Sports Picks & Predictions

This is a play on the UTAH UTES for our Pac 12 Game of the Year. Utah hosts Oregon in its biggest home game in recent memory in what looks like a preview of the Pac 12 Championship. The Utes are 4-0 at home including three conference wins, all by double-digits, and all three against teams with winning Pac 12 records going a combined 13-5 outside of the Utah losses. The Utes are outgaining opponents by 85.5 ypg at home and they have been dominant here going 18-2 in their last 20 home games. Since Cameron Rising took over as the full-time starter at quarterback, the Utah offense has been much better in every aspect as his 14 touchdowns and just two interceptions has opened up the running game which ranks third in the conference. The Utes are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win. Oregon has won five straight games to improve to 9-1 on the season and the Ducks remain No. 3 in the latest CFP Rankings. Yet they come in as underdogs and the public is on the side of Oregon based on that. The Ducks are ranked No. 32 in total offense and No. 57 in total defense which is nothing special compared to where they are ranked and this is a tough spot in a hostile environment. Oregon did win at Ohio St. in the season opener but that was before the Buckeyes hit their stride and since then, the Ducks have gone 2-1 on the road which includes a three-point win over UCLA and a 10-point win over 3-4 Washington. Taking away the game against 3-7 Colorado and Oregon has not outgained any opponent by more than 70 yards over the last seven games. The Ducks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog. Here, we play on home teams after three or more consecutive wins going up against an opponent after five or more consecutive wins. This situation is 29-7 ATS (80.6 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (372) Utah Utes

This is a play on the WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS for our Big XII Game of the Month. Texas has lost five straight games which is its longest losing streak since 1955 and that includes a loss last week against Kansas, which had not won a Big XII road game since 2008. The losing streak started against Oklahoma where the Longhorns blew a huge lead and they clearly have not recovered. The body language of the Texas players after the loss last Saturday shows that they may be done even though a bowl berth is still on the line by winning out. The defense has been atrocious as Texas has allowed 41 ppg during this losing skid and overall, the Longhorns are ranked No. 106 in total defense and No. 107 in scoring defense. The Longhorns are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. West Virginia is also two wins away from bowl eligibility and despite losses in its last two games against Kansas St. and Oklahoma St., those teams are a combined 16-4 and the Mountaineers are in much better shape. This is the final home game of the season for West Virginia and it will be fired up knowing that this will be last home game against Texas as part of conference action with the Longhorns pending move to the SEC. The offense has struggled over the past two games but West Virginia has the athletes on offense to put up big numbers and run away with this game. The Mountaineers are ranked in the middle of the pack in most Big XII defensive categories and can limit the opposing offense. The Mountaineers are 12-3-2 ATS in their last 17 games as a home favorite. Here, we play against road teams in the second half of the season averaging 34 or more ppg on offense going up against teams allowing between 21 and 28 ppg after a loss by three or less points. This situation is 24-3 ATS (88.9 percent) since 1992. 10* (348) West Virginia Mountaineers

This is a play on the NEVADA WOLF PACK for our CFB Friday Night Lights. Both Air Force and Nevada come into this Friday matchup on the same path as they are 7-3 including 4-2 in the MAC and both are one game out of first place in their respective divisions. The Wolf Pack had a chance to take over first place in the MAC West but lost by two points at San Diego St. last week and they will need to win out and get some help along the way. Both conference losses came by two points and both were on the road where they are 2-3. Nevada is playing its final home game before travelling to Colorado St. next week in the season finale and the Wolf Pack look to end the season 6-0 at home and extend the overall home winning streak to 10 games going back to last season. The Wolf Pack are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss. The Falcons snapped a two-game losing streak with a win at Colorado St. last Saturday. Like Nevada, they have to win out and get some help to take the MWC East Division but with Utah St. facing Wyoming and New Mexico, both of which are 1-5 in the conference, that seems unlikely. Air Force comes in a perfect 4-0 on the road but only one of those has been against a team with a winning record. The Falcons lead the country in rushing, averaging 311.1 ypg but they are ranked No. 51 in third down conversion percentage which has hurt keeping drives alive and the ability to score more than they should. Nevada is one of the top team in third down conversion percentage, allowing just 35.9 percent including 28.3 percent at home. The Falcons are 2-5 ATS against teams with a winning record. Here, we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 coming off one or more consecutive unders, outscoring opponents by 10 or more ppg. This situation is 32-17 ATS (65.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (322) Nevada Wolf Pack

This is a play on the NORTHERN ILLINOIS HUSKIES for our MAC Game of the Year. Northern Illinois improved to 5-1 in the MAC with a one-point win over Ball St. last week and now the West Division is theirs to win. A victory over Buffalo secures the title and a trip to the MAC Championship as they cannot be caught no matter what Ball St. and Central Michigan do down the stretch as the Huskies own both tiebreakers. Northern Illinois has been outrushed in its last two games which are the only two times it has been outrushed against non-Power Five teams. Still, the Huskies are averaging 220.4 ypg on the ground which is No. 15 in the country and face a porous defense when trying to stop the run. Northern Illinois is 3-2 on the road with one loss coming against Michigan and the other coming against 4-2 Kent St. by five points. The Huskies are 11-2-1 ATS in their last 14 road games against teams with a losing home record. There is motivation for Buffalo as it will become bowl eligible if it wins its final two games but there is not a lot of confidence backing the Bulls here. In their four wins, one came against Wagner of the FCS, two other came against Old Dominion and Ohio by one point apiece and the last one came against Akron which is 2-8 on the season including 1-5 in the MAC. The Buffalo defense has been solid at home by allowing only 365.6 ypg but that is a severely skewed average as included is a 97-yard defensive effort in that Wagner game. The Bulls allow 4.6 ypc on the ground in their five home games and 4.8 ypc overall. On offense, they do run the ball well but a lot of that is due to play calling as they average just 4.4 ypc. The Bulls are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a straight up loss. Here, we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 6.25 or more yppl in their previous game going up against an opponent after outgaining opponent by 125 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 73-33 ATS (68.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (309) Northern Illinois Huskies

This is a play on the WESTERN MICHIGAN BRONCOS for our CFB Tuesday Enforcer. Western Michigan snapped a two-game losing streak with a closer than expected win over Akron last Tuesday but they are still unable to win the MAC West because of tiebreakers. If the Broncos win out, including a victory at first place Northern Illinois next week, they will finish 5-3 but there is no chance to surpass them because of upcoming matchups. Against the Zips, Western Michigan rushed for 316 yards on the night, led by Sean Tyler with 16 carries for 147 yards and a touchdown, while adding a receiving score and a 96-yard kick return for a touchdown. Overall, the Broncos are No. 29 in total offense and No. 34 in rushing defense and will face an Eagles defense that is ranked No. 103 and No. 107 in those categories respectively. Western Michigan is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 road games after three or more consecutive losses against the spread. Eastern Michigan entered last week 3-2 in the MAC West and had the possibility to control its own destiny for the title but lost against Ohio and have been mathematically eliminated. The Eagles were outrushed for the fifth time in six games, the one was dead even, and they are losing the rushing battle by an average of 136.2 ypg. Eastern Michigan, while struggling mightily in stopping the run, cannot get it done on offense either as they are ranked No. 109 in rushing offense. The Eagles have lost two straight home games and of the three wins, one came by just one point against Miami while the other two came against St. Francis of the FCS and Texas St. which is 3-7 on the season. Eastern Michigan is 3-16 ATS in its last 19 home games after allowing 7.25 or more yppl in their previous game. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points in the second half of the season averaging 440 or more ypg after gaining 6.75 or more yppl in their previous game going up against teams allowing between 390 and 440 ypg. This situation is 31-9 ATS (77.5 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (301) Western Michigan Broncos

This is a play on the MARSHALL THUNDERING HERD for our C-USA Game of the Year. Marshall is in a tie for first place in the C-USA East Division with Western Kentucky at 4-1 so this is a must win game with Charlotte on deck and then the finale against the Hilltoppers. Marshall has outgained its opponent in eight of nine games this season with the lone exception coming against Appalachian St. where it lost by just one point. The Thundering Hern own the best defense in the conference in terms of scoring as they are allowing 19 ppg which is No. 19 in the nation. The lone conference loss came against Middle Tennessee St. despite winning the yardage battle by 193 total yards. Marshall committed six turnovers including four fumbles, one which was returned 90 yards for a touchdown. The Thundering Herd are 14-5-2 ATS in their last 21 home games against teams with a winning road record. The Blazers are 4-1 in the C-USA West Division with the loss coming against Rice as a 23.5-point favorite and they bounced back with a win over Louisiana Tech last week. The defense has been solid but they have allowed 30 or more points in three of their last five games and while they have two shutouts, one came against Jacksonville St. from the FCS and the other came against 1-8 Southern Mississippi. This will be the toughest test for the defense as Marshall is No. 8 in total offense. UAB is 3-1 on the road but those three wins have come against teams that are a combined 5-22. The Blazers are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play on home teams off two consecutive wins by 10 points or more against conference rivals, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .600 and .800. this situation is 32-9 ATS (78 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (204) Marshall Thundering Herd

This is a play on the WYOMING COWBOYS for our CFB Friday Night Lights Winner. Boise St. is still alive in the MWC Mountain Division after a pair of road wins as it now trails Utah St. by one game for first place. The Broncos have had an up and down season and they are favored by their biggest amount since a September game against UTEP. They are just 1-3 at home which is the most losses in over a decade so the intimidation factor is no longer there. To put it is perspective, Boise St. has lost 13 home games since 2000 and three of them have come this season. Not much has been going good on either side of the ball as the Broncos are No. 81 in total defense and No. 76 in total offense and the running game rankings are even worse at No. 96 and No. 117 respectively. The Broncos are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win. Wyoming had lost four straight games before coming off a big win against Colorado St. last week for its first conference victory. While the Cowboys are just 1-4 in the MWC, they are still in line for a bowl game after coming into the season with a shot at winning the division so they have definitely underachieved but the win over the Rams can build some much needed confidence. The offense gained a season high 477 total yards last week and the defense remains a strength as Wyoming is No. 21 overall and No. 4 against the pass which is the strength of the Boise St. offense so they should be in good shape here. The rushing game on offense will need to keep up its recent success as it is No. 37 in the country. Here, we play on underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points off an upset win by 10 points or more as a home underdog, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 31-8 ATS (79.5 percent) since 1992. 10* (119) Wyoming Cowboys

This is a play on the PITTSBURGH PANTHERS for our CFB Thursday Game of the Month. North Carolina is coming off a win over rival Wake Forest which put an end to the Demon Deacons undefeated season and a situation like that, the home fans stormed the field everyone is still celebrating which makes playing on a short week that much more difficult. The Tar Heels have lost their last three games following a win and two of those losses were against losing teams that are now a combined 6-12 overall and 4-9 in the ACC. The offense has been solid but they have been unable to stop anyone as the defense No. 96 in total yards allowed with 421.4 ypg while giving up 33.4 ppg which is No. 111 in the nation. This is a real problem going into a hostile environment against one of the top offenses in the country. The Tar Heels are 1-9 ATS in their last ten games off a win against a conference rival. Pittsburgh rolled over Duke on Saturday as it reeled off 638 total yards, its fifth game where it put up at least 580 total yards. The Panthers are No. 2 in the country in total offense and No. 1 in scoring offense and over their last six games, they have outgained their opponents by an average of 230.3 ypg. Pittsburgh remains in first place in the ACC Coastal at 4-1, a half-game ahead of Virginia and a game ahead of Miami and North Carolina. Unlike the Tar Heels defense, Pittsburgh actually has a solid unit as it is ranked No. 37 overall and No. 45 in points allowed. Pittsburgh is 20-7 ATS in its last 27 home games off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival. Here, we play against road underdogs in the second half of the season averaging 6.2 or more yppl and after gaining 525 or more total ypg over their last two games going up against teams allowing between 4.8 and 5.6 yppl. This situation is 41-14 ATS (74.5 percent) since 1992. 10* (116) Pittsburgh Panthers

This is a play on the CENTRAL MICHIGAN CHIPPEWAS for our CFB Wednesday Enforcer. Central Michigan picked up a big win at Western Michigan last Wednesday as it won by 12 points as a nine-point underdog which has now put the MAC West totally up for grabs. There are four teams separated by just one game and that includes the Chippewas as they are tied for second place, a game behind Northern Illinois which suffered its first loss of the season last week. Central Michigan is 3-1 at home with that lone defeat coming against the Huskies so another loss basically knocks it out of a chance for the representing the division in the MAC Championship. Central Michigan brings in a solid offense and will square off against one of the worst defenses in the country. The Chippewas are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. We won with Kent St. last week as it defeated Northern Illinois to keep its first place lead in the MAC East. The Golden Flashes improved to 4-0 at home with the victory but now they hit the road where they are 1-4, the one win coming against 2-7 Ohio as they benefitted from a 3-0 turnover advantage, two of which the Bobcats committed inside the Kent St. redzone. The Golden Flashes do have a strong offense with a solid rushing game but they cannot stop anyone on the other side of the ball as they are dead last in total defense, allowing 495.8 ypg and they are second worst in scoring defense, giving up 34.9 ppg. They have allowed 45.5 ppg in two MAC road games. The Golden Flashes are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 road games against teams with a winning home record. 10* (110) Central Michigan Chippewas

