Sports Picks & Predictions

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Boston.  The Raptors will be at an advantage tonight at home vs. an unrested Boston squad which had to play on Sunday vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves.  Toronto is an awesome 32-9 ATS as a home favorite in the regular season vs. Atlantic division rivals, including a perfect 10-0 ATS vs. .572 (or better) foes.  Take Toronto.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers + the points over Phoenix.  The Sixers play this game with revenge from a 5-point upset loss to the Suns last month.  We'll grab the points, as Philly is 48-29 ATS when playing with revenge from an upset loss.  Even better:  the Suns enter this evening's contest off back to back upset wins.  But .745 (or better) NBA teams off back to back upsets have covered just 20 of 60 home games when favored by 3+ points.  Take Philly + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers + the points over Houston.  This is a rematch of a game played last night -- also here, in Portland.  The Rockets blew out the Blazers, 125-106, but we'll take the home dog to get the victory tonight.  Portland is a solid 44-15 ATS in non-division games when priced from -2.5 to +6, if it owned a W/L percentage less than .380.  And the Blazers are also 98-63 ATS as a home dog of < 5 points.  Meanwhile, Houston is a woeful 18-35 ATS as a road favorite vs. losing foes, if the Rockets won/covered as a road favorite in their previous game.  Take the Trail Blazers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over Miami.  Our preseason futures pick on the Nets to win the NBA title received some welcome news this week when the State of New York lifted the vaccine mandate for pro athletes and performers.  Now, G Kyrie Irving will be allowed to play at home, in Brooklyn, in the Playoffs.  There are still a few regular season games to be played, and the Nets are jockeying for playoff positioning as the season winds down.  The eighth-seeded Nets lost at home to the #1-seeded Heat, 113-107, earlier this month.  We'll take Kevin Durant and Co. to avenge that loss, as Brooklyn is 41-14 ATS on the road when playing with revenge against an opponent with a better record.  Take the Nets minus the points.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over Milwaukee.  Memphis lost at Milwaukee by 12 points earlier this season.  We'll take the Grizzlies in this rematch, as they're a perfect 7-0 ATS this season when playing with revenge from a road loss.  And they're 27-6 ATS at home when playing with revenge, if they weren't favored by more than 2 points.  Take Memphis.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers over Chicago.  The Bulls, Cavaliers and Raptors are locked into a tight battle in the Eastern Conference playoff race.  Chicago sits in 5th place, while Cleveland and Toronto are tied for 6th, just 1 game behind.  This race is important because the team which finishes with the worst record will be seeded 7th, and forced to win a game in the Play-in Round to make the playoffs.  We'll take the homestanding Cavaliers, as Chicago is 5-18-1 ATS its last 24 road games, including 0-9 ATS its last nine.  And Cleveland is 21-12-2 ATS its last 35 home games.  Take the Cavs.

At 5:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over New Orleans.  The Pelicans blew out San Antonio, 124-91, eight days ago in the Alamo City.  We'll take the Spurs to avenge that defeat, as San Antone is 39-18 ATS when playing with revenge from a 22-point (or worse) defeat.  Take the Spurs + the points.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over Dallas.  The T-Wolves lost a road game to Dallas just four days ago, 110-108.  And, then, it also lost its next game, here at home, to the Phoenix Suns.  We'll take Minnesota to avenge that defeat against Dallas, as it falls into a 126-69 ATS system of mine which plays on certain winning teams off back to back losses.  Even better:  Dallas has covered just 34 of 94 non-division road games, if it was off back to back wins, and its foes was off back to back losses.  And the Mavs are 11-32 ATS off a win, when playing a .333 (or better) revenge-minded foe.  Finally, the T-Wolves are 6-1 SU/ATS their last seven home games, and 7-1-1 ATS their last nine home games when playing with revenge.  Take the Timberwolves.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Phoenix.  The Suns are 59-14, yet are an underdog tonight against the 43-30 Nuggets.  We'll take Denver tonight, as winning NBA teams have gone 276-214 ATS in the final 10 games of a season when favored against an opponent with a better record.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers + the points over Memphis.  The Grizzlies upset Brooklyn last night, as a home dog, while the Pacers were upset at home by Sacramento.  We'll fade Memphis as teams off upset home wins have covered just 46 of 126 games against foes off upset home losses, if our upsetter wasn't getting more than 10 points in its current game.  Take Indiana + the points.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Cleveland.  The Cavaliers are 10-16-1 ATS their last 27 on the road, and will face a revenge-minded Raptors squad which will look to avenge its 8-point loss to the Cavs earlier this month.  Toronto is 7-2 its last nine with playing with revenge, and also falls into a 152-97 ATS revenge system of mine.  Additionally, the Raptors were blown out by 14 points on Monday, in Chicago.  But Toronto is 24-13 ATS off a loss by 12+ points.  Take Toronto minus the points.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves over the Phoenix Suns.  The T-Wolves are on a red-hot 10-2 SU/ATS run, and will look to move to within a half-game of the Denver Nuggets for the 6th seed (which would enable them to avoid the play-in round).  Minnesota's 6-0 SU/ATS its last six home games, and have won them by an average of 26.8 ppg.  And those six games include wins over Golden State (129-114) and Milwaukee (138-119).  The T-Wolves are 9-0-2 ATS at home when the Over/Under line is greater than 230 points, 7-0-1 ATS their last seven revenge meetings at home, and they also fall into a 95-36 ATS revenge system of mine.  Take the Timberwolves.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over Golden State.  The Warriors are playing the 2nd game of the back-to-back, and will sit Draymond Green and Klay Thompson tonight.  Even worse:  Steph Curry was already sidelined with a left foot injury.  So, the Warriors will be a shell of themselves tonight against a Miami Heat team looking to bounce back from an upset loss at the hands of the 76ers.  