Sports Picks & Predictions

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors over Boston.  The #2-seeded Raptors are down 2-games-to-none, and are in a "virtual" must-win situation tonight, given that no NBA team has ever come back from a 3-0 deficit to win a 7-game series.  We'll take Toronto, as NBA favorites off back-to-back SU/ATS losses, and down 2-games-to-none in a series, have covered 60.8% over the last 30 years.  Even better:  the Raptors are an awesome 44-19 ATS off exactly two SU/ATS losses.  Take the Raptors in Game 3.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over the Miami Heat.  The Heat have taken three of four vs. Milwaukee this season.  But I love the Bucks to bounce back off their Game 1 upset loss on Monday.  Since Mike Budenholzer assumed the head coaching duties, Milwaukee is 35-9 straight-up, and 30-14 ATS off a loss, including 19-5 ATS off a loss by 7+ points.  Even better:  in the 2nd round of the NBA Playoffs, underdogs of more than 4 points, off back to back wins by more than 10 points, are a horrid 1-19 SU and 3-17 ATS.  Finally, the Heat have covered just 1 of their last 16 when facing a revenge-minded foe off an upset loss.  Take Milwaukee.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz + the points over the Denver Nuggets.  The Nuggets pulled even with Utah in this series with a 119-107 win in Game 6.  Now, after being an underdog in Games 3 through 6, Denver's been installed as a small favorite for Game 7 (though not as big as a favorite as it was in Games 1 + 2).  The Nuggets are a horrid 0-17 ATS away from home as a favorite (or PK) off a win by more than eight points, including a blowout, 19-point loss in Game 2 of this series.  Meanwhile, the Jazz are a super 43-25 ATS on a 3-game ATS losing streak, including 18-6 ATS when playing with revenge.  Take the Jazz + the points in this decisive Game 7.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over the Boston Celtics.  The Celtics snapped Toronto's 8-game winning streak on Sunday, when they upset Toronto, 112-94, as a 2-point underdog.  That extended Boston's current win streak to 5 games.  But turnabout is fair play, and we'll look for the Raptors to level this series at 1-game apiece this evening.  Toronto is a super 32-15-1 ATS off an ATS loss, including 12-5 ATS when playing with revenge.  And it's 11-0 SU/ATS off a loss by more than 11 points, and covered those 11 games by an average of 9.36 points.  Number 3 seeds, like Boston, are an awful 32-57 ATS off an upset playoff win vs. their opponent.  Lay the points with the Raptors.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets + the points over the Utah Jazz.  The Nuggets have been demolished over the last two ball games, as they've given up 124 points in back-to-back games to the Jazz.  On the other hand, they also gave up more than 124 points in Game 1, but they won that game (135-125) in overtime.  Down 2-games-to-1, we'll grab the points with the underdog Nuggets, as teams down 2-1 in a series have cashed 80.9% of the time off a loss by more than 22 points.  Even better:  Denver's an awesome 30-16 ATS when playing with double-revenge, including a perfect 5-0 ATS off a loss by 15 points or more.  Take the Nuggets to level this series at 2 games apiece.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder + the points over Houston.  The Thunder were actually favored by a point in Game 1.  But after falling behind 2-games-to-none to James Harden & Co., the Thunder now find themselves installed as a small underdog in Game 3.  I believe it's an overreaction, so we'll step in and take the points with OKC.  Admittedly, the Thunder have lost their last three games SU/ATS.  But Oklahoma City is a tremendous 29-9 ATS away from home when they were on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak.  And prior to dropping these two Playoff games to Houston, Oklahoma City had covered the last five meetings (and nine of the last 11).  Since 1990, NBA teams off back to back Playoff losses by 13+ points have covered 59%, so we'll grab the points with the Thunder on Saturday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over Dallas.  The Clippers lost Game 2, 127-114, as a 5-point favorite.  But they had won (and covered) the previous five games in this series.  I love Los Angeles to bounce back tonight in Game 3, as NBA teams that failed to cover Game 2 by 18+ points, have rebounded to cover Game 3 58% of the time since 1990.  Doc Rivers' men are 27-13 their last 40 when playing with revenge from a defeat earlier in the season.  And they're an awesome 30-10 ATS their last 40 off a straight-up loss, including a perfect 8-0 ATS when priced from -4 to -7 points.  Take the Clippers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz and Denver Nuggets 'under' the total.  The first two games of this series were extremely high scoring.  Game 1 saw the Nuggets win, in overtime, 135-125, while Game 2 went to the Jazz, 124-105.  I actually look for a much lower-scoring game this afternoon, as NBA playoff games have sailed 'under' the total 60% of the time  since 1992 following two games in the series that each produced 225+ points.  Even better:  this series has gone 'under' the total in 21 of the last 29 meetings. Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over the Portland Trail Blazers.  Damian Lillard & Co. upset the Lakers in Game 1, 100-93.  But Portland's never performed well off a Playoff victory, as it's 25-45-3 ATS, including 5-17 ATS when getting more than four points.  Meanwhile, LeBron James' teams have gone 47-26 ATS in the Playoffs if they weren't winning the series, and were favored by two or more points.  And his teams have also gone 97-66 ATS in his career when favored, and playing with revenge vs. an opponent off a straight-up win.  It's true that the Lakers have dropped their last six to the spread.  But NBA teams have gone 13-2 ATS in the Playoffs when priced from -4 to -9.5 points, if they were on a 6-game (or worse) ATS losing streak.  Take the L.A. Lakers.  Good luck, always....Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Orlando.  The Magic stunned Milwaukee, 122-110, as a 13.5-point underdog on Tuesday.  But off that defeat, we'll lay the points with the Bucks in Game 2.  Since Mike Budenholzer took over as head coach, the Bucks are an awesome 34-9 SU and 29-14 ATS off a straight-up loss, including 18-5 ATS when priced from -7 to -13 points!  Moreover, teams that owned a win percentage at least .05 better than their opponent, have cashed over 69% since 1990 off a loss to start the opening round of the Playoffs.  Meanwhile, the Magic are a dreadful 3-12 ATS away from home as an underdog of 3+ points following a Playoff win vs. their opponent.  Take the Bucks to blow out Orlando.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz + the points over Denver.  The Jazz handed their backers a really bad beat on Monday, as they fell in overtime by 10 points, as a 4.5-point underdog.  Still, Donovan Mitchell was brilliant in defeat, as he led the way with 57 points, nine rebounds, and seven assists.  Remarkably, the Nuggets, who have won greater than 65% of their games the past two seasons, are a jaw-dropping 0-16 ATS their last 16 away from home as a favorite off a win by more than eight points!  Take Utah.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1:30 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets + the points over Toronto.  