Sports Picks & Predictions

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over Denver.  The Nuggets avenged their playoff defeat by whipping Phoenix on Opening Night, back in October, 110-98.  Since that loss, the Suns have gone 12-2, including the last 11 in a row.  That doesn't bode well for Denver tonight.  Nor does the fact that it likely will have to play without its star Center, Nikola Jokic.  Phoenix is 52-31 its last 83 when playing with revenge, including 11-3 ATS if it lost by double-digits at home in the previous meeting.  Take the Suns.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the St Bonaventure Bonnies minus the points over Marquette.  The Golden Eagles enter this game off 3 straight upset wins over Illinois, Ole Miss and West Virginia.  But they now fall into a negative 16-43 ATS system of mine which fades certain .833 (or better) teams off back to back upset wins.  And Marquette has also just covered 30% over the last 32 seasons off back to back upsets.  We'll lay the points with St. Bonaventure on Sunday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Boston College Eagles + the points over Rhode Island.  This game is being played as part of the Sunshine Slam tournament in Daytona Beach, FL.  From time to time, teams meet twice in the pre-conference schedule, due to playing a team in a tournament's later rounds, and also having that team on its regular schedule.  And that's the case here, as these teams met just four days ago in Rhode Island.  The Rams won that game by eight points, as a 4.5-point home favorite.  We'll grab the points with Boston College in this rematch, as it falls into three of my better revenge systems.  Moreover, Rhode Island is a wallet-breaking 32-61 ATS at home, or on neutral courts when favored against a revenge-minded foe.  Take Boston College.

At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks + the points over Los Angeles.  In last year's playoffs, the Clippers bounced the Mavs off the hardwood, and onto the golf course, with a 7-game series win.  So, with revenge on its mind from that playoff ouster, we'll back the Mavericks in this underdog role this afternoon, as it falls into several of my better revenge systems.  Additionally, the Mavericks are a super 23-8 ATS their last 31 off a road defeat.  With Dallas, indeed, off a road loss at Phoenix, we'll grab the points with the Mavs.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Oregon State Beavers minus the points over Princeton.  Wayne Tinkle's Beavers were upset, 78-77, here in Corvallis by Samford, on Thursday.  The Bulldogs shot 50.9% for the game, which was the first time this season Oregon State allowed 44+ percent.  Still, Oregon State is a solid 19-8 ATS its last 27, including 8-2 ATS off a loss.  And the Beavers fall into a 66% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off upset losses.  Lay the points.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over Utah.  The Kings were booed off the court last night, as they were walloped 108-89 here, at home, by the Toronto Raptors.  I fully expect a much better effort tonight, and they'll be playing a Jazz team against which they've been very competitive in two losses this season.  The Jazz won the first meeting here, 110-101, but the game was tied at 95 before Utah went on a 15-6 run to close the game.  Then, earlier this month, the Kings lost by just six at Utah, 119-113, as a 9-point road underdog.  For technical support, consider that home dogs of +6 (or more) points have covered 62% since 1990 after an upset loss the previous day, in which they failed to cover the spread by 14+ points.  Take Sacramento.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Montana Grizzlies minus the points over Nebraska-Omaha.  After an 0-2 road trip which saw the Grizzlies lose SU/ATS at Mississippi State (as an 11.5-point dog) and North Dakota (as a 7-point favorite), they'll no doubt be happy to be back home at Dahlberg Arena tonight.  And Montana has covered 67% at home vs. non-conference foes, if the Grizzlies were off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Meanwhile, the Mavericks are a poor 16-25 ATS their last 41.  And they fall into negative 43-92 and 91-158 ATS systems of mine that go against certain road teams vs. foes off an upset loss.  Take Montana.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over Charlotte.  The Hornets are currently riding a 5-game SU/ATS win streak following their 121-118 victory over Indiana last night.  Unfortunately, unrested road underdogs of +6 (or more) points, off 5 SU/ATS wins, have covered just 28% in the regular season since 1990.  And the Hawks are a super 30-8 ATS at home vs. unrested foes off 4+ wins.  Lay the points with Atlanta.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Baylor Bears minus the points over Stanford.  This will be the Cardinal's second road game this season.  They were favored by 3 at Santa Clara in their first one, but were blown out, 88-72, by the Broncos.  In that game, Stanford allowed Santa Clara to shoot 59.6% from the floor.  The Cardinal have been consistently poor on the road for years, as they're 29-50 ATS their last 79, including 18-37 ATS as an underdog.  Take Baylor minus the points.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Loyola-Chicago Ramblers minus the points over Illinois-Chicago.  The Ramblers won, 92-56, vs. Chicago St. on Tuesday.  And they're a terrific 57-32-1 ATS off a point spread win, including 27-10 ATS when favored by more than 6 points.  Even better:  that 36-point win against Chicago St. has triggered an 86-33 ATS 'momentum' system of mine.  Lay the points with Loyola-Chicago.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Dayton Flyers minus the points over Austin Peay.  There's not been a team more disappointing this season than Anthony Grant's Flyers.  They're 0-3 ATS, and have failed to cover by 3.5, 19, and 28.5 points.  No other team has as bad a point spread differential (with at least 3 lined games) than does Dayton.  But this horrible start has, of course, led to an adjustment by the oddsmakers.  And this number, by my math, now confers great value on Dayton.  Indeed, the last time these two teams met, Dayton won by 28, as a 19.5-point favorite.  And Austin Peay's never been great against non-conference foes, as it's 29-106 SU and 52-78-5 ATS, including 0-41 SU and 12-28-1 ATS as an underdog of +14 (or more) points.  Take Dayton.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Drake Bulldogs minus the points over Richmond.  The Bulldogs have been one of the more reliable teams at home over the last several years, as they've gone 41-18 ATS at Knapp Center.  In their last game -- also here at home -- Drake routed South Dakota, 99-50.  And that 49-point blowout win has triggered very good 95-36 and 186-122 ATS 'momentum' systems of mine.  Lay the points with Drake.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Baylor Bears minus the points over Stanford.  This will be the Cardinal's second road game this season.  