This is a play on the LOUISVILLE CARDINALS for our ACC Game of the Year. Clemson is finally coming off its first cover of the season and in unlikely fashion but it got into the ATS win column and now comes in overpriced on the road. The Tigers offense remains a work in progress despite playing eight games as the Tigers are ranked No. 114 in total yards at 330.6 and No. 113 in scoring at 21.3 ppg. Taking away that fumble recovery and overtime scores and Clemson has averaged 17.5 ppg over its last six games on offense. The defense has kept this team respectable but even that unit is down a notch from the previous years although the Tigers have done a good job of keeping points off the board. The Tigers are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win. Louisville is coming off a loss at NC State despite outgaining the Wolfpack and the Cardinals are now 1-3 away from home. They are 3-1 at home with the lone defeat coming against Virginia by a single point on a last minute touchdown. Overall, they are No. 30 in total offense and can get things rolling again at home. The Cardinals are 6-0 ATS in their last six games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game. Here, we play on home teams averaging between 190 and 230 rushing ypg going up against teams allowing between 140 and 190 rushing ypg, after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game. This situation is 23-2 ATS (92 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (330) Louisville Cardinals

This is a play on the BOSTON COLLEGE EAGLES for our CFB Friday Night Lights. After a 4-0 start, Boston College has lost four straight games which has put it at the bottom of the ACC Atlantic Division at 4-0. Three of those losses came on the road while the only home game in that stretch came against 6-2 NC State. The Eagles have an above average defense as they are ranked No. 42 overall and No. 33 in scoring defense and will be facing a very inconsistent offense. They are No. 14 in the nation in third down defense, and third in the ACC behind NC State and Pittsburgh. Additionally, Boston College has allowed an ACC-low seven touchdown passes. The Eagles are 7-0 ATS in its last seven home games after gaining 125 or less rushing yards in three straight games. Virginia Tech was on a three-game losing streak and was able to put that to a halt with a win over Georgia Tech this past Saturday to even its record at 4-4. The Hokies are coming off their best offensive game of the season but that came against a Yellow Jackets defense that is ranked No. 105 in the country in yards allowed. They have been outgained in five of eight games and will face a substantially better defense as they hit road for the second straight game on a short week. They have struggled to defend the run as they are ranked No. 12 in the conference with 179.6 ypg allowed. Virginia Tech is 0-8 ATS in its last eight road games after two consecutive game where they committed no turnovers. Here, we play against road team after allowing 5.5 or more rushing ypa in two straight games going up against an opponent after gaining 125 or fewer rushing yards in three straight games. This situation is 31-8 ATS (79.5 percent) since 1992. 10* (316) Boston College Eagles

This is a play on the KENT ST. GOLDEN FLASHES for our CFB Wednesday Game of the Month. Northern Illinois has won five straight games including the last four in the MAC to build a two-game lead in the MAC West Division. The Huskies have covered four of those five games and in the four MAC games, they have been outgained overall with all four being decided by one possession including two by a combined three points. Five of the Huskies eight games have been decided by a touchdown or less and Northern Illinois won the Georgia Tech, Toledo and Central Michigan games by scoring in the last minute of play. Northern Illinois leans on its strong rushing attack as it is averaging 232.8 ypg which is No. 10 in the country and while that would normally be a big edge, Kent St. is not far behind. Northern Illinois is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 road games after a road game where both teams scored 31 points or more. The Golden Flashes average 220.1 ypg on the ground which is No. 17 in the country and should feast on the Huskies defense. They are one of the youngest units in the nation with 10 second year freshmen and three true freshmen playing key roles across every level. Kent St. has won three of its last four games to sit in a first place tie with Miami Ohio in the MAC East Division. The Golden Flashes are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Play on home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off a win against a conference rival going up against an opponent off three straight wins against conference rivals. This situation is 84-42 ATS (66.7 percent) since 1992. 10* (308) Kent St. Golden Flashes

This is a play on the TOLEDO ROCKETS for our CFB Tuesday Enforcer. Toledo is coming off an upset win over Western Michigan to move into a tie for second Place in the MAC West, two games behind 4-0 Northern Illinois. Catching the Huskies is unlikely as they lost the meeting but getting bowl eligible is the goal now and they are two wins away. The 4-4 record could be a lot better as three of those losses came by three, two and three points against Notre Dame, Northern Illinois and Central Michigan respectively and those three teams are a combined 17-7. The strength for the Rockets is their defense as they are No. 25 overall and No. 15 in scoring. Toledo is 25-11 ATS in its last 36 home games after a win by 17 or more points. Eastern Michigan is ranked fifth in the MAC and No. 79 in the country in total defense, allowing 393.3 ypg. The Eagles have been good against the pass but their rushing defense has been horrible as they allow 184.1 ypg which is No. 101 in the nation and they allowed 17 rushing touchdowns which is near the botto4 across all teams. The offense has been below average as they are No. 90 in total offense and No. 109 in rushing offense. Eastern Michigan is dead even in turnover margin at 10-10 while Toledo is 11-4 and that +7 differential is tied for No. 11 in the country. The Eagles are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points in conference games, off an upset win by 14 or more points as a home underdog. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent) since 1992. 10* (302) Toledo Rockets

This is a play on the OKLAHOMA SOONERS for our Big XII Game of the Year. This might be considered a steep number but Oklahoma should come out with a huge sense of urgency. The Sooners defeated Kansas last week and they clearly did not show up as they trailed 10-0 at halftime and while they rallied to win by 12 points, it was their worst game of the season. The Sooners dropped in the ranking because of their uneven effort and with games against Baylor, Iowa St. and Oklahoma St, all of which are ranked and are right behind the Sooners in the Big XII, this is a big game to get right. The Sooners are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. The Red Raiders have dropped three of their last five games, including a 25-24 home loss to Kansas St. last week where they were held scoreless after halftime. That led to a change on the sideline as Sonny Cumbie was named the Red Raiders interim coach Monday after Matt Wells was fired in the middle of his third season at the helm. Texas Tech has won two road games on the season but those came against West Virginia and Kansas which are a combined 1-7 in the conference. The Red Raiders are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Here, we play against road teams averaging 34 or more ppg after a loss by three or fewer points going up against teams allowing between 21 and 28 in the second half of the season. This situation is 23-3 ATS (88.5 percent) since 1992. 10* (188) Oklahoma Sooners

This is a play on the TULSA GOLDEN HURRICANE for our CFB Friday Night Lights. Tulsa opened the season 0-3 including a questionable loss against Cal Davis in its first game but the other two losses came against Ohio St. and Oklahoma St., both on the road, and the Golden Hurricane were outgained by just seven yards against Ohio St. and actually outgained Oklahoma St. by 34 yards. They have won three of their last four games and while the last victory was by just a point over South Florida, they outgained the Bulls by 267 total yards but three turnovers kept it close as South Florida returned an interception for a touchdown and on top of that, returned a kickoff 100 yards for another score. Going back, the Golden Hurricane are 16-2 ATS in their last 18 games after a game where they committed three or more turnovers. Coming off a bye, they will be fresh and ready to go. Navy is coming off one of its best games of the season as it left it all on the field in a tough seven-point loss against No. 2 Cincinnati. Obviously this was its biggest game of the season and that will be tough to recover from and now the Midshipmen have to travel a good distance for just their third road game of the season. The Midshipmen are 0-4 ATS in their last four games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play against road underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points averaging between 16 and 21 ppg going up against teams allowing between 28 and 34 ppg. This situation is 32-9 ATS (78 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (114) Tulsa Golden Hurricane

This is a play on the TROY TROJANS for our CFB Thursday Game of the Month. Troy is 4-3 this season following a pair of close wins in its last two games. The Trojans are coming off a bye week which is a huge edge here to prepare for this big game against a team playing on a short week and they come into this game part of a four-way tie for first place in the Sun Belt East Division. The first loss came against Liberty by eight points, the second came against ULM but turnovers did them in as they outgained the Warhawks and the third came against South Carolina from the SEC. On the season, it has been favored five times and the two times it has been an underdog, it was by single digits so we are not only playing the situation, but the number as well. Coastal Carolina is coming off its first loss of the season as it went down at Appalachian St by a field goal but the game was not that close as it was outgained by 229 yards and was able to keep it close thanks to four Mountaineers turnovers. The Chanticleers will come out to avenge that loss last week and while the offense is potent, they will be facing the No. 7 ranked defense in the country and that will be a big part for Troy in covering this big number. Coastal Carolina and Troy have played the No. 143 and No. 140 ranked schedules respectively. Here, we play against favorites of 10.5 to 21 points in a game involving two teams allowing between 16 and 21 ppg, after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in two straight games. This situation is 39-14 ATS (73.6 percent) since 1992. 10* (109) Troy Trojans

This is a play on the AIR FORCE FALCONS for our MWC Game of the Year. This is definitely the game of the week in the Mountain West Conference as 6-0 San Diego St. travels to Colorado Springs to take on 6-1 Air Force. The Falcons have won and covered four straight games, following its lone loss of the season, a 49-45 defeat against Utah St. Air Force brings in the top ranked rushing offense in the nation, averaging 336.4 ypg and this triple option is a tough offense to defend. The Saturday 24-17 victory over Boise St. on the Blue Turf made the Falcons the winningest team in the Mountain Division, where Colorado St. and Utah St. are the only other teams with winning conference records. The Falcons are averaging 37 minutes in time of possession, second only to Army. The Falcons are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 home games against teams with a winning road record. San Diego St. remained unblemished but got a scare against San Jose St. last week as it won in overtime and was actually outgained by 105 total yards, the third time in six games it has been outgained. The Aztecs have the best defense in the country against the run so something will have to give. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off an upset win as a road underdog going up against an opponent off a road win. This situation is 41-16 ATS (71.9 percent) since 1992. 10* (406) Air Force Falcons

This is a play on the UCF KNIGHTS for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. Memphis snapped a three-game losing streak with an 18-point win over Navy this past Saturday to move back over .500 on the season. The Tigers are just 1-2 on the road compared to 3-1 at home and they are now catching a pissed off team Friday night. This is a solid team on offense but the one thing that they do not do is utilize the legs of its quarterback which has hurt a few times this season for the UCF defense as it has struggled against mobile quarterbacks. The focus is now the big play receivers. The Tigers are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog. UCF is coming off a blowout loss at Cincinnati on Saturday which was its third loss in four games and the Knights have now failed to cover four straight games. They are 3-0 at home which includes an impressive win over Boise St at the start of the season. The Knights are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Here, we play against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 with a turnover defense forcing one or fewer tpg, after four consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. This situation is 30-8 ATS (78.9 percent) since 1992. 10* (320) UCF Knights

This is a play on the CHARLOTTE 49ERS for our CFB Thursday Enforcer. Charlotte is off to a 4-2 start halfway through the season and after a winning season and a bowl game in 2019, the 49ers went just 2-4 last season, the third fewest games in the conference because of cancellations. Charlotte is 3-0 at home which includes a season opening win over Duke and while the Blue Devils are not a good team, they are still from a Power Five conference so it is still an impressive victory. This year, the 49ers have covered each of their two games as underdogs of 5.5 points or more. Florida Atlantic is 3-3 following a blowout loss against UAB and the home team has won all six games the Owls have played. The defense has been up and down and has allowed 27.7 ppg over their last three games. While Florida Atlantic brings in the most experienced team in C-USA, it has no Preseason First Team players and while it has three Second Team C-USA players, that is the same as Charlotte. Here, we play against road teams off a road loss against a conference rival going against an opponent off a double digit road win. This situation is 41-11 ATS (78.8 percent) over the last five seasons. The 49ers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a home underdog. 10* (316) Charlotte 49ers

This is a play on the APPALACHIAN ST. MOUNTAINEERS for our CFB Wednesday Game of the Month. Appalachian St. got boat raced by Louisiana last Tuesday, losing 41-13 while getting outgained in the process by 244 total yards. Unfortunately, we were on the wrong side of that one but even though the opposition is better this week, a return home should get things pointed in the right direction. The Mountaineers are 2-0 at home and while they failed to cover those games as favorites, they outgained both opponents and by a total of 406 yards. Obviously, they take a step up in class here but they are getting a good number and they are 7-1 ATS in their last eight. games as an underdog. The Chanticleers are a perfect 6-0 but it might be slightly flawed. Coastal Carolina has rolled in its last three games, outscoring opponents 164-29 but those three opponents are a combined 5-13. The other two wins against FBS competition were against teams with a losing record so they have not been really tested yet. Overall, they have played a schedule ranked No. 159 in the nation. Here, we play against road favorites after gaining 7.25 or more yppl in two consecutive games, with eight or more offensive starters including the quarterback returning. This situation 35-15 ATS (70 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (308) Appalachian St. Mountaineers