In Game 1, the Raptors smacked the Nets, 134-110.  But I love taking double-digit underdogs off a SU/ATS double-digit loss vs. foes off a SU/ATS double-digit win, as they're 474-374 ATS.  Even better:  The Nets are a solid 42-25 ATS as an underdog when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, including a perfect 12-0 ATS when getting more than 9 points.  Take Brooklyn + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over Indiana.  These two teams met at the conclusion of the regular season, and we played on the Pacers in their blowout victory.  That was also Indiana's second straight upset win heading into these playoffs.  Unfortunately, over the last 30 seasons, NBA teams off back to back upset wins to end the regular season generally do poorly in Game 1 of the Playoffs, as they've covered just 33% of the time.  Also, Erik Spoelstra's teams are 11-3 SU and 9-5 ATS when favored in Game 1 of a Playoff series, including a perfect 5-0 ATS when playing with revenge.  Lay the points with Miami.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers over the Miami Heat.  These two teams met four days ago, and Miami got the better of Indy, 114-92, as a 4-point favorite.  These two teams will also play each other in the first round of the Playoffs, so this is a "tune-up" for both squads.  I expect Indiana will want to gain a measure of confidence, and play better this afternoon than it did on Monday.  Indiana also falls into a 228-148 ATS revenge system of mine, based on the fact it has lost all three meetings to the Heat this season.  Take the Pacers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Utah.  Although the Spurs can still reach the playoffs for the 23rd consecutive season, their chances to do so are small, as they need at least two of three other teams (Memphis, Phoenix, Portland) to lose today, while they win their own game vs. the Jazz.  By the time this game tips off, the Spurs will know whether they've been knocked out, or if they're still alive.  But even if they're knocked out, I still expect them to put forth a solid effort to end the season on a high note, because that's what a Gregg Popovich team would do.  The Spurs fall into 115-55 and 98-45 ATS 'momentum' systems of mine.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over the Oklahoma City Thunder.  The Heat come into this game off a 114-92 win over Indiana, while the Thunder were blown out, 128-101 by the Phoenix Suns.  We played on Phoenix in that game, as the Suns have been "playing to win."  And the fact that OKC was annihilated gives an indication as to what its mindset is at this late stage of the NBA season.  I expect a similar result tonight.  We'll lay the points with the much more interested club (Miami), which also falls into 81-37 and 115-54 ATS 'momentum' systems of mine.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 6:35 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers minus the points over Dallas.  If the Blazers can win their final two games, they will make the Playoffs "play-in" series, so there's great incentive tonight -- much more so than the Mavericks possess, since Dallas is guaranteed to be either the #6 or #7 seed.  Portland plays with revenge from a 133-125 defeat in January, but McCollum and Nurkic were out for that game.  Both will be on the floor tonight.  We'll lay the points with the Trail Blazers, as they fall into a 128-63 ATS revenge system of mine, as well as a "late season" system which is 79-36 ATS.  Take Portland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:35 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over Oklahoma City.  This 8-game re-start schedule in Orlando was, of course, necessary for several reasons.  The most important were that the players needed to shake off the rust to prepare for the playoffs, and teams on the outside-looking-in needed a final opportunity to make a run at the post-season.  And that last reason has impelled the Phoenix Suns to play their best basketball of the year.  Phoenix is the lone unbeaten team at Disney World, with a 5-0 SU/ATS record.  And it retains a shot to make the play-in round, if it wins its final three games.  The first of those is this afternoon against a Thunder squad which blew out Washington yesterday.  Phoenix will thus have an advantage in terms of rest.  And NBA teams playing with extra rest have gone 14-9 ATS at Disney.  We'll lay the points with the Suns, as we look for them to win (and cover) their 6th straight game.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1:05 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers + the points over the Los Angeles Clippers.  In the preseason, I released two NBA futures plays:  the Clippers to win the Western Conference, and the Bucks to win the Eastern Conference.  And I still believe that will be the Finals match-up in October.  The Clippers, for the most part, have nothing to play for in their remaining four games.  They're 2 games ahead of Denver for the #2 seed, and have a game vs. the Nuggets on Wednesday.  Los Angeles could go 1-3 in its final four games, but would still get the #2 seed if it defeated Denver next week.  So, that's pretty much the highest priority game on L.A.'s schedule.  Portland, on the other hand, needs to win each of its last four games because, if it slips up just once, it could miss the Playoffs.  Portland, thus, has a big edge in the "motivation' department this afternoon.  And it also falls into a 212-132 ATS revenge system of mine, as it lost by 20 points at Los Angeles when the two teams last met.  The Trail Blazers are 9-0-2 ATS their last 11 (and 22-7-2 ATS their last 31) when playing with revenge from a loss by 12+ points, if they weren't getting more than 4 points.  Take the Trail Blazers + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Miami.  The Bucks pulled a rare clunker in their last game, as they lost outright as an 18.5-point favorite to Brooklyn.  It was the 3rd biggest NBA upset in the past 30 seasons!  But off that defeat, I love Mike Budenholzer's men to bounce back this afternoon, as his Milwaukee teams are 32-7 straight-up and 27-12 ATS off a loss, including 9-1 ATS when priced from -9 to -11 points.  It also will help Milwaukee that Budenholzer has promised to play his starters more than on Tuesday, when none played more than 20 minutes.  The Heat are a poor 15-26 ATS off a win this season.  Take the Bucks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over Portland.  The Rockets are 2-0 in Walt Disney World, and have defeated two very good teams (Milwaukee, Dallas).  Tonight, they'll get a relative breather when they take on Portland.  The Blazers have struggled to a 28-37 ATS mark this season, and are 24-38 ATS their last 62 when priced between +3.5 and +9.5 points.  Meanwhile, Houston plays with double-revenge, and is 20-7 ATS its last 27 when playing with double-revenge.  Take the Rockets.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:35 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat + the points over Boston.  We played against the Heat yesterday, and got the $$$ with Toronto.  But we will switch gears and grab the points with Erik Spoelstra's men this evening, as Miami is 17-6 ATS off a loss this season.  And the Heat fall into a great 109-46 ATS system of mine which plays on certain unrested teams off a loss vs. foes off a win.  Grab the points.

