Sports Picks & Predictions

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets + the points over Golden State.  The Warriors pulled off a big upset win in their previous game, 123-109, vs. Memphis.  But Golden State is an awful 11-24-1 ATS off a 7-point (or greater) upset win.  Take Charlotte.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over the Dallas Mavericks.  New York lost earlier this season, at home, to these Mavericks, 121-100.  We'll take the Knicks tonight as a road dog, as they're 79-37 ATS vs. .500 (or better) foes when playing with revenge from a home loss, if the Knicks were also off a SU/ATS loss in their previous game.  With New York in off a home loss to Philly on Christmas Day, we'll take Tom Thibodeau's men tonight.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers + the points over the Orlando Magic.  The Lakers have dropped 4 in a row following their nine-point loss at Dallas on Christmas Day.  We'll take Los Angeles as an underdog tonight, as Orlando's an ugly 17-43 ATS at home vs. foes off back to back losses.  Grab the points.

At 5:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks + the points over Boston.  The Bucks come into this Christmas Day game vs. Boston off back-to-back losses at Cleveland and Brooklyn.  We'll take Milwaukee to bounce back, as it is an awesome 83-43-3 ATS in the regular season off back to back losses, including 26-7 ATS their last 33 vs. foes with a W/L percentage greater than .625.  Grab the points with Mike Budenholzer's men.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Toronto.  This series has been dominated by the home team.  Dating back to 2015, the home team has gone 27-12-1 ATS, including a perfect 2-0 ATS this season, and 13-2 ATS since Dec 2018.  Cleveland is 7-1 ATS its last eight home games vs Toronto, and it's also on a 5-game win streak coming into this game.  We had our 2nd strongest play of the NBA season-to-date this past Wednesday on Cleveland in its 114-106 win vs. Milwaukee.  And we'll come right back with the Cavaliers tonight, as they seek their 6th straight win.  Cleveland owns the best home record in the NBA, at 16-2, and it's covered the spread by 4.86 ppg at home this season.  Meanwhile, Toronto is a dismal 4-12 on the road, and it's failed to cover the spread by 2.46 ppg in those 16 road games.  Lay the points with Cleveland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over Minnesota.  These two teams met two nights ago, and the T-Wolves won, 116-106.  We'll take Dallas in the rematch, as it's 114-71-2 ATS off a double-digit road loss.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over Minnesota.  These two teams met two nights ago, and the T-Wolves won, 116-106.  We'll take Dallas in the rematch, as it's 114-71-2 ATS off a double-digit road loss.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Indiana.  The Celts have hit the skids with four losses in five games, and an 0-4-1 ATS losing streak along with it.  We'll lay the points tonight, as Boston is 13-0-1 ATS as a favorite of -2 (or more) points off back to back upset losses.  Take the Celtics.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers over the Milwaukee Bucks.  The Cavaliers come into this game on a red-hot 4-game win streak.  And they're 21-11 on the season, two games behind the Bucks in the race for the Central division lead.  We'll lay the points with the Cavs, as they're 13-0 ATS at home off back-to-back wins, against winning teams, when not laying 8 or more points.  Take Cleveland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over the Phoenix Suns.  The Wizards are on a 10-game losing streak, but were extremely competitive in their last two games (both single-digit losses) at the Clippers and Lakers.  Meanwhile, the Suns are on a 3-game SU/ATS win streak.  We'll take Washington + the points at Phoenix, as NBA teams on 10-game (or worse) losing streaks have gone 12-1-1 ATS on the road vs. winning foes off 3 SU/ATS wins.  Take the Wizards.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over Minnesota.  The Mavs and T-Wolves will play two games here, in Minnesota, over the next three days.  We'll take Dallas in Round 1, as it comes into this game off a 1-point loss at Cleveland.  And Dallas is 14-0 ATS on the road off a road defeat, if the Mavs were rested, and not getting more than 3 points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over Orlando.  The Magic blew out Atlanta, 135-124, last week.  We'll take the Hawks, as they're 97-56-1 ATS at home when rested, and playing with revenge from a double-digit loss. Lay the points.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors + the points over Philadelphia.  The Raptors were blown out, 126-110, by Golden State on Sunday.  And that was Toronto's 5th straight loss.  We'll take the points with the Raptors, as they're 110-70 ATS in regular season games off back to back losses (including 29-12 ATS when playing without rest).  Take the Raptors + the points.

At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over the Los Angeles Lakers.  The Wizards had a lead entering the 4th quarter of yesterday's game against the Clippers, but collapsed, and lost by nine points.  That was the Wizards' 9th straight defeat, overall.  We'll take Washington tonight, as it falls into a super 405-277 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams on losing streaks.  Additionally, the Wizards play with revenge from a loss to the Lakers two weeks ago, in DC.  And the Lakers are an awful 40-78 ATS at home when playing a revenge-minded opponent it defeated on the road earlier in the season.  Take Washington + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls over the Minnesota Timberwolves.  The Bulls come into this game off 3 straight losses, while Minnesota enters off an upset win at Oklahoma City.  Chicago has been installed as a road favorite over the banged-up Timberwolves.  We'll take Chicago, as NBA road favorites (or PK) have cashed 55% since 1990 if they were rested, and off back-to-back losses.  Take the Bulls.

