Sports Picks & Predictions

At 9:50 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins minus the points over Akron.  The Bruins had a magical run last season in this NCAA Tournament, as they won their "First Four" game, in overtime, against Michigan State.  And they ended up in the Final Four, and were 6-0 ATS along the way.  They then went 2-1 in the just-concluded Pac-12 Tourney, so they're 8-1 ATS in the post-season with Mick Cronin as head coach.  Even better:  Pac-12 teams have gone 88-58 ATS in the post-season vs. non-conference foes.  Lay the points with the Bruins.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:25 pm, our selection is on the San Diego State Aztecs minus the points over Creighton.  The Aztecs enter this tournament with the #1 defense among the participants, as they give up just 57.6 ppg.  And they also rank #2 in defensive efficiency (behind only Texas Tech).  The Aztecs are favored in this game, and we'll lay the points as NCAA Tourney favorites have cashed 61.7% in the first round of the tournament (including the "First Four" round), if their defense allowed 59.3 (or less) points.  Take San Diego State.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over Detroit.  The Magic suffered one of the worst losses in franchise history when they were blown out at home, 150-108, by Brooklyn, on Tuesday.  But off that embarrassing loss, we'll take Orlando to rebound tonight.  NBA home teams bounce back off horrible home losses, more often than not.  And since 1990, home teams have covered 63% at home off a loss in which they gave up 42 points (and 73% if they also lost that game by 22+ points).  Take Orlando.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats minus the points over Saint Peter's.  The Peacocks come into this game on a 7-game SU/ATS win streak, while Kentucky was upset by Tennesee in its last game, and has covered just one of its last six, overall.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the hot Peacocks.  But NCAA Tourney teams on a 4-game (or better) ATS win streak have covered just 37.1% as underdogs of more than 3 points vs. foes on a 2-game (or worse) ATS losing streak.  Take Kentucky.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Baylor Bears minus the points over Norfolk State.  Scott Drew's Bears were upset by the Oklahoma Sooners, 72-67, in the quarterfinals of the Big 12 Tournament.  And that was Baylor's 2nd straight ATS defeat.  But the Bears are a wallet-fattening 47-22-5 ATS off a SU/ATS loss, if they also failed to cover the spread two games back.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12:40 pm, our selection is on the Providence Friars minus the points over South Dakota State.  The Jackrabbits have won 21 straight games.  But they were favored to win all 21.  Their last loss:  December 15 vs. Missouri State.  And, like this game today, South Dakota State was an underdog.  Indeed, South Dakota State has been an underdog just three times this season, and went 1-2 SU/ATS.  So, this will be a big step-up in class for Eric Henderson's men.  And Summit League teams have underwhelmed vs. the Big East Conference the past three seasons, as they've gone 0-7 SU and 3-4 ATS, with the average loss by 16 points.  The last meeting was on November 30, when the Summit League's runner-up, North Dakota State, played Creighton, the Big East's runner-up.  Creighton was an 8-point favorite, and blew out the Bison, 80-55.  The Big East has dominated non-conference foes when not favored by more than 8 points, as Big East teams are 71-46-2 ATS.  Lay the points with Ed Cooley's Friars.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Sacramento.  The Kings upset Chicago on Monday, 112-103.  We'll fade the Kings as a home dog tonight, as losing teams off an upset home win are a poor 87-125 ATS as home dogs of +5 (or more) points vs. rested .600 (or better) foes.  Take the Bucks.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics + the points over Golden State.  The Celts were upset, 95-92, by Dallas on Monday.  And that was Boston's second straight ATS defeat.  The good news is that Boston is 9-0 ATS this season (and 15-2 ATS dating back to last season) after scoring less than 97 points in their previous game.  And the Celts are 29-11 ATS the past three seasons off back to back ATS defeats.  Take Boston + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators minus the points over Iona.  The Gators enter tonight's home game off back to back ATS losses.  But they're 70-32 ATS off back to back ATS losses when matched up against .625 (or better) foes, including a perfect 11-0 ATS vs. non-conference foes when priced from -3 to -15 points.  Take Florida.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over Brooklyn.  The Nets put up 150 points in their last game, but have been installed as a home underdog tonight.  Since 1990, teams not favored by 5+ points, that scored 150+ in their previous game, have covered just 38% of the time.  Take Dallas.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Mercy Titans + the points over Florida Gulf Coast.  The Titans were blown out, 77-59, by Northern Kentucky to end their regular season.  We'll take Detroit to rebound tonight, as an underdog vs. the Eagles.  Detroit is a stellar 18-3-1 after scoring less than 65 points, and 10-2-1 ATS on the road off a SU/ATS loss.  Take Detroit.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks + the points over Coastal Carolina.  The Hawks have been dominant as an underdog, including 11-1-1 ATS when getting 6+ points, while the Chanticleers are a poor 2-5 ATS as a double-digit favorite.  Take the Hawks as a double-digit underdog tonight.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over Detroit.  The Heat will conclude its six-game home stand tonight.  And it will look to bounce back off its loss to Minnesota, on Saturday.  But All-Star Jimmy Butler (toe) didn't play in that game, yet has been upgraded to 'probable' for tonight's match.  Detroit also lost its last game, 106-102, at home on Sunday to the Clippers.  And that was Detroit's 3rd straight defeat.  We'll lay the points, as Miami is 55-37 ATS after failing to cover the spread by 10+ points in its previous game, and 34-16 ATS when playing with more rest than its opponent.  Take the Heat.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.d

