Sports Picks & Predictions

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over the Golden State Warriors.  Last night, Golden State went into Indiana and defeated the Pacers, 102-100.  But the Warriors didn't cover the point spread, and that extended its ATS losing streak to three games.  We'll fade Steph Curry & Co. tonight at Madison Square Garden, as the Warriors have covered just 3 of 17 off a win the previous day, if they were matched up against an opponent with a win percentage greater than .400 (and 0 of 7 as a favorite).  Grab the points with New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers + the points over Phoenix.  Devin Booker (23.2 ppg) was injured in Phoenix's win over Golden State, on November 30.  Since that game, the Suns have gone 3-1 without their scoring leader, but three of those games -- all wins -- were at home; the Suns lost their lone road game without Booker.  That doesn't bode well for tonight's game, in Los Angeles.  Admittedly, the Clippers are dealing with their own injury issues (Kawhi Leonard, Paul George).  But that hasn't stopped L.A. from entering tonight on a 3-game win streak.  We'll take the points with the home underdog Clippers, as Los Angeles is 16-10 its last 26 as an underdog, and also 8-3 its last 11 as a home dog.  And it's also won 13 straight regular season home games vs. the Suns, and is 9-0 ATS the last nine!  Take Los Angeles + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over Memphis.  Philly comes into this game off an impressive upset win over Golden State, which moved its record to 15-12, and has been installed as a road favorite tonight against the 16-11 Grizzlies.  The 76ers are 22-6 straight-up, and 17-9-2 ATS when favored on the road, including 9-3 ATS vs. Western Conference foes.  And road favorites of -3 (or more) points, have cashed 65% vs. non-conference foes, with a better W/L record, over the last 32 years.  Take Philly minus the points.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma State Cowboys minus the points over Cleveland State.  The Cowboys will welcome the Vikings to Stillwater this evening, and will look to bounce back off their upset loss here to Xavier their last time on the court.  Oklahoma State was favored by 3.5 vs. Xavier, but lost, 77-71, which lowered their record to 6-3 SU and 4-5 ATS.  The good news for Oklahoma State tonight is that Big 12 Conference teams have cashed 62.3% since 1990 as home favorites of more than 9 points in non-conference games, after failing to cover the spread by 9+ points in their previous game.  And, even better, the Cowboys are 43-14-3 ATS as a home, or neutral court favorite in non-conference games, if they owned a losing ATS record.  Take the Cowboys minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics over the Milwaukee Bucks.  The Celtics return home after a 1-4 west coast trip which saw them drop games to Utah, Phoenix, the Lakers and the Clippers.  Tonight, they'll host Milwaukee for the 2nd time this season.  And Boston defeated the Bucks in the first go-round, 122-113, as a 5.5-point favorite.  This game is priced near PK'em, and we'll take the home team, as Boston will be playing with 2 days of rest, while Milwaukee is unrested after winning yesterday in New York.  Over the last four seasons, the Celts have cashed 79% when playing with at 2 more days of rest than their opponent, while Milwaukee has gone 3-10 its last 13 when playing without rest.  Take Boston.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Villanova Wildcats plus the points over Baylor.  These two teams met in the Sweet 16 round of last year's NCAA Tournament, and Baylor won, 62-51, as a 7.5-point favorite.  We'll take Villanova in this revenge match, as it falls into several of my NCAA revenge systems.  Additionally, Jay Wright's Wildcats are a superb 28-12 ATS on the road when playing with revenge, if they owned a winning record.  Take Villanova.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Jackson State Tigers + the points over Iowa State.  The Cyclones upset rival, Iowa, by a whopping 20 points (as a 5-point underdog).  But teams off such blowout upset wins have only covered 44% of non-conference games the past 32 years.  And Iowa State also has been poor as a double-digit favorite in non-conference games off an upset win, as it's covered just 25% of the time.  Take the Tigers + the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the William & Mary Tribe + the points over Fairfield.  We'll take the points in this matchup between the Colonial and Metro Atlantic conferences, as the Colonial teams have covered 64.3% of the time.  Even better:  Colonial Atheletic Ass'n teams have gone 39-17 ATS as home underdogs of +4 (or more) points, if they were off 3 SU/ATS losses, and matched up against a foe off back to back wins, including 13-0-1 ATS their last 14 when priced from +4.5 to +8 points.  Take William & Mary + the points.

At 12:10 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over Milwaukee.  These two teams have met twice already this season, with the last meeting on November 10 -- also here, at Madison Square Garden.  In that game, the Bucks emerged victorious, 112-100, as a 3.5-point road underdog.  We had a play on Milwaukee in that one, as the Bucks were playing with revenge from a 15-point loss in the season's first meeting.  But here, it's the Knicks playing with revenge, and they're a home underdog rather than a home favorite, so we will grab the points.  Milwaukee is a soft 2-8 ATS as a favorite of 6 or less points vs. revenge-minded foes that were upset in the prior meeting.  And New York is 11-0 ATS off a SU/ATS loss, if it is also playing with revenge from an upset loss against a .500 (or better) foe.  Take New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Utah State Aggies minus the points over New Orleans.  After winning six straight games (5-0 ATS) to wind up November, the Aggies have opened December off back to back losses to Saint Mary's and BYU.  But we'll lay the points with Utah St. tonight, as it falls into a 70.7% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back losses.  Moreover, the Aggies are a reliable 31-10 ATS when laying more than 8 points vs. a foe off a loss, and they're a perfect 9-0 ATS off back to back losses, when laying more than 12 points.  Take Utah State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over Cleveland.  The Kings have played very well since Luke Walton was fired, and Alvin Gentry hired as interim head coach.  The Kings have gone 5-4 under Gentry, compared to 6-11 under Walton.  Last night, though, Sacramento suffered a most difficult defeat.  It fell by 1 point at Charlotte when De'Aaron Fox missed two free throws with 2.4 seconds left -- and Fox (who led all scorers with 31 points) is a 74% free throw shooter!  Off that defeat, we'll take Sacramento to rebound tonight, as it's 27-12 ATS as a road underdog off a road loss, including 11-1 ATS when priced from +6 to +9.5 points.  Take the Kings + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Old Dominion Monarchs + the points over Virginia Commonwealth.  The Monarchs will seek their 3rd straight win (and 4th straight cover) tonight when then welcome the Rams to Chartway Arena.  Old Dominion falls into a 95-43-2 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Additionally, home dogs (or PK) off back to back double-digit wins away from home have gone 25-6 ATS.  