Sports Picks & Predictions
All Sports Archive | |||||||
Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
12-27-18 | Lakers v. Kings -3.5 | Top | 116-117 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. We played against Sacramento last night and despite not having a lead and trailing by as many as 27 points, the Kings made it interesting toward the end of the game but still failed to cover. The Kings are a perfect 5-0 ATS this season as favorites while going 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. Additionally, they are 14-2 ATS when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season. The Lakers caught a break yesterday when the LeBron James MRI came back negative but he will still miss up to two weeks and they are also going to be without Rajon Rondo tonight. they are coming off a big upset of Golden St. on Christmas and they have a game against the rival Clippers tomorrow to this is a tough spot to overlook. The Lakers are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are revenging a same season loss going up against an opponent off a win by 20 points or more over a division rival. This situation is 48-19 ATS (71.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (506) Sacramento Kings |
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12-27-18 | Miami-FL -2.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 3-35 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HURRICANES for our Pinstripe Bowl Winner. Wisconsin looks like a live dog here based on this game being played in a cold weather environment but that is often an underrated factor if there is no wind or precipitation which is the case tonight. The Badgers were one of the biggest disappointments in the country this season as they came into the season ranked No. 5 in the nation but they lost early to BYU and fell by double-digits against Michigan, Northwestern and Penn St. the regular season culminated with a 22-point loss against rival Minnesota, the first time they lost to the Gophers since 2003 and the first time they lost at home to Minnesota since 1994. Miami also had a disappointing season but closed with a pair of wins against Virginia Tech and Pittsburgh which came a four-game losing streak. The Hurricanes will force Wisconsin to throw the ball which will be tough for the Badgers and sophomore Jack Coan as regular starter Alex Hornibrook is out with a concussion. Miami will also be playing with revenge from the Orange Bowl last season. Miami is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games after allowing 14 points or less last game. 10* (237) Miami Hurricanes |
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12-26-18 | Kings v. Clippers -5.5 | Top | 118-127 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. Sacramento hits the road following a two-game winning streak before the Christmas break to move to three games over .500 for the season. While they have been solid on the road, seven of the Kings nine victories on the highway have come against teams with a losing record. Sacramento has covered just five of its last 16 divisional games. The Clippers are coming off a tough loss at Golden St. on Sunday as it fell by a bucket which snapped a two-game winning streak. They are currently in fifth place in the Western Conference, three games behind the Warriors and Nuggets for first place. Los Angeles is 11-4 at home including a 9-2 record when favored. The Clippers are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games against teams with a winning road record while going 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games against division opponents. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after a game where they covered the spread, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .501 and .600. This situation is 68-20 ATS (77.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (586) Los Angeles Clippers |
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12-26-18 | TCU v. California +1 | Top | 10-7 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
This is a play on the CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS for our Cheez-It Bowl Winner. California is coming off a loss against rival Stanford in its regular season finale as it outgained the Cardinal but lost the turnover battle 3-1. The Golden Bears can win their first bowl game since 2015, when they beat Air Force in the Armed Forces Bowl in what was Jared Goff's last college game. This is just their second bowl game over the last seven years so there is a lot on the line here. TCU lost its starting quarterback and backup quarterback to injuries during the season and is now playing with its third-string quarterback Grayson Muehlstein. The fifth-year senior was never higher than third-string at any point in his TCU career. That is only a part of it however as the Horned Frogs lost 26 players to season-ending injuries. He goes up against a California defense that is ranked in the top 25 nationally in total, passing and scoring defense. The Horned Frogs did close the season with wins in their final two games to become bowl eligible but it was a disappointing season overall as they came in ranked No. 16. The Golden Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last four games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game while the Horned Frogs are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record. 10* (234) California Golden Bears |
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12-24-18 | Broncos v. Raiders +3 | Top | 14-27 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
This is a play on the OAKLAND RAIDERS for our NFL Monday Enforcer. This is one of the better rivalries in the NFL and it should be no different tonight. The Raiders could be hosting their last ever game in Oakland so the scene will be pretty intense and gives the Raiders a significant edge. While it has been a disappointing season for the Raiders, they have played better of late as they have outgained three of their last opponents while one of the exceptions was getting outgained by Kansas City by just 27 yards. One of the players who has caught a lot of flak is Derek Carr but he has passed for 3,697 yards and 19 touchdowns and has not thrown an interception in the last nine games. The Broncos have lost two straight games following a three-game winning streak and the talk of head coach Vance Joseph of getting fired are getting stronger. Going back, the Broncos are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games following an ATS loss including going 0-6 ATS in their last six games following consecutive losses against the spread. Here, we play against teams that are averaging 4.5 or more rushing ypc, after gaining 50 or less rushing yards last game. This situation is 62-32 ATS (66 percent) since 1983. 10* (132) Oakland Raiders |
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12-23-18 | Heat v. Magic -2.5 | 115-91 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a play on the ORLANDO MAGIC as part of our NBA Sunday Triple Play. It is about time for a Miami letdown. We played on the Heat on Thursday as they defeated Houston, snapping the Rockets five-game winning streak and then followed it up last night with a win over Milwaukee. That was the fourth straight victory for Miami, all coming as an underdog which puts it in a tricky spot tonight. This is the second time this season the Heat have played the second of a back-to-back on the road after a home game and that resulted in a 12-point loss. The Magic have lost two straight including a bad loss at Chicago on Friday and their solid start to the season has been reverted by a 2-5 run. The Magic are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against teams with a losing straight up record while Miami is 0-6 ATS in its last six divisional games. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in a game involving two teams averaging 102 or more ppg, after allowing 90 points or less. This situation is 70-36 ATS (66 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (540) Orlando Magic |
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12-23-18 | Pelicans -1 v. Kings | Top | 117-122 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS PELICANS as part of our NBA Sunday Triple Play. The Pelicans suffered their third straight loss on Friday against the Lakers and that was a difficult spot with all of the distractions surrounding the Anthony Davis rumors. They have a chance to bounce back tonight against the biggest fraud in the Western Conference and while they have been horrendous on the road, the schedule has not been in their favor by playing the toughest road schedule in the NBA. New Orleans is still ranked No. 14 in the power ratings and the Pelicans are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss. Sacramento is coming off a win against Memphis on Friday to snap a two-game slide and move to two games over .500. The Kings are the only team in the Western Conference that is currently sitting in a playoff position with a negative scoring differential and its 8-7 home record is nothing to get excited about. Here, we play against home underdogs revenging a road loss of 20 points or more, off a home win by three points or less. This situation is 30-8 ATS (78.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (543) New Orleans Pelicans |
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12-23-18 | Hornets v. Celtics -6.5 | 103-119 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS as part of our NBA Sunday Triple Play. Boston has dropped three straight games and called a players-only meeting following its 13-point home loss to the Bucks on Friday so this could very well be the time the Celtics get back on track. During their 9-1 streak prior to this, all but one victory was by nine points or more and over that stretch, the average margin of victory was 18 ppg excluding the 56-point win over Chicago, 22.2 ppg including it. Charlotte has played the easiest schedule in the NBA and while it is 12-4 against teams outside the top 16, it is 4-11 against teams ranked within the top 16. The Hornets have been underdogs by more than seven points only once this season and that resulted in a 21-point loss at Toronto. Boston is also playing with revenge following a loss in Charlotte last month and going back to last season, it is 27-7 ATS in its last 34 games revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points. Meanwhile, Charlotte is 11-25 ATS in its last 36 games after having won two of its last three games. 9* (548) Boston Celtics |
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12-23-18 | Bears v. 49ers +5 | Top | 14-9 | Push | 0 | 26 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS for our NFL Game of the Week. The Bears have clinched a playoff berth thanks to a pair of home wins over the Rams and Packers. They finished 7-1 at home but they are only 3-3 on the road and while there was a blowout win at Buffalo, the other two victories were far from dominating as they were outgained in Detroit by 69 yards and won by just two points at Arizona. To their credit, all three road losses could have been wins but the makeup of this team shows that Chicago should not be laying a significant number on the road. The 49ers are just 4-10 on the season but continue to play hard and they are coming off a pair of impressive wins over Seattle and Denver. San Francisco is 0-7 on the road but it does have a winning record at home and can close the season with its first winning record at home since 2013. Quarterback Nick Mullens has been excellent since taking over as he has a QB Rating of 96 in his six games and he is 3-1 at home with the lone loss coming by just four points. Here, we play against road teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 after covering the spread in five or six out of their last seven games, playing a team with a losing record. This situation is 82-45 ATS (64.6 percent) since 1983. 10* (126) San Francisco 49ers |
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12-23-18 | Jaguars v. Dolphins -3.5 | 17-7 | Loss | -103 | 23 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MIAMI DOLPHINS as part of our NFL Sunday Trifecta. The playoff picture is not looking too bright for Miami as it needs to win and its postseason hope is done if the Patriots beat the Bills, the Titans beat the Redskins, and the Colts beat the Giants. A miracle win against the Patriots was followed up by a blowout loss last week at Minnesota but Sunday presents a great opportunity in their final home game of the season. The Dolphins have covered six of their seven home games this season. Jacksonville put up a poor effort last week in its last home game against Washington and we should not see much more effort from the Jaguars with their last two games taking place on the road. The offense has been putrid as their 16.1 ppg is third worst in the league and Cody Kessler has not been the answer at quarterback. Jacksonville is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. Here, we play on teams after two consecutive game where they committed no turnovers going up against an opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. This situation is 52-19 ATS (73.2 percent) over the last 10 seasons including a perfect 7-0 ATS this season. 9* (110) Miami Dolphins |
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12-23-18 | Giants +10.5 v. Colts | 27-28 | Win | 100 | 23 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a play on the NEW YORK GIANTS as part of our NFL Sunday Trifecta. Sunday presents the possibility of a huge letdown for the Colts. Indianapolis is coming off its two most impressive victories, shutting out Dallas 23-0 on Sunday to snap the Cowboys five-game winning streak after ending Houston's nine-game run the previous week with a 24-21 road win. Obviously the Colts need to keep winning to try and get into the postseason but it is a little overaggressive for them to be laying double-digits against a team that has played better on the road than it has at home. The Giants were shutout at home last week against the Titans and their No. 1 ranked scoring defense. New York is 3-4 on the road with the four losses coming by a combined 15 points and none by more than seven points. The offense was playing well prior to last week as the Giants had averaged 31.4 ppg in their previous five games. The Colts defense has been up and down and coming off a shutout means regression. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after covering the spread in three out of their last four games, team with a losing record in the second half of the season. This situation is 40-15 ATS (72.7 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (111) New York Giants |
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12-23-18 | Packers -2.5 v. Jets | 44-38 | Win | 100 | 23 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS as part of our NFL Sunday Trifecta. The Packers were officially eliminated from the playoffs last week as they lost in Chicago for their fourth defeat in their last five games. There is still motivation for Green Bay as it is 0-7 on the road and it will be trying to avoid its first winless season away from home since the 1950s. Aaron Rodgers proved this by making sure he was taking the field even though sitting out the final two games would be the smart move. An expected lost season is just what has happened for the Jets as they are now 4-10 even though they are encouraged by the play of Sam Darnold over the last two games. The problem is, that is where it ends as this roster is one of the worst in football, especially on the other side of the ball despite some claims that the defense is actually decent. The Jets have one of the worst defenses in the NFL, including No. 22 in total defense and No. 26 in scoring defense. They have allowed 29.2 ppg over their last five games. Here, we play on road teams after failing to cover the spread in three out of their last four games, in December games. This situation is 46-17 ATS (73 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (117) Green Bay Packers |
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12-22-18 | San Diego -5.5 v. Washington State | 82-75 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO TOREROS as part of our CBB Saturday Triple Play. It is rare to see a team from a power conference getting a significant amount of points against a non-power conference team but that is the case here and for good reason. Washington St. is not expected to be very competitive this season and even though it is off to a 7-3 start, it has played the easiest schedule in the country. The Cougars have bad losses against Seattle, New Mexico St. and Montana St. and have no wins of significance. San Diego is not a big basketball name but this team is loaded and all three of its losses came on the road against power conference teams and all were competitive. This gamed is in Las Vegas so no true road game for the Toreros and they fall into a great situation where we play on neutral court teams as a favorite or pickem in a game involving two teams outscoring opponents by 8 or more ppg, after scoring 85 points or more. This situation is 106-64 ATS (62.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (681) San Diego Toreros |