At 3:10 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Orlando.  This is the 2nd of back-to-back meetings between these clubs.  Orlando took round 1 with a 117-109 victory, as a 13.5-point underdog.  We'll take Boston in the rematch, as the Celtics have covered 67% since 1990 as a home favorite in the regular season, if they were upset by their opponent in the Celtics' previous game.  Lay the points.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City + the points over Memphis.  The Grizz have won their last seven (and nine of their last 10) games SU/ATS.  But we'll fade Memphis today, as OKC will be seeking revenge from a 21-point loss just 10 days ago.  The Thunder are a solid 74-51-1 ATS when playing with revenge in the regular season vs. a foe off a SU/ATS win.  Take OKC + the points.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Utah.  The Jazz are a wallet-breaking 12-24 ATS on the road when they weren't favored by 3 or more points.  And Milwaukee's a terrific 37-19 ATS in the regular season when favored (or PK) off a loss by more than 5 points.  With the Bucks in off a 142-101 blowout loss to Memphis, we'll lay the points with Giannis Antetokounmpo & Co. tonight.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over Los Angeles.  The Clippers went into Washington last Saturday, and upended the Wizards, 114-107.  We'll take the Wizards + the points in this rematch, as they're 82-54 ATS when playing with revenge from a home defeat.  Take Washington.

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns over the Los Angeles Clippers.  Last night, the Clippers won their 3rd straight game, 99-88, vs. Minnesota.  Meanwhile, the Suns lost for the 5th straight time on Tuesday, as Houston blew them out, 111-97.  We'll take Phoenix to bounce back on Thursday, as it is 56-20 ATS its last 76 off an upset road loss.  That bodes well for the Suns tonight.  As does the fact that it's 113-67 ATS vs. an unrested opponent which won its previous game, provided the Suns weren't laying 8+ points.  Take Phoenix.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans over the Utah Jazz.  These two teams met two nights ago, and the Jazz routed New Orleans, 121-101, as a 2.5-point underdog.  That snapped the Pelicans' 7-game win streak, and dropped them into a tie with Memphis for the #1 spot in the Western Conference.  We'll take the Pelicans to bounce back in this rematch, as they're 10-3 ATS off an upset loss.  Even better:  New Orleans has cashed 64% since 2009 when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season by more than 20 points, while Utah has covered four of its last 14 at home vs. a foe it defeated by more than 20 points earlier in the season.  Finally, the revenger in this Pelicans/Jazz series is 39-19-4 ATS.  Take New Orleans.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors over the Indiana Pacers.  These two teams met earlier this season in San Francisco.  The Pacers upset Golden State, 112-104, as an 11-point road underdog.  We'll take the Warriors in this rematch, as Golden State is 53-31 ATS when playing with revenge, if the Warriors were off a SU/ATS loss.  With Golden State in off a blowout loss at Milwaukee last night, we'll take the defending Champs to bounce back tonight.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over Atlanta.  The Grizz come into tonight's game on a 5-game SU/ATS win streak, and have also won/covered seven of their last eight.  I won't step in front of this freight train, and especially not with an Atlanta team missing Dejounte Murray.  After failing to cover the spread last night, the Hawks are a wallet-breaking 4-9 ATS their last 13.  The Hawks defeated the Grizzlies, 120-105, when these teams last met.  But Memphis is a super 55-26 ATS in the regular season when rested, and playing with revenge, if the Grizz owned a W/L percentage of .600 or better (at Game 9 forward).  Take Memphis.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over Indiana.  The Heat come into this game off a dismal performance against San Antonio, the league's worst team.  And that was Miami's 3rd loss in its last four games (and 4th straight ATS loss).  We'll take the Heat to bounce back, as it's 16-0 ATS away from home off 3+ ATS defeats, if the game was competitively-priced with a point spread of 6 points or less, and the Heat were not playing without rest.  Take Miami.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over the New Orleans Pelicans.  The Suns were upset, 125-98, as a 2.5-point home favorite by Boston.  The Suns are now a road favorite against New Orleans, which has overtaken Phoenix for the #1 spot in the Western Conference.  We'll take the Suns to bounce back, as they're 6-0 ATS their last six; 10-1 ATS their last 11; and 30-13 ATS their last 43 off an upset loss.  And when priced as a road favorite of less than four points, the Suns are 15-0 ATS their last 15 off an upset loss (and 21-2 ATS their last 23).  Take the Suns.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Houston.  