrible and that was part of a 0-4 start but a recent 3-2 run with the two losses coming against Clemson and NC State, which are a combined 13-5, has shown some fight in the Seminoles. This is a quadruple revenge game for Florida St. after winning six straight meetings. This includes a 52-10 loss last season and that has not been forgotten. Here, we play on home teams in the second half of the season averaging between 190 and 230 rushing ypg going up against teams allowing between 140 and 190 rushing ypg, after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game. This situation is 23-3 ATS (88.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (202) Florida St. Seminoles |
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11-12-21 | Wyoming +14 v. Boise State | Top | 13-23 | Win | 100 | 79 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the WYOMING COWBOYS for our CFB Friday Night Lights Winner. Boise St. is still alive in the MWC Mountain Division after a pair of road wins as it now trails Utah St. by one game for first place. The Broncos have had an up and down season and they are favored by their biggest amount since a September game against UTEP. They are just 1-3 at home which is the most losses in over a decade so the intimidation factor is no longer there. To put it is perspective, Boise St. has lost 13 home games since 2000 and three of them have come this season. Not much has been going good on either side of the ball as the Broncos are No. 81 in total defense and No. 76 in total offense and the running game rankings are even worse at No. 96 and No. 117 respectively. The Broncos are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win. Wyoming had lost four straight games before coming off a big win against Colorado St. last week for its first conference victory. While the Cowboys are just 1-4 in the MWC, they are still in line for a bowl game after coming into the season with a shot at winning the division so they have definitely underachieved but the win over the Rams can build some much needed confidence. The offense gained a season high 477 total yards last week and the defense remains a strength as Wyoming is No. 21 overall and No. 4 against the pass which is the strength of the Boise St. offense so they should be in good shape here. The rushing game on offense will need to keep up its recent success as it is No. 37 in the country. Here, we play on underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points off an upset win by 10 points or more as a home underdog, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 31-8 ATS (79.5 percent) since 1992. 10* (119) Wyoming Cowboys |
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11-12-21 | Oregon State -1 v. Iowa State | 50-60 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a play on the OREGON ST. BEAVERS for our CBB Blowout of the Month. Last college basketball season was kind of a blur based on all of the COVID issues still taking place and numerous postponements and reschedules so with everything sort of a cluster, it is not hard to forget that Oregon St. was an Elite Eight team last season. The Beavers finished 20-13 so they were no juggernaut and because of that, they tend to be forgotten. The Beavers are expected to be better this season despite the loss of leading scorer Ethan Thompson as the backcourt of Jarod Lucas and Gianni Hunt has the potential to be one of the best in the conference and with Warith Alatishe down low, this is a solid team. In their opener, they trailed Portland St. at halftime and then put the burners on with a 45-32 second half to pull away and overall, the Beavers shot just 42 percent from the floor and that should improve here. The Beavers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games against teams with a winning home record. Iowa St. is coming off a win over Kennesaw St., which is a bottom feeder from the Atlantic Sun Conference and while the 53 percent shooting from the floor may look good, more than 25 percent of their points came from the free throw line and they committed 22 turnovers. The Cyclones are in the running for the being the worst team in the major conferences after going 2-22 last season and losing all five starters. This used to be a feared program, especially at home, but not anymore. The Cyclones are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games as a home underdog. 10* (849) Oregon St. Beavers |
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11-12-21 | Knicks -1 v. Hornets | Top | 96-104 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. Charlotte is coming off a win over Memphis on the road which snapped a five game losing streak and what opened at a great start to the season has taken a backward turn. The Hornets opened the season 5-2 but the defense, which was bad to begin with, has gotten even worse as they have allowed 120.2 ppg during this recent 1-5 run. Overall, they are allowing 117.5 ppg which is dead last in the league and they are second worst in Defensive Efficiency and third worst in Defensive Effective Field Goal Percentage. Charlotte has dipped on offense as well, falling to No. 18 in Effective Field Goal Percentage. The Hornets are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up win. New York is coming off a 12-point loss against Milwaukee which was its fourth loss in six games and the Bucks clearly came into that game more motivated following the home loss they suffered to the Knicks less than a week ago where there was a 43-point swing that took place. The Knicks are 5-1 on the road and they are No. 6 in the league in Effective field Goal Percentage on offense away from home while also sitting No. 6 in points scored overall. New York can definitely take advantage of this awful Charlotte defense and has averaged 116 ppg against teams ranked in the bottom 10 on defense. The Knicks are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up loss. Here, we play against home underdogs off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog, with a losing record. This situation is 29-7 ATS (80.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (555) New York Knicks |
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11-11-21 | Pacers v. Jazz -9 | Top | 111-100 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTAH JAZZ for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. Indiana is coming off a loss at shorthanded Denver last night as it came in as a favorite because of the absence of Nikola Jokic who was serving a one game suspension. The Pacers fell to 1-6 on the road and they have a bigger test tonight against the second best team in the Western Conference. Indiana is ranked No. 18 or worse in overall offense and defense as well as shooting offense and shooting defense. The Pacers have dropped six of their last nine games with five of those losses coming against teams at .500 or better. Indiana could be without Caris LeVert again as he is dealing with back issues and he is third on the team in scoring and second in assists. The Pacers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Utah is coming off a win over Atlanta on Tuesday which snapped a two-game slide. The Jazz remain home where they are 4-0 and outscoring opponents by close to 13 ppg. This is one of the most efficient teams in the NBA as they are ranked No. 6 in effective field goal percentage on offense and No. 4 in effective field goal percentage on defense. Utah is also ranked in the top four in both offensive and defensive true shooting percentage. After a slow start, Donovan Mitchell is averaging 29.8 ppg over his last six games after putting up just 20.0 ppg in his first four games. This is a big game for the Jazz as their next three games are against the Heat, Sixers and Raptors before a breather where they play their next six games against teams with a losing record. The Jazz are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a losing straight up record. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after two or more consecutive unders, in a game involving two teams averaging between 108 and 114. This situation is 62-31 ATS (66.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (552) Utah Jazz |
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11-11-21 | Cal-Riverside +10 v. Arizona State | Top | 66-65 | Win | 100 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the UC RIVERSIDE HIGHLANDERS for our CBB Thursday Enforcer. UC Riverside opened the season with a loss at San Diego St., which is going to contend in the MWC again after a 23-5 season, but hung tough and missed the cover by a half-point. The Highlanders are coming off their best season a year ago as far as winning percentage as they finished 14-8 including an 8-4 record in the Big West Conference. They had a bad shooting night against the Aztecs but should get better tonight against a subpar defense. UC Riverside brings back six of their top eight scorers with three starters back as well as another player, center Callum McRae, who was a starter but sat out 2020-21 and was the leading scorer in their opener. The backcourt is talented and deep and an off shooting night from long range where they were just 6-22, will come around. The Highlanders are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight games as a road underdog. Arizona St. won its opener against Portland by 16 points but failed to cover the 22-point number. The Sun Devils should have rolled over a Pilots team that went 6-15 overall and 0-11 in the WCC and return no starters but Arizona St. let them hang around before pulling away late. The Sun Devils lost three key starters, their three leading scorers, one to the NBA draft and two others that transferred. They increased their size by bringing in some transfers but the backcourt is a major concern with the three starters gone and they have to rely on youth and incoming transfers. The public is all over Arizona St. because of the name but it is not going to be easy. The Sun Devils are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games as a home favorite. 10* (777) UC Riverside Highlanders |
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11-11-21 | Ravens v. Dolphins +7.5 | Top | 10-22 | Win | 100 | 77 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI DOLPHINS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. Baltimore is coming off another come-from-behind win to improve to 6-2 on the season and remains in first place in the AFC North. The schedule has been one of the most favorable ones we have seen in a long time as the Ravens have played four straight home games with a bye week sandwiched in-between there and this will be their first road game since October 3rd. During this four-game stretch, Baltimore needed overtime twice to win and were crushed by Cincinnati in another. The Ravens are 2-1 on the road as they lost in overtime against Las Vegas and needed a record breaking field goal to beat lowly Detroit as they had to come back in the last minute. The Ravens are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. The Dolphins were able sneak out a win against Houston which is not saying much but this is a good spot as they get to remain home on a short week facing a team travelling from home and got the first time in five weeks. Miami snapped a seven-game losing streak and it has been competitive of late as it lost two games by five points combined and was in it against Buffalo until the Bills scored nine points late in the fourth quarter. The Ravens do have a big edge on offense against the Miami defense but the Dolphins can move the ball here as the Ravens defense is nothing special, ranked in the bottom third of the league in total defense and scoring defense. The Dolphins are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a defense forcing one or fewer turnovers per game, after a game where they forced no turnovers. This situation is 53-22 ATS (70.7 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (114) Miami Dolphins |
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11-11-21 | North Carolina v. Pittsburgh -6 | Top | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 78 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PANTHERS for our CFB Thursday Game of the Month. North Carolina is coming off a win over rival Wake Forest which put an end to the Demon Deacons undefeated season and a situation like that, the home fans stormed the field everyone is still celebrating which makes playing on a short week that much more difficult. The Tar Heels have lost their last three games following a win and two of those losses were against losing teams that are now a combined 6-12 overall and 4-9 in the ACC. The offense has been solid but they have been unable to stop anyone as the defense No. 96 in total yards allowed with 421.4 ypg while giving up 33.4 ppg which is No. 111 in the nation. This is a real problem going into a hostile environment against one of the top offenses in the country. The Tar Heels are 1-9 ATS in their last ten games off a win against a conference rival. Pittsburgh rolled over Duke on Saturday as it reeled off 638 total yards, its fifth game where it put up at least 580 total yards. The Panthers are No. 2 in the country in total offense and No. 1 in scoring offense and over their last six games, they have outgained their opponents by an average of 230.3 ypg. Pittsburgh remains in first place in the ACC Coastal at 4-1, a half-game ahead of Virginia and a game ahead of Miami and North Carolina. Unlike the Tar Heels defense, Pittsburgh actually has a solid unit as it is ranked No. 37 overall and No. 45 in points allowed. Pittsburgh is 20-7 ATS in its last 27 home games off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival. Here, we play against road underdogs in the second half of the season averaging 6.2 or more yppl and after gaining 525 or more total ypg over their last two games going up against teams allowing between 4.8 and 5.6 yppl. This situation is 41-14 ATS (74.5 percent) since 1992. 10* (116) Pittsburgh Panthers |
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11-10-21 | Heat -4 v. Lakers | Top | 117-120 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Wednesday Star Attraction. Miami is coming off a loss at Denver that got ugly at the end and we expect a fired up Heat team to make amends on Wednesday. The defense has taken a step backwards as Miami has allowed 115 and 113 points over its two games after keeping opponents to 103 points or less in seven of its first eight games and one of those was because of overtime. The Heat are 7-3 and still possess the No. 5 Effective Field Goal Percentage defense in the NBA and are limiting opponents to a shooting percentage of 41.6 percent which is still the best in the league. Miami is ranked No. 9 in Effective Field Goal Percentage offense and that goes up to No. 5 in True Shooting Percentage. The Heat are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite. The Lakers are coming off an overtime win over Charlotte on Monday which snapped a two-game losing streak to move back over .500 at 6-5. The injury list is extensive as LeBron James remains out while numerous other players are listed as questionable. Los Angeles was able to cover by a half-point which broke a four-game non-cover streak. The Lakers are allowing 112.4 ppg which is the third most points given up in the NBA. Offensively, Los Angeles averaged 115.5 ppg over its first six games but has put up only 106.8 ppg over its last five games and a lot of this has to do with the absence of James in the lineup. The Lakers have covered only two of eight home games and they are 0-6 ATS in their last six games against teams with a winning straight up record. Here, we play against home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points off a home win by three points or less, in November games. This situation is 30-3 ATS (90.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (547) Miami Heat |
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11-10-21 | Kent State v. Central Michigan -2.5 | Top | 30-54 | Win | 100 | 56 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the CENTRAL MICHIGAN CHIPPEWAS for our CFB Wednesday Enforcer. Central Michigan picked up a big win at Western Michigan last Wednesday as it won by 12 points as a nine-point underdog which has now put the MAC West totally up for grabs. There are four teams separated by just one game and that includes the Chippewas as they are tied for second place, a game behind Northern Illinois which suffered its first loss of the season last week. Central Michigan is 3-1 at home with that lone defeat coming against the Huskies so another loss basically knocks it out of a chance for the representing the division in the MAC Championship. Central Michigan brings in a solid offense and will square off against one of the worst defenses in the country. The Chippewas are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. We won with Kent St. last week as it defeated Northern Illinois to keep its first place lead in the MAC East. The Golden Flashes improved to 4-0 at home with the victory but now they hit the road where they are 1-4, the one win coming against 2-7 Ohio as they benefitted from a 3-0 turnover advantage, two of which the Bobcats committed inside the Kent St. redzone. The Golden Flashes do have a strong offense with a solid rushing game but they cannot stop anyone on the other side of the ball as they are dead last in total defense, allowing 495.8 ypg and they are second worst in scoring defense, giving up 34.9 ppg. They have allowed 45.5 ppg in two MAC road games. The Golden Flashes are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (110) Central Michigan Chippewas |
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11-10-21 | Buffalo +15.5 v. Michigan | Top | 76-88 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the BUFFALO BULLS for our CBB Wednesday Enforcer. We saw one MAC team nearly pull off an upset over Big Ten team last night and there is another possibility tonight with Buffalo heading to Michigan. The Bulls are coming off a 16-9 season including 12-5 in the conference and they are loaded. Buffalo is tabbed as the preseason favorite in the MAC as they bring back four starters including a pair of All-MAC Preseason First Team players in Josh Mballa and Jeenathan Williams. Overall, they bring back 75.6 percent of their scoring from the team that led the MAC in scoring at 81.4 ppg which is certainly a huge edge early on in the season. But this team is also about defense as Mballa is the reigning MAC Defensive Player of the Year and Buffalo led the conference in Adjusted Defensive Rating while finishing No. 77 in the country in that category. Michigan will be vying for its second consecutive Big Ten Championship after going 23-5 overall and 14-3 in the conference. The talent is there but the Wolverines are younger and less experienced as they have nine players on scholarship that are either freshmen or sophomore and they have to replace their point guard with a mid-major transfer. Michigan loses five players from last season, including four of its top six scorers, Franz Wagner, Isaiah Livers, Mike Smith and Chaundee Brown, as well as losing depth at the center position. Come conference time, this will be a team that should be the frontrunner once again but with a plethora of new faces in key positions, it could take some time to come together. 10* (747) Buffalo Bulls |
