Sports Picks & Predictions

4* Total No Brainer on Mavs/Nets UNDER

Both Dallas and Brooklyn are coming off big wins. This matchup falls into a system to play on the under when the total is set between 190-199.5 points and the home team is off a win by 10 points or more against an opponent off a win by 15 points or more. This system is 128-77 (62.4%) to the under since 1996.

Brooklyn has played a soft schedule their last four games and they have managed to score over 100 points in each of those matchups. Their recent scoring success has driven this total up higher than it should be. You should also play on the under when one of the teams has gone over the total by 6 or more points in four consecutive games and that team has a winning record and the total is set between 190-199.5 points. This system is 50-24 (67.6%) in favor of the under.

3* No Doubt Rout on Fairfield +

Fairfield has more experience playing in the post season returning three starters from last season compared to only one from Kent State. You should always play on a road team like Fairfield after scoring 60 points or less in their last game with 2 more starters returning from last year than their opponent. This system is 267-200 (57.2%) over the last five seasons.

The better defensive team in this game is definitely Fairfield. They have held opponents to 58.8 points per game compared to 68.9 points allowed by Kent State on their home court. In their last five games Fairfield has held opponents to 51.2 points per game.

Many times these post season games are decided by coaching. This is an area where Fairfield has another advantage. Sydney Johnson is 27-12 ATS after allowing 60 points or less 3 straight games in all games he has coached since 1997. Rob Senderoff is 1-11 ATS in home games after a game where they covered the spread as the coach of Kent State.

4* Heavy Hitter on Ohio +

This is a lot of points for Ohio to be receiving considering they have the better overall record and a similar strength of schedule. You should always play on road teams as an underdog like Ohio when they are off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite and they are a good team winning 60% to 80% of their games on the season playing another team with a winning record. This system is 86-48 (64.2%) ATS.

Ohio has played really well against non-conference teams. They are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 non-conference games while Denver is 3-7 ATS against their last 10 non-conference opponents. Denver is a poor rebounding team averaging just 25 per game which includes a mere 5 boards on the offensive end. Ohio will also have an advantage with the turnover margin. The Bobcats force an average of 18 turnovers per game while committing only 13 turnovers of their own.

3* No Doubt Rout on Thunder -

Oklahoma City is the hot team coming into this matchup. Denver may have a solid win streak in play, but they are trending in the wrong direction. The Nuggets in their last four games have gone from above 50% shooting down to 45.5%. They are coming off a close battle with the Bulls last night and now have to travel from Chicago to Oklahoma City to play in a back to back against the Thunder.

You should always play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Denver after they have covered three of their last four games against the spread in a game involving two good teams winning 60 to 70% of their games on the season. This system is 48-23 (67.6%) over the last five seasons. This game also falls into a system to play on a team holding their opponents to 92-98 points per game like Oklahoma City when they are playing a poor defensive team allowing 98-102 points per game after 42+ games and coming off a combined score of 205 points or more in two straight games. This system is 112-62 (64.4%) ATS.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Hartford +

Rider is coming off a one point loss to Fairfield. You should always play against a team averaging 63-67 points per game after a loss by 6 points or less when they are playing against a team that averages 63 or less points per game. This system is 125-80 (61%) over the last five seasons.

Hartford is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games against teams with a losing road record. In Rider

5* Total No Brainer on Heat/Celtics UNDER

Miami is 8-1 to the under in their last 9 games when playing without rest and they are 4-1 to the under in their last 5 road games. When playing on the road against a team with a winning home record, the Heat are 5-2 to the under in their last 7 games. In their last 5 matchups against teams winning 60% or more of their games on the season the Celtics are 4-1 to the under.

The last time these teams played the total reached 198 points, but that was only because they went to double overtime. The score at the end of regulation was 174 points in that game. It is unlikely these teams will go to double overtime again making the under the value play in this matchup.

Neither of these teams takes a lot of shots with both the Celtics and Heat averaging fewer than 80 field goal attempts per game. The Heat have gone under the total in three of their last four games and the Celtics defense has been solid at home holding opponents to 42.6% shooting. The style of play for these teams makes the under a no brainer.

3* Total Annihilator on Wizards/Bobcats OVER

You should always play the over when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points with the home team is coming off a game where they allowed 105 points or more and they are playing against an opponent that is coming off a game scoring 110 points or more. This system is 62-30 (67.4%) in favor of the over.

You should also play the over when the game involves an average offensive team scoring 92-98 points and coming off a game with a combined score of 225 points or more like Washington, against a horrible defensive team that is allowing 102 or more points per game after 42 or more games in the season. This system is 50-19 (72.5%) in favor of the over.

3* Total Dominator on Indiana/Cleveland UNDER

You should always play the under when the total is between 180 to 190.5 points and the road team is off two or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite and they are a good team winning 60-75% of their games on the season. This system is 48-18 (72.7%) in favor of the under.

This total has been driven up because the Pacers have been on a run of games going over the total. You should also play the under when one of the teams has played 5 or more consecutive overs and they are outscoring their opponents by 3 or more points per game. This system is 154-95 (61.8%) since 1996.

3* No Doubt Rout on Indiana -

You should always play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Cleveland when they are revenging a home loss against an opponent, off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog. This system is 81-39 (67.5%) ATS over the last five seasons.

The Pacers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against teams winning 40% or less of their games this season and they are 8-1 in their last 9 road games against teams with a losing home record. Cleveland is a young team and they are struggling without Kyrie Irving who is out with a shoulder injury.

Indiana has done well against Central Division teams posting a 6-1 ATS record their last 7 compared to a 4-12 ATS record for Cleveland. The Cavaliers have lost six of their last eight games and this is just the matchup the Pacers need to snap out of their two game skid.

4* Heavy Hitter on Rockets -

You should always play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points coming off a home loss like Golden State when they are trying to revenge a home loss against their opponent. This system is 126-67 (65.3%) over the last five seasons. This is a tough spot for Golden State to be in. They are coming off an embarrassing loss to Chicago getting only one day of rest and now traveling to Houston to take on a Rockets team that has won five of their last seven games.

Golden State has been overrated all season. They are one of the few teams above .500 whose scoring average is less than their points allowed average. It appears things are finally catching up to them as the Warriors are 6-15 ATS in the second half of the season this year.

Houston is averaging 111.3 points per game on their home court and Golden State is allowing 104.4 points on the road. While neither team will ever be accused of being great defensively, the Rockets style of play is getting into a shootout with their opponent and the Warriors simply don

3* Total Dominator on Heat/Raptors UNDER

Miami is not a team that needs to score a lot of points to win games. They have scored over 100 points in only three of their last nine games and they still have a 9.6 point margin of victory in that span. This means their defense is being undervalued by the oddsmakers when the total is set this high. In that same nine game span the under is 6-2-1 with the average total being set at 195 points.

This game falls into a system to play the under when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points and both the home team and opponent are coming off a win by 10 points or more. This system is 111-62 (64.2%) ATS. The Raptors are 6-0 to the under in their last six games against Southeast division teams. In head to head games between these teams the under is 5-2 in the 7 meetings.

3* Main Event on Miami -

Miami is 15-6 ATS when playing against teams with a winning record this season and they are 8-2 ATS when that team has won between 60% and 80% of their games. Miami owns a 2-0 record in the series against North Carolina this season and their margin of victory in those two games averages out to 17.5 points. The Hurricanes know how to beat the Tar Heels and they have already proven they are the best team in the ACC.

It may come as a surprise to many, but Roy Williams is 4-13 ATS in conference tournament games as the coach of North Carolina. Now the Tar Heels will face one of the toughest defenses in the ACC. The Hurricanes are holding opponents to 59.8 points per game on 39.4% shooting. They do an exceptional job of avoiding turnovers, averaging 11 per game, as well as making their opponent earn their points in the paint by averaging 5 blocks per game.

The Tar Heels are going to try to force the Hurricanes into a shootout and Jim Larranaga is not going to let that happen. North Carolina gives up 70.8 points per game when they are playing away from home. Both Florida State and Maryland let North Carolina control the pace of the game and that is a mistake this top ranked Miami team is not going to make.

4* Heavy Hitter Jazz -

You should always play on home favorites when they are a well-rested team playing their 2nd game in 5 days against an opponent playing their 4th game in 5 days. This system is 36-9 (80%) over the last five seasons. A well-rested Utah team on their home court is big trouble for Memphis. The Jazz have one of the best home court advantages in the league. They are 23-8 straight up and 19-12 ATS at home this season.