Miami has failed to cover the spread in 3 straight games.  But the Heat are 50-25 ATS off 3 ATS losses.  And they play this game with revenge from a 7-point loss in San Francisco.  And that defeat has triggered a great 144-78 ATS revenge system of mine that goes against certain unrested foes.  Lay the points with Miami.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over New York.  Last season, the Hawks knocked the Knicks out of the Playoffs.  This year, the Knicks have won all three meetings, thus far.  We'll take the Hawks, who were upset by New Orleans, 117-112, in their last game.  And triple-revenge-minded road favorites have covered 71% since 1990, if they were off an upset loss in their previous game.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Orlando.  The Warriors were upset at home in their two previous games by Boston and San Antonio.  But we'll take Golden State to bounce back on the road in Orlando.  The Warriors are 22-6 ATS off back to back upset defeats, including 12-0 ATS if their previous game was at home.  Meanwhile, the Magic are 0-13-2 ATS as a home dog vs. non-division foes off back to back losses.  Lay the points with Golden STate.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over Minnesota.  The Mavericks have lost their last two games SU/ATS, while Minnesota is 4-0 SU/ATS its last four.  We'll take the Mavs, as they've cashed 69% at home since 1990 off back to back SU/ATS losses vs. foes off 3 SU/ATS wins.  Take the Mavs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls minus the points over Toronto.  Chicago has dropped its last 3 games, and eight of its past 10 (1-9 ATS).  However, seven of those 10 games were on the road, where Chicago has gone 16-19 this season.  At home, it's been a different story, as Chicago is 25-10 SU and 23-12 ATS.  The Bulls are also 65% ATS since 1990 at home when not getting 4+ points, if they're off back to back road losses.  Take Chicago.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets minus the points over New Orleans.  The Pelicans come into this game off back to back upset wins on the road over San Antonio and Dallas.  Unfortunately, New Orleans has covered just 21.4% since 1990 as an underdog of +1.5 (or more) points off back to back upset road wins.  Take Charlotte.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over Charlotte.  The Hornets enter tonight's game on a 3-game SU/ATS win streak, while Dallas lost its previous game.  Charlotte, though, is 18-35 ATS at home off 3 SU/ATS wins, while the Mavs are 13-0 ATS as a road favorite off a road loss.  Take Dallas minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over Detroit.  The Magic suffered one of the worst losses in franchise history when they were blown out at home, 150-108, by Brooklyn, on Tuesday.  But off that embarrassing loss, we'll take Orlando to rebound tonight.  NBA home teams bounce back off horrible home losses, more often than not.  And since 1990, home teams have covered 63% at home off a loss in which they gave up 42 points (and 73% if they also lost that game by 22+ points).  Take Orlando.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Sacramento.  The Kings upset Chicago on Monday, 112-103.  We'll fade the Kings as a home dog tonight, as losing teams off an upset home win are a poor 87-125 ATS as home dogs of +5 (or more) points vs. rested .600 (or better) foes.  Take the Bucks.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics + the points over Golden State.  The Celts were upset, 95-92, by Dallas on Monday.  And that was Boston's second straight ATS defeat.  The good news is that Boston is 9-0 ATS this season (and 15-2 ATS dating back to last season) after scoring less than 97 points in their previous game.  And the Celts are 29-11 ATS the past three seasons off back to back ATS defeats.  Take Boston + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over Brooklyn.  The Nets put up 150 points in their last game, but have been installed as a home underdog tonight.  Since 1990, teams not favored by 5+ points, that scored 150+ in their previous game, have covered just 38% of the time.  Take Dallas.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over Detroit.  The Heat will conclude its six-game home stand tonight.  And it will look to bounce back off its loss to Minnesota, on Saturday.  But All-Star Jimmy Butler (toe) didn't play in that game, yet has been upgraded to 'probable' for tonight's match.  Detroit also lost its last game, 106-102, at home on Sunday to the Clippers.  And that was Detroit's 3rd straight defeat.  We'll lay the points, as Miami is 55-37 ATS after failing to cover the spread by 10+ points in its previous game, and 34-16 ATS when playing with more rest than its opponent.  Take the Heat.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.d

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over Golden State.  The Wizards have dropped their first three games of their four-game road trip, as they lost SU/ATS at the Clippers, Lakers, and Trail Blazers.  So, we'll look for the 4th time to be the charm, and will take the points with Washington tonight.  For technical support, consider that double-digit underdogs have covered 65.5% over the last 32 years off 3 road SU/ATS losses when matched up against a foe off a SU/ATS win.  Take Washington + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Minnesota.  After upsetting the Utah Jazz -- which gave coach Gregg Popovich the all-time wins record -- the Spurs understandably had a letdown in their next game.  Indiana upset the Spurs, here, on Saturday, in the Alamo City.  So, we'll look for San Antone to bounce back off that home upset loss.  San Antonio is 103-71 ATS at home off an upset loss.  And it's also a solid 28-9 ATS at home when playing with revenge from a blowout loss by more than 21 points.  With the Spurs, indeed, looking to avenge a 25-point loss to the T-Wolves in Minneaopolis earlier this season, we'll take San Antonio + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over the Orlando Magic.  The 76ers were throttled, 129-100, as a 3.5-point home favorite by the Brooklyn Nets, so they'll look to bounce back off that humiliating loss this evening.  We'll lay the points, as teams that failed to cover the spread at home by 30+ points in their previous game have bounced back 72.5% since 1991 when matched up against a foe off a win.  And the Magic are, indeed, off a win, as they upset Minnesota, 118-110, as an 8.5-point home dog on Friday.  Unfortunately for Orlando, it's a horrid 0-12 SU/ATS as an underdog of 10+ points, if it covered the spread by more than 8 points in its previous game.  