This is a play on the UTEP MINERS for our C-USA Game of the Month. UTEP has won and covered three straight games to improve to 5-1 on the season and are now two wins away from bowl eligibility as one of those victories came against Bethune Cookman of the FCS. The Miners finished 3-5 last season and had two close losses and were close to being a .500 team. While not much was expected this season, they are very experienced with every starter back on offense and eight starters back on defense. They are a sizeable home underdog here as many are still not trusting UTEP based on what transpired the prior three years from last season where it went 2-34. UTEP is 16-5 ATS after allowing 125 or less rushing yards in two straight games. Louisiana Tech is coming off a bye week following a solid effort at NC State where it lost by a touchdown. The Bulldogs are expected to contend in the C-USA West Division but we are not sure about laying this number on the road against a very confident team. The Bulldogs are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss. Here, we play against road teams (off a road loss going up against an opponent off a double digit road win. This situation is 52-23 ATS (69.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (206) UTEP Miners

This is a play on the CLEMSON TIGERS for our ACC Game of the Month. Clemson has gotten off to a rough start as it is just 3-2 with two of those wins coming by just six points each. The Tigers have been horrible on offense but the good news is that they are coming off a bye week to try and get things straightened out which they should be able to do with the talent on this roster. Because of the slow start, Clemson is 0-5 against the number but this is a great spot with great value to put an end to that. The Tigers are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games as a road favorite. Syracuse is coming off a brutal loss as it fell to Wake Forest in overtime by three points in overtime. That puts the Orange in a tough spot here not only because of that but because they are on a short week and playing a powerhouse off a bye. They have been competitive but they are getting Clemson at the wrong time. Syracuse has covered four straight games which is also adding to the value in this number. Syracuse is 7-19 ATS in its last 26 games off a loss by seven points or less to a conference rival. Here we play on road favorites with a first half defense allowing 8.0 or less, after a win by six or less points. This situation is 23-4 ATS (85.2 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (115) Clemson Tigers

This is a play on the SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS for our CFB Thursday Enforcer. South Alabama opened the season 3-0 but has dropped its last two games. The Jaguars could easily be 5-0 though as the two losses came by two points each including a loss at Texas St. in overtime this past Saturday. They have outgained their opponent in four of five games including two times of over 100 total yards. Part of the success has been the offensive line where four of five starters returned and overall, they bring back 17 starters to go along with key transfers at quarterback, running back and tight end. The Jaguars are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games following an ATS loss. Georgia Southern is 2-4 halfway through the season and it has covered three straight games which gives some value to South Alabama here. The Eagles are 0-3 on the road while getting outscored by 12.4 ppg and they are averaging just 13.3 ppg on offense. The Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 with a defense forcing one or less tpg, after a game where they committed three or more turnovers. This situation is 49-21 ATS (70 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (112) South Alabama Jaguars

This is a play on the APPALACHIAN ST. MOUNTAINEERS for our CFB Tuesday Game of Month. This could be a preview of the Sun Belt Conference title game as both of these teams are expected to win their respective divisions. Both the Mountaineers and Cajuns come in at 4-1 with both being undefeated within the conference. Appalachian St. is 8-1 SU in its last nine games against Louisiana with the lone loss coming last year at home by three points so revenge is in play here. Louisiana has won four straight games but three of those have been by just one possession including a three-point win over Nichols St of the FCS and the one blowout came against 1-5 Ohio. Looking at the overall numbers, the Cajuns have been below average on both sides of the ball as they are ranked No. 85 in total defense and No. 70 in total offense. Conversely, the Mountaineers are ranked slightly better on defense at No. 59 but are significantly better on offense, ranked No. 17, averaging 481.4 ypg. Here, we play against home underdogs with a turnover defense forcing one or less tpg, after five consecutive games where they forced one or less turnovers. This situation is 30-9 ATS (76.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (107) Appalachian St. Mountaineers

This is a play of LSU TIGERS for our SEC Game of the Year. LSU is coming off a loss against Auburn at home to fall to 3-2 and that loss snapped a three-game winning streak. Scoring is not an issue for the Tigers as LSU is averaging just over 30 ppg this season. Quarterback Max Johnson has thrown four interception to go along with his 16 touchdowns and the Tigers have yet to lose a fumble. LSU is 17-4 in its last 21 games as an underdog following a loss as a favorite. Additionally, the Tigers are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 road games after being outrushed by 125 or more yards. Kentucky is off to a perfect 5-0 start after an upset win over Florida last week as a 7.5-point underdog. While undefeated, Kentucky has a turnover problem. Quarterback Will Levis has thrown six interceptions. Here, we play against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 with a turnover margin of -1.5 tpg or worse on the season, after two consecutive games where they forced one or less turnovers. This situation is 36-11 ATS (76.6 percent) since 1992. 10* (359) LSU Tigers

This is a play on the STANFORD CARDINAL for our Friday Pac 12 Game of the Month. Stanford is coming off an upset win over Oregon last Saturday in overtime to improve to 3-2. Stanford is 3-1 against the spread and 3-1 overall in games when it puts up more than 24 points. The Cardinal average 11.6 more ppg (29.0) than the Sun Devils allow (17.4). The Cardinal are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games against teams with a winning home record. Arizona St. is also coming off an upset win as it defeated UCLA as three-point underdogs to move to 4-1 on the year. The Sun Devils are just 1-2 when favored by 10 points or more. Arizona St. is 3-0 at home but this is a tough spot laying this number coming off that conference win The Sun Devils are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games as a home favorite. Here, we play against home favorites of 10.5 to 21 points off an upset win by 10 or more as a road underdog, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 25-5 ATS (83.3 percent) since 1992. (83.3 percent). 10* ( 311) Stanford Cardinal

This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS for our AAC Game of the Year. We won with Houston last week as it rolled over Tulsa to make it four straight wins and improve to 2-0 in the AAC. While quarterback Clayton Tune is the leader of this team, of the Cougars 21 touchdowns on offense, 12 have come on the ground. Tulane enters Week six in the bottom 20 nationally in yards allowed through the air and on the ground and only seven teams have allowed more total yards per game. The Cougars are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 road games against teams with a losing home record. Tulane has lost three straight games, the last two as a favorite. Quarterback Michael Pratt has tossed four touchdowns and five interceptions so he has been inconsistent and that is a problem against a defense that has allowed 9.25 ppg over its last four games. The Green Wave are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Here, we play on road teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .800after covering the spread in three out of their last four games, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a winning percentage of .250 or worse. This situation is 39-13 ATS (75 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (303) Houston Cougars

This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. Houston is off to a 1-0 AAC start after coming back to take down Navy last Saturday night. One week after injuring his hamstring, Clayton Tune returned to action as the starting quarterback. The Cougars are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 road games against teams with a losing home record. The Golden Hurricane are coming off a win last Saturday to snap a three-game losing streak. Tulsa currently falls nearly the lower end of the spectrum as the 94th ranked pass defense, allowing 247.5 ypg. The Golden Hurricane are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points in a game involving two teams with 1.25 or more turnovers per game forced, after two consecutive games where they forced one or less turnovers. This situation is 47-16 ATS (74.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (105) Houston Cougars

This is a play on the OKLAHOMA SOONERS for our CFB Blowout. We are laying the wood with Oklahoma which is off to a 3-0 start. The Sooners struggled against Tulane and Nebraska but the motivation was probably a reason for that. The motivation will be here now. West Virginia has won two straight games following an opening loss to Maryland. The Mountaineers are 7-17-2 ATS in their last 26 games as an underdog. The Sooners are 5-0 ATS in their last five games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play on favorites of 10.5 to 21 points after one or more consecutive straight up wins, in the first month of the season, after closing out last season strong with three or more straight wins. This situation is 29-9 ATS (76.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (378) Oklahoma Sooners

This is a play on the SYRACUSE ORANGE for our Friday Game of the Week. Liberty is off to a 3-0 straight up and ATS start but the schedule has not been tough. Syracuse is 2-1 and its schedule has been equal. A Friday home game at night is an is an advantage. The Orange are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points in a game involving two passing teams averaging 8.3 ypa, after allowing 5.5 or less passing ypa last game. This situation is 33-10 ATS (76.7 percent)over the last 10 seasons. 10* (310) Syracuse Orange

This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS for our CFB Game of the Week. Houston finished 3-5 last season and is coming off a loss in its opener against Texas Tech. The Cougars are one of the most talented teams in the AAC and they return 18 starters. Rice is coming off a blowout loss to Arkansas which is projected to finish last in the SEC West. The Owls bring back a lot of experience as well but they are pegged to finish last in the C-USA West Division. Here, we play on teams in the first two weeks of the year, bowl team from last season who lost four or more of their last five games, team that had a losing record last season. This situation is 37-13 ATS (74 percent) since 1992. 10* (355) Houston Cougars

This is a play on the LOUISVILLE CARDINALS for our Nonconference Game of the Month. Louisville went just 4-7 last season but four of those losses came by just one possession. The Cardinals officially have 13 starters back but this is a very experienced team. They have 31 players that started at least one game and of those, 17 come on the offensive side of the ball and 14 were on defense. Quarterback Malik Cunningham had career highs last season in both passing and rushing yards and his 293.3 total ypg was good for No. 20 in the country. Mississippi head coach Lane Kiffin will miss this game after testing positive for COVID. This is also a very experienced team but laying this number on a neutral field is too much. Louisville is another live dog. 10* (225) Louisville Cardinals

This is a play on the FLORIDA ST. SEMINOLES for our CFB Sunday Enforcer. Florida St. is coming off a humble 3-6 season and it has not had a winning season since 2017 but things should turn around this season. The Seminoles return 17 starters including 10 on offense. This could be the turnaround season for Mike Norvell. Notre Dame brings back just nine starters overall including just three on offense and very well could be in a tough spot early on. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that allowed 425 or more total ypg last season, with eight or more offensive starters including the quarterback returning, in the first month of the season. This situation is 58-26 ATS (69 percent) since 1992. 10* (224) Florida St. Seminoles

This is a play on the GEORGIA BULLDOGS as part of our Saturday Triple Play. Analysis to follow. 10* (207) Georgia Bulldogs

This is a play on the MICHIGAN ST. SPARTANS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. Michigan St. had a rough season with the first year under Mel Tucker as it went 2-5 with a very young roster. Things will be better this season as the Spartans return 16 starters which is the most in the Big Ten. They were -14 in turnovers and that will not happen this season. Northwestern went 7-2 last season and won the Big Ten West as well as a win in the Citrus Bowl over Auburn. The Wildcats return just eight starters, four each on offense and defense. Here, we play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that had a turnover margin of -1 per game or worse last season. This situation is 54-23 ATS (70.1 percent) since 1992. 10* (153) Michigan St. Spartans

This is a play on the MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS for our Big Ten Game of the Month. Minnesota went 3-4 last season with two of those losses coming in overtime. The Gophers bring back the most experienced team in the country as they return 10 starters on both offense and defense. They have potential to win the Big Ten West with a couple upsets along the way and they will be undervalued. Ohio St. not only has to replace starting quarterback Justin Fields but also five other offensive starters plus six starters on defense. The Buckeyes will have the hangover effect from the 52-24 loss to Alabama in the CFP Championship. Ohio St. will continue to be overvalued on name alone and while they are projected to win the Big Ten, it should take this team some time to gel. Too many points to lay on the road opening night. 10* (146) Minnesota Golden Gophers

This is a play on the TULANE GREEN WAVE for our CFB Tuesday Enforcer. Tulane started slow this season, losing four of its first six games, allowing an average of 35 ppg. The Green Wave, though, has won four of its last five, scoring 35 or more points in each of the four victories. The last two victories for Tulane were over teams that finished with a winning record, over Army and Memphis. The Wolf Pack has not beaten a team this season that currently is over .500. In its 11-game regular season, Tulane rushed on more than 62 percent on its plays and gained 2,408 yards, the eighth-best total in the nation. On the other side, Tulane is also very capable in defending the run (137.4 ypg) and the Green Wave front line also gets after the quarterback as their 37 sacks are third-most nationally. Tulane is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games as a favorite over the last two seasons while the Wolf Pack are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Here, we play against teams where the line is +3 to -3 after allowing 6.25 or more yppl in their previous game going up an against opponent after winning the yardage battle by 125 or more yards in their previous game. This situation is 115-61 ATS (65.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (269) Tulane Green Wave

This is a play on the NOTRE DAME FIGHTING IRISH for our ACC Game of the month. This is a rematch of one of the best game of the season as Notre Dame prevailed 47-40 in double overtime. Clemson will be out for revenge but the Irish will be out to feasibly take the Tigers out of the CFP top four. The Irish dominated the line of scrimmage with a 209-34 rushing yard edge. That was the most rushing yards given up by Clemson in a game since 2016 and the fewest rushing yards gained by the Tigers since 2011. Notre Dame is ranked No. 7 in the country in rushing defense, allowing just 99.7 ypg. In the previous meeting, Clemson was just 4-for-15 on third downs, while Notre Dame was 10-for-19. For the season, Notre Dame leads the ACC with a 52 percent success rate. In the four game stretch surrounding Notre Dame, the Tigers were just 21-58 (36.2 percent). While Trevor Lawrence gets the pub, Notre Dame quarterback Ian Book is the winningest quarterback in Notre Dame history with 30 victories and his numbers are comparable. Here, we play against teams in conference championship games revenging a same season loss against an opponent that has a winning percentage of .900 or better. This situation is 10-4 ATS (71.4 percent) since 1992. 10* (236) Notre Dame Fighting Irish

