Sports Picks & Predictions

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Minnesota.  The Celts lost to the woeful Houston Rockets, 111-109, on Monday.  Off that embarrassing defeat, we'll take Boston to bounce back tonight, as it's 11-4 ATS on the road off exactly 1 loss.  And Minnesota is a wallet-busting 17-47 ATS as a home dog of more than 4 points vs. a foe off an upset loss.  Take Boston.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets over the Los Angeles Lakers.  Neither LeBron James nor Anthony Davis will play tonight vs. the Rockets.  We'll go against the Lakers, who are 42-66-1 ATS as a road favorite when not playing with revenge.  Grab the points with Houston.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers + the points over Philadelphia.  The Cavs won last night, notwithstanding the absence of G Donovan Mitchell.  But he'll play tonight, which is all we need to pull the trigger on the homestanding Cavaliers.  The Sixers are 0-16-1 ATS off back to back wins, when installed as a road favorite vs. a foe off a SU win.  Take the Cavaliers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators minus the points over Central Florida.  The Gators lost, 69-68, to Mississippi St. last Thursday.  But they covered the 5-point spread, which was their 3rd straight ATS win.  We'll lay the points with Florida, as it's 44-27-1 ATS as a favorite in the post-season, and 8-1 ATS its last nine as a favorite vs. foes off a SU loss.  Meanwhile, the Knights are a poor 13-25-2 ATS as a post-season underdog.  Take Florida.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Vanderbilt Commodores minus the points over Yale.  On the heels of a dreadful first half, in which it was outscored 49-25, the Commodores lost to a very good Texas A&M team in the SEC Tournament.  But they had won 10 of 11 games prior to that defeat (9-2 ATS).  And they made a nice showing in the 2nd half, where they outscored the Aggies, 50-38.  We'll take Vandy to bounce back tonight, as it's 32-19 ATS off a loss, and 9-2 ATS its last 11 post-season games.  And it's a sensational 44-21-4 ATS when not laying 8+ points.  Take the Commodores.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets over the Toronto Raptors.  The Nuggets enter tonight on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak.  But Mike Malone's men are 31-12-2 ATS off 3 ATS losses when playing a .400 (or better) opponent, including 9-1-1 ATS on the Eastern Conference road.  Take the Nuggets.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards minus the points over the Detroit Pistons.  Last night, the Pistons snapped their 11-game losing streak with a 117-97 blowout win over the Indiana Pacers.  Unfortunately, Isaiah Livers sustained a hip injury, and will be in street clothes with several other Pistons, including Jaden Ivey, Bojan Bogdanovic, and Alec Burks.  Meanwhile, Cory Joseph - who led the way last night with 22 points in 32 minutes - is 'questionable' to play.  Likewise, the Wizards will be without Kyle Kuzma, but their depth is significantly better than Detroit's.  The Pistons are an awful 10-34-3 ATS off a win by more than 7 points.  Take Washington.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines minus the points over Toledo.  The Wolverines fizzled-out in the Big 10 Tourney, as they were blown out, 62-50, by Rutgers.  The good news for Michigan here is that it's been terrific off a straight-up loss, as it's 86-50-2 ATS.  Even better:  the Big 10 Conference has been very profitable in the NIT Tournament, with a 84-61-2 ATS record, while the MAC Conference is under water with a 26-32-2 ATS record.  This will be Toledo's first post-season meeting vs. a Big 10 foe.  But in its regular season meetings, it's gone 2-11 SU and 5-8 ATS, including 0-4 ATS when not getting 9+ points.  And that dovetails with the Mid-American Conference's poor record, overall, vs. the Big 10, as the MAC is 114-147 ATS, including 0-7 ATS its last seven (and 20-40 ATS its last 60) when priced from -2 to +8 points.  These two teams last met two seasons ago, and the Wolves won, 91-71, with center Hunter Dickinson scoring 18 points, with 7 rebounds and 4 blocks.  Toledo has no one in its starting 5 who can effectively defend Dickinson.  Take the Wolverines to blow out the Rockets.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Phoenix.  We played on the Warriors Saturday night vs. Milwaukee, and were rewarded with a 9-point overtime win.  We also played against Phoenix that night, and won that, as well, when the Sacramento Kings upset the Suns, 128-119.  Almost unbelievably, the defending champion Warriors are just 35-33 on the season.  The reason, of course, is that they've been unable to win on the road all year.  They have a road record of 7-26, which is the exact same record as the worst team in basketball -- the 15-53 Detroit Pistons!  Of course, the opposite has been true for Golden State at home.  The Warriors are 28-7 in San Francisco, which ranks up there with Memphis (28-5), Denver (30-6), and Milwaukee (28-6).  For the season, the Warriors' point spread differential between their home and road games is 9.36, which is the 2nd biggest positive differential at this point in the season since 1990 (and 3rd biggest differential, whether positive or negative).  Last season, the Warriors were also better at home, but the point spread differential was "only" 4.32.  And Golden State was 32-19-2 ATS in its 53 home games last season (compared to 22-27-2 ATS on the road).  This season, the Warriors are an ugly 9-23-1 ATS on the road, but 23-11-1 ATS at home, including 7-0 ATS their last seven.  I won't fade these numbers.  Take Golden State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Oklahoma City.  This is the season's 3rd meeting between these Western Conference foes.  And OKC won Rounds 1 + 2, by scores of 119-111 and 130-114.  We'll take the revenge-minded Spurs, as they're 42-29-1 ATS in the regular season at home when playing with revenge.  