Take Old Dominion + the points.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Elon Phoenix + the points over North Carolina.  The Tar Heels have won their last three games, and have covered their last two.  But they're a wallet-busting 0-8-1 ATS off 3+ wins, and they're also an awful 3-13 ATS their last 16 when laying more than 9 points.  Meanwhile, Elon is a powerful 28-8 ATS as a road dog of more than 5 points when playing an opponent off back to back wins, including 12-0 ATS its last 12 when catching double digits.  Take Elon + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over the Washington Wizards.  Utah comes into this game off six straight wins, and has won those by an average of 17.67 ppg.  I won't step in front of this freight train, as the Jazz don't have letdowns off wins.  They're 64-41-1 ATS off a win, including 31-14 ATS vs. teams from the Eastern conference.  And, even more impressive is the fact they're 46-25-1 ATS off back-to-back SU/ATS wins, when not laying 10+ points.  The Jazz are 9-2 SU and 7-3-1 ATS their last 11 vs. the Wizards, including 4-1 SU/ATS here, in Washington.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Samford Bulldogs minus the points over Alabama A&M.  Last year, Alabama A&M came into the Pete Hanna Center, and upset Samford, 78-76, as a 7-point road underdog.  But we'll take the revenge-minded home team this evening, as it falls into a 104-49 ATS revenge systems of mine.  Take Samford minus the points.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Saint Louis Billikens minus the points over Boston College.  The Eagles will look for their second straight upset win after shocking Notre Dame, 73-57, as a 4.5-point home dog.  But the Billikens will prove to be a tough foe today, as it will be looking to bounce back from a pair of upset losses.  Saint Louis doesn't lose many home games, and especially not back to back home games.  But that's what happened earlier this past week, as UAB and Belmont came into Chaifetz Arena, and exited with wins.  But the Billikens are 49-31-2 ATS at home off back to back losses, while Boston College is 1-8 ATS its last nine off an upset win.  Lay the points with St. Louis.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Wisconsin.  This is a great matchup in Columbus between the red-hot 8-1 Badgers, who have won and covered six straight, and the 7-2 Buckeyes.  We'll lay the points with Ohio State, as the Buckeyes fall into a terrific 385-242 ATS system of mine, which plays on certain winning teams favored over other winning teams.  Also, Wisconsin is an awful 24-50 ATS on the road vs. conference foes with an ATS win pct. less than .563, if the Badgers were getting less than 13 points.  And the Buckeyes are a fantastic 27-9 ATS off back to back double-digit wins, when matched against an opponent off a point spread cover.  Lay the points with the Buckeyes.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11:30 am, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers + the points over Auburn.  This game will be played at State Farm Arena, in Atlanta, Georgia, in the Holiday Hoopsgiving Classic.  Both teams will be short-handed, as 18th-ranked Auburn will be without its head coach, Bruce Pearl, who will serve a 2-game suspension handed down by the NCAA, while Fred Hoiberg's 'Huskers will be without a couple of players due to the flu.  In its last game, the 'Huskers were blown out, 102-67, by Michigan.  But we'll take the 'Huskers + the points this morning, as Auburn is a horrid 15-45 ATS vs. .500 (or better) foes that failed to cover the spread by 8+ points in their previous game, if Auburn wasn't getting 3+ points in the current game.  Take Nebraska + the points.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves over the Cleveland Cavaliers.  Cleveland's been the league's best point spread team this season, as it's covered nine straight heading into tonight, and is 20-6 ATS, overall.  And it's also covering the spread by an average of 7.59 ppg.  To put this extreme success into perspective, consider that never in the past 32 seasons (which is as far back as my database goes) has a team covered the spread by more than 6.76 ppg at Game 27 forward!  So, it's safe to say that the Cavs will come back down to Earth.  If, for no other reason than that the oddsmakers will (and already have) made adjustments to their number.  In that regard, we have this game tonight priced near PK'em.  The value is clearly on the side of the T-Wolves, who are 5-3 ATS their last eight home games, and have covered against the likes of Phoenix, Sacramento, Miami, San Antonio and Memphis.  It's been 20 games since the last time the Cavaliers were getting this much respect on the road by the oddsmakers.  But even when have been priced as a small underdog, or a favorite on the road, they've not done well, as they've gone 8-19 ATS their last 27.  Take the Timberwolves at home tonight to blow out Cleveland.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over the Houston Rockets.  Kudos to Houston.  Like Lazarus, it's risen from the dead, and currently rides a seven-game win streak (which followed a 15-game losing streak).  Unfortunately, tonight's opponent is the Milwaukee Bucks, who were upset by Miami, 113-104, as a 6-point favorite, in their last game.  But the Bucks are an awesome 18-5 ATS after failing to cover their previous game by more than 14 points, when rested, and playing an opponent off a win (including a perfect 8-0 ATS when laying 8+ points).  Take the Bucks.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over Oklahoma City.  The Thunder come into tonight's game off an upset win at Toronto (their 2nd straight win), and are 8-16 on the season.  Meanwhile, Frank Vogel's Lakers were the preseason favorite to win the Western Conference, yet are floundering at 13-13.  Player absences and trying to integrate a bunch of new team members certainly has much to do with it.  But so does a lackadaisical attitude on the court.  Indeed, Vogel lamented after their loss to Memphis on Thursday that his team was too 'casual.'  However, there are several reasons to believe that won't be the case tonight, and that the Lakers will put forward a supreme effort.  First and foremost is the fact that the Thunder have defeated L.A. not once this season, but twice.  And in each game, the Lakers led by 19+ points before taking the pedal off the metal to allow an OKC comeback.  Then, the 2nd reason is that the Lakers were upset by Memphis last night.  For technical support, consider that the Lakers are 50-28 ATS as revenge-minded road favorites, including 13-1 ATS if their opponent was off an upset win.  Even better:  the Thunder are 8-28 SU and 14-22 ATS their last 36 home games vs. .500 (or better) opposition, including 0-9 ATS vs. foes playing with revenge, and also 0-8 ATS if OKC was off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Take Los Angeles minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers minus the points over Murray State.  The Racers are 7-1 this season, but have largely played a cupcake schedule.  Indeed, this will be the first time this season that Murray has played a superior team, and been installed as an underdog.  Unfortunately, the Racers are 0-9 SU and 3-5-1 ATS their last nine as a dog.  