This is a play on the OREGON DUCKS for our CFB Friday Pac 12 Championship Winner. The Trojans first three opponents of the season, Arizona St., Arizona and Utah, were playing their 2020 openers when the Trojans lined up against them so they had edges facing teams that yet to take the field. USC is coming off a come-from-behind victory over UCLA, its third victory in five games where it had to come back and win in the final seconds. The Trojans will be without their leading rusher, Vavae Malepeai, who sprained his knee late against UCLA. The Ducks were on pace to win the division title until dropping their past two games on the road, 41-38 to Oregon St. and 21-17 to previously winless California. The Ducks finished second in the Pac-12 North Division behind Washington, but a COVID-19 spike in the Huskies program knocked them out of the title game Monday morning, putting Oregon in the championship game. Oregon is confident in the abilities of their own and fired up to show the nation what it can do. The Ducks are 4-0 ATS in their last four games against teams with a winning record while the Trojans are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Here, we play on road underdogs after a game where they forced one or less turnovers going up against an opponent after three consecutive games where they forced three or more turnovers. This situation is 71-31 ATS (69.6 percent) since 1992. 10* (251) Oregon Ducks

This is a play on the FRESNO ST. BULLDOGS for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. Fresno St. has been playing really well as it has won three of its last four games and while it did lose to Nevada last week, the Bulldogs won the yardage battle by 183 total yards. They have outgained their opponents in all four games and by an average of 131.5 ypg. New Mexico snapped a 14-game losing streak with a win over Wyoming last week despite getting outgained. The New Mexico quarterback situation is a mess as its top three quarterbacks Tevaka Tuioti, Trae Hall and Connor Genal are all either out or questionable and the Lobos had to finish with Isaiah Chavez who was fifth on the depth chart coming into the season. The Lobos have spent the rest of the season operating out of Las Vegas. Here, we play on road teams with a winning percentage between .600 and .800 after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, playing a team with a winning percentage of .250 or worse. This situation is 43-13 ATS (76.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (427) Fresno St. Bulldogs

This is a play on the ARMY BLACK KNIGHTS for our CFB Non-Conference Game of the Month. This is the first time this game has not been played on a neutral field since 1943 so that does give Army a small edge as it is 6-0 here this season. This is just the second time the Black Knights have been favored in this series since 2002 and it is nearly not enough of a spread. Army is No. 4 in the country in total defense and No. 8 in scoring defense while coming in at No. 3 in the nation in rushing offense. Navy had not covered in this series since 2013 when it rolled last season but this is a totally different team. The Midshipmen are just 3-6 on the season and their normally potent rushing attack has been bad the last few weeks, averaging just 179 ypg over the last four games. Army has had two weeks to prepare for this one. Here, we play against road underdogs averaging between 4.2 and 4.8 yppl going up against a team with a defense allowing between 4.8 and 5.6 yppl, after gaining 2.75 or less yppl in their previous game. This situation is 28-5 (84.8 percent) since 1992. 10* (434) Army Black Knights

This is a play on the SAN JOSE ST. SPARTANS for our CFB Friday Supreme Annihilator. San Jose St. can secure a perfect regular season and a spot in the Mountain West championship game with a win. Because of COVID-19 restrictions in Santa Clara County, this game has been relocated to Sam Boyd Stadium in Las Vegas but that is no advantage or disadvantage either way as home field has meant nothing in this conference with the lack of spectators. Nevada is still in the hunt as well as it comes in at 6-1 with the lone loss coming against Hawaii by just a field goal. The Wolf Pack are coming off an 11-point win over Fresno St. but were outgained by 183 total yards. It will be strength against strength and we like the defense to prevail. Nevada averages the third-most points per game in the Mountain West (31.3), and San Jose St. allows the third-fewest points per game (17.0). Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 averaging 8.3 or more passing ypa going up against teams allowing between 6.4 and 7.5 passing ypa, after allowing 5.5 or less passing ypa last game. This situation is 32-8 ATS (80 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (310) San Jose St. Spartans

This is a play on the FLORIDA ATLANTIC OWLS for our CFB Thursday Supreme Annihilator. Florida Atlantic lacked the necessary sharpness to push its winning streak to five games in its loss to the Eagles, with the Owls committing a season-high four turnovers against Georgia Southern. They are still in the mix to win the C-USA East Division as the Thundering Herd loss to Rice on Saturday opened the door for the Owls to possibly win the division for a second consecutive season. They need Marshall to lose to Charlotte which is unlikely but the good news is that Florida Atlantic plays first on Thursday so it knows it has to win. This is the final game of the season for the Golden Eagles and they cannot wait for it to be over. They are 2-7 and have played well over their last three games but one of those was against a team from the FCS. Southern Mississippi is on its third head coach of the season and just hired its fourth as Will Hall was named the new permanent head coach and takes over next fall. Here, we play against home underdogs after having lost five or six out of their last seven games going up against an opponent after having won three out of their last four games. This situation is 93-50 ATS (65 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (375) Florida Atlantic Owls

This is a play on the WISCONSIN BADGERS for our Big Ten Game of the Month. Although it has only played three games, Wisconsin is first in the country in total defense, third in rushing defense, fifth in passing defense and third in scoring defense. It is a small sample size but it cannot be understated especially against an Indiana team that just lost its starting quarterback as Michael Penix Jr. is out for the season with a torn ACL. Despite a nearly-even split between run and pass plays, the Hoosiers average just 3.0 ypc and with a new quarterback at the helm, this is a problem. Here, we play on home favorites of 10.5 to 21 points averaging between 390 to 440 ypg going up against a team with allowing between 330 to 390 ypg, after outgaining opponent by 125 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 25-3 ATS (89.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (402) Wisconsin Badgers

This is a play on the APPALACHIAN ST. MOUNTAINEERS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. Appalachian St. lost to Coastal Carolina two weeks ago to remove any chance of a trip to the Sun Belt Championship but it bounded back with a 37-point win over Troy last week. The is the final home game for the Mountaineers and this is a good spot as they enter this matchup with better overall numbers in ppg and ypg. Louisiana has already clinched a berth in the Sun Belt Championship against Coastal Carolina so it may not be going full throttle and not give up a ton of its playbook. The Cajuns are 8-1 with that lone loss coming against Coastal Carolina so this is a big lookahead spot. Here, we play on home favorites that are outgaining opponent by 100 or more ypg going up against teams outgaining opponents by 50-100 ypg, after outgaining opponent by 175 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 29-8 ATS (78.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (328) Appalachian St. Mountaineers

This is a play on the AIR FORCE FALCONS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. Air Force had it game cancelled last Thursday following a 28-0 win over New Mexico the previous week. Air Force averages 5.8 ypc and 336.5 ypg which is first in the country while Utah St. allows 5.1 ypc and 202.8 ypg which is No 101 in the nation. The game represents another difficult challenge for Utah St., which just lost another starter in running back Jaylen Warren after he entered the NCAA Transfer Portal. The Aggies are coming off their first win of the season after opening 0-4. Not only are they dealing with a lot of missing starters, but they also have an interim head coach after Gary Anderson was let go after a 0-3 start. Here, we play on teams averaging 4.8 or more ypc going up against teams averaging between 4.3 and 4.8 ypc, after outrushing opponent by 200 or more yards last game. This situation is 49-21 ATS (70 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (325) Air Force Falcons

This is a play on the TEXAS ST. BOBCATS for our CFB Sun Belt Game of the Year. Coastal Carolina is the first team in Sun Belt Conference history to hold an 8-0 record and the Chanticleers are coming off a huge come-from-behind win over Appalachian St., which was its lone remaining barrier to win out. This presents a big letdown for Coastal Carolina and it is laying an overpriced number on the road. Texas St. is coming off a win over Arkansas St. which snapped a seven-game losing streak and that momentum can come into play for playing spoiler. The Bobcats have covered four straight games as the lines continue to be too high priced. Texas St. is 8-0 ATS in its last eight home games after allowing 575 or more total yards in their previous game. Here, we play on teams in the second half of the season averaging between 28 and 34 ppg going up against teams allowing between 16 and 21, after scoring and allowing 30 pts or more last game. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (226) Texas St. Bobcats

This is a play on the CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS for our CFB Friday Supreme Annihilator. Stanford and host California take winless records into the annual Pac 12 rivalry Friday afternoon in the 128-year history of one of the greatest rivalries in college football. This is the first home game for the Golden Bears after losing at UCLA in their opener and then at Oregon St. despite outgaining the Beavers by 79 total yards. Stanford is also off to a 0-2 start and has now lost six straight games going back to last season as this once top level program has taken a tumble. Stanford has dropped seven straight games against the number while the Golden Bears are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games as an underdog. Here, we play against teams in a game involving two teams being outscored by opponents by 10 or more ppg, after a playing a game where 60 total points or more were scored. This situation is 43-20 ATS (68.3 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (138) California Golden Bears

This is a play on the OKLAHOMA ST. COWBOYS for our Big 12 Game of the Year. Oklahoma St. is off to a 5-1 start and has a great chance at getting revenge from five straight losses in this series. The Cowboys lone loss came against Texas in overtime which never should have happened as they outgained the Longhorns by 243 total yards but were hurt by a -4 turnover margin as well as allowing a 100-yard kickoff return. The Sooners started the season with two losses but have won and covered four straight games and that is playing into this line. Oklahoma leads the Big 12 in passing offense and total offense but Oklahoma St. is second in total defense, scoring defense and passing defense so the Sooners finally have a challenge. Though the series has often favored Oklahoma, the Sooners know that does not matter this year, especially with so much on the line and this is the best Oklahoma St. team they have faced in years but are still a touchdown favorite. The Cowboys are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as a road underdog while the Sooners are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. 9* (401) Oklahoma St. Cowboys

This is a play on the AIR FORCE FALCONS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. Air Force has been off since Halloween as it had to pull out of its past two games, at Army and at Wyoming, for similar reasons because of COVID-19. The Falcons are 1-2 as they have lost two straight games following a season opening rout over Navy. The practice to game ratio, approaching something in the neighborhood of 30 to 1, has tested the patience of everyone. This is a huge motivational advantage and we saw a similar situation with Wisconsin last week. Air Force leads the country in rushing at 330.0 ypg and while the Lobos have a solid rushing defense, this is by far their toughest test to date. New Mexico is 0-3 as they have been scorched on defense, allowing 491.7 ypg which is No. 116 in the country. The Lobos look to be limited on offense once again as junior starting quarterback Tevaka Tuioti has yet to gain clearance after sustaining a concussion against Hawaii on Nov. 7.Air Force is 8-0 ATS in its last eight home games against teams allowing 3.25 or fewer rushing ypc while New Mexico is 1-7 ATS in its last eight games following an ATS win. Here, we play against road teams with a losing record coming off two covers where the team lost as an underdog. This situation is 28-7 ATS (80 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (330) Air Force Falcons

This is a play on the CENTRAL MICHIGAN CHIPPEWAS for our CFB Wednesday Supreme Annihilator. Western Michigan is coming off an improbable win against Toledo as it trailed 38-28 with less than three minutes remaining, scoring a touchdown with 45 seconds left and then recovered the ensuing onside kick and then faked a clock killing spike for the go-ahead score. The Broncos are 2-0 and while the offense is humming, the defense looks to be short-handed as they hope to get starting defensive ends Ali Fayad (calf) and Andre Carter (ankle) back from injuries, but both players are doubtful. The Chippewas have been playing just as well through two weeks as they beat visiting Ohio 30-27 in Week One before crushing Northern Illinois 40-10 on the road last week. Central Michigan has a great running game, averaging 210.5 ypg and with the Broncos ends out, it could have a really big night. Central Michigan is 7-0 ATS in its last seven home games while Western Michigan is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games after one or more consecutive wins against the spread. Here, we play against road teams averaging 34 or more ppg going up against teams allowing between 16 and 21 ppg, after a win by three or less points. This situation is 25-5 ATS (83.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (314) Central Michigan Chippewas

This is a play on the KENT ST. GOLDEN FLASHES for our CFB Tuesday Enforcer. Akron has lost its first two games of the season and has now lost an amazing 19 straight games going back to 2018. The Zips did have a solid effort last time out against Ohio as they actually won the yardage battle but committed three turnovers and that will be an issue going on with a freshman quarterback to go along with four freshmen offensive linemen. They will struggle here as Kent St. leads the MAC with just 173.0 passing ypg allowed and ranks fifth with 160.5 rushing ypg allowed. The Golden Flashes have opened the season 2-0 and have won seven straight games dating back to last season. Kent St. is leading the MAC in total offense, rushing offense, and passing offense, averaging 549.0 ypg to go along with 44.5 ppg. Akron is giving up 7.3 yppl, the second-worst mark in the MAC, and the Zips defense will have its hands full trying to slow down a Golden Flashes offense that can it do on the ground or through the air. Akron is 0-10 ATS in its last 10 games after two or more consecutive straight up losses while Kent St. is 7-0 ATS in its last seven games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in its previous game. Here, we play on home teams after allowing 5.5 or more rushing ypc last game going up against an opponent after allowing 5.5 or more rushing ypc in two straight games. This situation is 61-25 ATS (70.9 percent) since 1992. 10* (302) Kent St. Golden Flashes