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11-09-21 | Blazers v. Clippers -3 | Top | 109-117 | Win | 101 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our NBA Western Conference Game of the Month. The Clippers have won four straight games and seem to be finally getting use to playing without Kawhi Leonard. This comes after a 1-4 start to the season and while the recent winning has not come against any world beaters, Portland falls into the same grouping. Los Angeles is 3-2 at home and the defense has been solid here, allowing 99.6 ppg on 40.9 percent shooting, fourth and third respectively in the NBA so they are getting it done on that side of the floor. On offense, Los Angeles is averaging 105.6 ppg at home which is middle of the pack but has a favorable matchup here. This is a revenge game for the Clippers as they lost in Portland in their final game in October by 19 points and they are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Portland has improved to 5-5 on the season following a pair of wins over the Pacers and Lakers and the Blazers are now 5-1 at home but are 0-4 on the road while getting outscored by close to 14 ppg. They have one of the worst defenses away from home as they allow 50.9 percent shooting, second worst in the NBA and are giving up 115.3 ppg, fifth worst in the league. Looking more analytically into it, Portland is dead last in the NBA in effective field goal percentage allowed on the road at 59.9 percent. Their 43 allowed field goals per game is also dead last in the NBA. The Blazers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Here, we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 with a winning percentage between .450 and .550 after having won five or six of their last seven games. This situation is 47-19 ATS (71.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (522) Los Angeles Clippers |
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11-09-21 | Florida International +10.5 v. Georgia | Top | 51-58 | Win | 100 | 26 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL PANTHERS for our CBB Opening Night Winner. Conference-USA meets the SEC in this opening night matchup and the rather short price for the latter will likely get the majority of the action based on name alone. The Bulldogs could be in for a very long season as they lost four starters that transferred and there is very little upside. The Georgia roster features 10 newcomers, five Division I transfers, two JUCO transfers and three true freshmen so this is a complete turnover for the Bulldogs. They are predicted to finish dead last by most outlets in the 14-team SEC and they did not look good against an inferior team that they should have doubled up. In the Bulldogs most recent exhibition game, it was a shaky effort and it could take a while for this team to come around. They defeated Morehouse College 64-49 and needed a 10-0 run to end the game to make it a 15-point win. Florida International is no powerhouse but should be an improved team from the one that suffered through a 14-game losing streak a year ago and finished 2-15 in the conference. The Panthers roster features an almost evenly split mix of returnees and newcomers. Florida International has seven returnees and eight first-year players and newcomers including a pair of Power-5 transfers including Clevon Brown who comes over from Vanderbilt where he averaged 9.0 ppg and 6.0 rpg before suffering a knee injury. Head coach Jeremy Ballard said that this is the biggest, longest, deepest and most talented team he has had in his three years at the program. 10* (619) Florida International Panthers |
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11-08-21 | Bears +6.5 v. Steelers | Top | 27-29 | Win | 100 | 33 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. The Bears have lost three straight games following a two-game winning streak and they are now 3-5 overall but all hope is not lost. Entering Week Nine, the Bears are only one game back in the win column from the No. Seven seed in the NFC with a lot of football remaining. There is no denying the offense has been up and down and the passing game needs to improve. The magic number is 20 points for Chicago as it is 3-1 on the season when scoring 20 or more points while going 0-4 when scoring fewer than that. Justin Fields had a solid game against San Francisco and he will have to continue his running success if the Bears want to keep the Steelers off balance. Chicago is 19-5 ATS in its last 24 games after three consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. Pittsburgh has won three straight games to move to within a game of Baltimore for first place in the AFC South. The Steelers have gotten it done on the defensive end as they have allowed 16.3 ppg over the winning streak after giving up 23.3 ppg through their first four games. The offense continues to be a struggle similar to Chicago as the Steelers have scored more than 20 points in regulation only once in their last six games. Pittsburgh has been favored by more than 2.5 points only twice this season and it has gone 1-1 while failing to cover in that victory as it was a three-point win over Seattle in overtime as a 5.5-point chalk. Fading overpriced favorites that has a limited offense is the way to go. The Steelers are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games as a favorite. Here, we play on road teams averaging 285 or fewer total ypg, after allowing 400 or more total yards in two consecutive games. This situation is 39-15 ATS (72.2 percent) since 1983. 10* (475) Chicago Bears |
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11-08-21 | Nets v. Bulls -1.5 | Top | 95-118 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BULLS for our NBA Monday Enforcer. Brooklyn has won five straight games to pull within a game of the Sixers in the NBA Atlantic Division following a big win over Toronto on Sunday. The Nets have improved on the defensive end of the floor as they used to be awful and this is without Kyrie Irving. Overall, the team has a defensive rating of 103 and they are getting closer to the Bulls (102.6) but are not there yet. One thing they have struggled in is the transition game as Brooklyn is allowing 20.7 ppg of turnovers which is tied for third most in the NBA, the same ranking for fast break points allowed. While going 4-1 against teams outside the top 16, the Nets are a pedestrian 3-2 against teams within the top 16 and while the Nets possess that same record, they do have the advantage of playing at home. The Nets are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as a road underdog. Despite a pair of losses in their last two games, the Bulls remain in first place in the NBA Central Division, one game over the surprising Cavaliers. Both of those losses came against the Sixers in a home-and-home and in the most recent game, Chicago struggled in one area they have has success at. While going back to the transition issue for Brooklyn, the Bulls like to push it when they can as they are third in the NBA in fast break points while also third in points off turnovers. Chicago is getting great production from Zach LaVine and DeMar DeRozan but are still looking for more consistency from Lonzo Ball and Nikola Vucevic with both coming off subpar efforts on Saturday. The Bulls are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. 10* (504) Chicago Bulls |
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11-07-21 | Titans +7.5 v. Rams | 28-16 | Win | 100 | 51 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TENNESSEE TITANS for our NFL Sunday Primetime Punisher. The Rams are humming along with four straight wins but they have been fortunate along the way. The first win came against the Seahawks where Seattle lost Russell Wilson halfway through the game. The next three wins came against the Giants. Lions and Texans which are a combined 3-21 which has turned a respectable strength of schedule into the No. 26 ranked slate. The offense has been nearly unstoppable but it has faced four of the 10 worst defenses in the NFL. The acquisition of Von Miller is a big pickup for the defense that is ranked No. 21 overall and No. 21 against the pass but how much he impacts the stop unit is still an unknown this early on. Los Angeles is outgaining opponents by just 38.4 ypg which is not great. The Rams are 0-6 ATS in their last six games after a win by 14 or more points. Tennessee has won three straight games over quality opposition and four straight games throwing Jacksonville into the mix. Adrian Peterson and Jeremy McNichols will take over for Derrick Henry and while they will not replicate what Henry brings to the table, they should be able to keep the Rams defense honest. The lone loss over their last seven games was an overtime loss against the Jets and while that defeat looked bad at the time and still should have been a win, the Jets actually have a pulse now and that was a bad spot in-between two divisional games. The Titans are 7-2 ATS in their last nine road games against teams with a winning home record. Here, we play against home favorites outgaining their opponents by 0.75 or more yppl, after gaining 400 or more total ypg over their last three games. This situation is 27-6 ATS (81.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (473) Tennessee Titans |
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11-07-21 | Bucks -2.5 v. Wizards | Top | 94-101 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 0 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Milwaukee is coming off a home loss against the Knicks as it took a 19-point lead into the second quarter, led by as many as 21 points and eventually fell behind by 22 points in a horrible stretch that has seen the Bucks go 1-4 over their last five games. They are dealing with injuries and COVID issues but Milwaukee saw the return of Jrue Holiday who logged 20 minutes after missing five games with a sprained ankle and he should see an uptake in minutes here. The Bucks fell to 1-4 at home but they are 3-1 on the road and loss like the one that happened on Friday will have them ready to go. The Bucks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss. Milwaukee has averaged just 102.2 ppg over this stretch but should have some success against a Washington defense that allowed 113.6 ppg prior to it last game on Friday. Washington is looking to build on a 28-point win over Memphis on Friday, its largest margin of victory of the season. The defense was solid as the Wizards held the Grizzlies to just 35.4 percent shooting from the floor and limited Ja Morant to just 11 points although a lot of that was just a poor shooting night. Here, we play on road favorites off an upset loss as a home favorite going up against an opponent off a home win scoring 110 or more points. This situation is 43-17 ATS (71.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (571) Milwaukee Bucks |
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11-07-21 | Chargers -1 v. Eagles | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 47 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CHARGERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Chargers have lost two straight games and their lead has vanished in the AFC West as they now trail the Raiders by a game. Los Angeles has shown regression on defense over the last three games as it has allowed 34.3 ppg over that stretch. The Chargers are solid against the pass with a great secondary that is ranked No. 5 in passing defense and a fierce pass rush as they just frustrated Mac Jones and figure to do the same with Jalen Hurts. Justin Herbert put together three straight passer ratings of 107.6, 122.0 and 125.0 but has not broken 68 over his last two games. He faces a good defense here but he should get back on track and the Chargers are definitely undervalued. They are 17-6 ATS in their last 23 road games after a loss by three or less points. The Eagles are coming over a blowout win over Detroit which is not saying much and that snapped a two-game slide and a 1-5 run with that lone win coming against Carolina by three points and that came on a late touchdown. That win over the Lions is working against Philadelphia and it really should have no effect on this game. The Eagles beat the Falcons by 26 points in Week One then lost at home to the 49ers the following week and we expect a similar result here. The Eagles are ranked No. 7 in rushing offense but that number is skewed after gaining 236 yards on the ground against the Lions. The Eagles are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing six points or less last game going up against an opponent after a loss by three or less points. This situation is 34-11 ATS (75.6 percent) since 1983. 9* (467) Los Angeles Chargers |
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11-07-21 | Falcons +6.5 v. Saints | Top | 27-25 | Win | 100 | 45 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA FALCONS for our NFC South Game of the Year. The Saints are coming off a win over Tampa Bay last Sunday in a big upset that put New Orleans just a half-game behind the Buccaneers in the NFC South. They did it with Trevor Siemian who was not great but the Saints benefitted from three Tampa Bay turnovers, scoring 17 points off those, and 11 penalties. This offense is not good to begin with a New Orleans is No. 29 in total offense including No. 31 in passing and Michael Thomas is officially done for the season. The defense is playing very well but getting up for a second straight week after that big win will be a challenge. Despite the winning record, the Saints are getting outgained by close to 40 yards per game. The Saints are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a favorite. Atlanta is coming off a loss against Carolina to fall to 3-5 and the Panthers did catch a break when Matt Ryan got his left hand stomped on and he clearly was not the same. He will be fine this week and the Falcons are getting a bigger number than they should be. After a pair of blowout wins to open the season, Atlanta has been playing much better by going 3-2 over its last five games with the two losses coming by just a possession each. There are six teams in the NFC that are between 3-5 and 4-4 so Atlanta is still very much alive in the Wild Card race and these are those marginal games that need to be one, unlike last week against the Panthers. The Falcons are 25-12 ATS in their last 37 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. Here, we play against home teams off an upset win over a division rival as a home underdog, with a winning record on the season. This situation is 34-11 ATS (75.6 percent) since 1983. 10* (465) Atlanta Falcons |
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11-07-21 | Broncos +10 v. Cowboys | 30-16 | Win | 100 | 45 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our NFL Nonconference Game of the Week. Dallas is coming off another close victory to improve to 6-1 on the season and a perfect 7-0 against the number. This line has jumped considerably due to the fact that Dak Prescott has been a full participant in practice this week after missing the last game against the Vikings. The Cowboys are at 3-0 home and the offense remains No. 1 in the NFL despite its second lowest output Sunday night against Minnesota. In its last home game, Dallas was favored by 7.5 points over the 2-6 Giants and now it is favored by more over a better team and it is the unblemished ATS record that is coming into play as the public will continue to back the Cowboys so there is no choice but to inflate this number. The Cowboys are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as nonconference favorites of 10 or more points. Denver snapped a four-game losing streak with a win over Washington last week to move back to .500 and it remains alive in the division and is very much in the Wild Card chase. The Broncos traded Von Miller earlier this week which puts the pressure on the rest of the defense but this unit is solid all around as the Broncos are No. 6 overall and No. 2 in points allowed. The offense has been up and down but having Teddy Bridgewater in this spot is ideal as he has been one of the best, going a perfect 10-0 ATS on the road against winning teams and catching double-digits is a bonus. The Broncos are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play against favorites averaging 385 or more total ypg, after gaining 450 or more total ypg over their last three games. This situation is 32-7 ATS (82.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (453) Denver Broncos |
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11-06-21 | UTSA v. UTEP +11.5 | 44-23 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a play on the UTEP MINERS for our CFB Late Night Dominator. UTEP is coming off its first conference loss of the season as it was defeated by just three points at Florida Atlantic despite outgaining the Owls by 163 total yards as turnovers and penalties did them in. They held Florida Atlantic to just 280 total yards and it is the defense that has led the Miners to make some noise in the conference this season. They are ranked No. 8 in the country overall including No. 11 against the run yet are undervalued once again which is shown in their perfect 5-0 ATS run. The Miners are unbeaten at the Sun Bowl in the last two years, going 6-0 with Gavin Hardison as starting quarterback. UTEP controls their own destiny in the C-USA West Division as if it can win out in the final four games, the title is theirs. UTSA has been a bigger surprise as it is undefeated and ranked No. 18 in the nation. The Roadrunners have had a favorable schedule however as all seven of their FBS wins have come against teams at .500 or worse. Taking nothing away from their undefeated record but the Roadrunners will be heading into their toughest environment of the season. There is some extra incentive for the Miners as the lost to UTSA by 31 points last season while getting outgained 600-246. Here, we play against favorites of 10.5 to 21 points in a game involving two teams allowing between 16 and 21, after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in two straight games. This situation is 40-14 ATS (74.1 percent) since 1992. 9* (406) UTEP Miners |
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11-06-21 | Hawks v. Suns -4.5 | Top | 117-121 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHOENIX SUNS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. After opening the season 1-3, Phoenix has won three straight games to move over .500 for the first time this season. Granted, those wins were against Cleveland, New Orleans and Houston and while some victories can paint a false impression, these were big wins in order to restore any resemblance of confidence. The Suns are shooting 47.1 percent from the floor which is fourth best in the league and they have been efficient with the ball with a 1.90 A/TO ratio, good for third in the NBA. They assist on 66.4 percent of their made field goals which is the second best rate in the league. The Suns are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games against teams with a losing road record. Atlanta has lost two straight games and four of its last five to fall a game under .500 for the first time this season. The Hawks are coming off their first home loss of the season and they hit the road where they are 1-4, the lone victory being a three-point victory over New Orleans which is 1-9 on the season. They are getting outscored by over 10 ppg away from home and have yet to cover a game on the road. Atlanta has averaged just 102.0 ppg on the road which is sixth worst in the league and its 43.0 percent shooting is also sixth lowest in the NBA. The Hawks are 0-3 against top ten teams in the NBA and they are 0-4 ATS in their last four games as an underdog. Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points off a home loss by 10 points or more, with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 on the season. This situation is 30-9 (76.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (560) Phoenix Suns |
