Sports Picks & Predictions

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over the Los Angeles Lakers.  The Lakers are in a tough spot in this ballgame, as it’s their last game going into the All Star Break.  And, even worse for the Lakers, they’re on the road, they’re playing without rest, and their opponent — the Minnesota Timberwolves — are off a loss.   That doesn’t bode well for the Lakers, as unrested NBA teams playing on the road, in their final game before the break, are an awful 30-53 ATS vs. foes off a loss.  Take the Timberwolves.  Good luck, as always…Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets + the points over Indiana.  The Pacers are off a high-scoring, 121-113 win over the Knicks in their last game (their 2nd straight win, overall).  But off those two games, we'll fade Indy on the road, as NBA teams off back to back wins are a soft 93-133 ATS if they scored more than 116 in their previous game, and their opponent is off a loss.  Even worse:  Indiana is a poor 13-24 ATS on the road off a win, while Brooklyn is a solid 17-5 ATS as an underdog vs. a foe off a win.  Take the Nets + the points.  NBA Roadkill Winner.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons minus the points over Atlanta.  These two teams met just three days ago, and the Hawks upset the Pistons, 118-115, as a 4-point home underdog.  (Detroit then followed up that loss with a home loss to the Pelicans.)  But I love Detroit to avenge that defeat tonight, as the Hawks are an awful 26-55 ATS on the road when playing a rested, revenge-minded foe which Atlanta upset in the previous meeting, including 5-23 ATS since 2007.  That doesn't bode well for Atlanta.  And neither does the fact that the Pistons are 32-21 ATS their last 53 off an upset defeat.  Take Detroit.  NBA Game of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:05 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over Indiana.  The Knicks were blown out, 113-88, three days ago by Toronto.  That was their first game since their All-Star, Kristaps Porzingis, was injured.  And it also was their third straight ATS defeat.  But I look for the Knicks to snap their losing streak this afternoon, as rested NBA road teams off back to back ATS defeats are 166-118 ATS as underdogs of 8+ points vs. foes that covered by 10+ in their previous game.  With Indiana, indeed, off a double-digit cover on Friday vs. Boston, we'll fade the Pacers today.  Take New York.  NBA High Roller Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:35 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers + the points over Boston.  The Cavaliers' front office orchestrated some great trades to not only shed the team of several players who just weren't working out (Isaiah Thomas, Derrick Rose, Jae Crowder), but also to bring in a great mix of young (Larry Nance, Jr.; Jordan Clarkson; Rodney Hood) and veteran (George Hill) talent.  The Cavs were able to hold a practice yesterday on their off day to work on the integration of the new players.  All of the players will be available today, though Cleveland's starting lineup should be similar (with one exception) to the one used in its last game, a blowout win over Atlanta.  Thus, I expect LeBron James, Cedi Osman and Tristan Thompson to start in the frontcourt, with JR Smith and newcomer George Hill in the backcourt.  Once Kevin Love returns, Cleveland will once again be the team to beat in the Eastern Conference.  But even without Love, I give them the edge this afternoon vs. Boston.  Take the Cavs + the points.  NBA Game of the Week.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over the Clippers.  The 76ers have won and covered eight straight games here, at home, including a 100-82 beatdown of New Orleans last night.  And Philly is 31-15 ATS at home since January 1, 2017.  That bodes well for the 76ers tonight.  Also, Philly is a solid 21-9 ATS after covering the spread by 10+ points in its previous game.  Lay the points with the Sixers. NBA High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers + the points over the Boston Celtics.  Interestingly, both of these teams come off of games vs. the Wizards.  Boston had to go to overtime last night to defeat Washington, so will be a bit tired tonight vs. the Pacers.  That doesn't bode well for Boston, as it will be facing a very well-rested Pacers team which has had the last 3 days off following its home loss to the Wizards on Monday.  Even better:  Indy will be playing with revenge tonight from a 1-point loss suffered in their previous meeting, in December.  And the Pacers are 131-71 ATS off a loss when rested, and playing with revenge vs. an opponent off a win.  Take Indiana.  NBA Elite Info.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Phoenix.  The Spurs have lost their last three games against the point spread.  And that bodes well for the Silver and Black tonight, as they're 32-8 ATS as road favorites of -10 or less points, if they're playing a .520 (or worse) opponent.  Phoenix will be without its best player -- Devin Booker -- tonight, so that bodes well for the Spurs.  Moreover, the Suns have the worst defensive efficiency rating in the NBA, so the Spurs' offense should get back on track.  Lay the points.  NBA Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Oklahoma City.  We played on the Warriors two games ago and got the $$$ when they defeated Sacramento in a revenge game, 119-104.  Golden State is now 33-18 its last 51 games when playing with revenge, and tonight's game is one of those, as the Thunder bested the Warriors, 108-91, in Oklahoma City back in November.  Take Golden State to hand the reeling Thunder their fifth straight loss.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies + the points over Atlanta.  The Hawks won their last game -- 99-96 at New York -- but have covered just four of their last 15 games off a straight-up win.  And they're 1-5 ATS their last six as favorites vs. the Grizzlies.  Even worse:  Atlanta falls into a 33-66 ATS system of mine which fades certain bad teams as home favorites off SU wins.  Take the Grizzlies.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Boston.  The Raptors lost by a point earlier this season in Boston, but I love them to avenge that defeat tonight.  Toronto's currently on a 4-game win streak at home, and the last two wins were by 15+ points.  Those two victories have triggered an 88-37 ATS 'momentum' system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back blowouts.  Also, Toronto's 27-12 ATS its last 39 division games, including 6-2 ATS vs. the Celtics (4-0 ATS at home vs. Boston).  Lay the points. NBA Division Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Orlando.  It's true that the Cavs have been big-time $$$-burners this season, with a 14-36-1 ATS record.  But I love them tonight vs. the Magic, as Cleveland has dominated Orlando, with a 19-2 SU and 16-5 ATS record over the past six seasons.  And the Cavs will also play this game with two days' of rest, while the Magic will be unrested following a game last night in Miami.  Take the Cavaliers minus the points.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans over the Utah Jazz.  The Utah Jazz enter the week as one of the league's hottest team, as they've won five straight games (both SU and ATS).  And even more impressive has been their offensive production, as they've scored 129, 129 and 120 points in their last three wins!  Moreover, their five opponents have not been creampuffs, as four of the wins were of the upset variety, against quality foes (Pistons, Raptors, Warriors and Spurs).  That being said, we'll fade the Jazz tonight, as road teams have been poor on the road off 5 SU/ATS wins, if they're matched up against a rested opponent off a straight-up loss.  Since 1990, they've gone 81-104-10 (43.7% ATS).  