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12-22-18 | Ravens v. Chargers -4 | Top | 22-10 | Loss | -109 | 32 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CHARGERS for our NFL Saturday Enforcer. Because the Chargers are coming off a Thursday game and are at home while Baltimore is travelling on a short week, Los Angeles has a significant situational edge. The Chargers are coming off a last-second victory at Kansas City that pulled them into a tie with the Chiefs atop the AFC West. Kansas City holds the tiebreaker, so Los Angeles will have to win out and hope for the Chiefs to lose once to claim the top seed. The Chargers have won four straight games, the last three without running back Melvin Gordon and those games were all close and with Gordon back, the offense gets back another weapon. The Chargers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning record. Baltimore has won four of its last five games which has coincided with quarterback Lamar Jackson taking over for Joe Flacco. However, Jackson has fumbled an NFL-high seven times since Week 11, losing three of those, and this Chargers defense is primed for takeaways. The Ravens might currently hold the final wild-card spot in the AFC, but that could change dramatically if they can't upset the Chargers. A Ravens victory gets them up to an 82 percent chance to make the playoffs, while a loss drops them to just 16 percent. The Ravens are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game while going 1-4 ATS against teams with a winning record. 10* (124) Los Angeles Chargers |
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12-22-18 | Spurs v. Rockets -5 | Top | 101-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON ROCKETS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. Houston had its five-game winning streak snapped in Miami on Thursday and it also lost point guard Chris Paul for at least two weeks. Clearly, the Rockets are a better team with him in the lineup but knowing he is already out helps the preparation and also helps with the line. Houston is a respectable 9-5 at home where it has won five straight while going 4-0-1 ATS in those games. The Spurs won at home last night against Minnesota by 26 points to improve to 13-5 at home. San Antonio has struggled on the road as it is 5-10, winning just twice in 10 games as a road underdog. It is 4-12-1 ATS in its last 17 road games against teams with a winning home record while going 9-23 ATS in its last 32 road games against teams averaging 106 or more ppg. Additionally, the Spurs are 0-5 in the second of a back-to-back set. Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are revenging a home loss of 10 points or more, off a home win by 10 points or more. This situation is 114-63 ATS (64.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (528) Houston Rockets |
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12-22-18 | Illinois v. Missouri -1 | 63-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MISSOURI TIGERS as part of our CBB Saturday Triple Play. After a 3-3 start to the season, Missouri has run off four straight wins including an impressive 15-point win over Xavier as an underdog. The Tigers are expected to be competitive in the SEC despite losing another Porter to injury and this is a game they want desperately. This annual rivalry takes place on a neutral floor in St. Louis and Missouri has surprisingly lost five straight in this series. Illinois finished 4-14 in the Big Ten last season and with just one starter back, things are looking bleak once again. The Illini are 4-7 but to their credit, they have played a difficult schedule with four losses coming against top 25 power ranked teams. Still, while playing those elite teams can toughen them up, they were not very competitive. Here, we play on teams off an upset win by 15 points or more as an underdog going up against an opponent off a home win by 10 points or more. This situation is 81-38 ATS (68.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (668) Missouri Tigers |
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12-22-18 | UNLV v. Hawaii +1 | Top | 73-59 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 45 m | Show |
This is a play on the HAWAII RAINBOW WARRIORS as part of our CBB Saturday Triple Play. Hawaii is again playing host to the Diamond Head Classic and it has had the luxury of no travel since November 28 which gives it a big edge against the other seven teams in the tournament. The Rainbow Warriors are 5-1 at home so far this year with its lone loss coming to 11-1 North Texas. They are balanced as they have had a different leading scorer in each of its last six games. UNLV is coming off an upset win over BYU and this is just its third game away from home. The Rebels had lost three straight prior to that after opening the season 5-1. UNLV is without forward Shakur Juiston who was injuries two games back. He is the leading rebounder and third leading scorer on a team that is thin down low. Here, we play against road teams as a favorite or pickem after allowing 90 points or more going up against an opponent after a win by 15 points or more. This situation is 50-18 ATS (73.5 percent) since 1997. 10* (694) Hawaii Rainbow Warriors |
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12-22-18 | Houston v. Army -5 | Top | 14-70 | Win | 100 | 26 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the ARMY BLACK KNIGHTS for our Armed Forces Bowl Winner. A contrast in styles will be on display in Fort Worth as Army comes in the leader in the country in time of possession while Houston is dead last in the nation. The Black Knights are an excellent rushing team as they average 296.3 ypg which is second in the nation and since Week Two, the Black Knights run game is averaging 307.9 ypg and has scored 38 of 45 offensive touchdowns. The Houston defense is a sieve to begin with and it has been without its top four defensive linemen including consensus All-American Ed Oliver who had a knee injury but could have played Saturday and he elected not to avoid further injury and get ready for the NFL Draft. The Cougars are going to struggle as they are allowing 197.1 ypg on the ground which is No. 97 in the country. One missed tackle or blown assignment could lead to a big gain and Houston must also avoid penalties that could extend Army drives. The Cougars do possess a potent offense but are down to their second string quarterback and they now face an Army defense that has been quietly excellent as it is No. 9 in the country, allowing just 293.5 ypg. Additionally for Houston, talented receivers Courtney Lark and Keith Corbin are both questionable to play as well. Here, we play against teams averaging 440 or more ypg going up against teams allowing between 280 and 330 ypg, after being outgained by 125 or more total yards last game. This situation is 40-16 ATS (71.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (224) Army Black Knights |
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12-21-18 | Ole Miss v. Middle Tennessee +13 | Top | 74-56 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIDDLE TENNESSEE ST. BLUE RAIDERS for our CBB Friday Enforcer. This is the classic overreaction line based on early season performances. Mississippi has one of the best spread record at 9-1 ATS while Middle Tennessee St. is one of two teams in the country that has yet to cover a game, going 0-9 ATS. Considering the newness of the roster as Mississippi has five returners compared to seven newcomers, a first-year coach in Kermit Davis and the 2017-18 results of 12-20 overall record, 5-13 SEC mark, it has been a surprisingly good start for the Rebels. Playing a schedule ranked No. 179 in the country helps and while a win over Baylor looks impressive, the Rebels were fortunate that the Bear were 2-18 from long range and they outscored them 29-18 from the free throw line. They have been picked to again finish dead last in the SEC. The Blue Raiders have lost seven straight games and while there are no excuses, they have faced the 3rd toughest schedule in the nation. Here, we play on underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points after three straight losses by 15 points or more. This situation is 51-21 ATS (70.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (822) Middle Tennessee St. Blue Raiders |
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12-21-18 | Pacers -2 v. Nets | Top | 114-106 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANA PACERS for our NBA Friday Enforcer. The hottest team in the NBA is definitely a surprising one as the Nets have won seven straight games and are now just a half-game out of the final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. They are coming off a win in Chicago on Wednesday and it was a fortunate three-point win as Brooklyn was able to outscore the Bulls 20-7 from the free throw line. There is no real home court advantage here as the Nets are just 7-10 including going 3-9 as underdogs. The Pacers had their own seven-game winning streak going but have since suffered back-to-back losses including a narrow three-point defeat at Toronto on Wednesday. That dropped Indiana to 9-7 on the road but that is still the second best road record in the NBA which includes a 5-1 mark as a road favorite. Indiana is 27-8 ATS in its last 35 games after having lost two of its last three games and here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are allowing 103 or more ppg on the season, after a win by three points or less. This situation is 103-53 ATS (66 percent) since 1996. 10* (505) Indiana Pacers |
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12-21-18 | BYU v. Western Michigan +13 | Top | 49-18 | Loss | -113 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
This is a play on the WESTERN MICHIGAN BRONCOS for our Potato Bowl Winner. There are just four double-digit favorites in the bowl games this season and BYU is arguably the one that should not be. The Cougars played a difficult non-conference season and while they sustained some close losses, they also were not impressive with their wins with the last four coming against McNeese St., Hawaii, Massachusetts and New Mexico St. This is a pedestrian offense that averaged just 354.5 ypg which was No. 107 in the country and for a unit like that to be asked to cover a double-digit number is difficult. On the flip side, Western Michigan finished No. 30 in total offense and while its schedule was not nearly as difficult, this team can score which is a significant factor for a sizable underdog. While the Cougars defense had a solid season, injuries piled up along the way as three starters have been lost over the last month of the season. Motivation is key and the Broncos feeling slighted with this spread. Western Michigan went 6-6 last year but was one of four eligible teams not invited to a bowl, so the Broncos are thrilled to be playing a game in the postseason a year later. The line switch is significant considering double-digit bowl favorites are 2-8 ATS in the last 10 games when they closed the regular season as a double-digit underdog. 10* (220) Western Michigan Broncos |
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12-20-18 | Rockets v. Heat +3.5 | Top | 99-101 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIAMI HEAT for our NBA Thursday Star Attraction. We played against Houston last night not knowing it was going to break the NBA record for three-pointers made in a game. The Rockets went 26-55 from long range, 16 more three-pointers than the Wizards which went down despite shooting 53.6 percent from the floor. Houston is 0-3 ATS this season when playing its second back-to-back game on the road. Miami is coming off a pair of impressive road wins at Memphis and New Orleans to conclude a 4-2 roadtrip where it covered five of those six games. The Heat have struggled at home with a 5-9 record but they are a much more respectable 2-2 as home underdogs. Miami is 9-3 ATS as an underdog of three points or more this season while going 7-1 ATS in its last eight games against teams from the Western Conference. Meanwhile, Houston is 11-25 ATS in its last 36 road games after a game where they made 55 percent of their shots or better while going 0-5 ATS in their last five road games against teams with a home winning percentage of less than .400. 10* (578) Miami Heat |
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12-20-18 | Marshall -2.5 v. South Florida | Top | 38-20 | Win | 100 | 29 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the MARSHALL THUNDERING HERD for our Gasparilla Bowl Winner. South Florida opened the season 7-0 but fell flat down the stretch, losing its final five games by an average of 19.4 ppg while getting outgained in all five games and by an average of 131.4 ypg so it was a bad stumble. The Bulls are playing this game on their home field but that means little when it comes to bowl games teams as teams that play on their home field are just 16-13 over the last 19 seasons. The Bulls are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points. Marshall closed the season much better by winning five of its last seven games and even though it did close with a 21-point loss at Virginia Tech, it was only outgained by two yards as penalties and turnovers did it in. The Thundering Herd has just one loss in a game they were the favorite in, and it came on the road by just two points at Southern Mississippi. They are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Here, we play against home underdogs after having lost five or six out of their last seven games going up against an opponent after having won three out of their last four games. This situation is 65-24 ATS (73 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (215) Marshall Thundering Herd |
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12-19-18 | Wizards +11 v. Rockets | 118-136 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON WIZARDS as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. After a horrendous start to the season, Houston has started to turn the corner with four straight wins but it comes in overpriced tonight. the last time the Rockets were double-digit favorites was back on December 1st and that was against Chicago and while Washington has had its problems, it has not caught a number this big all season. The Wizards lost in Atlanta last night as favorites but they have been solid this season by going 3-0 straight up and against the number playing with no rest. They have covered four of their last five against the Western Conference while Houston is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 home games against teams with a winning percentage between .250 and .400. Here, we play on road underdogs with a winning percentage between .250 and .400, playing a team with a winning record, first half of the season. This situation is 136-83 ATS (62.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (565) Washington Wizards |
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12-19-18 | Pelicans +8 v. Bucks | 115-123 | Push | 0 | 11 h 0 m | Show | |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS PELICANS as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. New Orleans is near the top of the list for underachievers this season as it is a game under .500 after finishing 48-34 last season. The Pelicans are coming off a loss against Miami on Sunday and they have alternated wins and losses over their last 11 games which puts them in a spot here to improve upon their 5-0 ATS record coming off a loss. The Bucks have won two straight and four of five to move within 1.5-games of Toronto but there is the possibility of a lookahead for them as well as their next game is in Boston on Friday. Milwaukee is 14-28 ATS in its last 42 home games when playing against a team with a losing record and additionally, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after having won four of their last five games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team. This situation is 93-51 ATS (64.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (569) New Orleans Pelicans |
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12-19-18 | Ohio -2.5 v. San Diego State | Top | 27-0 | Win | 100 | 31 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the OHIO BOBCATS for our CFB Frisco Bowl Winner. San Diego St. closed its regular season with a thud as it dropped its final three games while getting substantially outgained in all three of those as well. The Aztecs had won seven of eight games prior to that following a season opening loss at Stanford so they head into the postseason with negative momentum. The Aztecs are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Ohio meanwhile comes in with a ton of momentum as it has won five of its last six games while going 7-2 over its last nine games. The Bobcats lost their first game of the season against Virginia by 14 points but their last three losses have come by a combined nine points. Additionally, Ohio has outgained each of its last six opponents. The Bobcats are 17-8-1 ATS in their last 26 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are averaging 34 or more ppg going up against a team allowing between 21 and 28 ppg, after a win by 21 or more points. This situation is 52-24 ATS (68.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (213) Ohio Bobcats |