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11-06-21 | Clemson v. Louisville +4.5 | Top | 30-24 | Loss | -115 | 54 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOUISVILLE CARDINALS for our ACC Game of the Year. Clemson is finally coming off its first cover of the season and in unlikely fashion but it got into the ATS win column and now comes in overpriced on the road. The Tigers offense remains a work in progress despite playing eight games as the Tigers are ranked No. 114 in total yards at 330.6 and No. 113 in scoring at 21.3 ppg. Taking away that fumble recovery and overtime scores and Clemson has averaged 17.5 ppg over its last six games on offense. The defense has kept this team respectable but even that unit is down a notch from the previous years although the Tigers have done a good job of keeping points off the board. The Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win. Louisville is coming off a loss at NC State despite outgaining the Wolfpack and the Cardinals are now 1-3 away from home. They are 3-1 at home with the lone defeat coming against Virginia by a single point on a last minute touchdown. Overall, they are No. 30 in total offense and can get things rolling again at home. The Cardinals are 6-0 ATS in their last six games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. Here, we play on home teams averaging between 190 and 230 rushing ypg going up against teams allowing between 140 and 190 rushing ypg, after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game. This situation is 23-2 ATS (92 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (330) Louisville Cardinals |
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11-06-21 | Tennessee v. Kentucky | 45-42 | Loss | -105 | 53 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a play on the KENTUCKY WILDCATS as part of our CFB Saturday Triple Play. Kentucky suffered its first loss of the season three weeks ago against Georgia and after a bye week, it was unable to bounce back against Mississippi St. last week in a 31-17 loss. Those were the first two games all season that they were outgained but now they are back home where they are 5-0 and outgaining opponents by over 100 ypg. Running back Chris Rodriguez Jr. has apparently been battling a health issue but he is back to full strength and the leading rusher in the SEC averages 5.8 ypc on first down which helps the entire offense avoiding long down and distance situations. This will help with the passing game that is relatively efficient and Tennessee is allowing 249 passing ypg, 13th in the SEC, ahead of only Vanderbilt. The Wildcats are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Tennessee has also lost two straight games to fall to 4-4 and it has been outgained in four of its last six games against FBS opposition. Despite having an efficient passing attack, The Volunteers have allowed 28 sacks, dead last in the SEC. They are 6-20-1 ATS in their last 27 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Here, we play against road underdogs outscoring opponents by 7.0 or more ppg, after allowing 31 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 49-17 ATS (74.2 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (388) Kentucky Wildcats |
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11-06-21 | Baylor -6.5 v. TCU | 28-30 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a play on the BAYLOR BEARS as part of our CFB Saturday Triple Play. Baylor has won three straight games to improve to 7-1 including 4-1 in the Big XII. The Bears still have an outside shot for the Conference Championship but they will need some help as their one loss came against Oklahoma St. which is also tied for second place. The Bears offense continues to hum as they are ranked No. 18 in total yards and also No. 18 in scoring. They were held to a season low 14 points against the Cowboys which possess the best defense in the conference and it be the complete opposite here. Baylor has also been solid on defense as it has allowed the second fewest points in the conference and should once against step up here. The Bears are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up win. The Horned Frogs have struggled to a 3-5 start following three straight losses and things should only get worse. TCU let go of head coach Gary Patterson this week after a bad run of late as the Horned Frogs are 21-22 since 2018 as the once stout defense has regressed considerably. TCU is ranked No. 111 in total defense, No. 116 in rushing defense and 104 in scoring defense. The Horned Frogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. Here, we play on road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after beating the spread by 49 or more points total in their last seven games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team. This situation is 29-6 ATS (82.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (357) Baylor Bears |
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11-06-21 | Oklahoma State -3.5 v. West Virginia | 24-3 | Win | 100 | 49 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA ST. COWBOYS as part of our CFB Saturday Triple Play. Oklahoma St. bounced back with a loss at Iowa St. with a 55-3 blowout of Kansas and it still remains in the thick of the Big XII title as it trails Oklahoma by a game and a half and hosts the Sooners in three weeks. The offense has been average but the defense has carried the Cowboys as they have allowed the fewest points in the conference and have not given up more than 24 points in any game this season. They average 7.1 tackles for a loss per game which is tied for best in the conference and No. 18 nationally. Oklahoma St. has held its opponent to fewer than 20 first downs in seven straight games. On offense, they rely on the running game and Jaylen Warren ranks in the top five in rushing in the conference with an average of 106.3 ypg. The Cowboys are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. West Virginia is now 4-4 om the season as the Mountaineers beat the Cyclones for their second win over a ranked team this year. As was the case last Saturday, the youthful Mountaineers are going to have to figure out a way to beat a football team that is considerably older and more experienced. Here, we play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 averaging between 390 and 440 ypg going up against teams allowing between 330 and 390 ypg, after allowing 3.75 or less yppl in their previous game. This situation is 29-6 ATS (82.9 percent) since 1992. 9* (385) Oklahoma St. Cowboys |
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11-05-21 | Pacers v. Blazers -3 | Top | 106-110 | Win | 100 | 15 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS for our NBA Nonconference Game of the Month. Portland is coming off a miserable east coast roadtrip at it lost all three games at Charlotte, Philadelphia and Cleveland and the Blazers were favored in all of those games. They are now 3-5 on the season which includes a 0-4 record on the road but they head home where they are 3-1 and that includes three straight wins by an average of 22.7 ppg against the Suns, Grizzlies and Clippers. Despite the struggles, the offense has been fine as they are averaging 111.0 ppg which is seventh best in the NBA and at home, Portland is averaging 120.5 ppg, second best in the league as is its shooting from long range at 41.4 percent. Damian Lillard is averaging just 19.5 ppg as he has been ice cold from the floor but a breakout here is in the cards. The Blazers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games against teams with a losing straight up record. The Pacers have won back-to-back games following a 1-6 start but both of those wins came at home and they are winless on the road at 0-4. The Portland offense should once again flourish here as Indiana comes in with the second worst defense on the road as it is allowing 120.3 ppg which is the second most in the league. The Pacers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after two or more consecutive unders, in a game involving teams averaging between 108 and 114 ppg. This situation is 61-30 ATS (67 percent) since 1996. 10* (550) Portland Trail Blazers |
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11-05-21 | Virginia Tech v. Boston College +3 | Top | 3-17 | Win | 100 | 76 h 22 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON COLLEGE EAGLES for our CFB Friday Night Lights. After a 4-0 start, Boston College has lost four straight games which has put it at the bottom of the ACC Atlantic Division at 4-0. Three of those losses came on the road while the only home game in that stretch came against 6-2 NC State. The Eagles have an above average defense as they are ranked No. 42 overall and No. 33 in scoring defense and will be facing a very inconsistent offense. They are No. 14 in the nation in third down defense, and third in the ACC behind NC State and Pittsburgh. Additionally, Boston College has allowed an ACC-low seven touchdown passes. The Eagles are 7-0 ATS in its last seven home games after gaining 125 or less rushing yards in three straight games. Virginia Tech was on a three-game losing streak and was able to put that to a halt with a win over Georgia Tech this past Saturday to even its record at 4-4. The Hokies are coming off their best offensive game of the season but that came against a Yellow Jackets defense that is ranked No. 105 in the country in yards allowed. They have been outgained in five of eight games and will face a substantially better defense as they hit road for the second straight game on a short week. They have struggled to defend the run as they are ranked No. 12 in the conference with 179.6 ypg allowed. Virginia Tech is 0-8 ATS in its last eight road games after two consecutive game where they committed no turnovers. Here, we play against road team after allowing 5.5 or more rushing ypa in two straight games going up against an opponent after gaining 125 or fewer rushing yards in three straight games. This situation is 31-8 ATS (79.5 percent) since 1992. 10* (316) Boston College Eagles |
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11-04-21 | Jets v. Colts -10.5 | Top | 30-45 | Win | 100 | 56 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. The Colts are coming off a tough loss against Tennessee on Sunday in overtime as they blew a 14-0 lead and had some costly turnovers down the stretch. They now trail the Titans by three games in the AFC South and they have some work to do to get back into the playoff picture. This is a big two-game home stretch against the Jets and Jaguars and they have to win both and they also need to dominate to get some confidence back before facing the Bills and Buccaneers. The Colts are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games following an ATS loss. After getting outgained in six of their previous seven games, New York outgained the Bengals by 193 total yards in a 34-31 win. While it was a solid Jets win, it can considered a bad Cincinnati loss as they still seemed to be relishing in their win over Baltimore the previous week. New York is 0-3 in true road games and has failed to cover any of those and has been outgained by close to 200 ypg while getting outscored by 24 ppg. Quarterback Matt White had a game for the ages as he threw for 405 yards and three touchdowns but he comes back down to earth here. In the four major statistical categories, total yards, rushing yards, passing yards and points per game, the Jets are ranked No. 27 or worse in six of eight of those eight categories on offense and defense. Conversely, Indianapolis is ranked No. 15 or better in those categories. The Jets are 0-8 ATS in their last eight road games against teams allowing 235 or more passing ypg. Here, we play on favorites that are allowing between 18 and 23 ppg and after scoring 30 points or more last game going up against teams allowing 27 or more ppg. This situation is 23-4 ATS (85.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (312) Indianapolis Colts |
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11-04-21 | Celtics v. Heat -7 | Top | 95-78 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. Boston snapped a three-game losing streak thanks to a 33-6 run that blew open a tight game but that was Orlando and now the Celtics face one of the hottest teams in the NBA. Boston held Orlando to 79 points on 32 percent shooting, both season lows, but the Magic have one of the worst offenses in the NBA and one game is not going to turn the Celtics defense around. They are second to last in points allowed, barely ahead of Charlotte, and they will be facing a sneaky good offense from a team that is getting headlines for its defense. The Celtics are 0-5 ATS in their last five games as a road underdog while going 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win. Miami is 6-1 to start the season and it has won and covered five straight games. The Heat possess the best defense in the NBA as they are allowing just 98.9 ppg and 39.7 percent shooting from the floor. On the other side, they also lead the league in scoring at 115.6 ppg and they are averaging 119.7 ppg in their six wins. The Heat are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite and are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Here, we play on home teams off two or more consecutive road wins, in November games. This situation is 25-7 ATS (78.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (528) Miami Heat |
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11-03-21 | Celtics -6.5 v. Magic | 92-79 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS as part of our NBA Wednesday Trifecta. Boston is off to a rough start as it now 2-5 on the season following three straight losses including a 14-point loss at home against Chicago on Monday. The offense has been fine as the Celtics are averaging 113.9 ppg which is fourth most in the NBA and they have been efficient with the ball with a 1.67 A/TO ratio. Defensively, it is not the same story which is unlike past Boston teams. Boston is dead last in the NBA by allowing 119.7 ppg on 45.8 percent shooting which is a little more respectable No. 22 in the league. Boston is 23-11 ATS in its last 34 games after failing to cover the spread in two or more consecutive games. Orlando picked up its second win of the season as it defeated Minnesota on Monday, an 18-point road win as an 8.5-point underdog. The Magic had lost four straight prior to that and after winning its only other game of the season, it came back with a 17-point loss. They are 0-2 at home, getting outscored by an average of 17 ppg. Orlando cannot take advantage of the porous Boston defense as it is averaging just 103.9 ppg which is No. 23 and part of the problem is holding onto the ball as the Magic are fourth to last with 16.4 turnovers per game. The Magic are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games against teams with a losing straight up record. Here, we play against home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog, with a losing record. This situation is 43-16 ATS (72.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (503) Boston Celtics |
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11-03-21 | Raptors v. Wizards -3 | 109-100 | Loss | -112 | 13 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON WIZARDS as part of our NBA Wednesday Trifecta. Washington had a three-game winning streak snapped with a loss at Atlanta on Monday and now the Wizards are back home where they are 3-0 and averaging a league-best 124 ppg. They have been great taking care of the ball as they are averaging the fewest turnovers in the NBA at 9.3 per game in those three games in Washington. They are not being taken too serious yet as prior to this game, they were favored only once which resulted in a win over Boston and another reason is due to the fact they have played the No. 6 toughest schedule in the NBA. The Wizards are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up loss. Toronto has won four straight games including the last two on the road to improve to 5-3 on the season. The last win came against the Knicks but prior to that, the four wins have come against Boston, Orlando and Indiana (twice) and those three teams are a combined 6-17 while the three losses are against teams a combined 15-5. The defense has been playing well but the offense is No. 19 in scoring and No. 24 in shooting percentage. The Raptors are averaging just 20.3 assists per game which is the fourth worst in the NBA. The Raptors are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games following a ATS win. Here, we play against underdogs off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, with a winning record on the season this situation is 76-39 ATS (66.1 percent) since 1996. 9* (506) Washington Wizards 9* (506) Washington Wizards |
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11-03-21 | Knicks +1.5 v. Pacers | Top | 98-111 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS as part of our NBA Wednesday Trifecta. The Knicks are coming off a bad loss against Toronto which snapped a three-game winning streak to fall to 5-2 on the season. They attempted a season low 76 shots but still had a 15-point lead at one point but obviously let that go. They hit the road where they are 3-0 and that includes a win over Chicago which is the Bulls only loss of the season. New York is third in the NBA in road scoring at 116 ppg and its 49.2 percent shooting is good for second best. The Knicks easily lead the league from long range at 46.6 percent and should be able to once again take advantage here. The Knicks are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 games against teams with a losing straight up record. Indiana snapped a four-game losing streak with a 13-point win over San Antonio which has gotten off to a horrible start. The defense remains an issue however as the Pacers allowed 118 point in the victory and they are allowing 113.3 ppg which is No. 27 in the league. It is not a pace issue as Indiana allows opponents to shoot 45.9 percent, which is No. 24 in the NBA and this includes allowing 38.8 percent from long range, No. 26 overall. The Pacers are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 after having lost three of their last four games going up against an opponent after having won five or six of their last seven games. This situation is 85-47 ATS (64.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (509) New York Knicks |
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11-03-21 | Northern Illinois v. Kent State -3.5 | Top | 47-52 | Win | 100 | 51 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the KENT ST. GOLDEN FLASHES for our CFB Wednesday Game of the Month. Northern Illinois has won five straight games including the last four in the MAC to build a two-game lead in the MAC West Division. The Huskies have covered four of those five games and in the four MAC games, they have been outgained overall with all four being decided by one possession including two by a combined three points. Five of the Huskies eight games have been decided by a touchdown or less and Northern Illinois won the Georgia Tech, Toledo and Central Michigan games by scoring in the last minute of play. Northern Illinois leans on its strong rushing attack as it is averaging 232.8 ypg which is No. 10 in the country and while that would normally be a big edge, Kent St. is not far behind. Northern Illinois is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 road games after a road game where both teams scored 31 points or more. The Golden Flashes average 220.1 ypg on the ground which is No. 17 in the country and should feast on the Huskies defense. They are one of the youngest units in the nation with 10 second year freshmen and three true freshmen playing key roles across every level. Kent St. has won three of its last four games to sit in a first place tie with Miami Ohio in the MAC East Division. The Golden Flashes are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Play on home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off a win against a conference rival going up against an opponent off three straight wins against conference rivals. This situation is 84-42 ATS (66.7 percent) since 1992. 10* (308) Kent St. Golden Flashes |