And they're 4-44 SU and 17-29-2 ATS when getting 5+ points.  Memphis returns home after a 2-game road trip which saw it go 0-2 at SEC Conference schools, Georgia and Mississippi.  The good news for Penny Hardaway's men is that they're undefeated at home this season, and have won 11 straight (7-4 ATS) since last Christmas.  Even better:  Memphis is a reliable 37-15-2 ATS off back to back losses, including 13-2-2 ATS vs. foes off back to back wins.  With the Racers in off victories over Campbellsville and Middle Tennessee St., we'll lay the points with Memphis.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the St. John's Red Storm minus the points over Monmouth.  The Hawks are red-hot, and have won and covered each of their last seven games.  But they're installed as a big road underdog tonight.  And road underdogs of +10 (or less) points have cashed just 38% of non-conference games over the last 32 years, if they were off 7+ wins, and 3+ covers.  That doesn't bode well for Monmouth.  Nor does the fact that St. John's is a solid 20-4 ATS at home vs. non-conference foes with a better record, if the Johnnies weren't favored by 11+ points.  Take St. John's.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers + the points over the Utah Jazz.  Quin Snyder's men blew out the Sixers, 120-85, in Salt Lake City earlier this season.  We'll take Philly tonight in the rematch, as the 76ers are 11-0-1 ATS their last 12 home games when playing with revenge vs. Western Conference teams, if Philly owned a worse record.  And NBA revenge-minded home teams have cashed 66% since 1990 when playing a non-conference foe off a SU win.  Take Philly.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the William & Mary Tribe minus the points over Hampton.  The Tribe is 0-9 on the season vs. Division 1 foes (but did defeat Mary Baldwin, 87-50), but they were favored in just one of those nine Division 1 games.  And that was as a 2-point favorite vs. American.  Tonight, they'll step down-in-class, and host the Pirates, who are 3-6 on the season (but have also played a much easier schedule than has William & Mary).  We'll lay the points with William & Mary, as we note that, since 1990, teams installed as a favorite (or PK) have cashed 63.9% at Game 8 forward, if their win percentage was .100 (or worse).  Look for William & Mary to blow out Hampton.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers + the points over Golden State.  The Blazers will be short-handed tonight, as McCollum and Lillard will be in street clothes.  But we'll still take the underdog, as they're playing with revenge from a 118-103 loss less than two weeks ago, and getting double-digits.  Golden State is a horrible 6-34-2 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe, if the Warriors were off a point spread win, and won by 15 or less points in the previous meeting.  Take Portland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Idaho St. Bengals + the points over California.  The Bengals have lost 7 straight games, including back to back home upset losses to Portland St and Northern Arizona last week.  We'll look for Idaho State to bounce back off those upset defeats, as double-digit road dogs have cashed 60% over the last 32 years off back to back home upset losses, if their opponent was off a point spread win.  Take the Bengals.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the San Francisco Dons minus the points over Fresno State.  This is a great match-up tonight between the 9-0 Dons and 9-1 Bulldogs.  The Bulldogs, though, have played an exceptionally easy schedule, and San Francisco will be its toughest foe to date.  Fresno also has been generally poor vs. top-level clubs, as it's 33-62-3 ATS vs. .785 (or better) opponents, including 23-53-1 ATS when not getting more than 12 points.  Take San Francisco.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Towson.  The Buckeyes return home tonight after dispatching Penn State, 76-64, in Happy Valley, on Sunday.  That triumph followed an upset of #1-ranked Duke, so the Buckeyes avoided a letdown, which speaks volumes for this team.  We'll lay the points tonight with Ohio State, as it's 21-5 ATS as a favorite of -7 (or more) points off back to back wins, if matched up against a foe off an ATS win.  Take the Buckeyes.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Tech minus the points over Cornell.  The Hokies were upset, 80-61, by fellow ACC member, Wake Forest, on Saturday.  Tonight, the Hokies will welcome Cornell to Blacksburg, and ACC favorites of -8 (or more) points are 79% ATS since 1990 off a SU/ATS loss, if they failed to cover by 9+ points in their previous game, and are now matched up against a .714 (or better) foe.  Take the Hokies.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Holy Cross Crusaders + the points over Fairfield.  The Stags come into this game off back to back upset road wins, and have been installed as a double-digit home favorite vs. the Crusaders, who are on a 3-game losing streak.  We'll fade Fairfield, as favorites of more than 8 points have covered just 33.8% since 1990 off back to back upset road wins, if their opponent was off back to back losses.  Take Holy Cross + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on Lipscomb + the points over Miami-Florida.  The Bisons are 5-4, but were blown out by 21 points by Chattanooga, on Sunday.  That defeat has triggered one of my favorite systems, which is 422-231 ATS since 1990.  Additionally, Miami is 2-8-1 ATS its last 11 (and 28-47-1 ATS its last 76) as a favorite, while Lipscomb is 19-9-1 ATS as a road underdog.  Take Lipscomb + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators minus the points over North Florida.  It doesn't happen often that a 24-point home favorite loses by 15 points.  But that is exactly what the 14th-ranked Gators did on Monday night.  I expect Florida to be in an ornery mood tonight, and to take out their frustration on the Ospreys.  Since 2009, teams off upset losses as favorites of 20+ points, have bounced back to cover the spread 71% of the time.  Take the Gators.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on NC-Asheville + the points over Chattanooga.  These two teams met in Chattanooga on Nov. 14, and the Mocs blew out the Bulldogs, 75-45.  But Asheville has gone 4-0 ATS since that defeat, and I look for it to win its 5th straight ATS tonight.  Indeed, over the last 32 years, winning teams, playing with revenge from a 25-point (or worse) defeat, have covered 61.1% at home if they were off back to back wins, and also on a 3-game (or better) ATS win streak.  Take NC-Asheville.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Eastern Kentucky Colonels + the points over USC.  The Trojans opened their Pac-12 Conference schedule with big wins last week against Utah and Washington State, but will revert to a non-conference schedule for the next 15 days.  Tonight, the undefeated Trojans (8-0) will welcome the Colonels to the Galen Center, and have been installed as a big double-digit favorite.  Eastern Kentucky is 10-3 its last 13 as a road underdog, and it also falls into a 71.9% ATS system of mine which plays on certain underdogs vs. foes off wins.  Meanwhile, USC is a poor 2-10 ATS off 8 (or more) straight wins.  Take Eastern Kentucky + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over Dallas.  