Last night, the Thunder won at New Orleans, 110-96, while the Spurs had Saturday off after upsetting the Nuggets, 128-120, as a 12-point dog.  More good news for San Antonio:  it's 109-84-3 ATS vs. unrested foes.  Take the Spurs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Brooklyn.  The Nuggets pulled a clunker in their last game when they lost to the woeful San Antonio Spurs, 128-120.  Meanwhile, the Nets won on Friday in Minnesota, as a 4.5-point underdog, 124-123.  And that was Brooklyn's 5th straight ATS win.  I think its win streak will get snapped today, as it will be playing its 3rd game in 4 days.  And road teams have covered just 35% in Denver since 1990, if they were playing their 3rd game in 4 nights (and Denver wasn't), and both teams were rested.  That bodes well for the Nuggets this afternoon.  As does the fact that Denver is 31-11 ATS on a 3-game (or worse) ATS losing streak when playing .400 (or better) foes.  Finally, the Nuggets fall into 40-12, 109-61 and 150-93 ATS systems of mine based on their upset loss.  Take Denver.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide minus the points over Texas A&M.  We cashed our SEC Game of the Month on the Aggies last weekend over Alabama, as A&M won, 67-61, as a 1.5-point home favorite.  We'll take Alabama in this rematch, as it's 28-18 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, including 11-4 ATS in the post-season.  And Texas A&M is a soft 10-19-1 ATS as an  underdog of +3 (or more) points vs. a revenge-minded foe the Aggies defeated in each of the season's prior meetings.  Take Alabama.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Princeton Tigers + the points over Yale.  Both of these teams come into this championship game on SU/ATS win streaks.  The Tigers have won their last 3 games SU/ATS, while Yale has won its last 4 games SU/ATS.  This Ivy League title game will be played at Jadwin Gymnasium, the home of Princeton.  And that's a big advantage, as Princeton has covered 71% as a home dog in Ivy League games since 1990, if it was off a SU/ATS win.  Even better:  home teams have covered 58% in conference tourney title games since 1990 if they were on a 3-game SU/ATS win streak.  Take Princeton.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the UCSB Gauchos minus the points over Cal State Fullerton.  The Gauchos erupted for 92 points in last night's 5-point win over Cal Riverside to reach the championship game of the Big West Tournament.  We'll lay the points with UCSB tonight, as tourney teams that scored 90+ points in their semifinal game have gone 56-33 ATS in the Title game, provided they weren't getting 4+ points.  UCSB is 27-15-1 ATS its last 43, including 9-0 ATS in 'win situation' games when the line was less than 3 points.  Take the Gauchos.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over Phoenix.  No Kevin Durant?  No problem, as Phoenix blew out Oklahoma City, 132-101, on Wednesday for its 4th straight win and cover.  But we'll fade the Suns tonight, as they're 26-54-1 ATS at home off a win by 18+ points, if they were playing a rested foe.  Take the Kings.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Phoenix.  The Bucks have announced Giannis Antetokounmpo won't play tonight, so that's all we need to pull the trigger on Golden State.  The Bucks are a miserable 0-17 ATS since May 19, 2019 when they've owned a .650 (or better) win percentage, and have been installed as an underdog of +1.5 (or more) points.  And they're 126-182 ATS off 3 (or more) wins.  Lay the points with the Warriors.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic + the points over Miami.  The Magic are on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak, while Miami comes into tonight's game off a big win over Cleveland.  Unfortunately for the Heat, they're 11-26-1 ATS off a win.  And Orlando's a solid 24-12 ATS off 3 ATS losses, including 6-0 ATS its last six.  Take the Magic as a home dog tonight.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers minus the points over Tulane.  The Tigers play this AAC semi-final game with revenge from a 90-89 upset home loss to the Green Wave.  We'll lay the points today, as Tulane is a woeful 9-27-1 ATS when it's matched up against a revenge-minded foe which Tulane defeated on the road earlier in the season.  And Memphis is 44-29-2 ATS when playing with revenge from a home loss.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11:30 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats minus the points over Arizona State.  The Sun Devils shocked the Wildcats in Tucson, 89-88, as a 12-point road underdog last month.  And they upset the USC Trojans yesterday, 77-72, as a 4-point dog.  We'll take Arizona to avenge its loss to ASU, as it's 6-0 SU and 5-0-1 ATS its last six when playing with revenge.  And unrested underdogs have gone 22-39-2 ATS in the Pac-12 Tournament.  Take Arizona minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats minus the points over Vanderbilt.  We played on Vandy last night, and got the $$$ with a 9-point win over LSU.  We'll switch gears and fade the Commodores tonight, as they'll be facing a revenge-minded Wildcats squad which Vandy upset just nine days ago.  That game was played in Lexington, and the Commodores won, 68-66, as a 9.5-point road underdog.  We'll lay the points, as Kentucky is 15-0 ATS in the post-season when favored by more than 3 points, and playing with revenge.  Take the Wildcats.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over Maryland.  We played on the Terrapins earlier this season at home vs. Indiana, and were rewarded with a 66-55 victory.  But we'll take Indiana in this rematch, as revenge-minded teams have gone 152-114 ATS in the Big 10 Tournament.  And Indiana also falls into a 319-227 ATS tourney system of mine which plays on certain revenge-minded teams.  Take the Hoosiers.

