Sports Picks & Predictions

This is a play on the MIAMI HURRICANES for our CFB Game of the Week. We have two huge factors going the Hurricanes way here. Miami lost at home to Florida International last week prompting head coach Manny Diaz to say it was one of the worst losses in program history so making amends from that is paramount. Second, the Hurricanes lost home to Duke last season for the first time since 1976 so revenge is in play. The loss last week was misleading as Miami outgained the Panthers by 116 total yards but lost the turnover battle 3-0 and missed two crucial fourth and one conversions. It has been a rough stretch for Duke as it has lost five straight games and six of seven while getting outgained in all of those. At 4-7, the Blue Devils will miss out on a bowl game for the first time since 2011-12. Here, we play against home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after having lost 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games going up against an opponent after having won 3 out of their last 4 games. This situation is 30-8 ATS (78.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (425) Miami Hurricanes

This is a play on the INDIANA HOOSIERS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. Purdue is another team that has had a rough season after coming in with high expectations. The Boilermakers are 4-7 and will miss out on a bowl game after making the postseason the last two years. The door was officially shut last week in a 45-24 loss to Wisconsin but it was the loss of starting quarterback Elijah Sindelar after three games that really hurt them and this was the second straight season he did not come close to play a full season. Indiana is going bowling after missing out the last two seasons despite losing its last two games. The Hoosiers had a four-game losing streak snapped with a loss at Penn St. where they actually outgained the Nittany Lions and then lost last week against Michigan. The Hoosiers are 6-0 ATS in their last six games following an ATS loss. Here, we play on road favorites after gaining 100 or less rushing yards in two straight games going up against an opponent after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game. This situation is 23-3 ATS (88.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (391) Indiana Hoosiers

This is a play on the CINCINNATI BEARCATS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. Temple won for us last Saturday as it stayed within the big number at Cincinnati but now we will be backing the Bearcats as a big road underdog. Cincinnati has won nine straight games and its only loss on the season came at Ohio St. back in early September. The Bearcats already clinched the AAC East title but there is still a lot on the line as a win here and win next week likely gets them into a major bowl being the highest ranked non-power conference team. Slowing down the Memphis offense is the key and Cincinnati can do that as the Bearcats are allowing just 19.9 ppg which is 23rd in the nation. The Tigers have won five straight games and they bring in an identical 10-1 record yet are double-digit favorites. These teams are separated by just three points in the power rankings so the line is definitely inflated in favor of the home team. While it may seem dominating, Memphis has actually been outgained in four of its last eight games so a lot of the games have been fairly competitive. Here, we play on road underdogs after two or more consecutive losses against the spread, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages of .800 or better. This situation is 29-7 ATS (80.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (331) Cincinnati Bearcats

This is a play on the MISSOURI TIGERS for CFB Friday Supreme Annihilator. We played on Missouri last week and it lost at home for its fifth straight loss but now with the season on the line, the Tigers come out strong. They fell to 5-6 so a win here is necessary to gain a bowl berth and facing the worst team in the SEC is the cure. The offense remains a liability as the early season potent unit has fallen apart. A lot of that has to do with playing some tough defenses but that will not be the case this week. The Tigers have failed to cover six straight games but that is keeping this line in check. Arkansas has lost eight straight games to remain winless in the SEC and the other defeats came against San Jose St. and Western Kentucky. The Razorbacks are allowing 38 ppg on the season including 50.8 ppg over their last five games. Additionally, they have been outgained by an average of 260.8 ypg over that stretch so the scores are no fluke. A coaching change has done no good and it is safe to say Arkansas just wants this miserable season to end. Here, we play against underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points after allowing 5.5 or more rushing ypc in two straight games going up against an opponent after gaining 125 or fewer rushing yards in two straight games. This situation is 25-3 ATS (89.3 percent) since 1992. 10* (329) Missouri Tigers

This is a play on the MISSISSIPPI ST. BULLDOGS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. With the Mississippi loss to LSU two weeks ago, the Rebels have officially been eliminated from bowl contention. Because this is a big rivalry game, they will be out to play spoiler but sitting at 0-4 on the road, it will be difficult to achieve. Mississippi, which has not reached a bowl since 2015, will finish with a losing record for the second straight season. The Rebels are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games following a double-digit loss at home. Hope is still alive on the home side as the Bulldogs need a win Thursday to become eligible for a 10th straight bowl appearance. Mississippi St. has been outgained only twice at home and those came against LSU and Alabama. There might be added pressure with everything on the line for the Bulldogs but they have proven that they can get it done as Mississippi St. has achieved a perfect 3-0 record over the last decade when entering the Egg Bowl with bowl eligibility on the line. The Bulldogs are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 home games. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 6.25 or more yppl in their previous game going up against an opponent after outgaining their last opponent by 125 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 73-31 ATS (70.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (312) Mississippi St. Bulldogs

This is a play on the WESTERN MICHIGAN BRONCOS for our CFB Tuesday Star Attraction. This is the last game of the regular season for both teams and the final game of the season entirely for Northern Illinois as its loss last week against Eastern Michigan prevented a bowl berth and this will be just the second losing season since 2009 for the Huskies. With nothing to play for except for pride, they are in a tough spot tonight. The Huskies are 1-8 ATS in their last nine home games against teams with a winning road record. It is pretty simple for Western Michigan. A win and the Broncos claim the MAC West Division while a loss gives Central Michigan the chance to win it with a victory over Toledo on Friday. Western Michigan has won three straight games and is coming off its bye week so it is in great shape to put it away. The difference here will be in the running game as the Broncos average nearly two more ypc than the Huskies and that is what puts these games away late in the season. Western Michigan is 5-1 ATS this season when favored by a touchdown or more. Here, we play against home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after having lost two out of their last three games going up against an opponent after having won four out of their last five games. This situation is 37-10 ATS (78.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (303) Western Michigan Broncos

This is a play on the SAN DIEGO ST. AZTECS for our CFB Saturday Last Chance For Cash. We won with San Diego St. last Friday as it improved to 5-2 in the MWC. The Aztecs are a perfect 5-0 on the road and are led by a defense that is ranked No. 8 overall and in scoring defense. A win here gets them into the MWC Championship game. Hawaii can also wrap up a berth in the championship game with a victory. The offense can give San Diego St. a challenge but the same was said last week about Fresno St. and it managed just seven points. The Warriors are 3-2 at home against FBS teams. Here, we play against home teams after failing to cover the spread in four or five out of their last six games, in a game involving two teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .800. This situation is 52-21 ATS (71.2 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (215) San Diego St. Aztecs

This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PANTHERS for our ACC Game of the Year. Pittsburgh is coming off an overtime win over North Carolina last Thursday to improve to 7-3 and since a season opening loss against Virginia, the Panthers have outgained all nine opponents. Should the Panthers win here and against Boston College next week and Virginia loses to Virginia Tech next week, they will face Clemson in the ACC Championship. Virginia Tech rolled over Georgia Tech last week 45-0 and it has now won five of its last six games. The problem is the Hokies have been outgained in four of their last seven games. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points that are +5 to +10 ppg in scoring differential going up against teams that are +/- 5 in scoring differential after 7 or more games. This situation is 36-12 ATS (75 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (187) Pittsburgh Panthers

This is a play on the COLORADO ST. RAMS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. Colorado St. travels to Wyoming for the 110th meeting of the Border War where the teams battle annually for the Bronze Boot, held by Wyoming for the past three seasons. It has been a great season for Wyoming, much better than its 6-4 record indicates. The four losses have come by a combined 15 points so that record could be a lot better than what it is now. The Cowboys are bowl eligible after missing out last season. Wyoming is 0-6 ATS after having lost two out of their last three games over the last two seasons. Colorado St. is coming off a loss against Air Force which snapped a three-game winning streak. The Rams have outgained each of their last four opponents and have outgained seven of ten on the season. Apart from the rivalry, the Rams are seeking to remain in bowl contention this week. A loss would eliminate the Rams for the second consecutive season after reaching bowl eligibility over the previous three seasons. The Rams are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a double-digit loss at home. Here, we play against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points that are +5 to +10 ppg in scoring differential going up against teams that are +/- 5 in scoring differential after 7 or more games. This situation is 36-12 ATS (75 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (113) Colorado St. Rams

This is a play on the NC STATE WOLFPACK for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. After suffering a close loss against Virginia two weeks ago to close out any chance of a bowl berth, Georgia Tech laid an egg last week against Virginia Tech 45-0 and with their season completely done, the Yellow Jackets lack any sort of motivation. They have been outgained in all but one game and that was just a six-yard advantage over Duke, a game they still lost 41-23. The Yellow Jackets are 0-7 ATS in their last seven home games. There will be plenty of motivation on the NC State sidelines as after suffering through a four-game losing streak, the Wolfpack need to win their final two games to become bowl eligible. NC State has not won on the road but all of those losses came against teams going bowling or still bowl eligible. The Wolfpack are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four road games against teams with a losing home record. Here, we play on road underdogs after allowing 31 points or more in three straight games going up against an opponent after a loss by 17 or more points. This situation is 64-27 ATS (70.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (111) NC State Wolfpack

This is a play on the AKRON ZIPS for our CFB Wednesday Star Attraction. Akron is one of the worst teams in college football but we are backing the Zips at this ridiculous number. They are 0-10 straight up and have failed to cover any of those games but this is their first nationally televised game and they will go all out. As bad as they have been, the Zips have not gotten more than 22 points in any game and now all of a sudden they are getting over 31 points. Miami defeated Bowling Green last week to become bowl eligible while increasing its winning streak to four games. The RedHawks also clinched the MAC East title so unlike a lot of other teams in the conference, they actually have nothing to play for here so we could see a lot of rotations with players who have not played much seeing significant action. Two contrarian situations are on our side here. First, we play on teams after five or more consecutive losses against the spread going up against an opponent after one or more consecutive wins against the spread. This situation is 43-18 ATS (70.5 percent) over the last five seasons. Second, we play against favorites of 31.5 or more points off a home win, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team. This situation is 29-8 ATS (78.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (107) Akron Zips

This is a play on the OHIO BOBCATS for our CFB Tuesday Star Attraction. We lost a tough one with Ohio last week as it was defeated in overtime by Western Michigan in its final home game of the season. The Bobcats are still two wins away from bowl eligibility with two games left. That should be a non-issue though as they face the two worst teams in the MAC as they close the season next week at Akron. Their last three losses have been by three points so they should not even be in this position but it is what it is and laying the big number is not a problem. The Bobcats are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Bowling Green lost by 41 points at Miami Ohio last Wednesday to be officially eliminated from bowl contention. It has been a tough year for the Falcons as their three wins came against Morgan St. of the FCS, 0-10 Akron and while the last one came against Toledo, the Rockets lost their starting quarterback in that game. The Falcons are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 home games. Here, we play on favorites of 10.5 to 21 points after two or more consecutive straight up losses, with a winning percentage between .400 and .499. This situation is 30-5 ATS (85.7 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (101) Ohio Bobcats

This is a play on the UAB BLAZERS for our CFB Game of the Year. This is a clear mismatch on paper and UAB will come into this game seething. The Blazers are coming off a pair of losses, one against Tennessee and last week against 6-3 Southern Mississippi. The offense was shut down both times, scoring a total of nine points. In addition to that, UAB allowed its two highest points totals, 30 and 37 points respectively. That increased the defensive numbers slightly on a defense that is stout. The Blazers are allowing 263 ypg which is 6th in the nation and are giving up just 19.7 ppg which is 22nd in the country. They have absolutely dominated the Miners over the last two seasons, allowing an average of 164 ypg and yielding only seven points total. We should see another domination this week as UTEP is averaging just 19.3 ppg on offense, 115th in the nation while racking up just 307.7 ypg, 120th in the country. The Miners have lost eight straight games and have been outgained in every one of those. Their only victory came against Houston Baptist, which is 4-6 in the FCS, by just two points. This is a bad team and catches UAB at the wrong time. Here, we play against underdogs with a winning percentage of .250 or less of 10.5 to 21 points after six or more consecutive straight up losses, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 30-7 ATS (81.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (368) UAB Blazers

This is a play on the INDIANA HOOSIERS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. This is a great spot for Indiana. Playing against teams that were previously undefeated and lost in their previous game has always been a great situation. Reason being those teams tend to come out flat following their first loss of late into the season. Penn St. fell at Minnesota last week following wins in its first eight games and it has dropped its last six games against number coming off a straight up loss as a favorite. The Nittany Lions played three tough opponents prior to Minnesota - Pittsburgh, Iowa and Michigan - and they won those games by seven, five and seven points so this line is severely inflated. Indiana has won four straight games and is 7-2 on the season, garnering the Hoosiers their first trip inside the top 25 since 1994. Granted, they have not beaten anyone of note but past Hoosiers teams would have lost at least a few of those. Indiana has outgained six of nine opponents and are outgaining opponents by 136.4 ypg. Here, we play on road underdogs excellent offensive team averaging 440 or more ypg going up against teams averaging between 390 and 440 ypg, after outgaining its last opponent by 225 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 34-10 ATS (77.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (325) Indiana Hoosiers