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Commonwealth Rams minus the points over Princeton.  Mike Rhoades' Rams were upset by Richmond, 75-64, in the Atlantic 10 tournament.  But off that upset loss, we'll take VCU to bounce back here, at home, in the opening round of the NIT tournament.  The Rams are 6-1 ATS at home off an upset loss, and they're also 18-9 ATS at home their last 27 off an upset conference loss.  Even better:  the Rams also lost their final regular season game, and they're 22-0 straight-up, and 18-2-2 ATS at home when priced from PK to -13 if they're off back to back losses.  Lay the points with VCU.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the South Carolina Upstate Spartans + the points over Appalachian State.  The Spartans have been installed as a big underdog tonight vs. the Mountaineers.  And we'll happily grab the points -- especially given how well the big underdogs have done in these minor (i.e., not NIT or NCAA) tournaments (e.g., 47-27 ATS when getting 9+ points).  Moreover, the Mountaineers have burned money when laying points to an opponent not off a SU/ATS win, as they're 14-35-1 ATS.  Take the Spartans + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over Golden State.  The Wizards have dropped their first three games of their four-game road trip, as they lost SU/ATS at the Clippers, Lakers, and Trail Blazers.  So, we'll look for the 4th time to be the charm, and will take the points with Washington tonight.  For technical support, consider that double-digit underdogs have covered 65.5% over the last 32 years off 3 road SU/ATS losses when matched up against a foe off a SU/ATS win.  Take Washington + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Minnesota.  After upsetting the Utah Jazz -- which gave coach Gregg Popovich the all-time wins record -- the Spurs understandably had a letdown in their next game.  Indiana upset the Spurs, here, on Saturday, in the Alamo City.  So, we'll look for San Antone to bounce back off that home upset loss.  San Antonio is 103-71 ATS at home off an upset loss.  And it's also a solid 28-9 ATS at home when playing with revenge from a blowout loss by more than 21 points.  With the Spurs, indeed, looking to avenge a 25-point loss to the T-Wolves in Minneaopolis earlier this season, we'll take San Antonio + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over the Orlando Magic.  The 76ers were throttled, 129-100, as a 3.5-point home favorite by the Brooklyn Nets, so they'll look to bounce back off that humiliating loss this evening.  We'll lay the points, as teams that failed to cover the spread at home by 30+ points in their previous game have bounced back 72.5% since 1991 when matched up against a foe off a win.  And the Magic are, indeed, off a win, as they upset Minnesota, 118-110, as an 8.5-point home dog on Friday.  Unfortunately for Orlando, it's a horrid 0-12 SU/ATS as an underdog of 10+ points, if it covered the spread by more than 8 points in its previous game.  Take Philly.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Toronto.  We played against Denver two nights ago, and got the $$$$ with the Warriors, who won here by 11 points, 113-102.  We'll take Denver to bounce back off that loss, as it's 52-31 ATS at home off a home loss by more than 10 points, including an awesome 27-5 ATS when priced from +2 to -7.5 points.  Even better:  the Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in their last three games.  But Denver's 28-7 ATS against .400 (or better) foes, if the Nuggets were on a 3-game (or worse) ATS losing streak, including 16-1 ATS as a favorite (and 10-0 ATS if favored by 5+ points).  Take Denver.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils minus the points over Virginia Tech.  Mike Krzyzewski's men are on (for them) a rare 3-game ATS losing streak.  Indeed, Duke's generally been solid off an ATS loss, and especially if they won their previous game, as they're 151-113 ATS.  And when they're favored by more than 4 points, off 3+ ATS losses, they've gone 19-2 ATS if they also won their previous game, straight-up (and 12-0 ATS if they won the previous two games, straight-up).  Lay the points tonight with Duke.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over Minnesota.  Both of these teams played last night.  The Heat took care of business here, at home, vs. Cleveland, while Minnesota was upset by the Magic, in Orlando.  We played on Miami last night, and will come right back with them on Saturday.  Yesterday's win by the Heat was their 13th in 16 games (11-5 ATS).  Minnesota is also playing good basketball, as it's won six of its last eight SU/ATS.  But this is a difficult scheduling spot for the T-Wolves, who will be traveling without rest, and also playing their 3rd game in four nights (all with travel in-between).  The Heat, meanwhile, are in the midst of a long seven-game home stand.  Lay the points with Miami.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Texas Southern Tigers minus the points over Alcorn State.  The Braves won twice vs. Texas Southern in the regular season.  And both games were hotly-contested, as the Braves won by 1 at home, and by 3 on the road.  We'll take the Tigers to win Round 3, as double-revengers off back-to-back wins have cashed 86% in the Southwestern Athletic Conference Tourney.  Lay the points with Texas Southern.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders + the points over Kansas.  The Red Raiders come into this game off two great defensive performances.  They allowed just 41 points in their win against Iowa State on Thursday, and held Oklahoma to just 55 yesterday.  For the season, Texas Tech is surrendering a mere 59.9 ppg.  We'll take the defensive-minded underdog, as NCAA teams with defensive scoring averages of less than 60 ppg, have cashed 62% in the Conference Tourney Finals since 1990, if they also held their previous two opponents to less than 60 points.  Additionally, Texas Tech is a solid 23-13 ATS when playing with revenge.  Take the Red Raiders + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers minus the points over Michigan State.  