At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Middle Tennessee St Blue Raiders + the points over Florida Atlantic.  The Owls are 29-3 this season, but one of those three losses was to this Blue Raiders team, on Feb. 16.  The Blue Raiders pulled off another upset yesterday, when they ousted Charlotte from the Tourney.  Middle Tenn has won 15 of the last 20 games vs. Florida Atlantic, and is 13-7 ATS in those games.  We'll take the points with the underdog Blue Raiders in this semi-final game, as Florida Atlantic falls into a negative 88-170 ATS system of mine.  Take MTSU.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers minus the points over Rutgers.  Purdue ended its regular season with a 76-71 win over Illinois, but failed to cover the spread, as it was favored by 6.5.  Meanwhile, Rutgers comes into this game off an upset win over Michigan yesterday.  The Scarlet Knights also upset the Boilers in West Lafayette, 65-64, earlier this season.  We'll take Purdue to avenge that defeat, as it's cashed 71% over the last 33 years as a 4-point (or greater) favorite when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, if Purdue was off an ATS loss in its previous game.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Vanderbilt Commodores minus the points over LSU.  The Tigers are a woeful 1-15 straight-up, and 3-13 ATS as an underdog since early January.  We'll take Vanderbilt, as it's 7-1 ATS its last 8 post-season games.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Southern U. Jaguars minus the points over Alabama A&M.  These two teams met 5 days ago, and the Bulldogs got the better of the Jaguars, 68-65.  We'll take Southern to avenge that defeat, as the Bulldogs are a poor 8-16 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes.  Take Southern.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Creighton Blue Jays minus the points over Villanova.  Creighton lost by 12 points at Villanova less than two weeks ago.  We'll take the revenge-minded Blue Jays today, as they're 37-18 ATS as a favorite when playing with revenge from an upset defeat.  Take Creighton.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Boise St Broncos minus the points over UNLV.  The Broncos will look to extend their win streak vs. the Rebels to 8 games this evening.  It's true that UNLV will be playing this game on their home court.  Unfortunately, they're a soft 20-37-2 ATS at home if they won their previous game.  Lay the points with Boise St.

At 9:00 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats minus the points over Stanford. The Cardinal upset Arizona, 88-79, as a 7.5-point home dog last month.  We'll take Arizona to avenge that loss, as it's 36-25 ATS in conference games when playing with revenge from an upset road loss.  Lay the points.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Norfolk St Spartans minus the points over Coppin St.  The Eagles have been horrid against the point spread this season, including 0-11 ATS when priced from +4.5 to +14.5 points.  That doesn't bode well for Coppin St. tonight.  Lay the points with the Spartans.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane + the points over Wichita St.  The Shockers blew out South Florida, 69-49, to end its regular season.  They now will take on Tulsa, which they defeated twice this season (by an average of 7.5 points).  The Shockers are favored by double-digits tonight, and we'll happily take the points, as the Shockers are a poor 6-18 ATS off a win, including 1-11 ATS off a victory by more than 10 points.  Take Tulsa.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Nevada Wolf Pack minus the points over San Jose St.  The Wolf Pack were upset by rival UNLV, 69-67, at home this past Saturday.  We'll take Nevada to bounce back as it's 47-26 ATS off a home loss.  Take the Wolf Pack minus the points.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Grand Canyon Antelopes minus the points over Seattle.  The Redhawks are a horrid 18-32 ATS as an underdog (compared to 33-15 ATS as a favorite).  Here, Seattle has been installed as an underdog.  Let's lay the points with Grand Canyon.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Dayton Flyers minus the points over St. Joseph's.  The Hawks blew out George Washington yesterday, 87-76.  Meanwhile, the Flyers fell at St. Louis last Friday, 65-61.  But they're 19-4-2 ATS off a conference loss, including 10-0 ATS vs. a foe off a win.  Take Dayton.