The Jazz respond well after a loss. They are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a loss of more than 10 points. They also play well against good teams at home. Utah is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games against teams winning 60% or more of their road games this season.

With Memphis playing on a back to back traveling from Denver the Jazz are the smart play in this game. Their home court advantage is hard enough for teams to overcome and since Utah is playing on two days of rest they should come out looking sharp today.

3* No Doubt Rout on Spurs -

San Antonio is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games against Central division teams and they are 20-7 ATS in home games against teams winning less than 40% of their road games. The Cavaliers are 3-7 ATS against teams winning 60% or more of their games. In head to head matchups between these teams the favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. And Cleveland is 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings played at San Antonio.

San Antonio

3* No Doubt Rout on Louisville -

Louisville has returned to their mid-season form. This is a team that was ranked #1 in the nation and they are playing like they want to earn that spot back. The Cardinals have won 12 of their last 13 games since their 3 game skid in January. They are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against teams winning 60% or more of their games this season and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 overall. Syracuse is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against teams winning 60% or more of their games and they have really been struggling in conference play.

The Louisville defense is playing exceptionally well right now holding their last 6 opponents to under 40% shooting from the field and forcing an average of 18.25 turnovers per game in their last four games. Even though the Orange are 3-0 in the Big East Tournament they are not on a hot streak by any means. They have squeaked off two out of three wins by only 3 points and the defense has forced an average of only 10 turnovers over game in their last four games while allowing an average of 42.1% shooting from the field.

Louisville is the hot team in this game and they have always been the team to beat in the Big East. The Orange are coming off an overtime game against Georgetown and those extra minutes can really wear a team down this late in the season when playing on back to back nights.

5* Total No Brainer Wizards/Suns OVER

You should always play the over in a game involving two teams averaging 92-98 points per game after one of those teams has allowed 105 points or more in three straight games. The Suns gave up 108 to Denver, 111 to Houston and 107 to Atlanta. This system is 45-18 (71.4%) over the last 5 seasons.

The first thing a tired team gives up on is playing defense. This is why you should play the over when the total is 180-189.5 and one of the teams is off a road loss by 10 points or more and they are an extremely tied team playing their 3rd game in 4 days. This system is 120-77 (61%) over the last 5 seasons. The Suns are bad enough on defense allowing 104.6 points per game on the road and playing tired means this game should be an offensive show.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Pacific -

Close games always come down to the turnover margin. Pacific has averaged only 9.6 turnovers per game in their last five games. UC-Irvine has been extremely inconsistent in the turnovers column this season. They ended the regular season averaging 14.6 turnovers per game in their last five games. You should always play on neutral court teams as a favorite or pick like Pacific after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers playing against an opponent that committed 8 or less turnovers in their last game. This system is 69-36 (66%) ATS.

The Pacific Tigers are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. This is a revenge game for Pacific too. They lost on the road at UC-Irvine back in February shooting 33.3% from the field. This is a Tigers team that shoots 45.3% on average so that poor shooting effort is not likely to take place in today

3* No Doubt Rout on Temple -

Temple finished conference play in dominating fashion. They have now won seven consecutive games and they are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 against Atlantic 10 opponents. Massachusetts is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 neutral court games. They are coming off a game in which they struggled against George Washington giving up 50 rebounds.

Massachusetts is a bad defensive team. They rank 293rd among division one teams in points allowed at 71.7 points per game. In their last five games they have given up 45% shooting and lost the rebounding margin by -5 boards per game. Temple will be one of the best teams they have faced in this recent stretch. In the last game between these teams Temple picked up a 1 point win on the road at Massachusetts. Playing on a neutral court is more than enough to widen that margin of victory above today

5* Total No Brainer on Grizzlies/Nuggets UNDER

A strong offensive performance from a team will impact the total line more than a strong defensive performance. This is why you should play the under when the total is between 190.5 and 199.5 after one team is coming off a game where they allowed 85 points or less like Memphis and their opponent has scored 100 points or more in four straight games. This system is 80-45 (64%) ATS.

You should also play the under when one team is off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, like Denver, and their opponent is off a road win by 10 points or more. This system is 94-46 (67%) ATS. Both Memphis and Denver are trending towards the under. Denver has gone under the total in three of their last four games while Memphis has gone under in three of their last five games.

The Grizzlies are a very defense oriented team. They are holding opponents to an average score of 89.4 points per game. Memphis is 17-7 to the under after allowing 85 points or less this season. They are one of the best teams in the league and should have no problem controlling the pace of this game.

4* Heavy Hitter on Arizona -

UCLA played a 5 minute game against Arizona State last night. They were dominated by the Sun Devils for 35 minutes until turning it on to pick up a win late in the second half. Now they face an Arizona Wildcats team that is talented enough to hold on to a big lead like the Sun Devils couldn't. Arizona has won four of their last six against the spread and they are playing for revenge after UCLA pulled off an upset against the Wildcats two weeks ago. That was on UCLA

4* Total Dominator on Heat/Bucks UNDER

As good as Miami is, they are not a team that blows up the scoreboard each night. You should always play the under when the total is 200 to 209.5 and the road team is a very good team outscoring their opponents by 6 or more points per game and they are playing against an opponent coming off a performance where they allowed 105 points or more. This system is 47-22 (68%) to the under through the last 5 seasons.

Miami is 5-1-1 to the under in their last seven games. In their last 10 games the total has been set above 200 only three times. Miami is 4-1 to the under in their last five road games against teams with a winning home record. Milwaukee is 7-1-1 to the under in their last 9 games following a loss. Milwaukee is certainly not an offensive powerhouse so this total appears to be set quite a bit higher than it should be.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Cleveland Cavs +

Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a losing record and they are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games. Cleveland has been a good team to play on lately covering the number in 9 of their last 12 games. It appears the oddsmakers have still not adjusted the lines to reflect the Cavaliers improving talent level making them a heavy underdog in this game against Dallas.

The Cavaliers are 5-1 in their last 6 meetings at Dallas. The main reason for their success is directly related to how bad the Mavericks defense has played. They are allowing 102.3 points per game in all games and 100.6 per game on their home court. It is hard to cover such a large number when your defense gives up that many points and your offense only averages 101.4 points per game.

4* Vegas Insider on Syracuse +

This is a double revenge game for Syracuse who didn't even score 40 points in their last matchup against Georgetown. This is a team that should be fired up and ready to explode with a huge offensive performance today. The Orange have a solid defense too. They have allowed over 65 points only one time in their last eight games. Syracuse is 21-9 ATS on neutral courts as an underdog of 6 points or less.

There were a couple anomalies in the lat game between these teams. First of all, Syracuse was held to a season low of 31.9% from the field. Second, James Southerland went 0-8 shooting, scoring only one point. Southerland has scored 20 points in both of the Big East tournament games so it seems extremely unlikely that either of those poor shooting efforts from Syracuse will take place again today.

3* No Doubt Rout on Portland -

The New York Knicks are really hurting right now. They are in the middle of a five game road stretch with a 0-2 start. They are playing in a back to back situation coming from a blowout loss against Denver last night. The Knicks average margin of defeat in these last two games is 26 points. Injuries have plagued key players for New York and they are simply not the same team with Carmelo Anthony nursing a knee injury.

The Knicks are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games against teams with a winning home record. Portland is 4-1 ATS in their last five against Atlantic division teams. Portland is coming off a pair of losses and they should be able to bounce back strong against this beat up Knicks team. The Trail Blazers are 29-14 ATS in home games after having lost two of their last three games over the last three seasons.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Prairie View A&M +

Alcorn State is averaging 60.5 points per game this season so it is no surprise that all of their offensive statistics are not very favorable. This game falls into a system to play on teams like Prairie View A&M when the line is +3 to -3 and they are averaging 63-67 points per game coming off a blowout loss by 20 points or more playing against a horrible team averaging less than 63 points per game. This system is 44-20 (69%) ATS.

Prairie View A&M not only has the better scoring ability, but they are dominating Alcorn State in the rebounds column. A&M pulls in 40.5 boards per game compared to 32.2 by State. The additional shot attempts created from those extra rebounds is more than enough of a difference to help Prairie View pick up a win. This is also a revenge game for Prairie View as they were beat by 6 points back on February 28th. Alcorn State shot 54.9% in that game and even if they land somewhere between their season average and the 54.9% they shot in the last game they will be on the losing end of this matchup with Prairie View A&M.