Take Philly.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Toronto.  We played against Denver two nights ago, and got the $$$$ with the Warriors, who won here by 11 points, 113-102.  We'll take Denver to bounce back off that loss, as it's 52-31 ATS at home off a home loss by more than 10 points, including an awesome 27-5 ATS when priced from +2 to -7.5 points.  Even better:  the Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in their last three games.  But Denver's 28-7 ATS against .400 (or better) foes, if the Nuggets were on a 3-game (or worse) ATS losing streak, including 16-1 ATS as a favorite (and 10-0 ATS if favored by 5+ points).  Take Denver.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over Minnesota.  Both of these teams played last night.  The Heat took care of business here, at home, vs. Cleveland, while Minnesota was upset by the Magic, in Orlando.  We played on Miami last night, and will come right back with them on Saturday.  Yesterday's win by the Heat was their 13th in 16 games (11-5 ATS).  Minnesota is also playing good basketball, as it's won six of its last eight SU/ATS.  But this is a difficult scheduling spot for the T-Wolves, who will be traveling without rest, and also playing their 3rd game in four nights (all with travel in-between).  The Heat, meanwhile, are in the midst of a long seven-game home stand.  Lay the points with Miami.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Utah.  These two teams have traded road victories in two meetings earlier this season.  But San Antonio covered the spread in each game.  The Spurs are 24-4 ATS at home vs. Utah when not favored by more than 9 points, including 17-0 ATS if Utah's win percentage was greater than .600.  Take San Antone + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over Houston.  The Mavs suffered a humiliating 30-point upset loss at home to the Knicks on Wednesday.  We'll take Dallas to rebound tonight, as NBA favorites of -6.5 (or more) points off a home upset loss in which they failed to cover the spread by 30+ points, have cashed 83% vs. foes off a SU win since 1990.  Lay the points with Dallas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over Cleveland.  The Heat's 3-game win streak (and 5-game ATS win streak) ended on Wednesday, as Miami was blown out, 111-90, by Phoenix.  We'll take the Heat to bounce back, as they're 40-12 ATS off an upset loss, if they're matched-up against a conference foe off a straight-up win.  Take Miami. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over the Los Angeles Clippers.  The Clippers blew out the Hawks, 106-93, in Los Angeles earlier this season.  We'll take the homestanding Hawks tonight, as they're 94-54 ATS at home when rested, and playing with revenge from a double-digit loss, including 10-0 ATS their last 10 vs. Western Conference foes.  Take Atlanta. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Denver.  The Nuggets are in a tough scheduling spot tonight, as they played last night, while Golden State had Wednesday off.  And the Warriors will surely be focused tonight, as they have already lost three times to Denver this season, including a 7-point loss last week.  We'll take the Warriors in this big revenge situation, as they're 55-29 ATS on the road when playing with revenge, including 7-1 ATS vs. unrested foes.  Meanwhile, the Nuggets are a wallet breaking 52-101-1 ATS at home when playing without rest, including 10-26 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes.  Lay the points with the Warriors.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over New York.  The Knicks upset both the Clippers and Kings in their last two games.  And they also upset Dallas, 108-85, as a 2.5-point home dog, in January.  But that upset win sets up our play tonight, as Dallas is 15-1 ATS this season when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  And the Mavs also fall into a 115-68 ATS revenge system of mine which plays on certain teams that lost by 20+ points in an earlier meeting.  Take Dallas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder + the points over Milwaukee.  We played on the Bucks on Sunday in a revenge match vs. Phoenix, and got the $$$$ when they won by 10, as a 9-point favorite.  We'll fade Milwaukee tonight, though, as it will be the Thunder who will be playing with revenge.  And OKC is 74-47 ATS in the regular season when playing with revenge against a foe off a win (and not an ATS loss).  Take OKC.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over New Orleans.  Memphis stumbled badly in its last game when it was upset by Houston, as a double-digit favorite.  We'll lay the points tonight with Taylor Jenkins' men, as they're 10-0 ATS their last 10 off a road loss.  Take the Grizzlies.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over Charlotte.  The Nets were blown out, 111-95, by the Hornets in Brooklyn earlier this season.  But the Nets are a solid 49-23 ATS on the road when playing with revenge from a double-digit home loss.  Take the Nets minus the points.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over the Los Angeles Lakers.  Once again, the Spurs will attempt to give Gregg Popovich a win, which would enable him to tie Don Nelson for the all-time regular season coaching wins record.  The Spurs open up a long home stand tonight, so at some point Popovich will tie (and break) Nelson's record.  Tonight, San Antonio will take on its long-time nemesis, the Lakers, who come into tonight's game off a home upset win against Golden State.  But Los Angeles is an awful 13-28 ATS off a home win.  Lay the points with San Antone.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over Utah.  Utah has won the first two meetings this season vs. Dallas.  But each of those games was in Salt Lake City; tonight's game will be played in Texas.  And Dallas is 13-2 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, so that bodes well for the home team.  Additionally, Luka Doncic has been upgraded to 'probable' for today's game, which is all we need to pull the trigger on the home-standing Mavericks, who are 10-1 ATS as a home favorite of 6 or less points this season.  Take Dallas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over the Houston Rockets.  Houston comes into this game off a win as a double-digit home underdog.  Once again, it's installed as a double-digit dog.  Unfortunately, though, the Rockets are 18-33 ATS off a point spread win, while the Heat are 15-7 ATS off back to back ATS wins.  Lay the points with Miami.