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points over West Virginia.  The Mountaineers have covered five straight.  But we'll fade them today, as Kansas is 55-28 ATS when favored by 3.5 to 13.5 points vs. foes on a 3-game (or better) ATS win streak.  Take the Jayhawks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Providence Friars + the points over Connecticut.  The Friars come into this game off back to back upset losses to Xavier and Seton Hall.  We'll look for Ed Cooley's men to bounce back this afternoon, as they're 25-11 ATS as an underdog, including 10-0 ATS when playing with revenge.  Take Providence.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils minus the points over Pitt.  The Blue Devils upset North Carolina last Saturday, 62-57.  We'll lay the points with Duke this afternoon, as it's 23-12 ATS in the post-season off an ATS win.  And it's also 7-3 ATS in the ACC Tourney when not favored by 9+ points.  Take the Blue Devils.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi St minus the points over Florida.  The Bulldogs were edged by 2 points at home by Florida in the season's lone meeting.  We'll take the revenge-minded Bulldogs this afternoon, as they're 50-22 ATS when playing with revenge from an upset loss, including 14-1 ATS when favored by less than 5 points.  Take Miss State

At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Baylor Bears minus the points over Iowa St.  This is a rematch of a game played five days ago, won by the Cyclones, 73-58.  We'll take Baylor today, as it's 14-5 ATS when it lost the previous meeting by double-digits.  Lay the points.

At 11:30 pm, our selection is on the Montana St. Bobcats minus the points over Northern Arizona.  The Lumberjacks come into this championship game off back to back upset wins over Eastern Washington and Montana.  We'll take the Bobcats to end Northern Arizona's streak, as Montana St. has won each of the last 9 meetings vs. the Lumberjacks.  Additionally, favorites have covered 72% in the Big Sky tournament the past 10 years vs. foes off an upset win.  Take Montana St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas Southern Tigers + the points over Alcorn St.  The Braves are 3-10-2 ATS their last 15 Southwestern Athletic Conference tourney games, while the Tigers are 18-3-2 ATS their last 23 post-season contests.  Take Texas Southern.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Rice Owls minus the points over Texas-San Antonio.  The Owls come into this game on a 4-game SU/ATS losing streak, and will seek to avenge a 5-point loss to the Roadrunners last month.  We'll take Rice, as Conference USA teams have cashed 70.8% in the tournament when playing with revenge, if they were off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Lay the points with Rice.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Georgetown Hoyas + the points over Villanova.  The Hoyas surrendered 99 points to Creighton in their final regular season game, and lost by 40 points, 99-59.  We'll take Patrick Ewing's men to bounce back, as Big East teams have gone 26-8 ATS off a loss by 30+ points.  Take Georgetown.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Duquesne Dukes minus the points over La Salle.  Duquesne was "Pk'em" in its last regular season game, at Fordham, and lost, 87-60, so it will look to bounce back this evening vs. La Salle.  Meanwhile, the Explorers pulled off an upset last night, 73-56, vs. Rhode Island.  We'll take Duquesne tonight, as Atlantic 10 tourney favorites have gone 9-1 ATS off a loss as a PK/favorite, if they were playing an opponent off an upset win.  Take Duquesne minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 7:00 pm, our selection is on the Ole Miss Rebels minus the points over South Carolina.  The Rebels lost, 64-61, in the previous meeting.  And they're also off back to back losses to Texas A&M and Missouri to end their regular season.  We'll take Mississippi to avenge that 3-point loss to the Gamecocks, as revenge-minded favorites off back to back losses have gone 9-1 ATS in the SEC Tournament.  Take Ole Miss.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers over Texas-El Paso.  The Hilltoppers managed to score just 33 points in their final regular season game.  We'll take Western Kentucky to bounce back tonight, as NCAA teams have covered 63.8% since 1990 after scoring less than 35 points in their previous game, provided they weren't getting 10+ points in their current game.  Take the Hilltoppers.