3* Main Event on UCLA -

Arizona State is coming off an overtime game last night against Stanford. College teams are not conditioned to play in back to back situations because they rarely occur throughout the season. Throw an overtime game into the mix and we should see a very tired Arizona State team. UCLA already has a small rebounding advantage over the Sun Devils and they should be able to open up that margin in today

5* Total No Brainer on Arizona St/UCLA UNDER

This game should be run at a very slow pace. Arizona State is coming off an overtime game against Stanford last night and they simply will not have the energy to push the ball quickly up and down the court. Both of these teams have favored the under all season long. They are a combined 9-18 to the under.

The under is 10-1 in Arizona State

3* No Doubt Rout on Minnesota -

Minnesota is the better team even though the Golden Gophers have struggled in conference play. Nobody in the Big Ten played as difficult of a road schedule as Minnesota did. It took its toll on Minnesota as they had a weak finish to the regular season. That tough stretch of games has created a lot of value for tonight

5* Vegas Insider on Charlotte +

Charlotte has a big defensive advantage coming into this game. They have held opponents to 41.1% shooting this season which makes them one of the better defensive units Richmond has faced. Richmond is 2-10 ATS against good defensive teams that are allowing a shooting percentage below 42% on the year.

This is a big revenge game for Charlotte. The 49ers were embarrassed by the Spiders when these teams met back in January. Charlotte was ice cold from beyond the three point line while Richmond shot almost 50% from the field and 45% on 3 point attempts. Those are anomalies that are extremely unlikely to occur again, especially since Richmond will not have the luxury of playing on their home court.

These teams ended the regular season going in opposite directions. Charlotte got hot beating Duquesne on the road and picking up a big win over St Josephs. Richmond also picked up a win on their home court against Duquesne but dropped games to Dayton and Virginia Commonwealth. The win over St Josephs had to act as a big confidence booster for Charlotte as they come into this game trying to keep their season alive and revenge their early season loss.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Knicks +

You should always play against a team revenging a loss like Denver where the opponent scored 100 points or more and that opponent is off a blowout loss of 20 points or more. This system is 86-46 (65%) over the last five seasons. The Knicks had a poor shooting performance in the loss to Golden State. They shot 27.4% from the field and that is not likely to occur again considering New York averages 44% on the season.

The hot streak that Denver is on has forced the oddsmakers to drive this line up much higher than it should be. The fact that New York had such a poor performance in their last outing adds even more value. You should always play on road teams after a blowout loss by 20 points or more when they are playing against an opponent that has scored 100 points or more in four straight games. This system is 53-25 (68%) ATS.

4* Total Dominator on Grizzlies/Clippers UNDER

You should always play the under in a game involving two good teams winning 60% to 75% of their games when playing in March. This system is 86-40 (68%) over the last five seasons. The second half of the NBA season can take its toll on even the best of teams and a tired team will not score as many points because they will not be out running on fast break plays.

The under is 4-1 in the Grizzlies last five games against teams with a winning record and the Clippers are 4-0 to the under in that same scenario. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 head to head meetings between these teams. The Memphis defense is one of the best in the league holding opponents to 89.5 points per game. The oddsmakers have set this total based on the offensive production of the Clippers at home rather than the defensive numbers for both teams making the UNDER a value play.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Pistons +

The Warriors are struggling as they come into this game against the Pistons. They have lost two of their last three games because of poor shooting performances. The Warriors have not covered a double digit line at home in over a month when they faced the Phoenix Suns. You should always play on road underdogs of 10 or more points after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread when they are playing against an opponent that has failed to cover 5 of the last 7 against the spread. This system is 26-5 (84%) over the last five seasons.

You should also play against favorites of 10 or more points after beating the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game. A strong performance like that has a tendency to drive a line up much higher than it should be. In this specific case that win was related to a 27% shooting performance from New York. It had very little to do with Golden State playing well. This system is 115-73 (61.2%) ATS.

3* No Doubt Rout on Rockets -

Phoenix is one of the league

3* No Doubt Rout on Raptors +

The Celtics are struggling right now dropping their last two games by big margins against Oklahoma City and Charlotte. You should always play against a team like Boston when they are coming off a double digit loss as a favorite of 6 or more points and they are winning between 51% and 60% of their games on the season. This system is 91-48 (65.5%) ATS.

The Raptors are 5-1-1 ATS their last 7 games against teams winning 60% or more of their home games. They come into today

3* No Doubt Rout on South Carolina -

South Carolina was favored by 9 points the last time these teams played back on March 6th. Nothing has changed since then to justify this line being cut almost in half. Mississippi State won that game but there were a lot of anomalies that are extremely unlikely to take place again. The Bulldogs shot 51.1% from the field and held the Gamecocks to a mere 28 rebounds. Those numbers are by far the best of the season for Mississippi State and the worst team in the conference has little to no chance at repeating that performance.

The Bulldogs are 0-4 in their last 4 neutral court games and 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games coming off an ATS win. They average only 60.6 points per game while allowing 76.6 per game when playing away from their home court. Mississippi State is by far the worst team in the conference and while South Carolina is certainly not a great team, they should have no problem revenging that March 6th loss.

5* Heavy Hitter on Colorado State -

Fresno State has lost five of their last eight games coming into this matchup. They have won their last two games against Air Force and UNLV because of poor shooting from their opponents. It is unlikely a team like Colorado State, that has won 24 games this season, is going to shoot an average of 30% from the field like Air Force and UNLV did. This same matchup was played just a couple weeks ago with Colorado State winning by 7 points. Fresno State shot 50% in that game, a feat they have accomplished only one time in their last 13+ games. Fresno only averages 38.9% from the field this season.

Colorado State is definitely the hot team coming into this game winning three out of their last four games. You should always play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Colorado State when they are coming off two straight wins against conference rivals, and they are a good team winning 60% to 80% of their games playing a bad team winning only 20% to 40% of their games on the season. This system is 106-62 (63.1%) over the last 5 seasons.

Colorado State is an excellent rebounding team playing against a poor rebounding team. Fresno is averaging only 32 rebounds per game with 9 of those coming on the offensive end of the court. Colorado State pulls in 41 boards per game with an average of 14 offensive rebounds. The Rams should dominate the boards and dominate this game with a blowout win over the Bulldogs.

5* Total No Brainer Syracuse/Seton Hall UNDER

The Seton Hall defense is playing well right now. They ended the regular season holding Rutgers to 56 points and South Florida to 42 points. The Syracuse defense has played well all season. The have held opponents to 59.6 points per game on 37.3% shooting from the field. What makes this under such a value play is the fact that Seton Hall

3* No Doubt Rout on Syracuse -

Seton Hall is playing in a back to back game after going to overtime with South Florida last night. This late in the season they will have to be exhausted when they take on a well-rested Syracuse team. The Orange run a right defense holding opponents to 59.6 points per game away from home and that is big trouble for Seton Hall who averages 64.1 points per game and scored only 46 total points with an overtime session last night.

The Orange are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against teams with a losing record. Seton Hall has been very inconsistent this season, like most teams with a losing record, which explains why they are 1-4 ATS coming off an ATS win. These teams played less than a month ago on Seton Hall

3* No Doubt Rout on Howard +

Delaware State is a bad team, but when playing away from home they are really bad. Head Coach Greg Jackson is 2-9 ATS in all neutral court games as the coach of Delaware State. They are scoring a mere 57.3 points per game and allowing 68.3 defensively in road games this season.

You should play on underdogs like Howard when they are shooting 40% or less on the season against a defensive team allowing 42.5% to 45% after 15 or more games in the season. This system is 181-126 (59%) over the last five seasons. A game against a soft defense like Delaware State is just what Howard needs to pick up a win.

These teams just played 10 days ago. That game was decided by 3 points in favor of Delaware State. Now we are on a neutral court with Howard playing for revenge and to keep their season alive. They are certainly the more motivated team and considering how close this last game was we have to give them the nod today.

3* No Doubt Rout on Minnesota T

3* Oddsmakers Error on Nevada +

Wyoming is really struggling right now losing by 22 to Colorado State and 11 to New Mexico in their last two games. You should always play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 like Nevada when they are scoring 67-74 points per game against a defensive team allowing 63 or less points per game after 15+ games, and their opponent is coming off 2 straight losses by 10 points or more. This system is 46-17 (73%) since 1997.

