Sports Picks & Predictions

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over the LA Clippers.  Los Angeles stormed back from a 28-point deficit to shock Boston, 123-112, as an 11.5-point road underdog.  But off that upset win, we will fade the Clippers tonight.  Los Angeles is an awful 1-15 straight-up and 2-14 ATS as a non-division underdog off a win, including 0-7 ATS off an upset win.  Meanwhile, the Timberwolves are a strong 10-3 straight-up and 11-2 ATS their last 11 vs. foes off an upset win, including a perfect 7-0 ATS if the T-Wolves were off an upset win.  Finally, the Clippers are a horrid 47-73-3 ATS as an underdog off a SU/ATS win, if they were playing a revenge-minded opponent.  With Minny playing with revenge from an 11-point loss to the Clippers earlier this season, we'll lay the points. Take Minnesota.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards minus the points over Cleveland.  The Wizards play with revenge from a loss to these Cavaliers, and they're 9-0 ATS this season at home when playing with revenge.  And they're also 17-0 ATS their last 17 at home when playing with revenge if they owned a win percentage less than .485.  That bodes well for Washington tonight.  As does the fact that the Cavs are 8-16-1 ATS as underdogs of more than 9 points.  Finally, since 1996, favorites playing with double-revenge from two losses earlier in the season, including an upset defeat in the previous meeting, have cashed 62% ATS in the regular season against teams off a point spread win.  Take Washington.  NBA Elite Info Winner!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets + the points over Milwaukee.  The Nets have been one of the pleasant surprises this season.  After going 28-54 last season (and 15-26 at home), the Nets are off to a winning start (28-26) this season, and would be seeded 6th in the Eastern Conference, if the season ended today.  Brooklyn did lose its last two games -- to the Spurs and Magic -- but both of those were on the road.  Tonight's game is back in Brooklyn, where the Nets have quietly won nine straight games (6-3 ATS), and 13 of their last 14 (10-4 ATS).  Among Brooklyn's victims in this 14-game stretch were Toronto, Boston, and the Lakers (before LeBron James sustained his injury).  On Monday night, the Nets will try to make it 10-in-a-row at home when they welcome the league's #1 team to Barclays Center.  It's true that the Bucks have won 3 straight games.  But Milwaukee is a horrid 51-105-4 ATS off 3+ wins, when playing a rested opponent, including 5-25 ATS their last 30 when their foe was off back to back losses.  Take Brooklyn.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:05 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets.  (Analysis to follow.)

At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Brooklyn.  The Spurs won on Tuesday night here, at home, vs. Phoenix.  But coach Gregg Popovich wasn't pleased with the victory.  After the game, he lambasted his team for its lackluster effort and said, "They out-played us, out-coached us, out-physicaled us, out-executed us....We had no respect for them or for the game.  We didn't play with each other.  It was a pathetic performance, and Phoenix got robbed."  I expect the Spurs to give a much better effort tonight after that verbal spanking.  It also won't hurt matters to get DeMar DeRozan, their leading scorer (21.5 ppg), back as he missed the last three games.  San Antone is a fantastic 31-5 straight-up (including 15-0 the last 15 here at home) and 24-8-2 ATS vs. the Nets since March 6, 2003.  And the Spurs are 64-28 ATS at home vs. winning Eastern conference foes that are not off a SU/ATS loss.  Take San Antone.  NBA High Roller Winner!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards minus the points over Cleveland.  Cleveland won at Chicago, 104-101, on Sunday, to snap its six-game losing streak, and improve to 10-41 on the season.  One of the things I love to do is play against certain bad teams off wins, as they tend to not win back to back games.  And tonight's situation is especially attractive, as the Wizards will be playing with revenge from a loss to these Cavaliers last month.  Since 1995, NBA teams off a win, with a W/L percentage less than .200, have cashed just 33% against revenge-minded opponents.  Take the Wizards to blow out Cleveland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Brooklyn.  The Celtics had their five-game win streak snapped on Saturday by Golden State.  Of course, nobody's defeated the Warriors for 3 1-2 weeks, so there was no great shame in losing that game.  Tonight, Boston will look to avenge a defeat suffered to Brooklyn two weeks ago.  I believe it will, as Boston is a perfect 12-0 ATS at home vs. division rivals, if Boston wasn't favored by more than 13 points.  Additionally, Boston's 28-15 ATS when playing with revenge, including a perfect 7-0 ATS vs. division rivals.  And it's a super 49-22 ATS off a home loss when matched up against division foes off an ATS win.  Finally, the Celtics fall into 135-66, 42-12 ATS revenge systems of mine.  Take Boston.  NBA Division Game of the Month!  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 6:05 pm, on ESPN-TV, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Milwaukee.  The Bucks have won six straight games.  However, not a single one of those six victories came against a team which currently has a winning record.  That, of course, won't be the case today, as Milwaukee has to take on the team which sits in 3rd place in the Western Conference.  It's true that the Bucks own the league's #1 record this season.  But the Bucks have especially excelled against the Eastern Conference, as they're 17-10-3 ATS vs. the East (compared to 9-8 ATS vs. the West).  Likewise, OKC has also excelled vs. Eastern Conference foes this year, with a 12-4 SU and 10-6 ATS record.  Even worse for the Bucks:  they're a wallet-busting 3-18 ATS their last 21, and 19-51 ATS their last 70, off 3+ wins when playing a Western Conference foe.  Take Oklahoma City to blow out Milwaukee.  NBA TV Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Minnesota.  This is a difficult scheduling spot for the T-Wolves.  Minnesota will be playing its 3rd straight road game, and was on the road last night against the Lakers.  Meanwhile, Utah had last night off after defeating the Nuggets, here at home, on Wednesday.  Since 1993, .583 (or worse) teams have gone 42-80 ATS on the road when playing without rest off back-to-back road wins against a rested opponent.  And if its opponent had a .500 (or better) record, then our 42-80 ATS stat moved to 22-52 ATS.  Take the Jazz minus the points.  NBA Elite Info Play.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers minus the points over Toronto.  The Pacers lost both meetings earlier this season to the Raptors.  But each of those two defeats were on the road.  Here, at home, the Pacers are 4-1 SU/ATS their last five vs. the Raptors.  And they're 17-6 straight-up, and 13-10 ATS at home this season, including 10-0 SU and 9-1 ATS when priced from -4.5 to -10.5 points.  And Indiana is also 15-0 SU/ATS since March 26, 2017 when favored at home vs. an opponent which defeated it in the previous meeting that season.  I look for Indiana to run this revenge streak to 16-0 with a blowout win tonight.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over Phoenix.  The Suns are 11-36 this season, but one of their rare wins was against this Minnesota team.  I love the T-wolves to avenge that defeat, as NBA double-digit underdogs (like Phoenix), with a win percentage less than .250, have covered just 42 of 116 games on the road vs. opponents playing with revenge from an upset defeat.  That bodes well for the home club.  As does the fact that the T-wolves are 18-7-1 ATS off back to back losses.  Take Minnesota.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers minus the points over Charlotte.  The Hornets blew out Phoenix, 135-115, last night at home, while Indiana downed Dallas, 111-99, here at Bankers Life Fieldhouse.  So, the Pacers will have a scheduling advantage tonight, in that they didn't have to travel.  Indiana also plays this game with revenge from a 127-109 blowout loss in Charlotte, on November 21.  And Indiana is an awesome 41-17-1 ATS when playing at home with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, including a jaw-dropping 14-0 ATS when favored.  Take the Pacers.  NBA Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets minus the points over Sacramento.  These two teams met in the California state capital five days ago, and the Kings earned a 104-97 victory, as a 6-point home favorite.  That win was part of a 3-game home stand for the Kings, in which they went 3-0 SU/ATS.  Now, however, Sacramento is on the road.  And it's an awful 3-12 ATS its last 15 when facing a revenge-minded foe on the road, while Charlotte is 6-3 ATS this season when playing with revenge.  And Sacramento is a also a poor 4-12 ATS as an underdog off 3 ATS wins, and 21-44 ATS on the road off 3+ straight-up wins.  Lay the points with the Hornets. NBA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over Utah.   The Clippers are on a 3-game losing streak, while the Jazz are on a 4-game win streak.  But I love Los Angeles to put an end to its losing ways, tonight.  The Clippers are 22-10-1 ATS at home, off a home loss, if their opponent was off back to back wins, including 8-0-1 ATS when priced from -2 to +3.5 points.  And Utah's a poor 17-39-1 ATS as a road underdog of less than 8 points in the regular season.  Take the Clippers.