At 11 pm, our selection is on the Montana St. Bobcats minus the points over Weber St.  The Bobcats were upset, 73-63, as a 4-point favorite in the previous meeting by the Wildcats.  We'll lay the points tonight, as revenge-minded favorites of -5+ points have covered 59% in the post-season since 1990 if they were upset by 10+ points as a 4-point (or greater) favorite in the previous meeting.  Take Montana St.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Oral Roberts Golden Eagles minus the points over North Dakota St.  The Bison lost the 2 regular season meetings vs. the Golden Eagles.  But that was no different than any Summit League team, as Oral Roberts was undefeated in league play this season.  Overall, the Golden Eagles have won 16 straight games.  We'll lay the points tonight, as ORU is 17-8 ATS as a favorite of less than 12 points, while North Dakota St. is 10-17 ATS as an underdog of less than 12 points.  Take the Golden Eagles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners minus the points over Cal State Northridge.  The Roadrunners have covered 7 of their last 11 games, including its final regular season game this past Saturday, while Northridge is 5-6 ATS its last 11.  Even worse:  the Matadors are a horrid 5-23 ATS their last 28 Big West conference games when installed as an underdog of less than 13 points, including 0-12 ATS vs. a foe off a point spread win.  With Bakersfield in off an ATS win at Cal Irvine on Saturday, we'll lay the points with the Roadrunners on Tuesday night.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Northwestern St. Demons minus the points over New Orleans.  The Privateers upset SE Louisiana, 82-78, as a 5.5-point underdog last night.  New Orleans is an underdog again tonight, and we'll fade New Orleans, as Southland Conference tourney underdogs have covered just 35.7% off an upset win.  Take Northwestern St.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Merrimack Warriors minus the points over Fairleigh-Dickinson.  We played on FDU in its last game, and were rewarded with a 20-point blowout win over St. Francis (PA).  But that game was in Hackensack, NJ; tonight's game is in North Andover, MA.  And FDU has won just once in its last five meetings at Merrimack (2-3 ATS), with its average margin of victory -6.4 ppg.  Admittedly, the Knights won both regular season meetings this year.  But double-revenging favorites have cashed 63% in the tourneys since 1990 vs. foes off a win by 14+ points.  Take Merrimack.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Charleston College Cougars minus the points over NC Wilmington.  We played on the Seahawks last night as our Colonial Athletic Ass'n Tourney Game of the Year, and were rewarded with an outright win over #1-seeded Hofstra.  But off that upset win, we'll fade Wilmington tonight, as single-digit underdogs have gone 13-30 ATS in the Colonial Athletic tourney off an upset win.  Take Charleston minus the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish + the points over Virginia Tech.  The Hokies come into this ACC tourney off a blowout win, 82-60, over Florida St.  Meanwhile, the Irish were blown out, 87-64, by Clemson, on Saturday.  We'll grab the points with Notre Dame, as ACC teams off a loss by 15+ points have covered 66% in the post-season since 1990 vs. foes off a win by 15+ points.  Take Notre Dame.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas A&M Corpus Christi Islanders minus the points over McNeese St.  The Cowboys upset Nicholls St., 77-71, last night.  And that was McNeese's 2nd straight upset win.  Unfortunately, the Cowboys now have to take on the #1-seeded Islanders tonight.  And Corpus Christi already defeated McNeese twice in the regular season.  In the Conference Tourneys, since 1992, double-revenge-minded teams off back to back upset wins have covered just 39% vs. #1-seeded foes since 1992.  Take Corpus Christi.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Abilene Christian Wildcats minus the points over California Baptist.  The Wildcats have dropped their last 5 games -- both SU and ATS.  Indeed, they haven't won since facing this same Cal Baptist squad back on February 4.  Abilene won that game in blowout fashion, 87-71, as a 4.5-point road underdog.  And they also won the only meeting last season, 77-68, as an 8-point home favorite.  The tariff is lower here this afternoon, and I think they'll cover the shorter number.  Abilene is a solid 31-14 ATS as a favorite of 14 or less points, including 5-1 ATS when the line is 2 points or less.  Meanwhile, the Lancers are 2-9 ATS their last 11 when the point spread was 3 points or less.  And they're 4-10 ATS their last 14 when playing with revenge.  Take Abilene Christian minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland St. Vikings minus the points over Wisconsin-Milwaukee.  The Panthers were 15-3 SU and 9-5-1 ATS at home this season, and they covered the spread by 5.1 ppg in those lined home games.  But away from home, the Panthers were 6-7 SU/ATS, and failed to cover the spread by 1.46 ppg.  And as underdogs of less than 5 points, they were 0-3 SU/ATS away from home, and lost by an average of 16.3 ppg.  Take the Vikings minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the St Mary's Gaels minus the points over BYU.  The Cougars are a dreadful 16-42 ATS as an underdog at home, or on neutral courts.  That doesn't bode well for BYU tonight.  Nor does the fact that West Coast Conference tourney favorites of less than 13 points have gone 87-55 ATS.  Take St. Mary's minus the points.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Charleston College Cougars minus the points over Towson.  The Cougars roll into this semifinal game on an 8-game win streak, including back to back blowout wins of 22 and 40 points.  Charleston has a solid 37-24 ATS record in the post season, while Towson is riding a 2-12 ATS record in the post-season.  And the Tigers have lost six straight semi-final matchups.  Lay the points with Charleston.