The Wyoming Cowboys are playing through injuries. Leonard Washington is by far the Cowboys best player and he is nursing a back injury. Washington is probable for today

3* Oddsmakers Error on New Orleans Hornets +

Brooklyn lost last night on the road against Philadelphia and now they have to travel home to take on New Orleans in a back to back game without rest. The Nets are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games and playing without rest does not do anything to inspire confidence that they can improve on that number.

Brooklyn is also 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games against Western Conference teams and more specifically 1-8 ATS against Southwest Division teams. The struggles for Brooklyn have come on the defensive end of the court. In their last four games they have forced an average of 11.5 turnovers per game. They allowed 52.6% shooting in their game last night against Philadelphia.

3* Total Dominator on Hawks/Heat UNDER

The Atlanta Hawks have gone under the total in four of their last five road games and under in five of their last seven overall. The Miami Heat have gone under the total in three of their last five games overall with one game going over and one game ending on a push. In head to head meetings between these teams the under is 14-3 in the last 17 games played at Miami.

As good as the Heat are, they do have their weaknesses. They are not a great rebounding team averaging 45.7 boards per game at home. Atlanta is 15-5 to the under against teams averaging 48 or less rebounds per game over the last two seasons. The Hawks are a good team holding opponents to 96.1 points per game on the road. Atlanta knows they cannot win this game if they get into a shootout with the Heat so they should have a game plan in place that will slow down Miami's scoring and help keep this game under the total.

4* Heavy Hitter on St Mary

4* Vegas Insider on San Antonio Spurs -

The Spurs are a great team and they are coming off an embarrassing loss to Portland. They have now had a couple days of rest and should get back to their true form against Oklahoma City tonight. You should always play on a good team outscoring opponents by an average of 3 or more points per game after a blowout loss by 15 points or more. This system is 118-73 (62%) over the last five seasons.

The Thunder are playing in a back to back situation tonight. They faced the Boston Celtics last night on their home court and will now travel to San Antonio to take on the well-rested Spurs. You should play on home favorites like San Antonio when they are playing their 2nd game in 5 days against an opponent playing their 4th game in 5 days. This system is 34-9 (79%) over the last five seasons.

These teams are very evenly matched. They share similar offensive numbers as well as overall records that are almost identical, with a slight edge going to the Spurs. In the second half of the season we have to give the nod to not only the team playing on more rest, but the team playing on their home court. The Spurs should rebound from the loss to Portland with a big win over the Thunder today.

4* No Brainer on Brooklyn Nets -

Philadelphia is going through a really bad stretch right now. They have lost 12 of their last 13 games and are coming off three straight losses on the road. They are now playing in a back to back after traveling from Orlando last night. You should play against a team with two straight losses against an opponent when they are coming off three or more consecutive road losses. This system is 77-40 (66%) over the last five seasons.

You should also play against home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points when they are a tired team playing their 5th game in 7 days and they are a bad team winning 25-40% of their games on the season. This system is 58-24 (71%) since 1996. The Nets are the well-rested team, and they already have a better win percentage on the road than the 76ers have at home. Brooklyn has won three straight by a double digit margin and that trend of domination over their opponents will continue tonight against Philadelphia.

4* Heavy Hitter on Portland Blazers -

Lately these teams are trending in opposite directions. Portland is hot having won four of their last six straight up and while New Orleans has lost five of their last six. The Trail Blazers are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 against Western Conference teams. The New Orleans Hornets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall and they are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 against Western Conference teams.

The Hornets are playing in a back to back situation. They were in Memphis last night where they were handed an 11 point loss and then had to travel straight home to take on Portland today. New Orleans is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games playing in a back to back with no rest.

New Orleans has one of the worst home records of any team in the NBA. They are 11-20 straight up and have a 13-18 ATS record on their home court. Their offense has actually performed better on the road than they have at home. They average 93 points per game while allowing 95.2 points per game in home games. Portland may not be a great team, but they are certainly the better team and should have no problem handing New Orleans their fourth straight loss.

4* Vegas Insider on Northwestern +

Northwestern has struggled lately which is what drove this line up much higher than it should be. You should always play on underdogs of 10 or more points like Northwestern after 7 or more consecutive losses when they are playing only their 2nd game in eight days. This system is 167-107 (61%) ATS.

The oddsmakers were forced to make this line so big because of the Wildcats struggles against Purdue, Wisconsin and Illinois but they put together better games against Ohio State and Penn State recently. The well-rested team this late in the season getting such an inflated line is the smart play in this game.

This is way too many points for Northwestern to receive considering how strong their defense has been this season. The Wildcats have held opponents to 63 points per game on the road. Michigan State averages only 68.8 points per game and even though Northwestern may not have a great conference record, they are good enough to keep this game within the almost 20 points we are getting today.

3* Total No Brainer on Michigan Indiana OVER

Not only are Michigan and Indiana two of the strongest offenses in the Big Ten Conference, they are among the best in all of division one basketball. The Wolverines average 77.9 points per game at home while Indiana is scoring an average of 76.3 per game on the road. In the last five head to head meetings between these teams the over is 4-1 so it should come as no surprise that this game is expected to be a shootout.

Indiana has gone over the total four out of their last five games on the road. The Hoosiers put up 81 points against Michigan the first time these teams met and although this game is being played at a different venue both teams should be able to score at will again. Michigan has been shooting well, averaging 49.8% on their home court. They are coming off an 80 point performance at Purdue and should have no problem staying motivated to score when they face a conference rival like Indiana. Michigan knows they are going to need to score over 75 points to have any chance at beating an Indiana team that has averaged 81.1 points per game in all games and ranks 3rd among division one teams in points scored this season.

4* HEAVY HITTER on Milwaukee +

In the second half of the season a well rested team is usually a safe play. You should always play against home favorites like Golden State after they have lost 4 or 5 of their last six games playing in a back to back situation. This system is 96-53 (64.4%) over the last five seasons.

Milwaukee is playing on two days of rest and they have won four of their last five games. They are the hot team coming into this game playing a Golden State team that has been overrated for most of the season. It appears to be catching up to the Warriors as they have dropped five of their last seven games.

A key indicator that the Warriors are overrated is the fact that they average 100.8 points per game while allowing 101.4 points per game. When teams are giving up more points than they are scoring, yet have a winning record it usually means they have played a soft schedule and are not as talented as their record makes them appear. Take the points with Milwaukee.

3* Main Event on Minnesota +

This is way too many points to be giving Minnesota today. You should always play on underdogs of 10 or more points like Minnesota when they have lost 2 of their last 3 games but they are playing on 2 or more days of rest. This system is 28-7 (80%) over the last five seasons.

In head to head meetings between these teams Minnesota is 10-1 ATS when playing at Denver. The Nuggets are playing on just one day of rest and they are coming off a big win over the Clippers so they are in a spot to have a let down performance against Minnesota. The Nuggets defense has been horrible this season allowing 101.6 points per game. The well rested team getting a large number of points is the smart play in this game.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Northern Arizona +

You should always play against favorites of 10 or more points like Montana after covering the spread in 5 or 6 of their last seven games when they are playing with one or less days of rest. The win streak drives the line up and the lack of rest makes it difficult for teams to put together a strong performance which is why this system is 85-49 (63.4%) over the last five seasons.

You should play on underdogs of 10 or more points like Northern Arizona when they are revenging a home loss against an opponent playing with one or less days of rest. Getting revenge in college basketball is very important to a lot of these teams, especially if they were embarrassed in a blowout on their home court. This system is 192-132 (59.3%) over the last five seasons.

5* No Brainer on Tulane -

You should always play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Houston when they are off a blowout win by 20 points or more over a conference rival and play are playing against an opponent that is coming off a road game scoring 75 points or more. When teams get big blowout wins they tend to have a letdown performance in their next outing, especially in conference play. This system is 32-9 (78%) the last 41 times this situation has occurred.

You should also play on a team like Tulane when they are off a close road loss by 3 points or less and they are a team that has returned all five starters from last season. This angle has delivered a 78-42 (65%) record over the last five seasons. When you have all five starters from last season returning there is chemistry and experience so a close loss is not going to stick around in these player's heads.