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12-19-18 | Spurs v. Magic +1 | Top | 129-90 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the ORLANDO MAGIC as part of our NBA Wednesday Triple Play. San Antonio concluded its six-game homestand with a 27-point win over Philadelphia to end up 5-1 and it is now back over .500 for the season. The Spurs hit the road where they are just 4-10 with two of those wins coming against Phoenix and Chicago, both of which are 7-24. San Antonio is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 road games after having won four of its last five games. Orlando has put a stop on a three-game losing streak with a pair of wins at home and while the overall home record is just 6-8, the Magic are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games against teams with a losing road record. Here, we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 in a game involving two teams averaging 82 or more shots per game after a game where they allowing a shooting percentage of 35 percent or less. This situation is 28-8 ATS (77.8 percent) since 1996. 10* (556) Orlando Magic |
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12-19-18 | Auburn +1 v. NC State | Top | 71-78 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
This is a play on the AUBURN TIGERS for our CBB Wednesday Supreme Annihilator. NC State is back home after defeating Penn St. on a neutral floor in New Jersey on Saturday for its third consecutive win. The Wolfpack are now 9-1 on the season and despite making the NCAA Tournament last season with a 21-12 record, they are still unranked. But this is for good reason. NC State returned three starters from last year but those are the only three players that returned on the whole team so facing an elite team for the first time this season is going to show its shortcomings. Thus far, the Wolfpack have played the No. 352 ranked schedule in the country compared to Auburn which has faced a schedule ranked No. 90. And the Tigers are the real deal. They are ranked No. 7 in the nation coming off a 26-win season and the only Auburn loss this season came against Duke in the Maui Invitational over the week of Thanksgiving. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 in a game involving two teams outscoring opponents by 8 or more ppg, after scoring 80 points or more three straight games. This situation is 76-31 ATS (71 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (701) Auburn Tigers |
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12-18-18 | Lakers -2 v. Nets | Top | 110-115 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES LAKERS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. The Lakers have stumbled on the start of this roadtrip, dropping two of the first three games including an 18-point loss at Washington on Sunday in a game they trailed by as many as 27 points. Los Angeles has won six of its last seven games following a loss and the Lakers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points which includes two road wins right after a road loss. Brooklyn is starting to make a move in the Eastern Conference as it has won five straight games, including impressive victories over Toronto and Philadelphia. The Nets have failed to cover seven of their last eight games against the Western Conference and we play on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 after trailing in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half going up against an opponent after scoring 100 points or more two straight games. This situation is 23-4 ATS (85.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (547) Los Angeles Lakers |
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12-18-18 | East Carolina v. Charlotte -1 | Top | 49-55 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHARLOTTE 49ERS for our CBB Tuesday Supreme Annihilator. The Pirates enters Tuesday's game with a 6-4 record with wins over Delaware St., Lamar, Texas-Rio Grande, Prairie View A&M, Appalachian St. and Maryland Eastern Shore, not exactly the most imposing of opponents. All of those wins have come either at home or on a neutral floor as East Carolina comes into tonight with a 0-2 record on the road. Overall, the Pirates have played the No. 351 ranked schedule in the country and that is out of 353 Division I teams. East Carolina is 0-5 ATS in its last five road games while going 0-6 ATS in its last six games following two or more consecutive wins. Charlotte is back home following three straight losses on the road and while the 49ers check in at just 2-2 at home, one of those wins came against Oklahoma St. so as long as the offense does not completely shut down, the 49ers are in good shape for a bounce back. Additionally, this is a great tune up for the Diamond Head Classic which starts on Saturday against TCU. 10* (616) Charlotte 49ers |
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12-18-18 | Northern Illinois v. UAB -1.5 | Top | 13-37 | Win | 100 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the UAB BLAZERS for our CFB Boca Raton Bowl Winner. Motivation is a big factor in these early season bowl games and UAB should have plenty of it tonight. Last year, in their first season back after a two-year absence, the Blazers made it to the Bahamas Bowl only to get crushed by Ohio 41-6 and they want to make amends for that misstep. This game is about two terrific defenses UAB allowed the 11th fewest yards in the nation at 300.2 ypg, while Northern Illinois was not far behind ay 31st with 347.8 ypg. We give the edge to UAB based on not just the better numbers but having played in a tougher conference on top of that. The Blazers won and covered for us in the C-USA Championship despite getting outgained for the second straight game against Middle Tennessee St. the offense is highlighted by a potent rushing attack led by Spencer Brown who has rushed for 1,152 yards and 16 touchdowns. Northern Illinois is much weaker on offense as it averages just 325 ypg. While the Blazers were a terrific cover option, going 8-3 ATS in their final 11 games, the Huskies have covered just five of their previous 18 games on grass and are 0-5 ATS in their last five bowl appearances. 10* (212) UAB Blazers |
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12-17-18 | Saints v. Panthers +6.5 | Top | 12-9 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the CAROLINA PANTHERS for our NFL Monday Enforcer. Halfway through the season, it looked as though the Panthers were going to make some noise as they were 6-2 and trailed New Orleans by just one game. Then came a five-game losing streak and now Carolina is fighting for its playoff life. While things are looking bleak, the Panthers have not been playing bad as they have outgained each of their last four opponents with all of the losses coming by just one possession. The schedule has not been on their side either with four of the last five games coming on the road. The Saints have not exactly been tearing things up of late as they are averaging just 262 ypg over their last three games and have been outgained in two of those while outgaining the Buccaneers by only 19 yards last week. This is the third straight road game for New Orleans which is never an ideal situation and the Saints close out with two home games. The Saints have been favored by more than a field goal on the road four times and while they have covered three of those, those were all against teams out of playoff contention. Carolina is 14-3 ATS in its last 17 home games in the second half of the season against teams averaging 375 or more ypg and here, we play against favorites that are outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg, after allowing 14 points or less in two straight games. This situation is 35-12 ATS (74.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (332) Carolina Panthers |
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12-17-18 | Kings v. Wolves -8 | Top | 105-132 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES for our NBA Monday Enforcer. Minnesota is coming off a four-game roadtrip and while losing to Portland and Golden St. in the first two games was expected, losing to Sacramento and Phoenix in the last two games was not. The four-game losing streak has dropped the Timberwolves two game under .500 to fall into second to last place in the Western Conference. Sacramento is tied for sixth place with Memphis and Portland as sits just four games behind Denver for first place. The Kings are coming off a win yesterday in Dallas which handed the Mavericks just their third home loss of the season and going back, they are 0-4 ATS in their last four games when playing on no rest, losing those games by 10, 21, 20 and 15 points. Minnesota is 9-0 ATS in its last nine home games against teams shooting 48 percent or better from the floor. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are revenging a loss of 10 points or more, off two or more consecutive road losses. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (534) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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12-16-18 | Patriots v. Steelers +3 | Top | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the PITTSBURGH STEELERS as part of our NFL Sunday Trifecta. Pittsburgh had won six straight games but it has lost its last three games and is just a half-game ahead of Baltimore in the AFC North. There are five seven-win teams in the AFC so winning out could be the possibility for making the playoffs and it starts against a nemesis. The Steelers are 0-5 in their past five games against the Patriots, including a 27-24 loss at Heinz Field last December that prevented Pittsburgh from earning the No. 1 seed in the AFC playoffs. Pittsburgh is 19-8 ATS in its last 27 home games in the second half of the season against teams allowing 350 or more ypg. The Patriots are coming off the brutal loss against Miami and they are now a half-game behind Houston for the No. 2 seed and a first round bye. While this game means a lot for them as well, knowing they have the Bills and Jets at home to close the season helps. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 in the second half of the season off an upset loss as a road favorite. This situation is 27-7 ATS (79.4 percent) since 1983. 10* (328) Pittsburgh Steelers |
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12-16-18 | Raiders v. Bengals -3 | 16-30 | Win | 100 | 4 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI BENGALS as part of our NFL Sunday Trifecta. Cincinnati finds itself in a familiar spot as the season winds down with all playoff hopes nearly dashed. The Bengals are forced to win out to avoid a third straight losing season for the first time since they had six straight sub-.500 seasons from 1997 to 2002 and that resulted in the team hiring Marvin Lewis. This will probably result in the firing of Lewis but we should expect a big effort from the Bengals which are playing their final home game of the season. Oakland defeated Pittsburgh in a substantial upset last week and the celebrating was plentiful which puts the Raiders in a letdown spot and even more so traveling east to a non-playoff contender. Going back, Oakland is 0-8 ATS in its last eight games after a win as a home underdog of seven or more points. Here, we play against road underdogs or pickems with a winning percentage of .250 or worse after covering the spread in three out of their last four games, playing a team with a losing record. This situation is 27-7 ATS (79.4 percent) since 1983. 9* (310) Cincinnati Bengals |
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12-16-18 | Cowboys v. Colts -3 | Top | 0-23 | Win | 100 | 4 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS as part of our NFL Sunday Trifecta. The Cowboys have turned their season around as a 1-3 stretch has been followed up by a five-game winning streak which has propelled Dallas into first place in the NFC East. They have a two-game lead but hit the road after a three-game homestand and the Cowboys are just 2-4 on the road compared to being 6-1 at home. The Colts bounced back for us last week as they defeated the Texans, snapping their nine-game winning streak. They are tied with Baltimore for the final Wild Card spot in the AFC but are currently out based on the tiebreaker making this a must win. While it could be considered a letdown spot, Indianapolis is 19-8 ATS in its last 27 home games off an upset win as a road underdog. Here, we play against road underdogs or pickems in the second half of the season with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 after two or more consecutive wins playing a team with a winning percentage between .501 and .600. This situation is 36-13 ATS (73.5 percent) since 1983. 10* (314) Indianapolis Colts |
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12-15-18 | Wolves -8 v. Suns | Top | 99-107 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. Minnesota has dropped the first three games of this four-game roadtrip and it is now 2-11 on the highway for the season but the schedule has been brutal. All 11 losses have come against teams with winning records while the two wins came against losing teams and both of those were covers as road favorites. Phoenix is coming off a rare win as it won at home against Dallas for just its fifth win of the season and the Suns have failed to win or cover after its previous four victories. Phoenix is 4-11 ATS this season as an underdog of fewer than nine points while going 0-6 ATS in its last six games against teams with a losing straight up record. Here, we play on road favorites off two or more consecutive road losses, playing six or less games in 14 days. This situation is 57-28 ATS (67.1 percent) since 1996. 10* (511) Minnesota Timberwolves |
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12-15-18 | Middle Tennessee State +7 v. Appalachian State | Top | 13-45 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 6 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIDDLE TENNESSEE BLUE RAIDERS for our CFB Saturday Star Attraction. This is another situation where we will be going against a team that should be very unprepared because of a coaching change. Former Appalachian St. Head Coach Scot Satterfield left for the Louisville job with his two coordinators so interim coach Mark Ivey, assistant head and defensive line coach steps in. The Mountaineers won their first ever SBC Championship in a 30-19 win over Louisiana and while we give them credit in playing Penn St. tough in their season opener, the level of competition was bad the rest of the way. How bad? They were favored in all of their final 11 games by at least 10.5 points so based on the number here, Appalachian St. is taking a step up in competition. We played against Middle Tennessee St. in the C-USA Championship as it lost to UAB by two points despite outgaining the Blazers by 91 total yards. The Blue Raiders closed the season by outgaining each of their last five opponents and by an average of 145.4 ypg and making that more impressive is that they were underdog in two of those games. Three of their five losses came against SEC teams, with all three going to a bowl game including No. 5 Georgia and No. 14 Kentucky, so they played a much tougher schedule and the other two losses came by just five points combined and also coming against bowl teams. Middle Tennessee St. is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games after one or more consecutive straight up losses. Here, we play on bowl teams who lost their conference championship game by seven or less points going up against an opponent with a winning percentage of .600 or better and not off a win by more than 18 points. This situation is 19-1 ATS (95 percent) since 1992. 10* (209) Middle Tennessee St. Blue Raiders |
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12-15-18 | Middle Tennessee +13.5 v. Toledo | Top | 62-84 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIDDLE TENNESSEE ST. BLUE RAIDERS for our CBB Saturday Enforcer. Three teams currently possess 0-8 ATS records on the season and Middle Tennessee St. is one of those. The Blue Raiders have lost six straight games to fall to 3-7 on the season and after a week off, this is a good spot to get things going in the other direction. We played on Middle Tennessee St. last Saturday as it lost at home against Murray St. and while the losses are no excuse, the opposition has been brutal. The Blue Raiders have played a very tough schedule as they have played the No. 4 ranked slate in the nation. Toledo meanwhile has won seven straight games but the schedule has been a complete opposite as the Rockets have played the No. 235 schedule in the nation so this is the perfect contrarian setup as this line is set on records alone. The Rockets are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 home games against teams with a losing road record while the Blue Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last five games after scoring less than 50 points in their previous game. Additionally, we play on underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points after three straight losses by 10 points or more going up against an opponent after scoring 40 points or more in the first half in two straight games. This situation is 56-25 ATS (69.1 percent) since 1997. 10* (635) Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders |
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12-15-18 | Texans -6.5 v. Jets | Top | 29-22 | Win | 100 | 50 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON TEXANS for our NFL Saturday Enforcer. As a situational handicapper for the most part, this one sets up very well and while this number does not look ideal, it is based on the talent gap and in this case, it is huge. Houston had its nine-game winning streak snapped at home last week against the Colts and now sits two games ahead of Indianapolis in the AFC South with a couple marginal tests remaining. While the Texans have had some close road games, five of the six came against teams still in the playoff hunt and the lone exception resulted in a 13-point win at Jacksonville. Houston is 19-7 ATS in its last 26 games after allowing 400 or more total ypg in their last three games. The Jets snapped a six-game losing streak with a win in Buffalo last week thanks to three Bills turnovers. New York has been outgained in seven of its last eight games including differentials in its last four games of -252, -160, -123 and -120. The Jets are ranked No. 30 in offensive efficiency and that has been the big downfall as the defense has at least been average. It could be even worse this week as New York could be without its leading rusher and second leading receiver. The Jets are 0-5 ATS in their last five games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play on road favorites with a completion percentage of 60 percent or better, after allowing 7.0 or more passing ypa in three straight games. This situation is 45-18 ATS (71.4 percent) since 1983. 10* (303) Houston Texans |
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12-15-18 | North Texas +8.5 v. Utah State | Top | 13-52 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the NORTH TEXAS MEAN GREEN for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. This line has come down substantially with the main factor being Utah St. losing the entire coaching staff as head coach Matt Wells, offensive coordinator Dave Yost, and defensive coordinator Keith Patterson are all headed to Texas Tech so co-defensive coordinator Frank Maile will be in charge on Saturday. While the number has come down, it is still above the key number seven and that is significant for North Texas which will be out to bounce back from consecutive bowl losses, especially for the seniors that want to go out with a victory. The Mean Green finished the season 9-3 and while they closed on a 0-5 ATS run, they were favored in four of those including three by double digits. The three losses this season were all by one possession and even more important, North Texas outgained every opponent this season, the only team in the country to do so. It won the yardage battle by 113.3 and that is significant, especially when dealing with an underappreciated underdog. Utah St. had a special season where it went 10-2 that included a 10-game winning streak bookended by losses against Michigan St. and Boise St. The problem is that it is hard to determine how good the Aggies really as only two of those 10 wins came against teams competing in a bowl game. Overall, they played the No. 14 ranked schedule in the country, easily the softest in the MWC. The Aggies are 4-15 ATS against teams with a winning record and we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a winning percentage of .800 or better off a road loss against a conference rival, playing a team with a winning percentage between .600 and .800. This situation is 24-4 ATS (85.7 percent) since 1992. 10* (201) North Texas Mean Green |
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12-14-18 | Pacers v. 76ers -4 | Top | 113-101 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA 76ERS for our NBA Star Attraction. The Sixers are coming off a loss against the Nets on Wednesday despite shooting a potent 54.9 percent from the floor and are now 3.5 games behind Toronto in the Atlantic Division. That was just their second home loss of the season and we can expect a bounce back here as they have covered five of their last six games following a loss. Additionally, the Sixers are 24-9 ATS in their last 33 home games against teams with a winning road record. Indiana has won five straight games which is the second longest active winning streak in the NBA behind Boston and the Pacers remain in the No. 4 spot in the Eastern Conference, a half game ahead of the Celtics. Like Philadelphia, most of their damage has come at home and they own just one road win over this stretch which came against Orlando. Indiana lost the first meeting against the Sixers at home and going back, it is 2-12 ATS in its last 14 road games revenging a straight up loss as a favorite. Additionally, the Pacers are 3-13 ATS in its last 16 road games coming off an upset win by 10 points or more as a home underdog. 10* (574) Philadelphia 76ers |
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12-13-18 | Clippers +3 v. Spurs | Top | 87-125 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our NBA Thursday Enforcer. The Spurs have won three straight games for the first time since a four-game run in an eight-day span from Oct. 27 to Nov. 3 and reaching .500 for the first time in almost a month with a 111-86 victory over Phoenix on Tuesday. San Antonio has been solid at home with a 10-4 record but it has been far from dominant despite recent blowouts as it is outscoring opponents by just 3.8 ppg. The Clippers are coming off a 24-point home loss against the Raptors which was their fourth loss in their last six games. They have fallen from first place in the Western Conference to fourth place but they are just one game behind Denver to reclaim the spot so it has not been a drastic fall. While Los Angeles has been better at home, it is a very solid 8-7 on the road and it has been through a brutal stretch. The Clippers are nearing the end of a 17-game run without consecutive home games, a span that started Nov. 15 and finishes Dec. 17. Overall, they have played the eighth toughest schedule in the league and this is a big game with a date at Oklahoma City on deck for Saturday. Here, we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are allowing 103 or more ppg on the season going up against an opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in two straight games. This situation is 130-79 ATS (62.2 percent) since 1996. 10* (561) Los Angeles Clippers |
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12-13-18 | Chargers v. Chiefs -3.5 | Top | 29-28 | Loss | -100 | 30 h 40 m | Show |
This is a play on the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS for our NFL Thursday Star Attraction. The Chargers do look appealing in this spot based on this being one of the best opportunities to snap their nine-game losing streak against Kansas City. But, there is plenty of motivation on the Chiefs side as well as they can wrap up the division with a win and likely clinch home field advantage throughout the playoffs. Kansas City is 6-0 at home and welcome the Chargers for their second meeting this season after winning in Los Angeles in the season opener. The last two games have been closer than expected but going back, the Chiefs have won the yardage battle in each of their last five games and by an average of 83.8 ypg. The one aspect where home field has made a huge difference is the defense as Kansas City allows 34.1 ppg on the road while giving up just 18.7 ppg at home. The Chargers have won three straight and nine of their last 10 games with the lone loss coming against Denver in a game they lost on a last second field goal. They are playing some of the best football in the NFL but this is a time of year where it has struggled and it is no coincidence. The Chargers are 3-8 in their last 11 games in December and they have lost four straight outright on the road outdoors. Injuries could play a big role here as well as Los Angeles will likely be without running back Melvin Gordon once again as he is doubtful and a game-time decision while Kansas City will be getting defensive back Eric Berry on the field for the first time this season. He we play on home favorites after having won three out of their last four games going up against an opponent, after having won eight or more out of their last 10 games. This situation is 25-5 ATS (83.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (302) Kansas City Chiefs |
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12-12-18 | Heat v. Jazz -6.5 | 84-111 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a play on the UTAH JAZZ as part of our NBA Wednesday Trifecta. There have been many disappointing starts for teams to start the season and Utah is at the top of the list. The Jazz are 13-15 after finishing 14 games over .500 last year but to their credit, they have played the toughest schedule in the NBA with 15 of their 28 games coming against the top ten of the league while also playing 18 of their 28 games on the road. The Jazz are 5-1 ATS in their last six games playing on one day of rest. Miami lost against the Lakers Monday which put a halt to a two-game winning streak to open this six-game Western Conference roadtrip. The Heat have covered the first three games which is keeping this number down and just 10 days ago, they were getting four points at home against Utah and are now getting just as bucket more. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off two or more consecutive road losses. This situation is 42-16 ATS (72.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (554) Utah Jazz |
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12-12-18 | Thunder v. Pelicans +2 | Top | 114-118 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS PELICANS as part of our NBA Wednesday Trifecta. The New Orleans loss in Boston by 13 points was bad enough but considering the Celtics played without Kyrie Irving, Al Horford and Gordon Hayward made it that much worse. That has been the problem this season with the Pelicans as they are 4-11 on the road but they head home where they are 10-4 despite coming off a 1-2 homestand and going back, the Pelicans are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a straight up loss. Oklahoma City won for us on Monday and it has been the hottest team in the NBA by going 17-4 over its last 21 games to move into first place in the Western Conference. The Thunder have been average on the road at 7-5 and they are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up win. Here, we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 when playing their 3rd game in four days, in December games. This situation is 64-32 ATS (66.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (550) New Orleans Pelicans |
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12-12-18 | Pistons +5.5 v. Hornets | 107-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a play on the DETROIT PISTONS as part of our NBA Wednesday Trifecta. Detroit is coming back down following a 13-7 start as it has lost five straight games, failing to cover any of those games. Two of those losses came on the road against two of the top three teams in the Eastern Conference at Philadelphia and Milwaukee and the latter, the Pistons were getting 7.5 points which is just two more than tonight and there is no way Charlotte should be favored by this number. The Pistons are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 road games. The Hornets have won two straight games to get back to .500 on the season and at 9-5 at home, they do not possess a strong home court advantage. Charlotte is just 11-23 ATS in its last 34 games after having won two of its last three games and here, we play on road underdogs after failing to cover five or six of their last seven going up against an opponent after having covered two of their last three games. This situation is 154-97 ATS (61.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (543) Detroit Pistons |
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12-12-18 | Massachusetts v. Temple -10 | Top | 63-65 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
This is a play on the TEMPLE OWLS for our CBB Wednesday Enforcer. Temple is back on the court following a week off as it looks to bounce back from its second loss of the season, a 10-point loss at Villanova. The Owls are going to stoked to bounce back from that but also are glad to be back home for the first time in close to a month as their last five games have been on the road. Against Villanova, they had a four-point lead late but allowed the Wildcats to go on a 26-12 run to end the game as they were destroyed on the offensive glass. The good news is that Temple is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games after a game with five or fewer offensive rebounds. Additionally, the Owls are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games against teams with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. Massachusetts is coming off a one-point upset win at Providence as it rallied from a 20-point deficit which was its first true road game of the season. While that was an impressive win, the Minutemen have had some ugly losses including home defeats against Howard and Holy Cross. Do not be surprised for a letdown and going back, Massachusetts is 0-8 ATS in its last eight games after a road game where both teams scored 75 points or more. 10* (704) Temple Owls |
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12-11-18 | Blazers v. Rockets -6.5 | Top | 103-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON ROCKETS for our NBA Tuesday Supreme Annihilator. This is an interesting line as the Rockets are off to a dreadful start yet are significant favorites behind a number they have not covered all season. They are 0-6 ATS as single-digit favorites of five or more points but we are bucking that and going contrarian tonight and against the 75 percent public consensus. Houston has lost three straight games, all coming on the road, while dropping seven of its last nine games to fall three games under .500 and it is ahead of only Phoenix in the Western Conference. Portland suffered through a three-game losing streak as well as a 1-6 stretch but it has won two straight games although both of those games came at home. The Blazers have lost four straight road games and they have been pretty ugly as the four defeats have been by an average of 23.3 ppg and they are now 5-7 on the highway. Two situations favor Houston. First, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are revenging a loss of 10 points or more and coming off two or more consecutive road losses. This situation is 30-9 ATS (76.9 percent) over the last five seasons. Second, we play on teams off a loss by three points or less to a division rival going up against an opponent after two consecutive covers as a favorite. This situation is 49-20 ATS (71 percent) since 1996. 10* (532) Houston Rockets |
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12-10-18 | Vikings +3 v. Seahawks | Top | 7-21 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the MINNESOTA VIKINGS for our NFL Monday Enforcer. The Vikings are 2-3-1 on the road and while that looks unimpressive, the schedule has been brutal by playing three divisional leaders as well as the Packers and Eagles. Minnesota is coming off a 24-10 loss in New England last Sunday and being a high profile game, most will remember that and carry that recency bias into this week. Additionally, the Seahawks have won three straight games including a 27-point win over the 49ers last week. Impressive on the scoreboard but not impressive in the stats as Seattle was outgained by 121 total yards and was fortunate to win the turnover battle 3-0. While Seattle has had the better ground game this season overall, we could see a flip tonight with Minnesota possessing the better rush game. The Vikings have talked all week of wanting to run it more, and especially to get running back Dalvin Cook, who is averaging 4.2 ypc, more touches. And given that Seattle comes into the game still ranked tied for last in rushing yards allowed per carry at 5.1, it makes sense for the Vikings to try to establish the run. on the other side, the Seahawks are a run-first team, but the only win they have by more than three points over a top-15 run defense is the Cowboys and that was only due to winning the turnover battle 3-0 as they were outrushed 166-113. Seattle will have to go against a Minnesota defense that allows just 3.7 ypc, fifth in the NFL, and has not allowed a run all season of longer than 21 yards compared to every other team that has allowed at least one run of 28 yards. Seattle is 4-17 ATS in its last 21 games off a win by 21 points or more over a division rival while the Vikings are 22-8-1 ATS in their last 31 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. 10* (133) Minnesota Vikings |
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12-10-18 | Jazz v. Thunder -5 | Top | 113-122 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER for our NBA Monday Supreme Annihilator. Oklahoma City was rolling along with four straight wins to ascend to the top of the Western Conference but then it went to Chicago and lost to one of the worst teams in the league. The loss at Chicago was bad enough but considering the Bulls lost by 57 points the next night against Boston on their home floor. The Thunder are still in first place as the Nuggets have lost two straight games and they enter tonight 9-3 at home, covering seven of their last nine, and going back the Thunder are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Utah is also coming off a loss in its last game and it happened to be last night on the road in San Antonio so the Jazz are at a disadvantage based on rest, with two fewer days, and travel. The Jazz are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games playing on no rest. They are a game over .500 on the road but this is a team they do not want to face as when they last met, the Jazz finished the night by celebrating their 4-2 NBA first-round playoff win over the Thunder so Oklahoma City will be out for some revenge tonight. 10* (518) Oklahoma City Thunder |