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11-02-21 | Heat v. Mavs +2 | Top | 125-110 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS MAVERICKS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. Miami has won and covered four straight games and with the Chicago win and New York loss on Monday, the idle Heat are a half-game out of first place in the Eastern Conference. The Heat are one of five teams in the early going that are ranked in the top ten in both offensive and defensive shooting and they lead the way in the latter at 39.1 percent while allowing a league-low 97.0 ppg. Miami has held the last four opponents to under 42 percent shooting in each game while giving up an average of 39.2 percent shooting across those. This is nearly unheard of where the NBA is heading but the hard work is paying off. Following three straight wins, Dallas got thumped at Denver by 31 points before bouncing back with a win against Sacramento on Sunday. The Mavericks have picked up their game defensively as well as after allowing 119.5 ppg in their first two games, they have given up 101.0 ppg over their last five games on 43.4 percent shooting. Additionally, they are ranked No. 9 in opponent true shooting percentage which is a measure of shooting efficiency that takes into account field goals, three-point field goals, and free throws. While going 1-2 on the road, Dallas is 3-0 at home and going back, the Mavericks are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. Here, we play against road teams that are allowing opponents to shoot 41 percent or better on the season, after 4 straight games allowing 42 percent or less from the floor. This situation is 54-21 ATS (72 percent) since 1996. 10* (554) Dallas Mavericks |
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11-02-21 | Eastern Michigan v. Toledo -8.5 | Top | 52-49 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the TOLEDO ROCKETS for our CFB Tuesday Enforcer. Toledo is coming off an upset win over Western Michigan to move into a tie for second Place in the MAC West, two games behind 4-0 Northern Illinois. Catching the Huskies is unlikely as they lost the meeting but getting bowl eligible is the goal now and they are two wins away. The 4-4 record could be a lot better as three of those losses came by three, two and three points against Notre Dame, Northern Illinois and Central Michigan respectively and those three teams are a combined 17-7. The strength for the Rockets is their defense as they are No. 25 overall and No. 15 in scoring. Toledo is 25-11 ATS in its last 36 home games after a win by 17 or more points. Eastern Michigan is ranked fifth in the MAC and No. 79 in the country in total defense, allowing 393.3 ypg. The Eagles have been good against the pass but their rushing defense has been horrible as they allow 184.1 ypg which is No. 101 in the nation and they allowed 17 rushing touchdowns which is near the botto4 across all teams. The offense has been below average as they are No. 90 in total offense and No. 109 in rushing offense. Eastern Michigan is dead even in turnover margin at 10-10 while Toledo is 11-4 and that +7 differential is tied for No. 11 in the country. The Eagles are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points in conference games, off an upset win by 14 or more points as a home underdog. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent) since 1992. 10* (302) Toledo Rockets |
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11-01-21 | Giants v. Chiefs -10 | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. Kansas City has lost two of its last three and four of its last six games to fall to 3-4 overall which has the Chiefs in last place in the AFC West. They have struggled within the conference but at 2-0 against the NFL, both coming against NFC East team Washington and Philadelphia and by a combined score of 73-43 and this is a statement game to close the first half on a positive before hitting a tough stretch of three straight games against division leaders. The offense has not lost a step but turnovers have been an issue. They led the NFL in total offense in 2020, averaging 414.7 ypg and this year, they are averaging 419.3 ypg, third in the NFL behind Dallas and Tampa Bay. The defense has been dreadful but in the four losses, Kansas City has faced offenses ranked No. 4, No. 5, No. 11 and No. 12 and the Giants are well below those rankings. New York continues to be ravaged with injuries at the wide receiver position so it will be hard pressed to take advantage of the Chiefs defense. They did put up 25 points against Carolina last week but managed only 302 total yards and while the defense played well, it came against the Panthers which have the eighth worst offense in the NFL. The Giants had a top-10 defense last season under coordinator Patrick Graham but this year, they were a bottom 10 unit and are allowing 25.7 ppg. The Chiefs are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up loss. The Giants are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game while going 1-8 ATS in their last nine non-conference games. 10* (278) Kansas City Chiefs |
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11-01-21 | Raptors v. Knicks -6.5 | Top | 113-104 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS for our NBA Atlantic Game of the Month. New York has won three straight games to improve to 5-1 on the season and it holds a one-game lead over Philadelphia in the Atlantic Division. The Knicks are ranked second in the NBA in scoring at 117.0 ppg while their 46.5 percent shooting is good for No. 5 in the league. They are one of only two teams that are shooting more than 40 percent from long range. When looking more at the analytical side, New York is No. 2 in effective field goal percentage after finishing sixth worst last season. While the offense is humming, the defense is playing at a high level also as the Knicks are ranked No. 9 in effective field goal percentage defense and their 42.3 percent shooting allowed is No. 5 in the league. The Knicks are 19-8-1 ATS in their last 28 games following a straight up win. The Raptors are starting to turn the corner but we are not sold on them. Toronto is now 4-3 on the season following three straight wins but the early schedule has played a big role in this. The four wins have come against Boston, Orlando and Indiana (twice) and those three teams are a combined 4-16 while the three losses are against teams a combined 14-4. The defense has been playing well but the offense is No. 22 in scoring and No. 24 in shooting percentage. The Raptors are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games following an ATS win. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a winning percentage of .75 percent or better off a road no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite, playing a team with a winning percentage between .501 and .600. 10* (540) New York Knicks |
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10-31-21 | Cowboys v. Vikings -2.5 | 20-16 | Loss | -109 | 58 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFL Sunday Primetime Punisher. Minnesota has won two straight games to improve to 3-3 on the season following an overtime win against Carolina prior to its bye week. The record could be better as the Vikings lost to Cincinnato in overtime to open the season and then lost to now 7-0 Arizona by two points and both of those were on the road. They have outgained all but two opponents and with the public all over the Dallas, the Vikings are in a good spot with a good matchup. While the story is of course Kirk Cousins and his lack of success in primetime games, he faces a weak secondary and has a chance for a breakout game as he has been very solid. He has completed close to 70 percent of his passes while throwing 13 touchdown passes and just two interceptions for a 105.4 passer rating. Trevon Diggs is having a breakout year as an exceptional cornerback but he will have his work cut out for him against Justin Jefferson, who has been a tough matchup since hitting the starting lineup for the Vikings early last year. Minnesota is 26-11 ATS in its last 37 home games after a win by 6 or fewer points. Dallas has won six straight games and has covered all seven which is a big reason public money will be all over them. The Cowboys defense has improved, but they can still exposed to the run as they did not have to face . Christian McCaffrey or Saquon Barkley so Dalvin Cook could also have a big game running the ball. Dallas s 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games where the line is +3 to -3. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 allowing 24 or more ppg, after scoring 25 points or more in four straight games. This situation is 22-4 ATS (84.6 percent) since 1983. 9* (276) Minnesota Vikings |
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10-31-21 | Blazers -1 v. Hornets | Top | 113-125 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Charlotte is off to a 4-2 start to the season following a 15-point loss at Miami on Friday. The Hornets do own a solid win over Brooklyn but overall, their four wins have come against teams that are a combined 8-19. They still lead the league in scoring offense at 117.5 ppg but the defense remains a work in progress as Charlotte is No. 27 in scoring defense, giving up 115.7 ppg while allowing opponents to shoot 47.9 percent from the floor which is second highest in the league. While the perimeter defense has been good, the Hornets are allowing a league worst 59.7 percent from inside the arc. The Hornets are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games as an underdog. Portland has won two straight games to move over .500 on the season and it has done so with a solid defense, allowing just 43.3 percent shooting which is No. 9 in the NBA. They are No. 8 in defensive rating compared to finishing No. 29 last season and have gone up against good offenses that includes three teams that finished in the top 10 in offensive rating last season. The offense is a notch below from last season and a lot of that is due to the slow start from Damian Lillard who is off to a slow start but is coming off his most complete game of the season. The Blazers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as a road favorite. Here, we play against home underdogs off a road loss, that had a winning percentage between .400 and .499 last season. This situation is 43-18 ATS (70.5 percent) since 1996. 10* (525) Portland Trailblazers |
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10-31-21 | Titans v. Colts -1.5 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -110 | 68 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our AFC South Game of the Month. Tennessee is coming off its second straight big win as it followed up its win against Buffalo with a victory over Kansas City last week. Both were far from dominant as the Titans outgained Kansas City by just 35 yards and were outgained by Buffalo by 55 yards. Both of those were at home and Tennessee has struggled on the road. They are 2-1 on the highway, with two games going into overtime and the third being a win over Jacksonville where they were actually outgained by 86 yards. The Colts defense has been playing at a high level with the exception of late in the game against Baltimore. Tennessee is 5-16 ATS in its last 21 games off an upset win by 14 points or more as an underdog. The Colts have won two straight games to move to 3-4 to get back into the playoff picture. While the defense has been playing better, quarterback Carson Wentz is again playing at a high level. He has posted four straight games with a passer rating of 106.3 or better with last week being the most impressive against a tough 49ers defense in awful weather and he has tossed eight touchdowns and no interceptions over this stretch. The Colts are 1-2 at home but the two losses came early in the season when they were banged up and both were one possession games. Four of the previous five games were on the road and with the Jets and Jaguars on deck at home, getting to 6-4 is more than likely. Indianapolis 14-4 ATS in its last 18 games against teams averaging 350 or more ypg. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off a by 14 or more points as a home underdog, after the first month of the season. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) since 1983. 10* (258) Indianapolis Colts |
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10-31-21 | Panthers +3 v. Falcons | 19-13 | Win | 100 | 67 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CAROLINA PANTHERS for our NFC South Game of the Week. Carolina has lost four straight games, failing to cover any of those, and not many people will be wanting to back the Panthers because of that. The play of quarterback Sam Darnold is also part of that as he has been pretty bad of late and was benched last week against the Giants. After four solid games, he has posted passer ratings of 44.5, 55.6 and 57.3 over his last three games and after being sent to the sidelines, we expect him to be playing with a chip on his shoulder and he will be facing a defense that has been very inconsistent. Carolina does have a very strong defense as it is third overall including second against the pass and the Panthers are No. 9 in scoring defense. They have a tremendous pass rush, and the Falcons have one of the worst offensive lines in the NFL. Pressure was not an issue last week because Miami does not get to the quarterback as frequently as Carolina does. Carolina is 18-7 ATS in its last 25 games off an upset loss as a road favorite. Atlanta has won two straight games sandwiched around a bye week and the Falcons have won the yardage battle only twice this season. Atlanta has lost both home games this season so the once strong home edge has been lost and there is no reason to think that the Falcons continue to struggle here. Atlanta is 0-6 ATS in its last six games as a home favorite of three points or less. Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 after three or more consecutive losses against the spread going up against an opponent after two or more consecutive wins against the spread. This situation 34-7 ATS (82.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (253) Carolina Panthers |
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10-31-21 | 49ers -3.5 v. Bears | 33-22 | Win | 100 | 67 h 60 m | Show | |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The 49ers have now lost four straight games, losing all four against the number, after a 2-0 start and there is now talk about head coach Kyle Shannahan being on the hot seat and whether true or not, we expect a huge effort from San Francisco here. Injuries have hurt San Francisco for yet another season so this does not all fall on Shannahan. The defense still remains one of the best in the NFL as the 49ers are ranked No. 6 in total defense and No. 5 against the pass so Justin Fields will be handcuffed yet again. On the other side, the 49ers have a solid rushing attack and for reason gave up on it early last week against the Colts and they can take advantage here with the Bears having key players hut. With games against the Cardinals and Rams on deck, this is a must win game for the 49ers as a 2-5 record likely ends any sort of playoff chances. Chicago got bludgeoned last week against Tampa Bay and the Bears have been outgained in all but one game this season and that was against winless Detroit. The offense has scored more than 20 points only once, again Detroit, as the offense remains dead last in total offense and No. 30 in scoring offense. On the other side, Aiken Hicks was out last week and he is one of the top defensive linemen in the NFL, as the entire dynamics of the defense change when he's not in the lineup. He will be limited this week while Khalil Mack has been ruled out. The Bears are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games following a straight up loss. Here, we play on road favorites with a winning percentage between .250 and .400 off an upset loss as a home favorite, playing a team with a losing record. This situation is 31-7 ATS (81.6 percent) since 1983. 9* (265) San Francisco 49ers |
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10-30-21 | North Carolina v. Notre Dame -3.5 | 34-44 | Win | 100 | 73 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a play on the NOTRE DAME FIGHTING IRISH as part of our CFB Nighttime Triple Play. Notre Dame is coming off a win over USC last week and while that could spell a letdown but the Irish are still in the mix with a 6-1 record as its lone loss came against No. 2 Cincinnati. The remaining schedule is very doable to win out so they will need some help at the top for some teams to fall. This is the second of three straight home games for Notre Dame and it will definitely be tested in its passing defense but it is the other matchup that will go a long way. The Notre Dame offense has not lived up to expectations and the North Carolina defense has been just as bad this season as it was last season. The Irish are 9-3 ATS against teams with a winning record. North Carolina is 4-3 on the season after escaping with a win over Miami two weeks ago. The Tar Heels lost a ton of talent on offense and it has been a slow process to get readjusted and this will be their toughest test. Just like last year, the Irish defense needs to take away the running ability of quarterback Sam Howell. This is just the second true road game for the Tar Heels with the first coming at Virginia Tech which resulted in a loss. The Tar Heels are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up win. Here, we play against road underdogs outscoring opponents by seven or more ppg, after allowing 31 points or more in two straight games. this situation is 47-17 ATS (73.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (210) Notre Dame Fighting Irish |
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10-30-21 | Knicks v. Pelicans +5.5 | Top | 123-117 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS PELICANS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. New York has won two straight games to move to 4-1 on the season to remain in a tie for first place in the Eastern Conference with three other teams. The Knicks have been doing it with offense as they are third in the NBA in scoring, averaging 115.8 ppg but a lot of that is due to pace as they are just No. 15 in shooting at 45.6 percent. This is the second of a back-to-back set for New Orleans as it looks to continually improve as the season progresses without the services of Zion Williamson. The Pelicans 1-5 record does not look great, but their performance Wednesday following their first win of the season marked progress compared to how they played in their first three games when they looked out of sorts in a blowout home loss to the Sixers and road losses to the Bulls and Timberwolves. They lost Friday to Sacramento but it was another solid effort and the free throw line made the difference. They have been solid defensively, allowing 108.2 ppg and their 44.1 percent shooting defense is good for No. 8 in the NBA. New Orleans is 3-1 ATS as an underdog of five or more points and going back, it is 5-0 ATS in its last five games playing with no rest. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points in non-conference games in the first six games of the season, after closing out last season with three or more straight ATS losses. This situation is 37-16 ATS (69.8 percent) since 1996. 10* (506) New Orleans Pelicans |