Tulane is a solid 14-3 straight up at home and playing a Houston team that is 4-7 when on the road. Tulane

3* No Doubt Rout on Charlotte +

St Josephs is coming off two consecutive wins over 20 points against very soft opponents. That has them in a perfect spot for a letdown game against a quality Charlotte team. The Charlotte 49ers are 11-3 on their home court and playing a St Joseph

3* Bailout Blowout on Oregon State +

The oddsmakers have really driven up this line based on Colorado

3* Main Event on Minnesota -

The Golden Gophers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games against teams with a losing record while Purdue is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games against teams with a winning record. You should always play on teams like Minnesota when they are road favorites forcing less than 14 turnovers per game and playing in a March game. This system is 76-45 (62.8%) over the last five seasons.

This is an incredibly small line considering Minnesota has returned more starts from last season so they have more experience and they are a 20 win team facing a team with a losing record. Purdue does not have the same home court advantage that other Big Ten powerhouses have. They are 10-6 at home which is respectable, but certainly not good enough to prove they can stay within 3 points or a team that was ranked in the top 15 earlier this season. The Golden Gophers are coming off a bad performance against Nebraska and they will definitely want to make a statement playing at Purdue.

3* NO DOUBT ROUT on Wizards +

The Wizards may be 5-23 away from home, but they are an impressive 17-10 ATS on the road. The Washington Wizards are 20-8 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season and 10-1 ATS when that team is barely over .500, winning 51% to 60% of their games on the season.

Brooklyn does not play pressure defense. They are getting 13 turnovers per game while committing 14 of their own. Washington is 20-10 ATS against poor pressure defensive teams that are forcing less than 14 turnovers per game this season. That lack of pressure defense is also a sign that Brooklyn is not a very physical team. Washington is 29-17 ATS against teams committing 21 or less fouls per game this season.

Brooklyn is struggling right now having lost four of their last six games. They are coming off three games with 19, 21 and 24 turnovers respectively. They picked up a win against Charlotte with that many turnovers, but the Wizards will dominate Brooklyn if they pull that same stunt. Considering how poor Brooklyn is playing taking the points is the smart play in this game.

3* ODDSMAKERS ERROR on Bobcats +

Even though the Bobcats have a bad overall record they do have some bright spots. They are a great ball handling team averaging just 13 turnovers per game. You should always play against road favorites of 10 or more points when they are allowing 41.5% to 43.5% shooting and committing 14-5-16.5 turnovers playing against a team allowing 45.5% to 47.5% shooting and committing less than 14.5 turnovers. This system is 32-12 (72.7%) the last 44 times this matchup scenario has occurred.

The cold play of the Bobcats and the hot play of the Thunder has forced the oddsmakers to make this line much larger than it should be making Charlotte the value play. You should always play on a cold team failing to cover the spread in 12 or more of their last 15 games against an opponent that has covered the spread 4 or 5 of their last 6 games. This system is 90-51 (63.8%) since 1996.

5* Total NO BRAINER on Bobcats/Thunder UNDER

The Thunder have gone under the total in 4 of their last 6 games while the Bobcats have gone under in 10 of their last 13 games. Oklahoma may have the explosive offense but they are playing in a back to back situation and coming from a hard fought battle against the Knicks at New York. Charlotte is playing on a day of rest and the only three games in the last 13 that have gone over the total have come when the Bobcats were forced to play in a back to back situation.

You should play the under in games involving a team allowing 103+ points per game on the season coming off a blowout loss by 20 points or more. This system is 226-147 (60.6%) since 1996. You should also play the under in games where the total is greater than 200 and the road team, Oklahoma City, is averaging 102 or more points per game against a team that averages 92-98 points per game, after allowing 55 or more points in the first half in two straight games. This system is 37-12 (75.5%) to the under over the last five seasons. When teams are allowing a big first half they make defensive adjustments to ensure they do not fall behind early which also helps keep games under the total.

4* HEAVY HITTER on Columbia +

Harvard is in a bit of a slump. They have dropped their last two games, one to Princeton and the other to a horrible Pennsylvania team. You should always play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Columbia when they are off a 3 point or less loss to a conference rival and winning between 40-49% of their games on the season. This system is 44-14 (74.6%) over the last five seasons.

Columbia has three key advantages in this game. First off, they are a better free throw shooting team averaging 74.3% this season compared to 72.2% from Harvard. They also have a much better defense holding opponents to 60.5 points per game which is a solid 4.2 points per game better than Harvard. Their last key advantage is in rebounding. Columbia may only average 32 boards per game, but Harvard is only averaging 30 per game off of more attempts.

Columbia already handed Harvard a 15 point loss this season back in February. The location may have changed in Harvard

5* Vegas Insider on CS Northridge -

The first matchup between these teams was decided by three points in Hawaii back in December. Now we have a change in venue and the Rainbow Warriors are forced to do the traveling which should help change the end result in this game. Hawaii is 4-15 ATS in road games when coming off an upset loss to a conference rivals and they are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 road games against teams with a losing home record.

The Hawaii defense has been horrible on the road allowing 78.7 points per game and almost 47% shooting from the field. They are now facing a CS-Northridge team that can score at will on their home court averaging 79.8 points per game. Hawaii is trending in the wrong direction as the season unwinds losing three of their last five games straight up and four out of five against the spread. They are coming off a game against Cal Poly in which they pulled in a mere 28 rebounds and they are averaging 39.9% shooting in their last two games.

It seems the recent struggles for the Rainbow Warriors started taking place when Brandon Spearman went out with an ankle injury. While Spearmen was not a leading scorer for Hawaii, his 25.8 minutes per game and 9.7 points are hard to replace with a short bench. Spearman was a solid 72% from the free throw line and good for a few rebounds each game. With or without Spearman the Rainbow Warriors are struggling and CS Northridge will take full advantage of the opportunity on their home court tonight.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Portland State +

When teams are winning a lot of games the oddsmakers are usually forced to increase the line on that team. There comes a point when even a hot team loses its value and we have reached that point with Weber State. You should always play against favorites of 10 or more points after 9 or more consecutive wins. This system is 213-139 (60.5%) over the last five seasons.

If you take a look at their recent numbers it is obvious the hot streak for Weber State has worn off. They were averaging over 50% shooting in the first 7 wins of this 9 game streak. The last two games they have averaged 46.2% shooting. While that is still a respectable number, it is definitely a trend moving in the wrong direction for Weber State, especially considering how big the line is on this game.

Portland State may not have a great overall record but they are 3-2 in their last five games and they have done a great job all season of avoiding turnovers. This is a team that averages less than 12 turnovers per game. They also shoot over 75% from the free throw line. Portland State has been beat by 17 points only once since November when they played a ranked Oklahoma State team. That was a road game against Northern Colorado, a team with a great home court advantage. Weber State does not share that same advantage and they do not have what it takes to pick up a 17 point win tonight.

3* No Doubt Rout on Sacramento State +

Both of these teams are solid defensively with Sacramento State allowing 65.6 points per game and Montana is allowing 66.4 points per game. You should play against home teams in a game involving two good defensive teams after a combined score of 155 points or more. This system is 106-65 (62%) over the last five seasons.

This game falls into another system to play on a road underdog of 10 to 19.5 points like Sacramento State when they are winning 51-60% of their games on the season and revenging a home loss against an opponent. This system is 115-58 (67%) over the last five seasons.

Montana is a poor rebounding team averaging only 31 boards per game with a mere 6 of those coming on the offensive end. They have been able to win games because they shoot 47.5% from the field. Many of the teams they have faced have not had a defense as strong as Sacramento State

3* BIG TEN ATS BLOWOUT on Minnesota -

Nebraska is one of the few teams in the Big Ten that have horrible statistics on their home court. They average a mere 59.2 points per game, shooting 40.5% and get only 9 assists per game. You should always play against home teams like Nebraska as an underdog or pick when they are a poor passing team that averages less than 12 assists per game in March games. This system is 50-26 (65.8%) over the last five seasons.

Minnesota has played a tough road schedule this season playing the likes of Ohio State, Michigan State and Wisconsin. The Golden Gophers defense has allowed only 61.4 points per game and they are scoring 64.3 points per game. That gives them a positive scoring margin of 2.9 PPG on the road. Nebraska does not have a positive scoring margin on their home court and it is, in large part, because they are getting dominated on the boards. They average 32 rebounds per game compared to 39 from Minnesota.

