Sports Picks & Predictions
All Sports Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
01-27-18 | Rutgers +8.5 v. Penn State | Top | 43-60 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the RUTGERS SCARLET KNIGHTS as part of our CBB TV Ultimate Trifecta. It has been a disappointing season for Rutgers that was poised to make a move in the Big Ten. While Rutgers won just 15 games last season, it was more than twice as many victories from the previous season. It lost seven Big Ten games by single-digits after losing 15 conference games by double-digits the previous season. The Scarlet Knights are just 2-7 in the conference and while they are 0-4 on the road, they have played four very strong teams and even went to overtime at Michigan St. Penn St. is coming off a last season win over Ohio St. on Thursday, handing the Buckeyes their first conference loss of the season. That makes this a big letdown spot for the Nittany Lions and making it worse, they head to Michigan St. for their next game on Wednesday. The Nittany Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a straight up win while the Scarlet Knights are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS loss. While Penn St. should win, it will not be as easy as this number portrays. 10* (573) Rutgers Scarlet Knights |
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01-27-18 | Baylor v. Florida -6.5 | Top | 60-81 | Win | 100 | 19 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the FLORIDA GATORS for our CBB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. Florida is coming off a home loss against South Carolina on Wednesday as it was a classic letdown spot. The Gators were coming off a road upset win at Kentucky last Saturday, so it was no surprise they came out flat and put a halt to a solid 8-1 run. Florida stays home as part of the SEC/Big XII Challenge and while these games can cut into momentum from conference season, the Gators do not want to drop another game they should win before heading to rival Georgia on Tuesday. We lost with Baylor on Monday as it lost to Kansas St. at home to fall to 2-6 in the conference. This is a team heading in the wrong direction and the Bears have fallen to last place in the conference RPI as they are now 3-8 against the RPI top 100. Baylor is getting outscored by over 10 ppg on the road where it is 0-5 and going back to a non-conference game is not ideal with the state it is in right now. The Bears have failed to pick up a victory this season when getting points and we will not need a huge effort from the Gators to cover this number. 10* (522) Florida Gators |
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01-26-18 | Oakland +7 v. Northern Kentucky | Top | 83-70 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show |
Two of the top three teams in the Horizon League square off Friday night with the result going a long way in determining the regular season champion. Oakland was picked to finish first in the conference, but it went 1-3 in its first four games, with losses to Green Bay, Northern Kentucky and Wright St. Since then, the Grizzlies have not lost and are two games out of first place. They have gone just 1-6 ATS over their last seven games which is a consequence of being overpriced as they were favored in all seven of those games including five games at -7 or higher. They are catching a great number tonight as they are getting points for the first time since December 16 against Michigan St. Northern Kentucky has won three straight games following a home loss against first place Wright St. which is its only home loss of the season. The Norse can make it a two-team race with a win here, but the market has them overvalued here in what is a much more important game for the visitors. Oakland had a chance to win the first meeting but blew a double-digit lead and lost by four points which makes this a must win for the Grizzlies if they have any chance of staying in contention for the regular season championship. 10* (831) Oakland Golden Grizzlies |
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01-26-18 | Lakers v. Bulls -4 | Top | 108-103 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
The Lakers are tied for the second hottest team in the Western Conference over their last 10 games as they have won seven of their last 10 with the last five coming as underdogs. Six of those wins were at home however and the only road victory was in overtime against Dallas, the third worst team in the NBA. Overall. Los Angeles is 6-15 on the road and two of the other wins came at Phoenix which owns the worst home record in the league. Additionally, the Lakers are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 road games against teams with a losing home record. Chicago returns home following a 1-2 roadtrip and it has been playing very well here for over six weeks as the Bulls are 9-4 over their last 13 home games since December 9 with three of those losses coming against Golden St., Houston and Toronto and the other coming against Portland in overtime. Going back further, their last 12 losses overall have all been against teams currently residing in a playoff position. Their two wins against top ten teams are the fewest in the NBA and against every other game against teams outside the top ten, the Bulls are 16-14. It makes sense that they are 8-0-1 ATS in their last nine games against teams with a losing straight up record. 10* (814) Chicago Bulls |
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01-25-18 | Utah v. Arizona State -8.5 | Top | 80-77 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
Arizona St. stormed out of the gates with a 12-0 record that included victories over San Diego St., Xavier and Kansas, not bad for a team picked to finish seventh in the Pac 12. Part of the reason for the low prediction was due to uncertainty in the frontcourt, which was a big problem last season, but it is far from a liability this year. The Sun Devils have taken a step back since that blistering start as they are just 3-4 in the conference, but the schedule has not exactly been on their side. Five of the seven games have been on the road where three of those losses took place, all against teams .500 or better in the conference. Despite the rough start, the Sun Devils are still ranked No. 2 in the PAC 12 RPI. Utah is now 4-4 in the conference following a pair of wins last week against Washington and Washington St. but both of those came at home where the Utes are 9-2. They are 2-4 on the road and the problem has been the defense which is a big problem in this matchup. Arizona St. is 11th in the nation in scoring (86.7 ppg.), its best mark since 1974-75 and it has scored at least 72 points in every game while posting at least 80 in 12 games. Going back, the Utes are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games. 10* (556) Arizona St. Sun Devils |
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01-25-18 | James Madison v. NC-Wilmington -3 | Top | 68-71 | Push | 0 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
UNC-Wilmington was the class of the CAA last season as it won the regular season and conference tournament championships but after losing four starters and its head coach, a rebuild was expected. It was a rough start to the season that included an eight-game losing streak between November and December, but the Seahawks have been playing better once conference season started. They are just 3-5, but three of those losses were by four points or less so they have been close to having the opposite record and being in contention. Two home losses were by a combined six points. James Madison started CAA action 0-6 but it has won two straight games although both of those came at home. The Dukes were picked to finish last in the CAA and they are currently last in the conference RPI. They come in with a 1-7 road record and are 1-10 away from home including neutral court games and going back, they are 5-24 on the road since the start of last season. James Madison could again be without third-leading scorer Joey McLean who is nursing an ankle injury. The Dukes are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win while the Seahawks are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a losing road record. 10* (516) UNC-Wilmington Seahawks |
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01-25-18 | SMU v. Connecticut +6.5 | Top | 52-63 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
It has been a relatively down season for SMU but that was not unexpected. The Mustangs were coming off a 30-win season but lost all but three scholarship players and for a program that is still on probation and limited to 11 scholarships, that is tough to overcome. The Mustangs put together a decent non-conference season but played only one true road game and the road has been an issue heading into AAC season as they are now 1-3 on the road. The one road victory was a good one at Wichita St., but it was a fluky win as SMU shot an unheard of 63.8 percent from the floor while the Shockers made only seven free throws. The Mustangs suffered a big blow Tuesday when junior guard Jarrey Foster (13.2 ppg, 5.9 rpg, 2.7 apg) was announced out for the season with a torn ACL. It has been an up and down season for Connecticut which is now 10-9 following a blowout loss against Villanova. The schedule has played a big role in the near .500 record as the Huskies have also sustained losses to Michigan St., Arkansas, Syracuse, Arizona and Auburn and all of those were away from home. Connecticut is 8-2 at home but both of those losses came at XL Center in Hartford and this game is being played on campus at Gampel Pavilion where the Huskies are 4-0 this season. 10* (520) Connecticut Huskies |
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01-24-18 | Auburn v. Missouri -2 | Top | 91-73 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 60 m | Show |
One of the best college basketball situational angles is in play here as over the years, it has been very successful to play on a non-ranked home favorite over a ranked road underdog. The theory is simple as the home team is just as good despite not being ranked and it also goes back to how the AP rankings are meaningless as they are nothing but a public visual. And as expected, the public is on the road underdog Tigers here which come in with a 17-2 record following a bounce back home win over Georgia which came after their first conference loss of the season at Alabama. Auburn has been a pleasant surprise in the SEC and barring a complete implosion, Auburn will make the NCAA Tournament for the first time since 2003. We played against Missouri on Saturday as it lost at Texas A&M as it has now alternated wins and losses for the month. The Tigers have not lost consecutive games this season as they are a perfect 5-0 following up a defeat and look to extend their 9-1 home record, the lone defeat coming by a bucket against Florida. This will be the biggest test for the Auburn offense as Missouri has held nine-straight opponents under their season scoring averages entering their respective matchups against the Tigers while in SEC games, it has held its six opponents an average of 14.8 ppg below their season scoring averages. Going back, the Tigers are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 home games against teams with a winning road record. 10* (758) Missouri Tigers |
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01-24-18 | Indiana v. Illinois -2 | Top | 71-73 | Push | 0 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
Both Illinois and Indiana made it to the NIT last season but getting into any postseason tournament this season was expected to be a challenge for both. The Hoosiers have been overachieving as they are 5-3 in the conference and 12-8 overall but the schedule has helped out. We played on them Sunday as they won at home against Maryland to improve to 4-0 at home in the conference but they are just 1-3 on the highway with the lone victory coming against a shorthanded Minnesota team. The other three losses were by double-digits and while the class of competition is not nearly as high tonight, it is not as easy as it may look. Illinois has yet to win a conference game and despite the 0-8 record, the Illini are favored tonight which may seem odd to some, but it is legit. Five of the eight conference games have been on the road including four of the last six and two of those four losses were close. Of the three home losses, one came against 18-3 Michigan St. while the other two came in overtime. Three overtime losses and one defeat by a point has skewed this 0-8 record which could be a lot better if some things had gone their way. To show how close it has been, Illinois has led during the second half in eight of its 11 losses, including five times in eight Big Ten games so it is time to close out a game and this is the perfect opportunity. 10* (750) Illinois Fighting Illini |
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01-24-18 | Jazz v. Pistons -2 | Top | 98-95 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
If the season ended today, the Pistons would be heading home for the postseason as they are a game behind the Sixers for the eighth and final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. Luckily for Detroit, the season is just over half done so there is plenty of time to get things back on track as the recent 0-5 run is not a true indication of this team. We played on the Pistons in their last game on Sunday and it was another frustrating result as they shot just 31 percent from long range and went to the free throw line only 17 times as they ruined a super 21:6 A/TO ratio. That was the third straight loss for Detroit as home, but it had won 11 of its previous 13 games as a home favorite and with this short price, a win likely means a cover as well. The Pistons are 11-3 ATS this season against teams from the Western Conference. Utah is coming off a loss at Atlanta on Monday to fall to 5-19 on the highway, winning just three of 15 games as an underdog. Going back, the Jazz are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. One player who will be out to prove a point is Pistons center Andre Drummond who made it publicly known that he was not happy about the All-Star Game snub so Rudy Gobert could be in for a long night. 10* (706) Detroit Pistons |
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01-24-18 | St. Joe's v. St Bonaventure -7 | Top | 67-70 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
Looking at the preseason Atlantic Ten predictions, St. Bonaventure was picked to finish third in the conference and looking at the current RPI shows the Bonnies sitting at No. 2 behind Rhode Island. But if you look at the current standings, they are in 11th place with a 2-4 A-10 record and this is what the public is concerned about. This is why the Bonnies are being shaded here and we are fine with that as the difference between No. 2 and No. 11 is significant with the former being much more important. Four of their last five games have been on the road with three of those coming against three of the top four teams in the RPI and the other coming against St. Joes which sets up an early season revenge angle. That game was just over two weeks ago, and the Bonnies were -3 on the road and are now favored by only a few points more at home with is excellent line value. The Hawks have won two straight as the venue has dictated the outcomes in conference games with the home team going a perfect 7-0 straight up and against the number. The same can be said for the Bonnies, with the host going 6-0 straight up and ATS. St. Joes is just 1-5 on the road and comes into this game with big disadvantages on the boards and at the free throw line as it is getting outshot by nearly 15 percent from the charity stripe. 10* (726) St. Bonaventure Bonnies |
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01-23-18 | Celtics -4.5 v. Lakers | Top | 107-108 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
Boston starts a four-game roadtrip tonight in Los Angeles to face the Lakers before taking on the Clippers tomorrow but there will be no lookahead for the Celtics as this is the easiest game of the four where they will be out to snap a three-game losing streak. All three of those losses came at home and they were not good losses with a defeat against New Orleans in overtime being the toughest game with the other two coming against Orlando and Philadelphia which are a combined 17-31 on the road. Boston has been solid on the road this season with a 15-5 record including a 12-3 record as a road favorite. The Celtics are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss. The Lakers are playing some good basketball right now even with Lonzo Ball on the bench as he remains out with a sprained knee. Los Angeles has won two straight games and six of its last eight but only one of those came against a quality team and that was against a short-handed Spurs team. The Lakers have been decent against the bottom part of the league as they are 11-7 against teams outside the top 16 but just 6-22 against the top 16 including a 4-14 record against the top ten. 10* (509) Boston Celtics |
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01-23-18 | Mississippi State v. Kentucky -8.5 | Top | 65-78 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show |