They were favored by 3 at Santa Clara in their first one, but were blown out, 88-72, by the Broncos.  In that game, Stanford allowed Santa Clara to shoot 59.6% from the floor.  The Cardinal have been consistently poor on the road for years, as they're 29-50 ATS their last 79, including 18-37 ATS as an underdog.  Take Baylor minus the points.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide minus the points over Oakland.  Alabama is 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS, but failed to cover the spread vs. South Alabama on Tuesday.  It was favored by 20.5, yet won by just five, 73-68.  Tonight, they'll host Oakland in the first match-up between these teams since 2013 (a game Alabama won by 20).  The Golden Grizzlies are 3-0 ATS to start this young season.  But they're also a horrid 0-13 SU and 2-10-1 ATS as an underdog off back to back point spread wins.  The Crimson Tide, meanwhile, are 5-0 SU/ATS at home off an ATS loss.  Lay the points with Alabama.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Florida International Panthers minus the points over Wisconsin Green Bay.  This game is being played at the Jersey Mike's Classic, in St. Petersburg, FL.  The Panthers blew out Ball State last night, 73-60, as a 1.5-point favorite.  And that was their second straight blowout win, as they also trounced Trinity (FL), 111-48, last Friday.  Green Bay, meanwhile, has yet to win a game, as it's 0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS.  We'll take the Panthers tonight, as they're 31-16 ATS away from home off a double-digit win.  And, even better, the favored team in matchups between the Horizon League and Conference USA has gone 34-14 ATS when priced from -2 to -13 points.  Take Florida International.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic + the points over Brooklyn.  This will be Brooklyn's 3rd game in 4 nights, and Kevin Durant has just been scratched.  That's all we need to pull the trigger on Orlando as a big road underdog.  The Nets blew out Orlando, 123-90, earlier this season.  But NBA teams playing with revenge from a loss by more than 20 points are 8-1 ATS this year. Orlando also falls into a 66.0% ATS revenge system of mine, which plays on certain teams that lost at home to their opponent in the previous meeting.  Meanwhile, the Nets are a soft 42-63 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 nights.  Take Orlando.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers + the points over the Charlotte Hornets.  The Hornets are on a 4-game SU/ATS win streak following their double-digit victory over division-leading Washington, while Indy has dropped back to back games to start its 3-game road trip, which finishes tonight in the Queen City.  We'll take the points with the Pacers, as small underdog, as they fall into a 134-68 ATS system of mine which plays on certain sub-.389 teams off upset losses, while Charlotte is a wallet-breaking 6-23 ATS its last 29 at home off 3 SU/ATS Wins.  Take the Pacers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the West Virginia Mountaineers minus the points over Marquette.  This game is being played as part of the Charleston Classic, in South Carolina.  Marquette enters off back to back upset wins over Ole Miss (78-72) and Illinois (67-66), while WVU is 3-0 after blowing out Elon, 87-68, last night.  We'll fade Marquette off its back to back upsets, as it's covered just one of its last seven following 2 upset wins, while WVU is also 11-3 ATS vs. foes off back to back upsets (including 5-0 ATS vs. non-conference foes).  And Marquette also falls into a negative 88-139 ATS system of mine that goes against certain teams off back-to-back upsets.  Take WVU.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the East Tennessee State Buccaneers minus the points over South Carolina Upstate.  The Bucs were blown out by Tennessee, 94-62, on Saturday, but I love ETSU to bounce back this evening.  The Bucs are an impressive 28-11-2 ATS off a loss by more than 8 points, including 7-0 ATS the previous two seasons.  Meanwhile, the Spartans are a wallet-breaking 0-27 SU and 7-19-1 ATS as an underdog, priced from +6.5 to +20 points, including 1-8 ATS vs. a foe off a loss.  Take East Tennessee State minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi State Bulldogs minus the points over Detroit.  This is Ben Howland's seventh season as Mississippi State's head coach, and his men are off to a great start this season.  They blew out Montana by 37, and North Alabama by 26, while holding those two teams to 35 of 116 from the floor, combined (30.1%).  This stellar defense is in sharp contrast to that displayed by Detroit in its first two games, as Wyoming hit 34 of 62, while Toledo converted 29 of 60 vs. the Titans (51.6% combined).  The Bulldogs are an awesome 69-39-2 ATS since 2014 at home, here in Starkville.  Meanwhile, the Titans are a woeful 3-27 SU and 6-22-2 ATS as an underdog (or PK) against good defensive teams that give up 66.5 (or less) points per game, including 0-7-1 ATS as an underdog of 14+ points.  Lay the points with Miss State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans + the points over Miami.  The Pelicans welcomed Brandon Ingram back last weekend from a 7-game absence due to an ankle injury.  Without Ingram in the lineup, New Orleans went 0-7 straight-up and 2-5 ATS.  And it lost by almost 15 points per game.  But with him back in the fold, they upset Memphis, 112-101, as a 3.5-point underdog, and then failed to cover by a mere half-point on Monday vs. the red-hot Wizards.  Ingram has poured in 50 points in these last two games, and I expect a further upswing by New Orleans tonight against a Miami Heat team which, itself, is dealing with injury issues.  Take New Orleans + the points.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over the Cleveland Cavaliers.  The up-and-down Nets were down last night, as they were blown out, 117-99, by Golden State.  But Steve Nash's Nets have been somewhat predictable this season, as they're 1-6 ATS off a point spread win, but 6-1 ATS off a point spread loss.  The Nets also fall into a strong 116-67 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home teams off home blowout losses.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over Charlotte.  Bradley Beal miss the past two days for bereavement, but will be back on the court tonight, as Washington looks to extend its win streak to six games.  The Hornets are on a 3-game SU/ATS win streak.  But Charlotte's a dreadful 5-23 ATS at home off 3 SU/ATS wins, including 1-15 ATS as a favorite of 10 points or less.  Take Washington.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Harvard Crimson minus the points over Albany.  The Great Danes are 0-2 this season following a 77-56 loss here, at home, vs. Towson, and a road defeat in Philadelphia against LaSalle.  They'll now take on Tommy Amaker's Crimson, and we'll lay the points with the road team.  Harvard is 24-12-1 ATS away from home vs. non-conference foes, while Albany has covered just eight of its last 23 home games.  