At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs over Dallas.  The Spurs were upset by Tony Parker & the Charlotte Hornets, 108-93, on Monday, as a 7.5-point favorite.  But San Antonio generally bounces back from upset home defeats, as it's 116-78 ATS, including 3-1 ATS this season.  Take San Antonio.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics over Toronto.  The Celtics will get the services of PG Kyrie Irving back tonight, which is all I need to pull the trigger on them, here, at home.  Boston's dropped its last three games, but it's an awesome 19-5 ATS in the regular season off 3+ defeats (including 9-0 ATS at home).  Take the Celtics.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Miami.  This is a major revenge spot for the Milwaukee Bucks, who have lost six straight times to Miami, including a 94-87 defeat earlier this season.  But NBA revenge-minded favorites of -5 or more points, that have lost their previous six meetings to their opponent (including an earlier season defeat), have covered at a 58% clip over the past 29 seasons.  That bodes well for the Bucks.  As does the fact that Milwaukee is #1 in point differential this season, and is outscoring foes at home by 13.6 ppg (120.4 to 106.8).  Not surprisingly, the Bucks are 19-4 straight-up, and 15-7-1 ATS at home.  Finally, the Bucks return to Milwaukee tonight after a 3-game road trip.  And the Bucks are 51-31 ATS at home off a 3-game (or longer) road trip.  Take the Bucks minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Brooklyn.  The Raptors lost the first meeting this season between these two teams.  But that loss has triggered a very good 134-65 ATS revenge system of mine.  I look for Toronto to avenge that defeat, as it had won 12 straight games vs. the Nets (8-4 ATS) before its defeat last month.  The Raptors are 42-27 ATS their last 69 vs. losing teams, and 22-5 ATS at home vs. division rivals (including 14-0 ATS when favored by less than 11 points).  Take Toronto.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over the LA Lakers.  LeBron James remains out for the Lakers, who have won just two of seven games in his absence.  One of those victories was their last game, at Dallas.  But the Lakers are an awful 10-18 ATS off a straight-up win, and 7-17 ATS vs. losing clubs.  Finally, L.A. is 1-4 SU/ATS vs. the Pistons in the last five meetings.  Take Detroit.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Minnesota.  These two teams also played here, in Oklahoma, 16 days ago, and the Thunder were upset, 114-112.  We'll take the Thunder in this revenge situation on Tuesday, as the Thunder are 61.4% ATS since 1990 against losing teams, when OKC is playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, and not favored by more than 9 points.  Even better:  the Thunder lost, 116-98, here vs. the Wizards on Sunday.  But .625 (or better) teams have cashed 61% since 1990 at home off a home loss in which they failed to cover the point spread by 25+ points.  Take OKC. NBA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies + the points over New Orleans.  The Grizzlies' promising start to the season is nothing but a memory at this point.  Memphis started 12-5 SU and ATS.  But it has gone 6-16 SU and 5-17 ATS since.  It is currently riding a 5-game losing streak (and 6-game ATS losing streak).  I look for the Grizzlies, though, to snap their point spread slide tonight.  They're on the road at division rival, New Orleans, which is coming off a 35-point blowout of Cleveland.  And since 1990, road underdogs of more than 4 points have cashed 60% vs. division rivals off a straight-up win.  Even better:  Memphis is 10-4 SU/ATS vs. New Orleans since April 2015.  And New Orleans is an awful 9-31-1 ATS off a 20-point (or greater) win.  Take Memphis.  NBA Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers + over Toronto.  The Pacers had last night off, while Toronto was in Milwaukee to play the Bucks.  Toronto won that game, but now has to take on a revenge-minded Pacers team, which Toronto defeated by 3 points earlier this season.  And Indiana also comes into this game on a red-hot roll, with six wins in a row.  The Pacers are a fantastic 216-154, 58.4% ATS when rested and playing with revenge against an opponent off a win, and we'll back Indiana this evening.  NBA High Roller Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Sacramento.  The Warriors were up BIG over the Houston Rockets at the half of Thursday's game, but fell apart in the 2nd half, and lost at the buzzer, 135-134. Golden State is now in the 3rd seed in the Western Conference -- just 2 games ahead of Houston.  And the Warriors are only 2.5 games in front of the Clippers for the division lead.  I love Golden State to rebound off that loss in this Pacific division game in Sacramento, as the Warriors are an awesome 45-19 ATS off a loss, if matched up against a division rival.  It's true that Sacramento is much-improved this season.  The Kings are 19-19 straight-up, and 21-16-1 ATS.  But the Kings are doing a lot better vs. teams that don't score a lot of points, compared to the ones that do.  Indeed, this season, Sacramento is 14-6 straight-up and 15-5 ATS vs. foes that average less than 110 points per game.  Against the better offenses that score 110+ points per game, Sacramento is 5-13 straight-up, and 6-11-1 ATS.  Golden State, of course, has one of the league's best offenses, and scores 116.2 ppg.  Similarly, the Warriors are excelling against the league's lesser defenses and/or faster-paced teams that give up 110+ points.  Golden State is a solid 11-8 ATS vs. those teams, but an awful 5-15 ATS vs. foes that don't surrender 110 points per game.  Take the Warriors to blow out the Kings.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Houston.  The problem for Golden State in the regular season the last few years is that it (justifiably) cannot get motivated.  It understands that all that matters is the post-season, which is why it had just the 3rd best record in the league last season (and a full 7 games worse than this Houston team).  This season, it's much of the same, as Golden State is 25-13 straight-up and a poor 16-22 ATS.  Thus, as a professional gambler, I try to pick my spots to invest in Golden State, as the team often goes through the motions and doesn't put forth its best effort.  They may not come through tonight but, at the very least, one can rest assured that the effort will be there.  And that's because they're playing James Harden & the Houston Rockets, who stretched the Warriors to seven games in the de facto NBA Championship last season.  And the Warriors are also playing with revenge from a 21-point blowout loss at Houston on November 15, which ranks as the worst road defeat suffered by the Warriors this season.  Tonight, though, Golden State is at home.  And the Warriors are a super 39-8 straight-up and 29-18 ATS when playing with revenge from a road defeat, including 23-7 ATS when not favored by double-digits.  And Golden State is 8-1, 89% ATS vs. Houston when playing with revenge from a loss to Houston earlier in the season.  Take the Warriors to blow out Houston tonight.  NBA Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Dallas.  These two teams met last night in the Lone Star State, and the Mavericks upset OKC, 105-103, as 2.5-point underdogs.  We'll lay the points with Billy Donovan's crew in this rematch, as the Thunder are 71-53 ATS when playing with revenge from an upset loss.  And they've cashed 72% since 2010 when laying 6+ points in the regular season against a team off a SU/ATS win, if OKC lost earlier in the season to that opponent.  Finally, the Thunder fall into 76-38 and 132-81 ATS revenge systems of mine.  Take OKC.  NBA High Roller Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:35 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers over the Sacramento Kings.  The Lakers were in control of Thursday's game vs. Sacramento, as they led by 15 with under 7 minutes to play.  But Bogdan Bogdanovic's 3-pointer at the buzzer earned the Kings the 117-116 victory.  That was L.A.'s second straight loss, and both were to division rivals (they lost, 118-107, to the Clippers two games back).  We'll play on the Lakers in the rematch, as L.A. is 67.8% ATS at home over the past 29 years when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season to a division rival, if priced from +2.5 to -6 points.  And L.A. is also 18-4 ATS at home off back to back losses to division rivals, including 10-0 ATS when not favored by more than 4 points.  Take Los Angeles. NBA High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:35 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over Orlando.  The Magic upset Toronto in their last game.  But off that upset win, we'll look for a letdown and fade Orlando, and take the points with Detroit, which was bombed, 125-88, by Indiana on Friday.  