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10-30-21 | Kentucky v. Mississippi State | 17-31 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a play on the KENTUCKY WILDCATS as part of our CFB Nighttime Triple Play. Kentucky is coming off its first loss of the season as it lost at No. 1 Georgia but it stayed within the number for its fourth straight cover. They were down by just seven points at halftime and the Wildcats second quarter touchdown is the only first-half touchdown the Georgia defense has allowed all year. They are coming off a bye and it comes at the right time off that defeat. Their strength is their running game led by Chris Rodriguez Jr., who leads the SEC in rushing yards and yards per game despite getting handcuffed last week against the Bulldogs. Kentucky is currently No. 3 in the SEC behind Georgia and Alabama in total defense as it allows just 321 ypg and only 19.3 ppg. The Wildcats are 20-6-1 ATS in their last 27 games against teams with a winning record. Mississippi St. is coming off a win over Vanderbilt, which is 0-4 in the SEC, to improve to 2-2 in the conference and 4-3 overall. The Bulldogs have not won back-to-back games since opening the season 2-0 and they are a very one dimensional team as they are No. 4 in passing offense but dead last in rushing in the country. The Bulldogs are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS win. Here, we play on road teams averaging 6.1 or more yppl, after gaining 3.75 or fewer yppl in their previous game. This situation is 27-4 ATS (87.1 percent) since 1992. 9* (185) Kentucky Wildcats |
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10-30-21 | SMU v. Houston | 37-44 | Win | 100 | 73 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS as part of our CFB Nighttime Triple Play. SMU and Houston, two of the three remaining undefeated teams in conference action, square off Saturday night with first place in the AAC on the line. The Mustangs are a perfect 7-0 on the season and with the exception of a win over TCU, there have not been many good wins. They do have the advantage of extra rest over the last three weeks but it should not be a big edge on the road. This one will come down to strength against strength as the SMU offense is ranked No. 5 in the country while the Houston defense comes in at No. 4 in the nation. The Mustangs are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games. Houston did not look great last week but there was a reason. Inclement weather delayed kickoff several hours and given the circumstances and the underrated quality of the Pirates defense, it is no shocker that Houston struggled offensively in a 31-24 win that took overtime to win. The Cougars are coming off a pair of underachieving seasons but they have plenty of talent and experience to make a run at the championship as they do not have to face Cincinnati during the regular season. The Cougars are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS loss. Here, we play on home teams after three or more consecutive straight up wins going against an opponent after five or more consecutive straight up wins. This situation is 27-7 ATS (79.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (192) Houston Cougars |
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10-30-21 | Saskatchewan +1.5 v. Montreal | Top | 19-14 | Win | 100 | 28 h 34 m | Show |
his is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Game of the Week. We won with Saskatchewan last week as it defeated Calgary, snapping a two-game losing streak against the Stampeders. The Roughriders now have a game and a half lead over Calgary for second place in the West Division and this is a big stretch for them. A winnable game against Montreal is followed by a back-to-back set against 2-7 Edmonton so this is a good shot at getting some breathing room. They can actually lock up a playoff berth this week as a win here coupled with losses by either the B.C. or Calgary combined with a loss by Edmonton. The Roughriders are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games following an ATS win. Montreal has won four straight games to improve to 6-4 which is good for a tie for first place in the East Division with Toronto although two of those came against the worst team in the CFL. 2-9 Ottawa. It will be strength against strength. The Alouettes lead the CFL in rushing yards with 1,553, rushing attempts at 261 and with 6.0 ypc. The Roughriders have held teams to a league-low 738 rushing yards, fewest rush attempts at 168 and lowest average gain per rush with 4.4 ypc. The Alouettes are 0-6 ATS in their last six games as a home favorite. Here, we play against teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 where the line is +3 to -3 after two or more consecutive straight up wins, playing a team with a winning percentage between .501 and .600. This situation is 23-4 ATS (85.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (675) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
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10-30-21 | Texas Tech v. Oklahoma -19 | Top | 21-52 | Win | 100 | 70 h 10 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA SOONERS for our Big XII Game of the Year. This might be considered a steep number but Oklahoma should come out with a huge sense of urgency. The Sooners defeated Kansas last week and they clearly did not show up as they trailed 10-0 at halftime and while they rallied to win by 12 points, it was their worst game of the season. The Sooners dropped in the ranking because of their uneven effort and with games against Baylor, Iowa St. and Oklahoma St, all of which are ranked and are right behind the Sooners in the Big XII, this is a big game to get right. The Sooners are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. The Red Raiders have dropped three of their last five games, including a 25-24 home loss to Kansas St. last week where they were held scoreless after halftime. That led to a change on the sideline as Sonny Cumbie was named the Red Raiders interim coach Monday after Matt Wells was fired in the middle of his third season at the helm. Texas Tech has won two road games on the season but those came against West Virginia and Kansas which are a combined 1-7 in the conference. The Red Raiders are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Here, we play against road teams averaging 34 or more ppg after a loss by three or fewer points going up against teams allowing between 21 and 28 in the second half of the season. This situation is 23-3 ATS (88.5 percent) since 1992. 10* (188) Oklahoma Sooners |
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10-30-21 | Rutgers -1.5 v. Illinois | 20-14 | Win | 100 | 65 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a play on the RUTGERS SCARLET KNIGHTS for our CFB Afternoon Dominator. Illinois is coming off a upset as it took down Penn St. in nine-overtimes and the Illini are likely still celebrating. It was the second win in three games for Illinois as it defeated Charlotte and then got shut out against Wisconsin. The Illini are 2-3 at home and have been outgained in four of those games and by an average of 108.2 ypg. Illinois lost starting quarterback Art Sitkowski to a broken arm last weak which is not ideal as they are ranked No. 118 in the country in passing offense. On the other side of the ball, All Big Ten linebacker Jake Hansen suffered a season ending knee injury in the loss to Wisconsin and that hurts a defense that is already thin. The Illini are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Rutgers has lost four straight games but it has been a brutal stretch as the first three games came against Michigan, Ohio St. and Michigan St., which are a combined 12-0 in the conference and 20-1 overall, before facing Northwestern where it was simply out of gas. The Scarlet Knights had a bye last week so they come in fresh and ready to bounce back. The Scarlet Knights are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games. Here, we play against teams with a winning percentage of .250 to .450 where the line is +3 to -3 off a road conference win, playing a team with a losing record. This situation is 30-7 ATS (81.1 percent) since 1992. 9* (139) Rutgers Scarlet Knights |
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10-29-21 | Hornets v. Heat -6 | Top | 99-114 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Southeast Game of the Month. Miami is coming off a 13-point win to move to 3-1 on the season, the lone loss coming in overtime at Indiana. The Heat made themselves stronger in the offseason with the additions of Kyle Lowry and P.J. Tucker and already an excellent defensive team, they have upped it even more. Miami leads the NBA in scoring defense at 95.0 ppg and shooting defense at 39.2 percent and it is second in three-point shooting defense at 28.6 percent. This would typically be a game the Heat could look past but Charlotte has their attention and they will keep their momentum rolling here. Lowry did miss that game against Indiana and while he has struggled offensively out of the gate, Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro and Bam Adebayo have made up for it, averaging a combined 63.6 ppg. This will be their biggest test on offense. The Heat are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. The Hornets are off to a surprising 4-1 start and they have been clicking on offense led by Myles Bridges who is averaging 26.2 ppg which is over double of his career high in a season. The schedule has not been very imposing as their four wins have come against teams a combined 7-13. While the offense has been solid, the Hornets are allowing 116 ppg which is No. 27 in the NBA. The Hornets are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. here, we play against road underdogs averaging 114 or more ppg on the season going up against an opponent after allowing 100 points or fewer in two straight games. This situation is 22-4 ATS (84.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (564) Miami Heat |
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10-29-21 | Navy v. Tulsa -10.5 | Top | 20-17 | Loss | -110 | 100 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the TULSA GOLDEN HURRICANE for our CFB Friday Night Lights. Tulsa opened the season 0-3 including a questionable loss against Cal Davis in its first game but the other two losses came against Ohio St. and Oklahoma St., both on the road, and the Golden Hurricane were outgained by just seven yards against Ohio St. and actually outgained Oklahoma St. by 34 yards. They have won three of their last four games and while the last victory was by just a point over South Florida, they outgained the Bulls by 267 total yards but three turnovers kept it close as South Florida returned an interception for a touchdown and on top of that, returned a kickoff 100 yards for another score. Going back, the Golden Hurricane are 16-2 ATS in their last 18 games after a game where they committed three or more turnovers. Coming off a bye, they will be fresh and ready to go. Navy is coming off one of its best games of the season as it left it all on the field in a tough seven-point loss against No. 2 Cincinnati. Obviously this was its biggest game of the season and that will be tough to recover from and now the Midshipmen have to travel a good distance for just their third road game of the season. The Midshipmen are 0-4 ATS in their last four games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play against road underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points averaging between 16 and 21 ppg going up against teams allowing between 28 and 34 ppg. This situation is 32-9 ATS (78 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (114) Tulsa Golden Hurricane |
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10-28-21 | Spurs +6 v. Mavs | Top | 99-104 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN ANTONIO SPURS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. After a season opening loss against Atlanta by 26 points, Dallas has won its last two games over Toronto and Houston and it has a half-game lead in the Southwest Division over Memphis. The Mavericks have struggled on offense as they are ranked No. 26 in scoring offense and have had issues shooting the ball as they are dead last in the NBA at 40.4 percent and from long range, they are hitting just 30.5 percent from behind the arc which is No. 28. While listed as questionable, power forward Kristaps Porzingis is expected to miss the game against the Spurs due to a back injury. The Mavericks are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games against teams with a losing straight up record. Despite a 1-3 record, the Spurs have been efficient with the ball as they have a 2.07 A/TO ratio which is second best in the NBA while their 47.6 percent shooting is tied for second in the league. The backcourt duo of Dejounte Murray and Derrick White is very underrated and Murray is coming off one of the best games for a Spurs players as he had 21 points, 15 assists and 12 rebounds as he became the first player in San Antonio history with 20 or more points, 10 or more rebounds and 15 or more assists in a game. The Spurs are 18-8-1 ATS in their last 27 games as a road underdog. Here, we play on teams after two or more consecutive losses in the first six games of the season, playoff team from last season who lost six or more of their last eight games. this situation is 44-17 ATS (72.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (557) San Antonio Spurs |
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10-28-21 | Packers +6 v. Cardinals | Top | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 58 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Publisher. Green Bay has won six straight games to keep pace in the NFC and this could be a preview of the NFC Championship. The Packers have covered all six of these games, winning their lone game as underdogs and this number has gone up which is adding value even though the offense looks like it could be down a key player. The Green Bay offense took a hit early in the week as Davante Adams tested positive for COVID and is likely out but could be in the lineup as long as he registers two negative tests 48 hours apart. The return of Marquez Valdes-Scantling would be huge in case Adams is definitely out. Aaron Rodgers has thrown multiple touchdown passes in every game this season except the season opener against the Saints and on the season, he has 15 touchdowns and just three interceptions. Arizona is the lone remaining undefeated team in the NFL as it is off to a surprising 7-0 start with both sides of the ball playing great. The Cardinals are No. 4 in the league in scoring offense and No. 7 in total offense and tied for first in scoring defense and No. 4 in total defense. Quarterback Kyler Murray has 17 touchdown passes this season to go with five interceptions and is a mid-season MVP candidate. The Cardinals are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 home games after allowing 200 or less total yards in their previous game. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after a game where they committed one or fewer turnovers going up against an opponent after four consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better. This situation is 29-7 ATS (80.6 percent) since 1983. 10* (107) Green Bay Packers |
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10-28-21 | Troy +18.5 v. Coastal Carolina | Top | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 77 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the TROY TROJANS for our CFB Thursday Game of the Month. Troy is 4-3 this season following a pair of close wins in its last two games. The Trojans are coming off a bye week which is a huge edge here to prepare for this big game against a team playing on a short week and they come into this game part of a four-way tie for first place in the Sun Belt East Division. The first loss came against Liberty by eight points, the second came against ULM but turnovers did them in as they outgained the Warhawks and the third came against South Carolina from the SEC. On the season, it has been favored five times and the two times it has been an underdog, it was by single digits so we are not only playing the situation, but the number as well. Coastal Carolina is coming off its first loss of the season as it went down at Appalachian St by a field goal but the game was not that close as it was outgained by 229 yards and was able to keep it close thanks to four Mountaineers turnovers. The Chanticleers will come out to avenge that loss last week and while the offense is potent, they will be facing the No. 7 ranked defense in the country and that will be a big part for Troy in covering this big number. Coastal Carolina and Troy have played the No. 143 and No. 140 ranked schedules respectively. Here, we play against favorites of 10.5 to 21 points in a game involving two teams allowing between 16 and 21 ppg, after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in two straight games. This situation is 39-14 ATS (73.6 percent) since 1992. 10* (109) Troy Trojans |
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10-27-21 | Kings v. Suns -8 | Top | 110-107 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHOENIX SUNS as part of our NBA Wednesday Trifecta. It has been a slow start for Phoenix after its run into the NBA Finals last season and it got a bad break by having to play in a 3-4 situation to open the season. The Suns lost to Denver in their season opener but rebounded with a 10-point upset against the Lakers on the road only to get blown out at Portland by 29 points a night later. They will be seeking their first home win after shooting just 41.4 percent in their lone home game against the Nuggets. No player scored more than 16 points and all five starters finished with a negative +/-. They are struggling on both ends of the floor and currently have the worst defense in the league, allowing 49.1 percent from the floor. The Suns are 21-9 ATS in their last 30 games following an ATS loss. Sacramento opened the season with a win at Portland but dropped its last two games at home. and it is in a tough spot here. The offense has been showing flashes but the defense is still a liability after posting a 116.5 defensive rating last year, the worst in the league and the highest in in the NBA ever. They are currently ranked No. 26 in defensive efficiency so this is a perfect situation for the Suns to get the offense going and play with more consistency. Sacramento is 7-17 ATS in its last 24 games after two or more consecutive losses. Here, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after a game committing 13 or more turnovers than opponent. This situation is 71-30 ATS (70.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (544) Phoenix Suns |
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10-27-21 | Grizzlies v. Blazers -2 | 96-116 | Win | 100 | 14 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS as part of our NBA Wednesday Trifecta. Portland has been all over the place as it lost its season opener against Sacramento at home but then rolled over Phoenix by 29 points. The Blazers could not sustain that as they travelled to Los Angeles and got pounded by the Clippers by 30 points as the offense managed to score just 86 points on 38 percent shooting including going only 8-37 from long range for 22 percent. It was an awful night for Damian Lillard who went 4-15 from the floor including 0-8 from behind the arc and if anyone is going to bounce back, it will be him. Portland is still top ten in shooting and scoring so we can chalk up the third game as an aberration. Memphis is coming off a loss at the Lakers after a 2-0 start and the Grizzlies are at 3-0 ATS, one of only three teams in the NBA that have covered all of their games this season. They lead the league in scoring offense at 123.3 ppg but the defense has been a letdown as the Grizzlies are allowing 118.7 ppg, No. 28 in the NBA and their 48.9 percent shooting allowed is second worst behind Phoenix. Ja Morant is doing Ja Morant things but there is a significant drop off after that. The Grizzlies are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. Here, we play against underdogs off a road loss of three points or less, with a winning percentage between .450 and .550 from last season. This situation is 27-6 ATS (81.8 percent) since 1996. 9* (546) Portland Trail Blazers |