This is a play on the SAN DIEGO ST. AZTECS for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. Both Fresno St. and San Diego St. are coming off losses in their last game as underdogs and we think it is the home team that has the edge to bounce back. The Aztecs were favored by 2.5 points early in the week, but as of Thursday evening the Bulldogs were a 1-point chalk. The Aztecs need to beat Fresno St. this week and Hawaii in Honolulu next week in order to secure the MWC West Division. The Bulldogs are in the interesting position of being in control of the division with a victory and out of the race with a loss. The Fresno St. defense is allowing 32.4 ppg (103rd in the nation), which opens up the possibility for success for the Aztecs offense that has struggled with inconsistencies all season. The inability to slow down opposing offenses in 2019 is a big reason why the Bulldogs have fallen back to the pack in the MWC. On the other side, the Aztecs are allowing just 277.2 ypg and 14.4 ppg which are both 8th in the country so they have a clear edge in that department. The Aztecs have not allowed more than 23 points (in a 23-17 loss to Utah State) to an opponent all season. Here, we play against road favorites with a scoring defense allowing 31 or more ppg, after allowing 31 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 70-35 ATS (66.7 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (318) San Diego St. Aztecs

This is a play on the NORTH CAROLINA TAR HEELS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. North Carolina has been one of the unluckiest teams in college football this season. The Tar Heels are 4-5 with all five losses coming by just one possession. This includes three losses by a field goal or less highlighted by the one-point loss to Clemson. The Pittsburgh defense is no joke but this is one matchup that the Panthers can get burned. North Carolina is 14th nationally with 20 passing plays of more than 30 yards and 8th with 13 completions for more than 40 yards. The Panthers are 76th in the country with 10 passes of 30 or more yards allowed and 110th with 10 completions of more than 40 yards allowed. Running the ball is key as well. With the exception of Week Two against Miami, North Carolina has rushed for at least 144 yards in every game and racked up 186 yards against a good Virginia defense in their most recent contest. Here, we play against home favorites with a winning percentage between .600 and .800 after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games, playing a team with a winning percentage between .400 and .499. This situation is 30-7 ATS (81.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (313) North Carolina Tar Heels

This is a play on the TOLEDO ROCKETS for our CFB Wednesday Star Attraction. This is a big game for both sides and we like the home team which has a lot more on the line. Toledo is tied with Ball St. at 3-2 in the conference and is a half-game behind Central Michigan and a game behind Western Michigan. The Rockets would need help from Ball St. but would hold the tiebreaker over Western Michigan because of a 31-24 win over the Broncos. Quarterback Mitchell Guadagni is again questionable and is probably another no go. Starting in his place has been Eli Peters, who is no stranger to starting. Peters played in 11 games last season where he threw for 1,837 yards, 18 touchdowns and seven interceptions. The Huskies have to win out to become bowl eligible and it will not be easy with all three games coming against teams .500 or better. For Northern Illinois, quarterback Ross Bowers has given them a boost to their passing offense, throwing for 1947 yards and six touchdowns but he has also been forced into a lot of tough situations which has led to bad throws, resulting in eight interceptions. The Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a losing road record while the Huskies are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game. 10* (308) Toledo Rockets

This is a play on the OHIO BOBCATS for our CFB Tuesday Star Attraction. We played against Ohio last week as it lost outright to Miami as a touchdown favorite but the value has shifted to the Bobcats this week as they are only short favorites now despite facing a team that is actually lower vin the power rankings than the RedHawks. There is not much room left for Ohio to make it to the postseason as it has to win two of its last three games and while the last two should be win, nothing can be taken for granted. Both of those games are on the road so this is the final home game of the season for the Bobcats which gives it some extra meaning as well as looking to break their 0-5 ATS record at Peden Stadium. For Western Michigan, it is simple. The Broncos are bowl eligible following a pair of wins at home where they are 6-0 on the season. Conversely, they are 0-4 on the road where they have to play their final two games as the last game against Ball St. was their final home game of the season. Here, we play against teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 where the line is +3 to -3 that are coming off a home win against a conference rival. This situation is 34-7 ATS (82.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (304) Ohio Bobcats

This is a play on the OKLAHOMA SOONERS for our CFB Blowout Game of the Year. This is a bad time for Iowa St. to have to face Oklahoma. The Sooners will rediscover a fifth gear after a bye week spent stewing over the Kansas St. loss. It was a game it never should have lost as Oklahoma outgained the Wildcats but it lost the turnover battle and allowed Kansas St. to run off 24 consecutive points in the third and fourth quarter. This team will be out for blood. Overall, the Iowa St. defense is having a solid season, ranking 17th nationally in Defensive SP+ and 29th in the ESPN defensive efficiency metric. That should not stop the Sooners from exploiting a handful of matchup advantages on Saturday. Despite the Cyclones success stopping the run this season, Oklahoma may have an advantage on the ground. Playing so many hybrid defenders on the back end involves trading size for versatility. Here, we play on home favorites that are averaging 440 or more ypg going up against a team allowing between 330 and 390 ypg, after gaining 7.25 or more yppl in two consecutive games. This situation is 64-22 ATS (74.4 percent) since 1992. 10* (174) Oklahoma Sooners

This is a play on the NC STATE WOLFPACK for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. This game is reminiscent of the meeting two years ago when Clemson came into escaped with a seven-point win and now the Tigers are being asked to lay well over four touchdowns. Clemson entered at No. 5 in the CFP Rankings but there is nothing to fear as if it wins out, it will be in the playoff. Both offense and defense have been playing at a high level since that scare against North Carolina so NC State will have to play a perfect game to pull off the upset. We are not asking for that though. NC State has had a rough go of it of late but their struggles have come on the road. The Wolfpack are 0-4 on the road but 4-0 at home and a night game in Raleigh will have Carter-Finley Stadium jacked up. The Wolfpack are 21-10-1 ATS in their last 32 home games against teams with a winning road record. Here, we play against favorites of 31.5 or more points coming off a home win, with a winning record on the season. This situation is 32-9 ATS (78 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (118) NC State Wolfpack

This is a play on the OREGON ST. BEAVERS for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. After getting annihilated by Utah, Oregon St. has reeled off two straight wins to move to .500 on the season with a very good possibility to become bowl eligible for the first time since 2013. This team can score in multiple ways and in a hurry which is what you want playing underdogs. Their two talented running backs have them 2nd in the conference in ypc, and while they are only 8th in ypa, Jake Luton has led them to a 21/2 TD/INT ratio. Meanwhile, Washington has lost two straight games, a pair of heartbreaking home underdog defeats and this team has to be shot at this point. The Huskies blew a 14-point lead against Oregon to lose by four points and then last week, they blew a 14-3 lead against Utah and lost by five points. Two great situations are in play here. First, we play against road teams that are outscoring opponents by seven or more ppg, after allowing 31 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 84-43 ATS (66.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. Second, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points averaging between 5.6 and 6.2 yppl going up against teams allowing between 4.8 and 5.6 yppl, after gaining 6.75 or more yppl in their previous game. This situation is 44-14 ATS (75.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (116) Oregon St. Beavers

This is a play on the SOUTH FLORIDA BULLS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. With wins in the three of their last four, including a 27-23 win against BYU in their last home game, the Bulls have righted the ship. Going back further, since losing by a combined 63-10 margin in their first two games, the Bulls have won four of six with both losses coming to currently ranked teams. They are 4-4 and this is a massive game as they need two wins to become bowl eligible and their final three games are against Cincinnati, Memphis and UCF which are a combined 22-4. South Florida is a run heavy offense led by Senior Jordan Cronkrite leads the team with 587 yards rushing on 5.4 ypc. Temple is a good pass-rushing team but that will be limited against the Bulls in this matchup. The Owls allow 167.5 ypg on the ground which is just 75th in the country. Statistically, South Florida is a middle-of-the-pack defensive team in the AAC, but the Bulls have forced 20 turnovers through eight games which is second most in the country. While the contest will be played under the lights, the game-time temperature is still expected to be in the low-to-mid 80s with high humidity. Those conditions favor the Bulls as Temple is not used to it and will wear down late in the game. The Owls are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games while the Bulls are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards last game against opponent after being outrushed by 125 or more yards last game. This situation is 27-6 ATS (81.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (112) South Florida Bulls

This is a play on the MIAMI OHIO REDHAWKS for our CFB Wednesday Enforcer. Both Miami and Ohio come in riding two-game winning streaks and both are tied for first place in the MAC East with 3-1 records. The Redhawks lone loss in the conference came at Western Michigan despite outgaining the Broncos by 55 total yards. A look at the stats overall shows Miami in a hole but it took on a challenging nonconference slate, losing games at Iowa, Cincinnati, and Ohio St. so the numbers are skewed. The RedHawks defense ranks 5th in the MAC giving up just 395.3 ypg on average, a number which drops down dramatically to 349.0 ypg if only MAC games are figured in. Ohio is just 2-2 at home yet is favored by what a dominant home team should be favored by. The Ohio defense ranks 10th in the MAC giving up 446.4 ypg. That stat also ranks them towards the bottom of the total defense chart nationally at 111th and this unit is on track to be the worst defense ever in the Frank Solich era. In conference play, the Miami offense has fared better, averaging 364 ypg, including a season-best 467 yards in its last game against Kent St. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after covering the spread in three out of their last four games, in weeks 10 through 13. This situation is 65-29 ATS (69.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (105) Miami Ohio RedHawks

This is a play on the KENT ST. GOLDEN FLASHES for our CFB Tuesday Enforcer. Every game is big at this point in the MAC as 11 of the conference's 12 teams sit between 3-6 and 6-4 overall and 10 teams are within 1.5 games of each other in conference play. Kent St. is 2-2 in MAC play with both defeats (Ohio and Miami) coming by seven points or less. The Golden Flashes are near the bottom of the MAC in scoring offense at 23.9 ppg but if you eliminate a brutal non-conference slate that featured Auburn, Wisconsin, and Arizona St., Kent St. leads the MAC in scoring at 35.5 ppg in conference-only matchups. Toledo quarterback Mitchell Guadagni was downgraded to doubtful last night so Carter Bradley and Eli Peters occupy the top spots on the depth chart this week. That is great news for the Kent St. defense as neither has shown the ability to stretch the field. Here, we play against teams in the second half of the season averaging 440 or more ypg going up against teams averaging between 330 and 390 ypg, after allowing 6.25 or more yppl in two consecutive games. This situation is 39-13 ATS (75 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (101) Kent St. Golden Flashes

This is a play on the WASHINGTON HUSKIES for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. Utah will be a very popular pick here by laying a short number as a top ten team. The Utes have won and covered four straight games thanks to a defense that has allowed an average of 5.8 ppg over that stretch. Those four straight covers is a reason for the public backing but this is the ideal situation to go against that. The Utes are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. It has not been an ideal season for the Huskies but we feel they break out here coming off a loss followed by a bye. Chris Peterson is 18-0 in his last 18 games coming off a bye. Per the Bear from ESPN, since October 2016, there have been eight top-10 teams that were less than a 5-point favorite on the road against an unranked team. Those eight teams went 1-7 straight up. Here, we play against road teams with a winning percentage of .800 or better after beating the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games, playing a team with a winning percentage between .600 and .800. This situation is 28-9 ATS (75.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (392) Washington Huskies

This is a play on the ARMY BLACK KNIGHTS for our CFB Game of the Month. Army has lost four straight games to fall to 3-5 on the season and the last three losses were as favorites. The Black Knights have dropped five straight games against the number and that puts them in a positive spot here as the line is inflated because of that. All five losses have come by single digits so the record could be a lot better than what it is and there will be plenty of motivation to take the first step toward the Commander-In-Chief Trophy. Air Force has won three straight games, all by double digits as a small favorite. Now the Falcons are laying over two touchdowns for the second time this season after failing to cover the first time as 19.5-point favorites against San Jose St. The Falcons are 9-20 ATS in their last 29 games as double-digit favorites. Meanwhile, Army is 7-0 ATS in its last seven road games after gaining 275 or more rushing yards last game. Here, we play on teams after five or more consecutive losses against the spread going up against an opponent after one or more consecutive wins against the spread. This situation is 42-15 ATS (73.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (363) Army Black Knights