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana-Lafayette Rajin Cajuns over South Alabama.  The 8th-seeded Jaguars upset James Madison on Sunday to advance to the Sun Belt Championship game.  We'll fade South Alabama on Monday, as teams off upset wins in the Sun Belt Semi-Finals have gone 2-10 ATS vs. foes not off an upset win.  Take the Cajuns.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the NC Wilmington Seahawks + the points over Hofstra.  The Pride have won 12 straight games entering this semi-final matchup vs. the Seahawks.  And they won their quarterfinal game by 48 points vs William & Mary, 94-46, as a 14.5-point favorite.  But off that blowout win, we will fade the Pride, as NCAA favorites have covered just 20% in the semifinal round of the Conference Tourneys since 1990 off a game where they covered by 30+ points.  Additionally, Wilmington is 41-23-6 ATS in the post-season, including 5-0 ATS its last five.  Take NC Wilmington.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Nicholls St Colonels minus the points over McNeese St.  The Cowboys come into this quarterfinal game off an upset win over Texas A&M Commerce yesterday.  Unfortunately, in the Southland Conference Tourney, underdogs off an upset tourney win have covered just 30.7%.  Take Nicholls St. to blow out the Cowboys.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over the New York Knicks.  Six days ago, the Knicks upset Boston, 109-94, as a 2-point underdog.  And that was the 2nd straight upset win by New York in this series.  We'll lay the points with Boston this evening, as the Celtics are a solid 58-24-1 ATS when playing with double-revenge from two losses earlier in the season, if they failed to cover the spread by 10+ points in the previous meeting.  Take Boston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Eastern Washington Eagles minus the points over Northern Arizona.  The Eagles come into this game off back to back upset losses.  But before their 2-game losing streak, they had won 18 straight.  And they had also gone 17-3-1 ATS in their previous 21 games.  We'll take the Eagles to get back on the winning track tonight, as they're 11-0 SU and 10-1 ATS when favored by 4+ points in the post season against a foe off a SU win.  Take Eastern Washington.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:00 pm, our selection is on the St Thomas Tommies minus the points over Western Illinois.  The Tommies are favored in this quarterfinal game, and they're an awesome 16-2 ATS their last 18 as a favorite.  That bodes well for St. Thomas this evening.  As does the fact that the Leathernecks are 56-87 ATS off a conference loss.  Lay the points with St. Thomas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the James Madison Dukes over South Alabama.  The Jaguars are 16-27 ATS their last 43 post-season games, while the Dukes are 11-6 ATS in the post-season.  And in the Sun Belt tourney, underdogs off back to back covers as a dog, have gone 6-16 ATS.  Take the Dukes minus the points.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Liberty Flames minus the points over Kennesaw St.  These two teams met here, on Kennesaw's campus, last month in a battle for 1st place.  The Owls were down by 11 points with 7:35 to play, but stormed back with a 29-11 run to close the game, and win, 88-81.  We'll take Liberty in this Championship game, as it's 8-2 ATS as a revenge-minded favorite.  And the road team has gone 7-2 ATS in the Atlantic Sun Conference title game when it wasn't getting 11+ points.  Take Liberty.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the NC Wilmington Seahawks minus the points over Drexel.  The Dragons lost the lone meeting vs. the Seahawks this season, 72-71.  Drexel is a dismal 15-25 ATS in the post season, including 1-5-1 ATS if it lost each of the season's previous meetings to its opponent.  Meanwhile, the Seahawks are 40-23-6 ATS in the post season, including 20-9-2 ATS its last 31 as a favorite.  Take NC Wilmington.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes minus the points over Nebraska.  The 'Huskers upset Iowa, 66-50, earlier this season.  We'll take Iowa this afternoon, as it's 13-1 ATS at home when playing with revenge from an upset loss.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers + the points over Houston.  The Tigers look to avenge a 72-64 loss at Houston two weeks ago.  I think they'll get it, as they're 61-36 ATS when playing with revenge from a road loss, including 27-10 ATS off back to back wins when matched up against a conference foe.  Take the home underdog Tigers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Utah State Aggies minus the points over Boise St.  Utah State has long had one of the better home courts, and it's 176-133 ATS as a home favorite (or PK).  We'll lay the points with the revenge-minded Aggies tonight, as they're on a 4-game SU/ATS win streak, and also 37-21 ATS off a win.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Northeastern Huskies + the points over Delaware.  The Huskies were a 6-point ROAD underdog, and lost by just 3 at Delaware earlier this season.  Now, the number is similar for this neutral court game.  The value is on the side of the Huskies, and we'll grab the points with the underdog.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over San Antonio.  The Rockets have lost 11 straight.  But they were underdogs in all 11 of those games.  Now, they get to play a team (the ONLY team) which is worse than themselves.  And Houston plays with revenge from 2 losses to the Spurs earlier this season.  We'll take the Rockets as at San Antone, as the Spurs are 24-37 ATS this season as an underdog.  And the Rockets also fall into a 57% ATS revenge system of mine.  Take Houston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Fairleigh Dickinson Knights minus the points over St Francis (PA).  The Knights lost on the road just nine days ago to the Red Flash, 82-72, and will seek to avenge that defeat here, at home, tonight.  