Also, teams off back to back wins are a poor 89-130-4 ATS if they scored more than 116 points in their previous game, and their opponent is off a SU loss.  Take the Pelicans over the Jazz on Monday.  NBA Roadkill Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Utah.  The Jazz won last night by 32 points at Phoenix.  But they'll have a much more difficult time this evening in the Alamo City, as the Spurs had last night off.  And San Antone will also be looking to avenge their loss to the Jazz earlier this season.  San Antonio is a super 84-52-2 ATS vs. unrested foes over the last nine seasons, including 27-13 ATS if the Spurs lost their previous game.  Lay the points with San Antonio.  NBA Payback Payday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Sacramento.  Everyone knows the Warriors are (by far) the best team in basketball.  For the season, they are 40-11 straight-up and 22-29 ATS.  Of course, there's nothing wrong with a 40-11 record.  But upon close inspection, what jumps out is that they've lost six home games.  And five of those losses were to mediocre (or worse) teams:  Detroit, Sacramento, Denver, Charlotte, and the LA Clippers.  Those are teams that the Warriors could beat in their sleep.  So, the fact that they've lost those five home games really means just one thing:  the Warriors are going through the motions this regular season.  Because of this, if one is going to play on the Warriors, one has to try to find a spot where they will come to play.  Tonight is one of those spots.  First, Golden State was blown out in its last game by Utah, 129-99.  And that not only was the most points the Warriors have given up this season, but it also was their largest defeat (30 points) in the regular season in almost two years (137-105 loss to Portland, Feb. 19, 2016).  But Golden State is 36-17 ATS off a loss by 9+ points if their opponent is off a win (and Sacramento is, indeed, off a win).  The second reason I love the Warriors tonight is that they play with revenge from that aforementioned home loss to Sacramento.  And the Warriors are 11-1 (92%) ATS when playing a regular season game with revenge vs. a conference foe.  Take Golden State.  NBA Conference Game of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder over Denver.  The Thunder had won eight straight games before being upset in the Nation's Capital, on Tuesday.  The Wizards won that game, 102-96, as a 3-point underdog.  But I love Russell Westbrook & Co. to bounce back tonight, as they fall into a 95-35 ATS system of mine which plays on certain road teams in division games to bounce back off losses.  The Thunder are an awesome 110-75 ATS on the road since 1992 in the regular season off an upset loss.  And they're 12-3 SU and 9-5-1 ATS in the last 15 meetings vs. the Nuggets.  Take OKC.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets over the Atlanta Hawks.  The Hawks upset Minnesota, 105-100, in their last game.  But we'll fade Atlanta today, as I love going against bad teams off wins (and the Hawks fall into a negative 49-108 ATS system of mine which fades certain such teams).  Also, Atlanta is an awful 4-9-1 ATS off a win this season, including 1-8-1 ATS vs. an opponent off a straight-up loss (and 0-3 vs. a foe off back to back losses).  Meanwhile, the Hornets are a super 58-30 ATS off back-to-back SU/ATS losses, when matched up against an opponent off a win.  Take Charlotte to blow out Atlanta.  NBA High Roller.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Minnesota.  The Timberwolves dropped their fifth game of the last eight last night when they fell, 105-100, to the Atlanta Hawks.  And that loss lowered Minnesota's road record to 1-7 SU/ATS its last eight road games.  And its only win during this stretch was at the pedestrian LA Clippers.  But Minnesota's opponent tonight is anything but pedestrian.  Toronto owns the league's 3rd best margin of victory (7.29) and also its 3rd best net efficiency rating.  Even better for the Raptors:  since 1990, they've covered 60% at home when rested and playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season to a non-conference foe, if that foe was unrested.  Take Toronto.  NBA Non-Conference Game of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over Phoenix.  The Suns had to play last night, and lost at Houston.  Meanwhile, Memphis has had the last two days off.  Even worse for Phoenix:  star Devin Booker is injured and is questionable to play tonight.  Since 1990, the Suns are a poor 39% ATS on the road in back to back road games, when playing without rest, and matched up against a rested opponent off back to back losses.  Take Memphis.  NBA ROADKILL WINNER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers + the points over Oklahoma City.  Quietly, the 76ers have been the NBA's 2nd best team since Christmas.  Philly has won 10 of its last 13 games, including an upset win in San Antonio on Friday.  Not only did that victory vs. the Spurs snap a 13-game losing streak for the 76ers in San Antonio, but the 76ers also held the Spurs to a season-low 78 points.  Now, they'll attempt to snap another long losing streak when they take on the Thunder.  Interestingly, OKC owns the longest, current win streak vs. an opponent, as it's defeated the 76ers 17 straight times (12-5 ATS) since 2009.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the Thunder in this game.  But consider that teams on a 16-game (or worse) losing streak have actually done quite well over the years, as they're 49-22 ATS in the regular season since 1997.  Even worse for OKC is that it lost its best defensive player -- Anthony Roberson -- to injury in yesterday's win vs. Detroit.  Roberson is one of those players whose value cannot be overstated.  Indeed, with Roberson on the court, OKC has a defensive rating of 96.8 and a net rating of +8.5.  Without Roberson, OKC's defensive rating falls almost 11 points, to 107.7.  And its net rating decreases nine points, to -0.2.  Take Philly.  NBA High Roller Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls minus the points over the Los Angeles Lakers.  The Lakers come into this game off 3 straight upset wins.  But each of those games was at home.  This game, unfortunately, is on the road.  And the Lakers have won just six of their 21 road games this season.  Even worse:  the Lakers are a wallet-busting 27-57 ATS in the regular season off back to back SU/ATS wins, when playing an opponent off a SU loss.  With the Bulls, indeed, off a loss at Philadelphia, on Wednesday, we'll back Fred Hoiberg's men tonight.  Lay the points with Chicago.  NBA Roadkill Winner!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Indiana.  The Cavaliers are certainly scuffling of late.  They were upset, 114-102, by the San Antonio Spurs on Tuesday.  And that was Cleveland's ninth straight point spread defeat.  And, yes, it's also true that the Pacers have already defeated the Cavaliers in the season's first two meetings.  But NBA favorites, playing with double-revenge from two losses earlier in the season, are a solid 127-93 (58% ATS) in the regular season since 1990 if they're also off an upset loss in their previous game.  Moreover, Cleveland falls into 60-24 and 90-46 ATS revenge systems of mine, as well as 85-38 and 83-37 ATS angles which play on certain teams off back to back losses.  Finally, in his career, LeBron James' teams have cashed 71% off back to back losses, when favored by more than 5 vs. teams off back to back wins.  Take the Cavaliers on Friday.  NBA Game of the Month!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Atlanta.  The Raptors were upset by the Timberwolves in their previous game, while Atlanta pulled off an upset of the Utah Jazz.  Unfortunately, that upset win by Atlanta has triggered several of my better NBA systems that go against certain bad teams off wins.  