The Boilermakers (26-6 SU, 13-18-1 ATS) play this game with revenge from a 68-65 loss to the Spartans (22-11 SU, 17-15-1 ATS), in East Lansing.  We'll lay the points this afternoon, as Big 10 teams, with losing ATS records, are 75-45 ATS in the Tournament when playing with revenge, including 14-2-1 ATS as a favorite of 2 (or more) points.  Take Purdue.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Northern Colorado Bears minus the points over Portland State.  The Bears were upset not once, but twice, earlier this season by the Vikings.  We'll lay the points with Steve Smiley's troops as Big Sky Tourney favorites have covered 75% if they lost each of the season's prior meetings vs. their opponent.  Take Northern Colorado.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers minus the points over Penn State.  The Nittany Lions enter tonight's game on a 4-game ATS win streak after upsetting Ohio State, 71-68, yesterday.  Meanwhile, the Boilers are 0-6-1 ATS their last seven. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the hot Nittany Lions, and against the cold Boilermakers.  But consider that NCAA favorites of more than 5 points have covered 73% since 1990 in conference tourney games, if they were on a 3-game (or worse) ATS losing streak, and their opponent was on a 3-game (or worse) ATS win streak.  Take Purdue.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats minus the points over Colorado.  The Buffs blew out Oregon, 80-69, yesterday, as a 2-point favorite, while Arizona opened the Tourney with a 4-point win over Stanford.  These two teams met just 13 days ago in Boulder.  In that game, the Buffaloes stunned the Wildcats, 79-63, as a 9.5-point home underdog.  We'll take the Wildcats in this revenge match, as Arizona falls into a 201-109 ATS post-season system of mine which plays on certain favorites of -3 (or more) points that were upset in the previous meeting that season vs. their opponent.  Even better:  Pac-12 Conference teams (like Colorado) off a win by more than 8 points have gone 2-15-1 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes in the Conference Tourney, if priced from -1 to +11 points.  Take Arizona.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Utah.  These two teams have traded road victories in two meetings earlier this season.  But San Antonio covered the spread in each game.  The Spurs are 24-4 ATS at home vs. Utah when not favored by more than 9 points, including 17-0 ATS if Utah's win percentage was greater than .600.  Take San Antone + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Coppin State Eagles + the points over North Carolina Central.  Coppin State narrowly lost its two meetings this season with NC Central, as it fell by 3 at home, and by 1 on the road.  We'll take Coppin State, as double-revenging underdogs have covered 64% in the Mid-Eastern Conference Tourney.  Take Coppin State.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over Houston.  The Mavs suffered a humiliating 30-point upset loss at home to the Knicks on Wednesday.  We'll take Dallas to rebound tonight, as NBA favorites of -6.5 (or more) points off a home upset loss in which they failed to cover the spread by 30+ points, have cashed 83% vs. foes off a SU win since 1990.  Lay the points with Dallas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over Cleveland.  The Heat's 3-game win streak (and 5-game ATS win streak) ended on Wednesday, as Miami was blown out, 111-90, by Phoenix.  We'll take the Heat to bounce back, as they're 40-12 ATS off an upset loss, if they're matched-up against a conference foe off a straight-up win.  Take Miami. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over the Los Angeles Clippers.  The Clippers blew out the Hawks, 106-93, in Los Angeles earlier this season.  We'll take the homestanding Hawks tonight, as they're 94-54 ATS at home when rested, and playing with revenge from a double-digit loss, including 10-0 ATS their last 10 vs. Western Conference foes.  Take Atlanta. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers minus the points over Michigan State.  Johnny Davis has stated that his ankle -- which he injured vs. Nebraska -- is fine, so that's all we need to pull the trigger on the Badgers this evening.  Without an injured Davis, Wisconsin succumbed to Nebraska, 74-73, as a 12.5-point home favorite.  But NCAA post-season favorites have cashed 70.3% since 1990 off an upset loss as a 12.5-point (or greater) favorite, if their opponent was off a SU win.  Take Wisconsin.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Denver.  The Nuggets are in a tough scheduling spot tonight, as they played last night, while Golden State had Wednesday off.  And the Warriors will surely be focused tonight, as they have already lost three times to Denver this season, including a 7-point loss last week.  We'll take the Warriors in this big revenge situation, as they're 55-29 ATS on the road when playing with revenge, including 7-1 ATS vs. unrested foes.  Meanwhile, the Nuggets are a wallet breaking 52-101-1 ATS at home when playing without rest, including 10-26 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes.  Lay the points with the Warriors.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Middle Tennessee St. Blue Raiders minus the points over Texas El Paso.  The Miners come into this game off back to back SU/ATS wins, while the Blue Raiders are in off 2 SU/ATS losses.  Still, Middle Tennessee was one of the best point spread teams this season, with a 20-7 ATS ledger.  UTEP, on the other hand, is a mere 15-14 ATS.  Unfortunately for UTEP, this is a bad situation tonight, as UTEP has covered just 5 of 16 Conference Tourney games off 2 SU/ATS wins.  That doesn't bode well for the Miners.  Nor does the fact that underdogs off back to back SU/ATS Wins have covered just 40.2% over the last 32 years in the post-season vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS losses, including just 23% vs. foes with a winning ATS record.  Take Middle Tennessee minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers over Louisiana Tech.  The Hilltoppers have been dominant over the years in the post-season, as they're 56-24-1 ATS their last 81.  We'll take Western Kentucky this evening, as it plays with revenge from a narrow 1-point home loss earlier this season.  