Minnesota is hot coming into this game winning their last two over Indiana and Penn State while Nebraska has dropped two straight to Wisconsin and Illinois. You should play against home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Nebraska when they are revenging a same season loss and they are off 2 straight losses against conference rivals. This system is 161-91 (63.9%) over the last five seasons.

4* NBA TOTAL DOMINATOR on Grizzlies/Blazers UNDER

When teams are getting blowout wins it is usually because their defense is playing well. The Grizzlies just held Orlando to 82 points. Portland has played a couple of back to back soft games so they may not be prepared when facing this stout Grizzlies defense. You should always play the under when one of the teams is coming off a win by 10 or more points like Portland, and they are playing against an opponent off a win by 20 or more points. This system is 351-248 (58.6%) since 1996. When that team

4* NBA HEAVY HITTER on Hawks -8

The Philadelphia 76ers are struggling right now having lost 9 of their last 10 games. Things are not getting much easier as they face a tough Atlanta team in Atlanta and playing on a back to back after getting pounded on by Boston last night. Philadelphia has lost their last 5 consecutive road games and they are now 6-20 straight up on the road on the season.

The 76ers are 2-11 ATS in road games when playing against a team winning between 51-60% of their games over the last 2 seasons and they are 4-15 ATS against good shooting teams that are making 46% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons. The Hawks are putting up a solid 100.2 points per game at home while the 76ers are scoring only 90.2 points per game on the road.

Atlanta is coming off a six game road stretch and they have a day of rest going into this matchup with this 76ers tonight. The well-rested team is the smart play because not only are the 76ers tired, they are in a serious slump right now too.

3* NBA HIGH ROLLER on Bobcats +

The Brooklyn Nets are in a slump right now. They have lost four of their last five games and have averaged only 88.8 points per game in that span. The oddsmakers have undervalued the Bobcats considering how poorly Brooklyn has been playing.

When Brooklyn gets into a slump it tends to last a while. They are 9-20 ATS after having lost three of their last four games over the last two seasons. This is Brooklyn

4* CBB NO BRAINER on Tulane +

Tulane is a much better defensive team than East Carolina. They have held opponents to 62.7 points per game compared to the 71.6 allowed by the Pirates. The Green Wave are also out rebounding their opponents by an average of 4 per game pulling in a total of 35 board while their opponents have averaged just 31 boards.

The Pirates have a history of performing poorly against good teams late in the season. They have lost five of their last nine games and they are 33-57 ATS against good ball handling teams that are committing less than 14 turnovers per game after 15+ games since 1997. East Carolina is also 48-77 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

3* CBB NO DOUBT ROUT on South Carolina -

Mississippi State is the worst team in the Southeastern Conference. You should play on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points like South Carolina when they are coming off a loss of 15 points or more and they have a +/- 3.5 PPG differential against a terrible team with a -8 PPG differential. This system is 45-20 (69.2%) over the last 5 seasons.

Mississippi State averages 59.7 points per game while allowing 76.5 per game on the road. They are coming off a big win over in-state rival Ole Miss and are in a letdown spot for today

3* Oddsmakers Error on Sacramento Kings +

The Denver Nuggets are one of the most inconsistent road teams in the league. They have not won three road games in a row all season long. They beat Charlotte and Portland in their last two road games but they are playing a back to back after facing Atlanta on their home court last night.

The Sacramento Kings are a well rested team that have won two of their last three games. Playing on their home court against a team that is not rested at all and giving the Kings points makes them a strong value play. Denver is allowing 104 points per game on the road and Sacramento has been scoring 102.7 per game on their home court.

Denver has two wins over Sacramento this season, but the Kings are 12-2 ATS when revenging two straight losses of 10 points or more against an opponent over the last two seasons. Sacramento is 11-7 at home since Dec. 5 and with Denver sitting on a 13-19 road record it appears the oddsmakers may have made an error on this line.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Virginia Tech +

The oddsmakers are giving Duke a little too much credit for Ryan Kelly being back in the lineup. He had a great game against Miami but the Blue Devils still won that game by a mere 3 points. The fact is, Duke does not really dominate anyone at home which is why they have a 7-8 ATS record at Cameron Indoor Stadium.

Virginia Tech will be playing with a big revenge factor in this game after Duke embarrassed them on their home court earlier this season. You should always play on underdogs of 10 or more points like Virginia Tech when they are revenging a home loss of 10 points or more. This system is 457-330 (58.1%) over the last 5 seasons.

A game against a top ranked team like Duke is the closest thing to a post season the Hokies are going to see. That should have them motivated to come out and play some of their best basketball. Virginia Tech is 9-2 ATS in road games versus good teams that are outscoring their opponents by 4 or more points per game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. With the Blue Devils having North Carolina on deck they are in a situation to look past the Hokies which could make this a close game.

3* No Doubt Rout on Central Michigan -

The Eastern Michigan Eagles are the kind of team that needs to force turnovers to win games. Central Michigan averages 13 turnovers per game which is not enough for the Eagles to get an advantage. Eastern Michigan is 6-16 ATS in road games versus good ball handling teams that are committing 14 or less turnovers per game over the last 3 seasons.

The Central Michigan Chippewas may not be a dominating team on their home court, but the Eagles are 2-11 on the road this season. This is also a revenge game for Central Michigan who lost by 6 points to the Eagles back in January. The change in venue should be more than enough to change the outcome of this matchup.

The Eagles are averaging 52.2 points per game on the road while the Chippewas are scoring 68.3 per game at home. In a game that could be close it is always better to take the good free throw shooting team. Central Michigan is shooting 73% from the line compared to 67.8% from Eastern Michigan.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Toronto Raptors +

Golden State is playing in one of the toughest stretches they will see this season. They just finished five consecutive road games and get only one day of rest before playing against Toronto tonight. You should always play against favorites like Golden State when they have had 4 or more consecutive losses and they are an extremely tired team playing their 5th game in 7 days. This system is 41-16 (71.9%) since 1996.

The Raptors play well against good teams and they do not get a lot of respect from the oddsmakers in the process. Toronto is 4-0-1 in their last 5 road games against teams winning 60% or more of their home games. They are 6-2 ATS on the road overall and 5-2 in their last 7 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.

Golden State is 1-5 in their last 5 games overall and 2-7 ATS following a loss. When the Warriors allow 100 points or more in their last game they are 2-6 ATS. The Golden State defense has been horrible allowing 101.5 points per game. They are an overrated team whose scoring average of 100.9 points is actually less than their points allowed.

3* High Roller on Portland -

The Portland Trailblazers are playing on a lot more rest than the Charlotte Bobcats. Portland is on their 3rd game in the last 8 days while Charlotte is playing their 4th consecutive road game in the last 7 days. This is also a back to back game for the Bobcats. They received a 36 point beat down from Sacramento last night.

Portland tough place to play which is why the Trailblazers are 19-10 on their home court and 4-1 ATS at home in their last 5 games. The Bobcats are a bad road team, allowing 103.5 points per game while scoring only 90.4 and sitting on an 0-5 ATS record their last 5 road games.

The Trailblazers are the hot team coming into this game winning 2 of their last 3 games and they are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games. Charlotte has lost six consecutive games straight up and ATS. This is their final game on a four game road stretch and they are playing like they can

5* Big Sky Game of the Year on Southern Utah +

Montana is not a team that scores a lot of points. They run a slow down offense and do not get into a lot of fast breaks or bad shot attempts. That style of play does not always work and it fits perfectly into Southern Utah

3* No Doubt Rout on Cleveland Cavs +

The Cavaliers are a young team that has been improving all season. They have now won four of their last six games and six of their last seven ATS. The Knicks appear to be moving in the opposite direction losing five of their last eight and they are 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 games.

Cleveland will have Kyrie Irving back for this game which should help provide them with an immediate boost in production. Cleveland is 14-3 ATS against Eastern Conference teams and an even more impressive 4-0 ATS against the Atlantic division. The Knicks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 against Eastern Conference teams and 0-5-1 in their last 6 games coming off a straight up loss.

The Knicks are barely a .500 team on the road and they are below .500 ATS. The recent success for Cleveland has been in large part because of their ability to prevent their opponent from getting a rebound advantage. With the exception of their loss to the Clippers, the Cavaliers have held their last seven opponents to an average of less than 45 rebounds per game. The Cavaliers also own the head to head advantage on games played at Cleveland with a 5-0 ATS record.