We'll lay the points, as FDU falls into a 90-48 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home teams in tourney games.  Additionally, the Red Flash are a horrible 13-26 ATS away from home, including 0-6 ATS off a double-digit conference win.  Take Fairleigh Dickinson.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs + the points over Florida Atlantic.  The Owls have had a great season, with a 27-3 record.  But this point spread is inflated after the Owls won their last three games by 40, 26 and 29 points.  The Owls are now laying double digits on the road vs. a team they only beat by 5 points at home (as an 11-point favorite) three weeks ago.  It's too big of a tariff, and especially against a foe which is 82-56 its last 138 when playing with revenge from a road loss.  Take the Bulldogs.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Marshall Thundering Herd over Texas St.  The Herd had their 5-game win streak snapped at Old Dominion last week, when the Monarchs upset them, as a 2.5-point dog.  Marshall is 8-2 ATS off a point spread loss, and I look for it to blow out the Bobcats.  Lay the points.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Samford Bulldogs minus the points over Chattanooga.  The Bulldogs lost at home, 93-79, to Furman to end the regular season.  We'll take Samford to bounce back off that defeat, as Chattanooga has covered just 16% in the post season since 1991 off an ATS win when matched up against a foe off an ATS loss.  And Samford also falls into a 250-160 ATS tourney system of mine which plays on certain teams off losses.  Lay the points.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:10 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over the Washington Wizards.  These 2 teams met two nights ago in this building, and the Wizards were victorious, 119-108.  We'll lay the points with Toronto, as it falls into a 118-79 ATS 'right-back revenge' angle of mine which plays on certain teams in the 2nd of back to back meetings.  Take Toronto.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over Kansas.  The Jayhawks have won 7 straight, but are 3-10 ATS their last 13 after winning 4+ games.  Texas fell by 8 points in Lawrence, in February.  And Texas falls into a 185-124 ATS revenge system of mine.  Lay the points with the Longhorns.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the UMass-Lowell River Hawks minus the points over Maine.  UMass Lowell is on a 4-game SU/ATS win streak, and has won/covered 7 of 8.  For the season, the River Hawks are 7-1 ATS at home vs. conference foes.  Lay it.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Troy Trojans over James Madison.   Troy's won 7 of 8 games, and will look to avenge a 2-point loss to the Dukes earlier this season.  The Trojans fall into a 27-4 ATS revenge system of mine.  Grab the points with Troy.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Boston College Eagles minus the points over Georgia Tech.  The Eagles are playing this home game -- their final one of the season -- with a lot of momentum, as they're riding a 3-game SU/ATS win streak, in which they won all 3 games outright as underdogs.  Look for Boston College to stay hot, as it falls into an 88-36 ATS 'momentum' system of mine.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals + the points over Virginia.  The Cardinals have largely been horrible this season.  But they were competitive in defeat when these two teams met in Louisville in February, as they only lost by 3.  And the Cardinals have covered 6 of their last 9, while UVa is 1-4 ATS its last 5.  Take Louisville + the points.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Texas A/M Aggies minus the points over Alabama.  The Crimson Tide come into this game on a 3-game ATS losing streak, while A&M is smoking hot right now 'in Vegas' with a 7-1 ATS run coming into this, its Final Home Game.  Take Texas A&M to get the $$$ in this early game on Saturday afternoon, as Bama is a wallet breaking 43-72 ATS as a road underdog of +6 or less points (or PK).  And it's 25-56 ATS off a home win in which it failed to cover the spread.  Take Texas A/M.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Iowa St Cyclones + the points over Baylor.  The Cyclones are 89-56 ATS off back to back ATS losses.  With ISU in on a 4-game SU/ATS losing streak, we'll take the points with the Cyclones.

At Noon, our selection is on Elon over William & Mary.  The Phoenix play this game with revenge from a 13-point loss to the Tribe just nine days ago.  And Elon falls into a 64% ATS angle of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back blowout losses, as well as a 246-174 ATS revenge system of mine.  Grab the points with the Phoenix

At 11:30 pm, our selection is on the San Francisco Dons minus the points over Pacific.  West Coast Conference tournament favorites of less than 13 points have gone 84-54-6 ATS.  That bodes well for San Francisco tonight.  As does the fact that Pacific is 9-26 ATS as an underdog of less than 17 points away from home off an upset win.  Take San Francisco.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Abilene Christian Wildcats + the points over Sam Houston.  The Wildcats have lost each of their last four games SU/ATS, including a 77-62 defeat to these Bearkats on Feb 11.  We'll take Abilene to avenge that loss, as WAC Conference road teams, on an 0-3 SU/ATS losing streak, have covered 65% of games vs. conference foes since 1990, if they were playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  Grab the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Tulane Green Wave minus the points over East Carolina.  The Pirates and Green Wave are playing a rare home-and-home series.  The Pirates won Round 1 two days ago, with a 15-point home win.  We'll take Tulane at home in this rematch, as it's 10-1 ATS off a road defeat, while ECU is a poor 15-47 ATS off a double-digit win, when matched up against .700 (or worse) conference foes.  Take Tulane.