This is a play on the WASHINGTON ST. COUGARS for our Pac 12 Game of the Year. Washington St. bounced back from three straight losses with a resounding win over Colorado last week to improve to 4-3 on the season. The Cougars were likely hungover from that UCLA loss in their games against Utah and Arizona St. but their season will be completely turned around here with a win here which is not as unlikely as it may seem based off this line. Washington St. is 7-0 ATS when the total is between 63.5 and 70 over the last three seasons. Oregon has won six straight games after suffering a season opening loss against Auburn and has taken control of the Pac 12 North with a two-game lead over Oregon St. This has not been a good matchup for the Ducks as they have lost four straight in this series while going 0-9 ATS in the last nine meetings. Going back, the Ducks are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS win. Here, we play on teams averaging 4.8 or more ypc going up against teams averaging between 4.3 and 4.8 ypc, after gaining 6.0 or more ypc last game. This situation is 92-45 ATS (67.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (153) Washington St. Cougars

This is a play on the OKLAHOMA ST. COWBOYS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. Oklahoma St. came up small last week as it lost at Baylor which was its second straight setback. Two games back, they were a nine-point favorite on the road at Texas Tech and now they are double-digit road underdogs and there is no chance Iowa St. is nearly 20 points better than Texas Tech. The Cowboys can light it up on offense and they face a Cyclones defense that allows a 66.5 percent completion rate which is No. 118 in the nation. Oklahoma St. is on a 7-3 SU/9-1 ATS run as an underdog with an average cover of 13.4 ppg. Additionally, the Cowboys are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Iowa St. is riding a three-game winning streak and it has covered all of those games as well. The Cyclones are now 5-2 on the season with the two losses coming by just three points combined. This is no doubt a good football team but they cannot be trusted laying double digits as they are 2-5-1 in their last eight games and also 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win. Here, we play on road teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 off a home loss by 14 or more points, playing a winning team. This situation is 41-15 ATS (73.2 percent) since 1992. 10* (169) Oklahoma St. Cowboys

This is a play on the USC TROJANS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. Colorado has dropped three straight games after a 3-1 start to the season. The three wins have been suspect as the Buffaloes defeated both Colorado St. and Nebraska despite getting outgained and snuck by Arizona St., hitting a game-winning field goal with two minutes remaining. The offense has stalled under quarterback Steven Montez who through seven games, he's thrown for 1,723 yards with a 63.8 completion percentage and 10 touchdowns and eight interceptions. He is going through a bad slump with six interceptions and one touchdown in his last two games. Colorado is 0-8 ATS in its last eight games after allowing 450 or more total yards in two consecutive games. USC snapped a two-game slide with a blowout win over Arizona. The Trojans are now 4-3 and they could be a lot better than that as two of those losses were by a field goal and in the 14-point loss against Washington, they actually outgained the Huskies but three turnovers did them in. USC has not lost to Colorado since the Buffaloes entered the Pac 12, going 8-0 with six of those wins coming by more than what it is favored by here. The Trojans are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 road games against teams who give up 34 or more. Here, we play on road favorites of 10.5 to 21 points after covering the spread in three out of their last four games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team. This situation is 63-24 ATS (72.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (105) USC Trojans

This is a play on the AIR FORCE FALCONS for our CFB Saturday Last Chance For Cash. Hawaii got roughed up last week at Boise St. and that was with the Broncos losing their starting quarterback. The Warriors are 3-0 at home but playing against the Warriors in Hawaii has been a mixed bag and while it is widely thought of that they are profitable at home, they are a below average 31-38 ATS since 2012. The Warriors are 1-8 ATS in their last nine home games against teams with a winning road record. Air Force is coming off a win last week against Fresno St. as the defense came up strong again. The triple option rushing game is averaging 296.5 ypg which is good for second best in the country and Hawaii has not had any extra time to prepare for this unique attack. The Falcons are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play on teams averaging 4.8 or more rushing ypc going up against teams averaging between 4.3 to 4.8 ypc), after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game. This situation is 80-36 ATS (69 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (423) Air Force Falcons

This is a play on the OKLAHOMA ST. COWBOYS for our CFB Big 12 Game of the Year. We played against Baylor last week as it failed to cover the number but it still won in overtime to improve to 6-0 on the season. Three of the last four games have been decided by one possession however so the undefeated record is a bit skewed. This will be the biggest test on the road as the first two road wins came against Rice and Kansas St. The Bears are 7-16-1 ATS in their last 24 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Oklahoma St. is coming off a loss at Texas Tech two weeks ago so it has the benefit of facing the Bears coming off their bye week. The offense is again off the charts as the Cowboys are averaging 528.3 ypg which is good for No. 8 in the country. The home team has won eight of the last nine meetings in the series including last year so revenge is in play this week. The Cowboys are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games against teams with a winning record while going 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss. 10* (390) Oklahoma St. Cowboys

This is a play on the SYRACUSE ORANGE for our CFB Friday Enforcer. Syracuse is playing its second straight weeknight game, losing last Thursday at NC State. The Orange could not get out of their own way in the first half with six straight punts to open the game but ended up in NC State territory four of the next five drives but managed only 10 points as a missed field goal and a missed fourth down killed them. Syracuse is back home where it is 2-1, the lone loss coming against Clemson and going back, the Orange are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 home games against teams averaging 120 or fewer rushing ypg. Pittsburgh has won three straight games after a 1-2 start and the Panthers have been cashing, winning four of their last five against the number. That is a big reason they are favored on the road in this one. Pittsburgh is coming off an impressive win over Duke two weeks ago as a road underdog and now the roles switch despite Syracuse and Duke being fairly even in the power rankings. The Panthers are 4-15 ATS in their last 19 road games after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a defense allowing 100 or less rushing ypg, after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game. This situation is 55-21 ATS (72.4 percent) since 1992. 10* (312) Syracuse Orange

This is a play on the LOUISIANA RAGIN CAJUNS for our CFB Thursday High Roller. Louisiana is coming off a tough loss against Appalachian St. last week but all is not lost in the conference. The Cajuns are in the West Division where they are 1-1 and trail UL-Monroe by just a half-game so they can control their own destiny for a rematch with the Mountaineers in the Sun Belt Conference Championship. Arkansas St. is 3-3 following a loss against Georgia St. by 14 points that was actually worse than that as the Red Wolves were outgained by 301 total yards. Louisiana has huge advantages on both sides of the ball in this matchup. The Cajuns are outgaining opponents by 147.5 ypg while Arkansas St. is getting outgained by 106.5 ypg. The Red Wolves have an atrocious defense as they are allowing 537.3 ypg which is second to last in all of college football. Louisiana is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games off an upset loss to a conference rival as a home favorite while the Red Wolves are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play against home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points with a scoring defense allowing 35 or more ppg, after two straight games where 60 total points or more were scored. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (305) Louisiana Ragin Cajuns

This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS for our AAC Game of the Year. Since suffering a 42-0 loss against Ohio St., Cincinnati has won three straight games and has climbed into the AP Top 25 for the first time this season. The Bearcats are coming off an upset win over UCF but were outgained by 82 total yards and we are finding out that this Knights team is overrated when being compared from the last two years. The Bearcats are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Houston snapped a two-game losing streak with a 46-25 win over North Texas two weeks ago so it has the advantage here of having an extra week of preparation. The Cougars were outgained as they scored touchdowns on both punt and kickoff returns. The Cougars are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game while going 6-0 ATS in their last six games coming off a road win. 10* (172) Houston Cougars

This is a play on the TEMPLE OWLS for our CFB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. Memphis heads into Philadelphia with a perfect 5-0 record but it has not been as dominant as the scoreboard has shown. The Tigers are coming off double-digit wins over Navy and UL-Monroe but they were outgained in both of those. Memphis is 7-18 ATS in its last 25 games after scoring 50 points or more last game. Temple has won two straight games to improve to 4-1 on the season with the lone loss coming at Buffalo where turnovers were the difference. Temple has outgained all five opponents so it I playing at a very high level. The Owls are 40-17-1 ATS in their last 58 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival going up against an opponent after a road game where both teams scored 31 points or more. This situation is 51-20 (71.8 percent) since 1992. 10* (128) Temple Owls

This is a play on the OREGON DUCKS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. We lost with Oregon last Saturday as it won but failed to cover against California as the Ducks shot themselves in the foot too many times. They turned the ball over in Golden Bears territory in their first three possessions and then missed a field goal late in the second quarter to get shut out in the first half. Give credit to the California defense as it stepped up when needed to keep the game close but Oregon does not have to worry about that on Friday and it is not laying many more points than last week. Colorado is coming off a loss against Arizona as it led for much of the game but gave up the winning touchdown with just over six minutes left. The Buffaloes are 1-2 following a 2-0 start and both of those losses came at home. They did upset Arizona St. in their lone road game on the season but they will be facing a much more difficult task here. Colorado is 4-18 ATS in its last 22 games after allowing 375 or more passing yards in their last game while Oregon is 19-5 ATS in its last 24 games against teams allowing 275 or more passing ypg. 10* (114) Oregon Ducks

This is a play on the SYRACUSE ORANGE for our CFB Thursday Supreme Annihilator. After suffering two straight blowout losses, the Orange have record a pair of blowout wins to get back on track and move back over .500 on the season. Granted, the most recent came against Holy Cross of the FCS to close out September but it was a needed win for momentum and now Syracuse looks to jump out of a 0-2 hole in the ACC. The Orange are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up win. NC State is coming off a loss at Florida St. and it has not been in good form after opening with a pair of blowout wins against East Carolina and Nicholas St. The Wolfpack were dominated by West Virginia and then were outgained at home against Ball St. despite pulling out the win. The Wolfpack are 0-5 ATS in their last five games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we plat against home favorites allowing between 16-21 ppg going up against teams allowing between 21-28 ppg, after scoring 14 points or less last game. This situation is 25-5 ATS (83.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (107) Syracuse Orange

This is a play on the LAFAYETTE RAGIN CAJUNS for our CFB Wednesday High Roller. This has been one of the crazy line moves of the week as Lafayette opened as a one-point favorite on Sunday night, got bet up to as high as -3 -108 the next day only to go to +1 -106 early Tuesday. It once again shifted at the Cajuns were laying small chalk and again this morning, it shifted the other way in what is a big revenge game on National TV. Wednesday is a rematch of the first-ever Sun Belt championship game, which Appalachian St. won 30-19 at home. The Ragin Cajuns feature a powerful ground-oriented offense that poses plenty of problems for a Mountaineers defense that has allowed an average of 29 ppg. Lafayette leads the Sun Belt, averaging 314 rushing ypg while only surrendering five sacks all season, which also tops in the conference. While this is not considered a rivalry, it does pair the two best teams in the conference from the last few years and the Cajuns have never been on top, losing all six meetings and all coming by at least 10 points. So it comes as no surprise the public is feasting on the road team tonight. Lafayette is 17-3 ATS in its last 20 games after gaining 475 or more total ypg over their last three games. Here, we play against road teams that are outscoring opponents by 7.0 or more ppg, after allowing 31 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 80-39 ATS (67.2 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (102) Lafayette Ragin Cajuns

This is a play on the STANFORD CARDINAL for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. Stanford snapped a three-game slide with a win at Oregon St. last week and the Cardinal hope to build off that as they head home. The Cardinal amassed four sacks and pitched a first-half shutout against Oregon St., but the final four drives of the game for the Beavers ended in touchdowns, making what was a comfortable affair in Corvallis a 31-28 nail-biter for the Cardinal. Stanford's defense isn't quite as stingy as it has been in the past. They're currently 92nd in total defense and 127th in third-down percentage defense but that is a big reason they are getting over two touchdowns at home. Additionally, Stanford has played the toughest schedule in the country. Washington took care of USC last week and it has now won three straight games following its lone loss of the season, a one-point setback at home. In their only other road game, the Huskies were favored by 6.5 points at BYU and this line is telling us the Cougars are 10 points better than Stanford? No way. The defense is looking excellent and always, and the offense is doing fine but this is a tough environment in a night games. 10* (352) Stanford Cardinal

This is a play on the ILLINOIS FIGHTING ILLINI for our Big Ten Game of the Year. Minnesota has been getting it done but it has been far from dominant. The Golden Gophers are just two games short of bowl eligibility at 4-0 despite the fact they are 1-2-1 ATS, with their first cover coming last week in a 38-31 win at Purdue. They have won those games by an average of 5.0 ppg, have won all four by seven points or less and now are being asked to lay two touchdowns. Purdue ran it pretty well on Minnesota last week, and the Boilermakers had not previously been able to run it all on anyone and this is good news for Illinois which averages 182 ypg and 4.6 ypc. The Illini are 2-2 and while the wins were against two poor teams, the losses were against decent teams and by a combined seven points. Illinois has scored 30 or more points in each of the first four games this season, and Brandon Peters is the best quarterback Lovie Smith has had in Champaign. The Illini are coming off their bye week and while Smith did not get into too many specifics about what Illinois focused on most during its off week last week, the team earned a few extra practices to gameplan for the Gophers. 10* (357) Illinois Fighting Illini