Even worse for the Hawks:  Toronto's a solid 29-20 ATS off back to back ATS losses, while Atlanta's a poor 0-5 ATS this season off a double-digit win.  Lay the points with the Raptors.  NBA High Roller Winner!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Los Angeles.  The Lakers are off back to back SU/ATS wins vs. Indy and the Knicks.  Unfortunately, the Lakers are a miserable 26-57 ATS in the regular season off back to back SU/ATS wins, when playing an opponent off a SU loss.  With the Celtics, indeed, off a loss (actually 3 losses), we'll lay the points with Brad Stevens' men on Tuesday.  Take Boston.  NBA Road Warrior Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over Charlotte.  The Kings have dropped their last seven games, and have gone 1-6 ATS over that span.  That's the bad news.  But the good news is that they are catching double-digits tonight (their lone point spread win in their last seven games was when they were a double-digit underdog), and are also playing with two days' of rest.  And NBA Double-Digit underdogs have gone 147-91 ATS in the regular season off a SU/ATS loss, when they were playing with at least two days' of rest, and were also on a 3-game (or worse) losing streak.  Take the Kings.  NBA Road Warrior Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards over Detroit.  The Wizards lost at Charlotte on Wednesday, which was its seventh straight point spread defeat.  We'll back the Wizards on Friday, as road teams are 74-38 ATS off a loss, if they're rested, and are on a 7-game (or worse) point spread losing streak.  Take Washington.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:35 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves + the points over Houston.  The T-Wolves were upset in their last game by the Orlando Magic, 108-102, as an 8.5 point favorite.  And Orlando had lost its last seven games going into that contest, while Minny was on a 5-game win streak!  So, it's likely the Timberwolves were looking past the Magic, and forward to this game, tonight, vs. the 2nd-seeded Rockets.  We'll play on the T-Wolves, as NBA teams off an upset loss (as a 6-point, or greater favorite) to a team on a 7-game (or worse) losing streak, have cashed 62% in the regular season since 1990, including 24-8, 75% ATS vs. foes with a .650 (or better) win percentage.  Take Minnesota.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards over Charlotte.  The Wizards have dropped their last six games to the point spread, including an upset loss at the hands of the Milwaukee Bucks on Monday.  I love Washington to rebound tonight, as it falls into a 94-36 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams in division games to bounce back off upset losses.  Also, the Wizards are a fantastic 21-10 ATS on the road in the regular season when playing with revenge, including 4-1 ATS in division games.  And they're 13-3 ATS their last 16 as underdogs.  Take Washington.  NBA Division Game of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:35 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat over the Chicago Bulls.  The Bulls come into this game off back to back upset wins over the Knicks and Pistons.  But those two upsets have set up Chicago in several negative systems of mine which go against losing teams off back to back upsets.  Moreover, Chicago's a poor 67-97 ATS at home off an upset win, while Miami's a solid 33-17 ATS as a road underdog.  Take the Heat.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Denver.  The Nuggets played last night (and won), while the Spurs had Friday night off.  That sets up our play tonight, as San Antone is a perfect 16-0 ATS since February 2010, if they're not laying more than 10 points vs. an unrested foe, and the Spurs failed to cover the spread by more than 8 points in their previous game.  With the Spurs off a double-digit upset loss to the Lakers, we'll look for San Antone to rebound tonight.  Lay the points.  NBA High Roller Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Portland.  The Thunder were upset by Portland earlier this season, and also come into this game off an upset defeat, at Phoenix.  We'll lay the points with the Thunder tonight, as favorites have cashed 58% in the Regular Season since 1990, if they were upset in their previous game, and playing with revenge from an upset loss earlier in the season to a division rival which won its previous game.  And over the past 15 seasons, the Thunder are also 67% ATS as a favorite of -8+ points, if the Thunder lost by double-digits in their previous game.  Take the Thunder minus the points. NBA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Houston.  The Rockets upset the Warriors on Opening Day, 122-121.  But I expect the Warriors to avenge that defeat tonight, as they fall into a 192-113 ATS 'revenge' system of mine.  Additionally, the Warriors are 9-0 ATS in the regular season, when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, vs. an opponent off a SU/ATS win.  Take Golden State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Cleveland.  These two teams met in the season opener, and Cleveland bested Boston, 102-99, as a 3.5-point favorite.  I look for the Celtics to avenge that defeat, as they fall into a 191-113 ATS 'revenge' system of mine, which plays on certain winning teams with revenge.  Also, the Cavs played last night, but are a miserable 9-22 SU and 9-21-1 ATS on the road when playing without rest.  Meanwhile, the Celtics are an awesome 23-3 SU and 19-7 ATS as a revenge-minded home favorite, including a perfect 12-0 SU/ATS when favored by 5 points or less.  Take Boston.  NBA Payback Payday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over New York.  The Spurs were upset by the Pistons, 93-79, in their last game.  But I look for the Spurs to rebound tonight, as they've cashed 65% ATS as road favorites off a double-digit loss since 1993, if they were playing an opponent off an ATS win.  With the Knicks in off a 105-103 upset of New Orleans, we'll lay the points with the Spurs.  NBA Road Warrior Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks + the points over the Toronto Raptors.  The Raptors eliminated the Bucks from the Playoffs last season, and this is the first time the two teams have met this season.  We'll grab the points with the revenge-minded Bucks, as they fall into a 127-90 ATS Playoff revenge system of mine.  Also, the Bucks have won and covered two straight, and Toronto is a poor 0-8 ATS its last eight when priced from -1.5 to -7.5 vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Take Milwaukee.  NBA High Roller Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans minus the points over Dallas.  The Mavericks come into tonight's game off back to back upset wins.  But I look for the Pels to blow out Dallas tonight, as New Orleans has won and covered its last three games -- scoring at least 109 points in each game, and winning each by 14+ points.  Since 1990, NBA teams off three straight double-digit wins, are 174-109 ATS if they also scored 105+ points in each of their three previous games.  Take the Pelicans.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the the Indiana Pacers + the points over the Chicago Bulls.  Indiana comes into tonight's game off back to back SU/ATS losses (at Detroit; at home vs. Dallas), while Chicago is off back to back SU/ATS wins (at Milwaukee; home vs. New York).  And those results set up our play tonight on the Pacers, as Indy falls into a 95-33 ATS system of mine which plays on certain rested teams off back to back losses, if they're on the road against a division foe.  Also, Indiana is a solid 28-15 vs. division rivals the last three seasons, and 24-11 ATS off a home loss.  Meanwhile, the Bulls are a poor 93-126 ATS at home off back to back ATS wins.  Take the Pacers.  NBA DIVISION GAME OF THE MONTH.