At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over Indiana.  The Magic are playing great ball, with 5 straight wins (and six straight covers), and fall into a 123-87 ATS system of mine which plays are certain revenge-minded squads.  With Orlando, indeed, playing with revenge from a 111-106 defeat, we'll lay the points with the Magic.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over San Antonio.  The Spurs moved to 2-0 since the restart yesterday when they upset the Grizzlies, 108-106, as a 3-point underdog.  San Antonio is trying to make the playoffs for the 23rd consecutive year, but it still has an uphill battle to qualify for the post-season in 2020.  After opening its Walt Disney schedule against two teams below .500 (Kings, Grizzlies), the Spurs' schedule will be difficult from this point forward, with games against the Sixers, Jazz (twice), Rockets, Nuggets and Pelicans.  The Spurs are an awful 11-24-1 ATS off a win vs. foes off an upset loss, including 2-10 ATS as an underdog of less than nine points.  And this is a horrible match-up for San Antone, as LaMarcus Aldridge and Trey Lyles are out, and it will have no one on the inside to guard Joel Embiid.  Take the 76ers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1:35 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Miami.  The Raptors come into this game off a big win over the Lakers -- their fifth straight, overall.  But I don't foresee a letdown tonight, as Toronto will be seeking major revenge from a beatdown administered by Miami back in January.  In that previous meeting between these two teams, the Raptors had their worst offensive game since 2015, as they shot just 31% from the floor, and scored just 76 points, in an 8-point defeat.  But the Raptors are a spectacular 14-1 ATS away from home (including 10-0 ATS their last 10) when they are matched up against a team that held them to 82 or less points in the previous meeting.  And Toronto also falls into a 106-47 ATS revenge system of mine.  Lay the points with Nick Nurse's men.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over the Phoenix Suns.  The Mavs absolutely collapsed in the final minute of Friday night's game vs. Houston.  They led by seven points with 45 seconds left, but lost in overtime, 153-149.  To put that defeat in perspective, consider that NBA teams were 711-2 in the previous 713 games when leading by 7+ points with a minute or less to go in regulation!  So, Dallas will seek to redeem itself tonight vs. a Phoenix team which blew out the Mavs, 133-104, in the last meeting.  The Mavericks are an awesome 47-28-1 ATS off a loss when playing with revenge vs. a foe off a straight-up win.  And Phoenix is 2-9 ATS its last 11 when playing a revenge-minded foe.  Lay the points with Dallas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Syracuse Orange over North Carolina.  The Tar Heels blew out Virginia Tech yesterday to advance to this 2nd round game vs. Syracuse on Wednesday night.  Unfortunately, the Tar Heels will be at a significant disadvantage tonight since the Orange will be well-rested, as they have not played since Saturday.  And rested ACC Conference teams have gone 34-18 ATS vs. unrested foes in the ACC Tournament, including a perfect 7-0 ATS if they were playing with revenge, and not favored by 9+ points.  Take Syracuse to blow out North Carolina.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Texas State Bobcats minus the points over Appalachian St.  These two Sun Belt Conference rivals met twice earlier this season, with each team winning SU/ATS on its own home court.  This Quarterfinals match-up will be played in San Marcos, so the Bobcats will have the advantage -- especially given that they blew out the Mountaineers, 82-57, here, earlier this year.  The Bobcats fall into one of my favorite Tourney systems, which is 47-14 ATS since 1990.  That angle plays on certain home teams in conference tourney games vs. foes off wins.  And the Bobcats also fall into 96-47, 160-114 and 76-47 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams off defeats to end their regular season.  Lay the points with Texas State.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats minus the points over Washington.  These two teams met last weekend in Tucson, and the Huskies upset Arizona, 69-63.  That also was Washington's 2nd straight upset win on the road.  We'll fade the Huskies in this Pac-12 Tourney game, as teams off two road upset wins have cashed just 38% in the Conference Tourneys over the past 30 years, if they were matched up against an opponent off a SU loss.  Take Arizona minus the points.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the George Washington Colonials minus the points over Fordham.  In this Opening Round match-up in the Atlantic 10 Tournament, we have two teams that are not playing very good basketball.  The Rams have lost 11 of 12 since their 59-54 victory over George Washington, on January 22.  And George Washington hasn't played much better, as it's 4-8 SU and 5-7 ATS over its last 12 games.  We'll lay the points with George Washington, as it falls into a 41-13 ATS revenge system of mine, as well as 44-9 and 60-18 ATS Tourney systems of mine that play on certain teams off losses.  Additionally, Atlantic 10 Conference favorites of less than 13 points have gone 169-104 ATS in the A-10 Tournament since 1992, including 37-19 ATS if it lost all the season's previous meetings vs. its opponent.  Take George Washington.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over Golden State.  We played against Kawhi Leonard & Co. this past Sunday, and were rewarded with an upset win by the Lakers.  But off that upset defeat, we'll lay the points with the Clippers tonight, as Los Angeles is a spectacular 29-7 SU and 26-10 ATS off a loss.  Additionally, the Warriors won a rare game this past Saturday when they upset the 76ers, 118-114.  Unfortunately for Steve Kerr's men, they're a poor 55-82-2 ATS off a straight-up win, including 1-9 SU and 3-7 ATS as an underdog of 8+ points.  Take the Clippers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Gonzaga Bulldogs minus the points over St. Mary's.  The West Coast Conference should just give the Bulldogs a bye into the final game.  After all, this is the 20th season in a row that Gonzaga has reached the title game.  And the Bulldogs have gone 15-5 in those games (but 15-3 straight-up and 12-6 ATS if one eliminates the two title games played on their opponent's home court).  The Gaels, once again, had a great regular season.  But they've never done well in the post-season, and especially not when matched-up against the better teams.  Indeed, St. Mary's is 1-12 ATS as an underdog of 5+ points in the post-season.  Likewise, the Gaels are 12-28 ATS vs. foes that have a scoring margin of 5+ points.  Finally, the Bulldogs fall into 41-6, 102-51 and 18-2 ATS systems of mine.  Take Gonzaga.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Stony Brook Seawolves minus the points over Hartford.  The Hawks took both meetings vs. the Seawolves this season, including a double-digit win here, in February.  But Stony Brook falls into a 397-275 ATS revenge system of mine, as well as a 2nd system which is 81-28 that plays against certain teams off wins.  Even better:  America East Conference teams have gone 42-21 ATS in the Tournament when playing with revenge, including a perfect 6-0 ATS at home when playing with double revenge.  Take Stony Brook.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Northeastern Huskies + the points over Hofstra.  These two teams will meet in the Colonial Athletic Association title game this evening, in Washington, D.C.  They met twice earlier this season, and the Pride took both meetings.  But each of those two regular season games went down to the wire, as Hofstra won the first game, 74-72, at Northeastern, and the second game, at home, 75-71.  I look for the 3rd time to be the charm for the Huskies, as College teams have cashed 65% of Conference Championship games over the last 20 years when playing with revenge from 2 narrow regular season losses by 5 or less points.  Take the Huskies.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Manhattan Jaspers minus the points over Fairfield.  The Jaspers come into this Metro Atlantic Tourney game off three straight double-digit losses, yet have been installed as a favorite against an opponent which handed it two defeats this season.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to go against the Jaspers, but we'll step in and lay the small number, as favorites have covered 60% in the post-season since 1990 off back to back double-digit losses, if their opponent was off a SU win.  Take Manhattan.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Panthers minus the points over Wake Forest.  The Panthers lost at home to Wake Forest as a 6.5-point favorite earlier in the season, and have dropped all four meetings since 2017.  