Indeed, NBA road teams off a SU/ATS loss are 138-95 ATS in the regular season vs. .499 (or worse) foes off an upset win, if our road team isn't getting more than 6 points, including 45-26 ATS if our road team lost by 15 or more in its previous game.  Take Detroit.  NBA Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers + the points over Utah.  The 76ers lost a heartbreaker, in overtime, on Christmas day, at Boston.  But I love them to bounce back in this underdog role, on Thursday.  Over the last 3 seasons, Philadelphia is 41-16-2 ATS off a road defeat, including 30-9-2 ATS as an underdog (and 12-1 ATS when priced from +2.5 to +6 points).  Meanwhile, Utah is a poor 5-12 ATS off a win over a division rival, including 0-5 ATS vs. .585 (or better) foes.  Take the 76ers + the points.  NBA Underdog Shocker!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans + the points over the Dallas Mavericks.  Through their first 32 games, the Mavericks are 13-3 (.812) at home, and 2-14 (.125) on the road.  Their .687 win percentage differential between home and road is the largest such differential since 1990 for any team through its first 31+ games.  However, this differential has caused this point spread tonight to be a bit inflated, by my numbers.  Dallas has lost its last six games straight-up, and is also 0-2 ATS its last two home games.  The Pelicans won the previous meeting this season by 26 points, and that game ranked as the Pelicans' best win of the season, and Dallas' worst defeat.  New Orleans also won the last two meetings last season by 10 and 17 points.  Let's take the better team in an underdog role this evening.  Take New Orleans + the points.  NBA High Roller Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers + the points over Memphis.  The Grizzlies nsapped a 5-game slide with an upset win over the Lakers on Sunday.  Meanwhile, the Cavaliers come into tonight's game off three straight double-digit defeats.  And they've been installed as a double-digit road underdog.  We'll grab the points with Cleveland, as rested double-digit dogs off 3 straight double-digit losses have covered 68.1% since 1990 vs. foes off a SU/ATS win.  Take Cleveland tonight.  NBA Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:05 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder over Houston.  Chris Paul is out with an injury, and the Rockets have not stepped up with him on the sidelines this season.  Paul has missed six games, and the Rockets are a miserable 1-5 SU/ATS without him on the court.  And Houston was favored in four of those six games.  That doesn't bode well for Houston this afternoon.  And neither does the fact that OKC was upset at home by Minnesota in its previous game, as OKC is a super 68-34-1 ATS on the road in the regular season off an upset defeat at home.  Take the Thunder. NBA Elite Info. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over the LA Clippers.  Since Steve Kerr took over as head coach in 2014, the Warriors have been the league's dominant team.  And that means they don't lose very often.  This season, Golden State is having another great campaign, and it is 22-11 through its first 33 games.  One of its 11 defeats, though, came vs. tonight's opponent, the Los Angeles Clippers.  However, that game was back in November when Steph Curry was sidelined with an injury.  He's back on the court now, and that should spell t-r-o-u-b-l-e for the Clippers.  Indeed, the Warriors are a poor 43-65 without Curry in the lineup, but are one of the historically-best teams with him on the floor.  Golden State is a powerful 72% ATS when playing with revenge, and favored by 10 or less points in the regular season under coach Kerr.  Take the Warriors to blow out the Clippers tonight.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Charlotte.  After winning and covering eight straight games, the Celtics have now lost their last three -- both SU and ATS.  And they had their worst home defensive performance of the season in their last game, as they allowed Milwaukee to shoot 51.2% from the floor, and score 120 points.  Since 1990, the Celtics have cashed 69.7% at home when favored by 3+ points, if they lost SU/ATS at home in their previous game, and their opponent was off a win.  Take Boston minus the points.

At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans minus the points over Sacramento.  These two teams met earlier this year, and the Pels won by 20 points, 149-129.  That 149-point total has been the most points scored by a team this season (equaled by the Warriors and Wizards).  And the 278 points ranks as the highest-scoring non-overtime game this season.  The Pelicans come into this game off 3 straight defeats, including a 112-104 setback against the Lakers on Friday.  Meanwhile, Sacramento enters off a SU/ATS win over the Memphis Grizzlies.  I love New Orleans to once again blow out Sacramento this evening, as the Kings are an awful 11-32 ATS at home off a SU/ATS win, if they are playing an opponent off a SU/ATS loss.  Take the Pelicans minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over Toronto.  These two teams have met twice already this season, and the Raptors came away with wins in both games.  Toronto won 129-112 on October 30, and then defeated Philly 113-102 on December 5.  But BOTH of those games were played in Toronto.  This will be the first meeting between these two Atlantic Division rivals in Philadelphia.  And the 76ers have been dominant at home.  Indeed, since January 1, the Sixers are 41-7 straight-up, and 32-16 ATS at home.  Philadelphia will play this game with much more rest than Toronto, which had to play last night vs. Cleveland.  And double-revenging NBA home teams, that lost the season's first two meetings on the road, have cashed 69% over the last 25+ years if they were playing with at least two days' of rest, while their opponent was unrested.  Take Philadelphia to blow out Toronto.  NBA Division Game of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

AT 8:35 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Minnesota.  This season, the Spurs are 7-0 SU/ATS when playing with same season revenge.  Tonight, they'll be looking to avenge a 128-89 defeat to Minnesota.  Lay the points with the Spurs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets minus the points over Cleveland.  The Hornets come into this game off back to back SU/ATS Home losses, while Cleveland pulled off a huge upset last night when it went into Indiana and won outright as a 12.5-point underdog.  Off that big win, and playing without rest, we'll fade the Cavaliers on the road tonight.  A major factor for me in this game is the fact that Cleveland upset these Hornets, 113-89, as an 8.5-point underdog back on November 13.  However, rested NBA teams (like Charlotte), off a home loss, are 61.3% ATS since 1990 when playing with revenge from a road upset defeat as a favorite of -6.5 (or more) points.  Take the Hornets to blow out Cleveland.  NBA High Roller Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over Sacramento.  The T-wolves had won and covered six of seven to go over the .500 mark.  But they've lost their last four games, including an upset loss at Phoenix on Saturday, to fall three games under .500.  And one of those four defeats was to this Sacramento Kings club five days ago.  Minnesota was favored by 3 points in that game, yet lost by 11, 141-130.  The Kings did have to play last night in Dallas, and won outright as a 5-point underdog, so they'll be playing without rest, while Minnesota will be rested.  This is a great situation for the T-Wolves, as they're off a huge upset loss, while Sacramento is off a big upset win.  And NBA favorites of -6 or more points, off an upset loss, have covered 63% since 1991 vs. foes off an upset win, if our home favorite was also playing with revenge from an upset defeat.  Lay the points with Minnesota.  NBA Game of the Month!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons over Boston.  The Celtics have won eight straight, while Detroit has dropped six in a row.  Yet Boston is favored by a scant margin in this game.  This is a classic example of a sucker bet.  Indeed, consider that NBA road teams on win streaks of 5+ games that are not favored by more than 5 points against an opponent on a 5-game (or worse) losing streak have gone just 2-17 ATS over the past 11 years (and just 31% ATS over the past 29 years).  Take the points with Detroit.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks over Cleveland.  These two teams met earlier this week, and Milwaukee routed Cleveland by 16 points in a game which it never trailed.  Giannis Antetokounmpo didn't suit up for that game, but he'll be back on the court tonight.  He also played this past Wednesday, but Milwaukee was blown out by Indiana, 113-97, in that game.  