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Milwaukee.  The Thunder are starting to come together, as a team.  They've won six straight (and eight of nine), and have covered the point spread in each of their last three games.  We played on Milwaukee last night, and got the cash when they downed the T-Wolves by six points.  But the Bucks are a poor 36-62 ATS as unrested road underdogs, when they played at home the previous day, if their opponent is rested.  And Milwaukee's also 11-22-1 ATS vs. the Thunder since 2001.  Take Oklahoma City.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Atlanta.  These two teams met earlier this season, and the Raptors pummeled the Hawks, 112-78, for the Hawks' worst (and Toronto's best) defeat of the season.  I look for a similar result tonight, as Toronto will be in an ornery mood following two losses in its last two games.  Coincidentally, the Raptors were also off back to back losses when they played the Hawks in that first meeting.  And the Raptors are 2-0 SU/ATS this season when playing off losses in their two previous games.  Meanwhile, Atlanta's 8-20 ATS when playing a foe off back to back losses.  Take the Raptors.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Minnesota.  The Bucks have dropped two straight, but they're an awesome 36-10 ATS at home off back to back losses.   The Timberwolves, meanwhile, are off five straight wins, including a 121-104 blowout of the Lakers on XMas Day, and a 128-125 win vs. Denver last night.  Unfortunately, NBA teams off back to back wins are a poor 76-115 ATS, if they scored more than 116 points in their previous game, and they're playing a foe off a loss.  Take Milwaukee.  NBA HIGH ROLLER WINNER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz over Golden State.  The Jazz lost 4-games-to-none in last year's Playoffs to the Warriors.  But one of the things I love to do is play on certain underdogs with revenge from a playoff series defeat.  Utah falls into a 74-40 ATS Playoff revenge angle of mine.  Take the Jazz + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

The Lakers are in the midst of a 4-game home stand, while Memphis is on a 5-game road trek.  Last night, the Suns won by two points, with a game winning alley-oop at the buzzer, to beat Memphis.  Meanwhile, the Lakers were off last night, so they will be well-rested.  Los Angeles falls into a super 128-83 ATS system of mine which plays on certain losing teams, at home, off home losses.  Take the Lakers.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Sacramento, as the Cavs fall into 192-111 and 332-205 ATS systems of mine which play on certain road favorites off straight-up defeats.  Also, the Cavs have dropped three in a row to the point spread.  But LeBron James & Co. is 9-3 their last 12 off 3 ATS defeats.  And LeBron's teams are 64% ATS in his career as rested road favorites off SU/ATS losses.  Take Cleveland to blow out Sacramento.  NBA Game of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks over the Chicago Bulls.  Chicago upset the Bucks in Milwaukee last night, and now come home to take on New York which is rested.  The Bulls fall into a negative 57-111 ATS system of mine which fades certain unrested teams off upset wins, while the Knicks are 34-18 ATS off a pointspread defeat.  Take New York

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers + the points over Minnesota.  The Lakers have certainly had an up-and-down season.  They're 11-20 straight-up, and 15-16 ATS.  But they've been sensational against the elite teams in the league this season, as they have covered nine of 11 when matched up against .600 (or better) foes.  Meanwhile, the T-Wolves are 4-16 ATS as road favorites vs. .360 (or worse) teams.  Moreover, Minnesota's been favored each of the last three meetings here, in Los Angeles, but has been upset each time.  Same result on Christmas.  Take the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:35 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over Boston.  The Celtics have cooled off considerably since their hot 22-4 start to the season.  Boston is just 5-5 over their last 10 games (coincidentally, the same record as the Wizards in their last 10).  Washington plays this game with revenge from last season's 7-game Series loss to the Celtics, and falls into a 72-40 ATS playoff revenge system of mine.  Take the Wizards + the points.

At 12:05 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers + the points over New York.  The Sixers have lost their last five games -- both SU and ATS -- but NBA teams are 57-32 ATS since 1990 on the road off 5 SU/ATS losses when playing a division rival.  Take Philly.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Chicago.  After starting the season 22-4, Boston's gone 4-5 since, including back to back upset losses to the Heat and Knicks in their last two games.  The Celtics were also blasted by the Bulls, 108-85, earlier this month.  But Kyrie Irving didn't play in that game.  We'll lay the points with the Celtics in this rematch, as they're 43-24 ATS in the regular season when playing with revenge, including 14-4 ATS when they lost the previous meeting by more than 10 points.  And they're 8-0 ATS off back to back losses since Jan. 25, 2017.  Take Boston.  NBA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Chicago.  The Bulls won again last night, and that was their 8th straight cover (and 7th straight outright win).  They'll now take on LeBron James & Co., in Cleveland.  And the Cavs have won 18 of their last 20.  Unfortunately for the Bulls, non-winning teams, off 7+ ATS wins, are an awful 0-17 ATS since 1996 as road underdogs of +7.5 or more points.  Take Cleveland minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks over Cleveland.  Jason Kidd's Bucks have largely been great since the acquisition of guard Eric Bledsoe from Phoenix on November 7.  With Bledsoe in the lineup, Milwaukee won 11 of its first 15 games.  But it stumbled last week, and lost all three games.  Still, the glass is more than half-full for the Bucks' franchise, as the team is 15-13 this season.  And Giannis Antetokounmpo currently ranks as the league's 2nd best player in PER, behind LeBron James.  Tonight, the Bucks will attempt to snap their losing streak, and will host Cleveland, which defeated Milwaukee twice earlier this season.  But winning NBA teams, playing with double-revenge in the regular season, and also off back to back losses, have covered 63% at home vs. foes off back to back wins.  That bodes well for Milwaukee on Tuesday.  As does the fact that the Bucks have gone 35-10-1 ATS their last 46 at home off back-to-back losses, including 10-1 ATS if they were playing with more rest than their opponent (which Milwaukee is).  Take the Bucks on Tuesday.  NBA High Roller Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Denver.  The Thunder were upset by the Nuggets earlier this season.  But OKC will avenge that loss tonight, as it's an awesome 65-38 ATS when playing with revenge from an upset defeat.  Additionally, the Thunder fall into a division revenge system of mine which is 130-64 ATS since 1990.  Finally, OKC is also 11-3 SU and 9-4-1 ATS its last 14 meetings vs. Denver.  Lay the points. NBA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards over the Cleveland Cavaliers.  The Cavaliers won at home last night, 109-100, over the Utah Jazz.  And that was Cleveland's 17th win in its last 18 games.  We actually had a big play against Cleveland in the one game it lost over this stretch, and that was when it played at Indiana nine days ago.  One of the reasons I loved Indiana was that Cleveland's gaudy record, of late, is primarily due to a very soft schedule.  Indeed, of the Cavs' 17 wins, only 3 have come against teams with an average margin of victory greater than 0.  