This is a play on the TEMPLE OWLS for our CFB Thursday High Roller. Temple enters Thursday with a 3-1 record which includes a pair of win over ACC teams in Georgia Tech and Maryland. The Owls have outgained all four opponents thanks to a stingy defense once again as Temple is ranked No. 19 in total defense. The Owls are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game while going 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. East Carolina has won two straight games and it is 3-2 on the season. The problem is two of those wins came against teams from the FCS while the third win came against 1-3 Old Dominion last week by just three points. Do not be fooled by the winning record as the Pirates strength of schedule is No. 150 in the country. East Carolina is 4-16 ATS in its last 20 home games after playing two straight non-conference games while going 0-8 ATS in its last eight games when playing against a team with a winning record. Here, we play on road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after allowing 5.5 or less passing ypa in three straight games, with an experienced quarterback returning as starter. This situation is 41-15 ATS (73.2 percent) since 1992. 10* (305) Temple Owls

This is a play on the NEW MEXICO LOBOS for our CFB Revenge Game of the Year. New Mexico is coming off a win over rival New Mexico St. 55-52 in a game that should not have been that close. The Lobos outgained the Aggies by 109 total yards to improve to 2-1 with the lone loss coming at Notre Dame which is no surprise. They now hit the road as significant road underdogs against a team that should not be laying a number this big in just its second year in the FBS. Liberty is 2-2 coming off a pair of home wins against Buffalo and Hampton. The Flames were actually getting six points against the Bulls and Buffalo is a comparable team to New Mexico yet there is over a two-touchdown line differential. Additionally, they only outgained the Bulls by 31 total yards. The revenge factor comes into play, even on the road in this situation, after Liberty won in Albuquerque by nine points despite the Lobos winning the yardage battle. Four interceptions did them in and that was the ultimate difference. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that are allowing 6.1 or more yppl, after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 29-6 ATS (82.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (181) New Mexico Lobos

This is a play on the GEORGIA SOUTHERN EAGLES for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. We played against Louisiana last week but the rushing game was too much for Ohio as the Bobcats surrendered 285 yards on the ground in a 45-25 loss. The Cajuns hit the road for the second straight week and it happens to be their conference opener and against a team that has proven to be able to stop the run. It also helps that Louisiana has played the No. 92 ranked schedule in the country. Georgia Southern is coming off a bye week which gives it the situational edge here. Prior to that, the Eagles lost a tough one in Minnesota by just three points. They have played the No. 19 ranked schedule in the nation which also includes a game at LSU. Back to the rushing defense, in the two games against Power Five teams, Georgia Southern has allowed a total of 215 rushing yards on 81 carries (2.7 ypc)\. The Eagles are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games while going 6-0 ATS after playing a non-conference game. Here, we play against road favorites averaging 230 or more rushing ypg after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards in two straight games going up against a team allowing 100 or less rushing ypg. This situation is 26-7 ATS (78.8 percent) since 1992. 10* (140) Georgia Southern Eagles

This is a play on the AIR FORCE FALCONS for our CFB Friday High Roller. We played on Air Force two weeks ago as it won in Colorado in overtime but it failed to follow up with a win as lost in Boise by 11 points to the Broncos. The Falcons actually outgained Boise St. but a costly interception midway through the fourth quarter set up the Broncos for a short 27-yard touchdown drive. The Falcons are 9-1 ATS in home games under Troy Calhoun in games after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game. San Jose St. is coming off a massive upset as it defeated Arkansas on the road by a touchdown as a 20-point underdog. The Spartans should not have won that game as they benefited from five turnovers that took a lot of yards and long drives away from the Razorbacks. San Jose St. got thumped by Tulsa by 18 points and it was outgained by 191 yards in its previous game when it was heading to a bye week prior to playing Arkansas. The Spartans are 4-14-1 ATS in their last 19 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game while the Falcons are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. 10* (110) Air Force Falcons

This is a play on the TULSA GOLDEN HURRICANE for our CFB Game of the Month. While this is a play on Tulsa, it is also a play against Wyoming. The Cowboys are arguably the worst 3-0 team in the country as their three wins have come by a combined 20 points and those wins were against Missouri, Texas St. and Idaho. Making matters worse, they were outgained in all three games two of which were by 148 and 151 yards. Tulsa is 1-2 but its losses came against Michigan St. and Oklahoma St. The loss to the Cowboys last week came by 19 points but the game was a lot closer than that as the Golden Hurricane actually led at halftime but were done in by a 90-yard touchdown pass. The Cowboys are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS loss while the Golden Hurricane are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games against teams with a winning record. 10* (370) Tulsa Golden Hurricane

This is a play on the SYRACUSE ORANGE for our CFB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. Coming off a pair of big losses, expect Syracuse to come out with fire Saturday and the fact it is an early kickoff, it helps the Orange as taking the field as early as possible benefits them emotionally. The loss to Maryland was a surprise, more so by the final score while the loss to Clemson was expected and now is the time to rise to the challenge. The Orange are 16-3-1 ATS in their last 20 games against the MAC. Western Michigan is off to a 2-1 start but the two wins came against Monmouth and Georgia St.. The only real team they faced was Michigan St. who has shown to be offensively challenged but put up 51 points on the Broncos. The Broncos are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up win. 10* (340) Syracuse Orange

This is a play on the TULANE GREEN WAVE for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. We won with Houston last week as it covered against Washington St. but the Cougars are in a brutal spot here. They go from playing against a prolific passing team to facing a spread option team so getting ready for this game is a challenge, especially on a short week. Tulane is 2-1 with the lone loss coming against Auburn which was a one possession game late in the third quarter. Since making a quarterback change last season, the Green Wave are 7-2 with Justin McMillan under center. they are coming off a big win over Missouri St. and going back, Tulane is 8-0 ATS in its last eight home games following a win by 28 or more points. This is the third time in four games that Houston has played on a non-Saturday and that really messes up the preparation schedule. Here, we play on teams after gaining 7.25 or more yppl in their previous game, with eight defensive starters returning, in the first month of the season. This situation is 45-18 ATS (71.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (304) Tulane Green Wave

This is a play on the AIR FORCE FALCONS for our CFB Non-Conference Game of the Year. Colorado is off to a 2-0 start following a dramatic win in overtime over Nebraska where it tied the game in regulation with less than a minute left after rallying from a 17-0 deficit. The Buffaloes may be a little inflated however as they were outgained in both games. The defense remains suspect and Colorado will be challenged facing the Air Force option. The Falcons rolled over Colgate in their opener and had a bye last week. Air Force brings back 14 starters from a disappointing 5-7 team from last season and the Falcons are expected to be a sleeper in the MWC. Here, we play on road underdogs that averaged 400 or more total ypg last season, after outgaining opponent by 125 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 49-24 ATS (67.1 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (125) Air Force Falcons

This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. This line opened at under the key number of seven and is now well over a touchdown. This is considered a neutral site game but it is being played at NRG Stadium so it is basically a home game for the Cougars. They bounced back from a season opening loss against Oklahoma with a blowout win over Prairie View A&M. Washington St. is coming off a pair of wins over patsies New Mexico St. and Northern Colorado and both of those were at home so now the Cougars are playing their first game on the road. While they have played no one, they have still benefitted from a +6 turnover advantage. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that allowed 425 or more total ypg, with eight or more offensive starters including the quarterback returning, in the first month of the season. This situation is 52-21 ATS since 1992. 10* (108) Houston Cougars

This is a play on the FRESNO ST. BULLDOGS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. Minnesota survived a scare last week against South Dakota St. as the Jackrabbits had 23-17 first down and 367-308 yard edges including 174-132 on the ground. Minnesota benefited from a 43-yard interception return for a touchdown to start the second half and had to rally to score the winning touchdown with just over five minutes left. We played against Fresno St. last week and got hit with the loss as the Bulldogs were able to backdoor the cover by scoring the final ten points of the game. Now they are back home where they went 7-0 last season and have won nine straight games. 10* (390) Fresno St. Bulldogs

This is a play on the RICE OWLS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. We played on Wake Forest last week as it pulled off a miracle win against Utah St. as it scored on a fourth and two with a minute remaining to win by three points. The Demon Deacons now hit the road where they won their final three games but not at this price. They have not been a road favorite this big since 1997 and it is not because Wake Forest is suddenly a powerhouse. It is implied Rice is going to be bad again as it has gone 3-22 over the last two seasons but this is an improving team. The Owls played very well in a seven-point loss against Army and while they bring back a lot of experience, they also brought in seven graduate transfers from winning programs. 10* (302) Rice Owls

This is a play on the OKLAHOMA SOONERS for our CFB Sunday Star Attraction. This line opened at -26 and has settled in at -23 across most places which is big under the key number 24. Oklahoma is again in the National Championship discussion even after losing No. 1 draft pick Kyler Murray to the NFL. The Sooners new quarterback is Alabama transfer Jalen Hurts, who started the 2016 and 2017 seasons and led Alabama to a 26-2 overall record. He lost the starting job to Tua Tagovailoa in 2018 but still played in 13 games. He adds to a rushing offense as well that should be one of the best in the country. Houston lost its best defender in Ed Oliver from a unit that was already bad in the first place. The Cougars collapsed down the stretch, allowing 37.2 ppg last season. They gave up 45, 59, 52, and 70 points in four of their final five games of the year and in the bowl game against Army, they allowed 507 yards on the ground. The Houston offense is legit and in years past, that would give Oklahoma fits but we expect things to be better this season as new defensive coordinator Alex Grinch is unleashing what promises to be an attacking defense. The Sooners bring back eight starters on defense which makes the learning curve of a new scheme a lot easier to translate. Houston has a new head coach in Dana Holgorsen who comes over from West Virginia and he never could solve Oklahoma, going 0-7 straight up while failing to cover five straight. The Cougars are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 road games while the Sooners are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 home games. 10* (216) Oklahoma Sooners

This is a play on the VIRGINIA CAVALIERS for our CFB Game of the Month. The Cavaliers are starting to take big steps under head coach Bronco Mendenhall as they finished 8-5 to make it to their second straight bowl game, culminating with a blowout shutout over South Carolina 28-0. Virginia returns 14 starters, which is tied for No. 34, and this includes eight starters on a defense that finished in the top 20 in the nation last season. Also back is quarterback Bryce Perkins who is a duel threat as he finished with 2,680 yards through the air and 923 rushing yards. Last season could have been even better as three of the five losses came by four points or less including two in overtime. One of the other losses came at home against Pittsburgh by 10 points so payback will be in play. The Panthers won the ACC Coastal last season which was a surprise to many especially after getting outgained and outscored on the season. Pittsburgh should take a big step back this season as it returns just 11 starters which is tied for No. 90. The Panthers do bring back quarterback Kenny Pickett but he was far from efficient last season with a 58.1 percent completion rate while tossing only 12 touchdowns and throwing three picks. The offense especially bogged down late in the season, averaging a mere 8.7 ppg over their final three games. The experience factor and revenge factor are big time in play which is why we are not shying away from the road chalk. 10* (203) Virginia Cavaliers

This is a play on the TOLEDO ROCKETS for our CFB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. Kentucky is coming off one of its best seasons in recent memory but the Wildcats are expected to take a step back this season. They were 10-3 last season that included a win over then No. 12 Penn St. in the Citrus Bowl but they lost a lot of key pieces to that team as no longer around are all-time leading rusher Benny Snell and top 5 NFL Draft pick defensive end Josh Allen. They lost a lot more as well as they come in as the No. 103 ranked team in experience. That makes this number pretty large given the fact Kentucky is 0-10 ATS in its last 10 games as a home favorite. Toledo had an average season last year where it went 7-6 but the offense is expected to be better. The Rockets averaged 40.4 ppg and went over 50 points six times and while none of those came against powerful teams, they have an explosive offense that can take advantage of the short-handed Kentucky defense. The Wildcats offense was bad so they were fortunate the defense was so strong and that offense only returns for starters, the same as the defense. That helps out of porous Toledo defense that should be better or at the very least equivalent. Here, we play on road teams that allowed 400 or more total ypg last season, with five defensive starters returning, in the first two weeks of the season. This situation is 61-27 ATS (69.3 percent) since 1992. The fact this is a 12 PM ET start helps the road team also as it takes away the rowdy SEC crowd. 10* (171) Toledo Rockets