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12-09-18 | Eagles +3.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 23-29 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES as part of our NFL Sunday Trifecta. The Eagles made it two straight wins with their win over Washington on Monday night as they caught a break with Colt McCoy having to exit early with a broken leg. Philadelphia is just one game behind Dallas in the NFC East and this is a must won considering the Cowboys won the first meeting as a loss here would realistically put the Eagles three games back. The Eagles are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up win of more than 14 points. Dallas has won four straight games starting with that win over the Eagles and culminating with a win over the Saints last Thursday. Dallas has the edge with time off from playing on a Thursday but in a divisional game, we will grab the value. The Cowboys are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points in the second half of the season in a game involving two teams with a +/- 3 ppg differential, after allowing three points or less in the first half last game. This situation is 40-11 ATS (78.4 percent) since 1983. 10* (129) Philadelphia Eagles |
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12-09-18 | Colts +4.5 v. Texans | Top | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 4 h 57 m | Show |
This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS as part of our NFL Sunday Trifecta. We played against the Colts last week and while we were confident in the Jaguars defense, we did not expect a shutout. Now Andrew Luck will be out to bounce back which he has done the majority of time in the past. He is an incredible 16-2 straight up and ATS when coming off a loss if his team is .333 or better. The Colts are not in must win mode but they are close as a loss here will keep them at least a game out of the second Wild Card spot. Houston has won nine straight games and while we played against the Texans last week and lost, the dominations are still not there as they were outgained by the Browns with a 4-0 turnover advantage being the difference. Despite being as hot as they are, we feel the Texans are overvalued here as a field goal should be the line in this divisional matchup. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points revenging a loss where opponent scored 35 or more points, off a loss by seven points or less to a division rival. This situation is 30-9 ATS (76.9 percent) since 1983. 9* (107) Indianapolis Colts |
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12-09-18 | Falcons v. Packers -3.5 | 20-34 | Win | 100 | 4 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a play on the GREEN BAY PACKERS as part of our NFL Sunday Trifecta. The Packers are coming off a disaster of a game last week as they lost to the Cardinals as two-touchdown favorites and now it will take a miracle to make the playoffs. The loss led to the firing of head coach Mike McCarthy and teams tend to respond in a big way when these situations arise. Quarterback Aaron Rodgers will have more flexibility in the offense and that is when he tends to be his best when he is working on the fly. And he will be playing with a chip on his shoulder after having lost the last three meetings to Matt Ryan and the Falcons. Atlanta has dropped four straight games and the offense was unable to reach 20 points in any of those games. The Falcons are now 4-8 including 1-4 on the road. Here, we play on home favorites of seven points or less coming off straight up home loss as double-digit home favorites. This situation is 18-6 (75 percent) since 1980. Atlanta is 0-6 ATS in its last six road games against teams allowing 350 or more ypg while going 0-5 ATS in its last five games against teams with a losing record. 9* (112) Green Bay Packers |
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12-08-18 | Murray State v. Middle Tennessee +4.5 | Top | 64-42 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
This is a play on the MIDDLE TENNESSEE ST. BLUE RAIDERS for our CBB Saturday Enforcer. Middle Tennessee has gotten off to a poor start this season as it is 3-6 after losing just eight games all of last season. The Blue Raiders have played a very tough schedule as they have played the No. 6 ranked slate in the nation and they head back home following a blowout loss at Vanderbilt on Wednesday. They are catching a significant number of points at home with a lot of that based on the fact the Blue Raiders have yet to cover a game this season. Murray St. is once again expected to win the Ohio Valley Conference after posting a 16-2 conference record a season ago. The Racers are off to a 4-1 start and really have not been tested yet after losing their two top players from last season. Making matters worse, senior forward Anthony Smith will miss the remainder of the season due to season-ending ankle surgery, which not only takes a toll to the Racers frontcourt depth but it also hurts their efforts on the offensive glass. Going back, the Blue Raiders are 48-21-2 ATS in their last 71 home games against teams with a losing road record. Here, we play on home teams after failing to cover the spread in seven or more consecutive games. This situation is 36-11 ATS (76.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (818) Middle Tennessee St. Blue Raiders |
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12-08-18 | Nets v. Knicks -2.5 | Top | 112-104 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 0 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS for our NBA Saturday Supreme Annihilator. The Nets pulled out a 106-105 overtime win over the Eastern Conference-leading Raptors last night, snapping an eight-game losing streak and that puts them in a very tough spot tonight. Brooklyn hits the road where it is 5-8 on the season which is far from horrendous but it is 0-7 ATS when playing its 3rd game in four days this season. New York was on a positive 4-2 run but has dropped consecutive games against Washington and Boston and it catches Brooklyn at the perfect time. The Knicks are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game and they have two situations on their side. First we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 against division opponents, off a road loss by 10 points or more. This situation is 36-12 ATS (75 percent) over the last five seasons. Second, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are allowing 103 or more ppg on the season, after a win by three points or less. This situation s 103-51 ATS (66.9 percent) since 1996. 10* (710) New York Knicks |
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12-08-18 | Navy +7 v. Army | Top | 10-17 | Push | 0 | 49 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the NAVY MIDSHIPMEN for our Army/Navy Enforcer. A historic rivalry will renew for the 119th time when Army and Navy square off on Saturday afternoon. Army has a chance to put up its most victories in program history with a win here and a win in its bowl game but this will not be easy despite the disparity in records. Navy had a horrendous season as it comes in 3-9 and will not make a bowl game for the first time since 2011. This is the first time in 16 years that Army is the favorite in this series which shows how these teams have gone in opposite directions. Only one Army-Navy game in the last seven years has been decided by more than a touchdown and that was with a lot of bad Army teams on the field so now that a bad Navy team will be taking the field, one should not shy away from the Midshipmen as the rivalry takes precedence. While the Navy defense has been gashed this season, Army has not been much better as the Midshipmen are allowing 6.7 yppl but Army is not far behind, allowing 5.9 yppl. With the defenses giving up chunk yards, that makes the underdog always a threat. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points in the second half of the season that are averaging between 21-28 ppg going up against teams averaging between 28-34 ppg, after scoring three points or less in the first half last game. This situation is 54-20 ATS (73 percent) since 1992. 10* (103) Navy Midshipmen |
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12-07-18 | Warriors v. Bucks -1 | 105-95 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BUCKS as part of our NBA Friday Triple Play. Golden St. opened this roadtrip with a pair of losses at Toronto and Detroit and while it has rebounded with two wins, those came against 5-20 Atlanta and 5-19 Cleveland, two of three teams that are already looking to be tanking in the Eastern Conference. The Warriors are close to being back at full strength with the return of Steph Curry but are still without Draymond Green and Golden St. has not faced elite opposition on the road with the three toughest games coming against the Raptors, Nuggets and Clippers with the results being 0-3. When it comes to double-digit spreads, Golden St. has been effective by going 8-2 ATS but against the smaller numbers facing the better teams, the Warriors have been dreadful, going just 4-12 ATS and this includes a 0-3 ATS mark as underdogs of less than five points. Milwaukee improved to 12-2 at home with a win over Detroit on Wednesday and those two losses were by a combined five points. The Bucks will be back to full strength with the return of Kris Middleton who missed the last game for personal reasons and he along with Eric Bledsoe are needed to compliment Giannis Antetokounmpo. Here, we play against teams revenging a home loss of 10 points or more, after a cover as a double digit favorite. This situation is 57-21 ATS (73.1 percent) since 1996. 9* (520) Milwaukee Bucks |
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12-07-18 | Pacers v. Magic -2 | 112-90 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a play on the ORLANDO MAGIC as part of our NBA Friday Triple Play. Indiana continues to plug along without Victor Oladipo, who remains sidelined with a knee injury, and the Pacers have gone 4-4 in those eight games. The last two victories have been very unimpressive which were a five-point win over 4-21 Phoenix and a six-point win over 5-20 Chicago. The Pacers have benefitted from playing the No. 27 ranked schedule in the NBA and of their seven road wins, four have come against teams with eight or fewer victories. They are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a losing straight up record. The Magic are coming off a tough loss in overtime against Denver which snapped a two-game winning streak. It was disappointing even more so considering it was their first home game following a 3-3 roadtrip that included a pair of close losses against Portland and Golden St. so momentum was temporarily halted. Orlando has been exceeding expectations as it took until December 28 last season to reach 12 victories. The Magic are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games after covering three of their last four games while going 8-1 ATS after allowing 115 points or more this season. Additionally, we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 when playing their 3rd game in four days, in December games. This situation is 63-30 ATS (67.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (504) Orlando Magic |
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12-07-18 | Nuggets v. Hornets +1.5 | Top | 107-113 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHARLOTTE HORNETS as part of our NBA Friday Triple Play. Denver continues to roll as it has now won seven straight games to maintain its half-game lead over the Thunder for first place in the Western Conference. The Nuggets have covered all seven games as well but it has been a tough stretch on this roadtrip as nothing has been easy with the first two wins coming by four combined points and then needing overtime to defeat Orlando on Wednesday. The fact they are having this success is surprising considering they are without Gary Harris and Will Barton who are averaging a combined 33.1 ppg and the depleted backcourt will have a difficult matchup tonight. Charlotte has dropped its last three games to fall two games under .500 and it is back home where it is 8-5 on the season and outscoring opponents by 7.5 ppg. The Hornets have won four of their last six home games including impressive wins over Boston and Milwaukee so this would mark their third win over a top five team this season. Charlotte is 8-1 ATS this season as an underdog of fewer than seven points on the season. Here, we play on underdogs with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games, playing a winning team. This situation is 46-19 ATS (70.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (506) Charlotte Hornets |
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12-06-18 | Jaguars v. Titans -4.5 | Top | 9-30 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
This is a play on the TENNESSEE TITANS for our NFL Thursday Enforcer. Tennessee snapped a two-game slide with a come-from-behind win over the Jets last Sunday as the Titans scored the game winning touchdown with 36 seconds left. They outgained the Jets by 123 total yards and the defense did its job once again as they did not allow and offensive touchdown. Obviously, the Jets offense is garbage but the same can be said about the opponent tonight as well. Tennessee is ranked No. 10 and No. 6 in total defense and scoring defense respectively and will square off against another backup quarterback. Jacksonville is coming off a win over the Colts but not too much can be read into that as it was outgained overall and was bailed out by some questionable Indianapolis moves by taking points off the board and eventually getting stopped on fourth down and not kicking a field goal on another fourth down which resulted in a sack and a turnover on downs. The Jaguars defense played at a high level after a stretch of poor showing and we suspect a reversal to that tonight as they hit the road where they are 1-4. The Jaguars are 8-17-1 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game while the Titans are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. 10* (102) Tennessee Titans |
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12-06-18 | Knicks v. Celtics -13 | Top | 100-128 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show |
This is a play on the BOSTON CELTICS for our NBA Thursday Star Attraction. Boston is starting to turn the corner as it has won three straight games following a 4-8 stretch but there is still plenty of work to be done. The Celtics are 13-10 and trail Philadelphia by 2.5 games and Toronto by 6.5 games in the Atlantic Division. The schedule has not been on their side as they have played the No. 7 ranked schedule in the league where 14 of their 23 games have taken place on the road. Boston is 6-3 at home and one of those losses came against New York just over two weeks ago so payback is in order and Boston is 25-7 ATS in its last 32 games revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points. The Knicks are what everyone expected as while they have shown some good moments, they have been pretty much below average. They are 4-10 on the road including 3-10 as underdogs. The Knicks have been double-digit underdogs five times and while one win came against Boston, the four losses have been by an average of 17.2 ppg. New York will be without Trey Burke who was the key in that win over the Celtics as he put up 29 points and 11 assists. Here, we play on home teams after two straight games attempting 10 less free throws than opponent going up against an opponent after a game making 12 or more three-point shots. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (702) Boston Celtics |
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12-06-18 | Iowa State v. Iowa +2.5 | Top | 84-98 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
This is a play on the IOWA HAWKEYES for our CBB Thursday Enforcer. Iowa St. is off to a 7-1 start including wins in four straight games but it finds itself in a tough spot against a better rival on the road. This is the first true road game for the Cyclones and they are catching Iowa at the wrong time. After starting the season 6-0 and rising to No. 14 in the AP Top 25 poll, the Hawkeyes have lost their first two conference games and been exposed in the paint. In losses to Michigan State and Wisconsin, the Hawkeyes were outscored 86-46 in the paint. Iowa St. has three players 6-9 and taller so it can do similar damage but that will not be the case according to head coach Steve Prohm as the Cyclones have relied on a four-guard rotation and they are sticking to it because of the early success. Iowa St. is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 road games after two straight games allowing its opponent to shoot 37 percent or worse while the Hawkeyes are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points. Here, we play on underdogs off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival going up against an opponent after two straight covers as a double digit favorite. This situation is 108-60 ATS (64.3 percent) since 1997. 10* (714) Iowa Hawkeyes |