Notwithstanding this history, the Panthers have been installed as the favorite in this opening round game of the ACC Tournament.  We'll lay the points, as ACC Conference teams have cashed 67% since 1990 in the post-season, if playing with revenge from an upset loss earlier in the season, and not favored in the tournament game by 3+ points.  Take the Panthers.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Southern Eagles minus the points over Louisiana-Lafayette.  The Eagles lost at home, 76-75, to Arkansas St. to end its regular season.  But it will have another opportunity to win a home game tonight, in this Sun Belt Conference tourney game.  These two teams met twice earlier this season, and the Eagles won both games SU/ATS -- including a 20-point victory here in Statesboro.  Georgia Southern is now 6-2 in the last eight meetings.  Even better:  the Eagles are a solid 16-4 ATS at home, or on a neutral court when playing off a SU/ATS loss vs. a foe off a SU win, while the Rajin' Cajuns have covered just two of nine tourney games when playing with double-revenge from 2 losses earlier in the season.  Lay the points with Georgia Southern.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm eastern, our selection is on the Delaware Blue Hens + the points over Hofstra.  The Pride come into this game on a 10-1 SU/ATS win streak, including back to back blowout wins over James Madison (97-81) and Drexel (61-43).  And they also blew out today's opponent -- Delaware -- by 16 points in the last meeting, 16 days ago.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the red-hot Pride.  But .700 (or better) teams off back to back SU/ATS wins by more than 15 points, that also defeated their revenge-minded Tournament opponent by more than 15 points earlier in the season, have covered just 40% over the last 30 seasons.  That doesn't bode well for Hofstra this evening.  Nor does the fact that the Blue Hens are 10-2-1 ATS their last 13 Tournament games.  Take Delaware + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Northeastern Huskies minus the points over Towson.  These two teams met at Northeastern last Sunday, and the Tigers came away with a hard-fought 75-72 victory.  That was Towson's 3rd straight win (both SU and ATS), as well.  But we'll go against the Tigers tonight, as Northeastern's 8-1 ATS as a favorite (or PK) vs. foes off 3 SU/ATS wins.  Meanwhile, the Tigers are a poor 42-63-4 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes, including 1-5 ATS in the post-season.  And Northeastern also falls into 60-33 and 126-94 ATS revenge systems of mine.  Take the Huskies minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Cleveland.  The Spurs will have a scheduling advantage tonight, as they had Saturday off, while Cleveland played here, at home, vs. the Nuggets.  And the Spurs are a super 96-65 ATS vs. unrested foes.  But that's not the best part.  If the Spurs lost failed to cover the spread by more than 11 points in their previous game, then our unrested opponents have gone 0-29 straight-up, and 3-26 ATS vs. San Antonio!  With the Spurs, indeed, off a blowout loss to the Nets where they failed to cover by 16.5 points, we will lay the wood with San Antonio tonight.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over Washington.  The Wizards and Heat have traded home victories over the first three meetings this season.  But I love Miami to break through and win tonight on Washington's home court, notwithstanding Miami's current 4-game road losing streak.  The Wizards come into this game off a 118-112 victory over Atlanta, as a 5.5-point favorite, while Miami lost by 6 at New Orleans, as a 1.5-point underdog (Miami's second straight ATS loss).  Unfortunately for the Wizards, they're an awful 16-29 ATS off a SU/ATS win when facing an opponent off a SU/ATS loss, including 2-11 ATS when priced from +2.5 to +7 points.  And the Wizards have also covered just one of their last 11 (and 22 of their last 62) vs. foes off back to back ATS defeats.  Meanwhile, Miami's a superb 41-16-3 ATS off back to back point spread losses, including 26-6 ATS on the road!  Take the Heat.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Nebraska-Omaha Mavericks + the points over Oral Roberts.  The Mavericks were blown out by 20 points at North Dakota St. last weekend.  But that 20-point loss has triggered a great 45-10 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams in tourney games off double-digit losses.  Additionally, the Golden Eagles have covered just 5 of their last 25 post-season games, including 1-11 ATS off back to back wins.  Take Omaha + the points tonight.

At 4:35 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers + the points over the Los Angeles Clippers.  The NBA couldn't be happier that the two best Western Conference teams both reside in Los Angeles, as this budding rivalry should provide great entertainment in late May.  The Lakers have been installed as an underdog in this game, notwithstanding the fact they have won 10 of 11 games, own the conference's best record, and just beat Milwaukee, the league's #1 team.  The only thing not on the Lakers' regular season resume is a win over the rival Clippers, as the Lakers lost the first two meetings of the season.  We'll grab the points, as LeBron James' teams have gone 52-36 ATS when playing with double-revenge vs. a division foe.  Meanwhile, the Clippers are an awful 59-109-4 ATS vs. .589 (or better) foes playing with double-revenge, including 11-31 ATS as a favorite!  Finally, the Lakers are 11-5 straight-up, and 13-3 ATS their last 16 as underdogs.  Take the Lakers + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Maryland Terrapins minus the points over Michigan.  The #25-ranked Michigan Wolverines have had a very successful season under first-year coach Juwan Howard, as have the Top 10-ranked Maryland Terrapins under ninth-year head coach Mark Turgeon (though they have dropped their last two games).  This will be the final regular season game for each team before the Big 10 Conference Tourney starts next week.  And Michigan has been awful in the underdog role, when playing its final road game of the season, as it's gone 0-6 SU/ATS its last six, with all six losses by DOUBLE-DIGITS, and its average defeat by 19.66 ppg.  It doesn't get much uglier than that.  Even better:  Maryland's 28-14-1 ATS off back to back conference defeats.  Take the Terrapins.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the San Francisco Dons minus the points over Pacific.  These two teams split the season series, with each team taking a game on its opponent's home floor.  It's true that the Tigers are playing very well, with seven wins in their last eight games, including a 71-64 victory over San Diego last Saturday, as a 4-point favorite.  Unfortunately, they're a horrid 0-17-1 ATS in the post-season off a SU/ATS win over a conference foe.  Yikes!  The Dons, meanwhile, are also playing well, and won their fourth in a row last night with a 29-point blowout win over Loyola Marymount.  And San Francisco's 21-8 ATS off a SU/ATS win by more than 18 points, and 13-2 SU its last 15 vs. the Tigers.  Finally, West Coast Conference Tourney favorites have gone 72-45-6 ATS when favored by less than 13 points.  Take San Francisco minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the NC Greensboro Spartans minus the points over UT-Chattanooga.  The Mocs defeated the Spartans last Saturday, 74-72, as a 3.5-point underdog.  But that upset win has set-up Chattanooga in several negative systems of mine, with records of 54-86, 141-222 and 47-101 ATS since 1990.  Even worse:  the Mocs are an awful 1-9 ATS their last 10 tourney games off a straight-up win, while the Spartans are a strong 15-4 ATS as a favorite when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the year.  Take NC Greensboro.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Belmont Bruins minus the points over Murray State.  The Bruins are red-hot, with 11 straight wins coming into this Ohio Valley title game.  These two teams also met last season in the Ohio Valley Conference Championship game, and the Bruins were upset by Murray State, 77-65.  We'll take Belmont to turn the tables on Murray State, as NCAA teams off 9 (or more) wins have cashed 60% in the championship game of the Conference Tourneys over the last 28 years.  Lay the points.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the James Madison Dukes + the points over Elon.  The Dukes lost both meetings to the Phoenix this season, but they've cashed 69% over the past 25 years when playing with double-revenge, while Elon has covered just 20% over the last 15 seasons against an opponent it defeated twice earlier in the season.  The Dukes also fall into 15-2, 84-39 and 89-60 ATS "contrarian" systems of mine that play on certain teams on losing streaks.  Take James Madison + the points.