And NCAA teams that lost at home by a single point in the previous meeting have covered 61% in the post-season rematch, provided they weren't getting 3+ points.  Take the Hilltoppers.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Ohio U. Bobcats minus the points over Ball State.  The Bobcats enter this Mid-American Tourney on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak.  And they were favored in each of those SU losses.  We'll lay the points with Ohio, as NCAA teams off 3 upset losses have covered 73% in the post-season since 1990 vs. foes off an ATS loss.  Lay the points with the Bobcats.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Georgetown Hoyas + the points over Seton Hall.  The Hoyas and Pirates matched-up just seven days ago at Seton Hall.  And Kevin Willard's men narrowly escaped with a 73-68 win, as a 13-point home favorite.  We'll take Georgetown to avenge that loss, as it's 72.2% ATS as a doubled-digit dog when playing with revenge, including 6-0-1 ATS its last six.  Take the Hoyas.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over New York.  The Knicks upset both the Clippers and Kings in their last two games.  And they also upset Dallas, 108-85, as a 2.5-point home dog, in January.  But that upset win sets up our play tonight, as Dallas is 15-1 ATS this season when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  And the Mavs also fall into a 115-68 ATS revenge system of mine which plays on certain teams that lost by 20+ points in an earlier meeting.  Take Dallas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs + the points over Vanderbilt.  The Commodores upset Ole Miss on Saturday, 63-61.  But Vandy is a poor 36.3% over the last 32 years as a favorite off an upset road win.  Tale Georgia + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Tech Hokies minus the points over Clemson.  The Hokies are 19-12 SU and 16-15 ATS on the season, but were upset by the Tigers, 63-59, four days ago, at Clemson.  We'll take the Hokies in this revenge match, as NCAA teams that lost on the road to an opponent in their previous game, have covered 60% since 1993 in the rematch, if they owned a winning SU/ATS record.  Virginia Tech is 11-4 ATS its last 15 vs. Clemson.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Delaware State Hornets + the points over Norfolk State.  Delaware State has been one of the best point spread teams over the past six weeks, as it's 10-2 ATS its last 12.  We'll take the double-digits, as underdogs have gone 58-45-2 ATS in the Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference Tourney, including 7-1-1 ATS when playing with double-revenge vs. a foe off back to back wins.  The Hornets also fall into a 72.2% Conference Tourney system of mine which plays on certain .550 (or worse) teams off 3+ losses vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Take the Hornets.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Nevada Wolf Pack minus the points over New Mexico.  Nevada suffered a tough, 1-point loss (as a 4-point underdog) to San Diego State, on Saturday.  But we'll take the Wolf Pack to bounce back as they're a fantastic 11-1-1 ATS their last 13 conference games (and 34-12-2 ATS their last 48) when favored by 7 or less points after a straight-up loss, including 11-0 ATS if they covered the spread in their previous game.  Take Nevada.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11:30 pm, our selection is on the Cal Davis Aggies minus the points over Cal Poly SLO. The Aggies dropped two road games to end the regular season, while the Mustangs finished with two home wins.  But since 1990, NCAA favorites are a solid 60% in conference tourney games off back to back road losses, if they were matched up against an opponent off a SU win.  Lay the points with Cal Davis.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder + the points over Milwaukee.  We played on the Bucks on Sunday in a revenge match vs. Phoenix, and got the $$$$ when they won by 10, as a 9-point favorite.  We'll fade Milwaukee tonight, though, as it will be the Thunder who will be playing with revenge.  And OKC is 74-47 ATS in the regular season when playing with revenge against a foe off a win (and not an ATS loss).  Take OKC.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over New Orleans.  Memphis stumbled badly in its last game when it was upset by Houston, as a double-digit favorite.  We'll lay the points tonight with Taylor Jenkins' men, as they're 10-0 ATS their last 10 off a road loss.  Take the Grizzlies.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over Charlotte.  The Nets were blown out, 111-95, by the Hornets in Brooklyn earlier this season.  But the Nets are a solid 49-23 ATS on the road when playing with revenge from a double-digit home loss.  Take the Nets minus the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals minus the points over Georgia Tech.  The Cardinals enter this ACC Tourney game off three straight ATS defeats, while the Yellow Jackets have covered five of six, including their last two.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to take Georgia Tech as an underdog, given Louisville's recent failures.  But Georgia Tech is a horrid 16-38 ATS vs. foes on a 3-game (or worse) ATS losing streak if Tech wasn't getting more than 4 points.  Even better:  NCAA favorites of 4 or less points, with a losing conference record, have covered 67.2% of conference tourney games since 1990. Take Louisville minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Gonzaga Bulldogs minus the points over San Francisco.  We have correctly picked the champions of the last two NCAA Tournaments, as we had preseason picks on Virginia (at 22-1 odds) and Baylor (at 12-1 odds).  This year, our preseason pick was on Gonzaga (at 7-1 odds).  I was actually thrilled that it lost to St. Mary's last week, as one of the last things you want to see is (if you're rooting for a team to win the title) is for it to go into the tournament on a long win streak.  Instead, that blowout loss at the hands of the Gaels will allow Mark Few to hit the reset button for his team.  I expect it to come out with a much better focus tonight, as Gonzaga is 21-9 ATS following a game it failed to cover by more than 16 points.  