The Spurs have had the last 3 days off to lick their wounds from their current 11-game losing streak.  We'll take the Spurs as a home underdog, as well-rested NBA teams, playing with at least 3 days' of rest, have covered 63% since 1990 if they were on a 9-game (or worse) losing streak.  Even better:  the Rockets are an awful 24-53-2 ATS off an ATS win if they were playing a rested foe.  Take San Antonio.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over the Dallas Mavericks.  The Mavs come into this road game off back to back blowout wins over New York (121-100) and Phoenix (130-111).  Meanwhile, Denver was pounded, 121-106, by the New Orleans Pelicans.  We'll take Nikola Jokic & Co. to bounce back, as NBA home favorites have covered 68% since 1991 if they were off a loss by 15+ points, and their opponent was off back to back 19-point (or greater) wins.  Take Denver.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors + the points over Brooklyn.  The Raptors come into this game off a 126-108 blowout loss, at the hands of the New Orleans Pelicans.  We'll take Toronto to bounce back off that loss, as it's 20-7 ATS vs. winning teams, if Toronto lost its previous game by more than 11 points.  Additionally, the Raptors play this game with revenge from a 112-98 loss last week here, in Brooklyn.  But Toronto is a solid 18-10 ATS when playing with revenge, while Brooklyn is 3-15 ATS at home vs. revenge-minded foes, if Brooklyn owned a winning record.  Grab the points with the Raptors.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over the Los Angeles Clippers.  The Clips won last night over Portland, 118-112.  We'll fade LA in Utah tonight, as the Jazz are 54-31 ATS at home when rested, and not favored by double-digits against an unrested foe off back to back wins.  Take the Jazz minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over the OKC Thunder.  The Spurs come into this game off an upset loss to the LA Lakers, and have now lost 8 straight games.  We'll grab the points with San Antone, as it's 78-42 ATS off an upset loss, if it was playing a .446 (or worse) opponent also off a SU loss.  Take San Antonio + the points.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over the Orlando Magic.  The Hawks come into tonight's game off 3 SU/ATS losses.  We'll lay the points tonight, as Orlando is a dismal 8-29 ATS at home vs. foes off 3+ losses.  Take the Hawks.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks + the points over the Golden State Warriors.  The Mavericks and Warriors both enter tonight's game with 10 losses on the season, though it's the Mavericks who are playing worse of late.  Dallas has dropped its last four games, while the Warriors have won 3 straight.  We'll look for the Mavs to snap their losing streak tonight, and take the points.  Dallas is 27-12 ATS as a home underdog off a SU/ATS loss when playing an opponent off a straight-up win.  Take the Mavericks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks over the Philadelphia 76ers.  The 76ers come into this game off back to back SU/ATS wins over Orlando, while Atlanta lost its two previous games to Houston and Miami.  We'll take the Hawks tonight, as they're 35-18 ATS when they've owned a winning record, and were off back to back SU/ATS losses, and matched up against a foe off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Take the Hawks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over Philadelphia.  The Magic are 5-14 on the season, and have been installed as a home favorite vs. the 10-9 Sixers.  We'll lay the points with Orlando, as < .312 NBA teams have cashed 85%, at Game 9 forward, as favorites/Pk vs. >.517 opponents off an upset win.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over the LA Lakers.  These two teams last weekend in LA, and also met here last night, and LeBron James & Co. routed San Antone in both games, 123-92, and 105-94.  We'll take the home dog in the rematch, as San Antonio is 32-21 ATS at home when playing with double-revenge in the regular season.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:10 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over the Toronto Raptors.  Dallas comes into this game off a loss at Boston, 125-112, on Wednesday.  We'll take the Mavs to bounce back tonight, as they're 14-1 ATS their last 15 as a road favorite off a road defeat.  Lay the points with Dallas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Utah.  After starting the season with a bang, the bloom is starting to come off the rose for the Jazz.  They've now dropped 5 of 7, after starting 10-3.  We'll fade the Jazz tonight, as they're 18-38 ATS off a point spread defeat, and 4-13 ATS off back to back losses.  Lay the wood with the Warriors.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over Indiana.  After a 2-5 start to the season, the Nets dismissed coach Steve Nash.  Jacque Vaughn is now running the team, and his troops are 7-5 since he took over.  Importantly, they're also 8-3 ATS.  