The Nets have been off for the last two days following their home upset loss to the Chicago Bulls.  Brooklyn's been installed as road favorite tonight, and we'll lay the points with the well-rested Nets.  Indeed, since 1990, .500 (or better) NBA teams with at least two days of rest, off a home loss, have cashed 62.1% as a road favorite (or PK) vs. non-winning opposition.  Take Brooklyn to bounce back tonight.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the William & Mary Tribe + the points over Old Dominion.  This is the 3rd straight road game for the Monarchs, who upset George Mason, in Fairfax, on Saturday.  Old Dominion was an 8.5-point road underdog in that game, but stunned the Patriots, 60-50.  We'll fade Old Dominion tonight, as it's an awful 22-47 ATS after a double-digit win away from home, if it wasn't favored by more than 13 points in its current game.  And it's 23-37 ATS off an upset win.  Even worse:  ODU is 1-9 ATS its last 10 vs. William & Mary, including 0-5 ATS on the road.  Take William & Mary + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers minus the points over James Madison.  The Dukes are 7-2, but have yet to defeat a top-150 team.  Instead, their victories have come against Carlow, Old Dominion, George Mason, Eastern Mennonite, Wright State, and Florida Atlantic.  In contrast, the Cavaliers have already played top-tier teams like Houston, Providence, and Iowa, as well as mid-tier teams like Pittsburgh and Georgia.  The Dukes are a soft 5-24 SU and 10-19 ATS as a home dog of more than 5 points, while Virginia is 57-28 ATS on the road, including 24-9 ATS vs. foes with winning SU/ATS records.  Lay the points with Tony Bennett's men.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 9 pm, our selection is on the New Mexico State Aggies minus the points over New Mexico.  Richard Pitino's Lobos went into Las Cruces in their last game, and upset the Aggies, 101-94, as 10.5-point road underdogs.  This rematch will be played at home, in Albuquerque, and the Lobos have been installed as a home underdog.  We'll take the revenge-minded road team, and lay the points, as home underdogs -- like New Mexico -- that are playing back to back games against the same opponent -- have covered just 38% over the last 32 years vs. foes that have winning SU/ATS records (New Mexico State is 5-3 SU and 4-3 ATS).  Also, the Aggies will have coach Chris Jans back on the sidelines for this one, as he missed that earlier game due to COVID-19 protocols.  The Lobos are a poor 9-20 ATS as underdogs off an upset win, including 1-8 ATS if they were an underdog of more than 4 points in that upset win.  Take New Mexico State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Colgate Raiders minus the points over Columbia.  Colgate comes into this game off 3 straight upset losses, while Columbia checks in off a win and cover vs. Maine.  But the good news for Matt Langel's men tonight is that teams off 3 upset losses have covered 64.5% of non-conference games since 1990, including 76% if its opponent is off a SU/ATS win.  Take Colgate to blow out Columbia.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Penn State Nittany Lions + the points over Ohio State. the Nittany Lions will look to bounce back off their upset loss to Miami-Fla this past Wednesday.  And they will welcome Ohio State to Happy Valley on this Sunday evening.  Earlier this week, the Buckeyes upset #1-ranked Duke, 71-66, as a 3-point home underdog.  But off that emotional win, we'll fade the Buckeyes on the Big 10 Conference road.  Indeed, NCAA teams have covered just 14 of 39 off upset home wins over Duke, if they were on the conference road in their next game, including 1-8 ATS as a road favorite priced from -2 to -9.5 points.  And Penn State also falls into a 73-31 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home teams in conference games off upset defeats.  Take Penn State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Cleveland.  The Cavaliers have won each of their four previous games, including upset wins over their last three.  But this string of upsets sets up our play this afternoon, as winning teams have cashed just 35% as underdogs over the past 32 years off 3 upset wins.  Moreover, the Jazz are 78-48 ATS on the road vs. Eastern Conference foes, if Utah was off a point spread loss, and wasn't getting more than 3 points in the current game.  Take the Jazz to blow out Cleveland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Central Michigan Chippewas + the points over Western Illinois.  The Leathernecks were at home yesterday, on Saturday afternoon, and blew out Tennessee-Martin, 81-64.  But they now have to play back to back days, and also take on a Chippewas team playing its home opener (after 7 road games to start its season).  We'll grab the points with the home underdog, as home teams have covered 59% in their home openers, if they weren't laying 15 (or more) points, and their opponent was playing without rest.  And the Chippewas have cashed 63% at home since 1995 vs. non-conference foes when the Chips weren't laying more than 3 points.  Finally, Central Michigan falls into 31-4, 306-212, and 74-28 ATS systems of mine. Take Central Michigan + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over Chicago.  The Bulls blew out Brooklyn, 118-95, in the season's first meeting.  We'll take Kevin Durant & Co. in this rematch, as the Nets are an awesome 65-27 ATS in the regular season when playing with revenge from a loss by more than 12 points.  And Brooklyn is 34-21 ATS in the regular season at home, in competitively-priced games with point spreads of less than 5 points.  Also, Brooklyn falls into several of my best revenge systems, with records of 59-22, 261-167 and 77-36 ATS.  Take the Nets to blow out the Bulls.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Elon Phoenix minus the points over High Point.  Elon enters this game off 5 SU/ATS losses, while the Panthers have covered four straight.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to take the points with High Point.  But road underdogs of +4 (or more) points, off 4 ATS wins, have covered just 39% since 1990 against foes off back-to-back SU/ATS losses.  Take Elon.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Colorado State Rams minus the points over St. Mary's.  Colorado State is off to an 8-0 start this season.  And it plays with big-time revenge from a 53-33 loss to the Gaels last season.  St. Mary's is also to a strong start, as it's 8-1, and has won and covered each of its last two games.  Unfortunately, NCAA teams off back to back SU/ATS wins have covered just 21% since 1990 vs. revenge-minded teams that scored less than 37 points in the previous meeting.  And St. Mary's is a wallet-breaking 33-58 ATS as an underdog vs. foes that have winning SU and winning ATS records.  Lay the points with Colorado State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Commonwealth Rams minus the points over Campbell.  The Camels have won four straight, while VCU has dropped its last two.  But VCU is 35-2 SU and 26-9 ATS as a favorite off back to back losses.  And it also falls into two super 66-22 and 93-53 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams off losses.  Lay the points.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the William & Mary Tribe + the points over Davidson.  The Tribe and Wildcats are going in opposite directions.  