One of the headlines making the rounds yesterday was that Kentucky is not ranked in the AP Poll for the first time since March 2014, which snapped a 68-week stretch in the poll. It is meaningless of course as that is nothing but a public poll and now that the Wildcats are out, the public is soured. In reality, Kentucky is still a strong team as it is ranked No. 18 in the RPI and coming off its first home loss of the season will mean an all-out effort tonight. This is the first time since 2012 that Kentucky is not laying double-digits to the Bulldogs. Mississippi St. made a late second half surge against Alabama but still fell short and it caught a break as the Tide were without leading scorer Collin Sexton who is averaging 19.2 ppg. The Bulldogs fell to 2-4 in the conference and they remain winless on the road as they are now 0-4 in true road games and they have dropped 11 straight road games going back to last season. While Mississippi St. has an identical 14-5 record as Kentucky, it is far from the same as the Bulldogs played the No. 288 ranked non-conference schedule that included only one true road game while the Wildcats played the No. 16 ranked slate. The Wildcats are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 home games against teams with a losing road record while the Bulldogs are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (546) Kentucky Wildcats |
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01-23-18 | Davidson v. Dayton +1 | Top | 64-65 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
Davidson is coming off a home win over St. Bonaventure to make it five straight victories for the Wildcats to take over second place in the Atlantic Ten with a 5-1 record. It has been an easy run however with the win over the Bonnies being the best of the bunch as the Wildcats have played the third easiest conference schedule of the 14 Atlantic Ten teams. Looking at the lines verifies that as Davidson has been favored by at least 4.5 points in all six conference games so this is the biggest test thus far based on what the number is telling us. The Wildcats improved to 6-0 at home but they are just 3-5 on the road with the three wins coming against Fordham, George Mason and Charlotte. The Flyers lost at home against first place Rhode Island on Saturday despite shooting 63.4 percent from the floor as they were done in by 21 turnovers as the Rams were able to take 23 more shots from the floor. It was the second straight double-digit loss for Dayton after a 3-1 stretch where the one loss came by just a bucket. Dayton has played the toughest conference schedule thus far and overall, it has played the No. 6 toughest schedule in the country which explains its 9-10 overall record. The Flyers are 7-2 ATS this season following a loss and we will see a big performance after that embarrassment in front of the home crowd last time out. 10* (518) Dayton Flyers |
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01-23-18 | Kansas v. Oklahoma -1 | Top | 80-85 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
Kansas defeated Baylor on Saturday as it overcame a late deficit and closed the game on a 9-0 run to win by three points. The Jayhawks have won five straight games, but they have not been dominating in their typical way as those five wins have come by an average of 3.6 ppg with none of those victories being by more than five points. The Jayhawks do own two impressive road wins at West Virginia and TCU, but they are in a tough spot tonight as the head to Norman at a bad time. Kansas is 5-0 on the road overall as two of its three losses have come at Allen Field House, but the Jayhawks will not finish the season undefeated on the road and this is the spot the streak ends. Oklahoma has dropped its last two games, both of which have come on the road including a Bedlam loss in overtime against Oklahoma St. on Saturday but there is no time for a letdown. The Sooners can pull to within a game of first place in the Big XII with a victory here and it would be important since they still have to travel to Kansas late next month. Oklahoma is 9-0 at home this season, averaging 98.8 ppg and going back it has won 12 straight home games. Additionally, the Sooners are 12-1 during the Lon Kruger era in home games in which both teams are ranked with the only loss coming against No. 6 Kansas in 2016. 10* (522) Oklahoma Sooners |
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01-22-18 | Kansas State v. Baylor -4 | Top | 90-83 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
Kansas St. is coming off a pair of impressive wins over Oklahoma and TCU last week but both of those games were at home where the Wildcats are 10-1 on the season. They have won three of their last four games with the lone defeat coming at Kansas by just one point so they are playing well right now. Making this recent run even more impressive is the fact that all four of those games were played without Kamau Stokes, the third leading scorer with 13.4 ppg, who has been out with a foot injury. Baylor is coming off a loss at Kansas on Saturday as it nearly pulled off the upset but fell just short by three points. That was the fifth loss in five true road games for the Bears and they look to bounce back tonight at home where they are 10-2, the losses coming against TCU in overtime and Wichita St. this has been a great situation as Baylor is 23-1 in home games against unranked opponents over the last two seasons. Overall, Baylor has seven losses with six of those coming against ranked teams. The Bears home games vs. No. 7 Wichita State and No. 24 TCU, and road games at No. 11 Xavier, No. 8 Texas Tech, No. 6 West Virginia, Iowa State and No. 10 Kansas. The Bears have covered four straight games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. 10* (728) Baylor Bears |
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01-22-18 | Maryland v. Indiana +1.5 | Top | 68-71 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
The Hoosiers were riding a three-game winning streak but were humbled on Friday night as they were clobbered at Michigan St. by 28 points. It was a horrible spot for Indiana as it was catching the Spartans coming off a home upset loss against Michigan and they were involved in a three-game stretch where they were not playing well, so a fully focused effort was expected and it was executed. Now the Hoosiers return back home where they are 9-3 on the season including four straight wins while going 3-0 in Big Ten action. The Hoosiers are second in Big Ten games in steals (6.9) and turnover margin (+3.7). Maryland is coming off an 11-point win over Minnesota which as its eighth straight home win to improve to 12-1 on the season. The road has been a different story however as the Terrapins are 1-4 with the only victory coming against 0-7 Illinois in overtime. This is the second time they are a road favorite this season and it is unwarranted based on the body of work and the power rankings heading into the new week. The home team has won all four meetings in this series since Maryland joined the Big Ten and going back, the Hoosiers are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games against teams with a losing road record. 10* (720) Indiana Hoosiers |
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01-21-18 | Vikings v. Eagles +3.5 | Top | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 100 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Eagles won for us last weekend and we are backing them again for a lot of the same reasons, namely the defense that is underrated. What was written last week goes for this week as well. The loss of Carson Wentz is huge for the Eagles as many are saying the Super Bowl is now out of reach and that is being shown in this line. While there is a downgrade at quarterback for Philadelphia, Nick Foles is more than adequate to carry the team with his 87.4 career passer rating to go along with 61 touchdowns and 29 interceptions. He was above average last week against the Falcons, going 23-30 for 246 yards. The one thing being overshadowed is the Eagles defense that is No. 4 in the NFL in both total defense and scoring defense. That defense is even better at home where they are allowing just 13.4 ppg and 280.6 ypg and this is where the difference will lie once again. If not for a miracle, the Vikings would not be here but here they are and are laying points on the road as well. If this was the Saints and Drew Brees, who has plenty of playoff experience, the line would be the same and the Saints may have been the play. Minnesota does not have the same amount of experience and while it possesses the No. 1 defense, as mentioned, the Eagles stop unit is not too shabby either. Case Keenum has had a great season but take him off the turf with his speedy receivers and his numbers go down as he has a QB rating of 105.1 in nine games on turf indoors and just an 88.7 QB rating in six games on grass. 10* (314) Philadelphia Eagles |
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01-21-18 | Virginia v. Wake Forest +10 | Top | 59-49 | Push | 0 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
Wake Forest suffered a 72-63 loss at NC State on Thursday and it was one they could have had as the Demon Deacons led 63-61 with four minutes left before the Wolfpack ended the game on an 11-0 run. It was the fourth straight loss, and fourth straight non-cover, for Wake Forest to fall to 1-5 in the ACC and while we have said before that making excuses for losses can hurt in the long run, the Demon Deacons have had a challenging schedule. Four of their six games have come on the road including games at Duke and North Carolina and they have played the third toughest conference schedule among ACC teams. This is a strong number and going back, the Demon Deacons are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 home games. Virginia was picked to finish seventh in the ACC, but it has overachieved thus far with a 17-1 record and the Cavaliers are the only remaining undefeated team in the ACC at 6-0. Tonight does present a challenge however as this is the first time this season they have had to play back-to-back road games and with games against Clemson, Duke and Louisville on deck, a combined 14-5 in the ACC, there is the lookahead potential. The Cavaliers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against team with a losing straight up record. 10* (820) Wake Forest Demon Deacons |
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01-21-18 | Nets v. Pistons -6 | Top | 101-100 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
Detroit is now on the outside looking in as it has fallen into ninth place in the Eastern Conference following its fourth consecutive loss on Friday at home against Washington. The Pistons have lost two straight games at home after a 13-5 start that included wins over Houston and San Antonio in their previous two home games. This is an important stretch for Detroit as this is part of a stretch where 10 of 11 games are at home so this is where the Pistons need to make a significant move. Going back, the Pistons are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a double-digit loss at home. Brooklyn welcomed back the return of D'Angelo Russell who missed over two months of games because of a knee injury although his contributions in its win over Miami was insignificant. He played only 14 minutes, and had just one point and his minutes will be restricted again today as he is projected for 17 minutes. The Nets snapped a three-game slide with that victory and while they have been better, they are just 2-6 in their last eight games. The last road win came in Atlanta where it was getting three points and now it is getting only three points more against a substantially better team than the Hawks. 10* (806) Detroit Pistons |
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01-21-18 | Northern Iowa v. Southern Illinois +1 | Top | 53-64 | Win | 102 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
We won with Northern Iowa last Saturday as it defeated Valparaiso to snap a five-game losing streak in the Valley and a seven-game losing streak overall. The Panthers followed that up with a 14-point win over Drake on Tuesday, handing the Bulldogs just their second conference loss of the season, but now is the time to fade once again. Both of those games were at home where Northern Iowa is a respectable 8-3 but it hits the road again where it is winless on the season with a 0-4 record in true road games. The Salukis have lost three of their last four games, but all three of the losses were on the road where they are 2-6 on the season. They return home to add to their 8-2 record in Carbondale and their defense will be the difference as they look to sweep the Panthers for the first time since 2003. At home, Southern Illinois is allowing just 63.4 ppg on 40.9 percent shooting and this is big considering the Salukis are 10-1 when they hold an opponent under 70 points and 1-8 when an opponent scores 70 or more. Northern Iowa has scored 70 or more points only six time this season and one of those took overtime to do so. The Panthers are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (816) Southern Illinois Salukis |
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01-21-18 | Jaguars +9.5 v. Patriots | Top | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 125 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS for our NFL Game of the Month. Jacksonville won its second straight playoff game despite losing the yardage battle, but it was different this time around. The Jaguars were outgained by 167 yards against the Steelers and that can be looked at one of two ways. Jacksonville could have been dominated on the field and was fortunate to win the turnover battle or we can find out how the yardage differential was generated which can make a big difference. While the former was partly true with the turnover advantage, most of the Pittsburgh yards came late in the game when the Jaguars were ahead, so a lot of those Pittsburgh yards were garbage yards. The Jaguars ran 61 offensive plays, and the Steelers defense finished with no sacks, no takeaways, only one tackle for loss when defending the Jacksonville 35 running plays, and only four hits on quarterback Blake Bortles. That efficiency can work against the Patriots as well as winning the game will mean mistake-free play. The defense matches up so well with the Patriots offense as they have the pass rush to get to quarterback Tom Brady, they have the physical corners to that negate the New England wide receivers who do not have the breakaway speed to begin with and they have the inside strength that can take Rob Gronkowski out of the game. This line is telling us the Jaguars have a 20 percent chance of winning and their chances are better than that with this defense no matter where this game is being played. The Patriots are publicly inflated based on name and history, but they would have been better off seeing Pittsburgh instead of Jacksonville and we will see why on Sunday as this will be no cakewalk to the Super Bowl. 10* (311) Jacksonville Jaguars |
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01-20-18 | Raptors v. Wolves -3.5 | Top | 109-115 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
Minnesota went 0-2 on its recent roadtrip as it heads back home to get back into the win column. This is a big game for the Timberwolves, which are 18-6 at home, as they remain a game behind San Antonio for third place in the Western Conference. They are a game under .500 on the road and making this one bigger is the fact that five of their next six game are on the road. The home/road splits for Minnesota have been pretty clear as the home team is 10-0 in the Timberwolves last 10 games. Toronto won but did not cover for us last night as these teams continue to blow double-digit leads. The Raptors improved to 17-3 at home and while they have been solid on the road, they are in a bad spot tonight. they are 3-3 playing with no rest and this is the first instance of the season where they go from home to away in back-to-back nights. Of their 14 road wins, nine have come against teams with losing records and of the five road wins against winning teams, four of those were against teams three games over .500 or worse. Going back, the Raptors are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record while Minnesota has covered six straight home games. 10* (516) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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01-20-18 | Wright State v. Wisc-Milwaukee +3 | Top | 61-66 | Win | 100 | 26 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE PANTHERS for our Horizon League Game of the Year. Wright St. has been the big surprise of the Horizon League as it is 7-0 to start the conference season after coming in picked to finish No. 6 in the preseason poll. The Raiders were a 20-win team last season but lost three key starters and are currently without one of those returnees. They will likely be without third leading scorer Justin Mitchell for a fourth straight game dealing with a personal matter. They have not been dominant in the majority of their wins and while a victory at Northern Kentucky was impressive, that is the only good win on the season. Milwaukee is certainly no juggernaut but will provide a tough test here as it is a desperate team that has lost four straight games after a 2-2 start in conference play. It has been a brutal for the Panthers as they were forced to play five straight road games and then had to face arguably the best team in the conference in Northern Kentucky in their first game home and they were clearly fatigued from that run. They remain home which is big edge considering this is the fifth road game in the last six for the Raiders. This has been a solid spot in the past as the Panthers are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games following a double-digit loss at home. 10* (658) Milwaukee Panthers |