At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Phoenix.  The Bucks were blown out by 24 points last month in Phoenix.  We played on the Suns in that game, which was a big revenge match for them, given the Bucks won last year's NBA Finals against them.  But we'll take Milwaukee as the home favorite this afternoon, and go against the 51-12 Suns.  For technical support, consider that .783 (or better) NBA teams off a win are a dreadful 43-88-3 ATS at Game 50 forward, when not favored by 4+ points, and playing a rested opponent.  Take the Bucks minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over Philadelphia.  The 76ers defeated Miami here in South Florida, back in January.  So, Miami will look to avenge that defeat tonight.  We'll lay the points, as Miami is 88-61 ATS as a favorite of 5 or less points, and it's also 7-3 ATS its last 10 vs. the 76ers.  Take the Heat.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Charlotte.  With a Spurs victory tonight, the Spurs' Gregg Popovich will tie Don Nelson for the all-time record for regular season wins as a head coach.  One of the reasons that Popovich is in this position is because he generally gets his troops to avoid long losing streaks.  Tonight, the Spurs will look to snap a 3-game losing streak, and they're 36-24 ATS on the road in the regular season off 3+ losses.  Take San Antonio + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Detroit.  The Pistons have won both meetings vs. Toronto this season.  We'll lay the points with Toronto in Round 3, as Detroit has covered just 37.2% as a road underdog since 1990 when playing a foe with double-revenge from two losses earlier in the season.  Take the Raptors.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over Philadelphia.  The 76ers blew out the Knicks on Sunday, 125-109 (though the game was tied at 98, in the 4th quarter before Philly's finishing kick).  We'll take the Knicks this evening, as double-digit dogs have covered over 63% since 1990 if they lost SU/ATS to the very same opponent in their previous game.  Take New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers minus the points over Orlando.  This is the 2nd of back to back meetings between these teams (both in Orlando).  The Magic won Round 1, 119-103, as a 2.5-point favorite.  Tonight, it's the Pacers who are favored, in part because Malcolm Brogdon will play tonight after missing the prior game.  We'll lay the points, as the Pacers fall into a 132-94 ATS revenge system of mine.  Additionally, in the 2nd of back to back meetings between the same two teams, the loser of the first meeting has covered the 2nd game 56.9% if both games were competitively-priced with point spreads of 3 points or less.  Take the Pacers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets + the points over Toronto.  Last night, we played on the Raptors, and were rewarded with a 36-point blowout of these Nets.  We'll take Brooklyn as a big underdog in this rematch, as it's 41-17 ATS as an underdog on the road when playing with revenge.  Take the Nets.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Charlotte.  Mike Budenholzer's men come into this game off back-to-back losses.  But the Bucks are a sensational 48-21 ATS at home off back-to-back losses.  And they also fall into an 85-49 ATS revenge system of mine, based on the fact that Charlotte has won the previous two meetings.  Lay the points.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings minus the points over Oklahoma City.  The Thunder won without Josh Giddey on Friday, at Indiana, as they upset the Pacers, 129-125.  But off that win, we will fade the Thunder tonight vs. Sacramento, as OKC falls into negative 78-145 and 110-200 ATS systems of mine that fade certain teams off upset wins.  Even better:  the Kings are off a loss at Denver, but are 25-16 ATS off back to back losses, if their previous game was on the road.  Take the Kings minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Brooklyn.  The Raptors were blown out by 27 points in their last game by Atlanta.  And that was Toronto's 2nd straight loss since resuming play after the break.  But Toronto is 23-13 ATS off a loss by more than 11 points, and 110-71 ATS off back to back losses, overall.  Take Toronto.