I love the Bucks to bounce back tonight, as they're 6-2 ATS this season off a loss, while the Cavaliers are an awful 1-5 ATS this season off a win.  The Cavs pulled an upset in their previous game, here, at home vs. the Knicks.  Unfortunately, double-digit underdogs are a poor 13-39 ATS at home off an home upset win.  Take Milwaukee.  NBA Roadkill Winner!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Toronto.  In the Steve Kerr era, the Warriors have been terrific at home in the regular season when playing teams off wins, if their opponent had to play the night before, as they've cashed 73%.  Even better:  the Warriors lost in Toronto to the Raptors last month.  But Golden State is 76.1% in the Kerr era when playing with revenge in the regular season vs. a foe off a straight-up win.  Take Golden State to blow out Toronto.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota T-Wolves minus the points over Sacramento.  The Kings come into this game off a blowout win over Chicago, while Minny has lost its last two games.  However, Minnesota was an underdog in each of those games (road tilts at Portland and Golden State), so those defeats weren't wholly unexpected.  Tonight, Minnesota is favored.  And the Kings are an awful 18-38 ATS at home when they won their previous game, and their foe is off a loss.  Additionally, Minnesota falls into a super 71.05% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off losses.  Take the T-Wolves.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over Boston.  The Wizards return home tonight off a 2-2 road trip.  And Washington is 4-0 SU/ATS its last four home games.  We actually played on Washington in two of those four games (vs. Clippers and vs. Nets), and will come right back with the Wizards as a home underdog, tonight.  Point guard John Wall has been battling bone spurs in his heel, but he's going to give it a go in this game, so that's good news for the Wizards.  Meanwhile, the injury bug has afflicted Boston, as it could be without Aron Baynes, and will definitely play without Al Horford and Gordon Hayward tonight.  Finally, Washington falls into 39-19 and 58-31 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams with losing SU/ATS records.  Take Washington.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over Portland.  The Trail Blazers started the season red-hot, as they won 10 of their first 13 games thru November 11, and were the 2nd best team in the Western Conference.  Then, on November 14, we had our NBA Game of the Week on the Lakers against Portland, and I wrote that, "Portland is nowhere near the 2nd best team.  Indeed, its gaudy record has more to do with its schedule than its true talent.  The primary reason for Portland's record is that it has played nine of its 13 games at home.  And three of its four road games were played against teams that currently sport losing records!"  Those words were fairly prescient, as the Trail Blazers lost that night to the Lakers, and have now lost eight of their last 13 games to fall to sixth place (tied with Memphis) in the West.  Of course, the Rockets would LOVE to be tied for sixth place, as they're currently out of the playoff picture, with an 11-14 record.  But by season's end, I wouldn't be surprised if Houston is in the Playoffs, and the Trail Blazers are not.  Dating back to December 1996, Houston is a solid 63% ATS as a favorite of -5 or more points, if the Rockets are off back to back losses, while its opponent is off back to back wins.  Lay the points with Houston.  NBA Elite Info Winner! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets over the Denver Nuggets.  The Hornets will look to snap their 3-game SU/ATS losing streak tonight, as they come into this game off losses to Utah, New Orleans and Minnesota.  And the Hornets failed to cover the spread in each game by 10+ points.  Meanwhile, Charlotte's opponent tonight -- Denver -- currently has the Western Conference's #1 record, and the league's 2nd best record, overall.  And the Nuggets have been red-hot in Vegas, with seven straight point spread covers (as well as seven straight wins).  Unfortunately, NBA teams on a 7-game (or greater) point spread win streak have cashed just 17 of 68 regular season games vs. foes that failed to cover their previous game by more than nine points, including 1-13 ATS when the point spread was 3 points or less!  Take Charlotte tonight.  NBA Game of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves + the points over Houston.  Minnesota's 4-game SU/ATS win streak was snapped here, at home, vs. Boston on Saturday.  But I love the T-Wolves to bounce back and upset Houston, tonight.  Minnesota will be looking to avenge its Playoff series defeat last Spring at the hands of the Rockets, and fall into a 74-43 ATS revenge system of mine.  Minnesota is 28-10 straight-up and 24-13-1 ATS its last 38 home games, while Houston is a poor 4-11 ATS its last 15 off back to back wins.  Take the T-Wolves.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers + the points over New Orleans.  Los Angeles has been the NBA's most pleasant surprise this season.  At the start of the year, most believed the Clippers would not make the playoffs.  But 22 games into the season, L.A. is not only firmly entrenched in the Playoff mix, but it owns the league's 2nd best record (tied with Denver and Boston).  Tonight, L.A. will look to avenge a rare loss when it travels to New Orleans.  The Pelicans upended the Clippers, 116-109, in October.  But New Orleans was extremely well-rested (3 days) for that game.  Here, they will be playing without any rest, as they battled in Charlotte last night.  For technical support, consider that the Pelicans have covered just 7 of 37 games vs. .620 (or better) teams playing with revenge, if that opponent was off a straight-up loss.  Additionally, LA falls into a very good 101-42 ATS revenge system of mine.  Take Los Angeles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Denver.  The Nuggets have won (and covered) their last five games.  But road underdogs of more than 6 points have cashed just 14 of 46 games vs. .610 (or better) foes.  Take Toronto.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards minus the points over Brooklyn.  The Wizards have started to turn the corner, somewhat, from their disastrous 2-9 SU/ATS start, as they've gone 6-5 SU/ATS since November 10.  But you wouldn't know it from their last two games.  The Wizards were blown out by 21 in New Orleans, and by 25 last night at Philly.  However, those two games were on the road.  Washington's won and covered its last three home games.  And each was against very good teams (Rockets, Clippers, Pelicans).  So, I look for Washington to rebound tonight against a Brooklyn team which also played last night, but which had to extend itself for an additional two overtime periods vs. Memphis.  Moreover, the Wizards play with revenge from a loss suffered to these Nets just 15 days ago, and fall into a super Revenge system of mine.  Take Washington.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies + the points over Toronto.  The Raptors are 17-4 and are outscoring their foes by 8.95 ppg.  But Memphis has excelled over the years vs. foes with an average margin of 6.10 (or better).  Indeed, in the regular season vs. such teams, Memphis is a superb 56-21 ATS when the Grizzlies entered with a winning record, and their opponent was off a straight-up win.  And, although, there's certainly nothing wrong with 56-21, we can improve our mark to 47-11 ATS by not going against teams playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season (which Toronto is not).  The Grizzlies are 10-2 ATS their last 12 home games, and 21-9 ATS their last 30 as home dogs vs. an Eastern Conference foe.  Take Memphis.  NBA High Roller Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets + the points over Milwaukee.  These two teams actually met on Opening Night, and the Bucks eked out a 1-point victory, 113-112, here in Charlotte.  However, Charlotte covered the 3-point spread.  Tonight, they're getting more than that.  And we will grab the points, as Charlotte is 6-3 SU and 6-3 ATS at home this season.  Even better:  none of its three home losses has come by more than 4 points.  Last night, the Hornets suffered an embarrassing 124-123 defeat at the hands of the league's worst team, the Atlanta Hawks.  Atlanta had lost its previous nine games.  But NBA teams upset by opponents on a 7-game (or worse) losing streak, when they were favored by 6+ points, generally bounce back in their next game, and have covered 92 of 154.  Take Charlotte as a home dog tonight.  NBA Payback Payday!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers minus the points over Los Angeles.  