At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Valparaiso Crusaders plus the points over Missouri State.  Both of these teams are playing good basketball.  The Bears have gone 6-3 SU and 8-1 ATS with their lone ATS loss in this stretch to Vaparaiso, while Valpo has cashed 7 of its last 9, including an upset win over Loyola-Chicago yesterday.  We'll grab the points with the underdog Crusaders, as they're 8-3 ATS their last 11 vs. Missouri St, while the Bears are 4-13 ATS as a favorite in the Missouri Valley Conference tourney.  Take Valparaiso.

At 5:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over Charlotte.  The Rockets come into this evening's game off back to back SU/ATS losses to the New York Knicks and Los Angeles Clippers.  But Houston was 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS immediately preceding this losing streak.  I love Houston to rebound today on the road, as it's a super 84-51 ATS on the road off back to back SU/ATS defeats.  Admittedly, the Hornets are playing well, as they've covered five straight.  But Charlotte's a very poor 10-30 ATS at home off 3 straight ATS wins, including 4-19 ATS vs. a foe off a straight-up loss.  Finally, the Rockets have dominated the Hornets, as they're 17-1 SU and 11-4-3 ATS since 2011.  Take Houston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Drexel Dragons minus the points over NC Wilmington.  The Dragons have dropped seven straight games (1-6 ATS), but we'll lay the points with them this afternoon, as they fall into a 78-28 ATS system of mine which plays on certain revenge-minded teams in the Conference tourneys.  Drexel lost just nine days ago at Wilmington, 76-65.  And revenge-minded favorites of 4 points or less have gone 17-2 ATS in the Colonial Athletic Ass'n Tourney if they were off a loss to end the regular season.  Take Drexel.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers minus the points over Rutgers.  The Boilermakers lost, 70-63, at Rutgers earlier this season.  But the Scarlet Knights were playing much better basketball at that time, as they were 16-5, and ranked among the Top 25.  Unfortunately, since that game, the Scarlet Knights have gone 3-6, including 0-5 away from home!  For the season, Rutgers has won just one of its 11 games away from home, so that doesn't bode well against a Purdue squad which is 11-4 SU at home, and 9-6 ATS.  Even better:  the Boilermakers are 68-46 ATS as single-digit home favorite vs. winning Big 10 Conference foes.  Finally, Rutgers falls into a negative 69-146 ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams on the road off a win.  Lay the points with Purdue.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11:30 pm, our selection is on the Utah State Aggies minus the points over Wyoming.  The Cowboys have won two straight games after upsetting Nevada last night, as a 10.5-point underdog.  And that followed another upset win as a double-digit underdog vs. Colorado St. to start their Conference tournament play.  Unfortunately, it's highly unlikely that the Cowboys will pull off another win as a double-digit underdog tonight, as the Aggies won both meetings this season by 20+ points.  For technical support, consider that teams off outright wins in the quarter-finals round of a Conference tournament have only covered the spread 37% of the time over the last 30 years vs. foes off an ATS loss.  And teams off back to back SU/ATS wins in the Conference Tourney have covered just 1 of 18 in the semi-final round if they lost by 20+ points in the season's previous meeting.  Take Utah State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Ohio RedHawks minus the points over Ohio U.  The RedHawks were blown out by 31 points by Ohio U. back on February 8, 77-46.  But since that game, Miami has gone 6-1 ATS, including three straight point spread wins coming into tonight's game.  We'll lay the points with the RedHawks, as favorites off 3+ ATS wins have cashed 73% over the past 27 sesaons, if they had revenge from a loss to a conference foe by more than 28 points.  Take Miami-Ohio.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the VMI Keydets minus the points over Samford.  The Bulldogs didn't win very many Southern Conference games this season, as they were just 4-14 inside the league.  But two of their wins came against today's opponent, VMI.  We'll take the Keydets today, as Southern Conference teams have cashed 78.9% in the Conference Tourney, if they were favored and lost all the season's meetings to their opponent.  Take VMI.

At 1:05 pm, our selection is on the Drake Bulldogs + the points over Northern Iowa.  We played on the Bulldogs yesterday, and easily got the $$$ when they blew out Illinois State, 75-65.  We'll come right back with Drake this afternoon, as they'll face a Northern Iowa team which embarrassed it last Saturday on Drake's home court.  The Bulldogs were a 3.5-point home underdog, but were held to their lowest offensive output in over 5 years, and lost 70-43.  The good news for the Bulldogs here is that revenge-minded Missouri Valley teams have gone 136-85 ATS if they lost by 18+ points earlier in the season, and were not favored by more than 3 points!  Additionally, the Panthers fall into negative 82-168 and 43-107 ATS systems of mine that go against certain teams off road wins.  Take Drake + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats minus the points over Washington State.  The Cougars won a rare road game last Friday night, when they went into Seattle and defeated their rival, Washington.  Still that was Wazzu's first road win in the Pac-12 this season, after starting 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS on the Pac-12 road.  And it's a horrid 19-85 straight-up, and 35-65-4 ATS on the Pac-12 road its last 104 road games, including 11-31-1 ATS vs. foes off an ATS defeat.  The Wildcats had a disastrous trip to Southern California last weekend, as they lost to both USC and UCLA.  But Arizona's back home, where it's gone 14-4 SU and 12-6 ATS its last 18.  And it's also 16-8 ATS at home off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Finally, the Wildcats fall into a 111-45 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off upset defeats.  Lay the points with Arizona.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Austin Peay Governors minus the points over Eastern Illinois.  In this Ohio Valley Tourney game, we'll take the Governors to avenge their 83-80 loss 12 days ago to the Panthers.  That game was on the road in Charleston, where the Panthers went 10-2 this season.  This game will be played at a neutral site, in Evansville, Indiana.  And that bodes well for the Governors, as they've won just five of their last 17 road games, but are 26-0 straight-up, and 11-4-2 ATS at home, or on a neutral court when favored.  And Austin Peay also falls into a 188-100 ATS revenge system of mine which plays on certain teams favored in the post-season.  Take the Governors.