And the Zags are also 18-11 ATS its last 29 off a loss.  Remarkably, Gonzaga has NEVER lost a semi-final round game in the West Coast Conference tournament, as it's 22-0 SU and 14-7-1 ATS, including 10-2-1 ATS when favored by 14 < points.  Take Gonzaga.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over the Los Angeles Lakers.  Once again, the Spurs will attempt to give Gregg Popovich a win, which would enable him to tie Don Nelson for the all-time regular season coaching wins record.  The Spurs open up a long home stand tonight, so at some point Popovich will tie (and break) Nelson's record.  Tonight, San Antonio will take on its long-time nemesis, the Lakers, who come into tonight's game off a home upset win against Golden State.  But Los Angeles is an awful 13-28 ATS off a home win.  Lay the points with San Antone.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over Utah.  Utah has won the first two meetings this season vs. Dallas.  But each of those games was in Salt Lake City; tonight's game will be played in Texas.  And Dallas is 13-2 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, so that bodes well for the home team.  Additionally, Luka Doncic has been upgraded to 'probable' for today's game, which is all we need to pull the trigger on the home-standing Mavericks, who are 10-1 ATS as a home favorite of 6 or less points this season.  Take Dallas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over the Houston Rockets.  Houston comes into this game off a win as a double-digit home underdog.  Once again, it's installed as a double-digit dog.  Unfortunately, though, the Rockets are 18-33 ATS off a point spread win, while the Heat are 15-7 ATS off back to back ATS wins.  Lay the points with Miami.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the South Dakota State Jackrabbits minus the points over South Dakota.  The Coyotes upset Missouri-Kansas City yesterday, 74-61, as a 1-point underdog.  And that was South Dakota's second straight upset win.  Now, the 5th-seeded Coyotes will attempt to knock off #1-seeded South Dakota State.  It's true the Jackrabbits were uninspired in their victory on Saturday vs. Omaha.  South Dakota State was favored by 23.5 points, but won by just eight, 87-79.  However, that's been par for the course this season for South Dakota State.  It's been poor when favored by 15+ points (2-8 ATS), but has been stellar when favored by less than 15 (13-4 ATS).  We'll look for the Jackrabbits to bounce back today, as favorites with a winning SU/ATS record, off a point spread loss, have covered 58% in the post season vs. foes off back to back upset wins.  Take South Dakota State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Wright State Raiders over Cleveland State.  The Vikings swept the season series vs. the Raiders, but that fact has set up Wright State into a 421-290-18 ATS revenge system of mine.  Additionally, the Vikings are a woeful 14-32 ATS, while the revenger is 15-1 ATS when not getting more than 7 points vs. a foe off an ATS win.  Take Wright State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Oral Roberts Golden Eagles minus the points over Western Illinois.  When these two teams last met, the Leathernecks upset Oral Roberts, 90-85, as a 7-point road underdog.  But prior to that upset loss, the Golden Eagles had won the previous five meetings by an average of 20.2 ppg.  We'll lay the points with the Golden Eagles in this revenge match, as ORU falls into 76-40, 116-56 and 61-22 ATS Tourney systems of mine.  Additionally, the Leathernecks are a woeful 7-19 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe they defeated earlier in the season.  Take the Golden Eagles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Furman Paladins minus the points over Samford.  The Bulldogs upset the Paladins 11 days ago, 83-75, as a 6-point home dog.  But prior to that, Furman had won the previous five meetings by an average of 18.4 ppg, and had gone 4-1 ATS.  We'll look for the Paladins to blow out Samford this evening, as the Bulldogs are a wallet-breaking 10-24 ATS when installed as an underdog vs. a revenge-minded foe they defeated earlier in the season.  And Furman also falls into one of my favorite revenge angles which is 171-94 ATS since 1990.  Take the Paladins.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Phoenix.  The Bucks were blown out by 24 points last month in Phoenix.  We played on the Suns in that game, which was a big revenge match for them, given the Bucks won last year's NBA Finals against them.  But we'll take Milwaukee as the home favorite this afternoon, and go against the 51-12 Suns.  For technical support, consider that .783 (or better) NBA teams off a win are a dreadful 43-88-3 ATS at Game 50 forward, when not favored by 4+ points, and playing a rested opponent.  Take the Bucks minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Delaware Blue Hens over Drexel.  The Blue Hens are 0-3 SU/ATS their last three coming into this Colonial Athletic Ass'n Tourney game.  We'll take Delaware to snap their losing streak, as teams off back to back SU/ATS losses have covered 58.3% in this Tournament since 1991.  Take the Blue Hens.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the New Jersey Tech Highlanders + the points over Vermont.  The Catamounts won the two previous meetings by 26 and 23 points, which sets up our revenge play this afternoon.  We'll grab the points with New Jersey Tech, as double-digit underdogs have gone 89-57 ATS when playing with revenge from two losses earlier in the season by more than 16 points.  Take New Jersey Tech.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Maryland-Baltimore County Retrievers minus the points over UMass-Lowell.  The River Hawks swept the season series, 2 games to none.  But UMBC now falls into 96-56, 419-290 and 44-13 ATS revenge systems of mine.  Additionally, the Retrievers are 21-12 ATS in competitively-priced games with spreads less than 4 points, while the River Hawks are 9-13 ATS in such games.  Finally, America East Conference double-revengers are 34-18 ATS in this Conference tournament.  Lay the points with UMBC.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Murray State Racers minus the points over Morehead State.  