The Clippers are 12-6 this season, but all of their profit has been at home, where they are 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS.  On the road, the Clippers are a pedestrian 4-5 SU/ATS.  Likewise, the Blazers are 7-2 SU/ATS at home, but just 5-5 SU and 4-6 ATS on the road.  So, it wasn't much of a surprise when the Trail Blazers ended their 6-game road trip with back to back blowout losses  at Milwaukee (143-100) and Golden State (125-97).  But .630 (or better) home favorites are 95-55 ATS off back to back losses by more than 8 points.  Coincidentally, this angle also applied to the Warriors in their 125-97 win over Portland this past Friday, as Golden State entered that game off double-digit losses to the Spurs and Thunder.  I look for Portland to bounce back this evening.  Take the Trail Blazers.  NBA Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over the New York Knicks.  The Knicks just pulled off back to back upsets.  They earned the biggest upset yet this season when they knocked off Boston, as a 14.5-point underdog.  Then they followed that up with a 114-109 win over New Orleans.  But New York likely would have lost that game vs. the Pelicans had Anthony Davis not gotten injured in that game's 3rd quarter, and had been able to finish.  Still, New York rides into Memphis on a 2-game win streak.  But NBA teams off back to back upset wins as 8+ point underdogs have cashed just 36% since 1990.  Take Memphis minus the points. NBA High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks + the points over Boston.  The Mavericks have been awesome over the last couple of seasons at home vs. opponents off a win, as they're 33-16-1 ATS their last 50 in this situation.  The Celtics, on the other hand, have been dreadful on the road lately.  Admittedly, Boston did win by 18 on the road last night in Atlanta.  But the Hawks are the league's worst team, with a 3-16 (.157) record.  And, speaking of 3-16, the Celtics are an awful 3-16 ATS their last 19 road games vs. opponents with a .200 (or better) win percentage.  Take Dallas.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the OKC Thunder minus the points over Denver.  The Nuggets had to play last night, at home, and then travel to take on the Thunder tonight.  Unfortunately, Denver has covered just 76 of 179 road games off a home game the previous night.  Meanwhile, Oklahoma City is an awesome 24-9 at home vs. opponents that played a home game the previous night, including 10-0 ATS vs. .600 (or better) opponents off a win.  Take Oklahoma City.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on Houston minus the points over Cleveland.  The Cavaliers stunned the 76ers as a 13-point underdog last night.  But that was just their 3rd win of the season.  And bad teams rarely win back to back games.  Indeed, double-digit home underdogs have cashed just 33% since 1995 off wins as double-digit dogs.  Take Houston.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans minus the points over the New York Knicks.  New York pulled off the biggest upset yet this season when it won, 117-109, as a 14.5-point dog on Wednesday.  And that was New York's second straight ATS win.  Unfortunately for the Knicks, NBA teams off upset wins as dogs of more than 14 points, and also an ATS win two games back, have cashed their next game just 33% of the time.  Take New Orleans.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over Houston.  These two teams met on Tuesday in Houston, and the Rockets came away with a 2-point victory.  Since 1990, in regular season home-and-home (i.e., "back-to-back") meetings between winning teams,  underdogs have cashed 62.1% if they lost the first of the 2-game set.  Take Detroit.

At 3:35 pm, our selection is on the LA Clippers minus the points over Memphis.  The Grizzlies have won their last five games -- both straight-up and ATS.  But this game will likely end the win streak.  The Clippers are a super 7-1 at home this season, including 7-0 after their loss to Denver on Opening Night.  And road underdogs of more than 2 points, off 5+ wins and covers, have cashed just 63 of 150 games.  Take the Clippers.

At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Memphis.  The Spurs have completely dominated this series over the last nine seasons, as they're 34-8 straight-up and 26-15-1 ATS since the 2011-12 season.  San Antonio did lose its previous game, 140-126, to the Pelicans.  But that wasn't a surprise to us, as we had our strongest play this month on New Orleans in that game.  San Antonio is a solid 78-49 ATS off a loss when not installed as an underdog of more than 2 points, while the Grizzlies fall into a negative 6-32 ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams off 3+ ATS wins.  Take the Spurs.  NBA Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Portland.  The Blazers had to play last night in New York, while Milwaukee was resting at home.  This will also be Portland's 3rd game in four nights.  And Milwaukee will be playing with revenge from a loss in Portland on November 6.  Portland's covered just 15 of 42 road games off back-to-back wins, if it's matched up against a revenge-minded foe with a .625 (or better) record.  And the Bucks fall into a super 237-152 ATS revenge system of mine.  Take the Bucks minus the points.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over Detroit.  This will be the first of a home-and-home series with the Pistons (they'll play in Detroit in Friday).  The Rockets are finally playing up to their expectations, with four straight wins and covers.  I look for them to make it five in a row, as home favorites off three straight double-digit wins, in which they scored 105+ points in each victory, are 109-69 ATS including 64-31 ATS vs. winning opponents.  Take Houston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over New Orleans.  Dating back to last season, the 76ers are 35-4 straight-up and 27-12 ATS at home, including 15-0 SU and 13-2 ATS vs. foes with a losing ATS record (New Orleans is 8-9 ATS). Meanwhile, New Orleans is 3-20 ATS off a double-digit division win, if it's on the road, and not favored by 3.5.  Take Philly minus the points.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets minus the points over Indiana.  The Pacers come into this game off an upset win as a 4-point underdog over Utah, 121-94, at home on Monday.  But off that big win, we will fade the Pacers as a road dog tonight.  Since 1990, underdogs have covered just 36.1% in the regular season after an upset win in which they covered the spread by more than 30 points, if they were on the road vs. an opponent also off a win.  Take Charlotte.  NBA High Roller Winner.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic + the points over Toronto.  The Magic won their 3rd straight game (both SU and ATS) on Sunday, when they blew out the Knicks, 131-117.  And that followed a 130-117 upset win over the Lakers, on Saturday, and an upset win over Philly, on Wednesday.  I look for Orlando to get its fourth straight cover, as .500 (or better) home underdogs (or PK) are 59-28-2 ATS off back to back double-digit SU/ATS wins.   And Toronto is an awful 1-7 ATS on the road vs. foes off back to back wins.  Take the Magic.  NBA Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards over the LA Clippers.  The Clippers are outperforming expectations this season, as they are 11-5, including a 32-point blowout win over these Wizards in Los Angeles last month.  This will be the 3rd game of a 3-game road trip for L.A., which won SU/ATS last night at Atlanta.  L.A.'s been installed as a small underdog.  But, unfortunately for the Clippers, .500 (or better) underdogs off a SU/ATS win are 16-40 ATS vs. foes playing with revenge from a 30-point (or worse) defeat.  Meanwhile, Washington is an awesome 28-8 ATS at home when playing with revenge, and not favored by more than two points.  Take the Wizards.  NBA Payback Payday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over the Oklahoma City Thunder.  The Kings have outperformed expectations in this young season, with a .500 record through the first month.  One of their early wins was an 11-point upset win at Oklahoma City in the first week of the season.  Some might look for the Thunder to avenge that defeat tonight, but Oklahoma City has been awful in that role of late, as it's 4-17 ATS its last 21 when playing with revenge from an upset loss earlier in the season, including 1-10 ATS vs. .500 (or better) foes!  And, yes, it's true that Sacramento is off back to back SU/ATS losses, while OKC is off 3 SU/ATS wins.  But home underdogs off back-to-back SU/ATS losses have gone 110-66 ATS vs. non-division foes off 3 ATS wins.  Take Sacramento.  NBA Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets + the points over Milwaukee.  The Nuggs lost at home, 121-111, to Milwaukee eight days ago.  But that loss has triggered a 125-73 ATS revenge system of mine.  