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12-05-18 | Clippers v. Grizzlies -1.5 | Top | 86-96 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. The Clippers bounced back from their loss on Sunday at Dallas with a solid win over New Orleans on Monday to remain tied with Denver for first place in the Western Conference. Los Angeles moved back over .500 on the road with the victory but at 7-6, the Clippers have been very inconsistent and they are in a tough spot against a desperate team for a victory. The Clippers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. The Grizzlies are 1-4 in their last five games, with their one victory coming against the Brooklyn Nets in double overtime. They are 7-3 at home on the season but they are riding a two-game losing skid with the most recent loss coming against 20-5 Toronto. This is a good spot for a bounceback as they are rested with this being just their fourth game in nine days while the Clippers are playing their third game in four nights and fifth game in eight days. The Grizzlies are 6-0 ATS in their last six games playing on two days rest while going 7-2 ATS on the season when favored by fewer than eight points. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are allowing 103 or more ppg on the season, after a win by three points or less. This situation is 101-51 ATS (66.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (518) Memphis Grizzlies |
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12-05-18 | VCU v. Texas -10 | Top | 54-53 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 43 m | Show |
This is a play on the TEXAS LONGHORNS as part of our CBB Wednesday Triple Play. While it is still early in the season, this is a big game for Texas to get its season back in order. The Longhorns defeated North Carolina on November 22 and then blew an eight-point halftime lead against Michigan St. the next day and that seemed to carry over in their return home a week later as they lost to Radford. While a loss like that looks horrible, it was not as bad since Radford is the team to beat in the Big South Conference but that is still a team Texas should never lose to. With Purdue on deck, now is the time to get right. VCU looks about like what you would expect as the Rams are very good defensively, are athletic, and typically play 11 guys. However, they have struggled with shooting and with turnovers and coming into the season were picked to finish 6th in the Atlantic Ten Conference. Their typical style of defense is to pressure the passing lanes, which tends to open up driving lanes of the sort that Texas has been able to exploit this year, such as in the game against North Carolina. The Rams are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games against teams with a winning home record while Texas is 22-11 ATS in its last 33 games coming off a game as a home favorite. 10* (558) Texas Longhorns |
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12-05-18 | North Texas v. Indiana State | 80-69 | Win | 100 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a play on the NORTH TEXAS MEAN GREEN as part of our CBB Wednesday Triple Play. North Texas is 8-1 and though three of the wins have been against non-Division I teams, the Mean Green are a solid team. They were the CBI champions a season ago so the extension of the season for a few extra weeks was a big thing for a young team, especially when all five starters are back this season. They have four players averaging double figures. Umoja Gibson leads the way at 14.8 ppg and he's a 47.5 percent three-point shooter. North Texas has also defended well. Against Division I opponents, North Texas has given up just 60 ppg and overall, their 38.7 percent shooting allowed ranks 45th in Division I. Indiana St. has won five straight games including impressive victories over Wright St. and Western Kentucky and this is the best start since 2011-12 but we cannot read too much into it as the Sycamores will not be at full strength until December 16. One big disadvantage in this matchup is rebounding as the Mean Green have four players averaging 4.7 or more rpg while the Sycamores are ranked 320th out of 353 Division I programs in defensive rebounding. The Mean Green are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 road games against teams with a winning home record. 9* (531) North Texas Mean Green |
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12-05-18 | Miami-OH v. Wright State -6.5 | 65-62 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a play on the WRIGHT ST. RAIDERS as part of our CBB Wednesday Triple Play. The Raiders have lost three of their last four games heading into a home date with the RedHawks tonight. Wright St. most recently fell to Indiana St. this past Saturday with the other three losses also coming away from home including a pair in Riviera Maya against Penn St. and SMU. Wright St. was picked to win the Horizon League by Blue Ribbon following a 25-10 record last season that took the Raiders to their third straight NCAA Tournament. They have four starters back and the 4-4 record cannot be taken too seriously as they started 0-3 last season and we know what that turned into. Wright St. is 4-0 at home with covers in all three lined games and going back, the Raiders are 6-0 ATS in their last six home games while going 7-0 ATS in their last seven games following a loss. Miami Ohio is also 4-4 with all four losses coming away from home while two home wins came against non-Division I teams and another against Army. The RedHawks are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games. This is a pretty big rivalry and it comes as no surprise that the home team has won the last six meetings which means Wright St. will be out for revenge from the overtime loss last season. 9* (542) Wright St. Raiders |
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12-04-18 | West Virginia +2 v. Florida | 56-66 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a play on the WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS for our CBB Tuesday Star Attraction. West Virginia came into the season ranked No. 16 by Blue Ribbon and No. 13 in the AP Poll but that did not last long following a home loss to Buffalo in overtime in its season opener. The Mountaineers additionally lost to Western Kentucky, part of a string of six straight non-covers but they have won four straight games and have covered their last two. Florida comes into tonight having split its last four. Last time out, it walloped North Florida 98-66, but that followed a 61-54 loss to Butler in the Bahamas. Before that, the Gators beat Stanford soundly, 72-49, after opening their trip to the Bahamas with a 65-60 loss to Oklahoma. The Gators are very balanced on offense with eight players averaging 6.4 or more ppg but there is not one player that looks to be a clear go-to guy. Sophomore guard Deaundrae Ballard leads Florida this season at 10.9 ppg. Senior guard KeVaughn Allen is next at 8.7 ppg and freshman guard Noah Locke follows him at 8.3 ppg. Here, we play on teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .800 where the line is +3 to -3 off two consecutive home wins by 10 points or more, playing a team with a winning percentage between .501 and .600. This situation is 24-5 ATS (82.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (739) West Virginia Mountaineers |
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12-04-18 | Kings v. Suns +6.5 | Top | 122-105 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
This is a play on the PHOENIX SUNS for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. Phoenix possesses the worst record in the NBA at 4-19 and while it is nothing to be proud of, the Suns have played the second toughest schedule in the NBA behind only Utah. They have played the most games against top ten teams (13) so the fact they have gone 1-12 in those games should come as no surprise. The four wins have been pretty impressive as they came against Milwaukee, San Antonio, Memphis and Dallas and they take a big step down in competition tonight as Sacramento is ranked No. 24 compared to No. 28 Phoenix and the power ranking differential shows the Kings would be a five-point favorite on a neutral court so we are catching four points of value based on this game being in Phoenix and it is skewed because of injuries. Sacramento has been up and down all season and it is coming off a home win over Indiana on Saturday. The Kings have been favored just once all season and that was by just 2.5 points at Atlanta. The Kings are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games against the NBA Pacific Division. Here, we play on teams in a game involving two teams averaging 102 or more ppg, after three straight losses by 10 points or more. This situation is 51-18 ATS (73.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (708) Phoenix Suns |
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12-04-18 | Northeastern v. Syracuse -12 | Top | 49-72 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
This is a play on the SYRACUSE ORANGE for our CBB Tuesday Supreme Annihilator. After suffering a pair of bad losses against Connecticut and Oregon, Syracuse has bounced back with three straight wins including an impressive 10-point win at Ohio St. That victory is a likely reason the Orange put up a lethargic effort on Saturday against Cornell as they won by just eight points as 21.5-point favorites. We will see a better and more focused effort tonight as they need to start clicking on a more consistent basis and this is even more so considering they have a big game against Georgetown on deck. Northeastern got off to a 2-4 before winning its last two games against fairly poor opposition and the Huskies take a big step up tonight. They are picked to win the CAA this season as they bring back all five starters from their 23-win team last year. The problem is that two of those are out as the backcourt duo of Vasa Pusica and Shawn Occeus, who averaged a combined 28.7 ppg, are both on the shelf with injuries and those losses are significant here in this matchup when trying to solve the 2-3 zone. Syracuse is struggling from the field with a .419 shooting percentage including .291 from long range but they face a poor defense as Northeastern is allowing opponents to shoot 49 percent including 37.2 percent from behind the arc. 10* (720) Syracuse Orange |
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12-03-18 | Redskins +6 v. Eagles | Top | 13-28 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the WASHINGTON REDSKINS for our NFL Monday Enforcer. The Eagles lost five of seven games culminating in a 48-7 loss at New Orleans two weeks ago. Things appeared bleak last week as the Eagles faced deficits of 12-0 and 19-3 but wound up rallying for a 25-22 win over the Giants. This may seem like the turning point for Philadelphia but it has not gotten there yet as there are issues on both sides. Washington lost quarterback Alex Smith to a gruesome leg injury and Colt McCoy got thrust into the starting lineup against the Cowboys on a short week. Now, he is coming off a long week after having played on Thanksgiving and while he definitely showed rust 11 days ago, he is in a much better spot now going from facing the No. 5 ranked defense to now facing the No. 24 ranked defense. Washington is 17-2 ATS in its last 19 games in the second half of the season against teams allowing 6.0 or more yppl while the Eagles are 0-6 ATS in their last six games against teams allowing 6.0 or more yppl. Additionally, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points in the second half of the season coming off a win by three points or less over a division rival, with a winning percentage between .450 and .550. This situation is 24-5 ATS (82.8 percent) since 1983. 10* (379) Washington Redskins |
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12-03-18 | Nuggets +7 v. Raptors | Top | 106-103 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the DENVER NUGGETS for our NBA Monday Enforcer. This line came out late due to the injury concern of Toronto guard Kyle Lowry who missed the last game but he has been improved to probable for tonight. The Raptors have won eight straight games and are now 20-4 overall, the best start in franchise history. They have covered only half of their games however and that is because they are being overvalued at this point and that is the case again tonight. the Raptors are outscoring opponents by 8.8 ppg but Denver is not far behind as it is outscoring opponents by 7.7 ppg following its fifth straight win on Friday. The Nuggets are 15-7 overall and tied with the Clippers for first place in the Western Conference. The schedule has been far from easy and Denver owns eight wins over teams ranked No. 16 or better and that is the most in the NBA. The Nuggets are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning percentage above .600 while the Raptors are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points well rested team, playing four or less games in 10 days, in December games. This situation is 36-13 ATS (73.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (507) Denver Nuggets |
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12-02-18 | Clippers v. Mavs +2.5 | Top | 110-114 | Win | 100 | 7 h 19 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS MAVERICKS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. The Clippers remain atop the Western Conference as they have won four straight games to maintain their half-game lead over Denver. They won in Sacramento in their last game but they are just 6-5 on the road with half of those wins coming against teams with a losing record. The Clippers are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Dallas has just one loss against the top ten teams in the NBA which is the fewest of any team in the league and it has home wins over Oklahoma City, Golden St. and Boston. The venue has played a big part in the Mavericks 10-10 season as they are 8-2 at American Airlines Center and overall, the home team is 16-4 in the 20 Dallas games on the year. Dallas has won and covered six straight games at home. The Mavericks lost against the Lakers on Friday by 11 points but going back, they are 18-5 ATS in their last 23 games coming off a double-digit loss. 10* (712) Dallas Mavericks |
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12-02-18 | Broncos v. Bengals +5.5 | Top | 24-10 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the CINCINNATI BENGALS for our NFL Game of the Week. The early line on this was Cincinnati -2.5 prior to last Sunday and there is no way Andy Dalton is worth 7.5 points so the value is squarely on the Bengals here. Jeff Driskel was decent last week after coming in and with a full week of preparation and having A.L. Green back, he is not a significant downgrade. The Broncos are coming off consecutive impressive wins over the Chargers and Steelers but what is not shown in the scores is that they were outgained by 154 and 219 total yards respectively. The only other road win for Denver was at 2-9 Arizona. Denver is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in five straight games while the Bengals are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 after having won two out of their last three games, playing a losing team. This situation is 68-27 ATS (71.6 percent) since 1983. 10* (366) Cincinnati Bengals |
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12-02-18 | Colts v. Jaguars +5 | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 21 h 6 m | Show | |
The Jaguars are reeling with seven straight losses while the Colts are making a move with five straight wins. This is a spot where Jacksonville will step up as they turn to Cody Kessler at quarterback who is starting for the benched Blake Bortles and also breaks in new offensive coordinator Scott Milanovich. Things can only go up. The Colts are coming off three straight home game which puts them in a tough spot where they are just 2-3 on the road and are favored by more here than they were at home three games back and they were actually outgained by the Jaguars in that game. Indianapolis is 1-8 ATS in its last nine games after gaining 400 or more total yards in its previous game while the Jaguars are 5-1 ATS in their last six games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play on home teams revenging a road loss against opponent, off an upset loss as a road favorite. This situation is 83-43 ATS (65.9 percent) since 1983. 9* (352) Jacksonville Jaguars |
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12-02-18 | Panthers -3 v. Bucs | 17-24 | Loss | -112 | 21 h 5 m | Show | |
The Panthers are entering must win mode following their third consecutive loss. They were beaten badly by the Steelers following a three-game winning streak and the last two losses were by a combined four points so both were winnable. Four of the five losses have been by just one possession. Carolina should have a big edge in the running game as it averages 5.2 ypc while the Buccaneers allow 4.7 ypc. Tampa Bay snapped a four-game losing streak with a decisive win over San Francisco and while they have been pretty solid at home with a 3-2 record, the Buccaneers are catching Carolina at the wrong time. Tampa Bay is 8-23 ATS in its last 31 home games against teams allowing a completion percentage of 64 percent or worse while the Panthers are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up loss. Here, we play on road teams after failing to cover the spread in three out of their last four games, in December games. This situation is 38-13 ATS (74.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (355) Carolina Panthers |