5* Total NO BRAINER on Pacers/Bulls UNDER

You should always play the under when one team allowed 40 points or less in the first half in two straight games like the Chicago Bulls have done. This system is 126-75 (62.7%) to the under over the last five seasons. The Bulls defense is playing well right now and they have gone under the total in four of their last six games. The Pacers defense has been solid all season allowing a mere 88.8 points per game at home.

Chicago is 32-12 to the under when they are revenging a road loss against an opponent over the last three seasons. That number tightens up to 15-2 to the under when they are revenging a road loss of 10 points or more. Both of these teams had uncharacteristic performances in the last meeting with each team allowing over 100 points. That should have both teams making defensive adjustments for today

3* No Doubt Rout on Pacers -

The last time these teams met the Pacers crushed the Bulls with a 111-101 final score. The Bulls are 2-2 in their last four games and they have been struggling since the start of February with a 6-8 record. The Pacers on the other hand have really turned things on winning 11 of their last 14 games. Indiana is 17-10 ATS when playing at home giving them one of the strongest home court advantages in the NBA.

It has been an inconsistent season for Chicago this year which explains why they are 8-17 ATS after a game where they covered the spread this season. The Pacers are 25-12 ATS as a favorite this season and 11-3 ATS in home games after playing on the road.

This game may not be the shootout it was last month when these teams met, but the end result should be about the same with the Pacers getting a big win over Chicago. The Bulls struggles in the second half of the season make Indiana the smart play in this matchup.

3* No Doubt Rout on Michigan -

Michigan may have lost to Penn State in their last game, but it is not a sign that the sky is falling. The Wolverines almost certainly had their eyes on this game against Michigan State and looked past the Nittany Lions. Now they get their chance to get revenge from the 23 point blowout they suffered the first time these teams played.

Sometimes getting too much rest can actually be a setback for a team. Too much time to prepare for a big opponent can have coaches over analyzing film and doing things they otherwise wouldn't do. This is why you should play against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Michigan State when they are winning between 60-80% of their games and playing with 5 or 6 days of rest against a team with a winning record. This system is 133-82 (61.9%) over the last five seasons.

3* Oddsmakers Error on Thunder +

The oddsmakers may have the wrong team favored in this matchup but we will take the points on the thunder. You should play against home favorites like the Clippers when they are playing a double revenge game against an opponent off an upset loss as a road favorite. This system is 73-35 (67.6%) over the last five seasons.

You should play on road teams like Oklahoma City where the line is +3 to -1 after a road game where both teams scored 100 points or more and they are a well-rested team playing 6 or less games in 14 days. This system is 31-9 (77.5%) over the last five seasons.

The last time these teams played in Oklahoma City the Thunder dominated the Clippers by 12 points. The Thunder shot 52.6% against a soft Clippers defense. A change in venue is not enough to change the end results as the Thunder should roll in this game.

5* Total NO BRAINER on Clippers/Thunder UNDER

Well rested teams play better defense and both the Clippers and Thunder have played 6 or less games over the last two weeks. You should always play the under when the total is 200 or more and the home team has a winning record and is a well-rested team playing 6 or less games in 14 days playing another team with a winning record. This system is 201-136 (59.6%) to the under over the last five seasons.

You should also play the under when the road team, Oklahoma City, is off an upset loss as a road favorite and they have a winning record on the season and are playing another winning team. This system is 62-25 (71.3%) since 1996.

Since the Clippers were blown out in the last game against the Thunder they will come into this game with a defense oriented game plan. They cannot allow the Thunder to score 109 points again if they want to win this game.

4* HEAVY HITTER on Fairfield

The Fairfield Stags are coming off a poor offensive performance against Manhattan so they will certainly come into this game trying to score points quickly. That should be easy to do against a Marist team that is 9-20 on the season a 5-7 on their home court. Their defense has allowed 71.1 points per game which is exactly what Fairfield needs after the slow game last Friday.

You should always play against home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Marist after they covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 games against the spread and they are a bad team winning between 20-40% of their games on the season. This system is 71-38 (65.1%) over the last five seasons.

You should also play on road teams as a favorite or pick like Fairfield when they are an average free throw shooting team playing against a poor free throw shooting team after a game they allowed a shooting percentage of 33% or less. This system is 40-19 (67.8% since 1997.

3* Total Dominator Knicks/Heat UNDER

This game falls into a system to play the under when a team like Miami is revenging two consecutive straight up losses to an opponent as a favorite and they are a good team winning 60-75% of their games playing a team with a winning record. This system is 120-72 (62.5%) since 1996. Without a doubt the Miami Heat will be coming into this game with a plan of attack that prevents the Knicks from turning this game into a shootout.

The Heat are allowing 95.4 points per game on the road this season while the Knicks have allowed 94.9 points per game at home. Neither team gets into foul trouble which means there will be very few points put on the board with the clock stopped. The Knicks are not shooting well right now at 41.5% in their last five games.

The Under is 6-1 in the Knicks last seven games following an ATS win and 8-3-1 in the Heat

3* No Doubt Rout on Portland State -

This is a revenge game for the Portland State Vikings. They suffered an embarrassing loss back in January playing on the road at Northern Colorado. The Vikings would like nothing more than to put a big beating on the Bears. Northern Colorado is 3-12 on the road this season and Portland State is the hot team having won three of their last four games coming into this matchup.

3* Bailout Blowout on Sacramento State -

Sacramento State has scored less than 65 points in their last four games which has forced the oddsmakers to overcompensate on this line creating value on the Hornets. The Hornets are an experienced team returning all five starters from last season so a scoring drought should not have much of an impact on this team. You should always play on teams scoring 65 points or less in three straight games when they have all five starters returning from last seasons. This system is 126-84 (60%) over the last five seasons. When that team is a favorite the system tightens up to 70-39 (64.2%) during that same time period.

4* No Brainer on Arizona +

You should always play on road teams as an underdog or pick like Arizona when they are revenging a 10 point or more home loss against and coming off a road loss. This system is 228-157 (59.2%) over the last five seasons. The Wildcats are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 road games against teams winning 60% or more of their home games.

UCLA has been giving up a lot of rebounds. Playing teams like USC and Arizona State they are able to walk away. Those teams shoot 40% or less from the field. That will not be the case against a top tier team like Arizona. If UCLA allows Arizona to get 45+ rebounds like they did against Arizona State they will be in trouble because the Wildcats shoot over 45% from the field.

Arizona

5* Vegas Insider on Montana State +

The Montana State Bobcats are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games against teams winning 60% or more of their games. They are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games against teams winning 60% or more of their road games. Montana on the other hand is 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 road games against a team winning 60% or more of their home games.

This is the fourth consecutive road game for Montana and they appear to be tiring. In their last game against Davidson they gave up 49.2% shooting and forced only 8 turnovers. The Grizzlies are a good shooting team, but so are the Bobcats. Montana State is 7-1 ATS playing teams shooting 45% or better this season.

This is a revenge game for Montana State. The Bobcats played the Grizzlies back in January and lost by six points on the road. The Change in venue should easily make up the 2 point difference between those results and today

3* No Doubt Rout on Milwaukee Bucks -

Toronto is 1-4 ATS in their last five games. You should always play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Toronto when they coming off a home loss and are revenging a home loss to their opponent. This system is 124-66 (65.3%) over the last five seasons.

In the last 11 head to head meetings between these teams the Bucks are 9-2 ATS. Milwaukee is 32-15 ATS against Atlantic division opponents over the last three seasons. It seems as though they will easily improve that number when they face a Toronto team that has allowed 102 points per game on the road while scoring only 96.5 what they are away from home.

The Raptors are playing without any rest. They traveled from Indiana to Milwaukee and will start a four game road stretch with this game against the Bucks. Milwaukee is playing on two days of rest and coming off solid back to back performances against Houston and Dallas. Milwaukee is the hot team, the well-rested team and the smart play laying such a small number on their home court.

4* Heavy Hitter on Texas Arlington -

Utah State is 6-17 ATS the last 23 times they have been on the road coming off a road loss against a conference rival. These teams played back in January and Texas-Arlington won straight up on the road at Utah State. The Mavericks have now won six of their last seven games coming into this rematch and eight of their last ten games since playing the Aggies.