This is a play on the WAKE FOREST DEMON DEACONS for our CFB Friday Supreme Annihilator. Head coach Dave Clawson has done a great job at Wake Forest as he has taken the Demon Deacons to three straight bowl games, all resulting in wins which is the first time that has happened in program history. They were forced to use three different quarterbacks last season and the quarterback that led them to two underdog wins in the final two games, Jamie Newman, won the job this season. Overall, this is a pretty experienced teams, ranked No. 47 in the country, and this is a big factor early on as mentioned in prior analysis. Utah St. is coming off a very successful 11-2 campaign that included a 10-game winning streak as well as a 9-1 ATS run. That could be playing into this number and while it is as low as it is. Another reason could be the return of quarterback Jordan Love who was responsible for 39 touchdowns last season. The only problem with that is that he gets just other starter back in his offense so it could be rough early on. Overall, the Aggies are ranked No. 123 in experience and looking at the ever important offensive line, Utah St. is ranked dead last in the nation with only 15 starts along the line compared to 82 for Wake Forest which is No. 31. Wake Forest lost 120 player-game because of injury so Clawson led a total upheaval in training techniques that forced them to rebuild the Fall Camp process from the ground up which resulted in a significant reduction in injuries. 10* (148) Wake Forest Demon Deacons

This is a play on the BYU COUGARS for our CFB Thursday Enforcer. We have a quick turnaround revenge game in play on Thursday night and this is not simply a revenge play but how it happened. In the regular season finale , BYU and Utah met in the 93rd edition of the Holy War and the Cougars led 27-7 but allowed 28 unanswered points to lose 35-27 so they will be out for some serious payback. Additionally, the Utes have won eight straight meetings in this series but only one of those have come by more than one possession. BYU returns 17 starters including quarterback Zach Wilson who was questionable for this game but has been upgraded to probable. The Cougars have an experience offensive line as they are ranked No. 45 in the country in offensive linemen starts. On the other side, Utah is ranked No. 98 in this category, as they bring back only 35 starts across the offensive line. This is a huge factor early in the season which gives BYU a solid edge as both defenses on nearly the same with just over 51 percent of their tackles returning. The Cougars know that to beat Utah they have to play at a high level without costly lapses which they have experienced during this series. Here, we play on home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that had a completion percentage of 62 percent or better last season, in non-conference games. This situation is 31-7 ATS (81.6 percent) since 1992. 10* (144) BYU Cougars

This is a play on the HAWAII WARRIORS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. The Warriors were a great turnaround team last season as they went 8-6 after going 3-9 the previous season. Hawaii returns 18 starters, nine on each side of the ball including five on the offensive line and three on the defensive line. Last year, with the move back to the true run-and-shoot, the air show went up by almost 1,500 yards as it finished ninth in the nation averaging over 300 ypg. Cole McDonald most notably returns for the Warriors, as the redshirt junior quarterback threw for over 3,800 yards with 36 touchdowns to just 10 interceptions last season. Additionally, the Warriors return a majority of their offensive production last season, as guys like Cedric Byrd and JoJo Ward are going to challenge the Arizona defense immensely. This is good news come Saturday as the Arizona scoring defense finished 10th in the Pac-12, allowing 32.6 ppg. Arizona brings back just six starters on defense. Offensively, the Wildcats hope that quarterback Khalil Tate can remain healthy as he was not near 100 percent for most of last season. Hawaii brings back a lot of talent and experience on defense and that has to translate into production for a defense that could not come up with enough third down stops, getting hit for 40 points or more over a rough mid-season run of five games in six. 10* (294) Hawaii Warriors

This is a play on the CLEMSON TIGERS for our CFP Championship Winner. In what is becoming an annual tradition, Clemson and Alabama will meet in the College Football Playoff for the fourth consecutive year, the third time in the championship game. Early money came in on the Tigers, dropping this number a point to a point and a half depending on the opening number. Alabama beat Clemson 24-6 in a semifinal last season, and the teams split their two meetings in the Championship game in 2016 and 2017. Turnovers were the difference last season as a pair of interceptions hurt Clemson and it has to avoid that this year. Alabama is talked about as being the most dominant team in the country, winning just one game by fewer than 24 points. However, since winning 28-26 at Texas A&M and 27-23 against Syracuse in the first month of the season, Clemson has won its last nine games by an average margin of 37 points. The closest game in that stretch was a 20-point win at then-No. 17 Boston College. the Tigers offense will want to keep the Tide offense off the field and they can definitely do that. The Clemson running game goes through Travis Etienne (1,572 yards and 22 touchdowns) and he averages 8.3 ypc while and the offense overall averages 6.7 ypc. On the other side, Tua Tagovailoa is currently not 100 percent healthy. He does not want to run the ball, he wants to sit in the pocket and throw the ball like he did against Oklahoma. The Tigers need to get pressure and try to make him uncomfortable. Clemson is 6-0 ATS in its last six games away from home after outgaining opponent by 175 or more total yards in two consecutive games while Alabama 0-6 ATS in its last six games away from home against teams averaging 230 or more rushing ypg. Here, we play on neutral field underdogs that are outrushing their opponents by 100 or more ypg on the season. This situation is 35-10 ATS (77.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (151) Clemson Tigers

This is a play on the TEXAS LONGHORNS for our CFB Sugar Bowl Winner. Texas is looking for its first 10-win season since 2009 and if anyone can get it done, it is head coach Tom Herman who is 12-2 as an underdog going back to his days at Houston. It was a highly successful season for the Longhorns despite losing their opener to Maryland as the other losses came against Oklahoma, Oklahoma St. by a field goal and West Virginia by a point. That is what makes this line perplexing and a lot of that is on the other side as well. Even though this was a while ago, it looks like the Georgia players and coaches may not have recovered from the Alabama fourth-quarter rally in the SEC Championship. The Bulldogs led Alabama 28-14 in the third quarter but failed to score again in a 35-28 loss. While the Sugar Bowl is a nice reward for most teams, the way Georgia lost, and the double-digit line attached makes this a very difficult situation for the Bulldogs and we all know that double-digit spreads and disappointment do not go well together. Here, we play against teams in the second half of the season allowing between 16 and 21 ppg going up against teams allowing between 21 and 28 ppg, after two straight games where 60 total points or more were scored. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (277) Texas Longhorns

This is a play on the NC STATE WOLFPACK for our CFB Gator Bowl Winner. We are backing another top ranked quarterback who has a chance to show off against one of the worst pass defenses around. Ryan Finley is one of the best quarterbacks in the country and squares off against the No. 111 ranked Texas A&M pass defense. He finished the season with 3,789 yards, 24 touchdowns and nine interceptions while completing 68 percent of his passes. The Wolfpack were No. 6 in the nation in passing offense and Finley was selected to the 2018 All-ACC First Team. Bowl games are big for some teams and that is the case here for NC State which can reach double-digit wins for the first time since 2002. The Wolfpack defense put up a solid season as well and it goes up against the best running back in the SEC in Trayveon Williams who rushed for 1,524 yards, which led the conference. NC State has allowed just 109.1 ypg on 3.5 ypc on the season so they can slow him down. As mentioned, the Aggies pass defense is putrid as they allow 8.5 ypa and the Wolfpack are 6-0 ATS in their last six games against teams allowing 8.0 ypa or more. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points in a game involving two teams averaging 440 or more ypg, after gaining 525 or more total ypg over their last two games. This situation is 44-18 ATS (71 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (267) NC State Wolfpack

This is a play on the OREGON DUCKS for our CFB Redbox Bowl Winner. The fact that Justin Herbert is not sitting out a bowl game to get ready for the NFL Draft like other quarterbacks is one thing but the fact he is coming back next season tells a lot and Oregon can jumpstart its 2019 season right here. Oregon opened the season 5-1 and then a pair of double-digit losses at Washington St. and Arizona could have defined their season but instead the Ducks closed on a 3-1 run under first year head coach Mario Cristobal and throughout the season, Oregon to become a more balanced attack out of the pistol formation, averaging 191.3 ypg rushing to go with 254.7 ypg through the air. Scoring seven points against Michigan and six points against Ohio St. is one thing but the Spartans closed the season by scoring six points against Nebraska and 14 points against Rutgers so there is little chance to keep up here. Michigan St. is solid on defense as typical but the passing defense ranked No. 63 in the nation and they will be without the second-highest graded Big Ten corner by Pro Football Focus in Justin Layne who is sitting out to get NFL Draft ready. Here, we play on teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .800 where the line is +3 to -3 off a double digit road win, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 27-10 ATS (73 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (262) Oregon Ducks

This is a play on the NOTRE DAME FIGHTING IRISH for our Cotton Bowl Winner. It is hard to overlook an undefeated team getting this many points and we are going to back Notre Dame in what is not only a good matchup but it has history on its side based on the fact that undefeated teams in bowl games that are getting at least a touchdowns are 12-4 ATS. As far as the matchup, Clemson is sitting at #2 in the S&P+ overall rankings and #3 in the ESPN.com overall efficiency rankings, while Notre Dame is #6 in both. The key is the underrated Notre Dame defense which is #4 in S&P+, #11 in defensive efficiency, #9 in scoring, and that it has the unit to not necessarily shut down the Clemson high-powered offense, but to slow it down, limit its time of possession, and force it to rely less on its running game. On the other side, Clemson will be tested by the Notre Dame passing game as its secondary has struggled at times. Getting to quarterback Ian Book will be more difficult as the NCAA suspensions of Clemson DT Dexter Lawrence is big as he is a key member of the teams fearsome defensive line and has 36 tackles and seven tackles for loss. The Fighting Irish are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games against team with a winning record while the Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last five non-conference games. 10* (255) Notre Dame Fighting Irish

This is a play on the SYRACUSE ORANGE for our CFB Game of the Year. This line shot down considerably once West Virginia quarterback Will Grier announced he was skipping the Camping World Bowl to prepare for the NFL Draft and of course to avoid injury. The Mountaineers will turn to sophomore Jack Allison to run their offense. Allison is 6-10 on the year for 75 yards with one touchdown and one interception and he will be facing a Syracuse defense which is 8th in the country in sacks with 38. What makes that even tougher for West Virginia is that All-Big 12 starting left tackle Yodny Cajuste is also skipping for the same reasons as Grier so the offense that produced 520.4 ypg will be down two key players. This is a big game for Syracuse as it will be playing its first bowl game since 2013 and this is a great opportunity to jumpstart the program heading into next season. The Orange will be out to get double-digit wins for the first time since 2001 so this is an important game for various reasons. In any other season, the Orange would be going to the Orange Bowl since they are the second highest ranked team in the ACC but the CFP has the Orange Bowl this year so they are taking a step down in a bowl game but the line is not reflecting that. The Mountaineers are 5-11-2 ATS in their last 18 games following a straight up loss while the Orange are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win. Additionally, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 with a winning percentage between .600 and .800 that are coming off a double digit road win, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 26-9 ATS (74.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (243) Syracuse Orange

This is a play on the MIAMI HURRICANES for our Pinstripe Bowl Winner. Wisconsin looks like a live dog here based on this game being played in a cold weather environment but that is often an underrated factor if there is no wind or precipitation which is the case tonight. The Badgers were one of the biggest disappointments in the country this season as they came into the season ranked No. 5 in the nation but they lost early to BYU and fell by double-digits against Michigan, Northwestern and Penn St. the regular season culminated with a 22-point loss against rival Minnesota, the first time they lost to the Gophers since 2003 and the first time they lost at home to Minnesota since 1994. Miami also had a disappointing season but closed with a pair of wins against Virginia Tech and Pittsburgh which came a four-game losing streak. The Hurricanes will force Wisconsin to throw the ball which will be tough for the Badgers and sophomore Jack Coan as regular starter Alex Hornibrook is out with a concussion. Miami will also be playing with revenge from the Orange Bowl last season. Miami is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games after allowing 14 points or less last game. 10* (237) Miami Hurricanes

This is a play on the CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS for our Cheez-It Bowl Winner. California is coming off a loss against rival Stanford in its regular season finale as it outgained the Cardinal but lost the turnover battle 3-1. The Golden Bears can win their first bowl game since 2015, when they beat Air Force in the Armed Forces Bowl in what was Jared Goff's last college game. This is just their second bowl game over the last seven years so there is a lot on the line here. TCU lost its starting quarterback and backup quarterback to injuries during the season and is now playing with its third-string quarterback Grayson Muehlstein. The fifth-year senior was never higher than third-string at any point in his TCU career. That is only a part of it however as the Horned Frogs lost 26 players to season-ending injuries. He goes up against a California defense that is ranked in the top 25 nationally in total, passing and scoring defense. The Horned Frogs did close the season with wins in their final two games to become bowl eligible but it was a disappointing season overall as they came in ranked No. 16. The Golden Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last four games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game while the Horned Frogs are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games against teams with a winning record. 10* (234) California Golden Bears