Additionally, the Great Danes fall into a negative 53-103 ATS system of mine based on their loss at LaSalle.  Take Harvard minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the California Baptist Lancers minus the points over Jackson State.  The Lancers have poured in 87 and 95 points in their first two games, which is not a surprise for this Rick Croy-coached team (the Lancers averaged 79.1 ppg last season).  In their last game, also against a SWAC Conference member (Mississippi Valley State), the Lancers won by 29, but failed to cover the 31-point spread.  But Cal Baptist is 10-4 ATS its last 14 off an ATS loss.  And Jackson State falls into negative 6-35 and 49-97 ATS systems of mine based on their start to this season.  Lay the points with the Lancers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats minus the points over North Dakota State.  The Bison played last night at UNLV, and lost a tough one, 64-62, as a 3.5-point road underdog.  They'll now make the trek to Tucson, to take on Arizona, which has had the last three days off following its 104-50 blowout of Rio Grande Valley, on Friday.  We'll lay the points with Tommy Lloyd's men, as the Bison are 33-54 ATS as a road underdog, while Arizona has cashed 75% since 2014 when playing with at least 3 extra days of rest than its opponent.  Finally, the Wildcats are an impressive 31-0 straight-up, and 27-3-1 ATS at home when favored by 7+ points, if the 'Cats were off a 20-point (or better) blowout win, and covered the spread by at least 10 points in that prior game.  Take Arizona.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels minus the points over Charleston College.  The 18th-ranked Heels will pay a visit to TD Arena in Charleston tonight.  The last time, these two teams met here was in 2010, and the Cougars upset the Heels, 82-79, as a 13.5-point home dog.  But Carolina has won the two meetings since, including a 19-point SU/ATS win last season in Chapel Hill.  Charleston has been especially poor at home when they've not been the better team, as evidenced by their 8-20-1 ATS record at home when not favored by more than 2 points.  Take North Carolina.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers minus the points over Saint Louis.  Penny Hardaway's 11th-ranked Tigers come into this game off back to back blowout wins over NC Central and Tennessee Tech.  And they've been installed as a double-digit favorite over the Billikens.  We'll lay the points, as Saint Louis is a horrid 1-41 straight-up, and 10-32 ATS as a non-conference underdog of +6 (or more) points.  Take Memphis.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Northwestern Wildcats minus the points over New Orleans.  Chris Collins' men are 2-0 SU/ATS after back-to-back wins over teams nicknamed the Panthers (Eastern Illinois + High Point).  New Orleans isn't the Panthers, but we'll still fade it on this Tuesday.  The Privateers have covered just 35.7% as a double-digit dog vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins.  And they lost SU/ATS here, at Northwestern, in 2016 and 2018 by 34 and 30 points, respectively.  The Wildcats are 26-14 ATS off back to back double-digit wins, and it also falls into a 70.4% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off blowout wins.  Take Northwestern.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Richmond Spiders minus the points over Georgia State.  The Spiders were upset by the Aggies of Utah State on Thursday, 85-74, as a 6.5-point favorite.  And that upset loss has triggered a very good 68.1% ATS system of mine.  Even better:  the Spiders are 13-3 ATS their last 16 following an upset loss as a 3-point (or greater) favorite.  Take Richmond.

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers over the Chicago Bulls.  Tonight, the Bulls will once again be without All-Star center Nikola Vucevic, as he's sidelined following a positive COVID-19 test.  His absence will be particularly noticeable tonight, given the Lakers' frontcourt strength.  I expect Anthony Davis, who had 34 points and 15 rebounds yesterday, to have another great game.  Los Angeles has won eight straight in this series (5-2-1 ATS), and it also falls into a 101-54 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home teams off home wins.  Take Los Angeles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves + the points over Phoenix.   The Phoenix Suns are on a roll, with 8 straight wins, and 7 straight covers following last night's 115-89 victory in Houston.  Unfortunately, this will be a tough scheduling spot for Monty Williams' men.  First, it will be Phoenix's 3rd road game in four days.  And the Suns are unrested, while Minnesota is rested.  So, even though the Suns are playing great ball, we will fade them tonight.  And, for technical support, consider that since 1991, unrested NBA teams off 2 SU/ATS wins have covered just 19 of 64 when playing their 3rd road game in four days against a rested foe, including 1-15 ATS if our road team was favored, and owned a win percentage of .610 (or better).   Take Minnesota.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over Denver.  Both of these teams come into this game off big wins.  Dallas blew out San Antone on Saturday, 123-109, while Denver ran past Portland last night, 124-95.  When these two Western Conference rivals met last month, the Nuggets blew out the Mavs in Denver, 106-75.  But that 31-point loss has triggered a very good 63% ATS revenge system of mine which plays on certain teams that lost their previous meeting by 30+ points.   Even worse for Denver:  it's 19-41-1 ATS on the road off a win by more than 8 points.  Take Dallas minus the points.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings minus the points over Detroit.  The Pistons upset Toronto, 127-121, as an 7.5-point road underdog, on Saturday for their 3rd win of the season.  But, as faithful followers know, I love to go against bad NBA teams, with sub-.300 records, off wins.  And especially if they're playing at home off a road win as an underdog of more than 7 points.  Dating back 32 seasons, our bad teams have covered just 42% off that upset win.  Take Sacramento minus the points.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Cleveland.  This is the 2nd of back to back meetings here, in Cleveland, between the clubs.  The Cavaliers won Round 1 on Saturday, by two points, so we'll take the Celts in the rematch.  Over the last 42 years, road favorites have cashed 62% of the 2nd of back to back regular season meetings, if they lost the first meeting SU/ATS.  Take Boston.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the UNC-Greensboro Spartans minus the points over Coppin State.  This will be the Eagles' 5th game in 7 days -- all on the road -- and they've played these games in the states of Illinois, New Jersey, Connecticut, and now North Carolina.  In its first four, Coppin State has gone 0-4 SU, and 2-2 ATS.  