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01-20-18 | Memphis v. Tulsa -4 | Top | 51-64 | Win | 100 | 26 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the TULSA GOLDEN HURRICANE four our CBB Saturday Supreme Annihilator. We won with Tulsa last Saturday as it stayed within the inflated number at home against Wichita St. and following a one-point loss at Temple on Wednesday, it has now lost four straight games after a 3-0 start in the AAC. Three of those took place on the highway and the Golden Hurricane bring in a 7-2 home record. They arguably have one of the worst conference schedules as they play back-to-back home AAC games only once all season. The bad news after this game is a rematch at Wichita St. but the good news is that it is not for another eight days so there will be full focus to end this current losing streak. It has been the opposite start in the conference season for Memphis as it lost its first two AAC games and has since reeled off four straight wins. Three of those were at home however while the lone road win needed overtime to get the job done. The Tigers are 1-5 away from home including a 1-3 record in true road games. The recent runs for both teams are keeping this line in check as we projected it to be -5 so the value is on the home side. The Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win of more than 20 points while the Golden Hurricane are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss. 10* (660) Tulsa Golden Hurricane |
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01-20-18 | UNLV -4 v. Colorado State | Top | 79-74 | Win | 100 | 24 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the UNLV RUNNIN' REBELS for our CBB Saturday Enforcer. UNLV had a miserable season last year as it finished 4-14 in the Mountain West Conference and it is off to a 2-3 start this season. The road team is 5-0 in its five conference games and while the Rebels are 5-3 over their last eight games, they are 0-8 ATS in those contests which will bring concern to some but all that does is put the public on the other side and add line value to their side. This is a very balanced team and while still rather young, the Rebels brought in a top 20 recruiting class and this is the time of year those players can start gelling. Colorado St. is 3-4 in the MWC and like UNLV, the road team has dominated, going 6-1 in its seven conference games. Typically, the Rams have a very strong home court edge, but they are just 6-3 against Division I opponents and outscoring opponents by just over three ppg. They are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 home games against teams with a winning road record. Colorado St. lost its last game at home against Air Force, but it suffered a much bigger loss as guard Prentiss Nixon, who leads the team with 17.9 ppg, hurt his ankle late in the game and while he is listed as doubtful, he will most likely be out. 10* (611) UNLV Runnin' Rebels |
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01-20-18 | Missouri v. Texas A&M -5.5 | Top | 49-60 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the TEXAS A&M AGGIES as part of our CBB TV Ultimate Trifecta. Texas A&M has let us down in its last two games, but we can expect one of its best efforts in a while today as it needs to ride the momentum from its first conference win of the season. The Aggies opened the season 0-5 in the SEC as it dealt with injuries and suspensions, but they are back to full strength for the third straight game and despite the 1-5 conference record, they are ranked No. 35 in the RPI and while that is a big drop from non-conference time, it shows this is still a very strong team. They blew an eight-point halftime lead in the last game against Mississippi to win by just two points as they went just 8-16 from the free throw line after coming into the game shooting 70 percent from the charity stripe. Missouri is having a fine season despite the loss of freshman phenom Michael Porter Jr. who was lost for the season after the first game as the Tigers are 13-5 overall. They are coming off a win over Tennessee and have covered three straight games and one of their strengths will be negated in this matchup. They are a strong rebounding team but Texas A&M in ranked No. 4 in the nation in rebounding. The Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win. 10* (602) Texas A&M Aggies |
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01-20-18 | Creighton v. Providence -1 | Top | 71-85 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the PROVIDENCE FRIARS as part of our CBB TV Ultimate Trifecta. Providence has bounced back from a pair of losses by winning its last three games including a pair of victories over to p30 teams to improve to 4-2 in the Big East Conference. They remain home where they are 9-2 on the season, the losses coming against Minnesota, which was at full strength at the time, and Marquette in overtime. This is an under the radar team that is not getting the credit it deserves as all five starters from the 20-win season from a year ago are back and they are the most experienced team in the conference. Creighton is coming off a blowout win over Seton Hall to improve to 5-2 in the conference. Of those seven games, the home team has won six of those as the only host blemish was a Bluejays win at Georgetown. They are 12-0 at home but just 2-3 on the road. Creighton did get some bad news as top big man Martin Krampelj has been lost for the season as he tore his ACL last game. He is the No. 3 scorer on the team with 11.9 ppg and the leading rebounder at 8.1 rpg. Providence will be out to avenge a 19-point loss suffered in Omaha on New Year's Eve as it improves upon its 15-5 ATS run in Big East games. 10* (574) Providence Friars |
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01-20-18 | Texas v. West Virginia -9 | Top | 51-86 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS as part of our CBB TV Ultimate Trifecta. It has been an inspirational run for Texas which won its first game after guard Andrew Jones was diagnosed with leukemia in an overtime win over TCU, lost at Oklahoma St. by just a point and then beat Texas Tech at home on Wednesday by nine points. The two wins in this stretch were quality victories but both came at home and the Longhorns are 2-2 on the road, the last two resulting in losses. The Longhorns are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win. West Virginia was rolling along until last weekend as it was riding a 15-game winning streak before losing by a point at Texas Tech and then losing at home against Kansas, blowing double-digit leads in both of those games. The Mountaineers dropped to No. 19 in the RPI, but this setup is eerily similar to the same exactly one year ago when the Mountaineers dropped games to Oklahoma and Kansas St. before ending the skid against No. 2 Kansas, 85-69, at the Coliseum three days later. West Virginia also has the schedule advantage as it has not played since Monday and getting to remain home while Texas has two fewer days off and has to take travel into consideration. The Mountaineers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following an ATS loss. 10* (564) West Virginia Mountaineers |
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01-20-18 | George Washington v. VCU -8 | Top | 63-87 | Win | 100 | 19 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the VCU RAMS for our CBB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. VCU got off to a 3-1 start in the A-10 but hit the road and got annihilated at Dayton by 27 points and it could recover coming back home, losing to Richmond by 15 points as an 8.5-point favorite. That puts the Rams in a great spot Saturday to rebound in a big way before they hit the road for two more games. The normally strong defense has not been very good this season but facing a very poor George Washington offense can cure those problems. Despite the recent loss, they have covered five of their last seven home games. We played on George Washington this week as it snapped a four-game slide with a blowout win over George Mason but that was at home where it has been solid at 9-3 but the road has been an issue as it is 0-7 including a 0-5 in five true road games while getting outscored by nearly 20 ppg. The Colonials are averaging just 57.2 ppg on 38 percent shooting on the road and have been held to 52 and 45 points in two of their three road conference games. Going back, they have covered just three of their last 17 road games while going 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (532) VCU Rams |
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01-19-18 | Spurs v. Raptors -5 | Top | 83-86 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
The Spurs conclude their three-game roadtrip where they split their first two games against the Hawks and Nets. San Antonio is just 11-14 on the road and of those 11 wins, only two have been against teams that are in current playoff positions. The Spurs are shorthanded again as three of their four leading scorers are sitting out Friday and this is not the spot for that to be the case. Currently, the Spurs play the third slowest pace in the NBA while the Raptors play the ninth fastest. Which team dictates the pace will have the clear edge and that typically goes to the home teams and with three players being out and a shorter bench than normal, the Raptors should try to consistently play with pace. Toronto defeated Detroit on Wednesday to snap a two-game slide and it will be up for a solid effort tonight. The Raptors have the second-best NBA home record this season with a 16-3 record at the Air Canada Centre and will be out to avenge four straight losses to the Spurs and this is the best tine to do so. The Raptors were without Jonas Valanciunas in the first meeting this season and it showed as they were outrebounded 55-34 in the contest. San Antonio is 1-5 ATS this season as an underdog of three or more points while the Raptors are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. 10* (802) Toronto Raptors |
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01-19-18 | Buffalo v. Western Michigan +4 | Top | 84-74 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
Western Michigan is coming off a heartbreaking 73-71 loss at Kent St. on a last-second shot Tuesday. The Broncos sit at 11-7 overall and 3-2 in the MAC and they came into the season as the preseason favorites to win the MAC West following a 24-8 2016-17 season and four starters from that team returning. Despite the loss, Western Michigan has won five of its last seven games and have won three straight at home while dating back to last season, the Broncos have won 11 of their last 13 MAC regular season games. University Arena has been one of the best environments to play and head coach Steve Hawkins has proven to have his teams ready as going back, the Broncos are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 games as home underdogs. Buffalo is the best team in the MAC as it is 5-0 but despite being the lone undefeated conference team, being the road favorite here seems a bit aggressive against a team of this caliber. The Bulls possess a great offense but with that comes a very poor defense as they are allowing 77.5 ppg which is No. 275 in the country. The Bulls are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up win of more than 20 points while the Broncos are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 home games against teams with a winning road record. 10* (820) Western Michigan Broncos |
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01-18-18 | St. Mary's +7.5 v. Gonzaga | Top | 74-71 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
For the first time in a long time, Gonzaga enters a game against St. Mary's with a lower RPI although the line may want you to think differently. The Bulldogs made a magical run to the NCAA Championship last season and while they would be just fine again this year, a big dropoff was expected based on the loss of four double-digit scorers and they would not be a national powerhouse. Of course, do not tell that to the AP Poll voters which have Gonzaga No. 13 in the nation despite an RPI of No. 57. This is one of the biggest disparities in the country and because of the way it goes, we are getting incredible line value on St. Mary's. Defensively, the Bulldogs were hurt as well as they are allowing 9.4 points more per game than last season and are allowing opponents to shoot nearly seven percentage points higher from beyond the three-point line. That defense will be put to the test tonight as the Gaels lead the nation in field goal percentage at 52.4 percent, are second in assist-to-turnover ratio at 1.85, are fourth in turnovers per game with 9.6 tpg, are eighth in assists with 337 and are 12th in three-point shooting at 41.3 percent. St. Mary's is ranked 11 spots higher in the RPI and has played a tough schedule, both non-conference and in the WCC. 10* (559) St. Mary's Gales |
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01-18-18 | North Texas v. Louisiana Tech -6.5 | Top | 65-66 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
Louisiana Tech finished 14-4 in C-USA last season and was expected to contend again this season, but things have not started very good for the Bulldogs. They are 1-5 in the conference, which is good for last place, and while making excuses about losing typically do not fly, the schedule has not been in their favor. They have played four of the top six teams based on RPI and all four of those games took place on the road. Despite the record, Louisiana Tech is ranked fifth in the conference in RPI which shows how the strength of schedule can play a big role in how teams are ranked. This is the start of a three-game homestand and the start of a six-game stretch where the Bulldogs can easily go 6-0 and push their way to the upper half of the conference. North Texas has been just the opposite as it is 3-2 in C-USA after winning just two conference games last season, but it has played the third easiest conference schedule thus far. The Mean Green opened the season 1-5 on the road, but they have won three in a row however those games were at Rice, UTSA and UTEP, three of the five worst teams in the conference. This line has come down from opening with a lot of that due to the fact the public going against the Bulldogs and their 0-5 ATS run. 10* (528) Louisiana Tech Bulldogs |
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01-18-18 | Magic v. Cavs -10.5 | Top | 103-104 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
Laying double-digits in the NBA is not recommended on a regular basis but there are situations where it is warranted, and this is one of those. Cleveland has lost four straight games after a home loss against Golden St. and there have been speculations about the locker room falling apart and head coach Tyrone Lue having lost his team. Neither of those are correct but one thing is for sure, the Cavaliers need to start winning again even though this midseason skid seems to take place every year. Cleveland won the last meeting in Orlando earlier this month, but it has not forgotten the 21-point loss the Magic handed them on this floor earlier in the season and the Cavaliers will be out to make up for that. 10 of their last 13 games have been on the road so the schedule has been demanding and prior to the loss to the Warriors, Cleveland was 13-0 in its last 13 home games. Orlando is coming off an upset win over Minnesota in its last game and while the spot here is typically a very good one, this one is unique in what it is heading in to. The public is on the Magic here based on the Cavaliers 0-11 ATS record at home against losing teams and 0-11 ATS record as double-digit favorites so we are bucking those in one of the top contrarian situations you will come across. 10* (502) Cleveland Cavaliers |
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01-18-18 | Northeastern v. William & Mary -1 | Top | 90-70 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