This is a play on the ARMY BLACK KNIGHTS for our Armed Forces Bowl Winner. A contrast in styles will be on display in Fort Worth as Army comes in the leader in the country in time of possession while Houston is dead last in the nation. The Black Knights are an excellent rushing team as they average 296.3 ypg which is second in the nation and since Week Two, the Black Knights run game is averaging 307.9 ypg and has scored 38 of 45 offensive touchdowns. The Houston defense is a sieve to begin with and it has been without its top four defensive linemen including consensus All-American Ed Oliver who had a knee injury but could have played Saturday and he elected not to avoid further injury and get ready for the NFL Draft. The Cougars are going to struggle as they are allowing 197.1 ypg on the ground which is No. 97 in the country. One missed tackle or blown assignment could lead to a big gain and Houston must also avoid penalties that could extend Army drives. The Cougars do possess a potent offense but are down to their second string quarterback and they now face an Army defense that has been quietly excellent as it is No. 9 in the country, allowing just 293.5 ypg. Additionally for Houston, talented receivers Courtney Lark and Keith Corbin are both questionable to play as well. Here, we play against teams averaging 440 or more ypg going up against teams allowing between 280 and 330 ypg, after being outgained by 125 or more total yards last game. This situation is 40-16 ATS (71.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (224) Army Black Knights

This is a play on the WESTERN MICHIGAN BRONCOS for our Potato Bowl Winner. There are just four double-digit favorites in the bowl games this season and BYU is arguably the one that should not be. The Cougars played a difficult non-conference season and while they sustained some close losses, they also were not impressive with their wins with the last four coming against McNeese St., Hawaii, Massachusetts and New Mexico St. This is a pedestrian offense that averaged just 354.5 ypg which was No. 107 in the country and for a unit like that to be asked to cover a double-digit number is difficult. On the flip side, Western Michigan finished No. 30 in total offense and while its schedule was not nearly as difficult, this team can score which is a significant factor for a sizable underdog. While the Cougars defense had a solid season, injuries piled up along the way as three starters have been lost over the last month of the season. Motivation is key and the Broncos feeling slighted with this spread. Western Michigan went 6-6 last year but was one of four eligible teams not invited to a bowl, so the Broncos are thrilled to be playing a game in the postseason a year later. The line switch is significant considering double-digit bowl favorites are 2-8 ATS in the last 10 games when they closed the regular season as a double-digit underdog. 10* (220) Western Michigan Broncos

This is a play on the MARSHALL THUNDERING HERD for our Gasparilla Bowl Winner. South Florida opened the season 7-0 but fell flat down the stretch, losing its final five games by an average of 19.4 ppg while getting outgained in all five games and by an average of 131.4 ypg so it was a bad stumble. The Bulls are playing this game on their home field but that means little when it comes to bowl games teams as teams that play on their home field are just 16-13 over the last 19 seasons. The Bulls are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points. Marshall closed the season much better by winning five of its last seven games and even though it did close with a 21-point loss at Virginia Tech, it was only outgained by two yards as penalties and turnovers did it in. The Thundering Herd has just one loss in a game they were the favorite in, and it came on the road by just two points at Southern Mississippi. They are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Here, we play against home underdogs after having lost five or six out of their last seven games going up against an opponent after having won three out of their last four games. This situation is 65-24 ATS (73 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (215) Marshall Thundering Herd

This is a play on the OHIO BOBCATS for our CFB Frisco Bowl Winner. San Diego St. closed its regular season with a thud as it dropped its final three games while getting substantially outgained in all three of those as well. The Aztecs had won seven of eight games prior to that following a season opening loss at Stanford so they head into the postseason with negative momentum. The Aztecs are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Ohio meanwhile comes in with a ton of momentum as it has won five of its last six games while going 7-2 over its last nine games. The Bobcats lost their first game of the season against Virginia by 14 points but their last three losses have come by a combined nine points. Additionally, Ohio has outgained each of its last six opponents. The Bobcats are 17-8-1 ATS in their last 26 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are averaging 34 or more ppg going up against a team allowing between 21 and 28 ppg, after a win by 21 or more points. This situation is 52-24 ATS (68.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (213) Ohio Bobcats

This is a play on the UAB BLAZERS for our CFB Boca Raton Bowl Winner. Motivation is a big factor in these early season bowl games and UAB should have plenty of it tonight. Last year, in their first season back after a two-year absence, the Blazers made it to the Bahamas Bowl only to get crushed by Ohio 41-6 and they want to make amends for that misstep. This game is about two terrific defenses UAB allowed the 11th fewest yards in the nation at 300.2 ypg, while Northern Illinois was not far behind ay 31st with 347.8 ypg. We give the edge to UAB based on not just the better numbers but having played in a tougher conference on top of that. The Blazers won and covered for us in the C-USA Championship despite getting outgained for the second straight game against Middle Tennessee St. the offense is highlighted by a potent rushing attack led by Spencer Brown who has rushed for 1,152 yards and 16 touchdowns. Northern Illinois is much weaker on offense as it averages just 325 ypg. While the Blazers were a terrific cover option, going 8-3 ATS in their final 11 games, the Huskies have covered just five of their previous 18 games on grass and are 0-5 ATS in their last five bowl appearances. 10* (212) UAB Blazers

This is a play on the MIDDLE TENNESSEE BLUE RAIDERS for our CFB Saturday Star Attraction. This is another situation where we will be going against a team that should be very unprepared because of a coaching change. Former Appalachian St. Head Coach Scot Satterfield left for the Louisville job with his two coordinators so interim coach Mark Ivey, assistant head and defensive line coach steps in. The Mountaineers won their first ever SBC Championship in a 30-19 win over Louisiana and while we give them credit in playing Penn St. tough in their season opener, the level of competition was bad the rest of the way. How bad? They were favored in all of their final 11 games by at least 10.5 points so based on the number here, Appalachian St. is taking a step up in competition. We played against Middle Tennessee St. in the C-USA Championship as it lost to UAB by two points despite outgaining the Blazers by 91 total yards. The Blue Raiders closed the season by outgaining each of their last five opponents and by an average of 145.4 ypg and making that more impressive is that they were underdog in two of those games. Three of their five losses came against SEC teams, with all three going to a bowl game including No. 5 Georgia and No. 14 Kentucky, so they played a much tougher schedule and the other two losses came by just five points combined and also coming against bowl teams. Middle Tennessee St. is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games after one or more consecutive straight up losses. Here, we play on bowl teams who lost their conference championship game by seven or less points going up against an opponent with a winning percentage of .600 or better and not off a win by more than 18 points. This situation is 19-1 ATS (95 percent) since 1992. 10* (209) Middle Tennessee St. Blue Raiders

This is a play on the NORTH TEXAS MEAN GREEN for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. This line has come down substantially with the main factor being Utah St. losing the entire coaching staff as head coach Matt Wells, offensive coordinator Dave Yost, and defensive coordinator Keith Patterson are all headed to Texas Tech so co-defensive coordinator Frank Maile will be in charge on Saturday. While the number has come down, it is still above the key number seven and that is significant for North Texas which will be out to bounce back from consecutive bowl losses, especially for the seniors that want to go out with a victory. The Mean Green finished the season 9-3 and while they closed on a 0-5 ATS run, they were favored in four of those including three by double digits. The three losses this season were all by one possession and even more important, North Texas outgained every opponent this season, the only team in the country to do so. It won the yardage battle by 113.3 and that is significant, especially when dealing with an underappreciated underdog. Utah St. had a special season where it went 10-2 that included a 10-game winning streak bookended by losses against Michigan St. and Boise St. The problem is that it is hard to determine how good the Aggies really as only two of those 10 wins came against teams competing in a bowl game. Overall, they played the No. 14 ranked schedule in the country, easily the softest in the MWC. The Aggies are 4-15 ATS against teams with a winning record and we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a winning percentage of .800 or better off a road loss against a conference rival, playing a team with a winning percentage between .600 and .800. This situation is 24-4 ATS (85.7 percent) since 1992. 10* (201) North Texas Mean Green

This is a play on the NAVY MIDSHIPMEN for our Army/Navy Enforcer. A historic rivalry will renew for the 119th time when Army and Navy square off on Saturday afternoon. Army has a chance to put up its most victories in program history with a win here and a win in its bowl game but this will not be easy despite the disparity in records. Navy had a horrendous season as it comes in 3-9 and will not make a bowl game for the first time since 2011. This is the first time in 16 years that Army is the favorite in this series which shows how these teams have gone in opposite directions. Only one Army-Navy game in the last seven years has been decided by more than a touchdown and that was with a lot of bad Army teams on the field so now that a bad Navy team will be taking the field, one should not shy away from the Midshipmen as the rivalry takes precedence. While the Navy defense has been gashed this season, Army has not been much better as the Midshipmen are allowing 6.7 yppl but Army is not far behind, allowing 5.9 yppl. With the defenses giving up chunk yards, that makes the underdog always a threat. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points in the second half of the season that are averaging between 21-28 ppg going up against teams averaging between 28-34 ppg, after scoring three points or less in the first half last game. This situation is 54-20 ATS (73 percent) since 1992. 10* (103) Navy Midshipmen

This is a play on the GEORGIA BULLDOGS for our SEC Championship Winner. There has never been a more dominant regular season in the history of college football as Alabama is the first team since 1888 to win all of its games by at least 20 points which makes the Tide very enticing to bettors laying less than two touchdowns. However, this is easily their biggest test of the season. Jake Fromm is 23-3 as a starter and his completion percentage of 69.1 percent is on pace to set a school record (67.9 Hunter Mason in 2014). He's 161-for-233 for 2,236 yards, with 24 touchdowns and five interceptions for a season passer rating of 179.4. Georgia seemed to find its niche after losing at LSU 36-16 as the running game has been potent. Sophomore running back D'Andre Swift has topped 100 rushing yards in four of the last five games, and along with Elijah Holyfield hoping to match Nick Chubb and Sony Michel as the Bulldogs' second 1,000-yard tandem in as many years. This presents a problem as Alabama went 0-5 ATS last season against teams that averaged more than 200 rushing ypg, and it is 1-3 ATS when facing such teams this season. The Georgia defense is the second best stop unit that the Tide will face as they were held to 24 points against Mississippi St. Both the Alabama offense and defense have been outstanding and there is no reason to get into that. Here, we play on neutral field underdogs that are averaging 225 or more rushing ypg after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in four straight games. This situation is 23-3 ATS (88.5 percent) since 1992. 10* (315) Georgia Bulldogs

This is a play on the CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS for our CFB Game of the Week. The Bears are coming off a 33-21 win over Colorado and have won four of their past five games led by a defense that allowed 42.6 ppg just two years ago under Sonny Dykes but are allowing half of that this season including just 14.2 ppg over their last five games. The Bears lead the PAC 12 with 17 interceptions and rank among the nation’s top 20 in fewest passing yards allowed, pass efficiency defense and total defense. This is no fluke as head coach Justin Wilcox is a defensive genius and defensive coordinator Tim DeRuyter is very sharp as well. Stanford started the season 4-0 but has lost four of its last seven games and while it has won its last two games, those came against 2-10 Oregon St. and 3-9 UCLA. The offense has been pretty solid despite the injuries and struggles of running back Bryce Love but the Cardinal are going to struggle against this surging defense. Stanford has had a dominant defense in recent years, but the Cardinal ranks ninth in the PAC 12 in total defense this season.as they are having a very down year which can help the Bears which have not met expectations. The last time California beat Stanford was 2009, which finished off a run of seven wins in eight years against Stanford and this is the best opportunity to end that. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival going up against an opponent after a road game where both teams score 31 points or more. This situation 52-18 ATS (74.3 percent) since 1992. 10* (334) California Golden Bears

This is a play on the BUFFALO BULLS for our MAC Championship Winner. Both defenses are pretty much even as they are two of the best stop units in the conference and the difference in this game will be the Buffalo offense. The Bulls are averaging over 100 more ypg than Northern Illinois while averaging over two touchdowns more on the scoreboard. The problem for the Huskies defense here is the Buffalo balance as it averages 200.8 ypg on the ground and 219.1 ypg through the air. Quarterback Tyree Jackson earned MAC Offensive Player of the Year honors after throwing for 2,605 yards and 25 touchdowns this season. Jackson also has seven rushing scores over 41 carries in 2018. One factor some will look at is experience as for the for the Huskies, they have won the West Division seven of the last nine years and are making their eighth appearance in the title game (the most of any team in the MAC). Meanwhile, Buffalo is here for just the second time but these experience gaps mean little. Two situations are in play. First, we play against underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after having lost two out of their last three games going up against an opponent after having won four out of their last five games. This situation is 49-22 ATS (69 percent) over the last five seasons. Second, we play on teams in the second half of the season averaging 34 or more ppg going up against teams allowing between 16-21 ppg, after leading in their previous game by 24 or more points at the half. This situation is 64-27 ATS (70.3 percent) since 1992. 10* (304) Buffalo Bulls