Even better for Denver:  it lost its previous game, 125-115, at New Orleans.  But Denver is a solid 22-7 ATS off a loss when not favored by more than three points (including a perfect 10-0 ATS vs. .583 (or better) foes.  Take Denver.  Perfect 10 Club Play.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans minus the points over San Antonio.  The Spurs have had more success than any franchise in our four major sports, but they've had NO SUCCESS in the Crescent City over the last 8 years.  Certainly, the one game that most basketball fans would remember came on the last day of the 2014-15 season.  The Spurs needed to win in New Orleans to secure the #2 seed in the playoffs.  But they lost as a 5.5-point favorite, and that single defeat knocked them all the way down to the #6 seed (and they they lost to the Clippers in the first round).  San Antonio is now 1-14 ATS in their last 15 meetings here in New Orleans, including the last eight in a row.  And they've failed to cover the point spread by an average of 9.63 points per game.  We played on San Antonio last night vs. Golden State, and the Spurs rewarded us by winning an emotional game vs. the defending NBA Champs.  But NBA underdogs are a poor 21-33 ATS after defeating Golden State, including 0-9 ATS when priced from +6 to +7.5 points, and 3-12 ATS on the road if its opponent was playing with revenge.  With the Pelicans indeed playing with revenge from a 14-point loss suffered in San Antonio earlier this month, we'll lay the points with Anthony Davis & Co.  Take New Orleans.  NBA Game of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Golden State.  Since the 1997-98 season, the Spurs have been the best franchise.  And not just in the NBA, but in all of the major North American sports.  And of all the great statistics to illustrate just how good this franchise has been, this one is my favorite.  Since the 1997-98 season, the Spurs have had a record under .500 for a total of 48 days.  The next closest NBA team:  the Houston Rockets, who have been under .500 for 884 days!  San Antonio will try to not go under .500 for the first time this season, as it enters this evening's game with a 7-7 record.  The Spurs have lost their last three games.  But I love them to bounce back at home tonight vs. a Warriors club which had to play last night in Dallas.  San Antonio will be much more well-rested, as it has had the last 2 days off.  The Spurs are 87-56-2 ATS vs. unrested foes.  And they're 146-118-1 ATS when they had the previous 2 days off.  Finally, the Spurs are 45-27-1 ATS in the regular season off 3+ losses, Take San Antone.  NBA Elite INfo Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:35 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over Memphis.  Last night, Jimmy Butler showed why he is such a great player.  The 76ers went to him for game-winning buckets, both at the end of regulation (he missed), and at the end of the overtime session (he converted).  The 76ers were missing a player with his skill set to whom they could turn for end-of-game offense, so his acquisition has completely transformed their team.  But just because the Timberwolves divested themselves of Butler's talent, it would a mistake to think that Minnesota will necessarily win less games.  Chemistry is very important for an NBA roster, and Butler's personality didn't mesh with Minnesota's other star talent.  Since trading him, the T-Wolves have gone 3-0 SU/ATS, and I look for them to stretch their win streak to 4 games this afternoon.  Even though Minnesota hasn't been above .500 all season, they've actually played great at home, at the Target Center, where they're 7-1 straight-up and 6-2 ATS (compared to 0-8 SU and 2-6 ATS on the road).  Lay the points with Minnesota.  NBA High Roller Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over Golden State, as Houston falls into an 89-48 ATS revenge system of mine.  These two teams met for the "de facto" NBA Championship last season, in the Western Conference finals, and Houston lost a heartbreaking 7th game, 101-92, when it blew an 11-point halftime lead.  Certainly, when the NBA execs drew up the schedule, this game would have been one of the most highly anticipated games of the season.  But some of its luster has been lost due to the absence of Steph Curry, as well as by Houston's slow start to the season.  The Rockets are a game below .500, at 6-7, but I expect it to be in the Conference's upper tier by season's end.  For our purposes tonight, Houston's losing record has created significant point spread value, especially given that Golden State's best player (Curry) won't be in uniform.  And even though Golden State owns the league's best record, at 12-3, it has gone 0-4 ATS this season on the road vs. teams that currently have a .400 (or better) win percentage.  Finally, the Warriors are an awful 12-23 ATS as underdogs vs. .660 (or worse) opposition, including 1-9 ATS vs. foes off back to back wins.  Take the Rockets.  NBA TV Game of the Month!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over Portland.  The Trail Blazers are currently on a 4-game SU/ATS win streak, and have sprinted out to a 10-3 record -- which is the 2nd best record in the Western Conference.  But Portland is nowhere near the 2nd best team.  Indeed, its gaudy record has more to do with its schedule than its true talent.  The primary reason for Portland's record is that it has played nine of its 13 games at home.  And three of its four road games were played against teams that currently sport losing records!  Tonight, the Blazers will travel to Los Angeles to take on a Lakers team it already played twice at home.  We played on Portland in the first meeting, and on the Lakers in the 2nd meeting, and cashed both games.  We'll take the Lakers tonight, as LeBron James' teams have cashed 71% in his career as favorites vs. conference foes on a 4-game (or better) win streak.  Lay the points.  NBA GAME OF THE WEEK!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over Philadelphia.  The 76ers traded two of their rotation players -- Dario Saric and Robert Covington -- for Jimmy Butler over the weekend.  Butler will no doubt improve this Sixers squad, but he won't be in uniform tonight.  So, Philadelphia will -- for this game anyway -- be short-handed.  That especially doesn't bode well, as Miami will be highly motivated to avenge its first round series defeat to the 76ers in last year's Playoffs.  And Miami falls into a 24-3 ATS revenge system of mine which plays on certain teams with revenge from a Playoff series defeat.  Even better:  Miami's off back to back home defeats, and the Heat are 20-10 ATS their last 30 off back to back home losses.  Take Miami minus the points.  NBA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics + the points over Portland.  The Celtics lost their last game -- at Utah -- but G Kyrie Irving didn't play, as he attended a memorial service for his grandfather.  Irving is expected to be back in uniform tonight which, of course, is key, as Portland boasts one of the better backcourts in the NBA. This is the last game of a 5-game road trip for Boston, which has dropped three of the first four games.  But Boston has generally been terrific as road underdogs under coach Brad Stevens.  Indeed, in the regular season since 2015, Boston's 49-30 as a road underdog.  And, interestingly, it has also excelled in difficult scheduling situations under Coach Stevens, as it's 42-12 ATS as road underdogs when playing its third game in four nights since he was hired in 2013.  The Celtics also fall into one of my favorite NBA systems, which is 277-179 ATS since 1990.  Take Boston + the points.  NBA Non-Conference Game of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over Sacramento.  The Kings pulled off an upset win last night, when they won, 121-110, at home vs. Minnesota.  But off that upset win, we'll fade Sacramento tonight, as they'll be matched up a very well-rested Lakers team which has had the last two nights off. And unrested home teams off an upset home win are an awful 23% ATS since 1990 vs. division foes.  Moreover, LeBron James' teams have cashed 65.5% as road favorites vs. foes off home upset wins (and 84% if its foe won by 10+ points in its previous game).  Take the Lakers minus the points.  NBA Division Game of the Year.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers minus the points over the LA Clippers.  The Blazers are off to a super 8-3 start this season.  And two of their defeats were at home vs. Washington and the Lakers.  But those two games were incredibly bad situations, as Washington and the Lakers, in those road games vs. Portland, were our two strongest plays of this NBA season-to-date.  So, from my perspective, Portland's only played one bad game this season, and that was its 9-point road loss at Miami.  