William & Mary is coming off a couple firsts in its last game and they were not good ones as the Tribe lost their first conference game of the season after a 5-0 start and they lost their first home game of the season after a 7-0 start. William & Mary has won 20 of its last 22 games inside Kaplan Arena while going back further, the Tribe are 44-8 at home. Over the last two years, they are averaging 92.8 ppg at home, while shooting 54.4 percent from the floor and 45.8 percent from three-point range. This season, the Tribe lead the country in free throw shooting at 81.9 percent, while ranking second in three-point shooting at 44.5 percent and eighth in overall shooting at 51.0 percent. They are 5-1 this season after a game where they scored fewer than 80 points. Northeastern is coming off an overtime win at UNC-Wilmington last Saturday to improve to 4-2 in the CAA and 4-4 on the road. A win over Elon is the only quality conference win and that came at home as going back, the Huskies are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Meanwhile, the Tribe are 19-6-2 ATS in their last 27 games following a double-digit loss at home. 10* (510) William & Mary Tribe |
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01-17-18 | Jazz v. Kings +4 | Top | 120-105 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 17 m | Show |
Utah hits the road following a home loss against Indiana on Monday and it has been a struggle since starting the season 13-11 as the Jazz are 4-15 over their last 19 games. That certainly raises a question mark about them being favored in this spot despite facing one of the worst teams in the NBA. The thing about it is, Utah is part of that group as well as it is just four games better than the Kings and it is four games worse in the home/road splits. The Jazz are just 4-18 on the road including a 2-11 record in their last 13 roadies. Additionally, the Jazz are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 road games against teams with a losing home record and this season, they are 1-3 straight up and ATS as road favorites. Sacramento has dropped five straight games although it is coming off one of its best defensive efforts of the season against the Thunder. This is a young but talented roster that has shown signs of what it is capable of as it owns impressive home wins over Cleveland, Denver, Portland and Oklahoma City. These teams are very even in terms of the level of competition as their strength of schedules are nearly the same while both teams are 5-8 against teams ranked outside the top 16. 10* (718) Sacramento Kings |
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01-17-18 | Wizards +1.5 v. Hornets | Top | 109-133 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
The Wizards concluded a disappointing 2-3 homestand with a loss against Milwaukee on Monday and remains a half-game behind Miami in the Southeast Division. It was the sixth straight non-cover for the Wizards, so we have a solid contrarian angle which opens value in the number as this is a game they would typically be favored in. Washington has played down to the competition in many instances this season so while facing a sub-.500 team brings some concerns, it is an underdog which is more important. The Wizards are 11-3 ATS as underdogs this season, winning nine of those games outright. Washington is still a top ten team in the latest power rankings and that spells trouble for Charlotte which is just 4-13 against top ten teams this season. Those four victories are tied for fourth fewest amongst all teams in the NBA. The home floor has been nothing special for the Hornets which are 11-12 both straight up and against the number. The Hornets are coming off a win at Detroit on Monday and putting together winning streaks has been a real issue as they have won consecutive games only once since November 22. They are 1-8 in their last nine games following a win while going 1-6-1 ATS in those games. 10* (701) Washington Wizards |
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01-17-18 | George Mason v. George Washington -5 | Top | 68-80 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
It has been a rough stretch for George Washington as it has lost four straight games after a 1-0 start in the Atlantic Ten, but it has been a challenging schedule. Three of the four losses came against the top three teams in the conference with Rhode Island, Davidson and Duquesne a combined 13-2. Those three games all came in succession so facing Richmond on the road after that was a spot where the Colonials had very little energy and it showed in the 10-point loss on Saturday. They head back home where they are 8-3 with two of those losses against teams ranked in the top 25 of the RPI. George Mason is coming off a pair of narrow wins at home to move to 3-2 in the conference and those games ended a three-game homestand. This marks the first road game in two weeks for the Patriots which are getting outscored by nearly seven ppg. The Patriots are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven road games against teams with a winning home record. This has been a lopsided series as George Washington has won all eight meetings since the Patriots joined the Atlantic Ten and holds an 18-2 advantage in the series history. 10* (740) George Washington Colonials |
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01-17-18 | Iowa v. Rutgers +1 | Top | 64-80 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
Rutgers got off to a solid start this season by going 10-3 in its 13 non-conference games, but it has been a struggle in the conference. It has played the toughest conference schedule of all Big Ten teams and it is the No. 11 ranked conference schedule in the country, so its 1-5 record is not much of a surprise. The Scarlet Knights have played Michigan St. twice, Purdue. Ohio St. and Minnesota. The Scarlet Knights were coming off a brutal overtime loss against Michigan St. on the road and it was tough for them to recover from as they were blown out at home against Ohio St. on Sunday by 20 points. That loss to the Spartans shows what they are capable of and tonight presents a must win spot with a game at Michigan on deck. The Hawkeyes are coming off their first conference win as they defeated Illinois although it took overtime to do so. The Illini are the only remaining winless team in the conference so that win by Iowa was far from impressive and now this is the third straight game for the Hawkeyes where they are just 1-4 on the season. Those four losses have come by an average of 15.3 ppg and the Scarlet Knights are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a losing road record. 10* (742) Rutgers Scarlet Knights |
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01-17-18 | Auburn v. Alabama +2.5 | Top | 71-76 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
It has been a hell of a turnaround season for Auburn which is just two wins shy from its total from all last season as it is 16-1 and riding a 14-game winning streak. The Tigers are coming off a win at Mississippi St. as they overcame an 11-point halftime lead, and this has been the story this season. Auburn is 4-1 this season in games in which the Tigers have trailed by at least 10 points and this will not last. It will be strength vs. strength and we will back the tough home defense. Alabama ranks as one of the top defenses in the SEC in conference games as coming into the Auburn game, the Crimson Tide leads the conference in blocks (6.8) and steals (8.2), while ranking second in scoring defense (65.2) and field goal percentage defense (.364). Auburn is one of the top offensive teams in the country as it enters the contest leading the SEC in scoring offense (86.5 ppg), scoring margin (+13.9) and free throw percentage (.779). The Tide have won their last two games to improve to 3-2 in the conference and despite a very young roster, they were picked to finish No. 3 in the SEC. Alabama is 7-1 at home this season and the two home conference wins have come by 22 and 14 points. 10* (746) Alabama Crimson Tide |
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01-16-18 | Ole Miss v. Texas A&M -10 | Top | 69-71 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
We played on Texas A&M on Saturday and while it outshot Tennessee 44.4 percent to 41 percent, it failed to win the battle of the small things as it was outscored 20-6 from the free throw line, lost the battle of the offensive boards 13-5 and committed seven more turnovers than the Volunteers. It was the first game in a month where all players were available, and the early season cohesion was not back in place, but we should see that come together tonight heading back to College Station. The Aggies are 0-5 in the SEC after an 11-1 record in non-conference play, so things turned south quickly as injuries and suspensions took their toll, but we will back Texas A&M in its first home game at full strength since December 9. Mississippi improved to 3-2 in the SEC with a home upset over Florida on Saturday which was its first outright win this season as an underdog. The Rebels moved to 9-3 at home but they now hit the road where they are 0-3 and the losses have come by 15, 11 and 19 points. Mississippi has failed to cover in all five games away from home and despite the winning conference record, the Rebels are the second lowest ranked team in the SEC RPI. 10* (546) Texas A&M Aggies |
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01-16-18 | Wolves v. Magic +8 | Top | 102-108 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
Minnesota hits the road following a perfect 5-0 homestand to increase its lead to 4.5 games over Oklahoma City in the Northwest Division while moving into a tie with San Antonio for third place in the Western Conference. The Timberwolves have been dominant at home with an 18-6 record, but they have been average on the road as they are 11-10 and while they do own some wins over poor teams, they have typically struggled in this spot as they are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of less than .400. Additionally, Minnesota has a big game at Houston Thursday night so a lookahead aspect comes into play as well. Orlando is going through a poor stretch as it has dropped seven straight games but has been competitive as five of those losses have been by fewer points than what it is getting tonight. The Magic have won just three times in 22 tries as road underdogs but have won four games as home underdogs so they have clearly been better on their home floor. The Magic have had three days off since their last game which can help shake off the sting of this recent drought. 10* (502) Orlando Magic |
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01-16-18 | Louisville v. Notre Dame -3 | Top | 82-78 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
Notre Dame is coming off a crushing defeat on Saturday against North Carolina as a last second shot to win the game did not fall and the Irish lost by a point. That was the second straight loss but there is good news on the horizon. They will welcome the return of senior guard Matt Farrell, as the captain missed the last three and a half games while recovering from a sprained left ankle suffered late in the first half Jan. 3 against NC State. Notre Dame went 1-2 in the three full games it played without its second-leading scorer (15.9) and leader in assists (5.0). The Irish have covered five of their last seven games following a straight up loss and have covered all three home games against winning teams. Louisville has won two straight games following a home win over Virginia Tech on Saturday and the Cardinals have also covered their last four games. That is significant enough to keep this line down and Louisville comes in with a 1-3 record on the road. The lone victory came against a rebuilding Florida St. team and much better Cardinals teams have had trouble winning in this building. The Cardinals are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600. 10* (526) Notre Dame Fighting Irish |
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01-15-18 | Florida State v. Boston College +3.5 | Top | 75-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
As is the case most years, Boston College was picked to finish near the bottom of the ACC, but it has held its own thus far. The Eagles are 2-3 in the conference which matches their ACC wins from all of last season and this includes that standout win over Duke in their conference opener. While they are just 1-3 since then, two losses against Virginia and Clemson, ranked No. 2 and No. 7 in the RPI, came by a combined five points. Boston College is 10-1 at home and it has covered four of its last five games against teams with a winning record. Florida St. is coming off a double-overtime win over Syracuse on Saturday which puts it in a tough situational spot based on the added minutes and travel two days later. The Seminoles are also 2-3 in the conference and are overpriced here. They will be without a big contributor in P.J. Savoy who was hurt in the Syracuse game and while Terance Mann will be back after missing one game, how healthy he is remains in question. 10* (732) Boston College Eagles |
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01-15-18 | Knicks v. Nets -2.5 | Top | 119-104 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 55 m | Show |
Both New York and Brooklyn are coming off overtime losses in their last game, but the Nets have the edge of an extra day off. The Knicks are coming off a tough loss yesterday as they fell in overtime to the Pelicans to fall to 15-9 at home. The road has been a different story as New York is just 4-15 on the highway and the spot today is even worse because of the game yesterday. The Knicks are 0-6 this season playing with no rest on the road. The Nets are the second most profitable team in the NBA this season and while a lot of that is due to big underdog numbers, they are 5-1 ATS this season when favored by fewer than four points. They are coming off an overtime loss in Washington where they rallied back from a 23-point deficit in a game they never even led. Brooklyn is on a roll with eight covers over its last nine games and it will be out for double-revenge today following a pair of losses to the Knicks earlier in the season. 10* (710) Brooklyn Nets |
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01-14-18 | Pacers v. Suns +4 | Top | 120-97 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
Phoenix was supposed to be one of the worst teams in the NBA this season, but it has been far from it. The Suns will not be challenging for the division or sniffing the playoffs this season but having one of the youngest rosters in the league, they are looking good for the future. Phoenix is 7-6 since mid-December with three of those losses coming against three of the best teams in the league in Minnesota, San Antonio and Houston. Overall, the Suns have struggled against the top teams which comes as no surprise, but against teams ranked outside the top 16, they are 11-7 and that is where the Pacers reside. They overcame a 22-point deficit against the Cavaliers in their last game to pull off the miracle upset on Friday and now they are in a tough spot in a letdown situation coupled with travel and being a road favorite. While Indiana has been above average at home, it is just 8-10 on the road and of its last six road wins, only one has come against a team with a better record than Phoenix. The Suns are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss. 10* (806) Phoenix Suns |
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01-14-18 | Indiana State v. Missouri State -10 | Top | 73-76 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
This line may seem high given two teams with identical 3-2 conference records, but this line could be higher as Missouri St. and Indiana St. are not in the same class. Missouri St. was the overwhelming favorite to win the MVC this season and after opening 3-0, things were on pace. However, the Bears have dropped their last two games although those were both on the road and they head back home where they are 7-1. The roster does not look very intimidating with just one double-digit scorer, but Alize Johnson is the leading candidate for MVC Player of the Year as he is averaging 15.2 ppg and 11.4 rpg and he is second on the team with 41 assists. After that, it is all about depth as the Bears have seven players averaging between 6.2 and 9.3 ppg and that can be scary for any opposition. Indiana St. won its last time out with a two-point victory over Northern Iowa to improve to 3-2 in the Valley. The Sycamores are just 8-9 overall and while a win over Indiana to open the season was nice, that is a distant memory because of bad losses to Ball St., North Texas and Elon. One look at the RPI shows Missouri St. sitting at the top and Indiana St. sitting at the bottom, over 100 spots separating the two. 10* (816) Missouri St. Bears |