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12-02-18 | Browns +6 v. Texans | 13-29 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 4 m | Show | |
Houston set a franchise record with its eighth consecutive win on Monday over Tennessee. The Texans are in first place in the AFC South and while the winning streak has been impressive, the win over the Titans was just the third one by more than one possession. Cleveland has won two straight games for the first time in over four years and a win here gets the Browns right in the thick of the Wild Card race as they are currently just a game and a half out of the second spot. The record could be even better as they have a tie and three losses by three points or less. Houston is 8-19 ATS in its last 27 home games after gaining 400 or more total yards in their previous game while the Browns are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four road games against teams with a winning home record. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points in the second half of the season averaging between 5.9-6.7 passing ypa going up against teams allowing between 5.9-6.7 passing ypa, after allowing 5.5 or less passing ypa last game. This situation is 74-38 ATS (66.1 percent) since 1983. 9* (359) Cleveland Browns |
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12-01-18 | Oregon v. Houston -3 | Top | 61-65 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS for our CBB Saturday Supreme Annihilator. After a solid win over Syracuse, Oregon put up a lethargic effort against Green Bay and that spilled over into a home loss against Texas Southern on Monday as a 25-point favorite. A bounce back would be typical but not in the first true road game of the season and against a quality opponent. Houston is 5-0 with all five wins coming by double digits including an impressive one at BYU by 14 points. Oregon is 5-14 ATS in its last 19 games against teams who make eight or more three-point shots per game on the season while Houston is 21-9 ATS in its last 30 games as a home favorite of three points or less. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 in a game involving two teams that are outscoring opponents by 8.0 or more ppg after scoring 80 points or more three straight games. This situation is 71-30 (70.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (596) Houston Cougars |
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12-01-18 | Warriors -5 v. Pistons | Top | 102-111 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
This is a play on the GOLDEN ST. WARRIORS for our NBA Saturday Enforcer. Golden St. put up a solid effort in Toronto on Thursday but lost in overtime which was its fifth straight road loss but the return of Steph Curry after an 11-game absence is just what it needs at this point. The Pistons are coming off a win last night against Chicago and while their 12-7 record may look good, playing the easiest schedule in the NBA has played a big role in that. Their last five wins have come against losing teams and the Pistons are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win of more than 10 points while the Warriors are 5-1 ATS in their last six games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. Additionally, we play on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after a loss by three points or less going up against an opponent after scoring 105 points or more. This situation is 48-19 ATS (71.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (503) Golden St. Warriors |
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12-01-18 | Georgia +13 v. Alabama | Top | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 23 h 2 m | Show |
This is a play on the GEORGIA BULLDOGS for our SEC Championship Winner. There has never been a more dominant regular season in the history of college football as Alabama is the first team since 1888 to win all of its games by at least 20 points which makes the Tide very enticing to bettors laying less than two touchdowns. However, this is easily their biggest test of the season. Jake Fromm is 23-3 as a starter and his completion percentage of 69.1 percent is on pace to set a school record (67.9 Hunter Mason in 2014). He's 161-for-233 for 2,236 yards, with 24 touchdowns and five interceptions for a season passer rating of 179.4. Georgia seemed to find its niche after losing at LSU 36-16 as the running game has been potent. Sophomore running back D'Andre Swift has topped 100 rushing yards in four of the last five games, and along with Elijah Holyfield hoping to match Nick Chubb and Sony Michel as the Bulldogs' second 1,000-yard tandem in as many years. This presents a problem as Alabama went 0-5 ATS last season against teams that averaged more than 200 rushing ypg, and it is 1-3 ATS when facing such teams this season. The Georgia defense is the second best stop unit that the Tide will face as they were held to 24 points against Mississippi St. Both the Alabama offense and defense have been outstanding and there is no reason to get into that. Here, we play on neutral field underdogs that are averaging 225 or more rushing ypg after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in four straight games. This situation is 23-3 ATS (88.5 percent) since 1992. 10* (315) Georgia Bulldogs |
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12-01-18 | Stanford v. California +3 | Top | 23-13 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 51 m | Show |
This is a play on the CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS for our CFB Game of the Week. The Bears are coming off a 33-21 win over Colorado and have won four of their past five games led by a defense that allowed 42.6 ppg just two years ago under Sonny Dykes but are allowing half of that this season including just 14.2 ppg over their last five games. The Bears lead the PAC 12 with 17 interceptions and rank among the nation’s top 20 in fewest passing yards allowed, pass efficiency defense and total defense. This is no fluke as head coach Justin Wilcox is a defensive genius and defensive coordinator Tim DeRuyter is very sharp as well. Stanford started the season 4-0 but has lost four of its last seven games and while it has won its last two games, those came against 2-10 Oregon St. and 3-9 UCLA. The offense has been pretty solid despite the injuries and struggles of running back Bryce Love but the Cardinal are going to struggle against this surging defense. Stanford has had a dominant defense in recent years, but the Cardinal ranks ninth in the PAC 12 in total defense this season.as they are having a very down year which can help the Bears which have not met expectations. The last time California beat Stanford was 2009, which finished off a run of seven wins in eight years against Stanford and this is the best opportunity to end that. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival going up against an opponent after a road game where both teams score 31 points or more. This situation 52-18 ATS (74.3 percent) since 1992. 10* (334) California Golden Bears |
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12-01-18 | UAB +1.5 v. Middle Tennessee State | 27-25 | Win | 100 | 22 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a play on the UAB BLAZERS for our C-USA Championship Winner. UAB had the opportunity to host the C-USA Championship but it dropped its final game and that happened to be a loss here last week but the Blazers had some unfortunate things take place. The Blazers went into the game without defensive players Garrett Marino and Brontae Harris and offensive lineman Rishard Cook, who fell ill only a couple of days before the contest and started their third-string center for the second straight week. Offensive lineman Justice Powers made his 12th start of the season but was ejected early in the second quarter for throwing a punch at an opposing player which left the Blazers with only two regular starters on an offensive line that gave up seven sacks. This is still the best team in the conference with the best defense that was not at full strength last week and we can expect a better performance in this rematch. Namely, the offense. UAB managed only 89 total yards which included -1 yard rushing. The Middle Tennessee defense is good but not that good. UAB quarterback A.J. Erdely was returning from injury so he was clearly rusty and workhorse running back Spencer Brown left the game after only one carry but is expected to return this week after having an extended period of time off. Here, we play against teams after allowing six points or less last game going up against an opponent after scoring seven points or less in the first half in two straight games. This situation is 122-73 ATS (62.6 percent) since 1992. 9* (307) UAB Blazers |
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11-30-18 | Nuggets v. Blazers -2.5 | Top | 113-112 | Loss | -103 | 14 h 7 m | Show |
This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS for our NBA Friday Star Attraction. Portland is coming off a win over Orlando on Wednesday which snapped a three-game losing skid but the Blazers failed to cover which was their fifth straight ATS loss. Portland improved to 13-8 which is good for fifth place in the Western Conference and it trails the first place Clippers by just two games. The Blazers are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 home games against division opponents while going a perfect 8-0 ATS in their last eight games after a win by three points or less over the last two seasons. Denver defeated the Lakers on Tuesday to make it four straight wins following a 1-6 run and the Nuggets are now 14-7 overall which is just a game out of first place in the Western Conference. They have covered all four of these games as well and the opposite ATS run are playing into this line. Like Portland, Denver has dominated at home but has struggled on the road and going back, the Nuggets are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 road games coming off a home win. Here, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 85 points or less going up against an opponent after allowing 100 points or more five straight games. This situation is 33-9 ATS (78.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (722) Portland Trail Blazers |
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11-30-18 | Utah +6 v. Washington | 3-10 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a play on the UTAH UTES for our PAC 12 Championship Winner. Utah and Washington are not separated by much in the stat sheets and the records are the same yet the like is saying the Huskies are significantly better, which is not the case. My numbers show a two-point difference on a neutral field so the Utes are getting a ton of value. The Utes lost leading rusher Zack Moss in the Arizona St. game but that has proven how much depth they have as they have still outrushed all three subsequent opponents by a total of 262 yards. Washington won the regular season matchup 21-7 in Salt Lake City. The biggest takeaway is that the Utes believe they are a much different team 11 weeks later. Coming into that game, Utah was more pass oriented and that was not ideal against one of the best secondaries in the country. The Utes changed the way their offense runs as head coach Kyle Whittingham said he wanted an offense that avoided turnovers, ran the ball with a physical aura and still possessed big-play capability in the passing game. The Washington defense is strong and the same can be said for the Utes defense that allows only six more ypg than the Huskies. The Utes are among the best in the country at getting their opponents off the field, allowing conversions on only 33.2 percent of third downs. Additionally, they have only allowed opponents to score on 62.9 percent of trips inside the red zone, which is second best in the nation. Here, we play on neutral field underdogs outrushing their opponents by 100 or more ypg on the season. This situation is 33-9 ATS (78.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 9* (305) Utah Utes |
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11-30-18 | Northern Illinois v. Buffalo -3.5 | Top | 30-29 | Loss | -103 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
This is a play on the BUFFALO BULLS for our MAC Championship Winner. Both defenses are pretty much even as they are two of the best stop units in the conference and the difference in this game will be the Buffalo offense. The Bulls are averaging over 100 more ypg than Northern Illinois while averaging over two touchdowns more on the scoreboard. The problem for the Huskies defense here is the Buffalo balance as it averages 200.8 ypg on the ground and 219.1 ypg through the air. Quarterback Tyree Jackson earned MAC Offensive Player of the Year honors after throwing for 2,605 yards and 25 touchdowns this season. Jackson also has seven rushing scores over 41 carries in 2018. One factor some will look at is experience as for the for the Huskies, they have won the West Division seven of the last nine years and are making their eighth appearance in the title game (the most of any team in the MAC). Meanwhile, Buffalo is here for just the second time but these experience gaps mean little. Two situations are in play. First, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after having lost two out of their last three games going up against an opponent after having won four out of their last five games. This situation is 49-22 ATS (69 percent) over the last five seasons. Second, we play on teams in the second half of the season averaging 34 or more ppg going up against teams allowing between 16-21 ppg, after leading in their previous game by 24 or more points at the half. This situation is 64-27 ATS (70.3 percent) since 1992. 10* (304) Buffalo Bulls |
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11-30-18 | Wisconsin v. Iowa +2 | Top | 72-66 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
This is a play on the IOWA HAWKEYES for our CBB Friday Supreme Annihilator. Iowa was picked to finished 11th in the 14-team Big Ten Conference following a dreadful 2017-18 season where it went 14-19 overall including 4-14 in the conference, one game ahead of Rutgers for last place. Fast forward to this season and quality wins over Oregon, Connecticut and Pittsburgh has got the Hawkeyes back on the national radar as they come into tonight ranked No. 14 in the nation after coming into the season unranked and not even receiving one top 25 vote. Iowa returned all five starters so this team is experienced and they are showing it by averaging 85.3 ppg. Whether it is a more experienced roster that includes Ethan Happ and D'Mitrik Trice playing at high levels, the tweaks to the scheme or a combination of the two, the Wisconsin offensive numbers have been positive early the season. The Badgers finished last season with an adjusted offensive efficiency rating of 109.7, according to Ken Pomeroy and that was the second-lowest mark in the KenPom era, which dates to the 2001-02 season. So we are not sure if the Badgers can keep it up and we know that the 60 percent long-range shooting from Trice will not hold up. 10* (736) Iowa Hawkeyes |
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11-29-18 | Clippers v. Kings +2.5 | Top | 133-121 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the SACRAMENTO KINGS for our NBA Thursday Star Attraction. The solid start for the Kings has taken a step backward but all is not lost. They are 10-10 but the Western Conference is wide open as Sacramento is just a half-game out of the final playoff spot and is only four games out of first place. The Kings are 5-4 at home and going back, they have covered seven of their last 10. They have dropped two in a row but have been off since November 25th which gives them a big rest advantage as the Clippers are coming off a game last night. Los Angeles leads the Western Conference at 14-6 as it has won three straight and eight of its last nine games. The Clippers are 9-1 at home but just 5-5 on the road although they have won three of their last four on the highway. The Clippers are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games against teams with a winning home record while the Kings are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. Additionally, we play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 after scoring 110 points or more going up against an opponent after a combined score of 235 points or more. This situation is 50-21 ATS (70.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (504) Sacramento Kings |
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11-29-18 | Saints v. Cowboys +8 | Top | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 13 h 50 m | Show |