At 9:35 pm, our selection is on the Evansville Purple Aces + the points over Valparaiso.  The Crusaders have not been a strong post-season team "in Vegas," and especially not when they've matched-up against an opponent with a win percentage less than .800 which wasn't off a double-digit win.  In that situation, the Crusaders are 0-18 ATS.  That doesn't bode well today against an Evansville team which is 9-22 on the season.  These two teams played exceptionally close games this season, with Valpo taking both meetings by exactly two points.  Unfortunately, teams that won both meetings by 2 points or less have NOT fared well in the conference tournaments, and especially not if they played the tourney game away from home, as they've cashed just 29% since 1990.  Take Evansville + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Utah State Aggies minus the points over New Mexico.  The Aggies lost to New Mexico, 66-64, last Saturday.  That game was in Albuquerque, but this game will be played at a neutral site, in Las Vegas.  The Lobos went 15-3 at home this season, and have also gone 23-15 ATS their last 38 home games.  But away from Albuquerque, it's been a different story, as UNM is a poor 9-22 straight-up, and 10-19 ATS, including 1-6 ATS as a double-digit underdog.  Even better:  Utah State's a terrific 24-11-2 ATS at home, or on a neutral court when playing with revenge, including 12-1 ATS if the Aggies weren't off a point spread win.  Finally, New Mexico falls into negative 13-42 and 44-91 ATS Tournament systems of mine that go against certain teams off wins.  Take Utah State minus the points.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the San Diego Toreros plus the points over Loyola Marymount.  Both of these teams come into this West Coast Conference tourney game off losses.  The Toreros fell, 71-64, at home vs. Pacific last Saturday, while the Lions lost at home, 69-67, to San Francisco.  Each team also had a miserable season, as the Toreros won just two conference games, while Loyola Marymount was slightly better, at 4-12, including a six-point win vs. San Diego back in January.  But the Lions had the benefit of playing that game at home, in Los Angeles.  This game will be played at a neutral site, in Las Vegas.  We'll grab the points with the underdog Toreros, as revenge-minded conference foes are an awesome 40-12 ATS away from home vs. Loyola Marymount, including a perfect 15-0 ATS if our revenger had a win percentage less than .355.  Take San Diego.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin-Green Bay Phoenix minus the points over Oakland.  These two teams met just 11 days ago, and the Golden Grizzlies won, 92-88.  But that game was in Rochester; this game will be played in Green Bay.  And the Phoenix are an awesome 19-0-1 ATS at home when playing with revenge, if they weren't favored by more than 10 points, and didn't cover the spread in their previous game.  With the Phoenix indeed off an ATS loss last Saturday to Cleveland St, our 19-0 ATS angle is triggered.  Lay the points with the Phoenix.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Charlotte.  The Hornets come into this game on a 4-game point spread win streak, but tonight's game is an example of facing the wrong opponent at the wrong time.  The Nuggets were favored by 16 points over Golden State on Tuesday, but actually lost by 16, 116-100.  After the game, Denver's All-Star center, Nikola Jokic said, "it happens."  Well, it hasn't happened very often.  Since 1990, it was just the fourth time that an NBA team lost by more than 15 points after being favored by more than 15.  We'll take the Nuggets to bounce back off that embarrassing defeat, as they're 12-7 ATS on the road off an upset home loss.  Even better:  Charlotte's a wallet-busting 1-14 ATS at home off 4 point spread wins.  Take the Nuggets to rebound on Thursday, and blow out Charlotte.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Drake Bulldogs minus the points over Illinois State.  The Redbirds are 10-20 this season, but one of their 10 victories was an upset win over Drake, in Normal, 12 days ago.  We'll lay the points with Drake in this re-match, as winning teams have gone 95-58 ATS in the post-season vs. losing teams when playing with revenge from an upset road loss.  Take Drake.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Boise State Broncos + the points over UNLV.  This first round game in the Mountain West Conference tournament will once again be played on UNLV's home court (for the 14th straight season).  But that hasn't been a big advantage for the Runnin' Rebels over the years.  And, lately, UNLV's gone 0-4-2 ATS their last six, and 4-10-2 ATS their last 16 Mountain West tournament games here at Thomas & Mack Center.  Coincidentally, these two teams met eight days ago right here, and the Rebels won, 76-66.  But we'll take Boise to avenge that defeat, as it's 6-1 ATS its last seven when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  And it's 27-16 ATS off a straight-up loss, including 9-3 ATS as an underdog.  Take Boise + the points.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Indiana.  We had our biggest NBA play of the season-to-date when these two teams last met.  That game was in Indiana, and the Pacers blew out Milwaukee to snap a long, 6-game losing streak.  For this game, however, it's a Bucks team which is off a loss, while Indiana's won four straight.  Since Mike Budenholzer took over as head coach, the Bucks are an awesome 23-6 ATS in the regular season off a loss, including a perfect 8-0 SU/ATS vs. winning teams.  Lay the points with Milwaukee.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Detroit.  The Thunder come into tonight's game off back to back losses.  Of course, those were to possibly the two best teams in basketball -- the Milwaukee Bucks and Los Angeles Clippers -- so there's no great shame in losing them.  Tonight, the Thunder will step down in class to play the Detroit Pistons, who have lost eight of their last nine games, including a 108-101 setback to the Thunder on February 7.  Overall, the Thunder have won 13 of the last 17 meetings vs. Detroit.  And they've also covered nine of 11 off back to back losses.  The Pistons have covered their last two games -- both on the road -- but are an awful 6-18-1 ATS their last 25 off a point spread win, including 0-7 ATS at home.  Take the Thunder to blow out Detroit.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Temple Owls minus the points over Tulsa.  The Owls were upset by Tulsa on the road earlier this season.  But they're back home tonight, in Philadelphia, for their final home game of the season.  And it's a venue where the Owls have dominated.  Indeed, over the last 15 seasons, Temple is 48-11 SU and 42-16-1 ATS at home when favored by six points or less (or PK).  But that's not the best part.  When Temple played a conference foe in this price range, then it has gone 31-6 SU/ATS at home its last 37.  Since 2008, the Owls have gone 12-0 on "Senior Night" -- their final home game of the season, and have covered nine of those 12 games.  Lay the points with the Owls.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the St. Bonaventure Bonnies minus the points over St. Joseph's.  The Hawks won a rare conference game their last time out, as they bested Fordham, 73-69.  Unfortunately, the Hawks aren't likely to win tonight, as they're 2-15 SU/ATS their last 17 off a win.  St. Bonaventure will play its final home game of the season tonight, and will attempt to snap a two-game losing streak.  We'll lay the points with the Bonnies, as college teams have cashed 61% since 1990 as double-digit favorites in their final home game of the season, if they were off back to back upset defeats.  Take St. Bonaventure minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Phoenix.  After winning 17 of 18 games, the Raptors have hit a mini-speed bump.  Toronto's lost its last three games, but two of those three games were vs. the 52-9 Milwaukee Bucks, and on the road to the 41-19 Nuggets.  So, it's best not to view the Raptors' glass as half-empty.  Tonight, the Raptors should snap their losing streak, as they'll be facing a Suns team which has gone 10-16 SU and 7-19 ATS its last 26.  Even better:  Phoenix is 3-14 SU and 6-10-1 ATS its last 17 as a home underdog, while the Raptors are an awesome 39-12-2 ATS off back to back losses when priced from -2.5 to -11 points.  Finally, .700 (or better) road favorites, off 3+ losses, have cashed 64% over the last 30 years vs. losing teams.  Lay the points with the Raptors.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Georgia State Panthers minus the points over Arkansas Little Rock.  The Panthers will play their final home game of the season tonight, and they'll look to snap a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak.  Meanwhile, Arkansas Little Rock comes into tonight's game off 3 SU/ATS wins.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the hot Trojans, but consider that teams playing their final home game of the season have cashed 62% since 1990 if they were off 3 SU/ATS losses, and their opponent was off 3 SU/ATS wins.  Take the Panthers.