At 7:40 pm, on ESPN-TV, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks + the points over Golden State.  The Warriors thrashed the Mavericks, 130-92, in the previous meeting.  Unfortunately for Golden State, winning teams that won by 38+ points in the season's previous meeting have covered just 36% at home since 1990 in the next match-up.  And the Mavericks are also 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings between these Western conference foes.  Take Dallas + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets + the points over the Los Angeles Clippers.  In a scheduling quirk, this will be the 2nd time in three games that these two teams will have met.  And, then, they will play for a 3rd time in four games when they play here, in Houston, on Tuesday.  The Clippers blew out Houston by 31 points in the game right before the All-Star Break.  We'll take the Rockets in this rematch, as the Clippers are 20-44 ATS when favored by 4+ points against a revenge-minded foe.  And NBA home underdogs off back to back SU/ATS losses are a solid 150-112 ATS vs. non-division foes off 3 ATS wins.  Take Houston + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:10 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers + the points over Boston.  The Pacers stumbled coming out of the All-Star Break, as they were upset, 129-125, as an 8-point favorite vs. Oklahoma City.  Of course, this is to be somewhat expected, as the long layoff creates a little bit of rust.  But we'll take Indiana to bounce back, as teams that were off upset losses in their first game after the All-Star Break have covered 64.8% at home when not laying more than 7 points (and 90% when getting 2+ points).  Additionally, the Pacers are 54-30 ATS as an underdog of +4 (or more) points off an upset home loss, including 12-1-1 ATS vs. unrested foes.  Grab the points with Indiana.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Washington.  We played against the Wizards last night, and took the Spurs as a small road favorite.  San Antonio + Washington went to double-overtime before the Spurs prevailed by a 157-153 count.  Off that extended game, and having to travel, I look for Washington to be a bit overmatched against a rested Cavaliers team.  The Cavs were upset in their last game by the cellar-dwelling Pistons, so they'll be extra motivated this evening.  Cleveland's an awesome 47-21 ATS as a favorite of -6 (or more) points vs. losing foes, if the Cavs were off back to back losses.  Lay the points.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls over the Memphis Grizzlies.  The Bulls have won six straight, and currently are atop the Eastern Conference.  They'll welcome the #3-seeded Western Conference team to the Windy City tonight.  The Grizzlies got the better of Chicago on Beale Street, in January.  But we'll take Chicago to avenge that defeat tonight, as .650 (or better) revenge-minded teams are 545-442 ATS at home in the regular season vs. .500 (or better) foes, if our revenger wasn't favored by 11+ points.  Take the Bulls.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over Toronto.  The Raptors won by 11 points earlier this month vs. Atlanta, so the Hawks will play this game with revenge.  We went against Toronto last night when they went into Charlotte to play another revenge-minded foe, and were rewarded with a 125-93 blowout win.  And we'll look for the Raptors to lose back to back games.  Atlanta is a solid 93-54 ATS at home when playing with rest and revenge from a loss by more than 10 points.  And Atlanta also falls into a strong 144-66 ATS revenge system of mine.  Take the Hawks minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12:10 pm, in an early start, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Detroit.  Boston's won 10 out of 11 games.  Its one loss:  a 1-point home defeat to these Pistons, on Feb 16.  So, don't be surprised if the Celtics avenge that loss in a big way on this Saturday.  Indeed, revenge-minded, double-digit road favorites have cashed 73.9% since 1990 if they were off a win in their previous game.  Take Boston.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Washington.  The Spurs have won 3 of 4 games (all on the road) to move up to 11th place in the Western Conference, just one game outside the final play-in spot currently held by the Trail Blazers.  They'll visit a Wizards club which is currently in a 4-16-1 ATS tailspin, including 2-11-1 ATS their last 14 at home.  Even worse for Washington:  it won its last game, 117-103, over the Nets.  But Washington is 0-8 ATS its last eight (and 3-14 ATS its last 17) games off a straight-up win.  Take San Antonio to blow out Washington.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets + the points over Toronto.  Going into the All-Star Break, these two teams were headed in opposite directions.  Toronto had gone 9-2 SU/ATS since Jan. 29, while the Hornets had won just one of their 10 previous games, straight-up.  One of those nine defeats was a 15-point home loss to this Raptors team, on February 7.  We'll take the Hornets + the points, as they fall into a 97-35 ATS revenge system of mine, as well as a 66% ATS system which plays on certain .450 (or better) home teams off a loss vs. non-division foes.  Finally, the Raptors are 8-26 ATS in competitively-priced games with point spreads of 5 or less, if they're playing a .480 (or better) double-revenge-minded foe.  Grab the points with Charlotte.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks + the points over Chicago.  The Bulls ended the first half on a 5-game win streak, but momentum won't carry over after the eight-day layoff.  We'll grab the points with Atlanta, which plays tonight with double-revenge from a pair of losses to Chicago in December.  The Hawks are 9-1 SU and 10-0 ATS as underdogs with double-revenge (including outright upset wins as underdogs of +4.5, +5.5, +6, +8.5 and +11 points).  Take the Hawks + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Denver.  The Nuggets won by 10 points vs. Orlando two nights ago.  Unfortunately, Denver is a horrid 21-48 ATS on the road off a win by more than 8 points, including 6-22 ATS if its foe failed to cover the spread by 5+ points in its previous game.  Take the Warriors.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Oklahoma City.  We played against San Antone on Monday, and were rewarded with an 11-point Chicago victory.  But off that loss, we'll lay the points with Gregg Popovich's crew on the road.  Indeed, the Spurs are 82-51 ATS as a road favorite of -4 (or more) points off a SU loss.  Take the Spurs.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over Boston.  These two teams are headed in opposite directions.  Boston won its 9th in a row last night in blowout fashion, as it pounded Philly, 137-87.  Meanwhile, the Pistons are riding an 8-game losing streak, in which they've gone 1-7 ATS.  