And the most difficult road game was the one at Indiana, and Cleveland failed that test.  Sunday's game at Washington will also be a staunch test for the Cavs, as it comes on the heels of a game last night.  This will be Cleveland's second road game this season when it had to play without rest.  The other game was at Brooklyn back on October 25, which followed a home game vs. Chicago.  Not surprisingly, Cleveland was upset by the Nets, 112-107, as an 8-point favorite.  The Cavs are a dreadful 1-15 ATS their last 16 when playing on the road without rest, if they're off back-to-back wins!  Take Washington over the Cavs.  NBA Roadkill Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Memphis.  The Grizzlies come into tonight's game off a win over the Atlanta Hawks.  And that was just Memphis' 9th win on the season.  I love playing against bad teams off a win (as they rarely win back to back games), and we'll pull the trigger on the Celtics tonight, especially since Boston -- a very good team -- is off an upset loss to the Jazz.  And, since 1990, .666 (or better) teams off a loss are 68.1% ATS on the road vs. .333 (or worse) non-division foes off a win.  Moreover, Boston's 4-1-1 ATS off a loss this season, while Memphis has gone 0-4 ATS after its last 4 wins.  Take Boston minus the points.  NBA ROAD WARRIOR.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers over Oklahoma City.  The Thunder are currently installed as a small underdog on the overnight line.  And, should this point spread hold, it will be the very first time the Thunder have been an underdog on the road this season.  They were favored in each of their first 14 road games, and have gone 4-10 straight-up and 3-11 ATS in those 14 road games.  The other interesting thing to note about this game is that Oklahoma City has defeated Philadelphia 16 straight games.  Unfortunately, teams that have won 16 (or more) straight games in a row vs. their opponent have gone just 24-50 ATS, including 0-7 ATS as an underdog!  The 76ers are a solid 33-20 ATS at home the past two seasons, and will win and cover tonight.  Take Philly.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Phoenix.  The Suns will once again be without their best player, Devin Booker.  And they'll also not have Tyson Chandler tonight, who is being rested by the coaching staff.  That won't help them much against a Toronto team which will look to redeem itself after being upset by a short-handed Clippers team on Monday.  The Raptors are 17-8 SU this season, and are 5-2 ATS off a loss.  Even better:  since 1990, they've cashed 77% ATS as road favorites off an upset road defeat.  Take Toronto.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Chicago.  The Bulls come into tonight's game off 3 upset wins, while Utah is off 3 losses.  But we'll lay the points with the Jazz, as NBA road favorites of -5+ points, off 3+ losses, have gone 99-65 ATS since 1990.  Take Utah.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the OKC Thunder over Indiana.  There's no doubt that the Thunder are underperforming right now.  They're 12-14 on the season, and are 7-18-1 ATS, including 0-9 ATS their last nine.  But they still have outscored opponents by an average of 2.15 ppg.  Interestingly, that's better than Indiana's margin of victory (+1.52), and the Pacers are 16-11 on the season (and 17-10 ATS).  But the fact that OKC is underperforming, and Indiana is overperforming has created line value for us in this game.  And, for further technical support, consider that teams off 9+ point spread defeats are 48-24-1 ATS.  Take the Thunder.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons minus the points over Denver.  The Pistons sprinted out to a 14-6 start, but have dropped six straight to fall to 14-12.  But take a look at the six opponents that defeated Detroit over the previous 11 days:  Washington, Philly, San Antonio, Milwaukee, Golden State and Boston.  There isn't a losing team among them.  And their combined record is 106-55.  Moreover, four of the six games were on the road.  So, tonight's home game against the 14-12 Nuggets -- though Denver is also a winning team -- will be a much more winnable game than those last six.  Also, for technical support, consider that NBA home favorites of -5+ points have gone 81-54 ATS if they lost their six previous games.  And Denver is 0-5 SU/ATS this season as an underdog of +2.5 (or more) points. Take the Pistons.  NBA Roadkill Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over the Chicago Bulls.  Fred Hoiberg's men haven't won many games this season -- they're just 5-20 -- but they have won their last two games.  However, I love playing against bad teams off wins.  And especially off back to back wins, as .300 (or worse) teams have covered just 38 percent at home since 1990 off back to back wins when matched up against an opponent off a win.  Boston plays hard every night, as evidenced by its 25-8 ATS record on the road off a point spread win the past two years.  Lay the points with Boston.  NBA Road Warrior Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the OKC Thunder minus the points over Memphis.  The Thunder have dropped their last seven in a row to the point spread, which may keep a lot of bettors away this evening.  But road teams favored by more than three points, off 7+ ATS losses, have covered 70.8% since 1993.  I look for Russell Westbrook & Co. to blow out the hapless Grizzlies on Saturday night.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers + the points over the Cleveland Cavaliers.  The Cavaliers have won 11 straight games.  But the primary reason for their win streak has been the dreadful level of competition.  Of the Cavs' 11 victories, only TWO were against teams that currently own a winning record:  Detroit (14-10) and Philadelphia (13-11).  Indeed, the Cavs' schedule has actually been pretty easy thus far, as it's only played nine games (of its 25 games) against the 14 other NBA teams that currently own a winning record.  Cleveland's schedule will toughen up over the next several weeks, as 11 of its next 18 games will be against foes that currently own a winning record.  Indiana is a solid 57-41-1 ATS vs. winning teams, including 30-19-1 ATS at home.  And it's 17-8-1 ATS its last 26 vs. Cleveland.  Finally, Cleveland is an awful 5-17-1 its last 23 as a favorite.  Take the Pacers.  NBA High Roller Winner!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks + the points over Boston.  We went against the Celtics last week in their game vs. the Suns (and cashed).  And one of the points I made in my analysis for that game was that the Celtics had only been favored by more than eight points once before in this season.  Well, Boston failed to cover that big point spread.  And now it is favored again by more than 8 points vs. Dallas (just Boston's 3rd time to be favored by this many points in its 26 games this season), notwithstanding the fact that the Mavericks are off back to back blowout wins of 17+ points.  And NBA road underdogs with a losing record have cashed 62% since 1990 off back to back home 17+ point wins!  These two teams met earlier this year in Dallas, and the Mavericks lost in overtime, 110-102, after leading by as many as 13 points in the 4th quarter.  But Dallas is a super 27-11 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, including 10-1 ATS when getting 6+ points.  Take the Mavericks. NBA High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Utah.  The Thunder play with revenge from an upset loss to the Jazz back in October.  Utah won that game, 96-87, as a 4-point underdog.  However, the Thunder are 65-37-2 ATS when playing with revenge from an upset loss earlier in the season, while the Jazz are a horrid 3-22 ATS as regular season road underdogs priced from +3 to +8.5 points.  Take the Thunder. NBA Game of the Week! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets over Atlanta.  These two teams met on Saturday, in Brooklyn, and the Hawks snapped a 2-game losing streak with the 114-102 upset win.  That was a rare victory for Atlanta, which owns just a 5-17 record.  But off that victory, we'll fade the Hawks, as .333 (or worse) teams off upset road wins are a poor 18-48 ATS as home favorites since 1990 vs. foes off a double-digit loss.  Take Brooklyn.  NBA Payback Payday!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1:05 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns + the points over Boston.  Yes, the Celtics are the league's best team -- record-wise -- and own a 19-4 SU record, and 18-4-1 ATS record.  But they're laying too many points to the Suns on this Saturday afternoon (notwithstanding the fact that the Suns just got blown out by 24 in Detroit).  Indeed, Boston's only been favored by more than 8 points ONCE this entire season.  And that was when they laid 11 points to Sacramento on November 1.  So, this will be Boston's biggest point spread yet this season, by a full two points.  And the Celts are a dreadful 18-38-2 ATS when favored by more than 9 points vs. an opponent off a loss.  Meanwhile, the Suns are 82-47-3 ATS off a loss by 20+ points.  Take Phoenix.  NBA High Roller Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans over Utah.  This is a tough situational spot for the Jazz, who had to play last night in Los Angeles.  Meanwhile, the Pels are well-rested following their upset defeat on Wednesday at the hands of Minnesota.  But New Orleans is 6-3 ATS off a loss this season, and 3-0 ATS off back to back defeats.  And it's also 9-1 SU/ATS vs. non-winning teams this season, including a perfect 6-0 SU/ATS on the road (compared to 2-8 SU and 3-7 ATS this season vs. winning opposition).  Take the Pelicans.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the OKC Thunder minus the points over Minnesota.  The criticism of Oklahoma City has reached its highest point after the team lost to the Orlando Magic on Tuesday.  That was Orlando's first win in a 10-game span, and also moved the Thunder's road record to 0-7 in November.  The good news for the Thunder is that they're back home tonight.  More good news:  teams that were upset as a 6-point (or greater) favorite by opponents on a 7-game (or worse) losing streak have generally bounced back from that upset defeat.  Dating back to 1993, they've covered 62.3% of the time.  Take the Thunder to rebound on Friday night.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Orlando.  The Magic upset the Thunder, 121-108, in their last game to snap their 9-game losing streak.  Faithful followers know I love to play against bad teams off wins, as they tend to not win back to back games.  And I won't make an exception here, as Orlando falls into negative 47-105 and 11-43 ATS systems of mine based on that general principle.  Take the Warriors.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Los Angeles.  The Warriors lost at home to Sacramento on Monday, 110-106, as a 12.5-point favorite.  And that dropped their point spread record this season to 9-12 ATS.  But I love them to rebound tonight, as NBA road favorites, with a losing ATS record, have cashed 71% dating back to 1991 if they were upset as a 9-point (or greater) favorite in their previous game.  Take the Warriors to blow out L.A.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Orlando.  The Magic are mired in a 9-game losing streak.  But don't expect the Thunder to be complacent tonight, as OKC will be coming into this game off back to back upset losses to Detroit and Dallas.  And the Thunder are just 8-11 on the season, so they need to string together some wins to get back into the Playoff picture.  OKC is a super 140-93 ATS in the regular season off a straight-up loss, when not favored by 10+ points (including 62-31 off back to back losses).  Take the Thunder minus the points. NBA High Roller Winner! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat + the points over Cleveland.  The Cavaliers won their 8th straight game last night, when they upset the 76ers in Philly.  But they now have to return home to Cleveland, without any rest, and play the rested Miami Heat.  Cleveland falls into a negative 20-57 ATS system of mine which goes against certain unrested home teams vs. rested foes off a win.  Even worse for the Cavs:  they're 0-11-1 ATS their last 12 games as a home favorite, dating back to last season.  And Miami is 16-3 its last 19 as a road underdog.  Take the Heat.  NBA Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat + the points over Boston.  The Celts have now won 16 straight games.  But since 1990, NBA teams on an 11-game (or greater) win streak have gone just 51-63 straight-up and 46-67-1 ATS if they weren't favored by more than four points. And Boston also falls into a negative 8-33 ATS system of mine which similarly fades certain teams on long win streaks.  Finally, these two teams met earlier this season, and the Celtics came away with a six-point win.  But the Heat are 16-3 ATS their last 19 when playing with revenge, including a perfect 10-0 ATS when not favored by more than 4 points..  Take Miami on Wednesday.  NBA Underdog of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over the Toronto Raptors.  These two teams met last Friday at Air Canada Centre, and the Raptors blew out New York, 107-84.  They then followed up that victory with a win vs. the Wizards, and have won four straight, overall.  Thus, the Knicks will seek to avenge that defeat on this Wednesday.  And New York's currently riding a 10-3 ATS run.  That bodes well for New York tonight.  As does the fact that Toronto is an awful 16-45 ATS off 4+ wins, if it also owned a win percentage of at least .550.  Take New York.  NBA Payback Payday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers over the Detroit Pistons.  We're one-fifth of the way through the regular season, and the surprising Detroit Pistons are 11-5, and atop the NBA's Central Division.  But lurking just two games behind Detroit are LeBron James' Cavaliers, who have quietly won four straight games.  Certainly, one of the problems for Cleveland -- after reaching the NBA Finals the past three seasons -- is motivation.  But they'll be extremely motivated tonight, given that Detroit is ahead of them in the standings.  The Cavs will also greatly benefit from the fact that they had the previous two days off, while Detroit had to play the Timberwolves on the road last night.  So, Detroit will not only have to play this game without rest, but they also had to travel from Minneapolis back to Detroit overnight.  Finally, Cleveland falls into a super 55-20 ATS system of mine which plays on certain rested teams off back to back wins.  Take the Cavaliers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Brooklyn.  The Nets blew out Utah, 118-107, in their last game to move to 6-9 this season.  But the Nets were favored to win that game, and they're 4-1 ATS as a favorite this season.  Unfortunately, they're 4-6 ATS as an underdog.  And they also fall into a negative 46-105 ATS System of mine which goes against certain losing teams off wins.  Lay the points with the Warriors.  High Roller Winner. Good luck as always....Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors over Philadelphia.  Both teams are playing really well:  Philly is 8-6, and off back to back SU/ATS road wins over the Clippers and Lakers, while Golden State is 11-4, but did get upset by Boston on Thursday.  We'll take Steve Kerr's men to rebound off that defeat, as the Warriors are 20-1 ATS off an upset loss, if they're playing an opponent off a win, and the Warriors are favored by at least 6 points.  Take Golden State.  NBA Road Warrior.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Boston.  