At 7 pm, in the opening round of the Patriot League Tournament, our selection is on the Loyola Maryland Greyhounds + the points over Lehigh.  This is a rematch of Saturday's game, won by Lehigh, 74-71, at Loyola Maryland.  And the Mountain Hawks also won the season's first meeting here, in Bethlehem.  We'll take the Greyhounds this evening, as they're 37-17 ATS on the road when playing with double-revenge, while Lehigh's 0-4 ATS its last four off an upset road win.  Take Loyola Maryland.

At 7 pm, in the opening round of the Big South Tournament, our selection is on the Charleston Southern Buccaneers minus the points over Presbyterian.  The Buccaneers come into this game on a 4-game SU/ATS losing streak.  But they should be able to get back into the win column this evening, as they've owned the Blue Hose over the years.  The Bucs have won 20 of the last 25 meetings, including 12-1 their last 13 meetings here, in Charleston.  And the Blue Hose are 2-8 SU and 3-7 ATS their last 10 post-season games as an underdog.  Finally, the Buccaneers fall into 86-59, 124-91, 43-17 and 112-60 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams in the post-season off SU losses.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over the New York Knicks.  New York defeated Chicago here on Saturday night, 125-115.  But it had lost its six previous games (1-4-1 ATS).  I love going against bad teams off victories, and we'll do that here, as we note that double-digit home underdogs, with a win percentage of .300 (or less), have covered just 24.0% over the last 30 years if they won at home in their previous game.  That doesn't bode well for New York this evening.  Even worse:  the Knicks are a wallet-busting 0-20 SU and 6-13-1 ATS its last 20 games as a double-digit home underdog, and they're 4-15 ATS their last 19 at home vs. Houston.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils minus the points over North Carolina State.  We played on the Wolfpack in the season's first meeting, 12 days ago, and were rewarded with an 88-66 blowout win over the Blue Devils.  NC State was a 6-point home underdog in that game, so it covered by 28 points!  For this game, though, we'll lay the double-digits with Duke, as revenge-minded College Basketball teams, off back to back SU losses, have covered 61% since 1990 as favorites of 5+ points, if they lost the first meeting by 15+ points.  Additionally, the Blue Devils are a solid 19-4 ATS as a favorite of more than 12 points in the regular season off a SU loss.  Take the Blue Devils.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards minus the points over the Golden State Warriors.  Last night, Golden State pulled off a big upset when it went into Phoenix, and upset the Suns, 115-99, as an 11-point road underdog.  That was just Golden State's 13th win of the season (against 47 losses), and faithful followers know I love playing against bad teams off wins.  We won't make an exception here, and will play against the Warriors as a home underdog tonight.  For technical support, consider that the Warriors are an awful 1-11-1 ATS when playing without rest off a straight-up win.  Additionally, .375 (or worse) NBA home teams have covered just 37% over the last 30 years, if they were off exactly one win (on the road), and were playing without rest vs. a foe off a straight-up loss.  Take the Wizards minus the points.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Southern Utah Thunderbirds minus the points over Idaho.  Southern Utah will play its final home game of the season tonight, and will attempt to snap a season-worst 5-game losing streak.  We'll lay the points with Southern Utah, as college teams have cashed 60% as double-digit favorites in their final home game of the season, if they were off back to back upset defeats.  Take the Thunderbirds.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Northern Colorado Bears minus the points over Eastern Washington.  The Bears are 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS their last nine games.  This will be Northern Colorado's final home game of the year, and it falls into a "Last Home Game" system of mine which is 61-15 ATS.  Even better:  the Bears are 39-23-1 when not favored by more than 7 points, while Eastern Washington's an awful 1-6 ATS at Northern Colorado when priced as an underdog of +10 or less points (or PK).  Take the Bears.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Chicago State Cougars + the points over Missouri-KC.  The Cougars have lost 18 straight games.  But this long losing streak has worked to create point spread value.  And non-winning NCAA teams (both SU and ATS), off 10+ losses, have cashed 69% on the road since 1990 vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Take Chicago St. + the points.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Nevada Wolf Pack + the points over San Diego State.  Nevada's 12-2 at home this season, and has won its last six games, overall (4-2 ATS).  We'll grab the points with Nevada, as home underdogs of +5 (or more) points that have won more than 10 home games on the season, with less than 3 home defeats, have gone 113-70 ATS since 1991.  Take Nevada.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the USC Trojans minus the points over Arizona State.  The Trojans are red-hot "in Vegas," with 10 point spread wins in their last 13 games.  We'll lay the points with USC, which plays this game with revenge from a 2-point loss in Tempe three weeks ago.  And Pac-12 home favorites off a win have cashed 59% when playing with revenge from a road loss earlier in the season.  Take USC.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Commonwealth Rams minus the points over George Washington.  The Rams come into this game off 5 SU/ATS losses.  But I love VCU to snap its losing streak this afternoon, as double-digit favorites on 5-game (or worse) losing streaks (both SU and ATS) have cashed 63.3% since 2000.  And VCU is 73.3% over the last 30 years off back to back upset losses.  Take Virginia Commonwealth minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the West Virginia Mountaineers minus the points over Oklahoma.  The Sooners upset the Mountaineers, 69-59, in Norman earlier this month.  We'll lay the points with Bob Huggins' men, as they've gone 29-13 ATS as a single-digit home favorite with playing with revenge from a double-digit defeat.  Take West Virginia.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Air Force + the points over Colorado State.  Air Force defeated New Mexico on Wednesday, 60-58, while Colorado State lost, 66-60, at San Diego St.  This is the second meeting this season between these two teams.  The Falcons were blown out in the first meeting, 78-65, but I expect a much closer game this afternoon.  For technical support, consider that Colorado State's covered just 21 of 54 vs. revenge-minded foes off a straight-up win.  Take Air Force.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Ohio RedHawks + the points over Bowling Green.  The RedHawks upset Central Michigan here, in Oxford, on Thursday.  And that was the 4th time in five games that Miami-Ohio covered the spread.  Bowling Green, meanwhile, has been atrocious as a favorite, with just two ATS wins in their last 20 road games.  Take Miami-Ohio + the points.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Drexel Dragons + the points over College of Charleston.  Drexel lost at home by 11 points to the Cougars earlier this season.  But we'll take the Dragons this afternoon, as they've gone 17-4 ATS as an underdog of more than 6 points, when playing with revenge from a double-digit loss.  Take Drexel.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Marquette Golden Eagles minus the points over Seton Hall.  