But one disturbing stat is that it's given up 103, 97, 81 and 89 points in its first four games, which is 13.5 ppg higher than its defensive average last season.  These two teams met in Baltimore last season, and the Eagles came away with an 85-80 victory.  I look for the Spartans to avenge that defeat, as it falls into 70-28 and 45-12 ATS Revenge systems of mine, as well as a 20-1 ATS angle which plays on certain revenge-minded teams against foes that give up 90+ points per game.  Take North Carolina-Greensboro.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys minus the points over Arkansas-Pine Bluff.  Jeff Linder took over the Wyoming basketball program last season, and the Cowboys played great toward the end of the season.  They went 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS to finish the regular season.  And then they also covered the point spread in both Mountain West tourney games, including a narrow 3-point loss (as a 15.5-point underdog) against #1-seeded San Diego State to finish the 2020-21 season.  Wyoming got this year off on a great note, as it blew out Detroit on Thursday, 85-47, as a 4.5-point favorite, for its 7th straight ATS win, dating back to last year.  I look for the Cowboys to notch their 8th straight cover this afternoon against a Pine Bluff team which has allowed 90+ points in each of its first two games this season.  Additionally, the Cowboys are 9-0 ATS their last nine (and 16-5 ATS their last 21) off a cover by 11+ points.  Lay the points with the Cowboys.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Seton Hall Pirates minus the points over Yale.  Kevin Willard's Pirates got their campaign off to a promising start with a 93-49 victory over the Fairleigh Dickinson Knights, as a 27-point favorite.  Now, they'll take on Yale, which should, once again, compete for the Ivy League title (which would be its 5th in 7 seasons).   The Pirates are 13-0 vs. Ivy League foes since 1990, and have gone 9-0 SU/ATS in their nine games against Ivy Leaguers since 2006.  The average margin of victory has been 18.2 ppg, while they've covered the spread by an average of 7.55 ppg.  Seton Hall is also 48-31-1 ATS its last 80 non-conference games, including 24-12-1 ATS here, at home.  But the clincher for us this afternoon is that Seton Hall is 12-0 ATS its last 12, and 22-2 ATS its last 24, vs. foes off a SU win, following a game where Seton Hall covered the spread by 12+ points, including a perfect 12-0 ATS here, at home.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves + the points over the Los Angeles Clippers.  We played on Minnesota last night, and were rewarded with a 107-83 blowout win against the LA Lakers.  Minny will now stay in Los Angeles to play the Clippers, and they'll be out for revenge since they lost twice at home to the Clippers earlier this month.  Unfortunately for L.A., it's 7-18 ATS at home in the regular season vs. double-revenge-minded opponents, including 0-7 ATS vs. foes off a double-digit win.  Take the Timberwolves.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Portland Pilots minus the points over the Alcorn State Braves.  The Pilots come into this game off a 122-78 blowout of Willamette, and now will welcome the Braves to Chiles Center.  The Braves have started their 2021-22 campaign in the Pacific Northwest, and visited the cities of Pullman and Seattle, Washington earlier this week.  They lost those games to Washington State (85-67) and Seattle (69-66), and will finish this stretch with a game at #1-ranked Gonzaga, in Spokane, on Monday.  We will lay the points with Portland tonight, as the Pilots have gone 35-8 SU and 29-13-1 ATS when laying more than 3 points to non-conference foes.  Also, the Braves fall into negative 26-74 ATS and 43-98 ATS systems of mine, based on the stats of their first two games.  Take Portland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:10 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Miami.  The Jazz come into this game off a home upset loss at the hands of the Indiana Pacers.   And they will no doubt be looking to make amends in this game -- also in front of their home faithful.  Last week, we played on the Miami Heat at home vs. Utah, and were rewarded with a 118-115 victory, as a 1-point underdog.  This afternoon, though, we will back the homestanding Jazz in this revenge match.  Utah is 52-32-1 ATS when priced from -3.5 and -8.5, and playing with revenge, if Utah was off a SU/ATS loss in its previous game.  And Utah's also won the last 3 meetings against the Heat here in Salt Lake City by 18, 15 and 27 points.  Take the Jazz to blow out Miami.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Belmont Bruins minus the points over Evansville.  The Bruins lost their season opener, 92-80, to Ohio, as a 4-point favorite.  But that game was on the road; the Bruins are now back home where they've gone 19-1 SU and 15-5 ATS since Jan. 4, 2020.  Belmont is also 64% ATS off a double-digit loss when matched up against non-conference foes, and it's 4-1 ATS its last five home openers.  Meanwhile, Evansville is a woeful 14-27-1 ATS away from home vs. foes off an upset defeat, including 1-9-1 ATS if their opponent lost its previous game by more than 8 points.  Lay the points with Belmont.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the St. John's Red Storm minus the points over Saint Peter's.   The Peacocks are 0-1 following their loss at VCU on Tuesday, while the Johnnies are 1-0 after walloping Mississippi Valley State, 119-61, as a 44-point home favorite.  That SU/ATS home win extended St. John's point spread success at home to 24-11 ATS their last 35, and they're 13-4 ATS their last 17 non-conference home games.  Even better:  Big East teams are 42-21 ATS in non-conference games following a win by 44+ points.  Take St. John's minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Loyola-Chicago Ramblers minus the points over Florida Gulf Coast.  The Ramblers opened their season with a 103-45 victory over Coppin State, and will now welcome another squad of Eagles to Joseph J. Gentile Arena.  Florida Gulf Coast also won its season opener in blowout fashion, 94-57, vs. Florida National.  But the Ramblers are 24-6 ATS after holding their previous opponent to less than 50 points, including 9-1 ATS vs. foes that average more than 75 ppg.  Take Loyola-Chicago minus the points.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Connecticut Huskies minus the points over Coppin State.  The Eagles will be playing their fourth game in five days when they take on UConn in this early game on Saturday (after playing a 7 pm game the night before).  And they've lost their first three by an average of 91.67 ppg, while failing to cover the spread by an average of 8.33 ppg.  Meanwhile, UConn will be well-rested following its 99-48 pasting of Central Connecticut St on Tuesday, as a 34.5-point favorite.  And the Huskies also fall into a 150-95 ATS 'momentum' system of mine, based on its 51-point win.  We will lay the big number here, and go against a road-weary Eagles squad.  Take Connecticut.