This is a play on the BYU COUGARS as part of our CFB Saturday Ultimate Trifecta. The Holy War has been dominated by Utah s it has won seven straight meetings in the series but it has not been dominating as of those seven wins, six have come by a touchdown or less. That makes this line very intriguing and even more so considering the Utes are starting freshman Jason Shelley at quarterback. It is hard to ignore the fact that he is just 33-65 (50.7 percent) since taking over. BYU has won two straight games to become bowl eligible and it is currently playing its best football, having outgained each of its last five opponents. Three of the five losses have been by five points or less and going back, the Cougars are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games. Here, we play on underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points off a home win by 17 points or more going up against an opponent off a double digit road win. This situation is 37-14 ATS (72.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (183) BYU Cougars

This is a play on the USC TROJANS as part of our CFB Saturday Ultimate Trifecta. There is lot at stake for both teams Saturday as Notre Dame needs to win in order to remain undefeated and cement its shot in the top four of the CFP while USC needs a win to become bowl eligible. The Trojans have lost four of their last five games with two of those coming at home but those two losses were decided by a combined four points. This is the biggest number USC has seen in this series since 1996. The Irish were impressive last week against a Syracuse team many though had a chance for the upset but it was not even close. Notre Dame has stifles opponents early as it has jumped on teams in each half, outscoring opponents 112-23 in the first quarter and 93-45 in the third quarter, which is what USC has to avoid. Here, we play against road favorites in the second half of the season averaging 5.6 to 6.2 yppl going up against teams allowing 4.8 to 5.6 yppl, after gaining 450 or more total yards in two consecutive games. This situation is 25-6 ATS (80.6 percent) since 1992. 10* (226) USC Trojans

This is a play on the SOUTH FLORIDA BULLS for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. It is no secret what is at stake for Central Florida which has won 23 straight games and is looking to stake its claim for a spot in the CFP. The Knights are coming off three straight home games so hitting the road for the first time in a month is a challenge. South Florida opened the season 7-0 but has lost four straight games, three of those coming on the road. The lone home loss was against Tulane where the Bulls were outgained by just two yards, won the first down battle 27-17 but turnovers and penalties did them in. Here, we play against road favorites of 10.5 to 21 points with a winning percentage of .800 or better off three straight wins against conference rivals, playing a team with a winning percentage between .600 and .800. This situation is 31-10 ATS (75.6 percent) since 1992. 10* (134) South Florida Bulls

This is a play on the VIRGINIA TECH HOKIES for our CFB Friday Enforcer. After opening the season 4-0, the Hokies have dropped four straight games, all by double-digits, so there is a lot on the line here and next week. Virginia Tech has not missed the postseason since 1992 but can keep that streak alive with a win here and a victory in the makeup game against Marshall next week. Virginia is already bowl eligible at 7-4 but we are not sure it is this much better than the Hokies as this is a very aggressive line with the Cavaliers being favored for only the second time in this series in the last 14 years. Here, we play on teams after five or more consecutive losses against the spread going up against an opponent after one or more consecutive wins against the spread. This situation is 39-12 ATS (76 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (140) Virginia Tech Hokies

This is a play on the MISSISSIPPI REBELS for our CFB Thanksgiving Enforcer. The Rebels come into this year's Egg Bowl on a four-game losing streak and has failed to cover their last five games while going 0-7 ATS against conference opponents and they should br chomping at the bit after a touchdown reversal and losing in overtime to Vanderbilt last week. They lost despite outgaining the Commodores by 191 total yards and at 5-6, this is a must win to become bowl eligible. A lot of time in rivalry games, records can to be tossed out the window and that should be the case here with everything on the line. The environment of senior night should also galvanize the Rebel players. Mississippi St. is coming off a blowout victory against Arkansas as it bounced back from a loss to Alabama. While the defense has been the strength of the team all season, the Bulldogs offense as been up and down as they have scored seven points or less in four of their conference games. On the other side, the defense should be tested by Mississippi quarterback Jordan Ta'amu, who ranks second in the FBS with 3,831 passing yards. A.J. Brown is his favorite target and ranks fifth in the nations with 81 receptions, 1,259 yards and six touchdowns. The Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games and they are part of a negative contrarian situation as we play on teams after five or more consecutive losses against the spread going up against an opponent after one or more consecutive wins against the spread. This situation is 39-11 ATS (78 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (114) Mississippi Rebels

This is a play on the MIAMI OHIO REDHAWKS for our CFB Tuesday Enforcer. We won with Miami Ohio last week and we are backing the RedHawks again this week as they look to win their third straight game and become bowl eligible. Miami has won four of its last six games to improve to 5-2 in the MAC with one of those losses coming by a single point against Western Michigan. While the offense entered last week on a roll, it was the defense that got it done against the Huskies and we expect the defense the bring it again tonight. Ball St. defeated Western Michigan last week in what was its bowl game as the Cardinals have already been handed seven losses and coming off its last home game of the season should provide a letdown Tuesday. The Cardinals have just one road win on the season and that came by a single point against 1-10 Central Michigan. Ball St. is 1-8 ATS in its last nine games after being outgained by 125 or more total yards last game with the losses coming by an average of over 25 ppg. Meanwhile, Miami has covered four straight games following a win and it falls into a solid situation where we play against road underdogs coming off a win over a conference rival as an underdog of six or more points going up against an opponent off a road win against a conference rival. This situation is 73-35 ATS (67.6 percent) since 1992. 10* (104) Miami Ohio RedHawks

This is a play on the ARIZONA WILDCATS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. Arizona has been all over the map this season but it is still in the hunt in the PAC 12 South as it is 4-3 and trails Utah by just a half-game. The Wildcats head to Pullman riding a two-game winning streak and they have put together their best three-game stretch of the season as they have outgained their last three opponents by 438 total yards. Washington St. is looking toward a big bowl game as it has just one loss this season and that was by only three points against USC. The big game is next week however as the Apple Cup will decide PAC 12 North. Arizona falls into a simple yet effective situation where we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after scoring 42 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 44-12 ATS (78.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (377) Arizona Wildcats

This is a play on the CINCINNATI BEARCATS for our AAC Game of the Year. First place in the AAC East and a possible trip to the championship game is on the line as the Bearcats look to hand Central Florida its first loss since 2016. Cincinnati has been outgained only twice and by a total of eight yards. The Knights have been cruising along but they have leaked some oil of late as they have been outgained in three of their last four games. Here, we play against home teams after allowing 225 or more rushing yards in two straight games going up against an opponent after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in two straight games. This situation is 27-3 ATS (90 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (353) Cincinnati Bearcats

This is a play on the MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS for our CFB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. (originally posted incorrectly as Northwestern) With the win over Iowa last week and earlier wins over Wisconsin and Purdue, Northwestern wrapped up the Big Ten West Division making the final two games of the regular season pretty meaningless. The Wildcats are 4-0 on the road but is by far their most vulnerable spot away from home. Minnesota checks in at 5-5 and needs one more win to become bowl eligible and with the rivalry game at Wisconsin next week, this is the best chance. Here, we play against road underdogs off a win over a conference rival as an underdog of six or more points going up against an opponent off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival. This situation is 35-12 ATS (74.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (330) Minnesota Golden Gophers

This is a play on the SMU MUSTANGS for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. Many picked SMU to finish last in the AAC West and with three straight losses of 23 points or more, things were looking bleak. Then the Sonny Dykes offense started to click and the Mustangs have won five of their last seven games to become one win away from going to a second straight bowl game. The losses came against 9-0 Central Florida and 9-1 Cincinnati, the latter coming in overtime. It seems as though SMU continues to get no respect as it is a home underdog for the fifth time in five home games against FBS teams and in this particular matchup, they are just one game behind Memphis overall but are one game better in the division so a win here and next week against 2-8 Tulsa sends them to the C-USA Championship. Memphis has won two straight games to move back over .500 but it has been a disappointing season for the most part as the Tigers were expected to win the C-USA West. The Tigers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game and we have two positive situations on our side. First, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points in the second half of the season that are averaging between 390 to 440 ypg going up against a defense allowing between 390 to 440 ypg, after allowing 475 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 28-6 ATS (82.4 percent since 1992. Second, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after scoring 42 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 44-12 ATS (78.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (316) SMU Mustangs

This is a play on the NORTH TEXAS MEAN GREEN for our CFB Thursday Supreme Annihilator. North Texas has some unfinished business to tend to tonight and laying a short price should come with an easy cover. The Mean Green played Florida Atlantic twice last season, once in the regular season and the other in the C-USA Championship and lost both of those by a combined 62 points. Both of those games took place in Boca Raton however and now North Texas has a chance to avenge those games playing on its home field where it is 4-1. This is a sneaky good team that has had some tough breaks as the Mean Green have lost their three games this season by a combined 13 points despite winning the yardage battle in all three of those and overall, they have outyarded every opponent this season. Their +169 scoring differential is second best in the entire conference. Florida Atlantic has had a disappointing season by its standards as it still needs one more victory to become bowl eligible and that will likely come next week at home against Charlotte. The rebuilt offense has been inconsistent from the start and while the defense was supposed to lead the way with 10 returning starters, the Owls have regressed in a big way. All four road losses have been by double-digits and we expect that to continue tonight. 10* (314) North Texas Mean Green

This is a play on the MIAMI OHIO REDHAWKS for our CFB Wednesday Star Attraction. With the season wining down, games become critical for some teams whether it be for bowl implications or championship game berths and that is the case here for Wednesday. From a motivational standpoint, there is no advantage either way as Miami needs to win its final two games to become bowl eligible and Northern Illinois needs to win to take home the MAC West and secure a trip to the MAC Championship. While the Huskies possess defense, this will be one of the better offenses they have seen. While Miami averages just 28.2 ppg, that was due to a slow start as over their last seven games, the RedHawks are averaging 35.9 ppg. They have gone 4-3 over this stretch and could feasibly already be bowl eligible as two of those losses came by just one point, including one in overtime. Northern Illinois has picked up its game after a 1-3 start as it has won six straight games and while we played on the Huskies a week ago, circumstances are much different. Four of those wins were by a single possession and in those six games, the Huskies were outgained in three of those. Overall, the strength of schedule is pretty much the same for both sides and they are both nearly dead even in scoring differential making this line overinflated but the public is still overwhelmingly on the home side. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 in the second half of the season in a game involving two teams averaging between 3.5 to 4.3 ypc. This situation is 56-23 ATS (70.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (305) Miami Ohio RedHawks

This is a play on the WESTERN MICHIGAN BRONCOS for our CFB Tuesday Star Attraction. After a 4-0 start in the MAC, including three wins on the road, Western Michigan has dropped its last two games and neither of which were close as it fell by 27 and 45 points. The Broncos are now two games behind Northern Illinois in the MAC West and they can still compete in the MAC Championship if they win out as they play the Huskies next week and hope Northern Illinois loses tomorrow against Miami. Those games ended an overall six-game winning streak as well as a six-game string of winning the total yardage. In this particular matchup, the Broncos own all three yppl advantages and they have a chance to get the high-powered offenses back in gear after being stalled the last two games. Western Michigan is 8-0 ATS in its last eight road games off two straight losses to conference rivals, allowing 31 points or more. Ball St. lost its last game which was Halloween night and that eliminated the Cardinals from a chance at a bowl game as they fell to 3-7. They won their first game of the season against Central Connecticut St. from the FCS and the two conference wins came against 2-8 Kent St. and 1-10 Central Michigan. Ball St. is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 home games against teams averaging 6.25 or more yppl while going 0-7 ATS in its last seven games after scoring seven points or less in the first half in two straight games. Additionally, we play on road teams off a loss by 21 points or more to a conference rival, with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 on the season. This situation is 64-28 ATS (69.6 percent) since 1992. 10* (301) Western Michigan Broncos