Utah State has struggled defensively lately. They allowed 50% shooting from Louisiana Tech and have forced an average of just 8.5 turnovers per game in their last five games. The offense has not been much better shooting 35.7% in their last game. They now face a Texas-Arlington team that has held opponents to under 30% from beyond the three point line at home and has allowed 37.6% from the field this season. The Mavericks 59.7 points per game allowed at home ranks them among some of the best in college basketball.

4* No Brainer on Southern Illinois +

This is a revenge game for Southern Illinois as the Salukis suffered a five point loss to Drake back in January. You should always play on a team like Southern Illinois when they are revenging a home loss against an opponent off an upset win as an underdog over a conference rival. This system is 307-216 (58.7%) over the last five seasons.

You should also play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after having won four of their last five games in a matchup where the road underdog is winning 40-49% of their games and playing a team that also has a losing record. This system is 27-9 ATS (75%) the last 38 times this situation has occurred. It makes sense to take the hot team in a matchup involving two bad teams. Drake clearly has little to no advantage playing on their home court. They have a 6-6 ATS record at home and have allowed 71.9 points per game and almost 44% shooting.

3* No Doubt Rout on Minnesota -

Both teams are coming off big wins. Minnesota knocked off Indiana and Penn State beat Michigan. The win for Minnesota was nothing to celebrate. The Golden Gophers are a good team with a 19-9 record. For 9-19 Penn State, a win over Michigan is something you celebrate all week. Minnesota is 6-1 ATS their last 7 games against teams with a losing record and 5-1-1 ATS their last 7 home games against teams winning 40% or less of their road games. Penn State got a great win over Michigan on their home court. That does nothing to improve their 56.3 point average and 1-10 record when playing on the road.

3* Oddsmakers Error on West Virginia +

You should always play against favorites of 10 or more points when their defense allows 63 or less points per game playing a team that also has a good defense allowing 63-67 points per game and that favorite is coming off a performance scoring 85 or more points. This system is 53-16 (76.8%) over the last five seasons. This young Kansas team is mentally fragile. They suffered three consecutive losses earlier this season. They have received a lot of attention this week because of some controversial calls in their game with Iowa State. That media attention is not good for a team whose Head Coach said this is one of the worst Kansas teams in years.

4* No Limit on Central Florida +

The Central Florida Knights play well against strong competition. They are 4-1 ATS against teams winning 60% or more of their games. Memphis has played a weak schedule so their record is a little inflated in comparison to the level of talent they actually have. Central Florida is a solid 19-9 this season and they are playing for revenge after getting embarrassed by Memphis on February 13th.

Memphis is 12-25 ATS after a non-conference game over the last three seasons and they are 5-11-2 ATS in their last 18 games following a straight up loss. Central Florida on the other hand is 11-3 ATS in home games against conference opponents over the last two seasons and 6-0 ATS in home games after three straight games committing 14 or less turnovers over the last three seasons.

Central Florida is not only doing a good job handling the ball, they are also performing well on the defensive end of the court. The Knights held Georgia SW to 27.8% shooting in their last game and have forced an average of 17 turnovers per game in their last three games. Memphis has been struggling to force turnovers averaging 11.3 in their last three games which has earned them a 1-2 record ATS.

3* Main Event on Jacksonville State +

Always play on underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points like Jacksonville State when they are off an upset win as a road underdog and revenging a home loss against an opponent. This system is 55-24 (69.6%) ATS over the last five seasons. Jacksonville State is 11-0 ATS against teams averaging 16 or more assists per game after 15+ games. The Gamecocks have done a great job of controlling their turnovers and forcing them from their opponents. Belmont won the first matchup between these teams by 11 points. A change in venue is not enough to make up the additional points to cover such a large number.

5* FRIDAY NIGHT GAME OF THE YEAR on Fairfield -

The Manhattan Jaspers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games against a team with a winning road record. The Jaspers offense averages 59.2 points per game ranking them 328th among division one teams. They are also a poor rebounding team pulling in 32.5 boards per game. They are in serious trouble tonight because they face a Fairfield team that has one of the best defenses in college basketball. The Stags are allowing 60.1 points per game ranking them 36th among division one teams.

You should always play against home teams as an underdog or pick like Manhattan when they are a poor passing team averaging 12 or less assists per game in March games. This system is 40-15 (72.7%) over the last 5 seasons. You should also play on road teams as a favorite or pick that are forcing 14 or less turnovers per game in March games. This situation is 60-28 (68.2%) over the last five seasons.

This is a revenge game for Fairfield who suffered an embarrassing loss to Manhattan just over two weeks ago. That game was played at Fairfield and postponed twice due to weather. The Stags did not have a chance to prepare for Manhattan which resulted in a lopsided loss. Fairfield is the better team and and they have had time to prepare for this round two showdown. The Stags should have no problem getting their revenge against the Jaspers tonight.

5* NBA TOTAL NO BRAINER on Kings/Spurs OVER

The Kings run a lazy defense, and they average over 20 fouls per game when playing on the road. Sacramento is 20-7 to the over when playing against good free throw shooting teams that are making 76% or more of their attempts this season. It seems like the Kings have stopped playing defense all together, going over the total in eight of their last nine games. In head to head matchups between these teams the over is 4-1 the last 5 games being played at San Antonio. Head coach Keith Smart is 27-13 to the over when playing with double revenge after 2 straight losses against an opponent as the coach of Sacramento.

The Kings are allowing 104.8 points per game when playing on the road and the Spurs are scoring 105 points per game at home. Sacramento is averaging over 111 points per game in their last five games so it is safe to say their offense is hot right now. The Spurs just finished a 9 game run on the road to come home and give up 105 points to the Phoenix Suns. They have had only one day of rest and now face a Sacramento team that is putting points on the board with ease. This game should have no problem going over the total.

4* NBA TOTAL DOMINATOR on Raptors/Pacers UNDER

Indiana is 17-8 to the under when playing against a team with a losing record this season. Some teams make adjustments to the offense and others to the defense when they are not playing well. The Raptors are a team that makes defensive adjustments which explains why they are 30-16 to the under after failing to cover two of their last three games against the spread over the last two seasons. The Raptors lost as a favorite against Golden State and as a favorite against the Clippers. Head coach Dwane Casey will certainly have a plan to slow down the Pacers which will help us on the under.

Indiana is allowing 89.6 points per game and scoring only 89.2 points per game when playing on the road. Toronto has allowed 95.4 points at home, but the Pacers are one of the worst road teams in the league when it comes to scoring so they should be able to perform much better than their statistical average. Neither team has problems with foul trouble which is good for an under because it keeps the clock running.

3* HEAVY HITTER on Chicago Bulls -7

Both of these teams have been plagued by key injuries this season. Rose and Bynum are still out and both Chicago and Philadelphia are in desperate need of a win. You should always play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points like Philadelphia when they are trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent that is off a home loss. This system is 123-66 (65.1%) over the last five seasons.

The 76ers are 26-43 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last two seasons and 5-15 ATS in road games against teams winning 51-60% of their games over the last three seasons. Philadelphia has lost six consecutive games coming into this matchup and their defense has allowed over 50% shooting in two of their last three games.

The Bulls got the wake-up call they needed when they lost to Cleveland straight up going into that game favored by 8.5 points. Chicago should be motivated for this matchup against a struggling team from Philadelphia. Laying the points is the smart play for this game.

3* HIGH ROLLER on San Jose State +

This game falls into a system to play against a favorite like Texas Arlington when they are allowing 40% or less shooting from the field, playing against another great defense allowing 40-42.5% shooting, and the favorite is an average ball handling team with 14.5-17.5 turnovers against a good ball handling team that averages less than 14.5 turnovers. This system is 136-85 (61.5%) over the last five seasons.

You should also play on underdogs of 10 or more points that have a losing record when they are revenging a home loss against an opponent. This system is 513-394 (56.6%) over the last five seasons. The fact that San Jose State has a losing record is actually what creates value on the Spartans. A losing team will get more points than a winning team and 11.5 is just too many for Arlington to cover.

The Texas-Arlington Mavericks have one of the worst offenses in college basketball. They average 63 points per game ranking them 276th among division one teams. They are also a very poor shooting team ranking 299th. The Mavericks have been able to win based on their defense but even those numbers are trending in the wrong direction. Texas-Arlington gave up 51.9% shooting from the field to UC Irvine.

3* UNDERVALUED UNDERDOG on Tennessee Martin +

Murray State