William & Mary is 1-7 SU and 0-7 ATS to start this season, while Davidson is 5-2 SU and 6-1 ATS, including 4-0 SU/ATS its last four.  But we'll step in and take the large number of points with Bill and Mary, as it falls into 94-44 and 137-64 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams off ATS losses.  Moreover, Davidson's a woeful 0-8 ATS its last eight, and 4-15 ATS its last 19, as a favorite of -14 (or more) points vs. foes off a point spread defeat.  This is the largest number of points that the Tribe has been given this season.  And it's 17-5 ATS as a road underdog of 9 (or more) points off a SU/ATS loss.  Take William & Mary.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines minus the points over San Diego State.  Juwan Howard's men have largely disappointed this season, and were blown out by 21 points at North Carolina earlier this week.  The good news is that Michigan is 21-8-1 ATS its last 30, and 75-42-2 ATS its last 119 off a straight-up loss.  Additionally, Mountain West conference underdogs of 8+ points are 0-23 straight-up, and 8-15 ATS vs. the Big 10, including 0-7 ATS vs. a foe off a straight-up loss.  Take the Wolverines minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over Nebraska.  Mike Woodson's men were upset in overtime, 112-110, at Syracuse, on Tuesday.  But off that upset loss, we'll lay the points with Indiana in its Big 10 season opener.  Over the last 32 seasons, the Hoosiers have cashed 71% off an upset road non-conference loss, and it's won and covered each of the last three meetings vs. the Hoosiers.  Even better: Nebraska is a horrid 3-43 SU and 11-33 ATS as an underdog of more than 3 points vs. an opponent off an upset defeat.  Take Indiana.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Phoenix.  These two teams met earlier this week, and the Suns bested Golden State, 104-96, as a home favorite.  But the Warriors will be at home in this rematch, and they'll also have the twin benefit of the Suns playing without rest (Phoenix defeated Detroit last night), as well as Devin Booker being injured.  We'll lay the points with Golden State, as it is 12-0-1 ATS at home off a loss vs. unrested division foes, provided the Warriors weren't an underdog of +7 (or more) points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Boise State Broncos minus the points over Tulsa.  It's not often that the Broncos lose back to back games at home, but that's exactly what occurred over the last week.  But, over the last 26 seasons, Boise has not lost 3 straight games, if all three were at home.  That bodes well for them tonight.  As does the fact that it is 9-3 ATS at home off an upset loss, and also a perfect 6-0 straight-up, and 5-1 ATS off back to back upset losses.  Take Boise State minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers minus the points over Pittsburgh.  The Cavs were upset by Iowa, 75-74, at the buzzer on Monday.  And that loss snapped UVa's 4-game win streak.  The good news for Tony Bennett's men tonight in their ACC Conference opener is that they are 18-0-1 ATS off a non-conference loss, when priced from -3 to -24.5 points.  Take Virginia minus the points.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards minus the points over Cleveland.  The Cavs have run hot and cold this season, as they have enjoyed 8-game and 5-game ATS win streaks, but also lost five in a row, straight-up, earlier this season.  They're currently riding a 3-game win streak (and a 5-game ATS win streak), following huge blowout wins over Orlando (105-92), Dallas (114-96) and Miami (111-84).  But we will go against Cleveland tonight as a road underdog, as it falls into a negative 28% ATS system of mine which fades certain teams off upset wins.  And the Wizards are also a solid 21-10 ATS at home vs. foes off back to back wins.  Take Washington.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Niagara Purple Eagles over the Monmouth Hawks.  In its last game, Monmouth shocked Cincinnati, 61-59, as a 10.5-point road underdog.  They'll try to win back-to-back road games tonight, but the going should be tough for King Rice's men.  For starters, the Hawks are a horrid 0-8 ATS their last 12 (and 1-12 ATS their last 13) on the road off a road win.  And Monmouth also falls into a negative 61-116 ATS system of mine that goes against certain teams off an upset victory.  Take the Purple Eagles.

At 11:30 pm, our selection is on the Utah Utes + the points over Southern Cal.  The Utes lost to their rival, BYU, 75-64, on Saturday.  And that was Utah's first defeat after five wins to start the season.  But off that loss, we'll take Utah to rebound tonight vs. Southern Cal.  The Trojans pulled off an upset last Friday vs. San Diego State.  Unfortunately, the Trojans are 7-20, 26% ATS, off an upset win, if they were favored by more than 4 points in their current game.  And USC has only covered 3 of its last 17 games vs. the Utes.  Take Utah + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over New Orleans.  The Mavs and Pelicans will play back to back games over the next few days, with Game 1 being played here, in New Orleans, and the rematch being played in Dallas, on Friday.  We'll take Dallas tonight, as it comes into this game off an upset loss at the hands of Cleveland, 114-96, on Monday.  Meanwhile, New Orleans blew out the Clippers by 19, 123-104.  However, Dallas is a super 124-76 ATS off a straight-up loss, if its opponent was off a straight-up win, including 18-6 ATS as a road favorite, and also 35-13 ATS in the regular season if the Mavs were off a double-digit loss, while their opponent was off a double-digit win.  Take Dallas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Kansas State Wildcats minus the points over Albany.  The Wildcats blew out North Dakota, 84-42, on Sunday.  And that 42-point win has triggered a super 74% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off blowout wins.  Even better:  Kansas State is 13-1 ATS its last 14, and 29-12-1 ATS its last 42, off a win by 20+ points, if its opponent was also off a win.   Take the Wildcats.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:15 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers minus the points over Georgia.  The Tigers were handed their first defeat of the season this past Friday, when it succumbed to Iowa State, 78-59.  But off that 19-point loss, we'll take the Tigers to bounce back, as they're 17-2 ATS their last 19 when not laying 13+ points, while the Bulldogs are 0-5 ATS their last five.  And American Athletic teams have gone 41-27 ATS in non-conference games off an upset non-conference loss.  Take Memphis minus the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Seton Hall Pirates minus the points over Wagner.  The #25-ranked Pirates will welcome the Seahawks to Newark this evening, and they'll no doubt be happy to see them, as Seton Hall has completely dominated this series.  Indeed, the last four years has witnessed the Pirates win by 33, 34, 40 and 21 points, and Seton Hall is 20-1 at home vs. Wagner!  The Seahawks did pull off an impressive upset at VCU in their last game.  But that was 18 days ago, as the Seahawks haven't played in almost three weeks, so any momentum which could have been gained from that victory has long since evaporated.  The Pirates have been impressive this season, as they own the only road win against a team then ranked among the top 5 (Michigan, Nov. 16).  