But their one ATS win in this stretch was against these Celtics.  And Detroit will have an advantage tonight, in that Boston will be playing without rest, while Detroit had last night off.  Take the double-digits with Detroit.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over Brooklyn.  Both of these teams have been on horrid runs of late.  The Nets, though, did get back into the win column on Monday, with a 24-point blowout of the Sacramento Kings.  And that upset win snapped an 11-game losing streak.  New York has only been a tad better, as it's 2-8 SU/ATS over its last 10 games.  And its most recent game was its worst one yet, as it lost, 127-123, at home to Oklahoma City, as a 10-point favorite.  But New York's 12-0 ATS off a loss as a favorite of more than 9 points, if it wasn't favored by 6+ points in its current game.  And New York also falls into a 33-12 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home favorites off upset losses vs. foes off upset wins.  Take New York to bounce back tonight.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls minus the points over San Antonio.  The Spurs have impressed in their last two games, with upset road wins over the Pelicans and Hawks.  But off those two road upsets, we will fade Gregg Popovich's crew at Chicago, as the Bulls will be looking to avenge a 9-point loss in the Alamo City less than three weeks ago.  And San Antone has covered just 37% on the road since 1991 off back to back SU/ATS road wins, when matched up against a revenge-minded foe.  Meanwhile, Chicago has been dominant as a favorite of -2 (or more) points, as it's 31-5 straight-up, and 26-11 ATS, including 9-1 ATS at home vs. a foe off a win.  Lay the points with the Bulls.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:10 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over the Atlanta Hawks.  The Hawks were annihilated by San Antonio on Friday, 136-121, as they gave up 73 points in the first half.  Many teams will bounce back off bad games.  But not Atlanta, as it's 23-48 ATS on the road off a 15-point loss, when it's not getting more than 9 points (including 0-8 SU/ATS its last eight).  Boston is playing its best ball of the season, with seven straight wins, and nine victories in its last 10 games (6-4 ATS).  Lay the points with Ime Udoka's men.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over Charlotte.  We played on the Hornets last night, and easily got the $$$$ in a 141-119 victory over the Detroit Pistons.  Unfortunately, the Hornets have to play tonight without rest, against a rested, revenge-minded foe.  And unrested teams off a win, in which they scored 138+ points, have cashed just 25% since 1990 vs. rested, revenge-minded foes, provided our unrested team wasn't getting more than 11 points.  Memphis is 20-6 ATS off a win, when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  Take Memphis minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans minus the points over the San Antonio Spurs.  San Antone shot a blistering 18-of-32 from three-point range last night, en route to a 136-121 upset win at Atlanta.  Even center Jakob Poeltl got into the act, as he swished a shot from beyond half-court to end the first half, and send the Spurs into the locker room, up 73-56.  The Spurs came down to earth in the second half, and were outscored by two points, but still easily won by 15.  But off that win, we will fade San Antonio tonight against a rested Pelicans squad.  Since 1990, the Spurs are a wallet-breaking 21.4% ATS as an underdog of +7 (or less) points after a game in which they scored more than 116.  And on the road vs. New Orleans, the Spurs are 6-17 ATS off a win.  Take New Orleans.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets minus the points over Detroit.  This series has been completely dominated by Charlotte, as it's won the last 14 meetings, and has gone 11-3 ATS, including 5-1 ATS on the road.  It's true that the Hornets have dropped six straight games (as have the Pistons).  But .500 (or better) teams have cashed 64% off 6+ losses, if they weren't getting 5 or more points.  Even better:  the Pistons are a woeful 0-8 SU/ATS their last eight (and 35-61-1 ATS their last 97) at home against foes off 3 SU/ATS losses.  Take the Hornets minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over Milwaukee.  The Bucks enter tonight's game off 4 straight wins, but are an awful 84-144 ATS on a 3-game (or better) win streak when playing a rested opponent, including 12-33-1 ATS their last 46 when priced as an underdog of 5 or less points.  Take the Suns.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over the Golden State Warriors.  The Jazz lost twice in January to the Warriors, including a 94-92 defeat 17 days ago in San Francisco.  We'll lay the points with Utah, as the Jazz are 17-4 ATS off back to back wins, if their opponent is off a win, and the Jazz aren't laying more than 3 points.  And Utah is 51-30 ATS at home when playing with double-revenge, if not getting 4+ points.  Take the Jazz.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over Minnesota.  These two teams played last night, and the T-Wolves came away with a 134-114 win.  But Sacramento falls into a 67-34 ATS regular season system of mine which plays on certain revenge-minded teams that lost their previous game to the same opponent they're playing in the current game.  Take the Kings + the points.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Cleveland.  These two teams played last month, and the Cavs won a tight affair, 114-109, as a 3.5-point road favorite.  We'll take the Spurs in this revenge match, as San Antone has cashed 57% since 1990 as a road underdog when rested, and playing with revenge from a home loss earlier in the season.  Take the Spurs + the points.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over the Dallas Mavericks.  The Mavs come into tonight's game off back to back upset wins over the 76ers and the Hawks.  But off those wins, we'll fade Dallas as a double-digit home favorite.  Indeed, the Mavericks are a horrid 0-7 ATS their last seven, and 2-16 ATS their last 18 off back to back covers as an underdog, if Dallas wasn't getting 6 (or more) points.  And Dallas is 0-7 ATS as a home favorite of more than 7 points vs. Detroit.  Take the Pistons as a double-digit dog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings minus the points over Oklahoma City.  The Thunder upset Portland last night, but will be at a disadvantage tonight playing without rest vs. the rested Kings.  Indeed, unrested road underdogs off back to back upset road wins, have covered just 28% vs. rested foes.  Take the Kings minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over Washington.  The Suns had their 11-game win streak snapped by the Atlanta Hawks.  So, it's time to start a new win streak tonight.  And the Suns are 42-22 ATS on the road off an upset road loss.  Take the Suns minus the points.