At 5 pm, our selection is on The Citadel Bulldogs + the points over Mercer.  The Bears swept the season series with 74-65 and 72-50 victories vs. The Citadel.  But the Bulldogs are 8-1 ATS in the tournament when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  And Mercer is a horrid 3-11 ATS in the post-season off a SU/ATS win.  Take the Bulldogs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs over South Carolina Upstate.  These teams are playing back to back games, as Upstate defeated Gardner-Webb, 75-69 last Saturday.  We'll take the Runnin' Bulldogs to avenge that defeat, as they're 8-1 ATS in the post-season when playing with revenge, while Upstate is 1-4 ATS when going into revenge in the tournament.  Take Gardner-Webb.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Monmouth Hawks over the Hampton Pirates.  Neither of these teams were able to win 30% of their games this season.  Monmouth was 6-25, while Hampton was 8-23.  The Hawks will play this afternoon's game with double-revenge from losses on Feb 23, at Hampton (86-81), and on Jan 21 (83-66).  We'll take Monmouth, as Colonial Athletic Ass'n teams with a losing record have covered just 36% in the conference tourney vs. foes they defeated twice in the regular season.  Take Monmouth.

At 11:30 pm, our selection is on the Pepperdine Waves minus the points over Pacific.  The Tigers come into this game off an upset win over Portland, 81-77, as a 3-point underdog.  We'll fade the Pilots tonight, as they're 0-19-1 ATS in the post-season off a SU/ATS conference win.  Take Pepperdine minus the points.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over Golden State.  The Warriors come into tonight's game off 3 SU/ATS wins, while the Clippers are off 3 SU/ATS losses.  We'll fade the Warriors, as defending NBA champions have covered just 33% at home since 1991 off back to back wins vs. foes off back to back losses, if the champs were also off an ATS win, while their opponent was off an ATS loss.  Take the Clippers minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Cal Irvine Anteaters plus the points over Cal Riverside.  Cal Irvine has failed to cover the spread in its last four games, while Riverside is 4-0 ATS its last four.  We'll take Irvine to get the $$$ tonight, as Big West Conference road teams have cashed 74.4% since 1998 off 3+ ATS losses vs. conference foes off 2+ ATS wins, including 8-0 ATS when not getting 2+ points.  Take Irvine.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Siena Saints minus the points over Manhattan.  The Saints were blown out in their last game, 93-60, by Iona.  We'll take the Saints to bounce back tonight, as they're 8-0-1 ATS as a favorite off a loss by more than 15 points.  Take Siena.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Cal Baptist Lancers minus the points over Rio Grande Valley.  The Lancers come into this game off back to back road losses at Sam Houston and SF Austin.  We'll lay the points, as Cal Baptist is 8-1 ATS as a favorite off back to back losses.  Take the Lancers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Chicago St Cougars + the points over Gonzaga.  We played on the Zags in their last game, and were rewarded with a 9-point SU/ATS win over St. Mary's for our West Coast Conference Game of the Year.  We'll fade Gonzaga tonight, as it's 2-11-1 ATS its last 14 off a point spread win.  And Chicago St is a solid 10-3 ATS as a double-digit road underdog.  Take the Cougars + the points.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Presbyterian Blue Hose + the points over Campbell.  The Fighting Camels are 5-18-1 ATS their last 24 games as a favorite of 7 or less points, including 1-13-1 ATS if their opponent was not off an ATS win.  With Presbyterian in off a SU/ATS loss to Charleston Southern, we'll take the underdog Blue Hose tonight.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Creighton Blue Jays minus the points over Georgetown. The Blue Jays dropped their two previous game.  But we'll lay the points with Greg McDermott's men, as Creighton is an awesome 22-0 straight-up, and 19-2-1 ATS in conference games, if it was off exactly 2 losses, and favored by 3+ points.  Take the Blue Jays.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets + the points over Memphis.  The Rockets have lost 10 straight following a 21-point loss at Denver.  We'll take the Rockets tonight, as the Grizzlies are a horrid 38-80 ATS vs. sub-.600 foes off a loss by 18+ points.  Take Houston.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Cleveland.  The Celtics lost the 2 previous meetings to Cleveland and also come into this game off an upset loss to the New York Knicks.  Boston is 17-6 ATS in the regular season off an upset loss when playing with double revenge.  Lay the points.