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01-14-18 | Jaguars v. Steelers -7.5 | Top | 45-42 | Loss | -100 | 119 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH STEELERS for our NFL Game of the Week. We played against Jacksonville last week and it survived an ugly game at home against the Bills as the defense stepped up when needed but the offense was horrific with just 230 yards. While Blake Bortles managed the team during the season to get the Jaguars to this point, he is not the answer as he missed so many throws against Buffalo and the Steelers will make him pay this week unless he improved immensely in a week which is not likely. You can look at the first meeting where Jacksonville won 30-9 but the Jaguars were outgained by close to 60 yards, scored two defensive touchdowns, Ben Roethlisberger tossed five interceptions and Leonard Fournette ripped off a 90-yard touchdown run with less than two minutes left when the game was already decided. It was the worst game of the season for the Steelers by far and while finding motivation in the playoffs is never an issue, Pittsburgh should bring a little extra this week based on that performance. Pittsburgh was a suspect call against the Patriots from finishing the season 11-0 so it is playing at a high level and despite most of the players having two straight weeks off, that should give them a lot of extra energy and these veteran players do not have to worry about rust. The best possible news is the return of wide receiver Antonio Brown who misses two and a half games with a calf injury. The Steelers add to their 7-1 ATS run in home playoff games. 10* (306) Pittsburgh Steelers |
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01-13-18 | Valparaiso v. Northern Iowa -4 | Top | 76-81 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTHERN IOWA PANTHERS as part of our CBB ESPN Ultimate Trifecta. After a 0-3 start in its first season in the Missouri Valley Conference, Valparaiso has won two straight games by double-digits, albeit both games being played at home. The Crusaders hit the road again with some positive momentum, but they have really struggled on the highway of late as they have lost six of their last seven games on the road. This move is a big step up from the Horizon where Valparaiso posted the best overall record in its time there but after losing four starters, it was picked to finish sixth in the 10-team conference. It is still without second leading scorer Joe Burton who is serving a suspension. One of the contenders coming into the season was Northern Iowa but it is off to a 0-5 start although that is a bit deceiving. Four of the Panthers losses have come in the final minute including both games played at home. If this sounds familiar, it is as the Panthers started 0-5 in the MVC last season only to go on a 9-1 run over its next 10 games. They are one of the best defensive teams in the country as they are No. 8 in scoring defense at 61.2 ppg. 10* (638) Northern Iowa Panthers |
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01-13-18 | Wichita State v. Tulsa +11.5 | Top | 72-69 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the TULSA GOLDEN HURRICANE as part of our CBB ESPN Ultimate Trifecta. Wichita St. has won six straight games including its first four AAC games in its first year in the conference. They have not been overly impressive however as the last two have come against the worst two teams in the conference while the only other road game resulted in a 10-point win at Connective which is ranked lower on the RPI, yet the Shockers are favored by a higher amount. This is no doubt a very good team, but they have not been dominating as much as people think as they are just 3-4 ATS when laying between 10 and 20 points. Tulsa returns home following a pair of road losses to drop its record to 3-2 in the conference and will get a chance to redeem itself against its biggest rival. This is the first time these two teams have met as members of the AAC, but Tulsa has faced the Shockers more than any other opponent. The Golden Hurricane are 7-1 at home this season while going 12-0 at home during the month of January since joining the AAC. Keeping that alive would be a pressure free cover but the inflated line is on our side. 10* (636) Tulsa Golden Hurricane |
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01-13-18 | Nets v. Wizards -9.5 | Top | 113-119 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
We played on Washington two games back and it ended up losing outright to Utah, but it was able to bounce back last night with a win against Orlando although it was a closer than expected game and the Wizards failed to cover again. They have now gone four straight games without covering as they continue to play down to the competition. Last night for example, they entered the fourth quarter tied with the Magic which should not be the deal considering they are 12.5 games better. While Washington may be considered to be in a similar spot tonight against a below average team, the situation is different. The Wizards have faced Brooklyn twice this season and they lost both games outright including the last one three days before Christmas by 35 points, so payback is in store. The Nets are coming off a win in Atlanta last night to improve to 7-13 on the road. They have not won consecutive road games this season and are 0-4 in the second of back-to-back road games playing with no rest. Washington meanwhile is 4-2 straight up and ATS when playing with no rest and having no travel here is a big advantage. 10* (508) Washington Wizards |
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01-13-18 | Texas A&M +2.5 v. Tennessee | Top | 62-75 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
This is a play on the TEXAS A&M AGGIES for our CBB Game of the Week. The Aggies opened the season 11-1 after the non-conference part of the schedule but things went sour. There were a couple minor injuries and two suspensions that really hurt the chemistry of this team and Texas A&M dropped its first four SEC games, the last two coming by a single point against LSU and Kentucky. Second leading scorer DJ Hogg missed the missed two SEC games while third leading scorer Admon Gilder missed the first three SEC games, both because of suspensions but both returned against Kentucky and the Aggies nearly pulled off the upset on Tuesday. They are hoping to get Duane Wilson back today who has been out with a minor knee injury. Tennessee has won two straight after dropping its first two SEC games and it heads back home where it is an overwhelmingly public consensus favorite. This is due to the Aggies 0-4 conference record which needs to have an asterisk next to it. The Volunteers are 6-2 at home with one impressive win over Kentucky and the other five against nobody and they have covered just once in their last five games at home. 10* (605) Texas A&M Aggies |
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01-13-18 | Texas v. Oklahoma State -2 | Top | 64-65 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA ST. COWBOYS as part of our CBB ESPN Ultimate Trifecta. Texas is coming off an inspirational win as it defeated TCU in overtime in dedication to guard Andrew Jones who was diagnosed with leukemia earlier in the day and it was an all-out effort for the Longhorns as they handed the Horned Frogs just their third loss of the season. As special as that was, it leads to a massive letdown as going from the euphoria of that victory to a road game three days later is tough to get up for. Oklahoma St. is coming off a loss at Kansas St. the same night to fall to 1-3 in the Big XII. The other two defeats came against Oklahoma and West Virginia, the two top teams in the conference RPI. The 19-game win streak over unranked opponents was snapped in the loss against the Wildcats, but the homecourt win streak over unranked opponents remains intact at 14 games. The Cowboys are 9-2 at home with losses coming against West Virginia and Wichita St. which are a combined 29-3 so those can be forgiven. The Cowboys are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS loss. 10* (604) Oklahoma St. Cowboys |
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01-13-18 | Falcons v. Eagles +3 | Top | 10-15 | Win | 100 | 99 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES for our NFL Saturday Enforcer. The loss of Carson Wentz is huge for the Eagles as many are saying the Super Bowl is now out of reach and that is being shown in this line. While there is a downgrade at quarterback for Philadelphia, Nick Foles is more than adequate to carry the team with his 87.4 career passer rating to go along with 61 touchdowns and 29 interceptions. The one thing being overshadowed is the Eagles defense that is No. 4 in the NFL in both total defense and scoring defense. That defense is even better at home where they are allowing just 13.4 ppg and 280.6 ypg and this is where the difference will lie. We won with Atlanta last weekend over the Rams as it got fortunate because of a pair of fumbles and it was outgained by 39 yards overall. The cover was never in jeopardy, but the public will see that win and give the Falcons too much credit. Despite a 6-3 record on the road, Atlanta is getting outscored on average as the defense has not played as good away from home which comes as no surprise. The playoff experience is important as mentioned last week but there is too much of an adjustment with this line as the Falcons go from +6.5 road underdogs to -3 road favorites and this is the first time since the NFL expanded the playoff field to 12 teams that a No. 1 seed is an underdog in the divisional round. 10* (302) Philadelphia Eagles |
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01-13-18 | Auburn v. Mississippi State +2 | Top | 76-68 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the MISSISSIPPI ST. BULLDOGS for our CBB Saturday CBB Enforcer. Some expected for Auburn to have a solid season coming off an 18-14 record last year and returning a bulk of its roster but not many saw this coming. The Tigers are off to a 15-1 start including 13 straight victories while starting SEC play at 3-0. The 13-game winning streak is the longest since Dec. 1, 1999 to Jan. 19, 2000 so this is definitely something special. They are 3-0 on the road and because they are ranked and laying a short price, they are one of the biggest public consensus plays of the day as they are the eighth highest road play. While this is a feel-good story, it will not last forever and it heads to one of the toughest environments in college hoops this season and to make it worse, Auburn has a game at rival Alabama on deck. The Bulldogs are 13-3 overall including 1-2 in the conference with both of those losses coming on the road in their last two games. Mississippi St. is 12-0 at home and a win today would make it 14 straight home wins dating back to last season which would tie a program record. The Bulldogs are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up loss. 10* (568) Mississippi St. Bulldogs |
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01-13-18 | Creighton v. Xavier -3.5 | Top | 70-92 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the XAVIER MUSKETEERS for our Saturday CBB Star Attraction. The Big East has three teams ranked in the top ten in the current RPI and one of those iz Xavier, coming in at No. 8. The Musketeers are 15-3 and are coming off a pair of road losses at Providence and Villanova and neither were very pretty, so there will be plenty of motivation this afternoon to get things back to where they were. The Musketeers possess one of the best home court advantages in the nation as they are 239-35 (.872) all-time at Cintas Center, including 11-0 this season. The .872 all-time winning percentage is ranked sixth in the nation. While we think the AP Poll is useless, Xavier has an 8-2 record in games that have involved two AP Top 25 teams at Cintas Center, including wins over Baylor and Cincinnati this season. This is important considering Creighton is ranked in the top 25 yet is sitting at No. 30 in the RPI so this is one of those situations where we get value because of an overrated AP ranked team. The Bluejays are 14-3 including a 4-1 conference record but three of those wins were at home and the only real road test resulted in a loss at Seton Hall. Bad time for them to visit Xavier. 10* (544) Xavier Musketeers |
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01-13-18 | Georgia Tech v. Pittsburgh +5.5 | Top | 69-54 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PANTHERS for our CBB Saturday Ultimate Underdog. We won with Georgia Tech on Wednesday as it defeated an undermanned Notre Dame team to win its third straight game and knock down its fourth straight cover. The Yellow Jackets are now 2-1 in the ACC and 9-7 overall and despite the victory over Notre Dame, they fell in the RPI and are now the lowest ranked ACC team heading into Saturday. Part of the problem has been an easy schedule to go along with a 0-3 record on the road as well as some poor losses including Wofford, Grambling St. and Wright St. And now they come in favored on the road and at a pretty big number. Seeing that Pittsburgh is 0-4 on the road may make the line more sensible but it actually does not. The Panthers have played the second toughest ACC schedule thus far with games against Duke, Virginia Tech, Louisville and Miami and were double-digit underdogs in all four games including two at home. Now they finally catch a break with their first winnable game in three weeks and the Panthers have not lost five consecutive games to open league play since joining the ACC. 10* (554) Pittsburgh Panthers |
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01-12-18 | Grizzlies v. Nuggets -7.5 | Top | 78-87 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
Denver has lost three straight games including an embarrassing home loss against Atlanta on Wednesday, just the fourth road win for the Hawks this season, to fall into the No. 7 spot in the Western Conference. It was a rare home loss for the Nuggets which had won 13 of their previous 16 games at home and they have not dropped consecutive home games this season, winning their four games following a loss by an average of 18.5 ppg. With a game at San Antonio tomorrow night, the Nuggets know this is a huge game. Memphis is coming off a win over New Orleans on Wednesday which snapped a two-game slide and it has been an awful stretch for the Grizzlies which are just 6-23 over their last 29 games. Memphis has not won consecutive games since October as it has dropped eight straight games following a victory. On the season, Memphis is 0-7 on the road following a win in its previous game and those losses have been by an average of 10.6 ppg. The Nuggets are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game while the Grizzlies are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win. 10* (816) Denver Nuggets |
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01-12-18 | Jazz v. Hornets -4 | Top | 88-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
We played against Utah on Wednesday and while it was a win for the Jazz, it was more of a loss for Washington which again played down to its competition to fall to 11-10 against teams ranked outside the top 16. Despite the victory, Utah is still just 4-13 over its last 17 games while sitting at 4-17 on the road which remains the worst road record in the Western Conference. The Jazz have not won consecutive games since the start of December and they have lost their last four games following a win by an average of 9.8 ppg. The Jazz are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 road games against teams with a losing home record. It has been an even worst season for Charlotte as it is now 15-24 following a loss against Dallas on Wednesday. That loss put the Hornets a game under .500 at home and it has been a rough stretch since head coach Steve Clifford had to take a leave of absence for health reasons. He is coming back next week, and the Hornets should get a boost of motivation knowing he is back and going back, the Hornets are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss. 10* (804) Charlotte Hornets |
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01-12-18 | Marquette v. Butler -4.5 | Top | 83-94 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
A four-game winning streak capped off by an eight-point upset win over Villanova is a thing of the past as Butler has dropped its last three games. Two of those were on the road as significant road underdogs and the lone home loss came against Seton Hall which is currently No. 9 in the RPI so none of the defeats have been ones they should not have been. Now comes a game where the Bulldogs can not and should not lose while trying to get back to .500 in the Big East. All six of Butler's losses have come against teams ranked in the KenPom Top 35 (with three of those coming on the road and two others on a neutral court). Marquette is outside that ranking which is a good sign based on the Butler downfalls. The Golden Eagles are coming off a huge win over Seton Hall, something Butler could not do, but that provides us with a good spot for a more lethargic Marquette team coming to town. After covering three straight games, and Butler failing to cover three straight, the line value is on the home side with a very motivated bunch. 10* (822) Butler Bulldogs |
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01-11-18 | Stanford v. Washington State +2.5 | Top | 79-70 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