And their only loss was a narrow 3-point defeat to Ohio State, which just defeated #1-ranked Duke last night.  The Pirates are 23-0 SU and 17-6 ATS at home when priced from -10.5 to -21 points.  Lay the points with Seton Hall.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Florida Atlantic Owls minus the points over Stetson.  The Hatters upset the Owls last year, so Florida Atlantic will be out to avenge that defeat.  And I expect a focused effort tonight, as Florida Atlantic comes into tonight's game off back to back home losses.  The Owls have cashed 75% at home over the last 16 years if they were off back to back home defeats.  Take the Owls minus the points.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Santa Clara Broncos minus the points over Hawaii.  The Broncos lost here, at home, to UC Irvine on Saturday, 69-64, as a 3.5-point home favorite, while Hawaii comes in off a loss -- but a point spread cover -- vs. South Alabama.  But after getting upset at home, we'll take the Broncos to bounce back tonight in this home game against Hawaii.  Over the last four seasons, the Broncos have cashed 74% off an ATS defeat, including 12-1 ATS vs. a foe off an ATS win.  Lay the points with Santa Clara.  And the Broncos also fall into a 72.5% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off upset losses.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over Montana.  Dana Altman's men were blitzed by #12-ranked Houston last week, 78-49, in the Maui Invitational, played in Las Vegas.  The Cougars shot 51.7% from the floor, and that was the 3rd straight Division 1 opponent which has shot better than 50% vs. the Ducks.  And, with its game against Division 2 Chaminade excepted, the Ducks have allowed their last three Division 1 foes to exceed the 50% shooting mark.  The silver lining -- if there is one -- is that all of those games were away from home.  At the Matthew Knight Arena, the Ducks have played much better, as they're 2-0 SU, with a +6.00 point spread differential (compared to a -19.62 point spread differential away from home).  Likewise, tonight's opponent, Montana, has played much better this season at home, in the friendly confines of Dahlberg Arena, than outside Missoula.  Indeed, we played on Montana at home this past Friday, and got the $$$ when they smashed Southern Miss, 74-62.  The Grizzlies are now 4-0 SU, and 3-0 ATS at home this season, and have covered the spread by 5.83 ppg.  But away from home, they are 0-2 ATS, and have a negative point spread differential of -17.25.  Going back further, we find that the Grizzlies are 12-23 ATS their last 35 away from Dahlberg Arena, including 2-10 ATS as an underdog of 7+ points.  Meanwhile, the Ducks are 97-9 SU and 63-34 ATS at home, including a perfect 5-0 ATS as a double-digit favorite off a loss, in non-conference games, and also 56-4 SU and 44-16 ATS when priced from -4 to -15 points.  Take Oregon to blow out Montana.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas State Red Wolves minus the points over Kansas City. This game is being played as part of CollegeInsider.com's Eracism Invitational.  It will be the 7th meeting between the two schools, and the Wolves lead the series 6-0.  In its last game, Arkansas State was upset, 75-51, by Morehead State.  But off that upset defeat, we'll take the Red Wolves to bounce back this afternoon.  Arkansas State is 39-23-1 ATS off a loss by more than 15 points, including 7-0 ATS its last seven.  And the Red Wolves also fall into 73-28 and 57-19 ATS systems of mine, based on their game vs. Morehead State.  Lay the points with the Red Wolves.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over New Orleans.  These two teams met last night here, and the Pelicans stunned the Jazz, 98-87, as a 14-point road underdog.  We'll take the Jazz in the rematch, as Utah has covered 75% since 1991 at home when playing with revenge vs. .600 (or worse) foes, if Utah was off a SU/ATS home loss in its previous game.  Additionally, the Jazz fall into 117-58 and 140-84 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams to bounce back off upset defeats.  Take the Jazz.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over Atlanta.  The Hawks notched their 7th straight win last night with a 32-point blowout of the Memphis Grizzlies.  Meanwhile, the Knicks faced another hot team last night, and fell to the Phoenix Suns, who won their 15th straight.  The Knicks last met the Hawks in the playoffs last season, and the Hawks ousted the Knicks with a 4-1 series win.  We'll take New York in this revenge role, as it falls into a 97-40 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams with revenge from a playoff series defeat.  Even better:  teams (like Atlanta) on a 5-game (or better) win streak, that won their previous game by more than 25 points, have gone 0-17 ATS their last 17!  Take the Knicks + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders minus the points over Lamar.  The Red Raiders have sprinted out to a 5-0 record after walloping Nebraska-Omaha, 96-40, on Tuesday.  We'll lay the points with Texas Tech as it is 52-4 SU and 30-10 ATS at home off a win by 12+ points, if it wasn't an underdog of 5+ points in its current game, including a perfect 8-0 ATS vs. .250 (or worse) opponents.  Lay the points with the Red Raiders.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Bradley Braves minus the points over Maine.  Each of these teams has gotten off to slow starts this season.  Bradley is 1-5 SU and 1-4 ATS, while Maine is 2-3 SU and 0-3 ATS.  We'll step in and take Bradley today as a double-digit home favorite, as Missouri Valley Conference teams off 3+ losses, have gone 21-8 ATS when laying more than 3 points at home vs. non-conference foes.  Take Bradley.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Long Island Sharks minus the points over Delaware State.  The Sharks are 0-4 following their narrow defeat, 64-62, at St Peters, as a 9.5-point underdog.  This will be the home opener for Long Island, and it will also be the first game in which it is favored, so it will no doubt be happy to see the Hornets today at Steinberg Wellness Center.  Long Island has cashed 67% when laying 5+ points, while the Hornets are 1-10 ATS as a double-digit underdog vs. foes off a SU loss.  And the Sharks fall into a 73.5% ATS system of mine which plays on certain favorites of more than 8 points off a SU loss.  Take Long Island.

At 1:30 pm, our selection is on the Samford Bulldogs minus the points over McNeese State.  The Cowboys and Bulldogs are playing in the Emerald Coast Classic this afternoon, in Niceville, FL.  Yesterday, each of these teams pulled off victories.  McNeese blew out St Francis (NY), 71-59, as a 2.5-point dog, while Samford edged NC A&T, 77-75.  We'll lay the points with Samford, as it falls into a superb 115-49 ATS system of mine, which goes against certain teams off upset wins.  Take the Bulldogs minus the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the East Carolina Pirates minus the points over Coppin State.  The Eagles enter this afternoon's game in Greenville off seven straight ATS wins.  But this ATS success has triggered a negative 58-98 ATS system of mine.  Additionally, underdogs of more than 14 points, off 6 straight covers, have cashed just 34% since 1990.  Take East Carolina.