This is a play on the BOSTON COLLEGE EAGLES for our ACC Game of the Month. This is arguably the final real test for Clemson with this being the final road game of the season as the Tigers close with home games against Duke and South Carolina. Clearly Clemson is clearly one of the top team in college football and look to be peaking at the right time with four straight blowout wins but those came against some very weak defenses. While the Tigers defense has also played exceptional, they will be challenged by Boston College which possesses great balance on offense. The Eagles are led by running back AJ Dillon who leads the ACC with 128.1 rushing ypg and while he opened the week as questionable with an ankle injury, he has been upgraded to probable. Quarterback Anthony Brown is fourth in the ACC with a 141.4 passer rating so Clemson cannot load the box. On the other side, Boston College is ranked No. 24 in the nation, allowing just 4.83 yppl and has been playing its best football of late with three straight victories in which it has allowed no more than 21 points. Here, we play on home underdogs of 14.5 or more points coming off two straight wins against conference rivals, with a winning record on the season. This situation is 24-3 ATS (88.9 percent) since 1992. 10* (122) Boston College Eagles

This is a play on the BYU COUGARS for our CFB Saturday Afternoon Dominator. BYU and Massachusetts are both still alive for bowl berths but neither can make a mistake. While the Cougars can still lose one of their final three games, the season finale is at Utah so that is likely the game that goes down which makes this one extremely important. BYU has lost its last two games against Northern Illinois and Boise St. by a combined six points and it won the yardage battle in both of those. The Cougars would like some payback as well after losing to the Minutemen last season 16-10 in their home finale. Massachusetts has kept its hopes alive with two straight win and it cannot afford another loss as it needs to win its final two games. Considering the Minutemen are at Georgia week, that is not going to happen. The two recent wins were not impressive as they came against Liberty and Connecticut, two of the three worse defenses in the nation. Prior to that, the Minutemen were outgained in their other seven games against FBS competition. Massachusetts will be facing much stiffer competition here as the Cougars are allowing just 334.1 ypg on defense and only 5.1 yppl. Here, we play on favorites of 10.5 to 21 points after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses, with a winning percentage of between .400 and .499 on the season. This situation is 24-4 ATS (85.7 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (127) BYU Cougars

This is a play on the BOISE ST. BRONCOS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. This could very well be a preview of the MWC Championship which would be the second straight season Boise St. and Fresno St. would meet for the title. In order for that to occur, this is a must win for the Broncos as they would fall two games behind Utah St. with a loss (the Aggies play San Jose St. this week as a 31-point favorite) while Fresno St. has some wiggle room as it faces San Diego St. next week which will determine the champion. Boise St. has won four straight games and is 3-1 at home to move to 111-8 since 2000. The Broncos have not been a true home underdog since 2001 and you know they have heard that and will be playing with a chip on their shoulder. Fresno St. has been humming along with seven straight wins led by one of the best defenses around. The numbers speak for themselves as Fresno St. has allowed just 36 points in five conference games and it is now ranked No. 2 in the country in scoring defense (12.3 ppg), No. 2 in red zone defense (56.3 percent) and No. 2 in interceptions (15). This is skewed however as those five games came against teams that are a combined 9-18 in the conference. There is one area of concern as the offensive line is hurting with one tackle out and another tackle questionable for Friday. The Bulldogs have covered every game during their winning streak and that is playing into this line for sure. Here, we play against teams with a winning percentage of .800 or better after beating the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games, playing a team with a winning percentage between .600 and .800. This situation is 36-11 (76.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (114) Boise St. Broncos

This is a play on the NC STATE WOLFPACK for our CFB Thursday Enforcer. Wake Forest needs to win two of their final three games to become bowl eligible for a third straight season under head coach Dave Clawson. At this point, that seems unlikely. The Demon Deacons are 4-5 and things are not looking good after losing quarterback Sam Hartman for the season against Syracuse on Saturday. Former starter Kendall Hinton, who was moved to the slot, or Jamie Newman will get the start so the offense is going to be taking a step back. The Wolfpack are ranked No. 38 in the country in total defense, and that would be even better if NC State did not already get rolled over by the high-powered offenses of Clemson and Syracuse and Wake Forest is not in that category. While the Wolfpack are already bowl eligible, there is a greater goal as winning out would get them to 10 wins and a high profile bowl game and this would be just the second time in school history where they would have double-digits wins. The last four games are all against losing teams. NC State senior quarterback Ryan Finley enters Thursday night leading the ACC in passing yards, completion percentage and yards per attempt. He has thrown for 2,490 yards, 16 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions on 8.53 ypa on the season. This is not good news for the Demon Deacons as they are ranked 12th in the ACC in passing defense as they are giving up 272.6 ypg which is good for No. 115 in the nation. Not only are the Demon Deacons allowing a lot of yards, but they have also given up 20 passing touchdowns and have picked off opposing quarterbacks only three times. NC State is 7-0 ATS in its last seven games against passing defenses allowing 250 or more ypg while the Demon Deacons are 0-6 ATS in their last six games against teams with a winning record. 10* (110) NC State Wolfpack

This is a play on the NORTHERN ILLINOIS HUSKIES for our CFB Wednesday Star Attraction. It was a 1-3 start for Northern Illinois but the Huskies have caught fire by winning their last five games and are in great shape to make it back to the MAC Championship after a two-year absence. Four of those wins have come on the road where they have played six games compared to just three at home. The offense has picked it up after a very slow start where Northern Illinois failed to reach 300 total yards in the first four games and have since averaged 362.8 ypg over their last five games. Payback will be in order as well as the Huskies have lost to Toledo the last two years after winning six straight meetings. Going back, Northern Illinois is 7-0 ATS in its last seven games after outrushing its last opponent by 150 or more yards. Toledo is still in the hunt in the MAC West as a win here would put it a game back with two games left following consecutive wins but the Rockets have struggled on the road with a 1-2 record and they are getting a shorter than anticipated number. While they do possess a winning record, the Rockets have been outgained in six of eight games by FBS opponents and it has not been close as they are getting outyarded by an average of 59.5 ypg. The problem is the defense as Toledo is allowing 450.7 ypg which is No. 109 in the country. The Rockets are getting gashed through the air, giving up 279.4 ypg which is No. 118 and while the rushing defense is better, it is still not good. The Rockets are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a win and Northern Illinois falls into a positive situation where we play on teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .800 where the line is +3 to -3 off a double digit road win, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 26-7 (78.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (106) Northern Illinois Huskies

This is a play on the HAWAII WARRIORS for our MWC Game of the Year. Hawaii opened the season 6-1 but has since lost its last three games and none of those were close. This is still a very solid team that was not supposed to do much this season but the defense was a big letdown to end October. The offense is still sizzling as sophomore quarterback Cole McDonald has arcade-game-like stats with 2,832 yards, 62.4 percent completion percentage, 30 passing touchdowns and just four interceptions. The offense was on a roll until quarterback McDonald was injured and missed the 17-13 home victory over Wyoming on Oct. 6. He returned the following week against BYU, but the Warriors have struggled a bit offensively ever since but opposing defenses have had something to do with that. Despite the six wins, the Warriors do need one more victory to become bowl eligible since their schedule consists of 13 games. The Aggies possess a potent offense as well as they were held to 24 points in a win over Wyoming and 31 points in a loss against Michigan St. but they have scored at least 42 points in each of their other six games. Most of that scoring output has come at home however as both of the aforementioned games came on the road. Here, we play against road favorites of 10.5 to 21 points with a winning percentage of .800 or better that are coming off three straight wins against conference rivals, playing a team with a winning percentage between .600 and .800. This situation is 31-8 ATS (79.5 percent) since 1992. 10* (424) Hawaii Warriors

This is a play on the EAST CAROLINA PIRATES for our CFB Underdog Game of the Month. The Pirates have lost three straight and are 0-4 in the AAC but the four games have been against the top four teams. East Carolina has outgained all but one opponent this season so it has been playing better than its record indicates which makes this an inflated line based on name and record. The Pirates outgained the two best teams in the AAC Houston and Central Florida, which are a combined 15-1 and 9-0 in the conference but lost those games by 22 and 27 points respectively. The problem was that they lost the turnover battle 4-0 and 5-0 and there is no chance of winning when that happens. East Carolina is worst in the country in turnover margin but it has given it up only 15 times with nine of those coming in the last two games. Memphis was expected to do some damage but it is just 4-4 including a 1-3 record in the conference. The Tigers offense remains explosive but the defense has been all over the place and the Pirates actually possess the better stop unit in this matchup. Memphis is 0-7 ATS in its last seven games after allowing 325 or more passing yards in its last game. Here, we play against road favorites in the second half of the season that are averaging 440 or more ypg going up against a team allowing between 330 to 390 ypg, after allowing 6.25 or more yppl in their previous game. This situation is 40-13 (75.5 percent) since 1992. 10* (344) East Carolina Pirates

This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PANTHERS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. The winner of this game will be in prime position for the ACC Coastal Division and a place in the ACC Championship Game. Virginia has won three games in a row and is ranked for the first time since 2011 so there is certainly some pressure to keep it going. The Cavaliers have not been overly dominating however as they are just +36 total net yards in those three victories. The defense has led the way this season as Virginia is ranked No. 21 overall and No. 20 against the run, allowing 113 ypg. That is a bit skewed based on the number of plays as the Cavalier are ranked just No. 50 in yppl allowed and No. 51 in ypc allowed. Against Duke, the Panthers literally ran to victory, amassing 484 yards on the ground. The rushing total marked their highest since the Tony Dorsett era when it had a record 530 vs. Army in 1975. The Panthers got a huge lift against Duke from V'Lique Carter, a freshman who started the season as a defensive back. In his college debut, he carried the ball seven times for 137 yards and touchdown runs of 31 and 16 yards. Pittsburgh has yet to win consecutive games this season as it is 0-3 following a win but the last two wins prior to last week were followed by close losses as the Panthers fell to North Carolina by three points and Notre Dame by five points, both of those coming on the road. The Panthers are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game and they fall into a great situation where we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that are averaging between 5.6 to 6.2 yppl going up against a team allowing between 4.8 to 5.6 yppl, after gaining 6.75 or more yppl in their previous game. This situation is 30-4 ATS (88.2 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (315) Pittsburgh Panthers

This is a play on the TEMPLE OWLS for our AAC Game of the Month. Temple is peaking at the right time as after a 0-2 start, the Owls are 5-1 over their last six games including a 4-0 record in the AAC and first place in the East Division is on the line tonight. The Owls offensive line has been playing at an extremely high level during the recent six-game stretch. Led by redshirt sophomore center Matt Hennessy, who has yet to allow a quarterback pressure, the line has surrendered just eight sacks this season. The defense has been more impressive as the Owls are second in the nation with 45 three-and-outs forced. Overall, they are allowing just 4.2 yppl and 330.5 ypg, which has them fourth and second in the conference respectively. Temple has allowed 2.68 percent of plays against them to go for 20-plus yards, which is first in the country. With 20 consecutive victories, the Knights have the longest active winning streak in the country as you have to go all the way back to the 2016 Cure Bowl to find their most recent loss. Central Florida is just one of four undefeated teams among all FBS schools and it is up to Temple to end that string. Quarterback McKenzie Milton is going to be a gametime decision after missing the last game with an ankle injury but we are expecting him to go in this crucial game for both sides and the line is saying the same thing. Temple is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games against teams averaging 425 or more ypg while going 15-3 ATS two or more consecutive wins against the spread. Additionally, we play on road underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points with a winning percentage between .600 and .800 after having won four out of their last five games, playing a team with a winning record. This situation is 30-8 ATS (78.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (313) Temple Owls

This is a play on the TOLEDO ROCKETS for our CFB Halloween MAC Bloodbath. This is not the typical Toledo team we are accustomed to as the Rockets are 4-4 including a 2-2 record in the MAC but last week could have provided a second half jumpstart. They rolled over Western Michigan to hand the Broncos their first conference loss to remain two games behind Northern Illinois. Toledo quarterback Mitchell Guadagni is questionable for tonight but that is not a concern as after he left last week against Western Michigan, Eli Peters did not miss a beat. Peters kicked the offense into overdrive in the third quarter, driving the Rockets to three quick touchdowns to open up a 44-17 lead that proved too big a hole for the Broncos to climb out of. Ball St. has lost two straight games following a 52-14 blowout at Ohio last week and now the Cardinals are forced to win out to become bowl eligible. The loss against the Bobcats was even more painful as they lost quarterback Riley Neal to a knee injury and he is not going to play tonight. Sophomore Drew Plitt takes over and he has been pretty ineffective in four games this season as well as three starts last year. One of those starts came against Toledo last season and he went 15-34 and just 97 yards passing. Toledo is 23-8 ATS in its last 31 home games after a win by 17 or more points while Ball St. is 0-6 ATS in its last six games after scoring seven points or less in the first half in two straight games. 10* (306) Toledo Rockets