We'll lay the points with Brooklyn, and go against a Pacers team coming off its worst shooting performance of the season, and worst defensive performance of the season.  We had a big play against Indiana in that game, and were rewarded when the Pacers converted just 38% of their shots in their 115-101 loss to the Timberwolves, and allowed Minny to shot 61%.  I look for Indy's troubles to continue tonight.  Lay the points with Brooklyn.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over the LA Clippers.  The Warriors were blown out by 45 points by New Orleans on Monday.  We'll take Steph Curry & Co. to bounce back, as Golden State is 42-22 ATS as a home favorite of -6 (or more) points off a road loss by more than 10 points.  Take the Warriors to blow out the Clippers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls + the points over Milwaukee.  After starting the season with a 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS record, the Bucks have gone 3-4 SU and 2-5 ATS.  The Bulls are 13-0 ATS here, in Milwaukee, when priced from +12 to -7, if the Bucks were off a SU win.  Take Chicago.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota T-Wolves over the Indiana Pacers.  The Pacers' 5-game win streak should come to an end tonight when Indy welcomes Minnesota to Gainbridge Fieldhouse.  The T-Wolves are working on a 4-game win streak, themselves.  Indy has covered just 26 of 66 home games vs. non-division foes, if both Indy and its opponent were off back to back wins.  And Minnesota also falls into several of my best NBA systems, with records of 72-34, 73-28 and 102-64.  Take the Timberwolves.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings over Memphis.  The Kings have now won six straight games, and nine of their last 11.  And they're 11-4 ATS, and own the league's #1 ATS record on the season.  I won't step in front of this freight train.  Memphis is currently playing without its 2 best players -- Ja Morant & Desmond Bane.  And those two players were the two high scorers for Memphis when these two teams met back on October 27 (a 125-110 Grizzlies win).  Take Sacramento to avenge that loss, and win its seventh straight.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over the Los Angeles Clippers.  The Spurs were blown out, 130-112, by Sacramento, on Wednesday.  But the Spurs have been terrific over the years off Gregg Popovich-coached blowout losses by 18+ points, including 59-37-2 ATS when they were playing with rest.  Take San Antone + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers minus the points over Utah.  We played on the Jazz last night in their upset win over the Phoenix Suns.  But now, Utah is unrested, and must play a rested Blazers team off a SU loss to the Nets.  We'll lay the points with Portland, as it's 49-35 ATS when favored in division games if it was rested, and its opponent was unrested.  Take Portland.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over Toronto.  The Hawks play this game with revenge from a 139-109 loss to the Raptors earlier this season.  We'll lay the points with Atlanta, as it's a super 85-44-2 ATS when rested, and playing with revenge at home vs. an opponent which defeated it by 10+ points earlier in the season.  Take the Hawks.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz over Phoenix.  The Jazz dropped their 3rd straight game on Wednesday to New York, 118-111.  We'll take Utah tonight to bounce back, as it's 106-71-4 ATS at home off a SU/ATS home loss.  Take the Jazz.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over the Denver Nuggets.  The Mavs were upset here, at home, by Houston on Wednesday.  We'll take the Mavs to bounce back, as they're 41-20 ATS off a loss.  Lay the points.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over the Milwaukee Bucks.  The Sixers were upset in their home opener, 90-88, by Milwaukee.  We'll take the revenge-minded 76ers at home tonight, as they're 38-20 ATS at home when playing with revenge from an upset loss, including 21-5 ATS when priced as a favorite of 7 or less points.  Take Philly.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls + the points over New Orleans.  These two teams met in Chicago just seven days ago, and the Bulls were defeated by four points, 115-111.  We'll take the Bulls in this rematch, as the Pelicans are a dreadful 59-96-2 ATS as a favorite vs. a revenge-minded foe.  Take Chicago.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat over the Toronto Raptors.  Miami comes into this game off an ATS loss in its most recent game (a 1-point win over Phoenix).  The Heat are a solid 116-72-2 ATS on the road off an ATS loss, including 64-33 ATS vs. a foe off a SU win.  Take Miami.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over Orlando.  We played against the Magic two nights ago, and got the $$$ with Charlotte, as the Hornets snapped their 7-game losing streak.  We'll go against Orlando again tonight, as it is a horrid 80-115 ATS at home off a home loss.  Take the T-Wolves.

At 10:00 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets over the Sacramento Kings.  The Kings upset the defending champion Warriors, 122-115, on Sunday.  But off that upset win, we'll fade Sacramento tonight, as it's 56-92-5 ATS at home off an upset win.  Take Brooklyn.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over the Utah Jazz.  Prior to the season, not much was expected from the Utah Jazz, after they jettisoned their two best players (Rudy Gobert; Donovan Mitchell).  Surprisingly, though, the Jazz have been terrific this season, as they're 10-5 SU/ATS.  But their success has been as an underdog, where they're 9-2 ATS.  As a favorite, Utah is 1-3 ATS.  We'll grab the points with the New York Knicks tonight, and go against a (now) overrated Utah team, which is starting to come back down to Earth, and has lost its last two games, straight-up.  Take New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Oklahoma City.  The Thunder have won two straight games -- both as underdogs -- but are in a prime letdown spot tonight.  Even worse, they're playing without rest against a rested opponent.  Boston is 13-2 ATS at home when rested against an unrested foe off a win.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets over the Orlando Magic.  The Hornets were blown out by Orlando by 20 points back on October 28.  But I love the Hornets in this revenge match, as they fall into a 206-104 ATS revenge system of mine which plays on certain teams that lost by 19+ points vs. division rivals.  Additionally, the Magic are an awful 17-41-2 ATS at home vs. foes off back to back losses.  Take Charlotte.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves over the Cleveland Cavaliers.  After starting the season 8-1, the Cavs are now on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak.  We'll go against them here, as they're a wallet-busting 13-36-2 ATS off back to back ATS losses, including 0-9-1 ATS vs. .420 (or worse) teams, as well as 0-9-1 ATS when favored by 7 or less points.  Take Minnesota + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves + the points over the Memphis Grizzlies.  These two teams met in last year's playoffs, and the #2 seeded-Grizzlies bounced the T-Wolves in six games.  After that strong showing in last year's playoffs, the T-Wolves were expected to be a contender this season. But the T-Wolves are off to a somewhat disappointing 5-7 start. The season is a long one, though, so there's still time to right the ship.  We'll take the Timberwolves + the points tonight, as it falls into one of my favorite Playoff revenge angles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs over the Milwaukee Bucks.  San Antonio is 31-7 ATS off a straight-up loss, when matched up against an Eastern conference foe off a straight-up win, and not favored by more than 6 points.  Take San Antonio.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.. 

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers + the points over the Clippers.  LeBron James and Anthony Davis are 'probable' tonight, and that's all we need to pull the trigger on the Lakers.  The Lakers play this game with revenge from an earlier loss, 103-97, to the Clippers, and now fall into a 132-65 ATS revenge system of mine.  Additionally, the Clippers check in off an upset loss over the Cleveland Cavaliers.  And that upset win has triggered 19-3 and 236-151 ATS systems of mine.  Los Angeles is also 16-7 ATS off 3 ATS losses.  Grab the points with the Lakers.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans minus the points over Chicago.  The Pelicans have lost their last four ATS, but I love them to bounce back tonight, at Chicago.  The Bulls are a dreadful 43-79 ATS at home vs. non-conference foes off an ATS loss.  Take New Orleans + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:15 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers + the points over the Utah Jazz.  There's no question that the Jazz are the league's biggest surprise this season.  They're 8-3 after upsetting the Los Angeles Clippers and Los Angeles Lakers in L.A. last week.  And when installed as an underdog, Utah is a stunning 7-2 straight-up, and 8-1 ATS (the average point spread in those nine games was +5.6).  However, tonight, the Jazz are a favorite, rather than an underdog.  And Utah is 1-1 straight-up, and 0-2 ATS as a favorite this season.  We'll take Los Angeles tonight, as it's 63-40 ATS on the road when playing with revenge from a home loss, if the Lakers weren't getting more than 4 points in the current game.

At 8:45 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets + the points over Dallas.  The Mavs went into Brooklyn last month, and defeated the Nets in overtime, 129-125.  We'll grab the points with Brooklyn in this rematch, as it's 12-0 ATS away from home as a an underdog of more than 3 points vs. a .620 (or better) foe, provided Brooklyn had a losing record, and was playing with revenge from a home loss.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies + the points over Boston.  The Grizzlies have been installed as a home dog vs. the Celtics, who have won their last 2 games.  And Memphis is 10-0 ATS its last 10 at home vs. a foe off a win, if Memphis wasn't favored by 2+ points.  Take the Grizzlies + the points.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks + the points over Milwaukee.  The Bucks are undefeated, at 9-0, and are the NBA's lone unbeaten team.  But their win streak should come to a halt tonight, as the Hawks are 10-0 ATS their last 10 at home vs. foes on a 4-game (or better) win streak.  Grab the points with Dejounte Murray & Co.

At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers + the points over the Cleveland Cavaliers.  After opening the season with a loss in Toronto, the Cavaliers have ripped off 7 straight wins.  They're now a small road favorite at the 2-6 Lakers.  We'll take the points with the Lakers, as .440 (or worse) NBA teams have covered 66% since 1990, at Game 4 foward, if they were not getting 5+ points from an .875 (or better) foe.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over Portland.  The Suns are 6-2 this season, with both losses coming at the hands of the Trail Blazers.  Last night, these two teams played on this floor, and the Suns were upset, 108-106, as an 12-point favorite.  We'll take Phoenix in this revenge match, as NBA favorites of -6 (or more) points that lost their previous game (to the same opponent), as a double-digit favorite, have covered the spread in the regular seasons 67% since 1990.  Lay the points with the Suns.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings minus the points over Orlando.  The Magic pulled off a huge upset over the defending champion, Golden State, as a 9.5-point underdog.  They're now a home dog vs. Sacramento.  I look for a major letdown tonight, by Orlando, off that big win.  And the Magic fall into negative 13-36 and 156-241 ATS systems of mine that go against certain teams off upset wins.  Additionally, the Kings are 38-25 ATS on the road off a road loss.  Lay the points with the Kings.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Chicago.  The Bulls come into Boston off back to back SU/ATS wins, including a 106-88 blowout of Charlotte, as a 6-point favorite on Wednesday.  The Celts play this game with revenge from an 18-point loss in Chicago, on October 24.  We had a big play on the Bulls in that game, but will side with Boston, tonight.  The Celtics are a solid 66-35 ATS when playing with revenge from an 8-point (or worse) defeat, if its opponent was off back to back SU/ATS wins.  And it's 21-6 ATS off a loss vs. foes off a point spread cover by 10+ points.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over Portland.  Memphis comes into this game off back to back upset losses to Utah, and are now 4-3 on the season.  Meanwhile, the Blazers are off to a 5-1 start after blowing out Houston, 125-111.  They're a home underdog tonight, and that doesn't bode well, as .833 (or better) teams have cashed 25% since 1990 as a home dog or PK, if matched up against an opponent off a SU loss.  Take Memphis.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Cleveland.  The Cavs went into Boston and upset the Celtics last week.  And, after defeating New York on Sunday, the Cavs have now won and covered five straight.  We'll take Boston tonight, as it is 75-47-2 ATS when playing with revenge from an upset home loss, if its opponent was off a SU win.  Take the Celtics.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over Philadelphia.  These two teams met two days ago in Washington, and the Sixers won, 118-111.  We'll take Washington in this rematch, as the revenge-minded team in this series is 18-10 ATS since 2013.  And the Wizards are 81-52 ATS when playing with revenge from a home defeat.  Take the Wizards + the points.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic + the points over Oklahoma City.  The Thunder are on a 3-game win streak, and also have been the best team against the spread this season, as they're 5-0-1 ATS.  But when one looks at those games, one readily notices that not only has OKC been an underdog in each -- it's been a BIG underdog.  The Thunder's six point spreads this season have been +11, +9, +10, +5.5, +6.5, and +10.5.  Tonight, they're not a big underdog, but rather a favorite.  We saw a similar situation this past weekend in the NFL, when the Atlanta Falcons were favored by 4 points vs. Carolina, after starting the year 6-1 ATS -- all as an underdog.  And, of course, Atlanta didn't cover the spread when it switched roles, and became a favorite.  The Magic are a solid 14-4 ATS as an underdog away from home vs. foes off an upset win.  Grab the points with Orlando.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets over Chicago.  The Nets sustained their fifth straight ATS loss last night in a 7-point win vs. Indiana (as an 8.5-point favorite).  But on this long ATS losing streak, we'll step in and take Brooklyn tonight, at home.  Indeed, the Nets are a sensational 35-13-2 ATS when they were on a 5-game (or worse) ATS losing streak, including 11-1-1 ATS when priced from -1.5 to -7.5 points.  And the Bulls are a poor 11-24 ATS vs. foes on a 4-game (or worse) point spread losing streak.  Take Brooklyn.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over the Utah Jazz.  There are many surprises in this early NBA season, with the Jazz and Spurs (both at 5-2) perhaps leading the list.  Both Utah and San Antonio were expected to tank this season to compete for a shot at Victor Wembanyama in next year's draft lottery.  But each has discarded that proposition, and has stormed out of the gate.  Tonight, the Jazz will try to make it two-in-a-row at home vs. the Grizzlies, as they also beat Memphis, 124-123, here, on Saturday.  However, it's tough to pull off back to back upset wins in the regular season vs. an opponent.  And Memphis is 47-26-1 ATS when playing with revenge vs. a winning foe.  Take the Grizzlies.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over Milwaukee.  The Pistons blew out the defending champion, Golden State Warriors, 128-114, yesterday.  They're installed as a double-digit dog tonight vs. Milwaukee.  And double-digit road dogs, with a losing record, are 94-62 ATS off a SU win vs. .667 (or better) division foes.  Take Detroit + the points.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over Indiana.  With apologies to the Lakers and Clippers, the Nets are easily the most disappointing team in the league.  They're 1-5 SU/ATS, and have failed to cover the spread by 10.33 ppg.  Only the Clippers (who are 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS) have a worse point spread differential at minus 11.91.  But at least the Clippers have the fallback excuse of player injuries.  Tonight, the Nets will try to get back on track against the Pacers.  And should the Nets not already not have sufficient motivation, it won't hurt that this Pacers team already smashed the Nets two nights ago, 125-116, as an 11-point underdog.  We'll lay the points with the revenge-minded Nets, and take note of the fact that they had won each of the seven previous meetings before that defeat.  Even better:  the Nets are 10-1-1 ATS in the regular season when playing with revenge from a home loss suffered against the same opponent in Brooklyn's previous game.  Finally, the Pacers are a poor 9-23-1 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe, if Indiana covered the spread in the previous meeting.  Lay the points with Brooklyn.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over the Atlanta Hawks.  The Raptors will look to bounce back tonight from a 22-point loss to the 76ers.  We'll lay the points, as the Hawks are 49-91 ATS vs. rested foes off a 20-point (or worse) defeat.  And Toronto is 17-5 ATS off a loss by 12+ points, if Toronto owned a .500 (or better) WL percentage.  Take the Raptors.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings minus the points over Charlotte.  On Saturday, the Hornets upset the defending NBA champion Warriors,  120-113.  But off that huge upset win, as a 10-point underdog, we'll look for a major letdown tonight, as home underdogs have cashed just 39.7% since 1990 off an upset win over the defending champs.  Lay the points with Sacramento.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers + the points over the Denver Nuggets.  The Nuggets won their previous game, 117-101, over the Utah Jazz.  But off that blowout win, we'll fade Denver on the road, as it's an awful 5-24 ATS as a road favorite off a win by 9+ points.  Take Los Angeles.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over the Minnesota Timberwolves.  It's only Game 7, but this is the 3rd meeting already this season between these two clubs.  And that is the earliest that two teams have played their 3rd meeting, from as far back as my database goes (1990) -- but possibly for the history of the NBA.  The first two meetings were played in Minnesota, and the two teams split those, with the Spurs winning #1, and the T-Wolves prevailing in meeting #2.  San Antonio is now 4-2 on the season, and is one of the surprising teams thus far -- especially since the Spurs had the lowest projected season win total, and longest Championship odds for any of the 30 teams.  We'll grab the points with Gregg Popovich's crew, as San Antonio is 37-21 ATS at home when playing with revenge.  Take the Spurs.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Golden State/Detroit game.  After scoring 123+ points in four of their first five games, the Warriors' offense took a holiday yesterday, as they lost 120-113 (in overtime), and the game went under the total of 233.5.  I'll look for another relatively-low scoring game today, as the Over/Under line is a tad inflated.  The Under also falls into 166-112 and 60-35 Totals systems of mine.  Take the Under.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over Cleveland.  The Cavaliers pulled off an upset win, at Boston, in overtime, on Friday.  But off that upset win, we'll fade the Cavaliers at home today.  Cleveland has struggled mightily in the role of a favorite, as it's 54-86 ATS its last 140.  And it also falls into a negative 48-85 ATS system of mine based on its upset win.  Grab the points with the Knicks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks + the points over the Milwaukee Bucks.  This is a great match-up tonight in Milwaukee, as the 4-0 Bucks will take on the 4-1 Hawks.  We'll go against the undefeated Bucks, as teams with a 4-0 SU record have covered Game 5s just 40.2% since 1990, including 2-14 ATS their last 16.  Milwaukee's also 22-35 ATS vs. Atlanta, including 4-14 ATS when the Bucks were off back to back wins.  And the Hawks also fall into a 313-230 ATS system of mine which plays on certain winning teams installed as an underdog.  Grab the points with Atlanta.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over the Chicago Bulls.  The Sixers have dominated this series with 11 straight wins.  And they're 12-3 ATS the last 15 meetings.  Philadelphia is starting to right itself after an 0-3 SU/ATS start to the season.  Last night, even without Joel Embiid, Philly blew out Toronto, 112-90.  I look for the 76ers to continue to play well tonight.  And with Embiid now upgraded to 'probable,' that's all i need to pull the trigger on the 76ers.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over the Milwaukee Bucks.  The Bucks are the league's lone undefeated team, at 3-0.  But we will go against Milwaukee tonight, as it's a horrible 18-42-2 ATS at home in the regular season off 3 or more wins when matched up against a winning team.  Grab the points with New York.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Cleveland.  We played against Boston in its last game, and easily got the $$$ when Chicago routed it, 120-102.  But off that blowout loss, we'll lay the points with the Celtics tonight, as Boston has cashed 60% ATS in the regular season since 1990 as a favorite off an 18-point (or worse) upset loss.  Lay the points.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers + the points over Washington.  Indy was blown out, 124-109, by the Bulls on Wednesday.  But I look for it to rebound tonight, as it's cashed 63% since 2011 off a loss by more than 12 points, when matched up against .400 (or better) foes.  Take Indiana.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over Atlanta.  These two teams met here, in Detroit, two nights ago, and the Pistons lost that game by five points.  We'll take Detroit in this rematch, as it's 20-8 ATS at home off a SU home loss, including 9-1 ATS when priced from +5 to +7 points.  And Atlanta is a horrid 6-16-1 ATS on the road off a road win.  Take Detroit + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Miami.  We played on the Heat last night (which was a rare 5* play), and were rewarded with a 21-point blowout victory.  But we will fade Miami off that win, as it will be playing without rest against a rested Warriors club.  And Golden State will be looking to make amends for its 134-105 blowout loss at the hands of the Phoenix Suns on Tuesday.  The good news for Steph Curry & Co. is that .500 (or worse) NBA favorites have cashed 82% over the last 33 seasons if they lost their previous game on the road by more than 17 points, and their opponent was off a road win by more than 17 points.  Additionally, the Warriors have cashed 64.7% as a favorite off a loss by 29+ points.  Take Golden State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over the Oklahoma City Thunder.  The Clippers had one of their worst games in the last couple of years when they lost outright, 108-94, to the Thunder, as a 5.5-point road favorite.  They'll get a second bite at the apple tonight, in OKC, as the two teams will meet again in this rematch.  We'll take the Clippers to redeem themselves, as Los Angeles is 36-20-1 ATS on the road off a straight-up loss, including 16-8 ATS when playing with revenge, and 10-2 ATS off a road game where it failed to cover the spread by 19.5+ points.  Even better, the Clippers are 12-2 ATS when playing an opponent in back to back games, if they lost the first meeting, and were not favored by more than 7 in the next meeting.  Meanwhile, OKC is 4-13 ATS at home when they also defeated their opponent in OKC's previous game.  And it's 5-15 ATS off an upset home win, when priced from -2 to +8.5.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat over the Portland Trail Blazers.  The Heat are off to a 1-3 SU/0-4 ATS start after earning the #1 seed in the Eastern conference last year.  Meanwhile, Portland is a super 4-0 following its 135-110 upset win over Denver (its 4th straight upset to start the season).  We'll take Miami tonight, as it's 62-30 ATS off an upset loss, when matched up against an opponent off a SU win.  And it's also 27-8 ATS on the road when on a 3-game (or worse) ATS losing streak.  Meanwhile, the Trail Blazers are 18-44 ATS off a win over a division rival by more than 18 points, including 0-9 ATS if Portland wasn't favored by 4+ points in that previous game.  Take Miami.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Houston.  We played on Houston two nights ago, and got the $$$ when it defeated the Jazz, 114-108.  We'll take Utah in this rematch, as the Jazz fall into a "right-back revenge" system of mine which is 107-62 ATS.  Moreover, Houston is 26-44-2 ATS off a point spread win.  Lay the points.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over the San Antonio Spurs.  The T-Wolves were blitzed by San Antonio on Monday, so they'll look for revenge tonight.  Minnesota was favored by 8.5 points in that game.  And that was San Antonio's 3rd straight upset win (it also upset Philly as a 13-point dog, and Indy as a 1.5 point dog).  Unfortunately for the Spurs, NBA underdogs off back to back upset wins as 7-point dogs, have covered just 6 of 28 when playing a revenge-minded foe.  Take Minnesota.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Under in the New York/Charlotte game.  The Hornets come into tonight's game having played 3 'overs' in a row.  We'll look for a lower-scoring game on Wednesday, as the Under falls into a 57% and 58% Totals systems of mine.  Also, Charlotte is 4-0 Under its last 4, and 20-9-2 Under its last 31 after playing 3 straight Overs.  Take the Under.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Portland.  The Nuggets pulled off an upset win yesterday in Los Angeles, and now return home to take on the Denver Nuggets.  We'll lay the points with Denver, as NBA road favorites off back to back wins have covered 59% since 1990 vs. unrested division rivals off upset road wins.  Lay the points with the Nuggets.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets over Utah.  The Jazz have surprisingly opened the season with three straight upset wins.  But I look for that streak to come to a halt tonight, down in Houston.  Indeed, since 1990, winning teams off 3 upset wins have covered just 26.3% as underdogs vs. foes off a loss.  And the Jazz are also a wallet-breaking 5-19-1 ATS their last 25 on the road when not laying 3 or more points.  Take Houston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls + the points over Boston.  We played against Chicago on Saturday, and were rewarded with a 128-96 blowout win by the Cleveland Cavs.  Tonight, we'll switch gears and play on Chicago, as it's cashed 73.9% in the regular season as underdogs off a loss by 32+ points.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over Brooklyn.  The Grizzlies were blown out, 137-96, in Dallas, on Saturday.  But off that debacle, we'll lay the points with Memphis here, at home, tonight.  The Grizzlies are a solid 22-8 ATS as a favorite off a loss by more than 20 points.  Take Memphis.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors + the points over the Miami Heat.  These two teams met on Saturday here, in Miami.  And the Heat edged the Raptors, 112-109, for their first win of the season.  Unfortunately for Miami, losing teams have covered just 32.1% since 1990 in the 2nd of back to back home meetings, if they won the first of the two meetings, straight-up.  Take Toronto + the points.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over Indiana.  The Sixers are off to a poor 0-3 start.  But I love Philly to bounce back strong tonight, on Monday, as winless, double-digit favorites have covered 71% over the past 33 seasons vs. foes not off back-to-back losses.  Lay the points with the Sixers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.