The Racers come into this Ohio Valley Championship game with a 29-2 record, and a 19-game win streak after blowing out Southeast Missouri yesterday.  I won't step in front of this freight train, as teams on 9-game (or better) win streaks have covered 58.2% in conference tourney title games since 1992.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Appalachian State Mountaineers minus the points over Georgia Southern.  The Eagles upset Coastal Carolina, 70-64, on Thursday, as a 5-point underdog.  But off that win, the Eagles now fall into negative 16-42 and 55-111 ATS systems of mine that fade certain teams in tourney games off upset wins.  Georgia Southern is also 1-8 ATS off back to back ATS wins.  Take Appalachian State minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over Philadelphia.  The 76ers defeated Miami here in South Florida, back in January.  So, Miami will look to avenge that defeat tonight.  We'll lay the points, as Miami is 88-61 ATS as a favorite of 5 or less points, and it's also 7-3 ATS its last 10 vs. the 76ers.  Take the Heat.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Charlotte.  With a Spurs victory tonight, the Spurs' Gregg Popovich will tie Don Nelson for the all-time record for regular season wins as a head coach.  One of the reasons that Popovich is in this position is because he generally gets his troops to avoid long losing streaks.  Tonight, the Spurs will look to snap a 3-game losing streak, and they're 36-24 ATS on the road in the regular season off 3+ losses.  Take San Antonio + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the William & Mary Tribe + the points over Northeastern.  This is about as big of a revenge game as a team can have in College Basketball.  Less than 10 days ago, the Huskies thoroughly humiliated William and Mary by holding it to just 28 points, in a 62-28 defeat.  Needless to say, William and Mary will be out to redeem itself this afternoon.  We'll take the points, as William and Mary is an awesome 54-18 ATS when playing with revenge.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Troy Trojans minus the points over Arkansas Little Rock.  We played on Little Rock in its last game -- an upset win as a 12.5-point underdog -- over South Alabama.  But we will fade Little Rock this afternoon, as Troy is coming off a loss to Texas State.  And the Trojans are 9-1 ATS their last 10 off a loss.  Lay the points.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Marshall Thundering Herd + the points over Western Kentucky.  The Herd lost to the Hilltoppers three days ago, 86-72, in Huntington.  We'll grab the points in this rematch, as Marshall has covered 58% since 1990 as a revenge-minded, double-digit underdog off a SU/ATS loss (and 86% if they failed to cover the spread by 10+ points in their previous game).  Take the Thundering Herd + the points.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Panthers + the points over Notre Dame.  The Panthers come into this game off back to back home losses to Miami and Duke.  But Pitt is a super 14-3 ATS off back to back home defeats, while Notre Dame is a wallet breaking 27-57 ATS as a home favorite of -10 (or more) points vs. a foe not off an ATS win.  Take Pittsburgh + the points.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Florida International Panthers + the points over Florida Atlantic.  This is a rematch of a game played just two days ago.  The Owls went into Florida International, and blew out the Panthers, 71-51, as a 5.5 point road favorite.  We'll take the points in this rematch, as double-digit road underdogs have covered 63% since 1990 when playing with revenge from a 20-point (or worse) home defeat to their opponent in the previous game.  Take Florida International.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers minus the points over Indiana.  The Boilers will be looking to bounce back this afternoon from losses at Wisconsin and Michigan State.  And they'll also be looking to avenge a defeat at Indiana, back in January.  We'll lay the points as teams with a .500 (or better) conference record have covered 62.6% since 1990 off back to back SU/ATS losses, if they were playing their final home game of the season, and favored by 6 (or more) points.  Even better:  Purdue's 30-17 ATS at home off a SU/ATS loss, and 16-4 ATS at home off a point spread defeat if it lost on the road to its opponent earlier in the season.  Take the Boilermakers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11:30 pm, our selection is on the Portland Pilots minus the points over San Diego.  The Favorites have dominated in the West Coast Conference tournament, including 2-0 ATS yesterday, and 74-46 ATS their last 120 when priced at -11 or less.  We'll lay the points with the Pilots, as they also fall into a 239-149 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams not favored by double-digits vs. foes off a win.  Take Portland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Mercer Bears minus the points over Western Carolina.  The Catamounts upset Mercer less than two weeks ago, 69-65, as a 6-point home dog.  And they've now covered three straight games.  Unfortunately, the Catamounts are an awful 6-15-1 ATS off back to back ATS wins, including 1-10 ATS vs. foes with a losing conference record.  And they're 12-30 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe they upset in the previous meeting.  Take Mercer minus the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Eastern Michigan Eagles + the points over Miami-Ohio.  The RedHawks are one of the worst home favorites in college basketball, as they're 21-41-2 ATS including 0-10 ATS when priced from -7 to -10.5 points.  Take Eastern Michigan as a road underdog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Bowling Green + the points over Toledo.  The Rockets upset Buffalo, 92-76, on Tuesday.  But off that upset win, we'll fade Toledo this evening, as .636 (or better) Mid-American Conference favorites of more than 4 points, are a dismal 31-67 ATS in home conference games off an upset road win.  Take Bowling Green + the points.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Winthrop Eagles minus the points over High Point.  