At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Richmond Spiders + the points over Mississippi State.  This game will be played in the Baha Mar Convention Center, in the Bahamas.  Maryland and Louisville reached the championship game, while these two teams will meet in the consolation round.  And it will be the 2nd meeting in 2021 between the schools.  They actually met last year in the quarter-finals of the NIT Tournament, and Miss State hit a 3-pointer with 2 seconds left to lift it to a 68-67 victory.  We'll take revenge-minded Richmond this afternoon, as it falls into a 73.9% ATS revenge system of mine.  And the Spiders are also 16-9 ATS when installed as an underdog away from home, and playing with revenge vs. a non-conference foe.  Take the Spiders.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Montana Grizzlies minus the points over Southern Miss.  The Golden Eagles enter tonight's Zootown Classic game, at Dahlberg Arena, off back to back upset wins to start the tourney.  They defeated NC Wilmington on Wednesday, 80-66, as a 2-point dog.  Then they also upset UC San Diego last night, 56-55.  Now, they'll take on the homestanding Grizzlies.  Unfortunately, unrested teams, off back to back upset wins, have covered just 26% on the road in the regular season since 1990 vs. foes off a SU win.  Take Montana minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards minus the points over Oklahoma City.  The Wizards were favored by four points at New Orleans on Wednesday, yet were blown out by 25, 127-102.  We'll take Washington to bounce back, as NBA road favorites of -4 (or more) points, off 24-point (or worse) upset losses, have covered 61.3% over the last 32 years.  Take the Wizards.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls minus the points over Orlando.  The Bulls were upset by Houston two nights ago.  And they also were upset by the Pacers two games back.  Off those two upset defeats, we'll step in and take the Bulls as a road favorite this evening, as > .600 favorites, off back to back upset losses, have gone 136-97 ATS in the regular season vs. foes off a loss.  Take Chicago

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over the Phoenix Suns.  The Suns have ripped off 14 straight wins.  But their six road games in this stretch were against Sacramento, Memphis, Houston, Minnesota, San Antonio and Cleveland.  And of these teams, only Memphis made last year's Playoffs -- and that was as a #8 seed.  The number has also caught up to the Suns, as they've covered just one of their last six games.   This will be the first time this season that the Knicks have been installed as a home underdog.   But, dating back to last season, they're 4-1 ATS their last five as a home dog.  Grab the points.

At 7:00 pm, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes minus the points over Portland State.  This is a momentum play for us, as Iowa comes into tonight's game off a 48-point thrashing of Western Michigan.  Iowa is now 5-0 on the season, and has outscored its opposition by 31.2 ppg.  And it's covered the spread by an average of 6.10 ppg.  Portland State, meanwhile, has a negative point spread differential (-8.25), and has covered just 38% as underdogs vs. non-conference foes off a SU/ATS win.  Iowa has also covered 63% as a big favorite of -23 (or more) points.  Lay the points with the Hawkeyes.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Belmont Bruins minus the points over Iona.  This game will be played at HP Field House, in Orlando, FL.  Rick Pittino's Gaels upset Alabama yesterday, in the first round of this ESPN Events Invitational, as a 13-point underdog.  And that avenged a 68-55 loss to the Crimson Tide in the opening round of last year's NCAA Tournament.  Off last night's huge emotional victory, we will fade Iona tonight.  Indeed, teams that avenged non-conference tourney losses as underdogs of 7 (or more) points have covered their next game just 25% since 1991.  That doesn't bode well for the Gaels tonight.  Nor does the fact that Iona has covered 0 of 9 off an upset win as a dog of 6+ points.  Or that the Bruins are 13-4 ATS away from home vs. .880 (or better) foes.  Lay the points with the Bruins.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11 am, our selection is on the Baylor Bears minus the points over Michigan State.  This game tips off early in the Battle 4 Atlantis Tournament in the Bahamas.  Michigan State comes into the game off an upset win over UConn, 64-60, as a 2.5-point underdog.  They'll now take on the defending champion Bears, who eked out a 69-61 win over Virginia Commonwealth, as a 13.5-point favorite.  But Baylor is 12-7 ATS off a point spread loss.  And it also falls into a very good 140-67 ATS system of mine which plays on certain favorites off ATS defeats.  Take the Bears.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over Portland.  The Luke Walton era came to an unceremonious end, when he was fired a couple of days ago.  Alvin Gentry is the interim coach, and Sacramento dropped its first game with him manning the sidelines, 102-94, to Philadelphia.  Tonight, the Kings will host the Trail Blazers, who are on a 4-game SU/ATS win streak, and we'll grab the points with the home underdog, as the Kings fall into a superb 31-6 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home teams against foes off 3 ATS wins.  Take Sacramento + the  points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:40 pm our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Atlanta.  The Hawks have won 5 straight, while the Spurs have lost 5 straight.  But the Spurs are 61-20 ATS at home vs. Eastern conference foes, if the Spurs were off a loss, and their opponent was not off a SU/ATS loss.  Take San Antonio + the points.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over Milwaukee.  The Pistons come into this game off an 8-point home loss last night.  But Detroit is a solid 5-0 ATS its last five, and 24-9 ATS its last 33 off a home defeat, including 6-0 ATS when getting 9+ points.  Take the Pistons.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls minus the points over Houston.  The Bulls were blasted in their last game by 32 points.  We'll take Chicago to rebound tonight, as road favorites off an upset home loss by more than 25 points have covered 63.1% since 1990.  Take Chicago.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the SMU Mustangs minus the points over Sam Houston State.  The Mustangs were upset by Loyola Marymount on Monday, but we'll take them to bounce back tonight vs. the Bearkats, as they're 26-2 SU and 19-7-2 ATS off a loss, when favored by more than 4 vs. a non-conference foe.  Take SMU.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks plus the points over Cal State Fullerton.  Each of these teams played Rio Grande Valley over the past two days.  On Monday, the Vaqueros upset the Lumberjacks, 82-80.  Then, last night, Rio Grande also upset Fullerton, 72-67.  We'll grab the points with the Lumberjacks, as they're 15-4 ATS as an underdog of +5 (or more) points off an upset loss, including 6-0 ATS vs. non-conference foes.  Take Northern Arizona.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics over the Brooklyn Nets.  This is a revenge game for the Celtics, who were ousted in last year's playoffs by Brooklyn.  We'll take Boston, as it falls into a super revenge system of mine which is 73-25 ATS since 1991.  Take the Celtics.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic + the points over Charlotte.  The Hornets have been installed as a big road favorite tonight.  Unfortunately, they're 3-8 ATS their last 11 when laying 6+ points on the road.  Meanwhile, the Magic are 29-22 ATS their last 51 division contests, including 13-7 ATS vs. a foe off a SU/ATS win.  Take Orlando.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Massachusetts Minutemen minus the points over Massachusetts Lowell, as UMass falls into 55-20 and 91-54 ATS systems of mine that play on certain big home favorites off a SU loss.  The Minutemen lost to Ball State at the Jersey Mike's Classic, 89-86, on Sunday.  And that continued a long-term trend for the Minutemen.  UMass is 2-0 SU/ATS at home this season, but 0-4 ATS away from home.  And it's 18-7 ATS its last 25 at home, compared to 11-23 ATS its last 34 away from home.  So, with the Minutemen back in the friendly environs of the Mullins Center, we'll lay the points with UMass on this Wednesday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Syracuse Orange minus the points over VCU.  This game will be played in the Bahamas, in the Battle 4 Atlantis tournament.  Syracuse comes into this game off an upset loss to Colgate, 100-85, on Saturday.  We'll lay the points with Jim Boeheim's men, as they're 23-11 ATS off an upset defeat.  Take Syracuse.