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10-27-21 | Heat v. Nets -4.5 | 106-93 | Loss | -101 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a play on the BROOKLYN NETS as part of our NBA Wednesday Trifecta. After a blowout win over Milwaukee to open the season. Miami lost in overtime against Indiana but took out lowly Orlando by 17 points last time out on Monday. The Heat allowed Orlando to shoot only 40.7 percent and forced them into missing 32 of 44 three-point attempts. The Heat lead the NBA in total defense and scoring defense at 39.3 percent and 95.7 ppg respectively. Miami hits the road for its first true road test and it will be a challenge despite the absence of Kyrie Irving who will be missing his fifth game of the season because of the vaccine protocol. The Heat are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as an underdog. It has been an up and down start for Brooklyn as it was blown out against Milwaukee, made a great comeback against the Sixers only to blow it in the second half against Charlotte, getting outscored by 24 points in the final two quarters. The Nets responded Monday against the Wizards with their most complete showing of the season and hope to follow it up with another strong outing. Brooklyn is No. 8 in total defense, allowing just 43.8 percent shooting and the offense has been better, ranking No. 5 at 47.2 percent. The Nets are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite. Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points off a home win, that had a winning percentage between .501 and .600 from last season, playing a team that had a winning record. This situation is 44-19 ATS (69.8 percent) since 1996. 9* (532) Brooklyn Nets |
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10-26-21 | 76ers v. Knicks +1.5 | Top | 99-112 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. Philadelphia has won the last 15 meetings in this series as the last win for New York came back in April of 2017 and that was by just a single point. This is a different team however even though the Knicks are coming off a horrible loss against Orlando on Sunday s they lost by six points as a 12-point favorite. This after winning at Orlando by 25 points two nights earlier which shows anything can happen on any given night. It was a miserable offensive showing for New York as it shot just 37 percent from the floor and while the defense was solid overall, allowing Orlando to shoot only 41 percent, giving up 36 points in the fourth quarter is not going to win any games. New York is 19-3 ATS in its last 22 home games when the line is +3 to -3. Philadelphia is coming off a 12-point win at Oklahoma City to move to 2-0 on the road but those were against two teams a combined 0-6. The Sixers never trailed even though they were outshot by the Thunder and this is a tough travel spot. The Sixers are still without Ben Simmons and Joel Embiid is listed as questionable with right knee soreness and while he likely will go, he might not be 100 percent which is a not so good thing as they are averaging just 43 rpg. Andre Drummond missed the Sunday game with a sprained ankle and is likely not to go again. Philadelphia is 5-17 ATS in its last 22 road games when playing against teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .700. 10* (520) New York Knicks |
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10-25-21 | Saints v. Seahawks +4.5 | Top | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 21 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. New Orleans is off to a 3-2 start following a win over Washington and the Saints are coming off a bye which means they could get some key pieces back. But they are still banged up in some key areas and this line has risen since opening which is more fading Seattle because of no Russell Wilson. New Orleans did beat Green Bay in its season opener 38-3 but the Packers simply did not show up and since then, the Saints have been outgained in each of their last four games and by an average of 96.8 ypg and that is not a favorable differential heading out against a desperate team in need of a win. The Saints have failed to cover four of their last five Monday night games and are an overpriced favorite here. Seattle is coming off a big second half against the Steelers to send the game into overtime before losing by three points. The Seahawks were getting 5.5 points in Pittsburgh and are now getting roughly just a point less at home and that line differential makes no sense as the value is clearly on the home underdog. This will be the second game for Geno Smith to have a full week of preparation and he was pretty good with the exception of a lost fumble as he went 23-32 for 209 yards and a touchdown with no picks. The Seahawks are 34-15-4 ATS in their last 53 games following a straight up loss. 10* (474) Seattle Seahawks |
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10-25-21 | Pelicans +6 v. Wolves | Top | 107-98 | Win | 100 | 22 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS PELICANS for our NBA Western Conference Game of the Month. New Orleans and Minnesota square off for the second time in three nights at the Target Center in a strange scheduling situation but that is an edge for the Pelicans as they did not have to travel. New Orleans has lost three straight games to open the season, the first two being blowouts and then a closer game in the first game of this back-to-back. The Pelicans are still without Zion Williamson but this is still a talented roster but they could not shoot on Saturday as they shot just 35 percent from the floor on 31-89 shooting including only 22 percent from long range. Pelicans are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. Minnesota is off to a 2-0 start with wins over the Rockets and Pelicans. The Timberwolves shot just 41 percent from the floor against New Orleans after a 48 percent effort against Houston. The big two of Karl-Anthony Townes and Anthony Edwards have gotten off to great starts and while D'Angelo Russell is chipping in 17 ppg, he has not been taking great care of the ball. The Timberwolves are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up win. Here, we play on road underdogs with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 from last season playing a team with a winning percentage between .250 and .400 from last season. This situation is 42-15 ATS (73.7 percent) since 1996. 10* (513) New Orleans Pelicans |
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10-24-21 | Colts +4 v. 49ers | 30-18 | Win | 100 | 99 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Sunday Primetime Punisher. Indianapolis rolled over Houston last week and it should have a three-game winning streak as it had Baltimore against the ropes before losing in overtime. The Colts are now 2-4 with another one of those losses coming against the Rams by just three points so they took two of the best teams in the NFL down to the wire. Offensively they have found their rhythm as Carson Wentz is getting comfortable with this offense as over the last three games, he has six touchdowns and no interceptions while posting passer ratings of 115.1, 128.5 and 127.7. San Francisco still possesses a great defense but it has allowed 28 or more points in three of its five games. The 49ers are coming off their bye week which was good to mend some injuries. The offense has been inconsistent and they will be facing a Colts defense ranked No. 11 in the NFL in scoring defense. Jimmy Garoppolo is expected to return under center but he is still not 100 percent. Indianapolis is 18-6 ATS in its last 25 road games after scoring 25 points or more in three straight games while the 49ers are 5-22-1 ATS in their last 28 games as a home favorite. Here, we play against home teams with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 coming off a road loss, playing a bad team with a winning percentage between .250 and .400. this situation is 57-21 ATS (73.1 percent) since 1983. 9* (471) Indianapolis Colts |
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10-24-21 | Celtics -4.5 v. Rockets | Top | 107-97 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. It has not been a good start to the season for Boston as it opened with a loss to the Knicks in overtime and then fell to Toronto by 32 points. And that was on their home floor which is not exactly how you want to start in front of your fans. The Celtics shot just 39 percent from the floor including 32 percent from long range and they went to the free throw line only 11 times. They certainly did not take care of the ball as they had 25 turnovers compared to 19 assists and no team can overcome that. They hit the road again and against an opponent where they should be able to bounce back and the next six games are all very winnable where they should be favored in all of those games. Houston bounced back from an 18-point loss to Minnesota with a 33-point win over Oklahoma City on Friday. The Rockets never trailed, jumped out to a 32-point lead at halftime and won every quarter. Looking at that would make you think that Houston looks like a good team but in reality, it is not because Oklahoma City is just that bad with its first two losses coming by more than 20 points. Houston shot 51 percent from the floor after shooting 45 percent against Minnesota and turnovers have been issue as the Rockets are averaging 20.5 tpg through the first two games. Houston is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games as a home underdog of six points or less. Here, road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are coming off an upset loss as a home favorite going up against an opponent off a home win scoring 110 or more points. This situation is 29-5 ATS (85.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (573) Boston Celtics |
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10-24-21 | Lions +16 v. Rams | 19-28 | Win | 100 | 95 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a play on the DETROIT LIONS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. We have some double-revenge going on each side as Matthew Stafford and Jared Goff will be facing their former teams. While this looks like a blowout on paper, the points here are worth taking despite the Lions sitting at 0-6. There is no quit with Detroit as three of those games were winnable as the Lions blew a halftime lead against the Packers and lost two games on last second field goals. Goff has put up pedestrian numbers this season but the Rams secondary is pretty thin and we can expect the Lions to run the ball as the Rams are allowing 4.4 ypc which is No. 23 and allowing first downs on rushes 30.4 percent of the time which is No. 29. The quarterback trade has been beneficial for the Rams as through six weeks, Stafford ranks second in the NFL in yards per attempt, second in passer rating, first in QBR, third in DYAR, and first in DVOA. Not too bad. The running game has not been great as the Rams are averaging just 3.8 ypc. Detroit is 16-3 ATS in its last 19 road games after scoring 17 points or less in three straight games while the Rams are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win of more than 14 points. Here, we play against home favorites that are outgaining their opponents by 1.75 or more passing ypa, after gaining 6.75 or more passing ypa in four straight games. This situation is 26-6 ATS (81.2 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (463) Detroit Lions |
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10-24-21 | Bengals +6.5 v. Ravens | Top | 41-17 | Win | 100 | 92 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI BENGALS for our AFC North Game of the Month. The Bengals are 4-2 on the season with both losses coming by just three points each. The Ravens were able to fluster Justin Herbert last week but while he struggles versus the blitz, Joe Burrow flourishes against it as he is second in the league in passer rating (136.8) against the blitz. Cincinnati has built its offense around Burrow, which produced significant ripple effects. He has four touchdown passes of 30+ air yards this season, most in the NFL. The Bengals can also beat teams on the ground, as running back Joe Mixon ranks fourth in the league with 480 rushing yards. Baltimore has won five straight games but three of those have been decided by a total of nine points and this will not be a dominant win like it has been recently in this series. Statistically, these two match up pretty well as the Ravens are seventh in the league at 28.3 ppg while the Bengals 11th at 24.7 ppg. On the other side, Cincinnati is fifth in the NFL with 18.5 ppg allowed and Baltimore seventh with 20.5 ppg allowed. The Bengals are 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games against teams with a winning home record while the Ravens are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following an ATS win. Here, we play against home teams outgaining their opponents by 50 or more ypg, after gaining 400 or more total ypg over their last three games. This situation 47-20 ATS (70.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (451) Cincinnati Bengals |
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10-23-21 | Grizzlies v. Clippers -3.5 | 120-114 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS as part of our NBA Saturday Trifecta. The Clippers opened their Kawhi Leonard-less season with a good effort against Golden St. on Thursday as they lost by a bucket. Paul George led the team by posting a double-double with 36 points and 11 rebounds and he was the only starter with a positive +/-. The problem was that he did not go to the free throw line once and taking away the 10 attempts by Ivica Zubac, the other four starters combined for just five attempts. That certainly needs to and will improve as the free buckets will be a big factor here in what is considered a low price on the home team looking to get into the win column. George went 5-11 from long range and taking that away, the rest of the team went 9-29 (31 percent) from behind the arc. Memphis hits the road following an 11-point win over Cleveland at home as it shot 53 percent from the floor while going a perfect 12-12 from the free throw line. The Grizzlies were led by Ja Morant who poured in 37 points on 17-29 shooting and had four other players score in double figures. While the offense was solid, the defense was not. Memphis allowed Cleveland to shoot 51 percent and this from a team that was No. 25 in the league in shooting including finishing dead last in three-point shooting. Things should be worse here against the Clippers even with no Leonard on the floor. 9* (568) Los Angeles Clippers |
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10-23-21 | Suns v. Blazers -2.5 | 105-134 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS as part of our NBA Saturday Trifecta. Denver was able to get its revenge with an outright win over Phoenix in its season opener and the Suns bounced back with a big victory on Friday night, handing the new look Lakers their second loss to open the season. Even though the result was 10-point win, the Suns broke it open in the second quarter and led by as many as 32 points. They took care of the ball extremely well as they had 31 assists compared to just 11 turnovers and Los Angeles shot just 40 percent from the floor. Four starters logged at least 32 minutes so they could be a little fatigued on the second leg of a back-to-back. The Suns are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning percentage below .400. Portland opened the season with a three-point loss at Sacramento as 6.5-point road favorites. The Blazers head home knowing they have to shoot better from beyond the arc as they went 12-35 (34 percent) while going a stellar 56.9 percent on twos. While preseason means little. Portland should be playing with a chip on its shoulder following a 119-74 loss at Phoenix nine days ago. Worse yet, the Phoenix bench scored more points (78) than entire roster by Portland. Phoenix swept the Blazers 3-0 during the 2020-21 regular season while averaging 125.7 ppg so there is more to the revenge factor than just the preseason. 9* (566) Portland Trailblazers |
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10-23-21 | Saskatchewan +2.5 v. Calgary | Top | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
his is a play on the SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS for our CFL Game of the Week. Saskatchewan and Calgary are set to meet for the third time in four weeks and this will be the third straight game against the Stampeders for Saskatchewan which is coming off a bye last week. The Roughriders have dropped the last two meetings by a possession each but are getting some big help on offense this week as two receivers are ready to open it up as Shaq Evans will be back after missing the last seven games with a broken foot and Duke Williams is expected to be available for his first game this season. Saskatchewan is 24-7 ATS in its last 31 games revenging two straight close losses by seven points or less. Calgary has now won three straight games following a 39-10 victory over B.C. last week but it won the yardage battle by just 40 total yards as they benefitted from a kickoff return for a touchdown as well as an interception return for a touchdown as well. The Stampeders are now 5-5 on the season and have moved into second place in the West Division. The Stampeders are 6-19-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite. Here, we play on teams with a winning percentage between .450 and .550 where the line is +3 to -3 revenging a loss as a favorite. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent) since 1996. 10* (667) Saskatchewan Roughriders |
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10-23-21 | Mavs -3.5 v. Raptors | Top | 103-95 | Win | 100 | 11 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS MAVERICKS as part of our NBA Saturday Trifecta. Dallas is coming off a clunker, literally, as it lost its season opener in Atlanta by 26 points. The Mavericks shot just 33 percent from the floor including only 30 percent from long range on 13-43 shooting. The big two of Luke Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis scored 18 and 11 points respectively and they were surprisingly dominated down low, getting outscored 46-26 in the paint. Dallas was outrebounded 55-50 but have a better matchup here against a smaller Toronto lineup. The Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Following a blowout loss at home against Washington in its season opener, the Raptors took their frustrations out on the Celtics last night as they dominated Boston leading by as many as 36 points in a 32-point win. Not much is expected from Toronto this season with the loss of defensive stalwart Kyle Lowry and the shoulder injury to Pascal Siakam, who has averaged 22.2 ppg and 7.3 rpg the last two seasons, as he will be out until next month. Last night, they shot only 42 percent from the floor including 29 percent from long range which was pretty much the same as Boston but the Celtics committed 25 turnovers. The Raptors are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. 10* (557) Dallas Mavericks |
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10-23-21 | San Diego State v. Air Force -3.5 | Top | 20-14 | Loss | -108 | 83 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the AIR FORCE FALCONS for our MWC Game of the Year. This is definitely the game of the week in the Mountain West Conference as 6-0 San Diego St. travels to Colorado Springs to take on 6-1 Air Force. The Falcons have won and covered four straight games, following its lone loss of the season, a 49-45 defeat against Utah St. Air Force brings in the top ranked rushing offense in the nation, averaging 336.4 ypg and this triple option is a tough offense to defend. The Saturday 24-17 victory over Boise St. on the Blue Turf made the Falcons the winningest team in the Mountain Division, where Colorado St. and Utah St. are the only other teams with winning conference records. The Falcons are averaging 37 minutes in time of possession, second only to Army. The Falcons are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 home games against teams with a winning road record. San Diego St. remained unblemished but got a scare against San Jose St. last week as it won in overtime and was actually outgained by 105 total yards, the third time in six games it has been outgained. The Aztecs have the best defense in the country against the run so something will have to give. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off an upset win as a road underdog going up against an opponent off a road win. This situation is 41-16 ATS (71.9 percent) since 1992. 10* (406) Air Force Falcons |
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10-23-21 | UTSA v. Louisiana Tech +7 | 45-16 | Loss | -110 | 82 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a play on the LOUISIANA TECH BULLDOGS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. We played against Louisiana Tech last week against UTEP in a 19-3 loss. This comes after averaging 33.4 ppg in its first five games so we can chalk up last week as an aberration. The Bulldogs are 2-4 and those four losses have come against teams a combined 20-5. The Bulldogs are having struggles on defense, but they represent a team that has been a bowl team for the better part of the last decade so the experience is big. This is an interesting line as Louisiana Tech was favored by close to a touchdown last week on the road and is now a home underdog against a team with a similar record, separated by just one game. UTSA comes in a perfect 7-0 and ranked No 24 in the nation, the first time the program has ever been ranked. The UTSA win over Memphis was solid but it was only by three points and the other five games came against teams a combined 8-23. The Roadrunners are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game while the Bulldogs are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games following an ATS loss. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after going under the total by more than 21 points in their previous game, in the second half of the season. This situation is 36-11 ATS (76.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (402) Louisiana Tech Bulldogs |
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10-23-21 | Clemson +3.5 v. Pittsburgh | 17-27 | Loss | -110 | 79 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CLEMSON TIGERS as part of our CFB Afternoon Triple Play. Clemson was involved in yet another close game at won by three points at Syracuse last Friday to fall to 0-6 against the number. Herein is where the difference lies. The Tigers were favorites in all six of those games, five by double-digits and now they are underdogs for the first time this season. This breaks a streak of 60 consecutive regular season games where Clemson has been the favorite. The offense is dead last in the ACC, averaging just 20.5 ppg but the defense has made up for it, allowing a mere 12.5 ppg which is tops in the ACC and No. 2 in the country. Pittsburgh brings in a high-powered offense which has led to a 5-1 overall record including 2-0 in the ACC. The Panthers have not faced a defense like this however as the best defense they have faced led them to a season low in points. If Clemson wins, this could very well be a preview of the ACC Championship as Pittsburgh has a game and a half lead in the Coastal Division while the Tigers are just a game out in the Atlantic Division with a 3-1 ACC record which is good despite some struggles. The Tigers are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 road games. Here, we play on road teams with a defense that allows 8.0 or fewer ppg in the first half, after a win by six or less points. This situation is 31-11 ATS (73.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (343) Clemson Tigers |
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10-23-21 | Oregon +2.5 v. UCLA | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 79 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a play on the OREGON DUCKS as part of our CFB Afternoon Triple Play. Oregon is coming off a win over California but it was by just a touchdown and the Ducks have now failed to cover their last four games. They were favored in all of those games, three by double digits. Oregon has been fairly average on both sides of the ball but will be going up against an opponent with similar stat lines. Besides the loss at Stanford, the only other road game resulted in a win at Ohio St. The Ducks have done well recently as underdogs, including wins in the Rose Bowl against Wisconsin, the Pac-12 Championship against USC last year and the win over aforementioned Ohio St. The Bruins, now 5-2 and 3-1 in the Pac 12, went to Seattle, playing a game against a desperate Washington team and coming away with a touchdown win. The victory over LSU early in the season looked good then but the Tigers are not what they were a couple years ago. The Ducks are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning record while the Bruins are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games as a home favorite. Here, we play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 averaging between 7.5 and 8.3 ypa going up against teams allowing between 6.4 and 7.5 ypa, after allowing 5.5 or less passing ypa last game. This situation is 26-5 ATS (83.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (377) Oregon Ducks |
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10-23-21 | Wisconsin -3 v. Purdue | 30-13 | Win | 100 | 78 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a play on the WISCONSIN BADGERS as part of our CFB Afternoon Triple Play. We won with Purdue last week as the Boilermakers dominated then No. 2 Iowa in a 24-7 win on the road. That makes this a slight letdown spot despite what is on the line. They had the benefit of having a bye week to prepare for the Hawkeyes so that was a big edge and Wisconsin is a tough team to prepare for with its multiple running sets. Wisconsin slipped past Army 20-14 last Saturday and with the Iowa loss, the Badgers now control their own destiny in the Big Ten West as if they win out, they are in the Big Ten Conference Championship game. Wisconsin is 2-4 against the number as it has been favored in all of its games and it is laying a small number here. The other two games where the Badgers were laying a single-digit number came against Notre Dame and Michigan, which are a combined 11-1. Despite the win over Iowa, Purdue cannot be put into that group. The Badgers still have a solid defense as they are ranked No. 2 overall, No. 3 against the run and No. 8 against the pass. Here, we play against home underdogs off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog going up against an opponent off a home win. This situation is 43-18 ATS (70.5 percent) over the last five seasons. The Badgers are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games as a road favorite. 9* (393) Wisconsin Badgers |
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10-22-21 | Pelicans +7 v. Bulls | Top | 112-128 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS PELICANS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. We won with Chicago as it took down Detroit on the road by six points thanks to a huge game from Zach LeVine who finished with 34 points on 11-17 shooting including going 11-11 from the free throw line. Other than LeVine, the Bulls looked pretty average and they got just 10 points from their bench. Overall, Chicago shot just 43 percent from the floor including 30 percent from long range so there is not a whole lot to be excited about just yet with newcomers DeMar DeRozan, Nikola Vucevic and Lonzo Ball still trying to get into a rhythm. New Orleans got thumped at home by 20 points against Philadelphia and will look to rebound from that effort. The Pelicans were tied at halftime before Philadelphia broke it open in the second half. After three solid season in Memphis, Jonas Valanciunas could not get anything going inside against the Sixers interior as he finished with just nine points on 3-19 shooting. Two bright spots were Brandon Ingram who scored a team high 25 points and second year guard Nickeil Alexander-Walker chipped in 23 points after coming on strong late last season. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points in non-conference games in first six games of the season, after closing out last season with three or more straight ATS losses. This situation is 36-15 ATS (70.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (545) New Orleans Pelicans |
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10-22-21 | Memphis v. Central Florida -2 | Top | 7-24 | Win | 100 | 99 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the UCF KNIGHTS for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. Memphis snapped a three-game losing streak with an 18-point win over Navy this past Saturday to move back over .500 on the season. The Tigers are just 1-2 on the road compared to 3-1 at home and they are now catching a pissed off team Friday night. This is a solid team on offense but the one thing that they do not do is utilize the legs of its quarterback which has hurt a few times this season for the UCF defense as it has struggled against mobile quarterbacks. The focus is now the big play receivers. The Tigers are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog. UCF is coming off a blowout loss at Cincinnati on Saturday which was its third loss in four games and the Knights have now failed to cover four straight games. They are 3-0 at home which includes an impressive win over Boise St at the start of the season. The Knights are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Here, we play against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 with a turnover defense forcing one or fewer tpg, after four consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. This situation is 30-8 ATS (78.9 percent) since 1992. 10* (320) UCF Knights |
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10-21-21 | Broncos v. Browns -3.5 | Top | 14-17 | Loss | -100 | 58 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEVELAND BROWNS for our NFL Thursday Primetime Punisher. Denver has come back down to earth following a 3-0 start as the Broncos have lost their last three games, all as favorites. They have actually been favored in all six games this season so this marks their first game as underdogs. It has to be noted that those three wins to open the season came against the Giants, Jaguars and Jets which are a combined 3-14 and none of which have more than one victory. To their credit, the defense has been playing at a high level overall but that success is during those first three games where they allowed an average of 8.7 ppg but Denver has allowed an average of 28.0 ppg over its last three games. The Browns opened 3-1 both straight up and against the number, but they have dropped two straight against playoff bound teams. Injuries are mounting for Cleveland as the list keeps getting longer but come Thursday, they should be in better shape. Running back Nick Chubb has been ruled out so the running game is thin but Baker Mayfield said after the loss Sunday that he expects to play through his injury and be ready for Thursday. Instead. Case Keenum will get the start which is actually the better move. The defense has been a huge disappointment over the last two games but those offenses are both ranked in the top 11. Here, we play against teams in a game involving two teams forcing 1.25 or fewer tpg, after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse. This situation is 31-10 ATS (75.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (310) Cleveland Browns |
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10-21-21 | Bucks v. Heat +3 | Top | 95-137 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our Eastern Conference Game of the Month. Miami opens the season at home against the defensing NBA Champions and the Heat will be fired up for some revenge. The Bucks swept the Heat pretty easily in the playoffs last year in the first round and Miami has higher expectations this season. They averaged just 95.4 points per 100 possessions, the worst mark for any team in any series in the last five years. Miami has been one of the best defensive teams over the past decade and it should be better this season with the addition of Kyle Lowry and P.J. Tucker who will be facing his former team. Milwaukee opened the season with an easy win over Brooklyn which was without Kyrie Irving and now the Bucks hit the road to begin a three-game roadtrip. They are the favorites to win the Eastern Conference and will be facing a slightly different Miami team and one that will matchup well. Jrue Holiday exited the game on Tuesday early, so if he is unable to go, that would be a huge benefit for Miami as well. Obviously, Milwaukee will have the bulls-eye on its back when hitting the road and even more so in this case with the Heat looking for some payback. 10* (530) Miami Heat |
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10-21-21 | Florida Atlantic v. Charlotte +6 | Top | 38-9 | Loss | -103 | 77 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHARLOTTE 49ERS for our CFB Thursday Enforcer. Charlotte is off to a 4-2 start halfway through the season and after a winning season and a bowl game in 2019, the 49ers went just 2-4 last season, the third fewest games in the conference because of cancellations. Charlotte is 3-0 at home which includes a season opening win over Duke and while the Blue Devils are not a good team, they are still from a Power Five conference so it is still an impressive victory. This year, the 49ers have covered each of their two games as underdogs of 5.5 points or more. Florida Atlantic is 3-3 following a blowout loss against UAB and the home team has won all six games the Owls have played. The defense has been up and down and has allowed 27.7 ppg over their last three games. While Florida Atlantic brings in the most experienced team in C-USA, it has no Preseason First Team players and while it has three Second Team C-USA players, that is the same as Charlotte. Here, we play against road teams off a road loss against a conference rival going against an opponent off a double digit road win. This situation is 41-11 ATS (78.8 percent) over the last five seasons. The 49ers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a home underdog. 10* (316) Charlotte 49ers |
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10-20-21 | Nuggets +6.5 v. Suns | 110-98 | Win | 100 | 82 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS as part of our NBA Wednesday Trifecta. Following a series win over Portland, Denver got swept by Phoenix so it is fitting that these two teams square off in the season opener. Both are Western Conference title contenders and they are fairly equal yet this line seems to be overinflated. The Nuggets finished third in the Western Conference last season and the have the talent to make a jump over the Suns. Denver has the pieces in place, from Nikola Jokic to Michael Porter Jr. and Aaron Gordon to make that move. Knowing for a fact that last year will still be on the Nuggets radar, revenge is in play here. Phoenix made a surprise appearance in the NBA Finals last season before falling to the Bucks. It is extremely challenging to replicate a run to the NBA Finals as the Suns will have a target on their back every night including this one. The main pieces are back in place to make another run and they have a young core group led by veteran point guard Chris Paul but this is a very tough opening night game. 9* (525) Denver Nuggets |
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10-20-21 | Rockets v. Wolves -4.5 | 106-124 | Win | 100 | 81 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES as part of our NBA Wednesday Trifecta. Houston finished with the worst record in the NBA last season at 17-55 and the Rockets are not expected to be very competitive this season. This is a very young team that will take time to come together and that likely will not be this season. Jalen Green could be an emerging star following a solid season in the G League but it may take time to succeed at a higher level. It has been reported that John Wall and the Rockets have agreed to find a trade and Wall is not expected to suit up for the Rockets this season. Minnesota looks to make a big move up this season behind Karl-Anthony Towns and Anthony Edwards who bonded well late last season. Defensively, this team was horrific on that side of the floor but the Timberwolves acquired Patrick Beverley and Taurean Prince via trades and their immediate impact on defense will be felt. The depth of the backcourt is a huge asset for Minnesota and what is now a perimeter-driven league, things are on the upside in Minnesota. 9* (518) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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10-20-21 | Coastal Carolina v. Appalachian State +4 | Top | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 54 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the APPALACHIAN ST. MOUNTAINEERS for our CFB Wednesday Game of the Month. Appalachian St. got boat raced by Louisiana last Tuesday, losing 41-13 while getting outgained in the process by 244 total yards. Unfortunately, we were on the wrong side of that one but even though the opposition is better this week, a return home should get things pointed in the right direction. The Mountaineers are 2-0 at home and while they failed to cover those games as favorites, they outgained both opponents and by a total of 406 yards. Obviously, they take a step up in class here but they are getting a good number and they are 7-1 ATS in their last eight. games as an underdog. The Chanticleers are a perfect 6-0 but it might be slightly flawed. Coastal Carolina has rolled in its last three games, outscoring opponents 164-29 but those three opponents are a combined 5-13. The other two wins against FBS competition were against teams with a losing record so they have not been really tested yet. Overall, they have played a schedule ranked No. 159 in the nation. Here, we play against road favorites after gaining 7.25 or more yppl in two consecutive games, with eight or more offensive starters including the quarterback returning. This situation 35-15 ATS (70 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (308) Appalachian St. Mountaineers |
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10-20-21 | Bulls -3 v. Pistons | Top | 94-88 | Win | 100 | 80 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHICAGO BULLS as part of our NBA Wednesday Trifecta. Chicago will be aiming for the playoffs this season after falling two games short a year ago. The Bulls added two key players in Lonzo Ball and DeMar DeRozan so this is now a legit starting five as those two join Zach LaVine, Patrick Williams and Nikola Vucevic. Williams will be replaced by Derrick Jones Jr. for the first few weeks. LaVine is coming off of a career-high in scoring at 27.4 ppg, while DeRozan has averaged over 20 ppg in eight consecutive seasons so with Ball being the true point, they should flourish. Things will be getting better in Detroit but not anytime soon. No. 1 pick Cade Cunningham takes his place on a Pistons team that has some good young pieces but it will take a while for this team to come together, if they ever do. Isaiah Stewart and Saddiq Bey showed promise as rookies last season and while the future does and while the future does look bright, they are a few years away. Detroit finished with the worst record in the NBA last season and will be in the hunt again for that dubious spot. 10* (507) Chicago Bulls |