Stanford hits the road following a pair of home upset victories over UCLA and USC which puts the Cardinal in a tough situation here. This is just the second true road game for Stanford with its first resulting in a loss at Long Beach St. by eight points as a 6.5-point favorite and that was a while back. The Cardinal have played six straight home games with this being the first road game since December 3 and on the season, they are 0-4 in all games away from Maples Pavilion. The Cardinal are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games following three or more consecutive home games. Washington St. is off to a 0-3 start in the Pac 12 with two of those losses coming on the road and the latest coming against rival by just five points. The Cougars still have a winning record on the season thanks to a 6-0 start that included impressive wins over San Diego St. and St. Marys, part of their Wooden Legacy Championship. This is the best three-point shooting team in the conference, not good for Stanford which is one of the worst perimeter defenses in the Pac 12. The Cougars are 7-0 ATS in their last seven home games against teams with a losing road record. 10* (546) Washington St. Cougars |
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01-11-18 | Northeastern v. College of Charleston -3 | Top | 66-82 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
College of Charleston, which returned all five starters from the 25-win team from last year, was picked to capture the CAA by a significant amount. The Cougars are just 2-2 in the conference as they opened with a pair of wins at home but suffered two road losses last week, one in overtime at Drexel and the other at Towson in a revenge game for the Tigers. They are back home where they are 7-0 on the season and have won nine straight here with the last loss coming against Northeastern by a point which they have not forgotten. College of Charleston has three of the Top 10 active CAA career scoring leaders in Joe Chealey (1,502), Cameron Johnson (979) and Jarrell Brantley (961). Northeastern comes in with a 3-1 record in the CAA following a 2-1 homestand but two of the three wins came against James Madison which is the worst team in the conference. The Huskies are 3-3 on the road but none are quality wins and going back, they are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (512) College of Charleston Cougars |
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01-11-18 | Marshall v. Charlotte +3 | Top | 91-83 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
Marshall had its three-game winning streak snapped with a 112-87 loss at Western Kentucky last Saturday and that defense has struggled most of the season. The Thundering Herd fell to 1-4 on the road and they are allowing 91.8 ppg on 48.8 percent shooting and this is the game that the Charlotte offense can really get it going. Marshall will be without one of its best players as Ajdin Penava, who is averaging 16.7 ppg and 9.0 rpg, left the last game with an ankle injury. The 49ers have gotten off to a rough start this season, but the schedule has not been in their favor as the early part of the season had games against Oklahoma St., Charleston, Davidson and Wake Forest. Since then, Charlotte has played its last six games on the road so this will be its first home game in over a month. The 49ers are 3-3 on their home floor and while they are 0-3 ATS, those three losses came against much stiffer competition. The Thundering Herd are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a double-digit loss at home while the 49ers are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games following three or more consecutive road games. 10* (516) Charlotte 49ers |
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01-10-18 | Minnesota v. Northwestern -3.5 | Top | 60-83 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
Minnesota was a preseason top 20 team and was picked to finish third in the Big Ten Conference, but things have taken a turn for the worst. Two of the top four scorers are out as the Gophers are without starters Reggie Lynch, who is facing expulsion from sexual assault charges, and Amir Coffey, who is out for a while after suffering a shoulder injury. Jordan Murphy, Nate Mason and Dupree McBrayer combined for 58 points, 14 rebounds, 11 assists and six steals Saturday, but the Gophers still fell 75-71 at home against a shorthanded and rebuilding Indiana team. Minnesota has its five-game winning streak snapped with all those games coming at home and this marks their first road game in four weeks. Northwestern is also off to a disappointing start as it is 10-7 including a 1-3 start in the conference following consecutive 15-point losses. There have been issues on the court but despite the chemistry issues, however, the Wildcats can take solace in the fact that their roster is still complete and physically intact. A pair of player only meetings and intense practices will bring out the real Northwestern team everyone expected. 10* (772) Northwestern Wildcats |
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01-10-18 | Pistons v. Nets +2.5 | Top | 114-80 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
Detroit is coming off a loss in its last game on the road at New Orleans which comes as no surprise as it has lost five straight road games and over the last 10 Pistons games, the home team is a perfect 10-0. This is not because the road games have been against powerful teams and the home games have come against scrubs as they have lost to the likes of Dallas, Orlando and Philadelphia while producing home wins over San Antonio and Houston. This has been an ongoing situation for the underachieving Pistons as they are 3-11-1 ATS in their last 15 games against teams with a winning percentage below .400. The Nets have lost their last two games, both coming at home, but they were quality losses as they fell to Boston by a bucket and to Toronto by one points in overtime. Brooklyn has gone 3-2 in its last five home games and while those losses were impressive, two of the wins were as well as they came against Washington and Minnesota which are a combined 16 games over .500. This has been a calling card this season as the Nets are 8-2 ATS at home against winning teams and overall, they are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (708) Brooklyn Nets |
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01-10-18 | Heat v. Pacers -4.5 | Top | 114-106 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
Miami handed Toronto just its second home loss of the season as Wayne Ellington scored the decisive basket with 0.3 seconds remaining to give the Heat a dramatic 90-89 victory over the Raptors. That was the fifth straight win overall and third straight road win for Miami but not the third straight road win in succession as it was just their third road game since December 20. This has not been a good situation this season as Miami is 0-2 straight up and ATS in its two instances of playing the second of back-to-back road games with no rest. Those losses came by 17 and 29 points. Indiana has won its last two games following a five-game losing streak which included two home losses where it is 13-9 on the season. This has been a great price range this season for the Pacers as they are 10-3 ATS as favorites of fewer than nine points. Miami has lost 10 straight meetings in this series in Indianapolis and will likely be without Tyler Johnson once again and now James Johnson who was involved in a fight last night with Serge Ibaka. Going back, the 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win. 10* (702) Indiana Pacers |
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01-10-18 | Jazz v. Wizards -7.5 | Top | 107-104 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
Washington is playing with revenge as it suffered a 47-point loss in Utah last month which was its worst loss since 1970-71 so there will be plenty of added motivation tonight. While losing that bad is never a good thing, it could have woken up the Wizards as since that defeat, they have gone 11-5 and while they are coming off a loss against Milwaukee last time out, Washington has won its last four games following a loss, the last three coming by double-digits. The Wizards did not have John Wall in that first meeting and will get Otto Porter back tonight after he missed the last game against the Bucks. It has been a struggle for Utah this season as off-season defections and injuries have sent the Jazz into last place in the Northwestern Division. Utah is 3-13 in its last 16 games while possessing the worst road record in the Western Conference at 3-17. Utah is 3-9 ATS this season as an underdog of five or more points while going 0-5 ATS in its last five road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Meanwhile, the Wizards are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up loss. 10* (704) Washington Wizards |
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01-10-18 | St. Joe's v. George Mason +4.5 | Top | 79-81 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
St. Joseph's is coming off a pair of upsets last week as it defeated VCU and St. Bonaventure as an underdog. And both of those games were at home so now in the rare role going from home underdogs to road favorites next time out. While George Mason is not on the same level as VCU and St. Bonaventure, it is on the same level as St. Joseph's as the difference in the RPI numbers is just 19 spots which is minimal when the total amount of teams in the mix is 351. The Hawks are 7-7 overall including a 1-3 record on the road with the lone victory coming at Illinois-Chicago in overtime. George Mason is coming off its worst loss of the season as it was defeated by 27 points against Davidson on Saturday. The game was over before it started which may not be a bad thing moving forward as losses like that are a lot easier to take than a last second loss and going back, the Patriots are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following a double-digit loss at home. 10* (724) George Mason Patriots |
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01-10-18 | Notre Dame v. Georgia Tech -1 | Top | 53-60 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
We played against Notre Dame on Saturday as it traveled to Syracuse and pulled out the victory as it held the Orange to 39.1 percent shooting and 49 points including 21 in the second half. The Irish were able win the battle of the boards including a 17-8 edge on the offensive end while making seven more free throws which was the ultimate difference. Those advantages helped to mask an awful offensive effort as they shot just 30.4 percent themselves which came as no surprise. Notre Dame was without its top two scorers and will be without Bonzie Colson and Matt Farrell again tonight and the challenge on defense will be a lot tougher. Georgia Tech is coming off a non-conference win over Yale on Saturday as it avoided a letdown following a big win over Miami. The Yellow Jackets are 1-1 in the conference and that one loss came against Notre Dame last month so there is instant revenge. Farrell and Colson combined for 32 points and 22 boards so that production will be missed this time around. 10* (736) Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets |
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01-09-18 | Boise State v. Fresno State -3 | Top | 70-64 | Loss | -101 | 16 h 58 m | Show |
Both Boise St. and Fresno St. are coming off overtime games on the road with the Bulldogs winning theirs at Colorado St. while the Broncos lost by a point at Wyoming. Fresno St. has the advantage of returning home carrying some positive momentum as it looks to improve upon its 8-2 record at Save Mart Center. The Bulldogs are 3-3 over their last six games and they are 0-5 ATS over that stretch which adds value to the number for tonight as a contrarian angle. Fresno St. ranks second in the MWC in field goal shooting percentage (49.9 percent), three-point field goal percentage (40.7 percent), offensive rebounding percentage (33.1 percent) and steals (128, 7.5 spg). Boise St. had its three-game winning streak snapped with the loss against the Cowboys as it fell to 2-2 on the road. The Broncos will be going up against one of the best backcourts in the conference as four guards for the Bulldogs are averaging double-digits in scoring. Going back, the Bulldogs are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 games following a straight up win while the Broncos are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games. 10* (562) Fresno St. Bulldogs |
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01-09-18 | Tennessee v. Vanderbilt +2.5 | Top | 92-84 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 54 m | Show |
Tennessee is coming off a win over Kentucky on Saturday as it outscored the Wildcats by 19 points in the second half to make it three straight home wins over Kentucky. The Volunteers now hit the road where they lost last time out in overtime against Arkansas and they come in as the favorite with a lot of that based on the win from Saturday. This is an ideal letdown spot and it is very similar to two years ago when Tennessee defeated Kentucky as home and then went on the road and got blown out against Arkansas. It has been an up and down start for Vanderbilt as it is 6-9 overall including a 1-2 record in the SEC. The Commodores are coming off a loss at South Carolina on Saturday and while they are 6-3 at home, all three losses were decided in the final minute, so they have had some unfortunate luck. They have yet to cover a game at home as the Commodores are 0-6 ATS which is another reason the line is what it is. The Vanderbilt defense has picked it up of late, allowing opponents to shoot just 37.9 percent from the floor over its last five games. 10* (558) Vanderbilt Commodores |
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01-09-18 | Blazers v. Thunder -8 | Top | 117-106 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
Portland heads to Oklahoma City riding a two-game winning streak including a last second victory over San Antonio on Sunday. C.J. McCollum drove the lane and had his running shot bounce on the rim a total of seven times before going in to provide the Blazers with a 111-110 lead with 5.9 seconds to go. They have been a much better team on the road but are in a tough spot tonight with Damian Lillard rules out with a calf injury. He has missed six of the last eight games and they are 2-2 in four road games with the wins coming over the Bulls and Lakers, so the challenge will be difficult tonight. Oklahoma City is coming off a loss in Phoenix on Sunday to snap a two-game winning streak and the Thunder will be out to make up for that as well as put an end to a two-game home losing streak that came just before their three-game roadtrip. Oklahoma City is 14-6 at home after a shaky start and going back, the Thunder are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a winning road record. Meanwhile, the Blazers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (504) Oklahoma City Thunder |
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01-09-18 | Texas Tech v. Oklahoma -3 | Top | 65-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
Texas Tech has been the big surprise in the Big XII as it is off to a 14-1 start including a perfect 3-0 in the conference. The signature win came at Kansas a week ago and the Red Raiders avoided a letdown by heading home and taking care of business against Kansas St. on Saturday. They came into the season not receiving a single vote in the AP Top 25 and are now up to No. 8 in the nation. As pointed out in the past, the AP Poll is meaningless as that is a public poll and the RPI is the better guide. Texas Tech is No. 20 in the RPI which is still solid but shows how it national ranking is overinflated. Oklahoma is coming off a loss at West Virginia as it committed 17 turnovers, but this is a good bounce back spot. Despite that loss, Oklahoma remains the top team in the Big XII RPI at No. 7 as this offense is one of the best around. The Sooners are averaging 94.4 ppg which is tops in the country and this includes a 101.9 ppg average at home where they are a perfect 7-0. 10* (530) Oklahoma Sooners |
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01-07-18 | Bills +9 v. Jaguars | Top | 3-10 | Win | 100 | 71 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the BUFFALO BILLS for our NFL Game of the Week. The Bills snuck into the playoffs thanks to Baltimore losing at home against Cincinnati and while many will not be giving them a chance, they are the type of team that can keep their momentum going. The elation they showed after they made the playoffs shows how much this means to them and their fans, yet the number shows they have no chance. We figure the questionable status of LeSean McCoy is inflating this number somewhat, but he made it to the practice field on Thursday, so he could be able to give it a go. The offense will have struggles against the Jacksonville defense, but we are banking on the bills defense to hold its own as well in what we expect to be a lower scoring game, and the total is backing that up, which favors the underdog. Buffalo enters the playoffs with a -57 scoring differential, the fifth worst in the Super Bowl era but that can be attributed to two bad games against New England, a fluky bad effort at home against New Orleans and the Nathan Peterman experiment against the Chargers. Jacksonville went 6-2 at home this season, all six wins against non-playoff teams and the two losses against playoff teams. Conversely, Buffalo went 3-5 on the road but half of those games were against playoff teams and half of those resulted in wins over Atlanta and Kansas City. The Jaguars were one of the big surprises in the NFL this season but still remain one of the least trustable teams in the league. Limping in with losses in their final two games and playing the easiest schedule in the NFL make them very vulnerable. 10* (105) Buffalo Bills |