This is a play on the TULANE GREEN WAVE for our CFB Saturday Blowout Game of the Year. Army is off to a 6-1 start and became the first team to accept a bowl invitation this season when it reached six victories by defeating Mercer 49-3 on Oct. 24. The Black Knights are scheduled to face a Pac-12 opponent in the Independence Bowl. They have won four straight games but three of those were against FCS teams and the other three victories teams that are a combined 6-17. Tulane has won two straight games to move to 4-4 on the season. With Tulane, its passing defense has been bad but that will not come into play here against a basic run only team. The improved play of the Tulane run defense and especially its defensive line has been important the last two weeks. The Green Wave held Temple to 77 rushing yards on 36 attempts, then limited East Carolina to 35 yards on 29 rushes. Tulane has the No. 3 rushing offense in the AAC, averaging 230.8 ypg. Here, we play on teams in a game involving two teams averaging 4.8 or more ypc, after allowing 40 or less rushing yards last game. This situation is 33-8 ATS (80.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (204) Tulane Green Wave

This is a play on the MINNESOTA GOLDEN GOPHERS for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. We won with Iowa last week but will be going against the Hawkeyes this week as a road chalk. The Iowa defense made life miserable for Michigan St. quarterbacks last week, producing two sacks, three interceptions and five quarterback hurries while forcing the Spartans into 21 incompletions in their blowout victory. Minnesota defeated host Illinois 41-14 on Saturday behind a standout performance from running back Mohamed Ibrahim, who rushed 30 times for 224 yards and four touchdowns. Gophers quarterback Tanner Morgan is 16-6 as a starter and has completed 61.6 percent of his passes this season, completing 45-of-73 passes for 602 yards. The Gophers are second in the Big Ten with 15 touchdowns through three games and they are averaging 36.3 ppg, which ranks fourth in the conference. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in two straight games going up against an opponent after scoring 24 points or more in the first half last game. This situation is 39-13 ATS (75 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (128) Minnesota Golden Gophers

This is a play on the WESTERN MICHIGAN BRONCOS for our CFB Wednesday Enforcer. Western Michigan was able to tune up with a nearly flawless 58-13 performance against Akron. The Broncos run defense might get hit for a big dash or two this week, but overall, the defense is just strong enough to a lot of bending, but not a lot of breaking. Coming into the season, Western Michigan quarterback Kaleb Eleby was targeted to solve all of his Broncos offensive concerns if he is as good as advertised. He did not disappoint in the opener as he went 12-16 for 262 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions. Toledo is coming off an equally impressive performance as it hammered Bowling Green, 38-3, scoring 21 first quarter points and never looking back. The Broncos will have to get off to a fast start against Toledo after the Rockets took a 24-7 halftime lead and held on for a 31-24 win last season in Toledo. The Rockets are 0-6 ATS in their last six games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game while the Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a home favorite. 10* (120) Western Michigan Broncos

This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS for our CFB Saturday AAC Game of the Year. Houston got blasted at UCF last week 44-21 as it was outgained by 247 total yards. That will not instill a lot of confidence on the Cougars but they are in a great spot while catching a huge number. Houston is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games as a double-digit underdog including 8-1 ATS when sitting at .500 or better. After crushing a good SMU team, Cincinnati exacted a measure of revenge against Memphis last Saturday, rolling to a 49-10 victory over the Tigers. Memphis handed the Bearcats a pair of losses last season, including a 29-24 decision in the AAC Championship one week after beating Cincinnati in the season finale. The Bearcats defense is excellent as they are No. 18 overall and No. 8 in scoring defense and this is by far their strength but Houston does possess a solid offense even without receiver Marquez Stevenson. Cincinnati has put together two straight near perfect games so putting up another one is a stretch in what clearly is a letdown situation. 10* (327) Houston Cougars

This is a play on the BOISE ST. BRONCOS for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. BYU comes in with a perfect 7-0 record, winning all but one of its games by double digits. This will be the biggest test to date however even though Boise St. has played just two games. BYU did not practice on Sunday, per its own rules, and by NCAA dictates could not practice on Tuesday so that means BYU had and has three days to get ready. Boise has already disassembled Utah St. and Air Force, taking those victories with the same ease and comfort the Cougars have taken theirs. While Zach Wilson is having a fantastic season as the BYU quarterback, the Boise St. pass defense has been solid so far, allowing just 80.5 ypg which is No. 1 in the country. Boise St. is 7-3 all-time against BYU, including an unblemished 5-0 record on the blue turf at Albertsons Stadium and the Broncos will be playing with revenge following a 28-25 loss at BYU last season as a touchdown favorite. Boise St. is 20-8 ATS in its last 28 home games after scoring 35 points or more in a win over a conference rival while the Cougars are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Here, we play on home underdogs after scoring 42 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 60-27 ATS (69 percent) since 1992. 10* (314) Boise St. Broncos

This is a play on the COLORADO ST. RAMS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. Colorado St. is coming off a 21-point loss despite getting outgained by just 60 total yards. As the teams get ready for the 112th rendition of the Border War, the Rams are deciding between two quarterbacks as coach Steve Addazio said he has already decided on a starter between Patrick O’Brien and Todd Centeio, but it is not being made public and that is a big disadvantage for the Wyoming defense in preparation for this one. Achieving a balance between the two could undoubtedly pay dividends against Wyoming especially given the difficulty of devising a sound multi-quarterback game plan for opposing defenses. Colorado St. will get back one of its more explosive athletes in receiver/kick returner Dante Wright, who was not available for the opener. Aside from a couple of substantial bursts from Ronnie Rivers, Colorado St. contained the Fresno St. rushing attack to an encouraging extent upon holding the Bulldogs to a mere two ypc on 43 attempts. The Rams are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game while going 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points. 10* (306) Colorado St. Rams

This is a play on the NORTHERN ILLINOIS HUSKIES for our CFB Wednesday Enforcer. Northern Illinois opens the season at home and as a significant underdog with a lot of this based on the results from last season. While the Huskies lost Tre Harbison, their leading rusher in 2019, they return quarterback Ross Bowers, who threw for 2,130 yards on 166-for-287 passing last season, and averaged 236.7 yards per game while throwing for at least 200 yards in seven of the nine games in which he played. With a multi-dimensional offense, playmaking at both running back and wide receiver, and a strong-armed quarterback, Northern Illinois distinguishes itself positively from Bulls offense. Buffalo comes into this season with high expectations as they finished with the best overall record in the MAC last season but 8-5 overall is nothing to get overly excited about. Buffalo has no clear starting quarterback as it took almost up to game time to name the starter. This is a run first team and the Huskies front seven has the capability to slow them down as the passing attack will not be able to take over. Northern Illinois is 5-0 ATS as home underdogs in MAC games over the last two seasons. 10* (294) Northern Illinois Huskies

This is a play on the IOWA HAWKEYES for our Big Ten Game of the Year. We are only one game into the Big Ten season, yet we are seeing overreactions, and this is one of those. Iowa got upset by Purdue in its season opener and it hopes to avoid their first 0-2 start in over a decade. The Hawkeyes return home and while home field advantage is not the same as it is in normal years, it is still a thing and Iowa is very undervalued here. While the Hawkeyes lost to Purdue, they outgained the Boilermakers by 74 yards but two lost fumbles were costly as were 10 penalties for 100 yards so it was a game they should have won. Northwestern is coming off a blowout victory over Maryland and it looks for their first 2-0 start since the 2015 season. The Wildcats offense rolled up 537 yards and the defense held the Terrapins to just 207 yards on 4.1 per play. A big win for sure but Maryland is arguably the worst power five team in the country. The offense will play with tempo and look to keep defenses off balance as it did against Maryland, but Iowa is a different animal in this situation which has turned into a must win spot. Under Kirk Ferentz, the Hawkeyes are 8-1 ATS off an upset loss as a road favorite while the Wildcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win. 10* (162) Iowa Hawkeyes

This is a play on the HAWAII WARRIORS for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. Hawaii is coming off a win in its season opener at Fresno St. as the Warriors racked up 552 total yards with 323 on the ground, while the defense forced four turnovers for a plus-3 ratio. The Warriors hit the mainland for a second straight week which is typically not a great thing, but the matchup situation is on their side again. The Hawaii offense is led by quarterback Chevan Corderio, as he led the team in rushing with 116 yards and two touchdowns while going 20-31 through the air for 229 yards. The Warriors outgained the Bulldogs by 143 yards. Wyoming lost at Nevada in overtime, but the game was not that close as the Cowboys were outgained by 135 total yards. Wyoming quarterback Levi Williams is stepping into the starting role in place of Sean Chambers following yet another injury to Chambers. There is plenty of room for improvement for the offense after the Cowboys struggled to muster much of anything last week before a big fourth quarter. This will be just the second career start for Williams, and this will be the second straight game to begin the season for Hawaii to face an inexperienced quarterback in its war dog defense. Here, we play on teams where the line is +3 to -3 after a road game where both teams scored 31 points or more going up against an opponent off a double digit road win. This situation is 27-6 ATS (81.8 percent) since 1992. 10* (141) Hawaii Warriors

This is a play on the GEORGIA SOUTHERN EAGLES for our CFB Thursday Enforcer. South Alabama is 3-2 on the season following a pair of wins the last two weeks. It is a very skewed record however as the Jaguars have defeated Texas St., UL-Monroe and Southern Mississippi which are a combined 2-16 this season. This is a horrible scheduling situation as South Alabama has played four straight home games so this will be its first road game in 56 days, and it has to do it on a short week. South Alabama is 0-9 ATS in its last nine games when playing against teams with a winning percentage between .501 and .600. Georgia Southern is coming off a loss to fall to 3-2 on the season with the losses coming against Coastal Carolina and Louisiana which are a combined 9-1. Georgia Southern averages 248.6 ypg on the ground which in No. 13 in the country, and South Alabama has given up 396 rushing yards in its two losses so the Panthers will be able to control the line of scrimmage similar to last season where they rushed for 310 yards. The Panthers will have to pass the ball to open up that running game and they will have success here against a Jaguars defense that is horrible against the pass. The Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points allowing 5.8 or more yppl, after gaining 225 or less total yards in their previous game. This situation is 25-4 ATS (86.2 percent) since 1992. 10* (104) Georgia Southern Eagles

This is a play on the WAKE FOREST DEMON DEACONS for our CFB ACC Game of the Year. Virginia Tech is off to a 3-1 start, but it is just +51 in total yards in those four games. The Hokies are coming off a 40-14 win over Boston College, but they won the yardage battle by only 26 points but benefitted from a +5-turnover differential. Wake Forest is 2-2 and has arguably played better than that. The Demon Deacons have won two straight games following an opening loss against Clemson and then a three-point loss against NC State. The Wake Forest defense came out of the halftime locker room and executed its adjustments to hold Virginia to three second-half points last week. After struggling defensively in games against Clemson and NC State, it was more of the same in the first half against Virginia, which used three different quarterbacks. The Demon Deacons will do all they can to prevent the comfort of normalcy. While the Hokies forced five turnovers by the Eagles, Wake Forest has committed one all season. The Hokies are 7-23 ATS in their last 30 games as a road favorite while the Demon Deacons are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games. 10* (324) Wake Forest Demon Deacons

This is a play on the UAB BLAZERS for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. Following an opening loss against Miami, UAB has run off three straight wins, outgaining all three opponents and by an average of 143.7 ypg. The defense once again leads the way as opposing offenses have only converted six of their last 37 attempts on third down. In the last three games, UAB is only allowing 12.3 ppg. The Blazers are 17th overall in total defense, ninth with 15 sacks, third in passing defense and 10th in tackles for losses. The Blazers have gone from slight home favorites to slight home underdogs which is surprising considering UAB is getting the majority of bets, so we are benefiting from the reverse line move. The Blazers have won 21 straight home games, going 15-4-2 ATS over that stretch. Louisiana is coming off a lost against Coastal Carolina and has failed to cover three straight games. Louisiana is 0-5 ATS in its last five games against winning teams while the Blazers are 26-9-1 ATS in their last 36 games as a home underdog. Here, we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 averaging 31 or more ppg, after allowing 17 points or less in three straight games. This situation is 33-9 ATS (78.6 percent) since 1992. 10* (310) UAB Blazers

This is a play on the ARKANSAS ST. RED WOLVES for our CFB Thursday Enforcer. Arkansas St. started the season with an admiral effort against Memphis and then went on the road to defeat Kansas St. but followed that up with a clunker against Coastal Carolina. Since then, the Red Wolves have two straight games, putting up 50 and 59 points in the process. An offense as dynamic as this, being a double-digit underdog is a sure take. Appalachian St. has yet to play a game in October as it went 2-1 in September but has failed to cover any of those games. Not playing for three weeks and not practicing for two weeks is n issue. The Red Wolves are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game while the Mountaineers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Here, we play on road underdogs with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 after covering the spread in four out of their last five games. This situation is 32-9 ATS (78 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (305) Arkansas St. Red Wolves