At 11:30 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins minus the points over Villanova.  This is a great early season match-up between two of the top four teams in the country.  We'll lay the points with Mick Cronin's Bruins, as they're 7-0 ATS their last 7 (and 11-1 ATS their last 12) games vs. non-conference foes.  And Villanova is a dreadful 3-14 SU and 4-12-1 ATS as a non-conference underdog of +3 (or more) points!  Take UCLA.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves + the points over the Los Angeles Lakers.  After a 3-1 start to the season, Minnesota has proceeded to lose its next 6 games, with most of the losses coming after it built up a significant, double-digit lead in the game.  Indeed, two games ago, it blew a 16-point lead vs. Memphis, and lost in overtime.  Then, in the game prior to that, it was up by 21 over the Clippers.  Minnesota was up by 13 over Orlando, and it also enjoyed a 14-point lead vs. Denver, before falling by 2 points, 93-91.  The T-Wolves just have to put four quarters together, rather than three.  Los Angeles will once again be without LeBron James tonight.  It's true that L.A. has won (and covered) its last two games.  But the Lakers are a soft 40-67-4 ATS at home in the regular season off back to back SU/ATS wins, including 14-26-3 ATS vs. a foe off a SU/ATS loss.  Take Minnesota.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks + the points over Denver.  The Nuggets come into this game off 3 straight wins, with the last two as home underdogs, while the Hawks have dropped 5 straight, with the last three on the road.  Unfortunately for Denver, winning teams, off back to back home dog wins, have covered just 31.2% since 1995 vs. foes off back-to-back losses.  Take Atlanta + the points.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers minus the points over Sam Houston State.  The 'Huskers lost their opener to Western Illinois, 75-74, but I look for them to rebound tonight in front of their home faithful.  Nebraska is a solid 24-12 ATS as a home favorite of 13 or less points vs. non-conference foes, if Nebraska was off a loss in its previous game.  Additionally, when playing at home, the Big 10 Conference has dominated WAC Conference foes, as Big 10 teams have cashed 67% over the last 32 years, including a perfect 9-0 ATS when priced from -7 to -13 points.   Take the Cornhuskers.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers minus the points over Houston.   After starting the season with a difficult schedule (only 2 of Portland's first 12 opponents own a losing record), the Blazers get to (finally) step down in class tonight to play a really bad team.  Portland falls into a very 379-238 ATS system of mine which is based on playing on certain teams with much better win percentages than their foe.  Meanwhile, the Rockets are 1-10 SU/ATS as a home underdog vs. a foe off a loss.  Take Portland.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings minus the points over Oklahoma City.  The Kings come into this game off a blowout loss to San Antonio, 136-117.  But that was a difficult situation for Sacramento, as the Spurs were returning home off an upset loss.  Here, the Kings will be playing an opponent off 3 straight wins.  And Sacramento is a solid 33-17 ATS its last 50 road games off a road loss, including 4-1 ATS as a favorite off a double-digit loss.  The Thunder are 1-5 ATS as a home dog vs. foes off a double-digit loss.  Take Sacramento minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over the Cleveland Cavaliers.  After starting the season as an underdog in its first 12 games, the Cavaliers are favored for the first time tonight.  So, yes, it's true the Cavs went 9-3 ATS in the underdog role.  But the burden is greater when you're laying points rather than taking them.  And Cleveland is a horrid 2-13 ATS the past two seasons as a favorite.  Even worse, dating back to 2017, the Cavs are 25-54-2 ATS as a home favorite.  Take Detroit + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers minus the points over Radford.  The Cavs were upset here, in Charlottesville, 66-58 by Navy on Tuesday night.  But Virginia typically bounces back off losses under Tony Bennett, and especially off non-conference defeats.  Indeed, Virginia's covered its last nine in that situation, and is 19-3-1 ATS since he took over the coaching reins in 2009.  Moreover, ACC Conference teams off a home upset loss, have cashed 78% as a home favorite vs. .550 (or better) non-conference foes.  Take Virginia.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Niagara.  The Purple Eagles will pay a visit to Ohio State in Columbus this evening, but they've had scant success vs. opponents from the elite conferences (ACC, Big 10, Pac 12, SEC, Big 12), as they've gone 1-17 straight-up, and 4-9-1 ATS.  Even worse, the Purple Eagles fall into a negative 47-96 ATS system of mine based on their season opening loss to Xavier, on Tuesday.  Take the Buckeyes.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over Northern Illinois.  The Hoosiers have dominated schools from the Mid-American Conference, as they're 24-1 straight-up, and 17-8 ATS, including 7-2 ATS when laying 20+ points.  Meanwhile, Northern Illinois has won just 1 of its 20 games vs. Big 10 foes since 1990, and has covered just one of its last 11.  Take the Hoosiers minus the points.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Washington Huskies minus the points over Northern Arizona.  The Lumberjacks were blown out in their first game, 81-52, by Arizona.  And they'll now travel to Seattle to play another Pac-12 team -- Washington -- which also lost its season opener, on Thursday.  Northern Arizona has now lost 14 straight games to Pac-12 conference foes, and has gone 4-10 ATS in those games. That doesn't bode well for Shane Burcar's men tonight.  Nor does the fact that Washington is 8-0 ATS its last eight non-conference games off an upset loss as a 5-point (or greater) favorite.  Lay the points with the Huskies.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Creighton Blue Jays minus the points over Kennesaw St.  This will be the 3rd meeting in as many seasons between these schools.  Last year, the Blue Jays blew out Kennesaw, 93-58, as a 37.5-point favorite.  And two years ago, the Blue Jays won by 26, as a 25.5-point favorite.  The Owls lost at Iowa State, 84-73, as a 15-point underdog to open their 2021-22 campaign, and will travel to Omaha to take on the Blue Jays tonight, who opened with a 90-77 win (though an ATS defeat) against Arkansas-Pine Blue.  We'll go against the Owls, as they're 1-6 ATS off a point spread win, and 16-30 ATS as a road underdog.  Meanwhile, the Blue Jays are an awesome 60-3 SU and 43-20 ATS at home when favored vs. a non-conference foe, including 12-1 ATS their last 13 off a point spread defeat.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Northern Iowa Panthers minus the points over Vermont.  The Panthers lost here, at home, to Nicholls State, 62-58, on Tuesday.  Northern Iowa shot just 30% from the floor, while the Colonels hit 49%.  I look for Northern Iowa to bounce back tonight, as the Panthers are 4-0 ATS at home vs. non-conference foes if the Panthers were off an upset loss.  Likewise, since 2010, Missouri Valley Conference teams are 40-3 straight-up, and 33-9-1 ATS at home vs. non-conference foes, if our MVC team was upset in its previous game.  Northern Iowa is also 61-36 ATS as a home favorite of less than 7 points, while Vermont has covered just 20% vs. foes off an upset loss.  Take Northern Iowa.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves + the points over Golden State.  The Warriors have sprinted out to a 9-1 record, but we will go against Steph Curry & Co. tonight.  Minnesota comes into this game on a 5-game SU/ATS losing streak, but .676 (or better) NBA teams have covered just 21 of 62 vs. foes off 5 SU/ATS losses.  Take Minnesota + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers minus the points over Denver.  