At 5:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over Orlando.  The Magic upset the Pacers in their last game.  But we will fade Orlando off that victory, as it's 4-11 ATS its last 15 off an upset win.  Take the Grizzlies.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers minus the points over Oklahoma City.  These two Northwest division rivals met two games ago, and the Thunder upset Portland, 98-81.  Oklahoma City then followed up that win with another upset victory, while Portland lost a 3rd straight game on Wednesday when it fell to the Lakers, 99-94.  We'll lay the points with Portland tonight, as NBA favorites off a loss have cashed 71.7% since 1990 at home vs. division foes off a win, if our home team was playing with revenge from an upset loss by more than 10 points.  Take the Blazers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Chicago.  The Raptors will be out to avenge their loss to Chicago last week in the Windy City.  And Toronto is an awesome 12-0 ATS its last 12 when priced from -7 to +3 points.  Likewise, the Bulls have covered just one of their last 10 when priced from -3 to +7 points.  Toronto has been rolling at home, of late, as it's 13-3 ATS its last 16, including a perfect 9-0 ATS vs. winning foes.  Additionally, the Raptors fall into 130-93 and 219-140 ATS revenge systems of mine.  Take the Raptors.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs over Golden State.  The Warriors won, 122-108, last night at Houston, while the Spurs rested following their loss at Phoenix.  We played on San Antonio in that 115-110 defeat, and got the $$$ as it was a 12.5-point road underdog.  Tonight, the Spurs are at home, and they've gone 57-31 ATS since 1990 as a rested home team off a loss in this point spread range, including 26-10 against a foe off back-to-back wins (and 6-0 ATS if that foe was also unrested).  The Spurs are doing their best (ATS) work this season vs. the league's best teams, as they're 12-2 ATS vs. .637 (or better) teams (and 9-1 ATS vs. .666 (or better) clubs).  Take San Antonio on the moneyline.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans + the points over Detroit.  The Pistons are 12-37 this season, following their 115-105 win here, at home, on Sunday.  And now they're dressed up in the rare role of a favorite tonight vs. New Orleans.  I love to go against bad teams off wins, and I also love to go against bad teams as favorites.  Here, we get to do both.  To wit:  dating back to 1990, .sub-.250 teams (at Game 8 forward) have covered just 33 of 92 off exactly one win, if they were favored (or PK) at home.  Even worse for Detroit:  it's 0-14 ATS its last 14 off a win by more than 7 points (and 4-27-3 ATS its last 34).  Take the Pelicans + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over Memphis.  This is a great match-up between two of the hotter teams in the NBA.  Philly has won 14 of 17 (11-6 ATS), while Memphis is on a 16-3 run (15-4 ATS).  These two teams met seven weeks ago, and the Grizzlies blew out Philly by 35 points.  And that huge loss is a big reason for our play tonight, as NBA favorites have cashed 61% over the last 26 years when playing with revenge from a loss by 33+ points, including 4-0 ATS already this season.  Take Philly.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Phoenix.  This is the fourth meeting between these teams this season.  And, although Phoenix has won the first three, each was competitive.  The Suns won the first, 115-111, as a 5.5-point road favorite.  And then they won the 2nd game, 108-104, as a 7.5-point home favorite.  The 3rd meeting was earlier this month, and the Spurs lost by 14, 121-107.  But San Antonio led that game by four points, 91-87, through three quarters, before collapsing in the final eight minutes.  We'll look for yet another competitive game tonight, and will take the double-digits with the Spurs, who are 57-34 ATS as an underdog of 8+ points in the regular season.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over Portland.  Minnesota's been installed as a road favorite at Portland.  And it's 10-5 its last 15 as road chalk, and 24-12-2 ATS on the road vs. division rivals.  It's true that the Blazers won their last two games -- each as 8-point dogs -- at Boston, and at Toronto.  But home dogs have covered just 30.4% since 1990 following back to back upset wins as 8-point (or greater) underdogs.  Lay the points with the T-Wolves.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Houston.  The Spurs were upset by the Rockets, 128-124, 13 days ago in the Alamo City.  San Antone is 57-37 ATS as a road favorite when playing with revenge, while Houston has covered just 11 of 41 as a home dog.  Take the Spurs.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over Brooklyn.  The Lakers lost on Christmas Day to Brooklyn, 122-115, as a 2-point home favorite.  They're now favored at Brooklyn tonight, as Anthony Davis has been upgraded to 'probable,' while Kevin Durant remains sidelined.  We'll lay the points with Los Angeles, as it's 51-30 ATS as a revenge-minded road favorite.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over Indiana.  