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01-06-18 | Falcons +6.5 v. Rams | Top | 26-13 | Win | 100 | 52 h 44 m | Show |
This is a play on the ATLANTA FALCONS for our NFL Saturday Enforcer. While many feel that it was a disappointing season for the Falcons, it was not all that bad. Sure, back-to-back losses at home against Buffalo and Miami with a bye week in-between were bad, everything else was fine. The other four losses came against higher seeded playoff teams and two of those were by three and five points. Atlanta avoided the Super Bowl loss hangover to make it back into the playoffs and it was the only team from the NFC playoff team from last year to make it back this season. The Falcons finished with the third best conference record at 9-3, one game worse than the Eagles and Vikings and they outgained opponents by 46.4 ypg. Additionally, the experience from last year is a big edge. They played the fourth toughest schedule in the league and are ranked higher in the power rankings yet are close to a touchdown underdog in most places. The Rams had a great year in the first season under head coach Sean McVay, but it could be considered a mirage. The offense finished No. 10 and the defense finished No. 19 and the main reason their scoring differential was so high was due to 28 takeaways and that cannot be counted on here, especially against an Atlanta team that gave it up just 18 times. They outgained opponents by 34.2 ppg (taking Week 17 out of the equation) against a schedule that was No. 17 in the NFL and their one win against the top 10 is the second fewest among all playoff teams (Tennessee had zero). Lack of playoff experience will be felt which makes the inflated line even more troublesome. 10* (103) Atlanta Falcons |
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01-06-18 | Marquette v. Villanova -16 | Top | 90-100 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
After starting the season 13-0, Villanova allowed a season-high 101 points in a loss at Butler and it has had a week to stew over that defeat which is not a good sign for Marquette. Had covered eight of their previous nine games and were dominating in their climb up to going after a second National Championship in three years. Losses have been few and far between for the Wildcats for the last few seasons, but head coach Jay Wrights seems to always push the right buttons as the 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a loss while going 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following a non-cover. After a 19-1 start last season, Villanova went to Marquette and lost by a bucket, so it will be out for payback tonight. The Golden Eagles are 2-1 in the Big East following a 95-90 win at Providence in overtime behind 52 points from Markus Howard. It is safe to say the Villanova defense is going to be all over him tonight and he could be in for a very long night. Marquette is 2-0 on the road but this is the biggest test to date and once Villanova gets off to a quick start here, the Wildcats can cruise to an easy victory. 10* (636) Villanova Wildcats |
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01-06-18 | Tulsa v. Memphis -1.5 | Top | 67-76 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
We played on Memphis three games back and it suffered its first home loss of the season and that defeat did not go away as the Tigers have opened AAC action with a pair of losses. They lost to Cincinnati and Central Florida as the offense was completely shut down, but both of those games were on the road and Memphis looks to regain its footing as it heads back home in what is the start of a four-game stretch with all four games winnable ones. The Tigers have failed to cover their last five games and that is being taken into consideration with this line that is too short. Tulsa is off to a 3-0 start in the conference, but this is not sustainable. The Golden Hurricane are coming off a big win against Connecticut in overtime on Wednesday and getting back up off that high will be difficult especially with the travel being taken into consideration. Despite the 3-0 record, Tulsa is No. 7 in the conference RPI and it catches a Memphis team at the wrong time. The Tigers are 1-5 ATS as underdogs so they have not stepped up to the opposition, but they are 3-0 ATS when favored by fewer than seven points. 10* (584) Memphis Tigers |
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01-06-18 | Southern Illinois v. Valparaiso -3.5 | Top | 72-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
Valparaiso probably wishes it was still in the Horizon Conference as it has not been a good start in the Missouri Valley Conference, which is a slight bump up in strength. The Crusaders are 0-3 in their first three games in their new conference and they have lost four straight overall while going 1-7 in their last eight games. To their credit, seven of those eight games were on the road and the lone home game came against Missouri St. which is the preseason favorite to win the MVC. While it may be early to throw around the must win tag, but this is a game that Valparaiso needs leading up to another tough three-game stretch after this. After missing time with mono, Tevonn Walker found his groove last game and can take over on offense. Southern Illinois is 2-1 in the conference, but it has been playing over its head as depth issues are going to catch up to the Salukis. Both wins came by a bucket as free throw shooting has become an issue as Southern Illinois was just 16-30 in those two victories. The Salukis have now lost three players for the season and are playing with seven players that get significant minutes. 10* (590) Valparaiso Crusaders |
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01-06-18 | Notre Dame v. Syracuse -6 | Top | 51-49 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
We won with Syracuse last Sunday as it stifled the potent Virginia Tech offense with its patented zone defense, but the Orange came out slow in its next game against Wake Forest and eventually lost by six points. They are back home where they have only lost once and in a great spot to bounce back and shake off that defeat to improve to 6-0 ATS in their last six games following a loss. There is a bit of revenge in play here as well as Syracuse lost in South Bend last season by 18 points. Notre Dame suffered a big loss when forward and leading scorer Bonzie Colson sustained a broken foot against Georgia Tech and he will be out for at least a month. His teammates rallied around him and drilled NC State by 30 points in his first game out but took another bad break as second leading scorer Matt Farrell hurt his ankle and will not be available today. Those two absences account for 37.3 ppg so there are big issues of where the offense will find production today. The Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win. 10* (538) Syracuse Orange |
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01-06-18 | LSU v. Texas A&M -8.5 | Top | 69-68 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
This is a play on the TEXAS A&M AGGIES for our CBB Game of the Week. Texas A&M was rolling along at 10-1 but then came some issues, most notably three-game suspension to leading scorer DJ Hogg and the Aggies dropped two of those three games. Hogg will be reinstated today, and Texas A&M will be out for blood following a 0-2 start in the SEC after losses against Alabama and Florida by 22 and 17 points respectively. When fully available, this is one of the top teams in the country and we will see that on display today. LSU put up a big fight against Kentucky on Wednesday but lost at home by three points and that will be tough to recover from, especially after blowing a five-point halftime lead. While that may look like an impressive game for the Tigers, numerous Kentucky players were playing with the flu, so the Wildcats were far from full strength. LSU has played just one true road game and it heads to College Station at the wrong time. The Aggies are 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600 while the Tigers are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (562) Texas A&M Aggies |
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01-06-18 | Florida v. Missouri +1.5 | Top | 77-75 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 37 m | Show |
The loss of Michael Porter Jr. a game into the season crushed any sort of NCAA Championship hopes that it had coming into the season, but this is still a very good team that has four starters back from last season. The other Porter brother, Jontay, missed some time but came back last game and put up 19 points in the Tigers win over South Carolina to open the SEC at 1-0. Missouri returns home where it is 7-0 on the season and we often talk about AP Poll rankings against RPI rankings and how the former means little, but it is what the public considers. The Tigers are not ranked, ant not even receiving votes for that matter, it in the AP Poll but they are No. 14 in the latest RPI. Then there is the matter of a 39-point loss in Gainesville last season that the returning players have surely not forgotten about. Florida came into the season as a top ten team according to numerous publications, but a 1-4 stretch sent it tumbling out of the rankings and the Gators now sit No. 56 in the RPI. They are coming off a blowout win at Texas A&M, but the Aggies were shorthanded, and that victory has given Florida too much credit with the linesmakers. The Gators are just 2-6 in their last eight games overall while the Tigers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (540) Missouri Tigers |
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01-05-18 | Hornets v. Lakers +2.5 | Top | 108-94 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 46 m | Show |
The Lakers are having a rough time of it as a 133-96 loss to the Thunder on Wednesday marked their eighth straight loss and 11th in 12 games, a streak that has dropped the Lakers from just outside the Western Conference playoff hunt to the second-worst record in the entire NBA, only one game better than the hapless Hawks. Kyle Kuzma called his teammates out afterward and that is a thing that can help immediately as hurt egos go a long way and now is the time to back Los Angeles. To the Lakers credit, the recent has been brutal as they have played the Warriors, Rockets and Timberwolves twice apiece, as well as the Cavaliers, Blazers and Thunder over their last 12 games. They have covered four of their last five games against the Eastern Conference. Charlotte is coming off a blowout win over Sacramento to improve to 2-1 on this roadtrip with the other win coming against Golden St. and while that was impressive, the Hornets are still a dreadful 4-13 on the road. They have won only one of three games as road favorites and the Hornets are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games against teams with a losing straight up record. 10* (820) Los Angeles Lakers |
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01-05-18 | Raptors v. Bucks +1 | Top | 129-110 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
Toronto has been the best home team in the NBA this season but has not been nearly dominant on the road as it is 12-9 and while that may seem impressive still, digging deeper shows it really is not. Only three of those 12 road wins have come against winning teams and two of those were against New Orleans and Portland which are each just one game over .500. The Raptors have played a relatively easy schedule, ranked No. 24 in the NBA, and they possess just two wins over top ten team which is second fewest in the league ahead of only Chicago and its one victory over the top ten. Milwaukee is on the cusp of the top ten as it has been playing well as after a 4-6 start, it has gone 16-10 over its last 26 games. The Bucks have won three of their last four games with the lone loss coming against Toronto in overtime so there will be added motivation. Milwaukee has gone 11-3 in its last 14 home games and sits just four games behind Cleveland in the Central Division. The Bucks are 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning straight up record while the Raptors are 0-4 ATS in their last four games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (808) Milwaukee Bucks |
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01-05-18 | Wisconsin v. Rutgers +2.5 | Top | 60-64 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
Rutgers is off to a 0-3 start in the Big Ten but tonight is the first opportunity where it can actually win. Those first three games were against Minnesota, Michigan St. and Purdue and those lines were 12.5, 14.5 and 19 respectively so the chances of winning any of those were next to none. While Rutgers won just 15 games last season, it was more than twice as many victories from the previous season. It lost seven Big Ten games by single-digits after losing 15 conference games by double-digits the previous season and it brings back four starters. The Scarlet Knights are 10-6 overall including a 10-4 record at home with one of those losses coming against Michigan St. and the other three came by a combined nine points including a five-point loss to Florida St. Wisconsin has won five straight games including a win over Indiana last time out to improve to 2-1 in the conference. It made another trip to the Sweet 16 last season, but this edition may miss out on all postseason tournaments. The Badgers lost four starters and their current RPI of No. 119 is nothing special. This is their first road game in a month and this is not the easiest of venues for opponents. The Scarlet Knights are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games against teams with a losing road record while the Badgers are 3-9-2 ATS in their last 14 road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (828) Rutgers Scarlet Knights |
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01-04-18 | USC v. California +7 | Top | 80-62 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 37 m | Show |
It has been an up and down start for USC which came into the season as the preseason No. 11 team according to Blue Ribbon but after opening the season 4-0, the Trojans lost three straight games, albeit to three top programs. They rebounded to go 5-1 in their next six games, but the one loss came at home against Princeton and two of the victories were closer than they should have been. Pac 12 play opened with an inexplicable home loss against Washington and while USC bounced back to roll over Washington St. two days later, this team is sill underachieving. The Trojans hit the road for just the second time and they will do so without the services of leading scorer Chimezie Metu for the first half as he is suspended after an altercation against the Cougars and that could prove to be large. Not much was expected from California this season after losing four starters, but it has held its own at 7-7, three losses coming in Maui, and it opened the conference season with a win at Stanford. The Golden Bears have four players averaging double-digits in scoring and possess a strong backcourt that can matchup with the Trojans. 10* (566) California Golden Bears |
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01-04-18 | UTEP v. Southern Miss -2.5 | Top | 75-85 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
The Miners got off to a 1-5 start and then had to deal with the sudden retirement of head coach Tim Floyd which came out of nowhere. UTEP is 5-3 under interim head coach Phil Johnson including a win over Rice in its last game on Saturday but now UTEP hits the road dealing with another issue. Leading scorer Keith Frazier took a leave of absence from the team for personal reasons and while the Miners won their first game without him, beating Rice is no big deal. Additionally, their last nine games were at home and this marks their first road game since November 25 and just the second one on the season. Southern Mississippi is still dealing with scholarship losses as it has only 10 scholarship players, but it is holding its own with a 7-8 record despite losses in four straight games. The Golden Eagles were hammered in their first two conference games but those were against frontrunners Marshall and Western Kentucky and both were on the road. They are 5-0 at home and going back are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 home games against teams with a losing road record. 10* (534) Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles |
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01-04-18 | Texas-San Antonio v. Louisiana Tech -7.5 | Top | 78-76 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