This is a play on the DALLAS COWBOYS for our NFL Thursday Enforcer. The Saints are humming along with 10 straight wins and nine straight covers so the fact they are over a touchdown favorite here is no surprise. Things were looking bleak for Dallas after a home loss against Tennessee but it has won and covered three straight games since then and this is the perfect primetime matchup for the Cowboys to show they are still relevant. The New Orleans offense continues to light it up but the Cowboys defense is soaring and has allowed the third-fewest points (213), fourth-fewest rushing yards (1,030), fifth-fewest first downs (207) and seventh-fewest total yards (3,642). The Cowboys offense has improved drastically since receiver Amari Cooper joined the team. That was made clear by his performance last week against the Redskins as he had 180 yards, including touchdown catches of 40 and 90 yards. His presence is now big to keep the balance going. Ezekiel Elliott overtook Todd Gurley for NFL lead last week (1,074 yards rushing to 1,043). He has 18 100-yard games since joining league in 2016 and no other player has more than 12. He's averaging 161 scrimmage yards with four TDs in past four games and while the Saints rushing defense is the best in the league, a big reason for that is they have seen the fewest rushes against them. Here, we play against road favorites that are outrushing their opponents by 40 or more ypg, after outrushing opponent by 100 or more yards last game. This situation is 106-63 (62.7 percent) since 1983. 10* (302) Dallas Cowboys |
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11-28-18 | Wizards v. Pelicans -6 | Top | 104-125 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEW ORLEANS PELICANS for our NBA Wednesday Enforcer. New Orleans suffered through a 0-3 roadtrip wrapped around Thanksgiving and it returned home with an 8-1 record looking to bounce back but took its fourth straight loss, a 17-point setback against the Celtics. The Pelicans caught Boston at a bad time coming off a 1-4 run and the spot is much better tonight with New Orleans being the more desperate team and playing with revenge from a 10-point loss in Washington on Saturday. The Pelicans are 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. The Washington win over New Orleans was the first of two victories in its two-game homestand, the second coming against Houston in overtime where it rallied from a 17-point deficit. The Wizards shot 56.2 percent from the floor highlighted by the disgruntled backcourt of John Wall and Bradley Beal shooting a combined 25-42 and scoring 68 points and do not expect a repeat. The Wizards are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 road games against teams with a winning home record. Additionally, we play on home teams revenging a road loss of 10 points or more, coming off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a home favorite. This situation s 55-24 ATS (69.6 percent) since 1996. 10* (716) New Orleans Pelicans |
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11-28-18 | BYU v. Illinois State +2.5 | 89-92 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a play on the ILLINOIS ST. REDBIRDS as part of our CBB Wednesday Triple Play. BYU opened the season with a 16-point loss at Nevada and things will become tough once again tonight. The Cougars head out on the road after six straight home games, five of which they won, so they will be back facing a hostile environment. Illinois St. will be out for payback after a loss in Provo last season by 12 points. Guard Elijah Bryant, who nearly had a triple double against the Redbirds last season, turned professional after averaging 18.2 ppg while former BYU starting guard Nick Emery, who left school for a year before returning, has to sit out the first nine games due to NCAA sanctions. A weapon most seasons, the three-point shots are not falling as BYU is shooting just 28.8 percent from long range this season. Illinois St. has won three straight games following a loss to Georgia and looks to improve upon its 3-0 record at home. The Redbirds are 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games against teams with a losing road record while the Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against teams with a winning straight up record. 9* (752) Illinois St. Redbirds |
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11-28-18 | San Diego +7.5 v. Ole Miss | Top | 86-93 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO TOREROS as part of our CBB Wednesday Triple Play. The public is all over Mississippi tonight as it is the second biggest consensus on the college hoops board and the only logical reason is a shorter than expected number for a power conference school playing a mid-major. The Rebels are young and are projected to finish in last place in the SEC and they are still feeling the aftermath from last year when long time head coach Andy Kennedy resigned during the season. San Diego is 5-1 with a home win against Colorado and a three-point loss at Washington and is ranked No. 65 in the NCAA's "Net Rankings," its new metric designed to help choose postseason at-large bids. While it may not be perfect, the fact that Mississippi is ranked No. 93 shows that the Rebels are totally overvalued here. The Toreros won 20 games last season and while their coaching situation is similar after Lamont Smith resigned after the regular season last year, they carried forward under Sam Scholl and made a CIT run which brought momentum into this season. Four starters are back as well as 81 percent of their scoring so this team is loaded. 10* (735) San Diego Toreros |
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11-28-18 | Virginia -3.5 v. Maryland | 76-71 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a play on the VIRGINIA CAVALIERS as part of our CBB Wednesday Triple Play. While the home underdog may look appealing here, the experience of Virginia will go a long way here.. The Cavaliers are playing with a chip on their shoulder after being the first No. 1 seed to lose to a No. 16 seed in the NCAA Tournament and they have enough back to remember it. Three starters are back along with three of the top four scorers and in total, eight players with experience return which is huge in this system. The Terrapins, with five freshmen among their top eight players, will have to contend with a Virginia defense ranked second in the nation, allowing just 49.3 ppg and coming off a 53-46 win over Wisconsin in the championship game of the Battle for Atlantis in the Bahamas. Maryland is ranked for the first time since 2016-17 thanks to a perfect 6-0 start but it is misleading with a win over Marshall being the best of the bunch. This will be the first game they have played where someone else will dictate the flow, and that is going to be a rude awakening for a team that ranks 349th in the country in experience. 9* (745) Virginia Cavaliers |
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11-27-18 | Raptors v. Grizzlies +5 | Top | 122-114 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
This is a play on the MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES for our NBA Tuesday Enforcer. Toronto lost three straight games after a 12-1 start to the season but it has since bounced back with five straight wins, none of which were against teams with a winning record. The Raptors, who swept a four-game Western swing earlier this month, will have to deal with a division-leading club without looking ahead to a nationally televised showdown with Golden St. on Thursday. Toronto has played the second easiest schedule in the league as it has gone 12-1 against non-top 16 teams, it is a more pedestrian 5-3 against teams ranked within the top 16. Memphis has lost two in a row, after a five-game winning streak that included a win over Milwaukee. The Grizzlies are coming off an embarrassing home loss against the Knicks on Sunday but they are still 7-2 at home and going back, the Grizzlies are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning straight up record. They also fall into a solid situation where we play on home underdogs with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 coming off an upset loss as a favorite. This situation is 62-30 ATS (67.4 percent) since 1996. 10* (506) Memphis Grizzlies |
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11-27-18 | Nevada -4 v. Loyola-Chicago | Top | 79-65 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
This is a play on the NEVADA WOLF PACK for our CBB Tuesday Supreme Annihilator. Nevada will be out for some payback after losing in the Sweet 16 to Loyola-Chicago last season. The Wolf Pack are now ranked No. 5 in the nation which is probably to the surprise of many but they are legit and have won all six games by at least 10 points. Nevada is coming off a 110-87 victory over UMass in the title game of the Continental Tire Las Vegas Holiday Invitational Friday night. This is their first true road game of the season but after going 11-3 on the road last season with the same core, this is not a problem. The Ramblers are coming off a loss against Boston College down in Fort Myers to fall to 4-2 on the season. There is still talent left over from the Final Four team from a season ago but they lost more than the Wolf Pack did and the matchup will be different this time around. Nevada is not the fastest-playing team (118th in tempo), but it will have the athletic advantage in this one and would like to get the game moving. A lot of that will come down to either forcing turnovers or getting stops and running off misses. If this game gets into the 80s, it is a huge edge for the Wolf Pack. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in a game involving two teams outscoring opponents by 8.0 or more ppg, after allowing 45 points or more in the first half last game. This situation s 34-9 ATS (79.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (523) Nevada Wolf Pack |
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11-26-18 | Titans +4 v. Texans | Top | 17-34 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
This is a play on the TENNESSEE TITANS for our NFL Monday Enforcer. Houston is the hottest team in the AFC with seven consecutive wins and it returns home following a pair of two-point road victories. The Texans have been far from dominating however as four of those wins came by three points or less and the other three came against Buffalo, Jacksonville and Miami which all have losing records. Houston is now 0-6 ATS in its last six games following a win by three points or less while going 1-5 ATS in their last six home games. Tennessee is 8-2 ATS in its 10 divisional games with Marcus Mariota when coming off a loss. Before the Titans were obliterated at Indianapolis last week, they defeated Dallas by 14 and New England by 24. In those two games, Mariota threw four touchdown passes, ran for another and didn't suffer an interception so the fact he is playing tonight is important. Until last week, the Titans had not given up more than 27 points in any game and that 27 came in Week One in Miami. This defense is legit. Two weeks ago, the Titans used several blitz packages to take advantage of the Patriots offensive line and they will do the same against Houston. The Texans offensive line is much worse as the unit is ranked No. 24 in the league. Going back, the Titans are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. 10* (273) Tennessee Titans |
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11-26-18 | Bucks v. Hornets +5 | Top | 107-110 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
This is a play on the CHARLOTTE HORNETS for our NBA Monday Enforcer. Charlotte lost its season opener at home against Milwaukee by a single points where it was getting three points and now it getting a bucket more in the second meeting. The Hornets fell back below .500 for the season after a pair of road losses at Oklahoma City and Atlanta, the latter coming last night. This is the third instance of a back-to-back for the Hornets and they were able to cover the both previous games. Additionally, Charlotte is 7-0 ATS as an underdog of fewer than seven points. Milwaukee concluded its six-game homestand with a win against San Antonio on Saturday to finish 4-2 and move to 10-2 at home overall. The Bucks are just 4-3 on the road and going back, they are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games against teams with a winning home record. Additionally, Milwaukee is 9-21 ATS in its last 30 road games off a home win. The Hornets fall into a solid situation as we play against favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a winning percentage between .600 and .750 after having won four of their last five games, playing a team with a losing record. This situation is 92-50 ATS (64.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (704) Charlotte Hornets |
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11-26-18 | Nebraska v. Clemson -3 | Top | 68-66 | Loss | -101 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
This is play on the CLEMSON TIGERS for our CBB Monday Supreme Annihilator. The Tigers are coming off an 87-82 loss to Creighton in the championship game of the Cayman Island Classic last Wednesday. The Tigers won their first five games prior to that including impressive wins over Akron and Georgia and they are now up to No. 16 in the AP Poll. This is a very experienced team with four fifth-year senior starters and three of those nearly left after last season to go pro but all three changed their minds including the backcourt of Marcquise Reed and Shelton Mitchell, which currently lead the team in scoring at a combined 34.5 ppg. Clemson is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games after scoring 80 points or more. Nebraska is coming off a 73-49 win over Western Illinois on Saturday, less than a week after getting trounced by Texas Tech 70-52 in the championship game of the Hall of Fame Classic in Kansas City. The Huskers are also ranked at No. 24 and this will now be their first true road game of the season. Nebraska is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games after playing four consecutive games as favorite while going 7-19 ATS in its last 26 road games following three or more consecutive home games. Additionally, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points in a game involving two teams outscoring opponents by 8.0 or more ppg, after allowing 45 points or more in the first half last game. This situation s 34-8 ATS (81 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (716) Clemson Tigers |
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11-25-18 | Clippers v. Blazers -3.5 | Top | 104-100 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. We played against Portland on Friday as it fell victim to a desperate Golden St. team but we are going to back the Blazers tonight as they head back home following a six-game roadtrip. They went just 2-4 in those six games to fall to 5-5 on the highway but they have won four straight games at home and are 7-2 on the season with the two losses coming by a combined five points. Portland is 8-2 ATS this season when favored by fewer than seven points while going 9-2 ATS in its last 11 home games against teams with a losing road record. The Clippers lost in Washington on Tuesday after blowing a 24-point lead but bounced back with a win against Memphis on Friday and they are now 6-1 over their last seven games. They are 4-5 on the road for the season and the last three wins came against Orlando, Brooklyn and Atlanta. The Clippers are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (516) Portland Trail Blazers |
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11-25-18 | Ottawa v. Calgary -4.5 | Top | 16-27 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
This is a play on the CALGARY STAMPEDERS for our CFL Grey Cup Winner. Sometimes one of the biggest factors pertaining to the Grey Cup is the weather but that is not the case this season as conditions will be ideal. Calgary had a three-game slide at the end of October but bounced back with a pair of wins as it defeated B.C. to claim the West Division and then took care of Winnipeg last week to advance to the Grey Cup for the fifth time in the last seven years including the last three. The Stampeders have lost the last tow so there is some extra juice tonight. We played against Ottawa last week and the result was not good as it unleashed on the Hamilton defense, namely Trevor Harris who threw for a CFL playoff record six touchdowns but the challenge is greater this week. Calgary's defense led the CFL in fewest offensive points allowed (17.8 ppg), offensive touchdowns (27), passing touchdowns (11), was tied for most sacks (45) and second in fewest offensive yards allowed (321.4 ypg). This is a revenge game of sorts for Calgary as it faced Ottawa in the 2016 Grey Cup and lost in overtime as the 8-9-1 RedBlacks earned a stunning 39-36 overtime victory over Calgary (15-2-1) in Toronto. 10* (668) Calgary Stampeders |
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11-25-18 | 49ers v. Bucs -1.5 | Top | 9-27 | Win | 100 | 4 h 58 m | Show |
This is a play on the TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS as part of our NFL Sunday Trifecta. Since beating the Eagles on 9/24, Tampa Bay has gone 1-7 with the only win coming in overtime against Cleveland. However, the Buccaneers have won the yardage battle in six of those eight games as turnover and special teams have been a difference. The 49ers have found new life with Nick Mullens at quarterback but now he is making his first career road start and while Tampa Bay is not the most hostile of environments, it is on the road nonetheless. Here, we play on teams after five consecutive games where they forced one or fewer turnovers going up against an opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. This situation is 60-27 ATS (69 percent) since 1983. 10* (256) Tampa Bay Buccaneers |