Marquette blew out Georgetown, 93-72, here at home on Wednesday, and plays this game with revenge from a 14-point loss to the Pirates last month.  We'll lay the points with the Golden Eagles, as they're 23-12-2 ATS as a revenge-minded home favorite vs. foes with a winning SU/ATS record.  Take Marquette.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes minus the points over Penn State.  The Nittany Lions won Round 1, 89-86, vs. the Hawkeyes back in January.  But we'll take the Hawkeyes in the rematch here, in Iowa City.  The Hawkeyes lost their last game, 78-70, at Michigan State.  But Iowa is 5-0 ATS this season off a road loss, and it's also 10-0-2 ATS its last 12 at home.  Finally, the Hawkeyes are a super 28-12 ATS when playing with revenge from a close loss (by less than 10 points) away from home earlier in the season.  Take Iowa.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Brown Bears minus the points over Princeton.  The Bears were upset in their previous game by Cornell, 63-45, as a 3-point road favorite.  We'll lay the points with Brown this evening, as Ivy League schools have cashed 65.7% off a double-digit upset road loss since 1990, including 10-2-2 ATS the last 14.  Take Brown.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Quinnipiac Bobcats + the points over Fairfield.  The Bobcats have not made many friends in Las Vegas this month, as they're 0-8 ATS in February, including back to back SU/ATS losses to Monmouth and Siena this week.  But this losing streak has created significant point spread value this evening.  We'll grab the points with the road underdog, as NCAA road dogs have gone 208-153 ATS in regular season conference games since 1990 off back to back SU/ATS losses, if they were on an 6-game (or worse) ATS losing streak.  Additionally, the Stags are an awful 34-57-3 ATS as a single-digit favorite off a loss.  Take Quinnipiac.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Southern Utah Thunderbirds minus the points over Eastern Washington.  Southern Utah has dropped its last four games, but all four were on the road, where the Thunderbirds have gone 6-9 this season.  At home, it's been a different story, as Southern Utah's 8-4 here, in Cedar City.  These two teams met earlier this season in Cheney, Washington, and the Eagles won, 81-78, at home.  But we'll lay the points with Southern Utah tonight, as revenge-minded favorites with a winning record, off back to back losses, have gone 263-188 ATS if they lost the season's previous meeting on the road.  Even better:  the Eagles come into this game off an 80-70 win over Northern Arizona.  Unfortunately, they're a poor 9-24 ATS off a win by 7+ points, including 3-15 ATS away from home.  Take Southern Utah minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Grand Canyon Antelopes + the points over New Mexico State.  The Aggies have ripped off 13 straight WAC Conference wins to start the season.  But they fall into a negative 13% system of mine which goes against certain teams that are undefeated in Conference play.  Don't be surprised if the Antelopes hand New Mexico State its first WAC loss tonight, as the Aggies are a poor 18-31 ATS away from home off 3+ home games.  Meanwhile, the Antelopes have cashed 67% off a road loss if they're matched up against a foe off a win.  Take the home underdog Antelopes.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers minus the points over Cleveland St.  The Panthers lost to the Vikings by 17 points last month.  And they also were upset by Detroit, 79-73, in their last game.  Those two factors set up our play on the Panthers tonight, as Milwaukee's an awesome 23-2 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, provided they didn't cover the spread in their previous game, and had a win percentage of .363 (or better).  Take the Panthers minus the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers minus the points over Indiana.  These two Hoosier State rivals met earlier this season in Bloomington, and the Boilers upset the Hoosiers, 74-62, as a 3-point road underdog.  Unfortunately, Matt Painter's men have not won since, as they've lost their last four games, including a 71-63 upset loss here in West Lafayette, on Saturday.  We'll lay the points with Purdue, as it's 29-18 ATS as a favorite off an upset Big 10 Conference loss, including 12-2 vs. foes off back to back wins.  Take Purdue.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Boston.  The Jazz were ripped, 131-111, by the Phoenix Suns, on Monday.  And that 20-point home loss, as an 8.5-point favorite, was Utah's 2nd biggest home defeat as a favorite of more than 7 points, over the last 30 years.  We'll take the Jazz to rebound tonight, as they've gone 31-12 ATS at home off a double-digit home upset loss.  Take Utah.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers over Maryland.  The Gophers snapped a 3-game losing streak when they went into Northwestern on Sunday, and blew out the Wildcats by 26 points.  That victory moved Minnesota's Big 10 record to 7-9, while Maryland's conference record is 12-4 following its loss to Ohio State.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the underdog Terrapins, given its superior conference record.  But consider that, at Conference Game #6 forward, underdogs with a .750 (or better) conference record have covered just 37% over the last 27 years (and 2-17 ATS the last six years) vs. foes with a losing conference record that were off a win in their previous game.  Even better:  the Gophers have covered 67% over the last 30 years as a home favorite (or PK) vs. conference foes with a winning SU/ATS record, including 9-1 ATS vs. foes off a SU loss.  Take Minnesota.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Evansville Purple Aces + the points over Northern Iowa.  The Panthers are having a terrific season, as they are 23-5 SU and 17-8 ATS following their 64-52 win on Sunday vs. Southern Illinois.  Unfortunately, the Panthers have covered just 25% as a home favorite over the past 25 seasons vs. teams with a losing SU/ATS record.  Take Evansville + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the VCU Rams minus the points over Massachusetts.  The Rams come into this game on a 4-game SU/ATS losing streak.  But we'll lay the points tonight on the road vs. the Minutemen, as VCU has cashed 65.2% since 1990 off back to back SU/ATS losses vs. conference foes off a win (including a sensational 78.5% ATS as a favorite).  Take VCU minus the points.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans + the points over Los Angeles.  New Orleans has won 8 of 11, with its only three defeats to the Rockets, Bucks and Thunder -- all Playoff teams.  And the Pelicans will look for their 3rd straight win tonight -- all on the road -- against a Lakers team also playing well, with five straight wins.  We'll grab the points, as New Orleans is 14-3 ATS off back to back road ATS wins.  And it also falls into a 207-130 ATS system which plays on certain revenge-minded teams off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Take New Orleans.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi State Bulldogs minus the points over Alabama.  This is a huge revenge game for Mississippi State, which lost by 21 to the Crimson Tide last month.  I love the Bulldogs tonight, as they also come into this game off an 87-75 upset loss to the Texas A&M Aggies.  And SEC Conference teams are a solid 44-24 ATS when playing with revenge from a 20-point (or worse) loss in the season's first meeting, if they also lost their previous game, straight-up, and their opponent was off a straight-up win.  Moreover, Miss State is 47-27 ATS off a double-digit road loss, while Alabama is a dreadful 18-39 ATS as a road underdog of 7 or less points vs. foes off a point spread defeat.  Take the Bulldogs minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.