The Panthers upset the Eagles in the teams' lone meeting this past regular season.  We'll lay the points with Winthrop, as the Eagles are 18-7 ATS when playing with revenge.  And Southern Conference Tournament favorites are 26-16-1 ATS when playing with revenge.  Lay the points.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the The Citadel + the points over East Tennessee State.  The Bulldogs were blown out by 35 points last Saturday by Furman.  This afternoon, they'll look to bounce back from that defeat, and they will face a Buccaneers team which defeated them by 10 points on Feb. 19.  We'll grab the points as The Citadel is 8-0 ATS its last eight (and 19-7 ATS its last 28) as an underdog of 14 (or less) points away from home off a loss by 14+ points.  Take the Bulldogs + the points.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Stanford Cardinal + the points over Arizona.  Stanford comes into tonight's game off back to back double-digt blowout losses.  And the Cardinal were favored in each of those two games.  We'll grab the points tonight, as NCAA double-digit dogs are a sensational 71% on the conference road, if they were off back to back double-digit upset losses, and their foe was off a SU win.  Take Stanford.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Pacific/Loyola Marymount game.  The previous meeting of these teams went 'over' the total by 31 points, which has led the oddsmakers to inflate the number of this Total.  We'll take advantage and look for a relatively-low scoring game tonight, as post-season games have gone 'under' 55% when the previous meeting went 'over' by 25+ points.  Even better:  the UNDER falls into a 76% Totals system of mine.  Take the UNDER. 

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland State Vikings minus the points over Robert Morris.  The Colonials shocked Youngstown, 77-73, as a 7.5-point underdog on Monday.  But Robert Morris is a wallet-breaking 1-9 ATS off a SU win, and 0-6 ATS off an upset win.  Take Cleveland State minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points over TCU.  This is the 2nd of back to back games between these Big 12 Conference rivals.  Jamie Dixon's men won the first meeting -- in Forth Worth -- on Tuesday, 74-64, as a 6-point home dog.  We'll lay the points tonight with Kansas, as it's 38-18 ATS when playing with revenge from an upset loss.  Take Kansas.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Detroit.  The Pistons have won both meetings vs. Toronto this season.  We'll lay the points with Toronto in Round 3, as Detroit has covered just 37.2% as a road underdog since 1990 when playing a foe with double-revenge from two losses earlier in the season.  Take the Raptors.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Northern Kentucky Norse minus the points over Detroit.  We played on the Titans on Tuesday, and were rewarded with a 17-point win over Green Bay.  But Detroit is an awful 20-36 ATS on the road off a double-digit home win.  The Norse did lose both regular season meetings vs. Detroit.  But Northern Kentucky is a super 17-6 ATS when playing with revenge.  Take Northern Kentucky.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Navy Midshipmen minus the points over American.  Navy swept the season series vs. American, and is 24-13 ATS as a favorite the past two seasons.  It's true that American ended the regular season with back to back wins.  But it's a horrid 0-6 ATS off back to back ATS wins.  Take Navy.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Little Rock Trojans + the points over South Alabama.  The Trojans were blown out, 77-46, by the Jaguars earlier this season, and are 8-18 on the season.  We'll take the points with Little Rock, as .500 (or worse) teams have cashed 62.3% in the post season if they were an underdog of +5 (or more) points, and playing with revenge from a 30-point (or worse) defeat.  Take Little Rock + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Campbell Fighting Camels minus the points over Presbyterian.  The Blue Hose upset Campbell when these teams last met four weeks ago.  We'll lay the points with Campbell, as revenge-minded favorites have cashed 72% in the Big South Tournament if they lost all of the meetings in the regular season vs. their opponent.  Take Campbell.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over Philadelphia.  The 76ers blew out the Knicks on Sunday, 125-109 (though the game was tied at 98, in the 4th quarter before Philly's finishing kick).  We'll take the Knicks this evening, as double-digit dogs have covered over 63% since 1990 if they lost SU/ATS to the very same opponent in their previous game.  Take New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers minus the points over Orlando.  This is the 2nd of back to back meetings between these teams (both in Orlando).  The Magic won Round 1, 119-103, as a 2.5-point favorite.  Tonight, it's the Pacers who are favored, in part because Malcolm Brogdon will play tonight after missing the prior game.  We'll lay the points, as the Pacers fall into a 132-94 ATS revenge system of mine.  Additionally, in the 2nd of back to back meetings between the same two teams, the loser of the first meeting has covered the 2nd game 56.9% if both games were competitively-priced with point spreads of 3 points or less.  Take the Pacers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Long Island Sharks minus the points over Sacred Heart.  The Pioneers enter the tourney on a 2-game SU/ATS win streak.  Not to be outdone, Long Island comes into this Northeast Conference game on a 6-game win streak.  It's 11-1 SU at home, and 7-4 ATS.  Sacred Heart, meanwhile, is an awful 2-15 ATS on the road off a SU win.  Take the Sharks minus the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte 49ers + the points over Middle Tennessee.  Nick McDevitt's Blue Raiders have won 8 straight (and are 7-0 ATS their last seven).  But we'll look for this hot streak to come to a halt tonight, as Middle Tenn falls into a negative 119-177 ATS system of mine which plays against certain teams on win streaks.  Moreover, since 1990, Conference USA home underdogs, with a .500 (or better) conference W/L record, have cashed 60% in conference games off a SU/ATS loss.  Take Charlotte + the points.