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10-19-21 | Nets v. Bucks +1 | Top | 104-127 | Win | 100 | 103 h 42 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS for our NBA Tuesday Star Attraction. This is a rematch of the Eastern Conference Semi-Finals from last season which Milwaukee took in seven games. The Bucks are coming off their NBA Championship season with high hopes as they improved themselves with some solid offseason moves. The Bucks are hoping Semi Ojeleye can replace what they lost with P.J. Tucker defensively with his physical stature and a knack for guarding elite players. Another big offseason signing was George Hill who replaces Jeff Teague in the second unit. Milwaukee traded for Grayson Allen and he should make an immediate impact with Donte DiVincenzo who is out with a foot injury. There is a lot of drama in Brooklyn heading into the regular season as the Nets will not allow Kyrie Irving to play or practice with them until he is vaccinated. While they still have superstars Kevin Durant and James Harden, the absence of Irving is a big one and he always has to potential to put up 30 or more points on any given night. He missed the final three games of the series against Milwaukee and his absence was notable although Harden missed time as well. This will be an electric atmosphere as this will be first time fans will have seen their team in a year and a half. 10* (502) Milwaukee Bucks |
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10-18-21 | Bills v. Titans +6 | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 57 h 60 m | Show |
This is a play on the TENNESSEE TITANS for our NFL Monday Primetime Punisher. Buffalo will be out for road revenge following a 42-16 loss last season and while the Bills are better this season, this is a tough spot following a 4-1 start including a big road win last week at Kansas City. They have covered all four games and they have not been close as the cover margins have been +31.5, +14.5, +21.0 and +20.5. in the loss last season, Bills quarterback Josh Allen finished 26-41 for 263 passing yards, throwing for two touchdowns and two interceptions. Buffalo has done a good job of limiting Derrick Henry over the last three matchups but he could be due for a breakout. Henry leads the league with 640 rushing yards, seven rushing touchdowns and 34 rushing first downs. Last year, the defense limited Henry to only 57 rushing yards but allowed touchdowns on all six red zone possessions. In addition to having the 10th best total offense averaging 389.2 ypg and 10th best scoring offense averaging 26.4 ppg, Tennessee is averaging 25.4 first downs per game which bis good for third in the NFL. Here, we play against favorites with an offense averaging 385 or more ypg, after gaining 450 or more ypg over their last three games. This situation is 29-7 (80.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (276) Tennessee Titans |
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10-17-21 | Seahawks +5 v. Steelers | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 99 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS with our NFL Sunday Primetime Punisher. The Seahawks took a big hit last Thursday as Russell Wilson has been ruled out because of the finger injury he suffered against the Rams last Thursday night and will likely be out until early December. Geno Smith will take over as the starter and he looked solid coming in for Wilson last week and now he has had extra preparation time to get ready for the Steelers. The Seahawks are 2-3 on the season including three losses in their last four games although the one victory was an impressive one over the 49ers on the road. Pittsburgh snapped a three-game losing streak with a win over Denver last week as it looks to have turned the corner but we are still not buying it. The offensive line looked solid last week against Denver but we see a regression here that should overlook the Seahawks sans Wilson. Ben Roethlisberger was fortunate to have three passes that should have been picked off but were not. The Seahawks are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as a road underdog while the Steelers are 0-6 ATS in their last six games as a favorite. Here, we play on road underdogs or pickems in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .400 and .499. This situation is 22-4 ATS (84.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (273) Seattle Seahawks |
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10-17-21 | Cowboys v. Patriots +4 | Top | 35-29 | Loss | -121 | 96 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS for our NFL Nonconference Game of the Month. New England snapped a two-game losing streak with a less than impressive effort against Houston as it held on for a three point win as an eight-point road favorite. Now, the Patriots return home as a home underdog and justifiably so but we feel the spot is good as early money has been pouring in on Dallas and has already moved this line two points. The Patriots are 0-3 at home and the road team is 5-0 in their five games and the streak looks to be broken this week. The Cowboys have won four straight games following an opening loss against Tampa Bay and they are a perfect 5-0 against the number and that is a contrarian spot we love to go against. The offense has been rolling, averaging 40.3 ppg over their last three games, all coming at home. They will be facing a sneaky good defense as the Patriots are ranked No. 5 in total defense and No. 5 in scoring defense. The Patriots are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog while the Cowboys are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Here, we play against road favorites outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg, after a win by 10 or more points. This situation is 45-18 ATS (71.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (272) New England Patriots |
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10-17-21 | Raiders v. Broncos -3.5 | 34-24 | Loss | -103 | 95 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our NFL Supreme Annihilator. This is going to be a very tough spot for the Raiders as the firing of Jon Gruden will be a huge distraction in what was already a bad situation. They were clearly distracted last week as they managed just nine points against the Bears defense and they will be facing another stellar defense this week. Las Vegas has lost two straight games following a 3-0 start with two of those wins coming in overtime and the other coming against an inconsistent Pittsburgh team. They have dropped three straight against the spread. Denver has also dropped two straight games following a 3-0 start and while those three wins came against three of the worst teams in the NFL, we see a big effort here at home to get back to its winning ways. The lone home loss came against Baltimore which has been playing at a peak level. The Raiders are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game while the Broncos are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following an ATS loss. Here, we play on favorites in a game involving two teams with less than 1.25 tpg forced, after four consecutive games where they committed one or less turnovers. This situation is 29-10 ATS (74.4 percent) since 1983. 9* (270) Denver Broncos |
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10-17-21 | Chargers +3 v. Ravens | 6-34 | Loss | -110 | 92 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CHARGERS with his AFC Game of the Week. Baltimore is coming off an epic comeback over Indianapolis in overtime on Monday night as it overcame an 18-point second half deficit to win by six points. This could be considered a letdown spot on a short week but we cannot bank on that angle when one of the best teams in the NFL is coming to town. The Ravens have won four straight games following an opening loss against Las Vegas in overtime and they have looked dominant only once this season as three of those wins came by a combined nine points. The Chargers are coming off a shootout win over Cleveland to also improve to 4-1 on the season with the lone loss coming against the Cowboys by just three points. Los Angeles is 2-0 on the road and while this is not an easy spot playing on the east coast, that is negated with the shorter week for the Ravens. The Ravens are 0-5 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a winning road record while the Chargers are 12-3-3 ATS in their last 18 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 allowing 360 or more total ypg, after gaining 400 or more total yards in two consecutive games. This situation is 27-6 ATS (81.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (261) Los Angeles Chargers |
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10-16-21 | Louisiana Tech v. UTEP +7 | Top | 3-19 | Win | 100 | 97 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the UTEP MINERS for our C-USA Game of the Month. UTEP has won and covered three straight games to improve to 5-1 on the season and are now two wins away from bowl eligibility as one of those victories came against Bethune Cookman of the FCS. The Miners finished 3-5 last season and had two close losses and were close to being a .500 team. While not much was expected this season, they are very experienced with every starter back on offense and eight starters back on defense. They are a sizeable home underdog here as many are still not trusting UTEP based on what transpired the prior three years from last season where it went 2-34. UTEP is 16-5 ATS after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in two straight games. Louisiana Tech is coming off a bye week following a solid effort at NC State where it lost by a touchdown. The Bulldogs are expected to contend in the C-USA West Division but we are not sure about laying this number on the road against a very confident team. The Bulldogs are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss. Here, we play against road teams (off a road loss going up against an opponent off a double digit road win. This situation is 52-23 ATS (69.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (206) UTEP Miners |
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10-16-21 | Ole Miss v. Tennessee +3 | 31-26 | Loss | -110 | 95 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a play on the TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS for our CFB Saturday Supreme Annihilator. Tennessee is off to a solid 4-2 start following a pair of blowout wins over Missouri and South Carolina. The offense is ranked No. 19 overall and No. 7 in rushing offense and this is big as they face a defense that is ranked No. 102 overall and No. 106 against the run. Tennessee is 3-1 at home, outscoring opponents by close to 27 ppg. Last season, they went 3-7 and had the tough task of facing five ranked opponents, four of which were top six or better. With Alabama on deck, this is a big game to win. Mississippi was in a shootout last week against Arkansas and dodged a bullet as Arkansas went for two on its last touchdown and did not convert and the Rebels prevailed by just one point. One big thing that stands out is that they allowed 350 yards rushing last week and that will bite them here. The Rebels are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play on home teams off two consecutive wins by 10 points or more against conference rivals, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .600 and .800. this situation is 31-8 ATS (79.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (194) Tennessee Volunteers |
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10-16-21 | Alabama -17 v. Mississippi State | 49-9 | Win | 100 | 95 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a play on the ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE for our Blowout Game of the Week. Alabama got shocked last weekend by Texas A&M on a last second field goal and you can bet that it will be out for blood this Saturday. The loss against the unranked Aggies ended an incredible streak of 100 straight victories against unranked opponents which went back to 2007. It also snapped an overall 19-game winning streak. While the Crimson Tide defeated Florida by just two points, the other four victories have all been blowouts. In 2019 after losing to LSU, they travelled to Starkville and defeated Mississippi St. 38-7 and we are expecting the same here. The Crimson Tide are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS loss. The Bulldogs are off to a 3-2 start following a win over Texas A&M prior to their bye week and while the extra prep time is normally a good thing, they are in a horrible spot here. Two of its wins came by a combined five points including a one-point win over Louisiana Tech at home. The Bulldogs are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS win. Here, we play against home underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points in conference games, off a win against a conference rival. This situation is 42-14 ATS (75 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (183) Alabama Crimson Tide |
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10-16-21 | Calgary v. BC -1 | Top | 39-10 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 41 m | Show |
This is a play on the B.C. LIONS for our CFL Game of the Week. Saskatchewan came into Week Nine with a 5-2 record but lost two games against Calgary which improved to 4-5 on the season to get back into the playoff race. B.C. is a half-game ahead of the Stampeders so this is a big game for the Lions to gain some space. Both teams are in a battle for third in the West, but a Lions win could see them pull into a tie with Saskatchewan for the No. 2 seed. The Lions possess the number two scoring defense in the West Division while Calgary has the second lowest scoring offense in the league. Calgary backup quarterback Jake Maier has COVID-19 and he will be in isolation until further notice so Michael O'Connor will back up Bo Levi Mitchell until his return to the roster and while it should noy be an impact, an injury to Mitchell would be catastrophic for Calgary. B.C. is 15-4 ATS in its last 19 home games after allowing 350 or more passing yards in their last game while the Stampeders are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games following a straight up win. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems coming off a loss against a division rival going up against an opponent off an upset win as an underdog. This situation is 68-32 ATS (68 percent) since 1996. 10* (676) B.C. Lions |
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10-16-21 | Bowling Green +9.5 v. Northern Illinois | 26-34 | Win | 100 | 92 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a play on the BOWLING GREEN FALCONS as part of our CFB Afternoon Triple Play. Bowling Green opened the season 0-2 and then won two straight games including a big win at Minnesota and now has dropped its last two games including an awful loss against Akron at home as a two-touchdown favorite. The Falcons are 2-0 in the MAC so this is a big game to try and stay within pace in the MAC East. They were predicted to finish last in the division but will be facing a team that was picked to finish last in the MAC West so this game is very winnable despite the spread no indicating that. The Falcons are 17-6 ATS in their last 23 road games off an upset loss as a favorite. Northern Illinois has won three straight games after a 1-2 start and it is coming off an upset win at Toledo this past Saturday by two points as a 13-point underdog. The Huskies are very average on both sides of the ball and are ranked No. 120 in passing offense, going up against a Bowling Green passing defense that is ranked No. 10 so running the ball will kill clock. Here, we play on conference road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points off an upset loss as a double digit home favorite. This situation is 50-19 ATS (72.5 percent) since 1992. 9* (123) Bowling Green Falcons |
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10-16-21 | Pittsburgh v. Virginia Tech +5 | 28-7 | Loss | -110 | 92 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a play on the VIRGINIA TECH HOKIES as part of our CFB Afternoon Triple Play. After a 3-0 start to the season, Virginia Tech has lost two of its last three games and has gone 3-0 ATS over that stretch. The Hokies lost a tough one last week against Notre Dame as they blew an 8-point lead with just over two minutes left including the Irish go ahead field goal with 17 seconds remaining. Virginia Tech is 3-1 at home with that lone loss coming against Notre Dame by two points. The Hokies are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. Pittsburgh is coming off a pair of blowout wins although one of those was against New Hampshire of the FCS. The Panthers are 4-1 on the season with the lone defeat coming against Western Michigan as two touchdown favorites. They have one of the best offenses in the country but face a formidable Hokies defense and Virginia Tech has a big edge in turnover margin. The Panthers are 2-5 ATS against teams with a winning record. Here, we play against road favorites averaging 440 or more ypg going up against a team allowing between 330 and 390 ypg, after allowing 6.25 or more yppl in their previous game. This situation is 73-34 ATS (68.2 percent) since 1992. 9* (128) Virginia Tech Hokies |
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10-16-21 | Purdue +12 v. Iowa | 24-7 | Win | 100 | 92 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a play on the PURDUE BOILERMAKERS as part of our CFB Afternoon Triple Play. We won with Iowa last week as it overcame a 10-point deficit to score the final 13 points of the game to win by three. The Hawkeyes may still be celebrating that victory which vaulted them to No. 2 in the country as they are now 6-0 on the season including a 3-0 record in the Big Ten. They have covered all but one game this season and now they are laying double-digits to a dangerous team. The team defense has been great but Iowa is ranked No. 119 in total offense so trying to outscore a team by putting up a ton of points is not likely an option. The Hawkeyes are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games as favorites of 10.5-14 points. Scoring could be even more difficult as Purdue is ranked No. 14 in the country in total defense which is not a surprise as it brought back nine starters. The Boilermakers are 3-2 but have failed to cover their last three games which adds value. Purdue is ranked No. 10 in passing offense so it does have an opportunity to move the ball down the field. Head coach Jeff Brohm is 14-3 ATS against teams outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg on the season in all games he has coached. 9* (181) Purdue Boilermakers |
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10-15-21 | Clemson -14 v. Syracuse | Top | 17-14 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the CLEMSON TIGERS for our ACC Game of the Month. Clemson has gotten off to a rough start as it is just 3-2 with two of those wins coming by just six points each. The Tigers have been horrible on offense but the good news is that they are coming off a bye week to try and get things straightened out which they should be able to do with the talent on this roster. Because of the slow start, Clemson is 0-5 against the number but this is a great spot with great value to put an end to that. The Tigers are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games as a road favorite. Syracuse is coming off a brutal loss as it fell to Wake Forest in overtime by three points in overtime. That puts the Orange in a tough spot here not only because of that but because they are on a short week and playing a powerhouse off a bye. They have been competitive but they are getting Clemson at the wrong time. Syracuse has covered four straight games which is also adding to the value in this number. Syracuse is 7-19 ATS in its last 26 games off a loss by seven points or less to a conference rival. Here we play on road favorites with a first half defense allowing 8.0 or less, after a win by six or less points. This situation is 23-4 ATS (85.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (115) Clemson Tigers |