This is a play on the MISSISSIPPI ST. BULLDOGS for our CFB SEC Game of the Year. Texas A&M kicked a field goal on the final play last week against Florida, notching its first win over a top-five team since 2014. This spells a big letdown for the Aggies and they are now favored on the road. After handing reigning national champion LSU its first loss since Nov. 24, 2018, Mississippi St. has dropped its last two contests to Arkansas and Kentucky. The Bulldogs fell to the Wildcats 24-2 last week but had a 18-10 first down edge and 295-157 total yard advantage but were -5 in turnovers. A loss like that can provide great motivation especially when the coach calls out the players after. The Aggies allowed have allowed 897 passing yards and nine touchdowns through the first three games of the season so we can expect Mississippi St. to get back on track on offense. Texas A&M is 7-18 ATS in its last 25 road games after gaining 450 or more total yards in two consecutive games. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points with a turnover margin of -2 per game or worse on the season, after 3 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. This situation is 33-10 ATS (76.7 percent) since 1992. 10* (144) Mississippi St. Bulldogs

This is a play on the TULANE GREEN WAVE for our CFB Friday Enforcer. SMU comes in with a 4-0 record including a big win over Memphis last time out. While the win was big, the Mustangs lost leading wide receiver Reggie Roberson (22 catches, second-in-the-nation 474 yards, five touchdowns) and starting running back TJ McDaniel (60 carries, 297 yards) to season-ending injuries. Those are two huge losses for Houston which comes in ranked No. 4 in total offense. We feel the Mustangs are overinflated in this role as road favorites. Tulane is coming off a blowout loss against Houston as it jumped ahead 24-7 but then was outscored 42-7 the rest of the game. The issues have come in the second half this year, dropping Tulane to 0-2 in the conference for the first time since 2016. Tulane had its 56-game streak of rushing for at least 100 yards snapped last week at Houston. The 56-game streak dated back to the end of the 2015 season. The Green Wave are still averaging 242.8 ypg on the ground and the rushing attack should get back on trach here against a below average Houston rushing defense. SMU is 9-22 ATS in its last 31 road games against teams averaging 4.75 or more ypc while going 3-16 ATS in its last 19 games after a win by three or less points. Here, we play against teams after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game going up against an opponent after gaining 3.25 or less yppl in their previous game. This situation is 45-17 ATS (72.6 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (108) Tulane Green Wave

This is a play on the ARKANSAS ST. RED WOLVES for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. Arkansas St. opened the season with a loss at Memphis that was closer than the 13-point deficit indicates and followed that up with a huge upset at Kansas St. Then the pandemic came into play with two straight weeks off before getting blown out by Coastal Carolina, but the Red Wolves bounced back with a 23-point win over Central Arkansas backed by a season high 573 yards on offense. Teams that are playing their fifth game of the season and playing their second straight home game following three straight road games are 15-3-1 ATS if their opponent is coming off a win. Georgia St. opened the season with a pair of losses before blowing out East Carolina by 20 points two weeks ago. The rushing offense leads the way, but the Panthers have been outrushed in two of three games and that is key for Arkansas St. which has been inconsistent in the running game but can get it going here which can help their passing game even more that is currently eighth in the country, averaging 342.5 ypg. The Red Wolves will be out to avenge a 52-38 loss last season where they allowed 722 total yards. The Panthers are 2-10-2 ATS in their last 14 road games while the Red Wolves are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up loss. 10* (106) Arkansas St. Red Wolves

This is a play on the LOUISIANA RAGIN' CAJUNS for our CFB Wednesday Enforcer. Both Coastal Carolina and Louisiana come in at 3-0 but we fell there is a significant edge for the Cajuns as they have played the better schedule and has a better defense. Louisiana is ranked for the first time since 1943 as it owns a big win over Iowa St. to open the season and followed that up with a pair of close wins over Georgia St. and Georgia Southern. Those close wins came as double-digit favorites and now the line is significantly lower based on that and the hot start for the Chanticleers. They have won their three games by an average of 22 ppg albeit against much weaker competition. The Cajuns have a star in quarterback Levi Lewis while featuring a pair of running back weapons in Trey Ragas and Elijah Mitchell. On the other side, Coastal Carolina has gotten a lot of production from quarterback Grayson McCall, but he is just a freshman, and this will be his biggest test of the season. The Louisiana defense has allowed just a 53.3 completion percentage to opposing quarterbacks while allowing less than one passing touchdown per game so far. Here, we play against conference road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that are averaging 6.2 or more yppl going up against teams with a defense allowing between 4.8 and 5.6 yppl. This situation is 35-11 ATS (76.1 percent) over the last 5fiveseasons. 10* (170) Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

This is a play on the KANSAS ST. WILDCATS for our CFB Big 12 Game of the Year. The TCU defense had a goal-line fumble recovery to stun Texas 33-31 in a game that had 26 penalties and ended when TCU took a safety as time ran out. Because of the win, the Horned Frogs are now overinflated in what is a classic letdown spot. Head coach Gary Patterson is anti-Texas and that is the one game he gets his players fired up for and it showed once again but it has been a letdown of late as TCU is 0-4 ATS in its last four games following the Texas game. The Horned Frogs are 129th in rushing defense, allowing seven YPC. That is a problem here as Kansas St. running back Deuce Vaughn averages 5.7 ypc on 36 carries after three games behind a strongly improved offensive line. On the other side, with one of the better pass rushes in the country, Kansas St. has the ability to pressure TCU quarterback Max Duggan which makes life easier for its secondary. This is a potent TCU offense, but the Wildcats can definitely slow it down. TCU is 2-12 ATS in its last 14 games off an upset win as a road underdog. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival going up against an opponent after a road game where both teams scored 31 points or more. This situation is 54-21 ATS (72 percent) since 1992. 10* (335) Kansas St. Wildcats

This is a play on the LOUISVILLE CARDINALS four our CFB Friday Star Attraction. Both Louisville and Georgia Tech are coming off a bye week while riding two-game losing streaks. After gaining 516 total yards against Miami, the Cardinals mustered just 223 yards against Pittsburgh. Despite their issues, Louisville can score against anyone with its offensive weapons. And the Georgia Tech defense has proven to be one of the worst teams in the FBS as they are allowing 441.3 ypg. Louisville will need to rely on running back Javian Hawkins, who has rushed for 313 yards this season. Hawkins will look to have a big game against Georgia Tech defense that is giving up big yards on the ground as the Yellow Jackets are 51st in rushing defense at 171.7 ypg. In the two losses to UCF and Syracuse, Georgia Tech quarterback Jeff Sims has thrown for a combined two touchdowns and six interceptions. The Yellow Jackets have shown the ability to be able to run the ball, but leading rusher Jordan Mason remains questionable. Georgia Tech is on a 1-10 ATS run as a home dog. Here, we play against home teams in a game involving two teams with turnover differentials of -0.75 or worse, after two consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. This situation is 48-18 (72.7 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (305) Louisville Cardinals

This is a play on the HOUSTON COUGARS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. It will be the season opener for the Cougars, who have had five games delayed or canceled because of coronavirus issues with their opponents. While it may seem a disadvantage, it could work in their favor as Tulane has already played a quarter of its season. The pluses and minuses of having three games under its belt extend to personnel. Tulane lost its top running back, Tyjae Spears, to a torn ACL in its last game. Freshman quarterback Michael Pratt will make his first career start after coming off the bench and was 8-of-18 passing for 142 yards against Southern Miss. Additionally, a pair of freshmen start on the right side of the offensive line. Not only is Houston eager to get onto the field, but it is out for some revenge the Green Wave won last year 38-31 on a 53-yard touchdown pass with three seconds left. They bring back a ton of experience with 19 starters returning that have not forgotten about that game. The Green Wave are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. 10* (304) Houston Cougars

This is a play on the NAVY MIDSHIPMEN for our CFB Game of the Month. Navy comes in as a road favorite and for very good reason. Air force has yet to play a game this season and a key challenge for the Falcons will be establishing depth. Turnbacks, generally explained as the option to leave the academy for a semester for medical reasons, and in this case, offered to cadets in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, have decimated the football roster, especially on defense. None of the five eligible returning starters are back and four freshmen appear on the two-deep list. And on offense, starting quarterback Donald Hammond III is not expected to suit up, as he is not in good standing as a cadet, the Colorado Springs Gazette reported. Navy put together the largest comeback in school history, scoring 27 unanswered points in the second half to overtake Tulane 27-24 two weeks ago. Navy head coach Ken Niumatalolo is seeking his 100th career victory, and the first leg of the Commander-in-Chief Trophy series provides an ideal opportunity. Having two games under their belt going up against a depleted roster is a huge edge. Navy is 15-3 ATS in its last 18 road games after a win by three or less points. 10* (131) Navy Midshipmen

This is a play on the LOUISIANA TECH BULLDOGS for our CFB Friday Enforcer. BYU is off to a dominant start as it has defeated Navy and Troy by a combined score of 103-10 and all that is doing is inflating this line. Due to an outbreak of COVID-19 in Provo, state and local health officials have prohibited fans from attending the BYU game this week in an effort to prevent the spread of the virus. The Bulldogs are coming off a blowout win to improve to 2-0 on the season. Louisiana Tech began the season with a 31-30 victory at Southern Miss, then routed Houston Baptist 66-38 in its home opener as Luke Anthony threw five touchdowns and ran for another. Louisiana Tech allowed 406 yards passing, but that is not as bad as it might seem. Houston Baptist quarterback Bailey Zappe, who completed 37 of 58 passes against the Bulldogs, had passed for more than 1,000 yards combined with seven touchdowns and no interceptions against North Texas and Texas Tech. The Bulldogs are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games against teams with a winning home record while the Cougars are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. 10* (103) Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

This is a play on the LIBERTY FLAMES for our CFB Non-Conference Game of the Year. The Flames took to the road as 15-point underdogs and won outright against Western Kentucky, winning the time of possession by almost 10 minutes and the yardage battle by 196 yards without turning the ball over. They have quarterback Malik Willis, who was the Auburn second-string quarterback in 2017 and 2018 so you know he has legit talent. He proved that in his debut rushing for 168 yards, three touchdowns while also completing 13 of 21 passes for 133 yards. The Liberty offensive line is its under-the-radar weapon. Florida International begins its season finally and it will be looking for young inexperienced players to continue its recent success under head coach Butch Davis. Quarterback James Morgan and cornerback Stanley Thomas-Oliver were drafted in the fourth and seventh round of the 2020 NFL Draft, respectively. Thomas-Oliver and Sage Lewis were selected as second-team All-C-USA for the 2019 season. The Panthers did not have any spring practices, so it might be tough to keep up with Willis and the Flames who have a game under their belt. Here, we play on favorites of a touchdown or more in their second game of the season coming off a win as a double-digit underdog. This situation is 11-5 ATS since 1996. 10* (442) Liberty Flames

This is a play on the UTSA Roadrunners for our CFB Friday Star Attraction. UTSA is off to a 2-0 start and while the schedule has not been tough, confidence goes a long way. The Roadrunners have outgained opponents by an average of 89.5 ypg and they get another great matchup here on Friday night where they have edges on both sides of the ball. While they have been outpassed in both games, the running game has been tough to defend. Middle Tennessee St. returned just five starters on defense and it is showing as the Blue Raiders are dead last in both yards allowed and points allowed per game. They were outgained by 184 yards against Army and 255 yards against Troy last week. The big issue has been the run defense as they are allowing 290.0 ypg and this is another horrible matchup as UTSA is averaging 282.5 ypg with is seventh in the country. The offense is not much better as they are also dead last in total yards and points scored and the opposition has not been overwhelming. Here, we play on home teams after gaining 450 or more total yards in five consecutive games, with 5 defensive starters returning, in the first month of the season. This situation is 30-4 ATS (88.2 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* 456) UTSA Roadrunners

This is a play on the SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS for our CFB Thursday Enforcer. We like what we have seem from South Alabama thus far as we won with them in their opener against Southern Mississippi and then lost by just three points against Tulane. There are some new faces from the squad that got slaughtered by UAB last season, and maybe that is a good thing. Chance Lovertich will take over at quarterback and he has played in both games this season, completing 20 of 32 passes for 311 yards and three touchdowns with no interceptions. The Jaguars have a solid running back in Carlos Davis who is averaging 5.4 ypc to go along with a veteran offensive line. The Blazers will also start a new quarterback on Thursday in redshirt freshman Bryson Lucero, who replaces the injured Tyler Johnston, out indefinitely with an injury to his non-throwing shoulder. The defensive line for the Blazers has shown susceptibility against the run as the rebuilt defensive line has yet to get it going. Here, we play on teams off a home loss by three points or less, in the first month of the season. This situation is 32-8 ATS (80 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (418) South Alabama Jaguars