The Bulldogs went 23-10 last season including a 14-4 record in C-USA which was good for a second-place finish and after getting ousted in the conference tournament semifinals, they were completely snubbed by all postseason tournaments. They have three starters back this season and are off to a 9-6 start while possessing a strong and deep backcourt led by DaQuan Bracey and NBA prospect Jacobi Boykins. Four of the six losses have come by a total of 10 points and starting off 0-2 in C-USA will have them ready to go tonight. UTSA has split its first two conference games, both coming at home, and it hits the road where it is 1-4 and has been dominated on the glass by 14.8 rpg. Overall, the Roadrunners have played the fourth easiest schedule in the conference at No. 292 and they are catching the Bulldogs at the absolute worst time. This is the first home game for Louisiana Tech since December 12 and the Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. 10* (526) Louisiana Tech Bulldogs |
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01-03-18 | Pelicans +1.5 v. Jazz | Top | 108-98 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
New Orleans is coming off a pair of losses at home, to the Knicks and Mavericks no less, to drop back down to .500 on the season. The Pelicans have fallen into the No. 8 spot in the Western Conference and while it is too early to worry about playoff positioning, they cannot spiral out of the picture. New Orleans is 9-9 on the road and these are the positions it has thrived in as the Pelicans are 6-0 ATS this season on the road against teams with a losing record. In the first meeting in Salt Lake City this season, the Pelicans had a 16-point advantage over the Jazz early in the third quarter, but New Orleans managed to let a double-digit lead completely evaporate and were forced to take home the disappointing loss. Utah is coming off an upset win over Cleveland in its last game as the Cavaliers gave that game away by missing 13 of their first 14 shots in the third quarter, allowing the Jazz to open the quarter with a 23-3 run that put them ahead for good. Despite their big win over Cleveland, the Jazz have lost 10 of its last 12 after going through a brutal stretch in December that dropped them down to No. 10 in the Western Conference standings. Look for New Orleans to pace this game up which would give it a big advantage and come away with the needed victory. 10* (721) New Orleans Pelicans |
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01-03-18 | Illinois State v. Drake -3.5 | Top | 62-87 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
Both Drake and Illinois St. have jumped out to 2-0 conference records in the first week of MVC action to sit on top of the league standings. This is the first 2-0 start for the Bulldogs since 2007-08 and while many will call it a fluke, this team will continue to make noise as Drake is the eighth most experienced team in the nation with an average experience of 2.46 years on the court at any given time. Reed Timmer, one of five Drake senior guards, leads the MVC with 18.9 ppg and while the Bulldogs lead the conference in scoring., defense has been the team's catalyst in the last three wins as the Bulldogs have held each of those opponents under 40 percent shooting. Illinois St. comes in extremely shorthanded as the injury list keeps growing. Most recent, leading scorer Keyshawn Evans is out with a knee injury and while the Redbirds won their only game without him so far, it took overtime at home to defeat Indiana St., the lowest ranked team in the RPI in the MVC. The Bulldogs are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 games against teams with a winning straight up record. 10* (760) Drake Bulldogs |
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01-03-18 | Richmond v. Fordham -1.5 | Top | 65-69 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
Fordham dropped its conference opener at VCU on Saturday which came after a loss at West Virginia and heads back home to get into the win column. The Rams are not the same pushover team from the past as over the past two years, Fordham has won 15 A-10 games (eight in 2015-2016 and seven in 2016-2017) and those 15 wins is one more than Rams managed over the previous seven years. The Rams are fifth in the conference in scoring defense at 67.6 ppg and are third in the league in three-point field goal percentage defense (.315). Fordham also leads the league in steals with 143 (11.0 spg). Richmond defeated Davidson at home on Saturday as an underdog to pick up just its third win of the season. The Spiders are winless on the road at 0-3 as the defense has struggled, allowing opponent to shoot 50.3 percent from the floor and giving up 79.7 ppg. The Rams have lost three home games by a combined eight points and while the Spiders have won 14 straight meetings in this series, this presents the best opportunity for Fordham to break that streak. 10* (732) Fordham Rams |
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01-03-18 | Clemson v. Boston College +5 | Top | 74-70 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
Boston College had a five-game winning streak snapped on Sunday, but it was another strong game for the Eagles as they lost in Virginia by just a single point to fall to 1-1 in the ACC. The win was against Duke at home which shows what they are capable of and this is going to be a dangerous team all season. Boston College has already won more games this season than all last season thanks to one of the stronger backcourts in the conference with Jerome Robinson, Ky Bowman and Jordan Chatman all averaging at least 14.6 ppg. Bowman is the only player in the country to average at least 15.9 ppg, 6.8 rpg, and 5.1 apg. Clemson enters the contest ranked No. 25 in the AP Poll thanks to a 12-1 start and that is the reason the Tigers come in as road favorites. They have also covered six straight games so despite Boston College being undefeated at home, Clemson will be the popular play tonight. The Eagles counter the Clemson current ATS run as they are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games against teams with a winning road record. 10* (742) Boston College Eagles |
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01-02-18 | Arkansas -2 v. Mississippi State | Top | 75-78 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
Arkansas is coming off an overtime win over Tennessee on Saturday to open SEC play with a victory and now it hits the road for just the second time this season. This is a non-issue however, especially laying a short price against an overrated and overvalued team. The Razorbacks entered the AP Poll for the first time this season and for the first time since the end of 2014-15 but this is a poll we do not go by but only compare to a truer set of rankings. Arkansas is No. 4 in the RPI which is tops in the conference and it has played the third toughest schedule in the SEC and despite the rugged slate, the Razorbacks lead the conference in scoring offense (90.4), scoring margin (+15.8), three-point field goal percentage (.409), turnover margin (+5.5) and assist-to-turnover ratio (1.6). Mississippi St. is 11-1 which is the second-best record in the SEC but that is due to playing the easiest schedule and one that is ranked No. 310 in the nation. The signature win was a two-point victory over Dayton at home so clearly there has been little resistance. The Razorbacks have two AP Top 20 wins in the last five games and multiple top 20 wins in the same season for the third time under head coach Mike Anderson. 10* (549) Arkansas Razorbacks |
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01-02-18 | Butler v. Xavier -7 | Top | 79-86 | Push | 0 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
We won with Xavier last week as it won in Marquette and the Musketeers came back with a lethargic effort against DePaul on Saturday which sets up a great opportunity tonight. they are now No. 2 in the overall RPI, one of three teams from the Big East Conference that are ranked within the top ten and seven ranked within the top 50 showing how strong of a conference this is. Xavier has won nine straight games and its only loss this season came against Arizona St. which is No. 6 in the RPI. The other reason this is a great spot is the fact Butler is coming off an upset win over No. 1 Villanova on Saturday as a 5.5-point home underdog. The Bulldogs are now 9-0 at home but they have struggled outside of Indianapolis as they have blowout losses against Maryland, Texas and Purdue while their only two wins away from home came against Georgetown and Ohio St., both in overtime by a combined three points. The Musketeers are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600 while the Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. 10* (514) Xavier Musketeers |
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01-02-18 | Auburn v. Tennessee -5.5 | 94-84 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
Auburn hits the road for the third time this season and facing its toughest test so far. The Tigers capped one of their most successful regular season non-conference slates in program history, winning 12 games before the calendar year for just the third time ever. It did come against a soft schedule however as Auburn has played the third easiest slate in the SEC and now things are going to get tough. The Tigers initially had all five starters back from last season, but center Austin Wiley and forward Danjel Purifoy have not stepped on the floor as both were suspended from the team. Tennessee opened conference play on Saturday and suffered a tough loss at Arkansas in overtime to fall to 9-3 overall. The Volunteers three losses have come against teams with RPIs of No. 4 (North Carolina), No. 6 (Arkansas) and No. 7 (Villanova) so they have held their own despite playing the No. 7 schedule in the nation. While Tennessee is ranked No. 23 in the AP Poll after that loss, it is still ranked No. 12 in the RPI so it remains undervalued. Tennessee owns a +16.7 ppg scoring margin at home while holding visiting opponents to 62.7 ppg which is not good for Auburn which relies so heavily on its offense. 10* (532) Tennessee Volunteers |
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01-01-18 | Georgia v. Oklahoma +3 | Top | 54-48 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA SOONERS for our Rose Bowl Dominator. This is a classic matchup of strength versus strength and we give the edge to the Sooners. Quarterback Baker Mayfield has been battling the flu this past week and luckily it hit early enough where he has had time to recover. What it has done however is move this line a significant amount and from the opening this line has moved 4.5 points. The Sooners have faced a powerful defense three times this season and fared well each time. Oklahoma put 31 points on Ohio St. in Columbus, scored 38 against TCU in Norman and then hung 41 on the Horned Frogs in the Big XII Championship Game. All those scoring outputs were far above what the opposing defense gave up on average this season. The talking heads are claiming that they have not faced a defense as tough as this one from Georgia and while that may be the case, the Bulldogs have not faced an offense as good as this. Georgia has faced just one top-20 offensive S&P+ opponent which was Missouri and the Tigers were one of two teams that put up 28 or more points on the Bulldogs. One aspect of the Sooners offense that is overlooked is the offensive line which is one of the best in the country. The Sooners allow just 1.62 sacks per game and the Georgia front has managed just 26 sacks this season, which is No. 62 in the country so Mayfield should not be under much duress. On the other side, the underrated Oklahoma defense will have to stop the Georgia rushing attack with the goal having the Bulldogs play from behind which they will have a tough time doing. 10* (272) Oklahoma Sooners |
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01-01-18 | Central Florida +12.5 v. Auburn | Top | 34-27 | Win | 100 | 3 h 18 m | Show |
This is a big letdown game for Auburn as a loss in the SEC Championship knocked it from the CFP to a bowl game against a Group of Five team. It has been proven to be tough for these teams to get up for their lesser opponents as since the creation of the CFP, the Group of Five representative is 2-1 in New Year's Six games against Power Five competition while going 3-0 ATS. The Knights won the American Athletic Conference title and have remained perfect behind an offense that has averaged 49.4 ppg. They rank fifth in yards per game (540.5) and are led by sophomore Mckenzie Milton, the nation's second-leading quarterback in efficiency behind Oklahoma's Baker Mayfield. While the Auburn defense can out-physical most teams, that will not present an issue here as Speed has been the UCF weapon of choice since head coach Scott Frost took over the program in 2016. He specifically recruited undersized, fast and confident Florida skill players to run the Chip Kelly-inspired system he brought from Oregon. Auburn will not have Carlton Davis, with Malzahn announcing Sunday the junior cornerback has gone home due to an illness. Obviously, the Tigers possess a potent defense, but the absence od Davis is a big void. The strength of schedule based on the conferences is what is driving this number up, but Auburn went 3-3 against the top 30 so it is beatable making this double-digit number very attractive. 10* (267) Central Florida Knights |
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12-31-17 | Virginia Tech v. Syracuse -3 | Top | 56-68 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
Expectations were low heading into the season for Syracuse, but it put together a strong nonconference season at 11-2 with one of those losses coming in overtime against an underrated St. Bonaventure team and the other coming against Kansas. The Orange were picked to finish 11th in the 15-team ACC and while that still may happen, all indications are that this is a team that plans to overachieve all season. They are the only team in the ACC with three players averaging at least 15 ppg but it is the defense that leads the way. Syracuse ranks 22nd in the country in scoring defense, holding teams to just 62.6 ppg. The Orange also ranks 22nd in field-goal percentage defense as opponents have shot just 38.4 percent from the floor. Virginia Tech is one of the highest scoring teams in the country, averaging 91.3 ppg but that has come against a soft schedule that is ranked No. 286 in the nation. The Hokies will have trouble against this zone defense that is long and athletic. The Orange come into this game ranked No. 17 in the RPI so they remain under the radar and the line is dictating that today. 10* (854) Syracuse Orange |
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12-31-17 | 49ers -4 v. Rams | Top | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 23 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS for our NFL Game of the Week. The Rams have clinched the NFC West, clinched the No. 3 seed in the NFC and have no chance to move up in the playoff standings. Thus, they have decided to rest numerous players including Jared Goff, Todd Gurley, Cooper Kupp, numerous offensive linemen as well as Aaron Donald on defense. Clearly, this is a game they could care less about and staying healthy is the ultimate goal. On the other side, this is a big game for the 49ers to carry momentum into next season. They got off to a 0-9 start but have since won five of their last six games including four straight with all four of those led by quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo. He has been solid with a 69 percent completion percentage while putting up a 98.9 passer rating, not bad for someone with six career starts. On the season, the 49ers are getting outgained by fewer than 17 ypg which is not bad for a team that is five games under .500. San Francisco has covered five of seven road games this season and while none have been as a favorite, this is a different situation with motivational edges totally on their side. 10* (331) San Francisco 49ers |
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12-31-17 | Raiders v. Chargers -7 | Top | 10-30 | Win | 105 | 23 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CHARGERS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Chargers playoff hopes are slim, but they are doable. First off, they must win their game against the Raiders and there are nine different scenarios that can get them the No. 6 seed in the AFC. Of those, all nine have to have Jacksonville upset Tennessee and that is more than possible considering the Jaguars have elected to not rest their starters despite having the No. 3 seed locked up. Since the games kick off at the same time, the Chargers will be playing throughout to win unless there is an early Tennessee blowout which we do not see happening. Los Angeles caught fire possibly a little too late but considering it started the season 0-4, the fact that it still has a chance in the playoffs shows the fight in this team, namely Philip Rivers who has been playing exceptional with the exception of the game in Kansas City two weeks ago. Running back Melvin Gordon is listed as questionable so hopefully he can make it work. The Raiders have been a huge disappointment this season and they have now lost three straight games to fall to 6-9 and there is little to no fight left in this team. They are just 2-5 on the road and do not be surprised to see them roll over this week. 10* (326) Los Angeles Chargers |