Nikola Jokic has been suspended, so he won't play tonight.  And that's all we need to pull the trigger on Indiana.  The Pacers have covered four straight entering tonight, and are 18-8-2 ATS their last 28 as road favorites, including 9-1 ATS vs. Western Conference foes.  Lay the points with the Pacers.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks + the points over the Chicago Bulls.  The Bulls upset Brooklyn, 118-95, on Monday.  But Chicago is 30-47 ATS at home off a home upset win.  And .700 (or better) NBA teams have cashed just 36% since 1997 at home off an upset home win.  Take Dallas.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets + the points over Memphis.  The Hornets have lost their last 5 games SU/ATS.  But NBA road dogs off 5 (or more) SU/ATS losses have covered 56.7% since 1990.  Take Charlotte.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks + the points over the New York Knicks.  The Knicks ripped the Bucks five days ago at Fiserv Center, 113-98.  But we'll grab the points with Milwaukee in this rematch, as the Bucks fall into a 137-68 ATS revenge system of mine.   Even better, the Bucks are 30-10-2 ATS in the regular season when playing with revenge from a loss by 15+ points, including 14-2 ATS on the road.  Take Milwaukee.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards minus the points over the Cleveland Cavaliers.  At 7-4, the Cavaliers are easily the most surprising team in this young seasons, and especially because they've been an underdog in all 11 games this season.  This will be the 12th straight game they're a dog (a streak which should end Friday vs. Detroit), and we'll fade Cleveland here, at home.  Indeed, winning teams, installed as a home underdog, have covered just 37.3% since 1990 off 4+ SU/ATS wins.  Take Washington.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over Orlando.  The Nets were upset in their last game, 118-95, by Chicago, while Orlando pulled off an upset as a double-digit underdog, 107-100, vs. Utah.  Unfortunately, for the homestanding Magic, NBA teams off upset wins as double-digit underdogs have covered just 38% in the regular season over the past 32 years at home vs. foes off upset losses.  Take Brooklyn to bounce back with a resounding win.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets + the points over the Lakers.  Last night, we played on the Hornets (and lost) against the Clippers, as Charlotte blew a 9-point lead with just over 7 minutes left in the game.  We'll come right back with Charlotte tonight, as NBA teams playing at Staples Center on back to back nights in the regular season have covered 59% after losing the first of two back-to-back meetings against the Clippers/Lakers.  Take Charlotte.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets over the Miami Heat.  The Nuggets are on a 3-game ATS losing streak, which sets them up well tonight at home vs. Miami.  Denver is a powerful 22-2-1 ATS its last 25 regular season games vs. .400 (or better) foes, if Denver was off 3+ ATS losses.  Take the Nuggets.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves + the points over Memphis.  After going into Milwaukee, and upsetting the Bucks, the T-wolves have gone on a 4-game SU/ATS losing streak, which culminated with a 20-point loss on Saturday vs. the Clippers, after being up by 20 at one point in the game!  But Minnesota was outscored 57-27 in the 2nd half.  We'll take the T-wolves tonight + the points at Memphis, as Minny is 6-1 off back to back double-digit home losses, while the Grizzlies are a horrid 29-75 ATS vs. sub-.600 foes off losses by 18+ points.  Take Minnesota.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets + the points over the Los Angeles Clippers.  In this young NBA season, there have been an awful lot of big blowouts, including seven by 30 (or more) points.  And one of these games occurred Friday, when Sacramento routed Charlotte, 140-110.  But 5 of the other 6 teams that lost by 30 points went on to cover the spread in their next game.  And I look for Charlotte to do the same here, as it falls into a 97-39 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off blowout defeats.  Take the Hornets + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Washington.  The Bucks blew a 21-point lead in their last game -- a 113-98 loss to New York.  But a hallmark of Mike Budenholzer's coaching tenure with the Bucks is that his team bounces back off losses, and especially in the regular season, where they are 48-18 SU and 41-25 ATS.  And one of the best subsets of that 41-25 applies tonight, as Milwaukee is 13-1 ATS as a road favorite in Eastern Conference games.  Take Milwaukee minus the points.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over Cleveland.  The Cavs are 6-4 and, improbably, all six wins have been of the upset variety.  Indeed, the Cavs have been underdogs in ALL 10 of their games this season.  Certainly, if they keep winning at a 60% clip, they'll start to be favored in a significant amount of games.  Still, Cleveland is a very young team, as all five of its starters are less than 25 years of age.  And young teams are prone to ups-and-downs.  I look for Cleveland to suffer one of those proverbial "bumps in the road" tonight, off their 3-game win streak.  Unfortunately, NBA underdogs of +7 (or more) points, off back to back upset wins in which they covered by 7+ points, have gone 66-90 ATS vs. foes off SU/ATS wins.  Take New York minus the points.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over Utah.  We played against the Heat on Thursday, and were rewarded with a 95-78 blowout victory by Boston.  That game snapped Miami's five game win streak.  Tonight, we'll switch gears, and lay the points with Miami against the team which has had the league's #1 record over this, and last sesaon -- the Utah Jazz.  Miami falls into a great 94-42 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off blowout losses, if they're matched up against a .677 (or better) foe off a straight-up win.  Additionally, .670 (or better) NBA teams have gone 159-106 ATS off a loss by 15+ points, if they're not favored by 3+ points.  Take the Heat.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers minus the points over Indiana.  To say the Trail Blazers' recent road trip was a failure would be an understatement, as it not only lost all three games, but it was favored to win each of them.  So, Portland returns home tonight to take on the Pacers, who upset the Knicks in their last game.  The good news for Portland is that it has won (and covered) its last three home games, with three blowout wins over the Suns (134-105), Grizzlies (116-96) and Clippers (111-92).  I look for Portland to win/cover its fourth straight home game tonight, as Indiana is a horrid 0-4 straight-up, and 1-3 ATS on the road, with its only cover by a mere 1.5 points.  Portland has won 11 of the last 12 meetings at home vs. Indiana, and has covered 8 of those 12.  Lay the points with the Blazers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves + the points over the Los Angeles Clippers.  This is the 2nd of back to back meetings between these clubs here in Minneapolis.  The T-Wolves lost, 126-111, in the first game.  But I love them to avenge that defeat tonight, as they fall into 185-122 and 141-73 ATS revenge systems of mine.  Additionally, NBA teams playing regular season back to back games against the same opponent have covered 60% if they lost at home by 15+ points in the first meeting.  Take the T-Wolves.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards over the Memphis Grizzlies.  The Wizards are 5-3, but have dropped their last two games to the Hawks and Raptors.  Tonight, they'll welcome the Grizzlies, who come into our Nation's Capitol off back to back home wins over the Nuggets.  We'll take Washington, as the Wizards are 26-11-1 ATS off back to back losses, when playing at home against a foe off a SU/ATS win.  Take the Wizards.