At 2:30 pm (TIME CHANGE), our selection is on the Jacksonville State Gamecocks minus the points over Drexel.  The Gamecocks were supposed to meet Abilene Christian in the first round of this Baha Mar Hoops Tourney, but the Wildcats had to pull out due to COVID-19 protocols.  So, the Gamecocks opened against Valparaiso, instead.  The Beacons won that game, 78-70, and the Gamecocks had yesterday off.  We'll play on Jacksonville State off that defeat, as it falls into one of my favorite NCAA Basketball systems which is 72-27 ATS since 1990.  Additionally, the Dragons are 0-8 ATS off a SU/ATS win when priced from +2 to +6.5 vs. non-conference foes.  Take Jacksonville State.

At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Rider Broncs minus the points over Bucknell.  These two teams met, coincidentally, seven days ago at Bucknell.  The Bison won that game, 81-74.  They'll now meet in the final round of the Cancun Challenge, and we'll take the revenge-minded Broncs, as they fall into a 65% ATS revenge system of mine.  Lay the points.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over Detroit. The Heat's 5-game ATS win streak was snapped on Saturday, in a 103-100 loss to the Wizards.  Still, Miami ranks #3 in the NBA in point spread differential (+4.88), and #2 in the league in ATS win percentage (.705).  Conversely, Detroit has failed to cover the spread by 2.71 ppg, which ranks #24, and has covered just 43.7% of its games.  The Pistons are a poor 21-37 ATS as a home underdog of +7 (or more) points vs. winning opponents.  Meanwhile, Miami is a solid 76-52 ATS as a road favorite in non-division games, if it lost its previous game.  Take the Heat.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:00 pm, our selection is on the Illinois Illini minus the points over Kansas State.  For each of these two teams, yesterday's games were Jekyll-and-Hyde affairs.  Illinois was favored by 10, and broke out to an early 15-point lead vs. Cincinnati, but lost by 20, while K-State fell behind by 18 at the half, yet stormed back to lose by just 8 vs. Arkansas.  We'll lay the points with the Illini, as they're 10-5 ATS off an upset loss, including a perfect 5-0 ATS vs. foes off a SU loss.  Meanwhile, the Wildcats have covered just six of 24 vs. non-conference foes off an upset loss, including 0-9 ATS if their foe was favored by more than six points in its defeat.  Take Illinois to bounce back tonight.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies + the points over Utah.  These teams met in last year's Playoffs, and the Jazz won the last four in the series to eliminate Memphis from the title chase.  We'll take the Grizz tonight, as we note that they fall into a 71% ATS NBA revenge system of mine.  Even better:  they were blown out by 43 two nights ago in Minnesota.  But that embarrassing defeat has triggered a great 68% system of mine which plays on certain rested teams off 40+ point losses.  Take Memphis.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets + the points over Boston.  The Rockets have lost 15 of 16 games this season, and are 6-9 ATS. But they're 5-2-1 ATS as a double-digit underdog (compared to 0-6 ATS as a single-digit underdog, and 1-1 as a favorite).  And, going back further, we find the Rockets as 43-26 ATS as a double-digit dog, including 20-7 ATS vs. foes off back to back wins.  Take Houston.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards minus the points over the Charlotte Hornets.  We played against the Hornets two nights ago in Atlanta, and were rewarded with a 10-point Hawks win (and cover).  We'll go against Charlotte again tonight, as they're a horrid 7-21 ATS their last 28 as a road underdog.  Lay the points with Washington.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Richmond Spiders minus the points over Hofstra.  The Pride is 1-3 SU to start the year, but 3-1 ATS, while Richmond is 2-2 SU/ATS.  These teams met 11 months ago here, and the Pride upset Richmond, 76-71, as a 12-point favorite.  We'll lay the points with Richmond in this revenge match, as the Spiders are a solid 36-26 ATS with revenge, including 16-5 ATS if their foe has a winning ATS record.  Take Richmond.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Penn State Nittany Lions minus the points over Cornell.  The Big Red are 4-0 SU/3-0 ATS, but will have a tough time staying undefeated after this evening's game, in which they're a double digit underdog.  Cornell is just 1-9-1 ATS when priced from +16.5 to -10 points, off back to back wins.  Take Penn State minus the points.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Kent State Golden Flashes minus the points over James Madison.  This early game is being played in Naples, FL, as part of the Naples Invitational.  James Madison enters this game off 4 straight wins (including upset win in its last two), and 3 straight covers.  But off those two upset wins, the Dukes fall into a negative 54-105 ATS system of mine.  Even worse, the Dukes are 15-34 ATS their last 49 off an upset win.  Take Kent State.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls minus the points over the New York Knicks.  This is the 2nd meeting between these teams this season.  The Knicks won Round 1, with a narrow 104-103 victory in October.  But that game sets up our play tonight, which is one of my favorite NBA systems.  It's cashed 110 of 154, and involves playing on certain revenge-minded teams against unrested opponents.  Yesterday, the Knicks won a hard-fought game against Houston, while Chicago had Saturday off following its 114-108 triumph at Denver.  We'll take the rested revenger on this Sunday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie