Sports Picks & Predictions

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over New Orleans.  The Pelicans upset Houston, which was the team with the league's best record last season (65-17).  Let's fade New Orleans at home on Friday, as NBA teams have cashed just 26.3% since 1990 as favorites off an upset win over an opponent which owned a .500 (or better) record the previous season.  Take Sacramento + the points.  NBA Road Warrior Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets minus the points over Orlando.  The Hornets lost at home, on Wednesday, by a single point to the Milwaukee Bucks.  Meanwhile, Orlando upset the Miami Heat, 104-101, as a 2.5-point home dog.  We'll play against Orlando, as underdogs that opened the season with an upset win have covered just 20% of their Game 2s since 1990 when matched up against an opponent off a loss.  Take Charlotte. NBA Game of the Month. Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers minus the points over the LA Lakers.  To say the Blazers have dominated the Lakers would be an understatement.  Since April 2014, Portland has won ALL 15 meetings, and has covered the point spread in 13 of the 15 games.  Admittedly, this is a different Lakers team, with LeBron James being the featured player.  But Portland has won and covered its last four home meetings vs. LeBron James, so I'm not dissuaded from taking the Blazers.  Even better:  Portland has a second streak at play tonight, which is more impressive than its 15-0 record vs. the Lakers.  And that's Portland's record in its home openers.  It's the longest win streak in NBA history, and currently sits at 17 games (14-3 ATS).  Lay the points with the Trail Blazers.  NBA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers + the points over Golden State.  It's deja vu all over again, as the Warriors once again have a 3-games-to-none stranglehold on the series.  However, the Cavs blew out the Warriors, 137-116, in Game 4 last season, and I expect another strong effort on Friday night.  Indeed, NBA teams have cashed 64.2% over the past 28 years in the NBA Finals off a pointspread defeat if they trail 2-0 or 3-0 in the series.  Even better:  LeBron James' teams have gone 47-27 ATS at home in the Playoffs provided they weren't leading in the series.  Take Cleveland + the points.  NBA Game of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Under.  Analysis to follow.

At 8:05 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers + the points over Golden State.  The Warriors won Game 1, 124-114, in overtime, to take a 1-0 series lead.  Off that loss, we'll grab the points with Cleveland, as .610 (or better) NBA teams are 61-42 ATS as underdogs when down 1 game to none in a Playoff series.  And LeBron James' teams have gone 23-15 ATS on the road in the Playoffs off a SU loss.  Take Cleveland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Cleveland.  The Western Conference has been dominant vs. the East, as its teams have now had home court advantage in the NBA Finals for 18 of the last 21 years!  In the previous 20 seasons, over those 17 NBA Finals openers where it owned home court advantage in the finals, the Western Conference has won Game 1 all but two seasons (2001, 2004), and has gone 13-4 ATS.  Even worse for LeBron James & Co., the Western Conference has now won and covered 10 STRAIGHT TIMES (since 2005) in Game 1 when it owned home court advantage in the Finals!  And LeBron James teams accounted for six of those 10 defeats.  I look for Golden State to blow out Cleveland, as it's 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings between these two teams, with those seven wins by an average of 15.28 ppg.  Moreover, Golden State has gone 15-1 SU and 10-6 ATS in the opening game of its last 16 Playoff series, and it also falls into 90-49 and 32-10 ATS Playoff Systems of mine, that take certain teams in Game 1, based on various team statistics.  Lay it.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets + the points over Golden State.  This will be the fourth Game 7 of this year's NBA Playoffs.  The home team has won two of the first three, with Boston, last night, being the sole loser.  Dating back to 1991, the home teams have gone 55-16 straight-up and 41-28-2 ATS in the 71 Game 7s.  Interestingly, this will be just the 2nd time a home team has been an underdog in a Game 7 since 1991, and the other time was also with this Houston Rockets squad, back in 2015, when they were a 2.5-point dog to the Clippers.  Houston pulled the upset in that game, and I wouldn't be surprised if it shocked the world, here, tonight -- especially since they were blown out by 29 on Saturday.  Indeed, since 1991, underdogs have cashed 89% of the time off a loss in the semi-finals or finals by 22+ points, if they didn't trail in the series.  Take Houston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Under.  (Analysis to follow.)

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Under in Game 6 between Golden State and Houston.  We have won each of the first five games of this series, including a play on the Under in Game 5.  That game went Under by a whopping 28 points, as Houston won, 98-94, to take a 3-2 series lead.  The bad news for the Rockets is that PG Chris Paul (24.39 PER this season) suffered an injury, so he won't play tonight.  This season, Paul missed 24 games.  And while the Rockets were 15-9 straight-up in those games, they were 9-15 ATS, including 0-4 SU/ATS as an underdog.  Even worse, the Rockets averaged just 107.7 ppg without Paul in the line-up (compared to 112.7 ppg with him on the court).  Certainly, his 18.6 points, 7.9 assists and 5.4 rebounds per game were missed.  Not surprisingly, the Rockets have gone 15-9 Under the total without Paul in the line-up this season, including 9-2 Under on the Road, and 8-0 Under when not favored by more than 5 points!  I look for a relatively low-scoring game tonight.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Cleveland/Boston game, as it falls into an 82-42 Totals system of mine.  These two teams have played four of their first five games in this year's Playoffs Under the total.  And that has continued a long-term trend in this series, as 18 of the last 27 games have gone Under.  Additionally, Boston's 17-6 Under on the road in the Playoffs.  And teams, like Cleveland, that scored less than 85 points in their previous game, and now trail in a Playoff series, and face elimination, have gone Under the total 58.41% the past 25 years.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Golden State/Houston game to go 'under' the total.  This series has seen three of its first four games go 'under' the total.  And Game 4 went under by a whopping 40 points.  I look for this trend to continue on Thursday, as the 'under' falls into an 195-139 totals system of mine.  Additionally, Playoff games have gone 'under' the total 68.1% of the time the past 25 years if the previous playoff game went 'under' by more than 36 points.  Take the 'under.'  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics over the Cleveland Cavaliers.  It's well-chronicled that the Boston Celtics have yet to lose a playoff game at home this season (they're 9-0 -- both straight-up and against the spread).  That's one reason to favor the Celtics in Game 5, tonight.  Another is that Boston has been the much superior team against the point spread this season.  Boston's covered 63.5%, while Cleveland's cashed just 39.5%.  That's a whopping 24 percent difference.  And in the Playoffs, home teams that have covered more than 17.1% of the time than their opponents have cashed a staggering 82.35% since 1991!  Take Boston in Game 5.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets + the points over Golden State.  The Rockets owned the best record in the league this season.  But all of that success went out the window in Game 3 when they lost by 41 points.  I love Houston to bounce back on Tuesday, as .667 (or better) teams are a perfect 17-0 ATS as road underdogs, priced from +7 to +13 points, in Games 2, 3 or 4 of a Playoff series, if they trail by 1 or 2 games in the series.  Take Houston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics + the points over Cleveland.  The Celts were bombed by 30 points by Cleveland on Saturday.  Unfortunately for LeBron James & Co., favorites off a playoff blowout win by more than 21 points generally fail to cover the spread in their next playoff game vs. that embarrassed opponent, and especially if they trail in the series.  Since 1991, such teams have covered just 24.2% of the time, including 0-8 ATS in the last two rounds of the Playoffs.  Cleveland is a poor 22-50-1 ATS this season as a favorite, including 1-11 ATS vs. foes off a loss by 14+ points.  The Celtics, meanwhile, are 61-34-2 ATS on the season, including 10-1-1 ATS when they lost their previous game by double-digits.  And they're 16-4 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, including a perfect 6-0 ATS vs. .600 (or better) foes.  Take Boston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors.  Analysis to follow.

At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavs.  (Analysis to follow.)

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets.  (Analysis to follow.)

At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers over the Boston Celtics.  The Cavs were blown out by 25 to start this series.  But I love Cleveland to bounce back on Tuesday, as .610 (or better) teams have cashed 35 of 50 playoff games off a road defeat by more than 21 points.  And LeBron James' teams have gone 10-6 SU/ATS in the playoffs when down 1-0 in a series.  Take Cleveland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors + the points over Houston.  The Rockets' win percentage (including playoff games) is substantially higher (.793 vs. .717) than the Warriors' win percentage, and Houston also enjoys home court advantage.  Yet Houston's not being given much respect in Vegas, as it's favored by a very short price.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the "better" team in Game 1 laying a very short price, but consider that NBA teams that owned a much better (at least .060) win percentage have covered just 26% of their Game 1s since 1991 when not favored by more than four points!  Take the Warriors.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz + the points over Houston.  The Rockets took a 3-1 series lead with a sweep of the Jazz in Salt Lake City.  The series returns to the Toyota Center tonight, where the Rockets will look to eliminate the Jazz.  Unfortunately for Houston, it's been installed as a huge favorite.  And home favorites of 12+ points off a win in the playoffs are a poor 13-34 ATS if they're not trailing in the series.  Take Utah.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:05 pm (please note the early start), our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers and Boston Celtics to go 'under' the total.  We played on the under in Saturday's Game 3, and easily got the $$$, even though the game did go into overtime.  One of the reasons we played on that Game 3 to go 'under' was that the Celtics have been a strong 'under' team on the road (now 37-26-4 'under') and especially in the playoffs (now 15-5 'under' their last 20 road playoff games).   Boston won that Game 3, as a 9.5-point underdog, and now leads this series 3 games to none.  And that leads us to another reason why I love tonight's game to go 'under.'  In the NBA playoffs, teams (like Philly) trailing in a series, and facing elimination have gone 'under' the total much more often than not over the past 28 years.  This season, we've seen 7 of 10 such elimination games go 'under' the total, and I look for that trend to continue tonight.  Take the 'under.'  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:35 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over New Orleans.  The Pelicans blew out the Warriors, 119-100, on Friday to cut the series deficit to one game heading into this Game 4.  Unfortunately for the Pelicans, the Warriors are at their very best off a straight-up loss when playing an opponent off a win.  Dating back to 2011, Golden State is 75-38-1 ATS in this situation, including 15-8 ATS in the Playoffs, and 9-1 ATS as a favorite of more than 5 points vs. a .580 (or better) foe.  Take the Warriors.  NBA ELITE INFO WINNER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors and Cleveland Cavs Under the total.  The Raptors were upset at home, 128-110, by the Cavaliers on Thursday.  Teams off home upset losses in the Playoffs tend to bounce back with better defensive games on the road the next time out, and such games have gone 'Under' the total 58% since 1991.  The Under also falls into a 97-55 Totals system of mine.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors + the points over Cleveland.  The Raptors were blown out, 128-110 in Game 2, and certainly didn't expect to be down 2 games to none in this series after compiling the best record in the Eastern Conference.  We'll grab the points with Toronto as NBA playoff teams with a superior win percentage have cashed 79.16% since 1991 off back-to-back playoff losses, if they lost their previous game by 15+ points.  Take Toronto.  NBA Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:05 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over Boston.  The Sixers are down 2 games to none in this series, and have been installed as a big favorite today.  That bodes well for them, as teams down exactly two games in a series have cashed 71.05% at home in the first three rounds of the playoffs since 1991 when favored by more than 4 points.  Lay it.

At 5:05 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Philly/Boston game.  The Celtics are 36-26-4 Under the total on the road their last 66 games, and are 14-5 Under their last 19 Playoff games.  The Under also falls into an 86-48 Totals system of mine.  Take the Under.

At 10:35 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over Utah.  The Jazz stunned the #1-seeded Rockets on Wednesday, with a 116-108 victory at the Toyota Center.  Unfortunately for the Jazz, NBA home teams are an awful 6-17 ATS in Game 3 of the quarterfinals, if they're off an upset win and the series is tied at 1-game apiece.  Even worse:  if their win percentage is .640 or worse, then they're a dismal 1-10 ATS.  Take Houston in Game 3.  Western Conference Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the 'under' in the Golden State/New Orleans game.  The Warriors scored more than 120 points in each of the first two games of this series.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another high-scoring game on Friday in Game 3.  But consider that NBA Playoff games have gone 'under' the total 63.2% since 1992 in games where one (or both) of the teams had scored more than 116 points in each of its two previous Playoff games in that season.  Take the Warriors/Pelicans 'under' the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over Boston.  The Sixers were upset, 117-101, in Game 1 of this series.  But I look for them to bounce back on Thursday, as favorites are 73-45-2 ATS in the 2nd Round of the NBA playoffs since 1991 off a 7-point road loss, including 5-2 ATS as a road favorite off an upset loss.  Lay the points with Philly.  NBA High Roller Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Cleveland.  The Raptors were upset by Cleveland, 113-112, in Game 1 on Tuesday.  I love the Raptors to rebound on Thursday, as home teams have cashed 75% over the past 13 years off a loss in Game 1 of the quarter-final round, including a perfect 8-0 SU/ATS when they owned a win percentage of .700 or better.  Take Toronto.  NBA Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Cleveland.  The Cavaliers were stretched to the full seven games in the first round by the #5-seeded Indiana Pacers.  Now, they have to play the fairly well-rested #1 seeded Raptors, who dispatched Washington in six games.  We'll lay the points with Toronto, as underdogs of +6 or more points, off a seven-game series win in Round 1, are a poor 27% ATS since 1991 in Game 1 of the 2nd round.  Take Toronto minus the points.  NBA Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over Boston.  The Celtics needed seven games to dispatch of the Milwaukee Bucks.  Unfortunately, teams that go the full seven games generally perform poorly in Game 1 of the next round when matched up against opponents that won their series in four or five games (as Philly did vs. Miami).  Since 1991, the teams that played seven games in their previous series have cashed just 33% in Game 1 vs. foes that played much shorter series.  Take Philly.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1:05 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Indiana.  It's tough to make an argument against a home team in an NBA Game 7, regardless of how the first six games went.  So, yes, it's absolutely true that Indiana has been the better team up to this point.  The Pacers have covered five of the six games, and blew out Cleveland by 34 on Friday.  But the fact remains that NBA home teams have dominated Game 7s since the dawn of NBA history (103-26 straight-up).  And nothing has changed recently, either, as NBA home teams are 14-3 straight-up and 11-6 ATS since June 2013.  Moreover, LeBron James has also been dominant at home in the Playoffs in games where his team was tied or trailing in the series.  In his career, his teams have gone 54-15 SU and 44-25 ATS in this situation, including a perfect 3-0 SU/ATS in Game 7.  Indeed, LeBron James' teams have now cashed five straight Game 7s (whether at home or on the road) since 2008, and they've covered those five games by an average of 7.1 ppg.  Take the Cavaliers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over New Orleans.  It's tough to go against a home team in Game 1 of the quarterfinals round.  And especially when such home teams are priced from -8 to -11.5 points.  Since 1991, these teams are 30-2 straight-up and 26-6 ATS.  But that's not the best part.  If they're playing an opponent off back to back SU/ATS wins, then our 26-6 stat zooms to 11-0 ATS, with the average margin of victory being 17.9 ppg.  This will be a roast.  Lay the points with Golden State.  NBA High Roller Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Boston/Milwaukee game.  Over the last 28 years, in the NBA, whenever a Playoff series has gone the full seven games, it's been profitable to play on the 'under' in Game 7.  And that's going to be our selection here.  Indeed, the scores have declined in four of the last five games.  Game 2 produced 226 points; Game 3 was 208; Game 4 generated 206; Game 5 had 179; and Game 6 ticked up slightly to 183.  But even though the scores have been getting substantially less, the over/under line has not caught up to just how much the scoring has declined.  Take the 'under.'  NBA Elite Info Play.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the OKC/Utah game.  Utah has another chance to close out this series after failing to do so in Game 5.  The good news for the Jazz is that they are back at home.  I look for a low-scoring game tonight, as the last eight meetings between these two teams in Utah have gone 'under' the total when the line was less than 208 points.  Also, road teams facing elimination, down 3-games-to-2 in a 7-game series, have gone 'under' the total 71% since 1991 when the line was greater than 200 points.  Take the 'under.'  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Pacers/Cavaliers game.  All five games of this playoff series have gone 'under' the total.  And, dating back to the regular season, these two teams have gone 7-0-1 'under' in their last eight meetings.  I certainly won't buck this trend.  Take Game 6 to go 'under' the total.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Washington/Toronto game.  This series started out as a very high-scoring one.  The first three games averaged 231.3 ppg.  But the last two games have seen a huge shift in the offensive efficiency, and have averaged just 205 ppg.  I look for this trend to continue in Game 6.  Take the 'under.'

At 8:05 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the Boston Celtics + the points over Milwaukee.  The Celtics won the pivotal Game 5 on Tuesday to take a 3-2 series lead.  In the Playoffs, NBA road teams up 3 games to 2 have cashed a whopping 67% in the 1st round.  Take Boston + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Celtics and Bucks Game 6 to go 'under' the total.  These two teams have played a very competitive series, as it was tied at 2 games apiece before Boston won Game 5.  In the NBA playoffs, competitive series have gone 'under' 70-49 in Game 6 (that were tied at 2 games apiece).  The 'under' also falls into a 72-33 Totals system of mine.  Take the 'under.'  1st Round Total of the Year. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:35 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves + the points over Houston.  It's treacherous to lay more than 10 points in a Playoff game, and especially when the favored team is coming off a win in its previous playoff game vs. its opponent.  Since 1991, our double-digit favorites in this situation have covered just 29 of 77 games.  Take Minnesota + the points.

At 9:35 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Utah.  We played on Utah in Game 4 of this series, and were rewarded with a double-digit blowout win.  But we will switch gears, and lay the points with OKC in this "do-or-die" Game 5.  Indeed, home favorites down three-games-to-one in a series have covered 61.2% since 1991 off back to back losses.  Lay the points with the Thunder.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers + the points over Cleveland.  The Pacers have won two of the four games in this series, but have outplayed Cleveland, overall.  In the four games, Indiana has outscored the Cavs, 387-374, and has covered three of the four games.  The Pacers are 54-28-4 ATS off a Playoff defeat, including 21-6-3 ATS as a road underdog of +2 or more points.  Meanwhile, Cleveland is 20-46-1 ATS as a favorite this season.  Take the Pacers + the points.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over the Washington Wizards.  Toronto dropped both games in our nation's capital, and this series is now level at 2 games apiece.  I look for the #1-seeded Raptors to re-assert themselves here, at home, as top seeds have cashed 64 percent in the Playoffs since 1991 when favored (or PK) off back to back losses by 5+ points.  Lay it!  Eastern Conf. Game of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over San Antonio.  The Warriors had won seven straight Playoff games over the past two seasons vs. San Antonio.  So, perhaps, it was no surprise that they didn't bring their best game on Sunday in San Antone.  But off that blowout loss, I expect the Warriors to be more focused tonight.  Indeed, Golden State is 75-37-1 ATS over the past 7+ years off a loss when playing a foe off a win, including 15-7 ATS in the Playoffs.  Golden State also falls into 86-37 and 126-65 ATS systems of mine which play on certain teams off playoff defeats.  Lay the points with the Warriors.  NBA Game of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics and the Milwaukee Bucks 'under' the total.  This series has been ultra-competitive, as the two teams are tied at 2 games apiece heading into this pivotal game 5.  Typically, such games are low-scoring affairs.  Indeed, when teams are tied at 1, 2 or 3 games apiece, and the game is also competitively-priced with a point spread of 5 points or less, the 'under' is 130-94-1 since 1990.  Take the 'under.'  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Oklahoma City.  The Jazz gained control of this series with a 13-point win in Game 3 to take a 2-1 series lead.  The Jazz are now 27-5 straight-up, and 21-11 ATS in their last 32 games when playing with rest, including 20-5 ATS when not laying more than 10 points!  And they're a fantastic 54-33-2 ATS as a home favorite in the Playoffs, including 36-4 straight-up and 28-11-1 ATS when priced from -4.5 to -7.5 points.  The Jazz also fall into a Playoff system of mine which is 76-47 ATS which plays on certain home teams off Playoff wins.  Take Utah.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Washington.  The #1-seeded Raptors played a rare bad game on Friday, as they lost 122-103 in Game 3.  The good news for fans North of the Border is that .615 (or better) teams have cashed 67% in the Playoffs since 1991 off double-digit losses when they've led the series 2-games-to-1, against .540 (or worse) opponents.  Take Toronto.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Toronto/Washington game 'under' the total.  The Raptors are up 2-games-to-1 in this series after dropping Game 3 by 19 points.  I expect the Raptors to play much better defense this evening, and look for a lower-scoring game.  Indeed, over the last 25 seasons, Game 4s have gone 'under' the total 64% when the higher-seeded team was blown out by double-digits in Game 3 (after winning Games 1 + 2), and the O/U line was greater than 190 points.  Take the 'under.'

At 1:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics + the points over Milwaukee.  The Bucks blew out Boston, 116-92, on Friday.  But we'll fade the Bucks today, as Boston is a super 57-31-2 ATS its last 90 road games, including 12-3-1 its last 16 off a loss by 7+ points.  Meanwhile, Milwaukee is a horrid 18-53-2 ATS as a home favorite when it's owned a winning record, including 6-23 ATS when playing a revenge-minded opponent.  Boston also falls into a 21-0 ATS Playoffs system of mine which plays on certain teams off blowout losses.  Take the Celtics.  NBA Underdog of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1:05 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Boston/Milwaukee game.  The Celtics are 13-4 'under' the total in their last 17 road playoff games, while the Bucks have gone 'over' the total in just two of their last 10 home playoff games.  And the 'under' also falls into a Totals system of mine which is 93-54 since 1991.  Take the 'under.'

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder + the points over Utah.  The Thunder fell at home in Game 2, 102-95.  I look for OKC to bounce back on this Saturday, as teams off an upset home loss in the playoffs have cashed 60% since 1991 in their next game (and 26-13 ATS the last 5+ years), provided they weren't favored by 2+ points.  Here, of course, OKC is an underdog.  Take the Thunder + the points.  Western Conf. Game of the Week.  Good luck, as always ... Al McMordie.

At 2:35 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat + the points over Philadelphia.  The Sixers took a 2-1 lead in this series with a 20-point blowout of Miami in Game 3.  Unfortunately for Philly, road teams are a dismal 35% ATS since 1991 in Game 4 of a series, off a double-digit win, if they lead the series 2 games to 1.  Take the Heat + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:35 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Boston.  The Bucks have their backs against the wall, as they face a 2-game deficit going into this Game 3.  We'll lay the points with Milwaukee, as winning teams, off back to back road losses, down two games in a Playoff series, are 115-90 ATS at home.

At 9:35 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Milwaukee/Boston game.  These two teams sailed 'over' the total by wide margins in Games 1 and 2.  Game 1 generated 220 points (against an O/U line of 199.5), while Game 2 produced 226 points (against a line of 200).  I look for a much lower scoring game tonight, as teams generally go 'under' the total when they've gone over by 20+ points in each of their previous two meetings in a season, when the O/U line is more than 194 points.  Also, Boston's gone 'under' in 13 of 16 road playoff games, while Milwaukee's last five home playoff games have gone 'under' (and Milwaukee's 7-1-1 'under' at home its last nine playoff games).  Take the 'under.'  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Raptors and Wizards 'under' the total.  The Raptors went 'over' the total in both home playoff games vs. Washington.  And that's been par for the course for the Raptors, at home in the post-season, as they've gone 'over' in 15 of 23 games.  On the road, though, it's been a different story, as the Raptors have only gone 'over' in six of their last 18 road games.  Just 16 of the last 42 meetings between these two teams have gone 'over,' and just 44 of 118 matchups of #8 seeds playing at home vs. #1 seeds have gone 'over.'  Take the UNDER.

At 9:35 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the San Antonio/Golden State game.  The San Antonio Spurs have a severe home/road bias this season.  At home, the Spurs are 33-8 straight-up and 25-14-2 ATS.  And they've won their last 11 home games in a row (9-2 ATS; 8-3 'under' the total).  But on the road, San Antone is a miserable 14-29 SU and 17-25-1 ATS, including 0-10 SU its last seven (and 1-14 SU its last 15).  A key reason for this is that San Antonio's defense has not traveled with it on the road, of late, but is ever-present at home.  Indeed, since the All-Star break, the Spurs' defensive rating at home was 2nd in the NBA, while it was in the bottom 10 on the road.  I look for the Spurs to once again play great defense in front of their home faithful tonight.  Take the 'under.'  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:35 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves + the points over Houston.  The Rockets were the league's best team (by far) this season.  But in Game 1 of the Playoffs they had to withstand a missed 3-pointer by Jimmy Butler to escape with a 3-point win.  We'll fade the Rockets in Game 2, as .719 (or better) NBA teams off a win by less than 15 points to open a playoff series are a soft 27.6% ATS since 1991, and just 16.6% ATS when laying more than 9 points.  Take Minnesota + the points.  NBA ELITE INFO WINNER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Indiana.  The Pacers walloped the Cavaliers, 98-80, in Game 1.  But LeBron James' teams have cashed 71% at home in his career in the Eastern Conference Playoffs when they've not led in a Playoff series.  But that's not the best part.  In the first two rounds, in his career, LeBron's teams are a perfect 7-0 SU/ATS at home when they've trailed in a Playoff series, and have covered by an average of 10.06 ppg.  This will be a roast.  Take Cleveland minus the points.  NBA GAME OF THE MONTH.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:35 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers minus the points over New Orleans.  The Blazers were upset by Anthony Davis & Co. on Saturday night.  But I love Portland to level this series at one game apiece.  Indeed, teams seeded #3 (or better) off a loss to start the NBA Playoffs, are 32-3 straight-up and 24-9-2 ATS at home in Game 2, including a perfect 8-0 ATS vs. foes with a .567 (or better) win percentage.  Lay the points with Portland.  PERFECT 10 CLUB PLAY.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans minus the points over San Antonio.  The San Antonio Spurs have a severe home/road bias this season.  At home, the Spurs are 33-8 straight-up and 25-14-2 ATS.  And they've won their last 11 home games in a row (9-2 ATS; 8-3 'under' the total).  But on the road, San Antone is a miserable 14-26 SU and 17-22-1 ATS, including 0-7 SU its last seven (and 1-11 SU its last 12).  A key reason for this is that San Antonio's defense has not traveled with it on the road, of late.  Indeed, since the All-Star break, the Spurs' defensive rating at home is 2nd in the NBA, while it's #22 on the road.  The Spurs are a horrid 0-9 ATS at New Orleans the last four seasons when not favored by double-digits.  Take the Pelicans.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota T-Wolves minus the points over Denver.  Minnesota comes into this final game off three straight point spread wins.  And home teams with a winning record, off three ATS wins, have covered 90% in their final game of the season since 1991 vs. foes off a SU/ATS home win.  With Denver in off an 88-82 win vs. Portland (as a 5-point favorite), we'll lay the points with Minnesota on Wednesday.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Memphis.  The Grizzlies threw in the towel on the season months ago, so it wasn't a surprise to hear that center Marc Gasol won't play in tonight's finale.  And Gasol will join a long list of solid NBA players sidelined for Memphis in this game (e.g., JaMychal Green, Chandler Parsons, Tyreke Evans, Mike Conley).   Memphis will finish with the 2nd worst record this season (one game ahead of Phoenix), so will have an excellent chance to get the #1 pick in the 2018 draft.  The Grizzlies lost by 19 points to the T-Wolves on Monday, and that doesn't bode well for them, as .300 (or worse) teams off a loss have cashed just four of 21 games in their final game of the season, if they're matched up against a foe with a win percentage greater than .300.  Take the Thunder to blow out Memphis.

At 8:05, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over Toronto.  The Raptors have had a brilliant season, and earned the #1 seed in the East.  For their reward, they'll rest their stars tonight in Miami.  This will be the Heat's final home game of the season, and Miami falls into a 92-57 ATS "Last Home Game" system of mine, which plays on certain teams, with a .333 (or better) record in their final home game of the season.  And the Heat also fall into a 42-14 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off 15+ point blowout losses.  More ammunition for pulling the trigger on the Heat tonight:  Miami is 26-12 ATS off back to back losses, and 46-33 ATS when playing with revenge.  Lay the points with Miami.  NBA Roadkill Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over Boston.  We played on Brooklyn in its last game -- a win and cover vs. the Bulls -- and that was the Nets' 3rd straight win and cover.  Meanwhile, the Celtics are trending in the opposite direction with 0 ATS wins in their last four games.  And that includes a blowout loss at Washington last night (another game we had, as we laid the points with the Wizards).  We will once again play against the Celtics, who clearly have no interest in this game.  For technical support, consider that .481 (or better) teams off a loss are awful as home underdogs/PK vs. non-winning opponents, as they've cashed just 26 of 79 games since 1990.  Take Brooklyn.  NBA Road Warrior Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Golden State.  The Jazz are playing as well as any team in basketball, and are the proverbial team which 'no one wants to play' in the Playoffs.  Utah is 28-5 its last 33 games, and 19-14 ATS, including two blowout wins over this Golden State squad (129-99, 110-91).  I look for the Jazz to pull off the hat trick tonight with another blowout win, as they fall into 106-44, 87-40 and 69-39 ATS 'momentum' systems of mine.   Also, this will be the Warriors' final road game of the season, and .500 (or better) teams are a poor 88-121 ATS in their final road game of the year if they are an underdog.  Lay the points with Utah.  NBA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards over the Boston Celtics.  The Wizards will close out their home schedule with a game tonight vs. the Celtics.  And the Wizards are playing this game with a significant 'rest' advantage, as they have had the previous three days off, while the Celtics are playing on just one day of rest.  Since 1991, .500 (or better) teams have cashed 59.2% in their final home game of the season when playing with at least 2 more days' of rest than their opponent.  With the Wizards still in a battle for playoff seeding, and Boston locked into the #2 slot, we'll lay the points.  Take Washington.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over Chicago.  These two teams met in their last game, and Brooklyn blew out the Bulls, 124-96, in Chicago.  That was also the 2nd straight blowout win by Brooklyn in this series (they won by 17 here in late February).  Tonight, they play in Brooklyn, and we'll lay the points with the Nets, who fall into 51-11 and 95-41 ATS 'momentum' systems of mine that play on certain teams off blowout wins.  Even worse for Chicago:  this will be its final road game of the season.  And underdogs of 4+ points have cashed just 17.6% of the time since 1993 off a 25-point blowout loss, if they gave up 110+ points in that defeat.  Take Brooklyn.  NBA Roadkill Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns + the points over Golden State.  The Warriors are the league's most talented team.  Unfortunately, this might be a star-crossed season (which some might view as karma for Zaza Pachulia's takeout of Kawhi Leonard in last year's playoffs).  Currently, Steph Curry and Patrick McCaw have significant injuries, while Andre Iguodala also is hobbled, and won't play tonight.  The Warriors are 57-23 SU and 33-47 ATS this season, and firmly ensconced in 2nd place in the Western conference.  They also haven't covered two straight games since February 26, and have gone 5-14 ATS since.  The Warriors played their final home game of the season yesterday vs. the Pelicans (who were still battling for a playoff spot), and lost to New Orleans, so they now have to play the Suns without rest, and without anything to play for.  Let's grab the points with Phoenix in a home underdog role, today.  Yes, it's true that the Warriors have won 14 straight in the series.  But the last game (just seven days ago) was close, and the Suns easily covered in Oakland, as a 14.5-point underdog.  This game also will be Phoenix's final home game of the season, and home underdogs have cashed 60% since 1991 in their final home game when playing .666 (or better) foes.  Take the Suns + the points over Golden State.  NBA High Roller Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1:05 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets + the points over Indiana.  We played on the Hornets at Orlando on Friday, and were rewarded with a 37-point win.  Meanwhile, Indiana was blown out, 92-73, by Toronto on Friday.  It's true that Charlotte is out of the playoff picture with a losing record this season, while the Pacers are 46-34, and will be playing next weekend.  But losing teams off wins by 30+ points have cashed 64% at home vs. foes off losses by 15+ points.  Take Charlotte.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

 At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs over the Portland Trail Blazers.  The Spurs have a severe home/road bias this season.  At home, the Spurs are 31-8 straight-up and 24-13-2 ATS.  And they've won their last nine home games in a row (8-1 ATS).  But on the road, San Antone is a miserable 14-26 SU and 17-22-1 ATS, including 0-7 SU its last seven (and 1-11 SU its last 12).  A key reason for this is that San Antonio's defense has not traveled with it on the road, of late.  Indeed, since the All-Star break, the Spurs' defensive rating at home is 97.3 (2nd in the NBA), while it's 110.5 on the road (#22). The good news for Gregg Popovich's crew is that it will have two of its final three games at home, including tonight's game vs. Portland.  The Spurs will likely qualify for the Playoffs with just one more win, and I believe they'll get that victory tonight.  San Antonio is an awesome 59-28 ATS as a favorite off a double-digit road loss, if its opponent is off a point spread win.  Lay the points with the Spurs.  NBA Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over New Orleans.  This will be the Warriors' final home game of the season.  And while it's true that it's largely been a disappointing regular season for the champs, I expect them to play hard tonight, given coach Steve Kerr's post-game comments following their 20-point loss to Indiana.  Kerr called his team's performance "pathetic," and said he was "embarrassed."  That should light a fire under his team tonight, and Golden State will also have an advantage in that the Pelicans had to play on Friday night, in Phoenix (while the Warriors were resting).  The Warriors are an awesome 35-12 ATS off a loss by more than eight points, if they're playing an unrested foe.  Lay the points with Golden State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over New York.  We played on the Knicks last night, and got the cash when they blew out Miami, 122-98, as a 7.5-point underdog.  Unfortunately, since 1990, losing teams off a double-digit win are a poor 26% ATS as home dogs of more than 8 points vs. foes off a loss.  Additionally, Milwaukee falls into a 137-75 ATS system of mine Take Milwaukee.

At 3:35 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers over the Denver Nuggets.  Los Angeles needs to win its last three games to even have a shot to make the playoffs, so this is a 'must-win' game for Doc Rivers' crew.  If there is a silver lining for L.A., it's that all three of their games will be played here, at home.  Denver's been a fairly poor road team this season, with a 14-25 SU record, and a 16-21-2 ATS mark.  Even worse:  Denver's 7-15 ATS on the road off a win.  And the Clippers fall into a 67-25 ATS angle of mine which plays on certain teams off double-digit losses.  Take the Clippers.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over Miami.  The Knicks were blown out by 24 points, at home, on Tuesday by the Magic, while Miami won by 29 vs. Atlanta, on Wednesday.  But off those two results, we'll grab the points with New York, as underdogs of 9+ points, off losses by more than 20, have covered 63% the last 15 seasons vs. foes off wins by more than 20 points.  Take the Knicks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets minus the points over Orlando.  The Hornets have won 10 straight (8-2 ATS) in this Southeast division series, and catch the Magic off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Unfortunately for Orlando, it's a poor 1-6 SU/ATS off back to back SU/ATS wins.  And it's 28-48-2 ATS at home its last 78.  Take Charlotte.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Philly 76ers minus the points over Cleveland.  These two teams are tied in the loss column (with 30 losses), so this game will likely determine which ends up with the overall #3 seed in the Eastern Conference.  Philly has a definite advantage tonight, as it is rested, while Cleveland played last night vs. Washington.  And the Cavs are a poor 2-14 ATS on the road off back to back wins, if they played the night before.  Meanwhile, the Sixers have covered 10 straight, and won their last 12, straight-up.  Lay the points.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Los Angeles.  Last night, the Spurs lost a heartbreaker to the Clippers in LA, while the Lakers fell by seven, 117-110, in Utah.  So, the Lakers will travel back home tonight to host the Spurs (who won't have to travel at all).  We'll lay the points with San Antonio, as the Spurs are 87-54 ATS vs. unrested foes, including 24-6 ATS when the Spurs were off an upset loss.  Take San Antonio. NBA Road Warrior Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Boston.  The Raptors have lost their last nine to the point spread.  But Toronto still has a winning ATS record this season, and the Raptors are also in first place by two games over the Celtics (with five to play).  So, this game is huge for both teams, and I look for Toronto to blow out Boston, as teams with a .450 (or better) ATS win percentage are 77.2% ATS since 1990 off 9+ ATS losses.  Lay the points with Toronto. NBA Game of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets + the points over Philadelphia.  The Sixers are on a 10-game win streak (and 8-game point spread win streak), while Brooklyn was blown out, 108-96, as as 1-point underdog in its last game.  But those two situations set up our play tonight, as home favorites that have covered 7+ games in a row are a poor 17.8% ATS since 1990 vs. foes that failed to cover by 10+ points in their previous game.  Take Brooklyn + the points over Philly.  NBA Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets + the points over Detroit.  Brooklyn upset Miami, 110-109, as an 8.5-point road underdog on Saturday, while Detroit downed the Knicks yesterday, 115-109, as a 4.5-point favorite.  We'll take the Nets as a home dog this evening, as home dogs have cashed 65.4% ATS since 1990 vs. unrested foes off a SU/ATS win, if our home dog won outright as a 6-point (or better) road underdog in its last game.  Take Brooklyn.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic + the points over Atlanta.  The Hawks have been a very poor favorite over the last two seasons, and they're 21-36 ATS as a favorite since Nov. 20, 2016.  That bodes well for Orlando this evening.  As does the fact that Orlando falls into a 92-61 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off upset losses (the Magic were upset by the Chicago Bulls, on Friday).  Take Orlando + the points.