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over Oklahoma City.  Tonight's game will wrap up a 4-game home stand for the Lakers.  And L.A. has won the first three.  I don't expect a letdown tonight, especially given that the Thunder handed the Lakers a loss in Oklahoma City back on Oct. 27.  But Los Angeles was playing that night without rest.  And it also had to go to overtime in San Antonio the night before.  Here, Los Angeles is rested, and hasn't had to travel in over a week.  In his career, LeBron James' teams have gone 99-74-1 ATS as a rested, revenge-minded home favorite, including 12-1 ATS when priced from -11 to -14, and 45-29 ATS when playing with revenge from a road upset loss.  Lay the points with Los Angeles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics + the points over Miami, as it falls into a 313-217 ATS system of mine.  We played on the Celtics last night against Orlando, and were rewarded with a blowout win.  Tonight will be Boston's 3rd game in four nights, but we'll still come right back with Boston in this game, as it is a jaw-dropping 51-14 ATS as a road underdog when playing its 3rd game in four nights.  Take Boston + the points.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks over the Utah Jazz.  The Jazz have picked up this regular season where they left off last regular season, as they're off to a 6-1 SU record, including back to back victories over the Bucks and Kings coming into tonight's game.  Meanwhile, Atlanta is 4-4 after losing in Brooklyn yesterday.  But it's also worth noting that it is a perfect 3-0 SU/ATS at home. Even better:  the Hawks are a super 15-1 ATS their last 16 (and 73-34 ATS their last 107) at home off a loss, when playing a non-division foe off back to back wins, provided Atlanta wasn't favored by 3+ points.  Take the Hawks here, at home.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over the Philadelphia 76ers.  The Sixers have to travel to the Motor City after playing (and beating) the Chicago Bulls, 103-98, last night in Philly.  Meanwhile, the Pistons are rested, as they haven't played since their blowout home loss on Tuesday, at the hands of the Milwaukee Bucks.  Detroit was a 4.5-point home dog, yet lost that game by 28!  The good news is that rested, losing teams have covered 62.6% since 1990 as home dogs off a home loss in which they failed to cover the spread by more than 23 points, if they were matched up against a winning opponent (and 75% ATS if its opponent was unrested).  Detroit also falls into one of my favorite systems, which is 288-189 ATS since 1990.  Take the Pistons + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans + the points over Sacramento.  We played on the Kings last night, as a big road underdog at Utah, and were rewarded with an easy game where the Kings were never losing against the spread.  But we will fade Sacramento as a home favorite tonight, as it's 18-38-4 ATS as a favorite when playing without rest, if its opponent is off a SU/ATS loss.  With the Pelicans, indeed, off a 12-point loss at Phoenix, we'll grab the points with New Orleans tonight.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs over the Dallas Mavericks.  The Spurs have been saddled with a difficult early schedule that's included games against Milwaukee (twice), Dallas, Denver and the Lakers.  And they've played well, and have covered the point spread by 2.5 ppg, on average.  In contrast, the Mavericks have NOT played well, and have failed to cover the spread by an average of 8.64 ppg.  The Spurs did lose their last game, 131-118, at Indiana.  But the Spurs are 85-51 ATS at home off a double-digit loss, if their opponent wasn't off a double-digit loss.  Take San Antonio.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets over the Memphis Grizzlies.  This is the 2nd of back-to-back games at Memphis between these teams.  We played on the Grizzlies as a 1.5-point favorite in the first game, on Monday.  But we'll take the revenge-minded road team tonight.  This game is also priced near pk'em, and when you get back to back competitively-priced regular season games between the same two teams, the loser of Game 1 has covered Game 2 a very good 73.6% of the time, including 89% on the road.  Take the Nuggets.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers minus the points over Cleveland.  We had a big play on the Cavaliers on Monday, and were rewarded with an outright win, as a 5-point road underdog, at Charlotte.  And that was Cleveland's 2nd straight ATS win, and 5th of its last 6 games.  But we will switch gears, and play against J.B. Bickerstaff's men tonight, as they'll take on a Trail Blazers club off back to back upset losses.  Unfortunately for the Cavs, they're a poor 47-74 ATS vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS losses.  And Cleveland is also 7-15 ATS against the Blazers, including 1-7 ATS if Portland was off a SU/ATS loss.  Finally, Cleveland falls into negative 0-21 and 38-74 ATS systems of mine that go against certain teams with .500 (or better) records off a win.  Lay the points with Portland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over the Orlando Magic.  This was not the start that first-year head coach Ime Udoka had hoped for.  After losing in double-overtime on Saturday to the Wizards, the Celtics blew a 19-point lead in a 14-point defeat to the Chicago Bulls.  And that was the first time in the shot clock era that an NBA team entered the 4th quarter with a 14-point (or greater) lead, and lost by 14+ points.  I love the Celtics to rebound tonight, as Boston's scoring margin on the road this season is +3.5, while Orlando's scoring margin at home is -17.0.  Even better:  the Magic upset Minnesota, as an 8.5-point road underdog on Monday.  But home dogs off an upset win as a dog of more than 8 points have cashed just 40 percent over the last 32 years vs. foes off a SU/ATS loss.  Lay the points with Boston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets + the points over the Los Angeles Lakers.  The Lakers and Rockets will play the 2nd of back-to-back games here, at Staples Center.  Los Angeles won Round 1 on Sunday night, as it bested Houston, 95-85, but failed to cover the 11-point spread.  We'll play against Los Angeles in this rematch, as the Lakers are an awful 4-17 ATS in the second of back-to-back regular season meetings vs. an opponent. including 1-11 ATS if they won the first meeting, straight-up.  And home favorites of more than 9 points are a poor 31-47 ATS in the 2nd of back to back regular season meetings vs. an opponent they defeated in their previous game.  Take Houston + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over the Utah Jazz.  These two teams met earlier this season in Sacramento, where the Jazz were favored by 6 points.  The game was tied in the late stages at 95, but Utah finished the game on a 15-6 run to cover the number.  The game was evenly played except around the 3-point arc, where Utah dominated, as it made 16 long-distance shots to Sacramento's 8.  Still, the Kings have been competitive this season, as they've only lost one game by 10+ points, so I expect another highly competitive game this evening.  This will be the Kings' 4th (and final) road game on a 4-game trek, and they're 32-17 ATS on the road off a road defeat.  Even better:  Sacramento is 27-14 ATS as a revenge-minded road underdog, including a virtually perfect 11-1 ATS when priced from +6 to +9.5 points.  Take the Kings + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over Denver.  This is the first of a back-to-back 2-game set between these clubs in Memphis (they'll also play Wednesday).  We'll take the homestanding Grizzlies tonight, as Denver comes into this game off back to back SU/ATS wins, including an upset win at Minnesota on Saturday.  Unfortunately for the Nuggets, they're 41-69 ATS on the road off a SU/ATS win, including 6-26 ATS vs. foes off a double-digit loss.  Memphis, on the other hand, checks in off a 129-103 upset loss to Miami here, two nights ago.  But rested home teams, off a home upset loss by more than 25 points, have gone 53-34 ATS.  Lay the points with the Grizzlies.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over the Washington Wizards.  The Hawks have played six games this season:  two at home, four on the road.  And they're a perfect 2-0 SU/ATS at home, but a winless 0-4 ATS on the road.  The good news for Atlanta is that it's back home tonight to take on a Wizards team which defeated it by 11 this past Thursday.  The Hawks are an awesome 52-24-3 ATS at home if they lost the previous meeting to their opponent by more than 10 points, if their foe was off back to back wins, including 14-1-1 ATS their last 16.  And the Wizards are a wallet-busting 36-78 ATS on the road, if they won the previous meeting by more than 10 points.  Take Atlanta minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over the Chicago Bulls.  We played on each of Boston and Chicago as underdogs on Saturday, and won easily with Chicago, but lost a heartbreaker on Boston in double-overtime.  We'll come right back with Boston tonight, in this home game vs. the Bulls, as Boston is 20-8-2 ATS off back-to-back ATS losses, including a perfect 7-0 ATS vs. foes that covered by 10+ in their previous game.  Meanwhile, the Bulls are 18-38 ATS off a SU/ATS win, if they weren't favored by 2+ points in their current game.  Take Boston.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers + the points over Charlotte.  After ripping off 3 straight upset wins against Atlanta, Denver and the Los Angeles Clippers, the Cavaliers played the Lakers evenly before fading in the 4th quarter, in a 12-point loss (as a 7.5-point underdog).  We actually played against Cleveland in that game, so we were happy with that result.  The Cavs followed up that loss with a 9-point defeat in Phoenix, but covered the 10-point spread for their 4th cover in their last five games -- all on the road.  Cleveland's 6-game road trip will conclude tonight in Charlotte, and the Cavs will benefit from Charlotte having to play the 2nd day of a back-to-back set.  So far, in this early NBA season unrested teams are a soft 3-6 ATS vs. foes off a loss, and underdogs off back to back losses are 12-1 ATS vs. foes off a win.  I really like the way the Cavs are playing.  Take Cleveland + the points.