The Pacers pulled off one of the 11 biggest upsets in the past 32 years when they upset the Suns, 121-117, as a 16.5-point underdog on Thursday.  Unfortunately, road underdogs with a losing record, off back to back upset wins on the road, have covered just 40% since 1990.  Take the Suns minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Houston.  The Warriors were upset by Indiana last night, 121-117, as a massive 16.5-point favorite.  But Golden State is a super 33-11 ATS at home off a home loss, in which it gave up 121+ points.  Take Golden State minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Detroit.  Earlier this month, Detroit shocked the Jazz in the Motor City, with a 126-116 upset victory.  And, then, on Wednesday, Utah was shocked again by Houston, 116-111, as a 13.5-point favorite.  We'll take Utah tonight in this rematch, as we note that the Jazz have covered over 69% when playing with revenge, if Utah was off a SU/ATS home loss in its previous game.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Memphis. The Grizzlies have won the first two meetings this season.  But those two games were at home.  Tonight's game is in Denver.  And NBA home favorites have covered 58% in the regular season since 1990 when playing with revenge from two losses earlier in the season.  Additionally, Memphis is a soft 24-46 ATS vs. double-revenging foes that weren't off back to back losses.  Take Denver minus the points.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Brooklyn.  The Spurs took the Nets to overtime earlier this month, in Brooklyn, before falling, 121-119, as a 9.5-point road underdog.  We'll take San Antone as a home underdog tonight, as it's 35-14 ATS at home when playing with revenge.  Take the Spurs.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks + the points over Phoenix.  Both teams enter tonight's game is superb form.  Dallas has won 10 of 11 (and has gone 8-3 ATS), while Phoenix has won 7 of 8 (6-1-1 ATS).  This is the 3rd meeting of the season between these two teams.  Dallas lost the first two (both at Phoenix), but covered the point spread in each game.  We'll take Dallas tonight, as it's 90-46-1 ATS as an underdog when playing with double-revenge, if it's matched up against an opponent off a straight-up win.  With the Suns in off a 14-point win at San Antone, we'll go against Phoenix, and take Dallas + the points tonight.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Oklahoma City.  San Antone will play tonight's game with revenge from a loss at OKC earlier this season.  And the Spurs are 34-14 ATS at home in the regular season when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Phoenix.  We played on the Suns yesterday, and got the $$$$ with a blowout win over Detroit.  We'll take the Spurs tonight, as they're 34-13 ATS at home when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  Take San Antone.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:35 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over Chicago.  The Grizz had their 11-game win streak snapped on Saturday by Dallas, 112-85.  But we'll play on Memphis to resume its winning ways tonight, as it's 19-10 ATS off a loss by 15+ points.  And home teams have gone 97-67 ATS on MLK Day vs. non-division foes, if our home team wasn't laying 9+ points.  Take Memphis.

At 3:10 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Brooklyn.  The Nets have underperformed this season and especially off big wins.  Indeed, Brooklyn is 0-10 ATS off a win by 9+ points.  With the Nets off a 120-105 victory on Saturday vs. New Orleans, we'll lay the points with Cleveland today.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Denver. The Jazz have dropped four straight games. But this losing streak coincided with a number of players entering COVID-19 protocols, so it wasn't altogether related to poor play (though there was some of that, too). The good news is that Rudy Gobert and Rudy Gay have cleared protocols and are set to rejoin the team. We'll lay the points tonight, as Utah is well-rested, while Denver played last night in a blowout win over the Lakers. And Denver's a horrid 13-36 ATS its last 49 (and 52-99-1 ATS its last 152) at home when it played without rest. Take Utah to bounce back strong tonight, and blow out the Nuggets. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over Detroit.  The Pistons upset the Raptors on Friday, 103-87, as a 9-point home underdog.  And faithful followers know I love to play against bad teams immediately after wins.  So, off that upset win, we will fade Detroit this afternoon, as 9-point (or greater) home underdogs have covered just 33 of 93 after pulling an upset at home in their previous game.  Take Phoenix minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Cleveland.  San Antone was upset here, at home, by Houston in its last game -- its 3rd straight loss.  We'll take the Spurs as a home dog tonight, as it has cashed 75% as a home dog since 1990 off an upset loss.  And it's 28-15 ATS off 3+ losses, when matched up against a non-conference foe.  Take San Antonio + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.