It's true that the Clippers are also having a solid start to the season.  But Portland rates better in both margin of victory (+3.50) and point spread differential (+1.35).  And the Clippers have underwhelmed on the road this season, with a 2-3 SU/ATS record.  And their only two road wins were against Orlando and a Houston Rockets squad which played without James Harden.  Portland's won and covered the last three meetings vs. the Clippers.  And it's also 25-5 straight-up and 22-6-2 ATS in calendar year 2018 at home in the regular season.  Take Portland.  WESTERN CONF. GAME OF THE WEEK.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Miami.  The more things change, the more they stay the same down on the Riverwalk.  Gregg Popovich's Spurs were not expected to make the Playoffs this season, much less be in the Western Conference's upper tier.  But nine games into the season finds them sitting in 4th place, with a 6-3 record.  Even their defense -- which ranked dead last earlier this season -- has improved and become more "Spurs-like."  In their four-game win streak, the Spurs gave up, on average, less than 100 ppg, and held their opponents to 45.0% FG shooting.  They then pulled a clunker in their last game, a 117-110 home loss to the Magic, primarily because they surrendered 36 points in the first quarter.  It also didn't help that the Spurs were on the 2nd of a back-to-back.  After the game, LaMarcus Aldridge commented, "We just came in and we didn’t play as good at defense as we can. We’ll get better and be better at it next game."  I think that will definitely prove to be the case, tonight.  And it certainly will help that Spurs had Monday and Tuesday off to rest.  Take San Antonio. NBA High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks + the points over Charlotte.  The Hawks enter this game off an upset win over the Miami Heat.  They were a 5.5-point home dog, but won 123-118, and covered by 10.5 points.  Tonight, they'll take on another division opponent -- the Charlotte Hornets.  Charlotte also is off a big win, as it blew out Cleveland, 126-94, on Saturday.  Unfortunately for Charlotte, teams off a win by more the 30 points, that scored more than 120 points, have covered just 34% as favorites of more than 10 points against losing teams.  Additionally, the Hawks fall into one of my favorite NBA systems, which is now 300-207 ATS since 1990, including a win on Sunday on our Eastern Conference Game of the Week on the Wizards.  Take the Hawks.  NBA Game of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns + the points over Memphis.  These two teams met eight days ago, at Memphis, in a game won by the home team, 117-96.  But the Suns' best player, Devin Booker (25.8 ppg, 6.6 assists) was injured, and didn't play.  But Booker returned to the court this past Friday, and scored 18 points in 36 minutes.  Certainly, he was a bit rusty after missing three games, but he will no doubt be better tonight.  Since defeating Phoenix, Memphis also won its next two games -- against Washington and Utah.  But Memphis' win streak is a bit deceptive, as it occurred against teams all playing very poor basketball.  The Suns are mired in a 7-game losing streak; Utah has lost its last three; and Washington has lost five in a row.  And both Utah and (as I mentioned) Phoenix were without their top scorers.  Since 1990, winning NBA teams, off 3+ wins, are a poor 71-97 ATS vs. Non-Division foes off 7+ losses.  That doesn't bode well for Memphis as a road favorite tonight.  Also, the Suns fall into 60-24 and 274-179 ATS systems of mine.  Take Phoenix.  NBA Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards minus the points over New York.  The Wizards are off to a 1-7 start this season, with their only win by a single point, at Portland.  But I love them tonight vs. the Knicks.  Washington has won 15 of 17 since 2013, and has gone 12-2 ATS when not favored by double-digits.  The Wizards also fall into one of my favorite NBA systems, which motivated our big play on the Lakers last night (and is 298-207 ATS since 1990).  Take Washington.  Eastern Conf. Game of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers + the points over Portland.  We played on the Trail Blazers when these two teams met in their season opener, and were rewarded with a win and cover by Portland.  That was also the 16th straight win by Portland in this series, which ties it for the 2nd longest active win streak by one team against another (only OKC's 18-game win streak vs. Philly is longer).  However, this win streak should come to a halt tonight, as teams that have lost 16+ games in a row to their opponent actually do quite well against the spread, with a 65.7% win rate over the last 29 seasons.  And the Lakers also fall into one of my very best NBA systems, with a 297-207 ATS record since 1990, as well as a 2nd angle (based on revenge) which is 205-128 ATS.  Take the Lakers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers + the points over Charlotte.  The Cavs might be 1-7 straight-up, but they've actually been doing OK vs. the point spread, with a 4-4 record.  However, they're a perfect 3-0 ATS when getting more than 5 points.  And that's the situation tonight, at Charlotte.  Also, Cleveland was blown out, 110-91, by Denver, on Thursday.  But that 19-point loss has triggered one of my favorite NBA systems, which is 125-51 ATS since 1990.  That angle plays on certain teams to bounce back off blowout losses.  Take Cleveland + the points.

At 1:05 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over Detroit.  The Pistons come into this road game on a 3-game losing streak, and they've lost 4 of 7 to the point spread to start the season.  Meanwhile, the 76ers are 5-4 on the season.  And, interestingly, they've won all five of their home games, but lost all four of their road games.  So, it's a good thing that the Sixers will play this afternoon's game at home, today.  And dating back to last season, the 76ers are 31-4 straight-up and 25-10 ATS at home, including 13-0 SU and 12-1 ATS vs. foes with a losing record ATS.  Take Philly minus the points.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Memphis.  The Jazz were upset here, at home, by Memphis, 92-84, as an 11-point favorite in the season's first week.  And they also were upset by the T-wolves on Wednesday, 128-125, as a 7.5-point road favorite.  But I look for the Jazz to avenge their loss to Memphis, as teams off an upset road loss in their previous game, as a 7-point (or greater) favorite, are 15-0-1 ATS since Nov. 26, 2004 when priced from -4.5 to -13.5 points!   And the Jazz are also 102-74 ATS when priced from -3.5 to -9.5 at home, and playing with revenge from an earlier season defeat.  Lay the points with Utah.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks + the points over Sacramento.  The Kings are one of the early-season surprises in the NBA.  After Tuesday's win at Orlando, they've won their last four games, and were underdogs in each game.  Their road trip continues tonight in Atlanta, but they won't make it five straight upsets, as they've been installed in the rare (for them) role of a road favorite.  The Kings, not surprisingly, have not found much success as road favorites, as they're 26-53-2 ATS in that role since 2004, including 0-16-1 ATS their last 17 when laying less than 3 points against an opponent off a loss!  The Hawks also fall into a 236-159 ATS system of mine which plays against certain winning teams (like Sacramento).  Take Atlanta.  Perfect 10 Club Play. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over Detroit.  These two teams met on opening night, and the Pistons handed Brooklyn a narrow 3-point defeat.  The Nets covered the 6-point spread, though, and are 4-3 ATS to start the season.  Detroit, meanwhile, has not made many friends in Las Vegas thus far, as it's just 2-4 ATS.  The Nets have lost just two games BOTH SU and ATS -- and those two games were at Indiana, and at New York.  But Brooklyn played each of those two games without rest.  Tonight, however, the Nets are well-rested, and catch the Pistons playing without rest.  Brooklyn falls into a 188-101 ATS revenge system of mine.  Lay the points.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over Sacramento.  The Kings enter this game off back to back upset wins over Memphis and Washington.  And those two games leveled their record at 3-3 this season.  But the Kings have been horrible off wins the past 2+ years, as they're 23-35 ATS, including 5-14 ATS vs. .600 (or better) opposition.  And when the Kings were off 2+ wins, then those two stats devolve to 5-11 and 0-5 ATS.  Miami has dominated this series vs. Sacramento, with a 35-14 ATS record since 1992, including a perfect 9-0 ATS if Sacramento was off back to back wins!  Take Miami.  Perfect 10 Club play.