This is a match-up of the NBA's two best teams.  The Celtics have been the league's best team, record-wise.  Boston is 13-2 straight-up, and 12-2-1 ATS on the year.  It also owns the league's #1 adjusted defensive efficiency rating (99.13), and the #2 adjusted net rating (7.68).  But the #1 net rating (13.07) is held by the league's defending Champs, Golden State.  The Warriors also have the best adjusted offensive rating (117.99) and the 2nd best W/L record.  So, clearly, this game will be a measuring stick for both teams.  It's true that Boston has won 13 straight.  Unfortunately, teams on an 11-game (or better) win streak are a soft 45-67 ATS if they're not favored by more than four points.  Also, the Warriors will be well-rested, as they had Tuesday and Wednesday off.  And Golden State's 62-40 ATS with at least two days' of rest.  Lay the points.  NBA GAME OF THE MONTH.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over the Utah Jazz.  The Timberwolves are off back to back losses at Golden State and Phoenix.  So, they'll look to salvage their 3-game road trip with a win tonight in Salt Lake City.  Certainly, Minnesota is certainly not a good defensive team.  It ranks 28th in adjusted defensive efficiency.  But the good news for the T-Wolves is that Utah's hardly a good offensive team (it ranks 27th in adjusted offensive efficiency), so I don't believe it will take advantage of Minny's shortcomings tonight.  Now, Utah is a very good defensive team, but it won't have its very best defensive player -- Rudy Gobert -- on the court tonight, as he is out with a tibia injury.  The Timberwolves had won five straight, and gone 4-0-1 ATS immediately prior to its current 2-game SU/ATS losing streak.  And they fall into a 126-77 ATS system of mine which plays on certain rested teams off upset losses.  I look for the T-Wolves to get back on track tonight.  Lay the points. NBA Division Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:35 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Boston.  The Celts have won 11 straight, but they'll be missing their top three players today (Al Horford, Kyrie Irving and Gordon Hayward).  Thus, they're not even favored at home vs. Toronto.  The Celtics fall into a negative 44-67 ATS system of mine which goes against certain "hot" teams that have won more than 10 games in a row.  And Boston's also a poor 5-18 ATS off back to back home wins.  Take Toronto.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Brooklyn.  The Nets pulled a big upset last night in Portland, and that was their third straight ATS win.  Unfortunately for the Nets, they're 8-22 ATS on the road after three straight covers.  And they'll also be facing a rested Jazz team tonight which is looking to rebound off 4 straight losses!  Utah's 120-81 ATS at home after failing to cover its two previous games.  And the Jazz also fall into a super 84-47 ATS system of mine which plays on certain rested home teams vs. unrested foes.  Take Utah. NBA High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets over the Memphis Grizzlies.  Houston's lost just three times this season.  And it's been Memphis which has been Houston's thorn in its side, as the Grizzlies handed the Rockets two of those three defeats.  But I love Houston to deliver a measure of PAYBACK on Saturday night, as the Grizzlies are 17-40 ATS vs. teams playing with double-revenge, provided that opponent isn't off back to back losses.  Lay the points with the Rockets.  And Houston also falls into a 129-62 ATS revenge system of mine.  Lay the points. NBA Division Game of the Month! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets + the points over the Boston Celtics.  No team is hotter than Brad Stevens' Celtics, who have won their last 10 games.  Tonight, they're matched up against the Charlotte Hornets, who are on a 3-game losing streak.  Unfortunately for Boston, no less than three starters (Gordon Hayward, Al Horford and Jayson Tatusm) will be out of action for tonight's game.  And a fourth -- Marcus Morris -- is questionable.  We'll grab the points with the Hornets, as they fall into a 55% ATS system of mine which plays on certain road teams off a SU/ATS loss vs. foes off a win, as well as a 65.7% ATS angle which plays on certain road underdogs off a SU/ATS loss.  Take Charlotte.  NBA ROAD WARRIOR!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks + the points over the Detroit Pistons.  The Hawks have gotten off to a 2-9 start this season, so it's likely that their 10-year run (2nd in the NBA to the Spurs' 20-year run) of making the Playoffs will end this season.  But if Mike Budenholzer's men can upset the 8-3 Pistons tonight, in Motown, he should send a 'thank you note' to the league office.  After all, Atlanta has a big scheduling advantage tonight, in that it has had the last three days off, while Detroit will play with just having had Thursday off.  And NBA road teams, off a loss, that had at least the three previous days off, have gone 60.8% ATS the last 24 seasons vs. foes that had just the previous day off.  Additionally, Detroit's a poor 4-16 ATS off back to back wins (and 0-5 ATS its last five off three or more wins).  Take Atlanta.  NBA High Roller.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over the Philadelphia 76ers.  Philly comes into this game off ATS wins in its last seven contests, and a 6-1 SU record in those seven games.  But they're now in unfamiliar territory, as they haven't been this big of a road favorite since April 23, 2012 -- a span of 436 games!   The Kings come into this game off a huge upset win over Oklahoma City, as a 10.5-point home underdog.  And the Kings are also 8-2 ATS their last 10 as home dogs of more than 6 points vs. .600 (or better) foes.  I look for Sacramento to get the cash again tonight vs. this overpriced Sixers team.  Take the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers + the points over the Houston Rockets.  The Rockets come into this game off three straight double-digit wins and three straight covers, including a 137-110 blowout of the Utah Jazz their last time out.  Unfortunately for Houston coach Mike D'Antoni, his teams have gone 26-46 ATS off back to back double digit wins.  And the Rockets are also a poor 2-12 ATS off three straight covers.  Take Cleveland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over New York.  The Knicks won their 3rd straight game (and sixth of their last seven) with a 118-113 triumph at home last night vs. Charlotte.  But this will be a tough task for them tonight to take down Orlando, as the Magic are well-rested, having not played for the past two nights following their loss to Boston on Sunday.  Even worse for New York, NBA teams off three straight wins (both SU and ATS) that scored 117+ points in their previous game are 11-31 ATS in the regular season vs. foes off a loss.  Take Orlando.  NBA Game of the Week!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, on NBA TV, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets over the Phoenix Suns.  The Nets are 3-6 SU and 4-5 ATS on the season, while Phoenix is 4-6 SU and 5-5 ATS.  The Nets have a scheduling advantage tonight, as Brooklyn was off on Saturday and Sunday, while Phoenix had to play the Spurs in the Alamo City last night.  Even worse for the Suns:  this will be their fifth game in seven days.  Phoenix has been installed, on the opening number, as a small favorite.  But the Suns are a dreadful 9-23 ATS their last 32 as a favorite (or PK), including 0-12 ATS if they owned a .500 (or better) record against the spread on the season.  Take Brooklyn.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic over the Boston Celtics.  Boston's won and covered its last seven games, while Orlando's in off a 22-points upset home loss to Chicago.  But I look for the Magic to snap Boston's win streak on Sunday.  