This is a play on the SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI GOLDEN EAGLES for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. We played against Southern Miss in its season opener and the Golden Eagles lost outright as 12-point favorites. Now after a bye week, they catch a great spot. It should be noted that head coach Jay Hopson resigned after that loss but because of the week off, Southern Miss has had plenty of time to prepare under former receiver coach Scott Walden who was given the interim head coach tag. Louisiana Tech has yet to play a game this season and are at a big disadvantage here based on experience as the Bulldogs have just eight starters back including two on defense. Expect them to struggle early in the season and that includes here against a team with a game under their belt and one that brings back double the starters. 10* (126) Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles

This is a play on the LOUSVILLE CARDINALS for our CFB Saturday Supreme Annihilator. Louisville had an excellent season last year, going 9-5 under first year head coach Scott Satterfield after a 2-10 season in 2018 under Bobby Petrino and now returns eight starters on each side of the ball. This is a loaded offense that should only be better. Micale Cunningham is a productive dual threat at quarterback who had 22 touchdown passes with only five picks while running for 482 yards and six scores. Running back Javian Hawkins finished second in the ACC with 1,525 yards, ringing up eight 100-yard games. Tutu Atwell led the ACC with 98.2 receiving ypg while Dez Fitzpatrick would have been highly drafted but decided to come back. Western Kentucky relies on a particularly good pass rush to keep things in front of them but that is not always easy when you have the play action game that Louisville has. The Hilltoppers are solid on offense but they are replacing quarterback Ty Storey and 1,000-yard receiver Lucky Jackson. The Cardinals need to get more pressure on the opposing quarterbacks, which will lead to more turnovers. Louisville only had seven interceptions and recovered 11 fumbles last season in 13 games. Here, we play on favorites of 10.5 to 21 points that averaged 6.4 or more yppl last season, with an experienced quarterback returning as starter. This situation is 36-12 ATS (75 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (406) Louisville Cardinals

This is a play on the UAB BLAZERS for our CFB Thursday Star Attraction. UAB has a huge edge of already having a game under its belt as it defeated Central Arkansas 45-35 last Thursday. The Blazers dominated even what seemed like it was a close game as they outgained the Bears 459-293. Central Arkansas scored a touchdown on a fumble recovery and two others in the final six minutes when UAB reserves were in. Spencer Brown is the star of the offense over the first two years with well over 2,500 rushing yards and 26 touchdowns but was dinged last season. He finished with 127 yards on 24 carries (5.3 ypc). Defensively, this team will be great once again. The Blazers were ranked second in the league in total and scoring defense, third in the nation in third down stops, and 11th in sacks and eight of the top 10 tacklers are back. They also got the best defensive player at South Alabama via transfer. Rhett Lashlee, Miami's new offensive coordinator, has installed a high-tempo attack, and rebuilt an offensive line that was among the worst in college football last season. While the offense can be effective, it might take a while and that gives the stout UAB defense an edge. Last year, Miami surrendered 51 sacks, the most among Power 5 teams. Defensively, the back seven is a question mark. At linebacker, the Hurricanes must replace 99 combined starts with a group of mostly unproven linebackers and lost their best defensive back. 10* (393) UAB Blazers

This is a play on the ARKANSAS ST. RED WOLVES for our CFB Saturday Star Attraction. Arkansas St. has 14 returning starters including nine on offense and it is expected to score points in bunches once again. The Red Wolves scored 30 or more points in 10 of their 13 games last season and they bring back both quarterbacks along with the entire offensive line. Additionally, leading rusher Marcel Murray is back after running for 820 yards and six scores. They went 8-5 last season which was exceptional given the rebuilding job that had going on and expectations are higher this season. Arkansas St. has a nice groove under head coach Blake Anderson with six straight bowl appearances and six straight winning seasons. Memphis has a strong offense back as well but the defense struggled and will have a tough time holding down the Red Wolves offense. One huge factor here is the preseason schedule where Arkansas St. had 11 practices and Memphis had none and that is a huge issue considering the Tigers have a new head coach. Additionally, the Red Wolves had 18 days of fall practice compared to just nine days before school started for both teams and practice time became limited. 10* (237) Arkansas St. Red Wolves

This is a play on the SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS for our CFB Opening Night Star Attraction. South Alabama went just 2-10 last season but should be a much-improved team with 15 starters back. It was a woeful offense last year, but quarterback Desmond Trotter started as a freshman late and had eight touchdown passes and two picks, while moving the offense and pushing the ball down the field. The receiving corps should get back six of the top seven wideouts while the offensive line returns four starters. Defensively, seven of the top eight tacklers are back from a unit that finished fifth in the SBC in points allowed and yards allowed. While Southern Miss was supposed to bring back a lot of starters, some key ones will not be here Thursday. Former first-team All-Conference USA defensive end Jacques Turner, former freshman All-America linebacker Racheem Boothe, wide receiver and return man Jaylond Adams and running back Steven Anderson have all opted out of this season. For the third time in three years with Jack Abraham at quarterback, Southern Miss has a new offensive coordinator so there will a whole new playbook to learn. 10* (235) South Alabama Jaguars

This is a play on the CLEMSON TIGERS for our CFP Championship Winner. LSU remains a sizable favorite for this game which just does not seem right. Clemson is the defending national champion, winner of 29 consecutive games, and looking for its third national championship in four seasons. Clemson has been an underdog in each of its previous three trips to the title game under head coach Dabo Swinney and has won outright or covered the spread in each instance. The Tigers are led by Trevor Lawrence who has been overshadowed by his opponent Joe Burrow. After being intercepted eight times in his first seven games, Lawrence has attempted a school-record 202 consecutive passes without an interception in seven games since. He has 22 touchdowns during that span. On the other side, Clemson allows the fewest points of any team in the country (11.5 ppg) and the second-fewest yards (264.1 ypg). Brent Venables may have turned in the top coaching performance of his career this season, taking a defense that lost seven starters, including its entire defensive front, and molding a youthful group into the top scoring defense in the country. Clemson is 7-0 ATS against teams averaging 31 or more ppg this season while LSU is 0-4 ATS in its last four games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Here, we play on neutral field underdogs that are outrushing their opponents by 100 or more ypg on the season. This situation is 38-15 ATS (71.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (283) Clemson Tigers

This is a play on the MIAMI OHIO REDHAWKS for our CFB Monday Lending Tree Bowl Winner. The RedHawks are not getting any respect here with this being tied for the third biggest spread of all the bowl games. Miami finds itself as an underdog tonight against Louisiana, but that is nothing unusual for the RedHawks, who in their 12 previous games against FBS opponents were underdogs in all but two of those games despite their 8-5 record and 6-2 mark in MAC games. While the RedHawks may not score a lot of points, most of the season they have made the points they score in games count. Entering tonight, Miami holds a 5-0 record this season in games decided by one score. They have made a season, and won a Mid-American Conference championship, out of winning close games. Louisiana is coming off a loss to Appalachian St. in the Sun Belt Conference Championship. The Cajuns possess a very potent offense so Miami will be tested but has proved to be able to slow teams down. Through 13 games in 2019, Louisiana ranks eighth in country and leads the conference in total offense per game (501.3) and 10th in the nation in scoring offense (38.8). After raising the New Orleans Bowl trophy four straight seasons under coach Mark Hudspeth, the Cajuns have lost their past two bowl games and have not won a bowl game outside of Alabama since 1944. 10* (279) Miami Ohio RedHawks

This is a play on the OHIO BOBCATS for our CFB Friday Potato Bowl Winner. Ohio finished the season 6-6 but it could have been a lot better as four of those losses came by a field goal or less. Ohio quarterback Nathan Rourke is arguably one of the greatest quarterbacks in program history, owning the record for most touchdowns accounted for in a career with 110 (60 passing, 48 rushing, 2 receiving). This season, Rourke ranks 16th in the FBS in points accounted for per game with 16.5. He is also one of the most productive rushers in MAC history as his career average of 6.1 ypc is tied for 8th in the MAC since 1962. Because of his production, Ohio has been one of the most productive offenses in the FBS in the last three seasons, finishing 9th, 12th, and 20th in scoring offense each season, respectively culminating with an average of 34.7 ppg this season. Nevada will have a tough time finding a way to overcome the loss of four key defensive players from a defense already allowing 32.1 ppg as those players were suspended for this game. The offense will be challenged as well as Nevada averaged just 21.3 ppg on the season and even that is skewed with big numbers against bad teams. They finished 1-4 against bowl teams while getting outgained by 211 ypg which is the most of any team in a bowl game this season. The Wolf Pack won three of their last four games to become bowl eligible but the schedule was in their favor as three of three of those four teams finished 4-8 or worse. Here, we play on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points in the second half of the season that are averaging 440 or more ypg going up against a team allowing between 390 and 440 ypg, after gaining 6.75 or more yppl in their previous game. This situation is 38-9 ATS (80.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (275) Ohio Bobcats

This is a play on the CINCINNATI BEARCATS for our CFB Thursday Birmingham Bowl Winner. Boston College ended the season 6-6 and it will be without a couple key pieces. Head coach Steve Addazio was fired after the regular season and has since been hired by Colorado St. Wide receivers coach Rich Gunnell will serve as the interim coach for this game. Additionally, they will not have star running back AJ Dillon, who rushed for 1,685 yards and scored 14 touchdowns this season and is the Boston College all-time leading rusher. He has declared for the draft and is sitting out the game. That puts a lot of pressure on quarterback Dennis Grosel who completed under 50 percent of his passes, sometimes turning the Boston College offense one-dimensional. On the other side, the Eagles defense is allowing 480.3 ypg which is tied for fourth worst in the country. The Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win. In just three seasons, Cincinnati head coach Luke Fickell took his team from four wins to less than 90 seconds away from a conference championship. The Bearcats lost only three games this season, one to Ohio St. and the final two against Memphis, the eventual AAC Champion. Cincinnati is led offensively by running back Michael Warren and dual-threat quarterback Desmond Ridder. Warren collected 1,160 yards and 14 touchdowns on the ground, while Ridder threw for 2,069 yards and 17 touchdowns while rushing for 545 yards and two scores. Cincinnati allowed 21.7 ppg, leading the conference in scoring defense for a second consecutive year. Cincinnati is 6-0 ATS against defenses allowing 8 or more passing ypa over the last two seasons. 10* (272) Cincinnati Bearcats

This is a play on the BAYLOR BEARS for our CFB Sugar Bowl Winner. This line has come down considerably and for good reason. Georgia is depleted in key areas whether it be by injury or other factors. Starting offensive linemen Andrew Thomas and Isaiah Wilson will miss the game after declaring early for the NFL draft, while right guard Ben Cleveland will miss the game, reportedly for academic reasons. Second-leading rusher Brian Herrien also won't play for undisclosed reasons, and it's believed several other players won't be on hand. Additionally, the status of leading rusher D'Andre Swift is also uncertain due to a shoulder injury he suffered late in the year. That is a lot to overcome and it was so bad that head coach Kirby Smart closed all 11 of the team's practices prior to arriving in New Orleans. It was a remarkable season for Baylor that on one saw coming. The Bears finished 1-11 in 2017, improved to 7-6 in 2018 before this year's 11-2 campaign, their only losses coming to Oklahoma. No. 7 Baylor lost to the Sooners in the regular season and later 30-23 in overtime of the Big 12 championship game. While Georgia is shorthanded, Baylor head coach Matt Rhule said that he will have his entire team at his disposal, including starting quarterback Charlie Brewer, who left the Big 12 championship game on Dec. 7 with a concussion. Being down 15 scholarship players is a big deal and you know that Baylor is going to have a ton of fight and energy coming into this game. Rhule coached teams are 14-2 ATS after three or more consecutive wins against the spread. Here, we play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points with a rushing defense allowing 100 or less rushing ypg, after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game. This situation is 56-24 ATS (70 percent) since 1992. 10* (269) Baylor Bears

This is a play on the NAVY MIDSHIPMEN for our CFB Tuesday Supreme Annihilator. This is a great spot for Navy which comes in loads of momentum following three straight wins and going 8-1 over its last 10 games, the lone loss coming against Notre Dame. Midshipmen quarterback Malcolm Perry broke a lot of school records this season and he will be a nightmare matchup for Kansas St. as not only is Navy the No. 1 rushing offense in the country but they own the No. 2 redzone offense and will square off against the No. 130 in redzone defense in Kansas St. Additionally, the Wildcats rushing defense is mediocre as they are ranked No. 61 and allow an average of 4.9 ypc. Kansas St. closed the season with a little bit of momentum as it defeated Texas Tech and Iowa St. over its final two games to finish third in the Big XII Conference. Kansas St. split its six games against bowl teams but that is misleading as the Wildcats were outgained by an average of 106 ypg which is the fourth most among bowl teams from the Power 5 conferences. Overall, Navy outgained nine of 12 opponents while the Wildcats outgained just five of 12 foes. Navy is 40-19 ATS in its last 59 games after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards in two straight games. Here, we play on teams averaging 4.8 or more ypc going up against teams averaging between 4.3 and 4.8 ypc, after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards last game. This situation is 116-56 ATS (67.4 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (258) Navy Midshipmen