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers + the points over Indiana.  The Cavs will look to snap their five-game losing streak on this Saturday night.  And they'll take on division rival, Indiana, which upset San Antone in the Alamo City on Wednesday.  We'll grab the points with the home dog, as NBA underdogs of more than 3 points are 61-21 ATS since 1992 off 5+ losses, if they're playing a division opponent off an upset win.  Take Cleveland.  NBA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards minus the points over Sacramento.  In its last game, Washington was blown out, 144-122, by the Golden State Warriors.  But off that big loss, we'll lay the points with the Wizards in Sacramento on this Friday.  For technical support, consider that NBA favorites of -2.5 (or more) points have gone 45-19 ATS off a blowout loss by 15+ points, if they gave up more than 130 points in that defeat.  We actually just saw this situation present itself last Saturday, when the Houston Rockets rebounded from their 131-112 defeat to New Orleans to upend the Lakers, 124-115.  Similarly, I look for the Wizards to roll tonight over Sacramento.  Lay the points.  NBA High Roller Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets + the points over New Orleans.  After shooting 53.1% and 58.9% from the field in their first two games, the Pelicans came back down to earth in their 3rd game, where they shot just 43.0% from the field.  So, it was no surprise that their offensive production went from 131 and 149 points (which they got in Games 1 + 2) to 116 points, and that their margin of victory went from 19 and 20 points to just seven points.  Of course, New Orleans' particular opponents in those games had a lot to do with their offensive field goal percentage.  In games 1 + 2, the Pelicans faced Houston and Sacramento -- teams that are allowing more than 48% of opponents' shots to be converted, and giving up 115.2 and 122.0 points, respectively.  In contrast, New Orleans' last opponent (the Clippers) is only allowing 106.7 ppg, on 41.2% FG shooting, and ranks 1st in effective FG percentage (46.2%).  Likewise, tonight's foe (Brooklyn) is only allowing 44.1% of shot attempts to be converted, and ranks 6th in effective FG percentage (48.6%), and 8th in defensive ppg (106.5).  I expect the Pelicans to once again have a more difficult time on offense, and for this game to be extremely close.  The Nets are 25-9 their last 34 as road underdogs, 17-4-1 ATS their last 22 on the road vs. a foe off an ATS win, and 41-17-2 ATS their last 60 on the road when playing with rest.  Take the points with Brooklyn. NBA Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers + the points over Denver.  The Nuggets have sprinted out to a 4-0 record, including an impressive upset win, at home, over the Golden State Warriors.  Now, they'll try to go into Staples Center to defeat LeBron James & Co.  We played on Los Angeles last night and got the $$$$ in a blowout win over Phoenix.  I like LA to make it two in a row tonight, as home underdogs have gone 158-119 ATS vs. non-division foes off 4 SU/ATS wins, if such foe owned a winning SU/ATS record on the season.  Take the Lakers.  NBA Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over Phoenix.  The Lakers fell to 0-3 SU/ATS on Monday when they were upset in overtime, 143-142, by Gregg Popovich's Spurs.  However, it must be noted that Los Angeles' three opponents to start the season were all Western Conference playoff participants last year.  In stark contrast, their opponent tonight -- the Phoenix Suns -- were the NBA's absolute worst team last season.  That bodes well for the Lakers to break through with a win tonight.  Also, LeBron James has opened a regular season with four straight losses just once (2003), and I don't expect history to repeat itself tonight.  Indeed, in his career, his teams have gone 20-6 ATS on the road off an upset defeat, if they were matched up against a .373 (or worse) opponent in their current game. And the Suns have cashed just 13 of their last 38 at home.  Take the Lakers.  NBA Road Warrior Winner.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over Denver.  The Kings won their first game of this young season in impressive fashion on Sunday, as they upset the OKC Thunder, 131-120, as a 10.5-point underdog.  And that game serves as a "buy signal" for me, as NBA road underdogs of more than 9 points, off exactly one win, have cashed 60% since 1990 if they covered the point spread by 20+ points in their previous game.  With Denver in off an upset win over the Golden State Warriors, I look for a huge letdown as a double-digit favorite tonight.  Indeed, home teams have gone 5-13 ATS the last 4+ seasons after upsetting the Warriors at home in their previous game.  Take Sacramento plus the points.  NBA ELITE INFO PLAY.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over Portland.  The Trail Blazers enter this game off back to back SU/ATS wins over the Los Angeles Lakers (128-119) and San Antonio Spurs (121-108).  In contrast, Washington checks in off back to back upset losses, at home, vs. the Heat and Raptors.  But if there is a silver lining to Washington's 0-2 start, it's that it lost those two games by a combined five points.  I expect Washington to break through with an upset win tonight, as losing teams have cashed 31 of 36 on the road off a point spread defeat, if they were matched up against an .866 (or better) non-division foe off a point spread win.  Additionally, road dogs of +5 or less points have gone 101-72 ATS after back to back losses by 5 or less points.   And NBA favorites off back to back wins in which they scored 117+ points, have cashed just 38% since 1990 vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Grab the points with Washington. NBA Underdog of the Month! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers over the Houston Rockets.  This is a horrid scheduling spot for Houston.  It played its first road game of the season last night vs. the Lakers, and now continues this early season road trip without the benefit of a day off.  Meanwhile, the Clippers had Saturday off following their blowout win over the Thunder.  For technical support, consider that, since 1990, one would have cashed 71% by playing against unrested NBA favorites on the road if they were coming off a win in their first road game of the season.  Even better:  if our road team had a win percentage of .666 (or better) the previous season, then our 71% ATS system zooms to 83% ATS since 1990.  Take the Los Angeles Clippers to blow out Houston.  NBA Elite Info Winner!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks + the points over the Minnesota Timberwolves.  Last night, Minnesota bested Cleveland, 131-123, while Dallas had the last two nights off following its 121-100 defeat at Phoenix on Wednesday.  I look for Rick Carlisle's men to bounce back tonight, as they're 45-21-4 ATS off a road loss, if they're playing an opponent off a win, including a perfect 7-0 SU/ATS if they lost by more than 20 points in their previous game.  Take Dallas.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards over the Toronto Raptors.  The fans in Toronto must be giddy with excitement after the Kawhi Leonard acquisition.  In two games, he's averaging 27.5 ppg, and also 11.5 rpg.  But both of Toronto's two games this season were at home; tonight's game is on the road.  And the Raptors will also be playing without rest.  This is a horrific scheduling situation for the Raptors, as they will be playing without rest, and will also be playing their third game in four nights to start their season.  Since 1996, unrested NBA favorites have cashed just 19% when opening the season with 3 games in 4 nights, and playing a rested foe.  Take Washington.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers minus the points over the Brooklyn Nets.  The Pacers were blown out by 17 points last night in Milwaukee.  But Indiana's back home tonight, and will be taking on a 1-1 Brooklyn squad that won at home last night vs. New York.  The Pacers are a super 40-14 ATS off a loss by more than 12 points, if they're matched up against a .400 (or better) foe.  And they're also 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings vs. the Nets.  Lay the points with Indy.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz + the points over Golden State.  The Jazz won all three meetings vs. Golden State last season after the calendar turned on January 1.  And they won those three games by an average of 29.67 points per game, even though they were -- on average -- an underdog of 3 points in those games.  I look for the Jazz to blow out Golden State tonight, as Game 2 road favorites are a soft 37-55-2 (40%) since 1990.  Take Utah + the points.  NBA Roadkill Winner.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.