Indeed, the Magic are a perfect 3-0 this season vs. the three best teams that they've played (Spurs, Cavaliers, Grizzlies) and defeated San Antonio and Cleveland by 27 and 21 points, respectively.  Moreover, winning home teams off a SU/ATS loss are 110-81 ATS vs. non-division foes off 3 ATS wins, provided our home team isn't favored by more than 5 points.  Take Orlando.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over Toronto, as Washington falls into a 285-203 ATS system of mine, based on its season statistics to date.  It's true that the Wizards' John Wall won't suit up tonight after hurting his shoulder in Washington's last game, but I'm still comfortable backing the Wizards this evening with the added points to compensate for his absence.  And, in that last game, the Wizards were upset, at home, 130-122, by the Cleveland Cavaliers.  But NBA teams generally bounce back from upset losses at home, if they scored a lot of points in that upset loss.  Indeed, teams off a home upset loss have cashed 67% since 1990 if they scored 120+ points, and are now matched up against an opponent off a SU/ATS win.  Take the Wizards.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:35 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat + the points over the Clippers.  We played on Miami on Friday, and got the cash when they lost, but covered against Denver.  And that pointspread win extended Miami's record to 27-13 its last 40 as road underdogs!  The Clippers were upset here at home yesterday by Memphis.  And, unfortunately for Los Angeles, unrested home teams, with a winning record, off an upset home loss, have cashed just 29.4% since 1990 vs. losing teams.  And the Heat are a fantastic 25-13 ATS on the road when rested, and playing against an unrested foe.  Take Miami + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over Detroit.  The Kings have a big scheduling advantage tonight, as they've been off the past two nights, while Detroit is playing without rest after its 9-point win vs. Milwaukee yesterday.  We'll grab the points with Sacramento, as underdogs of +7 or more points, off 3 SU/ATS losses, that had (at least) the two previous nights off, are 94-55 ATS since 1980 vs. foes that didn't have the previous two nights off.  Take the Kings.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm our selection is on the Miami Heat + the points over the Denver Nuggets.  Miami won, but failed to cover the pointspread, in its previous game -- a 6-point victory over Chicago.  And it was upset by the New York Knicks in its game before that.  But the Heat are a super 106-79 ATS on the road under coach Erik Spoelstra if they lost against the spread in their previous game.  And they're also 10-0 ATS on the road in their last 10 off back to back ATS defeats, and 26-13 their last 39 as road underdogs!  Finally, the Heat fall into a 284-203 ATS system of mine.  Take the points with Miami.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over the Golden State Warriors.  The Spurs have played this season without Kawhi Leonard and Tony Parker.  After winning their first four games, they've dropped their last three (all on the road).  They now return home to the Alamo City, where they have gone 70-13 straight-up and 46-35-2 ATS at home in the regular season off a loss.  Last year, these two teams met in the Playoffs, and the Spurs were swept 4 games to none by the Warriors.  But one of the things I love to do is play on certain teams with revenge from a Playoff series defeat the previous year.  And the Spurs fall into my very best Playoff revenge angle, which is 30-1 ATS since 1991.  Moreover, San Antonio lost its last game by 14 points to Boston.  But it's 37-18 ATS in the regular season at home off a loss by 14+ points, including 17-3 ATS when not favored by more than 5 points.  Take San Antone.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over Boston.  After covering their first two games to kick off the season, the Kings have lost their last five games -- both SU and ATS.  But the Kings now fall into a 284-200 ATS system of mine.  Meanwhile, the Celts are on a 5-game win streak, but are a poor 3-18 ATS when they've won their previous four games.  Take Sacramento.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Indiana.  The Cavaliers have dropped three straight games, and now own a losing record, at 3-4 on the season.  I love them to bounce back tonight, as LeBron James' teams have cashed 72% in his career as home favorites off back to back losses when matched up against foes off back to back wins.  Take Cleveland.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks + the points over Philadelphia.  The 76ers have not been favored by this many points since March 30, 2013 (a span of 344 games), so it's virgin territory for the Sixers under coach Brett Brown.  Philly is a poor 178-228 ATS when favored at home vs. foes not off SU/ATS wins.  Take Atlanta.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the LA Lakers + the points over the Detroit Pistons.  We're two weeks into the NBA season, and the league's two best records belong to the Memphis Grizzlies (5-2) and Detroit Pistons (5-2). Detroit also owns the best pointspread mark, as it is 6-1 ATS, including back-to-back upset wins on the weekend over the Clippers and Warriors. And Detroit was installed as an underdog of +8.5 and +14.5 in those two games!  Tonight, the Pistons will finish their West Coast road trip with a game against Lonzo Ball's Lakers at Staples Center.  And this game is a fantastic spot to fade the Pistons, especially given that the Lakers will enter the contest off blowout losses to the Raptors and Jazz.  Since 1990, NBA teams, like Detroit, off back to back upset wins as an underdog of +8 or more points, are a poor 22-41-1 ATS, including 1-11 ATS vs. foes off back-to-back SU/ATS losses.  Take the Lakers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over the Indiana Pacers.  Sacramento opened the season with two straight ATS wins, but is 0-4 SU/ATS over its last four games.  But I love them to get the $$$ vs. Indiana, as Sacramento falls into a 200-131 ATS system of mine, which plays on certain road teams off SU/ATS losses.  In their last game, the Pacers upset the San Antonio Spurs, as 6.5-point underdogs, to level their record at 3-3 on the year.  Unfortunately, this season, .500 (or better) NBA teams have gone just 3-19-1 ATS off an upset win, including 0-11-1 ATS vs. opponents with a losing record.  Take the points with the Kings.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over the Los Angeles Clippers.  Blake Griffin nailed a 3-pointer as time expired to upset the Trail Blazers, 104-103, in Rip City on Thursday.  But off that huge win, I look for a letdown tonight, at home, vs. Stan Van Gundy's Pistons.  And even though Detroit isn't undefeated like the Clippers, it has played even better than its 3-2 record would indicate, as it's 4-1 ATS.  Meanwhile, the Clippers are an atrocious 26-48 ATS off four straight covers, and also fall into a negative 31-65 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams on a win streak.  Finally, .500 (or better) teams off an upset win are a poor 1-16 ATS this season.  Take Detroit.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the OKC Thunder over the Minnesota Timberwolves.  The Thunder were upset, at home, 115-113, earlier this week by the T-Wolves.  But I look for Billy Donovan's men to turn the tables on Minnesota tonight, as OKC falls into a 64.4% ATS revenge system of mine.  Moreover, OKC is an awesome 65-34-1 ATS when playing with revenge from an upset defeat.  And the T-Wolves are a poor 24-40 ATS at home when playing a revenge-minded foe whom the T-Wolves upset in the previous meeting.  Take Oklahoma City.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.