At 1:05 pm, in an NBA TV-televised game, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets + the points over Philadelphia.  These two teams will be meeting for the fourth time this season on Sunday.  The other three games all took place in March, and the Sixers won each game.  But the leading scorer for Philly in two of those three games (and in all three games, combined) was center Joel Embiid.  Unfortunately for Philly, Embiid will be absent today, as he recently underwent surgery to repair an orbital fracture.  That will help open up things for Charlotte's center, Dwight Howard, who has averaged 22.8 ppg over his last five appearances.  Take the Hornets.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers minus the points over Memphis.  The Grizzlies won a rare game two nights ago when they went into Minnesota and defeated the Timberwolves, 101-93, as a 13-point underdog.  But the last time Memphis won two straight games was back on January 19, so I expect it to get blown out tonight.  Memphis is a dreadful 2-21 SU and 7-16 ATS its last 23 games, while Portland is 17-3 SU and 16-3-1 ATS over its last 20.  Take Portland.  NBA Road Warrior Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over the Denver Nuggets.  The Toronto Raptors are mired in a 6-game point spread losing streak.  And this cold patch immediately followed a six-week stretch of games where the Raptors went 17-1 straight-up and 14-4 against the spread.  Still, Toronto is a very respectable 54-20 SU and 40-34 ATS on the season.  There are now just eight games left for Toronto.  And, even more important, it now sits just one game behind Golden State in the loss column for the second-best record in the league.  The Warriors are just 3-5 over their last eight games (primarily due to injuries), so the Raptors' opportunity and motivation to overtake the Warriors are certainly real.  Tonight, Toronto will host Denver, which defeated it in the first meeting back in November.  I look for the Raptors to snap their six-game ATS losing streak, and blow out the Nuggets, as they've been installed as a 9-point favorite.  Toronto is 21-8 ATS its last 29 when priced from -9 to -14 points, and it also falls into one of my best revenge systems, which is 101-41 ATS since 1990.  Take Toronto.  NBA Non-Conference Game of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over Minnesota.  The Sixers have won five straight, and have covered their last three games, including a 20-point blowout win at Orlando on Thursday.  Philly had last night off, while Minnesota had to play against the Knicks in Madison Square Garden.  Unfortunately for the T-Wolves, unrested road teams are a poor 15-28 ATS at Philly, including 2-7 ATS as an underdog of 4+ points.  And Philly's also covered six of the last seven vs. Minnesota, including the last three here in Philly by an average point spread differential of 11.83 ppg.  The 76ers have been dominant at home since the calendar turned on January 1, with a 16-2 SU record (14-4 ATS).  Take the Sixers.  NBA Roadkill Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:35 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Washington.  Nine days ago, after their loss to Houston, the Spurs were in 10th play in the Western Conference, and on the outside, looking in at the Playoff picture.  The Spurs have made the Playoffs 20 consecutive seasons, so there were certainly frayed nerves in the Alamo City at that time.  But since then, the Spurs have ripped off four straight wins (and covers), including victories against the Pelicans and Timberwolves -- two teams with which the Spurs are competing for a Playoffs berth.  Tonight, the Spurs will attempt to win their fifth straight game.  I believe they'll get it, as they fall into a 90-37 ATS 'momentum' system of mine, which plays on certain teams off back to back double-digit victories.  Also, San Antonio has dominated the Wizards over the years, and especially here at home where it has won 17 straight games (13-3-1, 81% ATS).  Even worse:  Washington's a poor 53-75 ATS as underdogs off back to back wins, when matched up against winning opponents.  Take the Spurs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Orlando.  The Raptors were upset at home, 132-125, by the OKC Thunder on Sunday.  That loss snapped Toronto's 11-game win streak.  But the Raptors should get back on track tonight, as they fall into a 338-210 ATS system of mine which plays on certain favorites in non-division games off losses.  Even better:  Toronto's an awesome 11-1 ATS its last 12 games as a favorite of -9+ points, and 23-8 ATS its last 31 in this point spread role (6-1 ATS on the road).  Lay the points with the Raptors.  NBA Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers over the Portland Trail Blazers.  The Blazers have won 12 straight, and covered their last nine.  Unfortunately, .676 (or worse) road underdogs of +1.5 or more points, off 7+ ATS wins, are a poor 20-51 ATS in the regular season.  Even worse:  Portland played at home last night (and beat Detroit), while the Clippers had Saturday off following their loss to Houston.  But the Blazers are an awful 17.6% ATS over the past 11 seasons when playing without rest off a home win against a rested opponent off a loss.  Take the Clippers.  NBA Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over Portland.  The Blazers have won 11 in a row, and have covered their last eight.  But don't be surprised if Detroit gives them a run for their money on Saturday night.  Detroit has won and covered five straight vs. the Blazers (by an average of 13 ppg), including a 20-point blowout win 40 days ago in Motown.  Even worse:  Portland falls into a negative 64-132 ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams off 7+ ATS wins.  Take Detroit + the points.  NBA Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over the Brooklyn Nets.  Brooklyn's a poor 21-45 on the season, but did pull off an upset win in its previous game, 125-111, at Charlotte.  One of the things I love to do is play against bad teams off wins.  And Brooklyn's upset win has placed Kenny Atkinson's men in a negative 36-94 ATS system of mine which fades certain bad teams off upset wins.  Meanwhile, Philly's off an upset loss to the Miami Heat.  But the Sixers have cashed 75% ATS over the past five seasons off an upset road loss.  And they're also 54-29 ATS the last three seasons off any road defeat.  Take the 76ers minus the points.  NBA Division Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards minus the points over Miami.  The Wizards play this game with revenge from a 3-point home loss to their division rival earlier this season.  But I love them to avenge that defeat tonight, as the Wizards come into this game off an upset loss here, at home, to the Indiana Pacers.  And Washington is a spectacular 10-0 ATS off an upset loss when matched up against an unrested foe.  With Miami having to play last night vs. Phoenix, we'll take Washington tonight to blow out the Heat.  Lay the points.  NBA Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Minnesota.  Utah lost the first two meetings this season to its division rival.  But I love the Jazz to avenge those defeats, as it falls into a 96-41 ATS revenge system of mine.  Additionally, Utah is 48-27 ATS at home when playing with double-revenge, provided it was not an underdog of +4 or more points in the current game.  Take the Jazz.  NBA Payback Payday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Atlanta.  The Hawks upset the Indiana Pacers, here at home, on Wednesday, but have a big step-up in class tonight.  Golden State owns the 2nd best record in the league, and will be motivated to blow out the Hawks, as they're fighting Houston for the overall #1 record.  Since 1990, double-digit home underdogs have covered just 12 of 51 games off an upset home win.  Take the Warriors.  NBA Road Warrior Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over the Los Angeles Clippers.  Last night, the Clippers went into Portland, and upset the Nuggets, 122-120.  Unfortunately, they won't have the benefit of a night off when they take on the high-octane Rockets tonight.  And unrested home teams, off upset road dog wins, have cashed just 33% since 1990 vs. rested foes off back-to-back SU/ATS wins.  Take Houston to win its 14th straight game, and to blow out Los Angeles.  NBA ROAD WARRIOR WINNER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz over the Houston Rockets.  The Rockets have won 12 straight, but that streak will be put to the ultimate test tonight.  And that's because Houston will be on the road against a Jazz club which has won 12 of its last 13 games.  And Utah's hot stretch has included victories against Golden State, Toronto and San Antonio so it's stepped up against the best opponents.  Tonight, the Jazz will get the additional benefit of playing with rest, while Houston will be unrested following a game in Denver.  And unrested teams are an awful 137-172 ATS vs. the Utah Jazz in Salt Lake City, when Utah's rested.  Even worse, the Rockets are playing two games in two nights in two high-altitude cities (Denver, Salt Lake City).  And NBA teams that played in those two cities back to back games, have covered just 23% in the 2nd game, if they were off a win, and playing a rested opponent.  Likewise, the Jazz are 78-53 ATS at home when rested, and playing an unrested foe off a win, including 27-14 ATS as an underdog.  Take Utah.  Western Conference Game of the Month!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards minus the points over Philadelphia.  The Wizards were upset by Charlotte in their last game.  But Washington is a terrific 89% ATS at home the past three seasons at home off an upset loss by double-digits.  Even better:  the Wizards are playing tonight with double revenge from losses in November + February to the Sixers.  And NBA favorites have cashed 62% in the regular season since 1990 off upset losses, if they were playing with double-revenge.  Take the Wizards on Sunday.  High roller winner.

At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Oklahoma City.  The Thunder upset Golden State in each of the two previous meetings this season.  But with double-revenge, I look for the Warriors to rout OKC tonight, as Golden State's 11-0 ATS its last 11 when playing with same-season double revenge vs. .700 (or worse) foes.  Take the Warriors.  NBA Payback Payday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over the Los Angeles Clippers.  These two teams met here in Oakland back on January 10, and the Clippers upset the Warriors, 125-106, as a 12-point underdog.  But that was a rare win for Doc Rivers’ squad against Golden State, as the Clippers had lost the previous 12 meetings, and gone 4-8 ATS in those games.  I look for things to get back to normal on Thursday, and for the Warriors to blow out the Clippers, as Golden State is 18-7 ATS in the regular season when playing with revenge vs. a foe whose win percentage is greater than .415.  Additionally, the Clippers are on a two-game win streak, including a 129-119 upset win over the Celtics before the All-Star Break, while the Warriors lost to Portland in their last game.  That doesn’t bode well for Los Angeles, as NBA teams off back to back wins that scored more than 116 points in their previous game are a poor 95-134 ATS vs. foes off a loss.   Finally, in their first game after the All-Star Break, home teams off a loss that were playing with revenge have gone 63-42 ATS since 1991.  Take Golden State.  NBA TV Game of the Month!  Good luck, as always…Al McMordie.