At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over Sacramento.  The Mavs were annihilated by Portland, 106-75, on Friday.  But we'll take Luka Doncic to rebound on Sunday, as the Mavs are a super 18-1-1 ATS at home off a SU/ATS road loss, if they're playing a non-division foe off a straight-up win.  Even better:  Dallas is 91-47-1 ATS off a loss by more than 20 points.  Lay the points with the Mavericks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls + the points over the Utah Jazz.  The Jazz come into this game off a blowout win at Houston two nights ago, and remain the NBA's lone undefeated team.  Chicago also was undefeated but, after ripping off 4 wins to start the season, it lost its first game when it was upset here, at home, by the Knicks on Thursday night.  However, I love Chicago to bounce back tonight as a home underdog, as home teams with a .740 (or better) win percentage have gone 110-68-4 ATS off an upset loss, when matched up against an opponent off a SU/ATS win (including 81-44 vs. non-division foes).  Grab the points with Chicago.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Milwaukee.  The Bucks went into the Alamo City earlier this season, and handed Gregg Popovich's crew a 10-point loss.  Still, the Spurs were competitive in defeat, and only failed to cover the spread by 4.0 points.  For the season, San Antonio has had a chance to win each of its five games.  So, even though it's 1-4 straight-up, it has gone 3-2 ATS, and has covered the spread by an average of 2.40 ppg.  That compares favorably with Milwaukee's point spread differential, which is -3.10 ppg.  And the Spurs also have a better scoring margin than Milwaukee thus far, as the Spurs have outscored their foes by 0.20 ppg, while the Bucks have a negative scoring margin of -0.80 ppg.  Finally, San Antonio has cashed 62.5% in the regular season off 3+ losses, provided it's either rested, or favored in the game.  Take the Spurs.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers minus the points over the Toronto Raptors.  The Pacers come into this game on a 3-game losing streak, including a SU/ATS loss in their most recent home game -- a 119-109 setback to the Milwaukee Bucks this past Monday.  But Indiana generally doesn't play poorly in consecutive home games, and fail to cover the spread in each.  And especially not if it's favored in the 2nd home game following an ATS loss in the previous home game.  Then, the Pacers are a solid 256-203-10 ATS, including 45-26 ATS off 3+ losses.  Take Indiana minus the points.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over the Atlanta Hawks.  Both teams enter this game with identical 3-2 SU and 2-3 ATS records.  Interestingly, Atlanta has yet to cover the spread on the road this season, as it's 0-3 ATS, while the Sixers are winless ATS at home, with an 0-2 ATS record.  So, something will have to give tonight.  We'll go against the Hawks, as the 76ers will be out to avenge their 7-game playoff series defeat at the hands of Atlanta in last season's quarterfinals.  The Hawks are 5-15 ATS on the road vs. revenge-minded foes, while Philly is 25-13 ATS at home when playing with revenge.  And Philly also falls into 65.7% and 60.1% ATS revenge systems of mine.  Take the Sixers minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:10 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics + the points over the Washington Wizards.  This is a big revenge game for Boston, which lost at home to the Wizards by nine points, on Wednesday.  We'll take the points with Ime Udoka's men, as Boston is 20-4 ATS as revenge-minded road underdogs vs. .636 (or better) non-division foes.  Meanwhile, Washington is a wallet-breaking 8-26 ATS at home off an upset win, if its foe is playing with revenge.  Take the Celtics + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over the Cleveland Cavaliers.  The Cavaliers come into this game off back to back upset wins over Denver and the LA Clippers.  And Cleveland covered each of those two victories by 21+ points!  Unfortunately, NBA underdogs of +7 (or more) points, off back to back covers by 21+ points, have gone 0-16 SU and 3-12-1 ATS since March, 1991, including 0-7 ATS their last 7.  Moreover,  LeBron James' teams have cashed 64.4% in his career vs. foes off back-to-back upset wins, while the Lakers are 27-16 ATS as favorites of more than 2 points vs. foes off back to back upsets.   With Los Angeles in off an 8-point upset loss to the Thunder, as a 6-point favorite,  we'll play on L.A. to make amends with a rout of Cleveland.  Lay the points with the Lakers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets + the points over Utah.  The Jazz blew out Denver by 12 points in their last game to move to 3-0 this season.  They'll now play the 1-3 Rockets, who come into this game off a double-digit loss at Dallas.  Tonight's game, though, is in Houston, where the Rockets' margin of victory is +11.5 this season.  Utah has been installed as a huge road favorite.  Unfortunately, non-division road favorites are an awful 3-21 ATS at Houston off back to back ATS wins, if the Rockets were not off a SU/ATS win.  And the Jazz also fall into a negative 28-70 ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams off ATS wins.  Grab the points with the home underdog Rockets on Thursday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers minus the points over the Memphis Grizzlies.  The Blazers were blown out by 30 points by the Clippers two nights ago here, at home, while Memphis dropped a 121-118 decision to the Lakers.  We'll take Portland tonight, as it falls into an 86-39 ATS system of mine which plays on certain rested teams off blowout losses.  Even better:  the Grizzlies have covered just 14 of 58 road games against foes off a loss by more than 15 points, provided Memphis also wasn't off a loss by more than 15.  Take the Trail Blazers minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.