This is a play on the KENTUCKY WILDCATS for our CFB Tuesday Afternoon Dominator. Kentucky comes in riding a three-game winning streak including a 32-point win over rival Louisville in its regular season finale. The Wildcats were 4-5 but vaulted into a bowl game with their strong finish. The defense is the strength as they are ranked No. 20 overall and No. 12 in scoring. Kentucky is 7-0 ATS in its last seven games against non-conference opponents. While going just 2-4 against fellow bowl teams, Kentucky outgained those six teams by an average of 24 ypg. Conversely, Virginia Tech went 4-3 against bowlers but were outgained by 27 ypg on average. While those margins are not overwhelming, the strength of schedules actually make those numbers skewed as the ACC as a conference ranked lower than the Pac 12 and the AAC. A big storyline here is that this is the last game for Hokies defensive coordinator Bud Foster so while they will be jacked up the matchup is not a good one. Virginia Tech has struggled against running quarterbacks this season and Kentucky quarterback Lynn Bowden Jr. is an electric athlete. He has averaged 174.3 ypg during the three-game winning streak. Here, we play against teams off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite going up against an opponent off two consecutive home wins by 14 points or more. This situation is 35-10 ATS (77.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (291) Kentucky Wildcats

This is a play on the VIRGINIA CAVALIERS for our CFB Orange Bowl Winner. Even though they were dismantled in the ACC Championship by Clemson, the Cavaliers are clearly the second best team in the conference and while that might not be saying much to some, this is a solid team with a solid coach that wants to rebound from that defeat. Scoring hasn't been a problem for the Cavaliers, whose 421 total points and 32.4 ppg average are both the second-highest marks in school history. The Cavaliers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games against teams with a winning record. Florida is an overrated No. 9 in the CFP Rankings as it has defeated hardly anyone. A win over No. 12 Auburn was nice but that is the only win over a team ranked within the top 30. The Gators finished the season just +57 ypg against bowl teams so there was no domination to make them a two-touchdown favorite here. Florida won't have cornerback C.J. Henderson, who is sitting out after declaring for the draft and he is a big piece of the secondary that decided to give up on his team despite a high profile bowl game. Bowl favorites are a dismal 9-36 ATS in the last 45 occurrences when coming off three or more ATS wins and facing an opponent that scored 21 or fewer points last time out. Additionally, we play against teams with a winning percentage of .800 or better after beating the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games, playing a team with a winning percentage between .600 and .800. This situation is 46-18 ATS (71.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (251) Virginia Cavaliers

This is a play on the CLEMSON TIGERS for our CFB Saturday Fiesta Bowl Winner. The Buckeye defense has not seen a quarterback all season long that even comes close to the talent level of Trevor Lawrence. This will be a massive adjustment for the Ohio St. defenders. Lawrence for the season has over 3,100 yards passing and 34 touchdowns. But he also gets it done on the ground as he has rushed for 407 yards and seven scores. While the Buckeyes will be focused to slow Lawrence down, there is another big weapon they have to worry about. Travis Etienne is a monster in the backfield as he averages 8.2 ypc and scores a touchdown about every 11th time he takes a handoff. His 19 plays of 20 or more yards are tied for fifth among all non-receivers. The three running backs ahead of him on the list all have considerably more offensive touches than his 211. Etienne seems like a new challenge altogether in that the Buckeyes cannot make him the focal point of their defensive plan, nor can they afford to overlook him. This Ohio St. roster is one of the best in recent memory. The Buckeyes also have one of the most talented backfields in the country, comprised with Heisman finalist quarterback Justin Fields and Doak Walker Award finalist running back J.K. Dobbins. But Clemson is clearly the best defense that the Buckeyes will have faced this season. Defensive coordinator Brent Venables has had multiple weeks to prepare for the Buckeyes and we have seen what he has done in the past when given extra time to prepare. Clemson is a team that has won 28 straight games with CFP experience matched up with a group not all that familiar with the big stage. 10* (243) Clemson Tigers

This is a play on the USC TROJANS for our CFB Friday Holiday Bowl Winner. USC opened the season 3-3 but the Trojans came to life by winning five of their last six games to bounce back from a disappointing 2018 season where they went 5-7. The four USC losses have largely come against solid competition with three of the four at the hands of ranked opponents. The poise of USC quarterback Kedon Slovis the last few games and the growth of the wide receivers into Graham Harrell’s scheme has really shown that this is a deadly offense. It is ranked as one of the best for a reason. Slovis ended up missing only one full game and was named Pac 12 Offensive Freshman of the Year after completing 260 of 362 passes. He has a QB rating of 167.60 and averages 294.7ypg. The Hawkeyes surrender an average of only 184.2 ypg through the air, hold opposing quarterbacks to a passer rating of 113.08, and have allowed only twelve passing touchdowns while picking off eleven passes. But they have not faced a passing offense such as this. Iowa is totally dependent on its defense, which is ranked 3rd and 12th in scoring and total defense. The offense has been a different story as the Hawkeyes are ranked 96th, 97th, & 98th in scoring, rushing, and total offense respectively. Seven of last 10 games have been decided by one possession. While it may seem off because of the Pac 12, the Trojans played the 11th toughest schedule in the nation. 10* (233) USC Trojans

This is a play on the LOUISIANA TECH BULLDOGS for our CFB Thursday Independence Bowl Winner. This line has come down a point from opening but it is not enough. Miami has little interest in playing in this game as it comes in 6-6 after an underachieving regular season and the proof of not wanting to show up is evidenced by the top players. Defensive ends Jonathan Garvin and Trevon Hill, junior wide receiver Jeff Thomas, and linebacker Michael Pinckney have all decided to skip the Independence Bowl to prepare for the NFL draft. That says a lot. Louisiana Tech meanwhile would like nothing more than to secure a win over a major program to gain its first 10-win season since 1984. The Bulldogs are led by quarterback J'Mar Smith, Conference USA's Offensive Player of the Year and one of the most dynamic quarterbacks the Hurricanes have faced this season. The Hurricanes defense was one of the best this season but they are down their three best players and that will be a huge difference here. On the other side, the quarterback situation for Miami is so bad, a starter has yet to be names as it was an open tryout heading into the bowl game. The Louisiana Tech's campus in Ruston is located about an hour away from Shreveport, where the Independence Bowl will be played. Needless to say, the Bulldogs should have a distinct home-field advantage on Thursday. 10* (224) Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

This is a play on the BYU COUGARS for our CFB Tuesday Hawaii Bowl Blockbuster. Hawaii finished the regular season strong with a run of four straight wins but three of those were against non-bowl teams while the other was an ugly win against San Diego St. and of its nine total wins, only three came against bowl teams. The Warriors lost the yardage battle in five of the seven games against bowlers and in the four outright losses, they lost by an average of 26.3 ppg. BYU finished the season 7-5 with four of those wins coming against bowl teams including a win over Boise St., the Broncos only regular season loss of the season. The Cougars finished strong on the field as they outgained seven of their last eight opponents including the last five but that did not pay off at the ticket window as BYU dropped its last four games against the number. How important is the outcome of the Hawaii Bowl to BYU coach Kalani Sitake, his staff and the Cougar players? According to BYU Insiders, very important. This will be a business trip, not a vacation, to be sure. Here, we play on road favorites after allowing 14 points or less last game going up against an opponent after allowing 31 points or more in two straight games. This situation is 107-60 ATS (64.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (221) BYU Cougars

This is a play on the BOISE ST. BRONCOS for our CFB Game of the Week. The storyline here is that this is the final game for Washington head coach Chris Peterson and he squares off against his former team which he directed a complete turnaround to where they are now. It is a great feel good story but the game is played on the field and the Broncos will not have any less motivation. Boise St. lost once this season, a three-point loss at BYU, and was favored in every game it played. Granted, they are now playing a team from a Power 5 conference but the Pac 12 is the worst of the bunch. Since 2006, the Broncos are 5-3 as neutral-site underdogs and two of those losses came back to back with an interim coach in the 2013 Hawaii Bowl vs. Oregon St. and in the first game under head coach Bryan Harsin in 2014 against Ole Miss. The Broncos are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog. Washington struggled down the stretch, going 3-4 in its last seven games and two of those losses came against teams not playing in a bowl game. Pac 12 teams are 2-20 ATS in bowl games over the last three years while the Huskies are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. 10* (216) Boise St. Broncos

This is a play on the UTAH ST. AGGIES for our CFB Friday Frisco Bowl Winner. Kent St. snuck into the postseason with a 6-6 record thanks to winning its final three games of the regular season. The Golden Flashes lost the yardage battle in two of those games and on the season, they were outgained in all seven games against current bowl teams and by an average of 192 ypg. Utah St. had a below average season by its standards as it went 7-5 and four of those five losses came by at least 24 points. Of course, those were all against teams much better than Kent St. and three of those are currently ranked. One of the big reasons for the pedestrian season was the average play of quarterback Jordan Love who crushed it last season with 28 touchdowns and five interceptions compared to a 17:16 split this season. He is pegged as a high draft NFL quarterback and this is his showcase. For the Aggies, beating the Golden Flashes would represent ending 2019 on a high note after missing their goal of winning a Mountain West Conference championship. Here, we play on teams after being beaten by the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games, in December games. This situation is 44-17 ATS (72.1 percent) since 1992. 10* (204) Utah St. Aggies

This is a play on the ARMY BLACK KNIGHTS for our CFB Saturday Army/Navy Enforcer. It has been a tough season for Army that came in with high expectations following an 11-2 season a year ago. The Black Knights opened 3-1 with the lone loss coming at Michigan in overtime. It has been a 2-6 finish but five of those losses came by single digits. Army has won the last three games in the series. Although the Black Knights (5-7) are having an off-year compared with Navy (9-2), a victory for the Midshipmen is certainly not guaranteed. Another win over Navy on Saturday would give the Black Knights their first four-game winning streak in the rivalry since 1993 to 1996. Navy turned things around after going 3-10 last season as it is 9-2 with the tow losses coming against Memphis and Notre Dame. Army has outgained four of its last five opponents so it is playing better than the record shows which makes the points being a premium. Seven of the nine Army-Navy Games in this decade have been decided by a touchdown or less. The only two to get out of hand in Navy's favor came before Army hired Jeff Monken. Here, we play on neutral field underdogs that are outrushing their opponents by 100 or more ypg on the season, after gaining 225 or more rushing yards in three straight games. This situation is 29-6 ATS (82.9 percent) since 1992 including a perfect 15-0 ATS over the last five seasons. 10* (303) Army Black Knights

This is a play on the APPALACHIAN ST. MOUNTAINEERS for our CFB Game of the Week. The 2019 Sun Belt Championship Game is set with the Appalachian St. Mountaineers hosting the Louisiana Ragin Cajuns. Appalachian St. clinched the Sun Belt East Division title after finishing 7-1 in conference play and 11-1 overall, two games ahead of Georgia Southern. The Mountaineers have won three-consecutive Sun Belt titles including last season when they defeated Louisiana 30-19 on this same field. Louisiana has had no trouble moving the ball the season, as evidenced by a sixth-ranked offense in yards per play. On the other side, the Appalachian State defense is a top-25 unit in regard to yards per play, which sets up for an interesting battle of strength vs. strength. If short history is any indication, the Mountaineers have the edge as they held the Cajuns to just 5.5 yppl in the first meeting in a 17-7 win and that game was in Lafayette. Here, we play on home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival going up against an opponent off three straight wins against conference rivals. This situation is 57-25 ATS (69.5 percent) since 1992. 10* (108) Appalachian St. Mountaineers

This is a play on the MIAMI OHIO REDHAWKS for our CFB 10* Star Attraction. Miami will be going to a bowl game for the first time since 2016-17 after winning five of its last six games to win the MAC East Division. The RedHawks finished the regular season 7-5 and while it is coming off a loss in its last game, it was a meaningless game on the road. On paper, the RedHawks bring in one of the best overall defenses in the MAC and arguably the best special teams unit in the country. Offensively, the RedHawks are excellent in the red zone as they are 34-for-39 in red-zone opportunities and have scored 21 touchdowns (53.8 percent).Central Michigan turned its season around and is one of the biggest stories in the country. The Chippewas went 1-11 last season including 0-8 in the MAC and then opened this year 2-3 but went on to win six of their last seven games. Here, we play on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after having won four or five out of their last six games, with a winning percentage between .501 and .600 of their games on the season. This season is 37-10 ATS (78.7 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (105) Miami Ohio RedHawks

This is a play on the OKLAHOMA SOONERS for our Big XII Championship Winner. Oklahoma and Baylor will meet for the second time this season, yet again with both of their College Football Playoff hopes on the line. The first one was an epic comeback for the Sooners as they rallied from a 31-10 halftime deficit. Turnover were the story as Oklahoma won the yardage battle by 218 total yards so the outcome should not have been that close. The Sooners offense has been riding high as usual and the defense has improved from recent years so a big showing here could propel them into the CFP should Georgia lose. Baylor feels it still has a shot as we but it is slim as it is ranked No. 9 and would need a win and a lot of help. The Bears only loss came against the Sooners where Oklahoma was a 10.5-point favorite but now Oklahoma is actually favored by less on a neutral field. This is the first time all season that the Sooners have been single-digit favorites. Here, we play on any team after being beaten by the spread by 49 or more points total in their last five games, in December games. This situation is 44-16 ATS (73.3 percent) since 1992. 9* (110) Oklahoma Sooners