At 11:30 am (note the early start time), our selection is on the NC A&T Aggies + the points over Radford.  These two teams met this past Saturday in Greensboro, and the Highlanders upset the Aggies, 62-53.  Overall, the Aggies are off back to back SU/ATS losses, and have also dropped 4 straight games entering this Big South Tournament, while the Highlanders are off back to back ATS wins.  We'll take NC A&T + the points, as teams off 4 SU and 2 ATS losses have covered 57% of tourney games since 1990 vs. foes not off an ATS loss.  Additionally, the Highlanders are 0-7 off a road upset win, while the Aggies are 27-11 ATS when playing with revenge.  Take the Aggies + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Cal State Northridge Matadors + the points over UCSB.  Cal Santa Barbara is on a 3-game SU/ATS winning streak, while the Matadors are 0-4 SU/ATS their last four.  We'll grab the double-digits with Northridge, as UCSB has covered just 14 of 48 at home off 3+ wins.  Additionally, Big West road teams have gone 30-11 ATS off 3 ATS losses when playing a conference foe off back to back ATS wins.  Take the Matadors.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats + the points over Houston.  The Cougars blew out Cincy earlier this season by 22 points.  We'll grab the points with the Bearcats in this rematch, as they've covered 67% since 1990 when playing with revenge, if they were off a SU loss in their previous game, while their opponent was off a SU win.  Take Cincinnati.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines minus the points over Michigan State.  The Wolves come into this game off an 8-point loss to Illinois, while the Spartans upset the Boilermakers in East Lansing, on Saturday.  But Michigan is a solid 80-46-2 ATS off a loss.  And the Spartans are 3-13 ATS off a conference home win.  Take the Wolverines.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the IUPUI Jaguars + the points over Oakland.  IUPUI has been installed as a massive road underdog in the opening round of the Horizon League tournament.  And that's to be expected, given IUPUI's 3-25 record (9-17 ATS), compared to that of Oakland (19-11 SU, 14-14 ATS).  We'll grab the points, as road underdogs of more than 18 points have gone 17-2 ATS in the post-season vs. foes that didn't have a losing ATS record.  And Oakland is a poor 20-38 ATS as a favorite of more than 4 points.  Take IUPUI.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on Wisconsin-Milwaukee + the points over Illinois-Chicago.  The Panthers were blown out, 71-58, by the Flames here, on Saturday.  We'll take Milwaukee in this rematch, as it's 27-9 ATS as a revenge-minded road underdog vs. a foe off an ATS win.  Take the Panthers + the points.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets + the points over Toronto.  Last night, we played on the Raptors, and were rewarded with a 36-point blowout of these Nets.  We'll take Brooklyn as a big underdog in this rematch, as it's 41-17 ATS as an underdog on the road when playing with revenge.  Take the Nets.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Mercy Titans minus the points over Wisconsin-Green Bay.  Detroit suffered its first home loss of the season on Saturday, when it fell by 3 points to Fort Wayne.  Detroit is 14-9 ATS at home off a SU loss, while Green Bay is 5-12-1 ATS away from home as an underdog vs. a foe off a SU loss.  Take Detroit.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Holy Cross Crusaders minus the points over American.  The Eagles upset Holy Cross here, in Worcester, on Valentine's Day, 60-54.  We'll lay the points in this rematch, as Holy Cross is 12-4 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  Take the Crusaders.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Lafayette Leopards minus the points over Bucknell.  The Bison upset Boston U., 89-78, on Saturday (and also defeated Lafayette, 92-89, in February).  But Bucknell is a poor 5-10 ATS off an upset win.  Meanwhile, the Leopards were upset by Lehigh, 78-58.  However, they're 4-0 ATS off a loss by more than 16 points, and 19-13 ATS when playing with revenge.  Take Lafayette minus the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on New Jersey Tech + the points over Stony Brook.  The Highlanders are on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak, while the Seawolves are off a SU/ATS home win over Albany last Saturday.  Unfortunately for Stony Brook, it's 2-11 ATS off a home conference win.  And, notwithstanding its last victory, it's still just covered eight of 26 at home vs. conference foes.  The Highlanders' 3-game SU/ATS losing streak has triggered a very good 705-494 ATS system of mine, so we'll grab the points with New Jersey Tech.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.